south african institute of international affairs (saiia) presentation to the portfolio committee on...
TRANSCRIPT
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South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)
Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Foreign Affairs
Analysis of the DFA 2008-2009 budget and programmatic alignment
Wednesday 7 May, 2008
Presented by Tim Hughes
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The Brief Given to SAIIA
• Provide a critical view on the previous and current budget, as well as the strategic objectives.
• Are the set objectives achievable in the current allocation?
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DFA Programmes
• Programme 1: Administration• Programme 2: Foreign Relations• Programme 3: Public Diplomacy and Protocol• Programme 4: International transfers
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DFA Programme 1: Administration
• “Conduct the overall policy development management and management of the department.”
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DFA Programme 2: Foreign Relations Objectives
• Consolidation of the African Agenda• Strengthen South-South economic and
political relations• Strengthen North-South economic and
political co-operation• Promote South Africa’s interests
internationally
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...Foreign Relations Objectives ctd.
• Increase foreign representation in Asia and Africa• Strengthen the governance, structures and
capacity of the African Union• Support SADC and its structures• Support the development of the African
continent
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DFA Programme 3: Public Diplomacy and Protocol Objectives
• Provide logistical, media and communication support to the Ministry
• Provide protocol and diplomacy services, e.g. Diaspora Conference, NAASP Summit, NEPAD Heads of Implementation Committee, African Ministers Meeting and during SA’s Chairing of SADC commencing August 2008
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DFA Programme 4: International Transfers
• Fund membership fees and transfers to international organisations
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DFA Budget Summary
R Thousand
2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011
Total to be appropriated Total Total
MTEF Allocation
Administration 1 049 913 1 510 070 1 150 877
Foreign Relations 2 410 711 2 638 677 2 802 568
Public Diplomacy and Protocol 147 258 224 032 164 114
International Transfers 732 826 789 836 822 847
Total Expenditure Estimates 4 340 708 5 162 615 4 940 406
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DFA Strategic Plan Key Performance Areas
Key Performance Area Number of priorities and objectives
Consolidation of the African Agenda 7
Strengthen South-South Co-operation 6
Strengthen North-South Co-operation 3
Participate in the Global System of Governance
13
Strengthen Political and Economic Relations
10
Organisational support 9
Organisational Strengthening 6
Rendering of Professional Services 6
Communication 3
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DFA Programmes
PROGRAMME 1
Administration
Budget Allocation 2008/09 R 1 049 913 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2009/10 R 1 510 070 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2010/11 R 1 150 877 (R million)
OBJECTIVES OUTPUTS / DELIVERABLES INDICATORS / TARGETS
14 25 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
30 29 29
PROGRAMME 2
Foreign Relations
Budget Allocation 2008/09 R 2 410 711 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2009/10 R 2 638 677 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2010/11 R 2 802 568 (R million)
OBJECTIVES OUTPUTS / DELIVERABLES INDICATORS / TARGETS
42 75 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
89 83 79 PROGRAMME
3 Public
Diplomacy & Protocol Services
Budget Allocation 2008/09 R 147 258 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2009/10 R 224 032 (R million)
Budget Allocation 2010/11 R 164 114 (R million)
OBJECTIVES OUTPUTS / DELIVERABLES INDICATORS / TARGETS
8 8 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11
10 10 10
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Expenditure Estimates: A Trend
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Expenditure Estimates: A Breakdown
Expenditure Estimates 2006/07 Expenditure Estimates 2010/11
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Expenditure Estimates Growth
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Departmental strategic alignment?
• Is the DFA’s Strategic Plan and Budget aligned with South Africa’s interests?
