the impact of personality, salience, and love of …
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THE IMPACT OF PERSONALITY SALIENCE AND LOVE OF MONEY ON
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
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DISSERTATION
SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
AND THE COMMITTEE FOR ADVANCED STUDIES AND RESEARCH
OF LAHORE SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS
IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS
FOR THE DEGREE OF
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
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Samra Chaudary
October 25th 2019
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copy 2019 Lahore School of Economics All rights reserved1
1 The Lahore School of Economics hereby grants to the student permission to reproduce and to publish paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part in any medium now known or hereafter created The reproductionpublication will however carry the Lahore School of Economics copyright
ii
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THE IMPACT OF PERSONALITY SALIENCE AND LOVE OF MONEY ON
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
|
by
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Samra Chaudary
|
Submitted to the Department of Business Administration
on October 25th 2019 in Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy
in Business Administration
|
Abstract |
This dissertation investigates the impact of Personality Salience and Love of Money
(LoM) on an investorrsquos short-term investment decision (ST-D) and long-term investment
decisions (LT-D) The research of this dissertation falls under the discipline of behavioral
finance and uses Prospect Theory as a theoretical lens A succession of three papers
(models) was written on this theme The first paper has explored the impact of five types
of personality traits on ST-D and LT-D Moreover risk perception has been tested as a
mediator between each personality type and investment decisions The second paper
tested the effect of salience on ST-D and LT-D and it was also tested if the impact of
salience on ST-D and LT-D differed between individual investors and professional
investors Moreover it was also investigated whether the impact of salience on ST-D and
LT-D differed between female investors and male investors The third paper focused on
the effect of LoM on ST-D and LT-D and whether current income and future inheritance
moderated the relationship between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The data were
collected by 277 individual and professional equity investors investing in Pakistan Stock
Exchange (PSX) The findings of the first paper were that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities showed a significant relationship with ST-D
v
However investors with openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits
showed an effect on LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and LT-
D only The results of the second paper found that salience has a significant positive
impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and professional
investors were found significantly different from each other Furthermore the parametric
tests of difference between the two groups also showed that path coefficients of female
investors were significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for
ST-D and LT-D The third paper found that LoM showed a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore income moderated
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance moderated the relationship
between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The findings of this research have implications
for psychologists economists and finance executives The findings will facilitate money
managers to cultivate a deeper understanding of their clientsrsquo behavior for ST-D and LT-
D Thus it is important that financial advisors include this behavioral aspect in their risk
models to improve the investment plans and decisions for their clients The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of
finance especially to the literature on personality risk perception salience and LoM
used by investors while making investment decisions
Keywords personality type risk perception salience love of money short-term
investment decision long- term investment decision
Thesis supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar
Supervisorrsquos Title Professor
vi
Acknowledgments |
|
There are myriad individuals to acknowledge individually everyone who aided
me during this research and from whom I have learned considerably A special thanks
to Dr Shahid Amjad Chaudhry who by providing me with the opportunity to teach set
in motion my enrolment into the PhD program I would like to express my most sincere
gratitude to my supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar for his continuous encouragement and
patient guidance I also want to recognize my committee members Dr Syeda Rabab
Mudakkar and Dr Aamir Khan for providing direction and productive critiques to my
research I thank my teachers and everyone who voluntarily bore with me throughout the
process of my primary research
I also want to acknowledge collectively the colleagues with whom I worked with
the Lahore School of Economics for the last 8 years Contrary to the usual stereotypes
rather than competition the support by my peers who were on the same journey was
unequivocally sincere I am grateful to my best friend Qurat ul Ain for her consistent
support throughout this challenging process and to my uncle Amjad Bhatti who
encouraged me to enroll in the PhD program
Last but not least I thank all of my family including all my siblings Sadia Sidra
Zeenat Huma M Ali M Umar and especially my father Abdul Qadir for the
unconditional support and encouragement to pursue my interests and follow my dreams
I dedicate this work in the loving memory of my deceased mother Shamshad Akhter for
her wise thoughtful and motivational nurturing that kindled passion in me to accomplish
this milestone
vii
Table of Contents
Contents Abstract iv Acknowledgments vi Table of Contents vii List of Tables x
List of Figures xi 1 Introduction 1
11 Introduction 1
12 Research Context 9
13 Research Objectives and Questions 10
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions 13
15 Organization of the Study 17
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk Perception on Investment
Decisions 19 Abstract 19
21 Introduction 20
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development 24
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979) 24
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991) 26
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001) 27
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies 28
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions 32
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions 35
23 Data and Methodology 41
231 Measures 41
232 Methods 41
24 Results 46
241 Measurement Model 46
242 Structural Model 49
25 Discussion and Implications 56
26 Conclusion and Future Research 62
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions Differences Between
Individual Investors and Professional Investors 65 Abstract 65
31 Introduction 66
viii
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development 68
321 Prospect Theory 68
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions 69
323 Salience and Investment Decision 70
324 Institutional Investors and Salience 74
325 Individual Investors and Salience 75
326 Gender and Salience 77
33 Data and Methodology 81
331 Measures 81
332 Methods 81
34 Results 84
341 Measurement Model 84
342 Structural Model 87
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment 89
344 Multi-group Analysis 92
35 Discussion and Implications 95
36 Conclusion and Future Research 100
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions Interaction of Income and
Inheritance 102
Abstract 102
41 Introduction 103
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development 107
421 Prospect Theory 107
422 Theory of Planned Behavior 108
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory 109
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions 109
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money 113
43 Data and Methodology 118
431 Measures 118
432 Methods 119
44 Results 122
441 Measurement Model 122
442 Structural Model 126
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance 128
45 Discussion and Implications 134
ix
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction 140
5 Conclusion 142 51 Introduction 142
52 Key Findings 143
53 Theoretical Implications 145
54 Practical Implications 148
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions 151
References 154
Appendices 207 Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 207
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 209
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 212
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 214
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation) 215
Appendix VI Questionnaire 220
x
List of Tables
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies 30 Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models 32 Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits 33 Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 46 Table 25 Results of Measurement Model 48
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 49 Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 49 Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D 52 Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception 55
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 84 Table 32 Results of Measurement Model 86
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 86 Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 86 Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D 88
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and
Professional Investors 91
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male
Investors 91 Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93 Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females 94
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females 94
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 122
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model 125 Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs 126
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 126 Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 126 Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D 128 Table 47 Moderation Results 131
xi
List of Figures
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) 7 Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception 10 Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and
long-term investment decisions 80 Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term
and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect
to receive the future inheritance 118 Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132 Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision 133 Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision 133
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and short-term investment decision 216
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision 216 Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision 217 Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision 217
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision 219 Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision 219
Introduction
1
1 Introduction
11 Introduction
Onersquos life is full of risky decisions from ordinary routine matters of daily life to matters
of life or death Individuals persistently face circumstances that require them to decide
between actions that differ in the level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Individual investors
and money managers are often confronted with risky decision-making choices as they are
expected to make decisions by taking into account the perceived levels of risk (Epstein
1994) An individualrsquos financial decision-making is a key factor for hisher long-term
financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017 Tang et al 2018a) Therefore it is important
to understand which factors influenced investorsrsquo financial decisions (Keller amp Siegrist
2006b) Decisions are a function of many constraints such as task structure the decision
makers cognitive representation of the task and the decision makers information
processing capabilities The process of decision-making has been investigated by many
disciplines eg economics statistics psychology philosophy and management science
Psychologists seemed to believe that they can best contribute to decision research by
exposing the psychological processes underlying judgment and choice They have tried to
place behavioral decision theory within a broader psychological context and have focused
on the significance of memory cognition conflict learning and feedback as relevant
factors that affect decision-making (Einhorn amp Hogarth 1981)
Individuals make investment decisions to save earnings for retirement (Clark-Murphy
amp Soutar 2004 Dreman Johnson MacGregor amp Slovic 2001) education expenses and
health care expenditures (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Another reason for an
investment decision is the individualrsquos desire for making profits and increasing their capital
Samra Chaudary
2
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Moreover 1) deregulations of financial services 2) social
security cuts and 3) tough economic conditions are also likely reasons for individuals to
invest (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) In this era of concern for retirement savings
employees try to understand how much to save where to invest and how to make lump-
sum payouts (McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) Consequently individuals all over the world
are facing more complex investment decisions than in the past (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Shih amp Ke 2014)
The development of asset markets has offered more varied opportunities to invest in
several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) These financial instruments have different
time horizons ie short and long The attractiveness of an investment strategy is
significantly determined by the investment horizon (Dierkes Erner amp Zeisberger 2010)
Attitudes towards investment horizon may vary across individuals and may depend on
different behavioral factors (Warren 2014) Some of those are investigated in this
dissertation According to Pennings Candel amp Egelkraut (2003) financial institutions
need new knowledge in order to develop new financial products or to improve the existing
ones Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice
process of the client is crucial for investors themselves as well as for financial institutions
involved in developing financial instruments for investors
An Individualrsquos decisions to invest in a firmrsquos securities are not merely driven by the
fundamentals of a firm (De Vries Erasmus amp Gerber 2017) but are prominently
influenced by psychological and behavioral factors related to investors such as personality
emotions (Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007 Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 Kahneman 2012 Tauni
Fang amp Iqbal 2016) attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b) desire for
Introduction
3
immediate gratification (Warren 2016) locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward
saving (Euwals Eymann amp Boumlrsch-Supan 2004) risk attitudes (Morse1998 Tigges
Riegert Jonitz Brengelmann amp Engel 2000 Warneryd 2001) overconfidence and
behavioral biases (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Kiyilar amp Acar
2009 Kourtidis Sevic amp Chatzoglou 2011 Pompian 2012) The identification of
investorsrsquo related factors that hinder or stimulate their decision to make investments is of
high relevance (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Overlooking such important factors may have
severe negative effects on investment returns (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) Therefore it is
argued that the behavioral aspect of an investor is relevant in devising effective strategies
by financial planners for their clientsrsquo wealth management
Investors sometimes behave irrationally in some of their investment decisions (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2014 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a) Traditional financial models are unable to explain such irrational but real
behavior of investors (Firat amp Fettahoglou 2011) Behavioral finance models are deemed
more suitable to explain investor behavior that results in market anomalies because rational
models of conventional finance fail to explain such anomalies (Glaser Langer Reynders
amp Weber 2007) Previous studies on peoplersquos investment decisions were based on the
assumptions of modern finance theories (Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952
Modigliani amp Miller 1958) Conventional finance theories assume that investors are
rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain level of risk However conventional
finance theories have been criticized both on the basis of their lack of explanatory power
and the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi ampTerano 2003) Yalcin Tatoglu and
Zaim (2016) have identified two bases of conventional finance theories firstly these
Samra Chaudary
4
theories assume that during the decision-making process humans behave rationally as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) secondly these theories advocate that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect the accurate prices of
securities the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) stated that in an efficient market all the
available information is reflected in the observed current prices of financial assets The
assumptions of a perfect market are that there are no taxes no inflation no information
asymmetry no transaction cost no bankruptcy cost and investors are rational According
to EMH investors make rational decisions in the financial market and it would be
impossible for an investor to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis There
are three forms of EMH which are the weak form the semi-strong form and the strong
form In Weak form prices of financial assets reflect market-level data (price and volume)
In semi-strong form current prices of financial securities reflect market-level data and
publicly available data However in the strong form of EMH prevailing prices of the
securities reflect publicly as well as privately available data Hence as level of information
increases market becomes more efficient (Fama 1970)
However in decision-making investors have to take one course of action among
several uncertain investment alternatives However various studies (Black 1986 De
Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Warneryd 2001) detected so-called ldquoanomaliesrdquo in the returns that
were not explained by the EMH and rational models of portfolio choice Yalcin et al (2016)
have explained that both conventional finance and behavioral finance propose different
interpretations to explain the causes of observable market anomalies The advocates of
conventional finance claim that the anomalies can be explained by chance or by the
Introduction
5
presence of methodological errors In contrast advocates of behavioral finance claim these
anomalies are explainable through behavioral biases (Kliger amp Kudryavtsev 2010 Sahi
Arora amp Dhameja 2013)
The term expected utility was first introduced by Bernoulli (17381954) The
expected utility theory deals with the decision-making under the condition of uncertainty
ie when individuals are unaware of the outcome of the decision Expected utility theory
postulates that investors behaved rationally and tried to maximize their utilities by
evaluating all the investment alternatives and they restrict their feelings and they decide
only by using their brains as a super calculator or as emotionless robots Investors choose
between risky or uncertain prospects by calculating the utility of each decision outcome
multiplied by its probability to arrive at an expected value Friedman and Savage (1952)
had proposed that decision-makers look for maximum utility in all outcomes whereas
utility was generally defined as a degree of happiness satisfaction or contentment
Conventional finance theory was first questioned by Simon (1955) who argued that
individuals have bounded rationality and their actions are constrained by mental and
external restrictions which limit their rationality Slovic Fischhoff and Lichtenstein
(1977) also argued that because of limited information processing ability and not knowing
the guidelines of optimal information processing decision makerrsquos judgment is subject to
systematic biases The idea of limited rationality provided the foundation for the discipline
of behavioral finance as many researchers encountered counter-evidence against the
validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Shleifer amp Summers 1990) These researchers concluded that in real-life decision-making
situations individuals were subject to some cognitive limitations
Samra Chaudary
6
The area of behavioral finance recognizes the importance of human behavioral
biases which plays a significant role in economic decisions made by individuals The field
picked up pace when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed prospect theory and got
further recognition when three Nobel Prizes were awarded to behavioral economists
namely Daniel Kahneman in 2002 Robert Schiller in 2006 and most recently Richard
Thaler in 2017 Prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) laid the foundation for
the discipline of behavioral finance It proposes that investorsrsquo decision-making is based
on the potential value of gains and losses rather than on actual value of gains and losses
This phenomenon occurs due to cognitive biases that affect the judgment about these gains
and losses Prospect theory assumes that the value function is a concave function in the
area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a convex function in the area of loss and thus risk-
taking Additionally the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in the area of
loss than in the area of gain which infers that a loss would have a larger effect (cause more
pain) on the decision-maker than a gain (would cause happiness)
In prospect theory the outcomes are estimated on the basis of the deviance from
the reference point which symbolizes the psychological origin the decision-maker assesses
the outcomes either as a gain or loss Moreover prospect theory suggests that decision-
makers estimate a gain as risk-aversion and a loss as risk-taking Even the identical problem
demonstrates risk-aversion behavior when the alternatives are shown in the area of gain it
also shows risk-taking behavior in the area of loss
According to prospect theory the value function is a concave function (a function
that is concave downward) in the region of gain which is above the reference point and
the function is convex (a function that is convex downward) in the region of loss which is
Introduction
7
below the reference point as shown in figure 11 This shows that the decision-makers show
risk-averse actions in the area of gain and risk-taking actions in the area of a loss
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted a survey among faculty and students in
Israeli American and Swedish universities Subjects were given the following similar
problems as stated in Takemura (2014) To clarify this findings of their results are given
below
Problem 1 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
A a gain of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect A = (4000 080)
B a certain gain of $3000 (Prospect B = (3000 100)
Problem 2 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
C a loss of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect C = (-4000 080)
D a certain loss of $3000 (Prospect D = (-3000 100)
Samra Chaudary
8
For Problem 1 20 of 95 respondents selected A 80 preferred B Regarding Problem
2 92 of 95 respondents preferred C 8 opted for D This pattern of the majority
selection was consistent with the propositions of prospect theory that decision-makers are
risk-averse in the area of gain and risk-takers in the area of loss
The above example can further be clarified that in case of gains a big majority of
respondents (80) showed a preference for definite gains while only 20 of respondents
expressed the preference for probabilistic gains although the probabilistic gains were
higher Therefore they concluded that in case of gains respondents showed risk-averse
behavior Furthermore in the case of losses 92 of respondents chose probabilistic losses
while only 8 chose definite losses though probabilistic losses were higher Therefore
they showed preference for risk-taking which is an irrational behavior
The discipline of behavioral finance links the knowledge of finance and behavioral
decision-making The discipline discusses how investors think feel behave and decide
about their investments The subject also includes the awareness of psychological
processes that determine the decision-makersrsquo choices as well as systematic biases that
investors have and heuristics that investors use when making decisions Behavioral finance
emerged as a new discipline linking behavioral and psychological perspectives in economic
and financial decision-making in the 1980s (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) The field is emerging
within the broader context of economics and finance and has close interaction with both
psychology and sociology (Puustinen Maas amp Karjaluoto 2013 Shiller 2003
Subrahmanyam 2008) Shariff Al-Khasawneh and ElSharif (2012) conducted a survey
on university students in the Persian Gulf countries and found that respondents were not at
all familiar with behavioral finance or neuroscience concepts Riepe (2013) has
Introduction
9
emphasized that the future of behavioral finance is bright Huang Shieh and Kao (2016)
research based on ISI Web of Science (WOS) database searched from 1995 to 2013
covering 124 journals found that research papers in the area of behavioral finance are
increasing making it a significant area of study With the dynamic development of
financial markets more and more researchers are using behavioral finance as their research
paradigm
12 Research Context
Capital markets play an important role in any countryrsquos economic health Respondents
of this study were the active traders in the equity market Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-
100) was founded in 1991 and is the largest and most liquid stock index of Pakistan As of
February 23rd 2018 the market capitalization of PSX-100 was US$ 84 billion with an
average daily trading volume of US$95 billion There were 559 listed companies from 35
sectors From a population of almost 208 million (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2017)
there were only approximately 0248 million investors (including institutional and retail)
who were actively participating in the stock market This was barely 125 percent of the
countryrsquos population Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual) of
the country Karachi has 74 percent investors Lahore has 18 percent and Islamabad has 8
percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Khwaja and Mian (2005) argued
that KSE-100 index depicts the typical attributes of an emerging market such as soaring
returns with extreme volatility low market capitalization but with large trading volumes
and high kurtosis in the returns distribution In 2002 for instance KSE-100 was announced
as the outperforming index in the world in terms of the percentage increase Consequently
the status of PSX was upgraded to Emerging Markets from Frontier Markets by Morgan
Samra Chaudary
10
Stanley Capital International (MSCI) in June 2016 According to the managing director of
IMF emerging economies contribute almost 60 percent of global GDP (Lagarde 2016)
This announcement anticipated more capital inflows from international markets indicating
brighter future prospects for PSX (Jabeen 2016) Figure 12 shows an overall upward trend
of yearly returns of PSX-100 since its inception
Kumar and Goyal (2015) proposed that future research in the discipline of behavioral
finance should concentrate on emerging stock markets as developing economies have
higher growth prospects It was also proposed that attention should be given to research
based on primary data to analyze the behavior of investors
Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception
Source wwwpsxcompk
13 Research Objectives and Questions
This study is built on the notion that behavioral factors have an influence on the
decision-making process of investors The key objective of this dissertation is to investigate
Introduction
11
the effect of behavioral factors namely personality type of investors salience (familiarity
bias) and investorsrsquo love of money on their investment decisions In this sense this study
essentially aims at testing the Prospect Theory in many ways in the context of a developing
economy
There is a dearth of literature on the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience
(familiarity bias) and love of money on short-term and long-term investment decisions
There are numerous studies on the aforementioned three behavioral factors and their impact
on decision-making from developed economies (Ahearne Griever amp Warnock 2004
Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale Inbar amp Lerner 2011
Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Gentina Tang amp Gu 2018 Hampson Grimes Banister amp
McGoldrick 2018 Hirshleifer 2001 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997
Mayfield Perdue amp Wooten 2008 Nicholson Soane Fenton‐OCreevy amp Willman
2005 Oehler Wendt Wedlich amp Horn 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell Bacon
Firth amp Corr 2018 Sekścińska Rudzinska-Wojciechowska amp Maison 2018 Tang 2016
1992 Tversky amp Kahneman 1986 1981 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell Singh amp
Paolillo 2007 Wang Keller amp Siegrist 2011 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber Blais amp
Betz 2002 Yalcin et al 2016) But research in the context of developing economies is
still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De Vries
et al 2017 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li Jiang An Shen amp Jin 2009 Li amp Liu 2008
Metawa Hassan Metawa amp Safa 2019 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira Augusto Falciano
amp Villas Boas Perito 2014 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Tripathi amp
Chattopadhyay 2013)
Samra Chaudary
12
To the best of our knowledge there is scant empirical evidence on the primary research
question of the study and none in the emerging economy In order to accomplish the
research objective a number of following research questions have been developed 1a) Do
five personality types have an effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions
1b) Does risk perception mediate the relationship between personality types and short-term
and long-term investment decisions 2a) Does salience (familiarity bias) have an impact
on short-term and long-term investment decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between individual investors and
professional investors 2c) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions differs between female investors and male investors 3a) What is the
relationship between Love of Money and short-term and long-term investment decisions
3b) Whether current income moderates the relationship of Love of Money and short-term
as well as long-term investment decisions 3c) Whether future inheritance moderates the
relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment decisions
It is crucially important to analyze investorsrsquo intentions (such as short-term vs long-
term) about investment and why they manage the investment in different ways If those
investment intentions are evident then researchers and financial advisors would be
interested to learn if those intentions are adaptable (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become
vital to recognize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is
likely to be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate
with these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Introduction
13
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions
The key findings of three papers are summarized in the following paragraph The
results of first paper are that investors only with neuroticism and extrovert personality traits
showed a significant positive relationship with ST-D However individuals with openness
conscientiousness and extraversion personalities showed a significant positive relationship
with LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of extraversion with LT-
D openness with LT-D agreeableness with LT-D and conscientiousness personality trait
with LT-D There was no mediating effect of risk perception between relationship of five
personality types and ST-D The findings of the second paper are that salience has a
significant positive impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and
professional investors were found significantly different from each other with respect to
impact of salience on decision making behavior both ST-D and LT-D Furthermore the
moderating effect of gender in relationship between salience and investment decision
showed that the path coefficients of female investors were significantly different from the
path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D It was found that female
investors suffered more from salience bias than male investors In the third paper it was
found that LoM had a significant positive impact on both ST-D and on L-TD Moreover
income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D but did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D Paper three also tested moderating effect of inheritance
expectation on relationship between LoM and investment decisions The expectation of
receiving future inheritance was found to moderate the relationship between LoM and ST-
D as well as the relationship of LoM with LT-D
Samra Chaudary
14
The significance of these studies enhances the understanding of irrationality in
investment decision making Behavioral biases are inseparable from individualsrsquo decision-
making and can reasonably be understood with the lens of behavioral finance (Barberis amp
Thaler 2003) The complexity of irrational decisions by investors creates new challenges
for portfolio managers whose job is to manage their clientrsquos wealth Therefore the
knowledge of behavioral factors is imperative for the financial institutions and financial
planners to ensure that their customers are obtaining appropriate guidance Such findings
can also help professionals in recognizing the behaviors of clients and accordingly advise
them for short-term and long-term financial goals (Baker Filbeck amp Ricciardi 2017) The
understanding of behavioral factors operative in investors decision-making is likely to aid
managers to communicate better with their clients (Muradoglu amp Harvey 2012)
Moreover understanding of an investorrsquos behavior is likely to assist managers in assessing
how optimistic overconfident and risk-averse their specific clients are (Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998)
This research has made contributions in multiple forms Firstly as discussed
above investigating this area of finance is itself a theoretical contribution because the
paradigm is still young and emerging and needs more evidence from developing economies
to have more generalizable knowledge about the behavioral factors influencing investment
decision-making Secondly many other studies have used student samples (from a finance
course) as proxy for potential investors in the field of behavioral finance (Filbeck Hattield
amp Horvarth 2005 Lemrova Reiterova Fatenova Lemr amp Tang 2014 Li amp Liu 2008
Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al 2018 Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) but this study
collected responses from actual real-life investors It was also proposed that attention
Introduction
15
should be given to empirical research which should be based on primary data to analyze
the behavior of investors (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) This study has made a methodological
contribution by using primary data collected from actual investors instead of student
sample Thirdly this study has aimed to bridge the empirical gap between behavioral
factors and investment decisions To the best of our knowledge there have been no
research studies about the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience and love of money
on short-term and long-term investment decisions This was correct both in the context of
developing andor developed economies hence provides contextual contribution Fourthly
this study has extended the general model of prospect theory the theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy And lastly given the importance of these theories in the field of
social behavior the findings of this study also deliver interdisciplinary contributions
The novel findings of this research provide significant and meaningful
contributions to the emerging behavioral finance paradigm and offer practical implications
for financial institutions professional money managers individual investors and
regulatory authorities This research offers practical implications for individual investors
themselves and for professional financial managers In light of this study individual
investors can enhance knowledge of their own preferences and professional managers can
gain better understandings of their clientsrsquo preferences Such enhanced understanding is
expected to facilitate investment decision-making in a more meaningful manner
Investment advisors help their clients in investing money They must understand what is
Samra Chaudary
16
important to their customers in order to guide them and fulfill their clientsrsquo needs
commendably It may also be useful for advisors to identify potential investors based on
personality type risk perception familiarity bias money attitudes current income and
future wealth possession to segment the client accordingly and to develop suitable
investment strategies based on such segmentations
This research also contributes to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market By such enhanced insights market inefficiencies and
anomalies are likely to be better understood Financial planners may find useful strategies
to exploit numerous behavioral anomalies present in the financial markets Financial
managers from brokerage houses mutual fund companies and other financial institutions
may deliver a superior product service and targeted guidance to their customers once they
understand their clientsrsquo behavior which can influence their investment decisions
Investors should be mindful that familiarity bias sometimes could lead to
undiversified and sub-optimal portfolio building Hence acknowledging the presence of
such bias can help avoid sub-optimal diversification To avoid pitfalls of familiarity bias
financial planners would be well advised to communicate to investors that they should have
a long-term diversification plan with the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return
in their investment portfolios (Baker amp Ricciardi 2015)
For an emerging market like Pakistan raising fresh equity capital from investors is
paramount in its importance to attain economic growth Successfully strategies of targeting
investors are likely to bring more money in the market boost investments in the economy
and strengthen investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually help the
Introduction
17
market to move towards efficiency To conclude this research offers a brand new and
novel perspective and adds to the behavioral finance literature by investigating personality
salience bias and LoM as antecedents of short-term and long-term investment decisions
The theoretical models reveal novel and counterintuitive findings and help us understand
not only the what how and why factors contributing to short-term and long-term
investment decisions but also who where and when
15 Organization of the Study
This dissertation is divided into five chapters The first chapter introduces the
discipline of behavioral finance and behavioral factors affecting investorsrsquo investment
decisions This chapter also presents research objectives research questions and
significance and contribution of this research in the context of developing economy
The second chapter examines the relationships between five personality types and
investment decisions It further explores the mediation of risk perception between each
type of personality and investment decisions The results indicate that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities show a significant relationship with ST-D
However all personality types except neuroticism and agreeableness show an effect on
long-term investment decision Moreover risk perception is found to mediate relationships
between the four personality types and LT-D only
The third chapter explores the pertinence of salience as a heuristic with respect to
investment decisions This relationship is further explored by examining the group
differences between individual investors and professional investors and between female
investors and male investors Data has been analyzed through partial least square based
structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach measurement invariance test and
Samra Chaudary
18
multi-group analysis Results indicate that salience has a significant positive effect on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions is significantly different for individual
investors and professional investors as well as for female investors and male investors
The fourth chapter explores the relationship of Love of Money (LoM) with short-
term and long-term investment decisions This relationship is further explored by
examining the moderating effect of current income and the expectation of receiving future
inheritance The study finds that LoM has a significant positive impact on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions Furthermore it is found that current income moderates
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and does not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D Future inheritance moderates the relationship between LoM and both short-
term and long-term investment decisions
The fifth chapter presents a conclusion by elucidating the major research findings
and underscoring theoretical and managerial implications of the results of the research
questions raised in this study Especially this section highlights the contributions to the
growing body of applied behavioral finance area It also emphasizes the contribution to the
literature on personality types heuristics and LoM This chapter also provides a way
forward by identifying limitations and offering future research directions in the field of
behavioral finance
Personality and Investment Decisions
19
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk
Perception on Investment Decisions
Abstract
Investigating behavioral psychological influences in the area of finance is relatively
a new phenomenon and the subject is of interest to economists psychologists professional
money managers and individual savers and investors This paper has taken a behavioral
approach to unveil the psychological predictors of long-term and short-term investment
decisions The paper has used the theory of planned behavior (TPB 1991) and Risk as
Feeling (RaF 2001) theory as a conceptual lens to discover the factors influencing
individualsrsquo investment intentions in the Pakistan Stock Exchange The study used partial
least square based structural equation modeling technique on a data gathered from 277
active equity traders that included professional money managers brokers and individual
traders It was found that individuals with relatively higher neuroticism and extraversion
personality traits were found more likely to do short-term investment decision However
investors with relatively higher openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality
traits were found more likely to do long-term investment decision Investorsrsquo risk
perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of extraversion openness
agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-term investment
decisions These findings have implications for psychologists economists and finance
executives as it was found that investorsrsquo personality traits influenced their investment
decisions It is recommended that financial managers should include the influence of these
behavioral aspects in their investment plans advice and decisions for their clients These
findings are expected to contribute to the growing body of knowledge in the area of applied
Samra Chaudary
20
behavioral research within the discipline of finance and these findings in the context of a
developing economy also make this study a first in this line of research stream
Keywords personality type risk perception investment decision behavioral finance
21 Introduction
Decision-making is a skill (Hastie amp Dawes 2010) and onersquos life is full of risky
decisions (Satchell et al 2018) ranging from an ordinary matter to matters of life or death
Individuals frequently face circumstances in which they have to decide between actions
whose outcomes are uncertain and that vary in level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) The
fact has long been established that all decisions made by business managers (about cash
flows) may not positively affect the performance of companies because managers may not
necessarily work towards shareholdersrsquo wealth maximization the so-called agency
problem (Jensen amp Meckling 1976) Business managers and financial managers are often
confronted with decision-making choices that are risky and based on the risk analysis they
make decisions by taking into account the identified risks levels (Epstein 1994)
Individuals financial (saving) decisions are influenced by construal Construal is described
as an individualrsquos cognitive illustrations of goals and is a way individuals use their minds
A high-level of construal mentality would lead to more willingness to save than a low-level
construal mentality (Rudzinska-Wojciechowska 2017)
Individuals invest in stocks to increase their capital and profits (Keller amp Siegrist
2006a) Another reason for investing in the stock market is the desire to save their earnings
for retirement (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004 Dreman et al 2001) Since investments in
stocks are risky therefore just like professional money managers individual investors also
have to incorporate risk in their decision-making
Personality and Investment Decisions
21
The development of financial markets has offered more varied opportunities to
invest in several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) Investors look for better
investment alternatives and financial institutions as professional money managers for
investors need to understand the preferences of investors for different financial
instruments and for different time horizons and for different risk perceptions Investment
in financial instruments entails commitment for different time horizons ie short-term
(ST-D) and long-term investment decisions (LT-D) Individualsrsquo attitudes towards either
of these two-time horizons for investments may vary and such variations may be a result
of investors different personality traits and different risk perceptions
According to Pennings et al (2003) financial institutions need information about
clientsrsquo preferences to develop a new financial product or to improve the existing ones
Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice process of
client is crucial for financial institutions and professional money managers Dierkes et al
(2010) analyzed the attractiveness of different investment strategies for different time
horizons They found that the preference of the investment strategy was significantly
determined by the length of the investment horizon A bond strategy was desired for the
short horizon while stocks were preferred for longer horizons
Lakshmi Visalakshmi Thamaraiselvan and Senthilarasu (2013) suggested that
with long-term investment horizon investors are not likely to make frequent withdrawals
and consequently market volatility would tend to decrease if the majority of investors had
long-term investment horizon Investors are likely according to this view to earn extra
profits when they hold their funds in the same instrument for a longer time In this era of
retirement savings employees face challenges to understand how much to save
Samra Chaudary
22
periodically and where to invest such savings for long-term post-retirement benefits
(McKenzie amp Liersch 2011)
The importance to analyze individualsrsquo intentions about investment goals and why
they manage the investment in different ways cannot be over-emphasized If those
investment intents are evident then researchers and financial advisors would find it easier
to adapt their advice accordingly to their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become vital
to realize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is likely to
be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate more
appropriately to these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Studies on individualsrsquo investment intentions were mostly based on the
assumptions of modern finance theory that operate within the paradigm of rationality
(Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952 Modigliani amp Miller 1958) The conventional
theory proposes that investors are rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain
level of risk and have a clear understanding of their risk preferences
Fama (1998) is a strong supporter of an efficient market and his answer is a solid
lsquonorsquo for market inefficiency because he believes that the presence of observed long-term
return anomalies is sensitive to statistical models which used to discover such anomalies
otherwise investors behave rationally Fama (1998) seems to propose that anomalies have
a tendency to show minimal or no effect when exposed to different statistical approaches
to measure expected (normal) returns This line of argument can conclude that most long-
term return anomalies can realistically be recognized as a chance event and therefore in
the long run investors behavior may be viewed as rational
Personality and Investment Decisions
23
Another viewpoint emphasizes the fact that in reality individualsrsquo decision-
making process is significantly shaped by psychological factors such as personality types
emotions and moods (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman
2012 Shleifer amp Summers 1990 Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007) and therefore their decision-
making process cannot be assumed to follow strict rationality presumed in conventional
theories of economics and finance An individualrsquos position between the two extremes of
a continuum ranging from risk aversion to risk-seeking was thought as a function of hisher
personality traits (MacCrimmon amp Wehrung 1990)
There are numerous studies on behavioral factors and decision-making from
developed economies (Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale et al 2011 Mayfield et al
2008 Nicholson et al 2005 Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell et al
2018 Sekścińska et al 2018 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber et al 2002) but only
handful studies from the developing economies (Ahmad Hassan Mahmood amp Aslam
2016 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li amp Liu 2008 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra
2016 Tripathi amp Chattopadhyay 2013 Verma 2008)
To the best of our knowledge there are no studies that have examined the impact
of Big-Five personality traits on short and long-term investment decisions with the
mediation of risk perception in both developed and developing economies (see appendix
I) Previous studies have only considered a few personality types (Mayfield et al 2008
Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) and tested the mediation of risk perception
in relationship between information asymmetry and investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra
2016) and between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq Maqbool Akram Tariq
amp Khurshid 2017) This study however aims to cater to the absence of empirical studies
Samra Chaudary
24
in the discipline by modeling the missing link of risk perception as a mediator between
relationships of all Big-Five personality types and investment decisions
This study provides a significant and meaningful theoretical contribution to the
prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm The study has tried to provide the
desired evidence from the developing economy by using a unique data set of professional
money managers and individual investors who have invested in the Pakistan Stock
Exchange It has investigated if the personality traits of these investors have a significant
effect on decision- making and if risk perception mediates the relationship between the
personality trait and horizon of their investment decision
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development
Traditional (standard) financial theories have been disparaged for the lack of their
explanatory power and their grounded assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et
al (2016) criticized the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first
proposition supposes that humans behave rationally during the decision-making process as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and
therefore finance theory incline towards endorsing the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979)
The idea of bounded rationality was introduced by Simon (1955) and gave birth to the
discipline of behavioral finance as various studies found empirical evidence against the
assumption of rationality in decision-making process (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Shleifer amp Summers 1990) Research in this
Personality and Investment Decisions
25
area aced when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and received
more appreciation after Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002
Prospect theory purports that when individuals are offered a gamble containing two or
more outcome lotteries with some probability they make their decisions on the basis of the
potential psychological value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the one with the highest value
This value function is defined based on psychological gains and losses rather than on
levels of wealth The function is concave in the area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a
convex function in the area of loss and risk-takers Moreover the gradient of the value
function is steeper in the area of loss than in the area of gain which infers that investors
are generally risk-averse
A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors get more distressed by losses than they
are delighted by equal amount of gains The loss of $1 dollar is twice as unpleasant as the
happiness received from a $1 gain (Singh 2010) This happens due to the effect of
cognitive biases that operate on investorsrsquo judgment about expected psychological value
of these gains and losses Many studies have tested prospect theory in the domain of
influence of behavioral factors (so-called irrational biases) on decision-making (Ishfaq et
al 2017 Odean 1998)
Samra Chaudary
26
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991)
Ajzen and Fishbein (1980) asserted that behavioral intentions are cognitive in nature
and act as a representation of an individualrsquos eagerness to involve in a particular behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB) Individualsrsquo behavior is predicted by
onersquos behavioral intention Behavioral intentions are then determined by favorable attitude
subjective norms and perceived behavioral control These intentions along with
perceptions of behavioral control explain significant variance in real behavior (Ajzen
1991)
Thus the core idea of the theory implies that planned behavioral was driven by
behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) The theory of planned behavior predicts human
behavior which can include conflicts between short-term and long-term goals affect
cognition and consequences in several fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Raut Das and Kumar
(2018) suggested that TPB predicts individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest in the
stock market They also revealed that attitude toward behavior subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control are significantly related to behavioral intentions According
to Michaelidou and Hassan (2014) the research work on gain versus loss framing by
Tversky and Kahneman (1981) has been well studied Therein lies a starting point that may
assist in apprehending the process of the theory of planned behavior in several decision-
making situations and contexts
Many researches have utilized TPB in the domain of behavioral studies with investment
decision-making (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008) with financial decision-making
(Koropp Kellermanns Grichnik amp Stanley 2014) and with entrepreneurial (business
start-up) decision-making (Kautonen 2015)
Personality and Investment Decisions
27
East (1993) investigated the willingness to apply for new issue of shares TPB was
applied to personal investment choices and found support for TPB as a way of identifying
that beliefs are associated with investment choice behavior He reported that investment
decisions are just like consumer decisions and investors do not decide only based on
financial criteria Moreover Koropp et al (2014) investigated financing decisions and TBP
was applied to capital structure decisions of German family firms They also supported
TPB as family attitudes toward debt and equity affected behavioral intention to use the
respective financing decisions which in turn affected financing behavior
Similarly Kautonen (2015) too supported the relevance of TPB in the context of
business start-up intentions He instigated whether intentions were linked to business start-
up activities such as arranging finances approaching financial institutions for funds
financial projections and many other activities related to business start-up Mayfield et al
(2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and also supported TBP
that long-term and short-term investment intentions were predicted by personality types
This research however uses Big-Five personality types and extends the applicability of
the well-established TPB in the area of decision-making of the investment horizon
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001)
A few behavioral models overtly sketch that the behavioral actions are the consequence
of ambivalence due to the availability of conflicting information but Risk as feelings (RaF)
hypothesis (Loewenstein Weber Hsee amp Welch 2001) is an exception The RaF
(Loewenstein et al 2001) theory explains a range of behaviors that exhibit deviation
between cognitiverational evaluations and feelings
Samra Chaudary
28
The theory proposed that when there is a risky situation behavior tends to be driven
by emotional reactions or feelings encountered at the time of decision-making rather than
cognitiverational assessments of the situation The RaF theory predicts action selection in
psychological risk-return models (Weber amp Johnson 2008) They found that affective
(non-rational) responses to risky situations had shown a significant role in risk perception
of risky choices
Hsee and Weber (1997) proposed that when individuals made a risky decision their
choice was influenced by their subjective feelings towards risk Moreover Loewenstein
and Lerner (2003) also found that individuals make a decision on the basis of the affect
(feeling) which they encountered at the time of the decision
Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009) tested planned and feeling based behavior models
with TPB and RaF theories in their study They argued that TPB and RaF have some shared
variables which are subjective probability anticipated outcome and behavior Both of
these models assume that estimations of a particular behavior will be guided by anticipated
outcomes in combination with subjective probabilities
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies
Aristotle (384-324 BC) struggled to provide a guide for human ldquocharactersrdquo Ever
since others have also attempted to map similar human attributes The 20th century
provided the procedure of sampling human attributes (ie formulation of Lexical
Hypothesis)
The Lexical Hypothesis postulates that most of the socially relevant and prominent
personality characteristics are encrypted in the natural language (Allport 1937) Hence
the personality terminology which was encoded in the dictionaries of a natural language
Personality and Investment Decisions
29
delivers a broad yet limited set of features that individuals speaking that language have
found essential and convenient in their everyday communications (Goldberg 1981) The
lexical hypothesis provided the theoretical foundation for the Five-Factor personality
model (Allport amp Odbert 1936)
The lexical hypothesis led to factor analyses of a wide array of personality
attributes resulting in the development of the Five-Factor model This hypothesis also
suggested that it should be possible to analyze the most significant attributes that have
similar meanings to describe a personality (Saucier amp Goldberg 1996)
Numerous instruments were developed to measure personality traits and this
activity of instrument development has accelerated tremendously overtime (Goldberg
1971) According to John and Srivastava (1999) researchers are confronted with a wide
range of personality scales with pintsize guidance and with no adequate reasoning Scales
with similar titles often measured different concepts and scales with different titles
frequently measured somewhat similar concepts
Therefore a taxonomy of traits was desired which would allow researchers to
investigate specific domain of personality attributes instead of inspecting thousands of
characteristics individually which makes each individual distinct Moreover an
established taxonomy would enable researchers to communicate their research outcomes
in a uniform vocabulary Table 21 provides a summary of broad sets of competing
personality measures that were proposed over last 40 years
Samra Chaudary
30
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies
Study Factors Personalities
Tupesamp
Christal
(1961)
Five Surgency (Sociability amp Ambition) Agreeableness Dependability
Emotional Stability and Culture
Norman
(1963) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional
Stability and Culture
Cattell et al (1970) Sixteen
Warmth Reasoning Emotional Stability Dominance Liveliness Rule-
Consciousness Social Boldness Sensitivity Vigilance Abstractedness
Privateness Apprehension Openness to Change Self-Reliance
Perfectionism and Tension
Myersamp
McCaulley
(1985)
Four
Extraversion vs Introversion Thinking vs Feeling Judging vs Perceiving
and Intuition vs Sensation
Hogan
(1982) Six
Ascendancy Sociability Agreeableness Dependability Emotional Stability
and Intellectance
CostaampMcCrae
(1985) Five
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Kampamp Hough
(1986) Seven
Potency Adjustment Agreeableness Dependability Intellectance
affiliation and Miscellaneous
Hogan
(1986) Six
Sociability Ambition (Potency amp Achievement) Prudence Likeability
Adjustment and Intellectance
Digmanamp Inouye
(1986) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Will to Achieve Agreeableness Anxiety and
Openness
Kampamp Gough
(1986) Five
Ascendency Self -Control Adjustment (Agreeableness amp Anxiety)
Intellection and Masculinity
Goldberg
(1990) Five
Surgency Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional Stability and
Intellect
Hough et al
(1990) Nine
Affiliation Potency Achievement (Dependability Conscientiousness ampWill
to achieve) Dependability Adjustment Agreeableness Intellectance
Ruggedness individualism and Locus of Control
Costaamp
McCrae
(1992)
Five
(Revised
NEO
personality
inventory)
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Cattell
(1996) Five Extraversion Independence Anxiety Self-Control and Tough-mindedness
In addition to multi-factor models of personality types as shown in table 1 a number
of studies have also tried to develop tools for the assessment of a personality eg California
Personality Inventory by Gough (1987) Eysenck Personality Inventory by Eysenck and
Eysenck (1975) Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey by Guilford (1949) and
Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator by Mayer and McCaulley (1985) All of these
instruments are believed to be encompassed in the Five-Factor Model (Briggs 1992 Costa
Personality and Investment Decisions
31
Busch amp Zonderman 1986 Johnson Butcher Null amp Johnson 1984 Noller Law amp
Comrey 1987) Moreover the Five-Factor Model developed by Costa and McCrae (1992)
was comparable with Five-Factor model proposed by Goldberg (1990) and Cattell (1996)
as shown in table 22
After many decades researchers have developed a consensus on the Big-Five
personality model as an acceptable taxonomy for labeling the basic dimensions of a
personality Therefore many studies based on meta-analyses of personalities have
converged on using Five-Factor personality model because it describes the most salient
aspects of personality (Barrick amp Mount 1991 Judge Heller amp Mount 2002 Oshio
Taku Hirano amp Saeed 2018 Salgado 1997 Trapmann Hell Hirn amp Schuler 2007)
The Five-Factor Model continues to be the most studied model of personality model based
on the lexical hypothesis (Poropat 2009)
The advantage of using the Five-Factor Model is that it includes most of the
variance in a set of five-factors of personality thus solving the puzzle of the earlier ldquochaotic
plethorardquo of personality measures (Funder 2001 John amp Srivastava 1999) The Five-
Factor model provides a comprehensive and parsimonious theoretical framework (Costa amp
McCrae 1992)
Moreover another important feature of the Five-Factor Model was that it uses
natural language which was not biased to prefer any existing scientific conception (John amp
Srivastava 1999) Hence this research has adopted the most recent and updated Five-
Factor Model by Costa and McCrae (1992) for personality measures as shown in table 23
Samra Chaudary
32
Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models
Cattell (1996) Costa amp McCrae (1992) Goldberg (1990)
ExtraversionIntroversion Extraversion Surgency
Low AnxietyHigh Anxiety Neuroticism Emotional stability
Tough-MindednessReceptivity Openness Intellect or culture
IndependenceAccommodation Agreeableness Agreeableness
Self-ControlLack of Restraint Conscientiousness Conscientiousness or
dependability
Source (Cattell amp Mead 2008)
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions
Satchell et al (2018) found that different personalities have varied risk-taking
behaviors Individuals who exhibit more prosocial traits (more extravert) are risk-takers as
compared to those who exhibit antisocial traits (less extravert) Hershey and Mowen (2000)
in one of the initial studies on personality and decision-making found that personality
constructs were significant predictors of pre-retirement financial decisions Filbeck et al
(2005) studied the relationship between risk tolerance and personality types on a sample of
college students They found that respondents with higher score on thinking (objective
decision-making) judging (organization and order) and sensing (concrete and practical)
traits showed relatively higher risk tolerance in their investment decisions They also
reported that extraversion trait showed no effect on risk tolerance However Mayfield et
al (2008) later on conducted research on undergraduate students registered in an
investment course They mainly focused on the effect of two personality traits on both ST-
D and LT-D Results showed that extravert and conscientiousness investors tended to
involve in short-term investments however individuals with neuroticism andor risk
aversion trait avoided to engage in short-term investments Risk-averse investors also did
not take part in long-term investing Investors with the openness trait showed long-term
investing behavior On the other hand openness did not determine short-term investing
Personality and Investment Decisions
33
behavior A negative correlation was reported between openness trait and risk aversion
Moreover extraversion was reported negatively but insignificantly associated with
investment-specific risk aversion For personality measurement the study adopted a
revised NEO personality inventory (NEO-PIR) scale by Costa and McCrae (1992) and
NEO five-factor inventory (NEO FFI) by Salgado (1997) The Big-Five personality
classification was predominantly recognized in applied research (Barrick amp Mount 1991
Hogan amp Hogan 1991) Table 23 explains the traits of five types of personalities
Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits
Personality Trait Description
Neuroticism (N) High scores show insecure self-conscious vulnerability anxious depressed tenseness
and moodiness
Extraversion (E) High scores show gregarious assertiveness sociability talkativeness optimism positive
emotion being upbeat and energetic
Openness (O) High scores show creativity active imagination trust a preference for variety curios and
cultural interest
Agreeableness (A) High scores show altruism warmth sympathetic helpful modest compliance tender
mindedness and cooperation
Conscientiousness (C) High scores show hard-working organized purposefulness self-discipline
achievement striving determination reliability and punctuality
Source (Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997)
The meta-analysis studies on Big-Five personality types found that extraversion
and conscientiousness had an influence on concrete problem solving and cognitive
structuring as coping strategies (Connor- Smith amp Falchsbart 2007) An entrepreneurial
(risky) behavior was determined by the traits of conscientiousness and openness to
experience (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) Verma (2008) in an Indian sample found that
personality and demographics have shown an association with the investment choice
However the study poorly measured personality traits on a five-point likert scale from
conservative to aggressive and chose to report the results with basic and simple statistical
techniques Many studies have investigated investment decisions in the form of investment
Samra Chaudary
34
horizon ie long-term vs short-term (Dierkes et al 2010 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Wood amp
Zaichkowsky 2004)
Oehler et al (2018) examined the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on
investment decisions in an experimental financial market The authors found that more
extravert persons paid a high price for their assets purchases and they bought more financial
securities when securities were overpriced as compared to less extravert persons The
influence of the extravert trait was found to be insignificant when it comes to holding an
asset However more neurotic individuals keep less volatile financial securities in their
portfolios than less neurotic individuals Similarly Oehler and Wedlich (2018) also
investigated the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on risk-taking behavior in
investment decisions The authors identified that more extravert subjects were less risk-
averse and more neurotic subjects were more risk-averse This research had again focused
only on two personality traits and used a student sample Both of the above-mentioned
studies ignored the remaining three personality traits ie openness agreeableness and
conscientiousness
Moreover the above-cited research findings were based on samples of
undergraduate students of a German university which means their findings were not
coming from a sample of practitioners working in the financial industry This research
however investigates relationships of all Big-Five personality traits with investment
decisions The study also investigates the relationships from a sample of individuals
working in the financial industry of a developing economy by using a sample of practicing
investors The following hypotheses are tested about the behavioral intentions of stock
investors
Personality and Investment Decisions
35
H1a The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H1b The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the less likely will be their intentions
to engage in long-term investing
H2a The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H2b The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-term
investing
H3a The greater the level of individuals openness the less likely will be their intentions to
engage in short-term investing
H3b The greater the level of openness the more likely will be their intentions to engage in
long-term investing
H4a The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H4b The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in long-term investing
H5a The more conscientious individuals would show weaker intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H5b The more conscientious individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-
term investing
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions
Perception is described as the psychological interpretation of physical sensations
shaped by stimuli from the external environment (Fischhoff 1994) Therefore the way
Samra Chaudary
36
individuals subjectively perceive risk of an investment is likely to influence their actions
(Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Zeisberger (2018) using an experimental design found that the
ldquoprobability of losingrdquo was the key variable that their subjects perceived as ldquoriskrdquo Lim et
al (2013) defined risk perception as an assumption or evaluation of risk related to a specific
behavior Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed a theory termed ldquorisk as feelingrdquo hypothesis
and highlighted that behaviors are driven by feelings An affect must mediate at least to
some extent the relationships of cognitive evaluations
Risk perceptions are likely to vary across individuals and contexts For instance
many individuals assume that the risk in driving a car is more dangerous than the risk in
sports and show relatively less intention to take risks of driving a car (Dohmen et al
2011) Huber Palan and Zeisberger (2017) through an experiment found that active asset
trading and asset prices are strongly driven by average risk perception Numerous studies
have inspected how investorsrsquo perceptions affect hypothetical investment decisions or self-
reported investment intentions (Bateman et al 2010 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Nosic amp
Weber 2010 Weber Weber amp Nosic 2013 Weber amp Milliman 1997)
Hoffman Post and Pennings (2015) used a sample of Dutch investors and studied
the association between perceptions and behavior in an actual decision setting They found
that change in investor perceptions was a significant determinant of real trading and risk-
taking behavior They also found that stock traders who perceived higher risk tended to
trade more frequently had higher volume had lower buy-sell ratios (lower buy-sell ratios
demonstrate a low exposure to the financial market) and held riskier portfolios It means
stock traders with higher levels of risk perception lowered their exposure to the stock
market Lim et al (2013) reported that risk perceptions about investing in the capital market
Personality and Investment Decisions
37
were found likely to have a negative impact on investorsrsquo willingness to invest in the
financial market
Duxbury Hudson Keasey amp Summers (2005) in their study asked subjects to
distribute money among risk-free assets risky shares and bonds and studied how this
allocation varied if they were investing for someone who was lessmore willing to take risk
than themselves The study was repeated on different ranges of age and wealth They then
investigated how subjectsrsquo perceptions of investment patterns were different from their
actual investment behavior Subjects believed that the ratio of bonds to shares should differ
with risk attitude with a higher ratio of stocks held by those participants who were willing
to take more risks Despite having such beliefs subjectsrsquo actual investment behaviors
showed the amount of shares and bonds held did not change with their risk attitude In other
words participantsrsquo beliefs did not match the recommendations of standard portfolio
theory but their actual investment behavior matched the theoretical expectations of the
portfolio theory Weber et al (2002) investigated the individualrsquos risk perception and risk
behavior in five domains (financial risk-taking healthsafety risk-taking ethical risk-
taking recreational risk-taking and social risk-taking) They reported divergences in risk
perception of participants accounted for observed variations in their risk behavior
Financial risk-taking behavior and risk perception were found negatively correlated They
found perceived higher risks decreased the chances of the risk-taking behavior most for
financial risks and least for health or safety risks The effect of perceived risk on the risk-
taking behavior was negative but statistically insignificant Brandstatter (2011) in a study
of meta-analysis reported the results of the relationship between risk propensity and the
Big-Five dimensions of personality Risk propensity was assessed by asking individuals
Samra Chaudary
38
how frequent they have exhibited risky behavior in six domains (recreation health career
finance safety and social risk-taking) leading to a risk measure He reported a positive
beta-estimates for extraversion and openness and negative beta-estimates for neuroticism
agreeableness and conscientiousness
Lim et al (2013) found in a sample of Singaporean investors a significant negative
relationship between risk perception and risky investment decisions They reported that the
sample for this research was collected right after the global financial crisis and that could
have an influence on investorsrsquo risk perception They suggested collecting similar data
again during a time of financial stability Many scholars have agreed about the presence of
an association between perceived risk and decision-making (Krueger amp Dickson 1994
Sutcliffe 1994) A small number of researches have tested the mediating role of risk
perception For example risk perception was reported to be mediating the relationship
between information asymmetry and risky investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) and
between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq et al 2017) Wang Shi and Fan
(2006) also reported that risk perception mediated the relationship between various types
of information and investment performance They also stated risk perception led to higher
investment performance Weber et al (2002) found that personality variables (eg
sensation seeking tolerance for ambiguity and gender) had an influence on risk perception
Person-centered characteristics (age gender and culture) together with personality traits
were reported to impact risk-taking These variables were reported to affect risk-taking
often by altering onersquos perception of risk and perception of benefits of alternative decision-
making rather than by affecting their desire to take more or less risk Hence the risk
perception of an individual is responsible for onersquos actual behavior or decision-making It
Personality and Investment Decisions
39
is expected that risk perception would mediate the relationships between personality types
and LT-D Figure 21 and 22 illustrates the structural model about relationships of five
personality types with ST-D and LT-D with mediation by risk perception
H6a Risk perception mediates the relationship between Neuroticism and short-term
investment decisions
H6b Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and short-term
investment decisions
H6c Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and short-term investment
decisions
H6d Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness and short-term
investment decisions
H6e Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and short-term
investment decisions
H6f Risk perception mediates the relationship between neuroticism and long-term
investment decisions
H6g Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and long-term
investment decisions
H6h Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and long-term investment
decisions
H6i Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness types and long-term
investment decisions
H6j Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and long-term
investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
40
Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
S-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1a
H2a
H3a
H4a
H5a
H6a
H6b
H6c
H6d
H6e
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
L-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1b
H2b
H3b
H4b
H5b
H6f
H6g
H6h
H6i
H6j
Personality and Investment Decisions
41
23 Data and Methodology
231 Measures
The study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decisions were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) Big-Five
personality scale was adopted from Costa and McCrae (1992) to measure five types of
personality traits on a five-point likert scale Items for risk perception were adopted from
Weber et al (2002) To measure risk perception (RP) respondents were asked to indicate
their gut-level assessment of how risky each situation was on a five-point unipolar rating
scale The complete questionnaire is attached in appendix VI
232 Methods
2321 Sample and Data Collection
This study has adopted a positivist research philosophy with a deductive research
approach as mentioned in Saunders Lewis and Thornhill (2007) research onion The
positivist philosophy reflects the natural scientistsrsquo philosophical approach Researcher
prefers to deal with a social reality that is measurable and the findings of such study are
presumed to be generalizable similar to law produced by natural scientists (Remenyi
Williams Money amp Swartz 1998) The deductive approach could therefore be
considered particularly suitable for the positivist approach Hence this study uses existing
theory to form hypotheses that were empirically tested leading to theoretical advancement
which can then be tested by future researchers (Saunders et al 2007)
Primary data were collected through a snowball sampling technique for this study
The respondents for this survey were investors in the local stock market Therefore the
Samra Chaudary
42
sample consisted of portfolio managers working in the financial industry (eg mutual fund
companies asset management companies brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks) and individual investors who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)
previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Individual stock investors were from
different backgrounds as the purpose of the research was to analyze the behavior of stock
investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with an institution The
data were collected through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two major
metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi Out of total investorsrsquo population
(corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent investors and
Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence the data
were collected from the investment hubs of the country where 92 percent stock investors
in listed traded companies were located A total of 800 questionnaires were sent out to
collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were returned and only 277 were
found useable for this study thus response rate was almost 35 percent
The sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females as the investment
industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated The sample consisted of 59 percent of
money managers and 41 percent individual investors Eighty-seven percent of respondents
were employed 12 percent were business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not
employed Furthermore 60 percent respondents were married 37 percent were single and
3 percent were either separated or divorced
Fifty-eight percent of respondents perceived that they were from the middle social
class 36 percent perceived themselves in upper-middle-class 3 percent perceived
themselves to belong to the upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower
Personality and Investment Decisions
43
middle class Only 33 percent of the respondents had an expectation to receive inheritance
or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future
inheritance Eighty-six percent respondents had responded their upbringing was in the
urban areas and 14 percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas
The average age of respondents was 32 years and the average monthly income was
Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million The average formal years of education were 16 years The
average amount invested by the investors in stocks was PKR 10 million and the average
investment experience in the stock market was 4 years
2322 Data Analyses
Blanthorne Jones-Farmer and Almer (2015) proposed guidelines on the key
elements of structural equation modeling in behavioral accounting research Most
textbooks on this matter propose a sample of between two hundred and fifty and five
hundred (Kline 2005 Loehlin 2004 Schumacker amp Lomax 1996) Blanthorne et al
(2015) have argued that large sample size requirement leaves researchers of this discipline
in a difficult situation of requiring permission and support from more subjectsrespondents
who are mostly professionals They also claimed that five of the thirteen potential SEM
studies published in Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research had less than hundred
participants and only four articles contained more than two hundred and fifty participants
A sample of greater than 200 was considered sufficient for the use of structural equation
modeling (SEM) (Iacobucci 2010 Kline 2015)
This paper has made use of partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to a number of reasons Firstly PLS-SEM does not require data to be normally
Samra Chaudary
44
distributed (Hair Sarstedt Ringle amp Mena 2012) and shows higher statistical power than
CB-SEM for complex models with small sample sizes (Reinartz et al 2009) Moreover
the data had an adequate sample size (Kline 2015) with no missing values Collinearity
was also tested and was found acceptable Secondly this approach focuses on predictive
analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation was to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt
2014) Thirdly it has a minimum demand for sample size and residual distribution (Wold
1985) Fourthly to compute the statistical significance of the parameter estimates PLS-
SEM method reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair Ringle amp Sarstedt
2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling method provides robust results by
taking subsamples from the original sample of observations and estimates the model
parameters of each subsample and then report the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Henseler Ringle amp Sinkovics 2009) Lastly PLS approach can be utilized for theory
validation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not exist (Chin 1998)
PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory development
(Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
PLS-SEM approach is as worthy (and conservative) as CB-SEM method (Hair et
al 2014) While PLS-SEM has some shortcomings eg results tend to inflate the factor
loadings and underestimate structural relationship and coefficient of determination
Similarly CB-SEM also has some weaknesses for instance results tend to overestimate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander Satornino
Hughes and Ferris (2015) have recommended that PLS-SEM is a more conservative
Personality and Investment Decisions
45
approach than CB-SEM Table 24 depicts the correlations descriptive statistics and
square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision risk perception and four personality types which were
neuroticism extraversion openness and conscientiousness The Pearsonrsquos correlation
value was found to be 0551 (p=0000) between short-term investment decision and long-
term investment decision 0213 (p=0000) with risk perception 0206 (p=000) with
neuroticism 0458 (p=0000) with extraversion 0385 (p=0000) with openness and 0253
(p=0000) with conscientiousness
Similarly long-term investment decision also showed a positive correlation with
risk perception and four personality types The Pearsonrsquos correlation value was found to
be 0308 (p=0000) between long-term investment decision and risk perception 0140
(p=0019) with neuroticism 0581 (p=0000) with extraversion 0539 (p=0000) with
openness and 0415 (p=0000) with conscientiousness
The agreeableness personality type showed a significant negative correlation with
all other variables The highest correlation was found between extraversion and openness
personality traits with Pearsonrsquos correlation of 0635 (p=0000) and the lowest correlation
was found between extraversion and neuroticism with an insignificant negative Pearsonrsquos
correlation of -0020 (p=0736)
Samra Chaudary
46
Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Note SD=Standard Deviation ST-D=Short-term Investment Decision LT-D=Long-term Investment Decision
N=Neuroticism E=Extraversion O=Openness A=Agreeableness C=Conscientiousness and RP=Risk Perception
Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
24 Results
241 Measurement Model
Table 25 reports the result of the measurement model Factor loadings for each
item were 06 or above except one item of Conscientiousness which had a loading of 04
but Anderson and Gerbing (1988) Wille (1996) and Velicer amp Fava (1998) lend support
to using loadings lower than 06 Bootstrapping was done on a subsample of 5000
subsamples to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) All the
factor loadings were statistically significant as t-statistics for each factor loading were
above 196 (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) For each latent factor a minimum
of three items significantly loaded on each factor in a multidimensional scale as
recommended by Velicer amp Fava (1998) and Raubenheimer (2004) and all factors were
reflective The estimates of standardized factor loadings ranged from 0600 to 0764
(tgt196) for short-term investment decision 0659-0750 (tgt196) for long-term investment
decision 0656-0864 (tgt196) for neuroticism 0788-0859 (tgt196) for extraversion
0642-0804 (tgt196) for openness 0722-0783 (tgt196) for agreeableness 0406-0855
(tgt196) for conscientiousness and 0729-0888 (tgt196) for risk perception
Factors Mean SD ST-D LT-D N E O A C RP
ST-D 3075 0763 (0681)
LT-D 3279 0810 0551 (0702)
N 2524 0895 0206 0140 (0785)
E 3444 0929 0458 0581 -0020 (0878)
O 3298 0783 0385 0539 0099 0635 (0739)
A 2984 0880 -0229 -0273 -0358 -0199 -0189 (0760)
C 3228 0751 0253 0415 0074 0427 0432 -0345 (0707)
RP 2261 0921 0213 0308 0094 0220 0193 -0238 0169 (0812)
Personality and Investment Decisions
47
Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher for each latent construct (Hair et al 2012)
The values for AVE were 0466 for short-term investment decision 0493 for long-term
investment decision 0617 for neuroticism 07771 for extraversion 0546 for openness
0579 for agreeableness 0500 for conscientiousness and 0660 for risk perception
Internal consistency of latent constructs was computed through composite
reliability (CR) which was higher than 07 for all latent constructs as suggested by Hair et
al (2012) The values of composite reliability were 077 for short-term investment
decision 0829 for long-term investment decision 0889 for neuroticism 0881 for
extraversion 0827 for openness 0804 for agreeableness 0733 for conscientiousness and
0852 for risk perception Please see table 26
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was computed through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2015) Fornell-Larcker criteria were
met as the square root of AVE of each latent construct was greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT ratio
criteria for discriminant validity was met as the ratio was less than one for each latent
construct as reported in table 27 Common method bias and collinearity among exogenous
latent constructs were checked through the variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor
level The test was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term
investment decision and once with long-term investment decision We found no common
method bias in both the tests as the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) values of all the factors
were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
Samra Chaudary
48
Table 25 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment money into
the stock market
0600 8579
I intend to engage in portfolio management activities at
least twice per week
0764 17620
I intend to perform my own investment research instead
of using outside advice
0685 14911
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to that of
professional managers
0665 11816
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings for
investingsavingretirement purposes
0750 23657
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple asset
classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate etc)
0716 17223
I intend to take an investment course 0723 22937
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum gross
return rather than tax and cost efficiency
0663 14376
I intend to invest some money in long-term assets where
my money will be tied up and inaccessible for years
0659 13952
Neuroticism (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often feel inferior to others 0656 8712
When I am under a great deal of stress sometimes I feel
like I am going to pieces
0864 26438
I often feel tense and jittery 0844 20541
Sometimes I feel completely worthless 0776 11760
Too often when things go wrong I get discouraged and
feel like giving up
0770 13300
Extraversion (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I really enjoy talking to people 0859 48079
I am a cheerful high-spirited person 0876 53353
I am a very active person 0788 22761
Openness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I am intrigued by the patterns I find in art and nature 0765 22515
I often try new and foreign foods 0642 11363
I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 0804 30217
I often enjoy playing with theories or abstract ideas 0734 19581
Agreeableness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often get into arguments with my family and co-
workers
0722 10789
Some people think I am selfish and egotistical 0775 15435
Some people think of me as cold and calculating 0783 13761
Conscientious
ness
(Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I keep my belongings neat and clean 0784 14094
I am pretty good about pacing myself so as to get things
done on time
0855 22739
I waste a lot of time before settling down to work 0406 3623
Risk
Perception
(Weber et
al 2002)
Investing 10 of your annual income in a moderate
growth mutual fund
0812 20781
Investing 5 of your annual income in a very speculative
stock
0888 31293
Investing 5 of your annual income in a conservative
stock
0729 12008
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
reverse coded items
Personality and Investment Decisions
49
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0775 0466
Long-term Investment Decision 0829 0493
Neuroticism 0889 0617
Extraversion 0881 0711
Openness 0827 0546
Agreeableness 0804 0579
Conscientiousness 0733 0500
Risk Perception 0852 0660
Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors A C E LT-D
N O RP
ST-D
A
C 0634
E 0281 0706
LT-D 04 0711 0752
N 049 0352 0093 0214
O 0282 0747 0837 074 0133
RP 0343 0281 0267 0401 0127 0253
ST-D 0392 0485 065 0809 0283 0573 0303
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness C= Conscientiousness and RP= Risk Perception
242 Structural Model
The following section presents the findings of the direct effects of Big-Five
personality traits on short-term investment decisions and long-term investment decisions
It also presents the mediating effect of risk perception between personality type and both
types of investment decisions The standardized parameter estimates (path coefficients) of
structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was computed using a bootstrap approach with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et
al 2009) The effect size was reported for each direct effect through f- square test (Cohen
1988) The f2 values of 002 015 and 035 represent a small medium and large effect
Samra Chaudary
50
size of the independent variable (Henseler et al 2009) Moreover the coefficient of
determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous) variables were not below
010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) The predictive relevance of the model was computed by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
Lewis amp Thompson 2012) A value of 08 or higher was recommended sufficient in
behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 28 summarizes the results of direct effects (without mediator) The
hypothesized relationships between personality trait of neuroticism was found to be
positive and highly significant with ST-D (H1a) (β= 0200 p= 0002 f2= 0062) and was
found insignificantly positive with low effect size (H1b) (β= 0079 p= 0159 f2= 0017)
with LT-D Similarly positive and significant relationships between extraversion
personality and ST-D (H2a) and LT-D (H2b) were found and showed moderate effect size
(β =0405 p= 0000 f2= 0129 β= 0537 p= 0000 f2= 0102) respectively The association
between openness personality trait with ST-D (H3a) was found insignificant with low
effect (β= 0084 p= 0275 f2= 0010) but with LT-D (H3b) it was found statistically
significant and positive with low effect (β=0515 p= 000 f2= 0069) No association of
agreeableness personality trait was found between ST-D (H4a) (β= -0060 p= 0419 f2=
0011) and with LT-D (H4b) (β= -0084 p= 0119 f2= 0017) The relationship of
conscientiousness personality trait with ST-D (H5a) was insignificant and showed almost
no effect (β= -0027 p= 0682 f2=0005) but with LT-D (H5b) the relationship was
significantly positive with small effect (β= 0373 p= 0000 f2= 0021)
Personality and Investment Decisions
51
The coefficient of determination of five types of personality traits and risk
perception with LT-D is higher (R2= 0493) than the coefficient of determination of the
same variables with ST-D (R2=0352) Hence a larger portion of the variance in LT-D was
explained by the set of five independent variables than in ST-D Only extraversion
personality traits were found as a common trait that impacted both ST-D and LT-D The
values of Q2 were considerably above zero representing that each exogenous construct in
the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All the hypotheses
have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high
probability of the presence of the relationships between all exogenous latent variables and
endogenous latent variables A high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness
of the sample size
We have included age gender income and expect to receive the inheritance as
control variables in our model These variables have relevance in the model of personality
type risk perception and investment decisions Studies have shown that males have shown
a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Bajtelsmit Bernasek amp
Jianakoplos 1999 Hariharan Chapman amp Domian 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp
Cox 2001) Age also affects risk perception (Weber et al 2002) and financial decisions
(Agarwal Driscoll Gabaix amp Laibson 2007) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the
relationship between expected inheritances and income with financial investment
Samra Chaudary
52
Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Estimates
p
value f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1a N-gtST-D 0200 0002 0062
0352 0127 1
H2a E-gtST-D 0405 0000 0129
H3a O-gtST-D 0084 0318 0010
H4a A-gtST-D -0060 0314 0011
H5a C-gtST-D 0027 0829 0005
H1b N-gtLT-D 0073 0110 0017
0493 0209 1
H2b E-gtLT-D 0537 0000 0102
H3b O-gtLT-D 0515 0000 0069
H4b A-gtLT-D -0084 0119 0017
H5b C-gtLT-D 0373 0003 0021
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness and C= Conscientiousness
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Mediation Effects with Risk Perception
The mediating effects were tested using bootstrap method (Preacher and Hayes
2008 Zhao Lynch amp Chen 2010a) instead of Baron and Kenny (1986) approach because
bootstrapping corrects the non-normality problem and increases the statistical power to
detect mediation effects (Wood Goodman Beckmann amp Cook 2008) Bootstrap
sampling was done to estimate the distribution of the indirect effect (Hair et al 2014)
Bootstrap technique is a powerful test of mediation and Baron and Kenny (1986) test yields
high Type-I error (Krause et al 2010) Another major flaw of Baron and Kenny (1986) is
that it requires a mandatory presence of direct relationship of predictor and outcome
variable which is not necessary for the alternate approach (Hayes 2009 Krause et al
2010)
A mediator variable is expected to influence the relationship between a predictive
variable and an outcome variable (Baron amp Kenny 1986) Hence the mediator explains
Personality and Investment Decisions
53
the relationship oftentimes ldquohowrdquo and ldquowhyrdquo The mediation analysis supposed to
denotes a causal chain as it is concerned with the mechanism of a story or a series of effects
(Kenny 2008) and the definition of mediation is mostly expressed in causal terms (Baron
amp Kenny 1986)
In order to run a mediation analysis it is not necessary to get a significant
relationship between an independent and outcome variable (Kenny Kashy amp Bolger
1998 Zhao et al 2010a) Shrout and Bolger (2002) endorsed to omit the test of
significance of direct effects In this paper risk perception was tested as a mediator between
personality type and investment decision We compared the significance level (plt 005) of
direct effects and indirect effects and concluded the results
For H6a and H6b the direct effects of neuroticism and extraversion personality trait
on short-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk perception) were found
to be significant (β= 0202 p=0002) and (β= 0392 p= 0000) However the indirect effect
of neuroticism and extraversion on short-term investment decision through risk perception
was insignificant (β= -0002 p= 0817) and (β= -0013 p= 0309) Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as direct only nonmediation (Zhao at al 2010a) For H6c H6d
H6e and H6f the standardized direct (mediated) effects and indirect effects were
insignificant Hence these hypotheses were categorized as no effect-nonmediation The
direct effects of extraversion and openness (H6g and H6h) on long-term investment
decision were found to be significant (β= 0493 p= 0000) (β= 0472 p= 0000) and
indirect effects of extraversion and openness on long-term investment decision were also
significant (β= 0044 p= 0005) (β= 0043 p= 0006) respectively Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as complimentary mediation For H6i the (mediated) direct effect
Samra Chaudary
54
of agreeableness on long-term investment decision was insignificant (β= -0056 p= 0276)
however the indirect effect was significant (β= -0028 p= 0034) As a result this was
labeled as indirect-only mediation The direct effect and indirect effect of
conscientiousness on long-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk
perception) were both found to be significant (β= 0333 p=0000) and (β= 0040 p=0030)
Therefore H6j was labeled as complimentary mediation Among control variables only
males showed a significant impact on short-term investment decision and those who expect
to receive inheritance in the future showed a significant impact on long-term investment
decision
It was found that risk perception did not mediate the relationship between any of
the five personality types and short-term investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However four
personality traits (except neuroticism H6f) were found to show a significant indirect effect
on long-term investment decision through the perceived risk of the investment (H6g-H6j)
Moreover we found that agreeable personality (H6i) showed a negative indirect effect on
long-term investment decision through perceived risk of the investment
An indirect only-mediation effect is present when the direct effect of an
independent variable on dependent variable in the presence of mediator is insignificant and
indirect effect is significant This is also known as full mediation Complimentary
mediation is present when both direct and indirect effects are significant and point to the
same direction Direct-only non-mediation effect is present when only direct effect of
independent variable on dependent variable is significant in the presence of mediator but
indirect effect is not significant This is also a case of no mediation No-effect non-
mediation is declared when there is neither a significant direct effect is present nor a
Personality and Investment Decisions
55
significant indirect effect is present This is also declared as no-mediation situation These
mediation types also overlap with Baron and Kennyrsquos approach Complementary
mediation is similar to Baron and Kennyrsquos partial mediation and indirect-only mediation
is similar to full mediation Direct-only non-mediation and no-effect non-mediation
overlaps with no mediation of Baron and Kennyrsquos approach (Zhao et al 2010a) The
results of mediation analysis are reported in table 29 Detailed results of mediation analysis
are illustrated in figure 23 - 212 in appendix V
Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception
Hypotheses Bootstrapping
Direct Effect
Indirect Effect
Decision Rule
Independent
Variables
Mediator Dependent
Variables
β
p β
p
H6a Neuroticism
Risk
Perception ST-D
0202 0002 -0002 0817 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6b Extraversion
0392 0000 0013 0309 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6c Openness
0075 0331 0009 0453
No effect
Non-Mediation
H6d Agreeableness
-0040 0606 -0020 0116 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6e Conscientiousness
0025 0708 0002 0849 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6f Neuroticism
Risk
Perception LT-D
0076 0140 -0003 0802 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6g Extraversion
0493 0000 0044 0005 Complimentary
Mediation
H6h Openness
0472 0000 0043 0006 Complimentary
Mediation
H6i Agreeableness
-0056 0276 0028 0034 Indirect-only
Mediation
H6j Conscientiousness
0333 0000 0040 0030 Complimentary
Mediation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision and LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0082 p=0155) Gender-gtST-D (β= 0118 p=0012) Income-gtST-D (β=0077
p=0328) Expect to receive inheritance-gtST-D (β= -0014 p=0820) Age-gtLT-D (β=0038 p=0438) Gender-gtLT-D
(β= -0018 p=0688) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0025 p=0569) Expect to receive inheritance -gtLT-D (β=0165 p=0001)
and Age-gtRisk Perception (β= -0069 p=0265)
Samra Chaudary
56
25 Discussion and Implications
Behavioral finance is a recent and emerging focal area in finance research Unlike
many other studies in this discipline (Li amp Liu 2008 Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al
2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) which have used students as a proxy of potential investors
this study has empirically examined relatively a large number of individual equity investors
as well as professional investors The study investigated the effect of five personality traits
on investment decisions in short-term and in long-term It was found that not all personality
types had a significant effect on investment decisions Contrary to the findings of Mayfield
et al (2008) who reported that individuals who are high on neuroticism were likely to avoid
short-term investment decisions This study found a significant positive impact of
neuroticism on short-term investment decision than on long-term investment decision (H1a
and H1b) as shown in table 7 These findings get support from Brandstatter (2011) who
found that neurotic individuals were anxious low on risk propensity (Brandstatter 2011)
more risk-averse (Borghans Heckman Golsteyn amp Meijers 2009) less risk-tolerant (Pak
amp Memood 2015) and lacked entrepreneurship behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006 Zhao
Seibert amp Lumpkin 2010b) Therefore neurotic investors were found in this study to
invest in short-term investment horizon as short-term investment entails relatively lower
risk Some other plausible reasons of H1a findings could be that neurotic individuals are
reported to be impulsive (Rosler et al 2004) insecure tense (Costa amp McCrae 1992
Salgado 1997) and were found to exhibit compulsive buying behavior (Muller amp de
Zwaan 2010) Therefore neurotic individuals prefer to invest in short-term investments
than in long-term investments
Personality and Investment Decisions
57
For extravert personality (H2a) this study reaffirms the findings of Mayfield et al
(2008) that investors with extravert personality were more likely to take immediate
decisions and preferred to invest in short-term investment as they are more optimistic and
energetic Extravert individuals were reported to be more confident about their investment
decisions (Pompain amp Longo 2004) and were found likely to trade more frequently (Tauni
et al 2016) However positive relationship between extraversion and LT-D found in this
study (H2b) support previous findings that extravert individuals are also risk-takers
(Becker Deckers Dohmen Falk amp Kosse 2012a Pan amp Statman 2013) and optimist
(Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) therefore these factors may have led them to
invest in long-term investments
For openness personality (H3a and H3b) our findings are in support of (Zhao amp
Seibert 2006 Zhao et al 2010b) who found that individuals with openness to experience
show entrepreneurial (risk-taking) behavior They show high-risk propensity in many areas
of decision-making of their life including financial decisions (Brandstatter 2011) Hence
there is no association between openness with short-term investments and show a
significant relationship with long-term investment decisions Individuals with openness
personality are less risk-averse in financial decision-making (Prinz Gruumlnder Hilgers
Holtemoumlller amp Vernaleken 2014) tough-minded and with active imagination (Costa amp
McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) as a result they showed a relationship with long-term
investments
The relationship of agreeable personality (H4a and H4b) with ST-D and LT-D was
found to be insignificant Agreeable personality had shown a negative relationship with the
willingness to take a risk (Brandstatter 2011) Empirical pieces of evidence have also
Samra Chaudary
58
shown that agreeable individuals are risk-averse (Borghans et al 2009) have low risk-
tolerance (Kubilay amp Bayrakdaroglu 2016) and have also shown extreme risk avoidance
behavior (Wang Xu Zhang amp Chen 2016) These individuals sometimes also show
juvenile and immature behavior (McCrae amp Costa 2008) they lack the skill for assessing
a better investment (Ivkoviacutec amp Weisbenner 2007) and showed lower return expectations
from their investments (Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) Therefore due to extreme risk
avoidance behavior and their lack of ability for assessing a better investment they probably
did not show association with short-term and long-term investment
The relationship of conscientiousness personality trait was not found significant
with short-term investment (H5a) but it was significant with long-term investment
decisions (H5b) The possible reason could be that conscientiousness individuals think
before acting (Brandstatter 2011) that gives them a long-term perspective As the stock
market was giving losses in the period of data collection due to some political uncertainty
therefore it is conjectured that it could be a possible reason for not investing in short-term
at that time Oehler and Wedlich (2018) found that conscientiousness individuals perceive
investments in stocks very risky and are very careful well organized and conscious about
their decision-making The authors also posited that individuals with conscientiousness and
agreeableness personality traits tended to have lower return expectations It may imply that
conscientiousness type would not like to invest in short-term as such investments offer
lower yields However on the other hand conscientiousness individuals are calculating
and show entrepreneurial (risky) behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) and these aspects were
reinforced the significant relationship of conscientiousness with long-term investments
decision in this study
Personality and Investment Decisions
59
Based on the standardized path coefficients shown in table 7 extravert personality was
the strongest predictor of short-term investment decision followed by neuroticism
Similarly extravert personality was the strongest predictor of long-term investment
decision followed by openness conscientiousness and neuroticism (at a low significance)
respectively Moreover it was found that two out of five personality traits showed an
impact on short-term investment decision and four out of five showed associations with
the long-term investment decision One of the plausible reasons for this phenomenon could
be the bear market condition at the time of data collection which supports Prospect Theory
As investors are generally risk averse and therefore were not willing to invest in short-term
horizon (at the time of data collection) particularly Another possible reason could be that
long-term investment decisions have low transaction costs (Della Croce Stewart amp
Yermo 2011 Gray 2006 Warren 2014) and carry higher risk as well as higher returns
(Dimson Marsh amp Staunton 2017 Von Thadden 1995) Long-term investors are reported
to be rewarded by higher returns (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) As the
respondents of this study are stock investors and stocks have outperformed in longer time
horizons (Dierkes et al 2010)
Our results support TPB which proposes individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest
in the stock market as predicted by (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008 Raut et al 2018)
The central idea of TPB is that planned behavior is determined by behavioral intentions
(Ajzen 2001) and that behavior can include conflicts between short-term and long-term
goals (Ajzen 1985 1991)
Furthermore this study linked personality traits and investment decisions through
risk perception in order to explore the relationship between five types of personality traits
Samra Chaudary
60
and investment decisions both short-term and long-term As shown in table 8 no
mediating effect of investorsrsquo risk perception between any personality type and short-term
investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However we found risk perception showed (different
types of) mediating effects between four personality types (except neuroticism- H6f) and
long-term investment decisions (H6g-H6j)
Precisely we found no direct effect of agreeableness (H6i) on long-term investment
decisions however the negative indirect effects of agreeableness on long-term investment
decision through risk perception were significant confirming indirect-only mediation This
implies that risk perception is the cause or in other words fully explains the relationship
between agreeable personality type and long-term investment decisions It seems agreeable
personality type has a higher risk perception that leads to a lower likelihood of investing in
long-term investment Moreover risk perception showed a complimentary mediating
effect for H6g H6h and H6j relationships These relationships already had significant
direct effects and now significant indirect effects too One potential reason of
complimentary mediation of risk perception is that there could be some other omitted
variables too that may mediate the relationship between extraversion openness and
conscientiousness personality types and long-term investment decision for example risk
tolerance or risk attitude etc Zhao et al (2010a) pointed out that complementary mediation
indicates to a theoretically interesting indirect effect It implies the possibility of presence
of more mediators and guides future researchers to explore more mediators that result in
an indirect only mediation model Another possible reason for complimentary mediation
could be the way risk perception was measured with subjective questions rather than
measuring it through an experimental design ie hypothetical lottery However Nosic and
Personality and Investment Decisions
61
Weber (2010) contended that asking onersquos risk attitude through the intuitive and
comprehensible question is a precise method than giving him a complex imaginary lottery
task Many studies have relied on asking subjective questions (Becker et al 2012a Josef
et al 2016 Pan amp Statman 2013) and the findings were more understandable when using
a subjective question than an experimental task (Becker et al 2012a)
Loewenstein et al (2001) had proposed a theoretical perspective termed ldquorisk as
feelingrdquo emphasizing that risk is a feeling which often affects individualsrsquo decisions
especially when such decisions involve risk and uncertainty They also posited that ldquorisk
as feelingrdquo mediates at least partially the relationship between an individuals cognitive
evaluation of risk and their behavioral response The findings showed support for RaF
theory related to the mediating role of risk perception As our result showed support for
hypotheses related to the mediating role of risk perception by emphasizing the mediating
role of risk perception in the relationship between three personality types and long-term
investment decisions Risk perception was not found to mediate relationships between
personality types and ST-D It is probably because short-term investment decisions are not
perceived relatively as risky as the long-term investment decisions are
The results of the relationship of personality types with ST-D and LT-D is imperative
for the financial planners to ensure that financial planners give to their customers are
obtaining best guidance This knowledge of the relationship between personality type and
investment decisions can also help professionals in recognizing the presence of behaviors
that may prevent their clients from attaining their short-term and long-term financial goals
(Baker et al 2017)
Samra Chaudary
62
It is recommended that money managers identify specific individualsrsquo personality types
with the aim to cater to investorsrsquo financial needs For example neurotic individuals can
be targeted for short-term investment and extroverts for both ST-D and LT-D The
importance of risk perception should also be considered while advising a specific
personality type with their investment decisions Moreover for an emerging economy like
Pakistan most personality types showed an association with long-term investments It may
be taken as a signal for the firms who want to raise capital from the market to issue long-
term securities Financial regulators such as Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan
(SECP) should encourage investors to invest in short-term investments too by providing
them confidence and protection The findings of this research provide a meaningful picture
to the money managers of the developing economies where markets are vulnerable
26 Conclusion and Future Research
This paper investigated the influence of Big-Five personality types on short-term and
long-term investment decisions Moreover the mediating role of risk perception was also
tested between all five types of personalities and two types of investment decisions ie
short term and long-term It was found that investors with higher neuroticism and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take short-term investment
decisions Nonetheless investors with higher openness conscientiousness and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take long-term investment
decisions Risk perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions With the growth of the economy peoplersquos wealth increases
Hence there is a growing need that wealth management function is performed by
Personality and Investment Decisions
63
professional money managers This function involves understanding clientsrsquo requirements
and delivering financial services accordingly Gathering data from real equity investors
(especially from professionals ie brokers and the institutional fund managers) was quite
challenging task in this study These professionals were not willing to leave their trading
screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short time They filled the
survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the evening) or on weekends
A major contribution of this study is the fact that this is very first research of this kind in
the context of a developing economy Unlike other studies this study has utilized Big-Five
personality traits for investigating their impact on investment behavior for short-term and
long-term investments However this line of investigation needs more empirical evidence
especially from developing countries This study extended the general model of planned
behavior (Ajzen 1991) and risk as feeling model (Loewenstein et al 2001) to another
domain of social behavior that is financial investment with two separate components
(short-term and long-term) Given the importance of these theories in the field of social
behavior this is a rich paradigm for interdisciplinary contributions
It should be admitted that other than Big-Five Personality types there are various other
psychological factors that might affect individualsrsquo investment decisions these were not
accounted for in this study In this study the focus was only on equity traders and future
studies can opt to select other types of instruments to investigate if investors exhibit similar
behavior as found in this study Future studies could test the impact of emotions moods
and weather on investment decisions These constructs can be measured in different ways
for example the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their stocks can be
captured through an experiment But again such research design might be challenging as
Samra Chaudary
64
theses professional traders might not be willing to participate because of the responsibility
of peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders Leaving their trading screens during
market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them Future studies can also explore
other mediators (eg risk attitude risk appetite etc) that may result in an indirect only
mediation model Future researchers can also opt to classify investment decision in a
different way than classifying into long and short time horizons Another aspect that can
be investigated in the future studies is managersrsquo experience differences in experience may
result in different investing behavior
Salience and Investment Decisions
65
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions
Differences Between Individual Investors and
Professional Investors
Abstract
The paper took a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to
investigate the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions The
study also investigated the group differences for two types of investorsrsquo groups ie
individual investors and professional investors It further explored group differences
between female investors and male investors The study used partial least square based
structural equation modeling technique measurement invariance test and multi-group
analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that salience has a significant
positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The impact was
almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the short-term
decision Furthermore multi-group analysis revealed that the two groups ie individual
investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other such that
the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was higher for
individual investors than for professional investors Moreover the parametric tests of
difference between two groups also showed that path coefficients of female investors were
significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for the short-term
decisions as well as for the long-term decisions The study has implications for financial
regulators money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual
investors and female investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with
sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification Thus individual investors and
Samra Chaudary
66
female investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to
improve their investment returns The study concludes with a discussion of policy and
regulatory implications of the results and suggests how to minimize salience bias in order
to build optimum and diversified portfolios The study has contributed to the growing body
of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance especially to the literature on
heuristics used by individuals while making investment decisions
Keywords heuristics salience familiarity bias investment decision behavioral finance
31 Introduction
Investment decisions are not merely driven by the fundamentals of a firm as advocated
by traditional finance theories but are also based on the attitudes (positive or negative) they
have developed for a specific corporation or a brand (De Vries et al 2017) Traditional
(standard) finance theories have been condemned in terms of their explanatory power and
the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et al (2016) criticized
the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first proposition postulates that
individuals behave rationally during the decision-making process as defined by the
expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that asset markets
are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and therefore endorsing the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
based on traditional portfolio theory proposed by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965)
theorized that investors should invest in the world market portfolio of risky securities for
maximum risk-adjusted returns However investors behave irrationally and assign more
weight to domestic investments in their portfolios They ignore the potential benefits of
diversification (Ahearne et al 2004 Chan Covrig amp Ng 2005) Refraining from
Salience and Investment Decisions
67
investing in the world market portfolio could be due to salience bias or from familiarity
effect Investors tend to experience a strong bias towards holding stocks of their home
country or local area (Hirshleifer 2001) The idea of bounded rationality led to many
researches to discuss various types of behavioral heuristics eg familiarity (home) bias
(Ahearne et al 2004 French amp Poterba 1991) disposition effect (Barberis amp Xiong
2009 Odean 1998) representativeness (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) herding (Wermers 1999) overconfidence (Barber amp Odean 2001 Statman
Thorley amp Vorkink 2006) anchoring (Furnham amp Boo 2011 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) framing (Choi Laibson Madrian amp Metrick 2004 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
This study investigates the impact of salience heuristic on investorsrsquo short-term and
long-term investment decisions It further examins the impact of salience on decision-
making between two groups of investors (individual investors and professional investors)
in the context of a developing economy Salience effect is one of the most robust cognitive
heuristics Salience was the most important heuristic among all as it showed the strongest
impact on decision-making (Yalcin et al 2016) Investors suffer most from salience than
other types of heuristics (Hirshleifer 2001)
Kumar and Goyal (2015) emphasized on the scarcity of studies on heuristics in
developing economies Developing countries have higher growth possibilities and
investors (individual and institutional) are more prone to invest in the stock market They
also highlighted that empirical studies based on the secondary data dominate the field and
there is a dearth of studies based on primary data in this area A handful of studies have
shown evidences that heuristics cause inevitable behavioral biases in investment decisions
from developed economies (Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Hirshleifer 2001 Tversky amp
Samra Chaudary
68
Kahneman 1986 Wang et al 2011 Yalcin et al 2016) and from developing economies
(De Vries et al 2017 Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016 Metawa et al 2019) The findings of
various studies were inconclusive in explaining these heuristic biases Therefore this study
has tried to provide the desired empirical evidence from the developing economy by using
a unique primary data set of professional money managers and individual investors who
have invested in the capital market
To the best of our knowledge the salience heuristic has never been systematically
studied with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive
power been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix II) The
present study is the first one to contribute empirically by investigating salience which is a
critical factor in determining ST-D and LT-D The primary reason for this research is to
investigate if salience matters in investment decision-making for stock investors This
research also contributes to the understanding of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market Moreover understanding investorsrsquo behavior can help
investors to avoid familiarity bias and can improve their investment decisions in choosing
investment services products and plans The study provides a significant and meaningful
contribution to the prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development
321 Prospect Theory
The notion of heuristics was introduced by Simon (1955) who suggested a behavioral
model of rational choice He contended that individuals have bounded rationality and their
decisions are constrained by both external (environmental) and internal (mental) factors
The bounded rationality models are also called models of heuristic cognition The idea of
Salience and Investment Decisions
69
bounded rationality gave birth to the discipline of behavioral finance as many researchers
revealed pieces of evidence against the validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) This line of research picked up pace when Kahneman
and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and got further recognition after
Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002 Prospect theory proposes that
when offered a gamble involving two or three outcome lotteries with some probability
investors make their decisions on the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather
than on the final outcomes of lotteries They choose the one with the highest value This
value function is based on gains and losses rather than on levels of wealth The function is
concave in the area of gain indicating risk-aversion and is a convex in the area of loss
indicating risk-taking Moreover the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in
the area of loss than in the area of gain which indicates that investors are generally risk-
averse A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors are more unpleasant by losses than they
are delighted by equivalent profits This phenomenon arises due to cognitive biases
(heuristics) that affect investorsrsquo assessment about expected value of these gains and losses
Many researches have successfully tested prospect theory in the domain of psychological
biases and decision-making (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al
2017 Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions
Heuristics are described as lsquointuitive rapid and automatic systems (Shiloh Salton
amp Sharabi 2002) which decrease the complication of calculating possibilities and
Samra Chaudary
70
predicting the values to simple judgemental operations (Tversky amp Kahneman 1974)
Heuristics are also described as ldquorule of thumbrdquo which are developed for quick and efficient
decision-making (Mishra 2014) and have gained the attention of researchers (Yalcin et al
2016) Investors use these shortcuts due to inadequate time and information (Aronson
1999) Tversky amp Kahneman (1974) pointed out that cognitive biases arise as people use
heuristics These heuristics are generally effective but they argued that the use of heuristics
lead to biases under some circumstances and result in irrational decisions Similarly De
Bondt (1998) pointed out that heuristic cues can result in poor investment selections
because they usually do not relate to the firmrsquos profitability
323 Salience and Investment Decision
Salience is also known as familiarity bias (Yalcin at al 2016) and familiarity was
reported to breed investment (Huberman 2001) The notions of salience familiarity
availability cues and home bias are largely used interchangeably in the literature and
these notions are categorized under salience heuristics (Yalcin et al 2016) The idea of
availability heuristic was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman (1973) suggesting that
selective triggering provides grounds for salience and availability effects The key
behavioral assumption of Merton (1987) model was that investors invest in familiar stocks
due to the fear of an unknown Investors believe that the riskiness of an unknown stock
was very high Furthermore Heath and Tversky (1991) laid down behavioral foundation
of the familiarity bias They showed that individuals would like to gamble in a situation
where they think themselves well-informed or capable as compared to a situation where
they consider themselves unfamiliar or unacquainted They also reported that investors at
times are ready to sacrifice the benefits of diversification and focus on few corporations
Salience and Investment Decisions
71
with which they are ostensibly familiar Similarly when people encounter with two risky
choices they feel more pleasant picking the acquainted (salient) one particularly in fast
decision-making situations (Fox amp Tversky 1995) The panic of making an error was the
key reason when investors select the unfamiliar choice People recall and locate these
salient cues from their memory in order to choose without assessing whether they are
correct or not (Huberman 2001) It is unavoidable to observe similar biases because
investment decisions involve choosing the one right choice from several options that
require a vigilant evaluation The assessment process needs effort and time Hence in order
to address the challenge of the decision-making process investors make use of salient
knowledge (Yalcin et al 2016) Numerous researches reported that investors prefer to
invest in corporations with which they are more familiar because doing so tends to escalate
their level of assurance and hopefulness (Barber Odean amp Zheng 2005 Huberman 2001
Jain amp Wu 2000 Sirri amp Tufano 1998) Generally it was seen that people are inclined
towards investment in local firms (home bias) employees tend to purchase their own
companyrsquos stocks and fans prefer to invest in the stocks of their favorite teamrsquos irrationally
(Nofsinger 2005) Swiss respondents perceived those products less risky which were easier
to understand and this behavior was likely to be driven by the familiarity bias (Wang et
al 2011) Similarly investors from Finland tended to invest in those companies which
share the investorsrsquo native language and socio-economic background For instance Finnish
investors speaking Swedish language prefer to trade stocks of firms that have financial
statements in Swedish and have Swedish-speaking CEOs than those who speak Finnish
language (Grinblatt amp Keloharju 2001) In addition Jaiyeoba and Haron (2016) also found
that the investment decisions of Malaysian retail investors were influenced by
Samra Chaudary
72
psychological biases Malaysian investors were found patriotic and their investment
decisions were dependent on the comfortable feeling rather than quantitative investigation
These findings imply that investors were influenced by psychological biases Antoniou
Olusi and Paudyal (2010) reported that investors do not earn extra profits by investing in
international stocks Investors can earn similar profits by investing in a portfolio of local
securities
Baker and Ricciardi (2014) documented that familiarity bias prevails when
investors prefer acquainted investments though they know the evident gains from
diversification Investors exhibit a fondness for native securities (local bias) with which
they are more comfortable and are also skewed towards the portfolios of local assets (home
bias) Home bias denotes to the condition when investors favor to invest in local assets as
compared to international securities in their portfolio The potential reasons behind
investing in local stocks were familiarity investor protection economic development
stock market development capital control (Chan et al 2005) information asymmetry
transaction costs investment obstructions inflation hedging (Kumar amp Goyal 2015)
Likewise Riff and Yagil (2016) confirmed the presence of home bias in ten developed
countries They observed the bias in three different market conditions (bull bear and
normal) It was found that home bias increased during the bear market period This study
collected data in the bear market conditions Hence it is expected that salience determines
investment decisions
H1 Salience has a positive effect on short-term investment decision
H2 Salience has a positive effect on long-term investment decision
Salience and Investment Decisions
73
The outcome of familiarity bias could result in the suboptimal composition of
portfolios To mitigate familiarity bias investors should spread out a wider net and expand
asset allocation in their portfolio to reduce risk and increase diversification benefits
Investing globally assists to circumvent familiarity bias (Norden 2010 Baker amp Ricciardi
2014) Sizemore (2012) has suggested that to avoid familiarity bias investors who admire
a firmrsquos product should try to invest in one of the rivals because taking too accurate
investment decisions will be a mistake Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) investigated the
influence of investorsrsquo protection on portfolio returns and asset allocation Investors choose
to invest more in foreign stocks in countries where investorsrsquo protection was fragile In
addition investor protection showed a positive impact on shareholder returns It implies
that salience bias can be reduced and portfolio returns can be improved by increasing
investor protection
Kumar and Goetzmann (2003) found that investors who desire for skewness in
returns have relatively greater familiarity bias and are overconfident and hold a less
diversified portfolio Such bias was found to affect the returns ie investors with the least
diversified portfolio earned 240 lower return annually than the investors with the most
diversified portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Investors who demonstrate overconfident
behavior generally face severe consequences (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) and end up with
little investment returns as they fail to diversify their portfolios appropriately (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2015) One does not need to develop feelings towards any stock Loving a stock
will not respond back with love and developing hate for a stock will also not provide
contentment lsquoInvest in what you know which was also known as lsquoPeter Lynch biasrsquo will
make investors see only what they want to see in the stock (Sizemore 2012) If investors
Samra Chaudary
74
like a firm it did not essentially mean that it was a good investment and will yield a high
profit on investment This action may lead to investment in suboptimal portfolios which
can lead to lower returns or even losses (De Vries et al 2017) Less familiarity and high
information costs hinder investors from investing across the globe (Chan et al 2005)
Weber Siebenmorgen and Weber (2005) provides evidence that investing in a familiar
stock decreases risk perception of holding it Certainly this miscalculation of the risk of
familiar stock could possibly preserve home bias in investorrsquos portfolios
324 Institutional Investors and Salience
Coval and Moskowitz (1999) reported that professional money managers within
the US prefer to invest in small-sized domestic corporations whose headquarters are near
to their home town Likewise Strong and Xu (2003) documented that money managers are
likely to trade in familiar stocks and are prone to home bias Chan et al (2005) investigated
the investment of mutual funds from twenty-six developed and developing economies
They found that managers of these mutual funds collectively assign a bigger portion to
domestic stocks Results show that local investors give more importance to domestic
markets and the presence of home bias was significantly influenced by familiarity and
stock market development Foreign investors more or less give importance to the foreign
markets and international bias was significantly affected by capital controls economic
development and withholding tax Professional investment managers from the US and
Taiwan (Olsen 1997) and retail investors from Malaysia (Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016) have
also exhibited a desirability bias and patriotic (home bias) behavior respectively Money
managers were reported not to invest in foreign stocks due to high transaction costs
currency risk asymmetric information and implicit risk which was embedded in
Salience and Investment Decisions
75
international markets Nonetheless behavioral reason for this phenomenon could be that
these institutional managers are overconfident and high on nationalism repentance and
social identification (Schwartz 2010)
Borges Goldstein Ortmann and Gigerenzer (1999) constructed portfolios on the
basis of the stocks recognition by German and American finance students (experts) and
laymen (people walking in the streets) The authors purchased the most identified stocks
and compared their returns against large mutual funds and stock markets in the US and
Germany They found that recognized stocks performed better than unrecognized stocks
Additionally the portfolio performance based on the ability of laymen to identify stocks
beats that of a portfolio based on recognition by finance students (experts) who should at
least have some passing interest in investing Individuals with less investment knowledge
can rely on recognition heuristic A professional investor who was familiar with most of
the stocks in the stock market cannot practice this heuristic According to Goldstein and
Gigerenzer (2002) recognition heuristic was a strong instrument and perhaps the only
strategy that works best in the situation of lack of knowledge It seemed that the lack of
information was perhaps a delightful thing for investors The evidence about experts who
made a bad investment portfolio on the basis of their identification of the stock proposed
that lack of knowledge was perhaps not too bad for investors (Forbes Hudson Skerratt amp
Soufian 2015)
325 Individual Investors and Salience
Individual investors in particular are unwise who hold stocks of their company
state or country instead of investing in an unknown or less familiar one (Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba 1991) Individual investors are less sophisticated and tend to take poorer
Samra Chaudary
76
investment decisions than financial advisors because individual investors are overconfident
and suffer from various biases (Baker et al 2017) De Vries et al (2017) investigated a
sample of students and found that when selecting between different companies these
potential shareholders in South Africa showed familiarity bias in their investing behavior
Tesar and Werner (1995) found that because of high transaction costs shareholders are
convinced to choose domestic equity instead of putting their money in international stocks
that yield higher returns Ahearne et al (2004) investigated the direct and indirect barriers
to foreign investment for US investors The direct barriers were the intensity of capital
controls high transaction costs (implicit and explicit) regulations on the institutions by the
country (restrictions on foreign ownership of equities) and the indirect barrier was
information cost Information cost was found to be the most important barrier which can
be reduced if the international company sets up its plant in the US It will make US
investors more familiar with its commodities US investors might invest in international
stocks of those firms with whose products they are most familiar Foreign companies that
do not minimize information costs by choosing not to list in the US regulatory system
have less weight in US investorsrsquo portfolios Kang and Stulz (1997) also reaffirmed that
investors from US tended to invest only in familiar international firms in Japan Likewise
Seasholes and Zhu (2010) found that investors are more likely to invest in domestic stocks
due to the existence of information asymmetry among investors Information asymmetry
is an unexpected obstacle to international investment in the home bias puzzle Karlsson
and Norden (2007) reported that individuals invest in their home country because they are
overconfident and they want to hedge against inflation Cooper and Kaplanis (1994) found
a negative association between earnings and inflation Moreover they elucidated that
Salience and Investment Decisions
77
investors hedge risk and get shield against inflation through local stocks and are vulnerable
to home bias This study investigates if the effect of salience on short-term investment is
different for individual investors and institutional investors Furthermore this research also
investigates if the effect of salience on long-term investment is different for individual
investors and institutional investors
H3 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
H4 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
326 Gender and Salience
Numerous studies in the discipline of psychology and sociology showed that females
were more risk-averse than males (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac 2018 Byrnes Miller
amp Schafer 1999 Hinz McCarthy amp Turner 1997) In making financial decisions
Bajtelsmit et al (1999) also posited that women showed higher risk aversion in the wealth
