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© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Summary for Policymakers Qin Dahe Thomas Stocker 259 Authors from 39 Countries

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Page 1: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Summary for Policymakers Qin Dahe

Thomas Stocker

259 Authors from 39 Countries

Page 2: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Key SPM Messages

19 Headlines on less than 2 Pages

2

2009: WGI Outline Approved

14 Chapters

Atlas of Regional Projections

54,677 Review Comments

by 1089 Experts

2010: 259 Authors Selected

Summary for Policymakers

~14,000 Words

Page 3: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer

at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850.

In the Northern Hemisphere, 1983–2012 was likely the warmest

30-year period of the last 1400 years (medium confidence).

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.1

a)

Page 4: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Warming in the climate system is unequivocal

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.1

b)

Page 5: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Human influence on the

climate system is clear

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.6

)

Page 6: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Global surface temperature change for the end

of the 21st century is likely to exceed 1.5°C

relative to 1850 for all scenarios

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.7

a)

Page 7: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Global mean sea level will continue to

rise during the 21st century

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.9

)

Page 8: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

Limiting climate change will require substantial and

sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions

(IP

CC

20

13

, F

ig.

SP

M.1

0)

Page 9: Summary for Policymakers - Climate Change 2013 · 2013. 9. 30. · 050 200 1980 189 500 2050 -S 2100 1000 RCP2.6 Rcp4.5 RCP6.O RCP8.5 1500 2100 Historical RCP range 1 C02 1%/yr C02

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

www.climatechange2013.org Further Information