that “pop then drop” i projected three weeks ago arrived late

8/2/2019 That Pop then Drop I projected three weeks ago arrived late.

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Richard Suttmeier is the Chief Market Strategist at www.ValuEngine.com.ValuEngine is a fundamentally-based quant research firm in Newtown, PA. ValuEnginecovers over 7,000 stocks every day.

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March 14, 2012 That Pop then Drop I pro jec ted t hree w eeks ago ar r ived la te .

New Year to Date highs were set for the Dow Industrial Average, S&P 500 & NASDAQ on

Tuesday at 13,180.40, 1396.13, and 3039.89 respectively. The Dow Transports and Russell 2000continue to lag all time highs set in 2011 at 5627.85 on July 7, 2011 and 868.57 on May 2, 2011.Weekly closes above my annual pivot at 1363.2 SPX indicates strength to weekly risky levelsat; 13,311 Dow Industrials, 1412.6 SPX, 3130 NASDAQ, 5293 Dow Transports and 829.03 /836.15 Russell 2000. About a week ago 60.0% of all stocks were undervalued. Today, theValuEngine Valuation Model shows just 50.7% of all stocks undervalued as the 30-year bondyield rises above 3.300 percent. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury is above my weekly pivotat 2.097. Gold is below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $1701.7 and $1678.0.Crude oil is below this weeks pivot is $107.27. The euro versus the dollar is above itssemiannual pivot at 1.2980.

10-Year Note (2.121) My annual value level is 2.502 with my weekly pivot at 2.097, and daily,semiannual, weekly and quarterly risky levels at 2.019, 1.903, 1.874 and 1.687.

Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters


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Comex Gold ($1671.4) Semiannual and annual value levels are $1659.5, $1635.8 and $1575.8 witha daily pivot at $1670.0, and quarterly, weekly and monthly risky levels at $1740.9, $1808.4 and

$1888.4.


Nymex Crude Oil ($106.69) Semiannual, daily, annual, quarterly, monthly and semiannual valuelevels are $104.84, $104.16, $103.58, $99.87, $97.96 and $79.83 with a weekly pivot at $107.27 and

my annual risky level at $117.00.



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The Euro (1.3064) Daily, semiannual, monthly, and quarterly value levels are 1.2989, 1.2980,1.2622, and 1.2499 with weekly, annual and semiannual risky levels at 1.3650, 1.4239 and 1.4405.


Daily Dow: (13,178) Daily, quarterly, annual, monthly and semiannual value levels are 12,949, 12,47812,312, 11,903, 8,425 and 8,336 with weekly and annual risky levels at 13,311 and 14,032.



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S&P 500 (1396.0) Daily, annual, quarterly, monthly and semiannual value levels are 1365.9, 1363.21305.4, 1222.5, 841.7 and 829.9, and weekly and annual risky levels at 1412.6 and 1562.9.

NASDAQ (3040) Daily, quarterly, annual, monthly and semiannual value levels are 2965, 2777,2698, 2651, 2012 and 1952 with weekly and annual risky levels at 3130 and 3232.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2697) Daily, annual, monthly, quarterly, annual and semiannual value levelsare 2641, 2603, 2428, 2422, 2300, 1851 and 1743 with my weekly risky level at 2761.

Dow Transports (5255) Daily, monthly and semiannual value levels are 5093, 4470, 4407 and 3778with weekly, quarterly, and annual risky levels at 5293, 5448, 5861 and 6111. The all time high was seat 5627.85 on July 11, 2011.

Russell 2000 (831.22) Daily, monthly and semiannual value levels are 804.60, 684.13, 572.90 and510.81 with quarterly pivots at 824.46 and 829.03, and annual and weekly risky levels at 836.15 and

862.39. The all time high was set at 868.57 on May 2, 2011.

The SOX (428.20) Daily, quarterly, monthly, annual and semiannual value levels are 411.75, 390.17323.52, 269.80, 277.90 and 194.47 with weekly and annual risky levels at 460.47 and 520.61. The2011 high is 474.33 set on February 18, 2011.

ValuEngine Valuation Model: Monthly benchmark revisions are favorable for stocks. 50.7% of all stocks are undervalued / 49.3% of all stocks are overvalued. Back on October 4th

93.5% of all stocks were undervalued. Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued; four by double-digit percentages. Computers &

Technology by 18.1%, Retail-Wholesale by 15.4% and Finance is 14.6% OV. Back in March2009 the sectors were undervalued by 33% to 45%.

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to your clients, let me know. If you have any questions, please respond to this email.

Definition of MOJO This is my term for technical momentum. I use whats called 12x3x3 slow

stochastic readings from daily, weekly and monthly charts. The scale is zero to 10.0 where above 8.0is overbought and below 2.0 is oversold.

Buy and Trade Strategies for Long Positions Value Level The price at which you establish an additional long position on share price

weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weakness to the Value Level. Risky Level The price at which you remove a single long position or reduce a multiple

long position on share price strength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength tothe Risky Level.

Buy and Trade Strategies for Short Positions Value Level The price at which you remove a single short position or reduce a multiple

short position on share price weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weaknesto the Value Level.

Risky Level The price at which you establish an addition short position on share pricestrength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength to the Risky Level.

Richard SuttmeierChief Market StrategistValuEngine.com(800) 381-5576

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As Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine Inc, my research is published regularly on the website www.ValuEngine.com. I have daily, weekly, monthly, andquarterly newsletters available that track a variety of equity and other data parameters as well as my most up-to-date analysis of world markets. Mynewest products include a weekly ETF newsletter as well as the ValuTrader Model Portfolio newsletter. You can go tohttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl to review sample issues and find out more about my research.

I Hold No Positions in the Stocks I Cover.

that “pop then drop” i projected three weeks ago arrived late

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