the cape fear and climate resilience - ncsu

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3/21/2017 1 The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience Water Resources Research Institute Conference River Stories: the Cape Fear River Wednesday, March 5, 2017 Created in 2003 out of the Sustainable Fort Bragg initiative, Sustainable Sandhills is a tiny nonprofit with a giant mission- to save the planet and preserve the environment of the Sandhills through education, demonstration, and collaboration. Sustainable Sandhills serves an 9 county region surrounding Fort Bragg: Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond, Robeson, and Scotland. Clean Air, Clean Water, Green Business, Green Schools

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Page 1: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

3/21/2017

1

The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience

Water Resources Research Institute Conference

River Stories: the Cape Fear River

Wednesday, March 5, 2017

Created in 2003 out of the Sustainable Fort Bragg initiative, Sustainable Sandhills is a tiny nonprofit with a giant mission- to save the planet and preserve the environment of the Sandhills through education, demonstration, and collaboration.

Sustainable Sandhills serves an 9 county region surrounding Fort Bragg: Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond, Robeson, and Scotland.

Clean Air, Clean Water, Green Business, Green Schools

Page 2: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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Image source: US Army Corps of Engineers, Water Management

1945 - Cape Fear flooding Downtown Fayetteville

Page 3: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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B. Everett Jordan Dams Cape Fear River

Corps of Engineer’s comprehensive water resource study leads to “New Hope Reservoir” in 1963

Construction begins 1967

Impoundment starts 1981 and lake reaches normal pool stage in 6 months

Image source: US Army Corps of Engineers

CURRENT DAM STATS

1984 Satellite image

2016 Google Earth

PURPOSES:FOR FLOOD CONTROL, WATER SUPPLY, RECREATION, FISH AND WILDLIFE ENHANCEMENT, AND AUGMENTATION OF LOW FLOWS FOR PURPOSES OF POLLUTION ABATEMENT AND WATER-QUALITY CONTROL IN THE CAPE FEAR RIVER BASIN.

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CURRENT DAM STATS

1984 Satellite image

2016 Google Earth

Uncontrolled flood storage (240.0-261.5) 9.91 (runoff inches) 893,000 (acre-feet)Controlled flood storage (216.0-240.0) 5.97 538,430 Conservation storage (150.0-216.0) 2.39 215,130 Sedimentation 0.83 74,700 Water supply 0.51 45,810 Water quality 1.05 94,620

CURRENT DAM STATS

1984 Satellite image

2016 Google Earth

Surface areas (ft., m.s.l.): Acres Spillway design flood (elevation 261.5) 51,830 Standard project flood (elevation 246.2) 37,130 Top of flood control pool (elevation 240.0) 31,800 Top of conservation pool (elevation 216.0) 13,940 Bottom of conservation pool (elevation 150.0) 0

Page 5: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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2016Cape Fear

Floods Downtown

Fayetteville

Floodplains in Fayetteville

Floodway

100 Year Flood

500 Year Flood

Page 6: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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Hurricane Matthew Damage

Hurricane Matthew Damage

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Watershed Management and Climate Resilience

A Local Perspective

Severe Weather Trends and Projections

Page 8: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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Heavy Precipitation Trendsand Projections

Images source: U.S. National Climate Assessment, U.S. Global Change Research Program.

Potential Water Quality Impacts

Infrastructure vulnerability

Agriculture runoff

Drinking water cross-

contamination

More polluted and

contaminated stormwater

(drought induced)

Map source: Forest Service, USDA; Stein, et. al. Private Forests, Public Benefits…, 2009.

Watersheds by Potential for Change in Water Quality due to Housing

Density Projections

Page 9: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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B. Everett Jordan Dam and LakeWatershed Rainfall Annual Average

1982-2013

Average Rainfall (inches) Linear (Average Rainfall (inches))

Potential Water Quantity Impacts

Infrastructure vulnerability

Water flow timing

Natural and climate

induced human population

growth and demand

Water-use norms could

become taboo!

Data source: US Army Corps of Engineers; graph produced by Sustainable Sandhills.

2017Infrastructure Report Card:

Dams and Levees

American Society of Civil Engineers

Page 10: The Cape Fear and Climate Resilience - NCSU

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Flooding and Watershed Management Strategies

1. Integrate Climate Projections Into all

Planning and Natural Area

Conservation Efforts

2. Regional Water Use Plan, Green

Infrastructure and Water-Wise “Norms”

3. Equal Access for Vulnerable Populations

4. Renewable Energy and Sustainable

Development

WHAT STORY IS THE CAPE FEAR RIVER TELLING?

Hanah Ehrenreich, Executive DirectorAlba Polonkey, Sustainability Manager

[email protected]

(910) 484-9098