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3A Business Consulting 1 3A Business Consulting The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy 2017 - 2021 Published February 2018

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Page 1: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

1

3A Business Consulting

The Global Market For Plant Proteins -

Competition With Dairy

2017-2021

Published February 2018

Page 2: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

2

1. Introduction

2. Production of plant proteins

3. Key players and applications

4. Consumer product trends

5. Market outlook and future market trends

6. Conclusions and threat to dairy

7. Appendix

Page 3: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Methodology for Research- Data Sources and Abbreviations

The building input blocks of this report:

Innova Market

InsightsEuromonitor

Company reports

FDA

3A Business Consulting

Industry sources and interviews

USDA

Abbreviations:CAGR Compounded Annual Growth RateEUR EuroLATAM Latin AmericaMEA Middle East and AfricaMPC Milk Protein ConcentrateMPI Milk Protein IsolateMT Metric TonneNA North AmericaPoPI Potato Protein IsolatePPC Pea Protein ConcentratePPI Pea Protein IsolateRoW Rest of WorldRPC Rice Protein ConcentrateRPI Rice Protein IsolateRTD Ready-To-DrinkSPC Soy Protein ConcentrateSPI Soy Protein IsolateUSD US DollarWhPH Wheat Protein HydrolysateWhPI Wheat Protein IsolateWPC Whey Protein ConcentrateWPI Whey Protein Isolate

Page 4: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Market Research Approach

SPCSPIWheat GlutenWhPITextured WhPPPCPPIRPCRPIPotato proteinWPCWPIMPCMPICaseinCaseinates

GlobalEuropeNorth AmericaLatin AmericaAustralasiaAsia PacificMiddle East

CAGR 2012-2016CAGR 2017-2021

Top plant protein manufacturersTop plant protein users

Consumer segmentsDairy alternativesProduct trendsConsumer trends

Application/ volume usage of plant proteins

Dairy alternativesSports nutritionInfant nutritionClinical nutritionWeight managementAnimal feed/pet food

ProductScope

MarketScope

Key Players

Global Market Trends

Ingredientsusage

Page 5: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Others

Global soy protein market size and trends and major producers of soy protein

Production volume by ingredient, 2016

Soy ingredient Price range

Soy flour USD xxx per MT

Soy protein concentrate

USD xxx per MT

Soy protein isolate USD xxx per MT

CompanyEstimated share of nutritional markets

Page 6: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Producer spotlight- Roquette Freres

Headquartered in France, with EUR 3.3 bio. in annual sales, Roquette is the world’s major producer of pea protein, marketed under the Nutralys brand

In January 2017, Roquette announced a USD 300 mio. investment in what they report will be the world’s biggest pea protein plant, located in Canada (Manitoba), where 30%, or 4,8 mio. MT in 2016, of global pea production takes place. Production to commence in 2019

In June 2017, Roquette announced a further EUR 40 mio. investment in its Vic-sur-Aisne (France) plant to expand production of pea proteins

By 2019, the Manitoba and Vic-sur-Aisne plants will have a combined pea processing capacity of around 250,000 MT annually, according to Roquette

In addition to pea protein, Roquette also markets wheat protein hydrolysates under the Nutralys brand as well as cornand potato protein under other brands

Roquette protein brands

Pea, Wheat, Potato, Corn and Algae Protein

Product Application(s)

NUTRALYS PEA F Food and nutritional

NUTRALYS PEA S Food and nutritional

NUTRALYS PEA XF Clinical, sport and weight management nutrition

NUTRALYS PEA BF Bakery

NUTRALYS PEA T Meat extender and analog

NUTRALYS WHEAT W Bakery/cereal, confectionery, dairy, pet,clinical/sports nutritionNUTRALYS WHEAT WF

VITEN wheat gluten Bakery and fish food

VITEN CWS wheat gluten Calf milk-replacer

GLUTALYS corn protein Animal feed

TUBERMINE potato protein Animal feed, fermentation

Algility chlorella Functional foods and weight management

Source: Roquette

Page 7: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Global protein production- plant and dairy proteins

Source: 3A Business Consulting

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

‘00

0 M

T

World food market dairy and plant protein prices

Global dairy and plant protein volumes 2016

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

US

D/

MT

Page 8: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

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Applications of soy proteins

