@spswspsw.york department of social policy and social work does the cultural context really shape...

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@spsw spsw.yor k Department of Social Policy and Social Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University of York, UK Nam K. Jo SungKongHoe University, South Korea Antonia Keung University of York, UK Award ES/J00460X/1

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Page 1: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis

John Hudson University of York, UKNam K. Jo SungKongHoe University, South KoreaAntonia Keung University of York, UK

Award ES/J00460X/1

Page 2: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Background

‘Culture matters’ thesis

‘Macro’ perspective Broad conception, dominant beliefs, often post hoc explanations

‘Micro’ perspective Public opinion, specific issues, unstable

Advances in data, concepts and method

Page 3: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

In-Between Analysis

Jo (2011) culture as stable societal values More concrete than macro

More enduring than micro

Cultural context of social policy making Interplay of politics, economics, institutions and culture at meso-level

Not a decisive influence, but a significant one

Page 4: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Analytic Strategy

Extract examples of societal values:

Data from successive waves EVS/WVS data 1981-2009

173 societal cases • 59 countries x max 4 time points • 243,975 responses

Factor analysis of pooled data • manual inspection and reanalysis

End goal: identify stable and distinct examples of societal values

Built on work of Hofstede, Jo, Schwartz, van de Vijver et al

Page 5: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Societal values used in OLS & MLM regression models Models include OECD states only due to data limitations

Dependent Variables (Policy Decisions): Following Jo: public opinion data and spending data on contentious issues ‘Old social risks’: perceptions of poverty • unemployment spending Expand to ‘new social risks’: family policy spending • maternity leave policy Exploit new data sources (OECD Family Policy Structures Database)

Analytic Strategy

Page 6: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Additional Independent Variables (Policy Contexts): Economic context (GDP per capita, growth, unemployment) Political context (cabinet composition) Institutional context (welfare regime)

Five year averages (except values)

Stage I of analysis: fs/QCA to follow

Analytic Strategy

Page 7: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Societal Values

Societal Value Example Survey Item

Relgiosity God is important in my life

Conservative Social Norms Is divorce permissible?

Permissive Values on Adherence to Laws Justifiable to cheat on taxes?

Optimistic Values Satisfied with your life?

Traditional Family Values Is marriage an out-dated institution?

Interpersonal tolerance Would you not like heavy drinkers as your neigbours?

Political Activeness Do you participate in lawful demonstrations?

Political Orientedness Do you regularly discuss politics with friends?

Page 8: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Culture significantly improves models Religiosity + Political activeness -

Condition, but not status of economy Political impact puzzling? Regimes play clear role

Public Opinion: individuals and poverty

Page 9: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Culture significantly improves models Inter-personal tolerance + Political activeness - Political orientedness +

Condition and status of economy matter Regimes play muted role Political context not significant

Unemployment Spending: Share SOCX

Page 10: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Remarkably consistent Culture significantly improves models But significant societal values alter

Inter-personal tolerance still + Political activeness and political orientedness shift Permissive values on adherence to laws

Unemployment Spending: Share GDP

Page 11: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Culture improves models but not significantly Religiosity –

Regimes play muted role Political context not significant Status of economy matters Less strong support for culture matters thesis…

Family Spending: Share GDP

Page 12: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Culture improves models but not significantly for MLM Again religiosity - Conservative social norms +

Political and institutional contexts not significant Status and condition (unemp) of economy matters Less strong support for culture matters thesis…

Family Spending: Share SOCX

Page 13: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Societal values impact on politically charged normative debates Unemployment spending captures this well Family policy aggregates wide range of interventions e.g.:

Universal child benefits In-work income top-ups for families with children Income supplements for lone parent and large families Child care Maternity leave

Different normative debates for each Move away from focus on expenditure

Problems with Spending…

Page 14: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Considered maternity leave: replacement rate, length and FTE Replacement rate:

Culture improves model but not significantly so Modest support for culture matters thesis?

Length: Culture improves model significantly Largely the same for FTEs Strong support for culture matters thesis…

Family Policy Structures

Page 15: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Shown value of in-between concept of culture Facilitates empirical investigation of culture matters thesis

Tentative findings – refinements and fs/QCA to follow Limits to approach here:

Data driven • Examples of societal values • Weaknesses in models

Added support to culture matters thesis Interesting tentative findings worthy of further exploration

Conclusion

Page 16: @spswspsw.york Department of Social Policy and Social Work Does the Cultural Context Really Shape Welfare? A Comparative Analysis John Hudson University

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

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