allocation into the defined contribution pension plan Olsen and Cox (2001) focused on
male and female investment professionals and found that men and women perceived and
responded to risk differently They suggested that cultural factors might be accountable for
this risk related gender effect
Gender had shown a significant effect on investment decision in the Egyptian financial
market (Metawa et al 2019) More men than women indicated that they found investment
exciting Men tended to be actively engaged in investments and change their assets in the
portfolio with time (Hira amp Loibl 2008) Many research studies found that males tended
to have a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Mayfield et al
Samra Chaudary
78
2008 Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et al 2000 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Tekce Yılmaz
and Bildik (2016) reported that young male Turkish investors suffered more from
familiarity bias Moreover familiarity bias showed a significant impact on the investment
performance of the Amman stock exchange However the impact was not found to be
statistically significantly different for female and male investors (Alrabadi Al-Abdallah
amp Aljarayesh 2018)
Anderson Fedenia Hirschey and Skiba (2011) conducted a survey in more than sixty
countries to determine the international diversification of professionally managed
portfolios It was found that portfolios from countries characterized by higher levels of
masculinity showed lower levels of familiarity bias and displayed more diversified
portfolios with foreign holdings Cao Han Hirshleifer and Zhang (2009) concluded that
higher familiarity leads to lower risk judgment Mohammadi and Shafi (2018) investigated
differences in the behavior of male and female investors using equity data of Swedish
firms They found a greater risk-averse behavior in female investors as opposed to male
investors Women were found less likely to invest in the stocks of younger firms and high-
tech companies Similarly in an investment decision realm women invest less and are
more risk-averse than men (Charness amp Gneezy 2007) In a sample from Switzerland
Wang et al (2011) also observed gender differences and argued that in general both
genders were impacted by the familiarity bias The asset classes that were easier to
understand were also considered less risky and vice versa Females considered equity more
difficult to understand and also perceived equity riskier than males did However there
was an exception that male respondents were not influenced by familiarity bias for blue-
chip stocks Even though males perceived that blue-chip shares were considerably easier
Salience and Investment Decisions
79
to understand than females did they still considered blue-chip shares were risky
investment which suggested that the males were not biased by their self-perceived
understanding about blue-chip stocks Karlsson and Norden (2007) reported that gender
and familiarity with risky assets are significant factors for the choice of home investment
for Swedish investors Moreover older males tended to be more home biased However
this result was not found for females Feng and Seasholes (2008) found that females and
males suffered equally from home bias in Chinese financial markets Home bias and
portfolio performance were not found statistically significantly different between males
and females Prast Rossi Torricelli and Sansone (2015) conducted a study in Netherlands
in which they constructed a ldquopinkrdquo portfolio (with shares that were thought to be more
familiar to women) and a ldquobluerdquo portfolio (with shares that were more familiar to men)
Respondents were asked to distribute pension wealth between a Treasury bond and a
pinkblue portfolio It was tested if familiarity with the portfolio increases femalesrsquo
participation in the stock market and risk-taking It was found that familiarity affects the
choice between bonds and stocks favoring bonds only for women above 60 years
Seiler Seiler Harrison and Lane (2013) examined familiarity bias in the real estate
context The authors investigated the impact of familiarity bias on perceived future home
price movements The respondents of the study perceived house as the largest investment
(and consumption good) The survey was conducted in 20 US states to examine
homeownersrsquo perception of future home price movements of the house in which they lived
They found that gender derived familiarity bias differences Women were found to
consistently suffer more from familiarity bias as compared to men The study also
suggested that the longer one lives in a house the greater is hisher affection to it and the
Samra Chaudary
80
more one is expected to ignore its bad features and emphasize on the good ones Hence
longer home lease resulted in the overestimation of future price movements as compared
to the other houses (with which respondents were less acquainted) In another real estate
study by Seiler Seiler Traub and Harrison (2008) familiarity bias was more significantly
prominent for females of North America The Asian women exhibited familiarity bias to a
lesser extent Ang de Jong and van der Poel (2014) also found that longer tenancy resulted
in greater familiarity bias Hence based on these arguments it can be proposed that for
women the impact of salience on investment decision would be higher as compared to men
Similarly salience bias would have a stronger impact on LT-D than ST-D Figure 31
illustrates the structural model about the relationship of salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions across different groups
H5 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
H6 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions
Salience and Investment Decisions
81
33 Data and Methodology
331 Measures
The study has adopted instruments from the existing literature for the in order to
measure the latent variables Three items of short-term investment decisions (ST-D) and
four items of long-term investment decision (LT-D) were adopted from Mayfield et al
(2008) The scale of salience had five items and was adopted from Yalcin et al (2016) All
the constructs were measured on a likert scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree)
332 Methods
3321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this survey
were those who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange The sample included
professional money managers working in financial institutions and individual investors
who have invested in the Pakistan Stock Exchange Professional money managers were
working in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management
companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks whereas individual stock
investors were from varying backgrounds Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate
and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent of investors and Lahore
has 18 percent of investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence by collecting data
from these two cities the aim was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs
of the country where 92 percent investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were received and only
277 were found useable thus almost 35 percent was the response rate
Samra Chaudary
82
The investment industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated hence our sample
consisted of almost 80 percent males and 20 percent females The sample had 59 percent
professional money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60 percent
respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either separated or
divorced Eighty-seven percent respondents were employed 12 percent were business
owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent of the respondents
had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent
respondents did not expect any future inheritance Fifty-eight percent respondents
perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent perceived themselves in
upper middle class and only 3 percent perceived themselves to belong to the upper class
and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class Eighty-six percent
respondents responded their upbringing was in the urban areas and 14 percent respondents
had their upbringing in rural areas The average age of respondents was 32 years and
monthly income was Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million per month respectively The average
education was 16 years On average respondents had 4 years of investment experience in
the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average amount invested by them in stocks was PKR
10 million
3322 Data Analyses
This paper has opted to use partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to several reasons Firstly it does not require data to be normally distributed (Hair et
al 2012) and shows higher statistical power than CB-SEM for complex models with small
sample sizes (Reinartz Haenlein amp Henseler 2009) Secondly PLS-SEM has minimum
Salience and Investment Decisions
83
demand for measurement scales sample size and residual distribution (Wold 1985)
Thirdly this approach focuses on predictive analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation is
to maximize the variance of the endogenous variables explained by the exogenous
variables (Hair et al 2014) Fourthly to evaluate the statistical significance of the
parameter estimates Smart PLS3 software reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals
(Hair et al 2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling procedure takes
subsamples from the original sample of observation and estimates the model parameters of
each subsample and then report significance of the estimated coefficients thereby
substantiating the robustness of the results (Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the
significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS can be used
for theory confirmation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not present
(Chin 1998) PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory
development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
Results from PLS-SEM method are as worthy (and conservative) as from CB-SEM
approach (Hair et al 2014) Although PLS-SEM has some weaknesses for example
results tend to overestimate the factor loadings and underestimate structural relationship
and R-square Similarly CB-SEM also has some shortcomings ie results tend to inflate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander et al (2015)
have proposed that PLS-SEM is a conservative approach Table 31 depicts the
correlations descriptive statistics and square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision and salience Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term
Samra Chaudary
84
investment decision and long-term investment decision was 0518 (p=0000) and between
short-term investment decision and salience was 0359 (p=0000) Similarly long-term
investment decision also showed positive correlation with salience with Pearsonrsquos
correlation value of 0515 (p=0000) Salience was found to be more positively correlated
with long-term investment decision than with short-term investment decision
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
Short-term
Investment
Decision
Long-term
Investment
Decision
Salience
Short-term
Investment
Decision
3113 0779 (0742)
Long-term
Investment
Decision
3311 0846 0518 (0728)
Salience 3039 0827 0359 0515 (0728)
Note Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
34 Results
341 Measurement Model
Factor loadings for each indicator of the latent construct were 065 or above and
were found to be statistically significant as the values for t-statistics were above 196
(Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) Bootstrapping with 2000 subsamples was
done to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) A minimum of
three items must load significantly on each factor in a multidimensional scale
(Raubenheimer 2004 Velicer amp Fava 1998) and that was the case here The estimates of
standardized factor loadings for short-term investment decision ranged from 0675 to 0775
(tgt196) for long-term investment decision the range was 0713-0758 (tgt196) and for
salience the range of items loading was found to be 0651-0798 (tgt196)
Salience and Investment Decisions
85
Internal consistency of latent constructs was measured through composite
reliability (CR) which should be higher than 07 (Hair et al 2012) and that was the case
for all latent constructs in this research The estimates of composite reliability were 0786
for short-term investment decision 0819 for long-term investment decision and 0889 for
salience Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et al 2012) for each latent construct
The values for AVE were 0552 for short-term investment decision 0531 for long-term
investment decision and 0531 for salience
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was measured through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015) According to Fornell-Larcker criteria
the square root of AVE of each latent construct should be greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover the Heterotrait-
Monotrait (HTMT) ratio should be less than one as shown in table 33 Common method
bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each construct through variance
inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test was carried out twice with both
dependent variables once with short-term investment decision and once with the long-term
investment decision No common method bias was found in both the tests as the VIF values
for all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015) The results of the measurement model
are reported in table 32
Samra Chaudary
86
Table 32 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements
Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0675 10544
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0775 18354
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to
that of professional managers 0772 16482
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings
for investingsavingretirement purposes 0758 21972
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple
asset classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate
etc)
0713 15358
I intend to take an investment course 0737 20616
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum
gross return rather than tax and cost efficiency 0714 18643
Salience (Yalcin et
al 2016)
Expert opinions in written and visual media should
be taken into consideration when investing 0744 20780
A companyrsquos stock which is often in the media
with favorable news coverage should be preferred
when investing
0668 15584
To invest in companies that have a good brand
name is important to me 0798 32446
It is risky to invest in relatively unknown public
companies rather than known ones 0770 20525
I believe that investors should purchase the stock
of the company they work for if it is well run 0651 13806
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0786 0552
Long-term Investment Decision 0819 0531
Salience 0849 0531
Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Long-term Investment Decision Salience Short-term Investment
Decision
Long-term Investment Decision
Salience 0691
Short-term Investment Decision 0788 0526
Salience and Investment Decisions
87
342 Structural Model
The following section reports the direct effects of salience on short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates (path coefficients)
of the structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The coefficient of determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous)
variables were not below 010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) Moreover the effect size was
reported for each direct effect through F- square test (Cohen 1988) with a cut-off at 002
015 and 035 for a small medium and large effect size of the independent variable
(Henseler et al 2009) The predictive relevance of the model was also estimated by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
et al 2012) A value of 08 or higher is recommended as sufficient in behavioral studies
for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 35 summarizes the results of the direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between salience and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with large effect size (β=
03295 p= 0000 f2= 0150) Similarly the association between salience and LT-D (H2)
was also found significantly positive with almost 15 times higher beta magnitude and with
a large effect (β= 05017 p= 0000 f2= 0363) The coefficient of determination of salience
with LT-D is higher (R2= 0340) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0224) Hence relationships with LT-D have shown more explanatory power than the
relationships with ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each
Samra Chaudary
88
exogenous construct (salience) in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous
latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) All the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical
power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high probability of the presence of the
relationships between all exogenous latent variables and endogenous latent variables A
high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness of the sample size
We have included age gender income education size of the investment portfolio
and investment experience as control variables in our model These variables have
relevance in the model of salience (heuristic) and investment decisions (Yalcin et al
2016) Agarwal et al (2007) also reported that age had an effect on financial decision In
addition to that other studies have also stated that males were more inclined towards both
short-term and long-term investments than females (Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et
al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001)
Results of control variables showed that only age and investment experience
showed a significant impact on ST-D and LT-D Age showed a significant inverse
relationship with both types of investment decisions Older investors tended to take less
short-term investment decisions than long-term investment decisions Moreover the more
investment experience one has the more short-term investment decision heshe takes
Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Coefficient p-values f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1 Salience -gt ST-D 03295 0000 0150 0224 0091 0999
H2 Salience -gt LT-D 05017 0000 0363 0340 0146 1000
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0245 p=0004) Income-gtST-D (β= -00021 p=0979) Education-gtST-D (β=
00237 p=0728) Investment Experience-gtST-D (β= 0240 p=0001) size of investment portfolio -gtST-D (β= -00257
p=0703) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0147 p=0024) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0041 p=0809) Education-gtLT-D (β= 0636
p=0308) Investment Experience-gtLT-D (β= 0148 p=0047) and size of investment portfolio -gtLT-D (β= 0014
p=0736)
Salience and Investment Decisions
89
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment
In order to conduct multi-group analysis (MGA) one fundamental condition is to
establish the measurement invariance between the groups (Steenkamp amp Baumgartner
1998) ie the measurement model is not statistically different between two groups
Measurement invariance inquires the vital question if the measurement of latent variables
differs between groups (Xu amp Tracey 2017) Therefore any moderations that we may
observe should be due to the differences in the type of investors rather than measurement
differences For this purpose measurement invariance of composite models (MICOM) test
was performed in order to establish that the measurement of the (outer) model is same
between 2 groups (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016)
The MICOM method comprises of three steps (1) to establish configural invariance
(ie equal parameterization and model estimation) (2) to establish compositional
invariance (ie equal indicator weights) and (3) to establish the equality of composite
mean values and variances If configural and compositional invariance (step1 and step2)
are confirmed partial measurement invariance is supported which permits one to compare
the path coefficients between the groups Additionally if partial measurement invariance
holds and the composite means and variances are equal between the groups (step 3) full
measurement invariance is established
Running MICOM in SmartPLS automatically establishes configural invariance
(step1) (Garson 2016) The statistical output does not apply to this step and is not shown
The composite or measured invariance (step 2) is examined The correlation (c) should not
be significantly different from one As shown in table 36 all the correlation (c) in our
original data are within the confidence interval hence the null hypothesis cannot be
Samra Chaudary
90
rejected and therefore no c is significantly different from 1 (p gt 005) supporting the
compositional invariance of our model The term c value denotes the correlation between
composite scores using the weights attained from the first group (professional investor)
and composite scores using the weights attained from the second group (individual
investor) Step 3 evaluates the means differences (step 3a) and variances differences (step
3b) between the groups The null hypothesis is that the differences between the means and
the variances of the variables are 0 The results showed that in both cases (steps 3a and 3b)
all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2 groups namely individual
investors and professional investors
The MICOM test was performed in smart PLS with 5000 permutations (Ringle
Wende amp Becker 2015) The results of MICOM test are presented in table 36 confirmed
the partial measurement invariance for both the groups (individual investors and
professional investors) supporting the pertinence of the multi-group test (Henseler et al
2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Similarly MICOM test was executed to establish that the measurement model is
same between 2 groups namely female investors and male investors The correlation (c)
were not significantly different from one (step 2) The results also showed that in both
cases (steps 3a and 3b) all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2
groups namely female investors and male investors To sum up the statistical outcome of
the MICOM test is shown in table 37 confirmed the partial measurement invariance for
both the groups (ie female investors and male investors) supporting the appropriateness
of the multi-group analysis test (Henseler et al 2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Salience and Investment Decisions
91
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and Professional
Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0965 [0941 1000] 0254 Yes
LT-D 0985 [0968 1000] 0097 Yes
Salience 0992 [0980 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -0287 [-0237 0243] 0022 No
LT-D -0119 [-0247 0233] 0327 Yes
Salience -0077 [-0244 0217] 0534 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D -0006 [-0350 0308] 0796 Yes
LT-D -0166 [-0305 0263] 0249 Yes
Salience -0099 [-0292 0302] 0494 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0946 [0826 1000] 0017 No
LT-D 0986 [0961 1000] 0934 Yes
Salience 0989 [0970 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -00006 [-0300 0313] 0693 Yes
LT-D -00007 [-0296 0296] 0100 Yes
Salience -00009 [-0308 0300] 0186 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D 0025 [-0357 0443] 0330 Yes
LT-D 0030 [-0337 0419] 0402 Yes
Salience 0019 [-0341 0387] 0699 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Samra Chaudary
92
344 Multi-group Analysis
Once the measurement invariance model was established a multi-group analysis
was then executed Multi-group analysis (MGA) has numerous benefits a) It permits to
analyze whether parameters of the measurement model andor path model are alike
(invariant) between 2 groups namely individual investors and professional investors
(Chin Mills Steel amp Schwarz 2016) b) It predominantly delivers a robust check of the
validity of the measurement model and replicability of the structural model in different
contexts (Calvo-Mora Navarro-Garciacutea Rey-Moreno amp Perianez-Cristobal 2016) c) It is
also useful to draw analogy within a research whether to evaluate theoretical differences
between subgroups of the same population or across populations in the instance of
culturally diverse study (Fawcett Wallin Allred Fawcett amp Magnan 2011) Two groups
of investors (individual investors and professional investors) were used for multi-group
analysis It was found that both groups were statistically significantly different from each
other such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions
was higher in case of individual investors than in case of professional investors
Furthermore it was found that the path coefficient difference for short-term investment
decisions is almost 15 times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term
investment decisions The difference in path coefficients implies that individual investors
suffer more from salience bias than professional investors especially for short-term
investment decisions in case of both groups The direct effect of salience on the short-term
and long-term investment decision for both groups are shown in table 37 The parametric
tests of difference between the two groups are reported in table 38 show that path
coefficients of individual investors were significantly different from path coefficient of
Salience and Investment Decisions
93
professional investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path coefficient difference was
large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors
(Professional Investors) (Individual Investors)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0236 0000 2519 0097 0078 0477 0000 7502 0337 0242
Salience -gt
LT-D 0454 0000 8148 0315 0229 0609 0012 1065 0655 0384
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Individual
-
Professional
p-value
Individual
vs
Professional
t-value
Individual
vs
Professional
f2 diff
Individual
-
Professional
R2 diff
Individual
- Professional
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0241 0023 2291 0235 0175
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0155 0048 1986 033 0168
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
In addition to individual and professional investors two groups of investors (ie
female and male investors) were used for multi-group analysis It was found that both
groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other such that the impact
of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was higher in the case of
female investors than in the case of male investors Furthermore it was found that path
coefficient difference for short-term investment decisions is almost 2 times higher than the
Samra Chaudary
94
path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions The difference in path
coefficients implies that female investors suffer more from salience bias than male
investors for both short-term and long-term investment decisions The direct effect of
salience on the short-term and long-term investment decision for both groups (ie female
and male) are shown in table 310 The parametric tests of difference between two groups
are reported in table 311 show that path coefficients of female investors were significantly
different from path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path
coefficient difference was large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females
(Females) (Males)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0642 0000 8032 0775 0419 0316 0000 4496 0120 0104
Salience -gt
LT-D 0692 0000 1051 0992 0483 0516 0000 1086 0374 0269
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Female
-
Male
p-value
Female
vs
Male
t-value
Female
vs
Male
f2 diff
Female
-
Male
R2 diff
Female
-
Male
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0326 0001 3222 0655 0315
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0176 0024 2013 0618 0214
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Salience and Investment Decisions
95
35 Discussion and Implications
The results show that salience had shown a significant positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions This finding got support from Mousavi and
Gigerenzer (2014) who stated that besides the availability of plenty of information which
is often available individuals make their decisions which are based on gut feelings This
result was also consistent with Wang et al (2011) who posited that individuals who have
a better knowledge of an asset class perceive it to have a lower risk and a higher expected
return That could be one of the reasons for having a significant positive sign of salience
with both ST-D and LT-D Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) reported that stronger investor
protection leads to higher domestic investments Correspondingly Securities Exchange
Commission of Pakistan is fully determined to ensure investor protection to provide
maximum information and to promote investor confidence in order to boost financial
planning and decision-making (SECP 2016) Another plausible reason for this
phenomenon could be due to the bear market condition at the time of data collection as
suggested by Riff and Yagil (2016) Therefore investors have shown an impact of salience
heuristic on domestic stock market investments in short-term as well as in the long-term
Furthermore it was found that beta coefficient for long-term investment was one and a half
times higher and effect size was almost two and a half times higher than the beta coefficient
and the effect size for short-term investment The possible reason for this result could be
that investing in a familiar stock in the long-term would increase investorsrsquo trust and
confidence about higher returns Investors were also found to invest in familiar short-term
investments but the impact was seen higher for long run as long-term investment yields
higher return Familiarity breeds trust and trust establishes long-term commitment (Gulati
Samra Chaudary
96
1995 Wilson McNellis amp Latham 2018) Moreover familiarity knowledge and
confidence are positively associated (Shawahna et al 2017) Familiarity influences
confidence which in turn affects buying decisions (Laroche Kim amp Zhou 1996) and long-
term commitments (Ganesan1994) In addition evidence have shown that markets are
expected to be in equilibrium in the long run (Hopenhayn 1992 Marshall 1961 Shachat
amp Zhang 2017) But in short run higher volatility of small-capitalization stocks is reported
to result in significant capital losses (Roll 1983)
Investors like to hedge their losses (Odean 1998) so they do not repent later
Therefore investing in familiar long-term securities is likely to make them feel relatively
safe in terms of risk and return Healthier long-run growth prospects are reported to reward
long-term investors (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) and stocks have
outperformed in longer time horizons (Dierkes et al 2010) Baker and Ricciardi (2014)
have also recommended investing in long-term for superior performance than short-term
investments They suggested that investors should invest in the long-term rather than
investing in short-term portfolios A better performance of short-term investment may be
found due only to good luck than stock selection skill or market timing expertise
In the multi-group analysis this study found that individual investors and money
managers were influenced positively by the impact of salience in their short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover both groups were significantly different from each
other such that professional money managers were less influenced by salience to invest in
familiar stocks as compared to individual investors in short-term as well as in long-term
The effect of salience was seen higher for long-term investment than for short-term
investment decision The findings are aligned with (Baxter 1994 French amp Poterba 1991)
Salience and Investment Decisions
97
who found that individual investors especially invest in more familiar stocks Gigerenzer
(2014) also found that managers acknowledge that almost half of their professional
decisions are intuitive decisions These decisions are based on their familiarity after
acknowledging all the available information Sternad and Kennelly (2017) also report that
managers have a long-term orientation in their decisions which is determined by
institutional factors Managerial long-run orientation can also generate and sustain higher
returns for their clients The findings also gave an indication that professional money
managers were more likely to strive for diversified and optimal portfolio construction for
their clients in the long run as they were found to relying less on salience heuristic Long-
term securities possess higher risk as well as a higher return (Dimson et al 2017 Von
Thadden 1995) It was also found that the path coefficient difference between individual
investors and professional investors for short-term investment decisions was almost 15
times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions These
findings get support from (Fox amp Tversky 1995 Mishra 2014) that heuristics are used for
quick and efficient decision-making
Professional money managers should rely less on salience heuristic in order to
achieve a diversified and optimal portfolio An optimal portfolio provides maximum
returns (wealth) at a given level of risk (Markovitz 1952) More wealth increases
household consumption The high consumption should strengthen the overall economy
(Poterba 2000) Moreover high returns from optimal portfolios would allow individuals
for early retirement as they have higher savings which enhances the welfare of the society
(Chai Horneff Maurer amp Mitchell 2011) Higher yields would also encourage investors
to invest more in the stock market (Daniel amp Hirshleifer 2015) which could lead to higher
Samra Chaudary
98
productivity and growth of capital markets (Pagano 1993) and result in economic growth
(Paramati Ummalla amp Apergis 2016)
The study also investigated the group difference between female investors and male
investors It was found that female and male investors were significantly different from
each other The impact of salience was found to be higher for females than for males for
both short-term and long-term investment This supports the work of Seiler et al (2013)
and Seiler et al (2008) who also found that women consistently suffered more from
familiarity bias when they were asked to value their homes (in which they resided) in the
future Females tended to be more risk-averse then men (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac
2018 Byrnes et al 1999 Hinz et al 1997) and were found with lower level of comfort
with maths (Hayes amp Kelly 1998) could be another reason of them investing in familiar
investments only in both short-term and long-term Moreover Estes and Hosseini (1988)
reported that women had substantially less confidence in their investment decisions than
men This may be one of the reasons for the observed difference in higher salience for
women towards their investment decision for both long-term and short-term In addition to
that men tended to be over-confident in stock trading (Barber amp Odean 2001) and female
investors were likely to assign more weight to probability of loss and uncertainty than
male investors do (Olsen amp Cox 2001) could be other plausible cause of this phenomenon
The beta coefficients of LT-D were found higher than the beta coefficients for ST-D for
both men and women This outcome was also consistent with the explanation by Ang et al
(2014) who posited that lengthier tenure leads to greater familiarity bias
Investors should be mindful that salience investment strategy could also give rise
to the mispricing of the familiar companiesrsquo stocks High demand for familiar firmsrsquo stocks
Salience and Investment Decisions
99
would lead to an upsurge in stock price resulting in the overvaluation of those shares This
price rise will only withstand if familiar firms provide ample returns to support higher stock
prices However if familiar firms are not able to provide adequate returns their stock price
would ultimately settle downwards If investors successfully recognize the mispriced
equity triggered by familiarity bias they might realize profits from subsequent arbitrage
opportunities (De Vries et al 2017)
To sum up findings of this research conform with the Prospect theory (De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998) The results of this study will help money managers to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on salience and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification Moreover investment professionals can also
advise their clients how to avoid familiarity bias during the investment decision-making
process Salience is a critical heuristic to understand and to improve the quality of
investorsrsquo investment decision An effective financial adviser would require an
understanding of investorsrsquo psychological biases to implement well-planned investment
strategies The findings will also help regulatory authorities such as SECP to improve
investor protection rights and to enhance the functioning of stock market Professional
money managers from brokerage houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may
also deliver superior service and provide sound guidance to their customers once they are
aware of salience heuristic which can hamper their investment decisions Domestic firms
should publicly list their stocks in international stock exchanges to increase the familiarity
and decrease the information cost and such actions may encourage foreigners to invest in
stocks of such companies (Ahearne et al 2004)
Samra Chaudary
100
Women prefer less risk and are less confident than men when it comes to
investment decision so it is important to identify areas of their concerns related to money
matters An investment literacy program for women is needed especially in a developing
country like Pakistan This investment understanding could shape womenrsquos confidence and
influence their money matters and investment decision Moreover females represent a tiny
sample in the financial industry Therefore there is an immense need to target more females
in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
Lastly the findings will help both national and international financial regulatory
bodies and supervisory authorities for their better performance in managing financial
anomalies triggered by behavioral heuristics Foreign firms should also work towards
awareness transparency and investor protection so that investors can have confidence in
an international firm and they can diversify their portfolios internationally to enjoy higher
returns
36 Conclusion and Future Research
This study has made an attempt to investigate the influence of salience on long-
term and short-term investment decisions of the individual investor and professional
investors The study presented robust findings indicating the presence of the salience bias
for an emerging stock market It was found that salience has a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience
on short-term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for individual
investors than for professional investors In addition to that the impact of salience on short-
term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for females than for male
investors
Salience and Investment Decisions
101
The outcomes of this study are likely to assist in understanding the decision-making
perspectives of local investors The findings of this groundwork will aid to understand the
decision-making perspectives of local investors The instruments used in this study were
found to be valid and reliable and had been used in studies done in developed economies
It is critical that the same instrument should be used to generalize results across different
emerging economies as well especially As there were only 20 percent females in the
sample due to male-dominated industry the results need generalization from other
countries Future studies can investigate the impact of other heuristics on investment
horizons Future researchers can also pursue the inquiry if gender interacted with other
demographic variables such as marital status age and income have different investment
decisions The sample for this study was collected in the time of bearsrsquo market conditions
Upcoming research can collect data in bulls market and investigate if salience bias still
persists This study has relied on self-reported and perceptual data to measure heuristics
Future studies can make use of objective measures of heuristics However developing such
a measure for investors could be tremendously challenging Future research can also
investigate the influence of salience bias on investments decision by comparing investment
performance results in familiar and unfamiliar firms Market inefficiencies due to the
presence of asymmetric information are likely to lead to selection bias and future
researchers can explore this area Such investigation may help identify the presence of
potential arbitrage profit opportunities
Samra Chaudary
102
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Interaction of Income and Inheritance
Abstract
The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the Prospect theory the
theory of Planned Behavior and Monetary Intelligence theory to investigate the impact of
Love of Money (LoM) on short-term and long-term investment decisions It further
investigates the moderating effect of current income and expectation of receiving an
inheritance in the future The study uses partial least square based structural equation
modeling technique on a data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that LoM has a significant positive
impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of respondents
Furthermore it was found that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-
D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving
future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and
long-term investment decisions The results offer implications for the marketing of
financial institutions like asset management companies brokerage houses and investment
banks It may be possible to identify potential investors by means of segmentation based
on money attitudes current income and future wealth possession The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance
especially to the literature on LoM used by stock investors while making investment
decisions
Keywords Love of Money money attitudes income inheritance investment
decision behavioral finance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
103
41 Introduction
In the recent time period people who were attracted by high profits on their
investments lost their fortune in crises eg US financial crisis- 2008 Europe loan crisis-
2010 and Asian financial crisis- 1997 2012 Consequently people all over the world are
facing more complex financial decisions than in the past (Shih amp Ke 2014) Financial
decision-making is a key factor for long-term financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Tang et al 2018a) Some of the important reasons for the upsurge in individualsrsquo
investments are the concern for their retirement earnings (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004
McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) education expenses and health care expenditures (Greenberg
amp Hershfield 2019) Gunnarsson and Wahlund (1997) suggested another cause to
understand individual financial plans They observed that several economies have
encountered with increasing competition as a result of deregulation of the financial
industry social security cuts and tough economic conditions This phenomenon has made
it crucial for finance companies to adjust their advertising plans from supply-side to more
demand-side MacGregor and Slovic (2000) conducted research on a sample from the US
who was presently at or near their earnings peak and thought that retirement planning for
future income is crucial Sixty-seven percent of the sample reported of having a long-term
investment portfolio in marketable certificates they see portfolio returns as retirement
earnings which were essential to complement social security and pensions
Financial decisions are predicted by attitudes (Akhtar amp Das 2019) which are
highly influenced by socioeconomic status (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019)
Understanding of these attitudes is as financial planners devise effective strategies for their
clientsrsquo wealth management (Britt 2016) Attitudes influence the behavior and intentions
Samra Chaudary
104
to invest (Mahastanti amp Hariady 2013) One important attitude in this context is investorsrsquo
attitude towards money and it is one of the key factors influencing an individualrsquos financial
behavior (Shih amp Ke 2014) Money attitudes have gained attention for their hypothesized
relationship with financial behavior (Klontz amp Britt 2012)
Feldmanrsquos viewpoint of money is still pertinent Individualsrsquo decision process is
affected one way or another by the attitude towards money This includes the
consideration of whether to buy or not (Oezgen amp Bayoglu 2005) Money is the instrument
of commerce and a measure of value (Smith 1776 1937) Money is one of the most
important factors in our lives (Lodder Ong Grasman amp Wicherts 2019 Wernimont amp
Fitzpatrick 1972) The meaning of money lies in the eye of the beholder (McClelland
1967) and can be perceived as a ldquoframe of referencerdquo in everyday lives (Tang 1992)
Individuals use their money attitudes to frame their daily matters (Tang 1993) Money
attitudes are values that individuals associate with money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
People think about money but rarely discuss their financial matters income and stock
investments openly or discuss it with a few people only (Rubenstein 1981) An
individualrsquos money attitudes have roots in hisher childhood and it fairly persists all his
over their life (Tang amp Gilbert 1995)
Stock market investment offers a huge potential for financial returns Yet people
hesitate to invest their money in stocks instead they put their money more often into
savings deposits or real estate (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) This can be expected
according to prospect theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992)
as most individuals behave in a risk-averse way rather than risk-taking way when there is
a probability to make gains The likelihood of making gains is weighed as too risky because
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
105
of the unpredictable nature of capital markets In a comprehensive study on stock market
psychology Warneryd (2001) posited that investors do not behave according to
conventional models of investment as proposed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis and
by rational models of portfolio choice Instead of rational behavior that can be explained
by traditional finance investors show behavioral biases The understanding of variables
that hinder or stimulate investment in stocks is fairly important (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Investorsrsquo wealth and investment horizon have been reported as determinants of choice
among investment in different asset classes (Butler amp Domian 1991) Economic
psychology divides investors into groups based on financial psychological and
demographic characteristics Finance companies can then create specific marketing plans
to attract different groups of investors more effectively (Warneryd 2001)
Investment decisions have become more perplexed recently Thus in order to
understand which variables impact investorsrsquo financial decisions is of high relevance
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006b) Numerous psychological factors play a significant role in
individual financial decisions eg attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b)
locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward saving (Euwals et al 2004) risk attitudes
(Morse1998 Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001) and behavioral biases (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014) Money attitudes have been studied in different areas of psychology
previously (Du amp Tang 2005 Gentina et al 2018 Hampson et al 2018 Lemrova et al
2014 Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al 2018a)
To date little is known about the impact of Love of Money on investment behavior
To the best of our knowledge the impact of Love of Money has never been systematically
tested with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive power
Samra Chaudary
106
been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix III) It is fair
to believe that individuals assign a meaning to money that will have an effect on their
inclination towards the purchase of stocks The key goal of the life of people with high
money obsession is to grow their assets Individuals who are obsessed with money and
believe that money means achievement intelligence and power are expected to be more
likely to invest in stocks in order to attain their financial goals Financial returns provided
by stock investments can be viewed as a means of fulfilling their money-related goals
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
There is scant empirical research about the love of money of stock market investors
and none in the emerging economy A handful of research studies have focused on peoplesrsquo
money attitudes in the developed economies (Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Gentina et al
2018 Hampson et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang
1992 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell et al 2007) but research in the context of
developing economies is still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Li et al 2009 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira et al 2014)
This study fills the void by investigating for the first time the impact of Love of
Money on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of actual stock market
investors from an emerging market The study further investigates if income and
inheritance expectation moderate the relationship of LoM with short-term and long-term
investment decision This study also extends prospect theory theory of planned behavior
and monetary intelligence theory in the domain of behavioral finance and offers
implications to individual investors and professional money managers in the context of a
developing economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
107
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development
421 Prospect Theory
Prospect theory suggests that when an individual is offered a gamble containing
two or more outcome lotteries with some probability they would make their decisions on
the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the alternative with the highest value The value function is concave
for gains convex for losses and steeper for losses than for gains Critical to this value
function is the reference point from which gains and losses are measured Mostly
individuals display risk-averse behavior rather than risk-seeking behavior when there is a
probability to make profits (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Chances of making gains are
calculated as too uncertain because of the apparent uncertainty of future financial market
movements An investorrsquos attitude towards money is a crucial factor in determining the
willingness to invest in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals differ in their attitude towards money which explains the endowment effect
(also known as status quo bias) and loss-averse behavior Endowment effect comes into
play when individuals place a higher value on assets that they own over those they do not
own because they assign more weight to losses than they do gains Hence they demand a
higher price (return) to give up the asset (they own) than they would be willing to pay to
purchase it (Thaler 1980) The disutility of giving up an asset (they own) is greater than
the utility of acquiring it (Kahneman Knetsch amp Thaler 1990 Kahneman amp Tversky
1984)
A number of studies have made use of prospect theory to investigate profits and
losses of stocks uncertainty skills of the portfolio manager (Jordan amp Riley 2015) and
Samra Chaudary
108
well-being (Frijters Johnston Shields amp Sinha 2015 Gehring amp Willoughby 2002
Ratcliffe amp Taylor 2015) Nonetheless only a few studies have analyzed investorsrsquo
decisions through the lens of their Love of Money (Gentina et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al 2018a Tang Tillery Lazarevski amp Luna-Arocas 2004)
422 Theory of Planned Behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB Ajzen 1991) individualsrsquo
behavior is predicted by their behavioral intention Attitudes subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control affect behavioral intentions which then determine actual
behaviors The theory of planned behavior predicts that behavior can include conflicts
between short-term and long-term goals affect cognition and consequences in several
fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Thus the central idea of the theory is that planned behavior is
determined by behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) Cognitive impairment and lack of self-
control are the two key reasons due to which a person falls for the attraction of money
(Chen Tang amp Tang 2014 Tang amp Sutarso 2013) Therefore to understand an
individualrsquos behaviors scholars must study a personrsquos deeply rooted money attitudes
Raut et al (2018) proposed that TPB predicts onesrsquo behavioral intention to invest
in the capital market Similarly several studies have applied TPB on individuals to study
their money attitudes in decision-making (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014
Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Singhapakdi Vitell Lee Nisius amp Grace 2013 Tang et al
2007 Tang 2016 Tang et al 2018a) However very few researches have been carried
out outside the US and even fewer in developing countries (Prahalad amp Hammond
2002) The contribution of TPB is not as widespread as many scholars once thought
especially in developing countries (Kirkman amp Law 2005) This study extends the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
109
applicability of the TPB in the area of investment decision-making in a developing
economy
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory
Since attitudes determine intentions and behaviors Hence scholars should explore
personsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes in order to recognize behaviors (Tang 2016)
Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model) of attitudes
(Bagozzi Tybout Craig amp Sternthal 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed
that individuals monitor their own love of money motive (affect behavior and cognition)
and apply that knowledge to evaluate critical concerns in the proximal (immediate) and
distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically choose the options to achieve financial goals
success and ultimately to maximize their expected utility (Tang et al 2018b 2018c)
Various researchers have studied the concept of Monetary Intelligence in several
researches where individuals apply their monetary and personal values in decision-making
(Chen et al 2014 Gentina et al 2016 Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015
Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang et al 2018b 2018c Tang 2016) The findings of this study
expand the application of theory of MI to a new context of short-term and long-term
investment decisions made by investors in an emerging economy
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Money attitudes are the values and meanings that one relates with money (Keller
amp Siegrist 2006a) Love of Money is defined as (i) attitude towards money including
affective behavioral and cognitive components (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) (ii) meaning
of money (Tang 1992) (iii) desire (Sloan 2002) and aspirations (Tang 2007) for money
(iv) materialism (Belk 1985) (v) not onersquos need but greed (Sloan 2002) and (vi) the joint
Samra Chaudary
110
concept of numerous sub-constructs (Du amp Tang 2005 Tang 1992 1995 2007 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang Kim amp Shin-Hsiung 2000 Tang Luna-Arocas
amp Sutarso 2005 Tang et al 2007 Vitell Paolillo amp Singh 2006 Vitell et al 2007)
Money Ethic Scale (MES Tang 1992 1993 1995) is one of the most scientifically
used money attitudes measurement instruments in previous studies (Mitchell amp Mickel
1999) Love of money (LoM) is the most well-developed construct of money attitude
(Gentina et al 2018 Tang et al 2018a Tang et al 2004) Love of Money scale has been
validated in more than three dozen studies (Erdener amp Garkavenko 2012 Gbadamosi amp
Joubert 2005 Lim amp Teo 1997 Nkundabanyanga Omagor Mpamizo amp Ntayi 2011
Sardzoska amp Tang 2009 Tang et al 2006 Tang Chen amp Sutarso 2008a Tang et al
2011 Wong 2008) Researchers have cited it in several leading international reviews
(Dittmar Bond Hurst amp Kasser 2014 Kish-Gephart Harrison amp Trevintildeo 2010 Lea amp
Webley 2006 Mitchell amp Mickel 1999 Rose amp Orr 2007 Zhang 2009) and in multiple
textbooks (Colquitt LePine amp Wesson 2011 Furnham 2014 McShane amp Von Glinow
2008 Milkovich Newman amp Gerhart 2014 Newman Gerhart amp Milkovich 2017
Phillips amp Gully 2013 Rynes amp Gerhart 2000 Scandura 2016) The Love of Money
(LoM) construct is a subset of MES (Tang amp Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al
2006 2011) and is also re-named as monetary intelligence lately (Chen et al 2014
Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015 Tang 2016 Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang
et al 2018b 2018c)
Tang (1992) proposed a Money Ethic Scale (MES) comprising of three factors 1)
an affective factor (money is good money is evil) 2) a cognitive factor (money symbolizes
achievement power and freedom) 3) and a behavioral factor (budget handle money
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
111
carefully) factor Lim and Teo (1997) proposed a parsimonious instrument on cognitive
and behavioral dimensions using items from Furnham (1984) Tang (1992) and Yamauchi
amp Templer (1982)
Love of money is a multidimensional construct and is measured as a second-order
variable in the literature (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014 Tang 2016) It has
also been reported that LoM as a latent formative construct is superior to latent reflective
construct (Lemrova et al 2014) Theoretically a multidimensional construct means a
single theoretical concept denotes to ldquoa number of interrelated attributes or dimensions
and exists in multidimensional domainsrdquo (Law Wong amp Mobley 1998)
Undoubtedly having money is essential It is reported that money has become more
important with time in materialistic communities (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) Four decades
ago males ranked salary (income) at fifth place among ten important life goals however
females ranked salary (income) seventh place (Jurgensen 1978) However in 1990 all
respondents agreed that salary was ranked as the most important factor among eleven life
goals The salary was ranked first in importance in Germany and second in Belgium the
UK and the US (Harpaz 1990) Whoever loves money never has enough of it whoever
adores money is certainly not contented with hisher income (Tang et al 2018a) These
empirical findings are aligned with the old wisdom ldquoWhoever loves money never has
enough whoever loves wealth is never satisfied with their incomerdquo (Ecclesiastes 5 10
The Catholic Bible Tang et al 2006) ldquoPoverty consists not in the decrease of onersquos
possessions but in the increase of onersquos greed (Plato 427ndash347 BC)rdquo
Zakaria Jaafar and Marican (2012) suggested that money has an effect on onersquos
financial behavior Money attitudes predict monetary intentions and financial decisions
Samra Chaudary
112
(Tang et al 2018a) High LoM was reported to be associated with high risk-taking
behavior in a reward-related gambling task It was also found that participants with high
LoM were more sensitive to gainslosses that participants with low LoM (Jia Zhang Li
Feng amp Li 2013) People who have high Love of Money motive desire to make more
money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and tend to show high tolerance
for investment risk (Tang et al 2008a) Employees in the developing economies are more
obsessed with money and these employees tended to seek any opportunity to make more
money (Tang et al 2005) Those who give importance to money were found keen to take
benefits from circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Such individuals
would likely to invest in the stock market to expect high profits Therefore it is reasonable
to assume that the meaning that people assign to money does affect their intention to invest
in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
It was reported that when individuals were asked to recall money they become
unfriendly or less warm and shifted into their business and work mode (Vohs 2015 Vohs
Mead amp Goode 2006) Similarly Tang et al (2004) found that individuals who value
money are keenly involved in their work-related activities so that they can earn more
money and they relish achievements and success
Since the sample of this research was stock investors therefore in the light of
previous literature it was proposed that high LoM motive operated strongly on individuals
working as stock investors In contrast Keller and Siegrist (2006a) conducted a research
on Swiss investors and found that investment in stocks did not matter for those who
perceive money as an achievement and obsession It is possible that for Swiss investors the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
113
expected return on the stock market was not a reliable indicator as an expression of
achievement and power
A sample of South African students was reported to treat money as their
achievement and achievement were found significantly associated with their materialism
(Nnedum Egwu Obinna Ntomchukwu amp Chukwukeluo 2011) Lemrova et al (2014)
also found that money was viewed as power in the context of materialism Similarly
according to Lea and Webley (2006) money was viewed as a symbol of power and was
found acting an addictive drugmdash the more you have the more you want It is that some
people tend to make more than they require which may lead to over earning and
accumulating wealth (Hsee Zhang Cai amp Zhang 2013) Feeling powerful also increases
saving (Garbinsky Kless amp Aaker 2014) Thus money a representation of power was
reported to be associated with wealth Money attitudes that reflect high level of power and
achievement tend to be positively related to high-risk current (short-term) and high-risk
future (long-term) financial investments (Shih amp Ke 2014) Hence the following
hypotheses are proposed for this study
H1 Love of Money positively impacts short-term investment decisions
H2 Love of Money positively impacts long-term investment decisions
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money
Money is one way of expressing social status and it divides people into different
social groups (Tomek Striacuteteskyacute amp Tahal 2013) Some studies have found that money
attitudes are independent of onersquos income (Medina Saegert amp Gresham 1996 Yamauchi
amp Templer 1982) However other studies showed contradictory findings for example
individuals who perceive themselves affluent at times behave in a different way from those
Samra Chaudary
114
who perceive themselves unfortunate (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Wealth perception
may have its roots in early life socioeconomic class Individuals who were raised in a higher
socioeconomic class are likely to show more risk-averse behavior than those who were
raised in a lower socioeconomic class (Griskevicius et al 2013) On the other hand Corter
and Chen (2006) found that wealthier investors tended to take more risks than less wealthy
ones
An individuals reaction to money is a reflection of hisher past life experiences
which influence attitudes towards money People who had faced a financial struggle in
their life were found likely to behave differently towards their Love of Money motive as
compared to those who had not experienced such hardships Those who had experienced
hardship in their lives suffered more from financial anxiety than those who did not because
of the high emotional and psychological pain related to financial deprivation Those
individuals were also probably treated with contempt when they desperately needed
money Thus they tend to see money as a means of comparison or evaluation Reddy
(1987) suggested that rich and poor would have different perspectives in the sense how
they use money Therefore money has a different meaning to different people which
depends on their backgrounds and financial experiences (Wernimont amp Fitzpatrick 1972)
Keller and Siegrist (2006b) also reported that investors having different money
attitudes profiles behave and invest differently They created four types of groups with
different money attitudes Safe players see financial security and savings as essential
Hoarding wealth and accumulating money were vital objectives of their lives Risk seekers
were risk-tolerant and have the most positive attitude towards stocks They were most
obsessed with money and would invest a huge amount of money in stocks Open books
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
115
showed little affinity with money They had low risk-tolerance and a negative attitude
towards stocks Financial security and savings had medium importance to them Money
dummies also had a low obsession with money They showed less risk tolerance and less
attraction towards money matters They had a more positive attitude towards the stock
market than open books
Earlier researches have studied the effect of income on willingness to invest in
shares (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994 Grable Lytton amp OrsquoNeill 2004 Hlouskova Fortin amp
Tsigaris 2017) Individuals with income (businessmen) were reported to differ from those
without income (students) with respect to money as a motivator and as a measure of
achievement (Tang et al 2004) Individuals who imagined themselves to be well-off in
the future showed a high risk-seeking behavior than those who imagined themselves to be
deprived in the future (Greenberg 2013) However Concepcion (2016) found when one
starts to earn high-income heshe did not understand the need to save (invest) because the
income was expected to be replaced next month Income and net worth were reported to
have a positive correlation with investments in risky assets (Guiso Jappelli amp Terlizzese
1996) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the relationship of expected inheritance
employment status and income with financial investment They found women tended to
invest in stocks if they expected to receive inheritance were employed and had higher net
worth than men However men who expected to receive inheritance were more likely to
invest in business assets and less in housing assets Therefore the aforementioned findings
imply (regardless of gender) more wealth was found likely to lead to risky investments
Individuals with low-income level were seen to be more obsessed with money and
tended to spend money for power as compared to those with high-income level (Furnham
Samra Chaudary
116
1984) According to Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) poor people are
constantly in the losses (Kahneman 2011) which reflects their risk-seeking behavior for
losses (Gentina et al 2018) Many researches have reported that risk seekers purchase
shares more frequently than fewer risk avoiders (Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001
Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) Poor children significantly overvalue the size of coins as
compared to rich kids (Bruner amp Goodman 1947) An increase in income was found
related to onersquos wellbeing predominantly for the poor After reaching above the poverty
threshold a further increase in income was found to matter little for the feeling of wellbeing
(Diener amp Oishi 2000) For example in a sample from Hong Kong the relationship
between income and LoM was found to be negative for highly paid employees Their
income was greater than the per capita GDP (Tang amp Chiu 2003) The same relationship
between income and LoM was found positive for underpaid African-Americans and for
women in the US who have less income than their counterparts and insignificant for
Caucasians and men in the US who have sufficient income at the market level or their
income was more than their counterparts (Tang et al 2006)
Individuals with low socioeconomic status tend to take high risk and low returns
investment decisions (Haisley Mostafa amp Loewenstein 2008) Consequently economic
disparity predicts high risk-seeking behavior (Krupp amp Cook 2018 Mishra Hing amp
Lalumiere 2015 Payne Brown-Iannuzzi amp Hannay 2017) Individuals with low-income
are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several unmet needs
(Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and their unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator because only money can
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
117
fulfill the desires and improve the (financial) performance (Gomez-Mejia amp Balkin 1992
Jenkins Mitra Gupta amp Shaw 1998 Locke Feren McCaleb Shaw amp Denny 1980)
Therefore investors for whom money is a motivator are likely to take more risk
They constantly react to the stock market index frequently buy andor sell shares alter
shares proportion and try to make quick gains hence their investment behaviors are
controlled by the money-making motive (Tang et al 2018a) and they become a slave of
money (De Charms 1976) Due to the prospects of financial gains in the capital markets
low-income investors tended to strive for assets and do whatever it takes to make more
money than their counterparts (Tang et al 2008b)
Nonetheless normative scholars advise that investors must expect the compromise
between risk and expected return in order to achieve an optimal investment portfolio
(Merton 1973) Figure 41 illustrates the structural model about relationship of Love of
Money with short-term and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of
income and expect to receive a future inheritance Based on above discussion of literature
about relationship of income and wealth with LoM the following hypotheses are proposed
H3 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and short-term investment
decisions
H4 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and long-term investment
decisions
H5 Expectation of receiving future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love
of Money and short-term investment decisions
H6 Expect to receive future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love of
Money and long-term investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
118
Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term and
long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect to
receive the future inheritance
43 Data and Methodology
431 Measures
This study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decision were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) on a five-point likert
scale Love of money is a second-order formative construct (reflective first-order
formative second-order) as proposed by Lemrova et al 2014) and (Tang 2016) Four first-
order latent sub-constructs are reflective 1) achievement 2) power 3) obsession and 4)
budget These dimensions were adopted from Keller and Siegrist (2006a) and have four
five four and two items respectively LoM is a second-order latent construct based on four
dimensions mentioned above Edwards (2011) has explained that a formative construct is
a composite of certain non-deletable dimensions that represent theoretically critical aspect
Achievement
Power
Obsession
Budget
S-T Investment Decisions
Love of Money
L-T Investment Decisions
IncomeExpect to receive
Inheritance
H1
H2
H3 H4H5 H6
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
119
of that latent construct In this study those dimensions are Achievement Power
Obsession and Budget These dimensions themselves are latent constructs that are
reflectively indicated by measurable indicators
432 Methods
4321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The sample consisted of money
managers working in financial institutions and individual investors who were active
investors on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX previously called KSE Karachi Stock
Exchange) Money managers were working in financial institutions like mutual fund
companies (asset management companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks However selected individual stock investors could be from any background and
from any industry or profession as the objective of this research was to analyze the behavior
of stock investors regardless of the fact that they were individual investors or they work
for an institution where they investmanage other peoplesrsquo money Out of the total
investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74
percent investors and Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company
2018) Hence it was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs of the
country where 92 percent of investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect the data from the targeted population of investors We received back 517
questionnaires and only 277 were fully completed Therefore the useable responses were
277 almost 35 percent response rate The response rate deemed satisfactory Many
behavioral studies in the discipline of investment decision had as low response rate as 109
Samra Chaudary
120
percent (Brown Call Clement amp Sharp 2015) 54 percent (Dichev Graham Harvey amp
Rajgopal 2013) and 289 percent (Yalcin et al 2016) The investment industry is highly
male-dominated hence sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females The
sample had 59 percent money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60
percent of the respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either
separated or divorced The sample comprised of 87 percent employed respondents and 12
percent business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent
of the sample had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family
and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future inheritance In addition to that 58
percent of the sample perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent
perceived themselves in upper middle class 3 percent perceived themselves as coming
from upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class The
sample had 86 percent respondents who had their upbringing in the urban areas and 14
percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas The data also exhibited that 11
percent of the respondents responded that they were very liberal in terms of religiosity 78
percent reported that they were moderately religious and 11 percent informed that they
were very religious The average age and monthly income of the sample were 32 years and
PKR 018 million respectively The average education was of 16 years The sample had on
average 4 years of investment experience in the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average
amount invested in stocks was about PKR 10million Pakistanrsquos per capita income has
increased by 05 percent in year 2017-2018 and is at $1641 (PKR 162230) (Economic
Survey of Pakistan 2018) Per capita income crudely measures of the general well-being
in an economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
121
4322 Data Analyses
The research employs partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-
SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due
to numerous reasons Firstly PLS-SEM efficiently handles both reflective and formative
measures (Ringle Sarstedt amp Straub 2012) Secondly PLS-SEM does not require data to
be normally distributed (Hair et al 2012) and works well with small sample sizes and
complex models (Cassel Hackl amp Westlund 1999) and involves minimum requirements
on measurement scales and residual distribution (Wold 1985) Thirdly applying PLS-
SEM provides effectiveness in parameter estimates which is established in the methods
higher statistical power than that of CB-SEM A higher statistical power denotes that PLS-
SEM tends to show a specific relationship significant when it is actually significant in the
population (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016) Fourthly this approach focuses on
predictive estimation Precisely the aim of PLS-SEM is to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair et al 2014) Fifthly to
evaluate the statistical significance of the parameter estimates smart PLS3 software
version 328 provides with percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair et al 2011
Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling involves selecting repeated random
subsamples from the original sample (Hair et al 2012) These bootstrapped samples then
test the significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS
approach can be utilized for theory validation as well as to propose where relationships
may or may not present (Chin 1998) PLS is beneficial for exploratory research and for
the initial phases of theory development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982) Table 41 depicts the
correlations of the constructs and square-root of average variance extracted
Samra Chaudary
122
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decision was 0490 (p=0000) Similarly short-term
investment decision also showed a positive correlation with all four factors of Love of
Money ie achievement power obsession and budget short-term investment decision had
the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0342 (p=0000) with budget component and
lowest correlation value of 0240 (p=0000) with obsession component In the same way
long-term investment decision too exhibited a positive correlation with all four factors of
Love of Money with the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0500 (p=0000) with budget
factor and lowest correlation value of 0209 (p=0000) with obsession factor
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
ST-D LT-D Achievement Power Obsession Budget
ST-D 3074 0836 (0742)
LT-D 3292 0856 0490 (0735)
Achievement 2893 0934 0297 0244 (0808)
Power 2928 0967 0268 0327 0645 (0821)
Obsession 2659 0898 0240 0209 0582 0610 (0744)
Budget 3093 0785 0342 0500 0221 0184 0157 (0771) Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
44 Results
441 Measurement Model
For reflective constructs researchers should report factor loadings composite
reliability average variance extracted and discriminant validity The statistical assessment
for reflective model cannot be reassigned to formative models where indicators represent
constructrsquos independent causes and therefore do not necessarily correlate highly (Hair et
al 2016) Evaluating convergent and discriminant validities are not important when
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
123
formative constructs and their weights entail (Chin 1998) For formative constructs
indicator weights along with their significance multicollinearity of indicators and
constructs must be stated (Cenfetelli amp Bassellier 2009 Chin 1998 Fornell amp Larcker
1981 Hair et al 2012) Therefore the measurement model of first-order reflective
constructs or the reflective dimensions of the second-order construct were evaluated by
analyzing the factor loadings All the loadings were found above 05 (Velicer amp Fava
1998 Wille 1996) and statistically significant (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999)
A resampling was done by bootstrapping method with 2000 subsamples which
were used to compute t-statistics (Henseler et al 2009) The estimates of standardized
factor loadings of first-order reflective constructs ranged from 0641 to 0865 (tgt196) for
short-term investment decision 0630-0798 (tgt196) for long-term investment decision
0690-0873 (tgt196) for achievement 0615-0794 (tgt196) for power 0628-0798
(tgt196) for obsession 0722-0783 (tgt196) and 0527-0954 (tgt196) for budget
Composite reliability (CR) of reflective constructs measured the internal
consistency which should be higher than 07 or higher (Hair et al 2012) The values of
composite reliability were 0773 for short-term investment decision 0823 for long-term
investment decision 0882 for achievement 0912 for power 0837 for obsession and
0730 for budget Convergent validity was also computed for reflective constructs through
average variance extracted (AVE) which fulfill the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et
al 2012) The values for AVE were 0551 for short-term investment decision 0541 for
long-term investment decision 0653 for achievement 0675 for power 0555 for
obsession and 0595 for budget Discriminant validity of each reflective construct was
measured through two approaches and met the standards by Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981)
Samra Chaudary
124
and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015)
According to Fornell-Larcker criteria the square root of AVE of a latent construct should
be greater than all of the inter-factor correlations of that construct with other constructs
(Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT values were less than 1 which is the predefined
threshold by (Henseler et al 2015)
Common method bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each
reflective construct through variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test
was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term investment
decision and once with the long-term investment decision No common method bias was
found in both the tests as the VIF values of all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
The study used a repeated indicator method to compute the parameters of second-
order (reflective-formative) construct namely Love of Money It is an appropriate
approach in a complicated structural model in which the formative construct has an
endogenous position (Becker Klein amp Wetzels 2012b) The estimation of the formative
construct (LoM) at the dimension level was done by testing for multicollinearity between
its dimensions and by analyzing its weights (Henseler et al 2009)
Weights of formative construct show that power with weight 0458 (tgt196)
represents the most significant dimensions of LoM in the formation of the LoM construct
That was followed by achievement with weight 0350 (tgt196) obsession with weight
0290 (tgt196) and budget with weight 0095 (tgt196) The maximum variance inflation
factor (VIF) value for all dimensions was less than the recommended value of 33 (Kock
2015) The results of the measurement model are presented in table 42 and table 43 44
and 45
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
125
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor Loadings
Boot
sample
t-Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0669
8112
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0865 23795
I intend to compare my portfolio performance
to that of professional managers 0641 7244
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross
earnings for investingsavingretirement
purposes
0798 23438
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on
multiple asset classes (stocks bonds cash
real estate etc)
0715 12630
I intend to take an investment course 0785 21210
I intend to invest some money in long-term
assets where my money will be tied up and
inaccessible for years
0630 8323
Love of
Money
(second order-
formative
construct)
(Kelleramp
Siegrist
2006a)
Achievement
(reflective dimension)
I believe that the amount of money that a
person earns is closely related to hisher
ability and effort
0690 17818
Money represents ones achievement 0837 37628
Money is a symbol of success 0873 58397
I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence 0812 34412
Power
(reflective dimension)
Money can give you the opportunity to be
what you want to be 0794 67856
Money gives you autonomy or freedom 0784 39807
Money means power 0742 39244
Money will help you express your
competence and abilities 0774 32383
Money can bring you many friends 0615 18517
Obsession
(reflective dimension)
I firmly believe that money can solve all of
my problems 0748 22209
Money can buy everything 0628 6043
I would do practically anything legal for
money if it were enough 0798 26365
I often fantasize about money and what I
could do with it 0791 35126
Budget
(reflective dimension)
I am proud of my ability to save money 0954 27280
I feel compelled to argue or bargain about the
cost of almost everything that I buy 0527 3672
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
126
Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs
Constructs Weights of
Formative
Components of
Construct LoM
t-values of
Weights
Variance
Inflation Factor
(VIF)
Achievement 0350 21725 2031
Power 0458 26660 2155
Obsession 0290 14361 2029
Budget 0095 5767 1121
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted
(AVE)
Short-Term Investment Decision 0773 0551
Long-Term Investment Decision 0823 0541
Achievement 0882 0653
Power 0912 0675
Obsession 0837 0555
Budget 0730 0595
Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Achievement Budget Long-Term
Investment
Decision
Obsession Power Short-Term
Investment
Decision
Achievement
Budget 04662
Long-Term
Investment
Decision
03553 07748
Obsession 07911 04764 03102
Power 07591 03561 0432 08125
Short-Term
Investment
Decision
04514 03446 07436 04071 04057
442 Structural Model
The following section investigates the direct effects of Love of Money on short-
term investment decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates
(path coefficients) were computed along with their significance The significance of
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
127
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The benchmark for the coefficient of determination (R2) is 010 or higher (Falk amp
Miller 1992) The effect size of the impact of LoM on ST-D and LT-D was reported as
suggested by Cohen (1998) The rule about effect size is that the f2 values of 002 015
and 035 showed a small medium and large effect size (Henseler et al 2009) The
predictive relevance of the model was estimated by calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser
1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al 2014) Lastly the power test was
also performed to analyze the probability that a statistically significant relationship is
found when the relationship is actually there (Goodhue et al 2012) A value of 08 or
higher is adequate in behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 46 summarizes the results of direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between LoM and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with medium effect size (β=
0341 p= 0000 f2= 0160) Similarly the association between LoM and LT-D (H2) was
also found statistically significant with a smaller positive beta coefficient and medium
effect size (β= 0328 p= 0000 f2= 0154) The coefficient of determination of LoM with
LT-D is slightly higher (R2= 0138) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0134) Hence variations in LoM was found likely to explain more variations in LT-
D than in ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each exogenous
construct in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All
the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which means
a very high probability of the presence of the relationships between the exogenous latent
variable (LoM) and endogenous latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) A high value of power
test affirmed the appropriateness of the sample size
Samra Chaudary
128
Age gender and religiosity were included as control variables in the model These
variables have relevance in the model of Love of Money and investment decisions Age
had shown an impact on financial decisions (Agarwal et al 2007) Men were more inclined
towards both short-term and long-term investments than women (Bajtelsmit et al 1999
Hariharan et al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Religiosity was found
to have an effect on decision-making (Singhapakdi et al 2013) Hunt and Vitell (1993)
also posited that the strength of religious viewpoints could bring about differences in onersquos
decision-making processes Wong (2008) suggested that individuals with similar religious
beliefs tended to have different love of money profiles However McClure (1984) found
that money attitudes are generally similar irrespective of religion None of the control
variables had shown any impact in our model
Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path Coefficients
p
value
f2 R2 Q2 Statistical
Power
H1 Love of Money -gt
Short-term
investment decision
0341 0000 0160 0134 0058 0999
H2 Love of Money -gt
Long-term
investment decision
0328 0000 0154 0138 0059 0999
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01 Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0101 p=0109) Gender-gtST-D (β= -00437 p=0427) Religiosity -gtST-D (β=
0048 p=0391) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0070 p=0214 Gender-gtLT-D (β= 0093 p=0112) and Religiosity-gtLT-D (β= -
0002 p=0953)
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance
A moderator variable explains ldquowhenrdquo the relationship exists between an independent
and dependent variable It can affect the magnitude andor sign of the relationship (Baron
amp Kenny 1986) Current income and expectation of receiving an inheritance in future were
tested as moderators between the relationship of LoM and short-term investment decision
as well as long-term investment decision The moderation was computed through a product
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
129
indicator method by Chin Marcolin and Newsted (2003) in which each indicator of
independent variable was multiplied with each indicator of the moderator (income) to
create a new variable The product indicator approach provides least biased estimates for
the parameters of an interaction effect and delivers true estimates for the interaction effect
for medium to large sample sizes The product indicator method also yields higher
prediction accuracy of the endogenous latent variable (Henseler amp Chin 2010) We also
investigated the statistical power test to reveal if the model is strong enough to detect a
significant effect that actually does exist (Frazier Tix amp Barron 2004 Goodhue et al
2012) The moderation results are presented in table 47 The interactions effects of H3
H4 H5 and H6 are plotted in figure 42 43 44 and 45 respectively These plots depict
the effects of independent variables on dependent variables in the presence of moderator
It was found income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D (H3) (β=
-0173 p= 0050) and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D (H4) (β= 0037
p= 0514) Additionally it was found that high-income dampens the positive relationship
between LoM and short-term investment decision with a change in R2 from 0134 without
the moderator (income) to R2 0152 with the presence of income as a moderator The
positive impact of LoM on ST-D when moderated with income turned into a negative
moderated relationship between LoM and ST-D So the impact of LoM on ST-D was
found conditional on the level of income The negative coefficient of interaction term with
LoM implies that investors with high-income are less likely to take short-term investment
decisions even though their LoM is high Hence those investors who had high current
income were found less likely to involve in short-term investments
Samra Chaudary
130
In figure 42 it can be seen that the direction of the relationship between Love of
money and short-term investment decision is different for investors with high-income (+1
standard deviation) and investors with low-income (-1 standard deviation) as there was a
significant difference in slopes at mean income at -1 standard deviation (SD) and at +1
standard deviation The slopes of two regression lines are moving in different directions
Figure 43 shows that income did not moderate the relationship between love of money and
long-term investment decision as there was no significant difference in slopes at mean
income at high-income (+1 standard deviation) and at low-income (-1 standard deviation)
Expect to receive inheritance was a dummy variable and coded with the values of
0 and 1 The value of the moderator was 0 if individuals expected to receive future
inheritance and 1 if they did not expect to receive future inheritance It was found that
expectation of receiving future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM
and both short-term (H5) (β= 0373 p= 0024) and long-term investment decisions (H6)
(β= 0318 p= 0044) Moreover it was found that the impact of LoM on ST-D was found
slightly higher in the situation when individuals did not expect to receive inheritance as
compared to the impact of LoM on LT-D for the same condition Hence those investors
who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found more likely to participate in
short-term investment activities than in long-term investment activities even though their
LoM was high Similarly those investors who expected to receive future inheritance were
found less likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high
A change in R2 was observed from 0134 without the moderator (expect to receive
future inheritance) to R2 0165 with the presence of the moderator in the case of ST-D and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
131
from 0138 to 0201 in the case of LT-D R2 Δ measures the effect size in moderation
analysis R2Δ demonstrates a unique share of variance explained by an exogenous variable
in the endogenous variable that is not explained by other exogenous variables in the model
(Cohen Cohen West amp Aiken 2003) Cohen (1988) defined small moderate and large
effect sizes of R2Δ as 002 013 and 026 respectively R2Δ was found to be 0018 for H3
0008 for H4 0031 for H5 and 0063 for H6 All moderation hypotheses (H3-H6) showed
a small effect size The statistical power of all the relationships was closer to 1
Figure 44 and 45 depict the significant interaction between Love of Money and
expectation of having a future inheritance on ST-D and LT-D respectively The rate of
change in response to a unit increase in Love of Money differs for investors who expected
to receive inheritance compared to investors who did not expect to receive future
inheritance As can be seen in both figures Love of Money was found to be positively
associated with short-term and long-term investment decisions when investors did not
expect future inheritance The impact of Love of money on both short-term and long-term
investment decisions was positive when investors did not expect future inheritance The
rate of change of the slope is relatively steeper in case of short-term investment decision
Table 47 Moderation Results
Hypotheses Relationships Estimate p
value
R2
without
moderator
R2
with
moderator
R2Δ Power
Result
H3 LoMIncome-gtST-D -0173 0050 0134 0152 0018 0999 Moderation
H4 LoMIncome-gtLT-D 0037 0514 0138 0153 0008 0999 No
Moderation
H5 LoMInheritance-gtST-
D
0373 0024 0134 0165 0031 0999 Moderation
H6 LoMInheritance-gtLT-
D
0318 0044 0138 0201 0063 0999 Moderation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision and LoM= Love of
Money
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
132
Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and short-
term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one standard
deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below the mean
(ie low-income)
Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below
the mean (ie low-income)
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
133
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision
Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Short
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Long
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
Samra Chaudary
134
45 Discussion and Implications
This study extends existing research by focusing on investorsrsquo short-term and long-
term investment decisions through the lens of their money attitudes Findings of the
formative theoretical model demonstrated the new visions for the field of Love of Money
of stock investors in the context of an emerging market This study found that LoM had a
significant positive effect on both short-term and long-term investment decisions (H1 and
H2) Previous studies have also found that employees in developing countries are more
obsessed with money and look for any opportunity to make money (Tang et al 2005)
Similarly other studies have also found that individuals with high LoM motives want to
make money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and display investment risk
tolerance behavior (Jia et al 2013 Tang et al 2008a) Those who value money more tend
to get benefit from the circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Our results
also showed that investors with high LoM tended to engage in both types of financial gain
opportunities ie short-term and long-term investments Nonetheless it is critical that
money managers should watch the decision-making of investors because those who want
to get rich also tend to involve in unethical and disordered money behaviors (Britt 2016
Tang et al 2008a 2011 Tang amp Sutarso 2013)
Exploring the same theoretical model with the interaction of income and
expectation of future inheritance revealed more interesting findings It was found that
investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment and no long-term
investment if their income was high Similarly investors with higher LoM were likely to
do less short-term investment and relatively more long-term investment if they expected to
receive a future inheritance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
135
Chen et al (2014) found that the more money rich people have the more money
they want Individuals with low (high) affection for money have low (high) interests in
making money (Tang 2016) Earlier studies have found that wealthier investors were
willing to take more risk (Bernoulli 17381954) and individuals with high-income are less
risk-averse (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994) and have more positive attitude towards financial
risk tolerance than individuals with low-income (Grable et al 2004) Therefore according
to previous literature and in order to make more wealth a high LoM motive of wealthier
(high current income and expect to receive inheritance) investors should have a positive
effect on long-term investment instead of short-term because long-term securities possess
higher risk as well as higher returns (Dimson et al 2017 Harrison amp Zhang 1999 Von
Thadden 1995) This could be one of the reasons that money attitudes of high-income
investors and those who expected to receive inheritance showed a negative impact on short-
term investments High LoM motive of those who expected to receive future fortune tended
to invest more in long-term investments Warren (2014) also reported that long-term
investments provide growth and assist investors to generate more wealth over time
However on the other hand our findings also showed that LoM (money attitude)
of high-income investors showed no impact on long-term investments Previous studies
have also reported that money attitudes are unrelated to an individualrsquos income (Medina et
al 1996 Yamauchi amp Templer 1982) Moreover another possibility could be that
investors with high-income might be handling their money carefully and avoiding long-
term investment particularly at the time of data collection only
The sample of this study was collected at the bearish time period when PSX-100
annual average return was -710 percent (Economic Survey of Pakistan 2017-2018)
Samra Chaudary
136
Economic contractions also stimulate risk-averse behavior for possible negative returns
(Millet Lamey amp Van den Bergh 2012) Also according to Merton (1973) investors must
consider the trade-off between risk and return in order to achieve the optimal portfolio
returns As it was observed that LoM of wealthier investors (high current income and
expect to receive inheritance) showed negative impact on short-term investments probably
because they might not be expecting maximum return for a given level of risk in that
bearish time period Hence expected returns are so unreliable to assist in achieving more
wealth as one of the essential goals of life (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Wealthy investors showed loss-averse behavior in our research as they their LoM
(money attitudes) showed a negative impact on short-term investment decision (at the time
when market was giving losses) and is aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992) which infers that investors are generally risk-
averse rather than risk-takers whenever there is a probability to make profits Chances of
making profits are estimated as too unreliable because of high instability of PSX-100 in
the time period of data collection
Furthermore our result showed that LoM (money attitude) showed a positive
impact on short-term investment for investors with low current income Similarly LoM
(money attitude) of investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance showed a
stronger positive impact on short-term investment as compared to long-term investment
The plausible reason could be that the investors with low-income have instant unmet needs
which could be one of the reasons that their money attitudes showed a positive impact on
short-term investment decision as short-term investments yield faster returns Our findings
are aligned with the former research studies The desire for immediate gratification
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
137
determined onersquos short-term investment decision (Warren 2016) Moreover individuals
with low-income are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several
unmet needs (Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator for poor people because
only money can fulfill the desires and improve the financial condition (Gomez-Mejia amp
Balkin 1992 Jenkins et al 1998 Locke et al 1980) Such individuals are more obsessed
with money (Furnham 1984) Hence we can say money attitudes of investors whose
current and future financial circumstances were weak (ie low current income and did not
expect to receive future fortune in the form of inheritance) tended to invest in short-term
investments
Results of the LoM typology proposed in this research have practical implications
for individual investors themselves and for professional money managers as they can
improve knowledge of their own preferences (for an individual investor) and of their client
preferences (for professional managers) This might expedite investment decision-making
for example retirement planning etc Money managers can help craft strategies to help
their customers attain their short-term and long-term financial goals of a comfortable
retirement (Concepcion 2016) Therefore investment advisors must understand what is
important to their clientele so that they can guide them and fulfill their requirements
effectively
The results offer implications for the marketing of financial companies like asset
management firms brokerage houses and investment banks It is probable to target
prospect investors through segmentation on the basis of money attitudes current income
and future wealth possession In marketing their services investment companies may target
Samra Chaudary
138
less wealthy investors for short-term investments and wealthy investors for long-term
investments Moreover in light of this researchrsquos findings money attitudes of individuals
with high-income did not show an impact on long-term investment This may be
counterproductive in achieving long-term financial goals of such individuals especially
when ignoring precautionary measures for saving It can also result in later repentance of
not having enough investments for their retirement (OrsquoDonoghue amp Rabin 1998) Money
managers may seem excessively challenged by the need to persuade high-income investors
that their long-term financial goal is secured by selecting risky investments These
investors need to be targeted more efficiently through a targeted marketing plan and various
types of financial instruments
For an emerging market like Pakistan there is a massive need to raise capital in
order to fuel the capital requirements and to ensure the sturdy growth of the market
Successfully targeting high-income investors will bring more money in the market boost
investments and investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market
would move towards efficiency
As it was found that there was no impact of LoM on long-term investment decision
for investors with high-income This result identified the need for different types of long-
term financial products There is a need for the development of long-term investment
products tailored to the desires of wealthy investors in particular which will motivate them
to invest in capital markets Pakistani financial markets lack in investment alternatives eg
bonds derivative securities and real estate investment trust (REITs) etc The findings of
this study offer financial institutions and regulators to develop new financial products and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
139
markets Moreover transmission of knowledge in the field of different investment
alternatives must not be ignored in a country like Pakistan where only 26 percent of
adults are financially knowledgeable (SampP Global Fin Lit Survey 2015) Financial literacy
is a knowledge of risk diversification time value of money compounding and numeracy
(interest) A good level of financial literacy will help people to change their money
attitudes money management and make them achieve their financial goals (Imasheva amp
Kim 2017)
According to the findings of this study investorsrsquo money attitudes predicted their
investment plans (ie short-term and long-term) Therefore it is essential to determine
individual differences in money attitudes if individual investors are well guided by money
managers and financial institutions Financial planners should pay attention to investorsrsquo
money attitudes For that reason there is a need for more frequent surveys about their
money attitudes and feelings about financial products which should be the fundamental
aspects of financial services Moreover financial advisors should also elucidate the choice
of financial product and clarify why a particular product is the best option for the investor
Our novel findings shed new light on the relationships between LoM and
investment decisions and suggest practical implications for the growing area of behavioral
finance To conclude we offer a brand new and novel viewpoint and supplement the
behavioral finance literature by investigating LoM as an antecedent of short-term and long-
term investment decisions The formative theoretical model revealed novel and interesting
findings and helped us understand not only the what (ie LoM) factor contributing to short-
term and long-term investment decisions but also who (ie stock investors) where (ie
developing economy) and when (ie income and inheritance)
Samra Chaudary
140
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction
This study contributes to an evolving stream of literature that sheds light on the
significance of LoM with short-term and long-term investment decision in the context of
developing economy A positive relationship of LoM was found with short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover in moderation analysis it was observed that for high-
income investors the impact of LoM was significantly negative for short-term investment
decision and was insignificant for long-term investment decision Furthermore it was
found that investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment decision
than long-term investment decision in the case they expected to receive a future
inheritance However investors with higher LoM were likely to do more short-term
investment decision than long-term investment decision in case they did not expect any
future inheritance
Future researchers should consider adding other investment alternatives as
dependent variables to examine the influence of LoM on a particular asset class This
research was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if LoM was constant over
time Peoplersquos financial strategies are associated with their different life stages
(Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Similarly it is likely that investorsrsquo money attitudes vary
in boom periods and hence their investment decisions may also change Therefore further
researches can use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of LoM over time
to examine whether money attitudes change with different phases of life Data from
multiple regions and cultures (especially from developing countries) can be collected to
generalize the results This study only measured investorsrsquo perception of LoM and not the
actual LoM behavior LoM behavior may be tested in a laboratory experiment in further
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
141
researches (Greenberg 1993) to see different investment behavior and if they react
differently to probable gains and losses Future studies could also examine the impact of
other moderators such as macro-economic issues eg unemployment education and
religious views could have a significant effect on the outcomes of this research To
conclude behaviorally an investor must become masters (but not slaves) of money (Tang
et al 2018a) Individuals with inheritance should master the necessary money skills or
have a trustworthy financial planner otherwise they will usually end up losing everything
they have (Khoo 2006)
Samra Chaudary
142
5 Conclusion
51 Introduction
This dissertation has examined the sway of selected behavioral factors affecting short-
term and long-term investment decision There were sparse pieces of evidence on
behavioral factors effecting investorsrsquo investment decision especially in the context of
developing economies (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De
Vries et al 2017 Metawa et al 2019 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Researchers have
encouraged to conduct studies in the discipline of behavioral finance as the discipline is
still premature and emerging and needs more empirical evidence from primary data
especially from emerging economies (Huang et al 2016 Kumar amp Goyal 2015) Hence
the primary research questions of this study were 1a) Do five personality types have an
effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions 1b) Does risk perception mediate
the relationship between personality types and short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2a) Does salience has an impact on short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment
decisions differs between individual investors and professional investors 2c) Whether the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between
female investors and male investors 3a) Does Love of Money has an effect on short-term
and long-term investment decisions 3b) Whether current income and future inheritance
moderate the relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment
decisions
Data for this research were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire
from two metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this
Conclusion
143
research were individual investors and professional money managers working with
financial institutions who were actively investing in securities listed on Pakistan Stock
Exchange previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange Money managers were working
in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management companies)
brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks However individual stock investors
were from varying backgrounds as the primary objective of this study was to analyze the
behavior of stock investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with
an institution A list of institutions where respondents were selected to fill the
questionnaire is attached as appendix IV For data analysis and result reporting the
research used partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach
was used instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due to
several strengths of PLS-SEM (Chin et al 2003 Hair et al 2012 Henseler et al 2009
Reinartz et al 2009) The findings of research questions are presented and discussed in
chapters two three and four
52 Key Findings
The research questions addressed in chapter two were based on the implications of
the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and Risk as Feeling theory The
relationship between five types of personalities and investment decisions were explored It
was found that individuals with high neuroticism and extroversion personality traits were
likely to indulge in short-term investment decision However individuals with
extraversion openness agreeableness conscientiousness personality traits were likely to
indulge in long-term investment engagement The research also investigated the
significance of risk perception as a mediator between each personality type and investment
Samra Chaudary
144
decisions The risk perception mediated the relationship between four personality types
except neuroticism and long-term investment decisions
Chapter three examined the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions Using the lens of prospect theory it was found that salience has a
significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The
impact was almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the
short-term investment decision Furthermore it was found that the two groups ie
individual investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was
stronger for individual investors than for professional investors Additionally the study
also found that both groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was
higher in the case of female investors than in the case of male investors
Chapter four made use of the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and
monetary intelligence theory to study the association between Love of Money (LoM) and
investment decisions It was found that LoM was likely to have a positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Moreover interaction analysis revealed
that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance also
moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and long-term investment
decisions
Investors who had high current income were found less likely to participate in short-
term investments Investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found
Conclusion
145
more likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high Similarly investors who expected to receive
future inheritance were found less likely to involve in short-term investment than in long-
term investment activities even though their LoM was high
Overall the findings of this research study offered noteworthy theoretical and
practical implications in the context of an emerging economy by reporting significant
relationships of personality type salience and LoM with investment decisions These
results highlighted the relevance and significance of behavioral factors for investors
making short-term and long-term investment decisions while trading in listed stocks This
research has also contributed to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market
53 Theoretical Implications
The importance of behavioral and psychological aspects in the study of finance is
becoming increasingly evident Irrational decision-making has been widely observed in
many empirical studies (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008) Such irrational decision-
making behavior was explained by the risk-averse nature of individuals and this
phenomenon was better explained with prospect theory Under prospect theory behavioral
biases were key factors for irrational decision-making To the best of our knowledge there
were no studies that have examined 1) the impact of Big-Five personality types on short-
term and long-term investment decisions with the mediation of risk perception 2) the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions with the group
differences between professional and individual investor 3) the effect of LoM on short-
Samra Chaudary
146
term and long-term investment decisions with the moderation of current income and future
inheritance
Prospect theory postulated that most individuals show irrational risk-averse
behavior rather than risk-taking whenever there was a probability of making profits
(Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Findings of this research have provided support to the
prospect theory by indicating the impact of salience (familiarity bias) on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions for individual and professional investors as well as for
both genders (Antoniou et al 2010 Riff amp Yagil 2016 Yalcin et al 2016) indicating risk
aversion of investors
Moreover this research made another significant theoretical advancement by
bringing together the relevance of prospect theory theory of planned behavior and risk as
feeling theory in one place The theory of planned behavior (TPB) by Ajzen (1991)
proposed that individualsrsquo behavior was predicted by hisher behavioral intention
Behavioral intentions were in turn determined by attitudes and perceived behavioral
control Risk as feeling theory (RaF) by Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed that when there
was a risky situation behavior tended to be driven by emotional reactions or feelings at the
time of decision-making rather than cognitiverational assessments Prospect theory also
proposes irrationality in investorsrsquo decisions under risky situations They also posited that
ldquorisk as feelingrdquo mediated at least partially the relationship between an individuals
cognitive evaluation of risk and their behavioral response Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009)
argued that TPB and RaF have some shared variables
Mayfield et al (2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and
supported TBP that short-term and long-term investment intentions were predicted by
Conclusion
147
personality types This study however used Big-Five types of personality traits as
behavioral intentions and also supported TPB as individuals with neuroticism and extrovert
personalities showed a significant relationship with short-term investment plans
Moreover openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits were found
more likely to do long term investment intentions
Our result showed support for RaF theory related to the mediating role of risk
perception It was found that investorsrsquo risk perception mediated the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions but did not mediate relationships between personality types and
ST-D It is probably because the feeling (affect) for ST-D is not perceived as risky as the
LT-D are
In addition to that this research made another noteworthy theoretical development
by interweaving the implications of prospect theory along with the theory of planned
behavior and monetary intelligence theory According to TPB attitudes predicted intentions
and behaviors and prospect theory focuses on behavioral bias therefore scholars should
examine individualsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes (Tang 2016) in the light of their
behavioral biases Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model)
of attitudes (Bagozzi et al 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed that people
monitor their own money attitudes and apply the information to evaluate the concerns in
the proximal (immediate) and distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically select the choices
to achieve financial goals (Tang et al 2018b 2018c) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals vary in their attitude towards money The results once again supported prospect
theory as wealthy investors (high current income and expect to receive inheritance) showed
Samra Chaudary
148
loss-averse behavior in our research as their LoM (money attitudes) showed a negative
impact on short-term investment decision (at the time when market was giving losses) and
was aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman
1992) which implied that investors were generally risk-averse rather than risk-taking
whenever there was a probability to make profits The chances of making profits were
estimated as too unreliable due to high instability of PSX-100 in the time period of data
collection
As manifested from the above arguments this research has provided theoretical
contributions by expounding the application of prospect theory for the understanding of
investorsrsquo decision-making for short-term and long-term The study has also made a
methodological contribution by using primary data collected from real-life investors The
findings of this study has extended the general model of prospect theory theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy hence delivered contextual contribution as well Given the
importance of these theories in the field of social behavior the results of this study have
also provided interdisciplinary contributions
54 Practical Implications
This research offered practical implications for money managers individual
investors and regulatory bodies of the country With the growth of the economy peoplesrsquo
wealth increases Hence there is a growing need for performance of wealth management
Conclusion
149
functions by professional money managers This function involves understanding the
clientrsquos requirements and delivering financial services accordingly
It is critical to examine peoplesrsquo intentions about short-term and long-term
investments and why they manage investment in different ways If those investment
intentions become evident then financial planners would be interested to learn if those
intentions can be adapted in order to advise their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It is
essential to understand personalities risk perceptions salience attitudes towards money
and other biases to give better investment advice to individual investors Such findings are
likely to help money managers to target investors appropriately and communicate to these
investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
The results of this research offered practical implications for both individual investors
and for professional money managers as they can have superior knowledge of their own
preferences and biases (for individual investors) and of their client preferences (for money
managers) Such enhanced understanding can facilitate investment decision-making
process Investment advisors help clients in investing money They must understand what
is important to their customers in order to fulfil clientsrsquo expectations accordingly It may
be possible to segment clients based on personality type risk perception familiarity bias
money attitudes current income and future wealth possession etc and develop
investment advisory packages accordingly
Portfolio managers may find useful strategies to exploit numerous behavioral
anomalies present in the financial markets Professional money managers from brokerage
houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may deliver a superior product
Samra Chaudary
150
service and provide sound assistance to their customers once they have knowledge of
clientsrsquo behavioral biases and preferences
Investors should be mindful that behavioral biases sometimes could also lead to
investment in sub-optimal portfolios Therefore understanding investorsrsquo behavior can
help to avoid such biases and can improve investment decisions in choosing short-term or
long-term investment services products and plans Portfolio managers should try to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on biases and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification To avoid these biases financial counselors must
communicate to their clients about the importance of a long-term diversification plan with
the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return in their investment portfolios (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2015) Females represent a tiny sample in the financial industry of Pakistan
An investment education program is needed especially in a developing country like
Pakistan to target more females in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
This research also expects to enhance understanding for financial regulators such as
SECP as to why and how markets might be inefficient Short-term investment is also
known as momentum investing (Gray 2006) while long-term investment is known as value
investing (Warren 2014) Generally momentum investment leads to market inefficiencies
including the creation of bubbles crashes and excess volatility in the market (Woolley
2013) as good (bad) outcomes are likely to be followed by further good (bad) outcomes
(Warren 2014) Too much short-term behavior may have adverse effects in the financial
market and shifting the balance towards long-term investment may be beneficial Value
(long-term) investments tend to have a lower turnover ratio than momentum (short-term)
Conclusion
151
investments (Warren 2014) Long-term investors provide a buffer against market panics
(Della Croce et al 2011) and help to smooth out market fluctuations (Ang amp Kjaer 2011)
Individuals with short-term investment horizons behave like traders or perhaps
speculators whereas individuals with long-term investment horizon act like investors A
long- term investment attitude represents the willingness to accept short-term pain for long-
term gain Such attitudes and beliefs are often rooted within the character of an organization
or an individual (Warren 2016)
For an emerging economy like Pakistan there is an enormous need to issue more
capital to ensure the steady growth of the financial market Successfully targeting investors
is likely to bring more funds in the market boost investments and enhance investorsrsquo
confidence in the country and thereby increase market capitalization maintain
sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market would
move towards efficiency in the long-run
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
Although this research has made noteworthy theoretical contributions to the young
paradigm of behavioral finance and has identified practical implications for investors yet
there are also some limitations that restrict the generalizability of the results Gathering
data from real equity investors (especially from professionals ie brokers and the
institutional fund managers) was quite challenging These professionals were not willing
to leave their trading screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short
time They filled the survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the
evening) or on weekends The key contribution of this dissertation is the fact that this is
very first research of this kind in the context of both developed and developing economies
Samra Chaudary
152
However more empirical pieces of evidence are needed hence data from multiple regions
and cultures can be collected in order to get results that are more widely generalizable
Data for this research were collected in the time of bears market condition Upcoming
research can collect data in bulls market and can compare the results This study has relied
on self-reported data to measure personality traits risk perception salience and LoM
Future studies can make use of objective measures of aforementioned behavioral factors
However developing such measures for investors could be tremendously challenging This
research measured investorsrsquo perceptions and not actual behavior Behaviors are better
verified in a laboratory experiment (Greenberg 1993) and further studies can opt to do so
to investigate different behavioral biases and preferences to learn if investors respond
differently
It should be admitted that there were various other psychological factors that might
have affected investment decisions and were not investigated in this study Future studies
could test the impact of differences in investorsrsquo emotions moods and weather and the
resulting impact on investment behaviors These constructs can be measured in with
different methods eg the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their
stocks can be captured through an experiment Such a research design might be challenging
as theses professional traders might be reluctant to participate because of their fiduciary
responsibility of managing other peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders
Leaving their trading screens during market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them
Future researchers can also classify investment decision in a different way than classifying
such decisions into long and short time horizons (eg by investigating multiple
instruments) Another aspect that can be further investigated is the likely impact of money
Conclusion
153
managersrsquo experience on their investment decisions Future researchers can also investigate
if gender with different demographic variables (such as marital status age and income)
have different investment decisions
In this study the focus was only on stock investors and future studies can select
investors in other instruments as well to investigate if they behave in a similar manner
This study was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if the resulting behavioral
biases were constant over time Peoplersquos financial strategies are likely to be associated with
their life cycle stages (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Therefore future researchers can
use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of impact of personality salience
and LoM over time to examine whether these biases of investors change with different
stages of their cycle This study did not investigate the impact of macro-economic issues
eg unemployment education levels recession and political instability etc which may
have a significant effect on the behavioral biases and preferences of investors
Samra Chaudary
154
References Agarwal S Driscoll J C Gabaix X amp Laibson D (2007) The age of reason financial
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Ajzen I (1991) The Theory of planned behavior Organizational Behavior and Human
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58
Ajzen I amp Fishbein M (1980) Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior
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Akerlof G A amp Schiller R J (2009) How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and
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References
155
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Extending the theory of planned behavior International Journal of Bank
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Allport G W (1937) Personality A psychological interpretation New York Holt
Allport G W amp Odbert H S (1936) Trait names A psycho-lexical study Psychological
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Alrabadi D W H Al-Abdallah S Y amp Aljarayesh N I A (2018) Behavioral biases
and investment performance Does gender matter Evidence from Amman Stock
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Anderson C W Fedenia M Hirschey M amp Skiba H (2011) Cultural influences on
home bias and international diversification by institutional investors Journal of
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Anderson J C amp Gerbing DW (1988) Structural equation modeling in practice a
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423
Ang A and Kjaer K N (2011) Investing for the Long Run working paper (November
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Ang J J de Jong A A amp van der Poel M A (2014) Does CEOs familiarity with
business segments affect their divestment decisions Florida State University
working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=967359
Antoniou A Olusi O amp Paudyal K (2010) Equity Home‐Bias A Suboptimal Choice
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Samra Chaudary
156
Arch E C (1993) Risk-taking a motivational basis for sex differences Psychological
Reports 73(1) 3-11
Aronson E (1999) The Social Animal 8th ed New York Worth Freeman
Bagozzi R P Tybout A M Craig C S amp Sternthal B (1979) The contrast validity
of the tripartite classification of attitudes Journal of Marketing Research 16 88ndash
95
Bajtelsmit V L Bernasek A amp Jianakoplos N A (1999) Gender differences in defined
contribution pension decisions Financial Services Review 8(1) 1-10
Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2014) How biases affect investor behavior Working paper
ssrncom retrieved from httpwwweuropeanfinancialreviewcomp=512
Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2015) Understanding behavioral aspects of financial
planning and investing Journal of Financial Planning 28(3) 22-26
Baker H K Filbeck G amp Ricciardi V (2017) How Behavioral Biases Affect Finance
Professionals The European Financial Review 25-29
Bansal R amp Yaron A (2004) Risks for the long run A potential resolution of asset
pricing puzzles The journal of Finance 59(4) 1481-1509
Barber B M amp Odean T (2001) Boys will be boys gender overconfidence and
common stock investment The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(1) 261-292
Barber B M Odean T amp Zheng L (2005) Out of sight out of mind The effects of
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Barberis N amp Thaler R (2003) A survey of behavioral finance Handbook of the
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References
157
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Baron R M amp Kenny D A (1986) The moderator-mediator variable distinction in
social psychological research Conceptual strategic and statistical considerations
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 51(6) 1173-1182
Barrick M R amp Mount M K (1991) The Big-Five personality dimensions and job
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Bateman H Ebling C Louviere J J Satchell S E Thorp S amp Geweke J (2010)
Economic Rationality Risk Presentation and Retirement Portfolio Choice UNSW
Australian School of Business Research Paper (2011ACTL02)
Baxter M (1994) Real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials Have we missed
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Becker A Deckers T Dohmen T Falk A amp Kosse F (2012a) The relationship
between economic preferences and psychological personality measures Annual
Review of Economics 4(1) 453-478
Becker J M Klein K amp Wetzels M (2012b) Hierarchical latent variable models in
PLS-SEM Guidelines for using reflective-formative type models Long Range
Planning 45(5-6) 359-394
Belk R W (1985) Materialism Trait aspects of living in the material world Journal of
Consumer Research 12(3) 265-280
Belk R W amp Wallendorf M (1990) The sacred meanings of money Journal of
Economic Psychology 11(1) 35-67
Samra Chaudary
158
Bernoulli D (17381954) Exposition of a new theory on the measurement of risk
translated by Louise Sommer Econometrica 22 22ndash36
Bhardwaj S amp Bhattacharjee K (2010) Modeling money attitudes to predict loan
default IUP Journal of Bank Management 9(12) 12
Black F (1986) Noise The Journal of Finance 41(3) 528-543
Black F amp Scholes M (1973) The pricing of options and corporate liabilities Journal
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Blanthorne C Jones-Farmer L A amp Almer E D (2015) Why you should consider
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179-207
Bolander W Satornino C B Hughes D E amp Ferris G R (2015) Social networks
within sales organizations Their development and importance for salesperson
performance Journal of Marketing 79(6) 1-16
Bollen N P amp Posavac S (2018) Gender risk tolerance and false consensus in asset
allocation recommendations Journal of Banking amp Finance 87 304-317
Borges B Goldstein DG Ortmann A amp Gigerenzer G (1999) Can ignorance beat
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59-72
Borghans L Heckman J J Golsteyn B H amp Meijers H (2009) Gender differences
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Britt S L (2016) The intergenerational transference of money attitudes and behaviors
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Brown L D Call A C Clement M B amp Sharp N Y (2015) Inside the ldquoblack boxrdquo
of sell‐side financial analysts Journal of Accounting Research 53(1) 1-47
Brunell A B amp Buelow M T (2017) Narcissism and Performance on Behavioral
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Butler KC amp Domian DL (1991) Risk diversification and the investment horizon The
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Excellence management practices knowledge management and key business
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Cao H H Han B Hirshleifer D amp Zhang H H (2009) Fear of the unknown
Familiarity and economic decisions Review of Finance 15(1) 173-206
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160
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Carol T B C amp Samsinar M S (2011) Satisfying Womens Status Desires Role of
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Cassel C Hackl P and Westlund AH (1999) Robustness of partial least squares
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Cattell H E amp Mead A D (2008) The sixteen personality factor questionnaire (16PF)
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Cattell R B Eber HW and Tatsuoka M M (1970) Handbook for the Sixteen
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Cenfetelli R T amp Bassellier G (2009) Interpretation of formative measurement in
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Chan K Covrig V amp Ng L (2005) What determines the domestic bias and foreign
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Finance 60(3) 1495-1534
Charness G amp Gneezy U (2007) Strong evidence for gender differences in investment
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Chen J Tang T L P amp Tang N (2014) Temptation monetary intelligence (love of
money) and environmental context on unethical intentions and cheating Journal
of Business Ethics 123(2) 197-219
Chin W W Marcolin B L amp Newsted P R (2003) A partial least squares latent
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Chin WW (1998) The partial least squares approach to structural equation modeling
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Chin WW Mills AM Steel DJ Schwarz A (2016) Multi-group Invariance Testing
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Trinchera L (eds) The Multiple Facets of Partial Least Squares and Related
Samra Chaudary
162
Methods PLS 2014 Springer Proceedings in Mathematics amp Statistics 173 267-
284
Choi J J Laibson D Madrian B C amp Metrick A (2004) For better or for worse
Default effects and 401 (k) savings behavior In Perspectives on the Economics of
Aging (pp 81-126) University of Chicago Press
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Clark-Murphy M amp Soutar G N (2004) What individual investors value Some
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Cohen J (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed) Hillsdale
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Cohen J Cohen P West S G amp Aiken L S (2003) Applied multiple
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Lawrence Earlbaum
Colquitt J A LePine J A amp Wesson M J (2011) Organizational behavior Improving
performance and commitment in the workplace Irwin McGraw-Hill
Concepcion J N (2016) Young and Indebted A Closer Look at the Future of Young
Professionals Journal of Financial Planning 29(9) 24
Connor-Smith J K amp Flachsbart C (2007) Relations between personality and coping
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international capital market equilibrium The Review of Financial Studies 7(1) 45-
60
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Costa P T amp McCrae R R (1992) NEO PI-R Professional Manual Odessa FL
Psychological Assessment Resources
Costa P T Busch C M Zonderman A B amp McCrae R R (1986) Correlations of
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Coval J D amp Moskowitz T J (1999) Home bias at home Local equity preference in
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De Bondt W F amp Thaler R (1985) Does the stock market overreact The Journal of
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De Vries A Erasmus P D amp Gerber C (2017) The familiar versus the unfamiliar
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164
Della Croce R Stewart F amp Yermo J (2011) Promoting longer-term investment by
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Market Trends 1 1-20
Dichev I D Graham J R Harvey C R amp Rajgopal S (2013) Earnings quality
Evidence from the field Journal of Accounting and Economics 56(2-3) 1-33
Diener E amp S Oishi S (2000) Money and Happiness Income and Subjective Well-
Being Across Nations In E Dinner amp E M Suh (Eds) Subjective Well-Being
Across Cultures (pp 185-218) Cambridge MA MIT Press
Dierkes M Erner C amp Zeisberger S (2010) Investment horizon and the attractiveness
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34(5) 1032-1046
Digman J M amp Inouye J (1986) Further specification of the five robust factors of
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Dimson E Marsh P amp Staunton M (2017) Factor-based investing the long-term
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Dittmar H Bond R Hurst M amp Kasser T (2014) The relationship between
materialism and personal well-being A meta-analysis Journal of Personality and
Social Psychology 107 (5) 879-924
Dohmen T Falk A Huffman D Sunde U Schupp J amp Wagner G G (2011)
Individual risk attitudes Measurement determinants and behavioral
consequences Journal of the European Economic Association 9(3) 522-550
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Du L amp Tang T L P (2005) Measurement invariance across gender and major The
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East R (1993) Investment decisions and the theory of planned behavior Journal of
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Edwards J R (2011) The fallacy of formative measurement Organizational Research
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Embrey L L amp Fox J J (1997) Gender differences in the investment decision-making
process Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2) 33-40
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Epley N amp Gilovich T (2005) When effortful thinking influences judgmental
anchoring differential effects of forewarning and incentives on self‐generated and
externally provided anchors Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 18(3) 199-
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Epstein S (1994) Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
American Psychologist 49(8) 709-724
Erdener C amp Garkavenko V (2012) Money attitudes in Kazakhstan
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Estes R amp Hosseini J (1988) The gender gap on Wall Street an empirical analysis of
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Euwals R Eymann A amp Boumlrsch-Supan A (2004) Who determines household savings
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Eysenck H J amp Eysenck S B G (1975) Manual of the Eysenck Personality
Questionnaire London Hodder and Stoughton
Falk R F amp Miller N B (1992) A primer for soft modeling Akron University of Akron
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Fama E F (1970) Efficient Capital Markets A Review of Theory and Empirical Work
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Fama E F (1998) Market efficiency long-term returns and behavioral finance1 Journal
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Feng L amp Seasholes M S (2008) Individual investors and gender similarities in an
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Filbeck G Hattield P amp Horvarth P (2005) Risk Aversion and Personality Type The
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Firat D amp Fettahoglu S (2011) Investors Purchasing Behavior via a Behavioral Finance
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Fischhoff B (1994) Acceptable Risk A Conceptual Proposal Risk Health Safety and
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Forbes W Hudson R Skerratt L amp Soufian M (2015) Which heuristics can aid
financial-decision-making International Review of Financial Analysis 42 199-
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Fornell C amp Bookstein F L (1982) Two structural equation models LISREL and PLS
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452
Fornell C amp Larcker D F (1981) Evaluating structural equation models with
unobservable variables and measurement error Journal of Marketing Research
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Fox C R amp Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance The
Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(3) 585-603
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Frazier P A Tix A P amp Barron K E (2004) Testing moderator and mediator effects
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French K R amp Poterba J M (1991) Investor diversification and international equity
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Friedman M amp Savage L J (1952) The expected utility hypothesis and the
measurability of utility Journal of Political Economy 60 463-474
Frijters P Johnston D W Shields M A amp Sinha K (2015) A lifecycle perspective
of stock market performance and wellbeing Journal of Economic Behavior amp
Organization 112 237-250
Funder D C (2001) Personality Annual Review of Psychology 52 197-221
Furnham A (1984) Many sides of the coin The psychology of money usage Personality
and Individual Differences 5(5) 501ndash509
Furnham A (2014) The new psychology of money London Routledge
Furnham A amp Boo H C (2011) A literature review of the anchoring effect The Journal
of Socio-Economics 40(1) 35-42
Ganesan S (1994) Determinants of long-term orientation in buyer-seller relationships
The Journal of Marketing 58(2) 1-19
Garbinsky E N Kless K amp Aaker J (2014) Money in the bank Feeling powerful
increases saving Journal of Consumer Research 41(3) 610ndash623
Garson G D (2016) Partial least Squares Regression amp structural equation models
David Garson and Statistical Associates Publishing
Gbadamosi G amp Joubert P (2005) Money ethic moral conduct and work related
attitudes Field study from the public sector in Swaziland Journal of Management
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Gehring W J amp Willoughby A R (2002) The medial frontal cortex and the rapid
processing of monetary gains and losses Science 296 2279-2282
Geisser S (1975) The predictive sample reuse method with applications Journal of the
American Statistical Association 70(350) 320ndash328
Gentina E Tang T L P amp Gu Q (2018) Do parents and peers influence adolescentsrsquo
monetary intelligence and consumer ethics French and Chinese adolescents and
behavioral economics Journal of Business Ethics 151(1) 115-140
Giannetti M amp Koskinen Y (2010) Investor protection equity returns and financial
