takeovers 6th set of transparencies for tocf. 2 gains: target shareholders 30% acquiring co 0 %...
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TAKEOVERS
6th set of transparencies for ToCF
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Gains: target shareholders 30% acquiring co 0 % (hubris? free riding?...) other constituencies?
(workers, consumers,...)
Market for corporate control
US merger mania in 80’s.
Europe: 2000 hostile takeover of Mannesmann.
2001: Germany opposes EU proposed directive to stop managements from
using poison pills.
Response to failure of internal control (“if current management fails to maximize
investor value, takeover will replace management”)?
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– greenmail (targeted repurchases
raider stock price falls)– poison pills– restrictions on inalienability of stocks
(need approval of board)
– staggered boards– supermajority amendments– fair-price amendments– dual class votes– threat of litigation
Golden parachutes Takeover defenses:
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PURE THEORY OF TAKEOVERSI.
Future appearance of unknown raider who values firm more
otherwise: option(Verizon/Genuity, DB)
Reasons for takeovers:
Raider appears
takeover
No takeover value v to investors incumbent gets w
Example
Possibly: investments by entrepreneur raider
Initial investment,borrowsI-A
good idea, better fit,...,
synergy with other firm,
private benefit from control.
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EXTRACTING RAIDER SURPLUS:
TAKEOVER DEFENSES AS MONOPOLY PRICING
In tradition of Diamond - Maskin 1979
Aghion - Bolton 1987
Raider not credit constrained
known, but density
Point: future buyers not at the table initially
{initial investors, entrepreneur} pair has monopoly power over
sale.
Assumptions can pay
A large entrepreneur not credit constrained
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Suppose can commit to sale price P
can commit to cutoff
or
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But “can’t commit” : see later.
INCENTIVE TO PREPARE RAID
Cost c of acquiring information: For cutoff
INCUMBENT ENTREPRENEUR CREDIT CONSTRAINED
where
may lead to reduction in
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If (1) satisfied for no change.
Otherwise ( A small )
(a)
(b)
NPV-pledgeable income tradeoff once again
shadow price of (1)
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Observation: package sale not optimal, partial sale = metering device.
UNKNOWN VALUE ENHANCEMENT
( with measurable ex post)
Example:
no credit constraint.
and independent.
Thought experiment: known:
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keep 50% of shares,
charge P for block,
unknown:
purchases iff
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POSITIVE THEORYII.
Looks at common institutions likelihood of takeover.
Suppose • single bidder
• tender offer restricted or not (# of shares)
conditional or not (on majority stake).
Suppose • equal voting rights
• needs fraction to take control (to deliver and ).
Def: INVESTOR VALUE ENHANCING RAIDER:
INVESTOR VALUE DECREASING RAIDER:
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VALUE ENHANCING RAIDER: (Grossman-Hart 1980)
Continuum of shareholders.
Unrestricted, unconditional offer
probability of success
suppose then better off holding on to share:
(in the absence of private benefit from control: ).
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raidersurplus
Dilution : can dilute fraction of gains made by shareholders who have not tendered – if gains control
positive
If private benefit from control
Toehold:
if
and
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TAKEOVER DEFENSES
Assuming (otherwise no takeover)
Example: flip-over plan (holders of shares are allowed to purchase new nonvoting shares at substantial discount after a hostile takeover)
shares kept (50%) worth
shares acquired (50%) worth
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PIVOTAL TENDERING(Bagnoli-Lipman 1988, Holmström-Nalebuff 1992, Gromb 1995)
(a) CONDITIONAL OFFER (+ UNRESTRICTED)
(b) NO CONDITIONAL OFFER
n shares, cash flow right 1/n.
P = raider gets (entire surplus)
1 share / shareholder
Wlog: raider does not bid for B-shares (“no trade”).
A-shares: mixed strategy equilibrium (others, e.g., “k tender; others don’t”)
Shareholder i = m-i shares tendered by others.
Also A-shareholders get each.
a n have voting right k a needed for control
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Expected value enhancement on voting shares:
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For a large, can show (GH)
Intuition
Want one share-all votes!
very unlikely
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divide each share into N shares ( aN voting shares, kN needed for
majority )
# of shares tendereda
tenders for sure don’t tenderrandomizes on only one share
0 N
Multiple shares / shareholders:
a shareholders support of distribution at most a. If bounded away from 1, then can make sure takeover succeeds by tendering a more shares
extra profit on inframarginal shares.
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Discussion
Noise is here endogenous (mixed strategy). Introduction of exogenous noise (e.g., Segal 1999: pr (a shareholder cannot respond to offer) = ) resurrects Grossman and Hart's free-riding result. Each shareholder is too unlikely to be pivotal.
Segal's other argument: even if shareholder turns out to be pivotal, discontinuity posited by model overpredicts impact: intensity of monitoring, shareholders' payoff under managerial authority, etc. move more continuously. Furthermore, share acquisition may occur over time.
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VALUE DECREASING RAIDER
DS to tender
coordination problem
Coordination or unanimity rule will do.But does not capture
Suppose A shares
B shares (no interest to raiders).
ONE-SHARE-ONE VOTE
Would like raider to buy as many shares as possible: