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Navigating the challenges ahead

The future of work: jobs

and skills in 2030

Lesley Giles, Deputy Director

8th July 2014

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Our commissioners

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4

5

6

7

1,125

416

302

284

-45

-228

Business and other services

Trade, accomm, transport

Construction

Public admin, health, education

Primary sector, utilities

Manufacturing

Source: Working Futures

Which sectors are expected to see

future growth? Projected employment change in the UK by sector

(‘000s) between 2012-2022

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Changing occupational structure of jobs

2Source: Working FuturesSource: Working Futures

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10

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Four possible future scenarios

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13

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15

16

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Moving up But skills shortages persist at all levels

Base: All establishments with vacancies in each occupation in each sector. Figures only shown where base size greater than

50

Ski

lls T

rades

Occ

upatio

ns

Whole

sale

& R

eta

il 45%

Density 30% or above

Density 15% - 29%

Density 1% - 14%

Source: UKCES, UK Commission’s Employer Skills Survey 2013.

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www.gov.uk/government/publications/jobs-

and-skills-in-2030