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ASM and Abnormal Situation Management are U.S. Registered Trademarks of Honeywell International, Inc. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners Requests for permission to reproduce or translate this publication or requests for further information should be addressed to the ASM Consortium Director, Honeywell International, Honeywell Process Solutions, 1250 W Sam Houston Parkway South, Houston, TX 77042 Luc De Wilde, Total Andrew Ogden-Swift, Honeywell November, 2014 http://www.asmconsortium.net The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 year Retrospective

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Page 1: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

ASM and Abnormal Situation Management are U.S. Registered Trademarks of Honeywell International, Inc.

The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners

Requests for permission to reproduce or translate this publication or requests for further information should be addressed to the ASM Consortium Director, Honeywell International, Honeywell Process Solutions, 1250 W Sam Houston Parkway South, Houston, TX 77042

Luc De Wilde, Total

Andrew Ogden-Swift, Honeywell

November, 2014

http://www.asmconsortium.net

The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 year Retrospective

Page 2: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Agenda

• What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What can we do to be Proactive: How can Human Factors Help? • What topics does the ASM research? • How does the ASM do its research? • How has this changed Honeywell Products and Industry Practice?

And how do we know these changes work? • Future: What are we researching now? • 20 Year Summary and Parting thoughts: What have we learned?

6/5/2014 2

Page 3: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

What is an Abnormal Situation?

• An industrial process is being disturbed, and the automated control system can not cope

• Consequently, the operations

team must intervene to supplement the control system.

Loss of Life

Busi

ness

Impa

ct Personal Injury

Equipment

Environmental

Public Relations

Red. Production Throughput Product Quality

Job Satisfaction

ASM ‘Solutions’ Focus on Prevention and Mitigation

Page 4: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

ASM History

• Honeywell assembled a task force of 25 customers in 1989 to address Alarm Management

• Phillips’ Petrochemical Explosion 10/23/1989 added urgency • Discussion with US NIST led to formation of the Abnormal Situation

Management Joint Research Consortium (ASM) • US NIST Advanced Technology Development Program matched

$8.5M member funds with $8.1M for a three year Research Program 1994-1996

• Since 1997 all funding has been from members. A total of approximately $40M has been committed.

• 85% is spent on Research, and 15% on Communicating Results • 2014 is our 20th Year

6/5/2014 ASM History 4

Page 5: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

How Big is the Problem?

6/5/2014 1992 data from the Consortium 5

1992: Process Industry accidents

cost $10 Billion annually in US

alone

Page 6: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

14

64

LOSS OF LIFE

REFINERY CHEMICAL

Globally Reported: Loss of Life and Personal Injury

29

184

INJURY

REFINERY CHEMICAL

In 2009, 118 incidents led to 78 deaths and 213 Injuries

6/5/2014 ASM Data from open media 2009

Page 7: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Abnormal Situations Cost even without Significant Events

95% 100% < 60% Daily Production Level

Day

s pe

r Yea

r

Plant Operating Target

Operational Constraints

Reduced Plant Incidents or Abnormal Situations

Plant Capacity Limit

Can Retrieve 2-6% of Plant Capacity

95% 100% < 60% Daily Production Level

Day

s pe

r Yea

r

Plant Operating Target

Operational Constraints

Plant Incidents or Abnormal Situations

Plant Capacity Limit

Unexpected Events Cost 3-8% of Capacity At least >$10B annually lost in production*

Page 8: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

People 40%

Equipment 40%

Process 20%

What Causes Incidents

Established in literature ; confirmed by 18 plant studies - US, Canada, & Europe

ASM Consortium Focuses on the “Human Element” in Abnormal Situation avoidance and response

Mostly Preventable

Almost Always Preventable

Often Preventable

40% of $10Bn = $4Bn annually in US!

