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ACS Green Chemistry Institute® American Chemical Society The future of green and sustainable design – where’s the data? April 30, 2019 David J. C. Constable, Ph.D. Science Director, ACS Green Chemistry Institute ®

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Page 1: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

The future of green and sustainable design – where’s

the data?

April 30, 2019

David J. C. Constable, Ph.D.

Science Director, ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Page 2: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Outline

The chemist’s dilemma

Feedstocks, building blocks, pathways

AI, Machine Learning, PredictionThose machines have a lot to learn

Design and systemsDesign from a systems thinking point of view

Page 3: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

for a sustainable future.

American Chemical Society

We believe sustainable and green

chemistry innovation holds the key to

solving most environmental and human

health issues facing our world today.

• Advancing Science

• Advocating for Education

• Accelerating Industry

Page 4: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Why Reimagine Chemistry?

The chemistry enterprise as currently

operated is completely unsustainable

American Chemical Society

Page 5: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Petrochemical Feedstocks

American Chemical Society

Page 6: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Bio-based and Renewable Feedstocks

American Chemical Society

Page 7: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Chemical Space Available for Innovation

1060

American Chemical Society

Page 8: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Number of Molecules on US EPA’s Radar as of February, 2019

40,655** “key result of the update is that less than half of the total number of chemicals on the current TSCA Inventory (47 percent or 40,655 of the 86,228 chemicals) are currently in commerce.”

American Chemical Society

Page 9: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Thinking About Design

“Design is a signal of

intention”“Cradle to Cradle”

William McDonough

2002

Page 10: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Design Principles

Page 11: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Design Principles

American Chemical Society

Page 12: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Design Principles

American Chemical Society

Page 13: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Core Competencies

• Graduates will be able to design and/or select chemicals

that improve product and sustainability performance

from a life cycle and systems perspective.

• Graduates will understand that chemicals and materials

are prepared through transformations of raw materials

via synthetic pathways and be able to design and/or

select chemical syntheses that are highly efficient, take

advantage of alternative feedstocks, and generate the

least amount of waste.

• Graduates will understand how chemicals can be

used/integrated into products to achieve the best benefit

to customers while minimizing life cycle sustainability

impacts

Page 14: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

The System of Systems is Broad and Complex

American Chemical Society

Page 15: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

MACHINE AND DEEP LEARNING, AI, AUTOMATION

Page 16: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Machine Learning isProgressing

Predictor

Training set

Output variable

Learning algorithm

Descriptors

Test set DescriptorsOutput

prediction

Training

Prediction

Page 17: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

UL REACHAcross™

Luechtefeld, T., Rowlands, C., Hartung, T., Big-data and

machine learning to revamp computational toxicology

and its use in risk Assessment, Toxicol. Res., 2018, 7,

732

9801 unique substances, 3609 unique study

descriptions and 816,048 study documents

Page 18: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

US EPA CompTox

875 Thousand Chemicals

Page 19: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

U.S. EPA CompTox

1-butanol butanoic acid 4-acetamidobutanal

Page 20: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

ViridisChem

>90M chemicals,

2.4B properties

Page 21: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

ViridisChem

Page 22: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

US EPA CompTox:Glucaric acid

Page 23: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

ViridisChem – Glucaric Acid

Page 24: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Page 25: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Nature Communications volume8, 15733 (2017)doi:10.1038/ncomms15733

ACS Cent. Sci. 3, 12, 1337-1344

Deep Learning Coupled with Automated Synthesis

Page 26: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®

Conclusions

• The world of toxicity prediction is based on existing data on petrochemically derived molecules

• The problem of data quality, curation, coverage, etc., remains no matter what prediction method is used

• Accurate in-silico toxicity prediction should be seen as an essential enabling technology for the implementation of green and sustainable chemistry

• There is a need for researchers who understand the fundamentals and are working at the intersection of chemistry, toxicology and computational (chemistry, mechanistic toxicology, prediction) methods.

• AI approaches are a computationally intensive undertaking so the computing infrastructure needs to be shifted to the cloud and costs reduced.

American Chemical Society

Page 27: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Page 28: The future of green and sustainable design –where’s the data? · ACS Green Chemistry Institute® ACS Green Chemistry Institute® Engaging you to reimagine chemistry and engineering

ACS Green Chemistry Institute®American Chemical Society

Questions?

David J. C. Constable

[email protected]

What’s Your Green Chemistry? TM

We want to hear your story. Contact [email protected]