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THE ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY:
Power Capacity Mix
Energy & Power Committee
American Chamber of CommerceAmCham Hall, Makati City
20 March 2017
Undersecretary Jesus P. Posadas
To ensure the reliability,
security, quality and
affordability of supply of
electric power and protect
the public interest as it is
affected by the rates and
services of electric utilities
and other providers of
electric power.
DOE’s Mandate
2016 Capacity Mix - PHILIPPINES
Total Dependable Capacity = 19,097MW
Total Available Capacity = 14,996MW
Total RE = 31.4%
Peak Demand = 13,272MW
Diversified Fuel Mix by Grid
Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Peak Demand, MW 9,726 1,893 1,653
Dependable Cap, MW 13,600 2,813 2,684
Share of RE, % 27.1 47.2 37.0
Available Cap, MW 10,480 2,299 2,213
2016 Capacity Mix - Luzon
Total Dependable Capacity = 13,600MW
Total Available Capacity = 10,484MW
Total RE = 27.1%
Peak Demand = 9,726MW
2016 Capacity Mix - Visayas
Total Dependable Capacity = 2,813MW
Total Available Capacity = 2,299MW
Total RE = 47.2%
Peak Demand = 1,893MW
2016 Capacity Mix - Mindanao
Total Dependable Capacity = 2,684MW
Total Available Capacity = 2, 213MW
Total RE = 37%
Peak Demand = 1,653MW
Required Power System Capacity Addition between 2016-2030
Note: At 70-20-10 Baseload, Mid-merit, Peaking Requirement*NatGas currently considered as baseload but belongs to mid-merit category;Biomass is baseload only during availability of feedstock;Hydro is baseload only during rainy season.
Capacity Addition (MW)
Luzon Visayas Mindanao Total by Type
Baseload (Coal,
Geothermal, NatGas*, Nuclear, Biomass* and Hydro*)
4,320 1,968 2,100 8,388
Mid-merit (NatGas and all others)
4,800 1,500 1,500 7,800
Peaking (Oil, Solar
PV – daytime and Wind)
950 150 50 1,150
Total per grid 10,070 3,618 3,650 17,338
Challenges in the Power Industry
• High Cost of electricity• Yellow/Red Alerts and sporadic
Power interruptions• Limited and unreliable
transmission system• Delayed and unpredictable
permitting processes• Limited Power market
(Ongoing Market Dev’t in Mindanao)
• Electrification gaps in off-grid areas due to distance and lack of capacity
ASEAN Electricity Rates, in PhP/kWh(as of 2015)
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam
Residential 5.48 4.02 8.61 7.60 6.01 4.58
Commercial 5.48 4.10 7.19 6.41 4.55 4.64
Industrial 5.48 3.78 5.63 6.09 4.55 3.64
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January 2017
ASEAN-6 Installed Capacity and Electricity Consumption per Capita
ASEAN-6 CountriesPopulation
in million
Installed Capacity
Per Capita in kW
Electricity
Consumption per
Capita
in kWh
Philippines 99.88 0.18 774
Thailand 67.00 0.52 2,591
Indonesia 252.16 0.21 878
Malaysia 30.26 1.02 4,244
Singapore 5.47 2.35 8,483
Data Sources:Philippine Department of Energy (DOE), Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources/PerusahaanListrik Negara/ National Electric Company (PLN), Malaysian Energy Information Hub (MEIH)/ Economic Planning Unit, Ministry of Industry andTrade General Directorate of Energy Energy/Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam (ERAV), Energy Market Authority-Singapore (EMA),International Energy Agency (IEA), Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2015GDP per Capita in USD from Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Challenges in the Power Industry• High Cost of electricity• Yellow/Red Alerts and sporadic
Power interruptions• Limited and unreliable
transmission system• Delayed and unpredictable
permitting processes• Limited Power market
(Ongoing Market Dev’t in Mindanao)
• Electrification gaps in off-grid areas due to distance and lack of capacity
Action Plans• Increase supply and ensure affordable electricity cost, both for grid
and off-grid areaso Energy Projects as Projects of National Significanceo DOE to develop a Program for LNG Infrastructure and Nuclear
Energy Development• Firm up available energy capacities that are technology neutral
without sacrificing environmental standardso Optimal Fuel Mix (70-20-10 Share of Baseload, Mid-merit and
Peaking Capacity requirement)• Focus on delivery of Services through:
o Improve reliability, availability and resiliency of energyinfrastructures
o Institutionalize Performance Audit of Power facilities to ensurehigh compliance to existing policies
o Grid Interconnectivity including off-grid islands
Coal Mine-Mouth Project with inter-island connection
Phase 2 - (Mindoro-Batangas- 20 KM)
Phase 1 - (Antique-Mindoro – 20 KM)
Phase 3 – (Antique-Panay- 62 KM)
Action Plans• Increase supply and ensure affordable electricity cost, both for grid
and off-grid areaso Energy Projects as Projects of National Significanceo DOE to develop a Program for LNG Infrastructure and Nuclear
Energy Development• Firm up available energy capacities that are technology neutral
without sacrificing environmental standardso Optimal Fuel Mix (70-20-10 Share of Baseload, Mid-merit and
Peaking Capacity requirement)• Focus on delivery of Services through:
o Improve reliability, availability and resiliency of energyinfrastructures
o Institutionalize Performance Audit of Power facilities to ensurehigh compliance to existing policies
o Grid Interconnectivity including off-grid islands
Action Plans• Increase supply and ensure affordable electricity cost, both for grid
and off-grid areaso Energy Projects as Projects of National Significanceo DOE to develop a Program for LNG Infrastructure and Nuclear
Energy Development• Firm up available energy capacities that are technology neutral
without sacrificing environmental standardso Optimal Fuel Mix (70-20-10 Share of Baseload, Mid-merit and
Peaking Capacity requirement)• Focus on delivery of Services through:
o Improve reliability, availability and resiliency of energyinfrastructures
o Institutionalize Performance Audit of Power facilities to ensurehigh compliance to existing policies
o Grid Interconnectivity including off-grid islands
THE ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY:
Power Capacity Mix
Energy & Power Committee
American Chamber of CommerceAmCham Hall, Makati City
20 March 2017
Undersecretary Jesus P. Posadas