Page 9: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Humans vs Computers Humans are good at:

– Pattern Recognition – Problem solving /

troubleshooting – New situations – Analogies & Learning – Mental Simulation &

Imagination – Subconscious processing

Computers are good at: – Vigilance tasks – Repetitive tasks – Mathematics – Fast response to defined

situations – Automated procedures – Search and compare – Storing large amounts of data

Arrange Work So Each Is Deployed Optimally

Inspiration

Envisioning Perspiration

Execution

Page 10: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Human Thinking

• Many skills are hardwired from birth – How to learn – Observation – Pattern Recognition – Visual and auditory processing – Imagination and mental simulation

Studies with human infants show that high level skills, like pattern recognition, are already present. Humans use imagination and mental simulation at a very high level to recognize new patterns or to detect when something is wrong. Much of human imagination and mental simulation has a strong visual component.

>30% of our conscious brain is devoted to visual processing

Make Human Work Visual, Avoid Over or Under Stimulation

Page 11: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Human Thinking + ASM

• Be Aware of Human Limitations • Make it Visual, Data + Context = Information • Avoid over or under stimulation • People differ in experience and skills • Concentrate on transitions • Expect the Unexpected

04/02/2014 <Slide Title>

11

Page 12: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Human Limitations: Some Practical Principles

1. People can remember about 7 things

2. Make more important things stand out. Put unimportant things in

the background.

3. More is not better. Instead, maximize information content.

4. Maintain situational awareness through hierarchical “views”

5. Specific color combinations and environmental conditions can make shift work harder.

6. Do not make the operator have to think about data. Give them things to recognize. Data + Context = Information

7. Use stimulation carefully (Colors, Sound)

Page 13: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Data in Context = Information

Which is more effective for determining detail?

Tray 58 Tray 49 Tray 40 Tray 31 Tray 22 Tray 13 Tray 4

time

OR

Tray 58 130.2 129.7 129.8 130.2 129.7 Tray 49 139.4 139.2 140.2 140.2 139.6 Tray 40 149.9 148.8 150.4 150.7 150.1 Tray 31 159.4 162.2 164.9 170.4 175.5 Tray 22 169.9 170.5 171.0 171.9 171.0 Tray 13 180.3 182.7 181.2 182.6 181.7 Tray 4 190.2 192.2 191.1 192.4 190.0

10:00 10:30 11:30 12:00 11:00

Page 14: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Decision Quality

Human Capabilities Differ

Good

6 seconds

3.0

2.8

2.6

3.2

Time allowed for Decision 2.25 min

Experts

Novices

Poor

ASM Solutions Help Close this

Gap

Experts vs Novices under pressure

Enable Novices to Operate Like Experts

Page 15: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

What does the ASM Research? The ASM Research Framework

• Human reliability improvements require focus on more than technology • We identify the problems that have to be solved and then search for solutions:

• Culture, • Organization, • Work place, • Work process, • Technology

Page 16: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Published Guidelines

6/5/2014 Published Guidelines: Available for Purchase 16

A Summary in Guideline Form of ASM Findings, Summarizes <10% of Research

Available for purchase, See ASM Consortium web site

Page 17: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

How Does ASM Do Research?

• Roadmap based on 7 practice areas laid out for 3 Year Research Plan: e.g. Program Plan 2014-2016

• Proposals solicited annually from Members, Associate Member, Honeywell, and University Members

• Proposals selected by the Research Subcommittee • Projects kicked-off, gate reviewed, final review • Results archived on Members-only Web Site • Research done by teams including User Members, Honeywell Labs,

Universities at sites. • Results are rigorously tested head-to-head against prior art.

6/5/2014 17

Page 18: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

How Does ASM Decide What to Publish (Examples)

• Communication Subcommittee (CSC) sends out a request for proposals annually

• Reviews proposals, selects some for publication, webinars, & conference presentations

6/5/20144 18

Page 19: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

What’s on the ASM Web Sites

• Public web site (http://www.asmconsortium.net ): – Intro to ASM Concepts – Archive of Incidents – Published webinars, journal papers, etc. – User Members

• Members Site: – Substantial body of knowledge: Over 1000 reports: Status, Gate

Reviews, about 250 Final Reports, substantial User Member In-kind report archive

– Search Engine

6/5/2014 ASM Web Sites 19

Page 20: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

1900 - 1950

1940 - 1980

1970 -1990

1990 - 2040

Evolution Of Control Rooms 1900-2040

Courtesy Brad, Adams, Walker

Page 21: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

How About Displays? Where are the Alarms?