globalization Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45(1) 135-168
Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk savvy How to make good decisions New York Viking
Glaser M Langer T Reynders J amp Weber M (2007) Framing effects in stock market
forecasts The difference between asking for prices and asking for returns Review
of Finance 11(2) 325-357
Goldberg L R (1971) A historical survey of personality scales and inventories In P
McReynolds (Ed) Advances in psychological Assessment2 293- 336 Palo Alto
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Goldberg L R (1981) Language and individual differences The search for universals in
personality lexicons Review of Personality and Social Psychology 2(1) 141-165
Goldberg L R (1990) An alternative description of personality the Big-Five factor
structure Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 59(6) 1216-1229
Goldstein D amp Gigerenzer G (2002) Models of ecological rationality The recognition
heuristic Psychological Review 109 75ndash90
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Gomez-Mejia L R amp Balkin D B (1992) Determinants of faculty pay An agency
theory perspective Academy of Management Journal 35 921-955
Goodhue D L Lewis W amp Thompson R (2012) Does PLS have advantages for small
sample size or non-normal data MIS Quarterly 36(3) 981-1001
Gough H G (1987) California psychological inventory Administrators Guide
Consulting Psychologists Press
Grable J Lytton R amp OrsquoNeill B (2004) Projection bias and financial risk tolerance
The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 142ndash147
Gray J (2006) Avoiding short-termism in investment decision-making CFA Institute
December
Greenberg A E (2013) When imagining future wealth influences risky decision-making
Judgment and Decision-making 8(3) 268ndash277
Greenberg A E amp Hershfield H E (2019) Financial decision-making Consumer
Psychology Review 2(1) 17-29
Greenberg J (1993) Stealing in the name of justice Informational and interpersonal
moderators of theft reactions to underpayment inequity Organizational behavior
and human decision processes 54(1) 81-103
Grinblatt M amp Han B (2005) Prospect theory mental accounting and momentum
Journal of Financial Economics 78(2) 311-339
Grinblatt M amp Keloharju M (2001) How distance language and culture influence
stockholdings and trades The Journal of Finance 56(3) 1053-1073
Griskevicius V Ackerman J M Cantuacute S M Delton A W Robertson T E Simpson
J A Tybur J M (2013) When the economy falters do people spend or save
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Guiso L Jappelli T amp Terlizzese D (1996) Income risk borrowing constraints and
portfolio choice American Economic Review 86(1) 158-172
Gulati R (1995) Does familiarity breed trust The implications of repeated ties for
contractual choice in alliances Academy of Management Journal 38(1) 85-112
Gunnarsson J amp Wahlund R (1997) Household financial strategies in Sweden An
exploratory study Journal of Economic Psychology 18(2ndash3) 201ndash233
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2014) A Primer on Partial Least
Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) Thousand Oaks CA Sage
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Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2016) A primer on partial least
squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) (2nd ed) Sage Publications
Thousand Oaks CA USA
Hair J F Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2011) PLS-SEM Indeed a silver bullet Journal
of Marketing Theory and Practice 19(2) 139 ndash 151
Hair J F Sarstedt M Ringle C M amp Mena J A (2012) An assessment of the use of
partial least squares structural equation modeling in marketing research Journal of
the Academy of Marketing Science 40(3) 414-433
Haisley E Mostafa R amp Loewenstein G (2008) Subjective relative income and lottery
ticket purchases Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 21(3) 283ndash295
Samra Chaudary
172
Hampson D P Grimes A Banister E amp McGoldrick P J (2018) A typology of
consumers based on money attitudes after major recession Journal of Business
Research 91 159-168
Hariharan G Chapman K S amp Domian D L (2000) Risk tolerance and asset
allocation for investors nearing retirement Financial Services Review 9(2) 159-
170
Harpaz I (1990) The importance of work goals An international perspective Journal of
International Business Studies 21(1) 75-93
Harrison P amp Zhang H H (1999) An investigation of the risk and return relation at long
horizons Review of Economics and Statistics 81(3) 399-408
Hastie R amp Dawes R M (2010) Rational choice in an uncertain world The psychology
of judgment and decision-making Sage
Hayes A F (2009) Beyond Baron and Kenny Statistical mediation analysis in the new
millennium Communication Monographs 76(4) 408-420
Hayes C L amp Kelly K (1999) Money makeovers How women can control their
financial destiny New York Doubleday
Heath C amp Tversky A (1991) Preference and belief Ambiguity and competence in
choice under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4(1) 5-28
Heinstroumlm J (2003) Five personality dimensions and their influence on information
behavior Information Research 9(1) 9-1
Henseler J amp Chin W W (2010) A comparison of approaches for the analysis of
interaction effects between latent variables using partial least squares path
modeling Structural Equation Modeling 17(1) 82-109
References
173
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2015) A new criterion for assessing
discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science 43(1) 115-135
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2016) Testing measurement invariance of
composites using partial least square International Marketing Review 33(3) 405ndash
431
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sinkovics R R (2009) The use of partial least squares path
modeling in international marketing In New challenges to international marketing
(pp 277-319) Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Hershey D A amp Mowen J C (2000) Psychological determinants of financial
preparedness for retirement The Gerontologist 40(6) 687-697
Hinz R P McCarthy D D amp Turner J A (1997) Are women conservative investors
Gender differences in participant-directed pension investments Positioning
pensions for the twenty-first century Philadelphia University of Pennsylvania Press
91- 103
Hira T K amp Loibl C (2008) Gender differences in investment behavior In Handbook
of consumer finance research (pp 253-270) Springer New York NY
Hirshleifer D (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing Journal of Finance 56(4)
1533-1597
Hlouskova J Fortin I amp Tsigaris P (2017) The consumptionndashinvestment decision of a
prospect theory household A two-period model Journal of Mathematical
Economics 70 74-89
Samra Chaudary
174
Hoffmann A O Post T amp Pennings J M (2015) How investor perceptions drive actual
trading and risk-taking behavior Journal of Behavioral Finance 16(1) 94-103
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Hogan R (1982) A socioanalytic theory of personality In Nebraska symposium on
motivation University of Nebraska Press
Hogan R amp Hogan J (1991) Personality and status In D G Gilbert amp J J Connolly
(Eds) Personality Social Skills and Psychopathology An Individual Differences
Approach 137-154 New York Plenum Press
Hopenhayn H A (1992) Entry exit and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium
Econometrica Journal of the Econometric Society 1127-1150
Hopfensitz A amp Wranik T (2009) How to adapt to changing markets experience and
personality in a repeated investment game Discussion Paper No 092009 - 056
Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=1578305
Hough L M Eaton N K Dunnette M D Kamp J D amp McCloy R A (1990)
Criterion-related validities of personality constructs and the effect of response
distortion on those validities Journal of Applied Psychology 75(5) 581
Hsee C K amp Weber E U (1997) A fundamental prediction error Selfndashothers
discrepancies in risk preference Journal of experimental psychology general
126(1) 45
Hsee C K Zhang J Cai C F amp Zhang S (2013) Overearning Psychological science
24(6) 852-859
Huang J Y Shieh J C amp Kao Y C (2016) Starting points for a new researcher in
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175
behavioral finance International Journal of Managerial Finance 12(1) 92-103
Huber J Palan S amp Zeisberger S (2017) Does Investor Risk Perception Drive Asset
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httpsssrncomabstract=3007878
Huberman G (2001) Familiarity breeds investment Review of Financial Studies 14(3)
659ndash680
Hulland J (1999) Use of partial least squares (PLS) in strategic management research a
review of four recent studies Strategic Management Journal 20(2) 195ndash204
Hunt S D amp Vitell S J (1993) The general theory of marketing ethics A retrospective
and revision in N C Smith and A John (eds) Ethics in Marketing Quelch (Irwin
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Hunter K amp Kemp S (2004) The personality of e-commerce investors Journal of
Economic Psychology 25(4) 529-537
Iacobucci D (2010) Structural equations modeling Fit indices sample size and advanced
topics Journal of Consumer Psychology 20(1) 90-98
Imasheva A B amp Kim A M (2017) Psychological differences in financial decision-
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sociology series 59(4) 50-56
Ishfaq M Maqbool Z Akram S Tariq S amp Khurshid M K (2017) Mediating Role
of Risk Perception between Cognitive Biases and Risky Investment Decision
Empirical Evidence from Pakistans Equity Market Journal of Managerial
Sciences 11(3) 265-278
Samra Chaudary
176
Ivkoviacutec Z amp Weisbenner S (2007) Information diffusion effects in individual
investorsrsquo common stock purchases covet thy neighborsrsquo investment choices
Review of Financial Studies 20(4) 1327-1357
Jabeen M (2016 June 16) PSX ndash Unfolding future prospects at its best Business
Recorder retrieved from httpsfpbrecordercom2016062016061657187
Jain P C amp Wu J S (2000) Truth in mutual fund advertising Evidence on future
performance and fund flows The Journal of Finance 55(2) 937-958
Jaiswal B amp Kamil N (2012) Gender behavioral finance and the investment decision
IBA Business Review 7(2) 8-22
Jaiyeoba H B amp Haron R (2016) A qualitative inquiry into the investment decision
behavior of the Malaysian stock market investors Qualitative Research in
Financial Markets 8(3) 246-267
Jenkins G D Mitra A Gupta N amp Shaw D (1998) Are financial incentives related
to performance A meta-analytic review of empirical research Journal of Applied
Psychology 83 777-787
Jensen M C amp Meckling W H (1976) Theory of the firm Managerial behavior agency
costs and ownership structure Journal of Financial Economics 3(4) 305-360
Jia S W Zhang W X Li P Feng T Y amp Li H (2013) Attitude toward money
modulates outcome processing An ERP study Social Neuroscience 8 43-51
John O P amp Srivastava S (1999) The Big-Five trait taxonomy History measurement
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2(1999) 102-138
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Jordan B D amp Riley T B (2015) Volatility and mutual fund manager skill Journal of
Financial Economics 118 289-298
Josef A K Richter D Samanez-Larkin G R Wagner G G Hertwig R amp Mata R
(2016) Stability and change in risk-taking propensity across the adult life span
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Judge T A Heller D amp Mount M K (2002) Five-factor model of personality and job
satisfaction A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 87(3) 530
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Applied Psychology 63(3) 267-276
Kahneman D (2011) Thinking fast and slow New York Farrar Straus and Giroux
Kahneman D (2012) Thinking fast and slow New York NY Penguin Books Ltd
Kahneman D amp Deaton A (2010) High income improves evaluation of life but not
emotional well-being Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
United States of America 107(38) 16489ndash16493
Kahneman D amp Riepe M W (1998) Aspects of investor psychology Journal of
Portfolio Management 24(1) 52-65
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory an analysis of decision under risk
Econometrica 47(2) 263-292
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1984) Choices Values and Frames American
Psychologist 39 341ndash35
Samra Chaudary
178
Kahneman D Knetsch J L amp Thaler R H (1990) Experimental tests of the
Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem Journal of Political Economy 98(6)
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Kamp J D amp Gough H G (1986) The Big-Five personality factors from an assessment
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Kamp J D amp Hough L M (1986) Utility of personality assessment A review and
integration of the literature Utility of temperament biodata and interest
assessment for predicting job performance A review and integration of the
literature 88-02
Kang J K amp Stulz R (1997) Why is there a home bias An analysis of foreign portfolio
equity ownership in Japan Journal of Financial Economics 46(1) 3-28
Karlsson A amp Nordeacuten L (2007) Home sweet home Home bias and international
diversification among individual investors Journal of Banking amp Finance 31(2)
317-333
Kautonen T van Gelderen M amp Fink M (2015) Robustness of the theory of planned
behavior in predicting entrepreneurial intentions and actions Entrepreneurship
Theory and Practice 39(3) 655-674
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006a) Investing in stocks The influence of financial risk
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Psychology 27(2) 285-303
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006b) Money attitude typology and stock investment The
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Khoo A (2006) Secrets of Self-Made Millionaires Singapore Published by Adam Khoo
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Khwaja A I amp Mian A (2005) Unchecked intermediaries Price manipulation in an
emerging stock market Journal of Financial Economics 78(1) 203-241
Kirkman B amp Law K (2005) International management research in AMJ Our past
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Kish-Gephart J J Harrison D A amp Trevintildeo L K (2010) Bad apples bad cases and
bad barrels Meta-analytic evidence about sources of unethical decisions at work
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Kiyilar M amp Acar O (2013) Behavioral finance and the study of the irrational financial
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ISSN 1454-9409
Kliger D amp Kudryavtsev A (2010) The availability heuristic and investors reaction to
company-specific events The Journal of Behavioral Finance 11(1) 50-65
Kline R B (2005) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling (2nd ed) New
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Kline R B (2015) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling Guilford
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Samra Chaudary
180
Klontz B T amp Britt S L (2012) How clientsrsquo money scripts predict their financial
behaviors Journal of Financial Planning 25(11) 33-43
Kobbeltvedt T amp Wolff K (2009) The Risk-as-feelings hypothesis in a Theory of
planned behavior perspective Judgment and Decision-making 4(7) 567
Kock N (2015) Common method bias in PLS-SEM A full collinearity assessment
approach International Journal of e-Collaboration 11(4) 1-10
Koropp C Kellermanns F W Grichnik D amp Stanley L (2014) Financial decision-
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Kourtidis D Šević Ž amp Chatzoglou P (2011) Investorsrsquo trading activity A behavioral
perspective and empirical results The Journal of Socio-Economics 40(5) 548-557
Krause M R Serlin R C Ward S E Rony R Y Z Ezenwa M O amp Naab F
(2010) Testing mediation in nursing research Beyond Baron and Kenny Nursing
Research 59(4) 288-294
Krueger N and Dickson P R (1994) How believing in ourselves increases risk taking
perceived self-efficacy and opportunity recognition Decision Sciences 25 (3) 385-
400
Krupp D B amp Cook T R (2018) Local competition amplifies the corrosive effects of
inequality Psychological Science 29(5) 824ndash833
Kubilay B amp Bayrakdaroglu A (2016) An empirical research on investor biases in
financial decision-making financial risk tolerance and financial personality
International Journal of Financial Research 7(2) 171-182
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181
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Kumar S amp Goyal N (2015) Behavioral biases in investment decision-makingndasha
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108
Lagarde C (2016) The Role of Emerging Markets in a New Global Partnership for
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httpswwwimforgenNewsArticles201509280453sp020416
Lakonishok J Shleifer A amp Vishny R W (1994) Contrarian investment extrapolation
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Lakshmi P Visalakshmi S Thamaraiselvan N amp Senthilarasu B (2013) Assessing
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Laroche M Kim C amp Zhou L (1996) Brand familiarity and confidence as determinants
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Law K S Wong C S amp Mobley W M (1998) Toward a taxonomy of
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Lea S E G amp Webley P (2006) Money as tool money as drug The biological
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Lemrova S Reiterova E Fatenova R Lemr K amp Tang T L P (2014) Money is
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Samra Chaudary
182
Lewis K K (1999) Trying to explain home bias in equities and consumption Journal of
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Li D Jiang Y An S Shen Z amp Jin W (2009) The influence of money attitudes on
young Chinese consumers compulsive buying Young Consumers 10(2) 98-109
Li S amp Liu C J (2008) Individual differences in a switch from risk‐averse preferences
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Lim K L Soutar G N amp Lee J A (2013) Factors affecting investment intentions A
consumer behavior perspective Journal of Financial Services Marketing 18(4)
301-315
Lim V K amp Teo T S (1997) Sex money and financial hardship An empirical study
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Economic Psychology 18(4) 369-386
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investment in
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124
Locke E A Feren D B McCaleb V M Shaw K N amp Denny A T (1980) The
relative effectiveness of four methods of motivating employee performance In K
D Duncan M M Gruneberg amp D Wallis (Eds) Changes in Working Life 363-
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Lodder P Ong H H Grasman R P amp Wicherts J (2019) A comprehensive meta-
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Loewenstein G F Weber E U Hsee C K amp Welch N (2001) Risk as feelings
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Loewenstein G amp Lerner J S (2003) The role of affect in decision-making Handbook
of affective science 619(642) 3
MacCrimmon K R amp Wehrung D A (1990) Characteristics of risk taking executives
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MacGregor D G amp Slovic P (2000) Retirement Plans and Financial Expectations A
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httpsssrncomabstract=1565088
Mahastanti L A amp Hariady E (2013) Determining the Factor Affecting Stock
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Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio Selection The Journal of Finance 7(1) 77-91
Marshall A (1961) Principles of Economics An introductory volume London
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Mayfield C Perdue G amp Wooten K (2008) Investment management and personality
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McClelland D C (1967) Money as a motivator Some research insights The McKinsey
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Samra Chaudary
184
McClure R F (1984) The relationship between money attitudes and overall pathology
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McCrae R R amp Costa P T (2008) Empirical and theoretical status of the five-factor
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McInish T H (1982) Individual investors and risk-taking Journal of Economic
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McKenzie C R amp Liersch M J (2011) Misunderstanding savings growth Implications
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McShane S L amp Von Glinow M A (2008) Organizational behavior (4th ed) Boston
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Medina J F Saegert J amp Gresham A (1996) Comparison of Mexican‐American and
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Merton R C (1973) An intertemporal capital asset pricing model Econometrica Journal
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Merton R C (1987) A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete
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Metawa N Hassan M K Metawa S amp Safa M F (2019) Impact of behavioral factors
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Michaelidou N amp Hassan L (2014) New advances in attitude and behavioral decision-
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Milkovich G T Newman J M amp Gerhart B (2014) Compensation (11th ed) Boston
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Millet K Lamey L amp Van den Bergh B (2012) Avoiding negative vs achieving
positive outcomes in hard and prosperous economic times Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2) 275ndash 284
Mishra S (2014) Decision-making under risk Integrating perspectives from biology
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280-307
Mishra S Hing L S S amp Lalumiere M L (2015) Inequality and risk-taking
Evolutionary Psychology 13(3) 1ndash11
Mitchell T R amp Mickel AE (1999) The meaning of money An individual difference
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Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira T Augusto Falciano M amp Villas Boas Perito R (2014)
Effects of credit card usage on young Braziliansrsquo compulsive buying Young
Consumers 15(2) 111-124
Modigliani F amp Miller M H (1958) The cost of capital corporation finance and the
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Mohammadi A amp Shafi K (2018) Gender differences in the contribution patterns of
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Morse W C (1998) Risk taking in personal investments Journal of Business and
Psychology 13(2) 281-288
Samra Chaudary
186
Mousavi S amp Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk uncertainty and heuristics Journal of
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Muller A amp de Zwaan M (2010) Pathological buying A review of the current
knowledge regarding this condition of behavioral excess Bundesgesundheitsblatt
Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 53(4) 289-294
Muradoglu G amp Harvey N (2012) Behavioural finance the role of psychological
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Myers I B amp McCaulley M H (1985) Manual A guide to the development and use of
the Myer-Briggs Type Indicator Palo Alto CA Consulting Psychologists Press
Newman J M Gerhart B amp Milkovich G T (2017) Compensation (12th ed) New
York McGraw-Hill
Nicholson N Soane E Fenton‐OCreevy M amp Willman P (2005) Personality and
domain‐specific risk taking Journal of Risk Research 8(2) 157-176
Nkundabanyanga S K Omagor C Mpamizo B amp Ntayi J M (2011) The love of
money pressure to perform and unethical marketing behavior in the cosmetic
industry in Uganda International Journal of Marketing Studies 3 (4) 40-49
Nnedum O A U Egwu E U Obinna E J Ntomchukwu M S amp Chukwukeluo C
B (2011) Materialism and meaning of money (MOM) Validation of Money
Metaphor Scale (MMS) in South Africa International Research Journal of
Finance amp Economics 76 31ndash46
Nofsinger J (2005) The Psychology of Investing 2nd ed Prentice Hall NJ
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and Social Psychology 53 775-782
Norden L (2010) Individual home bias portfolio churning and performance The
European Journal of Finance 16(4) 329-351
Norman W T (1963) Toward an adequate taxonomy of personality attributes Replicated
factor structure in peer nomination personality ratings The Journal of Abnormal and
Social Psychology 66(6) 574
Nosic A amp Weber M (2010) How riskily do I invest The role of risk attitudes risk
perceptions and overconfidence Decision Analysis 7 282-301
OrsquoDonoghue T amp Rabin M (1998) Procrastination in preparing for retirement in
Aaron H (Ed) Behavioral Dimensions of Retirement Economics The Brookings
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Odean T (1998) Are investors reluctant to realize their losses The Journal of Finance
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Odean T (1999) Do investors trade too muchrdquo The American Economic Review 89(5)
1279-1299
Oehler A amp Wedlich F (2018) The relationship of extraversion and neuroticism with
risk attitude risk perception and return expectations Journal of Neuroscience
Psychology and Economics 11(2) 63
Oehler A Wendt S Wedlich F amp Horn M (2018) Investors personality influences
investment decisions Experimental evidence on extraversion and neuroticism
Journal of Behavioral Finance 19(1) 30-48
Samra Chaudary
188
Oezgen O amp Bayoğlu A S (2005) Turkish college studentsrsquo attitudes towards money
International Journal of Consumer Studies 29(6) 493-501
Olsen R A (1997) Desirability bias among professional investment managers Some
evidence from experts Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 10(1) 65-72
Olsen R A amp Cox C M (2001) The influence of gender on the perception and response
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Oshio A Taku K Hirano M amp Saeed G (2018) Resilience and Big-Five personality
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Pagano M (1993) Financial markets and growth an overview European Economic
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Pak O amp Mahmood M (2015) Impact of personality on risk tolerance and investment
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Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (2017) Population Census Retrieved from
httpwwwpbsgovpkcontentpopulation-census
Pan C H amp Statman M (2013) Investor personality in investor questionnaires The
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Paramati S R Ummalla M amp Apergis N (2016) The effect of foreign direct
investment and stock market growth on clean energy use across a panel of emerging
market economies Energy Economics 56 29-41
Payne B K Brown-Iannuzzi J L amp Hannay J W (2017) Economic inequality
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Pennings J M Candel M J amp Egelkraut T M (2003) A behavioral decision-making
modeling approach toward hedging services The Journal of Behavioral Finance
4(2) 71-84
Phillips J M amp Gully S M (2013) Organizational Behavior Tools for success (2nd
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Pompian M M (2012) Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management 2nd ed John
Wiley and Sons Inc NJ
Pompian M M amp Longo J M (2004) A new paradigm for practical application of
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gender to produce better investment outcomes The Journal of Wealth
Management 7(2) 9-15
Poropat A E (2009) A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and
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Poterba J M (2000) Stock market wealth and consumption Journal of Economic
Perspectives 14(2) 99-118
Prahalad C K amp Hammond A (2002) Serving the worldrsquos poor profitably Harvard
Business Review 80 48ndash57
Prast H Rossi M Torricelli C amp Sansone D (2015) Do women prefer pink The
effect of a gender stereotypical stock portfolio on investing decisions Politica
Economica 31(3) 377-420
Samra Chaudary
190
Preacher K amp Hayes A (2008) Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and
comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models Behavior Research
Methods 40(3) 879ndash891
Prinz S Gruumlnder G Hilgers R D Holtemoumlller O amp Vernaleken I (2014) Impact of
personal economic environment and personality factors on individual financial
decision-making Frontiers in Psychology 5 158
Puustinen P Maas P amp Karjaluoto H (2013) Development and validation of the
Perceived Investment Value (PIV) scale Journal of Economic Psychology 36 41-
54
Ratcliffe A amp Taylor K (2015) Who cares about stock market booms and busts
Evidence from data on mental health Oxford Economic Papers-New Series 67 (3)
826-845
Raubenheimer J (2004) An item selection procedure to maximize scale reliability and
validity SA Journal of Industrial Psychology 30(4) 59-64
Raut R K Das N amp Kumar R (2018) Extending the Theory of Planned Behavior
Impact of Past Behavioral Biases on the Investment Decision of Indian Investors
Asian Journal of Business and Accounting 11(1) 265-291
Reddy W M amp Reddy W M (1987) Money and liberty in modern Europe A critique
of historical understanding Cambridge University Press
Reinartz W Haenlein M amp Henseler J (2009) An empirical comparison of the efficacy
of covariance-based and variance-based SEM International Journal of Research
in Marketing 26 332ndash344
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Remenyi D Williams B Money A and Swartz E (1998) Doing Research in Business
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Riaz L amp Hunjra A I (2016) Relationship between Psychological Factors and
Investment Decision-making The Mediating Role of Risk Perception Pakistan
Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences 9(3) 968-981
Riepe M W (2013) Musings on behavioral finance Journal of Financial Planning
26(5) 34-35
Riff S amp Yagil Y (2016) Behavioral Factors Affecting the Home Bias Phenomenon
Experimental Tests Journal of Behavioral Finance 17(3) 267-279
Ringle C M Sarstedt M amp Straub D (2012) A critical look at the use of PLS-SEM in
MIS Quarterly 36 (1) 3-14
Ringle C M Wende S amp Becker J M (2015) SmartPLS 30 (version 323)
Boenningstedt SmartPLS GmbH
Roll R (1983) Vas ist das The turn-of-the-year effect and the return premia of small
firms Journal of Portfolio Management 9(2) 18-28
Rose G M amp Orr L M (2007) Measuring and exploring symbolic money meaning
Psychology amp Marketing 24(9) 743ndash761
Rosler M Retz W Retz-Junginger P Thome J Supprian T Nissen T amp Trott G
E (2004) Tools for the diagnosis of attention-deficithyperactivity disorder in
adults Self-rating behavior questionnaire and diagnostic checklist Der Nervenarzt
75(9) 888-895
Rubenstein C (1981) Money and self-esteem relationships secrecy envy satisfaction
Psychology Today 15 (5) 29-44
Samra Chaudary
192
Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J (2017) If you want to save focus on the forest rather than
on trees The effects of shifts in levels of construal on saving decisions PloS one
12(5) e0178283
Rynes S L amp Gerhart B (2000) Compensation in organizations Current research and
practice San Francisco CA Jossey-Bass
SampP Global Fin Lit Survey (2015) Global Financial Literacy Excellence Center Retrieved
from wwwgflecorginitiativessp-global-finlit-survey
Sahi S K Arora A P amp Dhameja N (2013) An exploratory inquiry into the
psychological biases in financial investment behaviors Journal of Behavioral
Finance 14 (2) 94-103
Salgado J F (1997) The five-factor model of personality and job performance in the
European community Journal of Applied Psychology 82(1) 30-43
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2009) Testing a model of behavioral intentions in the
Republic of Macedonia Differences between the private and the public
sectors Journal of Business Ethics 87(4) 495-517
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2012) Work-related behavioral intentions in
Macedonia Coping strategies work environment love of money job satisfaction
and demographic variables Journal of Business Ethics 108(3) 373-391
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2015) Monetary intelligence Money attitudes-
unethical intentions intrinsic and extrinsic job satisfaction and coping strategies
across public and private sectors in Macedonia Journal of Business Ethics 130(1)
93ndash115
References
193
Satchell L P Bacon A M Firth J L amp Corr P J (2018) Risk as reward
Reinforcement sensitivity theory and psychopathic personality perspectives on
everyday risk-taking Personality and Individual Differences 128 162-169
Saucier G amp Goldberg L R (1996) The language of personality Lexical perspectives
The five-factor model of personality Theoretical perspectives 21-50
Saunders M Lewis P amp Thornhill A (2007) Research methods Business Students 6th
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Scandura T A (2016) Essentials of organizational behavior An evidence-based
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Schumacker R E amp Lomax R G (1996) A beginnerrsquos guide to structural equation
modeling Mahwah NJ Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
Schwartz H (2010) Heuristics or rules of thumb In J Nofsinger amp K Baker (Eds)
Behavioral Finance Investors corporations and markets Robert W Kolb Series in
Finance Chichester England John Wiley (Edited)
Seasholes M S amp Zhu N (2010) Individual investors and local bias The Journal of
Finance 65(5) 1987-2010
Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan (2016) SECP determined to ensure investor
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httpswwwsecpgovpkwp-contentuploads201607July-19-2016-SECP-
determined-to-ensure-investor-protection-and-to-end-market-abusepdf
Seiler M J Seiler V L Harrison D M amp Lane M A (2013) Familiarity bias and
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24
Samra Chaudary
194
Seiler M Seiler V Traub S amp Harrison D (2008) Familiarity bias and the status quo
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Sekścińska K Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J amp Maison D (2018) Individual
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Individual Differences 120 118-126
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199-228
Shariff M Z Al-Khasawneh J amp ElSharif A (2012) Future of Neurofinance and
Behavioral Finance in Class Room International Journal of Finance 24(2) 7200-
7207
Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices a theory of market equilibrium under the condition
of risk Journal of Finance 19(3) 425ndash 442
Shawahna R Fahed B Qadri D Sharawi L Soroghli M amp Dweik M (2017)
Awareness and knowledge of autism spectrum disorders among pharmacists a
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Developmental Disorders 47(6) 1618-1627
Shefrin H amp Statman M (1985) The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers
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Shih T Y amp Ke S C (2014) Determinates of financial behavior insights into consumer
money attitudes and financial literacy Service Business 8(2) 217-238
Shiller R (2003) From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance The Journal of
Economic Perspectives 17(1) 83-104
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195
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Shrout P E amp Bolger N (2002) Mediation in experimental and non-experimental
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445
Simon H A (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice The Quarterly Journal of
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Singh R (2010) Behavioral Finance Studies Emergence and Developments Journal of
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Singhapakdi A Vitell S J Lee D J Nisius A M amp Grace B Y (2013) The
influence of love of money and religiosity on ethical decision-making in marketing
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Sirri E R amp Tufano P (1998) Costly search and mutual fund flows Journal of Finance
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Sizemore C (2012 November 20) Investing lessons Avoiding the Peter Lynch Bias
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httpwwwforbescomsitesmoneybuilder20121120investing-lessons-
avoiding-the-peter-lynch-bias
Sloan A (2002) The Jurys In Greed Isnt Good Newsweek 139(25) 37-37
Samra Chaudary
196
Slovic P Fischhoff B and Lichtenstein S (1977) lsquoBehavioral Decision Theoryrsquo Annual
Review of Psychology 28(1) 1-39
Smith A (17761937) An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations New
York Modern Library
Statman M Thorley S amp Vorkink K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading
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Steenkamp J B E amp Baumgartner H (1998) Assessing measurement invariance in
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Sternad D amp Kennelly J J (2017) The sustainable executive antecedents of managerial
long-term orientation Journal of Global Responsibility 8(2) 179-195
Stone M (1974) Cross‐validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions
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Strong N amp Xu X (2003) Understanding the equity home bias Evidence from survey
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Subrahmanyam A (2008) Behavioral finance a review and synthesis European
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Sutcliffe K M (1994) What executives notice accurate perceptions in top management
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Szyszka A Zielonka P (2007) The Disposition Effect Demonstrated on IPO Trading
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Takahashi H amp Terano T (2003) Agent-based approach to investorrsquos behavior and asset
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Tang N Chen J Zhang K amp Tang T L P (2018a) Monetary wisdom How do
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Tang T L P (1992) The Meaning of money revisited Journal of Organizational
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Tang T L P (1993) The meaning of money Extension and exploration of the money
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Tang T L P (1995) The development of a short Money Ethic Scale Attitudes toward
money and pay satisfaction revisited Personality and Individual Differences
19(6) 809ndash817
Tang T L P (2007) lsquoIncome and Quality of Life Does the Love of Money Make a
Differencersquo Journal of Business Ethics 72(4) 375ndash393
Tang T L P (2016) Theory of monetary intelligence Money attitudesmdashreligious values
making money making ethical decisions and making the grade Journal of
Business Ethics 133(3) 583ndash603
Tang T L P amp Chen Y J (2008) Intelligence vs wisdom The love of money
Machiavellianism and unethical behavior across college major and gender Journal
of Business Ethics 82(1) 1ndash26
Tang T L P amp Chiu R K (2003) Income money ethic pay satisfaction commitment
and unethical behavior Is the love of money the root of evil for Hong Kong
Samra Chaudary
198
employees Journal of Business Ethics 46(1) 13ndash30
Tang T L P amp Gilbert P R (1995) Attitudes toward money as related to intrinsic and
extrinsic job satisfaction stress and work-related attitudes Personality and
Individual Differences 19(3) 327-332
Tang T L P amp Sutarso T (2013) Falling or not falling into temptation Multiple faces
of temptation monetary intelligence and unethical intentions across gender
Journal of Business Ethics 116(3) 529ndash552
Tang T L P Chen Y J amp Sutarso T (2008a) Bad apples in bad (business) barrels
The love of money Machiavellianism risk tolerance and unethical behavior
Management Decision 46(2) 243-263
Tang T L P Kim J K amp Shin-Hsiung Tang D (2000) Does Attitude Toward Money
Moderate the Relationship Between Intrinsic Job Satisfaction and Voluntary
Turnover Human Relations 53(2) 213ndash245
Tang T L P Luna-Arocas R amp Sutarso T (2005) lsquoFrom Income to Pay Satisfaction
The Love of Money and Pay Equity Comparison as Mediators and Culture (the US
and Spain) and Gender as Moderators Management Research The Journal of the
Iberoamerican Academy of Management 3(1) 7ndash26
Tang T L P Sutarso T Akande A Allen M W Alzubaidi A S Ansari M A et
al (2006) The love of money and pay level satisfaction Measurement and
functional equivalence in 29 geographical entities around the world Management
and Organization Review 2(3) 423ndash452
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicia F
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicai F
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Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management DOI
105465AMBPP201165869480
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K Teo T S Arias-Galicia F amp
Vlerick P (2018c) Monetary Intelligence and Behavioral Economics The Enron
Effect-Love of money corporate ethical values Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI) and dishonesty across 31 geopolitical entities Journal of Business Ethics
148(4) 919-937
Tang T L P Sutarso T Davis G M T Dolinski D Ibrahim A H S amp Wagner S
L (2008b) To help or not to help The Good Samaritan Effect and the love of
money on helping behavior Journal of Business Ethics 82(4) 865ndash887
Tang T L P T Sutarso A Akande M W Allen A S Alzubaidi M A Ansari F
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L Z Du I Garber C Garcia de la Torre R C Higgs A H S Ibrahim C K Jen
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Manganelli A Moreira A U O Nnedum J E Osagie A Osman-Gani F C
Pereira R Pholsward H D Pitariu M Polic E Sardzoska P Skobic A F
Stembridge T L N Tang T S H Teo M Tombolani M Trontelj C Urbain and
P Vlerick 2007 August 3ndash8 Doing Well by Doing Good Does Economic
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200
Development Make a Difference Paper presented at the Academy of Management
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Tang T L P Tillery K R Lazarevski B amp Luna-Arocas R (2004) The love of money
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Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Iqbal A (2016) Information sources and trading behavior
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94-117
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Yousaf S (2015) The influence of Investor personality traits
on information acquisition and trading behavior Evidence from Chinese futures
exchange Personality and Individual Differences 87 248-255
Tekce B Yılmaz N amp Bildik R (2016) What factors affect behavioral biases
Evidence from Turkish individual stock investors Research in International
Business and Finance 37 515-526
Tesar L amp Werner I (1995) Home bias and high turnover Journal of International
Money and Finance 14(4) 467ndash492
Thaler R (1980) Toward a positive theory of consumer choice Journal of Economic
Behavior amp Organization 1(1) 39-60
Thaler R (1999) Mental accounting matters Journal of Behavioral Decision-making
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Thaler R H amp Sunstein C R (2008) Nudge improving decisions about health wealth
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Tigges P Riegert A Jonitz L Brengelmann J amp Engel R R (2000) Risk behavior
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Psychology and Financial Markets 1(2) 127ndash134
Tomek I Striacuteteskyacute V amp Tahal R (2013) Segmentation of Czech Consumers Based on
the Attitudes Towards Money Central European Business Review 2(2) 19
Trapmann S Hell B Hirn J O W amp Schuler H (2007) Meta-analysis of the
relationship between the Big-Five and academic success at university Zeitschrift
fuumlr PsychologieJournal of Psychology 215(2) 132-151
Tripathi M amp Chattopadhyay T (2013) Study of Behavioral Dimensions of Perceived
Risk of Investment of Financial Experts and Laymen in Equity Mutual Funds in
India Journal of Commerce amp Accounting Research 2(4)10-27
Tung R L amp Baumann C (2009) Comparing the attitudes toward money material
possessions and savings of overseas Chinese vis-agrave-vis Chinese in China
convergence divergence or cross-vergence vis-agrave-vis lsquoone size fits allrsquohuman
resource management policies and practices The International Journal of Human
Resource Management 20(11) 2382-2401
Tupes E C amp Christal R E (1961) Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings
(ASD-TR-61-97) Lackland Air Force Base TX Aeronautical System Division
Personnel Laboratory
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1986) Rational choice and the framing of the decision
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59 (4) 251-278
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory cumulative
representation under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5(4) 297-323
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202
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1973) Availability A heuristic for judging frequency and
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Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1974) Judgment under uncertainty Heuristics and biases
Science 185(4157) 1124-1131
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1981) The framing of decisions and the psychology of
choice Science 211(4481) 453-458
Van Witteloostuijin A amp Muehlfeld K S (2008) Traders personality and trading
performance a framework and financial market experiment Discussion Paper
SeriesTjalling C Koopmans Research Institute 8(28) Utrecht School of
Economics Utrecht University Retrieved from
httpeconpapersrepecorgpaperusetkiwps0828htm
Velicer W F amp Fava J L (1998) Affects of variable and subject sampling on factor
pattern recovery Psychological Methods 3(2) 231
Verma M (2008) Wealth management and behavioral finance The effect of
demographics and personality on investment choice among Indian investors The
ICFAI University Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(4) 31-57
Vitell S J Paolillo J G amp Singh J J (2006) The role of money and religiosity in
determining consumersrsquo ethical beliefs Journal of Business Ethics 64(2) 117-124
Vitell S J Singh J J amp Paolillo J G (2007) Consumersrsquo ethical beliefs The roles of
money religiosity and attitude toward business Journal of Business Ethics 73(4)
369-379
Vohs K D (2015) Money priming can change peoplersquos thoughts feelings motivation
and behaviors An update on 10 years of experiments Journal of Experimental
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Psychology-General 144(4) 86ndash93
Vohs K D Mead N C amp Goode M R (2006) The psychological consequences of
money Science 314(5802) 1154ndash1156
Von Thadden E L (1995) Long-term contracts short-term investment and monitoring
The Review of Economic Studies 62(4) 557-575
Wang C M Xu B B Zhang S J amp Chen Y Q (2016) Influence of personality and
risk propensity on risk perception of Chinese construction project managers
International Journal of Project Management 34(7) 1294-1304
Wang M Keller C amp Siegrist M (2011) The less you know the more you are afraid
ofmdashA survey on risk perceptions of investment products Journal of Behavioral
Finance 12(1) 9-19
Wang X L Shi K amp Fan H X (2006) Psychological mechanisms of investors in
Chinese Stock Markets Journal of Economic Psychology 27(6) 762-780
Warneryd K E (2001) Stock-market psychology How people value and trade stocks
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Warren G (2014) Long-Term Investing What Determines Investment Horizon Centre
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Warren G (2016) What does it mean to be a long-term investor (July 2016) Brandes
Institute Research Paper No 2016-04 Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=2987949
Weber E U amp Johnson E J (2008) Decisions under uncertainty Psychological
economic and neuroeconomic explanations of risk preference In P Glimcher C
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204
Camerer E Fehr amp R Poldrack (Eds) Neuroeconomics Decision-making and
the brain 127ndash144) New York Elsevier
Weber E U amp Milliman R A (1997) Perceived risk attitudes Relating risk perception
to risky choice Management Science 43(2) 123-144
Weber E U Blais A R amp Betz N E (2002) A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale
Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors Journal of Behavioral Decision-
making 15(4) 263-290
Weber E U Siebenmorgen N amp Weber M (2005) Communicating asset risk how
name recognition and the format of historic volatility information affect risk
perception and investment decisions Risk Analysis An International Journal
25(3) 597-609
Weber M Weber E U amp Nosić A (2013) Who takes risks when and why
determinants of changes in investor risk taking Review of Finance 17(3) 847-883
Wermers R (1999) Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices The Journal of
Finance 54(2) 581-622
Wernimont PF amp Fitzpatrick S (1972) The meaning of money Journal of Applied
Psychology 56(3) 218-226
Wille G W (1996) A stepwise procedure for the empirical assessment of latent variable
models Unpublished masterrsquos thesis Port Elizabeth University of Port Elizabeth
Wilson A B McNellis C amp Latham C K (2018) Audit firm tenure auditor familiarity
and trust Effect on auditee whistleblowing reporting intentions International
Journal of Auditing 22(2) 113-130
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N L Johnsons (Eds) 6 581-591 New York Wiley
Wong H M (2008) Religiousness love of money and ethical attitudes of Malaysian
evangelical Christians in business Journal of Business Ethics 81(1) 169-191
Wood R E Goodman J S Beckmann N amp Cook A (2008) Mediation testing in
management research A review and proposals Organizational Research Methods
11(2) 270-295
Wood R amp Zaichkowsky J L (2004) Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market
investors A segmentation approach The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 170-
179
Woolley P (2013) Resilience and the Long-term Rethinking Portfolios for Prosperity
Speech at The Princersquos Charities Event 27th June 2013
Xu H amp Tracey T J (2017) Use of Multi-Group Confirmatory Factor Analysis in
Examining Measurement Invariance in Counseling Psychology Research The
European Journal of Counselling Psychology 6(1) 75-82
Yalcin K C Tatoglu E amp Zaim S (2016) Developing an instrument for measuring the
effects of heuristics on investment decisions Kybernetes 45(7) 1052-1071
Yamauchi K T amp Templer D I (1982) The development of a money attitude scale
Journal of Personality Assessment 46(5) 523ndash528
Yang S Hsu Y amp Tu C (2012) How do traders influence investors confidence and
trading volume A dyad study in the futures market Emerging Markets Finance
and Trade 48(3) 23-34
Samra Chaudary
206
Zakaria R H Jaafar N I M amp Marican S (2012) Financial behavior and financial
position a structural equation modelling approach Middle-East Journal of
Scientific Research 12(10) 1396-1402
Zeisberger S (2018) What is risk how investors perceive risk in return distributions
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=2811636
Zhang L Q (2009) An exchange theory of money and self-esteem in decision-
making Review of General Psychology 13(1) 66-76
Zhao H Seibert S E amp Lumpkin G T (2010b) The relationship of personality to
entrepreneurial intentions and performance A meta-analytic review Journal of
Management 36(2) 381ndash404-
Zhao X Lynch Jr J G amp Chen Q (2010a) Reconsidering Baron and Kenny Myths
and truths about mediation analysis Journal of Consumer Research 37(2) 197-
206
Zhao H amp Seibert S (2006) The Big-Five personality dimensions and entrepreneurial
status A meta-analytical review Journal of Applied Psychology 91(2) 259-271
Appendix
207
Appendices
Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Personality and
Decision-making
Heinstrom 2003
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Mayfield et al
2008 Lim at al
2013 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Oehler et al 2018
Heinstrom 2003
Van Witteloostuijin
amp Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006ab
Bateman et al
2010 Weber et al
2013 Hoffman et
al 2015 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Verma 2008 Riaz
amp Hunjra 2016
Tauni et al
20152016 Yang et
al 2012 Wang et
al 2006 Personality and
Investment
Decisions
Oehler et al 2018
Mayfield et al
2008 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Hershey amp Mowen
2000 Hunter amp
Kemp 2004 van
Witteloostuijin amp
Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
2013 Tauni et al
2015 2016 Yang
et al 2012
Brandstatter 2011
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
Mayfield et al
2008
Personality and
Risk Taking
Behavior
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Weber et al 2002
Filbeck et al 2005
Mayfield et al
2008 Brandstatter
2011 Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Risk Taking and
Decision-making
Riaz amp Hunjra
2016
MacCrimmon amp
Wehrung 1990
Samra Chaudary
208
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a b
Nosic amp Weber
2010 Bateman et
al 2010 Weber et
al 2013 Hoffman
et al 2015 Lim at
al 2013 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002 Wang
et al 2006
Loewenstein et al
2001 Weber amp
Johnson 2008
Big-Five
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Big-Five
Personality Risk
Perception Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Appendix
209
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Heuristics and
Decision-making
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1974
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
De Bondt 1998 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Shefrin amp
Statman 1985
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
Lakonishok et al
1994 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998
Odean 1998 1999
Thaler 1999 Jain
amp Wu 2000
Hirshleifer 2001
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Grinblatt amp Han
2005 Nofsinger
2005 Mishra
2014 Yalcin et al
2016 Ahearne et
al 2004 Wang et
al 2011 Lewis
1999 Barberis amp
Xiong 2009
Wermers 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Statman et
al 2006 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Furnham amp Boo
2011 Glaser et al
2007 Thaler amp
Sunstein 2008
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
De Bondt 1998
Jain amp Wu 2000
Wang et al 2011
Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Lakonishok et al
1994 Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Chan et al 2005
Ahearne et al
2004 Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Kang amp
Stulz 1997 Odean
1998 1999 Lewis
1999 Wermers
1999 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Statman et al
2006 Glaser et al
2007 Wang et al
2011 Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Yalcin et al 2016
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 De Vries et
al 2017 Chan et
al 2005 Olsen
1997 Metawa et
al 2019
Samra Chaudary
210
Salience and
Investment
Decisions
Yalcin et al 2016
Huberman 2001
Tverskyamp
Kahneman 1973
Merton 1987
Heath amp Tversky
1991 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Sirri amp Tufano
1998 Jain amp Wu
2000 Barber et al
2005 Nofsinger
2005Wang et al
2011 Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 Antoniou et
al 2010 Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014
Chan et al 2005
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Sizemore 2012
Giannetti amp
Koskinen 2010
Kumar amp
Goetzmann 2003
De Vries et al
2017 Chan et al
2005 Weber et al
2005
Institutional
Investors and
Salience
Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Strong amp Xu 2003
Chan et al 2005
Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Goldstein amp
Gigerenzer 2002
Forbes et al 2015
Individual
Investors and
Salience
Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba
1991
Baker et al 2017
De Vries et al
2017 Tesar amp
Werner 1995
Appendix
211
Ahearne et al
2004 Kang amp
Stulz 1997
Seasholes amp Zhu
2010 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Cooper amp Kaplanis
1994
Gender and
Salience
Anderson et al
2011 Alrabadi et
al 2018 Ang et
al 2014 Cao et al
2009 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Karlsson amp Norden
2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018
Prast et al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Tekce et al 2016
Wang et al 2011
Anderson et al
2011 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018 Prast et
al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Wang et al 2011
Alrabadi et al
2018 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Tekce et al 2016
Salience Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Salience
Institutional
Investors
Individual
Investors Gender
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
212
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Attitudes and
Decision-making
Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013
Akhtar amp Das
2019
Lim amp Teo 1997
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al
2006 Vitell et al
2007 Tang et al
2008 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Klontz
amp Britt 2012
Gentina et al 2018
Hampson et al
2018 Tang amp Chiu
2003 Medina et al
1996 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Tang et al
2006 Li et al
2009 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Jia
et al 2013
Sardzoska ampTang
2012 Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013 Shih
amp Ke 2014 Tang
et al 2018a
Akhtar amp Das 2019
Money Attitudes
and Decision-
making
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Vitell et al 2007
Tang et al
2008ab Tang amp
Chen 2008 Li et
al 2009 Klontz amp
Britt 2012 Shih amp
Ke 2014 Tang
2016 Britt 2016
Tang et al 2018a
Greenberg amp
Hershfield 2019
Money Attitudes
and Investment
Decisions
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Jia et al
2013 Shih amp Ke
2014 Tang et al
2018a
Demographics and
Money Attitudes
Lim amp Teo 1997
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011
Hampson et al
2018 Gentina et al
2018 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Medina et al 1996
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Tang et al 2006
Tang et al
2008ab Sardzoska
ampTang 2012
Demographics and
Investment
Decision
Warneryd 2001
Haisley et al 2008
Greenberg amp
Appendix
213
Hershfield 2019
Cicchetti amp Dubin
1994 Grable et al
2004 Hlouskova et
al 2017
Greenberg 2013
Embrey and Fox
1997
Money Attitudes
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Money Attitudes
Income
Inheritance Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
214
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 1 Aba Ali Securities- Karachi
2 Alfalah Investments- Karachi
3 Allied Bank Limited (ABL)- Asset Management Company- Lahore
4 Arif Habib- Karachi
5 Bank Islami Pakistan Limited Securities (BIPL)- Karachi
6 Central Depository Company (CDC) - Karachi
7 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
8 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
9 Foundation Securities- Karachi
10 IGI Insurance- Lahore
11 Insight Securities- Karachi
12 JS Global Capital- Karachi
13 JS Global Capital- Lahore
14 Meezan - Asset Management Company-Lahore
15 Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) - Asset Management Company
16 NBP Fullerton Asset Management Limited (NAFA)- Lahore
17 Pakistan Stock Exchange- Lahore
18 Pakistan Stock Exchange-Karachi
19 Shajar Capital- Karachi
20 Silk - Asset Management Company- Lahore
21 Topline Securities- Karachi
22 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Karachi
23 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Lahore
Appendix
215
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation)
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision
Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
216
Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and short-term investment decision
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision
Appendix
217
Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision
Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
218
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision
Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and long-term investment decision
Appendix
219
Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision
Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
220
Appendix VI Questionnaire
This questionnaire is aimed at collecting data for PhD thesis in Business Administration
Please fill the questionnaire to the best of your knowledge The information taken is purely
for research purpose and will be kept confidential Thank you for taking the time to assist
me in my educational endeavours
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
Short-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
1-I intend to put at least half of my
investment money into the stock market
1 2 3 4 5
2-I intend to engage in portfolio
management activities at least twice per
week
1 2 3 4 5
3-I intend to perform my own investment
research instead of using outside advice
1 2 3 4 5
4-I intend to compare my portfolio
performance to that of professional
managers
1 2 3 4 5
Long-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
5-I intend to save at least 10 of my
gross earnings for investing saving
retirement purposes
1 2 3 4 5
6-I intend to have a portfolio that focuses
on multiple asset classes (ie shares
bonds cash real estate etc)
1 2 3 4 5
7-I intend to take an investments course 1 2 3 4 5
8-I intend to manage my portfolio for
maximum gross return rather than tax
and cost efficiency
1 2 3 4 5
9-I intend to invest some money in long-
term assets where my money will be tied
up and inaccessible for years
1 2 3 4 5
Neuroticism
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
10-I often feel inferior to others 1 2 3 4 5
11-When Im under a great deal of stress
sometimes I feel like Im going to pieces
1 2 3 4 5
12-I often feel tense and jittery 1 2 3 4 5
13-Sometimes I feel completely
worthless
1 2 3 4 5
14-Too often when things go wrong I
get discouraged and feel like giving up
1 2 3 4 5
Appendix
221
Extraversion
(Costa ampMcCrae 1992)
15-I really enjoy talking to people 1 2 3 4 5
16-I am a cheerful high-spirited person 1 2 3 4 5
17-I am a very active person 1 2 3 4 5
Openness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
18-I am intrigued by the patterns I find in
art and nature
1 2 3 4 5
19-I often try new and foreign foods 1 2 3 4 5
20-I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 1 2 3 4 5
21-I often enjoy playing with theories or
abstract ideas
1 2 3 4 5
Agreeableness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
22-I often get into arguments with my
family and co-workers
1 2 3 4 5
23-Some people think Im selfish and
egotistical
1 2 3 4 5
24-Some people think of me as cold and
calculating
1 2 3 4 5
Conscientiousness
(CostaampMcCrae1992)
25-I keep my belongings neat and clean 1 2 3 4 5
26-I am pretty good about pacing myself
so as to get things done on time
1 2 3 4 5
27-I waste a lot of time before settling
down to work
1 2 3 4 5
Salience
(Yalcin et al 2016)
28-Expert opinions in written and visual
media should be taken into consideration
when investing
1 2 3 4 5
29-A companyrsquos share which is often in
the media with favorable news coverage
should be preferred when investing
1 2 3 4 5
30-To invest in companies that have a
good brand name is important to me
1 2 3 4 5
31-It is risky to invest in relatively
unknown public companies rather than
known ones
1 2 3 4 5
32-I believe that investors should
purchase the share of the company they
work for if it is well run
1 2 3 4 5
Achievement
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
33-I believe that the amount of money
that a person earns is closely related to
hisher ability and effort
1 2 3 4 5
34-Money represents ones achievement 1 2 3 4 5
35-Money is a symbol of success 1 2 3 4 5
36-I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence
1 2 3 4 5
Power
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
37-Money can give you the opportunity
to be what you want to be
1 2 3 4 5
38-Money gives you autonomy or
freedom
1 2 3 4 5
Samra Chaudary
222
39-Money means power 1 2 3 4 5
40-Money will help you express your
competence and abilities
1 2 3 4 5
41-Money can bring you many friends 1 2 3 4 5
Obsession
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
42-I firmly believe that money can solve
all of my problems
1 2 3 4 5
43-Money can buy everything 1 2 3 4 5
44-I would do practically anything legal
for money if it were enough
1 2 3 4 5
45-I often fantasize about money and
what I could do with it
1 2 3 4 5
Budget
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
46-I am proud of my ability to save
money
1 2 3 4 5
47-I feel compelled to argue or bargain
about the cost of almost everything that I
buy
1 2 3 4 5
Indicate your gut level assessment of how risky each situation is on a five-point rating
scale
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all risky Slightly
Risky
Moderately
Risky
Relatively more
Risky
Very Risky
Risk Perception
(Weber et al 2002)
48-Investing 10 of your annual income
in a moderate growth mutual fund
1 2 3 4 5
49-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a very speculative shares
1 2 3 4 5
50-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a conservative shares
1 2 3 4 5
1-How long have you been investing in the stock market hellipyears andhellipmonths
2-Whats your role in the management of wealth (check only one option)
1048713 I manage my own wealth only 1048713 I manage peoplersquos wealth
3-Do you expect to receive inheritancetransfer of assets from your family
1048713 Yes 1048713 No
4-What is your amount invested in the stockshares portfolio PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
5-How would you rate your religiosity
1048713 Very liberal 1048713Moderately religious 1048713Very religious
6-What is your age helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip years
Appendix
223
7-What is your monthly income PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
8-Please circle the highest number of years of school completed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23+
9-Gender 1048713 Male 1048713 Female
Thank you for your help
ii
iii
iv
THE IMPACT OF PERSONALITY SALIENCE AND LOVE OF MONEY ON
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
|
by
|
Samra Chaudary
|
Submitted to the Department of Business Administration
on October 25th 2019 in Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy
in Business Administration
|
Abstract |
This dissertation investigates the impact of Personality Salience and Love of Money
(LoM) on an investorrsquos short-term investment decision (ST-D) and long-term investment
decisions (LT-D) The research of this dissertation falls under the discipline of behavioral
finance and uses Prospect Theory as a theoretical lens A succession of three papers
(models) was written on this theme The first paper has explored the impact of five types
of personality traits on ST-D and LT-D Moreover risk perception has been tested as a
mediator between each personality type and investment decisions The second paper
tested the effect of salience on ST-D and LT-D and it was also tested if the impact of
salience on ST-D and LT-D differed between individual investors and professional
investors Moreover it was also investigated whether the impact of salience on ST-D and
LT-D differed between female investors and male investors The third paper focused on
the effect of LoM on ST-D and LT-D and whether current income and future inheritance
moderated the relationship between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The data were
collected by 277 individual and professional equity investors investing in Pakistan Stock
Exchange (PSX) The findings of the first paper were that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities showed a significant relationship with ST-D
v
However investors with openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits
showed an effect on LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and LT-
D only The results of the second paper found that salience has a significant positive
impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and professional
investors were found significantly different from each other Furthermore the parametric
tests of difference between the two groups also showed that path coefficients of female
investors were significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for
ST-D and LT-D The third paper found that LoM showed a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore income moderated
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance moderated the relationship
between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The findings of this research have implications
for psychologists economists and finance executives The findings will facilitate money
managers to cultivate a deeper understanding of their clientsrsquo behavior for ST-D and LT-
D Thus it is important that financial advisors include this behavioral aspect in their risk
models to improve the investment plans and decisions for their clients The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of
finance especially to the literature on personality risk perception salience and LoM
used by investors while making investment decisions
Keywords personality type risk perception salience love of money short-term
investment decision long- term investment decision
Thesis supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar
Supervisorrsquos Title Professor
vi
Acknowledgments |
|
There are myriad individuals to acknowledge individually everyone who aided
me during this research and from whom I have learned considerably A special thanks
to Dr Shahid Amjad Chaudhry who by providing me with the opportunity to teach set
in motion my enrolment into the PhD program I would like to express my most sincere
gratitude to my supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar for his continuous encouragement and
patient guidance I also want to recognize my committee members Dr Syeda Rabab
Mudakkar and Dr Aamir Khan for providing direction and productive critiques to my
research I thank my teachers and everyone who voluntarily bore with me throughout the
process of my primary research
I also want to acknowledge collectively the colleagues with whom I worked with
the Lahore School of Economics for the last 8 years Contrary to the usual stereotypes
rather than competition the support by my peers who were on the same journey was
unequivocally sincere I am grateful to my best friend Qurat ul Ain for her consistent
support throughout this challenging process and to my uncle Amjad Bhatti who
encouraged me to enroll in the PhD program
Last but not least I thank all of my family including all my siblings Sadia Sidra
Zeenat Huma M Ali M Umar and especially my father Abdul Qadir for the
unconditional support and encouragement to pursue my interests and follow my dreams
I dedicate this work in the loving memory of my deceased mother Shamshad Akhter for
her wise thoughtful and motivational nurturing that kindled passion in me to accomplish
this milestone
vii
Table of Contents
Contents Abstract iv Acknowledgments vi Table of Contents vii List of Tables x
List of Figures xi 1 Introduction 1
11 Introduction 1
12 Research Context 9
13 Research Objectives and Questions 10
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions 13
15 Organization of the Study 17
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk Perception on Investment
Decisions 19 Abstract 19
21 Introduction 20
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development 24
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979) 24
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991) 26
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001) 27
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies 28
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions 32
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions 35
23 Data and Methodology 41
231 Measures 41
232 Methods 41
24 Results 46
241 Measurement Model 46
242 Structural Model 49
25 Discussion and Implications 56
26 Conclusion and Future Research 62
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions Differences Between
Individual Investors and Professional Investors 65 Abstract 65
31 Introduction 66
viii
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development 68
321 Prospect Theory 68
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions 69
323 Salience and Investment Decision 70
324 Institutional Investors and Salience 74
325 Individual Investors and Salience 75
326 Gender and Salience 77
33 Data and Methodology 81
331 Measures 81
332 Methods 81
34 Results 84
341 Measurement Model 84
342 Structural Model 87
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment 89
344 Multi-group Analysis 92
35 Discussion and Implications 95
36 Conclusion and Future Research 100
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions Interaction of Income and
Inheritance 102
Abstract 102
41 Introduction 103
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development 107
421 Prospect Theory 107
422 Theory of Planned Behavior 108
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory 109
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions 109
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money 113
43 Data and Methodology 118
431 Measures 118
432 Methods 119
44 Results 122
441 Measurement Model 122
442 Structural Model 126
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance 128
45 Discussion and Implications 134
ix
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction 140
5 Conclusion 142 51 Introduction 142
52 Key Findings 143
53 Theoretical Implications 145
54 Practical Implications 148
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions 151
References 154
Appendices 207 Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 207
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 209
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 212
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 214
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation) 215
Appendix VI Questionnaire 220
x
List of Tables
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies 30 Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models 32 Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits 33 Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 46 Table 25 Results of Measurement Model 48
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 49 Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 49 Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D 52 Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception 55
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 84 Table 32 Results of Measurement Model 86
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 86 Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 86 Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D 88
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and
Professional Investors 91
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male
Investors 91 Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93 Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females 94
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females 94
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 122
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model 125 Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs 126
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 126 Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 126 Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D 128 Table 47 Moderation Results 131
xi
List of Figures
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) 7 Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception 10 Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and
long-term investment decisions 80 Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term
and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect
to receive the future inheritance 118 Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132 Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision 133 Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision 133
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and short-term investment decision 216
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision 216 Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision 217 Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision 217
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision 219 Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision 219
Introduction
1
1 Introduction
11 Introduction
Onersquos life is full of risky decisions from ordinary routine matters of daily life to matters
of life or death Individuals persistently face circumstances that require them to decide
between actions that differ in the level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Individual investors
and money managers are often confronted with risky decision-making choices as they are
expected to make decisions by taking into account the perceived levels of risk (Epstein
1994) An individualrsquos financial decision-making is a key factor for hisher long-term
financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017 Tang et al 2018a) Therefore it is important
to understand which factors influenced investorsrsquo financial decisions (Keller amp Siegrist
2006b) Decisions are a function of many constraints such as task structure the decision
makers cognitive representation of the task and the decision makers information
processing capabilities The process of decision-making has been investigated by many
disciplines eg economics statistics psychology philosophy and management science
Psychologists seemed to believe that they can best contribute to decision research by
exposing the psychological processes underlying judgment and choice They have tried to
place behavioral decision theory within a broader psychological context and have focused
on the significance of memory cognition conflict learning and feedback as relevant
factors that affect decision-making (Einhorn amp Hogarth 1981)
Individuals make investment decisions to save earnings for retirement (Clark-Murphy
amp Soutar 2004 Dreman Johnson MacGregor amp Slovic 2001) education expenses and
health care expenditures (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Another reason for an
investment decision is the individualrsquos desire for making profits and increasing their capital
Samra Chaudary
2
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Moreover 1) deregulations of financial services 2) social
security cuts and 3) tough economic conditions are also likely reasons for individuals to
invest (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) In this era of concern for retirement savings
employees try to understand how much to save where to invest and how to make lump-
sum payouts (McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) Consequently individuals all over the world
are facing more complex investment decisions than in the past (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Shih amp Ke 2014)
The development of asset markets has offered more varied opportunities to invest in
several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) These financial instruments have different
time horizons ie short and long The attractiveness of an investment strategy is
significantly determined by the investment horizon (Dierkes Erner amp Zeisberger 2010)
Attitudes towards investment horizon may vary across individuals and may depend on
different behavioral factors (Warren 2014) Some of those are investigated in this
dissertation According to Pennings Candel amp Egelkraut (2003) financial institutions
need new knowledge in order to develop new financial products or to improve the existing
ones Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice
process of the client is crucial for investors themselves as well as for financial institutions
involved in developing financial instruments for investors
An Individualrsquos decisions to invest in a firmrsquos securities are not merely driven by the
fundamentals of a firm (De Vries Erasmus amp Gerber 2017) but are prominently
influenced by psychological and behavioral factors related to investors such as personality
emotions (Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007 Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 Kahneman 2012 Tauni
Fang amp Iqbal 2016) attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b) desire for
Introduction
3
immediate gratification (Warren 2016) locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward
saving (Euwals Eymann amp Boumlrsch-Supan 2004) risk attitudes (Morse1998 Tigges
Riegert Jonitz Brengelmann amp Engel 2000 Warneryd 2001) overconfidence and
behavioral biases (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Kiyilar amp Acar
2009 Kourtidis Sevic amp Chatzoglou 2011 Pompian 2012) The identification of
investorsrsquo related factors that hinder or stimulate their decision to make investments is of
high relevance (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Overlooking such important factors may have
severe negative effects on investment returns (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) Therefore it is
argued that the behavioral aspect of an investor is relevant in devising effective strategies
by financial planners for their clientsrsquo wealth management
Investors sometimes behave irrationally in some of their investment decisions (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2014 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a) Traditional financial models are unable to explain such irrational but real
behavior of investors (Firat amp Fettahoglou 2011) Behavioral finance models are deemed
more suitable to explain investor behavior that results in market anomalies because rational
models of conventional finance fail to explain such anomalies (Glaser Langer Reynders
amp Weber 2007) Previous studies on peoplersquos investment decisions were based on the
assumptions of modern finance theories (Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952
Modigliani amp Miller 1958) Conventional finance theories assume that investors are
rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain level of risk However conventional
finance theories have been criticized both on the basis of their lack of explanatory power
and the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi ampTerano 2003) Yalcin Tatoglu and
Zaim (2016) have identified two bases of conventional finance theories firstly these
Samra Chaudary
4
theories assume that during the decision-making process humans behave rationally as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) secondly these theories advocate that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect the accurate prices of
securities the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) stated that in an efficient market all the
available information is reflected in the observed current prices of financial assets The
assumptions of a perfect market are that there are no taxes no inflation no information
asymmetry no transaction cost no bankruptcy cost and investors are rational According
to EMH investors make rational decisions in the financial market and it would be
impossible for an investor to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis There
are three forms of EMH which are the weak form the semi-strong form and the strong
form In Weak form prices of financial assets reflect market-level data (price and volume)
In semi-strong form current prices of financial securities reflect market-level data and
publicly available data However in the strong form of EMH prevailing prices of the
securities reflect publicly as well as privately available data Hence as level of information
increases market becomes more efficient (Fama 1970)
However in decision-making investors have to take one course of action among
several uncertain investment alternatives However various studies (Black 1986 De
Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Warneryd 2001) detected so-called ldquoanomaliesrdquo in the returns that
were not explained by the EMH and rational models of portfolio choice Yalcin et al (2016)
have explained that both conventional finance and behavioral finance propose different
interpretations to explain the causes of observable market anomalies The advocates of
conventional finance claim that the anomalies can be explained by chance or by the
Introduction
5
presence of methodological errors In contrast advocates of behavioral finance claim these
anomalies are explainable through behavioral biases (Kliger amp Kudryavtsev 2010 Sahi
Arora amp Dhameja 2013)
The term expected utility was first introduced by Bernoulli (17381954) The
expected utility theory deals with the decision-making under the condition of uncertainty
ie when individuals are unaware of the outcome of the decision Expected utility theory
postulates that investors behaved rationally and tried to maximize their utilities by
evaluating all the investment alternatives and they restrict their feelings and they decide
only by using their brains as a super calculator or as emotionless robots Investors choose
between risky or uncertain prospects by calculating the utility of each decision outcome
multiplied by its probability to arrive at an expected value Friedman and Savage (1952)
had proposed that decision-makers look for maximum utility in all outcomes whereas
utility was generally defined as a degree of happiness satisfaction or contentment
Conventional finance theory was first questioned by Simon (1955) who argued that
individuals have bounded rationality and their actions are constrained by mental and
external restrictions which limit their rationality Slovic Fischhoff and Lichtenstein
(1977) also argued that because of limited information processing ability and not knowing
the guidelines of optimal information processing decision makerrsquos judgment is subject to
systematic biases The idea of limited rationality provided the foundation for the discipline
of behavioral finance as many researchers encountered counter-evidence against the
validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Shleifer amp Summers 1990) These researchers concluded that in real-life decision-making
situations individuals were subject to some cognitive limitations
Samra Chaudary
6
The area of behavioral finance recognizes the importance of human behavioral
biases which plays a significant role in economic decisions made by individuals The field
picked up pace when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed prospect theory and got
further recognition when three Nobel Prizes were awarded to behavioral economists
namely Daniel Kahneman in 2002 Robert Schiller in 2006 and most recently Richard
Thaler in 2017 Prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) laid the foundation for
the discipline of behavioral finance It proposes that investorsrsquo decision-making is based
on the potential value of gains and losses rather than on actual value of gains and losses
This phenomenon occurs due to cognitive biases that affect the judgment about these gains
and losses Prospect theory assumes that the value function is a concave function in the
area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a convex function in the area of loss and thus risk-
taking Additionally the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in the area of
loss than in the area of gain which infers that a loss would have a larger effect (cause more
pain) on the decision-maker than a gain (would cause happiness)
In prospect theory the outcomes are estimated on the basis of the deviance from
the reference point which symbolizes the psychological origin the decision-maker assesses
the outcomes either as a gain or loss Moreover prospect theory suggests that decision-
makers estimate a gain as risk-aversion and a loss as risk-taking Even the identical problem
demonstrates risk-aversion behavior when the alternatives are shown in the area of gain it
also shows risk-taking behavior in the area of loss
According to prospect theory the value function is a concave function (a function
that is concave downward) in the region of gain which is above the reference point and
the function is convex (a function that is convex downward) in the region of loss which is
Introduction
7
below the reference point as shown in figure 11 This shows that the decision-makers show
risk-averse actions in the area of gain and risk-taking actions in the area of a loss
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted a survey among faculty and students in
Israeli American and Swedish universities Subjects were given the following similar
problems as stated in Takemura (2014) To clarify this findings of their results are given
below
Problem 1 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
A a gain of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect A = (4000 080)
B a certain gain of $3000 (Prospect B = (3000 100)
Problem 2 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
C a loss of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect C = (-4000 080)
D a certain loss of $3000 (Prospect D = (-3000 100)
Samra Chaudary
8
For Problem 1 20 of 95 respondents selected A 80 preferred B Regarding Problem
2 92 of 95 respondents preferred C 8 opted for D This pattern of the majority
selection was consistent with the propositions of prospect theory that decision-makers are
risk-averse in the area of gain and risk-takers in the area of loss
The above example can further be clarified that in case of gains a big majority of
respondents (80) showed a preference for definite gains while only 20 of respondents
expressed the preference for probabilistic gains although the probabilistic gains were
higher Therefore they concluded that in case of gains respondents showed risk-averse
behavior Furthermore in the case of losses 92 of respondents chose probabilistic losses
while only 8 chose definite losses though probabilistic losses were higher Therefore
they showed preference for risk-taking which is an irrational behavior
The discipline of behavioral finance links the knowledge of finance and behavioral
decision-making The discipline discusses how investors think feel behave and decide
about their investments The subject also includes the awareness of psychological
processes that determine the decision-makersrsquo choices as well as systematic biases that
investors have and heuristics that investors use when making decisions Behavioral finance
emerged as a new discipline linking behavioral and psychological perspectives in economic
and financial decision-making in the 1980s (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) The field is emerging
within the broader context of economics and finance and has close interaction with both
psychology and sociology (Puustinen Maas amp Karjaluoto 2013 Shiller 2003
Subrahmanyam 2008) Shariff Al-Khasawneh and ElSharif (2012) conducted a survey
on university students in the Persian Gulf countries and found that respondents were not at
all familiar with behavioral finance or neuroscience concepts Riepe (2013) has
Introduction
9
emphasized that the future of behavioral finance is bright Huang Shieh and Kao (2016)
research based on ISI Web of Science (WOS) database searched from 1995 to 2013
covering 124 journals found that research papers in the area of behavioral finance are
increasing making it a significant area of study With the dynamic development of
financial markets more and more researchers are using behavioral finance as their research
paradigm
12 Research Context
Capital markets play an important role in any countryrsquos economic health Respondents
of this study were the active traders in the equity market Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-
100) was founded in 1991 and is the largest and most liquid stock index of Pakistan As of
February 23rd 2018 the market capitalization of PSX-100 was US$ 84 billion with an
average daily trading volume of US$95 billion There were 559 listed companies from 35
sectors From a population of almost 208 million (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2017)
there were only approximately 0248 million investors (including institutional and retail)
who were actively participating in the stock market This was barely 125 percent of the
countryrsquos population Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual) of
the country Karachi has 74 percent investors Lahore has 18 percent and Islamabad has 8
percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Khwaja and Mian (2005) argued
that KSE-100 index depicts the typical attributes of an emerging market such as soaring
returns with extreme volatility low market capitalization but with large trading volumes
and high kurtosis in the returns distribution In 2002 for instance KSE-100 was announced
as the outperforming index in the world in terms of the percentage increase Consequently
the status of PSX was upgraded to Emerging Markets from Frontier Markets by Morgan
Samra Chaudary
10
Stanley Capital International (MSCI) in June 2016 According to the managing director of
IMF emerging economies contribute almost 60 percent of global GDP (Lagarde 2016)
This announcement anticipated more capital inflows from international markets indicating
brighter future prospects for PSX (Jabeen 2016) Figure 12 shows an overall upward trend
of yearly returns of PSX-100 since its inception
Kumar and Goyal (2015) proposed that future research in the discipline of behavioral
finance should concentrate on emerging stock markets as developing economies have
higher growth prospects It was also proposed that attention should be given to research
based on primary data to analyze the behavior of investors
Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception
Source wwwpsxcompk
13 Research Objectives and Questions
This study is built on the notion that behavioral factors have an influence on the
decision-making process of investors The key objective of this dissertation is to investigate
Introduction
11
the effect of behavioral factors namely personality type of investors salience (familiarity
bias) and investorsrsquo love of money on their investment decisions In this sense this study
essentially aims at testing the Prospect Theory in many ways in the context of a developing
economy
There is a dearth of literature on the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience
(familiarity bias) and love of money on short-term and long-term investment decisions
There are numerous studies on the aforementioned three behavioral factors and their impact
on decision-making from developed economies (Ahearne Griever amp Warnock 2004
Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale Inbar amp Lerner 2011
Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Gentina Tang amp Gu 2018 Hampson Grimes Banister amp
McGoldrick 2018 Hirshleifer 2001 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997
Mayfield Perdue amp Wooten 2008 Nicholson Soane Fenton‐OCreevy amp Willman
2005 Oehler Wendt Wedlich amp Horn 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell Bacon
Firth amp Corr 2018 Sekścińska Rudzinska-Wojciechowska amp Maison 2018 Tang 2016
1992 Tversky amp Kahneman 1986 1981 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell Singh amp
Paolillo 2007 Wang Keller amp Siegrist 2011 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber Blais amp
Betz 2002 Yalcin et al 2016) But research in the context of developing economies is
still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De Vries
et al 2017 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li Jiang An Shen amp Jin 2009 Li amp Liu 2008
Metawa Hassan Metawa amp Safa 2019 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira Augusto Falciano
amp Villas Boas Perito 2014 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Tripathi amp
Chattopadhyay 2013)
Samra Chaudary
12
To the best of our knowledge there is scant empirical evidence on the primary research
question of the study and none in the emerging economy In order to accomplish the
research objective a number of following research questions have been developed 1a) Do
five personality types have an effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions
1b) Does risk perception mediate the relationship between personality types and short-term
and long-term investment decisions 2a) Does salience (familiarity bias) have an impact
on short-term and long-term investment decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between individual investors and
professional investors 2c) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions differs between female investors and male investors 3a) What is the
relationship between Love of Money and short-term and long-term investment decisions
3b) Whether current income moderates the relationship of Love of Money and short-term
as well as long-term investment decisions 3c) Whether future inheritance moderates the
relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment decisions
It is crucially important to analyze investorsrsquo intentions (such as short-term vs long-
term) about investment and why they manage the investment in different ways If those
investment intentions are evident then researchers and financial advisors would be
interested to learn if those intentions are adaptable (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become
vital to recognize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is
likely to be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate
with these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Introduction
13
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions
The key findings of three papers are summarized in the following paragraph The
results of first paper are that investors only with neuroticism and extrovert personality traits
showed a significant positive relationship with ST-D However individuals with openness
conscientiousness and extraversion personalities showed a significant positive relationship
with LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of extraversion with LT-
D openness with LT-D agreeableness with LT-D and conscientiousness personality trait
with LT-D There was no mediating effect of risk perception between relationship of five
personality types and ST-D The findings of the second paper are that salience has a
significant positive impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and
professional investors were found significantly different from each other with respect to
impact of salience on decision making behavior both ST-D and LT-D Furthermore the
moderating effect of gender in relationship between salience and investment decision
showed that the path coefficients of female investors were significantly different from the
path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D It was found that female
investors suffered more from salience bias than male investors In the third paper it was
found that LoM had a significant positive impact on both ST-D and on L-TD Moreover
income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D but did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D Paper three also tested moderating effect of inheritance
expectation on relationship between LoM and investment decisions The expectation of
receiving future inheritance was found to moderate the relationship between LoM and ST-
D as well as the relationship of LoM with LT-D
Samra Chaudary
14
The significance of these studies enhances the understanding of irrationality in
investment decision making Behavioral biases are inseparable from individualsrsquo decision-
making and can reasonably be understood with the lens of behavioral finance (Barberis amp
Thaler 2003) The complexity of irrational decisions by investors creates new challenges
for portfolio managers whose job is to manage their clientrsquos wealth Therefore the
knowledge of behavioral factors is imperative for the financial institutions and financial
planners to ensure that their customers are obtaining appropriate guidance Such findings
can also help professionals in recognizing the behaviors of clients and accordingly advise
them for short-term and long-term financial goals (Baker Filbeck amp Ricciardi 2017) The
understanding of behavioral factors operative in investors decision-making is likely to aid
managers to communicate better with their clients (Muradoglu amp Harvey 2012)
Moreover understanding of an investorrsquos behavior is likely to assist managers in assessing
how optimistic overconfident and risk-averse their specific clients are (Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998)
This research has made contributions in multiple forms Firstly as discussed
above investigating this area of finance is itself a theoretical contribution because the
paradigm is still young and emerging and needs more evidence from developing economies
to have more generalizable knowledge about the behavioral factors influencing investment
decision-making Secondly many other studies have used student samples (from a finance
course) as proxy for potential investors in the field of behavioral finance (Filbeck Hattield
amp Horvarth 2005 Lemrova Reiterova Fatenova Lemr amp Tang 2014 Li amp Liu 2008
Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al 2018 Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) but this study
collected responses from actual real-life investors It was also proposed that attention
Introduction
15
should be given to empirical research which should be based on primary data to analyze
the behavior of investors (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) This study has made a methodological
contribution by using primary data collected from actual investors instead of student
sample Thirdly this study has aimed to bridge the empirical gap between behavioral
factors and investment decisions To the best of our knowledge there have been no
research studies about the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience and love of money
on short-term and long-term investment decisions This was correct both in the context of
developing andor developed economies hence provides contextual contribution Fourthly
this study has extended the general model of prospect theory the theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy And lastly given the importance of these theories in the field of
social behavior the findings of this study also deliver interdisciplinary contributions
The novel findings of this research provide significant and meaningful
contributions to the emerging behavioral finance paradigm and offer practical implications
for financial institutions professional money managers individual investors and
regulatory authorities This research offers practical implications for individual investors
themselves and for professional financial managers In light of this study individual
investors can enhance knowledge of their own preferences and professional managers can
gain better understandings of their clientsrsquo preferences Such enhanced understanding is
expected to facilitate investment decision-making in a more meaningful manner
Investment advisors help their clients in investing money They must understand what is
Samra Chaudary
16
important to their customers in order to guide them and fulfill their clientsrsquo needs
commendably It may also be useful for advisors to identify potential investors based on
personality type risk perception familiarity bias money attitudes current income and
future wealth possession to segment the client accordingly and to develop suitable
investment strategies based on such segmentations
This research also contributes to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market By such enhanced insights market inefficiencies and
anomalies are likely to be better understood Financial planners may find useful strategies
to exploit numerous behavioral anomalies present in the financial markets Financial
managers from brokerage houses mutual fund companies and other financial institutions
may deliver a superior product service and targeted guidance to their customers once they
understand their clientsrsquo behavior which can influence their investment decisions
Investors should be mindful that familiarity bias sometimes could lead to
undiversified and sub-optimal portfolio building Hence acknowledging the presence of
such bias can help avoid sub-optimal diversification To avoid pitfalls of familiarity bias
financial planners would be well advised to communicate to investors that they should have
a long-term diversification plan with the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return
in their investment portfolios (Baker amp Ricciardi 2015)
For an emerging market like Pakistan raising fresh equity capital from investors is
paramount in its importance to attain economic growth Successfully strategies of targeting
investors are likely to bring more money in the market boost investments in the economy
and strengthen investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually help the
Introduction
17
market to move towards efficiency To conclude this research offers a brand new and
novel perspective and adds to the behavioral finance literature by investigating personality
salience bias and LoM as antecedents of short-term and long-term investment decisions
The theoretical models reveal novel and counterintuitive findings and help us understand
not only the what how and why factors contributing to short-term and long-term
investment decisions but also who where and when
15 Organization of the Study
This dissertation is divided into five chapters The first chapter introduces the
discipline of behavioral finance and behavioral factors affecting investorsrsquo investment
decisions This chapter also presents research objectives research questions and
significance and contribution of this research in the context of developing economy
The second chapter examines the relationships between five personality types and
investment decisions It further explores the mediation of risk perception between each
type of personality and investment decisions The results indicate that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities show a significant relationship with ST-D
However all personality types except neuroticism and agreeableness show an effect on
long-term investment decision Moreover risk perception is found to mediate relationships
between the four personality types and LT-D only
The third chapter explores the pertinence of salience as a heuristic with respect to
investment decisions This relationship is further explored by examining the group
differences between individual investors and professional investors and between female
investors and male investors Data has been analyzed through partial least square based
structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach measurement invariance test and
Samra Chaudary
18
multi-group analysis Results indicate that salience has a significant positive effect on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions is significantly different for individual
investors and professional investors as well as for female investors and male investors
The fourth chapter explores the relationship of Love of Money (LoM) with short-
term and long-term investment decisions This relationship is further explored by
examining the moderating effect of current income and the expectation of receiving future
inheritance The study finds that LoM has a significant positive impact on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions Furthermore it is found that current income moderates
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and does not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D Future inheritance moderates the relationship between LoM and both short-
term and long-term investment decisions
The fifth chapter presents a conclusion by elucidating the major research findings
and underscoring theoretical and managerial implications of the results of the research
questions raised in this study Especially this section highlights the contributions to the
growing body of applied behavioral finance area It also emphasizes the contribution to the
literature on personality types heuristics and LoM This chapter also provides a way
forward by identifying limitations and offering future research directions in the field of
behavioral finance
Personality and Investment Decisions
19
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk
Perception on Investment Decisions
Abstract
Investigating behavioral psychological influences in the area of finance is relatively
a new phenomenon and the subject is of interest to economists psychologists professional
money managers and individual savers and investors This paper has taken a behavioral
approach to unveil the psychological predictors of long-term and short-term investment
decisions The paper has used the theory of planned behavior (TPB 1991) and Risk as
Feeling (RaF 2001) theory as a conceptual lens to discover the factors influencing
individualsrsquo investment intentions in the Pakistan Stock Exchange The study used partial
least square based structural equation modeling technique on a data gathered from 277
active equity traders that included professional money managers brokers and individual
traders It was found that individuals with relatively higher neuroticism and extraversion
personality traits were found more likely to do short-term investment decision However
investors with relatively higher openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality
traits were found more likely to do long-term investment decision Investorsrsquo risk
perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of extraversion openness
agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-term investment
decisions These findings have implications for psychologists economists and finance
executives as it was found that investorsrsquo personality traits influenced their investment
decisions It is recommended that financial managers should include the influence of these
behavioral aspects in their investment plans advice and decisions for their clients These
findings are expected to contribute to the growing body of knowledge in the area of applied
Samra Chaudary
20
behavioral research within the discipline of finance and these findings in the context of a
developing economy also make this study a first in this line of research stream
Keywords personality type risk perception investment decision behavioral finance
21 Introduction
Decision-making is a skill (Hastie amp Dawes 2010) and onersquos life is full of risky
decisions (Satchell et al 2018) ranging from an ordinary matter to matters of life or death
Individuals frequently face circumstances in which they have to decide between actions
whose outcomes are uncertain and that vary in level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) The
fact has long been established that all decisions made by business managers (about cash
flows) may not positively affect the performance of companies because managers may not
necessarily work towards shareholdersrsquo wealth maximization the so-called agency
problem (Jensen amp Meckling 1976) Business managers and financial managers are often
confronted with decision-making choices that are risky and based on the risk analysis they
make decisions by taking into account the identified risks levels (Epstein 1994)
Individuals financial (saving) decisions are influenced by construal Construal is described
as an individualrsquos cognitive illustrations of goals and is a way individuals use their minds
A high-level of construal mentality would lead to more willingness to save than a low-level
construal mentality (Rudzinska-Wojciechowska 2017)
Individuals invest in stocks to increase their capital and profits (Keller amp Siegrist
2006a) Another reason for investing in the stock market is the desire to save their earnings
for retirement (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004 Dreman et al 2001) Since investments in
stocks are risky therefore just like professional money managers individual investors also
have to incorporate risk in their decision-making
Personality and Investment Decisions
21
The development of financial markets has offered more varied opportunities to
invest in several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) Investors look for better
investment alternatives and financial institutions as professional money managers for
investors need to understand the preferences of investors for different financial
instruments and for different time horizons and for different risk perceptions Investment
in financial instruments entails commitment for different time horizons ie short-term
(ST-D) and long-term investment decisions (LT-D) Individualsrsquo attitudes towards either
of these two-time horizons for investments may vary and such variations may be a result
of investors different personality traits and different risk perceptions
According to Pennings et al (2003) financial institutions need information about
clientsrsquo preferences to develop a new financial product or to improve the existing ones
Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice process of
client is crucial for financial institutions and professional money managers Dierkes et al
(2010) analyzed the attractiveness of different investment strategies for different time
horizons They found that the preference of the investment strategy was significantly
determined by the length of the investment horizon A bond strategy was desired for the
short horizon while stocks were preferred for longer horizons
Lakshmi Visalakshmi Thamaraiselvan and Senthilarasu (2013) suggested that
with long-term investment horizon investors are not likely to make frequent withdrawals
and consequently market volatility would tend to decrease if the majority of investors had
long-term investment horizon Investors are likely according to this view to earn extra
profits when they hold their funds in the same instrument for a longer time In this era of
retirement savings employees face challenges to understand how much to save
Samra Chaudary
22
periodically and where to invest such savings for long-term post-retirement benefits
(McKenzie amp Liersch 2011)
The importance to analyze individualsrsquo intentions about investment goals and why
they manage the investment in different ways cannot be over-emphasized If those
investment intents are evident then researchers and financial advisors would find it easier
to adapt their advice accordingly to their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become vital
to realize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is likely to
be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate more
appropriately to these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Studies on individualsrsquo investment intentions were mostly based on the
assumptions of modern finance theory that operate within the paradigm of rationality
(Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952 Modigliani amp Miller 1958) The conventional
theory proposes that investors are rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain
level of risk and have a clear understanding of their risk preferences
Fama (1998) is a strong supporter of an efficient market and his answer is a solid
lsquonorsquo for market inefficiency because he believes that the presence of observed long-term
return anomalies is sensitive to statistical models which used to discover such anomalies
otherwise investors behave rationally Fama (1998) seems to propose that anomalies have
a tendency to show minimal or no effect when exposed to different statistical approaches
to measure expected (normal) returns This line of argument can conclude that most long-
term return anomalies can realistically be recognized as a chance event and therefore in
the long run investors behavior may be viewed as rational
Personality and Investment Decisions
23
Another viewpoint emphasizes the fact that in reality individualsrsquo decision-
making process is significantly shaped by psychological factors such as personality types
emotions and moods (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman
2012 Shleifer amp Summers 1990 Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007) and therefore their decision-
making process cannot be assumed to follow strict rationality presumed in conventional
theories of economics and finance An individualrsquos position between the two extremes of
a continuum ranging from risk aversion to risk-seeking was thought as a function of hisher
personality traits (MacCrimmon amp Wehrung 1990)
There are numerous studies on behavioral factors and decision-making from
developed economies (Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale et al 2011 Mayfield et al
2008 Nicholson et al 2005 Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell et al
2018 Sekścińska et al 2018 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber et al 2002) but only
handful studies from the developing economies (Ahmad Hassan Mahmood amp Aslam
2016 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li amp Liu 2008 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra
2016 Tripathi amp Chattopadhyay 2013 Verma 2008)
To the best of our knowledge there are no studies that have examined the impact
of Big-Five personality traits on short and long-term investment decisions with the
mediation of risk perception in both developed and developing economies (see appendix
I) Previous studies have only considered a few personality types (Mayfield et al 2008
Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) and tested the mediation of risk perception
in relationship between information asymmetry and investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra
2016) and between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq Maqbool Akram Tariq
amp Khurshid 2017) This study however aims to cater to the absence of empirical studies
Samra Chaudary
24
in the discipline by modeling the missing link of risk perception as a mediator between
relationships of all Big-Five personality types and investment decisions
This study provides a significant and meaningful theoretical contribution to the
prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm The study has tried to provide the
desired evidence from the developing economy by using a unique data set of professional
money managers and individual investors who have invested in the Pakistan Stock
Exchange It has investigated if the personality traits of these investors have a significant
effect on decision- making and if risk perception mediates the relationship between the
personality trait and horizon of their investment decision
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development
Traditional (standard) financial theories have been disparaged for the lack of their
explanatory power and their grounded assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et
al (2016) criticized the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first
proposition supposes that humans behave rationally during the decision-making process as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and
therefore finance theory incline towards endorsing the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979)
The idea of bounded rationality was introduced by Simon (1955) and gave birth to the
discipline of behavioral finance as various studies found empirical evidence against the
assumption of rationality in decision-making process (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Shleifer amp Summers 1990) Research in this
Personality and Investment Decisions
25
area aced when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and received
more appreciation after Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002
Prospect theory purports that when individuals are offered a gamble containing two or
more outcome lotteries with some probability they make their decisions on the basis of the
potential psychological value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the one with the highest value
This value function is defined based on psychological gains and losses rather than on
levels of wealth The function is concave in the area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a
convex function in the area of loss and risk-takers Moreover the gradient of the value
function is steeper in the area of loss than in the area of gain which infers that investors
are generally risk-averse
A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors get more distressed by losses than they
are delighted by equal amount of gains The loss of $1 dollar is twice as unpleasant as the
happiness received from a $1 gain (Singh 2010) This happens due to the effect of
cognitive biases that operate on investorsrsquo judgment about expected psychological value
of these gains and losses Many studies have tested prospect theory in the domain of
influence of behavioral factors (so-called irrational biases) on decision-making (Ishfaq et
al 2017 Odean 1998)
Samra Chaudary
26
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991)
Ajzen and Fishbein (1980) asserted that behavioral intentions are cognitive in nature
and act as a representation of an individualrsquos eagerness to involve in a particular behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB) Individualsrsquo behavior is predicted by
onersquos behavioral intention Behavioral intentions are then determined by favorable attitude
subjective norms and perceived behavioral control These intentions along with
perceptions of behavioral control explain significant variance in real behavior (Ajzen
1991)
Thus the core idea of the theory implies that planned behavioral was driven by
behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) The theory of planned behavior predicts human
behavior which can include conflicts between short-term and long-term goals affect
cognition and consequences in several fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Raut Das and Kumar
(2018) suggested that TPB predicts individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest in the
stock market They also revealed that attitude toward behavior subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control are significantly related to behavioral intentions According
to Michaelidou and Hassan (2014) the research work on gain versus loss framing by
Tversky and Kahneman (1981) has been well studied Therein lies a starting point that may
assist in apprehending the process of the theory of planned behavior in several decision-
making situations and contexts
Many researches have utilized TPB in the domain of behavioral studies with investment
decision-making (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008) with financial decision-making
(Koropp Kellermanns Grichnik amp Stanley 2014) and with entrepreneurial (business
start-up) decision-making (Kautonen 2015)
Personality and Investment Decisions
27
East (1993) investigated the willingness to apply for new issue of shares TPB was
applied to personal investment choices and found support for TPB as a way of identifying
that beliefs are associated with investment choice behavior He reported that investment
decisions are just like consumer decisions and investors do not decide only based on
financial criteria Moreover Koropp et al (2014) investigated financing decisions and TBP
was applied to capital structure decisions of German family firms They also supported
TPB as family attitudes toward debt and equity affected behavioral intention to use the
respective financing decisions which in turn affected financing behavior
Similarly Kautonen (2015) too supported the relevance of TPB in the context of
business start-up intentions He instigated whether intentions were linked to business start-
up activities such as arranging finances approaching financial institutions for funds
financial projections and many other activities related to business start-up Mayfield et al
(2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and also supported TBP
that long-term and short-term investment intentions were predicted by personality types
This research however uses Big-Five personality types and extends the applicability of
the well-established TPB in the area of decision-making of the investment horizon
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001)
A few behavioral models overtly sketch that the behavioral actions are the consequence
of ambivalence due to the availability of conflicting information but Risk as feelings (RaF)
hypothesis (Loewenstein Weber Hsee amp Welch 2001) is an exception The RaF
(Loewenstein et al 2001) theory explains a range of behaviors that exhibit deviation
between cognitiverational evaluations and feelings
Samra Chaudary
28
The theory proposed that when there is a risky situation behavior tends to be driven
by emotional reactions or feelings encountered at the time of decision-making rather than
cognitiverational assessments of the situation The RaF theory predicts action selection in
psychological risk-return models (Weber amp Johnson 2008) They found that affective
(non-rational) responses to risky situations had shown a significant role in risk perception
of risky choices
Hsee and Weber (1997) proposed that when individuals made a risky decision their
choice was influenced by their subjective feelings towards risk Moreover Loewenstein
and Lerner (2003) also found that individuals make a decision on the basis of the affect
(feeling) which they encountered at the time of the decision
Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009) tested planned and feeling based behavior models
with TPB and RaF theories in their study They argued that TPB and RaF have some shared
variables which are subjective probability anticipated outcome and behavior Both of
these models assume that estimations of a particular behavior will be guided by anticipated
outcomes in combination with subjective probabilities
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies
Aristotle (384-324 BC) struggled to provide a guide for human ldquocharactersrdquo Ever
since others have also attempted to map similar human attributes The 20th century
provided the procedure of sampling human attributes (ie formulation of Lexical
Hypothesis)
The Lexical Hypothesis postulates that most of the socially relevant and prominent
personality characteristics are encrypted in the natural language (Allport 1937) Hence
the personality terminology which was encoded in the dictionaries of a natural language
Personality and Investment Decisions
29
delivers a broad yet limited set of features that individuals speaking that language have
found essential and convenient in their everyday communications (Goldberg 1981) The
lexical hypothesis provided the theoretical foundation for the Five-Factor personality
model (Allport amp Odbert 1936)
The lexical hypothesis led to factor analyses of a wide array of personality
attributes resulting in the development of the Five-Factor model This hypothesis also
suggested that it should be possible to analyze the most significant attributes that have
similar meanings to describe a personality (Saucier amp Goldberg 1996)
Numerous instruments were developed to measure personality traits and this
activity of instrument development has accelerated tremendously overtime (Goldberg
1971) According to John and Srivastava (1999) researchers are confronted with a wide
range of personality scales with pintsize guidance and with no adequate reasoning Scales
with similar titles often measured different concepts and scales with different titles
frequently measured somewhat similar concepts
Therefore a taxonomy of traits was desired which would allow researchers to
investigate specific domain of personality attributes instead of inspecting thousands of
characteristics individually which makes each individual distinct Moreover an
established taxonomy would enable researchers to communicate their research outcomes
in a uniform vocabulary Table 21 provides a summary of broad sets of competing
personality measures that were proposed over last 40 years
Samra Chaudary
30
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies
Study Factors Personalities
Tupesamp
Christal
(1961)
Five Surgency (Sociability amp Ambition) Agreeableness Dependability
Emotional Stability and Culture
Norman
(1963) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional
Stability and Culture
Cattell et al (1970) Sixteen
Warmth Reasoning Emotional Stability Dominance Liveliness Rule-
Consciousness Social Boldness Sensitivity Vigilance Abstractedness
Privateness Apprehension Openness to Change Self-Reliance
Perfectionism and Tension
Myersamp
McCaulley
(1985)
Four
Extraversion vs Introversion Thinking vs Feeling Judging vs Perceiving
and Intuition vs Sensation
Hogan
(1982) Six
Ascendancy Sociability Agreeableness Dependability Emotional Stability
and Intellectance
CostaampMcCrae
(1985) Five
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Kampamp Hough
(1986) Seven
Potency Adjustment Agreeableness Dependability Intellectance
affiliation and Miscellaneous
Hogan
(1986) Six
Sociability Ambition (Potency amp Achievement) Prudence Likeability
Adjustment and Intellectance
Digmanamp Inouye
(1986) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Will to Achieve Agreeableness Anxiety and
Openness
Kampamp Gough
(1986) Five
Ascendency Self -Control Adjustment (Agreeableness amp Anxiety)
Intellection and Masculinity
Goldberg
(1990) Five
Surgency Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional Stability and
Intellect
Hough et al
(1990) Nine
Affiliation Potency Achievement (Dependability Conscientiousness ampWill
to achieve) Dependability Adjustment Agreeableness Intellectance
Ruggedness individualism and Locus of Control
Costaamp
McCrae
(1992)
Five
(Revised
NEO
personality
inventory)
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Cattell
(1996) Five Extraversion Independence Anxiety Self-Control and Tough-mindedness
In addition to multi-factor models of personality types as shown in table 1 a number
of studies have also tried to develop tools for the assessment of a personality eg California
Personality Inventory by Gough (1987) Eysenck Personality Inventory by Eysenck and
Eysenck (1975) Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey by Guilford (1949) and
Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator by Mayer and McCaulley (1985) All of these
instruments are believed to be encompassed in the Five-Factor Model (Briggs 1992 Costa
Personality and Investment Decisions
31
Busch amp Zonderman 1986 Johnson Butcher Null amp Johnson 1984 Noller Law amp
Comrey 1987) Moreover the Five-Factor Model developed by Costa and McCrae (1992)
was comparable with Five-Factor model proposed by Goldberg (1990) and Cattell (1996)
as shown in table 22
After many decades researchers have developed a consensus on the Big-Five
personality model as an acceptable taxonomy for labeling the basic dimensions of a
personality Therefore many studies based on meta-analyses of personalities have
converged on using Five-Factor personality model because it describes the most salient
aspects of personality (Barrick amp Mount 1991 Judge Heller amp Mount 2002 Oshio
Taku Hirano amp Saeed 2018 Salgado 1997 Trapmann Hell Hirn amp Schuler 2007)
The Five-Factor Model continues to be the most studied model of personality model based
on the lexical hypothesis (Poropat 2009)
The advantage of using the Five-Factor Model is that it includes most of the
variance in a set of five-factors of personality thus solving the puzzle of the earlier ldquochaotic
plethorardquo of personality measures (Funder 2001 John amp Srivastava 1999) The Five-
Factor model provides a comprehensive and parsimonious theoretical framework (Costa amp
McCrae 1992)
Moreover another important feature of the Five-Factor Model was that it uses
natural language which was not biased to prefer any existing scientific conception (John amp
Srivastava 1999) Hence this research has adopted the most recent and updated Five-
Factor Model by Costa and McCrae (1992) for personality measures as shown in table 23
Samra Chaudary
32
Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models
Cattell (1996) Costa amp McCrae (1992) Goldberg (1990)
ExtraversionIntroversion Extraversion Surgency
Low AnxietyHigh Anxiety Neuroticism Emotional stability
Tough-MindednessReceptivity Openness Intellect or culture
IndependenceAccommodation Agreeableness Agreeableness
Self-ControlLack of Restraint Conscientiousness Conscientiousness or
dependability
Source (Cattell amp Mead 2008)
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions
Satchell et al (2018) found that different personalities have varied risk-taking
behaviors Individuals who exhibit more prosocial traits (more extravert) are risk-takers as
compared to those who exhibit antisocial traits (less extravert) Hershey and Mowen (2000)
in one of the initial studies on personality and decision-making found that personality
constructs were significant predictors of pre-retirement financial decisions Filbeck et al
(2005) studied the relationship between risk tolerance and personality types on a sample of
college students They found that respondents with higher score on thinking (objective
decision-making) judging (organization and order) and sensing (concrete and practical)
traits showed relatively higher risk tolerance in their investment decisions They also
reported that extraversion trait showed no effect on risk tolerance However Mayfield et
al (2008) later on conducted research on undergraduate students registered in an
investment course They mainly focused on the effect of two personality traits on both ST-
D and LT-D Results showed that extravert and conscientiousness investors tended to
involve in short-term investments however individuals with neuroticism andor risk
aversion trait avoided to engage in short-term investments Risk-averse investors also did
not take part in long-term investing Investors with the openness trait showed long-term
investing behavior On the other hand openness did not determine short-term investing
Personality and Investment Decisions
33
behavior A negative correlation was reported between openness trait and risk aversion
Moreover extraversion was reported negatively but insignificantly associated with
investment-specific risk aversion For personality measurement the study adopted a
revised NEO personality inventory (NEO-PIR) scale by Costa and McCrae (1992) and
NEO five-factor inventory (NEO FFI) by Salgado (1997) The Big-Five personality
classification was predominantly recognized in applied research (Barrick amp Mount 1991
Hogan amp Hogan 1991) Table 23 explains the traits of five types of personalities
Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits
Personality Trait Description
Neuroticism (N) High scores show insecure self-conscious vulnerability anxious depressed tenseness
and moodiness
Extraversion (E) High scores show gregarious assertiveness sociability talkativeness optimism positive
emotion being upbeat and energetic
Openness (O) High scores show creativity active imagination trust a preference for variety curios and
cultural interest
Agreeableness (A) High scores show altruism warmth sympathetic helpful modest compliance tender
mindedness and cooperation
Conscientiousness (C) High scores show hard-working organized purposefulness self-discipline
achievement striving determination reliability and punctuality
Source (Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997)
The meta-analysis studies on Big-Five personality types found that extraversion
and conscientiousness had an influence on concrete problem solving and cognitive
structuring as coping strategies (Connor- Smith amp Falchsbart 2007) An entrepreneurial
(risky) behavior was determined by the traits of conscientiousness and openness to
experience (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) Verma (2008) in an Indian sample found that
personality and demographics have shown an association with the investment choice
However the study poorly measured personality traits on a five-point likert scale from
conservative to aggressive and chose to report the results with basic and simple statistical
techniques Many studies have investigated investment decisions in the form of investment
Samra Chaudary
34
horizon ie long-term vs short-term (Dierkes et al 2010 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Wood amp
Zaichkowsky 2004)
Oehler et al (2018) examined the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on
investment decisions in an experimental financial market The authors found that more
extravert persons paid a high price for their assets purchases and they bought more financial
securities when securities were overpriced as compared to less extravert persons The
influence of the extravert trait was found to be insignificant when it comes to holding an
asset However more neurotic individuals keep less volatile financial securities in their
portfolios than less neurotic individuals Similarly Oehler and Wedlich (2018) also
investigated the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on risk-taking behavior in
investment decisions The authors identified that more extravert subjects were less risk-
averse and more neurotic subjects were more risk-averse This research had again focused
only on two personality traits and used a student sample Both of the above-mentioned
studies ignored the remaining three personality traits ie openness agreeableness and
conscientiousness
Moreover the above-cited research findings were based on samples of
undergraduate students of a German university which means their findings were not
coming from a sample of practitioners working in the financial industry This research
however investigates relationships of all Big-Five personality traits with investment
decisions The study also investigates the relationships from a sample of individuals
working in the financial industry of a developing economy by using a sample of practicing
investors The following hypotheses are tested about the behavioral intentions of stock
investors
Personality and Investment Decisions
35
H1a The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H1b The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the less likely will be their intentions
to engage in long-term investing
H2a The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H2b The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-term
investing
H3a The greater the level of individuals openness the less likely will be their intentions to
engage in short-term investing
H3b The greater the level of openness the more likely will be their intentions to engage in
long-term investing
H4a The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H4b The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in long-term investing
H5a The more conscientious individuals would show weaker intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H5b The more conscientious individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-
term investing
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions
Perception is described as the psychological interpretation of physical sensations
shaped by stimuli from the external environment (Fischhoff 1994) Therefore the way
Samra Chaudary
36
individuals subjectively perceive risk of an investment is likely to influence their actions
(Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Zeisberger (2018) using an experimental design found that the
ldquoprobability of losingrdquo was the key variable that their subjects perceived as ldquoriskrdquo Lim et
al (2013) defined risk perception as an assumption or evaluation of risk related to a specific
behavior Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed a theory termed ldquorisk as feelingrdquo hypothesis
and highlighted that behaviors are driven by feelings An affect must mediate at least to
some extent the relationships of cognitive evaluations
Risk perceptions are likely to vary across individuals and contexts For instance
many individuals assume that the risk in driving a car is more dangerous than the risk in
sports and show relatively less intention to take risks of driving a car (Dohmen et al
2011) Huber Palan and Zeisberger (2017) through an experiment found that active asset
trading and asset prices are strongly driven by average risk perception Numerous studies
have inspected how investorsrsquo perceptions affect hypothetical investment decisions or self-
reported investment intentions (Bateman et al 2010 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Nosic amp
Weber 2010 Weber Weber amp Nosic 2013 Weber amp Milliman 1997)
Hoffman Post and Pennings (2015) used a sample of Dutch investors and studied
the association between perceptions and behavior in an actual decision setting They found
that change in investor perceptions was a significant determinant of real trading and risk-
taking behavior They also found that stock traders who perceived higher risk tended to
trade more frequently had higher volume had lower buy-sell ratios (lower buy-sell ratios
demonstrate a low exposure to the financial market) and held riskier portfolios It means
stock traders with higher levels of risk perception lowered their exposure to the stock
market Lim et al (2013) reported that risk perceptions about investing in the capital market
Personality and Investment Decisions
37
were found likely to have a negative impact on investorsrsquo willingness to invest in the
financial market
Duxbury Hudson Keasey amp Summers (2005) in their study asked subjects to
distribute money among risk-free assets risky shares and bonds and studied how this
allocation varied if they were investing for someone who was lessmore willing to take risk
than themselves The study was repeated on different ranges of age and wealth They then
investigated how subjectsrsquo perceptions of investment patterns were different from their
actual investment behavior Subjects believed that the ratio of bonds to shares should differ
with risk attitude with a higher ratio of stocks held by those participants who were willing
to take more risks Despite having such beliefs subjectsrsquo actual investment behaviors
showed the amount of shares and bonds held did not change with their risk attitude In other
words participantsrsquo beliefs did not match the recommendations of standard portfolio
theory but their actual investment behavior matched the theoretical expectations of the
portfolio theory Weber et al (2002) investigated the individualrsquos risk perception and risk
behavior in five domains (financial risk-taking healthsafety risk-taking ethical risk-
taking recreational risk-taking and social risk-taking) They reported divergences in risk
perception of participants accounted for observed variations in their risk behavior
Financial risk-taking behavior and risk perception were found negatively correlated They
found perceived higher risks decreased the chances of the risk-taking behavior most for
financial risks and least for health or safety risks The effect of perceived risk on the risk-
taking behavior was negative but statistically insignificant Brandstatter (2011) in a study
of meta-analysis reported the results of the relationship between risk propensity and the
Big-Five dimensions of personality Risk propensity was assessed by asking individuals
Samra Chaudary
38
how frequent they have exhibited risky behavior in six domains (recreation health career
finance safety and social risk-taking) leading to a risk measure He reported a positive
beta-estimates for extraversion and openness and negative beta-estimates for neuroticism
agreeableness and conscientiousness
Lim et al (2013) found in a sample of Singaporean investors a significant negative
relationship between risk perception and risky investment decisions They reported that the
sample for this research was collected right after the global financial crisis and that could
have an influence on investorsrsquo risk perception They suggested collecting similar data
again during a time of financial stability Many scholars have agreed about the presence of
an association between perceived risk and decision-making (Krueger amp Dickson 1994
Sutcliffe 1994) A small number of researches have tested the mediating role of risk
perception For example risk perception was reported to be mediating the relationship
between information asymmetry and risky investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) and
between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq et al 2017) Wang Shi and Fan
(2006) also reported that risk perception mediated the relationship between various types
of information and investment performance They also stated risk perception led to higher
investment performance Weber et al (2002) found that personality variables (eg
sensation seeking tolerance for ambiguity and gender) had an influence on risk perception
Person-centered characteristics (age gender and culture) together with personality traits
were reported to impact risk-taking These variables were reported to affect risk-taking
often by altering onersquos perception of risk and perception of benefits of alternative decision-
making rather than by affecting their desire to take more or less risk Hence the risk
perception of an individual is responsible for onersquos actual behavior or decision-making It
Personality and Investment Decisions
39
is expected that risk perception would mediate the relationships between personality types
and LT-D Figure 21 and 22 illustrates the structural model about relationships of five
personality types with ST-D and LT-D with mediation by risk perception
H6a Risk perception mediates the relationship between Neuroticism and short-term
investment decisions
H6b Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and short-term
investment decisions
H6c Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and short-term investment
decisions
H6d Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness and short-term
investment decisions
H6e Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and short-term
investment decisions
H6f Risk perception mediates the relationship between neuroticism and long-term
investment decisions
H6g Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and long-term
investment decisions
H6h Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and long-term investment
decisions
H6i Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness types and long-term
investment decisions
H6j Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and long-term
investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
40
Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
S-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1a
H2a
H3a
H4a
H5a
H6a
H6b
H6c
H6d
H6e
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
L-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1b
H2b
H3b
H4b
H5b
H6f
H6g
H6h
H6i
H6j
Personality and Investment Decisions
41
23 Data and Methodology
231 Measures
The study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decisions were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) Big-Five
personality scale was adopted from Costa and McCrae (1992) to measure five types of
personality traits on a five-point likert scale Items for risk perception were adopted from
Weber et al (2002) To measure risk perception (RP) respondents were asked to indicate
their gut-level assessment of how risky each situation was on a five-point unipolar rating
scale The complete questionnaire is attached in appendix VI
232 Methods
2321 Sample and Data Collection
This study has adopted a positivist research philosophy with a deductive research
approach as mentioned in Saunders Lewis and Thornhill (2007) research onion The
positivist philosophy reflects the natural scientistsrsquo philosophical approach Researcher
prefers to deal with a social reality that is measurable and the findings of such study are
presumed to be generalizable similar to law produced by natural scientists (Remenyi
Williams Money amp Swartz 1998) The deductive approach could therefore be
considered particularly suitable for the positivist approach Hence this study uses existing
