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The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September 26, 2006

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Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.2 Isn’t Deloitte an Accounting Firm? Professional services Firm Over 1000 Construction Industry Clients Construction Advisory Services Involved in Thousands of Projects Deloitte

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Page 1: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

The Energy Roundtable

Managing Risk on LargeCapital Construction Projects

ByDale R. Kern P.E.Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLPCalgary, September 26, 2006

Page 2: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 2

Agenda• Isn’t Deloitte an Accounting Firm?• Construction is a Risky Business• Case Example• Third Party Participation to Mitigate Risk

Page 3: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 3

Isn’t Deloitte an Accounting Firm?• Professional services Firm• Over 1000 Construction Industry Clients• Construction Advisory Services• Involved in Thousands of Projects

Deloitte

Page 4: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 4

Capital Construction Projects are a Risky Business• Labour Availability• Availability of Skilled Professionals • Escalation• Contract Disputes• Weather• Accidents• Global Market Place• Etc.

Page 5: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 5

Global Market Risks• Foreign Governments• Culture and Communications• Labour Uncertainties• Transportation• Quality • Contracting/Legal

Page 6: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 6

Global Case Example

Page 7: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 7

Global Case Example• Design Not Understood• Initial Fabricator Did Not Honor Agreement• New Fabricator Selected, Steel Moved• Unforeseen Shipping Consequences• Quality Control Problems

Page 8: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 8

Doesn’t My EPC Contract Mitigate My Risks?

OwnerContractor

Page 9: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 9

FORMAL RISK ASSESSMENTS• Identify Risks• Quantify Potential Impacts• Determine Probability of Occurring• Decide on Mitigation

Page 10: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 10

Third Party Participation, One Way to Reduce Risks• No Other Role In The Project• Construction Industry Background• Background in Your Business• Willing to Stand Up to Project Team

Page 11: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 11

Activities for Third Party Participation• Formal Risk Reviews• Schedule Reviews• Budget Reviews• Monte Carlo Analysis

100%

75%

50%

Percent Likelihood

Completion Date

25%

Jan Feb Mar

Apr May Jun

The Probability of the Project being Completed

by April 1st is 75%

Page 12: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September

Copyright © 2006 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. 12

Why Third Party Reviews Work• Independence From Project Team• Keeps Everyone True to the Task• Can Ask Dumb Questions• Different Point of View• From Our Experience, It Works!

Page 13: The Energy Roundtable Managing Risk on Large Capital Construction Projects By Dale R. Kern P.E. Deloitte Financial Advisory Services LLP Calgary, September