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Diplomatic Missions Abroad
Indicators
Annual Performance
Past Current Projected
2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011
Total number of diplomatic missions abroad 105 111 119 123 127 130 133
Africa 35 39 43 47 48 50 52
Asia and Middle East 27 29 31 31 34 35 35
Americas and Carribean 17 17 18 18 18 18 19
Europe 26 26 27 27 27 27 27
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Bilateral Relations Management: Stack
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Total Foreign Relations
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Comparative GDP Growth for Key Developing Nations
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Exports to Continents Imports from Continents
0
50000000
100000000
150000000
200000000
250000000
300000000
350000000
Europe Asia Americas Africa Pacific Asia Euope Americas Africa Pacific
Tra
de in
(R
'000
)
2007
2004
Export to / Import from Continents
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South African Exports (Top Ten Regions)
0
30000000
60000000
90000000
120000000
150000000
180000000
210000000
240000000
EU North-EastAsia
NAFTA SADC China MiddleEast
EFTA SAARC OCEANIA ASEAN
Exp
ort
s in
R '0
00
2007
2004
South African Exports (Top 10 Regions)
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South African Imports (Top Ten Regions)
0
50000000
100000000
150000000
200000000
250000000
300000000
350000000
Imp
ort
s (R
'000
)
2004 2007
South African Imports (Top 10 Regions)
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South Africa's Trade Balance by
-80000000
-60000000
-40000000
-20000000
0
20000000
40000000
SADC North-EastAsia
NAFTA North-EastAfrica
EFTA MiddleEast
EuropeanUnion
China ASEAN Mercosur
Trad
e B
alan
ce in
R '0
00
2004 2007
SA Trade Balance by Region
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South African Exports (Top Ten Countries)
0
20000000
40000000
60000000
80000000
100000000
120000000
Ex
po
rts
in
R '0
00
2004 2007
SA Exports
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South African Imports (Top Ten Countries)
0
20000000
40000000
60000000
80000000
100000000
120000000
Ger
man
y
China
United S
tate
s
Japan
United K
ingdom
Saudi A
rabia
Iran
France
Italy
South K
orea
Imp
ort
s i
n R
'00
0
2004 2007
SA Imports
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South African Exports (Top Ten African Countries)
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
Zambia
Moza
mbiq
ue
Zimbab
we
Angola
Niger
ia
Kenya
Dem R
ep o
f Congo
Tanza
nia
Ghan
a
Mal
awi
Ex
po
rt in
R '0
00
2004 2007
SA Exports (Africa)
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South African Imports (Top Ten African Countries)
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
Imp
ort
s in
R '0
00
2004 2007
SA Imports (Africa)
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South African Trade Balance (Key African Countries)
-12000000
-10000000
-8000000
-6000000
-4000000
-2000000
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
Tra
de B
ala
nce in
R '0
00
2004 2007
SA Trade Balance by Africa
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Departmental Capacity Alignment?
• Does the Department have the capacity to achieve its complex and expanding objectives and commitments?
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Employment Vacancies by Salary Bands (%)
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Vacancies in critical occupations (%)
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Vacancy Rate by Programme
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Departmental Transformation
• Has the Department transformed?
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Percentage of Males in Occupational Bands
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Percentage of Females in Occupational Bands
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Senior Management
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Professionally Qualified, Experienced and Mid-Management
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Skilled Technical and Academically Qualified Workers
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Questions for consideration
• Why was the R100m requested for Organisational Strengthening refused by Treasury?
• Why was only R22million of R74 million approved for strengthening Missions in Asia and Africa?
• Why was only R18 million of R35 million approved for Chairing SADC 2008/09?
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....Questions for consideration ctd
• Is Foreign Service Institute producing the calibre of diplomat required, with the range of skills required?
• Is the PRAU producing relevant, high quality policy research?
• Can we achieve institutional continuity?• Do our diplomats have the requisite policy skills and
understanding to strengthen SA’s economic diplomacy?
• Do our diplomats have the required language skills?
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....Questions for consideration ctd
• Are we being realistic in REC harmonisation timelines?
• Are our African Missions equipped to strengthen NEPAD?
• What role do our military attaches play (early warning & intel?)
• Is DFA planning and building capacity to tackle the new emerging threats to Africa, viz climate change, energy security, water stress, migration?
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The impact of domestic politics on DFA
• Presidential succession• Institutional flux or continuity?• New Ministers and DG• Foreign Affairs priorities post 2009?• Role of Presidency and PCAS?• Relationship between Presidency, DFA and
parliament?
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Thank you