teekay’s q3 2018 earnings presentation€¦ · q3-18 total cfvo(1) of $27.8 million, compared to...
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TEEKAY’S Q3-2018 EARNINGS PRESENTATIONNovember 15, 2018
Forward Looking Statements
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) which reflect
management’s current views with respect to certain future events and performance, including statements, among other things, regarding: the effect
of Teekay Tankers' financing transactions on its liquidity and debt maturity profile; the impact of contract extensions on future cash flows; the timing
and certainty of the Company’s sale of its ownership interest in Sevan, and the expected income/gain from the sale; the anticipated benefit to the
Company’s future financial results and balance sheet from the delivery of the remaining LNG projects and newbuildings over the next few years; the
timing and cost of delivery and start-up of various newbuildings and other projects and the commencement of related contracts; the effects of future
newbuilding deliveries on Teekay LNG’s future cash flows; Teekay LNG’s proposed election to be classified as a corporation, instead of a
partnership, for U.S. federal income tax purposes, and the effects of any such change; Teekay LNG’s guidance as to 2019 cash distributions, and
the expected benefits of Teekay LNG’s capital allocation strategy, including its ability to consider additional return of capital to its unitholders in the
future; Teekay LNG’s ability to benefit from future LNG fundamentals; the completion and impact of Teekay Offshore’s newbuilding orders on its
position in the North Sea CoA shuttle tanker market, and customer demand in that market; the timing and amount of future settlement payments
from Petrobras, including the impact on revenue for the fourth quarter of 2018 and of any Offset Amounts; the estimated effect of the rate reduction
relating to the Piranema Spirit FPSO; the timing and certainty of the effectiveness of the agreement with Alpha to develop the Cheviot field, including
satisfaction by Alpha of the various conditions precedent to its effectiveness; the expected requirements of ALP Maritime to service fuel consumption
and emissions for the shuttle tanker newbuildings; the ability of the Teekay Group to benefit from a broader energy and tanker market recovery; the
potential upside from charter arrangements that include a variable rate component; Teekay Tankers potential free cash flow upside from higher
tanker rates; and Teekay Parent’s future FPSO cash flow from vessel operations. The following factors are among those that could cause actual
results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties, and that should be considered in evaluating
any such statement: changes in exploration, production and storage of offshore oil and gas, either generally or in particular regions that would
impact expected future growth, particularly in or related to North Sea, Brazil and East Coast of Canada offshore fields; changes in the demand for
oil, refined products, LNG or LPG; changes in trading patterns significantly affecting overall vessel tonnage requirements; greater or less than
anticipated levels of vessel newbuilding orders and deliveries and greater or less than anticipated rates of vessel scrapping; changes in global oil
prices; issues with vessel operations; variations in expected levels of field maintenance; increased operating expenses; potential project delays or
cancellations; newbuilding or conversion specification changes, cost overruns, or shipyard disputes; changes in applicable industry laws and
regulations and the timing of implementation of new laws and regulations; the effects of IMO 2020; the potential for early termination of long-term
contracts of existing vessels; delays in the commencement of charter or other contracts; the ability to fund remaining capital commitments and debt
maturities; the Daughter Entities’ ability to secure or draw on financings; the result of potential rechartering discussions and negotiations; the
outcome of the unitholder vote at the special meeting to approve changes to the tax classification of Teekay LNG and related amendments to
Teekay LNG’s partnership agreement, and the actual effect of any such changes on Teekay LNG and its unitholders; actual levels of quarterly
distributions approved by Teekay LNG's general partner; the ability of Alpha to satisfy all of the conditions precedent relating to the contract between
Teekay Offshore and Alpha; failure to complete the sale of shares in Sevan; and other factors discussed in Teekay’s filings from time to time with the
SEC, including its Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2017. Teekay expressly disclaims any obligation or
undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Teekay’s
expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
33
Q3-18 Results
Teekay Corporation Consolidated
• Q3-18 consolidated total CFVO(1) of $196.4 million, compared to $164.2 million in Q2-18
• Q3-18 consolidated adjusted net loss(1)
of $11.4 million, or $0.11 per share, compared to adjusted net loss of $21.6 million, or $0.21 per share, in Q2-18
Teekay Parent
• Q3-18 adjusted CFVO (1) of $19.8 million, compared to $16.6 million in Q2-18
○ Increase driven by higher cash flows from
oil price-linked production tariffs on the
Banff and Hummingbird Spirit FPSOs
(1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see Teekay
Corporation’s Q3-18 release for definitions and reconciliations to the
comparable GAAP measures.
