technology and agriculture

22
Sohail Ilyas University of Agriculture Faisalabad Pakistan [email protected]

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Page 1: Technology and agriculture

Sohail Ilyas

University of Agriculture

Faisalabad Pakistan

[email protected]

Page 2: Technology and agriculture

Technology and

Agriculture

Economic Impacts of

Advancing Technology

Page 3: Technology and agriculture

How does technological innovation

impact agriculture?

Major Technological Advancements in Agriculture

Mechanization

Chemical Fertilizers

Hybridization

Biotechnology

Page 4: Technology and agriculture

Technology Impacts the Supply of Agricultural Products

Supply Shifters

Prices of Related Goods

Corn – Soybeans

Cattle -- Leather

Price of Inputs

Technology – Allows a farmer to produce more with a given level of inputs

How does technological innovation

impact agriculture?

Page 5: Technology and agriculture

How does technological innovation

impact agriculture?

What Does that Supply Shift Look Like?

Supply

Price

Quantity

Supply1

Original Price

Q Q1

Page 6: Technology and agriculture

Supply and Demand Elasticities

Demand Elasticity for Agricultural Products

Inelastic Demand, Why?

What does that mean for the producer?Demand for Food (Necessity)

Inelastic

Price

Quantity

Demand for Luxury Automobiles

Elastic

Page 7: Technology and agriculture

Supply and Demand Elasticities

Supply Elasticity for Agricultural Products

Short Run

Intermediate Run

Long Run

Supply - Short Run

Price

Quantity

Supply - Intermediate Run

Supply - Long Run

Page 8: Technology and agriculture

New Technologies in the Livestock

Industry

Artificial Insemination

Sexed Semen

The ability to choose the sex of the offspring

Why Beef Cattle?

Why Dairy Cattle?

Page 9: Technology and agriculture

New Technologies in the Livestock

Industry

Cloning

The ability to make an exact duplicate animal

with the same genetic makeup

DollyDolly?

Page 10: Technology and agriculture

The Case for Beef Cattle

Supply of Beef

Demand for Beef

Price of Beef

Quantity of Beef

Supply1 of Beef

Original Price

New Price

Page 11: Technology and agriculture

What about the market for Steers?

Supply of Steers

Demand for Steers

Price Steers

Quantity Steers

New Supply of Steers

Page 12: Technology and agriculture

Nutrient Requirements for Heifers and Steers

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

550 1200Th

ou

san

ds

of

MC

ala

rie

s r

eq

uir

ed

to

re

ach

liv

e w

eig

ht

Steers Heifers

Page 13: Technology and agriculture

And the market for Heifers?

Supply of Heifers

Demand for Heifers

Price of Heifers

Quantity

New Supply of Heifers

Page 14: Technology and agriculture

Price Differential Between Steer and Heifer Calves

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

74 80 86 92

Year

$ p

er

cw

t.

Heifers Steers

Page 15: Technology and agriculture

Price

Quantity

The Technological Treadmill Theory

Supply

Demand

How does technology affect

the total revenue of the farmer

over time?

Page 16: Technology and agriculture

The Technological Treadmill Theory

Supply

Demand

Price

Quantity

When supply increases from the

technological change, what

happens to Total Revenue?

Total Revenue = Price * Quantity

P

Q

TR

Page 17: Technology and agriculture

The Technological Treadmill Theory

Supply

Demand

Price

Quantity

S 1

Supply has increased and Total Revenue

changes from the tan box to the blue

box.

New Total Revenue = Price1 * Quantity1

P

P1

Q

Q1

TR1

Page 18: Technology and agriculture

The Technological Treadmill Theory

Supply

Demand

Price

Quantity

S 1

The red shaded region is a loss in

total revenue and the green shaded

region is the gain.

Since the loss is larger than the gain

Total Revenue has gone down.

P

P1

Q

Q1

Loss

G

A

I

N

Page 19: Technology and agriculture

The Technological Treadmill Theory

Supply

Demand

Price

Quantity

S 1

Why does this happen?

Inelastic demand of agricultural

commodities.P

P1

Q

Q1

Loss

G

A

I

N

Page 20: Technology and agriculture

Emerging Technologies in Production

Agriculture Over the Last Decade

First Generation Technologies

Biotechnologies that have made it to market

Flavr SavrTM Tomatoes in 1994

Bt Cotton

Roundup Ready Soybeans

Second Generation Technologies

Page 21: Technology and agriculture

Biotechnology and the Agricultural

Marketing System

How is the marketing system going to handle

new products that used to be just commodities?

Commodity Value Added Product

Page 22: Technology and agriculture

Other Potential Impacts From

Biotechnology in Agriculture

This impact on the marketing system could

create opportunities for other products as well.

Non-Traditional Crops

Organic Crops

Heritage Crops and Livestock