Page 22: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

ASM Interface Framework Study

vs.

ASM Style Framework

Traditional Drill-down Framework

Key Interface Elements • Multi-level, simultaneous views of

increasing detail • Level 1 – Console Overview • Level 2 – Unit Summary • Level 3 – Equipment detail • Level 4 – Group & Point detail

• Linked navigation between views with single key stroke

• Integrated Trending • Integrated alarm management into

graphics and navigation tabs

Page 23: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

ASM Interface Framework Study

Time to Orient • More proactive, orienting to the problem

an average of 4 minutes faster

Total Completion Time • Took significantly less time to deal with

the event and as a group, were more consistent in doing so!

• An average of 10.6 minutes vs. 18.1 minutes for those using the traditional console

• 41% improvement

Huge Improvement: Closing Gap between Novices and Expert

Page 24: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Alarm Tracker Study

Design Concept • Show alarms on a time line • Spatially separate alarm by

equipment area to support identification and ranking of problems by type and severity

• Retain alarm list for detailed troubleshooting

Results • 6% more responses to process

upset conditions • 9% fewer false positive

responses to unrelated process conditions

Page 25: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Honeywell Product Impact

• Display Graphics – Experion HMI, Solution Pack, Advanced Solution Pack, User Interfaces

for APC, Fire & Gas, etc. • Alarms

– Experion Alarming system, Alarm Tracker, User Alert, Alarm Help, Alarm Shelving, Alarm Suppression, Alarm Debounce, etc.

• Operations – Procedural Operations, OMPro, Operator Logbook and Shift Handover,

Field Advisor (handheld linkage), Early Event Detection

• Training – Operator Competency Models for OTS

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Page 26: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Honeywell Consulting Impact

• Control Room Design / Console Design – Process Design for Start-Up (PDSU) – Interaction Requirements Analysis (IRA)

• Operator Effectiveness – Operator Role Complexity Analysis (ORCA) – Operator Competency Analysis – Effective Operator Displays – Alarm Management and Rationalization – Procedure Evaluation and Procedural Automation – Field and Console Operator Coordination

• Operations Effectiveness

6/5/2014 26

Page 27: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

Future: What Are We Researching ?

• Operator Competencies • Improved Consoles / Larger Screens / Better Displays • Touch, Voice Recognition • Integration of Data Sources • Improved Communication and Coordination between Control Room

and Field operators • Additional Tools to Manage Alarms, Guide Operators • Change Management

6/5/2014 27

Many Opportunities for Improvement

Page 28: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

20 Years in Summary

• The ASM® Consortium: – Measured the impact of “Human Error” in the US Process Industry – Led Research in Human Factors in the Process Industry – Defined Proactive Measures in 7 Areas through more than $35M in Research – Archived over 500 Technical Reports, approximately 200-250 are final – Openly published three guidelines in critical areas – Presented webinars and dozens of technical papers in major journals – Invented products and coined terms (e.g. Abnormal Situation Management) – Directly influenced Honeywell Automation and Control Products – Indirectly influenced other Vendors – Spawned several “Human Factors” companies

• Financial & Incident Impact – Incident impact is not known. It is difficult to calculate what didn’t happen. – Known financial impact in Member companies alone is projected to exceed Research

spending multiple fold. Case Studies verify impact.

6/5/2014 28

Applied Human Factors to Make Better Decisions, Faster

Page 30: The Abnormal Situation Management Consortium: 20 · PDF fileAgenda • What is an Abnormal Situation? • ASM History • How big is the problem? • What causes incidents? • What

04/02/2014 30

Thank You for Attending