Project 2H-18 2019
MEGI LNG Carriers (100%)
Shell (ex. BG) LNG Carrier (20%)
Yamal LNG
ARC 7 Carriers (50%)
Bahrain Regas Terminal (30%)
and FSU (100%)
Teekay LNG Partners (“TGP”)
4
Existing Growth ProjectsRecent Highlights
• Q3-18 total CFVO(1) of $132.6 million and
adjusted net income(1) of $19.5 million, or $0.16
per common unit, up 15%, 44% and 78% from
Q2-18, respectively.
• Since June 2018, took delivery of three LNG
carrier newbuildings and a floating storage unit,
all on long-term charters
• Spot LNG shipping rates hitting multi-year highs
• Stronger market and early delivery of six LNG
newbuildings expected to result in higher CFVO
• Announced balanced capital allocation strategy
o Intention to increase 2019 distributions by 36%
o Allows TGP to delever balance sheet and better position
to return additional capital to unitholders and fund
attractive growth in the future
• Intend to amend tax structure to be treated as a
corporation instead of a partnership
o If approved by common unitholders, common and
preferred unit investors will receive 1099s (instead of
K-1s) starting in FY2019
Charter contract
Annual CFVO(2) attributable to TGP is expected to grow by
~$150 million per annum(3) with delivery of growth projects,
which is expected to naturally de-lever balance sheet
20-year FSU and terminal contracts
20-year contracts, plus extension options
Charter contracts through to 2045, plus
extension options
1 vessel with 8-year contract with Shell , 1
vessel with 13-year contract with BP, and 1
vessel with 15-year contract with Yamal LNG
(1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see Teekay LNG’s Q3-18 earnings release for definitions and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures.
(2) Management did not prepare a reconciliation to the comparable GAAP measure because information to provide such a forward-looking estimate is not available
without unreasonable effort.
(3) Annualized incremental CFVO as of October 1, 2018, based on management estimates and assuming full delivery of vessels / growth projects.
2018 2019 20204.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
Delevering While Returning Capital to Unitholders
• As TGP approaches its target leverage range, it enhances its capacity to:
o Return additional capital to unitholders – distribution increases and/or unit buybacks
o Disciplined, attractive growth
Building equity value inside TGP will benefit Teekay Parent through its LP
and GP interest longer-term
5
Target Leverage
of 5.5x
Ne
t D
eb
t / C
FV
O
Note: This slide is based on management estimates
Consolidated (GAAP)Proportionate Consolidated
Teekay Tankers (“TNK”)
6
• Q3-18 total CFVO(1) of $27.8 million,
compared to $16.6 million in Q2-18
• Q3-18 adjusted net loss(1) of $18.0 million, or
$0.07 per share, compared to $28.7 million,
or $0.11 per share, in Q2-18
• Crude spot tanker rates strengthened
counter-seasonally in Q3-2018 and have
continued to increase in Q4-2018 to-date:
o Suezmax – 59% booked at $19,000/day
o Aframax – 54% booked at $19,900/day
o LR2 Tankers – 42% booked at $17,000/day
• Completed three previously-announced
financings amounting to approximately $100
million in additional liquidity$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000
FC
F1
Pe
r S
ha
re
Average Mid-Sized TCE6
FCF2 Per Share Spot Rate Sensitivity3
(1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see Teekay Tankers’ Q3-18 earnings release for definitions and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures.