theory to form hypotheses that were empirically tested leading to theoretical advancement
which can then be tested by future researchers (Saunders et al 2007)
Primary data were collected through a snowball sampling technique for this study
The respondents for this survey were investors in the local stock market Therefore the
Samra Chaudary
42
sample consisted of portfolio managers working in the financial industry (eg mutual fund
companies asset management companies brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks) and individual investors who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)
previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Individual stock investors were from
different backgrounds as the purpose of the research was to analyze the behavior of stock
investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with an institution The
data were collected through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two major
metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi Out of total investorsrsquo population
(corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent investors and
Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence the data
were collected from the investment hubs of the country where 92 percent stock investors
in listed traded companies were located A total of 800 questionnaires were sent out to
collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were returned and only 277 were
found useable for this study thus response rate was almost 35 percent
The sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females as the investment
industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated The sample consisted of 59 percent of
money managers and 41 percent individual investors Eighty-seven percent of respondents
were employed 12 percent were business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not
employed Furthermore 60 percent respondents were married 37 percent were single and
3 percent were either separated or divorced
Fifty-eight percent of respondents perceived that they were from the middle social
class 36 percent perceived themselves in upper-middle-class 3 percent perceived
themselves to belong to the upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower
Personality and Investment Decisions
43
middle class Only 33 percent of the respondents had an expectation to receive inheritance
or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future
inheritance Eighty-six percent respondents had responded their upbringing was in the
urban areas and 14 percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas
The average age of respondents was 32 years and the average monthly income was
Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million The average formal years of education were 16 years The
average amount invested by the investors in stocks was PKR 10 million and the average
investment experience in the stock market was 4 years
2322 Data Analyses
Blanthorne Jones-Farmer and Almer (2015) proposed guidelines on the key
elements of structural equation modeling in behavioral accounting research Most
textbooks on this matter propose a sample of between two hundred and fifty and five
hundred (Kline 2005 Loehlin 2004 Schumacker amp Lomax 1996) Blanthorne et al
(2015) have argued that large sample size requirement leaves researchers of this discipline
in a difficult situation of requiring permission and support from more subjectsrespondents
who are mostly professionals They also claimed that five of the thirteen potential SEM
studies published in Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research had less than hundred
participants and only four articles contained more than two hundred and fifty participants
A sample of greater than 200 was considered sufficient for the use of structural equation
modeling (SEM) (Iacobucci 2010 Kline 2015)
This paper has made use of partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to a number of reasons Firstly PLS-SEM does not require data to be normally
Samra Chaudary
44
distributed (Hair Sarstedt Ringle amp Mena 2012) and shows higher statistical power than
CB-SEM for complex models with small sample sizes (Reinartz et al 2009) Moreover
the data had an adequate sample size (Kline 2015) with no missing values Collinearity
was also tested and was found acceptable Secondly this approach focuses on predictive
analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation was to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt
2014) Thirdly it has a minimum demand for sample size and residual distribution (Wold
1985) Fourthly to compute the statistical significance of the parameter estimates PLS-
SEM method reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair Ringle amp Sarstedt
2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling method provides robust results by
taking subsamples from the original sample of observations and estimates the model
parameters of each subsample and then report the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Henseler Ringle amp Sinkovics 2009) Lastly PLS approach can be utilized for theory
validation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not exist (Chin 1998)
PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory development
(Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
PLS-SEM approach is as worthy (and conservative) as CB-SEM method (Hair et
al 2014) While PLS-SEM has some shortcomings eg results tend to inflate the factor
loadings and underestimate structural relationship and coefficient of determination
Similarly CB-SEM also has some weaknesses for instance results tend to overestimate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander Satornino
Hughes and Ferris (2015) have recommended that PLS-SEM is a more conservative
Personality and Investment Decisions
45
approach than CB-SEM Table 24 depicts the correlations descriptive statistics and
square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision risk perception and four personality types which were
neuroticism extraversion openness and conscientiousness The Pearsonrsquos correlation
value was found to be 0551 (p=0000) between short-term investment decision and long-
term investment decision 0213 (p=0000) with risk perception 0206 (p=000) with
neuroticism 0458 (p=0000) with extraversion 0385 (p=0000) with openness and 0253
(p=0000) with conscientiousness
Similarly long-term investment decision also showed a positive correlation with
risk perception and four personality types The Pearsonrsquos correlation value was found to
be 0308 (p=0000) between long-term investment decision and risk perception 0140
(p=0019) with neuroticism 0581 (p=0000) with extraversion 0539 (p=0000) with
openness and 0415 (p=0000) with conscientiousness
The agreeableness personality type showed a significant negative correlation with
all other variables The highest correlation was found between extraversion and openness
personality traits with Pearsonrsquos correlation of 0635 (p=0000) and the lowest correlation
was found between extraversion and neuroticism with an insignificant negative Pearsonrsquos
correlation of -0020 (p=0736)
Samra Chaudary
46
Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Note SD=Standard Deviation ST-D=Short-term Investment Decision LT-D=Long-term Investment Decision
N=Neuroticism E=Extraversion O=Openness A=Agreeableness C=Conscientiousness and RP=Risk Perception
Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
24 Results
241 Measurement Model
Table 25 reports the result of the measurement model Factor loadings for each
item were 06 or above except one item of Conscientiousness which had a loading of 04
but Anderson and Gerbing (1988) Wille (1996) and Velicer amp Fava (1998) lend support
to using loadings lower than 06 Bootstrapping was done on a subsample of 5000
subsamples to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) All the
factor loadings were statistically significant as t-statistics for each factor loading were
above 196 (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) For each latent factor a minimum
of three items significantly loaded on each factor in a multidimensional scale as
recommended by Velicer amp Fava (1998) and Raubenheimer (2004) and all factors were
reflective The estimates of standardized factor loadings ranged from 0600 to 0764
(tgt196) for short-term investment decision 0659-0750 (tgt196) for long-term investment
decision 0656-0864 (tgt196) for neuroticism 0788-0859 (tgt196) for extraversion
0642-0804 (tgt196) for openness 0722-0783 (tgt196) for agreeableness 0406-0855
(tgt196) for conscientiousness and 0729-0888 (tgt196) for risk perception
Factors Mean SD ST-D LT-D N E O A C RP
ST-D 3075 0763 (0681)
LT-D 3279 0810 0551 (0702)
N 2524 0895 0206 0140 (0785)
E 3444 0929 0458 0581 -0020 (0878)
O 3298 0783 0385 0539 0099 0635 (0739)
A 2984 0880 -0229 -0273 -0358 -0199 -0189 (0760)
C 3228 0751 0253 0415 0074 0427 0432 -0345 (0707)
RP 2261 0921 0213 0308 0094 0220 0193 -0238 0169 (0812)
Personality and Investment Decisions
47
Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher for each latent construct (Hair et al 2012)
The values for AVE were 0466 for short-term investment decision 0493 for long-term
investment decision 0617 for neuroticism 07771 for extraversion 0546 for openness
0579 for agreeableness 0500 for conscientiousness and 0660 for risk perception
Internal consistency of latent constructs was computed through composite
reliability (CR) which was higher than 07 for all latent constructs as suggested by Hair et
al (2012) The values of composite reliability were 077 for short-term investment
decision 0829 for long-term investment decision 0889 for neuroticism 0881 for
extraversion 0827 for openness 0804 for agreeableness 0733 for conscientiousness and
0852 for risk perception Please see table 26
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was computed through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2015) Fornell-Larcker criteria were
met as the square root of AVE of each latent construct was greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT ratio
criteria for discriminant validity was met as the ratio was less than one for each latent
construct as reported in table 27 Common method bias and collinearity among exogenous
latent constructs were checked through the variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor
level The test was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term
investment decision and once with long-term investment decision We found no common
method bias in both the tests as the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) values of all the factors
were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
Samra Chaudary
48
Table 25 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment money into
the stock market
0600 8579
I intend to engage in portfolio management activities at
least twice per week
0764 17620
I intend to perform my own investment research instead
of using outside advice
0685 14911
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to that of
professional managers
0665 11816
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings for
investingsavingretirement purposes
0750 23657
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple asset
classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate etc)
0716 17223
I intend to take an investment course 0723 22937
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum gross
return rather than tax and cost efficiency
0663 14376
I intend to invest some money in long-term assets where
my money will be tied up and inaccessible for years
0659 13952
Neuroticism (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often feel inferior to others 0656 8712
When I am under a great deal of stress sometimes I feel
like I am going to pieces
0864 26438
I often feel tense and jittery 0844 20541
Sometimes I feel completely worthless 0776 11760
Too often when things go wrong I get discouraged and
feel like giving up
0770 13300
Extraversion (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I really enjoy talking to people 0859 48079
I am a cheerful high-spirited person 0876 53353
I am a very active person 0788 22761
Openness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I am intrigued by the patterns I find in art and nature 0765 22515
I often try new and foreign foods 0642 11363
I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 0804 30217
I often enjoy playing with theories or abstract ideas 0734 19581
Agreeableness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often get into arguments with my family and co-
workers
0722 10789
Some people think I am selfish and egotistical 0775 15435
Some people think of me as cold and calculating 0783 13761
Conscientious
ness
(Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I keep my belongings neat and clean 0784 14094
I am pretty good about pacing myself so as to get things
done on time
0855 22739
I waste a lot of time before settling down to work 0406 3623
Risk
Perception
(Weber et
al 2002)
Investing 10 of your annual income in a moderate
growth mutual fund
0812 20781
Investing 5 of your annual income in a very speculative
stock
0888 31293
Investing 5 of your annual income in a conservative
stock
0729 12008
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
reverse coded items
Personality and Investment Decisions
49
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0775 0466
Long-term Investment Decision 0829 0493
Neuroticism 0889 0617
Extraversion 0881 0711
Openness 0827 0546
Agreeableness 0804 0579
Conscientiousness 0733 0500
Risk Perception 0852 0660
Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors A C E LT-D
N O RP
ST-D
A
C 0634
E 0281 0706
LT-D 04 0711 0752
N 049 0352 0093 0214
O 0282 0747 0837 074 0133
RP 0343 0281 0267 0401 0127 0253
ST-D 0392 0485 065 0809 0283 0573 0303
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness C= Conscientiousness and RP= Risk Perception
242 Structural Model
The following section presents the findings of the direct effects of Big-Five
personality traits on short-term investment decisions and long-term investment decisions
It also presents the mediating effect of risk perception between personality type and both
types of investment decisions The standardized parameter estimates (path coefficients) of
structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was computed using a bootstrap approach with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et
al 2009) The effect size was reported for each direct effect through f- square test (Cohen
1988) The f2 values of 002 015 and 035 represent a small medium and large effect
Samra Chaudary
50
size of the independent variable (Henseler et al 2009) Moreover the coefficient of
determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous) variables were not below
010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) The predictive relevance of the model was computed by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
Lewis amp Thompson 2012) A value of 08 or higher was recommended sufficient in
behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 28 summarizes the results of direct effects (without mediator) The
hypothesized relationships between personality trait of neuroticism was found to be
positive and highly significant with ST-D (H1a) (β= 0200 p= 0002 f2= 0062) and was
found insignificantly positive with low effect size (H1b) (β= 0079 p= 0159 f2= 0017)
with LT-D Similarly positive and significant relationships between extraversion
personality and ST-D (H2a) and LT-D (H2b) were found and showed moderate effect size
(β =0405 p= 0000 f2= 0129 β= 0537 p= 0000 f2= 0102) respectively The association
between openness personality trait with ST-D (H3a) was found insignificant with low
effect (β= 0084 p= 0275 f2= 0010) but with LT-D (H3b) it was found statistically
significant and positive with low effect (β=0515 p= 000 f2= 0069) No association of
agreeableness personality trait was found between ST-D (H4a) (β= -0060 p= 0419 f2=
0011) and with LT-D (H4b) (β= -0084 p= 0119 f2= 0017) The relationship of
conscientiousness personality trait with ST-D (H5a) was insignificant and showed almost
no effect (β= -0027 p= 0682 f2=0005) but with LT-D (H5b) the relationship was
significantly positive with small effect (β= 0373 p= 0000 f2= 0021)
Personality and Investment Decisions
51
The coefficient of determination of five types of personality traits and risk
perception with LT-D is higher (R2= 0493) than the coefficient of determination of the
same variables with ST-D (R2=0352) Hence a larger portion of the variance in LT-D was
explained by the set of five independent variables than in ST-D Only extraversion
personality traits were found as a common trait that impacted both ST-D and LT-D The
values of Q2 were considerably above zero representing that each exogenous construct in
the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All the hypotheses
have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high
probability of the presence of the relationships between all exogenous latent variables and
endogenous latent variables A high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness
of the sample size
We have included age gender income and expect to receive the inheritance as
control variables in our model These variables have relevance in the model of personality
type risk perception and investment decisions Studies have shown that males have shown
a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Bajtelsmit Bernasek amp
Jianakoplos 1999 Hariharan Chapman amp Domian 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp
Cox 2001) Age also affects risk perception (Weber et al 2002) and financial decisions
(Agarwal Driscoll Gabaix amp Laibson 2007) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the
relationship between expected inheritances and income with financial investment
Samra Chaudary
52
Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Estimates
p
value f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1a N-gtST-D 0200 0002 0062
0352 0127 1
H2a E-gtST-D 0405 0000 0129
H3a O-gtST-D 0084 0318 0010
H4a A-gtST-D -0060 0314 0011
H5a C-gtST-D 0027 0829 0005
H1b N-gtLT-D 0073 0110 0017
0493 0209 1
H2b E-gtLT-D 0537 0000 0102
H3b O-gtLT-D 0515 0000 0069
H4b A-gtLT-D -0084 0119 0017
H5b C-gtLT-D 0373 0003 0021
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness and C= Conscientiousness
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Mediation Effects with Risk Perception
The mediating effects were tested using bootstrap method (Preacher and Hayes
2008 Zhao Lynch amp Chen 2010a) instead of Baron and Kenny (1986) approach because
bootstrapping corrects the non-normality problem and increases the statistical power to
detect mediation effects (Wood Goodman Beckmann amp Cook 2008) Bootstrap
sampling was done to estimate the distribution of the indirect effect (Hair et al 2014)
Bootstrap technique is a powerful test of mediation and Baron and Kenny (1986) test yields
high Type-I error (Krause et al 2010) Another major flaw of Baron and Kenny (1986) is
that it requires a mandatory presence of direct relationship of predictor and outcome
variable which is not necessary for the alternate approach (Hayes 2009 Krause et al
2010)
A mediator variable is expected to influence the relationship between a predictive
variable and an outcome variable (Baron amp Kenny 1986) Hence the mediator explains
Personality and Investment Decisions
53
the relationship oftentimes ldquohowrdquo and ldquowhyrdquo The mediation analysis supposed to
denotes a causal chain as it is concerned with the mechanism of a story or a series of effects
(Kenny 2008) and the definition of mediation is mostly expressed in causal terms (Baron
amp Kenny 1986)
In order to run a mediation analysis it is not necessary to get a significant
relationship between an independent and outcome variable (Kenny Kashy amp Bolger
1998 Zhao et al 2010a) Shrout and Bolger (2002) endorsed to omit the test of
significance of direct effects In this paper risk perception was tested as a mediator between
personality type and investment decision We compared the significance level (plt 005) of
direct effects and indirect effects and concluded the results
For H6a and H6b the direct effects of neuroticism and extraversion personality trait
on short-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk perception) were found
to be significant (β= 0202 p=0002) and (β= 0392 p= 0000) However the indirect effect
of neuroticism and extraversion on short-term investment decision through risk perception
was insignificant (β= -0002 p= 0817) and (β= -0013 p= 0309) Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as direct only nonmediation (Zhao at al 2010a) For H6c H6d
H6e and H6f the standardized direct (mediated) effects and indirect effects were
insignificant Hence these hypotheses were categorized as no effect-nonmediation The
direct effects of extraversion and openness (H6g and H6h) on long-term investment
decision were found to be significant (β= 0493 p= 0000) (β= 0472 p= 0000) and
indirect effects of extraversion and openness on long-term investment decision were also
significant (β= 0044 p= 0005) (β= 0043 p= 0006) respectively Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as complimentary mediation For H6i the (mediated) direct effect
Samra Chaudary
54
of agreeableness on long-term investment decision was insignificant (β= -0056 p= 0276)
however the indirect effect was significant (β= -0028 p= 0034) As a result this was
labeled as indirect-only mediation The direct effect and indirect effect of
conscientiousness on long-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk
perception) were both found to be significant (β= 0333 p=0000) and (β= 0040 p=0030)
Therefore H6j was labeled as complimentary mediation Among control variables only
males showed a significant impact on short-term investment decision and those who expect
to receive inheritance in the future showed a significant impact on long-term investment
decision
It was found that risk perception did not mediate the relationship between any of
the five personality types and short-term investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However four
personality traits (except neuroticism H6f) were found to show a significant indirect effect
on long-term investment decision through the perceived risk of the investment (H6g-H6j)
Moreover we found that agreeable personality (H6i) showed a negative indirect effect on
long-term investment decision through perceived risk of the investment
An indirect only-mediation effect is present when the direct effect of an
independent variable on dependent variable in the presence of mediator is insignificant and
indirect effect is significant This is also known as full mediation Complimentary
mediation is present when both direct and indirect effects are significant and point to the
same direction Direct-only non-mediation effect is present when only direct effect of
independent variable on dependent variable is significant in the presence of mediator but
indirect effect is not significant This is also a case of no mediation No-effect non-
mediation is declared when there is neither a significant direct effect is present nor a
Personality and Investment Decisions
55
significant indirect effect is present This is also declared as no-mediation situation These
mediation types also overlap with Baron and Kennyrsquos approach Complementary
mediation is similar to Baron and Kennyrsquos partial mediation and indirect-only mediation
is similar to full mediation Direct-only non-mediation and no-effect non-mediation
overlaps with no mediation of Baron and Kennyrsquos approach (Zhao et al 2010a) The
results of mediation analysis are reported in table 29 Detailed results of mediation analysis
are illustrated in figure 23 - 212 in appendix V
Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception
Hypotheses Bootstrapping
Direct Effect
Indirect Effect
Decision Rule
Independent
Variables
Mediator Dependent
Variables
β
p β
p
H6a Neuroticism
Risk
Perception ST-D
0202 0002 -0002 0817 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6b Extraversion
0392 0000 0013 0309 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6c Openness
0075 0331 0009 0453
No effect
Non-Mediation
H6d Agreeableness
-0040 0606 -0020 0116 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6e Conscientiousness
0025 0708 0002 0849 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6f Neuroticism
Risk
Perception LT-D
0076 0140 -0003 0802 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6g Extraversion
0493 0000 0044 0005 Complimentary
Mediation
H6h Openness
0472 0000 0043 0006 Complimentary
Mediation
H6i Agreeableness
-0056 0276 0028 0034 Indirect-only
Mediation
H6j Conscientiousness
0333 0000 0040 0030 Complimentary
Mediation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision and LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0082 p=0155) Gender-gtST-D (β= 0118 p=0012) Income-gtST-D (β=0077
p=0328) Expect to receive inheritance-gtST-D (β= -0014 p=0820) Age-gtLT-D (β=0038 p=0438) Gender-gtLT-D
(β= -0018 p=0688) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0025 p=0569) Expect to receive inheritance -gtLT-D (β=0165 p=0001)
and Age-gtRisk Perception (β= -0069 p=0265)
Samra Chaudary
56
25 Discussion and Implications
Behavioral finance is a recent and emerging focal area in finance research Unlike
many other studies in this discipline (Li amp Liu 2008 Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al
2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) which have used students as a proxy of potential investors
this study has empirically examined relatively a large number of individual equity investors
as well as professional investors The study investigated the effect of five personality traits
on investment decisions in short-term and in long-term It was found that not all personality
types had a significant effect on investment decisions Contrary to the findings of Mayfield
et al (2008) who reported that individuals who are high on neuroticism were likely to avoid
short-term investment decisions This study found a significant positive impact of
neuroticism on short-term investment decision than on long-term investment decision (H1a
and H1b) as shown in table 7 These findings get support from Brandstatter (2011) who
found that neurotic individuals were anxious low on risk propensity (Brandstatter 2011)
more risk-averse (Borghans Heckman Golsteyn amp Meijers 2009) less risk-tolerant (Pak
amp Memood 2015) and lacked entrepreneurship behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006 Zhao
Seibert amp Lumpkin 2010b) Therefore neurotic investors were found in this study to
invest in short-term investment horizon as short-term investment entails relatively lower
risk Some other plausible reasons of H1a findings could be that neurotic individuals are
reported to be impulsive (Rosler et al 2004) insecure tense (Costa amp McCrae 1992
Salgado 1997) and were found to exhibit compulsive buying behavior (Muller amp de
Zwaan 2010) Therefore neurotic individuals prefer to invest in short-term investments
than in long-term investments
Personality and Investment Decisions
57
For extravert personality (H2a) this study reaffirms the findings of Mayfield et al
(2008) that investors with extravert personality were more likely to take immediate
decisions and preferred to invest in short-term investment as they are more optimistic and
energetic Extravert individuals were reported to be more confident about their investment
decisions (Pompain amp Longo 2004) and were found likely to trade more frequently (Tauni
et al 2016) However positive relationship between extraversion and LT-D found in this
study (H2b) support previous findings that extravert individuals are also risk-takers
(Becker Deckers Dohmen Falk amp Kosse 2012a Pan amp Statman 2013) and optimist
(Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) therefore these factors may have led them to
invest in long-term investments
For openness personality (H3a and H3b) our findings are in support of (Zhao amp
Seibert 2006 Zhao et al 2010b) who found that individuals with openness to experience
show entrepreneurial (risk-taking) behavior They show high-risk propensity in many areas
of decision-making of their life including financial decisions (Brandstatter 2011) Hence
there is no association between openness with short-term investments and show a
significant relationship with long-term investment decisions Individuals with openness
personality are less risk-averse in financial decision-making (Prinz Gruumlnder Hilgers
Holtemoumlller amp Vernaleken 2014) tough-minded and with active imagination (Costa amp
McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) as a result they showed a relationship with long-term
investments
The relationship of agreeable personality (H4a and H4b) with ST-D and LT-D was
found to be insignificant Agreeable personality had shown a negative relationship with the
willingness to take a risk (Brandstatter 2011) Empirical pieces of evidence have also
Samra Chaudary
58
shown that agreeable individuals are risk-averse (Borghans et al 2009) have low risk-
tolerance (Kubilay amp Bayrakdaroglu 2016) and have also shown extreme risk avoidance
behavior (Wang Xu Zhang amp Chen 2016) These individuals sometimes also show
juvenile and immature behavior (McCrae amp Costa 2008) they lack the skill for assessing
a better investment (Ivkoviacutec amp Weisbenner 2007) and showed lower return expectations
from their investments (Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) Therefore due to extreme risk
avoidance behavior and their lack of ability for assessing a better investment they probably
did not show association with short-term and long-term investment
The relationship of conscientiousness personality trait was not found significant
with short-term investment (H5a) but it was significant with long-term investment
decisions (H5b) The possible reason could be that conscientiousness individuals think
before acting (Brandstatter 2011) that gives them a long-term perspective As the stock
market was giving losses in the period of data collection due to some political uncertainty
therefore it is conjectured that it could be a possible reason for not investing in short-term
at that time Oehler and Wedlich (2018) found that conscientiousness individuals perceive
investments in stocks very risky and are very careful well organized and conscious about
their decision-making The authors also posited that individuals with conscientiousness and
agreeableness personality traits tended to have lower return expectations It may imply that
conscientiousness type would not like to invest in short-term as such investments offer
lower yields However on the other hand conscientiousness individuals are calculating
and show entrepreneurial (risky) behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) and these aspects were
reinforced the significant relationship of conscientiousness with long-term investments
decision in this study
Personality and Investment Decisions
59
Based on the standardized path coefficients shown in table 7 extravert personality was
the strongest predictor of short-term investment decision followed by neuroticism
Similarly extravert personality was the strongest predictor of long-term investment
decision followed by openness conscientiousness and neuroticism (at a low significance)
respectively Moreover it was found that two out of five personality traits showed an
impact on short-term investment decision and four out of five showed associations with
the long-term investment decision One of the plausible reasons for this phenomenon could
be the bear market condition at the time of data collection which supports Prospect Theory
As investors are generally risk averse and therefore were not willing to invest in short-term
horizon (at the time of data collection) particularly Another possible reason could be that
long-term investment decisions have low transaction costs (Della Croce Stewart amp
Yermo 2011 Gray 2006 Warren 2014) and carry higher risk as well as higher returns
(Dimson Marsh amp Staunton 2017 Von Thadden 1995) Long-term investors are reported
to be rewarded by higher returns (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) As the
respondents of this study are stock investors and stocks have outperformed in longer time
horizons (Dierkes et al 2010)
Our results support TPB which proposes individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest
in the stock market as predicted by (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008 Raut et al 2018)
The central idea of TPB is that planned behavior is determined by behavioral intentions
(Ajzen 2001) and that behavior can include conflicts between short-term and long-term
goals (Ajzen 1985 1991)
Furthermore this study linked personality traits and investment decisions through
risk perception in order to explore the relationship between five types of personality traits
Samra Chaudary
60
and investment decisions both short-term and long-term As shown in table 8 no
mediating effect of investorsrsquo risk perception between any personality type and short-term
investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However we found risk perception showed (different
types of) mediating effects between four personality types (except neuroticism- H6f) and
long-term investment decisions (H6g-H6j)
Precisely we found no direct effect of agreeableness (H6i) on long-term investment
decisions however the negative indirect effects of agreeableness on long-term investment
decision through risk perception were significant confirming indirect-only mediation This
implies that risk perception is the cause or in other words fully explains the relationship
between agreeable personality type and long-term investment decisions It seems agreeable
personality type has a higher risk perception that leads to a lower likelihood of investing in
long-term investment Moreover risk perception showed a complimentary mediating
effect for H6g H6h and H6j relationships These relationships already had significant
direct effects and now significant indirect effects too One potential reason of
complimentary mediation of risk perception is that there could be some other omitted
variables too that may mediate the relationship between extraversion openness and
conscientiousness personality types and long-term investment decision for example risk
tolerance or risk attitude etc Zhao et al (2010a) pointed out that complementary mediation
indicates to a theoretically interesting indirect effect It implies the possibility of presence
of more mediators and guides future researchers to explore more mediators that result in
an indirect only mediation model Another possible reason for complimentary mediation
could be the way risk perception was measured with subjective questions rather than
measuring it through an experimental design ie hypothetical lottery However Nosic and
Personality and Investment Decisions
61
Weber (2010) contended that asking onersquos risk attitude through the intuitive and
comprehensible question is a precise method than giving him a complex imaginary lottery
task Many studies have relied on asking subjective questions (Becker et al 2012a Josef
et al 2016 Pan amp Statman 2013) and the findings were more understandable when using
a subjective question than an experimental task (Becker et al 2012a)
Loewenstein et al (2001) had proposed a theoretical perspective termed ldquorisk as
feelingrdquo emphasizing that risk is a feeling which often affects individualsrsquo decisions
especially when such decisions involve risk and uncertainty They also posited that ldquorisk
as feelingrdquo mediates at least partially the relationship between an individuals cognitive
evaluation of risk and their behavioral response The findings showed support for RaF
theory related to the mediating role of risk perception As our result showed support for
hypotheses related to the mediating role of risk perception by emphasizing the mediating
role of risk perception in the relationship between three personality types and long-term
investment decisions Risk perception was not found to mediate relationships between
personality types and ST-D It is probably because short-term investment decisions are not
perceived relatively as risky as the long-term investment decisions are
The results of the relationship of personality types with ST-D and LT-D is imperative
for the financial planners to ensure that financial planners give to their customers are
obtaining best guidance This knowledge of the relationship between personality type and
investment decisions can also help professionals in recognizing the presence of behaviors
that may prevent their clients from attaining their short-term and long-term financial goals
(Baker et al 2017)
Samra Chaudary
62
It is recommended that money managers identify specific individualsrsquo personality types
with the aim to cater to investorsrsquo financial needs For example neurotic individuals can
be targeted for short-term investment and extroverts for both ST-D and LT-D The
importance of risk perception should also be considered while advising a specific
personality type with their investment decisions Moreover for an emerging economy like
Pakistan most personality types showed an association with long-term investments It may
be taken as a signal for the firms who want to raise capital from the market to issue long-
term securities Financial regulators such as Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan
(SECP) should encourage investors to invest in short-term investments too by providing
them confidence and protection The findings of this research provide a meaningful picture
to the money managers of the developing economies where markets are vulnerable
26 Conclusion and Future Research
This paper investigated the influence of Big-Five personality types on short-term and
long-term investment decisions Moreover the mediating role of risk perception was also
tested between all five types of personalities and two types of investment decisions ie
short term and long-term It was found that investors with higher neuroticism and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take short-term investment
decisions Nonetheless investors with higher openness conscientiousness and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take long-term investment
decisions Risk perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions With the growth of the economy peoplersquos wealth increases
Hence there is a growing need that wealth management function is performed by
Personality and Investment Decisions
63
professional money managers This function involves understanding clientsrsquo requirements
and delivering financial services accordingly Gathering data from real equity investors
(especially from professionals ie brokers and the institutional fund managers) was quite
challenging task in this study These professionals were not willing to leave their trading
screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short time They filled the
survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the evening) or on weekends
A major contribution of this study is the fact that this is very first research of this kind in
the context of a developing economy Unlike other studies this study has utilized Big-Five
personality traits for investigating their impact on investment behavior for short-term and
long-term investments However this line of investigation needs more empirical evidence
especially from developing countries This study extended the general model of planned
behavior (Ajzen 1991) and risk as feeling model (Loewenstein et al 2001) to another
domain of social behavior that is financial investment with two separate components
(short-term and long-term) Given the importance of these theories in the field of social
behavior this is a rich paradigm for interdisciplinary contributions
It should be admitted that other than Big-Five Personality types there are various other
psychological factors that might affect individualsrsquo investment decisions these were not
accounted for in this study In this study the focus was only on equity traders and future
studies can opt to select other types of instruments to investigate if investors exhibit similar
behavior as found in this study Future studies could test the impact of emotions moods
and weather on investment decisions These constructs can be measured in different ways
for example the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their stocks can be
captured through an experiment But again such research design might be challenging as
Samra Chaudary
64
theses professional traders might not be willing to participate because of the responsibility
of peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders Leaving their trading screens during
market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them Future studies can also explore
other mediators (eg risk attitude risk appetite etc) that may result in an indirect only
mediation model Future researchers can also opt to classify investment decision in a
different way than classifying into long and short time horizons Another aspect that can
be investigated in the future studies is managersrsquo experience differences in experience may
result in different investing behavior
Salience and Investment Decisions
65
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions
Differences Between Individual Investors and
Professional Investors
Abstract
The paper took a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to
investigate the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions The
study also investigated the group differences for two types of investorsrsquo groups ie
individual investors and professional investors It further explored group differences
between female investors and male investors The study used partial least square based
structural equation modeling technique measurement invariance test and multi-group
analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that salience has a significant
positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The impact was
almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the short-term
decision Furthermore multi-group analysis revealed that the two groups ie individual
investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other such that
the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was higher for
individual investors than for professional investors Moreover the parametric tests of
difference between two groups also showed that path coefficients of female investors were
significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for the short-term
decisions as well as for the long-term decisions The study has implications for financial
regulators money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual
investors and female investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with
sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification Thus individual investors and
Samra Chaudary
66
female investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to
improve their investment returns The study concludes with a discussion of policy and
regulatory implications of the results and suggests how to minimize salience bias in order
to build optimum and diversified portfolios The study has contributed to the growing body
of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance especially to the literature on
heuristics used by individuals while making investment decisions
Keywords heuristics salience familiarity bias investment decision behavioral finance
31 Introduction
Investment decisions are not merely driven by the fundamentals of a firm as advocated
by traditional finance theories but are also based on the attitudes (positive or negative) they
have developed for a specific corporation or a brand (De Vries et al 2017) Traditional
(standard) finance theories have been condemned in terms of their explanatory power and
the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et al (2016) criticized
the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first proposition postulates that
individuals behave rationally during the decision-making process as defined by the
expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that asset markets
are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and therefore endorsing the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
based on traditional portfolio theory proposed by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965)
theorized that investors should invest in the world market portfolio of risky securities for
maximum risk-adjusted returns However investors behave irrationally and assign more
weight to domestic investments in their portfolios They ignore the potential benefits of
diversification (Ahearne et al 2004 Chan Covrig amp Ng 2005) Refraining from
Salience and Investment Decisions
67
investing in the world market portfolio could be due to salience bias or from familiarity
effect Investors tend to experience a strong bias towards holding stocks of their home
country or local area (Hirshleifer 2001) The idea of bounded rationality led to many
researches to discuss various types of behavioral heuristics eg familiarity (home) bias
(Ahearne et al 2004 French amp Poterba 1991) disposition effect (Barberis amp Xiong
2009 Odean 1998) representativeness (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) herding (Wermers 1999) overconfidence (Barber amp Odean 2001 Statman
Thorley amp Vorkink 2006) anchoring (Furnham amp Boo 2011 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) framing (Choi Laibson Madrian amp Metrick 2004 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
This study investigates the impact of salience heuristic on investorsrsquo short-term and
long-term investment decisions It further examins the impact of salience on decision-
making between two groups of investors (individual investors and professional investors)
in the context of a developing economy Salience effect is one of the most robust cognitive
heuristics Salience was the most important heuristic among all as it showed the strongest
impact on decision-making (Yalcin et al 2016) Investors suffer most from salience than
other types of heuristics (Hirshleifer 2001)
Kumar and Goyal (2015) emphasized on the scarcity of studies on heuristics in
developing economies Developing countries have higher growth possibilities and
investors (individual and institutional) are more prone to invest in the stock market They
also highlighted that empirical studies based on the secondary data dominate the field and
there is a dearth of studies based on primary data in this area A handful of studies have
shown evidences that heuristics cause inevitable behavioral biases in investment decisions
from developed economies (Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Hirshleifer 2001 Tversky amp
Samra Chaudary
68
Kahneman 1986 Wang et al 2011 Yalcin et al 2016) and from developing economies
(De Vries et al 2017 Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016 Metawa et al 2019) The findings of
various studies were inconclusive in explaining these heuristic biases Therefore this study
has tried to provide the desired empirical evidence from the developing economy by using
a unique primary data set of professional money managers and individual investors who
have invested in the capital market
To the best of our knowledge the salience heuristic has never been systematically
studied with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive
power been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix II) The
present study is the first one to contribute empirically by investigating salience which is a
critical factor in determining ST-D and LT-D The primary reason for this research is to
investigate if salience matters in investment decision-making for stock investors This
research also contributes to the understanding of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market Moreover understanding investorsrsquo behavior can help
investors to avoid familiarity bias and can improve their investment decisions in choosing
investment services products and plans The study provides a significant and meaningful
contribution to the prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development
321 Prospect Theory
The notion of heuristics was introduced by Simon (1955) who suggested a behavioral
model of rational choice He contended that individuals have bounded rationality and their
decisions are constrained by both external (environmental) and internal (mental) factors
The bounded rationality models are also called models of heuristic cognition The idea of
Salience and Investment Decisions
69
bounded rationality gave birth to the discipline of behavioral finance as many researchers
revealed pieces of evidence against the validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) This line of research picked up pace when Kahneman
and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and got further recognition after
Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002 Prospect theory proposes that
when offered a gamble involving two or three outcome lotteries with some probability
investors make their decisions on the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather
than on the final outcomes of lotteries They choose the one with the highest value This
value function is based on gains and losses rather than on levels of wealth The function is
concave in the area of gain indicating risk-aversion and is a convex in the area of loss
indicating risk-taking Moreover the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in
the area of loss than in the area of gain which indicates that investors are generally risk-
averse A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors are more unpleasant by losses than they
are delighted by equivalent profits This phenomenon arises due to cognitive biases
(heuristics) that affect investorsrsquo assessment about expected value of these gains and losses
Many researches have successfully tested prospect theory in the domain of psychological
biases and decision-making (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al
2017 Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions
Heuristics are described as lsquointuitive rapid and automatic systems (Shiloh Salton
amp Sharabi 2002) which decrease the complication of calculating possibilities and
Samra Chaudary
70
predicting the values to simple judgemental operations (Tversky amp Kahneman 1974)
Heuristics are also described as ldquorule of thumbrdquo which are developed for quick and efficient
decision-making (Mishra 2014) and have gained the attention of researchers (Yalcin et al
2016) Investors use these shortcuts due to inadequate time and information (Aronson
1999) Tversky amp Kahneman (1974) pointed out that cognitive biases arise as people use
heuristics These heuristics are generally effective but they argued that the use of heuristics
lead to biases under some circumstances and result in irrational decisions Similarly De
Bondt (1998) pointed out that heuristic cues can result in poor investment selections
because they usually do not relate to the firmrsquos profitability
323 Salience and Investment Decision
Salience is also known as familiarity bias (Yalcin at al 2016) and familiarity was
reported to breed investment (Huberman 2001) The notions of salience familiarity
availability cues and home bias are largely used interchangeably in the literature and
these notions are categorized under salience heuristics (Yalcin et al 2016) The idea of
availability heuristic was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman (1973) suggesting that
selective triggering provides grounds for salience and availability effects The key
behavioral assumption of Merton (1987) model was that investors invest in familiar stocks
due to the fear of an unknown Investors believe that the riskiness of an unknown stock
was very high Furthermore Heath and Tversky (1991) laid down behavioral foundation
of the familiarity bias They showed that individuals would like to gamble in a situation
where they think themselves well-informed or capable as compared to a situation where
they consider themselves unfamiliar or unacquainted They also reported that investors at
times are ready to sacrifice the benefits of diversification and focus on few corporations
Salience and Investment Decisions
71
with which they are ostensibly familiar Similarly when people encounter with two risky
choices they feel more pleasant picking the acquainted (salient) one particularly in fast
decision-making situations (Fox amp Tversky 1995) The panic of making an error was the
key reason when investors select the unfamiliar choice People recall and locate these
salient cues from their memory in order to choose without assessing whether they are
correct or not (Huberman 2001) It is unavoidable to observe similar biases because
investment decisions involve choosing the one right choice from several options that
require a vigilant evaluation The assessment process needs effort and time Hence in order
to address the challenge of the decision-making process investors make use of salient
knowledge (Yalcin et al 2016) Numerous researches reported that investors prefer to
invest in corporations with which they are more familiar because doing so tends to escalate
their level of assurance and hopefulness (Barber Odean amp Zheng 2005 Huberman 2001
Jain amp Wu 2000 Sirri amp Tufano 1998) Generally it was seen that people are inclined
towards investment in local firms (home bias) employees tend to purchase their own
companyrsquos stocks and fans prefer to invest in the stocks of their favorite teamrsquos irrationally
(Nofsinger 2005) Swiss respondents perceived those products less risky which were easier
to understand and this behavior was likely to be driven by the familiarity bias (Wang et
al 2011) Similarly investors from Finland tended to invest in those companies which
share the investorsrsquo native language and socio-economic background For instance Finnish
investors speaking Swedish language prefer to trade stocks of firms that have financial
statements in Swedish and have Swedish-speaking CEOs than those who speak Finnish
language (Grinblatt amp Keloharju 2001) In addition Jaiyeoba and Haron (2016) also found
that the investment decisions of Malaysian retail investors were influenced by
Samra Chaudary
72
psychological biases Malaysian investors were found patriotic and their investment
decisions were dependent on the comfortable feeling rather than quantitative investigation
These findings imply that investors were influenced by psychological biases Antoniou
Olusi and Paudyal (2010) reported that investors do not earn extra profits by investing in
international stocks Investors can earn similar profits by investing in a portfolio of local
securities
Baker and Ricciardi (2014) documented that familiarity bias prevails when
investors prefer acquainted investments though they know the evident gains from
diversification Investors exhibit a fondness for native securities (local bias) with which
they are more comfortable and are also skewed towards the portfolios of local assets (home
bias) Home bias denotes to the condition when investors favor to invest in local assets as
compared to international securities in their portfolio The potential reasons behind
investing in local stocks were familiarity investor protection economic development
stock market development capital control (Chan et al 2005) information asymmetry
transaction costs investment obstructions inflation hedging (Kumar amp Goyal 2015)
Likewise Riff and Yagil (2016) confirmed the presence of home bias in ten developed
countries They observed the bias in three different market conditions (bull bear and
normal) It was found that home bias increased during the bear market period This study
collected data in the bear market conditions Hence it is expected that salience determines
investment decisions
H1 Salience has a positive effect on short-term investment decision
H2 Salience has a positive effect on long-term investment decision
Salience and Investment Decisions
73
The outcome of familiarity bias could result in the suboptimal composition of
portfolios To mitigate familiarity bias investors should spread out a wider net and expand
asset allocation in their portfolio to reduce risk and increase diversification benefits
Investing globally assists to circumvent familiarity bias (Norden 2010 Baker amp Ricciardi
2014) Sizemore (2012) has suggested that to avoid familiarity bias investors who admire
a firmrsquos product should try to invest in one of the rivals because taking too accurate
investment decisions will be a mistake Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) investigated the
influence of investorsrsquo protection on portfolio returns and asset allocation Investors choose
to invest more in foreign stocks in countries where investorsrsquo protection was fragile In
addition investor protection showed a positive impact on shareholder returns It implies
that salience bias can be reduced and portfolio returns can be improved by increasing
investor protection
Kumar and Goetzmann (2003) found that investors who desire for skewness in
returns have relatively greater familiarity bias and are overconfident and hold a less
diversified portfolio Such bias was found to affect the returns ie investors with the least
diversified portfolio earned 240 lower return annually than the investors with the most
diversified portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Investors who demonstrate overconfident
behavior generally face severe consequences (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) and end up with
little investment returns as they fail to diversify their portfolios appropriately (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2015) One does not need to develop feelings towards any stock Loving a stock
will not respond back with love and developing hate for a stock will also not provide
contentment lsquoInvest in what you know which was also known as lsquoPeter Lynch biasrsquo will
make investors see only what they want to see in the stock (Sizemore 2012) If investors
Samra Chaudary
74
like a firm it did not essentially mean that it was a good investment and will yield a high
profit on investment This action may lead to investment in suboptimal portfolios which
can lead to lower returns or even losses (De Vries et al 2017) Less familiarity and high
information costs hinder investors from investing across the globe (Chan et al 2005)
Weber Siebenmorgen and Weber (2005) provides evidence that investing in a familiar
stock decreases risk perception of holding it Certainly this miscalculation of the risk of
familiar stock could possibly preserve home bias in investorrsquos portfolios
324 Institutional Investors and Salience
Coval and Moskowitz (1999) reported that professional money managers within
the US prefer to invest in small-sized domestic corporations whose headquarters are near
to their home town Likewise Strong and Xu (2003) documented that money managers are
likely to trade in familiar stocks and are prone to home bias Chan et al (2005) investigated
the investment of mutual funds from twenty-six developed and developing economies
They found that managers of these mutual funds collectively assign a bigger portion to
domestic stocks Results show that local investors give more importance to domestic
markets and the presence of home bias was significantly influenced by familiarity and
stock market development Foreign investors more or less give importance to the foreign
markets and international bias was significantly affected by capital controls economic
development and withholding tax Professional investment managers from the US and
Taiwan (Olsen 1997) and retail investors from Malaysia (Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016) have
also exhibited a desirability bias and patriotic (home bias) behavior respectively Money
managers were reported not to invest in foreign stocks due to high transaction costs
currency risk asymmetric information and implicit risk which was embedded in
Salience and Investment Decisions
75
international markets Nonetheless behavioral reason for this phenomenon could be that
these institutional managers are overconfident and high on nationalism repentance and
social identification (Schwartz 2010)
Borges Goldstein Ortmann and Gigerenzer (1999) constructed portfolios on the
basis of the stocks recognition by German and American finance students (experts) and
laymen (people walking in the streets) The authors purchased the most identified stocks
and compared their returns against large mutual funds and stock markets in the US and
Germany They found that recognized stocks performed better than unrecognized stocks
Additionally the portfolio performance based on the ability of laymen to identify stocks
beats that of a portfolio based on recognition by finance students (experts) who should at
least have some passing interest in investing Individuals with less investment knowledge
can rely on recognition heuristic A professional investor who was familiar with most of
the stocks in the stock market cannot practice this heuristic According to Goldstein and
Gigerenzer (2002) recognition heuristic was a strong instrument and perhaps the only
strategy that works best in the situation of lack of knowledge It seemed that the lack of
information was perhaps a delightful thing for investors The evidence about experts who
made a bad investment portfolio on the basis of their identification of the stock proposed
that lack of knowledge was perhaps not too bad for investors (Forbes Hudson Skerratt amp
Soufian 2015)
325 Individual Investors and Salience
Individual investors in particular are unwise who hold stocks of their company
state or country instead of investing in an unknown or less familiar one (Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba 1991) Individual investors are less sophisticated and tend to take poorer
Samra Chaudary
76
investment decisions than financial advisors because individual investors are overconfident
and suffer from various biases (Baker et al 2017) De Vries et al (2017) investigated a
sample of students and found that when selecting between different companies these
potential shareholders in South Africa showed familiarity bias in their investing behavior
Tesar and Werner (1995) found that because of high transaction costs shareholders are
convinced to choose domestic equity instead of putting their money in international stocks
that yield higher returns Ahearne et al (2004) investigated the direct and indirect barriers
to foreign investment for US investors The direct barriers were the intensity of capital
controls high transaction costs (implicit and explicit) regulations on the institutions by the
country (restrictions on foreign ownership of equities) and the indirect barrier was
information cost Information cost was found to be the most important barrier which can
be reduced if the international company sets up its plant in the US It will make US
investors more familiar with its commodities US investors might invest in international
stocks of those firms with whose products they are most familiar Foreign companies that
do not minimize information costs by choosing not to list in the US regulatory system
have less weight in US investorsrsquo portfolios Kang and Stulz (1997) also reaffirmed that
investors from US tended to invest only in familiar international firms in Japan Likewise
Seasholes and Zhu (2010) found that investors are more likely to invest in domestic stocks
due to the existence of information asymmetry among investors Information asymmetry
is an unexpected obstacle to international investment in the home bias puzzle Karlsson
and Norden (2007) reported that individuals invest in their home country because they are
overconfident and they want to hedge against inflation Cooper and Kaplanis (1994) found
a negative association between earnings and inflation Moreover they elucidated that
Salience and Investment Decisions
77
investors hedge risk and get shield against inflation through local stocks and are vulnerable
to home bias This study investigates if the effect of salience on short-term investment is
different for individual investors and institutional investors Furthermore this research also
investigates if the effect of salience on long-term investment is different for individual
investors and institutional investors
H3 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
H4 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
326 Gender and Salience
Numerous studies in the discipline of psychology and sociology showed that females
were more risk-averse than males (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac 2018 Byrnes Miller
amp Schafer 1999 Hinz McCarthy amp Turner 1997) In making financial decisions
Bajtelsmit et al (1999) also posited that women showed higher risk aversion in the wealth
allocation into the defined contribution pension plan Olsen and Cox (2001) focused on
male and female investment professionals and found that men and women perceived and
responded to risk differently They suggested that cultural factors might be accountable for
this risk related gender effect
Gender had shown a significant effect on investment decision in the Egyptian financial
market (Metawa et al 2019) More men than women indicated that they found investment
exciting Men tended to be actively engaged in investments and change their assets in the
portfolio with time (Hira amp Loibl 2008) Many research studies found that males tended
to have a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Mayfield et al
Samra Chaudary
78
2008 Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et al 2000 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Tekce Yılmaz
and Bildik (2016) reported that young male Turkish investors suffered more from
familiarity bias Moreover familiarity bias showed a significant impact on the investment
performance of the Amman stock exchange However the impact was not found to be
statistically significantly different for female and male investors (Alrabadi Al-Abdallah
amp Aljarayesh 2018)
Anderson Fedenia Hirschey and Skiba (2011) conducted a survey in more than sixty
countries to determine the international diversification of professionally managed
portfolios It was found that portfolios from countries characterized by higher levels of
masculinity showed lower levels of familiarity bias and displayed more diversified
portfolios with foreign holdings Cao Han Hirshleifer and Zhang (2009) concluded that
higher familiarity leads to lower risk judgment Mohammadi and Shafi (2018) investigated
differences in the behavior of male and female investors using equity data of Swedish
firms They found a greater risk-averse behavior in female investors as opposed to male
investors Women were found less likely to invest in the stocks of younger firms and high-
tech companies Similarly in an investment decision realm women invest less and are
more risk-averse than men (Charness amp Gneezy 2007) In a sample from Switzerland
Wang et al (2011) also observed gender differences and argued that in general both
genders were impacted by the familiarity bias The asset classes that were easier to
understand were also considered less risky and vice versa Females considered equity more
difficult to understand and also perceived equity riskier than males did However there
was an exception that male respondents were not influenced by familiarity bias for blue-
chip stocks Even though males perceived that blue-chip shares were considerably easier
Salience and Investment Decisions
79
to understand than females did they still considered blue-chip shares were risky
investment which suggested that the males were not biased by their self-perceived
understanding about blue-chip stocks Karlsson and Norden (2007) reported that gender
and familiarity with risky assets are significant factors for the choice of home investment
for Swedish investors Moreover older males tended to be more home biased However
this result was not found for females Feng and Seasholes (2008) found that females and
males suffered equally from home bias in Chinese financial markets Home bias and
portfolio performance were not found statistically significantly different between males
and females Prast Rossi Torricelli and Sansone (2015) conducted a study in Netherlands
in which they constructed a ldquopinkrdquo portfolio (with shares that were thought to be more
familiar to women) and a ldquobluerdquo portfolio (with shares that were more familiar to men)
Respondents were asked to distribute pension wealth between a Treasury bond and a
pinkblue portfolio It was tested if familiarity with the portfolio increases femalesrsquo
participation in the stock market and risk-taking It was found that familiarity affects the
choice between bonds and stocks favoring bonds only for women above 60 years
Seiler Seiler Harrison and Lane (2013) examined familiarity bias in the real estate
context The authors investigated the impact of familiarity bias on perceived future home
price movements The respondents of the study perceived house as the largest investment
(and consumption good) The survey was conducted in 20 US states to examine
homeownersrsquo perception of future home price movements of the house in which they lived
They found that gender derived familiarity bias differences Women were found to
consistently suffer more from familiarity bias as compared to men The study also
suggested that the longer one lives in a house the greater is hisher affection to it and the
Samra Chaudary
80
more one is expected to ignore its bad features and emphasize on the good ones Hence
longer home lease resulted in the overestimation of future price movements as compared
to the other houses (with which respondents were less acquainted) In another real estate
study by Seiler Seiler Traub and Harrison (2008) familiarity bias was more significantly
prominent for females of North America The Asian women exhibited familiarity bias to a
lesser extent Ang de Jong and van der Poel (2014) also found that longer tenancy resulted
in greater familiarity bias Hence based on these arguments it can be proposed that for
women the impact of salience on investment decision would be higher as compared to men
Similarly salience bias would have a stronger impact on LT-D than ST-D Figure 31
illustrates the structural model about the relationship of salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions across different groups
H5 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
H6 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions
Salience and Investment Decisions
81
33 Data and Methodology
331 Measures
The study has adopted instruments from the existing literature for the in order to
measure the latent variables Three items of short-term investment decisions (ST-D) and
four items of long-term investment decision (LT-D) were adopted from Mayfield et al
(2008) The scale of salience had five items and was adopted from Yalcin et al (2016) All
the constructs were measured on a likert scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree)
332 Methods
3321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this survey
were those who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange The sample included
professional money managers working in financial institutions and individual investors
who have invested in the Pakistan Stock Exchange Professional money managers were
working in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management
companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks whereas individual stock
investors were from varying backgrounds Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate
and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent of investors and Lahore
has 18 percent of investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence by collecting data
from these two cities the aim was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs
of the country where 92 percent investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were received and only
277 were found useable thus almost 35 percent was the response rate
Samra Chaudary
82
The investment industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated hence our sample
consisted of almost 80 percent males and 20 percent females The sample had 59 percent
professional money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60 percent
respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either separated or
divorced Eighty-seven percent respondents were employed 12 percent were business
owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent of the respondents
had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent
respondents did not expect any future inheritance Fifty-eight percent respondents
perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent perceived themselves in
upper middle class and only 3 percent perceived themselves to belong to the upper class
and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class Eighty-six percent
respondents responded their upbringing was in the urban areas and 14 percent respondents
had their upbringing in rural areas The average age of respondents was 32 years and
monthly income was Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million per month respectively The average
education was 16 years On average respondents had 4 years of investment experience in
the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average amount invested by them in stocks was PKR
10 million
3322 Data Analyses
This paper has opted to use partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to several reasons Firstly it does not require data to be normally distributed (Hair et
al 2012) and shows higher statistical power than CB-SEM for complex models with small
sample sizes (Reinartz Haenlein amp Henseler 2009) Secondly PLS-SEM has minimum
Salience and Investment Decisions
83
demand for measurement scales sample size and residual distribution (Wold 1985)
Thirdly this approach focuses on predictive analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation is
to maximize the variance of the endogenous variables explained by the exogenous
variables (Hair et al 2014) Fourthly to evaluate the statistical significance of the
parameter estimates Smart PLS3 software reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals
(Hair et al 2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling procedure takes
subsamples from the original sample of observation and estimates the model parameters of
each subsample and then report significance of the estimated coefficients thereby
substantiating the robustness of the results (Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the
significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS can be used
for theory confirmation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not present
(Chin 1998) PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory
development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
Results from PLS-SEM method are as worthy (and conservative) as from CB-SEM
approach (Hair et al 2014) Although PLS-SEM has some weaknesses for example
results tend to overestimate the factor loadings and underestimate structural relationship
and R-square Similarly CB-SEM also has some shortcomings ie results tend to inflate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander et al (2015)
have proposed that PLS-SEM is a conservative approach Table 31 depicts the
correlations descriptive statistics and square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision and salience Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term
Samra Chaudary
84
investment decision and long-term investment decision was 0518 (p=0000) and between
short-term investment decision and salience was 0359 (p=0000) Similarly long-term
investment decision also showed positive correlation with salience with Pearsonrsquos
correlation value of 0515 (p=0000) Salience was found to be more positively correlated
with long-term investment decision than with short-term investment decision
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
Short-term
Investment
Decision
Long-term
Investment
Decision
Salience
Short-term
Investment
Decision
3113 0779 (0742)
Long-term
Investment
Decision
3311 0846 0518 (0728)
Salience 3039 0827 0359 0515 (0728)
Note Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
34 Results
341 Measurement Model
Factor loadings for each indicator of the latent construct were 065 or above and
were found to be statistically significant as the values for t-statistics were above 196
(Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) Bootstrapping with 2000 subsamples was
done to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) A minimum of
three items must load significantly on each factor in a multidimensional scale
(Raubenheimer 2004 Velicer amp Fava 1998) and that was the case here The estimates of
standardized factor loadings for short-term investment decision ranged from 0675 to 0775
(tgt196) for long-term investment decision the range was 0713-0758 (tgt196) and for
salience the range of items loading was found to be 0651-0798 (tgt196)
Salience and Investment Decisions
85
Internal consistency of latent constructs was measured through composite
reliability (CR) which should be higher than 07 (Hair et al 2012) and that was the case
for all latent constructs in this research The estimates of composite reliability were 0786
for short-term investment decision 0819 for long-term investment decision and 0889 for
salience Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et al 2012) for each latent construct
The values for AVE were 0552 for short-term investment decision 0531 for long-term
investment decision and 0531 for salience
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was measured through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015) According to Fornell-Larcker criteria
the square root of AVE of each latent construct should be greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover the Heterotrait-
Monotrait (HTMT) ratio should be less than one as shown in table 33 Common method
bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each construct through variance
inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test was carried out twice with both
dependent variables once with short-term investment decision and once with the long-term
investment decision No common method bias was found in both the tests as the VIF values
for all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015) The results of the measurement model
are reported in table 32
Samra Chaudary
86
Table 32 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements
Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0675 10544
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0775 18354
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to
that of professional managers 0772 16482
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings
for investingsavingretirement purposes 0758 21972
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple
asset classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate
etc)
0713 15358
I intend to take an investment course 0737 20616
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum
gross return rather than tax and cost efficiency 0714 18643
Salience (Yalcin et
al 2016)
Expert opinions in written and visual media should
be taken into consideration when investing 0744 20780
A companyrsquos stock which is often in the media
with favorable news coverage should be preferred
when investing
0668 15584
To invest in companies that have a good brand
name is important to me 0798 32446
It is risky to invest in relatively unknown public
companies rather than known ones 0770 20525
I believe that investors should purchase the stock
of the company they work for if it is well run 0651 13806
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0786 0552
Long-term Investment Decision 0819 0531
Salience 0849 0531
Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Long-term Investment Decision Salience Short-term Investment
Decision
Long-term Investment Decision
Salience 0691
Short-term Investment Decision 0788 0526
Salience and Investment Decisions
87
342 Structural Model
The following section reports the direct effects of salience on short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates (path coefficients)
of the structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The coefficient of determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous)
variables were not below 010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) Moreover the effect size was
reported for each direct effect through F- square test (Cohen 1988) with a cut-off at 002
015 and 035 for a small medium and large effect size of the independent variable
(Henseler et al 2009) The predictive relevance of the model was also estimated by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
et al 2012) A value of 08 or higher is recommended as sufficient in behavioral studies
for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 35 summarizes the results of the direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between salience and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with large effect size (β=
03295 p= 0000 f2= 0150) Similarly the association between salience and LT-D (H2)
was also found significantly positive with almost 15 times higher beta magnitude and with
a large effect (β= 05017 p= 0000 f2= 0363) The coefficient of determination of salience
with LT-D is higher (R2= 0340) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0224) Hence relationships with LT-D have shown more explanatory power than the
relationships with ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each
Samra Chaudary
88
exogenous construct (salience) in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous
latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) All the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical
power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high probability of the presence of the
relationships between all exogenous latent variables and endogenous latent variables A
high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness of the sample size
We have included age gender income education size of the investment portfolio
and investment experience as control variables in our model These variables have
relevance in the model of salience (heuristic) and investment decisions (Yalcin et al
2016) Agarwal et al (2007) also reported that age had an effect on financial decision In
addition to that other studies have also stated that males were more inclined towards both
short-term and long-term investments than females (Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et
al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001)
Results of control variables showed that only age and investment experience
showed a significant impact on ST-D and LT-D Age showed a significant inverse
relationship with both types of investment decisions Older investors tended to take less
short-term investment decisions than long-term investment decisions Moreover the more
investment experience one has the more short-term investment decision heshe takes
Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Coefficient p-values f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1 Salience -gt ST-D 03295 0000 0150 0224 0091 0999
H2 Salience -gt LT-D 05017 0000 0363 0340 0146 1000
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0245 p=0004) Income-gtST-D (β= -00021 p=0979) Education-gtST-D (β=
00237 p=0728) Investment Experience-gtST-D (β= 0240 p=0001) size of investment portfolio -gtST-D (β= -00257
p=0703) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0147 p=0024) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0041 p=0809) Education-gtLT-D (β= 0636
p=0308) Investment Experience-gtLT-D (β= 0148 p=0047) and size of investment portfolio -gtLT-D (β= 0014
p=0736)
Salience and Investment Decisions
89
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment
In order to conduct multi-group analysis (MGA) one fundamental condition is to
establish the measurement invariance between the groups (Steenkamp amp Baumgartner
1998) ie the measurement model is not statistically different between two groups
Measurement invariance inquires the vital question if the measurement of latent variables
differs between groups (Xu amp Tracey 2017) Therefore any moderations that we may
observe should be due to the differences in the type of investors rather than measurement
differences For this purpose measurement invariance of composite models (MICOM) test
was performed in order to establish that the measurement of the (outer) model is same
between 2 groups (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016)
The MICOM method comprises of three steps (1) to establish configural invariance
(ie equal parameterization and model estimation) (2) to establish compositional
invariance (ie equal indicator weights) and (3) to establish the equality of composite
mean values and variances If configural and compositional invariance (step1 and step2)
are confirmed partial measurement invariance is supported which permits one to compare
the path coefficients between the groups Additionally if partial measurement invariance
holds and the composite means and variances are equal between the groups (step 3) full
measurement invariance is established
Running MICOM in SmartPLS automatically establishes configural invariance
(step1) (Garson 2016) The statistical output does not apply to this step and is not shown
The composite or measured invariance (step 2) is examined The correlation (c) should not
be significantly different from one As shown in table 36 all the correlation (c) in our
original data are within the confidence interval hence the null hypothesis cannot be
Samra Chaudary
90
rejected and therefore no c is significantly different from 1 (p gt 005) supporting the
compositional invariance of our model The term c value denotes the correlation between
composite scores using the weights attained from the first group (professional investor)
and composite scores using the weights attained from the second group (individual
investor) Step 3 evaluates the means differences (step 3a) and variances differences (step
3b) between the groups The null hypothesis is that the differences between the means and
the variances of the variables are 0 The results showed that in both cases (steps 3a and 3b)
all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2 groups namely individual
investors and professional investors
The MICOM test was performed in smart PLS with 5000 permutations (Ringle
Wende amp Becker 2015) The results of MICOM test are presented in table 36 confirmed
the partial measurement invariance for both the groups (individual investors and
professional investors) supporting the pertinence of the multi-group test (Henseler et al
2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Similarly MICOM test was executed to establish that the measurement model is
same between 2 groups namely female investors and male investors The correlation (c)
were not significantly different from one (step 2) The results also showed that in both
cases (steps 3a and 3b) all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2
groups namely female investors and male investors To sum up the statistical outcome of
the MICOM test is shown in table 37 confirmed the partial measurement invariance for
both the groups (ie female investors and male investors) supporting the appropriateness
of the multi-group analysis test (Henseler et al 2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Salience and Investment Decisions
91
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and Professional
Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0965 [0941 1000] 0254 Yes
LT-D 0985 [0968 1000] 0097 Yes
Salience 0992 [0980 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -0287 [-0237 0243] 0022 No
LT-D -0119 [-0247 0233] 0327 Yes
Salience -0077 [-0244 0217] 0534 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D -0006 [-0350 0308] 0796 Yes
LT-D -0166 [-0305 0263] 0249 Yes
Salience -0099 [-0292 0302] 0494 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0946 [0826 1000] 0017 No
LT-D 0986 [0961 1000] 0934 Yes
Salience 0989 [0970 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -00006 [-0300 0313] 0693 Yes
LT-D -00007 [-0296 0296] 0100 Yes
Salience -00009 [-0308 0300] 0186 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D 0025 [-0357 0443] 0330 Yes
LT-D 0030 [-0337 0419] 0402 Yes
Salience 0019 [-0341 0387] 0699 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Samra Chaudary
92
344 Multi-group Analysis
Once the measurement invariance model was established a multi-group analysis
was then executed Multi-group analysis (MGA) has numerous benefits a) It permits to
analyze whether parameters of the measurement model andor path model are alike
(invariant) between 2 groups namely individual investors and professional investors
(Chin Mills Steel amp Schwarz 2016) b) It predominantly delivers a robust check of the
validity of the measurement model and replicability of the structural model in different
contexts (Calvo-Mora Navarro-Garciacutea Rey-Moreno amp Perianez-Cristobal 2016) c) It is
also useful to draw analogy within a research whether to evaluate theoretical differences
between subgroups of the same population or across populations in the instance of
culturally diverse study (Fawcett Wallin Allred Fawcett amp Magnan 2011) Two groups
of investors (individual investors and professional investors) were used for multi-group
analysis It was found that both groups were statistically significantly different from each
other such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions
was higher in case of individual investors than in case of professional investors
Furthermore it was found that the path coefficient difference for short-term investment
decisions is almost 15 times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term
investment decisions The difference in path coefficients implies that individual investors
suffer more from salience bias than professional investors especially for short-term
investment decisions in case of both groups The direct effect of salience on the short-term
and long-term investment decision for both groups are shown in table 37 The parametric
tests of difference between the two groups are reported in table 38 show that path
coefficients of individual investors were significantly different from path coefficient of
Salience and Investment Decisions
93
professional investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path coefficient difference was
large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors
(Professional Investors) (Individual Investors)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0236 0000 2519 0097 0078 0477 0000 7502 0337 0242
Salience -gt
LT-D 0454 0000 8148 0315 0229 0609 0012 1065 0655 0384
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Individual
-
Professional
p-value
Individual
vs
Professional
t-value
Individual
vs
Professional
f2 diff
Individual
-
Professional
R2 diff
Individual
- Professional
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0241 0023 2291 0235 0175
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0155 0048 1986 033 0168
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
In addition to individual and professional investors two groups of investors (ie
female and male investors) were used for multi-group analysis It was found that both
groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other such that the impact
of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was higher in the case of
female investors than in the case of male investors Furthermore it was found that path
coefficient difference for short-term investment decisions is almost 2 times higher than the
Samra Chaudary
94
path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions The difference in path
coefficients implies that female investors suffer more from salience bias than male
investors for both short-term and long-term investment decisions The direct effect of
salience on the short-term and long-term investment decision for both groups (ie female
and male) are shown in table 310 The parametric tests of difference between two groups
are reported in table 311 show that path coefficients of female investors were significantly
different from path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path
coefficient difference was large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females
(Females) (Males)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0642 0000 8032 0775 0419 0316 0000 4496 0120 0104
Salience -gt
LT-D 0692 0000 1051 0992 0483 0516 0000 1086 0374 0269
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Female
-
Male
p-value
Female
vs
Male
t-value
Female
vs
Male
f2 diff
Female
-
Male
R2 diff
Female
-
Male
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0326 0001 3222 0655 0315
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0176 0024 2013 0618 0214
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Salience and Investment Decisions
95
35 Discussion and Implications
The results show that salience had shown a significant positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions This finding got support from Mousavi and
Gigerenzer (2014) who stated that besides the availability of plenty of information which
is often available individuals make their decisions which are based on gut feelings This
result was also consistent with Wang et al (2011) who posited that individuals who have
a better knowledge of an asset class perceive it to have a lower risk and a higher expected
return That could be one of the reasons for having a significant positive sign of salience
with both ST-D and LT-D Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) reported that stronger investor
protection leads to higher domestic investments Correspondingly Securities Exchange
Commission of Pakistan is fully determined to ensure investor protection to provide
maximum information and to promote investor confidence in order to boost financial
planning and decision-making (SECP 2016) Another plausible reason for this
phenomenon could be due to the bear market condition at the time of data collection as
suggested by Riff and Yagil (2016) Therefore investors have shown an impact of salience
heuristic on domestic stock market investments in short-term as well as in the long-term
Furthermore it was found that beta coefficient for long-term investment was one and a half
times higher and effect size was almost two and a half times higher than the beta coefficient
and the effect size for short-term investment The possible reason for this result could be
that investing in a familiar stock in the long-term would increase investorsrsquo trust and
confidence about higher returns Investors were also found to invest in familiar short-term
investments but the impact was seen higher for long run as long-term investment yields
higher return Familiarity breeds trust and trust establishes long-term commitment (Gulati
Samra Chaudary
96
1995 Wilson McNellis amp Latham 2018) Moreover familiarity knowledge and
confidence are positively associated (Shawahna et al 2017) Familiarity influences
confidence which in turn affects buying decisions (Laroche Kim amp Zhou 1996) and long-
term commitments (Ganesan1994) In addition evidence have shown that markets are
expected to be in equilibrium in the long run (Hopenhayn 1992 Marshall 1961 Shachat
amp Zhang 2017) But in short run higher volatility of small-capitalization stocks is reported
to result in significant capital losses (Roll 1983)
Investors like to hedge their losses (Odean 1998) so they do not repent later
Therefore investing in familiar long-term securities is likely to make them feel relatively
safe in terms of risk and return Healthier long-run growth prospects are reported to reward
long-term investors (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) and stocks have
outperformed in longer time horizons (Dierkes et al 2010) Baker and Ricciardi (2014)
have also recommended investing in long-term for superior performance than short-term
investments They suggested that investors should invest in the long-term rather than
investing in short-term portfolios A better performance of short-term investment may be
found due only to good luck than stock selection skill or market timing expertise
In the multi-group analysis this study found that individual investors and money
managers were influenced positively by the impact of salience in their short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover both groups were significantly different from each
other such that professional money managers were less influenced by salience to invest in
familiar stocks as compared to individual investors in short-term as well as in long-term
The effect of salience was seen higher for long-term investment than for short-term
investment decision The findings are aligned with (Baxter 1994 French amp Poterba 1991)
Salience and Investment Decisions
97
who found that individual investors especially invest in more familiar stocks Gigerenzer
(2014) also found that managers acknowledge that almost half of their professional
decisions are intuitive decisions These decisions are based on their familiarity after
acknowledging all the available information Sternad and Kennelly (2017) also report that
managers have a long-term orientation in their decisions which is determined by
institutional factors Managerial long-run orientation can also generate and sustain higher
returns for their clients The findings also gave an indication that professional money
managers were more likely to strive for diversified and optimal portfolio construction for
their clients in the long run as they were found to relying less on salience heuristic Long-
term securities possess higher risk as well as a higher return (Dimson et al 2017 Von
Thadden 1995) It was also found that the path coefficient difference between individual
investors and professional investors for short-term investment decisions was almost 15
times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions These
findings get support from (Fox amp Tversky 1995 Mishra 2014) that heuristics are used for
quick and efficient decision-making
Professional money managers should rely less on salience heuristic in order to
achieve a diversified and optimal portfolio An optimal portfolio provides maximum
returns (wealth) at a given level of risk (Markovitz 1952) More wealth increases
household consumption The high consumption should strengthen the overall economy
(Poterba 2000) Moreover high returns from optimal portfolios would allow individuals
for early retirement as they have higher savings which enhances the welfare of the society
(Chai Horneff Maurer amp Mitchell 2011) Higher yields would also encourage investors
to invest more in the stock market (Daniel amp Hirshleifer 2015) which could lead to higher
Samra Chaudary
98
productivity and growth of capital markets (Pagano 1993) and result in economic growth
(Paramati Ummalla amp Apergis 2016)
The study also investigated the group difference between female investors and male
investors It was found that female and male investors were significantly different from
each other The impact of salience was found to be higher for females than for males for
both short-term and long-term investment This supports the work of Seiler et al (2013)
and Seiler et al (2008) who also found that women consistently suffered more from
familiarity bias when they were asked to value their homes (in which they resided) in the
future Females tended to be more risk-averse then men (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac
2018 Byrnes et al 1999 Hinz et al 1997) and were found with lower level of comfort
with maths (Hayes amp Kelly 1998) could be another reason of them investing in familiar
investments only in both short-term and long-term Moreover Estes and Hosseini (1988)
reported that women had substantially less confidence in their investment decisions than
men This may be one of the reasons for the observed difference in higher salience for
women towards their investment decision for both long-term and short-term In addition to
that men tended to be over-confident in stock trading (Barber amp Odean 2001) and female
investors were likely to assign more weight to probability of loss and uncertainty than
male investors do (Olsen amp Cox 2001) could be other plausible cause of this phenomenon
The beta coefficients of LT-D were found higher than the beta coefficients for ST-D for
both men and women This outcome was also consistent with the explanation by Ang et al
(2014) who posited that lengthier tenure leads to greater familiarity bias
Investors should be mindful that salience investment strategy could also give rise
to the mispricing of the familiar companiesrsquo stocks High demand for familiar firmsrsquo stocks
Salience and Investment Decisions
99
would lead to an upsurge in stock price resulting in the overvaluation of those shares This
price rise will only withstand if familiar firms provide ample returns to support higher stock
prices However if familiar firms are not able to provide adequate returns their stock price
would ultimately settle downwards If investors successfully recognize the mispriced
equity triggered by familiarity bias they might realize profits from subsequent arbitrage
opportunities (De Vries et al 2017)
To sum up findings of this research conform with the Prospect theory (De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998) The results of this study will help money managers to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on salience and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification Moreover investment professionals can also
advise their clients how to avoid familiarity bias during the investment decision-making
process Salience is a critical heuristic to understand and to improve the quality of
investorsrsquo investment decision An effective financial adviser would require an
understanding of investorsrsquo psychological biases to implement well-planned investment
strategies The findings will also help regulatory authorities such as SECP to improve
investor protection rights and to enhance the functioning of stock market Professional
money managers from brokerage houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may
also deliver superior service and provide sound guidance to their customers once they are
aware of salience heuristic which can hamper their investment decisions Domestic firms
should publicly list their stocks in international stock exchanges to increase the familiarity
and decrease the information cost and such actions may encourage foreigners to invest in
stocks of such companies (Ahearne et al 2004)
Samra Chaudary
100
Women prefer less risk and are less confident than men when it comes to
investment decision so it is important to identify areas of their concerns related to money
matters An investment literacy program for women is needed especially in a developing
country like Pakistan This investment understanding could shape womenrsquos confidence and
influence their money matters and investment decision Moreover females represent a tiny
sample in the financial industry Therefore there is an immense need to target more females
in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
Lastly the findings will help both national and international financial regulatory
bodies and supervisory authorities for their better performance in managing financial
anomalies triggered by behavioral heuristics Foreign firms should also work towards
awareness transparency and investor protection so that investors can have confidence in
an international firm and they can diversify their portfolios internationally to enjoy higher
returns
36 Conclusion and Future Research
This study has made an attempt to investigate the influence of salience on long-
term and short-term investment decisions of the individual investor and professional
investors The study presented robust findings indicating the presence of the salience bias
for an emerging stock market It was found that salience has a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience
on short-term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for individual
investors than for professional investors In addition to that the impact of salience on short-
term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for females than for male
investors
Salience and Investment Decisions
101
The outcomes of this study are likely to assist in understanding the decision-making
perspectives of local investors The findings of this groundwork will aid to understand the
decision-making perspectives of local investors The instruments used in this study were
found to be valid and reliable and had been used in studies done in developed economies
It is critical that the same instrument should be used to generalize results across different
emerging economies as well especially As there were only 20 percent females in the
sample due to male-dominated industry the results need generalization from other
countries Future studies can investigate the impact of other heuristics on investment
horizons Future researchers can also pursue the inquiry if gender interacted with other
demographic variables such as marital status age and income have different investment
decisions The sample for this study was collected in the time of bearsrsquo market conditions
Upcoming research can collect data in bulls market and investigate if salience bias still
persists This study has relied on self-reported and perceptual data to measure heuristics
Future studies can make use of objective measures of heuristics However developing such
a measure for investors could be tremendously challenging Future research can also
investigate the influence of salience bias on investments decision by comparing investment
performance results in familiar and unfamiliar firms Market inefficiencies due to the
presence of asymmetric information are likely to lead to selection bias and future
researchers can explore this area Such investigation may help identify the presence of
potential arbitrage profit opportunities
Samra Chaudary
102
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Interaction of Income and Inheritance
Abstract
The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the Prospect theory the
theory of Planned Behavior and Monetary Intelligence theory to investigate the impact of
Love of Money (LoM) on short-term and long-term investment decisions It further
investigates the moderating effect of current income and expectation of receiving an
inheritance in the future The study uses partial least square based structural equation
modeling technique on a data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that LoM has a significant positive
impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of respondents
Furthermore it was found that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-
D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving
future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and
long-term investment decisions The results offer implications for the marketing of
financial institutions like asset management companies brokerage houses and investment
banks It may be possible to identify potential investors by means of segmentation based
on money attitudes current income and future wealth possession The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance
especially to the literature on LoM used by stock investors while making investment
decisions
Keywords Love of Money money attitudes income inheritance investment
decision behavioral finance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
103
41 Introduction
In the recent time period people who were attracted by high profits on their
investments lost their fortune in crises eg US financial crisis- 2008 Europe loan crisis-
2010 and Asian financial crisis- 1997 2012 Consequently people all over the world are
facing more complex financial decisions than in the past (Shih amp Ke 2014) Financial
decision-making is a key factor for long-term financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Tang et al 2018a) Some of the important reasons for the upsurge in individualsrsquo
investments are the concern for their retirement earnings (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004
McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) education expenses and health care expenditures (Greenberg
amp Hershfield 2019) Gunnarsson and Wahlund (1997) suggested another cause to
understand individual financial plans They observed that several economies have
encountered with increasing competition as a result of deregulation of the financial
industry social security cuts and tough economic conditions This phenomenon has made
it crucial for finance companies to adjust their advertising plans from supply-side to more
demand-side MacGregor and Slovic (2000) conducted research on a sample from the US
who was presently at or near their earnings peak and thought that retirement planning for
future income is crucial Sixty-seven percent of the sample reported of having a long-term
investment portfolio in marketable certificates they see portfolio returns as retirement
earnings which were essential to complement social security and pensions
Financial decisions are predicted by attitudes (Akhtar amp Das 2019) which are
highly influenced by socioeconomic status (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019)
Understanding of these attitudes is as financial planners devise effective strategies for their
clientsrsquo wealth management (Britt 2016) Attitudes influence the behavior and intentions
Samra Chaudary
104
to invest (Mahastanti amp Hariady 2013) One important attitude in this context is investorsrsquo
attitude towards money and it is one of the key factors influencing an individualrsquos financial
behavior (Shih amp Ke 2014) Money attitudes have gained attention for their hypothesized
relationship with financial behavior (Klontz amp Britt 2012)
Feldmanrsquos viewpoint of money is still pertinent Individualsrsquo decision process is
affected one way or another by the attitude towards money This includes the
consideration of whether to buy or not (Oezgen amp Bayoglu 2005) Money is the instrument
of commerce and a measure of value (Smith 1776 1937) Money is one of the most
important factors in our lives (Lodder Ong Grasman amp Wicherts 2019 Wernimont amp
Fitzpatrick 1972) The meaning of money lies in the eye of the beholder (McClelland
1967) and can be perceived as a ldquoframe of referencerdquo in everyday lives (Tang 1992)
Individuals use their money attitudes to frame their daily matters (Tang 1993) Money
attitudes are values that individuals associate with money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
People think about money but rarely discuss their financial matters income and stock
investments openly or discuss it with a few people only (Rubenstein 1981) An
individualrsquos money attitudes have roots in hisher childhood and it fairly persists all his
over their life (Tang amp Gilbert 1995)
Stock market investment offers a huge potential for financial returns Yet people
hesitate to invest their money in stocks instead they put their money more often into
savings deposits or real estate (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) This can be expected
according to prospect theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992)
as most individuals behave in a risk-averse way rather than risk-taking way when there is
a probability to make gains The likelihood of making gains is weighed as too risky because
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
105
of the unpredictable nature of capital markets In a comprehensive study on stock market
psychology Warneryd (2001) posited that investors do not behave according to
conventional models of investment as proposed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis and
by rational models of portfolio choice Instead of rational behavior that can be explained
by traditional finance investors show behavioral biases The understanding of variables
that hinder or stimulate investment in stocks is fairly important (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Investorsrsquo wealth and investment horizon have been reported as determinants of choice
among investment in different asset classes (Butler amp Domian 1991) Economic
psychology divides investors into groups based on financial psychological and
demographic characteristics Finance companies can then create specific marketing plans
to attract different groups of investors more effectively (Warneryd 2001)
Investment decisions have become more perplexed recently Thus in order to
understand which variables impact investorsrsquo financial decisions is of high relevance
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006b) Numerous psychological factors play a significant role in
individual financial decisions eg attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b)
locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward saving (Euwals et al 2004) risk attitudes
(Morse1998 Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001) and behavioral biases (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014) Money attitudes have been studied in different areas of psychology
previously (Du amp Tang 2005 Gentina et al 2018 Hampson et al 2018 Lemrova et al
2014 Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al 2018a)
To date little is known about the impact of Love of Money on investment behavior
To the best of our knowledge the impact of Love of Money has never been systematically
tested with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive power
Samra Chaudary
106
been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix III) It is fair
to believe that individuals assign a meaning to money that will have an effect on their
inclination towards the purchase of stocks The key goal of the life of people with high
money obsession is to grow their assets Individuals who are obsessed with money and
believe that money means achievement intelligence and power are expected to be more
likely to invest in stocks in order to attain their financial goals Financial returns provided
by stock investments can be viewed as a means of fulfilling their money-related goals
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
There is scant empirical research about the love of money of stock market investors
and none in the emerging economy A handful of research studies have focused on peoplesrsquo
money attitudes in the developed economies (Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Gentina et al
2018 Hampson et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang
1992 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell et al 2007) but research in the context of
developing economies is still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Li et al 2009 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira et al 2014)
This study fills the void by investigating for the first time the impact of Love of
Money on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of actual stock market
investors from an emerging market The study further investigates if income and
inheritance expectation moderate the relationship of LoM with short-term and long-term
investment decision This study also extends prospect theory theory of planned behavior
and monetary intelligence theory in the domain of behavioral finance and offers
implications to individual investors and professional money managers in the context of a
developing economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
107
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development
421 Prospect Theory
Prospect theory suggests that when an individual is offered a gamble containing
two or more outcome lotteries with some probability they would make their decisions on
the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the alternative with the highest value The value function is concave
for gains convex for losses and steeper for losses than for gains Critical to this value
function is the reference point from which gains and losses are measured Mostly
individuals display risk-averse behavior rather than risk-seeking behavior when there is a
probability to make profits (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Chances of making gains are
calculated as too uncertain because of the apparent uncertainty of future financial market
movements An investorrsquos attitude towards money is a crucial factor in determining the
willingness to invest in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals differ in their attitude towards money which explains the endowment effect
(also known as status quo bias) and loss-averse behavior Endowment effect comes into
play when individuals place a higher value on assets that they own over those they do not
own because they assign more weight to losses than they do gains Hence they demand a
higher price (return) to give up the asset (they own) than they would be willing to pay to
purchase it (Thaler 1980) The disutility of giving up an asset (they own) is greater than
the utility of acquiring it (Kahneman Knetsch amp Thaler 1990 Kahneman amp Tversky
1984)
A number of studies have made use of prospect theory to investigate profits and
losses of stocks uncertainty skills of the portfolio manager (Jordan amp Riley 2015) and
Samra Chaudary
108
well-being (Frijters Johnston Shields amp Sinha 2015 Gehring amp Willoughby 2002
Ratcliffe amp Taylor 2015) Nonetheless only a few studies have analyzed investorsrsquo
decisions through the lens of their Love of Money (Gentina et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al 2018a Tang Tillery Lazarevski amp Luna-Arocas 2004)
422 Theory of Planned Behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB Ajzen 1991) individualsrsquo
behavior is predicted by their behavioral intention Attitudes subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control affect behavioral intentions which then determine actual
behaviors The theory of planned behavior predicts that behavior can include conflicts
between short-term and long-term goals affect cognition and consequences in several
fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Thus the central idea of the theory is that planned behavior is
determined by behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) Cognitive impairment and lack of self-
control are the two key reasons due to which a person falls for the attraction of money
(Chen Tang amp Tang 2014 Tang amp Sutarso 2013) Therefore to understand an
individualrsquos behaviors scholars must study a personrsquos deeply rooted money attitudes
Raut et al (2018) proposed that TPB predicts onesrsquo behavioral intention to invest
in the capital market Similarly several studies have applied TPB on individuals to study
their money attitudes in decision-making (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014
Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Singhapakdi Vitell Lee Nisius amp Grace 2013 Tang et al
2007 Tang 2016 Tang et al 2018a) However very few researches have been carried
out outside the US and even fewer in developing countries (Prahalad amp Hammond
2002) The contribution of TPB is not as widespread as many scholars once thought
especially in developing countries (Kirkman amp Law 2005) This study extends the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
109
applicability of the TPB in the area of investment decision-making in a developing
economy
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory
Since attitudes determine intentions and behaviors Hence scholars should explore
personsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes in order to recognize behaviors (Tang 2016)
Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model) of attitudes
(Bagozzi Tybout Craig amp Sternthal 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed
that individuals monitor their own love of money motive (affect behavior and cognition)
and apply that knowledge to evaluate critical concerns in the proximal (immediate) and
distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically choose the options to achieve financial goals
success and ultimately to maximize their expected utility (Tang et al 2018b 2018c)
Various researchers have studied the concept of Monetary Intelligence in several
researches where individuals apply their monetary and personal values in decision-making
(Chen et al 2014 Gentina et al 2016 Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015
Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang et al 2018b 2018c Tang 2016) The findings of this study
expand the application of theory of MI to a new context of short-term and long-term
investment decisions made by investors in an emerging economy
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Money attitudes are the values and meanings that one relates with money (Keller
amp Siegrist 2006a) Love of Money is defined as (i) attitude towards money including
affective behavioral and cognitive components (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) (ii) meaning
of money (Tang 1992) (iii) desire (Sloan 2002) and aspirations (Tang 2007) for money
(iv) materialism (Belk 1985) (v) not onersquos need but greed (Sloan 2002) and (vi) the joint
Samra Chaudary
110
concept of numerous sub-constructs (Du amp Tang 2005 Tang 1992 1995 2007 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang Kim amp Shin-Hsiung 2000 Tang Luna-Arocas
amp Sutarso 2005 Tang et al 2007 Vitell Paolillo amp Singh 2006 Vitell et al 2007)
Money Ethic Scale (MES Tang 1992 1993 1995) is one of the most scientifically
used money attitudes measurement instruments in previous studies (Mitchell amp Mickel
1999) Love of money (LoM) is the most well-developed construct of money attitude
(Gentina et al 2018 Tang et al 2018a Tang et al 2004) Love of Money scale has been
validated in more than three dozen studies (Erdener amp Garkavenko 2012 Gbadamosi amp
Joubert 2005 Lim amp Teo 1997 Nkundabanyanga Omagor Mpamizo amp Ntayi 2011
Sardzoska amp Tang 2009 Tang et al 2006 Tang Chen amp Sutarso 2008a Tang et al
2011 Wong 2008) Researchers have cited it in several leading international reviews
(Dittmar Bond Hurst amp Kasser 2014 Kish-Gephart Harrison amp Trevintildeo 2010 Lea amp
Webley 2006 Mitchell amp Mickel 1999 Rose amp Orr 2007 Zhang 2009) and in multiple
textbooks (Colquitt LePine amp Wesson 2011 Furnham 2014 McShane amp Von Glinow
2008 Milkovich Newman amp Gerhart 2014 Newman Gerhart amp Milkovich 2017
Phillips amp Gully 2013 Rynes amp Gerhart 2000 Scandura 2016) The Love of Money
(LoM) construct is a subset of MES (Tang amp Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al
2006 2011) and is also re-named as monetary intelligence lately (Chen et al 2014
Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015 Tang 2016 Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang
et al 2018b 2018c)
Tang (1992) proposed a Money Ethic Scale (MES) comprising of three factors 1)
an affective factor (money is good money is evil) 2) a cognitive factor (money symbolizes
achievement power and freedom) 3) and a behavioral factor (budget handle money
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
111
carefully) factor Lim and Teo (1997) proposed a parsimonious instrument on cognitive
and behavioral dimensions using items from Furnham (1984) Tang (1992) and Yamauchi
amp Templer (1982)
Love of money is a multidimensional construct and is measured as a second-order
variable in the literature (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014 Tang 2016) It has
also been reported that LoM as a latent formative construct is superior to latent reflective
construct (Lemrova et al 2014) Theoretically a multidimensional construct means a
single theoretical concept denotes to ldquoa number of interrelated attributes or dimensions
and exists in multidimensional domainsrdquo (Law Wong amp Mobley 1998)
Undoubtedly having money is essential It is reported that money has become more
important with time in materialistic communities (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) Four decades
ago males ranked salary (income) at fifth place among ten important life goals however
females ranked salary (income) seventh place (Jurgensen 1978) However in 1990 all
respondents agreed that salary was ranked as the most important factor among eleven life
goals The salary was ranked first in importance in Germany and second in Belgium the
UK and the US (Harpaz 1990) Whoever loves money never has enough of it whoever
adores money is certainly not contented with hisher income (Tang et al 2018a) These
empirical findings are aligned with the old wisdom ldquoWhoever loves money never has
enough whoever loves wealth is never satisfied with their incomerdquo (Ecclesiastes 5 10
The Catholic Bible Tang et al 2006) ldquoPoverty consists not in the decrease of onersquos
possessions but in the increase of onersquos greed (Plato 427ndash347 BC)rdquo
Zakaria Jaafar and Marican (2012) suggested that money has an effect on onersquos
financial behavior Money attitudes predict monetary intentions and financial decisions
Samra Chaudary
112
(Tang et al 2018a) High LoM was reported to be associated with high risk-taking
behavior in a reward-related gambling task It was also found that participants with high
LoM were more sensitive to gainslosses that participants with low LoM (Jia Zhang Li
Feng amp Li 2013) People who have high Love of Money motive desire to make more
money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and tend to show high tolerance
for investment risk (Tang et al 2008a) Employees in the developing economies are more
obsessed with money and these employees tended to seek any opportunity to make more
money (Tang et al 2005) Those who give importance to money were found keen to take
benefits from circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Such individuals
would likely to invest in the stock market to expect high profits Therefore it is reasonable
to assume that the meaning that people assign to money does affect their intention to invest
in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
It was reported that when individuals were asked to recall money they become
unfriendly or less warm and shifted into their business and work mode (Vohs 2015 Vohs
Mead amp Goode 2006) Similarly Tang et al (2004) found that individuals who value
money are keenly involved in their work-related activities so that they can earn more
money and they relish achievements and success
Since the sample of this research was stock investors therefore in the light of
previous literature it was proposed that high LoM motive operated strongly on individuals
working as stock investors In contrast Keller and Siegrist (2006a) conducted a research
on Swiss investors and found that investment in stocks did not matter for those who
perceive money as an achievement and obsession It is possible that for Swiss investors the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
113
expected return on the stock market was not a reliable indicator as an expression of
achievement and power
A sample of South African students was reported to treat money as their
achievement and achievement were found significantly associated with their materialism
(Nnedum Egwu Obinna Ntomchukwu amp Chukwukeluo 2011) Lemrova et al (2014)
also found that money was viewed as power in the context of materialism Similarly
according to Lea and Webley (2006) money was viewed as a symbol of power and was
found acting an addictive drugmdash the more you have the more you want It is that some
people tend to make more than they require which may lead to over earning and
accumulating wealth (Hsee Zhang Cai amp Zhang 2013) Feeling powerful also increases
saving (Garbinsky Kless amp Aaker 2014) Thus money a representation of power was
reported to be associated with wealth Money attitudes that reflect high level of power and
achievement tend to be positively related to high-risk current (short-term) and high-risk
future (long-term) financial investments (Shih amp Ke 2014) Hence the following
hypotheses are proposed for this study
H1 Love of Money positively impacts short-term investment decisions
H2 Love of Money positively impacts long-term investment decisions
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money
Money is one way of expressing social status and it divides people into different
social groups (Tomek Striacuteteskyacute amp Tahal 2013) Some studies have found that money
attitudes are independent of onersquos income (Medina Saegert amp Gresham 1996 Yamauchi
amp Templer 1982) However other studies showed contradictory findings for example
individuals who perceive themselves affluent at times behave in a different way from those
Samra Chaudary
114
who perceive themselves unfortunate (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Wealth perception
may have its roots in early life socioeconomic class Individuals who were raised in a higher
socioeconomic class are likely to show more risk-averse behavior than those who were
raised in a lower socioeconomic class (Griskevicius et al 2013) On the other hand Corter
and Chen (2006) found that wealthier investors tended to take more risks than less wealthy
ones
An individuals reaction to money is a reflection of hisher past life experiences
which influence attitudes towards money People who had faced a financial struggle in
their life were found likely to behave differently towards their Love of Money motive as
compared to those who had not experienced such hardships Those who had experienced
hardship in their lives suffered more from financial anxiety than those who did not because
of the high emotional and psychological pain related to financial deprivation Those
individuals were also probably treated with contempt when they desperately needed
money Thus they tend to see money as a means of comparison or evaluation Reddy
(1987) suggested that rich and poor would have different perspectives in the sense how
they use money Therefore money has a different meaning to different people which
depends on their backgrounds and financial experiences (Wernimont amp Fitzpatrick 1972)
Keller and Siegrist (2006b) also reported that investors having different money
attitudes profiles behave and invest differently They created four types of groups with
different money attitudes Safe players see financial security and savings as essential
Hoarding wealth and accumulating money were vital objectives of their lives Risk seekers
were risk-tolerant and have the most positive attitude towards stocks They were most
obsessed with money and would invest a huge amount of money in stocks Open books
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
115
showed little affinity with money They had low risk-tolerance and a negative attitude
towards stocks Financial security and savings had medium importance to them Money
dummies also had a low obsession with money They showed less risk tolerance and less
attraction towards money matters They had a more positive attitude towards the stock
market than open books
Earlier researches have studied the effect of income on willingness to invest in
shares (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994 Grable Lytton amp OrsquoNeill 2004 Hlouskova Fortin amp
Tsigaris 2017) Individuals with income (businessmen) were reported to differ from those
without income (students) with respect to money as a motivator and as a measure of
achievement (Tang et al 2004) Individuals who imagined themselves to be well-off in
the future showed a high risk-seeking behavior than those who imagined themselves to be
deprived in the future (Greenberg 2013) However Concepcion (2016) found when one
starts to earn high-income heshe did not understand the need to save (invest) because the
income was expected to be replaced next month Income and net worth were reported to
have a positive correlation with investments in risky assets (Guiso Jappelli amp Terlizzese
1996) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the relationship of expected inheritance
employment status and income with financial investment They found women tended to
invest in stocks if they expected to receive inheritance were employed and had higher net
worth than men However men who expected to receive inheritance were more likely to
invest in business assets and less in housing assets Therefore the aforementioned findings
imply (regardless of gender) more wealth was found likely to lead to risky investments
Individuals with low-income level were seen to be more obsessed with money and
tended to spend money for power as compared to those with high-income level (Furnham
Samra Chaudary
116
1984) According to Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) poor people are
constantly in the losses (Kahneman 2011) which reflects their risk-seeking behavior for
losses (Gentina et al 2018) Many researches have reported that risk seekers purchase
shares more frequently than fewer risk avoiders (Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001
Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) Poor children significantly overvalue the size of coins as
compared to rich kids (Bruner amp Goodman 1947) An increase in income was found
related to onersquos wellbeing predominantly for the poor After reaching above the poverty
threshold a further increase in income was found to matter little for the feeling of wellbeing
(Diener amp Oishi 2000) For example in a sample from Hong Kong the relationship
between income and LoM was found to be negative for highly paid employees Their
income was greater than the per capita GDP (Tang amp Chiu 2003) The same relationship
between income and LoM was found positive for underpaid African-Americans and for
women in the US who have less income than their counterparts and insignificant for
Caucasians and men in the US who have sufficient income at the market level or their
income was more than their counterparts (Tang et al 2006)
Individuals with low socioeconomic status tend to take high risk and low returns
investment decisions (Haisley Mostafa amp Loewenstein 2008) Consequently economic
disparity predicts high risk-seeking behavior (Krupp amp Cook 2018 Mishra Hing amp
Lalumiere 2015 Payne Brown-Iannuzzi amp Hannay 2017) Individuals with low-income
are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several unmet needs
(Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and their unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator because only money can
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
117
fulfill the desires and improve the (financial) performance (Gomez-Mejia amp Balkin 1992
Jenkins Mitra Gupta amp Shaw 1998 Locke Feren McCaleb Shaw amp Denny 1980)
Therefore investors for whom money is a motivator are likely to take more risk
They constantly react to the stock market index frequently buy andor sell shares alter
shares proportion and try to make quick gains hence their investment behaviors are
controlled by the money-making motive (Tang et al 2018a) and they become a slave of
money (De Charms 1976) Due to the prospects of financial gains in the capital markets
low-income investors tended to strive for assets and do whatever it takes to make more
money than their counterparts (Tang et al 2008b)
Nonetheless normative scholars advise that investors must expect the compromise
between risk and expected return in order to achieve an optimal investment portfolio
(Merton 1973) Figure 41 illustrates the structural model about relationship of Love of
Money with short-term and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of
income and expect to receive a future inheritance Based on above discussion of literature
about relationship of income and wealth with LoM the following hypotheses are proposed
H3 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and short-term investment
decisions
H4 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and long-term investment
decisions
H5 Expectation of receiving future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love
of Money and short-term investment decisions
H6 Expect to receive future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love of
Money and long-term investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
118
Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term and
long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect to
receive the future inheritance
43 Data and Methodology
431 Measures
This study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decision were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) on a five-point likert
scale Love of money is a second-order formative construct (reflective first-order
formative second-order) as proposed by Lemrova et al 2014) and (Tang 2016) Four first-
order latent sub-constructs are reflective 1) achievement 2) power 3) obsession and 4)
budget These dimensions were adopted from Keller and Siegrist (2006a) and have four
five four and two items respectively LoM is a second-order latent construct based on four
dimensions mentioned above Edwards (2011) has explained that a formative construct is
a composite of certain non-deletable dimensions that represent theoretically critical aspect
Achievement
Power
Obsession
Budget
S-T Investment Decisions
Love of Money
L-T Investment Decisions
IncomeExpect to receive
Inheritance
H1
H2
H3 H4H5 H6
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
119
of that latent construct In this study those dimensions are Achievement Power
Obsession and Budget These dimensions themselves are latent constructs that are
reflectively indicated by measurable indicators
432 Methods
4321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The sample consisted of money
managers working in financial institutions and individual investors who were active
investors on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX previously called KSE Karachi Stock
Exchange) Money managers were working in financial institutions like mutual fund
companies (asset management companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks However selected individual stock investors could be from any background and
from any industry or profession as the objective of this research was to analyze the behavior
of stock investors regardless of the fact that they were individual investors or they work
for an institution where they investmanage other peoplesrsquo money Out of the total
investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74
percent investors and Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company
2018) Hence it was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs of the
country where 92 percent of investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect the data from the targeted population of investors We received back 517
questionnaires and only 277 were fully completed Therefore the useable responses were
277 almost 35 percent response rate The response rate deemed satisfactory Many
behavioral studies in the discipline of investment decision had as low response rate as 109
Samra Chaudary
120
percent (Brown Call Clement amp Sharp 2015) 54 percent (Dichev Graham Harvey amp
Rajgopal 2013) and 289 percent (Yalcin et al 2016) The investment industry is highly
male-dominated hence sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females The
sample had 59 percent money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60
percent of the respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either
separated or divorced The sample comprised of 87 percent employed respondents and 12
percent business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent
of the sample had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family
and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future inheritance In addition to that 58
percent of the sample perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent
perceived themselves in upper middle class 3 percent perceived themselves as coming
from upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class The
sample had 86 percent respondents who had their upbringing in the urban areas and 14
percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas The data also exhibited that 11
percent of the respondents responded that they were very liberal in terms of religiosity 78
percent reported that they were moderately religious and 11 percent informed that they
were very religious The average age and monthly income of the sample were 32 years and
PKR 018 million respectively The average education was of 16 years The sample had on
average 4 years of investment experience in the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average
amount invested in stocks was about PKR 10million Pakistanrsquos per capita income has
increased by 05 percent in year 2017-2018 and is at $1641 (PKR 162230) (Economic
Survey of Pakistan 2018) Per capita income crudely measures of the general well-being
in an economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
121
4322 Data Analyses
The research employs partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-
SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due
to numerous reasons Firstly PLS-SEM efficiently handles both reflective and formative
measures (Ringle Sarstedt amp Straub 2012) Secondly PLS-SEM does not require data to
be normally distributed (Hair et al 2012) and works well with small sample sizes and
complex models (Cassel Hackl amp Westlund 1999) and involves minimum requirements
on measurement scales and residual distribution (Wold 1985) Thirdly applying PLS-
SEM provides effectiveness in parameter estimates which is established in the methods
higher statistical power than that of CB-SEM A higher statistical power denotes that PLS-
SEM tends to show a specific relationship significant when it is actually significant in the
population (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016) Fourthly this approach focuses on
predictive estimation Precisely the aim of PLS-SEM is to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair et al 2014) Fifthly to
evaluate the statistical significance of the parameter estimates smart PLS3 software
version 328 provides with percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair et al 2011
Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling involves selecting repeated random
subsamples from the original sample (Hair et al 2012) These bootstrapped samples then
test the significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS
approach can be utilized for theory validation as well as to propose where relationships
may or may not present (Chin 1998) PLS is beneficial for exploratory research and for
the initial phases of theory development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982) Table 41 depicts the
correlations of the constructs and square-root of average variance extracted
Samra Chaudary
122
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decision was 0490 (p=0000) Similarly short-term
investment decision also showed a positive correlation with all four factors of Love of
Money ie achievement power obsession and budget short-term investment decision had
the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0342 (p=0000) with budget component and
lowest correlation value of 0240 (p=0000) with obsession component In the same way
long-term investment decision too exhibited a positive correlation with all four factors of
Love of Money with the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0500 (p=0000) with budget
factor and lowest correlation value of 0209 (p=0000) with obsession factor
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
ST-D LT-D Achievement Power Obsession Budget
ST-D 3074 0836 (0742)
LT-D 3292 0856 0490 (0735)
Achievement 2893 0934 0297 0244 (0808)
Power 2928 0967 0268 0327 0645 (0821)
Obsession 2659 0898 0240 0209 0582 0610 (0744)
Budget 3093 0785 0342 0500 0221 0184 0157 (0771) Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
44 Results
441 Measurement Model
For reflective constructs researchers should report factor loadings composite
reliability average variance extracted and discriminant validity The statistical assessment
for reflective model cannot be reassigned to formative models where indicators represent
constructrsquos independent causes and therefore do not necessarily correlate highly (Hair et
al 2016) Evaluating convergent and discriminant validities are not important when
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
123
formative constructs and their weights entail (Chin 1998) For formative constructs
indicator weights along with their significance multicollinearity of indicators and
constructs must be stated (Cenfetelli amp Bassellier 2009 Chin 1998 Fornell amp Larcker
1981 Hair et al 2012) Therefore the measurement model of first-order reflective
constructs or the reflective dimensions of the second-order construct were evaluated by
analyzing the factor loadings All the loadings were found above 05 (Velicer amp Fava
1998 Wille 1996) and statistically significant (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999)
A resampling was done by bootstrapping method with 2000 subsamples which
were used to compute t-statistics (Henseler et al 2009) The estimates of standardized
factor loadings of first-order reflective constructs ranged from 0641 to 0865 (tgt196) for
short-term investment decision 0630-0798 (tgt196) for long-term investment decision
0690-0873 (tgt196) for achievement 0615-0794 (tgt196) for power 0628-0798
(tgt196) for obsession 0722-0783 (tgt196) and 0527-0954 (tgt196) for budget
Composite reliability (CR) of reflective constructs measured the internal
consistency which should be higher than 07 or higher (Hair et al 2012) The values of
composite reliability were 0773 for short-term investment decision 0823 for long-term
investment decision 0882 for achievement 0912 for power 0837 for obsession and
0730 for budget Convergent validity was also computed for reflective constructs through
average variance extracted (AVE) which fulfill the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et
al 2012) The values for AVE were 0551 for short-term investment decision 0541 for
long-term investment decision 0653 for achievement 0675 for power 0555 for
obsession and 0595 for budget Discriminant validity of each reflective construct was
measured through two approaches and met the standards by Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981)
Samra Chaudary
124
and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015)
According to Fornell-Larcker criteria the square root of AVE of a latent construct should
be greater than all of the inter-factor correlations of that construct with other constructs
(Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT values were less than 1 which is the predefined
threshold by (Henseler et al 2015)
Common method bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each
reflective construct through variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test
was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term investment
decision and once with the long-term investment decision No common method bias was
found in both the tests as the VIF values of all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
The study used a repeated indicator method to compute the parameters of second-
order (reflective-formative) construct namely Love of Money It is an appropriate
approach in a complicated structural model in which the formative construct has an
endogenous position (Becker Klein amp Wetzels 2012b) The estimation of the formative
construct (LoM) at the dimension level was done by testing for multicollinearity between
its dimensions and by analyzing its weights (Henseler et al 2009)
Weights of formative construct show that power with weight 0458 (tgt196)
represents the most significant dimensions of LoM in the formation of the LoM construct
