spectrum and technology trends

LTE MOBILE BROADBAND

Spectrum and technology trends

Sergey TereschukUlaanbaatarNovember 25 2015

Ericsson Confidential | 2015-11-25 | (35)

TECHNOLOGIES OVER TIME

LTE is the future mobile broadband: convergence of technologies providing both FDD and TDD access, while increasing the use of pico cells

GSM WCDMA HSPA

TD-SCDMA HSPA/TDD

LTEFDD and TDD - pico

IS-95 cdma2000 EV-DO

D-AMPSD-AMPS

PDCPDC

WiMAX

Ericsson Confidential | 2015-11-25 | (35)Source: Strategy Analytics

LTE

728MIncluding

support for WCDMA & GSM/EDGE

WCDMA

638MIncluding

support for GSM/EDGE

TD-SCDMA35M

GSM/EDGE

414M

Global handset shipment by technology, q2 2015


Source: WCIS

Lte uptake

+130% YoYgrowth

LTE SUBSCRIPTIONS August, 2015

840Million

China284M

US/Canada208M

Japan/Korea123M

Europe131M

Rest of World

94M


Broadband coverage & capacity- typical deployment by a European operator

Relative cell coverage area0.5 1.0

DD 800 MHz900 MHz

2,100 MHz

1,800 MHz

2,600 MHz

HSPA

LTE

FDD DL 5 MHzFDD DL 10 MHz

FDD DL 20 MHz

FDD DL 15 MHz

FDD DL 10 MHz

Radio link throughput proportional to

Coveragebands

Capacitybands

Relative cell coverage area0.5 1.0

700 / 800 MHz900 MHz

2,100 MHz

1,800 MHz

2,600 MHz

HSPA

LTE

HSPA

LTE

FDD DL 5 MHzFDD DL 10 MHz

FDD DL 20 MHz

FDD DL 15 MHz

FDD DL 10 MHz

Radio link throughput proportional to

Coveragebands

Capacitybands


Latin America

Base: 850 & 1900

New: APT700, AWS & 2600

2016+: AWS Ext, 2300 & 3500MEA

Base: 900 & 2100

New: CEPT800, 1800 & 2600

2016+: APT700 & 3500

APAC

Base: 850, 900, 1800 & 2100

New: APT700, 2300 & 2600

2016+: 3500

Europe

Base: CEPT800, 900, 1800, 2100 & 2600

New: APT700, 1400 (L-Band)

2016+: 2300, 3500 & 3700

North America

Base: US700, 850, 1900 & AWS

New: AWS Extension & 2600

2016+: 600 & 3500

spectrum for mobile broadband- Regional mainstream hspa & lte deployments

Opportunity for lte TDD in the 2300 & 2600 MHz bands – same FDD/TDD equipment


Fdd technologiesMainstream deployments

North AmericaWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32

2.1 1900 1800 AWS AWS-x 850 2.6 900 US700 US700 US700 800 APT700 1.4

LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32

2.1 1900 1800 AWS AWS-X 850 2.6 900 US700 US700 US700 800 APT700 1.4

Latin AmericaWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


EuropeWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


MEAWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


APACWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


ANZAWCDMA & HSPA

1 2 3 4 66 5 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32


LTE1 2/25 3 4 66 5/26/27 7 8 12/17 13 14 20 28 32



Tdd & DL-Only TDD technologiesMainstream deployments

Opportunity for lte TDD in the 2300 & 2600 MHz bands – same FDD/TDD equipment

Latin AmericaLTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700

EuropeLTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700

MEALTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700

APACLTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700

North AmericaLTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700

ANZALTE

37 38 39 40 42 44

PCS 2.6 China 2.3 3.5 APT700


90% of the world´s population will have a mobile phone by 2020

• 9.2 Billion mobile subscriptions by the end of 2020

• 85% of mobile subscriptions will be for mobile broadband by the end of 2020

Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, June 2015


9 times Mobile data Traffic by end of 2020

4.2 GB

1.9 GB

1.0 GB

Monthly consumption per device type

17.3 GB

8.4 GB

4.9 GB

2014 2020



Mobile broadband growthVideo growing 13x until 2020



Subscription outlook – growth in hspa and LTE

In 2020:› 9.2 billion mobile

subscriptions› 3.7 billion LTE

subscriptions › 3.8 billion

WCDMA/GSM subscriptions

› 5G will be commercially deployed


Evolve LTE for all use cases

Reduced Device Cost

Improved Coverage Improved Battery Life

150MBPS

300MBPS

450MBPS

600MBPS

1000MBPS

LTE Cat 1Power Saving

Mode(GSM and LTE)

LTE Cat 0 & HD-FDD

LTE Cat-MExtended

DRX(GSM & LTE)

LTE Lite (200kHz

Narrowband)

Extended Coverage (GSM & LTE)


422 LTE networks in 143 countries (88 LTE-A)- 755 million LTE subscriptions Q2-2015

Source: GSA – September 2015


3253 LTE user devices announced

Source: GSA, June 2015


iPhone 6 / 6 Plus GSM WCDMA LTE FDD LTE TDD TD‐SCDMA CDMA

A1549/A1522 - GSM 4 band 5 band 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 13 1718 19 20 25 26 28 29

A1559/A1522 -CDMA 4 band 5 band 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 13 17

18 19 20 25 26 28 29 4 band

A1586/A1524 4 band 5 band 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 13 1718 19 20 25 26 28 29 38 39 40 41 1900F 2000A 4 band

Quad band GSM: 850, 900,1800,1900Penta band WCDMA: 850,900,1700/2100,1900,2100Quad band cdma: 800 1700/2100 1900 2100

iPhone 6 / 6 Plus Global spectrum support

1234578

13171819202526282938394041

2100190018001700/21008502600900700 C700 B800800800DD1900800APT 700700 (SDL)2600190023002500

FDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDFDDTDDTDDTDDTDD


› 139 APT700 devices by 15 manufacturers are announced.