(2) Free cash flow (FCF) represents net income, plus depreciation and amortization, unrealized losses from derivatives, non-cash items, FCF from equity accounted investments and any
write-offs or other non-recurring items, less unrealized gains from derivatives and other non-cash items. Please refer to the Teekay Tankers Earnings Releases for reconciliation to most
directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
(3) For 12 months ending Q3-19
(4) Based on 90% of Clarksons global average Aframax and Suezmax spot rates on November 9, 2018
(5) Based on weighted average number of forecast Suezmax and Aframax / LR2 spot market ship days for 12 months ending Q3-19
(6) Combined average Q4-18 spot TCE rate booked-to-date including RSA, non-pool voyage and FSL voyages
Q3-185
Q4-18 to-date5,6
Current Spot Rates4,5
Teekay Offshore Partners (“TOO”)
7
Existing Growth ProjectsRecent Highlights
• Q3-18 total CFVO(1) of $167.3
million and adjusted net income of
$7 million, compared to $162.2
million and an adjusted net loss of
$0.7 million in Q2-18
• Refinanced 2019 bond maturities
and 2022 promissory note with $700
million private placement of 8.5%
senior unsecured notes maturing in
2023
• Reached positive settlement
agreement with Petrobras for a total
of $96 million
• Entered into a conditional 7-year
charter agreement with Alpha
Petroleum for the Varg FPSO for
their development of the Cheviot oil
field(2)
Project 2018 2019 2020 2021
North Sea Shuttle
Tankers
(1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. Please see Teekay Offshore’s Q3-18 earnings release for definitions and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP
measures.
(2) Subject to completion of various conditions precedent.
Secured on charter contracts
Teekay Parent FPSOs Benefiting from Stronger Oil Prices
8
Discussing contract extensions for all 3 units
Banff Hummingbird Spirit Foinaven
Operating under Evergreen contract
with firm charter contract out to August
2019
Firm charter contract out to September
2020
Operating under Evergreen contract.
Fixed-rate, plus tariffs linked to oil
production and oil price
OPEX covered, plus tariffs linked to oil
production and oil price
Current contract includes production
and oil price tariff
-$5
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18E Q4 '18E Q4 '18N
CFVO for 3 FPSOs Foinaven annual production bonus
FPSO contracts provide upside
exposure to oil prices
$60 Brent
$80 Brent
Estimated CFVO
range assuming
full production of
40,000 bbls/d
Quart
erly C
FV
Oin
$ m
illio
ns
(1)
(1) N = normalized for Q4-18 run-rate production excluding the impact of the Q4-18 shutdowns.
(2) As a result of the adoption of the new revenue accounting standard in Q1-18, $2 million of additional annual incentive revenue relating to the Foinaven FPSO
has been recognized in Q1-18, Q2-18, and Q3-18, which was historically recognized in the fourth quarter of each year.
Steady Progress Towards Greater Value Creation
9
Improving
Macro
Financial
Strength
Cash flow
growth
Key Drivers TGP TNK TOO TKC
LNG trade
increasing; hitting
multi-year high LNG
carrier spot rates
2018/19 financings
virtually complete;
delevering on the
back of project
deliveries and
balanced capital
allocation strategy
Total CFVO up 24%
(Q3-18 vs. Q3-17)
with more to come
as projects deliver
through 2019
Favourable
supply/demand
fundamentals; hitting
multi-year high
tanker spot rates
Completed
numerous financings
and continue to
focus on increasing
liquidity and
extending debt
maturity profile
Total CFVO up 35%
(Q3-18 vs. Q3-17)
as a result of higher
spot tanker rates and
Q4-18 rates higher
Increasing offshore
activity
Refinanced 2019
bond maturities;
naturally delevering
as growth projects
are fully reflected in
cash flows
Total CFVO up 35%
(Q3-18 vs. Q3-17)
as a result of project
deliveries
Global oil & gas
demand growing
driving need for oil
and gas shipping
Completed bond
buybacks; delevering
further with sale of
interest in Sevan
Marine and sale of
FPSOs over time
Teekay Parent
adjusted CFVO up
$19 million
(Q3-18 vs. Q3-17)
as a result of
stronger FPSO
results
Appendix
10
Consolidated Adjusted Net Loss ComparisonQ3-18 vs. Q2-18
11(1) Amounts are after adjusting Q3-18 and Q2-18 for items included in Appendix A to our Third Quarter 2018 Results Earnings Release and realized gains and losses on derivatives (see
slide 13 to this presentation for the Consolidated Adjusted Statement of Net Loss Reconciliation for Q3-18 and Q2-18)
(Thousands of U.S. Dollars except
per share amounts)
Q3-2018
(unaudited)(1)
Q2-2018
(unaudited)(1) Comments
Revenues 416,443 403,921
Voyage expenses (90,899) (94,912)
Net revenues 325,544 309,009
Teekay Parent - $6m increase primarily from the Banff FPSO from higher oil price linked tariff
revenues in Q3-18
Teekay LNG - $3m increase primarily due to vessel deliveries in Q2-18 and Q3-18 and less off-
hire days for scheduled drydockings. These increases w ere partially offset by low er rates
earned on certain vessels trading in the spot market.
