task 5.1 climate... · web viewdecide what you want to use the toolbox for (e.g. to learn about...

Step 1: Getting StartedTask 1.1

Decide what you want to use the Toolbox for (e.g. to learn about climate change, to access information or resources, or to adapt to climate change).

Task 1.2

Decide what you want to achieve (e.g. to understand how climate change affects you, to know your risk, to make decisions that are resilient to climate change, to integrate adaptation into your business/organisation).

Task 1.3

Identify people you want to work with including family, neighbours, businesses, organisations, industry groups, community groups and/or councils.

Step 1 checklistAt the end of step 1 you should:

know what climate change adaptation is and reasons to adapt

know what you would like to use the toolbox for.

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TOOLBOXhttps://niwa.co.nz/climate/information-and-resources/climate-change-adaptation-toolbox

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https://niwa.co.nz/climate/information-and-resources/climate-change-adaptation-toolbox

Step 2: How resilient am I to climate?Task 2.1

Write down how you currently manage risk and your attitude towards risk.

Task 2.2

Summarise information that you have on your local climate, weather, environment, or any related information. Businesses, organisations, your local council, friends and family may be able to help. Use Table 2.2 below to record how climate and weather affect you and your business/organisation.

Describe your current climate…

Describe past weather events…


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What happened?

Threats…

Opportunities…

Consequences…

Actions…

What critical thresholds were exceeded?

Where do I get my information from? What are its limits? What further information do I need? How confident am I in the information source (e.g. website, newspaper, app)?


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Table 2.2

Use the following table to record how climate and weather affect you and your business/ organisation.

Current climate and weather for:

Climate Impact Consequences Opportunities Actions Thresholds Info source

Average rainfall

Average temperature- winter

Average temperature- summer

Prevailing wind

Dry times

Wet times

Other


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Extreme Weather Event

Event Impact Consequences Opportunities Actions Thresholds Info source

Extreme temperature

Rain/Snow

Wind

Other

Step 2 checklist

At the end of Step 2 you should:

know how you manage risk and your attitude to risk

know how climate and weather extremes affect your land/organisation/ business, what the consequences are, and what actions you have taken

have identified any critical thresholds where the effects or impacts of climate and weather had a significant impact once exceeded

know what further information you need and whether there are any limits to your work

have a record of your answers.


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Step 3: How will climate change affect me?Task 3.1

Find out the expected changes in New Zealand’s climate over the 21st Century, and specifically for your area. You can use your responses to fill Steps 1 and 2 and Table 3.1.

Step 1: List key climate change factors.Step 2: Find out how climate variables are likely to change.

Table 3.1

Climate change effect

Task 3.1

Expected change in climate

A) e.g. drier summers

B) C) D) E)

Weather event affected

e.g. limited rainfall, drought

Future change (more, less, no change)

Impacts on your business/

Task 3.2

Elements affected

e.g. waterways, crops


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Task 3.2: Identify potential climate impacts by filling in Steps 3 to 5 and completing Table 3.1.Step 3: Identify what in your business/organisation could be affected (incl. the length of duration/season).Step 4: Identify positive and negative impacts. If possible, identify any costs, savings or income.


organis-ation

Time- scale

Impacts e.g. crop die-off, waterways dry up

End result/ consequence

Opportunities (business, management)

Risk Task 3.3

Likelihood e.g. Likely

Consequence

(Impact size)

e.g. Moderate

Task 3.5

Risk e.g. High

Table 3.4:

Risks Current risk management Rank of importance


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Task 3.4In Table 3.4 below list both climate risks (from Tasks 3.1- 3.3 above) and non-climate risks affecting your business/organisation – add rows to the table if you need to.

Task 3.5:Prioritise the most significant weather and climate risks from the tables in Tasks 3.3 and 3.4 (using the column in Table 3.4 for ranking them by importance).

You can highlight high and


Step 3 checklistAt the end of step 3 you should have:

an understanding of how New Zealand's climate is expected to change

identified key climate impacts in your area and to your business/organisation

understood your climate risk, and its importance in relation to other risks

identified priority risks that require action

an awareness of uncertainties associated with the information you are using

Step 4: What should I do?


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Task 3.4In Table 3.4 below list both climate risks (from Tasks 3.1- 3.3 above) and non-climate risks affecting your business/organisation – add rows to the table if you need to.

Task 3.5:Prioritise the most significant weather and climate risks from the tables in Tasks 3.3 and 3.4 (using the column in Table 3.4 for ranking them by importance).

You can highlight high and

Task 4.1

Revisit your results from step 3 and ask yourself the following questions:

1. What is your attitude towards the level of risk that you face?

2. Which risks are important to manage, to either minimise costs or maximise benefits?

3. What is your financial



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Task 4.2

Write down when and why you need to act (or not act) and prioritise your actions.

