state-building: the missing dimensions of stateness francis fukuyama johns hopkins university school...

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State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

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Page 1: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

State-Building:The Missing Dimensions of Stateness

Francis Fukuyama

Johns Hopkins University

School of Advanced International Studies

Page 2: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Functions of the State

Source: World Bank, World Development Report, 1997

Addressing market failure Improving equity

Minimal Functions Providing pure public goodsProtecting the poor

DefenseAntipoverty programs

Law and Order Disaster reliefProperty RightsMacroeconomic managementPublic Health

Intermediate FunctionsAddressing externalities:

Regulating monopoly:

Overcoming imperfect information:

Providing social insurance

Providing social insurance:

education utility regulation InsuranceRedistributive pensions

environmental protection anti-trust Financial regulationFamily allowances

Consumer protectionUnemployment insurance

Activist FunctionsCoordinating private activity: Redistribution:

Fostering marketsAsset redistribution

Cluster initiatives

Page 3: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

The Scope of State FunctionsM

inim

al F

un

ctio

ns

Inte

rmed

iate

Fu

nct

ion

s

Act

ivis

t F

un

ctio

ns

Pro

vidi

ng p

ure

publ

ic g

oods

D

efen

se, L

aw a

nd o

rder

P

rope

rty

righ

ts

Mac

roec

onom

ic m

anag

emen

t

Pub

lic h

ealth

Impr

ovin

g eq

uity

P

rote

ctin

g th

e po

or

X-axis

Add

ress

ing

exte

rnal

ities

E

duca

tion,

env

iron

men

tR

egul

atin

g M

onop

oly

Ove

rcom

ing

impe

rfec

t edu

catio

n

Insu

ranc

e, f

inan

cial

reg

ulat

ion

Soc

ial I

nsur

ance

Indu

stri

al p

olic

yW

ealth

red

istr

ibut

ion

Page 4: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Two Dimensions of Stateness

Scope of State Functions

Str

engt

h of

Sta

te I

nsti

tuti

ons

Page 5: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

State Capacity

Defen

se

Law a

nd Ord

er

Prope

rty R

ights

prot

ectin

g th

e po

or

Mac

roec

onom

ic m

anag

emen

t

Public

Hea

lth

educ

atio

n

finan

cial r

egulat

ion

redis

tribu

tive

pens

ions

envir

onm

enta

l pro

tect

ion

unem

ploym

ent i

nsura

nce

asse

t red

istrib

ution

Foste

ring

mar

kets

Cluste

r initia

tives

state function

cap

acit

y

Page 6: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Stateness and Efficiency

Scope of State Functions

Str

engt

h of

Sta

te I

nsti

tuti

ons

Quadrant I Quadrant II

Quadrant III Quadrant IV

Page 7: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

The Stateness Matrix

Scope of State Functions

Str

engt

h of

Sta

te I

nsti

tuti

ons

USSR

Japan

BrazilSierra Leone

United States

France

Turkey

Page 8: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Change over Time

Scope of State Functions

Str

engt

h of

Sta

te I

nsti

tuti

ons

USSR 1980

Japan 1980

Russia 2000

Japan 2001

New Zealand 1981

New Zealand 1995

Page 9: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Reform Paths

Scope of State Functions

Str

engt

h of

Sta

te I

nsti

tuti

ons

Path II

Path I

Path III

Path IV

Page 10: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Tax Extraction Rates v. Per Capita GDP

Page 11: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Components of Institutional Capacity

component discipline transferability

Organizational design and management

management; public administration; economics high

Institutional designpolitical science; economics; law medium

Basis of legitimation political science medium-lowSocial and cultural factors sociology; anthropology low

Page 12: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Weak States and the Black Hole of Public Administration

• Central issue of all organizational theory is delegated discretion

• Underlying issue in socialism debate (Hayek), corporate structure (Chandler), federalism

• Contemporary approach brings this under a principal-agent framework

Page 13: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Principal-Agent Theory

• Coase, theory of the firm 1937

• Alchian and Demsetz, firms as nexus of contracts 1972

• Williamson, opportunism and bounded rationality

• Jensen and Meckling, agency costs 1976

• Fama, markets for managers 1980

Page 14: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Domains of Organizational Uncertainty

• Ambiguity of goals

• Impossibility of erecting formal system of monitoring and incentives

• Inability to determine appropriate degree of delegation ex ante

Page 15: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Public Sector Outputs

Low Transaction volume High

Low

Sp

ecif

icit

y

Hig

h

Quadrant I Quadrant II

Quadrant III Quadrant IV

Page 16: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Monitorability of Public Sector Outputs

Low Transaction volume High

Low

Sp

ecif

icit

y

Hig

h

Central banking

Aircraft maintenance

Primary school teaching

Highway maintenance

Preventative medicine

Telecoms

Guidance counseling

Foreign affairs

Railroads

University education

Court systems

Page 17: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Consequences of Organizational Ambiguity

• Need to understand better where different public sector activities fall in the matrix– Seek to fix problems that are actually solvable

• New approaches to activities for which there are no “best practices”

• Need to teach development differently

Page 18: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

What follows if public administration is not a science?

• Need for metis (Scott)• Does not necessarily imply leaving local

institutions in place• Requires rather contextual judgment about

applicability of foreign models• Need to think about the structure of

decision-making rather than content of decisions

Page 19: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Applications

• Japan: MacArthur’s decision to keep the Emperor– versus the clean break in Germany

• Iraq: disbanding the Iraqi Army

• Iraq: tribalism in the Sunni triangle

Page 20: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Making Things Worse

• IFIs and donor community complicit in destruction of institutional capacity

• Contradiction between objectives of capacity-building and provision of services

• Need to rethink aims and emphasis of Phase II nation-building

Page 21: State-Building: The Missing Dimensions of Stateness Francis Fukuyama Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies

Implications for Democracy Promotion

• Need to rethink 1990s emphasis on civil society– Good theory but questionable allocation of

resources

• Need to deal first with problem of weak states– Party-building ahead of civil society promotion