That was followed by achievement with weight 0350 (tgt196) obsession with weight
0290 (tgt196) and budget with weight 0095 (tgt196) The maximum variance inflation
factor (VIF) value for all dimensions was less than the recommended value of 33 (Kock
2015) The results of the measurement model are presented in table 42 and table 43 44
and 45
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
125
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor Loadings
Boot
sample
t-Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0669
8112
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0865 23795
I intend to compare my portfolio performance
to that of professional managers 0641 7244
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross
earnings for investingsavingretirement
purposes
0798 23438
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on
multiple asset classes (stocks bonds cash
real estate etc)
0715 12630
I intend to take an investment course 0785 21210
I intend to invest some money in long-term
assets where my money will be tied up and
inaccessible for years
0630 8323
Love of
Money
(second order-
formative
construct)
(Kelleramp
Siegrist
2006a)
Achievement
(reflective dimension)
I believe that the amount of money that a
person earns is closely related to hisher
ability and effort
0690 17818
Money represents ones achievement 0837 37628
Money is a symbol of success 0873 58397
I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence 0812 34412
Power
(reflective dimension)
Money can give you the opportunity to be
what you want to be 0794 67856
Money gives you autonomy or freedom 0784 39807
Money means power 0742 39244
Money will help you express your
competence and abilities 0774 32383
Money can bring you many friends 0615 18517
Obsession
(reflective dimension)
I firmly believe that money can solve all of
my problems 0748 22209
Money can buy everything 0628 6043
I would do practically anything legal for
money if it were enough 0798 26365
I often fantasize about money and what I
could do with it 0791 35126
Budget
(reflective dimension)
I am proud of my ability to save money 0954 27280
I feel compelled to argue or bargain about the
cost of almost everything that I buy 0527 3672
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
126
Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs
Constructs Weights of
Formative
Components of
Construct LoM
t-values of
Weights
Variance
Inflation Factor
(VIF)
Achievement 0350 21725 2031
Power 0458 26660 2155
Obsession 0290 14361 2029
Budget 0095 5767 1121
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted
(AVE)
Short-Term Investment Decision 0773 0551
Long-Term Investment Decision 0823 0541
Achievement 0882 0653
Power 0912 0675
Obsession 0837 0555
Budget 0730 0595
Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Achievement Budget Long-Term
Investment
Decision
Obsession Power Short-Term
Investment
Decision
Achievement
Budget 04662
Long-Term
Investment
Decision
03553 07748
Obsession 07911 04764 03102
Power 07591 03561 0432 08125
Short-Term
Investment
Decision
04514 03446 07436 04071 04057
442 Structural Model
The following section investigates the direct effects of Love of Money on short-
term investment decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates
(path coefficients) were computed along with their significance The significance of
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
127
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The benchmark for the coefficient of determination (R2) is 010 or higher (Falk amp
Miller 1992) The effect size of the impact of LoM on ST-D and LT-D was reported as
suggested by Cohen (1998) The rule about effect size is that the f2 values of 002 015
and 035 showed a small medium and large effect size (Henseler et al 2009) The
predictive relevance of the model was estimated by calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser
1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al 2014) Lastly the power test was
also performed to analyze the probability that a statistically significant relationship is
found when the relationship is actually there (Goodhue et al 2012) A value of 08 or
higher is adequate in behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 46 summarizes the results of direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between LoM and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with medium effect size (β=
0341 p= 0000 f2= 0160) Similarly the association between LoM and LT-D (H2) was
also found statistically significant with a smaller positive beta coefficient and medium
effect size (β= 0328 p= 0000 f2= 0154) The coefficient of determination of LoM with
LT-D is slightly higher (R2= 0138) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0134) Hence variations in LoM was found likely to explain more variations in LT-
D than in ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each exogenous
construct in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All
the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which means
a very high probability of the presence of the relationships between the exogenous latent
variable (LoM) and endogenous latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) A high value of power
test affirmed the appropriateness of the sample size
Samra Chaudary
128
Age gender and religiosity were included as control variables in the model These
variables have relevance in the model of Love of Money and investment decisions Age
had shown an impact on financial decisions (Agarwal et al 2007) Men were more inclined
towards both short-term and long-term investments than women (Bajtelsmit et al 1999
Hariharan et al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Religiosity was found
to have an effect on decision-making (Singhapakdi et al 2013) Hunt and Vitell (1993)
also posited that the strength of religious viewpoints could bring about differences in onersquos
decision-making processes Wong (2008) suggested that individuals with similar religious
beliefs tended to have different love of money profiles However McClure (1984) found
that money attitudes are generally similar irrespective of religion None of the control
variables had shown any impact in our model
Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path Coefficients
p
value
f2 R2 Q2 Statistical
Power
H1 Love of Money -gt
Short-term
investment decision
0341 0000 0160 0134 0058 0999
H2 Love of Money -gt
Long-term
investment decision
0328 0000 0154 0138 0059 0999
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01 Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0101 p=0109) Gender-gtST-D (β= -00437 p=0427) Religiosity -gtST-D (β=
0048 p=0391) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0070 p=0214 Gender-gtLT-D (β= 0093 p=0112) and Religiosity-gtLT-D (β= -
0002 p=0953)
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance
A moderator variable explains ldquowhenrdquo the relationship exists between an independent
and dependent variable It can affect the magnitude andor sign of the relationship (Baron
amp Kenny 1986) Current income and expectation of receiving an inheritance in future were
tested as moderators between the relationship of LoM and short-term investment decision
as well as long-term investment decision The moderation was computed through a product
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
129
indicator method by Chin Marcolin and Newsted (2003) in which each indicator of
independent variable was multiplied with each indicator of the moderator (income) to
create a new variable The product indicator approach provides least biased estimates for
the parameters of an interaction effect and delivers true estimates for the interaction effect
for medium to large sample sizes The product indicator method also yields higher
prediction accuracy of the endogenous latent variable (Henseler amp Chin 2010) We also
investigated the statistical power test to reveal if the model is strong enough to detect a
significant effect that actually does exist (Frazier Tix amp Barron 2004 Goodhue et al
2012) The moderation results are presented in table 47 The interactions effects of H3
H4 H5 and H6 are plotted in figure 42 43 44 and 45 respectively These plots depict
the effects of independent variables on dependent variables in the presence of moderator
It was found income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D (H3) (β=
-0173 p= 0050) and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D (H4) (β= 0037
p= 0514) Additionally it was found that high-income dampens the positive relationship
between LoM and short-term investment decision with a change in R2 from 0134 without
the moderator (income) to R2 0152 with the presence of income as a moderator The
positive impact of LoM on ST-D when moderated with income turned into a negative
moderated relationship between LoM and ST-D So the impact of LoM on ST-D was
found conditional on the level of income The negative coefficient of interaction term with
LoM implies that investors with high-income are less likely to take short-term investment
decisions even though their LoM is high Hence those investors who had high current
income were found less likely to involve in short-term investments
Samra Chaudary
130
In figure 42 it can be seen that the direction of the relationship between Love of
money and short-term investment decision is different for investors with high-income (+1
standard deviation) and investors with low-income (-1 standard deviation) as there was a
significant difference in slopes at mean income at -1 standard deviation (SD) and at +1
standard deviation The slopes of two regression lines are moving in different directions
Figure 43 shows that income did not moderate the relationship between love of money and
long-term investment decision as there was no significant difference in slopes at mean
income at high-income (+1 standard deviation) and at low-income (-1 standard deviation)
Expect to receive inheritance was a dummy variable and coded with the values of
0 and 1 The value of the moderator was 0 if individuals expected to receive future
inheritance and 1 if they did not expect to receive future inheritance It was found that
expectation of receiving future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM
and both short-term (H5) (β= 0373 p= 0024) and long-term investment decisions (H6)
(β= 0318 p= 0044) Moreover it was found that the impact of LoM on ST-D was found
slightly higher in the situation when individuals did not expect to receive inheritance as
compared to the impact of LoM on LT-D for the same condition Hence those investors
who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found more likely to participate in
short-term investment activities than in long-term investment activities even though their
LoM was high Similarly those investors who expected to receive future inheritance were
found less likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high
A change in R2 was observed from 0134 without the moderator (expect to receive
future inheritance) to R2 0165 with the presence of the moderator in the case of ST-D and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
131
from 0138 to 0201 in the case of LT-D R2 Δ measures the effect size in moderation
analysis R2Δ demonstrates a unique share of variance explained by an exogenous variable
in the endogenous variable that is not explained by other exogenous variables in the model
(Cohen Cohen West amp Aiken 2003) Cohen (1988) defined small moderate and large
effect sizes of R2Δ as 002 013 and 026 respectively R2Δ was found to be 0018 for H3
0008 for H4 0031 for H5 and 0063 for H6 All moderation hypotheses (H3-H6) showed
a small effect size The statistical power of all the relationships was closer to 1
Figure 44 and 45 depict the significant interaction between Love of Money and
expectation of having a future inheritance on ST-D and LT-D respectively The rate of
change in response to a unit increase in Love of Money differs for investors who expected
to receive inheritance compared to investors who did not expect to receive future
inheritance As can be seen in both figures Love of Money was found to be positively
associated with short-term and long-term investment decisions when investors did not
expect future inheritance The impact of Love of money on both short-term and long-term
investment decisions was positive when investors did not expect future inheritance The
rate of change of the slope is relatively steeper in case of short-term investment decision
Table 47 Moderation Results
Hypotheses Relationships Estimate p
value
R2
without
moderator
R2
with
moderator
R2Δ Power
Result
H3 LoMIncome-gtST-D -0173 0050 0134 0152 0018 0999 Moderation
H4 LoMIncome-gtLT-D 0037 0514 0138 0153 0008 0999 No
Moderation
H5 LoMInheritance-gtST-
D
0373 0024 0134 0165 0031 0999 Moderation
H6 LoMInheritance-gtLT-
D
0318 0044 0138 0201 0063 0999 Moderation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision and LoM= Love of
Money
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
132
Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and short-
term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one standard
deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below the mean
(ie low-income)
Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below
the mean (ie low-income)
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
133
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision
Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Short
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Long
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
Samra Chaudary
134
45 Discussion and Implications
This study extends existing research by focusing on investorsrsquo short-term and long-
term investment decisions through the lens of their money attitudes Findings of the
formative theoretical model demonstrated the new visions for the field of Love of Money
of stock investors in the context of an emerging market This study found that LoM had a
significant positive effect on both short-term and long-term investment decisions (H1 and
H2) Previous studies have also found that employees in developing countries are more
obsessed with money and look for any opportunity to make money (Tang et al 2005)
Similarly other studies have also found that individuals with high LoM motives want to
make money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and display investment risk
tolerance behavior (Jia et al 2013 Tang et al 2008a) Those who value money more tend
to get benefit from the circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Our results
also showed that investors with high LoM tended to engage in both types of financial gain
opportunities ie short-term and long-term investments Nonetheless it is critical that
money managers should watch the decision-making of investors because those who want
to get rich also tend to involve in unethical and disordered money behaviors (Britt 2016
Tang et al 2008a 2011 Tang amp Sutarso 2013)
Exploring the same theoretical model with the interaction of income and
expectation of future inheritance revealed more interesting findings It was found that
investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment and no long-term
investment if their income was high Similarly investors with higher LoM were likely to
do less short-term investment and relatively more long-term investment if they expected to
receive a future inheritance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
135
Chen et al (2014) found that the more money rich people have the more money
they want Individuals with low (high) affection for money have low (high) interests in
making money (Tang 2016) Earlier studies have found that wealthier investors were
willing to take more risk (Bernoulli 17381954) and individuals with high-income are less
risk-averse (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994) and have more positive attitude towards financial
risk tolerance than individuals with low-income (Grable et al 2004) Therefore according
to previous literature and in order to make more wealth a high LoM motive of wealthier
(high current income and expect to receive inheritance) investors should have a positive
effect on long-term investment instead of short-term because long-term securities possess
higher risk as well as higher returns (Dimson et al 2017 Harrison amp Zhang 1999 Von
Thadden 1995) This could be one of the reasons that money attitudes of high-income
investors and those who expected to receive inheritance showed a negative impact on short-
term investments High LoM motive of those who expected to receive future fortune tended
to invest more in long-term investments Warren (2014) also reported that long-term
investments provide growth and assist investors to generate more wealth over time
However on the other hand our findings also showed that LoM (money attitude)
of high-income investors showed no impact on long-term investments Previous studies
have also reported that money attitudes are unrelated to an individualrsquos income (Medina et
al 1996 Yamauchi amp Templer 1982) Moreover another possibility could be that
investors with high-income might be handling their money carefully and avoiding long-
term investment particularly at the time of data collection only
The sample of this study was collected at the bearish time period when PSX-100
annual average return was -710 percent (Economic Survey of Pakistan 2017-2018)
Samra Chaudary
136
Economic contractions also stimulate risk-averse behavior for possible negative returns
(Millet Lamey amp Van den Bergh 2012) Also according to Merton (1973) investors must
consider the trade-off between risk and return in order to achieve the optimal portfolio
returns As it was observed that LoM of wealthier investors (high current income and
expect to receive inheritance) showed negative impact on short-term investments probably
because they might not be expecting maximum return for a given level of risk in that
bearish time period Hence expected returns are so unreliable to assist in achieving more
wealth as one of the essential goals of life (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Wealthy investors showed loss-averse behavior in our research as they their LoM
(money attitudes) showed a negative impact on short-term investment decision (at the time
when market was giving losses) and is aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992) which infers that investors are generally risk-
averse rather than risk-takers whenever there is a probability to make profits Chances of
making profits are estimated as too unreliable because of high instability of PSX-100 in
the time period of data collection
Furthermore our result showed that LoM (money attitude) showed a positive
impact on short-term investment for investors with low current income Similarly LoM
(money attitude) of investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance showed a
stronger positive impact on short-term investment as compared to long-term investment
The plausible reason could be that the investors with low-income have instant unmet needs
which could be one of the reasons that their money attitudes showed a positive impact on
short-term investment decision as short-term investments yield faster returns Our findings
are aligned with the former research studies The desire for immediate gratification
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
137
determined onersquos short-term investment decision (Warren 2016) Moreover individuals
with low-income are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several
unmet needs (Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator for poor people because
only money can fulfill the desires and improve the financial condition (Gomez-Mejia amp
Balkin 1992 Jenkins et al 1998 Locke et al 1980) Such individuals are more obsessed
with money (Furnham 1984) Hence we can say money attitudes of investors whose
current and future financial circumstances were weak (ie low current income and did not
expect to receive future fortune in the form of inheritance) tended to invest in short-term
investments
Results of the LoM typology proposed in this research have practical implications
for individual investors themselves and for professional money managers as they can
improve knowledge of their own preferences (for an individual investor) and of their client
preferences (for professional managers) This might expedite investment decision-making
for example retirement planning etc Money managers can help craft strategies to help
their customers attain their short-term and long-term financial goals of a comfortable
retirement (Concepcion 2016) Therefore investment advisors must understand what is
important to their clientele so that they can guide them and fulfill their requirements
effectively
The results offer implications for the marketing of financial companies like asset
management firms brokerage houses and investment banks It is probable to target
prospect investors through segmentation on the basis of money attitudes current income
and future wealth possession In marketing their services investment companies may target
Samra Chaudary
138
less wealthy investors for short-term investments and wealthy investors for long-term
investments Moreover in light of this researchrsquos findings money attitudes of individuals
with high-income did not show an impact on long-term investment This may be
counterproductive in achieving long-term financial goals of such individuals especially
when ignoring precautionary measures for saving It can also result in later repentance of
not having enough investments for their retirement (OrsquoDonoghue amp Rabin 1998) Money
managers may seem excessively challenged by the need to persuade high-income investors
that their long-term financial goal is secured by selecting risky investments These
investors need to be targeted more efficiently through a targeted marketing plan and various
types of financial instruments
For an emerging market like Pakistan there is a massive need to raise capital in
order to fuel the capital requirements and to ensure the sturdy growth of the market
Successfully targeting high-income investors will bring more money in the market boost
investments and investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market
would move towards efficiency
As it was found that there was no impact of LoM on long-term investment decision
for investors with high-income This result identified the need for different types of long-
term financial products There is a need for the development of long-term investment
products tailored to the desires of wealthy investors in particular which will motivate them
to invest in capital markets Pakistani financial markets lack in investment alternatives eg
bonds derivative securities and real estate investment trust (REITs) etc The findings of
this study offer financial institutions and regulators to develop new financial products and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
139
markets Moreover transmission of knowledge in the field of different investment
alternatives must not be ignored in a country like Pakistan where only 26 percent of
adults are financially knowledgeable (SampP Global Fin Lit Survey 2015) Financial literacy
is a knowledge of risk diversification time value of money compounding and numeracy
(interest) A good level of financial literacy will help people to change their money
attitudes money management and make them achieve their financial goals (Imasheva amp
Kim 2017)
According to the findings of this study investorsrsquo money attitudes predicted their
investment plans (ie short-term and long-term) Therefore it is essential to determine
individual differences in money attitudes if individual investors are well guided by money
managers and financial institutions Financial planners should pay attention to investorsrsquo
money attitudes For that reason there is a need for more frequent surveys about their
money attitudes and feelings about financial products which should be the fundamental
aspects of financial services Moreover financial advisors should also elucidate the choice
of financial product and clarify why a particular product is the best option for the investor
Our novel findings shed new light on the relationships between LoM and
investment decisions and suggest practical implications for the growing area of behavioral
finance To conclude we offer a brand new and novel viewpoint and supplement the
behavioral finance literature by investigating LoM as an antecedent of short-term and long-
term investment decisions The formative theoretical model revealed novel and interesting
findings and helped us understand not only the what (ie LoM) factor contributing to short-
term and long-term investment decisions but also who (ie stock investors) where (ie
developing economy) and when (ie income and inheritance)
Samra Chaudary
140
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction
This study contributes to an evolving stream of literature that sheds light on the
significance of LoM with short-term and long-term investment decision in the context of
developing economy A positive relationship of LoM was found with short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover in moderation analysis it was observed that for high-
income investors the impact of LoM was significantly negative for short-term investment
decision and was insignificant for long-term investment decision Furthermore it was
found that investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment decision
than long-term investment decision in the case they expected to receive a future
inheritance However investors with higher LoM were likely to do more short-term
investment decision than long-term investment decision in case they did not expect any
future inheritance
Future researchers should consider adding other investment alternatives as
dependent variables to examine the influence of LoM on a particular asset class This
research was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if LoM was constant over
time Peoplersquos financial strategies are associated with their different life stages
(Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Similarly it is likely that investorsrsquo money attitudes vary
in boom periods and hence their investment decisions may also change Therefore further
researches can use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of LoM over time
to examine whether money attitudes change with different phases of life Data from
multiple regions and cultures (especially from developing countries) can be collected to
generalize the results This study only measured investorsrsquo perception of LoM and not the
actual LoM behavior LoM behavior may be tested in a laboratory experiment in further
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
141
researches (Greenberg 1993) to see different investment behavior and if they react
differently to probable gains and losses Future studies could also examine the impact of
other moderators such as macro-economic issues eg unemployment education and
religious views could have a significant effect on the outcomes of this research To
conclude behaviorally an investor must become masters (but not slaves) of money (Tang
et al 2018a) Individuals with inheritance should master the necessary money skills or
have a trustworthy financial planner otherwise they will usually end up losing everything
they have (Khoo 2006)
Samra Chaudary
142
5 Conclusion
51 Introduction
This dissertation has examined the sway of selected behavioral factors affecting short-
term and long-term investment decision There were sparse pieces of evidence on
behavioral factors effecting investorsrsquo investment decision especially in the context of
developing economies (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De
Vries et al 2017 Metawa et al 2019 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Researchers have
encouraged to conduct studies in the discipline of behavioral finance as the discipline is
still premature and emerging and needs more empirical evidence from primary data
especially from emerging economies (Huang et al 2016 Kumar amp Goyal 2015) Hence
the primary research questions of this study were 1a) Do five personality types have an
effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions 1b) Does risk perception mediate
the relationship between personality types and short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2a) Does salience has an impact on short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment
decisions differs between individual investors and professional investors 2c) Whether the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between
female investors and male investors 3a) Does Love of Money has an effect on short-term
and long-term investment decisions 3b) Whether current income and future inheritance
moderate the relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment
decisions
Data for this research were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire
from two metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this
Conclusion
143
research were individual investors and professional money managers working with
financial institutions who were actively investing in securities listed on Pakistan Stock
Exchange previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange Money managers were working
in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management companies)
brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks However individual stock investors
were from varying backgrounds as the primary objective of this study was to analyze the
behavior of stock investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with
an institution A list of institutions where respondents were selected to fill the
questionnaire is attached as appendix IV For data analysis and result reporting the
research used partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach
was used instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due to
several strengths of PLS-SEM (Chin et al 2003 Hair et al 2012 Henseler et al 2009
Reinartz et al 2009) The findings of research questions are presented and discussed in
chapters two three and four
52 Key Findings
The research questions addressed in chapter two were based on the implications of
the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and Risk as Feeling theory The
relationship between five types of personalities and investment decisions were explored It
was found that individuals with high neuroticism and extroversion personality traits were
likely to indulge in short-term investment decision However individuals with
extraversion openness agreeableness conscientiousness personality traits were likely to
indulge in long-term investment engagement The research also investigated the
significance of risk perception as a mediator between each personality type and investment
Samra Chaudary
144
decisions The risk perception mediated the relationship between four personality types
except neuroticism and long-term investment decisions
Chapter three examined the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions Using the lens of prospect theory it was found that salience has a
significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The
impact was almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the
short-term investment decision Furthermore it was found that the two groups ie
individual investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was
stronger for individual investors than for professional investors Additionally the study
also found that both groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was
higher in the case of female investors than in the case of male investors
Chapter four made use of the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and
monetary intelligence theory to study the association between Love of Money (LoM) and
investment decisions It was found that LoM was likely to have a positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Moreover interaction analysis revealed
that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance also
moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and long-term investment
decisions
Investors who had high current income were found less likely to participate in short-
term investments Investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found
Conclusion
145
more likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high Similarly investors who expected to receive
future inheritance were found less likely to involve in short-term investment than in long-
term investment activities even though their LoM was high
Overall the findings of this research study offered noteworthy theoretical and
practical implications in the context of an emerging economy by reporting significant
relationships of personality type salience and LoM with investment decisions These
results highlighted the relevance and significance of behavioral factors for investors
making short-term and long-term investment decisions while trading in listed stocks This
research has also contributed to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market
53 Theoretical Implications
The importance of behavioral and psychological aspects in the study of finance is
becoming increasingly evident Irrational decision-making has been widely observed in
many empirical studies (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008) Such irrational decision-
making behavior was explained by the risk-averse nature of individuals and this
phenomenon was better explained with prospect theory Under prospect theory behavioral
biases were key factors for irrational decision-making To the best of our knowledge there
were no studies that have examined 1) the impact of Big-Five personality types on short-
term and long-term investment decisions with the mediation of risk perception 2) the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions with the group
differences between professional and individual investor 3) the effect of LoM on short-
Samra Chaudary
146
term and long-term investment decisions with the moderation of current income and future
inheritance
Prospect theory postulated that most individuals show irrational risk-averse
behavior rather than risk-taking whenever there was a probability of making profits
(Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Findings of this research have provided support to the
prospect theory by indicating the impact of salience (familiarity bias) on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions for individual and professional investors as well as for
both genders (Antoniou et al 2010 Riff amp Yagil 2016 Yalcin et al 2016) indicating risk
aversion of investors
Moreover this research made another significant theoretical advancement by
bringing together the relevance of prospect theory theory of planned behavior and risk as
feeling theory in one place The theory of planned behavior (TPB) by Ajzen (1991)
proposed that individualsrsquo behavior was predicted by hisher behavioral intention
Behavioral intentions were in turn determined by attitudes and perceived behavioral
control Risk as feeling theory (RaF) by Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed that when there
was a risky situation behavior tended to be driven by emotional reactions or feelings at the
time of decision-making rather than cognitiverational assessments Prospect theory also
proposes irrationality in investorsrsquo decisions under risky situations They also posited that
ldquorisk as feelingrdquo mediated at least partially the relationship between an individuals
cognitive evaluation of risk and their behavioral response Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009)
argued that TPB and RaF have some shared variables
Mayfield et al (2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and
supported TBP that short-term and long-term investment intentions were predicted by
Conclusion
147
personality types This study however used Big-Five types of personality traits as
behavioral intentions and also supported TPB as individuals with neuroticism and extrovert
personalities showed a significant relationship with short-term investment plans
Moreover openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits were found
more likely to do long term investment intentions
Our result showed support for RaF theory related to the mediating role of risk
perception It was found that investorsrsquo risk perception mediated the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions but did not mediate relationships between personality types and
ST-D It is probably because the feeling (affect) for ST-D is not perceived as risky as the
LT-D are
In addition to that this research made another noteworthy theoretical development
by interweaving the implications of prospect theory along with the theory of planned
behavior and monetary intelligence theory According to TPB attitudes predicted intentions
and behaviors and prospect theory focuses on behavioral bias therefore scholars should
examine individualsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes (Tang 2016) in the light of their
behavioral biases Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model)
of attitudes (Bagozzi et al 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed that people
monitor their own money attitudes and apply the information to evaluate the concerns in
the proximal (immediate) and distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically select the choices
to achieve financial goals (Tang et al 2018b 2018c) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals vary in their attitude towards money The results once again supported prospect
theory as wealthy investors (high current income and expect to receive inheritance) showed
Samra Chaudary
148
loss-averse behavior in our research as their LoM (money attitudes) showed a negative
impact on short-term investment decision (at the time when market was giving losses) and
was aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman
1992) which implied that investors were generally risk-averse rather than risk-taking
whenever there was a probability to make profits The chances of making profits were
estimated as too unreliable due to high instability of PSX-100 in the time period of data
collection
As manifested from the above arguments this research has provided theoretical
contributions by expounding the application of prospect theory for the understanding of
investorsrsquo decision-making for short-term and long-term The study has also made a
methodological contribution by using primary data collected from real-life investors The
findings of this study has extended the general model of prospect theory theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy hence delivered contextual contribution as well Given the
importance of these theories in the field of social behavior the results of this study have
also provided interdisciplinary contributions
54 Practical Implications
This research offered practical implications for money managers individual
investors and regulatory bodies of the country With the growth of the economy peoplesrsquo
wealth increases Hence there is a growing need for performance of wealth management
Conclusion
149
functions by professional money managers This function involves understanding the
clientrsquos requirements and delivering financial services accordingly
It is critical to examine peoplesrsquo intentions about short-term and long-term
investments and why they manage investment in different ways If those investment
intentions become evident then financial planners would be interested to learn if those
intentions can be adapted in order to advise their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It is
essential to understand personalities risk perceptions salience attitudes towards money
and other biases to give better investment advice to individual investors Such findings are
likely to help money managers to target investors appropriately and communicate to these
investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
The results of this research offered practical implications for both individual investors
and for professional money managers as they can have superior knowledge of their own
preferences and biases (for individual investors) and of their client preferences (for money
managers) Such enhanced understanding can facilitate investment decision-making
process Investment advisors help clients in investing money They must understand what
is important to their customers in order to fulfil clientsrsquo expectations accordingly It may
be possible to segment clients based on personality type risk perception familiarity bias
money attitudes current income and future wealth possession etc and develop
investment advisory packages accordingly
Portfolio managers may find useful strategies to exploit numerous behavioral
anomalies present in the financial markets Professional money managers from brokerage
houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may deliver a superior product
Samra Chaudary
150
service and provide sound assistance to their customers once they have knowledge of
clientsrsquo behavioral biases and preferences
Investors should be mindful that behavioral biases sometimes could also lead to
investment in sub-optimal portfolios Therefore understanding investorsrsquo behavior can
help to avoid such biases and can improve investment decisions in choosing short-term or
long-term investment services products and plans Portfolio managers should try to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on biases and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification To avoid these biases financial counselors must
communicate to their clients about the importance of a long-term diversification plan with
the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return in their investment portfolios (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2015) Females represent a tiny sample in the financial industry of Pakistan
An investment education program is needed especially in a developing country like
Pakistan to target more females in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
This research also expects to enhance understanding for financial regulators such as
SECP as to why and how markets might be inefficient Short-term investment is also
known as momentum investing (Gray 2006) while long-term investment is known as value
investing (Warren 2014) Generally momentum investment leads to market inefficiencies
including the creation of bubbles crashes and excess volatility in the market (Woolley
2013) as good (bad) outcomes are likely to be followed by further good (bad) outcomes
(Warren 2014) Too much short-term behavior may have adverse effects in the financial
market and shifting the balance towards long-term investment may be beneficial Value
(long-term) investments tend to have a lower turnover ratio than momentum (short-term)
Conclusion
151
investments (Warren 2014) Long-term investors provide a buffer against market panics
(Della Croce et al 2011) and help to smooth out market fluctuations (Ang amp Kjaer 2011)
Individuals with short-term investment horizons behave like traders or perhaps
speculators whereas individuals with long-term investment horizon act like investors A
long- term investment attitude represents the willingness to accept short-term pain for long-
term gain Such attitudes and beliefs are often rooted within the character of an organization
or an individual (Warren 2016)
For an emerging economy like Pakistan there is an enormous need to issue more
capital to ensure the steady growth of the financial market Successfully targeting investors
is likely to bring more funds in the market boost investments and enhance investorsrsquo
confidence in the country and thereby increase market capitalization maintain
sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market would
move towards efficiency in the long-run
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
Although this research has made noteworthy theoretical contributions to the young
paradigm of behavioral finance and has identified practical implications for investors yet
there are also some limitations that restrict the generalizability of the results Gathering
data from real equity investors (especially from professionals ie brokers and the
institutional fund managers) was quite challenging These professionals were not willing
to leave their trading screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short
time They filled the survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the
evening) or on weekends The key contribution of this dissertation is the fact that this is
very first research of this kind in the context of both developed and developing economies
Samra Chaudary
152
However more empirical pieces of evidence are needed hence data from multiple regions
and cultures can be collected in order to get results that are more widely generalizable
Data for this research were collected in the time of bears market condition Upcoming
research can collect data in bulls market and can compare the results This study has relied
on self-reported data to measure personality traits risk perception salience and LoM
Future studies can make use of objective measures of aforementioned behavioral factors
However developing such measures for investors could be tremendously challenging This
research measured investorsrsquo perceptions and not actual behavior Behaviors are better
verified in a laboratory experiment (Greenberg 1993) and further studies can opt to do so
to investigate different behavioral biases and preferences to learn if investors respond
differently
It should be admitted that there were various other psychological factors that might
have affected investment decisions and were not investigated in this study Future studies
could test the impact of differences in investorsrsquo emotions moods and weather and the
resulting impact on investment behaviors These constructs can be measured in with
different methods eg the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their
stocks can be captured through an experiment Such a research design might be challenging
as theses professional traders might be reluctant to participate because of their fiduciary
responsibility of managing other peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders
Leaving their trading screens during market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them
Future researchers can also classify investment decision in a different way than classifying
such decisions into long and short time horizons (eg by investigating multiple
instruments) Another aspect that can be further investigated is the likely impact of money
Conclusion
153
managersrsquo experience on their investment decisions Future researchers can also investigate
if gender with different demographic variables (such as marital status age and income)
have different investment decisions
In this study the focus was only on stock investors and future studies can select
investors in other instruments as well to investigate if they behave in a similar manner
This study was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if the resulting behavioral
biases were constant over time Peoplersquos financial strategies are likely to be associated with
their life cycle stages (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Therefore future researchers can
use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of impact of personality salience
and LoM over time to examine whether these biases of investors change with different
stages of their cycle This study did not investigate the impact of macro-economic issues
eg unemployment education levels recession and political instability etc which may
have a significant effect on the behavioral biases and preferences of investors
Samra Chaudary
154
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Ajzen I (1991) The Theory of planned behavior Organizational Behavior and Human
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58
Ajzen I amp Fishbein M (1980) Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior
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Akerlof G A amp Schiller R J (2009) How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and
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Allport G W (1937) Personality A psychological interpretation New York Holt
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Alrabadi D W H Al-Abdallah S Y amp Aljarayesh N I A (2018) Behavioral biases
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Anderson C W Fedenia M Hirschey M amp Skiba H (2011) Cultural influences on
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Ang J J de Jong A A amp van der Poel M A (2014) Does CEOs familiarity with
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Antoniou A Olusi O amp Paudyal K (2010) Equity Home‐Bias A Suboptimal Choice
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156
Arch E C (1993) Risk-taking a motivational basis for sex differences Psychological
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Aronson E (1999) The Social Animal 8th ed New York Worth Freeman
Bagozzi R P Tybout A M Craig C S amp Sternthal B (1979) The contrast validity
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Bajtelsmit V L Bernasek A amp Jianakoplos N A (1999) Gender differences in defined
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2014) How biases affect investor behavior Working paper
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2015) Understanding behavioral aspects of financial
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Baker H K Filbeck G amp Ricciardi V (2017) How Behavioral Biases Affect Finance
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Bansal R amp Yaron A (2004) Risks for the long run A potential resolution of asset
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Barber B M amp Odean T (2001) Boys will be boys gender overconfidence and
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Barberis N amp Thaler R (2003) A survey of behavioral finance Handbook of the
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Baron R M amp Kenny D A (1986) The moderator-mediator variable distinction in
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Barrick M R amp Mount M K (1991) The Big-Five personality dimensions and job
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Bateman H Ebling C Louviere J J Satchell S E Thorp S amp Geweke J (2010)
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Belk R W amp Wallendorf M (1990) The sacred meanings of money Journal of
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Bhardwaj S amp Bhattacharjee K (2010) Modeling money attitudes to predict loan
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Black F (1986) Noise The Journal of Finance 41(3) 528-543
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Blanthorne C Jones-Farmer L A amp Almer E D (2015) Why you should consider
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Bollen N P amp Posavac S (2018) Gender risk tolerance and false consensus in asset
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Borghans L Heckman J J Golsteyn B H amp Meijers H (2009) Gender differences
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Cao H H Han B Hirshleifer D amp Zhang H H (2009) Fear of the unknown
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160
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Cattell H E amp Mead A D (2008) The sixteen personality factor questionnaire (16PF)
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Cenfetelli R T amp Bassellier G (2009) Interpretation of formative measurement in
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Chan K Covrig V amp Ng L (2005) What determines the domestic bias and foreign
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Charness G amp Gneezy U (2007) Strong evidence for gender differences in investment
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Chen J Tang T L P amp Tang N (2014) Temptation monetary intelligence (love of
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Chin W W Marcolin B L amp Newsted P R (2003) A partial least squares latent
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Chin WW (1998) The partial least squares approach to structural equation modeling
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Chin WW Mills AM Steel DJ Schwarz A (2016) Multi-group Invariance Testing
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Choi J J Laibson D Madrian B C amp Metrick A (2004) For better or for worse
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Clark-Murphy M amp Soutar G N (2004) What individual investors value Some
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Cohen J (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed) Hillsdale
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Cohen J Cohen P West S G amp Aiken L S (2003) Applied multiple
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Colquitt J A LePine J A amp Wesson M J (2011) Organizational behavior Improving
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Concepcion J N (2016) Young and Indebted A Closer Look at the Future of Young
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Connor-Smith J K amp Flachsbart C (2007) Relations between personality and coping
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60
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Costa P T Busch C M Zonderman A B amp McCrae R R (1986) Correlations of
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Coval J D amp Moskowitz T J (1999) Home bias at home Local equity preference in
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De Vries A Erasmus P D amp Gerber C (2017) The familiar versus the unfamiliar
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164
Della Croce R Stewart F amp Yermo J (2011) Promoting longer-term investment by
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Dichev I D Graham J R Harvey C R amp Rajgopal S (2013) Earnings quality
Evidence from the field Journal of Accounting and Economics 56(2-3) 1-33
Diener E amp S Oishi S (2000) Money and Happiness Income and Subjective Well-
Being Across Nations In E Dinner amp E M Suh (Eds) Subjective Well-Being
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Dierkes M Erner C amp Zeisberger S (2010) Investment horizon and the attractiveness
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Digman J M amp Inouye J (1986) Further specification of the five robust factors of
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Dimson E Marsh P amp Staunton M (2017) Factor-based investing the long-term
evidence The Journal of Portfolio Management 43(5) 15-37
Dittmar H Bond R Hurst M amp Kasser T (2014) The relationship between
materialism and personal well-being A meta-analysis Journal of Personality and
Social Psychology 107 (5) 879-924
Dohmen T Falk A Huffman D Sunde U Schupp J amp Wagner G G (2011)
Individual risk attitudes Measurement determinants and behavioral
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Du L amp Tang T L P (2005) Measurement invariance across gender and major The
love of money among university students in Peoplersquos Republic of China Journal
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than words Individuals attitudes and behavior in asset allocation choices
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East R (1993) Investment decisions and the theory of planned behavior Journal of
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Edwards J R (2011) The fallacy of formative measurement Organizational Research
Methods 14(2) 370-388
Einhorn H J amp Hogarth R M (1981) Behavioral decision theory Processes of
judgement and choice Annual Review of Psychology 32(1) 53-88
Embrey L L amp Fox J J (1997) Gender differences in the investment decision-making
process Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2) 33-40
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Epley N amp Gilovich T (2005) When effortful thinking influences judgmental
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externally provided anchors Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 18(3) 199-
212
Epstein S (1994) Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
American Psychologist 49(8) 709-724
Erdener C amp Garkavenko V (2012) Money attitudes in Kazakhstan
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Estes R amp Hosseini J (1988) The gender gap on Wall Street an empirical analysis of
confidence in investment decision-making The journal of psychology 122(6) 577-
590
Euwals R Eymann A amp Boumlrsch-Supan A (2004) Who determines household savings
for old age Evidence from Dutch panel data Journal of Economic Psychology
25(2) 195-211
Eysenck H J amp Eysenck S B G (1975) Manual of the Eysenck Personality
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Falk R F amp Miller N B (1992) A primer for soft modeling Akron University of Akron
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Fama E F (1970) Efficient Capital Markets A Review of Theory and Empirical Work
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Fama E F (1998) Market efficiency long-term returns and behavioral finance1 Journal
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capabilities perspective Journal of Supply Chain Management 47(1) 38-59
Feng L amp Seasholes M S (2008) Individual investors and gender similarities in an
emerging stock market Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 16(1-2) 44-60
Filbeck G Hattield P amp Horvarth P (2005) Risk Aversion and Personality Type The
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Firat D amp Fettahoglu S (2011) Investors Purchasing Behavior via a Behavioral Finance
Approach International Journal of Business and Management 6(7) 153-163
Fischhoff B (1994) Acceptable Risk A Conceptual Proposal Risk Health Safety and
Environment 5(1) 1-28
Forbes W Hudson R Skerratt L amp Soufian M (2015) Which heuristics can aid
financial-decision-making International Review of Financial Analysis 42 199-
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Fornell C amp Bookstein F L (1982) Two structural equation models LISREL and PLS
applied to consumer exit-voice theory Journal of Marketing Research 19(4) 440ndash
452
Fornell C amp Larcker D F (1981) Evaluating structural equation models with
unobservable variables and measurement error Journal of Marketing Research
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Fox C R amp Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance The
Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(3) 585-603
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168
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French K R amp Poterba J M (1991) Investor diversification and international equity
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Friedman M amp Savage L J (1952) The expected utility hypothesis and the
measurability of utility Journal of Political Economy 60 463-474
Frijters P Johnston D W Shields M A amp Sinha K (2015) A lifecycle perspective
of stock market performance and wellbeing Journal of Economic Behavior amp
Organization 112 237-250
Funder D C (2001) Personality Annual Review of Psychology 52 197-221
Furnham A (1984) Many sides of the coin The psychology of money usage Personality
and Individual Differences 5(5) 501ndash509
Furnham A (2014) The new psychology of money London Routledge
Furnham A amp Boo H C (2011) A literature review of the anchoring effect The Journal
of Socio-Economics 40(1) 35-42
Ganesan S (1994) Determinants of long-term orientation in buyer-seller relationships
The Journal of Marketing 58(2) 1-19
Garbinsky E N Kless K amp Aaker J (2014) Money in the bank Feeling powerful
increases saving Journal of Consumer Research 41(3) 610ndash623
Garson G D (2016) Partial least Squares Regression amp structural equation models
David Garson and Statistical Associates Publishing
Gbadamosi G amp Joubert P (2005) Money ethic moral conduct and work related
attitudes Field study from the public sector in Swaziland Journal of Management
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169
Development 24(8) 754-763
Gehring W J amp Willoughby A R (2002) The medial frontal cortex and the rapid
processing of monetary gains and losses Science 296 2279-2282
Geisser S (1975) The predictive sample reuse method with applications Journal of the
American Statistical Association 70(350) 320ndash328
Gentina E Tang T L P amp Gu Q (2018) Do parents and peers influence adolescentsrsquo
monetary intelligence and consumer ethics French and Chinese adolescents and
behavioral economics Journal of Business Ethics 151(1) 115-140
Giannetti M amp Koskinen Y (2010) Investor protection equity returns and financial
globalization Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45(1) 135-168
Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk savvy How to make good decisions New York Viking
Glaser M Langer T Reynders J amp Weber M (2007) Framing effects in stock market
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of Finance 11(2) 325-357
Goldberg L R (1971) A historical survey of personality scales and inventories In P
McReynolds (Ed) Advances in psychological Assessment2 293- 336 Palo Alto
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Goldberg L R (1981) Language and individual differences The search for universals in
personality lexicons Review of Personality and Social Psychology 2(1) 141-165
Goldberg L R (1990) An alternative description of personality the Big-Five factor
structure Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 59(6) 1216-1229
Goldstein D amp Gigerenzer G (2002) Models of ecological rationality The recognition
heuristic Psychological Review 109 75ndash90
Samra Chaudary
170
Gomez-Mejia L R amp Balkin D B (1992) Determinants of faculty pay An agency
theory perspective Academy of Management Journal 35 921-955
Goodhue D L Lewis W amp Thompson R (2012) Does PLS have advantages for small
sample size or non-normal data MIS Quarterly 36(3) 981-1001
Gough H G (1987) California psychological inventory Administrators Guide
Consulting Psychologists Press
Grable J Lytton R amp OrsquoNeill B (2004) Projection bias and financial risk tolerance
The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 142ndash147
Gray J (2006) Avoiding short-termism in investment decision-making CFA Institute
December
Greenberg A E (2013) When imagining future wealth influences risky decision-making
Judgment and Decision-making 8(3) 268ndash277
Greenberg A E amp Hershfield H E (2019) Financial decision-making Consumer
Psychology Review 2(1) 17-29
Greenberg J (1993) Stealing in the name of justice Informational and interpersonal
moderators of theft reactions to underpayment inequity Organizational behavior
and human decision processes 54(1) 81-103
Grinblatt M amp Han B (2005) Prospect theory mental accounting and momentum
Journal of Financial Economics 78(2) 311-339
Grinblatt M amp Keloharju M (2001) How distance language and culture influence
stockholdings and trades The Journal of Finance 56(3) 1053-1073
Griskevicius V Ackerman J M Cantuacute S M Delton A W Robertson T E Simpson
J A Tybur J M (2013) When the economy falters do people spend or save
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Calif Sheridan
Guiso L Jappelli T amp Terlizzese D (1996) Income risk borrowing constraints and
portfolio choice American Economic Review 86(1) 158-172
Gulati R (1995) Does familiarity breed trust The implications of repeated ties for
contractual choice in alliances Academy of Management Journal 38(1) 85-112
Gunnarsson J amp Wahlund R (1997) Household financial strategies in Sweden An
exploratory study Journal of Economic Psychology 18(2ndash3) 201ndash233
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2014) A Primer on Partial Least
Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) Thousand Oaks CA Sage
Publications
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2016) A primer on partial least
squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) (2nd ed) Sage Publications
Thousand Oaks CA USA
Hair J F Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2011) PLS-SEM Indeed a silver bullet Journal
of Marketing Theory and Practice 19(2) 139 ndash 151
Hair J F Sarstedt M Ringle C M amp Mena J A (2012) An assessment of the use of
partial least squares structural equation modeling in marketing research Journal of
the Academy of Marketing Science 40(3) 414-433
Haisley E Mostafa R amp Loewenstein G (2008) Subjective relative income and lottery
ticket purchases Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 21(3) 283ndash295
Samra Chaudary
172
Hampson D P Grimes A Banister E amp McGoldrick P J (2018) A typology of
consumers based on money attitudes after major recession Journal of Business
Research 91 159-168
Hariharan G Chapman K S amp Domian D L (2000) Risk tolerance and asset
allocation for investors nearing retirement Financial Services Review 9(2) 159-
170
Harpaz I (1990) The importance of work goals An international perspective Journal of
International Business Studies 21(1) 75-93
Harrison P amp Zhang H H (1999) An investigation of the risk and return relation at long
horizons Review of Economics and Statistics 81(3) 399-408
Hastie R amp Dawes R M (2010) Rational choice in an uncertain world The psychology
of judgment and decision-making Sage
Hayes A F (2009) Beyond Baron and Kenny Statistical mediation analysis in the new
millennium Communication Monographs 76(4) 408-420
Hayes C L amp Kelly K (1999) Money makeovers How women can control their
financial destiny New York Doubleday
Heath C amp Tversky A (1991) Preference and belief Ambiguity and competence in
choice under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4(1) 5-28
Heinstroumlm J (2003) Five personality dimensions and their influence on information
behavior Information Research 9(1) 9-1
Henseler J amp Chin W W (2010) A comparison of approaches for the analysis of
interaction effects between latent variables using partial least squares path
modeling Structural Equation Modeling 17(1) 82-109
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173
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2015) A new criterion for assessing
discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science 43(1) 115-135
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2016) Testing measurement invariance of
composites using partial least square International Marketing Review 33(3) 405ndash
431
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sinkovics R R (2009) The use of partial least squares path
modeling in international marketing In New challenges to international marketing
(pp 277-319) Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Hershey D A amp Mowen J C (2000) Psychological determinants of financial
preparedness for retirement The Gerontologist 40(6) 687-697
Hinz R P McCarthy D D amp Turner J A (1997) Are women conservative investors
Gender differences in participant-directed pension investments Positioning
pensions for the twenty-first century Philadelphia University of Pennsylvania Press
91- 103
Hira T K amp Loibl C (2008) Gender differences in investment behavior In Handbook
of consumer finance research (pp 253-270) Springer New York NY
Hirshleifer D (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing Journal of Finance 56(4)
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Hlouskova J Fortin I amp Tsigaris P (2017) The consumptionndashinvestment decision of a
prospect theory household A two-period model Journal of Mathematical
Economics 70 74-89
Samra Chaudary
174
Hoffmann A O Post T amp Pennings J M (2015) How investor perceptions drive actual
trading and risk-taking behavior Journal of Behavioral Finance 16(1) 94-103
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Hogan R (1982) A socioanalytic theory of personality In Nebraska symposium on
motivation University of Nebraska Press
Hogan R amp Hogan J (1991) Personality and status In D G Gilbert amp J J Connolly
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Hopenhayn H A (1992) Entry exit and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium
Econometrica Journal of the Econometric Society 1127-1150
Hopfensitz A amp Wranik T (2009) How to adapt to changing markets experience and
personality in a repeated investment game Discussion Paper No 092009 - 056
Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=1578305
Hough L M Eaton N K Dunnette M D Kamp J D amp McCloy R A (1990)
Criterion-related validities of personality constructs and the effect of response
distortion on those validities Journal of Applied Psychology 75(5) 581
Hsee C K amp Weber E U (1997) A fundamental prediction error Selfndashothers
discrepancies in risk preference Journal of experimental psychology general
126(1) 45
Hsee C K Zhang J Cai C F amp Zhang S (2013) Overearning Psychological science
24(6) 852-859
Huang J Y Shieh J C amp Kao Y C (2016) Starting points for a new researcher in
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Huber J Palan S amp Zeisberger S (2017) Does Investor Risk Perception Drive Asset
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httpsssrncomabstract=3007878
Huberman G (2001) Familiarity breeds investment Review of Financial Studies 14(3)
659ndash680
Hulland J (1999) Use of partial least squares (PLS) in strategic management research a
review of four recent studies Strategic Management Journal 20(2) 195ndash204
Hunt S D amp Vitell S J (1993) The general theory of marketing ethics A retrospective
and revision in N C Smith and A John (eds) Ethics in Marketing Quelch (Irwin
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Hunter K amp Kemp S (2004) The personality of e-commerce investors Journal of
Economic Psychology 25(4) 529-537
Iacobucci D (2010) Structural equations modeling Fit indices sample size and advanced
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Imasheva A B amp Kim A M (2017) Psychological differences in financial decision-
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Ishfaq M Maqbool Z Akram S Tariq S amp Khurshid M K (2017) Mediating Role
of Risk Perception between Cognitive Biases and Risky Investment Decision
Empirical Evidence from Pakistans Equity Market Journal of Managerial
Sciences 11(3) 265-278
Samra Chaudary
176
Ivkoviacutec Z amp Weisbenner S (2007) Information diffusion effects in individual
investorsrsquo common stock purchases covet thy neighborsrsquo investment choices
Review of Financial Studies 20(4) 1327-1357
Jabeen M (2016 June 16) PSX ndash Unfolding future prospects at its best Business
Recorder retrieved from httpsfpbrecordercom2016062016061657187
Jain P C amp Wu J S (2000) Truth in mutual fund advertising Evidence on future
performance and fund flows The Journal of Finance 55(2) 937-958
Jaiswal B amp Kamil N (2012) Gender behavioral finance and the investment decision
IBA Business Review 7(2) 8-22
Jaiyeoba H B amp Haron R (2016) A qualitative inquiry into the investment decision
behavior of the Malaysian stock market investors Qualitative Research in
Financial Markets 8(3) 246-267
Jenkins G D Mitra A Gupta N amp Shaw D (1998) Are financial incentives related
to performance A meta-analytic review of empirical research Journal of Applied
Psychology 83 777-787
Jensen M C amp Meckling W H (1976) Theory of the firm Managerial behavior agency
costs and ownership structure Journal of Financial Economics 3(4) 305-360
Jia S W Zhang W X Li P Feng T Y amp Li H (2013) Attitude toward money
modulates outcome processing An ERP study Social Neuroscience 8 43-51
John O P amp Srivastava S (1999) The Big-Five trait taxonomy History measurement
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Jordan B D amp Riley T B (2015) Volatility and mutual fund manager skill Journal of
Financial Economics 118 289-298
Josef A K Richter D Samanez-Larkin G R Wagner G G Hertwig R amp Mata R
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Judge T A Heller D amp Mount M K (2002) Five-factor model of personality and job
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Jurgensen C E (1978) Job preferences (What makes a job good or bad) Journal of
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Kahneman D (2011) Thinking fast and slow New York Farrar Straus and Giroux
Kahneman D (2012) Thinking fast and slow New York NY Penguin Books Ltd
Kahneman D amp Deaton A (2010) High income improves evaluation of life but not
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Kahneman D amp Riepe M W (1998) Aspects of investor psychology Journal of
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Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory an analysis of decision under risk
Econometrica 47(2) 263-292
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1984) Choices Values and Frames American
Psychologist 39 341ndash35
Samra Chaudary
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Kahneman D Knetsch J L amp Thaler R H (1990) Experimental tests of the
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Kamp J D amp Gough H G (1986) The Big-Five personality factors from an assessment
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Kamp J D amp Hough L M (1986) Utility of personality assessment A review and
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assessment for predicting job performance A review and integration of the
literature 88-02
Kang J K amp Stulz R (1997) Why is there a home bias An analysis of foreign portfolio
equity ownership in Japan Journal of Financial Economics 46(1) 3-28
Karlsson A amp Nordeacuten L (2007) Home sweet home Home bias and international
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Kautonen T van Gelderen M amp Fink M (2015) Robustness of the theory of planned
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Theory and Practice 39(3) 655-674
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006a) Investing in stocks The influence of financial risk
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Psychology 27(2) 285-303
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006b) Money attitude typology and stock investment The
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Kenny D A Kashy D A amp Bolger N (1998) Data analysis in social psychology In
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Khoo A (2006) Secrets of Self-Made Millionaires Singapore Published by Adam Khoo
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Khwaja A I amp Mian A (2005) Unchecked intermediaries Price manipulation in an
emerging stock market Journal of Financial Economics 78(1) 203-241
Kirkman B amp Law K (2005) International management research in AMJ Our past
present and future Academy of Management Journal 48 377ndash386
Kish-Gephart J J Harrison D A amp Trevintildeo L K (2010) Bad apples bad cases and
bad barrels Meta-analytic evidence about sources of unethical decisions at work
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Kiyilar M amp Acar O (2013) Behavioral finance and the study of the irrational financial
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ISSN 1454-9409
Kliger D amp Kudryavtsev A (2010) The availability heuristic and investors reaction to
company-specific events The Journal of Behavioral Finance 11(1) 50-65
Kline R B (2005) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling (2nd ed) New
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Kline R B (2015) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling Guilford
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Samra Chaudary
180
Klontz B T amp Britt S L (2012) How clientsrsquo money scripts predict their financial
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Kobbeltvedt T amp Wolff K (2009) The Risk-as-feelings hypothesis in a Theory of
planned behavior perspective Judgment and Decision-making 4(7) 567
Kock N (2015) Common method bias in PLS-SEM A full collinearity assessment
approach International Journal of e-Collaboration 11(4) 1-10
Koropp C Kellermanns F W Grichnik D amp Stanley L (2014) Financial decision-
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Kourtidis D Šević Ž amp Chatzoglou P (2011) Investorsrsquo trading activity A behavioral
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Krause M R Serlin R C Ward S E Rony R Y Z Ezenwa M O amp Naab F
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Research 59(4) 288-294
Krueger N and Dickson P R (1994) How believing in ourselves increases risk taking
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400
Krupp D B amp Cook T R (2018) Local competition amplifies the corrosive effects of
inequality Psychological Science 29(5) 824ndash833
Kubilay B amp Bayrakdaroglu A (2016) An empirical research on investor biases in
financial decision-making financial risk tolerance and financial personality
International Journal of Financial Research 7(2) 171-182
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Kumar S amp Goyal N (2015) Behavioral biases in investment decision-makingndasha
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108
Lagarde C (2016) The Role of Emerging Markets in a New Global Partnership for
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httpswwwimforgenNewsArticles201509280453sp020416
Lakonishok J Shleifer A amp Vishny R W (1994) Contrarian investment extrapolation
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Lakshmi P Visalakshmi S Thamaraiselvan N amp Senthilarasu B (2013) Assessing
the Linkage of Behavioral Traits and Investment Decisions Using SEM Approach
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Laroche M Kim C amp Zhou L (1996) Brand familiarity and confidence as determinants
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Law K S Wong C S amp Mobley W M (1998) Toward a taxonomy of
multidimensional constructs Academy of Management Review 23(4) 741-755
Lea S E G amp Webley P (2006) Money as tool money as drug The biological
psychology of a strong incentive Behavioral and Brain Sciences 29 161-176
Lemrova S Reiterova E Fatenova R Lemr K amp Tang T L P (2014) Money is
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Samra Chaudary
182
Lewis K K (1999) Trying to explain home bias in equities and consumption Journal of
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Li D Jiang Y An S Shen Z amp Jin W (2009) The influence of money attitudes on
young Chinese consumers compulsive buying Young Consumers 10(2) 98-109
Li S amp Liu C J (2008) Individual differences in a switch from risk‐averse preferences
for gains to risk‐seeking preferences for losses can personality variables predict
the risk preferences Journal of Risk Research 11(5) 673-686
Lim K L Soutar G N amp Lee J A (2013) Factors affecting investment intentions A
consumer behavior perspective Journal of Financial Services Marketing 18(4)
301-315
Lim V K amp Teo T S (1997) Sex money and financial hardship An empirical study
of attitudes towards money among undergraduates in Singapore Journal of
Economic Psychology 18(4) 369-386
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investment in
stock portfolio and capital budgets Review of Economics and Statistics 47 103ndash
124
Locke E A Feren D B McCaleb V M Shaw K N amp Denny A T (1980) The
relative effectiveness of four methods of motivating employee performance In K
D Duncan M M Gruneberg amp D Wallis (Eds) Changes in Working Life 363-
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Lodder P Ong H H Grasman R P amp Wicherts J (2019) A comprehensive meta-
analysis of money priming Journal of Experimental Psychology General
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Loewenstein G F Weber E U Hsee C K amp Welch N (2001) Risk as feelings
Psychological Bulletin 127(2) 267-286
Loewenstein G amp Lerner J S (2003) The role of affect in decision-making Handbook
of affective science 619(642) 3
MacCrimmon K R amp Wehrung D A (1990) Characteristics of risk taking executives
Management Science 36(4) 422-435
MacGregor D G amp Slovic P (2000) Retirement Plans and Financial Expectations A
Survey of Leading-Edge lsquoBaby Boomersrsquo Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=1565088
Mahastanti L A amp Hariady E (2013) Determining the Factor Affecting Stock
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Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio Selection The Journal of Finance 7(1) 77-91
Marshall A (1961) Principles of Economics An introductory volume London
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Mayfield C Perdue G amp Wooten K (2008) Investment management and personality
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McClelland D C (1967) Money as a motivator Some research insights The McKinsey
Quarterly 10ndash21
Samra Chaudary
184
McClure R F (1984) The relationship between money attitudes and overall pathology
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McCrae R R amp Costa P T (2008) Empirical and theoretical status of the five-factor
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Handbook of Personality Theory and Assessment Personality Measurement and
Testing Sage London 273-294
McInish T H (1982) Individual investors and risk-taking Journal of Economic
Psychology 2(2) 125-136
McKenzie C R amp Liersch M J (2011) Misunderstanding savings growth Implications
for retirement savings behavior Journal of Marketing Research 48(SPL) S1-S13
McShane S L amp Von Glinow M A (2008) Organizational behavior (4th ed) Boston
McGraw-Hill Irwin
Medina J F Saegert J amp Gresham A (1996) Comparison of Mexican‐American and
Anglo‐American attitudes toward money Journal of Consumer Affairs 30(1) 124-
145
Merton R C (1973) An intertemporal capital asset pricing model Econometrica Journal
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Merton R C (1987) A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete
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Metawa N Hassan M K Metawa S amp Safa M F (2019) Impact of behavioral factors
on investorsrsquo financial decisions case of the Egyptian stock market International
Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management 12(1) 30-55
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Michaelidou N amp Hassan L (2014) New advances in attitude and behavioral decision-
making models Journal of Marketing and Management 30 (5ndash6) 519ndash528
Milkovich G T Newman J M amp Gerhart B (2014) Compensation (11th ed) Boston
IrwinMcGraw-Hill
Millet K Lamey L amp Van den Bergh B (2012) Avoiding negative vs achieving
positive outcomes in hard and prosperous economic times Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2) 275ndash 284
Mishra S (2014) Decision-making under risk Integrating perspectives from biology
economics and psychology Personality and Social Psychology Review 18(3)
280-307
Mishra S Hing L S S amp Lalumiere M L (2015) Inequality and risk-taking
Evolutionary Psychology 13(3) 1ndash11
Mitchell T R amp Mickel AE (1999) The meaning of money An individual difference
perspective Academy of Management Review 24 568-578
Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira T Augusto Falciano M amp Villas Boas Perito R (2014)
Effects of credit card usage on young Braziliansrsquo compulsive buying Young
Consumers 15(2) 111-124
Modigliani F amp Miller M H (1958) The cost of capital corporation finance and the
theory of investment American Economic Review 48(3) 261ndash297
Mohammadi A amp Shafi K (2018) Gender differences in the contribution patterns of
equity-crowdfunding investors Small Business Economics 50(2) 275-287
Morse W C (1998) Risk taking in personal investments Journal of Business and
Psychology 13(2) 281-288
Samra Chaudary
186
Mousavi S amp Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk uncertainty and heuristics Journal of
Business Research 67(8) 1671-1678
Muller A amp de Zwaan M (2010) Pathological buying A review of the current
knowledge regarding this condition of behavioral excess Bundesgesundheitsblatt
Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 53(4) 289-294
Muradoglu G amp Harvey N (2012) Behavioural finance the role of psychological
factors in financial decisions Review of Behavioural Finance 4(2) 68-80
Myers I B amp McCaulley M H (1985) Manual A guide to the development and use of
the Myer-Briggs Type Indicator Palo Alto CA Consulting Psychologists Press
Newman J M Gerhart B amp Milkovich G T (2017) Compensation (12th ed) New
York McGraw-Hill
Nicholson N Soane E Fenton‐OCreevy M amp Willman P (2005) Personality and
domain‐specific risk taking Journal of Risk Research 8(2) 157-176
Nkundabanyanga S K Omagor C Mpamizo B amp Ntayi J M (2011) The love of
money pressure to perform and unethical marketing behavior in the cosmetic
industry in Uganda International Journal of Marketing Studies 3 (4) 40-49
Nnedum O A U Egwu E U Obinna E J Ntomchukwu M S amp Chukwukeluo C
B (2011) Materialism and meaning of money (MOM) Validation of Money
Metaphor Scale (MMS) in South Africa International Research Journal of
Finance amp Economics 76 31ndash46
Nofsinger J (2005) The Psychology of Investing 2nd ed Prentice Hall NJ
References
187
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and Social Psychology 53 775-782
Norden L (2010) Individual home bias portfolio churning and performance The
European Journal of Finance 16(4) 329-351
Norman W T (1963) Toward an adequate taxonomy of personality attributes Replicated
factor structure in peer nomination personality ratings The Journal of Abnormal and
Social Psychology 66(6) 574
Nosic A amp Weber M (2010) How riskily do I invest The role of risk attitudes risk
perceptions and overconfidence Decision Analysis 7 282-301
OrsquoDonoghue T amp Rabin M (1998) Procrastination in preparing for retirement in
Aaron H (Ed) Behavioral Dimensions of Retirement Economics The Brookings
Institution and Russell Sage Foundation Washington DC 125-56
Odean T (1998) Are investors reluctant to realize their losses The Journal of Finance
53(5) 1775-1798
Odean T (1999) Do investors trade too muchrdquo The American Economic Review 89(5)
1279-1299
Oehler A amp Wedlich F (2018) The relationship of extraversion and neuroticism with
risk attitude risk perception and return expectations Journal of Neuroscience
Psychology and Economics 11(2) 63
Oehler A Wendt S Wedlich F amp Horn M (2018) Investors personality influences
investment decisions Experimental evidence on extraversion and neuroticism
Journal of Behavioral Finance 19(1) 30-48
Samra Chaudary
188
Oezgen O amp Bayoğlu A S (2005) Turkish college studentsrsquo attitudes towards money
International Journal of Consumer Studies 29(6) 493-501
Olsen R A (1997) Desirability bias among professional investment managers Some
evidence from experts Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 10(1) 65-72
Olsen R A amp Cox C M (2001) The influence of gender on the perception and response
to investment risk The case of professional investors The Journal of Psychology
and Financial Markets 2(1) 29-36
Oshio A Taku K Hirano M amp Saeed G (2018) Resilience and Big-Five personality
traits A meta-analysis Personality and Individual Differences 127 54-60
Pagano M (1993) Financial markets and growth an overview European Economic
Review 37(2-3) 613-622
Pak O amp Mahmood M (2015) Impact of personality on risk tolerance and investment
decisions A study on potential investors of Kazakhstan International Journal of
Commerce and Management 25(4) 370-384
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (2017) Population Census Retrieved from
httpwwwpbsgovpkcontentpopulation-census
Pan C H amp Statman M (2013) Investor personality in investor questionnaires The
Journal of Investment Consulting 14 48ndash56
Paramati S R Ummalla M amp Apergis N (2016) The effect of foreign direct
investment and stock market growth on clean energy use across a panel of emerging
market economies Energy Economics 56 29-41
Payne B K Brown-Iannuzzi J L amp Hannay J W (2017) Economic inequality
increases risk taking Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114(18)
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Pennings J M Candel M J amp Egelkraut T M (2003) A behavioral decision-making
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4(2) 71-84
Phillips J M amp Gully S M (2013) Organizational Behavior Tools for success (2nd
ed) South-Western Cengage Learning
Pompian M M (2012) Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management 2nd ed John
Wiley and Sons Inc NJ
Pompian M M amp Longo J M (2004) A new paradigm for practical application of
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gender to produce better investment outcomes The Journal of Wealth
Management 7(2) 9-15
Poropat A E (2009) A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and
academic performance Psychological Bulletin 135(2) 322
Poterba J M (2000) Stock market wealth and consumption Journal of Economic
Perspectives 14(2) 99-118
Prahalad C K amp Hammond A (2002) Serving the worldrsquos poor profitably Harvard
Business Review 80 48ndash57
Prast H Rossi M Torricelli C amp Sansone D (2015) Do women prefer pink The
effect of a gender stereotypical stock portfolio on investing decisions Politica
Economica 31(3) 377-420
Samra Chaudary
190
Preacher K amp Hayes A (2008) Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and
comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models Behavior Research
Methods 40(3) 879ndash891
Prinz S Gruumlnder G Hilgers R D Holtemoumlller O amp Vernaleken I (2014) Impact of
personal economic environment and personality factors on individual financial
decision-making Frontiers in Psychology 5 158
Puustinen P Maas P amp Karjaluoto H (2013) Development and validation of the
Perceived Investment Value (PIV) scale Journal of Economic Psychology 36 41-
54
Ratcliffe A amp Taylor K (2015) Who cares about stock market booms and busts
Evidence from data on mental health Oxford Economic Papers-New Series 67 (3)
826-845
Raubenheimer J (2004) An item selection procedure to maximize scale reliability and
validity SA Journal of Industrial Psychology 30(4) 59-64
Raut R K Das N amp Kumar R (2018) Extending the Theory of Planned Behavior
Impact of Past Behavioral Biases on the Investment Decision of Indian Investors
Asian Journal of Business and Accounting 11(1) 265-291
Reddy W M amp Reddy W M (1987) Money and liberty in modern Europe A critique
of historical understanding Cambridge University Press
Reinartz W Haenlein M amp Henseler J (2009) An empirical comparison of the efficacy
of covariance-based and variance-based SEM International Journal of Research
in Marketing 26 332ndash344
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191
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Riaz L amp Hunjra A I (2016) Relationship between Psychological Factors and
Investment Decision-making The Mediating Role of Risk Perception Pakistan
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Riepe M W (2013) Musings on behavioral finance Journal of Financial Planning
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Riff S amp Yagil Y (2016) Behavioral Factors Affecting the Home Bias Phenomenon
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Ringle C M Sarstedt M amp Straub D (2012) A critical look at the use of PLS-SEM in
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Ringle C M Wende S amp Becker J M (2015) SmartPLS 30 (version 323)
Boenningstedt SmartPLS GmbH
Roll R (1983) Vas ist das The turn-of-the-year effect and the return premia of small
firms Journal of Portfolio Management 9(2) 18-28
Rose G M amp Orr L M (2007) Measuring and exploring symbolic money meaning
Psychology amp Marketing 24(9) 743ndash761
Rosler M Retz W Retz-Junginger P Thome J Supprian T Nissen T amp Trott G
E (2004) Tools for the diagnosis of attention-deficithyperactivity disorder in
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75(9) 888-895
Rubenstein C (1981) Money and self-esteem relationships secrecy envy satisfaction
Psychology Today 15 (5) 29-44
Samra Chaudary
192
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on trees The effects of shifts in levels of construal on saving decisions PloS one
12(5) e0178283
Rynes S L amp Gerhart B (2000) Compensation in organizations Current research and
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SampP Global Fin Lit Survey (2015) Global Financial Literacy Excellence Center Retrieved
from wwwgflecorginitiativessp-global-finlit-survey
Sahi S K Arora A P amp Dhameja N (2013) An exploratory inquiry into the
psychological biases in financial investment behaviors Journal of Behavioral
Finance 14 (2) 94-103
Salgado J F (1997) The five-factor model of personality and job performance in the
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Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2009) Testing a model of behavioral intentions in the
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sectors Journal of Business Ethics 87(4) 495-517
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2012) Work-related behavioral intentions in
Macedonia Coping strategies work environment love of money job satisfaction
and demographic variables Journal of Business Ethics 108(3) 373-391
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2015) Monetary intelligence Money attitudes-
unethical intentions intrinsic and extrinsic job satisfaction and coping strategies
across public and private sectors in Macedonia Journal of Business Ethics 130(1)
93ndash115
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Satchell L P Bacon A M Firth J L amp Corr P J (2018) Risk as reward
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Saucier G amp Goldberg L R (1996) The language of personality Lexical perspectives
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Saunders M Lewis P amp Thornhill A (2007) Research methods Business Students 6th
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Scandura T A (2016) Essentials of organizational behavior An evidence-based
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Schumacker R E amp Lomax R G (1996) A beginnerrsquos guide to structural equation
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Schwartz H (2010) Heuristics or rules of thumb In J Nofsinger amp K Baker (Eds)
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Seasholes M S amp Zhu N (2010) Individual investors and local bias The Journal of
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httpswwwsecpgovpkwp-contentuploads201607July-19-2016-SECP-
determined-to-ensure-investor-protection-and-to-end-market-abusepdf
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24
Samra Chaudary
194
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Shariff M Z Al-Khasawneh J amp ElSharif A (2012) Future of Neurofinance and
Behavioral Finance in Class Room International Journal of Finance 24(2) 7200-
7207
Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices a theory of market equilibrium under the condition
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Shawahna R Fahed B Qadri D Sharawi L Soroghli M amp Dweik M (2017)
Awareness and knowledge of autism spectrum disorders among pharmacists a
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Developmental Disorders 47(6) 1618-1627
Shefrin H amp Statman M (1985) The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers
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Shih T Y amp Ke S C (2014) Determinates of financial behavior insights into consumer
money attitudes and financial literacy Service Business 8(2) 217-238
Shiller R (2003) From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance The Journal of
Economic Perspectives 17(1) 83-104
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Simon H A (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice The Quarterly Journal of
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Singh R (2010) Behavioral Finance Studies Emergence and Developments Journal of
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Singhapakdi A Vitell S J Lee D J Nisius A M amp Grace B Y (2013) The
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avoiding-the-peter-lynch-bias
Sloan A (2002) The Jurys In Greed Isnt Good Newsweek 139(25) 37-37
Samra Chaudary
196
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Smith A (17761937) An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations New
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Statman M Thorley S amp Vorkink K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading
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Sutcliffe K M (1994) What executives notice accurate perceptions in top management
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Szyszka A Zielonka P (2007) The Disposition Effect Demonstrated on IPO Trading
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Takahashi H amp Terano T (2003) Agent-based approach to investorrsquos behavior and asset
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Tang T L P (1993) The meaning of money Extension and exploration of the money
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Tang T L P (1995) The development of a short Money Ethic Scale Attitudes toward
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Tang T L P (2007) lsquoIncome and Quality of Life Does the Love of Money Make a
Differencersquo Journal of Business Ethics 72(4) 375ndash393
Tang T L P (2016) Theory of monetary intelligence Money attitudesmdashreligious values
making money making ethical decisions and making the grade Journal of
Business Ethics 133(3) 583ndash603
Tang T L P amp Chen Y J (2008) Intelligence vs wisdom The love of money
Machiavellianism and unethical behavior across college major and gender Journal
of Business Ethics 82(1) 1ndash26
Tang T L P amp Chiu R K (2003) Income money ethic pay satisfaction commitment
and unethical behavior Is the love of money the root of evil for Hong Kong
Samra Chaudary
198
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Tang T L P amp Gilbert P R (1995) Attitudes toward money as related to intrinsic and
extrinsic job satisfaction stress and work-related attitudes Personality and
Individual Differences 19(3) 327-332
Tang T L P amp Sutarso T (2013) Falling or not falling into temptation Multiple faces
of temptation monetary intelligence and unethical intentions across gender
Journal of Business Ethics 116(3) 529ndash552
Tang T L P Chen Y J amp Sutarso T (2008a) Bad apples in bad (business) barrels
The love of money Machiavellianism risk tolerance and unethical behavior
Management Decision 46(2) 243-263
Tang T L P Kim J K amp Shin-Hsiung Tang D (2000) Does Attitude Toward Money
Moderate the Relationship Between Intrinsic Job Satisfaction and Voluntary
Turnover Human Relations 53(2) 213ndash245
Tang T L P Luna-Arocas R amp Sutarso T (2005) lsquoFrom Income to Pay Satisfaction
The Love of Money and Pay Equity Comparison as Mediators and Culture (the US
and Spain) and Gender as Moderators Management Research The Journal of the
Iberoamerican Academy of Management 3(1) 7ndash26
Tang T L P Sutarso T Akande A Allen M W Alzubaidi A S Ansari M A et
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functional equivalence in 29 geographical entities around the world Management
and Organization Review 2(3) 423ndash452
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicia F
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32 cultures Good apples enjoy good quality of life in good barrels Journal of
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicai F
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Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management DOI
105465AMBPP201165869480
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K Teo T S Arias-Galicia F amp
Vlerick P (2018c) Monetary Intelligence and Behavioral Economics The Enron
Effect-Love of money corporate ethical values Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI) and dishonesty across 31 geopolitical entities Journal of Business Ethics
148(4) 919-937
Tang T L P Sutarso T Davis G M T Dolinski D Ibrahim A H S amp Wagner S
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money on helping behavior Journal of Business Ethics 82(4) 865ndash887
Tang T L P T Sutarso A Akande M W Allen A S Alzubaidi M A Ansari F
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Manganelli A Moreira A U O Nnedum J E Osagie A Osman-Gani F C
Pereira R Pholsward H D Pitariu M Polic E Sardzoska P Skobic A F
Stembridge T L N Tang T S H Teo M Tombolani M Trontelj C Urbain and
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Samra Chaudary
200
Development Make a Difference Paper presented at the Academy of Management
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Tang T L P Tillery K R Lazarevski B amp Luna-Arocas R (2004) The love of money
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Psychology 19(5) 542-548
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Iqbal A (2016) Information sources and trading behavior
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94-117
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Yousaf S (2015) The influence of Investor personality traits
on information acquisition and trading behavior Evidence from Chinese futures
exchange Personality and Individual Differences 87 248-255
Tekce B Yılmaz N amp Bildik R (2016) What factors affect behavioral biases
Evidence from Turkish individual stock investors Research in International
Business and Finance 37 515-526
Tesar L amp Werner I (1995) Home bias and high turnover Journal of International
Money and Finance 14(4) 467ndash492
Thaler R (1980) Toward a positive theory of consumer choice Journal of Economic
Behavior amp Organization 1(1) 39-60
Thaler R (1999) Mental accounting matters Journal of Behavioral Decision-making
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Thaler R H amp Sunstein C R (2008) Nudge improving decisions about health wealth
and happiness New Haven CT Yale University Press
Tigges P Riegert A Jonitz L Brengelmann J amp Engel R R (2000) Risk behavior
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Psychology and Financial Markets 1(2) 127ndash134
Tomek I Striacuteteskyacute V amp Tahal R (2013) Segmentation of Czech Consumers Based on
the Attitudes Towards Money Central European Business Review 2(2) 19
Trapmann S Hell B Hirn J O W amp Schuler H (2007) Meta-analysis of the
relationship between the Big-Five and academic success at university Zeitschrift
fuumlr PsychologieJournal of Psychology 215(2) 132-151
Tripathi M amp Chattopadhyay T (2013) Study of Behavioral Dimensions of Perceived
Risk of Investment of Financial Experts and Laymen in Equity Mutual Funds in
India Journal of Commerce amp Accounting Research 2(4)10-27
Tung R L amp Baumann C (2009) Comparing the attitudes toward money material
possessions and savings of overseas Chinese vis-agrave-vis Chinese in China
convergence divergence or cross-vergence vis-agrave-vis lsquoone size fits allrsquohuman
resource management policies and practices The International Journal of Human
Resource Management 20(11) 2382-2401
Tupes E C amp Christal R E (1961) Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings
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Personnel Laboratory
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1986) Rational choice and the framing of the decision
The Journal of Business Part 2 The Behavioral Foundations of Economic Theory
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Tversky A and Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory cumulative
representation under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5(4) 297-323
Samra Chaudary
202
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1973) Availability A heuristic for judging frequency and
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Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1974) Judgment under uncertainty Heuristics and biases
Science 185(4157) 1124-1131
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1981) The framing of decisions and the psychology of
choice Science 211(4481) 453-458
Van Witteloostuijin A amp Muehlfeld K S (2008) Traders personality and trading
performance a framework and financial market experiment Discussion Paper
SeriesTjalling C Koopmans Research Institute 8(28) Utrecht School of
Economics Utrecht University Retrieved from
httpeconpapersrepecorgpaperusetkiwps0828htm
Velicer W F amp Fava J L (1998) Affects of variable and subject sampling on factor
pattern recovery Psychological Methods 3(2) 231
Verma M (2008) Wealth management and behavioral finance The effect of
demographics and personality on investment choice among Indian investors The
ICFAI University Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(4) 31-57
Vitell S J Paolillo J G amp Singh J J (2006) The role of money and religiosity in
determining consumersrsquo ethical beliefs Journal of Business Ethics 64(2) 117-124
Vitell S J Singh J J amp Paolillo J G (2007) Consumersrsquo ethical beliefs The roles of
money religiosity and attitude toward business Journal of Business Ethics 73(4)
369-379
Vohs K D (2015) Money priming can change peoplersquos thoughts feelings motivation
and behaviors An update on 10 years of experiments Journal of Experimental
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Psychology-General 144(4) 86ndash93
Vohs K D Mead N C amp Goode M R (2006) The psychological consequences of
money Science 314(5802) 1154ndash1156
Von Thadden E L (1995) Long-term contracts short-term investment and monitoring
The Review of Economic Studies 62(4) 557-575
Wang C M Xu B B Zhang S J amp Chen Y Q (2016) Influence of personality and
risk propensity on risk perception of Chinese construction project managers
International Journal of Project Management 34(7) 1294-1304
Wang M Keller C amp Siegrist M (2011) The less you know the more you are afraid
ofmdashA survey on risk perceptions of investment products Journal of Behavioral
Finance 12(1) 9-19
Wang X L Shi K amp Fan H X (2006) Psychological mechanisms of investors in
Chinese Stock Markets Journal of Economic Psychology 27(6) 762-780
Warneryd K E (2001) Stock-market psychology How people value and trade stocks
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Warren G (2014) Long-Term Investing What Determines Investment Horizon Centre
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Warren G (2016) What does it mean to be a long-term investor (July 2016) Brandes
Institute Research Paper No 2016-04 Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=2987949
Weber E U amp Johnson E J (2008) Decisions under uncertainty Psychological
economic and neuroeconomic explanations of risk preference In P Glimcher C
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204
Camerer E Fehr amp R Poldrack (Eds) Neuroeconomics Decision-making and
the brain 127ndash144) New York Elsevier
Weber E U amp Milliman R A (1997) Perceived risk attitudes Relating risk perception
to risky choice Management Science 43(2) 123-144
Weber E U Blais A R amp Betz N E (2002) A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale
Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors Journal of Behavioral Decision-
making 15(4) 263-290
Weber E U Siebenmorgen N amp Weber M (2005) Communicating asset risk how
name recognition and the format of historic volatility information affect risk
perception and investment decisions Risk Analysis An International Journal
25(3) 597-609
Weber M Weber E U amp Nosić A (2013) Who takes risks when and why
determinants of changes in investor risk taking Review of Finance 17(3) 847-883
Wermers R (1999) Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices The Journal of
Finance 54(2) 581-622
Wernimont PF amp Fitzpatrick S (1972) The meaning of money Journal of Applied
Psychology 56(3) 218-226
Wille G W (1996) A stepwise procedure for the empirical assessment of latent variable
models Unpublished masterrsquos thesis Port Elizabeth University of Port Elizabeth
Wilson A B McNellis C amp Latham C K (2018) Audit firm tenure auditor familiarity
and trust Effect on auditee whistleblowing reporting intentions International
Journal of Auditing 22(2) 113-130
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Wong H M (2008) Religiousness love of money and ethical attitudes of Malaysian
evangelical Christians in business Journal of Business Ethics 81(1) 169-191
Wood R E Goodman J S Beckmann N amp Cook A (2008) Mediation testing in
management research A review and proposals Organizational Research Methods
11(2) 270-295
Wood R amp Zaichkowsky J L (2004) Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market
investors A segmentation approach The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 170-
179
Woolley P (2013) Resilience and the Long-term Rethinking Portfolios for Prosperity
Speech at The Princersquos Charities Event 27th June 2013
Xu H amp Tracey T J (2017) Use of Multi-Group Confirmatory Factor Analysis in
Examining Measurement Invariance in Counseling Psychology Research The
European Journal of Counselling Psychology 6(1) 75-82
Yalcin K C Tatoglu E amp Zaim S (2016) Developing an instrument for measuring the
effects of heuristics on investment decisions Kybernetes 45(7) 1052-1071
Yamauchi K T amp Templer D I (1982) The development of a money attitude scale
Journal of Personality Assessment 46(5) 523ndash528
Yang S Hsu Y amp Tu C (2012) How do traders influence investors confidence and
trading volume A dyad study in the futures market Emerging Markets Finance
and Trade 48(3) 23-34
Samra Chaudary
206
Zakaria R H Jaafar N I M amp Marican S (2012) Financial behavior and financial
position a structural equation modelling approach Middle-East Journal of
Scientific Research 12(10) 1396-1402
Zeisberger S (2018) What is risk how investors perceive risk in return distributions
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=2811636
Zhang L Q (2009) An exchange theory of money and self-esteem in decision-
making Review of General Psychology 13(1) 66-76
Zhao H Seibert S E amp Lumpkin G T (2010b) The relationship of personality to
entrepreneurial intentions and performance A meta-analytic review Journal of
Management 36(2) 381ndash404-
Zhao X Lynch Jr J G amp Chen Q (2010a) Reconsidering Baron and Kenny Myths
and truths about mediation analysis Journal of Consumer Research 37(2) 197-
206
Zhao H amp Seibert S (2006) The Big-Five personality dimensions and entrepreneurial
status A meta-analytical review Journal of Applied Psychology 91(2) 259-271
Appendix
207
Appendices
Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Personality and
Decision-making
Heinstrom 2003
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Mayfield et al
2008 Lim at al
2013 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Oehler et al 2018
Heinstrom 2003
Van Witteloostuijin
amp Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006ab
Bateman et al
2010 Weber et al
2013 Hoffman et
al 2015 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Verma 2008 Riaz
amp Hunjra 2016
Tauni et al
20152016 Yang et
al 2012 Wang et
al 2006 Personality and
Investment
Decisions
Oehler et al 2018
Mayfield et al
2008 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Hershey amp Mowen
2000 Hunter amp
Kemp 2004 van
Witteloostuijin amp
Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
2013 Tauni et al
2015 2016 Yang
et al 2012
Brandstatter 2011
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
Mayfield et al
2008
Personality and
Risk Taking
Behavior
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Weber et al 2002
Filbeck et al 2005
Mayfield et al
2008 Brandstatter
2011 Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Risk Taking and
Decision-making
Riaz amp Hunjra
2016
MacCrimmon amp
Wehrung 1990
Samra Chaudary
208
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a b
Nosic amp Weber
2010 Bateman et
al 2010 Weber et
al 2013 Hoffman
et al 2015 Lim at
al 2013 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002 Wang
et al 2006
Loewenstein et al
2001 Weber amp
Johnson 2008
Big-Five
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Big-Five
Personality Risk
Perception Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Appendix
209
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Heuristics and
Decision-making
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1974
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
De Bondt 1998 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Shefrin amp
Statman 1985
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
Lakonishok et al
1994 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998
Odean 1998 1999
Thaler 1999 Jain
amp Wu 2000
Hirshleifer 2001
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Grinblatt amp Han
2005 Nofsinger
2005 Mishra
2014 Yalcin et al
2016 Ahearne et
al 2004 Wang et
al 2011 Lewis
1999 Barberis amp
Xiong 2009
Wermers 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Statman et
al 2006 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Furnham amp Boo
2011 Glaser et al
2007 Thaler amp
Sunstein 2008
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
De Bondt 1998
Jain amp Wu 2000
Wang et al 2011
Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Lakonishok et al
1994 Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Chan et al 2005
Ahearne et al
2004 Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Kang amp
Stulz 1997 Odean
1998 1999 Lewis
1999 Wermers
1999 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Statman et al
2006 Glaser et al
2007 Wang et al
2011 Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Yalcin et al 2016
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 De Vries et
al 2017 Chan et
al 2005 Olsen
1997 Metawa et
al 2019
Samra Chaudary
210
Salience and
Investment
Decisions
Yalcin et al 2016
Huberman 2001
Tverskyamp
Kahneman 1973
Merton 1987
Heath amp Tversky
1991 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Sirri amp Tufano
1998 Jain amp Wu
2000 Barber et al
2005 Nofsinger
2005Wang et al
2011 Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 Antoniou et
al 2010 Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014
Chan et al 2005
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Sizemore 2012
Giannetti amp
Koskinen 2010
Kumar amp
Goetzmann 2003
De Vries et al
2017 Chan et al
2005 Weber et al
2005
Institutional
Investors and
Salience
Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Strong amp Xu 2003
Chan et al 2005
Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Goldstein amp
Gigerenzer 2002
Forbes et al 2015
Individual
Investors and
Salience
Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba
1991
Baker et al 2017
De Vries et al
2017 Tesar amp
Werner 1995
Appendix
211
Ahearne et al
2004 Kang amp
Stulz 1997
Seasholes amp Zhu
2010 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Cooper amp Kaplanis
1994
Gender and
Salience
Anderson et al
2011 Alrabadi et
al 2018 Ang et
al 2014 Cao et al
2009 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Karlsson amp Norden
2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018
Prast et al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Tekce et al 2016
Wang et al 2011
Anderson et al
2011 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018 Prast et
al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Wang et al 2011
Alrabadi et al
2018 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Tekce et al 2016
Salience Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Salience
Institutional
Investors
Individual
Investors Gender
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
212
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Attitudes and
Decision-making
Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013
Akhtar amp Das
2019
Lim amp Teo 1997
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al
2006 Vitell et al
2007 Tang et al
2008 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Klontz
amp Britt 2012
Gentina et al 2018
Hampson et al
2018 Tang amp Chiu
2003 Medina et al
1996 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Tang et al
2006 Li et al
2009 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Jia
et al 2013
Sardzoska ampTang
2012 Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013 Shih
amp Ke 2014 Tang
et al 2018a
Akhtar amp Das 2019
Money Attitudes
and Decision-
making
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Vitell et al 2007
Tang et al
2008ab Tang amp
Chen 2008 Li et
al 2009 Klontz amp
Britt 2012 Shih amp
Ke 2014 Tang
2016 Britt 2016
Tang et al 2018a
Greenberg amp
Hershfield 2019
Money Attitudes
and Investment
Decisions
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Jia et al
2013 Shih amp Ke
2014 Tang et al
2018a
Demographics and
Money Attitudes
Lim amp Teo 1997
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011
Hampson et al
2018 Gentina et al
2018 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Medina et al 1996
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Tang et al 2006
Tang et al
2008ab Sardzoska
ampTang 2012
Demographics and
Investment
Decision
Warneryd 2001
Haisley et al 2008
Greenberg amp
Appendix
213
Hershfield 2019
Cicchetti amp Dubin
1994 Grable et al
2004 Hlouskova et
al 2017
Greenberg 2013
Embrey and Fox
1997
Money Attitudes
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Money Attitudes
Income
Inheritance Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
214
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 1 Aba Ali Securities- Karachi
2 Alfalah Investments- Karachi
3 Allied Bank Limited (ABL)- Asset Management Company- Lahore
4 Arif Habib- Karachi
5 Bank Islami Pakistan Limited Securities (BIPL)- Karachi
6 Central Depository Company (CDC) - Karachi
7 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
8 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
9 Foundation Securities- Karachi
10 IGI Insurance- Lahore
11 Insight Securities- Karachi
12 JS Global Capital- Karachi
13 JS Global Capital- Lahore
14 Meezan - Asset Management Company-Lahore
15 Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) - Asset Management Company
16 NBP Fullerton Asset Management Limited (NAFA)- Lahore
17 Pakistan Stock Exchange- Lahore
18 Pakistan Stock Exchange-Karachi
19 Shajar Capital- Karachi
20 Silk - Asset Management Company- Lahore
21 Topline Securities- Karachi
22 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Karachi
23 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Lahore
Appendix
215
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation)
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision
Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
216
Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and short-term investment decision
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision
Appendix
217
Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision
Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
218
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision
Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and long-term investment decision
Appendix
219
Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision
Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
220
Appendix VI Questionnaire
This questionnaire is aimed at collecting data for PhD thesis in Business Administration
Please fill the questionnaire to the best of your knowledge The information taken is purely
for research purpose and will be kept confidential Thank you for taking the time to assist
me in my educational endeavours
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
Short-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
1-I intend to put at least half of my
investment money into the stock market
1 2 3 4 5
2-I intend to engage in portfolio
management activities at least twice per
week
1 2 3 4 5
3-I intend to perform my own investment
research instead of using outside advice
1 2 3 4 5
4-I intend to compare my portfolio
performance to that of professional
managers
1 2 3 4 5
Long-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
5-I intend to save at least 10 of my
gross earnings for investing saving
retirement purposes
1 2 3 4 5
6-I intend to have a portfolio that focuses
on multiple asset classes (ie shares
bonds cash real estate etc)
1 2 3 4 5
7-I intend to take an investments course 1 2 3 4 5
8-I intend to manage my portfolio for
maximum gross return rather than tax
and cost efficiency
1 2 3 4 5
9-I intend to invest some money in long-
term assets where my money will be tied
up and inaccessible for years
1 2 3 4 5
Neuroticism
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
10-I often feel inferior to others 1 2 3 4 5
11-When Im under a great deal of stress
sometimes I feel like Im going to pieces
1 2 3 4 5
12-I often feel tense and jittery 1 2 3 4 5
13-Sometimes I feel completely
worthless
1 2 3 4 5
14-Too often when things go wrong I
get discouraged and feel like giving up
1 2 3 4 5
Appendix
221
Extraversion
(Costa ampMcCrae 1992)
15-I really enjoy talking to people 1 2 3 4 5
16-I am a cheerful high-spirited person 1 2 3 4 5
17-I am a very active person 1 2 3 4 5
Openness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
18-I am intrigued by the patterns I find in
art and nature
1 2 3 4 5
19-I often try new and foreign foods 1 2 3 4 5
20-I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 1 2 3 4 5
21-I often enjoy playing with theories or
abstract ideas
1 2 3 4 5
Agreeableness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
22-I often get into arguments with my
family and co-workers
1 2 3 4 5
23-Some people think Im selfish and
egotistical
1 2 3 4 5
24-Some people think of me as cold and
calculating
1 2 3 4 5
Conscientiousness
(CostaampMcCrae1992)
25-I keep my belongings neat and clean 1 2 3 4 5
26-I am pretty good about pacing myself
so as to get things done on time
1 2 3 4 5
27-I waste a lot of time before settling
down to work
1 2 3 4 5
Salience
(Yalcin et al 2016)
28-Expert opinions in written and visual
media should be taken into consideration
when investing
1 2 3 4 5
29-A companyrsquos share which is often in
the media with favorable news coverage
should be preferred when investing
1 2 3 4 5
30-To invest in companies that have a
good brand name is important to me
1 2 3 4 5
31-It is risky to invest in relatively
unknown public companies rather than
known ones
1 2 3 4 5
32-I believe that investors should
purchase the share of the company they
work for if it is well run
1 2 3 4 5
Achievement
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
33-I believe that the amount of money
that a person earns is closely related to
hisher ability and effort
1 2 3 4 5
34-Money represents ones achievement 1 2 3 4 5
35-Money is a symbol of success 1 2 3 4 5
36-I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence
1 2 3 4 5
Power
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
37-Money can give you the opportunity
to be what you want to be
1 2 3 4 5
38-Money gives you autonomy or
freedom
1 2 3 4 5
Samra Chaudary
222
39-Money means power 1 2 3 4 5
40-Money will help you express your
competence and abilities
1 2 3 4 5
41-Money can bring you many friends 1 2 3 4 5
Obsession
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
42-I firmly believe that money can solve
all of my problems
1 2 3 4 5
43-Money can buy everything 1 2 3 4 5
44-I would do practically anything legal
for money if it were enough
1 2 3 4 5
45-I often fantasize about money and
what I could do with it
1 2 3 4 5
Budget
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
46-I am proud of my ability to save
money
1 2 3 4 5
47-I feel compelled to argue or bargain
about the cost of almost everything that I
buy
1 2 3 4 5
Indicate your gut level assessment of how risky each situation is on a five-point rating
scale
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all risky Slightly
Risky
Moderately
Risky
Relatively more
Risky
Very Risky
Risk Perception
(Weber et al 2002)
48-Investing 10 of your annual income
in a moderate growth mutual fund
1 2 3 4 5
49-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a very speculative shares
1 2 3 4 5
50-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a conservative shares
1 2 3 4 5
1-How long have you been investing in the stock market hellipyears andhellipmonths
2-Whats your role in the management of wealth (check only one option)
1048713 I manage my own wealth only 1048713 I manage peoplersquos wealth
3-Do you expect to receive inheritancetransfer of assets from your family
1048713 Yes 1048713 No
4-What is your amount invested in the stockshares portfolio PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
5-How would you rate your religiosity
1048713 Very liberal 1048713Moderately religious 1048713Very religious
6-What is your age helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip years
Appendix
223
7-What is your monthly income PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
8-Please circle the highest number of years of school completed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23+
9-Gender 1048713 Male 1048713 Female
Thank you for your help
iii
iv
THE IMPACT OF PERSONALITY SALIENCE AND LOVE OF MONEY ON
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
|
by
|
Samra Chaudary
|
Submitted to the Department of Business Administration
on October 25th 2019 in Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy
in Business Administration
|
Abstract |
This dissertation investigates the impact of Personality Salience and Love of Money
(LoM) on an investorrsquos short-term investment decision (ST-D) and long-term investment
decisions (LT-D) The research of this dissertation falls under the discipline of behavioral
finance and uses Prospect Theory as a theoretical lens A succession of three papers
(models) was written on this theme The first paper has explored the impact of five types
of personality traits on ST-D and LT-D Moreover risk perception has been tested as a
mediator between each personality type and investment decisions The second paper
tested the effect of salience on ST-D and LT-D and it was also tested if the impact of
salience on ST-D and LT-D differed between individual investors and professional
investors Moreover it was also investigated whether the impact of salience on ST-D and
LT-D differed between female investors and male investors The third paper focused on
the effect of LoM on ST-D and LT-D and whether current income and future inheritance
moderated the relationship between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The data were
collected by 277 individual and professional equity investors investing in Pakistan Stock
Exchange (PSX) The findings of the first paper were that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities showed a significant relationship with ST-D
v
However investors with openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits
showed an effect on LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and LT-
D only The results of the second paper found that salience has a significant positive
impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and professional
investors were found significantly different from each other Furthermore the parametric
tests of difference between the two groups also showed that path coefficients of female
investors were significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for
ST-D and LT-D The third paper found that LoM showed a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore income moderated
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance moderated the relationship
between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The findings of this research have implications
for psychologists economists and finance executives The findings will facilitate money
managers to cultivate a deeper understanding of their clientsrsquo behavior for ST-D and LT-
D Thus it is important that financial advisors include this behavioral aspect in their risk
models to improve the investment plans and decisions for their clients The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of
finance especially to the literature on personality risk perception salience and LoM
used by investors while making investment decisions
Keywords personality type risk perception salience love of money short-term
investment decision long- term investment decision
Thesis supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar
Supervisorrsquos Title Professor
vi
Acknowledgments |
|
There are myriad individuals to acknowledge individually everyone who aided
me during this research and from whom I have learned considerably A special thanks
to Dr Shahid Amjad Chaudhry who by providing me with the opportunity to teach set
in motion my enrolment into the PhD program I would like to express my most sincere
gratitude to my supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar for his continuous encouragement and
patient guidance I also want to recognize my committee members Dr Syeda Rabab
Mudakkar and Dr Aamir Khan for providing direction and productive critiques to my
research I thank my teachers and everyone who voluntarily bore with me throughout the
process of my primary research
I also want to acknowledge collectively the colleagues with whom I worked with
the Lahore School of Economics for the last 8 years Contrary to the usual stereotypes
rather than competition the support by my peers who were on the same journey was
unequivocally sincere I am grateful to my best friend Qurat ul Ain for her consistent
support throughout this challenging process and to my uncle Amjad Bhatti who
encouraged me to enroll in the PhD program
Last but not least I thank all of my family including all my siblings Sadia Sidra
Zeenat Huma M Ali M Umar and especially my father Abdul Qadir for the
unconditional support and encouragement to pursue my interests and follow my dreams
I dedicate this work in the loving memory of my deceased mother Shamshad Akhter for
her wise thoughtful and motivational nurturing that kindled passion in me to accomplish
this milestone
vii
Table of Contents
Contents Abstract iv Acknowledgments vi Table of Contents vii List of Tables x
List of Figures xi 1 Introduction 1
11 Introduction 1
12 Research Context 9
13 Research Objectives and Questions 10
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions 13
15 Organization of the Study 17
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk Perception on Investment
Decisions 19 Abstract 19
21 Introduction 20
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development 24
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979) 24
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991) 26
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001) 27
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies 28
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions 32
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions 35
23 Data and Methodology 41
231 Measures 41
232 Methods 41
24 Results 46
241 Measurement Model 46
242 Structural Model 49
25 Discussion and Implications 56
26 Conclusion and Future Research 62
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions Differences Between
Individual Investors and Professional Investors 65 Abstract 65
31 Introduction 66
viii
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development 68
321 Prospect Theory 68
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions 69
323 Salience and Investment Decision 70
324 Institutional Investors and Salience 74
325 Individual Investors and Salience 75
326 Gender and Salience 77
33 Data and Methodology 81
331 Measures 81
332 Methods 81
34 Results 84
341 Measurement Model 84
342 Structural Model 87
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment 89
344 Multi-group Analysis 92
35 Discussion and Implications 95
36 Conclusion and Future Research 100
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions Interaction of Income and
Inheritance 102
Abstract 102
41 Introduction 103
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development 107
421 Prospect Theory 107
422 Theory of Planned Behavior 108
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory 109
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions 109
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money 113
43 Data and Methodology 118
431 Measures 118
432 Methods 119
44 Results 122
441 Measurement Model 122
442 Structural Model 126
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance 128
45 Discussion and Implications 134
ix
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction 140
5 Conclusion 142 51 Introduction 142
52 Key Findings 143
53 Theoretical Implications 145
54 Practical Implications 148
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions 151
References 154
Appendices 207 Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 207
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 209
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 212
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 214
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation) 215
Appendix VI Questionnaire 220
x
List of Tables
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies 30 Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models 32 Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits 33 Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 46 Table 25 Results of Measurement Model 48
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 49 Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 49 Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D 52 Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception 55
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 84 Table 32 Results of Measurement Model 86
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 86 Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 86 Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D 88
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and
Professional Investors 91
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male
Investors 91 Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93 Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females 94
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females 94
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 122
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model 125 Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs 126
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 126 Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 126 Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D 128 Table 47 Moderation Results 131
xi
List of Figures
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) 7 Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception 10 Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and
long-term investment decisions 80 Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term
and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect
to receive the future inheritance 118 Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132 Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision 133 Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision 133
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and short-term investment decision 216
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision 216 Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision 217 Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision 217
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision 219 Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision 219
Introduction
1
1 Introduction
11 Introduction
Onersquos life is full of risky decisions from ordinary routine matters of daily life to matters
of life or death Individuals persistently face circumstances that require them to decide
between actions that differ in the level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Individual investors
and money managers are often confronted with risky decision-making choices as they are
expected to make decisions by taking into account the perceived levels of risk (Epstein
1994) An individualrsquos financial decision-making is a key factor for hisher long-term
financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017 Tang et al 2018a) Therefore it is important
to understand which factors influenced investorsrsquo financial decisions (Keller amp Siegrist
2006b) Decisions are a function of many constraints such as task structure the decision
makers cognitive representation of the task and the decision makers information
processing capabilities The process of decision-making has been investigated by many
disciplines eg economics statistics psychology philosophy and management science
Psychologists seemed to believe that they can best contribute to decision research by
exposing the psychological processes underlying judgment and choice They have tried to
place behavioral decision theory within a broader psychological context and have focused
on the significance of memory cognition conflict learning and feedback as relevant
factors that affect decision-making (Einhorn amp Hogarth 1981)
Individuals make investment decisions to save earnings for retirement (Clark-Murphy
amp Soutar 2004 Dreman Johnson MacGregor amp Slovic 2001) education expenses and
health care expenditures (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Another reason for an
investment decision is the individualrsquos desire for making profits and increasing their capital
Samra Chaudary
2
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Moreover 1) deregulations of financial services 2) social
security cuts and 3) tough economic conditions are also likely reasons for individuals to
invest (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) In this era of concern for retirement savings
employees try to understand how much to save where to invest and how to make lump-
sum payouts (McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) Consequently individuals all over the world
are facing more complex investment decisions than in the past (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Shih amp Ke 2014)
The development of asset markets has offered more varied opportunities to invest in
several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) These financial instruments have different
time horizons ie short and long The attractiveness of an investment strategy is
significantly determined by the investment horizon (Dierkes Erner amp Zeisberger 2010)
Attitudes towards investment horizon may vary across individuals and may depend on
different behavioral factors (Warren 2014) Some of those are investigated in this
dissertation According to Pennings Candel amp Egelkraut (2003) financial institutions
need new knowledge in order to develop new financial products or to improve the existing
ones Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice
process of the client is crucial for investors themselves as well as for financial institutions
involved in developing financial instruments for investors
An Individualrsquos decisions to invest in a firmrsquos securities are not merely driven by the
fundamentals of a firm (De Vries Erasmus amp Gerber 2017) but are prominently
influenced by psychological and behavioral factors related to investors such as personality
emotions (Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007 Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 Kahneman 2012 Tauni
Fang amp Iqbal 2016) attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b) desire for
Introduction
3
immediate gratification (Warren 2016) locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward
saving (Euwals Eymann amp Boumlrsch-Supan 2004) risk attitudes (Morse1998 Tigges
Riegert Jonitz Brengelmann amp Engel 2000 Warneryd 2001) overconfidence and
behavioral biases (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Kiyilar amp Acar
2009 Kourtidis Sevic amp Chatzoglou 2011 Pompian 2012) The identification of
investorsrsquo related factors that hinder or stimulate their decision to make investments is of
high relevance (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Overlooking such important factors may have
severe negative effects on investment returns (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) Therefore it is
argued that the behavioral aspect of an investor is relevant in devising effective strategies
by financial planners for their clientsrsquo wealth management
Investors sometimes behave irrationally in some of their investment decisions (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2014 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a) Traditional financial models are unable to explain such irrational but real
behavior of investors (Firat amp Fettahoglou 2011) Behavioral finance models are deemed
more suitable to explain investor behavior that results in market anomalies because rational
models of conventional finance fail to explain such anomalies (Glaser Langer Reynders
amp Weber 2007) Previous studies on peoplersquos investment decisions were based on the
assumptions of modern finance theories (Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952
Modigliani amp Miller 1958) Conventional finance theories assume that investors are
rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain level of risk However conventional
finance theories have been criticized both on the basis of their lack of explanatory power
and the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi ampTerano 2003) Yalcin Tatoglu and
Zaim (2016) have identified two bases of conventional finance theories firstly these
Samra Chaudary
4
theories assume that during the decision-making process humans behave rationally as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) secondly these theories advocate that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect the accurate prices of
securities the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) stated that in an efficient market all the
available information is reflected in the observed current prices of financial assets The
assumptions of a perfect market are that there are no taxes no inflation no information
asymmetry no transaction cost no bankruptcy cost and investors are rational According
to EMH investors make rational decisions in the financial market and it would be
impossible for an investor to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis There
are three forms of EMH which are the weak form the semi-strong form and the strong
form In Weak form prices of financial assets reflect market-level data (price and volume)
In semi-strong form current prices of financial securities reflect market-level data and
publicly available data However in the strong form of EMH prevailing prices of the
securities reflect publicly as well as privately available data Hence as level of information
increases market becomes more efficient (Fama 1970)
However in decision-making investors have to take one course of action among
several uncertain investment alternatives However various studies (Black 1986 De
Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Warneryd 2001) detected so-called ldquoanomaliesrdquo in the returns that
were not explained by the EMH and rational models of portfolio choice Yalcin et al (2016)
have explained that both conventional finance and behavioral finance propose different
interpretations to explain the causes of observable market anomalies The advocates of
conventional finance claim that the anomalies can be explained by chance or by the
Introduction
5
presence of methodological errors In contrast advocates of behavioral finance claim these
anomalies are explainable through behavioral biases (Kliger amp Kudryavtsev 2010 Sahi
Arora amp Dhameja 2013)
The term expected utility was first introduced by Bernoulli (17381954) The
expected utility theory deals with the decision-making under the condition of uncertainty
ie when individuals are unaware of the outcome of the decision Expected utility theory
postulates that investors behaved rationally and tried to maximize their utilities by
evaluating all the investment alternatives and they restrict their feelings and they decide
only by using their brains as a super calculator or as emotionless robots Investors choose
between risky or uncertain prospects by calculating the utility of each decision outcome
multiplied by its probability to arrive at an expected value Friedman and Savage (1952)
had proposed that decision-makers look for maximum utility in all outcomes whereas
utility was generally defined as a degree of happiness satisfaction or contentment
Conventional finance theory was first questioned by Simon (1955) who argued that
individuals have bounded rationality and their actions are constrained by mental and
external restrictions which limit their rationality Slovic Fischhoff and Lichtenstein
(1977) also argued that because of limited information processing ability and not knowing
the guidelines of optimal information processing decision makerrsquos judgment is subject to
systematic biases The idea of limited rationality provided the foundation for the discipline
of behavioral finance as many researchers encountered counter-evidence against the
validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Shleifer amp Summers 1990) These researchers concluded that in real-life decision-making
situations individuals were subject to some cognitive limitations
Samra Chaudary
6
The area of behavioral finance recognizes the importance of human behavioral
biases which plays a significant role in economic decisions made by individuals The field
picked up pace when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed prospect theory and got
further recognition when three Nobel Prizes were awarded to behavioral economists
namely Daniel Kahneman in 2002 Robert Schiller in 2006 and most recently Richard
Thaler in 2017 Prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) laid the foundation for
the discipline of behavioral finance It proposes that investorsrsquo decision-making is based
on the potential value of gains and losses rather than on actual value of gains and losses
This phenomenon occurs due to cognitive biases that affect the judgment about these gains
and losses Prospect theory assumes that the value function is a concave function in the
area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a convex function in the area of loss and thus risk-
taking Additionally the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in the area of
loss than in the area of gain which infers that a loss would have a larger effect (cause more
pain) on the decision-maker than a gain (would cause happiness)
In prospect theory the outcomes are estimated on the basis of the deviance from
the reference point which symbolizes the psychological origin the decision-maker assesses
the outcomes either as a gain or loss Moreover prospect theory suggests that decision-
makers estimate a gain as risk-aversion and a loss as risk-taking Even the identical problem
demonstrates risk-aversion behavior when the alternatives are shown in the area of gain it
also shows risk-taking behavior in the area of loss
According to prospect theory the value function is a concave function (a function
that is concave downward) in the region of gain which is above the reference point and
the function is convex (a function that is convex downward) in the region of loss which is
Introduction
7
below the reference point as shown in figure 11 This shows that the decision-makers show
risk-averse actions in the area of gain and risk-taking actions in the area of a loss
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted a survey among faculty and students in
Israeli American and Swedish universities Subjects were given the following similar
problems as stated in Takemura (2014) To clarify this findings of their results are given
below
Problem 1 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
A a gain of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect A = (4000 080)
B a certain gain of $3000 (Prospect B = (3000 100)
Problem 2 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
C a loss of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect C = (-4000 080)
D a certain loss of $3000 (Prospect D = (-3000 100)
Samra Chaudary
8
For Problem 1 20 of 95 respondents selected A 80 preferred B Regarding Problem
2 92 of 95 respondents preferred C 8 opted for D This pattern of the majority
selection was consistent with the propositions of prospect theory that decision-makers are
risk-averse in the area of gain and risk-takers in the area of loss
The above example can further be clarified that in case of gains a big majority of