You may want to consider:

any current weather or climate related issues you are facing

how soon (or how likely) you expect climate risks to exceed any critical thresholds

how long it will take to plan and implement solutions - consider pathways for adapting over time

reducing risk by modifying regular maintenance to take climate change into account

incorporating climate considerations into long lived decisions, such as business remodelling.

Task 4.1

Revisit your results from step 3 and ask yourself the following questions:

1. What is your attitude towards the level of risk that you face?

2. Which risks are important to manage, to either minimise costs or maximise benefits?

3. What is your financial


Table 4.3:

Adaptation options (Task 4.3)

Classification (Task 4.4)

Cost of acting (Task 4.5)

Avoided impacts (Task 4.5)

Priority for implementation plan? (Task 4.6)

1.


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Task 4.2

Write down when and why you need to act (or not act) and prioritise your actions.

You may want to consider:

any current weather or climate related issues you are facing

how soon (or how likely) you expect climate risks to exceed any critical thresholds

how long it will take to plan and implement solutions - consider pathways for adapting over time

reducing risk by modifying regular maintenance to take climate change into account

incorporating climate considerations into long lived decisions, such as business remodelling.

Task 4.3

Compile a full list of possible ways you could adapt to the climate change risks you identified in Step 3. Try working with others in your area or industry to identify as many options as possible. Use Table 4.3 to record your answers and add in more rows as needed.

There are many ways you can incorporate adaptation into your business or organisation, such as:

reviewing your regular business/organisation plan and practices

creating contingency plans for storms, droughts, floods etc.

incorporating actions into your financial and growth plans

undertaking training yourself or for your employees

exploiting new opportunities

offsetting losses by sharing or spreading the risk

avoiding or reducing exposure to climate risks

Task 4.4

Classify your list of options as no-regrets, low-regrets, win-win, adaptive management, delay, or do nothing. See the definitions in the toolbox text under this step. Some options may not fall into these categories. Continue to use Table 4.3 for your responses.

Task 4.5

Compare the costs of acting with the impacts you avoid (or the income you might realise) to estimate the benefits of acting. Think about the level of adaptation you want, as well as the potential for under- or over-adapting. Add these to Table 4.3.

Task 4.6

Consider which of your adaptation options are a priority for you currently based on weighing the level of risk, as well as the cost of acting vs. the avoided impacts. Note the priority level for each action Table 4.3.

It is best to prioritise actions that are high risk and have significant avoided impacts, while also having an affordable cost of acting.


2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

Implementation Plan template:

Priority Action(s)

Steps to achieve this

Key stakeholders involved

Timeframe Budget Additional information required

Other/ notes

1.

1.1

1.2

1.3

2.

Step 4 checklist


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Task 4.3

Compile a full list of possible ways you could adapt to the climate change risks you identified in Step 3. Try working with others in your area or industry to identify as many options as possible. Use Table 4.3 to record your answers and add in more rows as needed.

There are many ways you can incorporate adaptation into your business or organisation, such as:

reviewing your regular business/organisation plan and practices

creating contingency plans for storms, droughts, floods etc.

incorporating actions into your financial and growth plans

undertaking training yourself or for your employees

exploiting new opportunities

offsetting losses by sharing or spreading the risk

avoiding or reducing exposure to climate risks

Task 4.7

Use your responses from Table 4.3 and the rest of the taskpad to develop your climate change adaptation implementation plan for your priority actions. A template for an implementation plan is provided below, but feel free to revise it to fit your needs.

Include ways to integrate climate adaptation into your business-as-usual activities now or over the next 12 months i.e. business/organisation planning, scheduling, maintenance, financial


At the end of step 4 you should have:

Decided what you want to do, based on the information you have Determined the level of adaptation you want and the timeframe for actions Identified possible adaptation measures, costed these (if possible) and selected

priority climate risks Your responses should set out:

actions you can take now to adapt to climate change longer-term actions to ensure you are resilient to climate change possible barriers to action and how to overcome them how you are going implement your actions and the resources needed.


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Step 5: Long-term planning and monitoring

Step 5 checklistAt the end of step 5 you should have:

developed an effective monitoring and evaluation programme

gone back through steps 1 to 4 of the Toolbox and updated any previous responses based on your monitoring and evaluation plan, and new information you have collected.

Congratulations, you have completed the New Zealand Climate Change Adaptation

Toolbox!


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Task 5.1

Analyse your key climate risks and uncertainties in detail and get expert help, if needed. Ask yourself the following questions:

Where are the key uncertainties in the work you have done? Consider the:

effects of climate change in your area

impacts on your production system

ways to manage the impacts

costs and benefits priorities thresholds or

residual risk.

Task 5.2

Develop an effective monitoring and evaluation programme or include within the existing measurement systems you have.

A monitoring programme should:

Task 5.3

Alter your previous responses based on your monitoring and evaluation plan, and new information you have collected.


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