texas agricultural life leadership (tall ) urban agriculture night july 23, 2013
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Texas Demographics and the Impact on the Industry and Infrastructure. Texas Agricultural Life Leadership (TALL ) Urban Agriculture Night July 23, 2013 The Woodlands, Texas. Growing States, 2000-2010. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Texas Agricultural Life Leadership (TALL)
Urban Agriculture Night
July 23, 2013
The Woodlands, Texas
Texas Demographics and the Impact on the Industry and
Infrastructure
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Growing States, 2000-2010
2000Population*
2010Population*
NumericalChange
2000-2010
PercentChange
2000-2010United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count.
65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population
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Percent Change Due to
Year* PopulationNumerical
ChangePercentChange
NaturalIncrease
NetMigration
1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.091970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.261980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.421990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.152000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.352010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 54.94 45.062012 26,059,203 913,642 3.6 52.05 47.95
* All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2012
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Total Estimated Population by County, 2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates
Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 86% of population 92% of population growth (2011-2012)
LegendPOPESTIMATE2012
71-10,000
10,001-50,000
50,001-100,000
100,001-500,000
500,001-1,000,000
1,000,001-4,253,700
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Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Census Counts
Legendco48_d00'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpopch0010
-3,200 - 0
1 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 700,000
79 counties lost population over the decade
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Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage.
96 counties lost population over the two year period
Legendtl_2010_48_county10popchg4201072012
LT 0
1-1,000
1,001-20,000
20,001-80,000
80,001-161,252
Of counties that lost population90% had net out migration47% had natural decline
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The 10 Fastest Growing Metro AreasIncrease from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012
Percent Increase
1. Midland, Texas 4.62. Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky. 3.73. Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla. 3.64. The Villages, Fla. 3.45. Odessa, Texas 3.46. Jacksonville, N.C. 3.37. Austin-Round Rock, Texas 3.08. Casper, Wyo. 3.09. Columbus, Ga.-Ala. 2.910. Manhattan, Kan. 2.8
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012
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The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012
NumericIncrease
1. Harris, Texas 80,0052. Los Angeles, Calif. 73,7643. Maricopa, Ariz. 73,6444. Dallas, Texas 45,8275. San Diego, Calif. 38,8806. King, Wash. 35,8387. Travis, Texas 34,3818. Orange, Calif. 34,0179. Tarrant, Texas 32,99710. Clark, Nev. 32,833
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013
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Job Growth
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Estimated domestic migration by county, 2000-2010
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, 2012. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center
Legendtl_2010_48_county10Compoch$.domig
-280,000 to --3,000
-2999 to 0
1- 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,000 - 220,000
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Estimated international migration by county, 2000-2010
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center
Legendtl_2010_48_county10Compoch$.inmig
-1,400 to 0
1 to 500
501 to 2,500
2,501 to 50,000
50,000 to 280,000
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12http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html
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13http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html
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14http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html
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15http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html
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Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010
NH White53%
NH Black12%
NH Other
4%
Hispanic or Latino
32%
2000
NH White45%
NH Black11%
NH Other
6%
His-panic or Latino38%
2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count
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Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010
Under 1 year13 years 26 years 39 years 52 years 65 years 78 years 91 years0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
White (non-Hispanic) Hispanic
Age
Popu
latio
n
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
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Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Under 1 year4 years8 years
12 years16 years20 years24 years28 years32 years36 years40 years44 years48 years52 years56 years60 years64 years68 years72 years76 years80 years84 years88 years92 years96 years
100 to 104 years
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
NH White Male Hispanic Male NH Black Male NH Asian Male NH Other Male NH White FemaleHispanic Female NH Black Female NH Asian Female NH Other Female
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
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$18,000-30,000
$ 30,000-35,000
$ 35,000-40,000
$40,000-50,000
$ 50,000-76,000
Median Household Income by County, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
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Percent of population aged 25 years and older
with Bachelors degree or higher. 2005-2009Percent 25 + with Bachelors
6-15%
15-20%
20-25%
25-35%
35-50%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample 2005-2009
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Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011
Level of Educational Attainment
Percent of persons aged 25 years and older
State Ranking
High school diploma or equivalency or greater
81.1% 48/49/50 (tied with CA
and MS)Bachelors or greater 26.4% 29
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011.
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Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009
19%
6%
71%
3%
67%
8%
15%
9%
Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer.Less Than High School
College and Greater
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Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050
20102012
20142016
20182020
20222024
20262028
20302032
20342036
20382040
20422044
20462048
205020,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
50,000,000
55,000,000
60,000,000Zero.5 of 2000-20102000-2010
Migration Scenarios
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections
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Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050
20102013
20162019
20222025
20282031
20342037
20402043
20462049
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
NH-WhiteNH-BlackHispanicNH-Other
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
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Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Legendtl_2010_48_county10F6
-6,200 - 0
1 - 2,000
2,001 - 10,000
10,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 -3,480,000
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Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Legendtl_2010_48_county10F5
LT 0%
0-40%
41-100%
101-250%
251-500%
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Texas Reservoirs
Source: http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide
July 2013
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Texas Reservoirs
Source: http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide
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Demographics and Destiny
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Contact
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530Email: [email protected]: http://osd.state.tx.us
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.