respondents (80) showed a preference for definite gains while only 20 of respondents
expressed the preference for probabilistic gains although the probabilistic gains were
higher Therefore they concluded that in case of gains respondents showed risk-averse
behavior Furthermore in the case of losses 92 of respondents chose probabilistic losses
while only 8 chose definite losses though probabilistic losses were higher Therefore
they showed preference for risk-taking which is an irrational behavior
The discipline of behavioral finance links the knowledge of finance and behavioral
decision-making The discipline discusses how investors think feel behave and decide
about their investments The subject also includes the awareness of psychological
processes that determine the decision-makersrsquo choices as well as systematic biases that
investors have and heuristics that investors use when making decisions Behavioral finance
emerged as a new discipline linking behavioral and psychological perspectives in economic
and financial decision-making in the 1980s (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) The field is emerging
within the broader context of economics and finance and has close interaction with both
psychology and sociology (Puustinen Maas amp Karjaluoto 2013 Shiller 2003
Subrahmanyam 2008) Shariff Al-Khasawneh and ElSharif (2012) conducted a survey
on university students in the Persian Gulf countries and found that respondents were not at
all familiar with behavioral finance or neuroscience concepts Riepe (2013) has
Introduction
9
emphasized that the future of behavioral finance is bright Huang Shieh and Kao (2016)
research based on ISI Web of Science (WOS) database searched from 1995 to 2013
covering 124 journals found that research papers in the area of behavioral finance are
increasing making it a significant area of study With the dynamic development of
financial markets more and more researchers are using behavioral finance as their research
paradigm
12 Research Context
Capital markets play an important role in any countryrsquos economic health Respondents
of this study were the active traders in the equity market Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-
100) was founded in 1991 and is the largest and most liquid stock index of Pakistan As of
February 23rd 2018 the market capitalization of PSX-100 was US$ 84 billion with an
average daily trading volume of US$95 billion There were 559 listed companies from 35
sectors From a population of almost 208 million (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2017)
there were only approximately 0248 million investors (including institutional and retail)
who were actively participating in the stock market This was barely 125 percent of the
countryrsquos population Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual) of
the country Karachi has 74 percent investors Lahore has 18 percent and Islamabad has 8
percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Khwaja and Mian (2005) argued
that KSE-100 index depicts the typical attributes of an emerging market such as soaring
returns with extreme volatility low market capitalization but with large trading volumes
and high kurtosis in the returns distribution In 2002 for instance KSE-100 was announced
as the outperforming index in the world in terms of the percentage increase Consequently
the status of PSX was upgraded to Emerging Markets from Frontier Markets by Morgan
Samra Chaudary
10
Stanley Capital International (MSCI) in June 2016 According to the managing director of
IMF emerging economies contribute almost 60 percent of global GDP (Lagarde 2016)
This announcement anticipated more capital inflows from international markets indicating
brighter future prospects for PSX (Jabeen 2016) Figure 12 shows an overall upward trend
of yearly returns of PSX-100 since its inception
Kumar and Goyal (2015) proposed that future research in the discipline of behavioral
finance should concentrate on emerging stock markets as developing economies have
higher growth prospects It was also proposed that attention should be given to research
based on primary data to analyze the behavior of investors
Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception
Source wwwpsxcompk
13 Research Objectives and Questions
This study is built on the notion that behavioral factors have an influence on the
decision-making process of investors The key objective of this dissertation is to investigate
Introduction
11
the effect of behavioral factors namely personality type of investors salience (familiarity
bias) and investorsrsquo love of money on their investment decisions In this sense this study
essentially aims at testing the Prospect Theory in many ways in the context of a developing
economy
There is a dearth of literature on the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience
(familiarity bias) and love of money on short-term and long-term investment decisions
There are numerous studies on the aforementioned three behavioral factors and their impact
on decision-making from developed economies (Ahearne Griever amp Warnock 2004
Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale Inbar amp Lerner 2011
Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Gentina Tang amp Gu 2018 Hampson Grimes Banister amp
McGoldrick 2018 Hirshleifer 2001 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997
Mayfield Perdue amp Wooten 2008 Nicholson Soane Fenton‐OCreevy amp Willman
2005 Oehler Wendt Wedlich amp Horn 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell Bacon
Firth amp Corr 2018 Sekścińska Rudzinska-Wojciechowska amp Maison 2018 Tang 2016
1992 Tversky amp Kahneman 1986 1981 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell Singh amp
Paolillo 2007 Wang Keller amp Siegrist 2011 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber Blais amp
Betz 2002 Yalcin et al 2016) But research in the context of developing economies is
still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De Vries
et al 2017 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li Jiang An Shen amp Jin 2009 Li amp Liu 2008
Metawa Hassan Metawa amp Safa 2019 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira Augusto Falciano
amp Villas Boas Perito 2014 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Tripathi amp
Chattopadhyay 2013)
Samra Chaudary
12
To the best of our knowledge there is scant empirical evidence on the primary research
question of the study and none in the emerging economy In order to accomplish the
research objective a number of following research questions have been developed 1a) Do
five personality types have an effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions
1b) Does risk perception mediate the relationship between personality types and short-term
and long-term investment decisions 2a) Does salience (familiarity bias) have an impact
on short-term and long-term investment decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between individual investors and
professional investors 2c) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions differs between female investors and male investors 3a) What is the
relationship between Love of Money and short-term and long-term investment decisions
3b) Whether current income moderates the relationship of Love of Money and short-term
as well as long-term investment decisions 3c) Whether future inheritance moderates the
relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment decisions
It is crucially important to analyze investorsrsquo intentions (such as short-term vs long-
term) about investment and why they manage the investment in different ways If those
investment intentions are evident then researchers and financial advisors would be
interested to learn if those intentions are adaptable (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become
vital to recognize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is
likely to be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate
with these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Introduction
13
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions
The key findings of three papers are summarized in the following paragraph The
results of first paper are that investors only with neuroticism and extrovert personality traits
showed a significant positive relationship with ST-D However individuals with openness
conscientiousness and extraversion personalities showed a significant positive relationship
with LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of extraversion with LT-
D openness with LT-D agreeableness with LT-D and conscientiousness personality trait
with LT-D There was no mediating effect of risk perception between relationship of five
personality types and ST-D The findings of the second paper are that salience has a
significant positive impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and
professional investors were found significantly different from each other with respect to
impact of salience on decision making behavior both ST-D and LT-D Furthermore the
moderating effect of gender in relationship between salience and investment decision
showed that the path coefficients of female investors were significantly different from the
path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D It was found that female
investors suffered more from salience bias than male investors In the third paper it was
found that LoM had a significant positive impact on both ST-D and on L-TD Moreover
income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D but did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D Paper three also tested moderating effect of inheritance
expectation on relationship between LoM and investment decisions The expectation of
receiving future inheritance was found to moderate the relationship between LoM and ST-
D as well as the relationship of LoM with LT-D
Samra Chaudary
14
The significance of these studies enhances the understanding of irrationality in
investment decision making Behavioral biases are inseparable from individualsrsquo decision-
making and can reasonably be understood with the lens of behavioral finance (Barberis amp
Thaler 2003) The complexity of irrational decisions by investors creates new challenges
for portfolio managers whose job is to manage their clientrsquos wealth Therefore the
knowledge of behavioral factors is imperative for the financial institutions and financial
planners to ensure that their customers are obtaining appropriate guidance Such findings
can also help professionals in recognizing the behaviors of clients and accordingly advise
them for short-term and long-term financial goals (Baker Filbeck amp Ricciardi 2017) The
understanding of behavioral factors operative in investors decision-making is likely to aid
managers to communicate better with their clients (Muradoglu amp Harvey 2012)
Moreover understanding of an investorrsquos behavior is likely to assist managers in assessing
how optimistic overconfident and risk-averse their specific clients are (Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998)
This research has made contributions in multiple forms Firstly as discussed
above investigating this area of finance is itself a theoretical contribution because the
paradigm is still young and emerging and needs more evidence from developing economies
to have more generalizable knowledge about the behavioral factors influencing investment
decision-making Secondly many other studies have used student samples (from a finance
course) as proxy for potential investors in the field of behavioral finance (Filbeck Hattield
amp Horvarth 2005 Lemrova Reiterova Fatenova Lemr amp Tang 2014 Li amp Liu 2008
Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al 2018 Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) but this study
collected responses from actual real-life investors It was also proposed that attention
Introduction
15
should be given to empirical research which should be based on primary data to analyze
the behavior of investors (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) This study has made a methodological
contribution by using primary data collected from actual investors instead of student
sample Thirdly this study has aimed to bridge the empirical gap between behavioral
factors and investment decisions To the best of our knowledge there have been no
research studies about the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience and love of money
on short-term and long-term investment decisions This was correct both in the context of
developing andor developed economies hence provides contextual contribution Fourthly
this study has extended the general model of prospect theory the theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy And lastly given the importance of these theories in the field of
social behavior the findings of this study also deliver interdisciplinary contributions
The novel findings of this research provide significant and meaningful
contributions to the emerging behavioral finance paradigm and offer practical implications
for financial institutions professional money managers individual investors and
regulatory authorities This research offers practical implications for individual investors
themselves and for professional financial managers In light of this study individual
investors can enhance knowledge of their own preferences and professional managers can
gain better understandings of their clientsrsquo preferences Such enhanced understanding is
expected to facilitate investment decision-making in a more meaningful manner
Investment advisors help their clients in investing money They must understand what is
Samra Chaudary
16
important to their customers in order to guide them and fulfill their clientsrsquo needs
commendably It may also be useful for advisors to identify potential investors based on
personality type risk perception familiarity bias money attitudes current income and
future wealth possession to segment the client accordingly and to develop suitable
investment strategies based on such segmentations
This research also contributes to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market By such enhanced insights market inefficiencies and
anomalies are likely to be better understood Financial planners may find useful strategies
to exploit numerous behavioral anomalies present in the financial markets Financial
managers from brokerage houses mutual fund companies and other financial institutions
may deliver a superior product service and targeted guidance to their customers once they
understand their clientsrsquo behavior which can influence their investment decisions
Investors should be mindful that familiarity bias sometimes could lead to
undiversified and sub-optimal portfolio building Hence acknowledging the presence of
such bias can help avoid sub-optimal diversification To avoid pitfalls of familiarity bias
financial planners would be well advised to communicate to investors that they should have
a long-term diversification plan with the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return
in their investment portfolios (Baker amp Ricciardi 2015)
For an emerging market like Pakistan raising fresh equity capital from investors is
paramount in its importance to attain economic growth Successfully strategies of targeting
investors are likely to bring more money in the market boost investments in the economy
and strengthen investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually help the
Introduction
17
market to move towards efficiency To conclude this research offers a brand new and
novel perspective and adds to the behavioral finance literature by investigating personality
salience bias and LoM as antecedents of short-term and long-term investment decisions
The theoretical models reveal novel and counterintuitive findings and help us understand
not only the what how and why factors contributing to short-term and long-term
investment decisions but also who where and when
15 Organization of the Study
This dissertation is divided into five chapters The first chapter introduces the
discipline of behavioral finance and behavioral factors affecting investorsrsquo investment
decisions This chapter also presents research objectives research questions and
significance and contribution of this research in the context of developing economy
The second chapter examines the relationships between five personality types and
investment decisions It further explores the mediation of risk perception between each
type of personality and investment decisions The results indicate that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities show a significant relationship with ST-D
However all personality types except neuroticism and agreeableness show an effect on
long-term investment decision Moreover risk perception is found to mediate relationships
between the four personality types and LT-D only
The third chapter explores the pertinence of salience as a heuristic with respect to
investment decisions This relationship is further explored by examining the group
differences between individual investors and professional investors and between female
investors and male investors Data has been analyzed through partial least square based
structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach measurement invariance test and
Samra Chaudary
18
multi-group analysis Results indicate that salience has a significant positive effect on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions is significantly different for individual
investors and professional investors as well as for female investors and male investors
The fourth chapter explores the relationship of Love of Money (LoM) with short-
term and long-term investment decisions This relationship is further explored by
examining the moderating effect of current income and the expectation of receiving future
inheritance The study finds that LoM has a significant positive impact on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions Furthermore it is found that current income moderates
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and does not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D Future inheritance moderates the relationship between LoM and both short-
term and long-term investment decisions
The fifth chapter presents a conclusion by elucidating the major research findings
and underscoring theoretical and managerial implications of the results of the research
questions raised in this study Especially this section highlights the contributions to the
growing body of applied behavioral finance area It also emphasizes the contribution to the
literature on personality types heuristics and LoM This chapter also provides a way
forward by identifying limitations and offering future research directions in the field of
behavioral finance
Personality and Investment Decisions
19
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk
Perception on Investment Decisions
Abstract
Investigating behavioral psychological influences in the area of finance is relatively
a new phenomenon and the subject is of interest to economists psychologists professional
money managers and individual savers and investors This paper has taken a behavioral
approach to unveil the psychological predictors of long-term and short-term investment
decisions The paper has used the theory of planned behavior (TPB 1991) and Risk as
Feeling (RaF 2001) theory as a conceptual lens to discover the factors influencing
individualsrsquo investment intentions in the Pakistan Stock Exchange The study used partial
least square based structural equation modeling technique on a data gathered from 277
active equity traders that included professional money managers brokers and individual
traders It was found that individuals with relatively higher neuroticism and extraversion
personality traits were found more likely to do short-term investment decision However
investors with relatively higher openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality
traits were found more likely to do long-term investment decision Investorsrsquo risk
perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of extraversion openness
agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-term investment
decisions These findings have implications for psychologists economists and finance
executives as it was found that investorsrsquo personality traits influenced their investment
decisions It is recommended that financial managers should include the influence of these
behavioral aspects in their investment plans advice and decisions for their clients These
findings are expected to contribute to the growing body of knowledge in the area of applied
Samra Chaudary
20
behavioral research within the discipline of finance and these findings in the context of a
developing economy also make this study a first in this line of research stream
Keywords personality type risk perception investment decision behavioral finance
21 Introduction
Decision-making is a skill (Hastie amp Dawes 2010) and onersquos life is full of risky
decisions (Satchell et al 2018) ranging from an ordinary matter to matters of life or death
Individuals frequently face circumstances in which they have to decide between actions
whose outcomes are uncertain and that vary in level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) The
fact has long been established that all decisions made by business managers (about cash
flows) may not positively affect the performance of companies because managers may not
necessarily work towards shareholdersrsquo wealth maximization the so-called agency
problem (Jensen amp Meckling 1976) Business managers and financial managers are often
confronted with decision-making choices that are risky and based on the risk analysis they
make decisions by taking into account the identified risks levels (Epstein 1994)
Individuals financial (saving) decisions are influenced by construal Construal is described
as an individualrsquos cognitive illustrations of goals and is a way individuals use their minds
A high-level of construal mentality would lead to more willingness to save than a low-level
construal mentality (Rudzinska-Wojciechowska 2017)
Individuals invest in stocks to increase their capital and profits (Keller amp Siegrist
2006a) Another reason for investing in the stock market is the desire to save their earnings
for retirement (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004 Dreman et al 2001) Since investments in
stocks are risky therefore just like professional money managers individual investors also
have to incorporate risk in their decision-making
Personality and Investment Decisions
21
The development of financial markets has offered more varied opportunities to
invest in several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) Investors look for better
investment alternatives and financial institutions as professional money managers for
investors need to understand the preferences of investors for different financial
instruments and for different time horizons and for different risk perceptions Investment
in financial instruments entails commitment for different time horizons ie short-term
(ST-D) and long-term investment decisions (LT-D) Individualsrsquo attitudes towards either
of these two-time horizons for investments may vary and such variations may be a result
of investors different personality traits and different risk perceptions
According to Pennings et al (2003) financial institutions need information about
clientsrsquo preferences to develop a new financial product or to improve the existing ones
Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice process of
client is crucial for financial institutions and professional money managers Dierkes et al
(2010) analyzed the attractiveness of different investment strategies for different time
horizons They found that the preference of the investment strategy was significantly
determined by the length of the investment horizon A bond strategy was desired for the
short horizon while stocks were preferred for longer horizons
Lakshmi Visalakshmi Thamaraiselvan and Senthilarasu (2013) suggested that
with long-term investment horizon investors are not likely to make frequent withdrawals
and consequently market volatility would tend to decrease if the majority of investors had
long-term investment horizon Investors are likely according to this view to earn extra
profits when they hold their funds in the same instrument for a longer time In this era of
retirement savings employees face challenges to understand how much to save
Samra Chaudary
22
periodically and where to invest such savings for long-term post-retirement benefits
(McKenzie amp Liersch 2011)
The importance to analyze individualsrsquo intentions about investment goals and why
they manage the investment in different ways cannot be over-emphasized If those
investment intents are evident then researchers and financial advisors would find it easier
to adapt their advice accordingly to their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become vital
to realize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is likely to
be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate more
appropriately to these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Studies on individualsrsquo investment intentions were mostly based on the
assumptions of modern finance theory that operate within the paradigm of rationality
(Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952 Modigliani amp Miller 1958) The conventional
theory proposes that investors are rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain
level of risk and have a clear understanding of their risk preferences
Fama (1998) is a strong supporter of an efficient market and his answer is a solid
lsquonorsquo for market inefficiency because he believes that the presence of observed long-term
return anomalies is sensitive to statistical models which used to discover such anomalies
otherwise investors behave rationally Fama (1998) seems to propose that anomalies have
a tendency to show minimal or no effect when exposed to different statistical approaches
to measure expected (normal) returns This line of argument can conclude that most long-
term return anomalies can realistically be recognized as a chance event and therefore in
the long run investors behavior may be viewed as rational
Personality and Investment Decisions
23
Another viewpoint emphasizes the fact that in reality individualsrsquo decision-
making process is significantly shaped by psychological factors such as personality types
emotions and moods (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman
2012 Shleifer amp Summers 1990 Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007) and therefore their decision-
making process cannot be assumed to follow strict rationality presumed in conventional
theories of economics and finance An individualrsquos position between the two extremes of
a continuum ranging from risk aversion to risk-seeking was thought as a function of hisher
personality traits (MacCrimmon amp Wehrung 1990)
There are numerous studies on behavioral factors and decision-making from
developed economies (Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale et al 2011 Mayfield et al
2008 Nicholson et al 2005 Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell et al
2018 Sekścińska et al 2018 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber et al 2002) but only
handful studies from the developing economies (Ahmad Hassan Mahmood amp Aslam
2016 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li amp Liu 2008 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra
2016 Tripathi amp Chattopadhyay 2013 Verma 2008)
To the best of our knowledge there are no studies that have examined the impact
of Big-Five personality traits on short and long-term investment decisions with the
mediation of risk perception in both developed and developing economies (see appendix
I) Previous studies have only considered a few personality types (Mayfield et al 2008
Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) and tested the mediation of risk perception
in relationship between information asymmetry and investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra
2016) and between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq Maqbool Akram Tariq
amp Khurshid 2017) This study however aims to cater to the absence of empirical studies
Samra Chaudary
24
in the discipline by modeling the missing link of risk perception as a mediator between
relationships of all Big-Five personality types and investment decisions
This study provides a significant and meaningful theoretical contribution to the
prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm The study has tried to provide the
desired evidence from the developing economy by using a unique data set of professional
money managers and individual investors who have invested in the Pakistan Stock
Exchange It has investigated if the personality traits of these investors have a significant
effect on decision- making and if risk perception mediates the relationship between the
personality trait and horizon of their investment decision
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development
Traditional (standard) financial theories have been disparaged for the lack of their
explanatory power and their grounded assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et
al (2016) criticized the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first
proposition supposes that humans behave rationally during the decision-making process as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and
therefore finance theory incline towards endorsing the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979)
The idea of bounded rationality was introduced by Simon (1955) and gave birth to the
discipline of behavioral finance as various studies found empirical evidence against the
assumption of rationality in decision-making process (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Shleifer amp Summers 1990) Research in this
Personality and Investment Decisions
25
area aced when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and received
more appreciation after Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002
Prospect theory purports that when individuals are offered a gamble containing two or
more outcome lotteries with some probability they make their decisions on the basis of the
potential psychological value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the one with the highest value
This value function is defined based on psychological gains and losses rather than on
levels of wealth The function is concave in the area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a
convex function in the area of loss and risk-takers Moreover the gradient of the value
function is steeper in the area of loss than in the area of gain which infers that investors
are generally risk-averse
A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors get more distressed by losses than they
are delighted by equal amount of gains The loss of $1 dollar is twice as unpleasant as the
happiness received from a $1 gain (Singh 2010) This happens due to the effect of
cognitive biases that operate on investorsrsquo judgment about expected psychological value
of these gains and losses Many studies have tested prospect theory in the domain of
influence of behavioral factors (so-called irrational biases) on decision-making (Ishfaq et
al 2017 Odean 1998)
Samra Chaudary
26
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991)
Ajzen and Fishbein (1980) asserted that behavioral intentions are cognitive in nature
and act as a representation of an individualrsquos eagerness to involve in a particular behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB) Individualsrsquo behavior is predicted by
onersquos behavioral intention Behavioral intentions are then determined by favorable attitude
subjective norms and perceived behavioral control These intentions along with
perceptions of behavioral control explain significant variance in real behavior (Ajzen
1991)
Thus the core idea of the theory implies that planned behavioral was driven by
behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) The theory of planned behavior predicts human
behavior which can include conflicts between short-term and long-term goals affect
cognition and consequences in several fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Raut Das and Kumar
(2018) suggested that TPB predicts individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest in the
stock market They also revealed that attitude toward behavior subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control are significantly related to behavioral intentions According
to Michaelidou and Hassan (2014) the research work on gain versus loss framing by
Tversky and Kahneman (1981) has been well studied Therein lies a starting point that may
assist in apprehending the process of the theory of planned behavior in several decision-
making situations and contexts
Many researches have utilized TPB in the domain of behavioral studies with investment
decision-making (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008) with financial decision-making
(Koropp Kellermanns Grichnik amp Stanley 2014) and with entrepreneurial (business
start-up) decision-making (Kautonen 2015)
Personality and Investment Decisions
27
East (1993) investigated the willingness to apply for new issue of shares TPB was
applied to personal investment choices and found support for TPB as a way of identifying
that beliefs are associated with investment choice behavior He reported that investment
decisions are just like consumer decisions and investors do not decide only based on
financial criteria Moreover Koropp et al (2014) investigated financing decisions and TBP
was applied to capital structure decisions of German family firms They also supported
TPB as family attitudes toward debt and equity affected behavioral intention to use the
respective financing decisions which in turn affected financing behavior
Similarly Kautonen (2015) too supported the relevance of TPB in the context of
business start-up intentions He instigated whether intentions were linked to business start-
up activities such as arranging finances approaching financial institutions for funds
financial projections and many other activities related to business start-up Mayfield et al
(2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and also supported TBP
that long-term and short-term investment intentions were predicted by personality types
This research however uses Big-Five personality types and extends the applicability of
the well-established TPB in the area of decision-making of the investment horizon
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001)
A few behavioral models overtly sketch that the behavioral actions are the consequence
of ambivalence due to the availability of conflicting information but Risk as feelings (RaF)
hypothesis (Loewenstein Weber Hsee amp Welch 2001) is an exception The RaF
(Loewenstein et al 2001) theory explains a range of behaviors that exhibit deviation
between cognitiverational evaluations and feelings
Samra Chaudary
28
The theory proposed that when there is a risky situation behavior tends to be driven
by emotional reactions or feelings encountered at the time of decision-making rather than
cognitiverational assessments of the situation The RaF theory predicts action selection in
psychological risk-return models (Weber amp Johnson 2008) They found that affective
(non-rational) responses to risky situations had shown a significant role in risk perception
of risky choices
Hsee and Weber (1997) proposed that when individuals made a risky decision their
choice was influenced by their subjective feelings towards risk Moreover Loewenstein
and Lerner (2003) also found that individuals make a decision on the basis of the affect
(feeling) which they encountered at the time of the decision
Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009) tested planned and feeling based behavior models
with TPB and RaF theories in their study They argued that TPB and RaF have some shared
variables which are subjective probability anticipated outcome and behavior Both of
these models assume that estimations of a particular behavior will be guided by anticipated
outcomes in combination with subjective probabilities
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies
Aristotle (384-324 BC) struggled to provide a guide for human ldquocharactersrdquo Ever
since others have also attempted to map similar human attributes The 20th century
provided the procedure of sampling human attributes (ie formulation of Lexical
Hypothesis)
The Lexical Hypothesis postulates that most of the socially relevant and prominent
personality characteristics are encrypted in the natural language (Allport 1937) Hence
the personality terminology which was encoded in the dictionaries of a natural language
Personality and Investment Decisions
29
delivers a broad yet limited set of features that individuals speaking that language have
found essential and convenient in their everyday communications (Goldberg 1981) The
lexical hypothesis provided the theoretical foundation for the Five-Factor personality
model (Allport amp Odbert 1936)
The lexical hypothesis led to factor analyses of a wide array of personality
attributes resulting in the development of the Five-Factor model This hypothesis also
suggested that it should be possible to analyze the most significant attributes that have
similar meanings to describe a personality (Saucier amp Goldberg 1996)
Numerous instruments were developed to measure personality traits and this
activity of instrument development has accelerated tremendously overtime (Goldberg
1971) According to John and Srivastava (1999) researchers are confronted with a wide
range of personality scales with pintsize guidance and with no adequate reasoning Scales
with similar titles often measured different concepts and scales with different titles
frequently measured somewhat similar concepts
Therefore a taxonomy of traits was desired which would allow researchers to
investigate specific domain of personality attributes instead of inspecting thousands of
characteristics individually which makes each individual distinct Moreover an
established taxonomy would enable researchers to communicate their research outcomes
in a uniform vocabulary Table 21 provides a summary of broad sets of competing
personality measures that were proposed over last 40 years
Samra Chaudary
30
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies
Study Factors Personalities
Tupesamp
Christal
(1961)
Five Surgency (Sociability amp Ambition) Agreeableness Dependability
Emotional Stability and Culture
Norman
(1963) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional
Stability and Culture
Cattell et al (1970) Sixteen
Warmth Reasoning Emotional Stability Dominance Liveliness Rule-
Consciousness Social Boldness Sensitivity Vigilance Abstractedness
Privateness Apprehension Openness to Change Self-Reliance
Perfectionism and Tension
Myersamp
McCaulley
(1985)
Four
Extraversion vs Introversion Thinking vs Feeling Judging vs Perceiving
and Intuition vs Sensation
Hogan
(1982) Six
Ascendancy Sociability Agreeableness Dependability Emotional Stability
and Intellectance
CostaampMcCrae
(1985) Five
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Kampamp Hough
(1986) Seven
Potency Adjustment Agreeableness Dependability Intellectance
affiliation and Miscellaneous
Hogan
(1986) Six
Sociability Ambition (Potency amp Achievement) Prudence Likeability
Adjustment and Intellectance
Digmanamp Inouye
(1986) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Will to Achieve Agreeableness Anxiety and
Openness
Kampamp Gough
(1986) Five
Ascendency Self -Control Adjustment (Agreeableness amp Anxiety)
Intellection and Masculinity
Goldberg
(1990) Five
Surgency Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional Stability and
Intellect
Hough et al
(1990) Nine
Affiliation Potency Achievement (Dependability Conscientiousness ampWill
to achieve) Dependability Adjustment Agreeableness Intellectance
Ruggedness individualism and Locus of Control
Costaamp
McCrae
(1992)
Five
(Revised
NEO
personality
inventory)
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Cattell
(1996) Five Extraversion Independence Anxiety Self-Control and Tough-mindedness
In addition to multi-factor models of personality types as shown in table 1 a number
of studies have also tried to develop tools for the assessment of a personality eg California
Personality Inventory by Gough (1987) Eysenck Personality Inventory by Eysenck and
Eysenck (1975) Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey by Guilford (1949) and
Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator by Mayer and McCaulley (1985) All of these
instruments are believed to be encompassed in the Five-Factor Model (Briggs 1992 Costa
Personality and Investment Decisions
31
Busch amp Zonderman 1986 Johnson Butcher Null amp Johnson 1984 Noller Law amp
Comrey 1987) Moreover the Five-Factor Model developed by Costa and McCrae (1992)
was comparable with Five-Factor model proposed by Goldberg (1990) and Cattell (1996)
as shown in table 22
After many decades researchers have developed a consensus on the Big-Five
personality model as an acceptable taxonomy for labeling the basic dimensions of a
personality Therefore many studies based on meta-analyses of personalities have
converged on using Five-Factor personality model because it describes the most salient
aspects of personality (Barrick amp Mount 1991 Judge Heller amp Mount 2002 Oshio
Taku Hirano amp Saeed 2018 Salgado 1997 Trapmann Hell Hirn amp Schuler 2007)
The Five-Factor Model continues to be the most studied model of personality model based
on the lexical hypothesis (Poropat 2009)
The advantage of using the Five-Factor Model is that it includes most of the
variance in a set of five-factors of personality thus solving the puzzle of the earlier ldquochaotic
plethorardquo of personality measures (Funder 2001 John amp Srivastava 1999) The Five-
Factor model provides a comprehensive and parsimonious theoretical framework (Costa amp
McCrae 1992)
Moreover another important feature of the Five-Factor Model was that it uses
natural language which was not biased to prefer any existing scientific conception (John amp
Srivastava 1999) Hence this research has adopted the most recent and updated Five-
Factor Model by Costa and McCrae (1992) for personality measures as shown in table 23
Samra Chaudary
32
Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models
Cattell (1996) Costa amp McCrae (1992) Goldberg (1990)
ExtraversionIntroversion Extraversion Surgency
Low AnxietyHigh Anxiety Neuroticism Emotional stability
Tough-MindednessReceptivity Openness Intellect or culture
IndependenceAccommodation Agreeableness Agreeableness
Self-ControlLack of Restraint Conscientiousness Conscientiousness or
dependability
Source (Cattell amp Mead 2008)
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions
Satchell et al (2018) found that different personalities have varied risk-taking
behaviors Individuals who exhibit more prosocial traits (more extravert) are risk-takers as
compared to those who exhibit antisocial traits (less extravert) Hershey and Mowen (2000)
in one of the initial studies on personality and decision-making found that personality
constructs were significant predictors of pre-retirement financial decisions Filbeck et al
(2005) studied the relationship between risk tolerance and personality types on a sample of
college students They found that respondents with higher score on thinking (objective
decision-making) judging (organization and order) and sensing (concrete and practical)
traits showed relatively higher risk tolerance in their investment decisions They also
reported that extraversion trait showed no effect on risk tolerance However Mayfield et
al (2008) later on conducted research on undergraduate students registered in an
investment course They mainly focused on the effect of two personality traits on both ST-
D and LT-D Results showed that extravert and conscientiousness investors tended to
involve in short-term investments however individuals with neuroticism andor risk
aversion trait avoided to engage in short-term investments Risk-averse investors also did
not take part in long-term investing Investors with the openness trait showed long-term
investing behavior On the other hand openness did not determine short-term investing
Personality and Investment Decisions
33
behavior A negative correlation was reported between openness trait and risk aversion
Moreover extraversion was reported negatively but insignificantly associated with
investment-specific risk aversion For personality measurement the study adopted a
revised NEO personality inventory (NEO-PIR) scale by Costa and McCrae (1992) and
NEO five-factor inventory (NEO FFI) by Salgado (1997) The Big-Five personality
classification was predominantly recognized in applied research (Barrick amp Mount 1991
Hogan amp Hogan 1991) Table 23 explains the traits of five types of personalities
Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits
Personality Trait Description
Neuroticism (N) High scores show insecure self-conscious vulnerability anxious depressed tenseness
and moodiness
Extraversion (E) High scores show gregarious assertiveness sociability talkativeness optimism positive
emotion being upbeat and energetic
Openness (O) High scores show creativity active imagination trust a preference for variety curios and
cultural interest
Agreeableness (A) High scores show altruism warmth sympathetic helpful modest compliance tender
mindedness and cooperation
Conscientiousness (C) High scores show hard-working organized purposefulness self-discipline
achievement striving determination reliability and punctuality
Source (Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997)
The meta-analysis studies on Big-Five personality types found that extraversion
and conscientiousness had an influence on concrete problem solving and cognitive
structuring as coping strategies (Connor- Smith amp Falchsbart 2007) An entrepreneurial
(risky) behavior was determined by the traits of conscientiousness and openness to
experience (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) Verma (2008) in an Indian sample found that
personality and demographics have shown an association with the investment choice
However the study poorly measured personality traits on a five-point likert scale from
conservative to aggressive and chose to report the results with basic and simple statistical
techniques Many studies have investigated investment decisions in the form of investment
Samra Chaudary
34
horizon ie long-term vs short-term (Dierkes et al 2010 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Wood amp
Zaichkowsky 2004)
Oehler et al (2018) examined the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on
investment decisions in an experimental financial market The authors found that more
extravert persons paid a high price for their assets purchases and they bought more financial
securities when securities were overpriced as compared to less extravert persons The
influence of the extravert trait was found to be insignificant when it comes to holding an
asset However more neurotic individuals keep less volatile financial securities in their
portfolios than less neurotic individuals Similarly Oehler and Wedlich (2018) also
investigated the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on risk-taking behavior in
investment decisions The authors identified that more extravert subjects were less risk-
averse and more neurotic subjects were more risk-averse This research had again focused
only on two personality traits and used a student sample Both of the above-mentioned
studies ignored the remaining three personality traits ie openness agreeableness and
conscientiousness
Moreover the above-cited research findings were based on samples of
undergraduate students of a German university which means their findings were not
coming from a sample of practitioners working in the financial industry This research
however investigates relationships of all Big-Five personality traits with investment
decisions The study also investigates the relationships from a sample of individuals
working in the financial industry of a developing economy by using a sample of practicing
investors The following hypotheses are tested about the behavioral intentions of stock
investors
Personality and Investment Decisions
35
H1a The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H1b The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the less likely will be their intentions
to engage in long-term investing
H2a The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H2b The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-term
investing
H3a The greater the level of individuals openness the less likely will be their intentions to
engage in short-term investing
H3b The greater the level of openness the more likely will be their intentions to engage in
long-term investing
H4a The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H4b The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in long-term investing
H5a The more conscientious individuals would show weaker intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H5b The more conscientious individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-
term investing
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions
Perception is described as the psychological interpretation of physical sensations
shaped by stimuli from the external environment (Fischhoff 1994) Therefore the way
Samra Chaudary
36
individuals subjectively perceive risk of an investment is likely to influence their actions
(Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Zeisberger (2018) using an experimental design found that the
ldquoprobability of losingrdquo was the key variable that their subjects perceived as ldquoriskrdquo Lim et
al (2013) defined risk perception as an assumption or evaluation of risk related to a specific
behavior Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed a theory termed ldquorisk as feelingrdquo hypothesis
and highlighted that behaviors are driven by feelings An affect must mediate at least to
some extent the relationships of cognitive evaluations
Risk perceptions are likely to vary across individuals and contexts For instance
many individuals assume that the risk in driving a car is more dangerous than the risk in
sports and show relatively less intention to take risks of driving a car (Dohmen et al
2011) Huber Palan and Zeisberger (2017) through an experiment found that active asset
trading and asset prices are strongly driven by average risk perception Numerous studies
have inspected how investorsrsquo perceptions affect hypothetical investment decisions or self-
reported investment intentions (Bateman et al 2010 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Nosic amp
Weber 2010 Weber Weber amp Nosic 2013 Weber amp Milliman 1997)
Hoffman Post and Pennings (2015) used a sample of Dutch investors and studied
the association between perceptions and behavior in an actual decision setting They found
that change in investor perceptions was a significant determinant of real trading and risk-
taking behavior They also found that stock traders who perceived higher risk tended to
trade more frequently had higher volume had lower buy-sell ratios (lower buy-sell ratios
demonstrate a low exposure to the financial market) and held riskier portfolios It means
stock traders with higher levels of risk perception lowered their exposure to the stock
market Lim et al (2013) reported that risk perceptions about investing in the capital market
Personality and Investment Decisions
37
were found likely to have a negative impact on investorsrsquo willingness to invest in the
financial market
Duxbury Hudson Keasey amp Summers (2005) in their study asked subjects to
distribute money among risk-free assets risky shares and bonds and studied how this
allocation varied if they were investing for someone who was lessmore willing to take risk
than themselves The study was repeated on different ranges of age and wealth They then
investigated how subjectsrsquo perceptions of investment patterns were different from their
actual investment behavior Subjects believed that the ratio of bonds to shares should differ
with risk attitude with a higher ratio of stocks held by those participants who were willing
to take more risks Despite having such beliefs subjectsrsquo actual investment behaviors
showed the amount of shares and bonds held did not change with their risk attitude In other
words participantsrsquo beliefs did not match the recommendations of standard portfolio
theory but their actual investment behavior matched the theoretical expectations of the
portfolio theory Weber et al (2002) investigated the individualrsquos risk perception and risk
behavior in five domains (financial risk-taking healthsafety risk-taking ethical risk-
taking recreational risk-taking and social risk-taking) They reported divergences in risk
perception of participants accounted for observed variations in their risk behavior
Financial risk-taking behavior and risk perception were found negatively correlated They
found perceived higher risks decreased the chances of the risk-taking behavior most for
financial risks and least for health or safety risks The effect of perceived risk on the risk-
taking behavior was negative but statistically insignificant Brandstatter (2011) in a study
of meta-analysis reported the results of the relationship between risk propensity and the
Big-Five dimensions of personality Risk propensity was assessed by asking individuals
Samra Chaudary
38
how frequent they have exhibited risky behavior in six domains (recreation health career
finance safety and social risk-taking) leading to a risk measure He reported a positive
beta-estimates for extraversion and openness and negative beta-estimates for neuroticism
agreeableness and conscientiousness
Lim et al (2013) found in a sample of Singaporean investors a significant negative
relationship between risk perception and risky investment decisions They reported that the
sample for this research was collected right after the global financial crisis and that could
have an influence on investorsrsquo risk perception They suggested collecting similar data
again during a time of financial stability Many scholars have agreed about the presence of
an association between perceived risk and decision-making (Krueger amp Dickson 1994
Sutcliffe 1994) A small number of researches have tested the mediating role of risk
perception For example risk perception was reported to be mediating the relationship
between information asymmetry and risky investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) and
between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq et al 2017) Wang Shi and Fan
(2006) also reported that risk perception mediated the relationship between various types
of information and investment performance They also stated risk perception led to higher
investment performance Weber et al (2002) found that personality variables (eg
sensation seeking tolerance for ambiguity and gender) had an influence on risk perception
Person-centered characteristics (age gender and culture) together with personality traits
were reported to impact risk-taking These variables were reported to affect risk-taking
often by altering onersquos perception of risk and perception of benefits of alternative decision-
making rather than by affecting their desire to take more or less risk Hence the risk
perception of an individual is responsible for onersquos actual behavior or decision-making It
Personality and Investment Decisions
39
is expected that risk perception would mediate the relationships between personality types
and LT-D Figure 21 and 22 illustrates the structural model about relationships of five
personality types with ST-D and LT-D with mediation by risk perception
H6a Risk perception mediates the relationship between Neuroticism and short-term
investment decisions
H6b Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and short-term
investment decisions
H6c Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and short-term investment
decisions
H6d Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness and short-term
investment decisions
H6e Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and short-term
investment decisions
H6f Risk perception mediates the relationship between neuroticism and long-term
investment decisions
H6g Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and long-term
investment decisions
H6h Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and long-term investment
decisions
H6i Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness types and long-term
investment decisions
H6j Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and long-term
investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
40
Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
S-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1a
H2a
H3a
H4a
H5a
H6a
H6b
H6c
H6d
H6e
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
L-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1b
H2b
H3b
H4b
H5b
H6f
H6g
H6h
H6i
H6j
Personality and Investment Decisions
41
23 Data and Methodology
231 Measures
The study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decisions were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) Big-Five
personality scale was adopted from Costa and McCrae (1992) to measure five types of
personality traits on a five-point likert scale Items for risk perception were adopted from
Weber et al (2002) To measure risk perception (RP) respondents were asked to indicate
their gut-level assessment of how risky each situation was on a five-point unipolar rating
scale The complete questionnaire is attached in appendix VI
232 Methods
2321 Sample and Data Collection
This study has adopted a positivist research philosophy with a deductive research
approach as mentioned in Saunders Lewis and Thornhill (2007) research onion The
positivist philosophy reflects the natural scientistsrsquo philosophical approach Researcher
prefers to deal with a social reality that is measurable and the findings of such study are
presumed to be generalizable similar to law produced by natural scientists (Remenyi
Williams Money amp Swartz 1998) The deductive approach could therefore be
considered particularly suitable for the positivist approach Hence this study uses existing
theory to form hypotheses that were empirically tested leading to theoretical advancement
which can then be tested by future researchers (Saunders et al 2007)
Primary data were collected through a snowball sampling technique for this study
The respondents for this survey were investors in the local stock market Therefore the
Samra Chaudary
42
sample consisted of portfolio managers working in the financial industry (eg mutual fund
companies asset management companies brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks) and individual investors who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)
previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Individual stock investors were from
different backgrounds as the purpose of the research was to analyze the behavior of stock
investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with an institution The
data were collected through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two major
metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi Out of total investorsrsquo population
(corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent investors and
Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence the data
were collected from the investment hubs of the country where 92 percent stock investors
in listed traded companies were located A total of 800 questionnaires were sent out to
collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were returned and only 277 were
found useable for this study thus response rate was almost 35 percent
The sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females as the investment
industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated The sample consisted of 59 percent of
money managers and 41 percent individual investors Eighty-seven percent of respondents
were employed 12 percent were business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not
employed Furthermore 60 percent respondents were married 37 percent were single and
3 percent were either separated or divorced
Fifty-eight percent of respondents perceived that they were from the middle social
class 36 percent perceived themselves in upper-middle-class 3 percent perceived
themselves to belong to the upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower
Personality and Investment Decisions
43
middle class Only 33 percent of the respondents had an expectation to receive inheritance
or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future
inheritance Eighty-six percent respondents had responded their upbringing was in the
urban areas and 14 percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas
The average age of respondents was 32 years and the average monthly income was
Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million The average formal years of education were 16 years The
average amount invested by the investors in stocks was PKR 10 million and the average
investment experience in the stock market was 4 years
2322 Data Analyses
Blanthorne Jones-Farmer and Almer (2015) proposed guidelines on the key
elements of structural equation modeling in behavioral accounting research Most
textbooks on this matter propose a sample of between two hundred and fifty and five
hundred (Kline 2005 Loehlin 2004 Schumacker amp Lomax 1996) Blanthorne et al
(2015) have argued that large sample size requirement leaves researchers of this discipline
in a difficult situation of requiring permission and support from more subjectsrespondents
who are mostly professionals They also claimed that five of the thirteen potential SEM
studies published in Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research had less than hundred
participants and only four articles contained more than two hundred and fifty participants
A sample of greater than 200 was considered sufficient for the use of structural equation
modeling (SEM) (Iacobucci 2010 Kline 2015)
This paper has made use of partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to a number of reasons Firstly PLS-SEM does not require data to be normally
Samra Chaudary
44
distributed (Hair Sarstedt Ringle amp Mena 2012) and shows higher statistical power than
CB-SEM for complex models with small sample sizes (Reinartz et al 2009) Moreover
the data had an adequate sample size (Kline 2015) with no missing values Collinearity
was also tested and was found acceptable Secondly this approach focuses on predictive
analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation was to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt
2014) Thirdly it has a minimum demand for sample size and residual distribution (Wold
1985) Fourthly to compute the statistical significance of the parameter estimates PLS-
SEM method reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair Ringle amp Sarstedt
2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling method provides robust results by
taking subsamples from the original sample of observations and estimates the model
parameters of each subsample and then report the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Henseler Ringle amp Sinkovics 2009) Lastly PLS approach can be utilized for theory
validation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not exist (Chin 1998)
PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory development
(Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
PLS-SEM approach is as worthy (and conservative) as CB-SEM method (Hair et
al 2014) While PLS-SEM has some shortcomings eg results tend to inflate the factor
loadings and underestimate structural relationship and coefficient of determination
Similarly CB-SEM also has some weaknesses for instance results tend to overestimate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander Satornino
Hughes and Ferris (2015) have recommended that PLS-SEM is a more conservative
Personality and Investment Decisions
45
approach than CB-SEM Table 24 depicts the correlations descriptive statistics and
square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision risk perception and four personality types which were
neuroticism extraversion openness and conscientiousness The Pearsonrsquos correlation
value was found to be 0551 (p=0000) between short-term investment decision and long-
term investment decision 0213 (p=0000) with risk perception 0206 (p=000) with
neuroticism 0458 (p=0000) with extraversion 0385 (p=0000) with openness and 0253
(p=0000) with conscientiousness
Similarly long-term investment decision also showed a positive correlation with
risk perception and four personality types The Pearsonrsquos correlation value was found to
be 0308 (p=0000) between long-term investment decision and risk perception 0140
(p=0019) with neuroticism 0581 (p=0000) with extraversion 0539 (p=0000) with
openness and 0415 (p=0000) with conscientiousness
The agreeableness personality type showed a significant negative correlation with
all other variables The highest correlation was found between extraversion and openness
personality traits with Pearsonrsquos correlation of 0635 (p=0000) and the lowest correlation
was found between extraversion and neuroticism with an insignificant negative Pearsonrsquos
correlation of -0020 (p=0736)
Samra Chaudary
46
Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Note SD=Standard Deviation ST-D=Short-term Investment Decision LT-D=Long-term Investment Decision
N=Neuroticism E=Extraversion O=Openness A=Agreeableness C=Conscientiousness and RP=Risk Perception
Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
24 Results
241 Measurement Model
Table 25 reports the result of the measurement model Factor loadings for each
item were 06 or above except one item of Conscientiousness which had a loading of 04
but Anderson and Gerbing (1988) Wille (1996) and Velicer amp Fava (1998) lend support
to using loadings lower than 06 Bootstrapping was done on a subsample of 5000
subsamples to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) All the
factor loadings were statistically significant as t-statistics for each factor loading were
above 196 (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) For each latent factor a minimum
of three items significantly loaded on each factor in a multidimensional scale as
recommended by Velicer amp Fava (1998) and Raubenheimer (2004) and all factors were
reflective The estimates of standardized factor loadings ranged from 0600 to 0764
(tgt196) for short-term investment decision 0659-0750 (tgt196) for long-term investment
decision 0656-0864 (tgt196) for neuroticism 0788-0859 (tgt196) for extraversion
0642-0804 (tgt196) for openness 0722-0783 (tgt196) for agreeableness 0406-0855
(tgt196) for conscientiousness and 0729-0888 (tgt196) for risk perception
Factors Mean SD ST-D LT-D N E O A C RP
ST-D 3075 0763 (0681)
LT-D 3279 0810 0551 (0702)
N 2524 0895 0206 0140 (0785)
E 3444 0929 0458 0581 -0020 (0878)
O 3298 0783 0385 0539 0099 0635 (0739)
A 2984 0880 -0229 -0273 -0358 -0199 -0189 (0760)
C 3228 0751 0253 0415 0074 0427 0432 -0345 (0707)
RP 2261 0921 0213 0308 0094 0220 0193 -0238 0169 (0812)
Personality and Investment Decisions
47
Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher for each latent construct (Hair et al 2012)
The values for AVE were 0466 for short-term investment decision 0493 for long-term
investment decision 0617 for neuroticism 07771 for extraversion 0546 for openness
0579 for agreeableness 0500 for conscientiousness and 0660 for risk perception
Internal consistency of latent constructs was computed through composite
reliability (CR) which was higher than 07 for all latent constructs as suggested by Hair et
al (2012) The values of composite reliability were 077 for short-term investment
decision 0829 for long-term investment decision 0889 for neuroticism 0881 for
extraversion 0827 for openness 0804 for agreeableness 0733 for conscientiousness and
0852 for risk perception Please see table 26
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was computed through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2015) Fornell-Larcker criteria were
met as the square root of AVE of each latent construct was greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT ratio
criteria for discriminant validity was met as the ratio was less than one for each latent
construct as reported in table 27 Common method bias and collinearity among exogenous
latent constructs were checked through the variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor
level The test was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term
investment decision and once with long-term investment decision We found no common
method bias in both the tests as the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) values of all the factors
were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
Samra Chaudary
48
Table 25 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment money into
the stock market
0600 8579
I intend to engage in portfolio management activities at
least twice per week
0764 17620
I intend to perform my own investment research instead
of using outside advice
0685 14911
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to that of
professional managers
0665 11816
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings for
investingsavingretirement purposes
0750 23657
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple asset
classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate etc)
0716 17223
I intend to take an investment course 0723 22937
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum gross
return rather than tax and cost efficiency
0663 14376
I intend to invest some money in long-term assets where
my money will be tied up and inaccessible for years
0659 13952
Neuroticism (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often feel inferior to others 0656 8712
When I am under a great deal of stress sometimes I feel
like I am going to pieces
0864 26438
I often feel tense and jittery 0844 20541
Sometimes I feel completely worthless 0776 11760
Too often when things go wrong I get discouraged and
feel like giving up
0770 13300
Extraversion (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I really enjoy talking to people 0859 48079
I am a cheerful high-spirited person 0876 53353
I am a very active person 0788 22761
Openness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I am intrigued by the patterns I find in art and nature 0765 22515
I often try new and foreign foods 0642 11363
I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 0804 30217
I often enjoy playing with theories or abstract ideas 0734 19581
Agreeableness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often get into arguments with my family and co-
workers
0722 10789
Some people think I am selfish and egotistical 0775 15435
Some people think of me as cold and calculating 0783 13761
Conscientious
ness
(Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I keep my belongings neat and clean 0784 14094
I am pretty good about pacing myself so as to get things
done on time
0855 22739
I waste a lot of time before settling down to work 0406 3623
Risk
Perception
(Weber et
al 2002)
Investing 10 of your annual income in a moderate
growth mutual fund
0812 20781
Investing 5 of your annual income in a very speculative
stock
0888 31293
Investing 5 of your annual income in a conservative
stock
0729 12008
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
reverse coded items
Personality and Investment Decisions
49
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0775 0466
Long-term Investment Decision 0829 0493
Neuroticism 0889 0617
Extraversion 0881 0711
Openness 0827 0546
Agreeableness 0804 0579
Conscientiousness 0733 0500
Risk Perception 0852 0660
Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors A C E LT-D
N O RP
ST-D
A
C 0634
E 0281 0706
LT-D 04 0711 0752
N 049 0352 0093 0214
O 0282 0747 0837 074 0133
RP 0343 0281 0267 0401 0127 0253
ST-D 0392 0485 065 0809 0283 0573 0303
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness C= Conscientiousness and RP= Risk Perception
242 Structural Model
The following section presents the findings of the direct effects of Big-Five
personality traits on short-term investment decisions and long-term investment decisions
It also presents the mediating effect of risk perception between personality type and both
types of investment decisions The standardized parameter estimates (path coefficients) of
structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was computed using a bootstrap approach with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et
al 2009) The effect size was reported for each direct effect through f- square test (Cohen
1988) The f2 values of 002 015 and 035 represent a small medium and large effect
Samra Chaudary
50
size of the independent variable (Henseler et al 2009) Moreover the coefficient of
determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous) variables were not below
010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) The predictive relevance of the model was computed by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
Lewis amp Thompson 2012) A value of 08 or higher was recommended sufficient in
behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 28 summarizes the results of direct effects (without mediator) The
hypothesized relationships between personality trait of neuroticism was found to be
positive and highly significant with ST-D (H1a) (β= 0200 p= 0002 f2= 0062) and was
found insignificantly positive with low effect size (H1b) (β= 0079 p= 0159 f2= 0017)
with LT-D Similarly positive and significant relationships between extraversion
personality and ST-D (H2a) and LT-D (H2b) were found and showed moderate effect size
(β =0405 p= 0000 f2= 0129 β= 0537 p= 0000 f2= 0102) respectively The association
between openness personality trait with ST-D (H3a) was found insignificant with low
effect (β= 0084 p= 0275 f2= 0010) but with LT-D (H3b) it was found statistically
significant and positive with low effect (β=0515 p= 000 f2= 0069) No association of
agreeableness personality trait was found between ST-D (H4a) (β= -0060 p= 0419 f2=
0011) and with LT-D (H4b) (β= -0084 p= 0119 f2= 0017) The relationship of
conscientiousness personality trait with ST-D (H5a) was insignificant and showed almost
no effect (β= -0027 p= 0682 f2=0005) but with LT-D (H5b) the relationship was
significantly positive with small effect (β= 0373 p= 0000 f2= 0021)
Personality and Investment Decisions
51
The coefficient of determination of five types of personality traits and risk
perception with LT-D is higher (R2= 0493) than the coefficient of determination of the
same variables with ST-D (R2=0352) Hence a larger portion of the variance in LT-D was
explained by the set of five independent variables than in ST-D Only extraversion
personality traits were found as a common trait that impacted both ST-D and LT-D The
values of Q2 were considerably above zero representing that each exogenous construct in
the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All the hypotheses
have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high
probability of the presence of the relationships between all exogenous latent variables and
endogenous latent variables A high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness
of the sample size
We have included age gender income and expect to receive the inheritance as
control variables in our model These variables have relevance in the model of personality
type risk perception and investment decisions Studies have shown that males have shown
a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Bajtelsmit Bernasek amp
Jianakoplos 1999 Hariharan Chapman amp Domian 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp
Cox 2001) Age also affects risk perception (Weber et al 2002) and financial decisions
(Agarwal Driscoll Gabaix amp Laibson 2007) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the
relationship between expected inheritances and income with financial investment
Samra Chaudary
52
Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Estimates
p
value f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1a N-gtST-D 0200 0002 0062
0352 0127 1
H2a E-gtST-D 0405 0000 0129
H3a O-gtST-D 0084 0318 0010
H4a A-gtST-D -0060 0314 0011
H5a C-gtST-D 0027 0829 0005
H1b N-gtLT-D 0073 0110 0017
0493 0209 1
H2b E-gtLT-D 0537 0000 0102
H3b O-gtLT-D 0515 0000 0069
H4b A-gtLT-D -0084 0119 0017
H5b C-gtLT-D 0373 0003 0021
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness and C= Conscientiousness
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Mediation Effects with Risk Perception
The mediating effects were tested using bootstrap method (Preacher and Hayes
2008 Zhao Lynch amp Chen 2010a) instead of Baron and Kenny (1986) approach because
bootstrapping corrects the non-normality problem and increases the statistical power to
detect mediation effects (Wood Goodman Beckmann amp Cook 2008) Bootstrap
sampling was done to estimate the distribution of the indirect effect (Hair et al 2014)
Bootstrap technique is a powerful test of mediation and Baron and Kenny (1986) test yields
high Type-I error (Krause et al 2010) Another major flaw of Baron and Kenny (1986) is
that it requires a mandatory presence of direct relationship of predictor and outcome
variable which is not necessary for the alternate approach (Hayes 2009 Krause et al
2010)
A mediator variable is expected to influence the relationship between a predictive
variable and an outcome variable (Baron amp Kenny 1986) Hence the mediator explains
Personality and Investment Decisions
53
the relationship oftentimes ldquohowrdquo and ldquowhyrdquo The mediation analysis supposed to
denotes a causal chain as it is concerned with the mechanism of a story or a series of effects
(Kenny 2008) and the definition of mediation is mostly expressed in causal terms (Baron
amp Kenny 1986)
In order to run a mediation analysis it is not necessary to get a significant
relationship between an independent and outcome variable (Kenny Kashy amp Bolger
1998 Zhao et al 2010a) Shrout and Bolger (2002) endorsed to omit the test of
significance of direct effects In this paper risk perception was tested as a mediator between
personality type and investment decision We compared the significance level (plt 005) of
direct effects and indirect effects and concluded the results
For H6a and H6b the direct effects of neuroticism and extraversion personality trait
on short-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk perception) were found
to be significant (β= 0202 p=0002) and (β= 0392 p= 0000) However the indirect effect
of neuroticism and extraversion on short-term investment decision through risk perception
was insignificant (β= -0002 p= 0817) and (β= -0013 p= 0309) Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as direct only nonmediation (Zhao at al 2010a) For H6c H6d
H6e and H6f the standardized direct (mediated) effects and indirect effects were
insignificant Hence these hypotheses were categorized as no effect-nonmediation The
direct effects of extraversion and openness (H6g and H6h) on long-term investment
decision were found to be significant (β= 0493 p= 0000) (β= 0472 p= 0000) and
indirect effects of extraversion and openness on long-term investment decision were also
significant (β= 0044 p= 0005) (β= 0043 p= 0006) respectively Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as complimentary mediation For H6i the (mediated) direct effect
Samra Chaudary
54
of agreeableness on long-term investment decision was insignificant (β= -0056 p= 0276)
however the indirect effect was significant (β= -0028 p= 0034) As a result this was
labeled as indirect-only mediation The direct effect and indirect effect of
conscientiousness on long-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk
perception) were both found to be significant (β= 0333 p=0000) and (β= 0040 p=0030)
Therefore H6j was labeled as complimentary mediation Among control variables only
males showed a significant impact on short-term investment decision and those who expect
to receive inheritance in the future showed a significant impact on long-term investment
decision
It was found that risk perception did not mediate the relationship between any of
the five personality types and short-term investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However four
personality traits (except neuroticism H6f) were found to show a significant indirect effect
on long-term investment decision through the perceived risk of the investment (H6g-H6j)
Moreover we found that agreeable personality (H6i) showed a negative indirect effect on
long-term investment decision through perceived risk of the investment
An indirect only-mediation effect is present when the direct effect of an
independent variable on dependent variable in the presence of mediator is insignificant and
indirect effect is significant This is also known as full mediation Complimentary
mediation is present when both direct and indirect effects are significant and point to the
same direction Direct-only non-mediation effect is present when only direct effect of
independent variable on dependent variable is significant in the presence of mediator but
indirect effect is not significant This is also a case of no mediation No-effect non-
mediation is declared when there is neither a significant direct effect is present nor a
Personality and Investment Decisions
55
significant indirect effect is present This is also declared as no-mediation situation These
mediation types also overlap with Baron and Kennyrsquos approach Complementary
mediation is similar to Baron and Kennyrsquos partial mediation and indirect-only mediation
is similar to full mediation Direct-only non-mediation and no-effect non-mediation
overlaps with no mediation of Baron and Kennyrsquos approach (Zhao et al 2010a) The
results of mediation analysis are reported in table 29 Detailed results of mediation analysis
are illustrated in figure 23 - 212 in appendix V
Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception
Hypotheses Bootstrapping
Direct Effect
Indirect Effect
Decision Rule
Independent
Variables
Mediator Dependent
Variables
β
p β
p
H6a Neuroticism
Risk
Perception ST-D
0202 0002 -0002 0817 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6b Extraversion
0392 0000 0013 0309 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6c Openness
0075 0331 0009 0453
No effect
Non-Mediation
H6d Agreeableness
-0040 0606 -0020 0116 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6e Conscientiousness
0025 0708 0002 0849 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6f Neuroticism
Risk
Perception LT-D
0076 0140 -0003 0802 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6g Extraversion
0493 0000 0044 0005 Complimentary
Mediation
H6h Openness
0472 0000 0043 0006 Complimentary
Mediation
H6i Agreeableness
-0056 0276 0028 0034 Indirect-only
Mediation
H6j Conscientiousness
0333 0000 0040 0030 Complimentary
Mediation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision and LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0082 p=0155) Gender-gtST-D (β= 0118 p=0012) Income-gtST-D (β=0077
p=0328) Expect to receive inheritance-gtST-D (β= -0014 p=0820) Age-gtLT-D (β=0038 p=0438) Gender-gtLT-D
(β= -0018 p=0688) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0025 p=0569) Expect to receive inheritance -gtLT-D (β=0165 p=0001)
and Age-gtRisk Perception (β= -0069 p=0265)
Samra Chaudary
56
25 Discussion and Implications
Behavioral finance is a recent and emerging focal area in finance research Unlike
many other studies in this discipline (Li amp Liu 2008 Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al
2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) which have used students as a proxy of potential investors
this study has empirically examined relatively a large number of individual equity investors
as well as professional investors The study investigated the effect of five personality traits
on investment decisions in short-term and in long-term It was found that not all personality
types had a significant effect on investment decisions Contrary to the findings of Mayfield
et al (2008) who reported that individuals who are high on neuroticism were likely to avoid
short-term investment decisions This study found a significant positive impact of
neuroticism on short-term investment decision than on long-term investment decision (H1a
and H1b) as shown in table 7 These findings get support from Brandstatter (2011) who
found that neurotic individuals were anxious low on risk propensity (Brandstatter 2011)
more risk-averse (Borghans Heckman Golsteyn amp Meijers 2009) less risk-tolerant (Pak
amp Memood 2015) and lacked entrepreneurship behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006 Zhao
Seibert amp Lumpkin 2010b) Therefore neurotic investors were found in this study to
invest in short-term investment horizon as short-term investment entails relatively lower
risk Some other plausible reasons of H1a findings could be that neurotic individuals are
reported to be impulsive (Rosler et al 2004) insecure tense (Costa amp McCrae 1992
Salgado 1997) and were found to exhibit compulsive buying behavior (Muller amp de
Zwaan 2010) Therefore neurotic individuals prefer to invest in short-term investments
than in long-term investments
Personality and Investment Decisions
57
For extravert personality (H2a) this study reaffirms the findings of Mayfield et al
(2008) that investors with extravert personality were more likely to take immediate
decisions and preferred to invest in short-term investment as they are more optimistic and
energetic Extravert individuals were reported to be more confident about their investment
decisions (Pompain amp Longo 2004) and were found likely to trade more frequently (Tauni
et al 2016) However positive relationship between extraversion and LT-D found in this
study (H2b) support previous findings that extravert individuals are also risk-takers
(Becker Deckers Dohmen Falk amp Kosse 2012a Pan amp Statman 2013) and optimist
(Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) therefore these factors may have led them to
invest in long-term investments
For openness personality (H3a and H3b) our findings are in support of (Zhao amp
Seibert 2006 Zhao et al 2010b) who found that individuals with openness to experience
show entrepreneurial (risk-taking) behavior They show high-risk propensity in many areas
of decision-making of their life including financial decisions (Brandstatter 2011) Hence
there is no association between openness with short-term investments and show a
significant relationship with long-term investment decisions Individuals with openness
personality are less risk-averse in financial decision-making (Prinz Gruumlnder Hilgers
Holtemoumlller amp Vernaleken 2014) tough-minded and with active imagination (Costa amp
McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) as a result they showed a relationship with long-term
investments
The relationship of agreeable personality (H4a and H4b) with ST-D and LT-D was
found to be insignificant Agreeable personality had shown a negative relationship with the
willingness to take a risk (Brandstatter 2011) Empirical pieces of evidence have also
Samra Chaudary
58
shown that agreeable individuals are risk-averse (Borghans et al 2009) have low risk-
tolerance (Kubilay amp Bayrakdaroglu 2016) and have also shown extreme risk avoidance
behavior (Wang Xu Zhang amp Chen 2016) These individuals sometimes also show
juvenile and immature behavior (McCrae amp Costa 2008) they lack the skill for assessing
a better investment (Ivkoviacutec amp Weisbenner 2007) and showed lower return expectations
from their investments (Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) Therefore due to extreme risk
avoidance behavior and their lack of ability for assessing a better investment they probably
did not show association with short-term and long-term investment
The relationship of conscientiousness personality trait was not found significant
with short-term investment (H5a) but it was significant with long-term investment
decisions (H5b) The possible reason could be that conscientiousness individuals think
before acting (Brandstatter 2011) that gives them a long-term perspective As the stock
market was giving losses in the period of data collection due to some political uncertainty
therefore it is conjectured that it could be a possible reason for not investing in short-term
at that time Oehler and Wedlich (2018) found that conscientiousness individuals perceive
investments in stocks very risky and are very careful well organized and conscious about
their decision-making The authors also posited that individuals with conscientiousness and
agreeableness personality traits tended to have lower return expectations It may imply that
conscientiousness type would not like to invest in short-term as such investments offer
lower yields However on the other hand conscientiousness individuals are calculating
and show entrepreneurial (risky) behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) and these aspects were
reinforced the significant relationship of conscientiousness with long-term investments
decision in this study
Personality and Investment Decisions
59
Based on the standardized path coefficients shown in table 7 extravert personality was
the strongest predictor of short-term investment decision followed by neuroticism
Similarly extravert personality was the strongest predictor of long-term investment
decision followed by openness conscientiousness and neuroticism (at a low significance)
respectively Moreover it was found that two out of five personality traits showed an
impact on short-term investment decision and four out of five showed associations with
the long-term investment decision One of the plausible reasons for this phenomenon could
be the bear market condition at the time of data collection which supports Prospect Theory
As investors are generally risk averse and therefore were not willing to invest in short-term
horizon (at the time of data collection) particularly Another possible reason could be that
long-term investment decisions have low transaction costs (Della Croce Stewart amp
Yermo 2011 Gray 2006 Warren 2014) and carry higher risk as well as higher returns
(Dimson Marsh amp Staunton 2017 Von Thadden 1995) Long-term investors are reported
to be rewarded by higher returns (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) As the
respondents of this study are stock investors and stocks have outperformed in longer time
horizons (Dierkes et al 2010)
Our results support TPB which proposes individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest
in the stock market as predicted by (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008 Raut et al 2018)
The central idea of TPB is that planned behavior is determined by behavioral intentions
(Ajzen 2001) and that behavior can include conflicts between short-term and long-term
goals (Ajzen 1985 1991)
Furthermore this study linked personality traits and investment decisions through
risk perception in order to explore the relationship between five types of personality traits
Samra Chaudary
60
and investment decisions both short-term and long-term As shown in table 8 no
mediating effect of investorsrsquo risk perception between any personality type and short-term
investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However we found risk perception showed (different
types of) mediating effects between four personality types (except neuroticism- H6f) and
long-term investment decisions (H6g-H6j)
Precisely we found no direct effect of agreeableness (H6i) on long-term investment
decisions however the negative indirect effects of agreeableness on long-term investment
decision through risk perception were significant confirming indirect-only mediation This
implies that risk perception is the cause or in other words fully explains the relationship
between agreeable personality type and long-term investment decisions It seems agreeable
personality type has a higher risk perception that leads to a lower likelihood of investing in
long-term investment Moreover risk perception showed a complimentary mediating
effect for H6g H6h and H6j relationships These relationships already had significant
direct effects and now significant indirect effects too One potential reason of
complimentary mediation of risk perception is that there could be some other omitted
variables too that may mediate the relationship between extraversion openness and
conscientiousness personality types and long-term investment decision for example risk
tolerance or risk attitude etc Zhao et al (2010a) pointed out that complementary mediation
indicates to a theoretically interesting indirect effect It implies the possibility of presence
of more mediators and guides future researchers to explore more mediators that result in
an indirect only mediation model Another possible reason for complimentary mediation
could be the way risk perception was measured with subjective questions rather than
measuring it through an experimental design ie hypothetical lottery However Nosic and
Personality and Investment Decisions
61
Weber (2010) contended that asking onersquos risk attitude through the intuitive and
comprehensible question is a precise method than giving him a complex imaginary lottery
task Many studies have relied on asking subjective questions (Becker et al 2012a Josef
et al 2016 Pan amp Statman 2013) and the findings were more understandable when using
a subjective question than an experimental task (Becker et al 2012a)
Loewenstein et al (2001) had proposed a theoretical perspective termed ldquorisk as
feelingrdquo emphasizing that risk is a feeling which often affects individualsrsquo decisions
especially when such decisions involve risk and uncertainty They also posited that ldquorisk
as feelingrdquo mediates at least partially the relationship between an individuals cognitive
evaluation of risk and their behavioral response The findings showed support for RaF
theory related to the mediating role of risk perception As our result showed support for
hypotheses related to the mediating role of risk perception by emphasizing the mediating
role of risk perception in the relationship between three personality types and long-term
investment decisions Risk perception was not found to mediate relationships between
personality types and ST-D It is probably because short-term investment decisions are not
perceived relatively as risky as the long-term investment decisions are
The results of the relationship of personality types with ST-D and LT-D is imperative
for the financial planners to ensure that financial planners give to their customers are
obtaining best guidance This knowledge of the relationship between personality type and
investment decisions can also help professionals in recognizing the presence of behaviors
that may prevent their clients from attaining their short-term and long-term financial goals
(Baker et al 2017)
Samra Chaudary
62
It is recommended that money managers identify specific individualsrsquo personality types
with the aim to cater to investorsrsquo financial needs For example neurotic individuals can
be targeted for short-term investment and extroverts for both ST-D and LT-D The
importance of risk perception should also be considered while advising a specific
personality type with their investment decisions Moreover for an emerging economy like
Pakistan most personality types showed an association with long-term investments It may
be taken as a signal for the firms who want to raise capital from the market to issue long-
term securities Financial regulators such as Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan
(SECP) should encourage investors to invest in short-term investments too by providing
them confidence and protection The findings of this research provide a meaningful picture
to the money managers of the developing economies where markets are vulnerable
26 Conclusion and Future Research
This paper investigated the influence of Big-Five personality types on short-term and
long-term investment decisions Moreover the mediating role of risk perception was also
tested between all five types of personalities and two types of investment decisions ie
short term and long-term It was found that investors with higher neuroticism and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take short-term investment
decisions Nonetheless investors with higher openness conscientiousness and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take long-term investment
decisions Risk perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions With the growth of the economy peoplersquos wealth increases
Hence there is a growing need that wealth management function is performed by
Personality and Investment Decisions
63
professional money managers This function involves understanding clientsrsquo requirements
and delivering financial services accordingly Gathering data from real equity investors
(especially from professionals ie brokers and the institutional fund managers) was quite
challenging task in this study These professionals were not willing to leave their trading
screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short time They filled the
survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the evening) or on weekends
A major contribution of this study is the fact that this is very first research of this kind in
the context of a developing economy Unlike other studies this study has utilized Big-Five
personality traits for investigating their impact on investment behavior for short-term and
long-term investments However this line of investigation needs more empirical evidence
especially from developing countries This study extended the general model of planned
behavior (Ajzen 1991) and risk as feeling model (Loewenstein et al 2001) to another
domain of social behavior that is financial investment with two separate components
(short-term and long-term) Given the importance of these theories in the field of social
behavior this is a rich paradigm for interdisciplinary contributions
It should be admitted that other than Big-Five Personality types there are various other
psychological factors that might affect individualsrsquo investment decisions these were not
accounted for in this study In this study the focus was only on equity traders and future
studies can opt to select other types of instruments to investigate if investors exhibit similar
behavior as found in this study Future studies could test the impact of emotions moods
and weather on investment decisions These constructs can be measured in different ways
for example the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their stocks can be
captured through an experiment But again such research design might be challenging as
Samra Chaudary
64
theses professional traders might not be willing to participate because of the responsibility
of peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders Leaving their trading screens during
market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them Future studies can also explore
other mediators (eg risk attitude risk appetite etc) that may result in an indirect only
mediation model Future researchers can also opt to classify investment decision in a
different way than classifying into long and short time horizons Another aspect that can
be investigated in the future studies is managersrsquo experience differences in experience may
result in different investing behavior
Salience and Investment Decisions
65
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions
Differences Between Individual Investors and
Professional Investors
Abstract
The paper took a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to
investigate the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions The
study also investigated the group differences for two types of investorsrsquo groups ie
individual investors and professional investors It further explored group differences
between female investors and male investors The study used partial least square based
structural equation modeling technique measurement invariance test and multi-group
analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that salience has a significant
positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The impact was
almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the short-term
decision Furthermore multi-group analysis revealed that the two groups ie individual
investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other such that
the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was higher for
individual investors than for professional investors Moreover the parametric tests of
difference between two groups also showed that path coefficients of female investors were
significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for the short-term
decisions as well as for the long-term decisions The study has implications for financial
regulators money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual
investors and female investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with
sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification Thus individual investors and
Samra Chaudary
66
female investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to
improve their investment returns The study concludes with a discussion of policy and
regulatory implications of the results and suggests how to minimize salience bias in order
to build optimum and diversified portfolios The study has contributed to the growing body
of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance especially to the literature on
heuristics used by individuals while making investment decisions
Keywords heuristics salience familiarity bias investment decision behavioral finance
31 Introduction
Investment decisions are not merely driven by the fundamentals of a firm as advocated
by traditional finance theories but are also based on the attitudes (positive or negative) they
have developed for a specific corporation or a brand (De Vries et al 2017) Traditional
(standard) finance theories have been condemned in terms of their explanatory power and
the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et al (2016) criticized
the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first proposition postulates that
individuals behave rationally during the decision-making process as defined by the
expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that asset markets
are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and therefore endorsing the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
based on traditional portfolio theory proposed by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965)
theorized that investors should invest in the world market portfolio of risky securities for
maximum risk-adjusted returns However investors behave irrationally and assign more
weight to domestic investments in their portfolios They ignore the potential benefits of
diversification (Ahearne et al 2004 Chan Covrig amp Ng 2005) Refraining from
Salience and Investment Decisions
67
investing in the world market portfolio could be due to salience bias or from familiarity
effect Investors tend to experience a strong bias towards holding stocks of their home
country or local area (Hirshleifer 2001) The idea of bounded rationality led to many
researches to discuss various types of behavioral heuristics eg familiarity (home) bias
(Ahearne et al 2004 French amp Poterba 1991) disposition effect (Barberis amp Xiong
2009 Odean 1998) representativeness (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) herding (Wermers 1999) overconfidence (Barber amp Odean 2001 Statman
Thorley amp Vorkink 2006) anchoring (Furnham amp Boo 2011 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) framing (Choi Laibson Madrian amp Metrick 2004 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
This study investigates the impact of salience heuristic on investorsrsquo short-term and
long-term investment decisions It further examins the impact of salience on decision-
making between two groups of investors (individual investors and professional investors)
in the context of a developing economy Salience effect is one of the most robust cognitive
heuristics Salience was the most important heuristic among all as it showed the strongest
impact on decision-making (Yalcin et al 2016) Investors suffer most from salience than
other types of heuristics (Hirshleifer 2001)
Kumar and Goyal (2015) emphasized on the scarcity of studies on heuristics in
developing economies Developing countries have higher growth possibilities and
investors (individual and institutional) are more prone to invest in the stock market They
also highlighted that empirical studies based on the secondary data dominate the field and
there is a dearth of studies based on primary data in this area A handful of studies have
shown evidences that heuristics cause inevitable behavioral biases in investment decisions
from developed economies (Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Hirshleifer 2001 Tversky amp
Samra Chaudary
68
Kahneman 1986 Wang et al 2011 Yalcin et al 2016) and from developing economies
(De Vries et al 2017 Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016 Metawa et al 2019) The findings of
various studies were inconclusive in explaining these heuristic biases Therefore this study
has tried to provide the desired empirical evidence from the developing economy by using
a unique primary data set of professional money managers and individual investors who
have invested in the capital market
To the best of our knowledge the salience heuristic has never been systematically
studied with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive
power been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix II) The
present study is the first one to contribute empirically by investigating salience which is a
critical factor in determining ST-D and LT-D The primary reason for this research is to
investigate if salience matters in investment decision-making for stock investors This
research also contributes to the understanding of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market Moreover understanding investorsrsquo behavior can help
investors to avoid familiarity bias and can improve their investment decisions in choosing
investment services products and plans The study provides a significant and meaningful
contribution to the prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development
321 Prospect Theory
The notion of heuristics was introduced by Simon (1955) who suggested a behavioral
model of rational choice He contended that individuals have bounded rationality and their
decisions are constrained by both external (environmental) and internal (mental) factors
The bounded rationality models are also called models of heuristic cognition The idea of
Salience and Investment Decisions
69
bounded rationality gave birth to the discipline of behavioral finance as many researchers
revealed pieces of evidence against the validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) This line of research picked up pace when Kahneman
and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and got further recognition after
Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002 Prospect theory proposes that
when offered a gamble involving two or three outcome lotteries with some probability
investors make their decisions on the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather
than on the final outcomes of lotteries They choose the one with the highest value This
value function is based on gains and losses rather than on levels of wealth The function is
concave in the area of gain indicating risk-aversion and is a convex in the area of loss
indicating risk-taking Moreover the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in
the area of loss than in the area of gain which indicates that investors are generally risk-
averse A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors are more unpleasant by losses than they
are delighted by equivalent profits This phenomenon arises due to cognitive biases
(heuristics) that affect investorsrsquo assessment about expected value of these gains and losses
Many researches have successfully tested prospect theory in the domain of psychological
biases and decision-making (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al
2017 Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions
Heuristics are described as lsquointuitive rapid and automatic systems (Shiloh Salton
amp Sharabi 2002) which decrease the complication of calculating possibilities and
Samra Chaudary
70
predicting the values to simple judgemental operations (Tversky amp Kahneman 1974)
Heuristics are also described as ldquorule of thumbrdquo which are developed for quick and efficient
decision-making (Mishra 2014) and have gained the attention of researchers (Yalcin et al
2016) Investors use these shortcuts due to inadequate time and information (Aronson
1999) Tversky amp Kahneman (1974) pointed out that cognitive biases arise as people use
heuristics These heuristics are generally effective but they argued that the use of heuristics
lead to biases under some circumstances and result in irrational decisions Similarly De
Bondt (1998) pointed out that heuristic cues can result in poor investment selections
because they usually do not relate to the firmrsquos profitability
323 Salience and Investment Decision
Salience is also known as familiarity bias (Yalcin at al 2016) and familiarity was
reported to breed investment (Huberman 2001) The notions of salience familiarity
availability cues and home bias are largely used interchangeably in the literature and
these notions are categorized under salience heuristics (Yalcin et al 2016) The idea of
availability heuristic was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman (1973) suggesting that
selective triggering provides grounds for salience and availability effects The key
behavioral assumption of Merton (1987) model was that investors invest in familiar stocks
due to the fear of an unknown Investors believe that the riskiness of an unknown stock
was very high Furthermore Heath and Tversky (1991) laid down behavioral foundation
of the familiarity bias They showed that individuals would like to gamble in a situation
where they think themselves well-informed or capable as compared to a situation where
they consider themselves unfamiliar or unacquainted They also reported that investors at
times are ready to sacrifice the benefits of diversification and focus on few corporations
Salience and Investment Decisions
71
with which they are ostensibly familiar Similarly when people encounter with two risky
choices they feel more pleasant picking the acquainted (salient) one particularly in fast
decision-making situations (Fox amp Tversky 1995) The panic of making an error was the
key reason when investors select the unfamiliar choice People recall and locate these
salient cues from their memory in order to choose without assessing whether they are
correct or not (Huberman 2001) It is unavoidable to observe similar biases because
investment decisions involve choosing the one right choice from several options that
require a vigilant evaluation The assessment process needs effort and time Hence in order
to address the challenge of the decision-making process investors make use of salient
knowledge (Yalcin et al 2016) Numerous researches reported that investors prefer to
invest in corporations with which they are more familiar because doing so tends to escalate
their level of assurance and hopefulness (Barber Odean amp Zheng 2005 Huberman 2001
Jain amp Wu 2000 Sirri amp Tufano 1998) Generally it was seen that people are inclined
towards investment in local firms (home bias) employees tend to purchase their own
companyrsquos stocks and fans prefer to invest in the stocks of their favorite teamrsquos irrationally
(Nofsinger 2005) Swiss respondents perceived those products less risky which were easier
to understand and this behavior was likely to be driven by the familiarity bias (Wang et
al 2011) Similarly investors from Finland tended to invest in those companies which
share the investorsrsquo native language and socio-economic background For instance Finnish
investors speaking Swedish language prefer to trade stocks of firms that have financial
statements in Swedish and have Swedish-speaking CEOs than those who speak Finnish
language (Grinblatt amp Keloharju 2001) In addition Jaiyeoba and Haron (2016) also found
that the investment decisions of Malaysian retail investors were influenced by
Samra Chaudary
72
psychological biases Malaysian investors were found patriotic and their investment
decisions were dependent on the comfortable feeling rather than quantitative investigation
These findings imply that investors were influenced by psychological biases Antoniou
Olusi and Paudyal (2010) reported that investors do not earn extra profits by investing in
international stocks Investors can earn similar profits by investing in a portfolio of local
securities
Baker and Ricciardi (2014) documented that familiarity bias prevails when
investors prefer acquainted investments though they know the evident gains from
diversification Investors exhibit a fondness for native securities (local bias) with which
they are more comfortable and are also skewed towards the portfolios of local assets (home
bias) Home bias denotes to the condition when investors favor to invest in local assets as
compared to international securities in their portfolio The potential reasons behind
investing in local stocks were familiarity investor protection economic development
stock market development capital control (Chan et al 2005) information asymmetry
transaction costs investment obstructions inflation hedging (Kumar amp Goyal 2015)
Likewise Riff and Yagil (2016) confirmed the presence of home bias in ten developed
countries They observed the bias in three different market conditions (bull bear and
normal) It was found that home bias increased during the bear market period This study
collected data in the bear market conditions Hence it is expected that salience determines
investment decisions
H1 Salience has a positive effect on short-term investment decision
H2 Salience has a positive effect on long-term investment decision
Salience and Investment Decisions
73
The outcome of familiarity bias could result in the suboptimal composition of
portfolios To mitigate familiarity bias investors should spread out a wider net and expand
asset allocation in their portfolio to reduce risk and increase diversification benefits
Investing globally assists to circumvent familiarity bias (Norden 2010 Baker amp Ricciardi
2014) Sizemore (2012) has suggested that to avoid familiarity bias investors who admire
a firmrsquos product should try to invest in one of the rivals because taking too accurate
investment decisions will be a mistake Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) investigated the
influence of investorsrsquo protection on portfolio returns and asset allocation Investors choose
to invest more in foreign stocks in countries where investorsrsquo protection was fragile In
addition investor protection showed a positive impact on shareholder returns It implies
that salience bias can be reduced and portfolio returns can be improved by increasing
investor protection
Kumar and Goetzmann (2003) found that investors who desire for skewness in
returns have relatively greater familiarity bias and are overconfident and hold a less
diversified portfolio Such bias was found to affect the returns ie investors with the least
diversified portfolio earned 240 lower return annually than the investors with the most
diversified portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Investors who demonstrate overconfident
behavior generally face severe consequences (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) and end up with
little investment returns as they fail to diversify their portfolios appropriately (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2015) One does not need to develop feelings towards any stock Loving a stock
will not respond back with love and developing hate for a stock will also not provide
contentment lsquoInvest in what you know which was also known as lsquoPeter Lynch biasrsquo will
make investors see only what they want to see in the stock (Sizemore 2012) If investors
Samra Chaudary
74
like a firm it did not essentially mean that it was a good investment and will yield a high
profit on investment This action may lead to investment in suboptimal portfolios which
can lead to lower returns or even losses (De Vries et al 2017) Less familiarity and high
information costs hinder investors from investing across the globe (Chan et al 2005)
Weber Siebenmorgen and Weber (2005) provides evidence that investing in a familiar
stock decreases risk perception of holding it Certainly this miscalculation of the risk of
familiar stock could possibly preserve home bias in investorrsquos portfolios
324 Institutional Investors and Salience
Coval and Moskowitz (1999) reported that professional money managers within
the US prefer to invest in small-sized domestic corporations whose headquarters are near
to their home town Likewise Strong and Xu (2003) documented that money managers are
likely to trade in familiar stocks and are prone to home bias Chan et al (2005) investigated
the investment of mutual funds from twenty-six developed and developing economies
They found that managers of these mutual funds collectively assign a bigger portion to
domestic stocks Results show that local investors give more importance to domestic
markets and the presence of home bias was significantly influenced by familiarity and
stock market development Foreign investors more or less give importance to the foreign
markets and international bias was significantly affected by capital controls economic
development and withholding tax Professional investment managers from the US and
Taiwan (Olsen 1997) and retail investors from Malaysia (Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016) have
also exhibited a desirability bias and patriotic (home bias) behavior respectively Money
managers were reported not to invest in foreign stocks due to high transaction costs
currency risk asymmetric information and implicit risk which was embedded in
Salience and Investment Decisions
75
international markets Nonetheless behavioral reason for this phenomenon could be that
these institutional managers are overconfident and high on nationalism repentance and
social identification (Schwartz 2010)
Borges Goldstein Ortmann and Gigerenzer (1999) constructed portfolios on the
basis of the stocks recognition by German and American finance students (experts) and
laymen (people walking in the streets) The authors purchased the most identified stocks
and compared their returns against large mutual funds and stock markets in the US and
Germany They found that recognized stocks performed better than unrecognized stocks
Additionally the portfolio performance based on the ability of laymen to identify stocks
beats that of a portfolio based on recognition by finance students (experts) who should at
least have some passing interest in investing Individuals with less investment knowledge
can rely on recognition heuristic A professional investor who was familiar with most of
the stocks in the stock market cannot practice this heuristic According to Goldstein and
Gigerenzer (2002) recognition heuristic was a strong instrument and perhaps the only
strategy that works best in the situation of lack of knowledge It seemed that the lack of
information was perhaps a delightful thing for investors The evidence about experts who
made a bad investment portfolio on the basis of their identification of the stock proposed
that lack of knowledge was perhaps not too bad for investors (Forbes Hudson Skerratt amp
Soufian 2015)
325 Individual Investors and Salience
Individual investors in particular are unwise who hold stocks of their company
state or country instead of investing in an unknown or less familiar one (Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba 1991) Individual investors are less sophisticated and tend to take poorer
Samra Chaudary
76
investment decisions than financial advisors because individual investors are overconfident
and suffer from various biases (Baker et al 2017) De Vries et al (2017) investigated a
sample of students and found that when selecting between different companies these
potential shareholders in South Africa showed familiarity bias in their investing behavior
Tesar and Werner (1995) found that because of high transaction costs shareholders are
convinced to choose domestic equity instead of putting their money in international stocks
that yield higher returns Ahearne et al (2004) investigated the direct and indirect barriers
to foreign investment for US investors The direct barriers were the intensity of capital
controls high transaction costs (implicit and explicit) regulations on the institutions by the
country (restrictions on foreign ownership of equities) and the indirect barrier was
information cost Information cost was found to be the most important barrier which can
be reduced if the international company sets up its plant in the US It will make US
investors more familiar with its commodities US investors might invest in international
stocks of those firms with whose products they are most familiar Foreign companies that
do not minimize information costs by choosing not to list in the US regulatory system
have less weight in US investorsrsquo portfolios Kang and Stulz (1997) also reaffirmed that
investors from US tended to invest only in familiar international firms in Japan Likewise
Seasholes and Zhu (2010) found that investors are more likely to invest in domestic stocks
due to the existence of information asymmetry among investors Information asymmetry
is an unexpected obstacle to international investment in the home bias puzzle Karlsson
and Norden (2007) reported that individuals invest in their home country because they are
overconfident and they want to hedge against inflation Cooper and Kaplanis (1994) found
a negative association between earnings and inflation Moreover they elucidated that
Salience and Investment Decisions
77
investors hedge risk and get shield against inflation through local stocks and are vulnerable
to home bias This study investigates if the effect of salience on short-term investment is
different for individual investors and institutional investors Furthermore this research also
investigates if the effect of salience on long-term investment is different for individual
investors and institutional investors
H3 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
H4 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
326 Gender and Salience
Numerous studies in the discipline of psychology and sociology showed that females
were more risk-averse than males (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac 2018 Byrnes Miller
amp Schafer 1999 Hinz McCarthy amp Turner 1997) In making financial decisions
Bajtelsmit et al (1999) also posited that women showed higher risk aversion in the wealth
allocation into the defined contribution pension plan Olsen and Cox (2001) focused on
male and female investment professionals and found that men and women perceived and
responded to risk differently They suggested that cultural factors might be accountable for
this risk related gender effect
Gender had shown a significant effect on investment decision in the Egyptian financial
market (Metawa et al 2019) More men than women indicated that they found investment
exciting Men tended to be actively engaged in investments and change their assets in the
portfolio with time (Hira amp Loibl 2008) Many research studies found that males tended
to have a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Mayfield et al
Samra Chaudary
78
2008 Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et al 2000 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Tekce Yılmaz
and Bildik (2016) reported that young male Turkish investors suffered more from
familiarity bias Moreover familiarity bias showed a significant impact on the investment
performance of the Amman stock exchange However the impact was not found to be
statistically significantly different for female and male investors (Alrabadi Al-Abdallah
amp Aljarayesh 2018)
Anderson Fedenia Hirschey and Skiba (2011) conducted a survey in more than sixty
countries to determine the international diversification of professionally managed
portfolios It was found that portfolios from countries characterized by higher levels of
masculinity showed lower levels of familiarity bias and displayed more diversified
portfolios with foreign holdings Cao Han Hirshleifer and Zhang (2009) concluded that
higher familiarity leads to lower risk judgment Mohammadi and Shafi (2018) investigated
differences in the behavior of male and female investors using equity data of Swedish
firms They found a greater risk-averse behavior in female investors as opposed to male
investors Women were found less likely to invest in the stocks of younger firms and high-
tech companies Similarly in an investment decision realm women invest less and are
more risk-averse than men (Charness amp Gneezy 2007) In a sample from Switzerland
Wang et al (2011) also observed gender differences and argued that in general both
genders were impacted by the familiarity bias The asset classes that were easier to
understand were also considered less risky and vice versa Females considered equity more
difficult to understand and also perceived equity riskier than males did However there
was an exception that male respondents were not influenced by familiarity bias for blue-
chip stocks Even though males perceived that blue-chip shares were considerably easier
Salience and Investment Decisions
79
to understand than females did they still considered blue-chip shares were risky
investment which suggested that the males were not biased by their self-perceived
understanding about blue-chip stocks Karlsson and Norden (2007) reported that gender
and familiarity with risky assets are significant factors for the choice of home investment
for Swedish investors Moreover older males tended to be more home biased However
this result was not found for females Feng and Seasholes (2008) found that females and
males suffered equally from home bias in Chinese financial markets Home bias and
portfolio performance were not found statistically significantly different between males
and females Prast Rossi Torricelli and Sansone (2015) conducted a study in Netherlands
in which they constructed a ldquopinkrdquo portfolio (with shares that were thought to be more
familiar to women) and a ldquobluerdquo portfolio (with shares that were more familiar to men)
Respondents were asked to distribute pension wealth between a Treasury bond and a
pinkblue portfolio It was tested if familiarity with the portfolio increases femalesrsquo
participation in the stock market and risk-taking It was found that familiarity affects the
choice between bonds and stocks favoring bonds only for women above 60 years
Seiler Seiler Harrison and Lane (2013) examined familiarity bias in the real estate
context The authors investigated the impact of familiarity bias on perceived future home
price movements The respondents of the study perceived house as the largest investment
(and consumption good) The survey was conducted in 20 US states to examine
homeownersrsquo perception of future home price movements of the house in which they lived
They found that gender derived familiarity bias differences Women were found to
consistently suffer more from familiarity bias as compared to men The study also
suggested that the longer one lives in a house the greater is hisher affection to it and the
Samra Chaudary
80
more one is expected to ignore its bad features and emphasize on the good ones Hence
longer home lease resulted in the overestimation of future price movements as compared
to the other houses (with which respondents were less acquainted) In another real estate
study by Seiler Seiler Traub and Harrison (2008) familiarity bias was more significantly
prominent for females of North America The Asian women exhibited familiarity bias to a
lesser extent Ang de Jong and van der Poel (2014) also found that longer tenancy resulted
in greater familiarity bias Hence based on these arguments it can be proposed that for
women the impact of salience on investment decision would be higher as compared to men
Similarly salience bias would have a stronger impact on LT-D than ST-D Figure 31
illustrates the structural model about the relationship of salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions across different groups
H5 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
H6 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions
Salience and Investment Decisions
81
33 Data and Methodology
331 Measures
The study has adopted instruments from the existing literature for the in order to
measure the latent variables Three items of short-term investment decisions (ST-D) and
four items of long-term investment decision (LT-D) were adopted from Mayfield et al
(2008) The scale of salience had five items and was adopted from Yalcin et al (2016) All
the constructs were measured on a likert scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree)
332 Methods
3321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this survey
were those who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange The sample included
professional money managers working in financial institutions and individual investors
who have invested in the Pakistan Stock Exchange Professional money managers were
working in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management
companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks whereas individual stock
investors were from varying backgrounds Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate
and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent of investors and Lahore
has 18 percent of investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence by collecting data
from these two cities the aim was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs
of the country where 92 percent investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were received and only
277 were found useable thus almost 35 percent was the response rate
Samra Chaudary
82
The investment industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated hence our sample
consisted of almost 80 percent males and 20 percent females The sample had 59 percent
professional money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60 percent
respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either separated or
divorced Eighty-seven percent respondents were employed 12 percent were business
owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent of the respondents
had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent
respondents did not expect any future inheritance Fifty-eight percent respondents
perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent perceived themselves in
upper middle class and only 3 percent perceived themselves to belong to the upper class
and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class Eighty-six percent
respondents responded their upbringing was in the urban areas and 14 percent respondents
had their upbringing in rural areas The average age of respondents was 32 years and
monthly income was Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million per month respectively The average
education was 16 years On average respondents had 4 years of investment experience in
the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average amount invested by them in stocks was PKR
10 million
3322 Data Analyses
This paper has opted to use partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to several reasons Firstly it does not require data to be normally distributed (Hair et
al 2012) and shows higher statistical power than CB-SEM for complex models with small
sample sizes (Reinartz Haenlein amp Henseler 2009) Secondly PLS-SEM has minimum
Salience and Investment Decisions
83
demand for measurement scales sample size and residual distribution (Wold 1985)
Thirdly this approach focuses on predictive analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation is
to maximize the variance of the endogenous variables explained by the exogenous
variables (Hair et al 2014) Fourthly to evaluate the statistical significance of the
parameter estimates Smart PLS3 software reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals
(Hair et al 2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling procedure takes
subsamples from the original sample of observation and estimates the model parameters of
each subsample and then report significance of the estimated coefficients thereby
substantiating the robustness of the results (Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the
significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS can be used
for theory confirmation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not present
(Chin 1998) PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory
development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
Results from PLS-SEM method are as worthy (and conservative) as from CB-SEM
approach (Hair et al 2014) Although PLS-SEM has some weaknesses for example
results tend to overestimate the factor loadings and underestimate structural relationship
and R-square Similarly CB-SEM also has some shortcomings ie results tend to inflate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander et al (2015)
have proposed that PLS-SEM is a conservative approach Table 31 depicts the
correlations descriptive statistics and square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision and salience Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term
Samra Chaudary
84
investment decision and long-term investment decision was 0518 (p=0000) and between
short-term investment decision and salience was 0359 (p=0000) Similarly long-term
investment decision also showed positive correlation with salience with Pearsonrsquos
correlation value of 0515 (p=0000) Salience was found to be more positively correlated
with long-term investment decision than with short-term investment decision
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
Short-term
Investment
Decision
Long-term
Investment
Decision
Salience
Short-term
Investment
Decision
3113 0779 (0742)
Long-term
Investment
Decision
3311 0846 0518 (0728)
Salience 3039 0827 0359 0515 (0728)
Note Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
34 Results
341 Measurement Model
Factor loadings for each indicator of the latent construct were 065 or above and
were found to be statistically significant as the values for t-statistics were above 196
(Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) Bootstrapping with 2000 subsamples was
done to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) A minimum of
three items must load significantly on each factor in a multidimensional scale
(Raubenheimer 2004 Velicer amp Fava 1998) and that was the case here The estimates of
standardized factor loadings for short-term investment decision ranged from 0675 to 0775
(tgt196) for long-term investment decision the range was 0713-0758 (tgt196) and for
salience the range of items loading was found to be 0651-0798 (tgt196)
Salience and Investment Decisions
85
Internal consistency of latent constructs was measured through composite
reliability (CR) which should be higher than 07 (Hair et al 2012) and that was the case
for all latent constructs in this research The estimates of composite reliability were 0786
for short-term investment decision 0819 for long-term investment decision and 0889 for
salience Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et al 2012) for each latent construct
The values for AVE were 0552 for short-term investment decision 0531 for long-term
investment decision and 0531 for salience
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was measured through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015) According to Fornell-Larcker criteria
the square root of AVE of each latent construct should be greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover the Heterotrait-
Monotrait (HTMT) ratio should be less than one as shown in table 33 Common method
bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each construct through variance
inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test was carried out twice with both
dependent variables once with short-term investment decision and once with the long-term
investment decision No common method bias was found in both the tests as the VIF values
for all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015) The results of the measurement model
are reported in table 32
Samra Chaudary
86
Table 32 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements
Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0675 10544
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0775 18354
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to
that of professional managers 0772 16482
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings
for investingsavingretirement purposes 0758 21972
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple
asset classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate
etc)
0713 15358
I intend to take an investment course 0737 20616
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum
gross return rather than tax and cost efficiency 0714 18643
Salience (Yalcin et
al 2016)
Expert opinions in written and visual media should
be taken into consideration when investing 0744 20780
A companyrsquos stock which is often in the media
with favorable news coverage should be preferred
when investing
0668 15584
To invest in companies that have a good brand
name is important to me 0798 32446
It is risky to invest in relatively unknown public
companies rather than known ones 0770 20525
I believe that investors should purchase the stock
of the company they work for if it is well run 0651 13806
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0786 0552
Long-term Investment Decision 0819 0531
Salience 0849 0531
Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Long-term Investment Decision Salience Short-term Investment
Decision
Long-term Investment Decision
Salience 0691
Short-term Investment Decision 0788 0526
Salience and Investment Decisions
87
342 Structural Model
The following section reports the direct effects of salience on short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates (path coefficients)
of the structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The coefficient of determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous)
variables were not below 010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) Moreover the effect size was
reported for each direct effect through F- square test (Cohen 1988) with a cut-off at 002
015 and 035 for a small medium and large effect size of the independent variable
(Henseler et al 2009) The predictive relevance of the model was also estimated by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
et al 2012) A value of 08 or higher is recommended as sufficient in behavioral studies
for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 35 summarizes the results of the direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between salience and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with large effect size (β=
03295 p= 0000 f2= 0150) Similarly the association between salience and LT-D (H2)
was also found significantly positive with almost 15 times higher beta magnitude and with
a large effect (β= 05017 p= 0000 f2= 0363) The coefficient of determination of salience
with LT-D is higher (R2= 0340) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0224) Hence relationships with LT-D have shown more explanatory power than the
relationships with ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each
Samra Chaudary
88
exogenous construct (salience) in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous
latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) All the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical
power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high probability of the presence of the
relationships between all exogenous latent variables and endogenous latent variables A
high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness of the sample size
We have included age gender income education size of the investment portfolio
and investment experience as control variables in our model These variables have
relevance in the model of salience (heuristic) and investment decisions (Yalcin et al
2016) Agarwal et al (2007) also reported that age had an effect on financial decision In
addition to that other studies have also stated that males were more inclined towards both
short-term and long-term investments than females (Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et
al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001)
Results of control variables showed that only age and investment experience
showed a significant impact on ST-D and LT-D Age showed a significant inverse
relationship with both types of investment decisions Older investors tended to take less
short-term investment decisions than long-term investment decisions Moreover the more
investment experience one has the more short-term investment decision heshe takes
Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Coefficient p-values f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1 Salience -gt ST-D 03295 0000 0150 0224 0091 0999
H2 Salience -gt LT-D 05017 0000 0363 0340 0146 1000
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0245 p=0004) Income-gtST-D (β= -00021 p=0979) Education-gtST-D (β=
00237 p=0728) Investment Experience-gtST-D (β= 0240 p=0001) size of investment portfolio -gtST-D (β= -00257
p=0703) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0147 p=0024) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0041 p=0809) Education-gtLT-D (β= 0636
p=0308) Investment Experience-gtLT-D (β= 0148 p=0047) and size of investment portfolio -gtLT-D (β= 0014
p=0736)
Salience and Investment Decisions
89
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment
In order to conduct multi-group analysis (MGA) one fundamental condition is to
establish the measurement invariance between the groups (Steenkamp amp Baumgartner
1998) ie the measurement model is not statistically different between two groups
Measurement invariance inquires the vital question if the measurement of latent variables
differs between groups (Xu amp Tracey 2017) Therefore any moderations that we may
observe should be due to the differences in the type of investors rather than measurement
differences For this purpose measurement invariance of composite models (MICOM) test
was performed in order to establish that the measurement of the (outer) model is same
between 2 groups (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016)
The MICOM method comprises of three steps (1) to establish configural invariance
(ie equal parameterization and model estimation) (2) to establish compositional
invariance (ie equal indicator weights) and (3) to establish the equality of composite
mean values and variances If configural and compositional invariance (step1 and step2)
are confirmed partial measurement invariance is supported which permits one to compare
the path coefficients between the groups Additionally if partial measurement invariance
holds and the composite means and variances are equal between the groups (step 3) full
measurement invariance is established
Running MICOM in SmartPLS automatically establishes configural invariance
(step1) (Garson 2016) The statistical output does not apply to this step and is not shown
The composite or measured invariance (step 2) is examined The correlation (c) should not
be significantly different from one As shown in table 36 all the correlation (c) in our
original data are within the confidence interval hence the null hypothesis cannot be
Samra Chaudary
90
rejected and therefore no c is significantly different from 1 (p gt 005) supporting the
compositional invariance of our model The term c value denotes the correlation between
composite scores using the weights attained from the first group (professional investor)
and composite scores using the weights attained from the second group (individual
investor) Step 3 evaluates the means differences (step 3a) and variances differences (step
3b) between the groups The null hypothesis is that the differences between the means and
the variances of the variables are 0 The results showed that in both cases (steps 3a and 3b)
all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2 groups namely individual
investors and professional investors
The MICOM test was performed in smart PLS with 5000 permutations (Ringle
Wende amp Becker 2015) The results of MICOM test are presented in table 36 confirmed
the partial measurement invariance for both the groups (individual investors and
professional investors) supporting the pertinence of the multi-group test (Henseler et al
2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Similarly MICOM test was executed to establish that the measurement model is
same between 2 groups namely female investors and male investors The correlation (c)
were not significantly different from one (step 2) The results also showed that in both
cases (steps 3a and 3b) all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2
groups namely female investors and male investors To sum up the statistical outcome of
the MICOM test is shown in table 37 confirmed the partial measurement invariance for
both the groups (ie female investors and male investors) supporting the appropriateness
of the multi-group analysis test (Henseler et al 2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Salience and Investment Decisions
91
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and Professional
Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0965 [0941 1000] 0254 Yes
LT-D 0985 [0968 1000] 0097 Yes
Salience 0992 [0980 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -0287 [-0237 0243] 0022 No
LT-D -0119 [-0247 0233] 0327 Yes
Salience -0077 [-0244 0217] 0534 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D -0006 [-0350 0308] 0796 Yes
LT-D -0166 [-0305 0263] 0249 Yes
Salience -0099 [-0292 0302] 0494 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0946 [0826 1000] 0017 No
LT-D 0986 [0961 1000] 0934 Yes
Salience 0989 [0970 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -00006 [-0300 0313] 0693 Yes
LT-D -00007 [-0296 0296] 0100 Yes
Salience -00009 [-0308 0300] 0186 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D 0025 [-0357 0443] 0330 Yes
LT-D 0030 [-0337 0419] 0402 Yes
Salience 0019 [-0341 0387] 0699 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Samra Chaudary
92
344 Multi-group Analysis
Once the measurement invariance model was established a multi-group analysis
was then executed Multi-group analysis (MGA) has numerous benefits a) It permits to
analyze whether parameters of the measurement model andor path model are alike
(invariant) between 2 groups namely individual investors and professional investors
(Chin Mills Steel amp Schwarz 2016) b) It predominantly delivers a robust check of the
validity of the measurement model and replicability of the structural model in different
contexts (Calvo-Mora Navarro-Garciacutea Rey-Moreno amp Perianez-Cristobal 2016) c) It is
also useful to draw analogy within a research whether to evaluate theoretical differences
between subgroups of the same population or across populations in the instance of