Teekay Tankers - $8m increase primarily due to higher spot rates in Q3-18 compared to Q2-18
Vessel operating expenses (157,463) (161,755)
Teekay LNG - $6m decrease due to additional repairs and spares purchased on multi-gas
carriers in Q2-18
Time-charter hire expenses (20,965) (20,648)
Depreciation and amortization (69,967) (67,960) Teekay LNG - $2m increase due to vessels deliveries in Q2-18 and Q3-18
General and administrative expenses (19,050) (23,720) Teekay LNG - $3m decrease due to low er professional fees in Q3-18
Income from vessel operations 58,099 34,926
Interest expense (71,266) (65,373) Teekay LNG - $8m increase primarily due to vessel deliveries in Q2-18 and Q3-18
Interest income 2,103 2,095
Equity income 9,509 4,563
Teekay LNG - $6m increase primarily from the Teekay LNG-Marubeni joint venture due to more
employment opportunities for certain of its vessels, and from the Pan Union and Yamal LNG
joint ventures due to the deliveries of tw o LNG carrier new buildings in Q3-18
Income tax expense (4,060) (4,141)
Other - net (363) 520
Net loss (5,978) (27,410)
Net (income) loss attributable to
non-controlling interests (5,400) 5,855
Increase due to higher adjusted net income in Teekay LNG and low er adjusted net loss in
Teekay Tankers
Net loss attributable to
stockholders of Teekay
Corporation (11,378) (21,555)
Basic loss per share (0.11) (0.21)
12
Q4 2018 Outlook – Teekay ConsolidatedIncome
Statement Item Q4 2018
Outlook (expected changes from Q3-18) (1)
Net Revenues
Teekay Parent
• $13m decrease from the Banff FPSO from an unplanned shutdown in Q4-18, lower expected tariff revenues in Q4-18, and the recognition of a maintenance bonus in Q3-18
• $7m increase from the Foinaven FPSO from the recognition of additional annual operational tariff revenues in Q4-18 (in addition to $6m accrued during the first nine months of 2018)
• $2m decrease from the Hummingbird FPSO primarily from lower expected tariff revenues in Q4-18
Teekay LNG
• $10m increase from the commencement of the charter contract for the Magellan Spirit in Q4-18, which is in-chartered from the Teekay LNG Marubeni Joint Venture (see Time-Charter Hire Expense below)
• $8m increase primarily from the commencement of charter contracts for the Bahrain Spirit in Q4-18 and one MEGI LNG carrier newbuilding in Q3-18
• $2m increase due to higher forecast spot rates for the multi-gas carriers in Q4-18
Teekay Tankers
• Decrease of approximately 95 net revenue days, mainly due to the drydockings for various vessels. Approximately 54% and 59%, or 830 and 1440 spot revenue days for Aframaxes and Suezmaxes have been fixed at $19,900/day and $19,000/day, respectively, so far in Q4-18 compared to actual rates of $13,700/day and $15,800/day, respectively, in Q3-18.
