SPAN-3: Spatial Perspectives at Nuts-3 Level

Development scenarios and policy suggestionsfor Latin Countries and Latin Arc

Roberto Camagni - Politecnico di Milano

Alcalà de Henares, 9-10 June 2010

The project team

• Lead partner: Politecnico di Milano:– Project Coordinator: Prof. Roberto Camagni (Full Professor of Urban

Economics)– Project Manager: Antonio Affuso (Research Fellow) – Prof. Roberta Capello (Full Professor of Regional Economics) – Ugo Fratesi and Camilla Lenzi (Researchers) – Andrea Caragliu (PhD student)

• Subcontractor for Scenario building: Jacques ROBERT (Tersyn)

• Project Partner: Institut d'Estudis Regionals i Metropolitans de Barcelona (UAB):– Prof. Joan Trullén (Director - Tenure of Applied Economics and

Urban policy)– Prof. Rafael Boix (Coordinator - Senior Lecturer)– Vittorio Galletto (Technical Researcher and PhD student)– Daniel Sánchez (PhD Student and actually trainee at OECD)

Stakeholders

• Députaciò de Barcelona, leader;

• Provincia di Torino;

• Département de l’Hérault.

General Goals

• to show how the general ESPON approach to spatial analysis can be useful to local policy makers;

• to build new methodologies and tools which could provide support to policy makers for quantitative assessment and foresight;

• to develop interesting and stimulating partnership processes between scholars, local-regional policy makers and European functionaries in charge of EU regional policy.

The general structure of the project

Final Scenario on Barcelona and Policy Recommendations

(F)

First Scenario on Barcelona (D.2)

Territorial Qualitative Scenarios (A.2)

Structure and Performance of the Barcelona Area

(D.1)

New MASST Foresight (B)

Thematic and Integrated Qualitative Scenarios

(A.1)

MAN -3 Submodel (C)

Quali-Quantitative Scenarios on MED-ARCH

(E)

GDP growth rate in the Reference Scenarioat Nuts-3: 2006-25

Difference between Pro-active and Reference scenarios

Fine tuning on the Reference Scenario

Policy suggestions

• crucial support to the development of renewable energy sources and green technologies;

• increase the stock and the diffusion of knowledge;• support human capital by increasing the stock of

competences and knowledge through training;• increase retention of young people, especially in rural

areas;• support second rank cities and promote networks of

smaller cities and towns;• favour the development of complementarities and

partnerships between the European Mediterranean regions and countries of the southern and eastern parts of the Mediterranean Basin.

Competence poles

Knowledge platforms

Identity platforms

Infrastructure platforms Barcelona Orbital Rail

Highways of the sea Infrastructure integration of the Latin Arc

Added value of this Targeted Project

Added value of ESPON knowledge

• Expanding policy-makers’ view and perception beyond the limits of their region and considering similarities of issues and challenges among regions;

• Expanding local policy-makers’ view from past and present conditions to possible futures;

• Allowing a test of the capability of ESPON quantitative results (emerging from econometric analyses and simulations) of properly interpreting the realm of single regions and territories.

Added value of this Targeted Project

Dissemination of ESPON results to policy makers • Good research always received full and critical attention

from EU policy makers: this is our long term experience with ESPON.

• Also regional governments are increasingly showing interesting attention.

• A lower attention was devoted to ESPON projects by national policy makers (especially in the case of my country). This potential “market” should be pursued more strongly by ESPON management.

• Targeted analyses proved a right tool for attracting attention from regional and local policy-makers and civil servants.

Added value of this Targeted Project

Contributions to the Europe 2020 Strategy

• The new scenarios developed by the SPAN project proved in perfect line with the new strategy Europe 2020. In particular:

• Necessity to develop a new economic paradigm, namely the green technologies, which could provide new sources of aggregate demand, coming from both the private and the public side, and drive the economy towards a new environment friendly pathway;

• Necessity to develop fully the knowledge economy, with increasing attention to its spatial effects, namely the likely increase in disparities between large city-regions and the rest of countries. Efforts needed to support knowledge activities in second and third-rank cities;

• Industry was perhaps too rapidly dismissed or decentralized off-shore, with too little attention on possible negative outcomes on entire industrial filières, on downgrading of local competences and cognitive capital. A renewed manufacturing industry, innovation oriented, supported by lower increases in wages and by a more efficient territorial capital will allow a better equilibrium in job opportunities in the EU.

Many thanks for attention!

Roberto CamagniBEST – Department of Building, Environment, Science and TechnologyPolitecnico di MilanoPiazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - 20133 MILANOtel: +39 02 2399.2744  - 2745fax: +39 02 2399.2710roberto.camagni@polimi.itwww.economiaterritoriale.it