culturally diverse study (Fawcett Wallin Allred Fawcett amp Magnan 2011) Two groups
of investors (individual investors and professional investors) were used for multi-group
analysis It was found that both groups were statistically significantly different from each
other such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions
was higher in case of individual investors than in case of professional investors
Furthermore it was found that the path coefficient difference for short-term investment
decisions is almost 15 times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term
investment decisions The difference in path coefficients implies that individual investors
suffer more from salience bias than professional investors especially for short-term
investment decisions in case of both groups The direct effect of salience on the short-term
and long-term investment decision for both groups are shown in table 37 The parametric
tests of difference between the two groups are reported in table 38 show that path
coefficients of individual investors were significantly different from path coefficient of
Salience and Investment Decisions
93
professional investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path coefficient difference was
large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors
(Professional Investors) (Individual Investors)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0236 0000 2519 0097 0078 0477 0000 7502 0337 0242
Salience -gt
LT-D 0454 0000 8148 0315 0229 0609 0012 1065 0655 0384
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Individual
-
Professional
p-value
Individual
vs
Professional
t-value
Individual
vs
Professional
f2 diff
Individual
-
Professional
R2 diff
Individual
- Professional
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0241 0023 2291 0235 0175
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0155 0048 1986 033 0168
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
In addition to individual and professional investors two groups of investors (ie
female and male investors) were used for multi-group analysis It was found that both
groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other such that the impact
of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was higher in the case of
female investors than in the case of male investors Furthermore it was found that path
coefficient difference for short-term investment decisions is almost 2 times higher than the
Samra Chaudary
94
path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions The difference in path
coefficients implies that female investors suffer more from salience bias than male
investors for both short-term and long-term investment decisions The direct effect of
salience on the short-term and long-term investment decision for both groups (ie female
and male) are shown in table 310 The parametric tests of difference between two groups
are reported in table 311 show that path coefficients of female investors were significantly
different from path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path
coefficient difference was large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females
(Females) (Males)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0642 0000 8032 0775 0419 0316 0000 4496 0120 0104
Salience -gt
LT-D 0692 0000 1051 0992 0483 0516 0000 1086 0374 0269
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Female
-
Male
p-value
Female
vs
Male
t-value
Female
vs
Male
f2 diff
Female
-
Male
R2 diff
Female
-
Male
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0326 0001 3222 0655 0315
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0176 0024 2013 0618 0214
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Salience and Investment Decisions
95
35 Discussion and Implications
The results show that salience had shown a significant positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions This finding got support from Mousavi and
Gigerenzer (2014) who stated that besides the availability of plenty of information which
is often available individuals make their decisions which are based on gut feelings This
result was also consistent with Wang et al (2011) who posited that individuals who have
a better knowledge of an asset class perceive it to have a lower risk and a higher expected
return That could be one of the reasons for having a significant positive sign of salience
with both ST-D and LT-D Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) reported that stronger investor
protection leads to higher domestic investments Correspondingly Securities Exchange
Commission of Pakistan is fully determined to ensure investor protection to provide
maximum information and to promote investor confidence in order to boost financial
planning and decision-making (SECP 2016) Another plausible reason for this
phenomenon could be due to the bear market condition at the time of data collection as
suggested by Riff and Yagil (2016) Therefore investors have shown an impact of salience
heuristic on domestic stock market investments in short-term as well as in the long-term
Furthermore it was found that beta coefficient for long-term investment was one and a half
times higher and effect size was almost two and a half times higher than the beta coefficient
and the effect size for short-term investment The possible reason for this result could be
that investing in a familiar stock in the long-term would increase investorsrsquo trust and
confidence about higher returns Investors were also found to invest in familiar short-term
investments but the impact was seen higher for long run as long-term investment yields
higher return Familiarity breeds trust and trust establishes long-term commitment (Gulati
Samra Chaudary
96
1995 Wilson McNellis amp Latham 2018) Moreover familiarity knowledge and
confidence are positively associated (Shawahna et al 2017) Familiarity influences
confidence which in turn affects buying decisions (Laroche Kim amp Zhou 1996) and long-
term commitments (Ganesan1994) In addition evidence have shown that markets are
expected to be in equilibrium in the long run (Hopenhayn 1992 Marshall 1961 Shachat
amp Zhang 2017) But in short run higher volatility of small-capitalization stocks is reported
to result in significant capital losses (Roll 1983)
Investors like to hedge their losses (Odean 1998) so they do not repent later
Therefore investing in familiar long-term securities is likely to make them feel relatively
safe in terms of risk and return Healthier long-run growth prospects are reported to reward
long-term investors (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) and stocks have
outperformed in longer time horizons (Dierkes et al 2010) Baker and Ricciardi (2014)
have also recommended investing in long-term for superior performance than short-term
investments They suggested that investors should invest in the long-term rather than
investing in short-term portfolios A better performance of short-term investment may be
found due only to good luck than stock selection skill or market timing expertise
In the multi-group analysis this study found that individual investors and money
managers were influenced positively by the impact of salience in their short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover both groups were significantly different from each
other such that professional money managers were less influenced by salience to invest in
familiar stocks as compared to individual investors in short-term as well as in long-term
The effect of salience was seen higher for long-term investment than for short-term
investment decision The findings are aligned with (Baxter 1994 French amp Poterba 1991)
Salience and Investment Decisions
97
who found that individual investors especially invest in more familiar stocks Gigerenzer
(2014) also found that managers acknowledge that almost half of their professional
decisions are intuitive decisions These decisions are based on their familiarity after
acknowledging all the available information Sternad and Kennelly (2017) also report that
managers have a long-term orientation in their decisions which is determined by
institutional factors Managerial long-run orientation can also generate and sustain higher
returns for their clients The findings also gave an indication that professional money
managers were more likely to strive for diversified and optimal portfolio construction for
their clients in the long run as they were found to relying less on salience heuristic Long-
term securities possess higher risk as well as a higher return (Dimson et al 2017 Von
Thadden 1995) It was also found that the path coefficient difference between individual
investors and professional investors for short-term investment decisions was almost 15
times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions These
findings get support from (Fox amp Tversky 1995 Mishra 2014) that heuristics are used for
quick and efficient decision-making
Professional money managers should rely less on salience heuristic in order to
achieve a diversified and optimal portfolio An optimal portfolio provides maximum
returns (wealth) at a given level of risk (Markovitz 1952) More wealth increases
household consumption The high consumption should strengthen the overall economy
(Poterba 2000) Moreover high returns from optimal portfolios would allow individuals
for early retirement as they have higher savings which enhances the welfare of the society
(Chai Horneff Maurer amp Mitchell 2011) Higher yields would also encourage investors
to invest more in the stock market (Daniel amp Hirshleifer 2015) which could lead to higher
Samra Chaudary
98
productivity and growth of capital markets (Pagano 1993) and result in economic growth
(Paramati Ummalla amp Apergis 2016)
The study also investigated the group difference between female investors and male
investors It was found that female and male investors were significantly different from
each other The impact of salience was found to be higher for females than for males for
both short-term and long-term investment This supports the work of Seiler et al (2013)
and Seiler et al (2008) who also found that women consistently suffered more from
familiarity bias when they were asked to value their homes (in which they resided) in the
future Females tended to be more risk-averse then men (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac
2018 Byrnes et al 1999 Hinz et al 1997) and were found with lower level of comfort
with maths (Hayes amp Kelly 1998) could be another reason of them investing in familiar
investments only in both short-term and long-term Moreover Estes and Hosseini (1988)
reported that women had substantially less confidence in their investment decisions than
men This may be one of the reasons for the observed difference in higher salience for
women towards their investment decision for both long-term and short-term In addition to
that men tended to be over-confident in stock trading (Barber amp Odean 2001) and female
investors were likely to assign more weight to probability of loss and uncertainty than
male investors do (Olsen amp Cox 2001) could be other plausible cause of this phenomenon
The beta coefficients of LT-D were found higher than the beta coefficients for ST-D for
both men and women This outcome was also consistent with the explanation by Ang et al
(2014) who posited that lengthier tenure leads to greater familiarity bias
Investors should be mindful that salience investment strategy could also give rise
to the mispricing of the familiar companiesrsquo stocks High demand for familiar firmsrsquo stocks
Salience and Investment Decisions
99
would lead to an upsurge in stock price resulting in the overvaluation of those shares This
price rise will only withstand if familiar firms provide ample returns to support higher stock
prices However if familiar firms are not able to provide adequate returns their stock price
would ultimately settle downwards If investors successfully recognize the mispriced
equity triggered by familiarity bias they might realize profits from subsequent arbitrage
opportunities (De Vries et al 2017)
To sum up findings of this research conform with the Prospect theory (De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998) The results of this study will help money managers to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on salience and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification Moreover investment professionals can also
advise their clients how to avoid familiarity bias during the investment decision-making
process Salience is a critical heuristic to understand and to improve the quality of
investorsrsquo investment decision An effective financial adviser would require an
understanding of investorsrsquo psychological biases to implement well-planned investment
strategies The findings will also help regulatory authorities such as SECP to improve
investor protection rights and to enhance the functioning of stock market Professional
money managers from brokerage houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may
also deliver superior service and provide sound guidance to their customers once they are
aware of salience heuristic which can hamper their investment decisions Domestic firms
should publicly list their stocks in international stock exchanges to increase the familiarity
and decrease the information cost and such actions may encourage foreigners to invest in
stocks of such companies (Ahearne et al 2004)
Samra Chaudary
100
Women prefer less risk and are less confident than men when it comes to
investment decision so it is important to identify areas of their concerns related to money
matters An investment literacy program for women is needed especially in a developing
country like Pakistan This investment understanding could shape womenrsquos confidence and
influence their money matters and investment decision Moreover females represent a tiny
sample in the financial industry Therefore there is an immense need to target more females
in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
Lastly the findings will help both national and international financial regulatory
bodies and supervisory authorities for their better performance in managing financial
anomalies triggered by behavioral heuristics Foreign firms should also work towards
awareness transparency and investor protection so that investors can have confidence in
an international firm and they can diversify their portfolios internationally to enjoy higher
returns
36 Conclusion and Future Research
This study has made an attempt to investigate the influence of salience on long-
term and short-term investment decisions of the individual investor and professional
investors The study presented robust findings indicating the presence of the salience bias
for an emerging stock market It was found that salience has a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience
on short-term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for individual
investors than for professional investors In addition to that the impact of salience on short-
term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for females than for male
investors
Salience and Investment Decisions
101
The outcomes of this study are likely to assist in understanding the decision-making
perspectives of local investors The findings of this groundwork will aid to understand the
decision-making perspectives of local investors The instruments used in this study were
found to be valid and reliable and had been used in studies done in developed economies
It is critical that the same instrument should be used to generalize results across different
emerging economies as well especially As there were only 20 percent females in the
sample due to male-dominated industry the results need generalization from other
countries Future studies can investigate the impact of other heuristics on investment
horizons Future researchers can also pursue the inquiry if gender interacted with other
demographic variables such as marital status age and income have different investment
decisions The sample for this study was collected in the time of bearsrsquo market conditions
Upcoming research can collect data in bulls market and investigate if salience bias still
persists This study has relied on self-reported and perceptual data to measure heuristics
Future studies can make use of objective measures of heuristics However developing such
a measure for investors could be tremendously challenging Future research can also
investigate the influence of salience bias on investments decision by comparing investment
performance results in familiar and unfamiliar firms Market inefficiencies due to the
presence of asymmetric information are likely to lead to selection bias and future
researchers can explore this area Such investigation may help identify the presence of
potential arbitrage profit opportunities
Samra Chaudary
102
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Interaction of Income and Inheritance
Abstract
The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the Prospect theory the
theory of Planned Behavior and Monetary Intelligence theory to investigate the impact of
Love of Money (LoM) on short-term and long-term investment decisions It further
investigates the moderating effect of current income and expectation of receiving an
inheritance in the future The study uses partial least square based structural equation
modeling technique on a data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that LoM has a significant positive
impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of respondents
Furthermore it was found that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-
D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving
future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and
long-term investment decisions The results offer implications for the marketing of
financial institutions like asset management companies brokerage houses and investment
banks It may be possible to identify potential investors by means of segmentation based
on money attitudes current income and future wealth possession The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance
especially to the literature on LoM used by stock investors while making investment
decisions
Keywords Love of Money money attitudes income inheritance investment
decision behavioral finance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
103
41 Introduction
In the recent time period people who were attracted by high profits on their
investments lost their fortune in crises eg US financial crisis- 2008 Europe loan crisis-
2010 and Asian financial crisis- 1997 2012 Consequently people all over the world are
facing more complex financial decisions than in the past (Shih amp Ke 2014) Financial
decision-making is a key factor for long-term financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Tang et al 2018a) Some of the important reasons for the upsurge in individualsrsquo
investments are the concern for their retirement earnings (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004
McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) education expenses and health care expenditures (Greenberg
amp Hershfield 2019) Gunnarsson and Wahlund (1997) suggested another cause to
understand individual financial plans They observed that several economies have
encountered with increasing competition as a result of deregulation of the financial
industry social security cuts and tough economic conditions This phenomenon has made
it crucial for finance companies to adjust their advertising plans from supply-side to more
demand-side MacGregor and Slovic (2000) conducted research on a sample from the US
who was presently at or near their earnings peak and thought that retirement planning for
future income is crucial Sixty-seven percent of the sample reported of having a long-term
investment portfolio in marketable certificates they see portfolio returns as retirement
earnings which were essential to complement social security and pensions
Financial decisions are predicted by attitudes (Akhtar amp Das 2019) which are
highly influenced by socioeconomic status (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019)
Understanding of these attitudes is as financial planners devise effective strategies for their
clientsrsquo wealth management (Britt 2016) Attitudes influence the behavior and intentions
Samra Chaudary
104
to invest (Mahastanti amp Hariady 2013) One important attitude in this context is investorsrsquo
attitude towards money and it is one of the key factors influencing an individualrsquos financial
behavior (Shih amp Ke 2014) Money attitudes have gained attention for their hypothesized
relationship with financial behavior (Klontz amp Britt 2012)
Feldmanrsquos viewpoint of money is still pertinent Individualsrsquo decision process is
affected one way or another by the attitude towards money This includes the
consideration of whether to buy or not (Oezgen amp Bayoglu 2005) Money is the instrument
of commerce and a measure of value (Smith 1776 1937) Money is one of the most
important factors in our lives (Lodder Ong Grasman amp Wicherts 2019 Wernimont amp
Fitzpatrick 1972) The meaning of money lies in the eye of the beholder (McClelland
1967) and can be perceived as a ldquoframe of referencerdquo in everyday lives (Tang 1992)
Individuals use their money attitudes to frame their daily matters (Tang 1993) Money
attitudes are values that individuals associate with money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
People think about money but rarely discuss their financial matters income and stock
investments openly or discuss it with a few people only (Rubenstein 1981) An
individualrsquos money attitudes have roots in hisher childhood and it fairly persists all his
over their life (Tang amp Gilbert 1995)
Stock market investment offers a huge potential for financial returns Yet people
hesitate to invest their money in stocks instead they put their money more often into
savings deposits or real estate (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) This can be expected
according to prospect theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992)
as most individuals behave in a risk-averse way rather than risk-taking way when there is
a probability to make gains The likelihood of making gains is weighed as too risky because
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
105
of the unpredictable nature of capital markets In a comprehensive study on stock market
psychology Warneryd (2001) posited that investors do not behave according to
conventional models of investment as proposed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis and
by rational models of portfolio choice Instead of rational behavior that can be explained
by traditional finance investors show behavioral biases The understanding of variables
that hinder or stimulate investment in stocks is fairly important (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Investorsrsquo wealth and investment horizon have been reported as determinants of choice
among investment in different asset classes (Butler amp Domian 1991) Economic
psychology divides investors into groups based on financial psychological and
demographic characteristics Finance companies can then create specific marketing plans
to attract different groups of investors more effectively (Warneryd 2001)
Investment decisions have become more perplexed recently Thus in order to
understand which variables impact investorsrsquo financial decisions is of high relevance
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006b) Numerous psychological factors play a significant role in
individual financial decisions eg attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b)
locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward saving (Euwals et al 2004) risk attitudes
(Morse1998 Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001) and behavioral biases (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014) Money attitudes have been studied in different areas of psychology
previously (Du amp Tang 2005 Gentina et al 2018 Hampson et al 2018 Lemrova et al
2014 Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al 2018a)
To date little is known about the impact of Love of Money on investment behavior
To the best of our knowledge the impact of Love of Money has never been systematically
tested with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive power
Samra Chaudary
106
been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix III) It is fair
to believe that individuals assign a meaning to money that will have an effect on their
inclination towards the purchase of stocks The key goal of the life of people with high
money obsession is to grow their assets Individuals who are obsessed with money and
believe that money means achievement intelligence and power are expected to be more
likely to invest in stocks in order to attain their financial goals Financial returns provided
by stock investments can be viewed as a means of fulfilling their money-related goals
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
There is scant empirical research about the love of money of stock market investors
and none in the emerging economy A handful of research studies have focused on peoplesrsquo
money attitudes in the developed economies (Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Gentina et al
2018 Hampson et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang
1992 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell et al 2007) but research in the context of
developing economies is still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Li et al 2009 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira et al 2014)
This study fills the void by investigating for the first time the impact of Love of
Money on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of actual stock market
investors from an emerging market The study further investigates if income and
inheritance expectation moderate the relationship of LoM with short-term and long-term
investment decision This study also extends prospect theory theory of planned behavior
and monetary intelligence theory in the domain of behavioral finance and offers
implications to individual investors and professional money managers in the context of a
developing economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
107
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development
421 Prospect Theory
Prospect theory suggests that when an individual is offered a gamble containing
two or more outcome lotteries with some probability they would make their decisions on
the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the alternative with the highest value The value function is concave
for gains convex for losses and steeper for losses than for gains Critical to this value
function is the reference point from which gains and losses are measured Mostly
individuals display risk-averse behavior rather than risk-seeking behavior when there is a
probability to make profits (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Chances of making gains are
calculated as too uncertain because of the apparent uncertainty of future financial market
movements An investorrsquos attitude towards money is a crucial factor in determining the
willingness to invest in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals differ in their attitude towards money which explains the endowment effect
(also known as status quo bias) and loss-averse behavior Endowment effect comes into
play when individuals place a higher value on assets that they own over those they do not
own because they assign more weight to losses than they do gains Hence they demand a
higher price (return) to give up the asset (they own) than they would be willing to pay to
purchase it (Thaler 1980) The disutility of giving up an asset (they own) is greater than
the utility of acquiring it (Kahneman Knetsch amp Thaler 1990 Kahneman amp Tversky
1984)
A number of studies have made use of prospect theory to investigate profits and
losses of stocks uncertainty skills of the portfolio manager (Jordan amp Riley 2015) and
Samra Chaudary
108
well-being (Frijters Johnston Shields amp Sinha 2015 Gehring amp Willoughby 2002
Ratcliffe amp Taylor 2015) Nonetheless only a few studies have analyzed investorsrsquo
decisions through the lens of their Love of Money (Gentina et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al 2018a Tang Tillery Lazarevski amp Luna-Arocas 2004)
422 Theory of Planned Behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB Ajzen 1991) individualsrsquo
behavior is predicted by their behavioral intention Attitudes subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control affect behavioral intentions which then determine actual
behaviors The theory of planned behavior predicts that behavior can include conflicts
between short-term and long-term goals affect cognition and consequences in several
fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Thus the central idea of the theory is that planned behavior is
determined by behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) Cognitive impairment and lack of self-
control are the two key reasons due to which a person falls for the attraction of money
(Chen Tang amp Tang 2014 Tang amp Sutarso 2013) Therefore to understand an
individualrsquos behaviors scholars must study a personrsquos deeply rooted money attitudes
Raut et al (2018) proposed that TPB predicts onesrsquo behavioral intention to invest
in the capital market Similarly several studies have applied TPB on individuals to study
their money attitudes in decision-making (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014
Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Singhapakdi Vitell Lee Nisius amp Grace 2013 Tang et al
2007 Tang 2016 Tang et al 2018a) However very few researches have been carried
out outside the US and even fewer in developing countries (Prahalad amp Hammond
2002) The contribution of TPB is not as widespread as many scholars once thought
especially in developing countries (Kirkman amp Law 2005) This study extends the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
109
applicability of the TPB in the area of investment decision-making in a developing
economy
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory
Since attitudes determine intentions and behaviors Hence scholars should explore
personsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes in order to recognize behaviors (Tang 2016)
Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model) of attitudes
(Bagozzi Tybout Craig amp Sternthal 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed
that individuals monitor their own love of money motive (affect behavior and cognition)
and apply that knowledge to evaluate critical concerns in the proximal (immediate) and
distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically choose the options to achieve financial goals
success and ultimately to maximize their expected utility (Tang et al 2018b 2018c)
Various researchers have studied the concept of Monetary Intelligence in several
researches where individuals apply their monetary and personal values in decision-making
(Chen et al 2014 Gentina et al 2016 Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015
Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang et al 2018b 2018c Tang 2016) The findings of this study
expand the application of theory of MI to a new context of short-term and long-term
investment decisions made by investors in an emerging economy
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Money attitudes are the values and meanings that one relates with money (Keller
amp Siegrist 2006a) Love of Money is defined as (i) attitude towards money including
affective behavioral and cognitive components (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) (ii) meaning
of money (Tang 1992) (iii) desire (Sloan 2002) and aspirations (Tang 2007) for money
(iv) materialism (Belk 1985) (v) not onersquos need but greed (Sloan 2002) and (vi) the joint
Samra Chaudary
110
concept of numerous sub-constructs (Du amp Tang 2005 Tang 1992 1995 2007 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang Kim amp Shin-Hsiung 2000 Tang Luna-Arocas
amp Sutarso 2005 Tang et al 2007 Vitell Paolillo amp Singh 2006 Vitell et al 2007)
Money Ethic Scale (MES Tang 1992 1993 1995) is one of the most scientifically
used money attitudes measurement instruments in previous studies (Mitchell amp Mickel
1999) Love of money (LoM) is the most well-developed construct of money attitude
(Gentina et al 2018 Tang et al 2018a Tang et al 2004) Love of Money scale has been
validated in more than three dozen studies (Erdener amp Garkavenko 2012 Gbadamosi amp
Joubert 2005 Lim amp Teo 1997 Nkundabanyanga Omagor Mpamizo amp Ntayi 2011
Sardzoska amp Tang 2009 Tang et al 2006 Tang Chen amp Sutarso 2008a Tang et al
2011 Wong 2008) Researchers have cited it in several leading international reviews
(Dittmar Bond Hurst amp Kasser 2014 Kish-Gephart Harrison amp Trevintildeo 2010 Lea amp
Webley 2006 Mitchell amp Mickel 1999 Rose amp Orr 2007 Zhang 2009) and in multiple
textbooks (Colquitt LePine amp Wesson 2011 Furnham 2014 McShane amp Von Glinow
2008 Milkovich Newman amp Gerhart 2014 Newman Gerhart amp Milkovich 2017
Phillips amp Gully 2013 Rynes amp Gerhart 2000 Scandura 2016) The Love of Money
(LoM) construct is a subset of MES (Tang amp Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al
2006 2011) and is also re-named as monetary intelligence lately (Chen et al 2014
Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015 Tang 2016 Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang
et al 2018b 2018c)
Tang (1992) proposed a Money Ethic Scale (MES) comprising of three factors 1)
an affective factor (money is good money is evil) 2) a cognitive factor (money symbolizes
achievement power and freedom) 3) and a behavioral factor (budget handle money
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
111
carefully) factor Lim and Teo (1997) proposed a parsimonious instrument on cognitive
and behavioral dimensions using items from Furnham (1984) Tang (1992) and Yamauchi
amp Templer (1982)
Love of money is a multidimensional construct and is measured as a second-order
variable in the literature (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014 Tang 2016) It has
also been reported that LoM as a latent formative construct is superior to latent reflective
construct (Lemrova et al 2014) Theoretically a multidimensional construct means a
single theoretical concept denotes to ldquoa number of interrelated attributes or dimensions
and exists in multidimensional domainsrdquo (Law Wong amp Mobley 1998)
Undoubtedly having money is essential It is reported that money has become more
important with time in materialistic communities (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) Four decades
ago males ranked salary (income) at fifth place among ten important life goals however
females ranked salary (income) seventh place (Jurgensen 1978) However in 1990 all
respondents agreed that salary was ranked as the most important factor among eleven life
goals The salary was ranked first in importance in Germany and second in Belgium the
UK and the US (Harpaz 1990) Whoever loves money never has enough of it whoever
adores money is certainly not contented with hisher income (Tang et al 2018a) These
empirical findings are aligned with the old wisdom ldquoWhoever loves money never has
enough whoever loves wealth is never satisfied with their incomerdquo (Ecclesiastes 5 10
The Catholic Bible Tang et al 2006) ldquoPoverty consists not in the decrease of onersquos
possessions but in the increase of onersquos greed (Plato 427ndash347 BC)rdquo
Zakaria Jaafar and Marican (2012) suggested that money has an effect on onersquos
financial behavior Money attitudes predict monetary intentions and financial decisions
Samra Chaudary
112
(Tang et al 2018a) High LoM was reported to be associated with high risk-taking
behavior in a reward-related gambling task It was also found that participants with high
LoM were more sensitive to gainslosses that participants with low LoM (Jia Zhang Li
Feng amp Li 2013) People who have high Love of Money motive desire to make more
money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and tend to show high tolerance
for investment risk (Tang et al 2008a) Employees in the developing economies are more
obsessed with money and these employees tended to seek any opportunity to make more
money (Tang et al 2005) Those who give importance to money were found keen to take
benefits from circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Such individuals
would likely to invest in the stock market to expect high profits Therefore it is reasonable
to assume that the meaning that people assign to money does affect their intention to invest
in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
It was reported that when individuals were asked to recall money they become
unfriendly or less warm and shifted into their business and work mode (Vohs 2015 Vohs
Mead amp Goode 2006) Similarly Tang et al (2004) found that individuals who value
money are keenly involved in their work-related activities so that they can earn more
money and they relish achievements and success
Since the sample of this research was stock investors therefore in the light of
previous literature it was proposed that high LoM motive operated strongly on individuals
working as stock investors In contrast Keller and Siegrist (2006a) conducted a research
on Swiss investors and found that investment in stocks did not matter for those who
perceive money as an achievement and obsession It is possible that for Swiss investors the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
113
expected return on the stock market was not a reliable indicator as an expression of
achievement and power
A sample of South African students was reported to treat money as their
achievement and achievement were found significantly associated with their materialism
(Nnedum Egwu Obinna Ntomchukwu amp Chukwukeluo 2011) Lemrova et al (2014)
also found that money was viewed as power in the context of materialism Similarly
according to Lea and Webley (2006) money was viewed as a symbol of power and was
found acting an addictive drugmdash the more you have the more you want It is that some
people tend to make more than they require which may lead to over earning and
accumulating wealth (Hsee Zhang Cai amp Zhang 2013) Feeling powerful also increases
saving (Garbinsky Kless amp Aaker 2014) Thus money a representation of power was
reported to be associated with wealth Money attitudes that reflect high level of power and
achievement tend to be positively related to high-risk current (short-term) and high-risk
future (long-term) financial investments (Shih amp Ke 2014) Hence the following
hypotheses are proposed for this study
H1 Love of Money positively impacts short-term investment decisions
H2 Love of Money positively impacts long-term investment decisions
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money
Money is one way of expressing social status and it divides people into different
social groups (Tomek Striacuteteskyacute amp Tahal 2013) Some studies have found that money
attitudes are independent of onersquos income (Medina Saegert amp Gresham 1996 Yamauchi
amp Templer 1982) However other studies showed contradictory findings for example
individuals who perceive themselves affluent at times behave in a different way from those
Samra Chaudary
114
who perceive themselves unfortunate (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Wealth perception
may have its roots in early life socioeconomic class Individuals who were raised in a higher
socioeconomic class are likely to show more risk-averse behavior than those who were
raised in a lower socioeconomic class (Griskevicius et al 2013) On the other hand Corter
and Chen (2006) found that wealthier investors tended to take more risks than less wealthy
ones
An individuals reaction to money is a reflection of hisher past life experiences
which influence attitudes towards money People who had faced a financial struggle in
their life were found likely to behave differently towards their Love of Money motive as
compared to those who had not experienced such hardships Those who had experienced
hardship in their lives suffered more from financial anxiety than those who did not because
of the high emotional and psychological pain related to financial deprivation Those
individuals were also probably treated with contempt when they desperately needed
money Thus they tend to see money as a means of comparison or evaluation Reddy
(1987) suggested that rich and poor would have different perspectives in the sense how
they use money Therefore money has a different meaning to different people which
depends on their backgrounds and financial experiences (Wernimont amp Fitzpatrick 1972)
Keller and Siegrist (2006b) also reported that investors having different money
attitudes profiles behave and invest differently They created four types of groups with
different money attitudes Safe players see financial security and savings as essential
Hoarding wealth and accumulating money were vital objectives of their lives Risk seekers
were risk-tolerant and have the most positive attitude towards stocks They were most
obsessed with money and would invest a huge amount of money in stocks Open books
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
115
showed little affinity with money They had low risk-tolerance and a negative attitude
towards stocks Financial security and savings had medium importance to them Money
dummies also had a low obsession with money They showed less risk tolerance and less
attraction towards money matters They had a more positive attitude towards the stock
market than open books
Earlier researches have studied the effect of income on willingness to invest in
shares (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994 Grable Lytton amp OrsquoNeill 2004 Hlouskova Fortin amp
Tsigaris 2017) Individuals with income (businessmen) were reported to differ from those
without income (students) with respect to money as a motivator and as a measure of
achievement (Tang et al 2004) Individuals who imagined themselves to be well-off in
the future showed a high risk-seeking behavior than those who imagined themselves to be
deprived in the future (Greenberg 2013) However Concepcion (2016) found when one
starts to earn high-income heshe did not understand the need to save (invest) because the
income was expected to be replaced next month Income and net worth were reported to
have a positive correlation with investments in risky assets (Guiso Jappelli amp Terlizzese
1996) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the relationship of expected inheritance
employment status and income with financial investment They found women tended to
invest in stocks if they expected to receive inheritance were employed and had higher net
worth than men However men who expected to receive inheritance were more likely to
invest in business assets and less in housing assets Therefore the aforementioned findings
imply (regardless of gender) more wealth was found likely to lead to risky investments
Individuals with low-income level were seen to be more obsessed with money and
tended to spend money for power as compared to those with high-income level (Furnham
Samra Chaudary
116
1984) According to Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) poor people are
constantly in the losses (Kahneman 2011) which reflects their risk-seeking behavior for
losses (Gentina et al 2018) Many researches have reported that risk seekers purchase
shares more frequently than fewer risk avoiders (Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001
Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) Poor children significantly overvalue the size of coins as
compared to rich kids (Bruner amp Goodman 1947) An increase in income was found
related to onersquos wellbeing predominantly for the poor After reaching above the poverty
threshold a further increase in income was found to matter little for the feeling of wellbeing
(Diener amp Oishi 2000) For example in a sample from Hong Kong the relationship
between income and LoM was found to be negative for highly paid employees Their
income was greater than the per capita GDP (Tang amp Chiu 2003) The same relationship
between income and LoM was found positive for underpaid African-Americans and for
women in the US who have less income than their counterparts and insignificant for
Caucasians and men in the US who have sufficient income at the market level or their
income was more than their counterparts (Tang et al 2006)
Individuals with low socioeconomic status tend to take high risk and low returns
investment decisions (Haisley Mostafa amp Loewenstein 2008) Consequently economic
disparity predicts high risk-seeking behavior (Krupp amp Cook 2018 Mishra Hing amp
Lalumiere 2015 Payne Brown-Iannuzzi amp Hannay 2017) Individuals with low-income
are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several unmet needs
(Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and their unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator because only money can
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
117
fulfill the desires and improve the (financial) performance (Gomez-Mejia amp Balkin 1992
Jenkins Mitra Gupta amp Shaw 1998 Locke Feren McCaleb Shaw amp Denny 1980)
Therefore investors for whom money is a motivator are likely to take more risk
They constantly react to the stock market index frequently buy andor sell shares alter
shares proportion and try to make quick gains hence their investment behaviors are
controlled by the money-making motive (Tang et al 2018a) and they become a slave of
money (De Charms 1976) Due to the prospects of financial gains in the capital markets
low-income investors tended to strive for assets and do whatever it takes to make more
money than their counterparts (Tang et al 2008b)
Nonetheless normative scholars advise that investors must expect the compromise
between risk and expected return in order to achieve an optimal investment portfolio
(Merton 1973) Figure 41 illustrates the structural model about relationship of Love of
Money with short-term and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of
income and expect to receive a future inheritance Based on above discussion of literature
about relationship of income and wealth with LoM the following hypotheses are proposed
H3 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and short-term investment
decisions
H4 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and long-term investment
decisions
H5 Expectation of receiving future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love
of Money and short-term investment decisions
H6 Expect to receive future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love of
Money and long-term investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
118
Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term and
long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect to
receive the future inheritance
43 Data and Methodology
431 Measures
This study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decision were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) on a five-point likert
scale Love of money is a second-order formative construct (reflective first-order
formative second-order) as proposed by Lemrova et al 2014) and (Tang 2016) Four first-
order latent sub-constructs are reflective 1) achievement 2) power 3) obsession and 4)
budget These dimensions were adopted from Keller and Siegrist (2006a) and have four
five four and two items respectively LoM is a second-order latent construct based on four
dimensions mentioned above Edwards (2011) has explained that a formative construct is
a composite of certain non-deletable dimensions that represent theoretically critical aspect
Achievement
Power
Obsession
Budget
S-T Investment Decisions
Love of Money
L-T Investment Decisions
IncomeExpect to receive
Inheritance
H1
H2
H3 H4H5 H6
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
119
of that latent construct In this study those dimensions are Achievement Power
Obsession and Budget These dimensions themselves are latent constructs that are
reflectively indicated by measurable indicators
432 Methods
4321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The sample consisted of money
managers working in financial institutions and individual investors who were active
investors on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX previously called KSE Karachi Stock
Exchange) Money managers were working in financial institutions like mutual fund
companies (asset management companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks However selected individual stock investors could be from any background and
from any industry or profession as the objective of this research was to analyze the behavior
of stock investors regardless of the fact that they were individual investors or they work
for an institution where they investmanage other peoplesrsquo money Out of the total
investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74
percent investors and Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company
2018) Hence it was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs of the
country where 92 percent of investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect the data from the targeted population of investors We received back 517
questionnaires and only 277 were fully completed Therefore the useable responses were
277 almost 35 percent response rate The response rate deemed satisfactory Many
behavioral studies in the discipline of investment decision had as low response rate as 109
Samra Chaudary
120
percent (Brown Call Clement amp Sharp 2015) 54 percent (Dichev Graham Harvey amp
Rajgopal 2013) and 289 percent (Yalcin et al 2016) The investment industry is highly
male-dominated hence sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females The
sample had 59 percent money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60
percent of the respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either
separated or divorced The sample comprised of 87 percent employed respondents and 12
percent business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent
of the sample had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family
and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future inheritance In addition to that 58
percent of the sample perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent
perceived themselves in upper middle class 3 percent perceived themselves as coming
from upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class The
sample had 86 percent respondents who had their upbringing in the urban areas and 14
percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas The data also exhibited that 11
percent of the respondents responded that they were very liberal in terms of religiosity 78
percent reported that they were moderately religious and 11 percent informed that they
were very religious The average age and monthly income of the sample were 32 years and
PKR 018 million respectively The average education was of 16 years The sample had on
average 4 years of investment experience in the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average
amount invested in stocks was about PKR 10million Pakistanrsquos per capita income has
increased by 05 percent in year 2017-2018 and is at $1641 (PKR 162230) (Economic
Survey of Pakistan 2018) Per capita income crudely measures of the general well-being
in an economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
121
4322 Data Analyses
The research employs partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-
SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due
to numerous reasons Firstly PLS-SEM efficiently handles both reflective and formative
measures (Ringle Sarstedt amp Straub 2012) Secondly PLS-SEM does not require data to
be normally distributed (Hair et al 2012) and works well with small sample sizes and
complex models (Cassel Hackl amp Westlund 1999) and involves minimum requirements
on measurement scales and residual distribution (Wold 1985) Thirdly applying PLS-
SEM provides effectiveness in parameter estimates which is established in the methods
higher statistical power than that of CB-SEM A higher statistical power denotes that PLS-
SEM tends to show a specific relationship significant when it is actually significant in the
population (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016) Fourthly this approach focuses on
predictive estimation Precisely the aim of PLS-SEM is to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair et al 2014) Fifthly to
evaluate the statistical significance of the parameter estimates smart PLS3 software
version 328 provides with percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair et al 2011
Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling involves selecting repeated random
subsamples from the original sample (Hair et al 2012) These bootstrapped samples then
test the significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS
approach can be utilized for theory validation as well as to propose where relationships
may or may not present (Chin 1998) PLS is beneficial for exploratory research and for
the initial phases of theory development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982) Table 41 depicts the
correlations of the constructs and square-root of average variance extracted
Samra Chaudary
122
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decision was 0490 (p=0000) Similarly short-term
investment decision also showed a positive correlation with all four factors of Love of
Money ie achievement power obsession and budget short-term investment decision had
the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0342 (p=0000) with budget component and
lowest correlation value of 0240 (p=0000) with obsession component In the same way
long-term investment decision too exhibited a positive correlation with all four factors of
Love of Money with the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0500 (p=0000) with budget
factor and lowest correlation value of 0209 (p=0000) with obsession factor
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
ST-D LT-D Achievement Power Obsession Budget
ST-D 3074 0836 (0742)
LT-D 3292 0856 0490 (0735)
Achievement 2893 0934 0297 0244 (0808)
Power 2928 0967 0268 0327 0645 (0821)
Obsession 2659 0898 0240 0209 0582 0610 (0744)
Budget 3093 0785 0342 0500 0221 0184 0157 (0771) Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
44 Results
441 Measurement Model
For reflective constructs researchers should report factor loadings composite
reliability average variance extracted and discriminant validity The statistical assessment
for reflective model cannot be reassigned to formative models where indicators represent
constructrsquos independent causes and therefore do not necessarily correlate highly (Hair et
al 2016) Evaluating convergent and discriminant validities are not important when
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
123
formative constructs and their weights entail (Chin 1998) For formative constructs
indicator weights along with their significance multicollinearity of indicators and
constructs must be stated (Cenfetelli amp Bassellier 2009 Chin 1998 Fornell amp Larcker
1981 Hair et al 2012) Therefore the measurement model of first-order reflective
constructs or the reflective dimensions of the second-order construct were evaluated by
analyzing the factor loadings All the loadings were found above 05 (Velicer amp Fava
1998 Wille 1996) and statistically significant (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999)
A resampling was done by bootstrapping method with 2000 subsamples which
were used to compute t-statistics (Henseler et al 2009) The estimates of standardized
factor loadings of first-order reflective constructs ranged from 0641 to 0865 (tgt196) for
short-term investment decision 0630-0798 (tgt196) for long-term investment decision
0690-0873 (tgt196) for achievement 0615-0794 (tgt196) for power 0628-0798
(tgt196) for obsession 0722-0783 (tgt196) and 0527-0954 (tgt196) for budget
Composite reliability (CR) of reflective constructs measured the internal
consistency which should be higher than 07 or higher (Hair et al 2012) The values of
composite reliability were 0773 for short-term investment decision 0823 for long-term
investment decision 0882 for achievement 0912 for power 0837 for obsession and
0730 for budget Convergent validity was also computed for reflective constructs through
average variance extracted (AVE) which fulfill the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et
al 2012) The values for AVE were 0551 for short-term investment decision 0541 for
long-term investment decision 0653 for achievement 0675 for power 0555 for
obsession and 0595 for budget Discriminant validity of each reflective construct was
measured through two approaches and met the standards by Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981)
Samra Chaudary
124
and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015)
According to Fornell-Larcker criteria the square root of AVE of a latent construct should
be greater than all of the inter-factor correlations of that construct with other constructs
(Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT values were less than 1 which is the predefined
threshold by (Henseler et al 2015)
Common method bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each
reflective construct through variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test
was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term investment
decision and once with the long-term investment decision No common method bias was
found in both the tests as the VIF values of all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
The study used a repeated indicator method to compute the parameters of second-
order (reflective-formative) construct namely Love of Money It is an appropriate
approach in a complicated structural model in which the formative construct has an
endogenous position (Becker Klein amp Wetzels 2012b) The estimation of the formative
construct (LoM) at the dimension level was done by testing for multicollinearity between
its dimensions and by analyzing its weights (Henseler et al 2009)
Weights of formative construct show that power with weight 0458 (tgt196)
represents the most significant dimensions of LoM in the formation of the LoM construct
That was followed by achievement with weight 0350 (tgt196) obsession with weight
0290 (tgt196) and budget with weight 0095 (tgt196) The maximum variance inflation
factor (VIF) value for all dimensions was less than the recommended value of 33 (Kock
2015) The results of the measurement model are presented in table 42 and table 43 44
and 45
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
125
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor Loadings
Boot
sample
t-Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0669
8112
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0865 23795
I intend to compare my portfolio performance
to that of professional managers 0641 7244
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross
earnings for investingsavingretirement
purposes
0798 23438
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on
multiple asset classes (stocks bonds cash
real estate etc)
0715 12630
I intend to take an investment course 0785 21210
I intend to invest some money in long-term
assets where my money will be tied up and
inaccessible for years
0630 8323
Love of
Money
(second order-
formative
construct)
(Kelleramp
Siegrist
2006a)
Achievement
(reflective dimension)
I believe that the amount of money that a
person earns is closely related to hisher
ability and effort
0690 17818
Money represents ones achievement 0837 37628
Money is a symbol of success 0873 58397
I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence 0812 34412
Power
(reflective dimension)
Money can give you the opportunity to be
what you want to be 0794 67856
Money gives you autonomy or freedom 0784 39807
Money means power 0742 39244
Money will help you express your
competence and abilities 0774 32383
Money can bring you many friends 0615 18517
Obsession
(reflective dimension)
I firmly believe that money can solve all of
my problems 0748 22209
Money can buy everything 0628 6043
I would do practically anything legal for
money if it were enough 0798 26365
I often fantasize about money and what I
could do with it 0791 35126
Budget
(reflective dimension)
I am proud of my ability to save money 0954 27280
I feel compelled to argue or bargain about the
cost of almost everything that I buy 0527 3672
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
126
Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs
Constructs Weights of
Formative
Components of
Construct LoM
t-values of
Weights
Variance
Inflation Factor
(VIF)
Achievement 0350 21725 2031
Power 0458 26660 2155
Obsession 0290 14361 2029
Budget 0095 5767 1121
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted
(AVE)
Short-Term Investment Decision 0773 0551
Long-Term Investment Decision 0823 0541
Achievement 0882 0653
Power 0912 0675
Obsession 0837 0555
Budget 0730 0595
Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Achievement Budget Long-Term
Investment
Decision
Obsession Power Short-Term
Investment
Decision
Achievement
Budget 04662
Long-Term
Investment
Decision
03553 07748
Obsession 07911 04764 03102
Power 07591 03561 0432 08125
Short-Term
Investment
Decision
04514 03446 07436 04071 04057
442 Structural Model
The following section investigates the direct effects of Love of Money on short-
term investment decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates
(path coefficients) were computed along with their significance The significance of
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
127
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The benchmark for the coefficient of determination (R2) is 010 or higher (Falk amp
Miller 1992) The effect size of the impact of LoM on ST-D and LT-D was reported as
suggested by Cohen (1998) The rule about effect size is that the f2 values of 002 015
and 035 showed a small medium and large effect size (Henseler et al 2009) The
predictive relevance of the model was estimated by calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser
1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al 2014) Lastly the power test was
also performed to analyze the probability that a statistically significant relationship is
found when the relationship is actually there (Goodhue et al 2012) A value of 08 or
higher is adequate in behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 46 summarizes the results of direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between LoM and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with medium effect size (β=
0341 p= 0000 f2= 0160) Similarly the association between LoM and LT-D (H2) was
also found statistically significant with a smaller positive beta coefficient and medium
effect size (β= 0328 p= 0000 f2= 0154) The coefficient of determination of LoM with
LT-D is slightly higher (R2= 0138) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0134) Hence variations in LoM was found likely to explain more variations in LT-
D than in ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each exogenous
construct in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All
the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which means
a very high probability of the presence of the relationships between the exogenous latent
variable (LoM) and endogenous latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) A high value of power
test affirmed the appropriateness of the sample size
Samra Chaudary
128
Age gender and religiosity were included as control variables in the model These
variables have relevance in the model of Love of Money and investment decisions Age
had shown an impact on financial decisions (Agarwal et al 2007) Men were more inclined
towards both short-term and long-term investments than women (Bajtelsmit et al 1999
Hariharan et al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Religiosity was found
to have an effect on decision-making (Singhapakdi et al 2013) Hunt and Vitell (1993)
also posited that the strength of religious viewpoints could bring about differences in onersquos
decision-making processes Wong (2008) suggested that individuals with similar religious
beliefs tended to have different love of money profiles However McClure (1984) found
that money attitudes are generally similar irrespective of religion None of the control
variables had shown any impact in our model
Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path Coefficients
p
value
f2 R2 Q2 Statistical
Power
H1 Love of Money -gt
Short-term
investment decision
0341 0000 0160 0134 0058 0999
H2 Love of Money -gt
Long-term
investment decision
0328 0000 0154 0138 0059 0999
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01 Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0101 p=0109) Gender-gtST-D (β= -00437 p=0427) Religiosity -gtST-D (β=
0048 p=0391) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0070 p=0214 Gender-gtLT-D (β= 0093 p=0112) and Religiosity-gtLT-D (β= -
0002 p=0953)
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance
A moderator variable explains ldquowhenrdquo the relationship exists between an independent
and dependent variable It can affect the magnitude andor sign of the relationship (Baron
amp Kenny 1986) Current income and expectation of receiving an inheritance in future were
tested as moderators between the relationship of LoM and short-term investment decision
as well as long-term investment decision The moderation was computed through a product
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
129
indicator method by Chin Marcolin and Newsted (2003) in which each indicator of
independent variable was multiplied with each indicator of the moderator (income) to
create a new variable The product indicator approach provides least biased estimates for
the parameters of an interaction effect and delivers true estimates for the interaction effect
for medium to large sample sizes The product indicator method also yields higher
prediction accuracy of the endogenous latent variable (Henseler amp Chin 2010) We also
investigated the statistical power test to reveal if the model is strong enough to detect a
significant effect that actually does exist (Frazier Tix amp Barron 2004 Goodhue et al
2012) The moderation results are presented in table 47 The interactions effects of H3
H4 H5 and H6 are plotted in figure 42 43 44 and 45 respectively These plots depict
the effects of independent variables on dependent variables in the presence of moderator
It was found income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D (H3) (β=
-0173 p= 0050) and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D (H4) (β= 0037
p= 0514) Additionally it was found that high-income dampens the positive relationship
between LoM and short-term investment decision with a change in R2 from 0134 without
the moderator (income) to R2 0152 with the presence of income as a moderator The
positive impact of LoM on ST-D when moderated with income turned into a negative
moderated relationship between LoM and ST-D So the impact of LoM on ST-D was
found conditional on the level of income The negative coefficient of interaction term with
LoM implies that investors with high-income are less likely to take short-term investment
decisions even though their LoM is high Hence those investors who had high current
income were found less likely to involve in short-term investments
Samra Chaudary
130
In figure 42 it can be seen that the direction of the relationship between Love of
money and short-term investment decision is different for investors with high-income (+1
standard deviation) and investors with low-income (-1 standard deviation) as there was a
significant difference in slopes at mean income at -1 standard deviation (SD) and at +1
standard deviation The slopes of two regression lines are moving in different directions
Figure 43 shows that income did not moderate the relationship between love of money and
long-term investment decision as there was no significant difference in slopes at mean
income at high-income (+1 standard deviation) and at low-income (-1 standard deviation)
Expect to receive inheritance was a dummy variable and coded with the values of
0 and 1 The value of the moderator was 0 if individuals expected to receive future
inheritance and 1 if they did not expect to receive future inheritance It was found that
expectation of receiving future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM
and both short-term (H5) (β= 0373 p= 0024) and long-term investment decisions (H6)
(β= 0318 p= 0044) Moreover it was found that the impact of LoM on ST-D was found
slightly higher in the situation when individuals did not expect to receive inheritance as
compared to the impact of LoM on LT-D for the same condition Hence those investors
who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found more likely to participate in
short-term investment activities than in long-term investment activities even though their
LoM was high Similarly those investors who expected to receive future inheritance were
found less likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high
A change in R2 was observed from 0134 without the moderator (expect to receive
future inheritance) to R2 0165 with the presence of the moderator in the case of ST-D and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
131
from 0138 to 0201 in the case of LT-D R2 Δ measures the effect size in moderation
analysis R2Δ demonstrates a unique share of variance explained by an exogenous variable
in the endogenous variable that is not explained by other exogenous variables in the model
(Cohen Cohen West amp Aiken 2003) Cohen (1988) defined small moderate and large
effect sizes of R2Δ as 002 013 and 026 respectively R2Δ was found to be 0018 for H3
0008 for H4 0031 for H5 and 0063 for H6 All moderation hypotheses (H3-H6) showed
a small effect size The statistical power of all the relationships was closer to 1
Figure 44 and 45 depict the significant interaction between Love of Money and
expectation of having a future inheritance on ST-D and LT-D respectively The rate of
change in response to a unit increase in Love of Money differs for investors who expected
to receive inheritance compared to investors who did not expect to receive future
inheritance As can be seen in both figures Love of Money was found to be positively
associated with short-term and long-term investment decisions when investors did not
expect future inheritance The impact of Love of money on both short-term and long-term
investment decisions was positive when investors did not expect future inheritance The
rate of change of the slope is relatively steeper in case of short-term investment decision
Table 47 Moderation Results
Hypotheses Relationships Estimate p
value
R2
without
moderator
R2
with
moderator
R2Δ Power
Result
H3 LoMIncome-gtST-D -0173 0050 0134 0152 0018 0999 Moderation
H4 LoMIncome-gtLT-D 0037 0514 0138 0153 0008 0999 No
Moderation
H5 LoMInheritance-gtST-
D
0373 0024 0134 0165 0031 0999 Moderation
H6 LoMInheritance-gtLT-
D
0318 0044 0138 0201 0063 0999 Moderation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision and LoM= Love of
Money
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
132
Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and short-
term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one standard
deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below the mean
(ie low-income)
Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below
the mean (ie low-income)
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
133
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision
Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Short
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Long
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
Samra Chaudary
134
45 Discussion and Implications
This study extends existing research by focusing on investorsrsquo short-term and long-
term investment decisions through the lens of their money attitudes Findings of the
formative theoretical model demonstrated the new visions for the field of Love of Money
of stock investors in the context of an emerging market This study found that LoM had a
significant positive effect on both short-term and long-term investment decisions (H1 and
H2) Previous studies have also found that employees in developing countries are more
obsessed with money and look for any opportunity to make money (Tang et al 2005)
Similarly other studies have also found that individuals with high LoM motives want to
make money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and display investment risk
tolerance behavior (Jia et al 2013 Tang et al 2008a) Those who value money more tend
to get benefit from the circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Our results
also showed that investors with high LoM tended to engage in both types of financial gain
opportunities ie short-term and long-term investments Nonetheless it is critical that
money managers should watch the decision-making of investors because those who want
to get rich also tend to involve in unethical and disordered money behaviors (Britt 2016
Tang et al 2008a 2011 Tang amp Sutarso 2013)
Exploring the same theoretical model with the interaction of income and
expectation of future inheritance revealed more interesting findings It was found that
investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment and no long-term
investment if their income was high Similarly investors with higher LoM were likely to
do less short-term investment and relatively more long-term investment if they expected to
receive a future inheritance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
135
Chen et al (2014) found that the more money rich people have the more money
they want Individuals with low (high) affection for money have low (high) interests in
making money (Tang 2016) Earlier studies have found that wealthier investors were
willing to take more risk (Bernoulli 17381954) and individuals with high-income are less
risk-averse (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994) and have more positive attitude towards financial
risk tolerance than individuals with low-income (Grable et al 2004) Therefore according
to previous literature and in order to make more wealth a high LoM motive of wealthier
(high current income and expect to receive inheritance) investors should have a positive
effect on long-term investment instead of short-term because long-term securities possess
higher risk as well as higher returns (Dimson et al 2017 Harrison amp Zhang 1999 Von
Thadden 1995) This could be one of the reasons that money attitudes of high-income
investors and those who expected to receive inheritance showed a negative impact on short-
term investments High LoM motive of those who expected to receive future fortune tended
to invest more in long-term investments Warren (2014) also reported that long-term
investments provide growth and assist investors to generate more wealth over time
However on the other hand our findings also showed that LoM (money attitude)
of high-income investors showed no impact on long-term investments Previous studies
have also reported that money attitudes are unrelated to an individualrsquos income (Medina et
al 1996 Yamauchi amp Templer 1982) Moreover another possibility could be that
investors with high-income might be handling their money carefully and avoiding long-
term investment particularly at the time of data collection only
The sample of this study was collected at the bearish time period when PSX-100
annual average return was -710 percent (Economic Survey of Pakistan 2017-2018)
Samra Chaudary
136
Economic contractions also stimulate risk-averse behavior for possible negative returns
(Millet Lamey amp Van den Bergh 2012) Also according to Merton (1973) investors must
consider the trade-off between risk and return in order to achieve the optimal portfolio
returns As it was observed that LoM of wealthier investors (high current income and
expect to receive inheritance) showed negative impact on short-term investments probably
because they might not be expecting maximum return for a given level of risk in that
bearish time period Hence expected returns are so unreliable to assist in achieving more
wealth as one of the essential goals of life (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Wealthy investors showed loss-averse behavior in our research as they their LoM
(money attitudes) showed a negative impact on short-term investment decision (at the time
when market was giving losses) and is aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992) which infers that investors are generally risk-
averse rather than risk-takers whenever there is a probability to make profits Chances of
making profits are estimated as too unreliable because of high instability of PSX-100 in
the time period of data collection
Furthermore our result showed that LoM (money attitude) showed a positive
impact on short-term investment for investors with low current income Similarly LoM
(money attitude) of investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance showed a
stronger positive impact on short-term investment as compared to long-term investment
The plausible reason could be that the investors with low-income have instant unmet needs
which could be one of the reasons that their money attitudes showed a positive impact on
short-term investment decision as short-term investments yield faster returns Our findings
are aligned with the former research studies The desire for immediate gratification
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
137
determined onersquos short-term investment decision (Warren 2016) Moreover individuals
with low-income are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several
unmet needs (Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator for poor people because
only money can fulfill the desires and improve the financial condition (Gomez-Mejia amp
Balkin 1992 Jenkins et al 1998 Locke et al 1980) Such individuals are more obsessed
with money (Furnham 1984) Hence we can say money attitudes of investors whose
current and future financial circumstances were weak (ie low current income and did not
expect to receive future fortune in the form of inheritance) tended to invest in short-term
investments
Results of the LoM typology proposed in this research have practical implications
for individual investors themselves and for professional money managers as they can
improve knowledge of their own preferences (for an individual investor) and of their client
preferences (for professional managers) This might expedite investment decision-making
for example retirement planning etc Money managers can help craft strategies to help
their customers attain their short-term and long-term financial goals of a comfortable
retirement (Concepcion 2016) Therefore investment advisors must understand what is
important to their clientele so that they can guide them and fulfill their requirements
effectively
The results offer implications for the marketing of financial companies like asset
management firms brokerage houses and investment banks It is probable to target
prospect investors through segmentation on the basis of money attitudes current income
and future wealth possession In marketing their services investment companies may target
Samra Chaudary
138
less wealthy investors for short-term investments and wealthy investors for long-term
investments Moreover in light of this researchrsquos findings money attitudes of individuals
with high-income did not show an impact on long-term investment This may be
counterproductive in achieving long-term financial goals of such individuals especially
when ignoring precautionary measures for saving It can also result in later repentance of
not having enough investments for their retirement (OrsquoDonoghue amp Rabin 1998) Money
managers may seem excessively challenged by the need to persuade high-income investors
that their long-term financial goal is secured by selecting risky investments These
investors need to be targeted more efficiently through a targeted marketing plan and various
types of financial instruments
For an emerging market like Pakistan there is a massive need to raise capital in
order to fuel the capital requirements and to ensure the sturdy growth of the market
Successfully targeting high-income investors will bring more money in the market boost
investments and investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market
would move towards efficiency
As it was found that there was no impact of LoM on long-term investment decision
for investors with high-income This result identified the need for different types of long-
term financial products There is a need for the development of long-term investment
products tailored to the desires of wealthy investors in particular which will motivate them
to invest in capital markets Pakistani financial markets lack in investment alternatives eg
bonds derivative securities and real estate investment trust (REITs) etc The findings of
this study offer financial institutions and regulators to develop new financial products and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
139
markets Moreover transmission of knowledge in the field of different investment
alternatives must not be ignored in a country like Pakistan where only 26 percent of
adults are financially knowledgeable (SampP Global Fin Lit Survey 2015) Financial literacy
is a knowledge of risk diversification time value of money compounding and numeracy
(interest) A good level of financial literacy will help people to change their money
attitudes money management and make them achieve their financial goals (Imasheva amp
Kim 2017)
According to the findings of this study investorsrsquo money attitudes predicted their
investment plans (ie short-term and long-term) Therefore it is essential to determine
individual differences in money attitudes if individual investors are well guided by money
managers and financial institutions Financial planners should pay attention to investorsrsquo
money attitudes For that reason there is a need for more frequent surveys about their
money attitudes and feelings about financial products which should be the fundamental
aspects of financial services Moreover financial advisors should also elucidate the choice
of financial product and clarify why a particular product is the best option for the investor
Our novel findings shed new light on the relationships between LoM and
investment decisions and suggest practical implications for the growing area of behavioral
finance To conclude we offer a brand new and novel viewpoint and supplement the
behavioral finance literature by investigating LoM as an antecedent of short-term and long-
term investment decisions The formative theoretical model revealed novel and interesting
findings and helped us understand not only the what (ie LoM) factor contributing to short-
term and long-term investment decisions but also who (ie stock investors) where (ie
developing economy) and when (ie income and inheritance)
Samra Chaudary
140
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction
This study contributes to an evolving stream of literature that sheds light on the
significance of LoM with short-term and long-term investment decision in the context of
developing economy A positive relationship of LoM was found with short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover in moderation analysis it was observed that for high-
income investors the impact of LoM was significantly negative for short-term investment
decision and was insignificant for long-term investment decision Furthermore it was
found that investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment decision
than long-term investment decision in the case they expected to receive a future
inheritance However investors with higher LoM were likely to do more short-term
investment decision than long-term investment decision in case they did not expect any
future inheritance
Future researchers should consider adding other investment alternatives as
dependent variables to examine the influence of LoM on a particular asset class This
research was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if LoM was constant over
time Peoplersquos financial strategies are associated with their different life stages
(Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Similarly it is likely that investorsrsquo money attitudes vary
in boom periods and hence their investment decisions may also change Therefore further
researches can use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of LoM over time
to examine whether money attitudes change with different phases of life Data from
multiple regions and cultures (especially from developing countries) can be collected to
generalize the results This study only measured investorsrsquo perception of LoM and not the
actual LoM behavior LoM behavior may be tested in a laboratory experiment in further
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
141
researches (Greenberg 1993) to see different investment behavior and if they react
differently to probable gains and losses Future studies could also examine the impact of
other moderators such as macro-economic issues eg unemployment education and
religious views could have a significant effect on the outcomes of this research To
conclude behaviorally an investor must become masters (but not slaves) of money (Tang
et al 2018a) Individuals with inheritance should master the necessary money skills or
have a trustworthy financial planner otherwise they will usually end up losing everything
they have (Khoo 2006)
Samra Chaudary
142
5 Conclusion
51 Introduction
This dissertation has examined the sway of selected behavioral factors affecting short-
term and long-term investment decision There were sparse pieces of evidence on
behavioral factors effecting investorsrsquo investment decision especially in the context of
developing economies (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De
Vries et al 2017 Metawa et al 2019 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Researchers have
encouraged to conduct studies in the discipline of behavioral finance as the discipline is
still premature and emerging and needs more empirical evidence from primary data
especially from emerging economies (Huang et al 2016 Kumar amp Goyal 2015) Hence
the primary research questions of this study were 1a) Do five personality types have an
effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions 1b) Does risk perception mediate
the relationship between personality types and short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2a) Does salience has an impact on short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment
decisions differs between individual investors and professional investors 2c) Whether the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between
female investors and male investors 3a) Does Love of Money has an effect on short-term
and long-term investment decisions 3b) Whether current income and future inheritance
moderate the relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment
decisions
Data for this research were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire
from two metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this
Conclusion
143
research were individual investors and professional money managers working with
financial institutions who were actively investing in securities listed on Pakistan Stock
Exchange previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange Money managers were working
in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management companies)
brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks However individual stock investors
were from varying backgrounds as the primary objective of this study was to analyze the
behavior of stock investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with
an institution A list of institutions where respondents were selected to fill the
questionnaire is attached as appendix IV For data analysis and result reporting the
research used partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach
was used instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due to
several strengths of PLS-SEM (Chin et al 2003 Hair et al 2012 Henseler et al 2009
Reinartz et al 2009) The findings of research questions are presented and discussed in
chapters two three and four
52 Key Findings
The research questions addressed in chapter two were based on the implications of
the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and Risk as Feeling theory The
relationship between five types of personalities and investment decisions were explored It
was found that individuals with high neuroticism and extroversion personality traits were
likely to indulge in short-term investment decision However individuals with
extraversion openness agreeableness conscientiousness personality traits were likely to
indulge in long-term investment engagement The research also investigated the
significance of risk perception as a mediator between each personality type and investment
Samra Chaudary
144
decisions The risk perception mediated the relationship between four personality types
except neuroticism and long-term investment decisions
Chapter three examined the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions Using the lens of prospect theory it was found that salience has a
significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The
impact was almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the
short-term investment decision Furthermore it was found that the two groups ie
individual investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was
stronger for individual investors than for professional investors Additionally the study
also found that both groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was
higher in the case of female investors than in the case of male investors
Chapter four made use of the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and
monetary intelligence theory to study the association between Love of Money (LoM) and
investment decisions It was found that LoM was likely to have a positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Moreover interaction analysis revealed
that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance also
moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and long-term investment
decisions
Investors who had high current income were found less likely to participate in short-
term investments Investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found
Conclusion
145
more likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high Similarly investors who expected to receive
future inheritance were found less likely to involve in short-term investment than in long-
term investment activities even though their LoM was high
Overall the findings of this research study offered noteworthy theoretical and
practical implications in the context of an emerging economy by reporting significant
relationships of personality type salience and LoM with investment decisions These
results highlighted the relevance and significance of behavioral factors for investors
making short-term and long-term investment decisions while trading in listed stocks This
research has also contributed to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market
53 Theoretical Implications
The importance of behavioral and psychological aspects in the study of finance is
becoming increasingly evident Irrational decision-making has been widely observed in
many empirical studies (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008) Such irrational decision-
making behavior was explained by the risk-averse nature of individuals and this
phenomenon was better explained with prospect theory Under prospect theory behavioral
biases were key factors for irrational decision-making To the best of our knowledge there
were no studies that have examined 1) the impact of Big-Five personality types on short-
term and long-term investment decisions with the mediation of risk perception 2) the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions with the group
differences between professional and individual investor 3) the effect of LoM on short-
Samra Chaudary
146
term and long-term investment decisions with the moderation of current income and future
inheritance
Prospect theory postulated that most individuals show irrational risk-averse
behavior rather than risk-taking whenever there was a probability of making profits
(Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Findings of this research have provided support to the
prospect theory by indicating the impact of salience (familiarity bias) on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions for individual and professional investors as well as for
both genders (Antoniou et al 2010 Riff amp Yagil 2016 Yalcin et al 2016) indicating risk
aversion of investors
Moreover this research made another significant theoretical advancement by
bringing together the relevance of prospect theory theory of planned behavior and risk as
feeling theory in one place The theory of planned behavior (TPB) by Ajzen (1991)
proposed that individualsrsquo behavior was predicted by hisher behavioral intention
Behavioral intentions were in turn determined by attitudes and perceived behavioral
control Risk as feeling theory (RaF) by Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed that when there
was a risky situation behavior tended to be driven by emotional reactions or feelings at the
time of decision-making rather than cognitiverational assessments Prospect theory also
proposes irrationality in investorsrsquo decisions under risky situations They also posited that
ldquorisk as feelingrdquo mediated at least partially the relationship between an individuals
cognitive evaluation of risk and their behavioral response Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009)
argued that TPB and RaF have some shared variables
Mayfield et al (2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and
supported TBP that short-term and long-term investment intentions were predicted by
Conclusion
147
personality types This study however used Big-Five types of personality traits as
behavioral intentions and also supported TPB as individuals with neuroticism and extrovert
personalities showed a significant relationship with short-term investment plans
Moreover openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits were found
more likely to do long term investment intentions
Our result showed support for RaF theory related to the mediating role of risk
perception It was found that investorsrsquo risk perception mediated the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions but did not mediate relationships between personality types and
ST-D It is probably because the feeling (affect) for ST-D is not perceived as risky as the
LT-D are
In addition to that this research made another noteworthy theoretical development
by interweaving the implications of prospect theory along with the theory of planned
behavior and monetary intelligence theory According to TPB attitudes predicted intentions
and behaviors and prospect theory focuses on behavioral bias therefore scholars should
examine individualsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes (Tang 2016) in the light of their
behavioral biases Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model)
of attitudes (Bagozzi et al 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed that people
monitor their own money attitudes and apply the information to evaluate the concerns in
the proximal (immediate) and distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically select the choices
to achieve financial goals (Tang et al 2018b 2018c) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals vary in their attitude towards money The results once again supported prospect
theory as wealthy investors (high current income and expect to receive inheritance) showed
Samra Chaudary
148
loss-averse behavior in our research as their LoM (money attitudes) showed a negative
impact on short-term investment decision (at the time when market was giving losses) and
was aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman
1992) which implied that investors were generally risk-averse rather than risk-taking
whenever there was a probability to make profits The chances of making profits were
estimated as too unreliable due to high instability of PSX-100 in the time period of data
collection
As manifested from the above arguments this research has provided theoretical
contributions by expounding the application of prospect theory for the understanding of
investorsrsquo decision-making for short-term and long-term The study has also made a
methodological contribution by using primary data collected from real-life investors The
findings of this study has extended the general model of prospect theory theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy hence delivered contextual contribution as well Given the
importance of these theories in the field of social behavior the results of this study have
also provided interdisciplinary contributions
54 Practical Implications
This research offered practical implications for money managers individual
investors and regulatory bodies of the country With the growth of the economy peoplesrsquo
wealth increases Hence there is a growing need for performance of wealth management
Conclusion
149
functions by professional money managers This function involves understanding the
clientrsquos requirements and delivering financial services accordingly
It is critical to examine peoplesrsquo intentions about short-term and long-term
investments and why they manage investment in different ways If those investment
intentions become evident then financial planners would be interested to learn if those
intentions can be adapted in order to advise their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It is
essential to understand personalities risk perceptions salience attitudes towards money
and other biases to give better investment advice to individual investors Such findings are
likely to help money managers to target investors appropriately and communicate to these
investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
The results of this research offered practical implications for both individual investors
and for professional money managers as they can have superior knowledge of their own
preferences and biases (for individual investors) and of their client preferences (for money
managers) Such enhanced understanding can facilitate investment decision-making
process Investment advisors help clients in investing money They must understand what
is important to their customers in order to fulfil clientsrsquo expectations accordingly It may
be possible to segment clients based on personality type risk perception familiarity bias
money attitudes current income and future wealth possession etc and develop
investment advisory packages accordingly
Portfolio managers may find useful strategies to exploit numerous behavioral
anomalies present in the financial markets Professional money managers from brokerage
houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may deliver a superior product
Samra Chaudary
150
service and provide sound assistance to their customers once they have knowledge of
clientsrsquo behavioral biases and preferences
Investors should be mindful that behavioral biases sometimes could also lead to
investment in sub-optimal portfolios Therefore understanding investorsrsquo behavior can
help to avoid such biases and can improve investment decisions in choosing short-term or
long-term investment services products and plans Portfolio managers should try to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on biases and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification To avoid these biases financial counselors must
communicate to their clients about the importance of a long-term diversification plan with
the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return in their investment portfolios (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2015) Females represent a tiny sample in the financial industry of Pakistan
An investment education program is needed especially in a developing country like
Pakistan to target more females in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
This research also expects to enhance understanding for financial regulators such as
SECP as to why and how markets might be inefficient Short-term investment is also
known as momentum investing (Gray 2006) while long-term investment is known as value
investing (Warren 2014) Generally momentum investment leads to market inefficiencies
including the creation of bubbles crashes and excess volatility in the market (Woolley
2013) as good (bad) outcomes are likely to be followed by further good (bad) outcomes
(Warren 2014) Too much short-term behavior may have adverse effects in the financial
market and shifting the balance towards long-term investment may be beneficial Value
(long-term) investments tend to have a lower turnover ratio than momentum (short-term)
Conclusion
151
investments (Warren 2014) Long-term investors provide a buffer against market panics
(Della Croce et al 2011) and help to smooth out market fluctuations (Ang amp Kjaer 2011)
Individuals with short-term investment horizons behave like traders or perhaps
speculators whereas individuals with long-term investment horizon act like investors A
long- term investment attitude represents the willingness to accept short-term pain for long-
term gain Such attitudes and beliefs are often rooted within the character of an organization
or an individual (Warren 2016)
For an emerging economy like Pakistan there is an enormous need to issue more
capital to ensure the steady growth of the financial market Successfully targeting investors
is likely to bring more funds in the market boost investments and enhance investorsrsquo
confidence in the country and thereby increase market capitalization maintain
sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market would
move towards efficiency in the long-run
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
Although this research has made noteworthy theoretical contributions to the young
paradigm of behavioral finance and has identified practical implications for investors yet
there are also some limitations that restrict the generalizability of the results Gathering
data from real equity investors (especially from professionals ie brokers and the
institutional fund managers) was quite challenging These professionals were not willing
to leave their trading screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short
time They filled the survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the
evening) or on weekends The key contribution of this dissertation is the fact that this is
very first research of this kind in the context of both developed and developing economies
Samra Chaudary
152
However more empirical pieces of evidence are needed hence data from multiple regions
and cultures can be collected in order to get results that are more widely generalizable
Data for this research were collected in the time of bears market condition Upcoming
research can collect data in bulls market and can compare the results This study has relied
on self-reported data to measure personality traits risk perception salience and LoM
Future studies can make use of objective measures of aforementioned behavioral factors
However developing such measures for investors could be tremendously challenging This
research measured investorsrsquo perceptions and not actual behavior Behaviors are better
verified in a laboratory experiment (Greenberg 1993) and further studies can opt to do so
to investigate different behavioral biases and preferences to learn if investors respond
differently
It should be admitted that there were various other psychological factors that might
have affected investment decisions and were not investigated in this study Future studies
could test the impact of differences in investorsrsquo emotions moods and weather and the
resulting impact on investment behaviors These constructs can be measured in with
different methods eg the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their
stocks can be captured through an experiment Such a research design might be challenging
as theses professional traders might be reluctant to participate because of their fiduciary
responsibility of managing other peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders
Leaving their trading screens during market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them
Future researchers can also classify investment decision in a different way than classifying
such decisions into long and short time horizons (eg by investigating multiple
instruments) Another aspect that can be further investigated is the likely impact of money
Conclusion
153
managersrsquo experience on their investment decisions Future researchers can also investigate
if gender with different demographic variables (such as marital status age and income)
have different investment decisions
In this study the focus was only on stock investors and future studies can select
investors in other instruments as well to investigate if they behave in a similar manner
This study was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if the resulting behavioral
biases were constant over time Peoplersquos financial strategies are likely to be associated with
their life cycle stages (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Therefore future researchers can
use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of impact of personality salience
and LoM over time to examine whether these biases of investors change with different
stages of their cycle This study did not investigate the impact of macro-economic issues
eg unemployment education levels recession and political instability etc which may
have a significant effect on the behavioral biases and preferences of investors
Samra Chaudary
154
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Ajzen I (1991) The Theory of planned behavior Organizational Behavior and Human
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156
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Aronson E (1999) The Social Animal 8th ed New York Worth Freeman
Bagozzi R P Tybout A M Craig C S amp Sternthal B (1979) The contrast validity
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Bajtelsmit V L Bernasek A amp Jianakoplos N A (1999) Gender differences in defined
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2015) Understanding behavioral aspects of financial
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Baron R M amp Kenny D A (1986) The moderator-mediator variable distinction in
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Barrick M R amp Mount M K (1991) The Big-Five personality dimensions and job
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Bateman H Ebling C Louviere J J Satchell S E Thorp S amp Geweke J (2010)
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Becker A Deckers T Dohmen T Falk A amp Kosse F (2012a) The relationship
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158
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Bhardwaj S amp Bhattacharjee K (2010) Modeling money attitudes to predict loan
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Black F (1986) Noise The Journal of Finance 41(3) 528-543
Black F amp Scholes M (1973) The pricing of options and corporate liabilities Journal
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Blanthorne C Jones-Farmer L A amp Almer E D (2015) Why you should consider
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Bolander W Satornino C B Hughes D E amp Ferris G R (2015) Social networks
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Bollen N P amp Posavac S (2018) Gender risk tolerance and false consensus in asset
allocation recommendations Journal of Banking amp Finance 87 304-317
Borges B Goldstein DG Ortmann A amp Gigerenzer G (1999) Can ignorance beat
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Borghans L Heckman J J Golsteyn B H amp Meijers H (2009) Gender differences
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Britt S L (2016) The intergenerational transference of money attitudes and behaviors
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Brown L D Call A C Clement M B amp Sharp N Y (2015) Inside the ldquoblack boxrdquo
of sell‐side financial analysts Journal of Accounting Research 53(1) 1-47
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Butler KC amp Domian DL (1991) Risk diversification and the investment horizon The
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160
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Carol T B C amp Samsinar M S (2011) Satisfying Womens Status Desires Role of
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Advances in Consumer Research Volume 9 eds Zhihong Yi Jing Jian Xiao and
June Cotte and Linda Price Duluth MN Association for Consumer Research
Cassel C Hackl P and Westlund AH (1999) Robustness of partial least squares
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Cattell H E (1996) The original Big-Five A historical perspectiversquo European Review of
Applied Psychology 46(1) 5ndash14
Cattell H E amp Mead A D (2008) The sixteen personality factor questionnaire (16PF)
The SAGE Handbook of Personality Theory and Assessment 2 135-178
Cattell R B Eber HW and Tatsuoka M M (1970) Handbook for the Sixteen
Personality Factor Questionnaire Champaign IL Institute for Personality and
Ability Testing
Cenfetelli R T amp Bassellier G (2009) Interpretation of formative measurement in
information systems research MIS Quarterly 33(4) 689-707
Central Depository Company (2018) The Custodian Slate Valuing the Precious Quarterly
Newsletter (issue no 74 Oct-Dec 2018) Retrieved from
httpscdcpakistancomwp-contentuploads201902Newsletter-74pdf
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Chan K Covrig V amp Ng L (2005) What determines the domestic bias and foreign
bias Evidence from mutual fund equity allocations worldwide The Journal of
Finance 60(3) 1495-1534
Charness G amp Gneezy U (2007) Strong evidence for gender differences in investment
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Chen J Tang T L P amp Tang N (2014) Temptation monetary intelligence (love of
money) and environmental context on unethical intentions and cheating Journal
of Business Ethics 123(2) 197-219
Chin W W Marcolin B L amp Newsted P R (2003) A partial least squares latent
variable modeling approach for measuring interaction effects Results from a
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Information Systems Research 14(2) 189-217
Chin WW (1998) The partial least squares approach to structural equation modeling
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Chin WW Mills AM Steel DJ Schwarz A (2016) Multi-group Invariance Testing
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Trinchera L (eds) The Multiple Facets of Partial Least Squares and Related
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162
Methods PLS 2014 Springer Proceedings in Mathematics amp Statistics 173 267-
284
Choi J J Laibson D Madrian B C amp Metrick A (2004) For better or for worse
Default effects and 401 (k) savings behavior In Perspectives on the Economics of
Aging (pp 81-126) University of Chicago Press
Cicchetti C J amp Dubin J A (1994) A micro econometric analysis of risk aversion and
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Clark-Murphy M amp Soutar G N (2004) What individual investors value Some
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Cohen J (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed) Hillsdale
NJ Erlbaum
Cohen J Cohen P West S G amp Aiken L S (2003) Applied multiple
regressioncorrelation analysis for the behavioral sciences (3rd ed) Mahwah NJ
Lawrence Earlbaum
Colquitt J A LePine J A amp Wesson M J (2011) Organizational behavior Improving
performance and commitment in the workplace Irwin McGraw-Hill
Concepcion J N (2016) Young and Indebted A Closer Look at the Future of Young
Professionals Journal of Financial Planning 29(9) 24
Connor-Smith J K amp Flachsbart C (2007) Relations between personality and coping
A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 93 1080-1107
Cooper I amp Kaplanis E (1994) Home bias in equity portfolios inflation hedging and
international capital market equilibrium The Review of Financial Studies 7(1) 45-
60
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Costa P T amp McCrae R R (1992) NEO PI-R Professional Manual Odessa FL
Psychological Assessment Resources
Costa P T Busch C M Zonderman A B amp McCrae R R (1986) Correlations of
MMPI factor scales with measures of the five-factor model of personality Journal
of Personality Assessment 50 640-650
Coval J D amp Moskowitz T J (1999) Home bias at home Local equity preference in
domestic portfolios The Journal of Finance 54(6) 2045-2073
Daniel K amp Hirshleifer D (2015) Overconfident investors predictable returns and
excessive trading Journal of Economic Perspectives 29(4) 61-88
De Bondt W F (1998) A portrait of the individual investor European Economic Review
42(3-5) 831-844
De Bondt W F amp Thaler R (1985) Does the stock market overreact The Journal of
Finance 40(3) 793-805
De Charms R (1976) Enhancing Motivation Changes in the Classroom Irvington New
York NY
De Vries A Erasmus P D amp Gerber C (2017) The familiar versus the unfamiliar
Familiarity bias amongst individual investors Acta Commercii 17(1) 1-10
Samra Chaudary
164
Della Croce R Stewart F amp Yermo J (2011) Promoting longer-term investment by
institutional investors selected issues and policies OECD Journal Financial
Market Trends 1 1-20
Dichev I D Graham J R Harvey C R amp Rajgopal S (2013) Earnings quality
Evidence from the field Journal of Accounting and Economics 56(2-3) 1-33
Diener E amp S Oishi S (2000) Money and Happiness Income and Subjective Well-
Being Across Nations In E Dinner amp E M Suh (Eds) Subjective Well-Being
Across Cultures (pp 185-218) Cambridge MA MIT Press
Dierkes M Erner C amp Zeisberger S (2010) Investment horizon and the attractiveness
of investment strategies A behavioral approach Journal of Banking amp Finance
34(5) 1032-1046
Digman J M amp Inouye J (1986) Further specification of the five robust factors of
personality Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 50(1) 116
Dimson E Marsh P amp Staunton M (2017) Factor-based investing the long-term
evidence The Journal of Portfolio Management 43(5) 15-37
Dittmar H Bond R Hurst M amp Kasser T (2014) The relationship between
materialism and personal well-being A meta-analysis Journal of Personality and
Social Psychology 107 (5) 879-924
Dohmen T Falk A Huffman D Sunde U Schupp J amp Wagner G G (2011)
Individual risk attitudes Measurement determinants and behavioral
consequences Journal of the European Economic Association 9(3) 522-550
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Dreman D Johnson S MacGregor D amp Slovic P (2001) A report on the March 2001
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Du L amp Tang T L P (2005) Measurement invariance across gender and major The
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of Business Ethics 59(3) 281-293
Durand R B Newby R amp Sanghani J (2008) An intimate portrait of the individual
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Durand R Newby R Tant K amp Trepongkaruna S (2013) Overconfidence
overreaction and personality Review of Behavioral Finance 5(2) 104-133
Duxbury D Hudson R Keasey K amp Summers B (2005) Should actions speak louder
than words Individuals attitudes and behavior in asset allocation choices
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East R (1993) Investment decisions and the theory of planned behavior Journal of
Economic Psychology 14(2) 337-375
Economic Survey of Pakistan (2017-2018) Government of Pakistan Finance division
Economic Advisors Wing Islamabad
Edwards J R (2011) The fallacy of formative measurement Organizational Research
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Einhorn H J amp Hogarth R M (1981) Behavioral decision theory Processes of
judgement and choice Annual Review of Psychology 32(1) 53-88
Embrey L L amp Fox J J (1997) Gender differences in the investment decision-making
process Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2) 33-40
Samra Chaudary
166
Epley N amp Gilovich T (2005) When effortful thinking influences judgmental
anchoring differential effects of forewarning and incentives on self‐generated and
externally provided anchors Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 18(3) 199-
212
Epstein S (1994) Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
American Psychologist 49(8) 709-724
Erdener C amp Garkavenko V (2012) Money attitudes in Kazakhstan
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Estes R amp Hosseini J (1988) The gender gap on Wall Street an empirical analysis of
confidence in investment decision-making The journal of psychology 122(6) 577-
590
Euwals R Eymann A amp Boumlrsch-Supan A (2004) Who determines household savings
for old age Evidence from Dutch panel data Journal of Economic Psychology
25(2) 195-211
Eysenck H J amp Eysenck S B G (1975) Manual of the Eysenck Personality
Questionnaire London Hodder and Stoughton
Falk R F amp Miller N B (1992) A primer for soft modeling Akron University of Akron
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Fama E F (1970) Efficient Capital Markets A Review of Theory and Empirical Work
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Fama E F (1998) Market efficiency long-term returns and behavioral finance1 Journal
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Fawcett S E Wallin C Allred C Fawcett A M amp Magnan G M (2011)
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capabilities perspective Journal of Supply Chain Management 47(1) 38-59
Feng L amp Seasholes M S (2008) Individual investors and gender similarities in an
emerging stock market Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 16(1-2) 44-60
Filbeck G Hattield P amp Horvarth P (2005) Risk Aversion and Personality Type The
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Firat D amp Fettahoglu S (2011) Investors Purchasing Behavior via a Behavioral Finance
Approach International Journal of Business and Management 6(7) 153-163
Fischhoff B (1994) Acceptable Risk A Conceptual Proposal Risk Health Safety and
Environment 5(1) 1-28
Forbes W Hudson R Skerratt L amp Soufian M (2015) Which heuristics can aid
financial-decision-making International Review of Financial Analysis 42 199-
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Fornell C amp Bookstein F L (1982) Two structural equation models LISREL and PLS
applied to consumer exit-voice theory Journal of Marketing Research 19(4) 440ndash
452
Fornell C amp Larcker D F (1981) Evaluating structural equation models with
unobservable variables and measurement error Journal of Marketing Research
18(1) 39ndash50
Fox C R amp Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance The
Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(3) 585-603
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168
Frazier P A Tix A P amp Barron K E (2004) Testing moderator and mediator effects
in counseling psychology research Journal of Counseling Psychology 51(1) 115
French K R amp Poterba J M (1991) Investor diversification and international equity
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Friedman M amp Savage L J (1952) The expected utility hypothesis and the
measurability of utility Journal of Political Economy 60 463-474
Frijters P Johnston D W Shields M A amp Sinha K (2015) A lifecycle perspective
of stock market performance and wellbeing Journal of Economic Behavior amp
Organization 112 237-250
Funder D C (2001) Personality Annual Review of Psychology 52 197-221
Furnham A (1984) Many sides of the coin The psychology of money usage Personality
and Individual Differences 5(5) 501ndash509
Furnham A (2014) The new psychology of money London Routledge
Furnham A amp Boo H C (2011) A literature review of the anchoring effect The Journal
of Socio-Economics 40(1) 35-42
Ganesan S (1994) Determinants of long-term orientation in buyer-seller relationships
The Journal of Marketing 58(2) 1-19
Garbinsky E N Kless K amp Aaker J (2014) Money in the bank Feeling powerful
increases saving Journal of Consumer Research 41(3) 610ndash623
Garson G D (2016) Partial least Squares Regression amp structural equation models
David Garson and Statistical Associates Publishing
Gbadamosi G amp Joubert P (2005) Money ethic moral conduct and work related
attitudes Field study from the public sector in Swaziland Journal of Management
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169
Development 24(8) 754-763
Gehring W J amp Willoughby A R (2002) The medial frontal cortex and the rapid
processing of monetary gains and losses Science 296 2279-2282
Geisser S (1975) The predictive sample reuse method with applications Journal of the
American Statistical Association 70(350) 320ndash328
Gentina E Tang T L P amp Gu Q (2018) Do parents and peers influence adolescentsrsquo
monetary intelligence and consumer ethics French and Chinese adolescents and
behavioral economics Journal of Business Ethics 151(1) 115-140
Giannetti M amp Koskinen Y (2010) Investor protection equity returns and financial
globalization Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45(1) 135-168
Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk savvy How to make good decisions New York Viking
Glaser M Langer T Reynders J amp Weber M (2007) Framing effects in stock market
forecasts The difference between asking for prices and asking for returns Review
of Finance 11(2) 325-357
Goldberg L R (1971) A historical survey of personality scales and inventories In P
McReynolds (Ed) Advances in psychological Assessment2 293- 336 Palo Alto
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Goldberg L R (1981) Language and individual differences The search for universals in
personality lexicons Review of Personality and Social Psychology 2(1) 141-165
Goldberg L R (1990) An alternative description of personality the Big-Five factor
structure Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 59(6) 1216-1229
Goldstein D amp Gigerenzer G (2002) Models of ecological rationality The recognition
heuristic Psychological Review 109 75ndash90
Samra Chaudary
170
Gomez-Mejia L R amp Balkin D B (1992) Determinants of faculty pay An agency
theory perspective Academy of Management Journal 35 921-955
Goodhue D L Lewis W amp Thompson R (2012) Does PLS have advantages for small
sample size or non-normal data MIS Quarterly 36(3) 981-1001
Gough H G (1987) California psychological inventory Administrators Guide
Consulting Psychologists Press
Grable J Lytton R amp OrsquoNeill B (2004) Projection bias and financial risk tolerance
The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 142ndash147
Gray J (2006) Avoiding short-termism in investment decision-making CFA Institute
December
Greenberg A E (2013) When imagining future wealth influences risky decision-making
Judgment and Decision-making 8(3) 268ndash277
Greenberg A E amp Hershfield H E (2019) Financial decision-making Consumer
Psychology Review 2(1) 17-29
Greenberg J (1993) Stealing in the name of justice Informational and interpersonal
moderators of theft reactions to underpayment inequity Organizational behavior
and human decision processes 54(1) 81-103
Grinblatt M amp Han B (2005) Prospect theory mental accounting and momentum
Journal of Financial Economics 78(2) 311-339
Grinblatt M amp Keloharju M (2001) How distance language and culture influence
stockholdings and trades The Journal of Finance 56(3) 1053-1073
Griskevicius V Ackerman J M Cantuacute S M Delton A W Robertson T E Simpson
J A Tybur J M (2013) When the economy falters do people spend or save
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Science 24(2) 197ndash205
Guilford J P (1949) The Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey Beverly Hills
Calif Sheridan
Guiso L Jappelli T amp Terlizzese D (1996) Income risk borrowing constraints and
portfolio choice American Economic Review 86(1) 158-172
Gulati R (1995) Does familiarity breed trust The implications of repeated ties for
contractual choice in alliances Academy of Management Journal 38(1) 85-112
Gunnarsson J amp Wahlund R (1997) Household financial strategies in Sweden An
exploratory study Journal of Economic Psychology 18(2ndash3) 201ndash233
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2014) A Primer on Partial Least
Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) Thousand Oaks CA Sage
Publications
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2016) A primer on partial least
squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) (2nd ed) Sage Publications
Thousand Oaks CA USA
Hair J F Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2011) PLS-SEM Indeed a silver bullet Journal
of Marketing Theory and Practice 19(2) 139 ndash 151
Hair J F Sarstedt M Ringle C M amp Mena J A (2012) An assessment of the use of
partial least squares structural equation modeling in marketing research Journal of
the Academy of Marketing Science 40(3) 414-433
Haisley E Mostafa R amp Loewenstein G (2008) Subjective relative income and lottery
ticket purchases Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 21(3) 283ndash295
Samra Chaudary
172
Hampson D P Grimes A Banister E amp McGoldrick P J (2018) A typology of
consumers based on money attitudes after major recession Journal of Business
Research 91 159-168
Hariharan G Chapman K S amp Domian D L (2000) Risk tolerance and asset
allocation for investors nearing retirement Financial Services Review 9(2) 159-
170
Harpaz I (1990) The importance of work goals An international perspective Journal of
International Business Studies 21(1) 75-93
Harrison P amp Zhang H H (1999) An investigation of the risk and return relation at long
horizons Review of Economics and Statistics 81(3) 399-408
Hastie R amp Dawes R M (2010) Rational choice in an uncertain world The psychology
of judgment and decision-making Sage
Hayes A F (2009) Beyond Baron and Kenny Statistical mediation analysis in the new
millennium Communication Monographs 76(4) 408-420
Hayes C L amp Kelly K (1999) Money makeovers How women can control their
financial destiny New York Doubleday
Heath C amp Tversky A (1991) Preference and belief Ambiguity and competence in
choice under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4(1) 5-28
Heinstroumlm J (2003) Five personality dimensions and their influence on information
behavior Information Research 9(1) 9-1
Henseler J amp Chin W W (2010) A comparison of approaches for the analysis of
interaction effects between latent variables using partial least squares path
modeling Structural Equation Modeling 17(1) 82-109
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Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2015) A new criterion for assessing
discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science 43(1) 115-135
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2016) Testing measurement invariance of
composites using partial least square International Marketing Review 33(3) 405ndash
431
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sinkovics R R (2009) The use of partial least squares path
modeling in international marketing In New challenges to international marketing
(pp 277-319) Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Hershey D A amp Mowen J C (2000) Psychological determinants of financial
preparedness for retirement The Gerontologist 40(6) 687-697
Hinz R P McCarthy D D amp Turner J A (1997) Are women conservative investors
Gender differences in participant-directed pension investments Positioning
pensions for the twenty-first century Philadelphia University of Pennsylvania Press
91- 103
Hira T K amp Loibl C (2008) Gender differences in investment behavior In Handbook
of consumer finance research (pp 253-270) Springer New York NY
Hirshleifer D (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing Journal of Finance 56(4)
1533-1597
Hlouskova J Fortin I amp Tsigaris P (2017) The consumptionndashinvestment decision of a
prospect theory household A two-period model Journal of Mathematical
Economics 70 74-89
Samra Chaudary
174
Hoffmann A O Post T amp Pennings J M (2015) How investor perceptions drive actual
trading and risk-taking behavior Journal of Behavioral Finance 16(1) 94-103
Hogan J (1986) Manual for the Hogan Personnel Selection System Minneapolis MN
National Computer Systems
Hogan R (1982) A socioanalytic theory of personality In Nebraska symposium on
motivation University of Nebraska Press
Hogan R amp Hogan J (1991) Personality and status In D G Gilbert amp J J Connolly
(Eds) Personality Social Skills and Psychopathology An Individual Differences
Approach 137-154 New York Plenum Press
Hopenhayn H A (1992) Entry exit and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium
Econometrica Journal of the Econometric Society 1127-1150
Hopfensitz A amp Wranik T (2009) How to adapt to changing markets experience and
personality in a repeated investment game Discussion Paper No 092009 - 056
Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=1578305
Hough L M Eaton N K Dunnette M D Kamp J D amp McCloy R A (1990)
Criterion-related validities of personality constructs and the effect of response
distortion on those validities Journal of Applied Psychology 75(5) 581
Hsee C K amp Weber E U (1997) A fundamental prediction error Selfndashothers
discrepancies in risk preference Journal of experimental psychology general
126(1) 45
Hsee C K Zhang J Cai C F amp Zhang S (2013) Overearning Psychological science
24(6) 852-859
Huang J Y Shieh J C amp Kao Y C (2016) Starting points for a new researcher in
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behavioral finance International Journal of Managerial Finance 12(1) 92-103
Huber J Palan S amp Zeisberger S (2017) Does Investor Risk Perception Drive Asset
Prices in Markets Experimental Evidence Working Paper Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=3007878
Huberman G (2001) Familiarity breeds investment Review of Financial Studies 14(3)
659ndash680
Hulland J (1999) Use of partial least squares (PLS) in strategic management research a
review of four recent studies Strategic Management Journal 20(2) 195ndash204
Hunt S D amp Vitell S J (1993) The general theory of marketing ethics A retrospective
and revision in N C Smith and A John (eds) Ethics in Marketing Quelch (Irwin
Inc Homewood IL) pp 775ndash784
Hunter K amp Kemp S (2004) The personality of e-commerce investors Journal of
Economic Psychology 25(4) 529-537
Iacobucci D (2010) Structural equations modeling Fit indices sample size and advanced
topics Journal of Consumer Psychology 20(1) 90-98
Imasheva A B amp Kim A M (2017) Psychological differences in financial decision-
making by people from different generations KazNU Bulletin Psychology and
sociology series 59(4) 50-56
Ishfaq M Maqbool Z Akram S Tariq S amp Khurshid M K (2017) Mediating Role
of Risk Perception between Cognitive Biases and Risky Investment Decision
Empirical Evidence from Pakistans Equity Market Journal of Managerial
Sciences 11(3) 265-278
Samra Chaudary
176
Ivkoviacutec Z amp Weisbenner S (2007) Information diffusion effects in individual
investorsrsquo common stock purchases covet thy neighborsrsquo investment choices
Review of Financial Studies 20(4) 1327-1357
Jabeen M (2016 June 16) PSX ndash Unfolding future prospects at its best Business
Recorder retrieved from httpsfpbrecordercom2016062016061657187
Jain P C amp Wu J S (2000) Truth in mutual fund advertising Evidence on future
performance and fund flows The Journal of Finance 55(2) 937-958
Jaiswal B amp Kamil N (2012) Gender behavioral finance and the investment decision
IBA Business Review 7(2) 8-22
Jaiyeoba H B amp Haron R (2016) A qualitative inquiry into the investment decision
behavior of the Malaysian stock market investors Qualitative Research in
Financial Markets 8(3) 246-267
Jenkins G D Mitra A Gupta N amp Shaw D (1998) Are financial incentives related
to performance A meta-analytic review of empirical research Journal of Applied
Psychology 83 777-787
Jensen M C amp Meckling W H (1976) Theory of the firm Managerial behavior agency
costs and ownership structure Journal of Financial Economics 3(4) 305-360
Jia S W Zhang W X Li P Feng T Y amp Li H (2013) Attitude toward money
modulates outcome processing An ERP study Social Neuroscience 8 43-51
John O P amp Srivastava S (1999) The Big-Five trait taxonomy History measurement
and theoretical perspectives Handbook of personality Theory and research
2(1999) 102-138
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Johnson J B Butcher J N Null C amp Johnson K N (1984) Replicated item level
factor analysis of the full MMPI Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 49
105-114
Jordan B D amp Riley T B (2015) Volatility and mutual fund manager skill Journal of
Financial Economics 118 289-298
Josef A K Richter D Samanez-Larkin G R Wagner G G Hertwig R amp Mata R
(2016) Stability and change in risk-taking propensity across the adult life span
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 111 430ndash450
Judge T A Heller D amp Mount M K (2002) Five-factor model of personality and job
satisfaction A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 87(3) 530
Jurgensen C E (1978) Job preferences (What makes a job good or bad) Journal of
Applied Psychology 63(3) 267-276
Kahneman D (2011) Thinking fast and slow New York Farrar Straus and Giroux
Kahneman D (2012) Thinking fast and slow New York NY Penguin Books Ltd
Kahneman D amp Deaton A (2010) High income improves evaluation of life but not
emotional well-being Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
United States of America 107(38) 16489ndash16493
Kahneman D amp Riepe M W (1998) Aspects of investor psychology Journal of
Portfolio Management 24(1) 52-65
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory an analysis of decision under risk
Econometrica 47(2) 263-292
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1984) Choices Values and Frames American
Psychologist 39 341ndash35
Samra Chaudary
178
Kahneman D Knetsch J L amp Thaler R H (1990) Experimental tests of the
Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem Journal of Political Economy 98(6)
1325-1348
Kamp J D amp Gough H G (1986) The Big-Five personality factors from an assessment
context In 94th annual convention of the American Psychological Association
Washington DC
Kamp J D amp Hough L M (1986) Utility of personality assessment A review and
integration of the literature Utility of temperament biodata and interest
assessment for predicting job performance A review and integration of the
literature 88-02
Kang J K amp Stulz R (1997) Why is there a home bias An analysis of foreign portfolio
equity ownership in Japan Journal of Financial Economics 46(1) 3-28
Karlsson A amp Nordeacuten L (2007) Home sweet home Home bias and international
diversification among individual investors Journal of Banking amp Finance 31(2)
317-333
Kautonen T van Gelderen M amp Fink M (2015) Robustness of the theory of planned
behavior in predicting entrepreneurial intentions and actions Entrepreneurship
Theory and Practice 39(3) 655-674
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006a) Investing in stocks The influence of financial risk
attitude and values-related money and stock market attitudes Journal of Economic
Psychology 27(2) 285-303
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006b) Money attitude typology and stock investment The
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Kenny D A (2008) Reflections on mediation Organizational research methods 11(2)
353-358
Kenny D A Kashy D A amp Bolger N (1998) Data analysis in social psychology In
D Gilbert S T Fiske amp G Lindzey (Eds) Handbook of social psychology (4th
ed) New York McGraw-Hill
Khoo A (2006) Secrets of Self-Made Millionaires Singapore Published by Adam Khoo
Learning Technologies Group Pte Ltd
Khwaja A I amp Mian A (2005) Unchecked intermediaries Price manipulation in an
emerging stock market Journal of Financial Economics 78(1) 203-241
Kirkman B amp Law K (2005) International management research in AMJ Our past
present and future Academy of Management Journal 48 377ndash386
Kish-Gephart J J Harrison D A amp Trevintildeo L K (2010) Bad apples bad cases and
bad barrels Meta-analytic evidence about sources of unethical decisions at work
Journal of Applied Psychology 95 1-31
Kiyilar M amp Acar O (2013) Behavioral finance and the study of the irrational financial
choices of credit card users Annales Universitatis Apulensis series Oeconomica
ISSN 1454-9409
Kliger D amp Kudryavtsev A (2010) The availability heuristic and investors reaction to
company-specific events The Journal of Behavioral Finance 11(1) 50-65
Kline R B (2005) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling (2nd ed) New
York The Guildford Press
Kline R B (2015) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling Guilford
publications
Samra Chaudary
180
Klontz B T amp Britt S L (2012) How clientsrsquo money scripts predict their financial
behaviors Journal of Financial Planning 25(11) 33-43
Kobbeltvedt T amp Wolff K (2009) The Risk-as-feelings hypothesis in a Theory of
planned behavior perspective Judgment and Decision-making 4(7) 567
Kock N (2015) Common method bias in PLS-SEM A full collinearity assessment
approach International Journal of e-Collaboration 11(4) 1-10
Koropp C Kellermanns F W Grichnik D amp Stanley L (2014) Financial decision-
making in family firms An adaptation of the theory of planned behavior Family
Business Review 27(4) 307-327
Kourtidis D Šević Ž amp Chatzoglou P (2011) Investorsrsquo trading activity A behavioral
perspective and empirical results The Journal of Socio-Economics 40(5) 548-557
Krause M R Serlin R C Ward S E Rony R Y Z Ezenwa M O amp Naab F
(2010) Testing mediation in nursing research Beyond Baron and Kenny Nursing
Research 59(4) 288-294
Krueger N and Dickson P R (1994) How believing in ourselves increases risk taking
perceived self-efficacy and opportunity recognition Decision Sciences 25 (3) 385-
400
Krupp D B amp Cook T R (2018) Local competition amplifies the corrosive effects of
inequality Psychological Science 29(5) 824ndash833
Kubilay B amp Bayrakdaroglu A (2016) An empirical research on investor biases in
financial decision-making financial risk tolerance and financial personality
International Journal of Financial Research 7(2) 171-182
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Kumar S amp Goyal N (2015) Behavioral biases in investment decision-makingndasha
systematic literature review Qualitative Research in financial markets 7(1) 88-
108
Lagarde C (2016) The Role of Emerging Markets in a New Global Partnership for
Growth by IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde Retrieved from
httpswwwimforgenNewsArticles201509280453sp020416
Lakonishok J Shleifer A amp Vishny R W (1994) Contrarian investment extrapolation
and risk The Journal of Finance 49(5) 1541-1578
Lakshmi P Visalakshmi S Thamaraiselvan N amp Senthilarasu B (2013) Assessing
the Linkage of Behavioral Traits and Investment Decisions Using SEM Approach
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Laroche M Kim C amp Zhou L (1996) Brand familiarity and confidence as determinants
of purchase intention An empirical test in a multiple brand context Journal of
Business Research 37(2) 115-120
Law K S Wong C S amp Mobley W M (1998) Toward a taxonomy of
multidimensional constructs Academy of Management Review 23(4) 741-755
Lea S E G amp Webley P (2006) Money as tool money as drug The biological
psychology of a strong incentive Behavioral and Brain Sciences 29 161-176
Lemrova S Reiterova E Fatenova R Lemr K amp Tang T L P (2014) Money is
power Monetary intelligencemdashlove of money and temptation of materialism
among Czech University students Journal of Business Ethics 125(2) 329-348
Samra Chaudary
182
Lewis K K (1999) Trying to explain home bias in equities and consumption Journal of
Economic Literature 37(2) 571-608
Li D Jiang Y An S Shen Z amp Jin W (2009) The influence of money attitudes on
young Chinese consumers compulsive buying Young Consumers 10(2) 98-109
Li S amp Liu C J (2008) Individual differences in a switch from risk‐averse preferences
for gains to risk‐seeking preferences for losses can personality variables predict
the risk preferences Journal of Risk Research 11(5) 673-686
Lim K L Soutar G N amp Lee J A (2013) Factors affecting investment intentions A
consumer behavior perspective Journal of Financial Services Marketing 18(4)
301-315
Lim V K amp Teo T S (1997) Sex money and financial hardship An empirical study
of attitudes towards money among undergraduates in Singapore Journal of
Economic Psychology 18(4) 369-386
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investment in
stock portfolio and capital budgets Review of Economics and Statistics 47 103ndash
124
Locke E A Feren D B McCaleb V M Shaw K N amp Denny A T (1980) The
relative effectiveness of four methods of motivating employee performance In K
D Duncan M M Gruneberg amp D Wallis (Eds) Changes in Working Life 363-
388 New York Wiley
Lodder P Ong H H Grasman R P amp Wicherts J (2019) A comprehensive meta-
analysis of money priming Journal of Experimental Psychology General
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analysis (4th ed) Hillsdale NJ Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
Loewenstein G F Weber E U Hsee C K amp Welch N (2001) Risk as feelings
Psychological Bulletin 127(2) 267-286
Loewenstein G amp Lerner J S (2003) The role of affect in decision-making Handbook
of affective science 619(642) 3
MacCrimmon K R amp Wehrung D A (1990) Characteristics of risk taking executives
Management Science 36(4) 422-435
MacGregor D G amp Slovic P (2000) Retirement Plans and Financial Expectations A
Survey of Leading-Edge lsquoBaby Boomersrsquo Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=1565088
Mahastanti L A amp Hariady E (2013) Determining the Factor Affecting Stock
Investment Decision of Potential Women Investors in Indonesian In Proceedings
of the International Conference on Managing the Asian Century 275-282
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Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio Selection The Journal of Finance 7(1) 77-91
Marshall A (1961) Principles of Economics An introductory volume London
Macmillan
Mayfield C Perdue G amp Wooten K (2008) Investment management and personality
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McClelland D C (1967) Money as a motivator Some research insights The McKinsey
Quarterly 10ndash21
Samra Chaudary
184
McClure R F (1984) The relationship between money attitudes and overall pathology
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McCrae R R amp Costa P T (2008) Empirical and theoretical status of the five-factor
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Handbook of Personality Theory and Assessment Personality Measurement and
Testing Sage London 273-294
McInish T H (1982) Individual investors and risk-taking Journal of Economic
Psychology 2(2) 125-136
McKenzie C R amp Liersch M J (2011) Misunderstanding savings growth Implications
for retirement savings behavior Journal of Marketing Research 48(SPL) S1-S13
McShane S L amp Von Glinow M A (2008) Organizational behavior (4th ed) Boston
McGraw-Hill Irwin
Medina J F Saegert J amp Gresham A (1996) Comparison of Mexican‐American and
Anglo‐American attitudes toward money Journal of Consumer Affairs 30(1) 124-
145
Merton R C (1973) An intertemporal capital asset pricing model Econometrica Journal
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Merton R C (1987) A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete
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Metawa N Hassan M K Metawa S amp Safa M F (2019) Impact of behavioral factors
on investorsrsquo financial decisions case of the Egyptian stock market International
Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management 12(1) 30-55
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185
Michaelidou N amp Hassan L (2014) New advances in attitude and behavioral decision-
making models Journal of Marketing and Management 30 (5ndash6) 519ndash528
Milkovich G T Newman J M amp Gerhart B (2014) Compensation (11th ed) Boston
IrwinMcGraw-Hill
Millet K Lamey L amp Van den Bergh B (2012) Avoiding negative vs achieving
positive outcomes in hard and prosperous economic times Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2) 275ndash 284
Mishra S (2014) Decision-making under risk Integrating perspectives from biology
economics and psychology Personality and Social Psychology Review 18(3)
280-307
Mishra S Hing L S S amp Lalumiere M L (2015) Inequality and risk-taking
Evolutionary Psychology 13(3) 1ndash11
Mitchell T R amp Mickel AE (1999) The meaning of money An individual difference
perspective Academy of Management Review 24 568-578
Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira T Augusto Falciano M amp Villas Boas Perito R (2014)
Effects of credit card usage on young Braziliansrsquo compulsive buying Young
Consumers 15(2) 111-124
Modigliani F amp Miller M H (1958) The cost of capital corporation finance and the
theory of investment American Economic Review 48(3) 261ndash297
Mohammadi A amp Shafi K (2018) Gender differences in the contribution patterns of
equity-crowdfunding investors Small Business Economics 50(2) 275-287
Morse W C (1998) Risk taking in personal investments Journal of Business and
Psychology 13(2) 281-288
Samra Chaudary
186
Mousavi S amp Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk uncertainty and heuristics Journal of
Business Research 67(8) 1671-1678
Muller A amp de Zwaan M (2010) Pathological buying A review of the current
knowledge regarding this condition of behavioral excess Bundesgesundheitsblatt
Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 53(4) 289-294
Muradoglu G amp Harvey N (2012) Behavioural finance the role of psychological
factors in financial decisions Review of Behavioural Finance 4(2) 68-80
Myers I B amp McCaulley M H (1985) Manual A guide to the development and use of
the Myer-Briggs Type Indicator Palo Alto CA Consulting Psychologists Press
Newman J M Gerhart B amp Milkovich G T (2017) Compensation (12th ed) New
York McGraw-Hill
Nicholson N Soane E Fenton‐OCreevy M amp Willman P (2005) Personality and
domain‐specific risk taking Journal of Risk Research 8(2) 157-176
Nkundabanyanga S K Omagor C Mpamizo B amp Ntayi J M (2011) The love of
money pressure to perform and unethical marketing behavior in the cosmetic
industry in Uganda International Journal of Marketing Studies 3 (4) 40-49
Nnedum O A U Egwu E U Obinna E J Ntomchukwu M S amp Chukwukeluo C
B (2011) Materialism and meaning of money (MOM) Validation of Money
Metaphor Scale (MMS) in South Africa International Research Journal of
Finance amp Economics 76 31ndash46
Nofsinger J (2005) The Psychology of Investing 2nd ed Prentice Hall NJ
References
187
Noller P Law H amp Comrey A L (1987) Cattell Comrey and Eysenck personality
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and Social Psychology 53 775-782
Norden L (2010) Individual home bias portfolio churning and performance The
European Journal of Finance 16(4) 329-351
Norman W T (1963) Toward an adequate taxonomy of personality attributes Replicated
factor structure in peer nomination personality ratings The Journal of Abnormal and
Social Psychology 66(6) 574
Nosic A amp Weber M (2010) How riskily do I invest The role of risk attitudes risk
perceptions and overconfidence Decision Analysis 7 282-301
OrsquoDonoghue T amp Rabin M (1998) Procrastination in preparing for retirement in
Aaron H (Ed) Behavioral Dimensions of Retirement Economics The Brookings