Soy protein isolate applications

Soy protein concentrate applications

Soy protein isolate is predominantly used for food applications within which meat/meat substitutuesaccount for around xx%, or xxx MT, and dairy around xx%, or xxx MT, with the remaining mainly being functional foods

Soy protein isolate is used widely in nutritional industries with sports nutrition contributing approx. xxx MT, performance bars being the biggest subcategory application

A similar share of soy protein concentrate volumes are used in food applications with meat and meat analogs accounting for the vast majority of food uses with additional use in dairy and functional foods, although relatively small

However, soy protein concentrate use for nutritional sectors is comparably limited to isolates, instead soy protein concentrate finds larger use in feed

Page 9: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

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Between 2011 and 2016, 8,937 new products containing whey protein concentrate were launched

North America was the most active region, accounting for more than half of product launches containing WPC

The number of products launched with WPC between 2011 and 2016 has grown 80%, or 16% annually on average

The most active companies in terms of product launches with WPC have widely been nutritional companies, Myprotein has been the most active company followed by Nutricia

The 10 companies launching most product collectively account for 21% of product launches with WPC between 2011-2016

The sports nutrition segment has seen the most new product launches with whey protein concentrate followed by infant formula

Several product launches with WPC is also seen in a wide range of food categories as well as in supplements and clinical nutrition

New product launches / consumer product trends- Whey Protein Concentrate (1)

Historic development

Most active companies

Major application segments

Source: Innova Market Insights

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

# o

f p

ro

du

cts

lau

nch

ed Africa

Asia

Australasia

East Europe

Latin America

Middle East

North America

West Europe

0

100

200

300

400

# o

f p

ro

du

cts

lau

nch

ed

MyproteinNutriciaAbbottIovateDymatizeNestleCytosportUnileverOptimum NutritionKraft

Sports

Nutrition41%

Baby &

Toddlers16%

Dairy

7%

Cereals

6%

Supplements

5%

Desserts &

Ice Cream5%

Ready Meals

5%

Bakery

4%

Snacks

3%

Clinical Nutrition2%

Other

6%

Page 10: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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New product launches / consumer product trends- Whey Protein Concentrate (2)

Company: Myprotein

Date: April 2016

Category: Sports nutrition

Ingredients: Whey protein concentrate (96%), emulsifier, flavoring, sucralose

Company: Nutricia

Date: November 2016

Category: Baby formula/milk

Ingredients: Lactose from milk, hydrolyzed whey protein concentrate, vegetable oils, galactooligosaccharides etc.

Company: Abbott

Date: January 2016

Category: Baby formula/milk

Ingredients: Skimmed milk, lactose, vegetable oils, whey protein concentrate powder,maltodextrin, GOS, phospholipid etc.

Company: Iovate

Date: January 2016

Category: Sports nutrition

Ingredients: Protein blend (micellar whey, whey protein concentrate, whey protein isolate, whey protein isolate 97% whey protein hydrolysate)

Company: Dymatize

Date: February 2016

Category: Sports nutrition

Ingredients: Maltodextrin, protein blend (whey protein concentrate, milk protein isolate, whey protein isolate, whey protein hydrolysate etc.)

Company: Kraft

Date: October 2016

Category: Cheese

Ingredients: Milk, water, whey, whey protein concentrate, canola oil, maltodextrin, salt, sodium phosphate etc.

Page 11: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

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Protein ingredient outlook

Pea proteins are predicted to exhibit the highest growth rate of between 10-11% per year reaching 40,000 MT by 2021, followed by rice proteins that has already seen immense growth in the beginning of the review period, although from a low base

Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016 and is expected to remain the most dynamic dairy protein

Soy proteins are headed towards maturity but is still showing healthy growth relative to large volumes between 3-4% per year towards 2021

Wheat and potato proteins are growing at a relatively slow pace with wheat gluten and protein suffering from unhealthy perception by many people and low protein quality

CA

GR

20

12

-20

16

CAGR 2017-2021

Page 12: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

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Assessing the competition (1)

Page 13: The Global Market For Plant Proteins - Competition With Dairy · Whey protein isolate outperformed both the plant protein market as well as other dairy proteins between 2012-2016

3A Business Consulting

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Global Plant Protein Report – project management and costs

3A Business Consulting team:

– Managing partner - Tage Affertsholt

– Junior consultant – Daniel Pedersen

Report available in PDF format – in total approx. 100 slides – from February 2018

EUR 4,700

Time

Team

Cost