Vessel Operating Expenses (OPEX)
• Teekay LNG - $4m increase due the timing of maintenance costs and newbuilding deliveries
Time-Charter Hire Expense • Teekay LNG - $4m increase from the commencement of the charter-in contract for the Magellan Spirit in September 2018 from the Teekay LNG
Marubeni Joint Venture
Depreciation and Amortization
• Expected to be consistent with Q3-18
Net Interest Expense • Teekay LNG - $2m increase from the financings of the Bahrain Spirit and one MEGI LNG carrier newbuilding which delivered in Q3-18
• Teekay Tankers - $2m increase primarily due to the two sale-leaseback transactions which completed in late Q3-18 and mid Q4-18
General & Administrative • Expected to range from $22m - $24m on a consolidated basis
Equity Income • $13m increase due to higher earnings in Teekay Offshore, primarily due to the positive settlement with Petrobras recognized in Q4-18
• $2m decrease primarily from lower earnings in Teekay LNG’s Exmar LPG, MALT and Bahrain joint ventures, partially offset by higher earnings in the Yamal joint venture
Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Non-controlling Interests
• Expected to range from $24m to $26m due to higher expected adjusted net income in Teekay Tankers and Teekay LNG (compared to adjusted net income attributable to non-controlling interests in Q3-18 of $5m)
(1) Changes described are after adjusting Q3-18 for items included in Appendix A to our Third Quarter 2018 Results Earnings Release and realized gains and losses on
derivatives (see slide 13 to this presentation for the Consolidated Adjusted Statement of Net Loss Reconciliation for Q3-18)
Consolidated Adjusted Net Loss ReconciliationQ3-18 vs Q2-18
13
Reclass for Reclass for
(in thousands of US dollars, except per share amounts) Realized Gains/ Realized Gains/
Appendix A Losses Appendix A Losses
As Reported Items (1) on Derivatives (2) As Adjusted As Reported Items (1) on Derivatives (2) As Adjusted
Revenues 416,562 - (119) 416,443 405,642 (1,721) - 403,921
Voyage expenses (90,899) - - (90,899) (94,912) - - (94,912)
Net revenues 325,663 - (119) 325,544 310,730 (1,721) - 309,009
Vessel operating expenses (157,585) 122 - (157,463) (162,537) 782 - (161,755)
Time charter hire expenses (20,965) - - (20,965) (20,648) - - (20,648)
Depreciation and amortization (69,967) - - (69,967) (67,960) - - (67,960)
General and administrative expenses (19,050) - - (19,050) (23,720) - - (23,720)
Write-down and loss on sale of vessels (2,201) 2,201 - - (32,830) 32,830 - -
Restructuring charges (813) 813 - - (1,114) 1,114 - -
Income from vessel operations 55,082 3,136 (119) 58,099 1,921 33,005 - 34,926
Interest expense (67,343) 525 (4,448) (71,266) (59,526) - (5,847) (65,373)
Interest income 2,103 - - 2,103 2,095 - - 2,095
Realized and unrealized (losses) gains on
derivative instruments (2,168) (655) 2,823 - 10,723 (14,772) 4,049 -
Equity income 13,744 (4,235) - 9,509 837 3,726 - 4,563
Income tax expense (4,334) 274 - (4,060) (8,746) 4,605 - (4,141)
Foreign exchange gain 3,553 (5,297) 1,744 - 12,529 (14,327) 1,798 -
Other - net (2,400) 2,037 - (363) 520 - - 520
Net loss (1,763) (4,215) - (5,978) (39,647) 12,237 - (27,410)
Net (income) loss attributable to
non-controlling interests (10,242) 4,842 - (5,400) 11,323 (5,468) - 5,855
NET LOSS ATTRIBUTABLE TO
STOCKHOLDERS OF TEEKAY CORP. (12,005) 627 - (11,378) (28,324) 6,769 - (21,555)
Basic loss per share (0.12) (0.11) (0.28) (0.21)
The above provides a Normalized Income Statement by adjusting for the following:
(1) removal of Appendix A items as documented in the Earnings Release
(2) reallocating the realized gains/losses to their respective line as if hedge accounting had applied
Three Months Ended Three Months Ended
September 30, 2018 June 30, 2018