› 11 operators in Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Panama have started commercial service in the APT700 band.

› 14 countries, i.e. Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Germany, Fiji, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, Panama, Papua New Guinea, South Korea and Taiwan have licensed the APT700 band.

› To date, 42 countries have adopted the APT700 band.

› Excellent potential for global roaming.

› Momentum in ITU Region 1 for a combination of the lower duplexer of the APT700 band with the CEPT800 band, currently being deployed in Europe.

The APT700 band – adopted by 42 countries

The APT700 band brings significant economies of scale and capabilities to cost efficiently cover also rural areas


› Germany was first to auction the 700 MHz band now in June and France will follow later this year

› Sweden will license the band in Q4-2016

› UK and Finland has decided to license the band but not yet announced when

› Start of nationwide deployments varies from 2017 in Sweden to 2022 in the UK

› Co-ordination with terrestrial broadcasters also in neighboring countries is necessary to enable nation wide deployments

APT700 status in Europe current assumption


LTE900 – limited number of deployments so far

Note: 96 WCDMA/HSPA900 networks arecommercially launched in 60 countries

Source: GSA, June 2015


LTE1800 - 3GPP Band #3– the most popular band for LTE deployments

Source: Ericsson, GSA – June 2015

Unknown or other spectrum arrangementCommercial service in the 1800 MHz band

188 deployments in 90 countries, ~44% of all 423 LTE deployments WW


LAA 5 GHz

2600 FDD/TDD

2100

1800

900

800

Spectrum & technology evolution - example

GSM

HSPA

LTE

CARRIERAGGREGATION

Time


Carrier aggregation evolution – 3CCUp to 450Mbps!

›Telstra: Band 1800+2600+2600 (world’s first)

›Swisscom: Band 800+1800+2600

›Vodafone Portugal: Band800+1800+2600

›CAT9 chipset Interoperability testing with Qualcomm


3CC + 256QAM (20+20+20)

3CC (20+20+20)

2CC (20+20)

2CC (10+10)

1000MBPScat-16

600MBPScat-11

450MBPScat-9

300MBPScat-6

150MBPScat-4

Commercial devices

LTE Carrier Aggregation

2CC 4x4MIMO + 1CC 2x2MIMO(256QAM)

5CC (256QAM)

IN CARRIERAGGREGATION

Same baseband for TDD/FDD CA

35 commercial networks


› Ericsson & Telstra launch world’s first 600 Mbps commercial mobile service

– L16A on 785 nodes.

Ericsson leads LTE-A 256 QAM

› Ericsson and Swisscom achieve world’s first LTE-A demonstration of three carrier FDD / TDD aggregation with 256QAM in a live commercial network

› Ericsson demonstrates 3 x 20 MHz TDD carrier aggregation + 256 QAM with China Mobile to achieve 426 Mbps

Ericsson Confidential | 2015-11-25 | Page 32 (35)

Spectrum re-farmingGSM

HSPA

LTE

Step 1: Dual carrier HSPA

1800900 2100

2600800

Step 3: LTE coverage & capacity

2600

Step 4: LTE coverage & capacity

800700

Step 2: LTE 1800 & HSPA 900

900

900

1800

1800

1800

2100

2100

2100


The technology evolution

GSM HSPA LTE LTE-Advanced Future access systems

cdma Wi-Fi

Complementing

new RAT(s)

Advanced

applications

100 Mbps (peak) 1 Gbps (peak) Multi-gigabit

Now > 2015 >2022

WRC-07 WRC-15 WRC-19

1280-1720 MHz 1340-1960 MHz Multi-GHz


5G

1000xMobile Data

Volumes10x-100xConnected

Devices

5xLower Latency

10x-100xEnd-user Data

Rates

10xBattery Life for

Low Power Devices

Source: METIS

Evolution Towards 2020

4G3G2G


5g radio ACCESS

New radio-access

technology

Existing spectrum

Below 6 GHz

Interworking

New spectrum

Above 6 GHzNew spectrum below 6 GHz

Evolution of LTE

Backwards compatible

Overall 5G solution

1 GHz 3 GHz 10 GHz 30 GHz 100 GHz 1 GHz 3 GHz 10 GHz 30 GHz 100 GHz

Gradual migration


TIME

~30GHz

~10GHz

SPECTRUM

NXGSM

HSPA

LTE

5G

NXCARRIERAGGREGATION

Additional bands

Laying foundation for 5G

Commercial in confidence | © Ericsson AB 2015

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