Institution and Russell Sage Foundation Washington DC 125-56
Odean T (1998) Are investors reluctant to realize their losses The Journal of Finance
53(5) 1775-1798
Odean T (1999) Do investors trade too muchrdquo The American Economic Review 89(5)
1279-1299
Oehler A amp Wedlich F (2018) The relationship of extraversion and neuroticism with
risk attitude risk perception and return expectations Journal of Neuroscience
Psychology and Economics 11(2) 63
Oehler A Wendt S Wedlich F amp Horn M (2018) Investors personality influences
investment decisions Experimental evidence on extraversion and neuroticism
Journal of Behavioral Finance 19(1) 30-48
Samra Chaudary
188
Oezgen O amp Bayoğlu A S (2005) Turkish college studentsrsquo attitudes towards money
International Journal of Consumer Studies 29(6) 493-501
Olsen R A (1997) Desirability bias among professional investment managers Some
evidence from experts Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 10(1) 65-72
Olsen R A amp Cox C M (2001) The influence of gender on the perception and response
to investment risk The case of professional investors The Journal of Psychology
and Financial Markets 2(1) 29-36
Oshio A Taku K Hirano M amp Saeed G (2018) Resilience and Big-Five personality
traits A meta-analysis Personality and Individual Differences 127 54-60
Pagano M (1993) Financial markets and growth an overview European Economic
Review 37(2-3) 613-622
Pak O amp Mahmood M (2015) Impact of personality on risk tolerance and investment
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Commerce and Management 25(4) 370-384
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (2017) Population Census Retrieved from
httpwwwpbsgovpkcontentpopulation-census
Pan C H amp Statman M (2013) Investor personality in investor questionnaires The
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Paramati S R Ummalla M amp Apergis N (2016) The effect of foreign direct
investment and stock market growth on clean energy use across a panel of emerging
market economies Energy Economics 56 29-41
Payne B K Brown-Iannuzzi J L amp Hannay J W (2017) Economic inequality
increases risk taking Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114(18)
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Pennings J M Candel M J amp Egelkraut T M (2003) A behavioral decision-making
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4(2) 71-84
Phillips J M amp Gully S M (2013) Organizational Behavior Tools for success (2nd
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Pompian M M (2012) Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management 2nd ed John
Wiley and Sons Inc NJ
Pompian M M amp Longo J M (2004) A new paradigm for practical application of
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gender to produce better investment outcomes The Journal of Wealth
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Poropat A E (2009) A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and
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Poterba J M (2000) Stock market wealth and consumption Journal of Economic
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Prahalad C K amp Hammond A (2002) Serving the worldrsquos poor profitably Harvard
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Prast H Rossi M Torricelli C amp Sansone D (2015) Do women prefer pink The
effect of a gender stereotypical stock portfolio on investing decisions Politica
Economica 31(3) 377-420
Samra Chaudary
190
Preacher K amp Hayes A (2008) Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and
comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models Behavior Research
Methods 40(3) 879ndash891
Prinz S Gruumlnder G Hilgers R D Holtemoumlller O amp Vernaleken I (2014) Impact of
personal economic environment and personality factors on individual financial
decision-making Frontiers in Psychology 5 158
Puustinen P Maas P amp Karjaluoto H (2013) Development and validation of the
Perceived Investment Value (PIV) scale Journal of Economic Psychology 36 41-
54
Ratcliffe A amp Taylor K (2015) Who cares about stock market booms and busts
Evidence from data on mental health Oxford Economic Papers-New Series 67 (3)
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Raubenheimer J (2004) An item selection procedure to maximize scale reliability and
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Raut R K Das N amp Kumar R (2018) Extending the Theory of Planned Behavior
Impact of Past Behavioral Biases on the Investment Decision of Indian Investors
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Reinartz W Haenlein M amp Henseler J (2009) An empirical comparison of the efficacy
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Riepe M W (2013) Musings on behavioral finance Journal of Financial Planning
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Riff S amp Yagil Y (2016) Behavioral Factors Affecting the Home Bias Phenomenon
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Ringle C M Sarstedt M amp Straub D (2012) A critical look at the use of PLS-SEM in
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Ringle C M Wende S amp Becker J M (2015) SmartPLS 30 (version 323)
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Roll R (1983) Vas ist das The turn-of-the-year effect and the return premia of small
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Rose G M amp Orr L M (2007) Measuring and exploring symbolic money meaning
Psychology amp Marketing 24(9) 743ndash761
Rosler M Retz W Retz-Junginger P Thome J Supprian T Nissen T amp Trott G
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Rubenstein C (1981) Money and self-esteem relationships secrecy envy satisfaction
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192
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Rynes S L amp Gerhart B (2000) Compensation in organizations Current research and
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Sahi S K Arora A P amp Dhameja N (2013) An exploratory inquiry into the
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Salgado J F (1997) The five-factor model of personality and job performance in the
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Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2009) Testing a model of behavioral intentions in the
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sectors Journal of Business Ethics 87(4) 495-517
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2012) Work-related behavioral intentions in
Macedonia Coping strategies work environment love of money job satisfaction
and demographic variables Journal of Business Ethics 108(3) 373-391
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2015) Monetary intelligence Money attitudes-
unethical intentions intrinsic and extrinsic job satisfaction and coping strategies
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93ndash115
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Satchell L P Bacon A M Firth J L amp Corr P J (2018) Risk as reward
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Saucier G amp Goldberg L R (1996) The language of personality Lexical perspectives
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Saunders M Lewis P amp Thornhill A (2007) Research methods Business Students 6th
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Scandura T A (2016) Essentials of organizational behavior An evidence-based
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Schumacker R E amp Lomax R G (1996) A beginnerrsquos guide to structural equation
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Schwartz H (2010) Heuristics or rules of thumb In J Nofsinger amp K Baker (Eds)
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Seasholes M S amp Zhu N (2010) Individual investors and local bias The Journal of
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httpswwwsecpgovpkwp-contentuploads201607July-19-2016-SECP-
determined-to-ensure-investor-protection-and-to-end-market-abusepdf
Seiler M J Seiler V L Harrison D M amp Lane M A (2013) Familiarity bias and
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24
Samra Chaudary
194
Seiler M Seiler V Traub S amp Harrison D (2008) Familiarity bias and the status quo
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Sekścińska K Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J amp Maison D (2018) Individual
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Individual Differences 120 118-126
Shachat J amp Zhang Z (2017) The Hayek Hypothesis and Long‐run Competitive
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Shariff M Z Al-Khasawneh J amp ElSharif A (2012) Future of Neurofinance and
Behavioral Finance in Class Room International Journal of Finance 24(2) 7200-
7207
Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices a theory of market equilibrium under the condition
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Shawahna R Fahed B Qadri D Sharawi L Soroghli M amp Dweik M (2017)
Awareness and knowledge of autism spectrum disorders among pharmacists a
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Developmental Disorders 47(6) 1618-1627
Shefrin H amp Statman M (1985) The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers
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Shih T Y amp Ke S C (2014) Determinates of financial behavior insights into consumer
money attitudes and financial literacy Service Business 8(2) 217-238
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Economic Perspectives 17(1) 83-104
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Economic Perspectives 4(2) 19-33
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studies new procedures and recommendations Psychological Methods 7(4) 422ndash
445
Simon H A (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice The Quarterly Journal of
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Singh R (2010) Behavioral Finance Studies Emergence and Developments Journal of
Contemporary Management Research 4(2) 1-9
Singhapakdi A Vitell S J Lee D J Nisius A M amp Grace B Y (2013) The
influence of love of money and religiosity on ethical decision-making in marketing
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Sizemore C (2012 November 20) Investing lessons Avoiding the Peter Lynch Bias
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httpwwwforbescomsitesmoneybuilder20121120investing-lessons-
avoiding-the-peter-lynch-bias
Sloan A (2002) The Jurys In Greed Isnt Good Newsweek 139(25) 37-37
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Smith A (17761937) An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations New
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Statman M Thorley S amp Vorkink K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading
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Strong N amp Xu X (2003) Understanding the equity home bias Evidence from survey
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Sutcliffe K M (1994) What executives notice accurate perceptions in top management
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Szyszka A Zielonka P (2007) The Disposition Effect Demonstrated on IPO Trading
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Takahashi H amp Terano T (2003) Agent-based approach to investorrsquos behavior and asset
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Tang T L P (1992) The Meaning of money revisited Journal of Organizational
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Tang T L P (1993) The meaning of money Extension and exploration of the money
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Tang T L P (1995) The development of a short Money Ethic Scale Attitudes toward
money and pay satisfaction revisited Personality and Individual Differences
19(6) 809ndash817
Tang T L P (2007) lsquoIncome and Quality of Life Does the Love of Money Make a
Differencersquo Journal of Business Ethics 72(4) 375ndash393
Tang T L P (2016) Theory of monetary intelligence Money attitudesmdashreligious values
making money making ethical decisions and making the grade Journal of
Business Ethics 133(3) 583ndash603
Tang T L P amp Chen Y J (2008) Intelligence vs wisdom The love of money
Machiavellianism and unethical behavior across college major and gender Journal
of Business Ethics 82(1) 1ndash26
Tang T L P amp Chiu R K (2003) Income money ethic pay satisfaction commitment
and unethical behavior Is the love of money the root of evil for Hong Kong
Samra Chaudary
198
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Tang T L P amp Gilbert P R (1995) Attitudes toward money as related to intrinsic and
extrinsic job satisfaction stress and work-related attitudes Personality and
Individual Differences 19(3) 327-332
Tang T L P amp Sutarso T (2013) Falling or not falling into temptation Multiple faces
of temptation monetary intelligence and unethical intentions across gender
Journal of Business Ethics 116(3) 529ndash552
Tang T L P Chen Y J amp Sutarso T (2008a) Bad apples in bad (business) barrels
The love of money Machiavellianism risk tolerance and unethical behavior
Management Decision 46(2) 243-263
Tang T L P Kim J K amp Shin-Hsiung Tang D (2000) Does Attitude Toward Money
Moderate the Relationship Between Intrinsic Job Satisfaction and Voluntary
Turnover Human Relations 53(2) 213ndash245
Tang T L P Luna-Arocas R amp Sutarso T (2005) lsquoFrom Income to Pay Satisfaction
The Love of Money and Pay Equity Comparison as Mediators and Culture (the US
and Spain) and Gender as Moderators Management Research The Journal of the
Iberoamerican Academy of Management 3(1) 7ndash26
Tang T L P Sutarso T Akande A Allen M W Alzubaidi A S Ansari M A et
al (2006) The love of money and pay level satisfaction Measurement and
functional equivalence in 29 geographical entities around the world Management
and Organization Review 2(3) 423ndash452
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicia F
amp Vlerick P (2018b) Monetary intelligence and behavioral economics across
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32 cultures Good apples enjoy good quality of life in good barrels Journal of
Business Ethics 148(4) 893-917
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicai F
Garber I Vlerick P et al (2011) The love of money is the root of all evil Pay
satisfaction and CPI as moderators In Leslie A Toombs (Ed) Best Paper
Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management DOI
105465AMBPP201165869480
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K Teo T S Arias-Galicia F amp
Vlerick P (2018c) Monetary Intelligence and Behavioral Economics The Enron
Effect-Love of money corporate ethical values Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI) and dishonesty across 31 geopolitical entities Journal of Business Ethics
148(4) 919-937
Tang T L P Sutarso T Davis G M T Dolinski D Ibrahim A H S amp Wagner S
L (2008b) To help or not to help The Good Samaritan Effect and the love of
money on helping behavior Journal of Business Ethics 82(4) 865ndash887
Tang T L P T Sutarso A Akande M W Allen A S Alzubaidi M A Ansari F
Arias-Galicai M G Borg L Canova B Charles-Pauvers B S Cheng R K Chiu
L Z Du I Garber C Garcia de la Torre R C Higgs A H S Ibrahim C K Jen
A M Kazem K Kim V K G Lim R Luna-Arocas E Malovics A M
Manganelli A Moreira A U O Nnedum J E Osagie A Osman-Gani F C
Pereira R Pholsward H D Pitariu M Polic E Sardzoska P Skobic A F
Stembridge T L N Tang T S H Teo M Tombolani M Trontelj C Urbain and
P Vlerick 2007 August 3ndash8 Doing Well by Doing Good Does Economic
Samra Chaudary
200
Development Make a Difference Paper presented at the Academy of Management
Annual Meetings Philadelphia PA
Tang T L P Tillery K R Lazarevski B amp Luna-Arocas R (2004) The love of money
and work-related attitudes Money profiles in Macedonia Journal of Managerial
Psychology 19(5) 542-548
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Iqbal A (2016) Information sources and trading behavior
does investor personality matter Qualitative Research in Financial Markets 8(2)
94-117
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Yousaf S (2015) The influence of Investor personality traits
on information acquisition and trading behavior Evidence from Chinese futures
exchange Personality and Individual Differences 87 248-255
Tekce B Yılmaz N amp Bildik R (2016) What factors affect behavioral biases
Evidence from Turkish individual stock investors Research in International
Business and Finance 37 515-526
Tesar L amp Werner I (1995) Home bias and high turnover Journal of International
Money and Finance 14(4) 467ndash492
Thaler R (1980) Toward a positive theory of consumer choice Journal of Economic
Behavior amp Organization 1(1) 39-60
Thaler R (1999) Mental accounting matters Journal of Behavioral Decision-making
12(3) 183-206
Thaler R H amp Sunstein C R (2008) Nudge improving decisions about health wealth
and happiness New Haven CT Yale University Press
Tigges P Riegert A Jonitz L Brengelmann J amp Engel R R (2000) Risk behavior
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Psychology and Financial Markets 1(2) 127ndash134
Tomek I Striacuteteskyacute V amp Tahal R (2013) Segmentation of Czech Consumers Based on
the Attitudes Towards Money Central European Business Review 2(2) 19
Trapmann S Hell B Hirn J O W amp Schuler H (2007) Meta-analysis of the
relationship between the Big-Five and academic success at university Zeitschrift
fuumlr PsychologieJournal of Psychology 215(2) 132-151
Tripathi M amp Chattopadhyay T (2013) Study of Behavioral Dimensions of Perceived
Risk of Investment of Financial Experts and Laymen in Equity Mutual Funds in
India Journal of Commerce amp Accounting Research 2(4)10-27
Tung R L amp Baumann C (2009) Comparing the attitudes toward money material
possessions and savings of overseas Chinese vis-agrave-vis Chinese in China
convergence divergence or cross-vergence vis-agrave-vis lsquoone size fits allrsquohuman
resource management policies and practices The International Journal of Human
Resource Management 20(11) 2382-2401
Tupes E C amp Christal R E (1961) Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings
(ASD-TR-61-97) Lackland Air Force Base TX Aeronautical System Division
Personnel Laboratory
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1986) Rational choice and the framing of the decision
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Tversky A and Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory cumulative
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Samra Chaudary
202
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Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1981) The framing of decisions and the psychology of
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httpeconpapersrepecorgpaperusetkiwps0828htm
Velicer W F amp Fava J L (1998) Affects of variable and subject sampling on factor
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Vohs K D (2015) Money priming can change peoplersquos thoughts feelings motivation
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References
203
Psychology-General 144(4) 86ndash93
Vohs K D Mead N C amp Goode M R (2006) The psychological consequences of
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Von Thadden E L (1995) Long-term contracts short-term investment and monitoring
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Wang C M Xu B B Zhang S J amp Chen Y Q (2016) Influence of personality and
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Wang X L Shi K amp Fan H X (2006) Psychological mechanisms of investors in
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httpsssrncomabstract=2987949
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Samra Chaudary
204
Camerer E Fehr amp R Poldrack (Eds) Neuroeconomics Decision-making and
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Weber E U amp Milliman R A (1997) Perceived risk attitudes Relating risk perception
to risky choice Management Science 43(2) 123-144
Weber E U Blais A R amp Betz N E (2002) A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale
Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors Journal of Behavioral Decision-
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Weber E U Siebenmorgen N amp Weber M (2005) Communicating asset risk how
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25(3) 597-609
Weber M Weber E U amp Nosić A (2013) Who takes risks when and why
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Finance 54(2) 581-622
Wernimont PF amp Fitzpatrick S (1972) The meaning of money Journal of Applied
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Wong H M (2008) Religiousness love of money and ethical attitudes of Malaysian
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Wood R E Goodman J S Beckmann N amp Cook A (2008) Mediation testing in
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Wood R amp Zaichkowsky J L (2004) Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market
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Woolley P (2013) Resilience and the Long-term Rethinking Portfolios for Prosperity
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Xu H amp Tracey T J (2017) Use of Multi-Group Confirmatory Factor Analysis in
Examining Measurement Invariance in Counseling Psychology Research The
European Journal of Counselling Psychology 6(1) 75-82
Yalcin K C Tatoglu E amp Zaim S (2016) Developing an instrument for measuring the
effects of heuristics on investment decisions Kybernetes 45(7) 1052-1071
Yamauchi K T amp Templer D I (1982) The development of a money attitude scale
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Samra Chaudary
206
Zakaria R H Jaafar N I M amp Marican S (2012) Financial behavior and financial
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Zeisberger S (2018) What is risk how investors perceive risk in return distributions
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=2811636
Zhang L Q (2009) An exchange theory of money and self-esteem in decision-
making Review of General Psychology 13(1) 66-76
Zhao H Seibert S E amp Lumpkin G T (2010b) The relationship of personality to
entrepreneurial intentions and performance A meta-analytic review Journal of
Management 36(2) 381ndash404-
Zhao X Lynch Jr J G amp Chen Q (2010a) Reconsidering Baron and Kenny Myths
and truths about mediation analysis Journal of Consumer Research 37(2) 197-
206
Zhao H amp Seibert S (2006) The Big-Five personality dimensions and entrepreneurial
status A meta-analytical review Journal of Applied Psychology 91(2) 259-271
Appendix
207
Appendices
Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Personality and
Decision-making
Heinstrom 2003
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Mayfield et al
2008 Lim at al
2013 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Oehler et al 2018
Heinstrom 2003
Van Witteloostuijin
amp Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006ab
Bateman et al
2010 Weber et al
2013 Hoffman et
al 2015 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Verma 2008 Riaz
amp Hunjra 2016
Tauni et al
20152016 Yang et
al 2012 Wang et
al 2006 Personality and
Investment
Decisions
Oehler et al 2018
Mayfield et al
2008 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Hershey amp Mowen
2000 Hunter amp
Kemp 2004 van
Witteloostuijin amp
Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
2013 Tauni et al
2015 2016 Yang
et al 2012
Brandstatter 2011
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
Mayfield et al
2008
Personality and
Risk Taking
Behavior
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Weber et al 2002
Filbeck et al 2005
Mayfield et al
2008 Brandstatter
2011 Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Risk Taking and
Decision-making
Riaz amp Hunjra
2016
MacCrimmon amp
Wehrung 1990
Samra Chaudary
208
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a b
Nosic amp Weber
2010 Bateman et
al 2010 Weber et
al 2013 Hoffman
et al 2015 Lim at
al 2013 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002 Wang
et al 2006
Loewenstein et al
2001 Weber amp
Johnson 2008
Big-Five
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Big-Five
Personality Risk
Perception Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Appendix
209
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Heuristics and
Decision-making
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1974
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
De Bondt 1998 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Shefrin amp
Statman 1985
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
Lakonishok et al
1994 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998
Odean 1998 1999
Thaler 1999 Jain
amp Wu 2000
Hirshleifer 2001
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Grinblatt amp Han
2005 Nofsinger
2005 Mishra
2014 Yalcin et al
2016 Ahearne et
al 2004 Wang et
al 2011 Lewis
1999 Barberis amp
Xiong 2009
Wermers 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Statman et
al 2006 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Furnham amp Boo
2011 Glaser et al
2007 Thaler amp
Sunstein 2008
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
De Bondt 1998
Jain amp Wu 2000
Wang et al 2011
Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Lakonishok et al
1994 Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Chan et al 2005
Ahearne et al
2004 Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Kang amp
Stulz 1997 Odean
1998 1999 Lewis
1999 Wermers
1999 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Statman et al
2006 Glaser et al
2007 Wang et al
2011 Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Yalcin et al 2016
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 De Vries et
al 2017 Chan et
al 2005 Olsen
1997 Metawa et
al 2019
Samra Chaudary
210
Salience and
Investment
Decisions
Yalcin et al 2016
Huberman 2001
Tverskyamp
Kahneman 1973
Merton 1987
Heath amp Tversky
1991 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Sirri amp Tufano
1998 Jain amp Wu
2000 Barber et al
2005 Nofsinger
2005Wang et al
2011 Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 Antoniou et
al 2010 Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014
Chan et al 2005
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Sizemore 2012
Giannetti amp
Koskinen 2010
Kumar amp
Goetzmann 2003
De Vries et al
2017 Chan et al
2005 Weber et al
2005
Institutional
Investors and
Salience
Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Strong amp Xu 2003
Chan et al 2005
Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Goldstein amp
Gigerenzer 2002
Forbes et al 2015
Individual
Investors and
Salience
Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba
1991
Baker et al 2017
De Vries et al
2017 Tesar amp
Werner 1995
Appendix
211
Ahearne et al
2004 Kang amp
Stulz 1997
Seasholes amp Zhu
2010 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Cooper amp Kaplanis
1994
Gender and
Salience
Anderson et al
2011 Alrabadi et
al 2018 Ang et
al 2014 Cao et al
2009 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Karlsson amp Norden
2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018
Prast et al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Tekce et al 2016
Wang et al 2011
Anderson et al
2011 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018 Prast et
al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Wang et al 2011
Alrabadi et al
2018 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Tekce et al 2016
Salience Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Salience
Institutional
Investors
Individual
Investors Gender
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
212
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Attitudes and
Decision-making
Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013
Akhtar amp Das
2019
Lim amp Teo 1997
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al
2006 Vitell et al
2007 Tang et al
2008 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Klontz
amp Britt 2012
Gentina et al 2018
Hampson et al
2018 Tang amp Chiu
2003 Medina et al
1996 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Tang et al
2006 Li et al
2009 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Jia
et al 2013
Sardzoska ampTang
2012 Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013 Shih
amp Ke 2014 Tang
et al 2018a
Akhtar amp Das 2019
Money Attitudes
and Decision-
making
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Vitell et al 2007
Tang et al
2008ab Tang amp
Chen 2008 Li et
al 2009 Klontz amp
Britt 2012 Shih amp
Ke 2014 Tang
2016 Britt 2016
Tang et al 2018a
Greenberg amp
Hershfield 2019
Money Attitudes
and Investment
Decisions
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Jia et al
2013 Shih amp Ke
2014 Tang et al
2018a
Demographics and
Money Attitudes
Lim amp Teo 1997
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011
Hampson et al
2018 Gentina et al
2018 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Medina et al 1996
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Tang et al 2006
Tang et al
2008ab Sardzoska
ampTang 2012
Demographics and
Investment
Decision
Warneryd 2001
Haisley et al 2008
Greenberg amp
Appendix
213
Hershfield 2019
Cicchetti amp Dubin
1994 Grable et al
2004 Hlouskova et
al 2017
Greenberg 2013
Embrey and Fox
1997
Money Attitudes
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Money Attitudes
Income
Inheritance Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
214
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 1 Aba Ali Securities- Karachi
2 Alfalah Investments- Karachi
3 Allied Bank Limited (ABL)- Asset Management Company- Lahore
4 Arif Habib- Karachi
5 Bank Islami Pakistan Limited Securities (BIPL)- Karachi
6 Central Depository Company (CDC) - Karachi
7 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
8 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
9 Foundation Securities- Karachi
10 IGI Insurance- Lahore
11 Insight Securities- Karachi
12 JS Global Capital- Karachi
13 JS Global Capital- Lahore
14 Meezan - Asset Management Company-Lahore
15 Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) - Asset Management Company
16 NBP Fullerton Asset Management Limited (NAFA)- Lahore
17 Pakistan Stock Exchange- Lahore
18 Pakistan Stock Exchange-Karachi
19 Shajar Capital- Karachi
20 Silk - Asset Management Company- Lahore
21 Topline Securities- Karachi
22 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Karachi
23 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Lahore
Appendix
215
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation)
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision
Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
216
Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and short-term investment decision
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision
Appendix
217
Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision
Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
218
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision
Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and long-term investment decision
Appendix
219
Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision
Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
220
Appendix VI Questionnaire
This questionnaire is aimed at collecting data for PhD thesis in Business Administration
Please fill the questionnaire to the best of your knowledge The information taken is purely
for research purpose and will be kept confidential Thank you for taking the time to assist
me in my educational endeavours
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
Short-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
1-I intend to put at least half of my
investment money into the stock market
1 2 3 4 5
2-I intend to engage in portfolio
management activities at least twice per
week
1 2 3 4 5
3-I intend to perform my own investment
research instead of using outside advice
1 2 3 4 5
4-I intend to compare my portfolio
performance to that of professional
managers
1 2 3 4 5
Long-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
5-I intend to save at least 10 of my
gross earnings for investing saving
retirement purposes
1 2 3 4 5
6-I intend to have a portfolio that focuses
on multiple asset classes (ie shares
bonds cash real estate etc)
1 2 3 4 5
7-I intend to take an investments course 1 2 3 4 5
8-I intend to manage my portfolio for
maximum gross return rather than tax
and cost efficiency
1 2 3 4 5
9-I intend to invest some money in long-
term assets where my money will be tied
up and inaccessible for years
1 2 3 4 5
Neuroticism
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
10-I often feel inferior to others 1 2 3 4 5
11-When Im under a great deal of stress
sometimes I feel like Im going to pieces
1 2 3 4 5
12-I often feel tense and jittery 1 2 3 4 5
13-Sometimes I feel completely
worthless
1 2 3 4 5
14-Too often when things go wrong I
get discouraged and feel like giving up
1 2 3 4 5
Appendix
221
Extraversion
(Costa ampMcCrae 1992)
15-I really enjoy talking to people 1 2 3 4 5
16-I am a cheerful high-spirited person 1 2 3 4 5
17-I am a very active person 1 2 3 4 5
Openness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
18-I am intrigued by the patterns I find in
art and nature
1 2 3 4 5
19-I often try new and foreign foods 1 2 3 4 5
20-I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 1 2 3 4 5
21-I often enjoy playing with theories or
abstract ideas
1 2 3 4 5
Agreeableness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
22-I often get into arguments with my
family and co-workers
1 2 3 4 5
23-Some people think Im selfish and
egotistical
1 2 3 4 5
24-Some people think of me as cold and
calculating
1 2 3 4 5
Conscientiousness
(CostaampMcCrae1992)
25-I keep my belongings neat and clean 1 2 3 4 5
26-I am pretty good about pacing myself
so as to get things done on time
1 2 3 4 5
27-I waste a lot of time before settling
down to work
1 2 3 4 5
Salience
(Yalcin et al 2016)
28-Expert opinions in written and visual
media should be taken into consideration
when investing
1 2 3 4 5
29-A companyrsquos share which is often in
the media with favorable news coverage
should be preferred when investing
1 2 3 4 5
30-To invest in companies that have a
good brand name is important to me
1 2 3 4 5
31-It is risky to invest in relatively
unknown public companies rather than
known ones
1 2 3 4 5
32-I believe that investors should
purchase the share of the company they
work for if it is well run
1 2 3 4 5
Achievement
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
33-I believe that the amount of money
that a person earns is closely related to
hisher ability and effort
1 2 3 4 5
34-Money represents ones achievement 1 2 3 4 5
35-Money is a symbol of success 1 2 3 4 5
36-I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence
1 2 3 4 5
Power
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
37-Money can give you the opportunity
to be what you want to be
1 2 3 4 5
38-Money gives you autonomy or
freedom
1 2 3 4 5
Samra Chaudary
222
39-Money means power 1 2 3 4 5
40-Money will help you express your
competence and abilities
1 2 3 4 5
41-Money can bring you many friends 1 2 3 4 5
Obsession
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
42-I firmly believe that money can solve
all of my problems
1 2 3 4 5
43-Money can buy everything 1 2 3 4 5
44-I would do practically anything legal
for money if it were enough
1 2 3 4 5
45-I often fantasize about money and
what I could do with it
1 2 3 4 5
Budget
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
46-I am proud of my ability to save
money
1 2 3 4 5
47-I feel compelled to argue or bargain
about the cost of almost everything that I
buy
1 2 3 4 5
Indicate your gut level assessment of how risky each situation is on a five-point rating
scale
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all risky Slightly
Risky
Moderately
Risky
Relatively more
Risky
Very Risky
Risk Perception
(Weber et al 2002)
48-Investing 10 of your annual income
in a moderate growth mutual fund
1 2 3 4 5
49-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a very speculative shares
1 2 3 4 5
50-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a conservative shares
1 2 3 4 5
1-How long have you been investing in the stock market hellipyears andhellipmonths
2-Whats your role in the management of wealth (check only one option)
1048713 I manage my own wealth only 1048713 I manage peoplersquos wealth
3-Do you expect to receive inheritancetransfer of assets from your family
1048713 Yes 1048713 No
4-What is your amount invested in the stockshares portfolio PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
5-How would you rate your religiosity
1048713 Very liberal 1048713Moderately religious 1048713Very religious
6-What is your age helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip years
Appendix
223
7-What is your monthly income PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
8-Please circle the highest number of years of school completed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23+
9-Gender 1048713 Male 1048713 Female
Thank you for your help
iv
THE IMPACT OF PERSONALITY SALIENCE AND LOVE OF MONEY ON
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
|
by
|
Samra Chaudary
|
Submitted to the Department of Business Administration
on October 25th 2019 in Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy
in Business Administration
|
Abstract |
This dissertation investigates the impact of Personality Salience and Love of Money
(LoM) on an investorrsquos short-term investment decision (ST-D) and long-term investment
decisions (LT-D) The research of this dissertation falls under the discipline of behavioral
finance and uses Prospect Theory as a theoretical lens A succession of three papers
(models) was written on this theme The first paper has explored the impact of five types
of personality traits on ST-D and LT-D Moreover risk perception has been tested as a
mediator between each personality type and investment decisions The second paper
tested the effect of salience on ST-D and LT-D and it was also tested if the impact of
salience on ST-D and LT-D differed between individual investors and professional
investors Moreover it was also investigated whether the impact of salience on ST-D and
LT-D differed between female investors and male investors The third paper focused on
the effect of LoM on ST-D and LT-D and whether current income and future inheritance
moderated the relationship between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The data were
collected by 277 individual and professional equity investors investing in Pakistan Stock
Exchange (PSX) The findings of the first paper were that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities showed a significant relationship with ST-D
v
However investors with openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits
showed an effect on LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and LT-
D only The results of the second paper found that salience has a significant positive
impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and professional
investors were found significantly different from each other Furthermore the parametric
tests of difference between the two groups also showed that path coefficients of female
investors were significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for
ST-D and LT-D The third paper found that LoM showed a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore income moderated
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance moderated the relationship
between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The findings of this research have implications
for psychologists economists and finance executives The findings will facilitate money
managers to cultivate a deeper understanding of their clientsrsquo behavior for ST-D and LT-
D Thus it is important that financial advisors include this behavioral aspect in their risk
models to improve the investment plans and decisions for their clients The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of
finance especially to the literature on personality risk perception salience and LoM
used by investors while making investment decisions
Keywords personality type risk perception salience love of money short-term
investment decision long- term investment decision
Thesis supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar
Supervisorrsquos Title Professor
vi
Acknowledgments |
|
There are myriad individuals to acknowledge individually everyone who aided
me during this research and from whom I have learned considerably A special thanks
to Dr Shahid Amjad Chaudhry who by providing me with the opportunity to teach set
in motion my enrolment into the PhD program I would like to express my most sincere
gratitude to my supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar for his continuous encouragement and
patient guidance I also want to recognize my committee members Dr Syeda Rabab
Mudakkar and Dr Aamir Khan for providing direction and productive critiques to my
research I thank my teachers and everyone who voluntarily bore with me throughout the
process of my primary research
I also want to acknowledge collectively the colleagues with whom I worked with
the Lahore School of Economics for the last 8 years Contrary to the usual stereotypes
rather than competition the support by my peers who were on the same journey was
unequivocally sincere I am grateful to my best friend Qurat ul Ain for her consistent
support throughout this challenging process and to my uncle Amjad Bhatti who
encouraged me to enroll in the PhD program
Last but not least I thank all of my family including all my siblings Sadia Sidra
Zeenat Huma M Ali M Umar and especially my father Abdul Qadir for the
unconditional support and encouragement to pursue my interests and follow my dreams
I dedicate this work in the loving memory of my deceased mother Shamshad Akhter for
her wise thoughtful and motivational nurturing that kindled passion in me to accomplish
this milestone
vii
Table of Contents
Contents Abstract iv Acknowledgments vi Table of Contents vii List of Tables x
List of Figures xi 1 Introduction 1
11 Introduction 1
12 Research Context 9
13 Research Objectives and Questions 10
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions 13
15 Organization of the Study 17
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk Perception on Investment
Decisions 19 Abstract 19
21 Introduction 20
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development 24
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979) 24
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991) 26
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001) 27
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies 28
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions 32
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions 35
23 Data and Methodology 41
231 Measures 41
232 Methods 41
24 Results 46
241 Measurement Model 46
242 Structural Model 49
25 Discussion and Implications 56
26 Conclusion and Future Research 62
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions Differences Between
Individual Investors and Professional Investors 65 Abstract 65
31 Introduction 66
viii
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development 68
321 Prospect Theory 68
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions 69
323 Salience and Investment Decision 70
324 Institutional Investors and Salience 74
325 Individual Investors and Salience 75
326 Gender and Salience 77
33 Data and Methodology 81
331 Measures 81
332 Methods 81
34 Results 84
341 Measurement Model 84
342 Structural Model 87
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment 89
344 Multi-group Analysis 92
35 Discussion and Implications 95
36 Conclusion and Future Research 100
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions Interaction of Income and
Inheritance 102
Abstract 102
41 Introduction 103
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development 107
421 Prospect Theory 107
422 Theory of Planned Behavior 108
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory 109
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions 109
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money 113
43 Data and Methodology 118
431 Measures 118
432 Methods 119
44 Results 122
441 Measurement Model 122
442 Structural Model 126
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance 128
45 Discussion and Implications 134
ix
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction 140
5 Conclusion 142 51 Introduction 142
52 Key Findings 143
53 Theoretical Implications 145
54 Practical Implications 148
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions 151
References 154
Appendices 207 Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 207
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 209
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 212
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 214
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation) 215
Appendix VI Questionnaire 220
x
List of Tables
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies 30 Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models 32 Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits 33 Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 46 Table 25 Results of Measurement Model 48
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 49 Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 49 Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D 52 Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception 55
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 84 Table 32 Results of Measurement Model 86
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 86 Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 86 Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D 88
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and
Professional Investors 91
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male
Investors 91 Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93 Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females 94
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females 94
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 122
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model 125 Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs 126
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 126 Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 126 Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D 128 Table 47 Moderation Results 131
xi
List of Figures
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) 7 Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception 10 Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and
long-term investment decisions 80 Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term
and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect
to receive the future inheritance 118 Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132 Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision 133 Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision 133
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and short-term investment decision 216
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision 216 Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision 217 Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision 217
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision 219 Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision 219
Introduction
1
1 Introduction
11 Introduction
Onersquos life is full of risky decisions from ordinary routine matters of daily life to matters
of life or death Individuals persistently face circumstances that require them to decide
between actions that differ in the level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Individual investors
and money managers are often confronted with risky decision-making choices as they are
expected to make decisions by taking into account the perceived levels of risk (Epstein
1994) An individualrsquos financial decision-making is a key factor for hisher long-term
financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017 Tang et al 2018a) Therefore it is important
to understand which factors influenced investorsrsquo financial decisions (Keller amp Siegrist
2006b) Decisions are a function of many constraints such as task structure the decision
makers cognitive representation of the task and the decision makers information
processing capabilities The process of decision-making has been investigated by many
disciplines eg economics statistics psychology philosophy and management science
Psychologists seemed to believe that they can best contribute to decision research by
exposing the psychological processes underlying judgment and choice They have tried to
place behavioral decision theory within a broader psychological context and have focused
on the significance of memory cognition conflict learning and feedback as relevant
factors that affect decision-making (Einhorn amp Hogarth 1981)
Individuals make investment decisions to save earnings for retirement (Clark-Murphy
amp Soutar 2004 Dreman Johnson MacGregor amp Slovic 2001) education expenses and
health care expenditures (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Another reason for an
investment decision is the individualrsquos desire for making profits and increasing their capital
Samra Chaudary
2
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Moreover 1) deregulations of financial services 2) social
security cuts and 3) tough economic conditions are also likely reasons for individuals to
invest (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) In this era of concern for retirement savings
employees try to understand how much to save where to invest and how to make lump-
sum payouts (McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) Consequently individuals all over the world
are facing more complex investment decisions than in the past (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Shih amp Ke 2014)
The development of asset markets has offered more varied opportunities to invest in
several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) These financial instruments have different
time horizons ie short and long The attractiveness of an investment strategy is
significantly determined by the investment horizon (Dierkes Erner amp Zeisberger 2010)
Attitudes towards investment horizon may vary across individuals and may depend on
different behavioral factors (Warren 2014) Some of those are investigated in this
dissertation According to Pennings Candel amp Egelkraut (2003) financial institutions
need new knowledge in order to develop new financial products or to improve the existing
ones Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice
process of the client is crucial for investors themselves as well as for financial institutions
involved in developing financial instruments for investors
An Individualrsquos decisions to invest in a firmrsquos securities are not merely driven by the
fundamentals of a firm (De Vries Erasmus amp Gerber 2017) but are prominently
influenced by psychological and behavioral factors related to investors such as personality
emotions (Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007 Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 Kahneman 2012 Tauni
Fang amp Iqbal 2016) attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b) desire for
Introduction
3
immediate gratification (Warren 2016) locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward
saving (Euwals Eymann amp Boumlrsch-Supan 2004) risk attitudes (Morse1998 Tigges
Riegert Jonitz Brengelmann amp Engel 2000 Warneryd 2001) overconfidence and
behavioral biases (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Kiyilar amp Acar
2009 Kourtidis Sevic amp Chatzoglou 2011 Pompian 2012) The identification of
investorsrsquo related factors that hinder or stimulate their decision to make investments is of
high relevance (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Overlooking such important factors may have
severe negative effects on investment returns (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) Therefore it is
argued that the behavioral aspect of an investor is relevant in devising effective strategies
by financial planners for their clientsrsquo wealth management
Investors sometimes behave irrationally in some of their investment decisions (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2014 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a) Traditional financial models are unable to explain such irrational but real
behavior of investors (Firat amp Fettahoglou 2011) Behavioral finance models are deemed
more suitable to explain investor behavior that results in market anomalies because rational
models of conventional finance fail to explain such anomalies (Glaser Langer Reynders
amp Weber 2007) Previous studies on peoplersquos investment decisions were based on the
assumptions of modern finance theories (Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952
Modigliani amp Miller 1958) Conventional finance theories assume that investors are
rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain level of risk However conventional
finance theories have been criticized both on the basis of their lack of explanatory power
and the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi ampTerano 2003) Yalcin Tatoglu and
Zaim (2016) have identified two bases of conventional finance theories firstly these
Samra Chaudary
4
theories assume that during the decision-making process humans behave rationally as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) secondly these theories advocate that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect the accurate prices of
securities the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) stated that in an efficient market all the
available information is reflected in the observed current prices of financial assets The
assumptions of a perfect market are that there are no taxes no inflation no information
asymmetry no transaction cost no bankruptcy cost and investors are rational According
to EMH investors make rational decisions in the financial market and it would be
impossible for an investor to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis There
are three forms of EMH which are the weak form the semi-strong form and the strong
form In Weak form prices of financial assets reflect market-level data (price and volume)
In semi-strong form current prices of financial securities reflect market-level data and
publicly available data However in the strong form of EMH prevailing prices of the
securities reflect publicly as well as privately available data Hence as level of information
increases market becomes more efficient (Fama 1970)
However in decision-making investors have to take one course of action among
several uncertain investment alternatives However various studies (Black 1986 De
Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Warneryd 2001) detected so-called ldquoanomaliesrdquo in the returns that
were not explained by the EMH and rational models of portfolio choice Yalcin et al (2016)
have explained that both conventional finance and behavioral finance propose different
interpretations to explain the causes of observable market anomalies The advocates of
conventional finance claim that the anomalies can be explained by chance or by the
Introduction
5
presence of methodological errors In contrast advocates of behavioral finance claim these
anomalies are explainable through behavioral biases (Kliger amp Kudryavtsev 2010 Sahi
Arora amp Dhameja 2013)
The term expected utility was first introduced by Bernoulli (17381954) The
expected utility theory deals with the decision-making under the condition of uncertainty
ie when individuals are unaware of the outcome of the decision Expected utility theory
postulates that investors behaved rationally and tried to maximize their utilities by
evaluating all the investment alternatives and they restrict their feelings and they decide
only by using their brains as a super calculator or as emotionless robots Investors choose
between risky or uncertain prospects by calculating the utility of each decision outcome
multiplied by its probability to arrive at an expected value Friedman and Savage (1952)
had proposed that decision-makers look for maximum utility in all outcomes whereas
utility was generally defined as a degree of happiness satisfaction or contentment
Conventional finance theory was first questioned by Simon (1955) who argued that
individuals have bounded rationality and their actions are constrained by mental and
external restrictions which limit their rationality Slovic Fischhoff and Lichtenstein
(1977) also argued that because of limited information processing ability and not knowing
the guidelines of optimal information processing decision makerrsquos judgment is subject to
systematic biases The idea of limited rationality provided the foundation for the discipline
of behavioral finance as many researchers encountered counter-evidence against the
validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Shleifer amp Summers 1990) These researchers concluded that in real-life decision-making
situations individuals were subject to some cognitive limitations
Samra Chaudary
6
The area of behavioral finance recognizes the importance of human behavioral
biases which plays a significant role in economic decisions made by individuals The field
picked up pace when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed prospect theory and got
further recognition when three Nobel Prizes were awarded to behavioral economists
namely Daniel Kahneman in 2002 Robert Schiller in 2006 and most recently Richard
Thaler in 2017 Prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) laid the foundation for
the discipline of behavioral finance It proposes that investorsrsquo decision-making is based
on the potential value of gains and losses rather than on actual value of gains and losses
This phenomenon occurs due to cognitive biases that affect the judgment about these gains
and losses Prospect theory assumes that the value function is a concave function in the
area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a convex function in the area of loss and thus risk-
taking Additionally the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in the area of
loss than in the area of gain which infers that a loss would have a larger effect (cause more
pain) on the decision-maker than a gain (would cause happiness)
In prospect theory the outcomes are estimated on the basis of the deviance from
the reference point which symbolizes the psychological origin the decision-maker assesses
the outcomes either as a gain or loss Moreover prospect theory suggests that decision-
makers estimate a gain as risk-aversion and a loss as risk-taking Even the identical problem
demonstrates risk-aversion behavior when the alternatives are shown in the area of gain it
also shows risk-taking behavior in the area of loss
According to prospect theory the value function is a concave function (a function
that is concave downward) in the region of gain which is above the reference point and
the function is convex (a function that is convex downward) in the region of loss which is
Introduction
7
below the reference point as shown in figure 11 This shows that the decision-makers show
risk-averse actions in the area of gain and risk-taking actions in the area of a loss
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted a survey among faculty and students in
Israeli American and Swedish universities Subjects were given the following similar
problems as stated in Takemura (2014) To clarify this findings of their results are given
below
Problem 1 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
A a gain of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect A = (4000 080)
B a certain gain of $3000 (Prospect B = (3000 100)
Problem 2 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
C a loss of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect C = (-4000 080)
D a certain loss of $3000 (Prospect D = (-3000 100)
Samra Chaudary
8
For Problem 1 20 of 95 respondents selected A 80 preferred B Regarding Problem
2 92 of 95 respondents preferred C 8 opted for D This pattern of the majority
selection was consistent with the propositions of prospect theory that decision-makers are
risk-averse in the area of gain and risk-takers in the area of loss
The above example can further be clarified that in case of gains a big majority of
respondents (80) showed a preference for definite gains while only 20 of respondents
expressed the preference for probabilistic gains although the probabilistic gains were
higher Therefore they concluded that in case of gains respondents showed risk-averse
behavior Furthermore in the case of losses 92 of respondents chose probabilistic losses
while only 8 chose definite losses though probabilistic losses were higher Therefore
they showed preference for risk-taking which is an irrational behavior
The discipline of behavioral finance links the knowledge of finance and behavioral
decision-making The discipline discusses how investors think feel behave and decide
about their investments The subject also includes the awareness of psychological
processes that determine the decision-makersrsquo choices as well as systematic biases that
investors have and heuristics that investors use when making decisions Behavioral finance
emerged as a new discipline linking behavioral and psychological perspectives in economic
and financial decision-making in the 1980s (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) The field is emerging
within the broader context of economics and finance and has close interaction with both
psychology and sociology (Puustinen Maas amp Karjaluoto 2013 Shiller 2003
Subrahmanyam 2008) Shariff Al-Khasawneh and ElSharif (2012) conducted a survey
on university students in the Persian Gulf countries and found that respondents were not at
all familiar with behavioral finance or neuroscience concepts Riepe (2013) has
Introduction
9
emphasized that the future of behavioral finance is bright Huang Shieh and Kao (2016)
research based on ISI Web of Science (WOS) database searched from 1995 to 2013
covering 124 journals found that research papers in the area of behavioral finance are
increasing making it a significant area of study With the dynamic development of
financial markets more and more researchers are using behavioral finance as their research
paradigm
12 Research Context
Capital markets play an important role in any countryrsquos economic health Respondents
of this study were the active traders in the equity market Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-
100) was founded in 1991 and is the largest and most liquid stock index of Pakistan As of
February 23rd 2018 the market capitalization of PSX-100 was US$ 84 billion with an
average daily trading volume of US$95 billion There were 559 listed companies from 35
sectors From a population of almost 208 million (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2017)
there were only approximately 0248 million investors (including institutional and retail)
who were actively participating in the stock market This was barely 125 percent of the
countryrsquos population Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual) of
the country Karachi has 74 percent investors Lahore has 18 percent and Islamabad has 8
percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Khwaja and Mian (2005) argued
that KSE-100 index depicts the typical attributes of an emerging market such as soaring
returns with extreme volatility low market capitalization but with large trading volumes
and high kurtosis in the returns distribution In 2002 for instance KSE-100 was announced
as the outperforming index in the world in terms of the percentage increase Consequently
the status of PSX was upgraded to Emerging Markets from Frontier Markets by Morgan
Samra Chaudary
10
Stanley Capital International (MSCI) in June 2016 According to the managing director of
IMF emerging economies contribute almost 60 percent of global GDP (Lagarde 2016)
This announcement anticipated more capital inflows from international markets indicating
brighter future prospects for PSX (Jabeen 2016) Figure 12 shows an overall upward trend
of yearly returns of PSX-100 since its inception
Kumar and Goyal (2015) proposed that future research in the discipline of behavioral
finance should concentrate on emerging stock markets as developing economies have
higher growth prospects It was also proposed that attention should be given to research
based on primary data to analyze the behavior of investors
Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception
Source wwwpsxcompk
13 Research Objectives and Questions
This study is built on the notion that behavioral factors have an influence on the
decision-making process of investors The key objective of this dissertation is to investigate
Introduction
11
the effect of behavioral factors namely personality type of investors salience (familiarity
bias) and investorsrsquo love of money on their investment decisions In this sense this study
essentially aims at testing the Prospect Theory in many ways in the context of a developing
economy
There is a dearth of literature on the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience
(familiarity bias) and love of money on short-term and long-term investment decisions
There are numerous studies on the aforementioned three behavioral factors and their impact
on decision-making from developed economies (Ahearne Griever amp Warnock 2004
Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale Inbar amp Lerner 2011
Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Gentina Tang amp Gu 2018 Hampson Grimes Banister amp
McGoldrick 2018 Hirshleifer 2001 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997
Mayfield Perdue amp Wooten 2008 Nicholson Soane Fenton‐OCreevy amp Willman
2005 Oehler Wendt Wedlich amp Horn 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell Bacon
Firth amp Corr 2018 Sekścińska Rudzinska-Wojciechowska amp Maison 2018 Tang 2016
1992 Tversky amp Kahneman 1986 1981 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell Singh amp
Paolillo 2007 Wang Keller amp Siegrist 2011 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber Blais amp
Betz 2002 Yalcin et al 2016) But research in the context of developing economies is
still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De Vries
et al 2017 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li Jiang An Shen amp Jin 2009 Li amp Liu 2008
Metawa Hassan Metawa amp Safa 2019 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira Augusto Falciano
amp Villas Boas Perito 2014 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Tripathi amp
Chattopadhyay 2013)
Samra Chaudary
12
To the best of our knowledge there is scant empirical evidence on the primary research
question of the study and none in the emerging economy In order to accomplish the
research objective a number of following research questions have been developed 1a) Do
five personality types have an effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions
1b) Does risk perception mediate the relationship between personality types and short-term
and long-term investment decisions 2a) Does salience (familiarity bias) have an impact
on short-term and long-term investment decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between individual investors and
professional investors 2c) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions differs between female investors and male investors 3a) What is the
relationship between Love of Money and short-term and long-term investment decisions
3b) Whether current income moderates the relationship of Love of Money and short-term
as well as long-term investment decisions 3c) Whether future inheritance moderates the
relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment decisions
It is crucially important to analyze investorsrsquo intentions (such as short-term vs long-
term) about investment and why they manage the investment in different ways If those
investment intentions are evident then researchers and financial advisors would be
interested to learn if those intentions are adaptable (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become
vital to recognize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is
likely to be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate
with these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Introduction
13
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions
The key findings of three papers are summarized in the following paragraph The
results of first paper are that investors only with neuroticism and extrovert personality traits
showed a significant positive relationship with ST-D However individuals with openness
conscientiousness and extraversion personalities showed a significant positive relationship
with LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of extraversion with LT-
D openness with LT-D agreeableness with LT-D and conscientiousness personality trait
with LT-D There was no mediating effect of risk perception between relationship of five
personality types and ST-D The findings of the second paper are that salience has a
significant positive impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and
professional investors were found significantly different from each other with respect to
impact of salience on decision making behavior both ST-D and LT-D Furthermore the
moderating effect of gender in relationship between salience and investment decision
showed that the path coefficients of female investors were significantly different from the
path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D It was found that female
investors suffered more from salience bias than male investors In the third paper it was
found that LoM had a significant positive impact on both ST-D and on L-TD Moreover
income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D but did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D Paper three also tested moderating effect of inheritance
expectation on relationship between LoM and investment decisions The expectation of
receiving future inheritance was found to moderate the relationship between LoM and ST-
D as well as the relationship of LoM with LT-D
Samra Chaudary
14
The significance of these studies enhances the understanding of irrationality in
investment decision making Behavioral biases are inseparable from individualsrsquo decision-
making and can reasonably be understood with the lens of behavioral finance (Barberis amp
Thaler 2003) The complexity of irrational decisions by investors creates new challenges
for portfolio managers whose job is to manage their clientrsquos wealth Therefore the
knowledge of behavioral factors is imperative for the financial institutions and financial
planners to ensure that their customers are obtaining appropriate guidance Such findings
can also help professionals in recognizing the behaviors of clients and accordingly advise
them for short-term and long-term financial goals (Baker Filbeck amp Ricciardi 2017) The
understanding of behavioral factors operative in investors decision-making is likely to aid
managers to communicate better with their clients (Muradoglu amp Harvey 2012)
Moreover understanding of an investorrsquos behavior is likely to assist managers in assessing
how optimistic overconfident and risk-averse their specific clients are (Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998)
This research has made contributions in multiple forms Firstly as discussed
above investigating this area of finance is itself a theoretical contribution because the
paradigm is still young and emerging and needs more evidence from developing economies
to have more generalizable knowledge about the behavioral factors influencing investment
decision-making Secondly many other studies have used student samples (from a finance
course) as proxy for potential investors in the field of behavioral finance (Filbeck Hattield
amp Horvarth 2005 Lemrova Reiterova Fatenova Lemr amp Tang 2014 Li amp Liu 2008
Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al 2018 Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) but this study
collected responses from actual real-life investors It was also proposed that attention
Introduction
15
should be given to empirical research which should be based on primary data to analyze
the behavior of investors (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) This study has made a methodological
contribution by using primary data collected from actual investors instead of student
sample Thirdly this study has aimed to bridge the empirical gap between behavioral
factors and investment decisions To the best of our knowledge there have been no
research studies about the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience and love of money
on short-term and long-term investment decisions This was correct both in the context of
developing andor developed economies hence provides contextual contribution Fourthly
this study has extended the general model of prospect theory the theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy And lastly given the importance of these theories in the field of
social behavior the findings of this study also deliver interdisciplinary contributions
The novel findings of this research provide significant and meaningful
contributions to the emerging behavioral finance paradigm and offer practical implications
for financial institutions professional money managers individual investors and
regulatory authorities This research offers practical implications for individual investors
themselves and for professional financial managers In light of this study individual
investors can enhance knowledge of their own preferences and professional managers can
gain better understandings of their clientsrsquo preferences Such enhanced understanding is
expected to facilitate investment decision-making in a more meaningful manner
Investment advisors help their clients in investing money They must understand what is
Samra Chaudary
16
important to their customers in order to guide them and fulfill their clientsrsquo needs
commendably It may also be useful for advisors to identify potential investors based on
personality type risk perception familiarity bias money attitudes current income and
future wealth possession to segment the client accordingly and to develop suitable
investment strategies based on such segmentations
This research also contributes to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market By such enhanced insights market inefficiencies and
anomalies are likely to be better understood Financial planners may find useful strategies
to exploit numerous behavioral anomalies present in the financial markets Financial
managers from brokerage houses mutual fund companies and other financial institutions
may deliver a superior product service and targeted guidance to their customers once they
understand their clientsrsquo behavior which can influence their investment decisions
Investors should be mindful that familiarity bias sometimes could lead to
undiversified and sub-optimal portfolio building Hence acknowledging the presence of
such bias can help avoid sub-optimal diversification To avoid pitfalls of familiarity bias
financial planners would be well advised to communicate to investors that they should have
a long-term diversification plan with the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return
in their investment portfolios (Baker amp Ricciardi 2015)
For an emerging market like Pakistan raising fresh equity capital from investors is
paramount in its importance to attain economic growth Successfully strategies of targeting
investors are likely to bring more money in the market boost investments in the economy
and strengthen investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually help the
Introduction
17
market to move towards efficiency To conclude this research offers a brand new and
novel perspective and adds to the behavioral finance literature by investigating personality
salience bias and LoM as antecedents of short-term and long-term investment decisions
The theoretical models reveal novel and counterintuitive findings and help us understand
not only the what how and why factors contributing to short-term and long-term
investment decisions but also who where and when
15 Organization of the Study
This dissertation is divided into five chapters The first chapter introduces the
discipline of behavioral finance and behavioral factors affecting investorsrsquo investment
decisions This chapter also presents research objectives research questions and
significance and contribution of this research in the context of developing economy
The second chapter examines the relationships between five personality types and
investment decisions It further explores the mediation of risk perception between each
type of personality and investment decisions The results indicate that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities show a significant relationship with ST-D
However all personality types except neuroticism and agreeableness show an effect on
long-term investment decision Moreover risk perception is found to mediate relationships
between the four personality types and LT-D only
The third chapter explores the pertinence of salience as a heuristic with respect to
investment decisions This relationship is further explored by examining the group
differences between individual investors and professional investors and between female
investors and male investors Data has been analyzed through partial least square based
structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach measurement invariance test and
Samra Chaudary
18
multi-group analysis Results indicate that salience has a significant positive effect on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions is significantly different for individual
investors and professional investors as well as for female investors and male investors
The fourth chapter explores the relationship of Love of Money (LoM) with short-
term and long-term investment decisions This relationship is further explored by
examining the moderating effect of current income and the expectation of receiving future
inheritance The study finds that LoM has a significant positive impact on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions Furthermore it is found that current income moderates
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and does not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D Future inheritance moderates the relationship between LoM and both short-
term and long-term investment decisions
The fifth chapter presents a conclusion by elucidating the major research findings
and underscoring theoretical and managerial implications of the results of the research
questions raised in this study Especially this section highlights the contributions to the
growing body of applied behavioral finance area It also emphasizes the contribution to the
literature on personality types heuristics and LoM This chapter also provides a way
forward by identifying limitations and offering future research directions in the field of
behavioral finance
Personality and Investment Decisions
19
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk
Perception on Investment Decisions
Abstract
Investigating behavioral psychological influences in the area of finance is relatively
a new phenomenon and the subject is of interest to economists psychologists professional
money managers and individual savers and investors This paper has taken a behavioral
approach to unveil the psychological predictors of long-term and short-term investment
decisions The paper has used the theory of planned behavior (TPB 1991) and Risk as
Feeling (RaF 2001) theory as a conceptual lens to discover the factors influencing
individualsrsquo investment intentions in the Pakistan Stock Exchange The study used partial
least square based structural equation modeling technique on a data gathered from 277
active equity traders that included professional money managers brokers and individual
traders It was found that individuals with relatively higher neuroticism and extraversion
personality traits were found more likely to do short-term investment decision However
investors with relatively higher openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality
traits were found more likely to do long-term investment decision Investorsrsquo risk
perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of extraversion openness
agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-term investment
decisions These findings have implications for psychologists economists and finance
executives as it was found that investorsrsquo personality traits influenced their investment
decisions It is recommended that financial managers should include the influence of these
behavioral aspects in their investment plans advice and decisions for their clients These
findings are expected to contribute to the growing body of knowledge in the area of applied
Samra Chaudary
20
behavioral research within the discipline of finance and these findings in the context of a
developing economy also make this study a first in this line of research stream
Keywords personality type risk perception investment decision behavioral finance
21 Introduction
Decision-making is a skill (Hastie amp Dawes 2010) and onersquos life is full of risky
decisions (Satchell et al 2018) ranging from an ordinary matter to matters of life or death
Individuals frequently face circumstances in which they have to decide between actions
whose outcomes are uncertain and that vary in level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) The
fact has long been established that all decisions made by business managers (about cash
flows) may not positively affect the performance of companies because managers may not
necessarily work towards shareholdersrsquo wealth maximization the so-called agency
problem (Jensen amp Meckling 1976) Business managers and financial managers are often
confronted with decision-making choices that are risky and based on the risk analysis they
make decisions by taking into account the identified risks levels (Epstein 1994)
Individuals financial (saving) decisions are influenced by construal Construal is described
as an individualrsquos cognitive illustrations of goals and is a way individuals use their minds
A high-level of construal mentality would lead to more willingness to save than a low-level
construal mentality (Rudzinska-Wojciechowska 2017)
Individuals invest in stocks to increase their capital and profits (Keller amp Siegrist
2006a) Another reason for investing in the stock market is the desire to save their earnings
for retirement (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004 Dreman et al 2001) Since investments in
stocks are risky therefore just like professional money managers individual investors also
have to incorporate risk in their decision-making
Personality and Investment Decisions
21
The development of financial markets has offered more varied opportunities to
invest in several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) Investors look for better
investment alternatives and financial institutions as professional money managers for
investors need to understand the preferences of investors for different financial
instruments and for different time horizons and for different risk perceptions Investment
in financial instruments entails commitment for different time horizons ie short-term
(ST-D) and long-term investment decisions (LT-D) Individualsrsquo attitudes towards either
of these two-time horizons for investments may vary and such variations may be a result
of investors different personality traits and different risk perceptions
According to Pennings et al (2003) financial institutions need information about
clientsrsquo preferences to develop a new financial product or to improve the existing ones
Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice process of
client is crucial for financial institutions and professional money managers Dierkes et al
(2010) analyzed the attractiveness of different investment strategies for different time
horizons They found that the preference of the investment strategy was significantly
determined by the length of the investment horizon A bond strategy was desired for the
short horizon while stocks were preferred for longer horizons
Lakshmi Visalakshmi Thamaraiselvan and Senthilarasu (2013) suggested that
with long-term investment horizon investors are not likely to make frequent withdrawals
and consequently market volatility would tend to decrease if the majority of investors had
long-term investment horizon Investors are likely according to this view to earn extra
profits when they hold their funds in the same instrument for a longer time In this era of
retirement savings employees face challenges to understand how much to save
Samra Chaudary
22
periodically and where to invest such savings for long-term post-retirement benefits
(McKenzie amp Liersch 2011)
The importance to analyze individualsrsquo intentions about investment goals and why
they manage the investment in different ways cannot be over-emphasized If those
investment intents are evident then researchers and financial advisors would find it easier
to adapt their advice accordingly to their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become vital
to realize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is likely to
be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate more
appropriately to these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Studies on individualsrsquo investment intentions were mostly based on the
assumptions of modern finance theory that operate within the paradigm of rationality
(Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952 Modigliani amp Miller 1958) The conventional
theory proposes that investors are rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain
level of risk and have a clear understanding of their risk preferences
Fama (1998) is a strong supporter of an efficient market and his answer is a solid
lsquonorsquo for market inefficiency because he believes that the presence of observed long-term
return anomalies is sensitive to statistical models which used to discover such anomalies
otherwise investors behave rationally Fama (1998) seems to propose that anomalies have
a tendency to show minimal or no effect when exposed to different statistical approaches
to measure expected (normal) returns This line of argument can conclude that most long-
term return anomalies can realistically be recognized as a chance event and therefore in
the long run investors behavior may be viewed as rational
Personality and Investment Decisions
23
Another viewpoint emphasizes the fact that in reality individualsrsquo decision-
making process is significantly shaped by psychological factors such as personality types
emotions and moods (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman
2012 Shleifer amp Summers 1990 Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007) and therefore their decision-
making process cannot be assumed to follow strict rationality presumed in conventional
theories of economics and finance An individualrsquos position between the two extremes of
a continuum ranging from risk aversion to risk-seeking was thought as a function of hisher
personality traits (MacCrimmon amp Wehrung 1990)
There are numerous studies on behavioral factors and decision-making from
developed economies (Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale et al 2011 Mayfield et al
2008 Nicholson et al 2005 Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell et al
2018 Sekścińska et al 2018 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber et al 2002) but only
handful studies from the developing economies (Ahmad Hassan Mahmood amp Aslam
2016 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li amp Liu 2008 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra
2016 Tripathi amp Chattopadhyay 2013 Verma 2008)
To the best of our knowledge there are no studies that have examined the impact
of Big-Five personality traits on short and long-term investment decisions with the
mediation of risk perception in both developed and developing economies (see appendix
I) Previous studies have only considered a few personality types (Mayfield et al 2008
Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) and tested the mediation of risk perception
in relationship between information asymmetry and investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra
2016) and between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq Maqbool Akram Tariq
amp Khurshid 2017) This study however aims to cater to the absence of empirical studies
Samra Chaudary
24
in the discipline by modeling the missing link of risk perception as a mediator between
relationships of all Big-Five personality types and investment decisions
This study provides a significant and meaningful theoretical contribution to the
prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm The study has tried to provide the
desired evidence from the developing economy by using a unique data set of professional
money managers and individual investors who have invested in the Pakistan Stock
Exchange It has investigated if the personality traits of these investors have a significant
effect on decision- making and if risk perception mediates the relationship between the
personality trait and horizon of their investment decision
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development
Traditional (standard) financial theories have been disparaged for the lack of their
explanatory power and their grounded assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et
al (2016) criticized the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first
proposition supposes that humans behave rationally during the decision-making process as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and
therefore finance theory incline towards endorsing the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979)
The idea of bounded rationality was introduced by Simon (1955) and gave birth to the
discipline of behavioral finance as various studies found empirical evidence against the
assumption of rationality in decision-making process (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Shleifer amp Summers 1990) Research in this
Personality and Investment Decisions
25
area aced when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and received
more appreciation after Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002
Prospect theory purports that when individuals are offered a gamble containing two or
more outcome lotteries with some probability they make their decisions on the basis of the
potential psychological value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the one with the highest value
This value function is defined based on psychological gains and losses rather than on
levels of wealth The function is concave in the area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a
convex function in the area of loss and risk-takers Moreover the gradient of the value
function is steeper in the area of loss than in the area of gain which infers that investors
are generally risk-averse
A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors get more distressed by losses than they
are delighted by equal amount of gains The loss of $1 dollar is twice as unpleasant as the
happiness received from a $1 gain (Singh 2010) This happens due to the effect of
cognitive biases that operate on investorsrsquo judgment about expected psychological value
of these gains and losses Many studies have tested prospect theory in the domain of
influence of behavioral factors (so-called irrational biases) on decision-making (Ishfaq et
al 2017 Odean 1998)
Samra Chaudary
26
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991)
Ajzen and Fishbein (1980) asserted that behavioral intentions are cognitive in nature
and act as a representation of an individualrsquos eagerness to involve in a particular behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB) Individualsrsquo behavior is predicted by
onersquos behavioral intention Behavioral intentions are then determined by favorable attitude
subjective norms and perceived behavioral control These intentions along with
perceptions of behavioral control explain significant variance in real behavior (Ajzen
1991)
Thus the core idea of the theory implies that planned behavioral was driven by
behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) The theory of planned behavior predicts human
behavior which can include conflicts between short-term and long-term goals affect
cognition and consequences in several fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Raut Das and Kumar
(2018) suggested that TPB predicts individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest in the
stock market They also revealed that attitude toward behavior subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control are significantly related to behavioral intentions According
to Michaelidou and Hassan (2014) the research work on gain versus loss framing by
Tversky and Kahneman (1981) has been well studied Therein lies a starting point that may
assist in apprehending the process of the theory of planned behavior in several decision-
making situations and contexts
Many researches have utilized TPB in the domain of behavioral studies with investment
decision-making (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008) with financial decision-making
(Koropp Kellermanns Grichnik amp Stanley 2014) and with entrepreneurial (business
start-up) decision-making (Kautonen 2015)
Personality and Investment Decisions
27
East (1993) investigated the willingness to apply for new issue of shares TPB was
applied to personal investment choices and found support for TPB as a way of identifying
that beliefs are associated with investment choice behavior He reported that investment
decisions are just like consumer decisions and investors do not decide only based on
financial criteria Moreover Koropp et al (2014) investigated financing decisions and TBP
was applied to capital structure decisions of German family firms They also supported
TPB as family attitudes toward debt and equity affected behavioral intention to use the
respective financing decisions which in turn affected financing behavior
Similarly Kautonen (2015) too supported the relevance of TPB in the context of
business start-up intentions He instigated whether intentions were linked to business start-
up activities such as arranging finances approaching financial institutions for funds
financial projections and many other activities related to business start-up Mayfield et al
(2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and also supported TBP
that long-term and short-term investment intentions were predicted by personality types
This research however uses Big-Five personality types and extends the applicability of
the well-established TPB in the area of decision-making of the investment horizon
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001)
A few behavioral models overtly sketch that the behavioral actions are the consequence
of ambivalence due to the availability of conflicting information but Risk as feelings (RaF)
hypothesis (Loewenstein Weber Hsee amp Welch 2001) is an exception The RaF
(Loewenstein et al 2001) theory explains a range of behaviors that exhibit deviation
between cognitiverational evaluations and feelings
Samra Chaudary
28
The theory proposed that when there is a risky situation behavior tends to be driven
by emotional reactions or feelings encountered at the time of decision-making rather than
cognitiverational assessments of the situation The RaF theory predicts action selection in
psychological risk-return models (Weber amp Johnson 2008) They found that affective
(non-rational) responses to risky situations had shown a significant role in risk perception
of risky choices
Hsee and Weber (1997) proposed that when individuals made a risky decision their
choice was influenced by their subjective feelings towards risk Moreover Loewenstein
and Lerner (2003) also found that individuals make a decision on the basis of the affect
(feeling) which they encountered at the time of the decision
Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009) tested planned and feeling based behavior models
with TPB and RaF theories in their study They argued that TPB and RaF have some shared
variables which are subjective probability anticipated outcome and behavior Both of
these models assume that estimations of a particular behavior will be guided by anticipated
outcomes in combination with subjective probabilities
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies
Aristotle (384-324 BC) struggled to provide a guide for human ldquocharactersrdquo Ever
since others have also attempted to map similar human attributes The 20th century
provided the procedure of sampling human attributes (ie formulation of Lexical
Hypothesis)
The Lexical Hypothesis postulates that most of the socially relevant and prominent
personality characteristics are encrypted in the natural language (Allport 1937) Hence
the personality terminology which was encoded in the dictionaries of a natural language
Personality and Investment Decisions
29
delivers a broad yet limited set of features that individuals speaking that language have
found essential and convenient in their everyday communications (Goldberg 1981) The
lexical hypothesis provided the theoretical foundation for the Five-Factor personality
model (Allport amp Odbert 1936)
The lexical hypothesis led to factor analyses of a wide array of personality
attributes resulting in the development of the Five-Factor model This hypothesis also
suggested that it should be possible to analyze the most significant attributes that have
similar meanings to describe a personality (Saucier amp Goldberg 1996)
Numerous instruments were developed to measure personality traits and this
activity of instrument development has accelerated tremendously overtime (Goldberg
1971) According to John and Srivastava (1999) researchers are confronted with a wide
range of personality scales with pintsize guidance and with no adequate reasoning Scales
with similar titles often measured different concepts and scales with different titles
frequently measured somewhat similar concepts
Therefore a taxonomy of traits was desired which would allow researchers to
investigate specific domain of personality attributes instead of inspecting thousands of
characteristics individually which makes each individual distinct Moreover an
established taxonomy would enable researchers to communicate their research outcomes
in a uniform vocabulary Table 21 provides a summary of broad sets of competing
personality measures that were proposed over last 40 years
Samra Chaudary
30
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies
Study Factors Personalities
Tupesamp
Christal
(1961)
Five Surgency (Sociability amp Ambition) Agreeableness Dependability
Emotional Stability and Culture
Norman
(1963) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional
Stability and Culture
Cattell et al (1970) Sixteen
Warmth Reasoning Emotional Stability Dominance Liveliness Rule-
Consciousness Social Boldness Sensitivity Vigilance Abstractedness
Privateness Apprehension Openness to Change Self-Reliance
Perfectionism and Tension
Myersamp
McCaulley
(1985)
Four
Extraversion vs Introversion Thinking vs Feeling Judging vs Perceiving
and Intuition vs Sensation
Hogan
(1982) Six
Ascendancy Sociability Agreeableness Dependability Emotional Stability
and Intellectance
CostaampMcCrae
(1985) Five
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Kampamp Hough
(1986) Seven
Potency Adjustment Agreeableness Dependability Intellectance
affiliation and Miscellaneous
Hogan
(1986) Six
Sociability Ambition (Potency amp Achievement) Prudence Likeability
Adjustment and Intellectance
Digmanamp Inouye
(1986) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Will to Achieve Agreeableness Anxiety and
Openness
Kampamp Gough
(1986) Five
Ascendency Self -Control Adjustment (Agreeableness amp Anxiety)
Intellection and Masculinity
Goldberg
(1990) Five
Surgency Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional Stability and
Intellect
Hough et al
(1990) Nine
Affiliation Potency Achievement (Dependability Conscientiousness ampWill
to achieve) Dependability Adjustment Agreeableness Intellectance
Ruggedness individualism and Locus of Control
Costaamp
McCrae
(1992)
Five
(Revised
NEO
personality
inventory)
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Cattell
(1996) Five Extraversion Independence Anxiety Self-Control and Tough-mindedness
In addition to multi-factor models of personality types as shown in table 1 a number
of studies have also tried to develop tools for the assessment of a personality eg California
Personality Inventory by Gough (1987) Eysenck Personality Inventory by Eysenck and
Eysenck (1975) Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey by Guilford (1949) and
Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator by Mayer and McCaulley (1985) All of these
instruments are believed to be encompassed in the Five-Factor Model (Briggs 1992 Costa
Personality and Investment Decisions
31
Busch amp Zonderman 1986 Johnson Butcher Null amp Johnson 1984 Noller Law amp
Comrey 1987) Moreover the Five-Factor Model developed by Costa and McCrae (1992)
was comparable with Five-Factor model proposed by Goldberg (1990) and Cattell (1996)
as shown in table 22
After many decades researchers have developed a consensus on the Big-Five
personality model as an acceptable taxonomy for labeling the basic dimensions of a
personality Therefore many studies based on meta-analyses of personalities have
converged on using Five-Factor personality model because it describes the most salient
aspects of personality (Barrick amp Mount 1991 Judge Heller amp Mount 2002 Oshio
Taku Hirano amp Saeed 2018 Salgado 1997 Trapmann Hell Hirn amp Schuler 2007)
The Five-Factor Model continues to be the most studied model of personality model based
on the lexical hypothesis (Poropat 2009)
The advantage of using the Five-Factor Model is that it includes most of the
variance in a set of five-factors of personality thus solving the puzzle of the earlier ldquochaotic
plethorardquo of personality measures (Funder 2001 John amp Srivastava 1999) The Five-
Factor model provides a comprehensive and parsimonious theoretical framework (Costa amp
McCrae 1992)
Moreover another important feature of the Five-Factor Model was that it uses
natural language which was not biased to prefer any existing scientific conception (John amp
Srivastava 1999) Hence this research has adopted the most recent and updated Five-
Factor Model by Costa and McCrae (1992) for personality measures as shown in table 23
Samra Chaudary
32
Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models
Cattell (1996) Costa amp McCrae (1992) Goldberg (1990)
ExtraversionIntroversion Extraversion Surgency
Low AnxietyHigh Anxiety Neuroticism Emotional stability
Tough-MindednessReceptivity Openness Intellect or culture
IndependenceAccommodation Agreeableness Agreeableness
Self-ControlLack of Restraint Conscientiousness Conscientiousness or
dependability
Source (Cattell amp Mead 2008)
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions
Satchell et al (2018) found that different personalities have varied risk-taking
behaviors Individuals who exhibit more prosocial traits (more extravert) are risk-takers as
compared to those who exhibit antisocial traits (less extravert) Hershey and Mowen (2000)
in one of the initial studies on personality and decision-making found that personality
constructs were significant predictors of pre-retirement financial decisions Filbeck et al
(2005) studied the relationship between risk tolerance and personality types on a sample of
college students They found that respondents with higher score on thinking (objective
decision-making) judging (organization and order) and sensing (concrete and practical)
traits showed relatively higher risk tolerance in their investment decisions They also
reported that extraversion trait showed no effect on risk tolerance However Mayfield et
al (2008) later on conducted research on undergraduate students registered in an
investment course They mainly focused on the effect of two personality traits on both ST-
D and LT-D Results showed that extravert and conscientiousness investors tended to
involve in short-term investments however individuals with neuroticism andor risk
aversion trait avoided to engage in short-term investments Risk-averse investors also did
not take part in long-term investing Investors with the openness trait showed long-term
investing behavior On the other hand openness did not determine short-term investing
Personality and Investment Decisions
33
behavior A negative correlation was reported between openness trait and risk aversion
Moreover extraversion was reported negatively but insignificantly associated with
investment-specific risk aversion For personality measurement the study adopted a
revised NEO personality inventory (NEO-PIR) scale by Costa and McCrae (1992) and
NEO five-factor inventory (NEO FFI) by Salgado (1997) The Big-Five personality
classification was predominantly recognized in applied research (Barrick amp Mount 1991
Hogan amp Hogan 1991) Table 23 explains the traits of five types of personalities
Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits
Personality Trait Description
Neuroticism (N) High scores show insecure self-conscious vulnerability anxious depressed tenseness
and moodiness
Extraversion (E) High scores show gregarious assertiveness sociability talkativeness optimism positive
emotion being upbeat and energetic
Openness (O) High scores show creativity active imagination trust a preference for variety curios and
cultural interest
Agreeableness (A) High scores show altruism warmth sympathetic helpful modest compliance tender
mindedness and cooperation
Conscientiousness (C) High scores show hard-working organized purposefulness self-discipline
achievement striving determination reliability and punctuality
Source (Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997)
The meta-analysis studies on Big-Five personality types found that extraversion
and conscientiousness had an influence on concrete problem solving and cognitive
structuring as coping strategies (Connor- Smith amp Falchsbart 2007) An entrepreneurial
(risky) behavior was determined by the traits of conscientiousness and openness to
experience (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) Verma (2008) in an Indian sample found that
personality and demographics have shown an association with the investment choice
However the study poorly measured personality traits on a five-point likert scale from
conservative to aggressive and chose to report the results with basic and simple statistical
techniques Many studies have investigated investment decisions in the form of investment
Samra Chaudary
34
horizon ie long-term vs short-term (Dierkes et al 2010 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Wood amp
Zaichkowsky 2004)
Oehler et al (2018) examined the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on
investment decisions in an experimental financial market The authors found that more
extravert persons paid a high price for their assets purchases and they bought more financial
securities when securities were overpriced as compared to less extravert persons The
influence of the extravert trait was found to be insignificant when it comes to holding an
asset However more neurotic individuals keep less volatile financial securities in their
portfolios than less neurotic individuals Similarly Oehler and Wedlich (2018) also
investigated the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on risk-taking behavior in
investment decisions The authors identified that more extravert subjects were less risk-
averse and more neurotic subjects were more risk-averse This research had again focused
only on two personality traits and used a student sample Both of the above-mentioned
studies ignored the remaining three personality traits ie openness agreeableness and
conscientiousness
Moreover the above-cited research findings were based on samples of
undergraduate students of a German university which means their findings were not
coming from a sample of practitioners working in the financial industry This research
however investigates relationships of all Big-Five personality traits with investment
decisions The study also investigates the relationships from a sample of individuals
working in the financial industry of a developing economy by using a sample of practicing
investors The following hypotheses are tested about the behavioral intentions of stock
investors
Personality and Investment Decisions
35
H1a The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H1b The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the less likely will be their intentions
to engage in long-term investing
H2a The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H2b The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-term
investing
H3a The greater the level of individuals openness the less likely will be their intentions to
engage in short-term investing
H3b The greater the level of openness the more likely will be their intentions to engage in
long-term investing
H4a The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H4b The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in long-term investing
H5a The more conscientious individuals would show weaker intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H5b The more conscientious individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-
term investing
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions
Perception is described as the psychological interpretation of physical sensations
shaped by stimuli from the external environment (Fischhoff 1994) Therefore the way
Samra Chaudary
36
individuals subjectively perceive risk of an investment is likely to influence their actions
(Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Zeisberger (2018) using an experimental design found that the
ldquoprobability of losingrdquo was the key variable that their subjects perceived as ldquoriskrdquo Lim et
al (2013) defined risk perception as an assumption or evaluation of risk related to a specific
behavior Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed a theory termed ldquorisk as feelingrdquo hypothesis
and highlighted that behaviors are driven by feelings An affect must mediate at least to
some extent the relationships of cognitive evaluations
Risk perceptions are likely to vary across individuals and contexts For instance
many individuals assume that the risk in driving a car is more dangerous than the risk in
sports and show relatively less intention to take risks of driving a car (Dohmen et al
2011) Huber Palan and Zeisberger (2017) through an experiment found that active asset
trading and asset prices are strongly driven by average risk perception Numerous studies
have inspected how investorsrsquo perceptions affect hypothetical investment decisions or self-
reported investment intentions (Bateman et al 2010 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Nosic amp
Weber 2010 Weber Weber amp Nosic 2013 Weber amp Milliman 1997)
Hoffman Post and Pennings (2015) used a sample of Dutch investors and studied
the association between perceptions and behavior in an actual decision setting They found
that change in investor perceptions was a significant determinant of real trading and risk-
taking behavior They also found that stock traders who perceived higher risk tended to
trade more frequently had higher volume had lower buy-sell ratios (lower buy-sell ratios
demonstrate a low exposure to the financial market) and held riskier portfolios It means
stock traders with higher levels of risk perception lowered their exposure to the stock
market Lim et al (2013) reported that risk perceptions about investing in the capital market
Personality and Investment Decisions
37
were found likely to have a negative impact on investorsrsquo willingness to invest in the
financial market
Duxbury Hudson Keasey amp Summers (2005) in their study asked subjects to
distribute money among risk-free assets risky shares and bonds and studied how this
allocation varied if they were investing for someone who was lessmore willing to take risk
than themselves The study was repeated on different ranges of age and wealth They then
investigated how subjectsrsquo perceptions of investment patterns were different from their
actual investment behavior Subjects believed that the ratio of bonds to shares should differ
with risk attitude with a higher ratio of stocks held by those participants who were willing
to take more risks Despite having such beliefs subjectsrsquo actual investment behaviors
showed the amount of shares and bonds held did not change with their risk attitude In other
words participantsrsquo beliefs did not match the recommendations of standard portfolio
theory but their actual investment behavior matched the theoretical expectations of the
portfolio theory Weber et al (2002) investigated the individualrsquos risk perception and risk
behavior in five domains (financial risk-taking healthsafety risk-taking ethical risk-
taking recreational risk-taking and social risk-taking) They reported divergences in risk
perception of participants accounted for observed variations in their risk behavior
Financial risk-taking behavior and risk perception were found negatively correlated They
found perceived higher risks decreased the chances of the risk-taking behavior most for
financial risks and least for health or safety risks The effect of perceived risk on the risk-
taking behavior was negative but statistically insignificant Brandstatter (2011) in a study
of meta-analysis reported the results of the relationship between risk propensity and the
Big-Five dimensions of personality Risk propensity was assessed by asking individuals
Samra Chaudary
38
how frequent they have exhibited risky behavior in six domains (recreation health career
finance safety and social risk-taking) leading to a risk measure He reported a positive
beta-estimates for extraversion and openness and negative beta-estimates for neuroticism
agreeableness and conscientiousness
Lim et al (2013) found in a sample of Singaporean investors a significant negative
relationship between risk perception and risky investment decisions They reported that the
sample for this research was collected right after the global financial crisis and that could
have an influence on investorsrsquo risk perception They suggested collecting similar data
again during a time of financial stability Many scholars have agreed about the presence of
an association between perceived risk and decision-making (Krueger amp Dickson 1994
Sutcliffe 1994) A small number of researches have tested the mediating role of risk
perception For example risk perception was reported to be mediating the relationship
between information asymmetry and risky investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) and
between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq et al 2017) Wang Shi and Fan
(2006) also reported that risk perception mediated the relationship between various types
of information and investment performance They also stated risk perception led to higher
investment performance Weber et al (2002) found that personality variables (eg
sensation seeking tolerance for ambiguity and gender) had an influence on risk perception
Person-centered characteristics (age gender and culture) together with personality traits
were reported to impact risk-taking These variables were reported to affect risk-taking
often by altering onersquos perception of risk and perception of benefits of alternative decision-
making rather than by affecting their desire to take more or less risk Hence the risk
perception of an individual is responsible for onersquos actual behavior or decision-making It
Personality and Investment Decisions
39
is expected that risk perception would mediate the relationships between personality types
and LT-D Figure 21 and 22 illustrates the structural model about relationships of five
personality types with ST-D and LT-D with mediation by risk perception
H6a Risk perception mediates the relationship between Neuroticism and short-term
investment decisions
H6b Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and short-term
investment decisions
H6c Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and short-term investment
decisions
H6d Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness and short-term
investment decisions
H6e Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and short-term
investment decisions
H6f Risk perception mediates the relationship between neuroticism and long-term
investment decisions
H6g Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and long-term
investment decisions
H6h Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and long-term investment
decisions
H6i Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness types and long-term
investment decisions
H6j Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and long-term
investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
40
Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
S-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1a
H2a
H3a
H4a
H5a
H6a
H6b
H6c
H6d
H6e
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
L-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1b
H2b
H3b
H4b
H5b
H6f
H6g
H6h
H6i
H6j
Personality and Investment Decisions
41
23 Data and Methodology
231 Measures
The study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decisions were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) Big-Five
personality scale was adopted from Costa and McCrae (1992) to measure five types of
personality traits on a five-point likert scale Items for risk perception were adopted from
Weber et al (2002) To measure risk perception (RP) respondents were asked to indicate
their gut-level assessment of how risky each situation was on a five-point unipolar rating
scale The complete questionnaire is attached in appendix VI
232 Methods
2321 Sample and Data Collection
This study has adopted a positivist research philosophy with a deductive research
approach as mentioned in Saunders Lewis and Thornhill (2007) research onion The
positivist philosophy reflects the natural scientistsrsquo philosophical approach Researcher
prefers to deal with a social reality that is measurable and the findings of such study are
presumed to be generalizable similar to law produced by natural scientists (Remenyi
Williams Money amp Swartz 1998) The deductive approach could therefore be
considered particularly suitable for the positivist approach Hence this study uses existing
theory to form hypotheses that were empirically tested leading to theoretical advancement
which can then be tested by future researchers (Saunders et al 2007)
Primary data were collected through a snowball sampling technique for this study
The respondents for this survey were investors in the local stock market Therefore the
Samra Chaudary
42
sample consisted of portfolio managers working in the financial industry (eg mutual fund
companies asset management companies brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks) and individual investors who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)
previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Individual stock investors were from
different backgrounds as the purpose of the research was to analyze the behavior of stock
investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with an institution The
data were collected through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two major
metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi Out of total investorsrsquo population
(corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent investors and
Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence the data
were collected from the investment hubs of the country where 92 percent stock investors
in listed traded companies were located A total of 800 questionnaires were sent out to
collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were returned and only 277 were
found useable for this study thus response rate was almost 35 percent
The sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females as the investment
industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated The sample consisted of 59 percent of
money managers and 41 percent individual investors Eighty-seven percent of respondents
were employed 12 percent were business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not
employed Furthermore 60 percent respondents were married 37 percent were single and
3 percent were either separated or divorced
Fifty-eight percent of respondents perceived that they were from the middle social
class 36 percent perceived themselves in upper-middle-class 3 percent perceived
themselves to belong to the upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower
Personality and Investment Decisions
43
middle class Only 33 percent of the respondents had an expectation to receive inheritance
or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future
inheritance Eighty-six percent respondents had responded their upbringing was in the
urban areas and 14 percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas
The average age of respondents was 32 years and the average monthly income was
Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million The average formal years of education were 16 years The
average amount invested by the investors in stocks was PKR 10 million and the average
investment experience in the stock market was 4 years
2322 Data Analyses
Blanthorne Jones-Farmer and Almer (2015) proposed guidelines on the key
elements of structural equation modeling in behavioral accounting research Most
textbooks on this matter propose a sample of between two hundred and fifty and five
hundred (Kline 2005 Loehlin 2004 Schumacker amp Lomax 1996) Blanthorne et al
(2015) have argued that large sample size requirement leaves researchers of this discipline
in a difficult situation of requiring permission and support from more subjectsrespondents
who are mostly professionals They also claimed that five of the thirteen potential SEM
studies published in Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research had less than hundred
participants and only four articles contained more than two hundred and fifty participants
A sample of greater than 200 was considered sufficient for the use of structural equation
modeling (SEM) (Iacobucci 2010 Kline 2015)
This paper has made use of partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to a number of reasons Firstly PLS-SEM does not require data to be normally
Samra Chaudary
44
distributed (Hair Sarstedt Ringle amp Mena 2012) and shows higher statistical power than
CB-SEM for complex models with small sample sizes (Reinartz et al 2009) Moreover
the data had an adequate sample size (Kline 2015) with no missing values Collinearity
was also tested and was found acceptable Secondly this approach focuses on predictive
analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation was to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt
2014) Thirdly it has a minimum demand for sample size and residual distribution (Wold
1985) Fourthly to compute the statistical significance of the parameter estimates PLS-
SEM method reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair Ringle amp Sarstedt
2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling method provides robust results by
taking subsamples from the original sample of observations and estimates the model
parameters of each subsample and then report the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Henseler Ringle amp Sinkovics 2009) Lastly PLS approach can be utilized for theory
validation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not exist (Chin 1998)
PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory development
(Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
PLS-SEM approach is as worthy (and conservative) as CB-SEM method (Hair et
al 2014) While PLS-SEM has some shortcomings eg results tend to inflate the factor
loadings and underestimate structural relationship and coefficient of determination
Similarly CB-SEM also has some weaknesses for instance results tend to overestimate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander Satornino
Hughes and Ferris (2015) have recommended that PLS-SEM is a more conservative
Personality and Investment Decisions
45
approach than CB-SEM Table 24 depicts the correlations descriptive statistics and
square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision risk perception and four personality types which were
neuroticism extraversion openness and conscientiousness The Pearsonrsquos correlation
value was found to be 0551 (p=0000) between short-term investment decision and long-
term investment decision 0213 (p=0000) with risk perception 0206 (p=000) with
neuroticism 0458 (p=0000) with extraversion 0385 (p=0000) with openness and 0253
(p=0000) with conscientiousness
Similarly long-term investment decision also showed a positive correlation with
risk perception and four personality types The Pearsonrsquos correlation value was found to
be 0308 (p=0000) between long-term investment decision and risk perception 0140
(p=0019) with neuroticism 0581 (p=0000) with extraversion 0539 (p=0000) with
openness and 0415 (p=0000) with conscientiousness
The agreeableness personality type showed a significant negative correlation with
all other variables The highest correlation was found between extraversion and openness
personality traits with Pearsonrsquos correlation of 0635 (p=0000) and the lowest correlation
was found between extraversion and neuroticism with an insignificant negative Pearsonrsquos
correlation of -0020 (p=0736)
Samra Chaudary
46
Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Note SD=Standard Deviation ST-D=Short-term Investment Decision LT-D=Long-term Investment Decision
N=Neuroticism E=Extraversion O=Openness A=Agreeableness C=Conscientiousness and RP=Risk Perception
Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
24 Results
241 Measurement Model
Table 25 reports the result of the measurement model Factor loadings for each
item were 06 or above except one item of Conscientiousness which had a loading of 04
but Anderson and Gerbing (1988) Wille (1996) and Velicer amp Fava (1998) lend support
to using loadings lower than 06 Bootstrapping was done on a subsample of 5000
subsamples to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) All the
factor loadings were statistically significant as t-statistics for each factor loading were
above 196 (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) For each latent factor a minimum
of three items significantly loaded on each factor in a multidimensional scale as
recommended by Velicer amp Fava (1998) and Raubenheimer (2004) and all factors were
reflective The estimates of standardized factor loadings ranged from 0600 to 0764
(tgt196) for short-term investment decision 0659-0750 (tgt196) for long-term investment
decision 0656-0864 (tgt196) for neuroticism 0788-0859 (tgt196) for extraversion
0642-0804 (tgt196) for openness 0722-0783 (tgt196) for agreeableness 0406-0855
(tgt196) for conscientiousness and 0729-0888 (tgt196) for risk perception
Factors Mean SD ST-D LT-D N E O A C RP
ST-D 3075 0763 (0681)
LT-D 3279 0810 0551 (0702)
N 2524 0895 0206 0140 (0785)
E 3444 0929 0458 0581 -0020 (0878)
O 3298 0783 0385 0539 0099 0635 (0739)
A 2984 0880 -0229 -0273 -0358 -0199 -0189 (0760)
C 3228 0751 0253 0415 0074 0427 0432 -0345 (0707)
RP 2261 0921 0213 0308 0094 0220 0193 -0238 0169 (0812)
Personality and Investment Decisions
47
Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher for each latent construct (Hair et al 2012)
The values for AVE were 0466 for short-term investment decision 0493 for long-term
investment decision 0617 for neuroticism 07771 for extraversion 0546 for openness
0579 for agreeableness 0500 for conscientiousness and 0660 for risk perception
Internal consistency of latent constructs was computed through composite
reliability (CR) which was higher than 07 for all latent constructs as suggested by Hair et
al (2012) The values of composite reliability were 077 for short-term investment
decision 0829 for long-term investment decision 0889 for neuroticism 0881 for
extraversion 0827 for openness 0804 for agreeableness 0733 for conscientiousness and
0852 for risk perception Please see table 26
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was computed through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2015) Fornell-Larcker criteria were
met as the square root of AVE of each latent construct was greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT ratio
criteria for discriminant validity was met as the ratio was less than one for each latent
construct as reported in table 27 Common method bias and collinearity among exogenous
latent constructs were checked through the variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor
level The test was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term
investment decision and once with long-term investment decision We found no common
method bias in both the tests as the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) values of all the factors
were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
Samra Chaudary
48
Table 25 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment money into
the stock market
0600 8579
I intend to engage in portfolio management activities at
least twice per week
0764 17620
I intend to perform my own investment research instead
of using outside advice
0685 14911
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to that of
professional managers
0665 11816
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings for
investingsavingretirement purposes
0750 23657
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple asset
classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate etc)
0716 17223
I intend to take an investment course 0723 22937
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum gross
return rather than tax and cost efficiency
0663 14376
I intend to invest some money in long-term assets where
my money will be tied up and inaccessible for years
0659 13952
Neuroticism (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often feel inferior to others 0656 8712
When I am under a great deal of stress sometimes I feel
like I am going to pieces
0864 26438
I often feel tense and jittery 0844 20541
Sometimes I feel completely worthless 0776 11760
Too often when things go wrong I get discouraged and
feel like giving up
0770 13300
Extraversion (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I really enjoy talking to people 0859 48079
I am a cheerful high-spirited person 0876 53353
I am a very active person 0788 22761
Openness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I am intrigued by the patterns I find in art and nature 0765 22515
I often try new and foreign foods 0642 11363
I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 0804 30217
I often enjoy playing with theories or abstract ideas 0734 19581
Agreeableness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often get into arguments with my family and co-
workers
0722 10789
Some people think I am selfish and egotistical 0775 15435
Some people think of me as cold and calculating 0783 13761
Conscientious
ness
(Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I keep my belongings neat and clean 0784 14094
I am pretty good about pacing myself so as to get things
done on time
0855 22739
I waste a lot of time before settling down to work 0406 3623
Risk
Perception
(Weber et
al 2002)
Investing 10 of your annual income in a moderate
growth mutual fund
0812 20781
Investing 5 of your annual income in a very speculative
stock
0888 31293
Investing 5 of your annual income in a conservative
stock
0729 12008
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
reverse coded items
Personality and Investment Decisions
49
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0775 0466
Long-term Investment Decision 0829 0493
Neuroticism 0889 0617
Extraversion 0881 0711
Openness 0827 0546
Agreeableness 0804 0579
Conscientiousness 0733 0500
Risk Perception 0852 0660
Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors A C E LT-D
N O RP
ST-D
A
C 0634
E 0281 0706
LT-D 04 0711 0752
N 049 0352 0093 0214
O 0282 0747 0837 074 0133
RP 0343 0281 0267 0401 0127 0253
ST-D 0392 0485 065 0809 0283 0573 0303
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness C= Conscientiousness and RP= Risk Perception
242 Structural Model
The following section presents the findings of the direct effects of Big-Five
personality traits on short-term investment decisions and long-term investment decisions
It also presents the mediating effect of risk perception between personality type and both
types of investment decisions The standardized parameter estimates (path coefficients) of
structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was computed using a bootstrap approach with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et
al 2009) The effect size was reported for each direct effect through f- square test (Cohen
1988) The f2 values of 002 015 and 035 represent a small medium and large effect
Samra Chaudary
50
size of the independent variable (Henseler et al 2009) Moreover the coefficient of
determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous) variables were not below
010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) The predictive relevance of the model was computed by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
Lewis amp Thompson 2012) A value of 08 or higher was recommended sufficient in
behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 28 summarizes the results of direct effects (without mediator) The
hypothesized relationships between personality trait of neuroticism was found to be
positive and highly significant with ST-D (H1a) (β= 0200 p= 0002 f2= 0062) and was
found insignificantly positive with low effect size (H1b) (β= 0079 p= 0159 f2= 0017)
with LT-D Similarly positive and significant relationships between extraversion
personality and ST-D (H2a) and LT-D (H2b) were found and showed moderate effect size
(β =0405 p= 0000 f2= 0129 β= 0537 p= 0000 f2= 0102) respectively The association
between openness personality trait with ST-D (H3a) was found insignificant with low
effect (β= 0084 p= 0275 f2= 0010) but with LT-D (H3b) it was found statistically
significant and positive with low effect (β=0515 p= 000 f2= 0069) No association of
agreeableness personality trait was found between ST-D (H4a) (β= -0060 p= 0419 f2=
0011) and with LT-D (H4b) (β= -0084 p= 0119 f2= 0017) The relationship of
conscientiousness personality trait with ST-D (H5a) was insignificant and showed almost
no effect (β= -0027 p= 0682 f2=0005) but with LT-D (H5b) the relationship was
significantly positive with small effect (β= 0373 p= 0000 f2= 0021)
Personality and Investment Decisions
51
The coefficient of determination of five types of personality traits and risk
perception with LT-D is higher (R2= 0493) than the coefficient of determination of the
same variables with ST-D (R2=0352) Hence a larger portion of the variance in LT-D was
explained by the set of five independent variables than in ST-D Only extraversion
personality traits were found as a common trait that impacted both ST-D and LT-D The
values of Q2 were considerably above zero representing that each exogenous construct in
the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All the hypotheses
have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high
probability of the presence of the relationships between all exogenous latent variables and
endogenous latent variables A high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness
of the sample size
We have included age gender income and expect to receive the inheritance as
control variables in our model These variables have relevance in the model of personality
type risk perception and investment decisions Studies have shown that males have shown
a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Bajtelsmit Bernasek amp
Jianakoplos 1999 Hariharan Chapman amp Domian 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp
Cox 2001) Age also affects risk perception (Weber et al 2002) and financial decisions
(Agarwal Driscoll Gabaix amp Laibson 2007) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the
relationship between expected inheritances and income with financial investment
Samra Chaudary
52
Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Estimates
p
value f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1a N-gtST-D 0200 0002 0062
0352 0127 1
H2a E-gtST-D 0405 0000 0129
H3a O-gtST-D 0084 0318 0010
H4a A-gtST-D -0060 0314 0011
H5a C-gtST-D 0027 0829 0005
H1b N-gtLT-D 0073 0110 0017
0493 0209 1
H2b E-gtLT-D 0537 0000 0102
H3b O-gtLT-D 0515 0000 0069
H4b A-gtLT-D -0084 0119 0017
H5b C-gtLT-D 0373 0003 0021
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness and C= Conscientiousness
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Mediation Effects with Risk Perception
The mediating effects were tested using bootstrap method (Preacher and Hayes
2008 Zhao Lynch amp Chen 2010a) instead of Baron and Kenny (1986) approach because
bootstrapping corrects the non-normality problem and increases the statistical power to
detect mediation effects (Wood Goodman Beckmann amp Cook 2008) Bootstrap
sampling was done to estimate the distribution of the indirect effect (Hair et al 2014)
Bootstrap technique is a powerful test of mediation and Baron and Kenny (1986) test yields
high Type-I error (Krause et al 2010) Another major flaw of Baron and Kenny (1986) is
that it requires a mandatory presence of direct relationship of predictor and outcome
variable which is not necessary for the alternate approach (Hayes 2009 Krause et al
2010)
A mediator variable is expected to influence the relationship between a predictive
variable and an outcome variable (Baron amp Kenny 1986) Hence the mediator explains
Personality and Investment Decisions
53
the relationship oftentimes ldquohowrdquo and ldquowhyrdquo The mediation analysis supposed to
denotes a causal chain as it is concerned with the mechanism of a story or a series of effects
(Kenny 2008) and the definition of mediation is mostly expressed in causal terms (Baron
amp Kenny 1986)
In order to run a mediation analysis it is not necessary to get a significant
relationship between an independent and outcome variable (Kenny Kashy amp Bolger
1998 Zhao et al 2010a) Shrout and Bolger (2002) endorsed to omit the test of
significance of direct effects In this paper risk perception was tested as a mediator between
personality type and investment decision We compared the significance level (plt 005) of
direct effects and indirect effects and concluded the results
For H6a and H6b the direct effects of neuroticism and extraversion personality trait
on short-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk perception) were found
to be significant (β= 0202 p=0002) and (β= 0392 p= 0000) However the indirect effect
of neuroticism and extraversion on short-term investment decision through risk perception
was insignificant (β= -0002 p= 0817) and (β= -0013 p= 0309) Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as direct only nonmediation (Zhao at al 2010a) For H6c H6d
H6e and H6f the standardized direct (mediated) effects and indirect effects were
insignificant Hence these hypotheses were categorized as no effect-nonmediation The
direct effects of extraversion and openness (H6g and H6h) on long-term investment
decision were found to be significant (β= 0493 p= 0000) (β= 0472 p= 0000) and
indirect effects of extraversion and openness on long-term investment decision were also
significant (β= 0044 p= 0005) (β= 0043 p= 0006) respectively Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as complimentary mediation For H6i the (mediated) direct effect
Samra Chaudary
54
of agreeableness on long-term investment decision was insignificant (β= -0056 p= 0276)
however the indirect effect was significant (β= -0028 p= 0034) As a result this was
labeled as indirect-only mediation The direct effect and indirect effect of
conscientiousness on long-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk
perception) were both found to be significant (β= 0333 p=0000) and (β= 0040 p=0030)
Therefore H6j was labeled as complimentary mediation Among control variables only
males showed a significant impact on short-term investment decision and those who expect
to receive inheritance in the future showed a significant impact on long-term investment
decision
It was found that risk perception did not mediate the relationship between any of
the five personality types and short-term investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However four
personality traits (except neuroticism H6f) were found to show a significant indirect effect
on long-term investment decision through the perceived risk of the investment (H6g-H6j)
Moreover we found that agreeable personality (H6i) showed a negative indirect effect on
long-term investment decision through perceived risk of the investment
An indirect only-mediation effect is present when the direct effect of an
independent variable on dependent variable in the presence of mediator is insignificant and
indirect effect is significant This is also known as full mediation Complimentary
mediation is present when both direct and indirect effects are significant and point to the
same direction Direct-only non-mediation effect is present when only direct effect of
independent variable on dependent variable is significant in the presence of mediator but
indirect effect is not significant This is also a case of no mediation No-effect non-
mediation is declared when there is neither a significant direct effect is present nor a
Personality and Investment Decisions
55
significant indirect effect is present This is also declared as no-mediation situation These
mediation types also overlap with Baron and Kennyrsquos approach Complementary
mediation is similar to Baron and Kennyrsquos partial mediation and indirect-only mediation
is similar to full mediation Direct-only non-mediation and no-effect non-mediation
overlaps with no mediation of Baron and Kennyrsquos approach (Zhao et al 2010a) The
results of mediation analysis are reported in table 29 Detailed results of mediation analysis
are illustrated in figure 23 - 212 in appendix V
Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception
Hypotheses Bootstrapping
Direct Effect
Indirect Effect
Decision Rule
Independent
Variables
Mediator Dependent
Variables
β
p β
p
H6a Neuroticism
Risk
Perception ST-D
0202 0002 -0002 0817 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6b Extraversion
0392 0000 0013 0309 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6c Openness
0075 0331 0009 0453
No effect
Non-Mediation
H6d Agreeableness
-0040 0606 -0020 0116 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6e Conscientiousness
0025 0708 0002 0849 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6f Neuroticism
Risk
Perception LT-D
0076 0140 -0003 0802 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6g Extraversion
0493 0000 0044 0005 Complimentary
Mediation
H6h Openness
0472 0000 0043 0006 Complimentary
Mediation
H6i Agreeableness
-0056 0276 0028 0034 Indirect-only
Mediation
H6j Conscientiousness
0333 0000 0040 0030 Complimentary
Mediation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision and LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0082 p=0155) Gender-gtST-D (β= 0118 p=0012) Income-gtST-D (β=0077
p=0328) Expect to receive inheritance-gtST-D (β= -0014 p=0820) Age-gtLT-D (β=0038 p=0438) Gender-gtLT-D
(β= -0018 p=0688) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0025 p=0569) Expect to receive inheritance -gtLT-D (β=0165 p=0001)
and Age-gtRisk Perception (β= -0069 p=0265)
Samra Chaudary
56
25 Discussion and Implications
Behavioral finance is a recent and emerging focal area in finance research Unlike
many other studies in this discipline (Li amp Liu 2008 Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al
2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) which have used students as a proxy of potential investors
this study has empirically examined relatively a large number of individual equity investors
as well as professional investors The study investigated the effect of five personality traits
on investment decisions in short-term and in long-term It was found that not all personality
types had a significant effect on investment decisions Contrary to the findings of Mayfield
et al (2008) who reported that individuals who are high on neuroticism were likely to avoid
short-term investment decisions This study found a significant positive impact of
neuroticism on short-term investment decision than on long-term investment decision (H1a
and H1b) as shown in table 7 These findings get support from Brandstatter (2011) who
found that neurotic individuals were anxious low on risk propensity (Brandstatter 2011)
more risk-averse (Borghans Heckman Golsteyn amp Meijers 2009) less risk-tolerant (Pak
amp Memood 2015) and lacked entrepreneurship behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006 Zhao
Seibert amp Lumpkin 2010b) Therefore neurotic investors were found in this study to
invest in short-term investment horizon as short-term investment entails relatively lower
risk Some other plausible reasons of H1a findings could be that neurotic individuals are
reported to be impulsive (Rosler et al 2004) insecure tense (Costa amp McCrae 1992
Salgado 1997) and were found to exhibit compulsive buying behavior (Muller amp de
Zwaan 2010) Therefore neurotic individuals prefer to invest in short-term investments
than in long-term investments
Personality and Investment Decisions
57
For extravert personality (H2a) this study reaffirms the findings of Mayfield et al
(2008) that investors with extravert personality were more likely to take immediate
decisions and preferred to invest in short-term investment as they are more optimistic and
energetic Extravert individuals were reported to be more confident about their investment
decisions (Pompain amp Longo 2004) and were found likely to trade more frequently (Tauni
et al 2016) However positive relationship between extraversion and LT-D found in this
study (H2b) support previous findings that extravert individuals are also risk-takers
(Becker Deckers Dohmen Falk amp Kosse 2012a Pan amp Statman 2013) and optimist
(Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) therefore these factors may have led them to
invest in long-term investments
For openness personality (H3a and H3b) our findings are in support of (Zhao amp
Seibert 2006 Zhao et al 2010b) who found that individuals with openness to experience
show entrepreneurial (risk-taking) behavior They show high-risk propensity in many areas
of decision-making of their life including financial decisions (Brandstatter 2011) Hence
there is no association between openness with short-term investments and show a
significant relationship with long-term investment decisions Individuals with openness
personality are less risk-averse in financial decision-making (Prinz Gruumlnder Hilgers
Holtemoumlller amp Vernaleken 2014) tough-minded and with active imagination (Costa amp
McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) as a result they showed a relationship with long-term
investments
The relationship of agreeable personality (H4a and H4b) with ST-D and LT-D was
found to be insignificant Agreeable personality had shown a negative relationship with the
willingness to take a risk (Brandstatter 2011) Empirical pieces of evidence have also
Samra Chaudary
58
shown that agreeable individuals are risk-averse (Borghans et al 2009) have low risk-
tolerance (Kubilay amp Bayrakdaroglu 2016) and have also shown extreme risk avoidance
behavior (Wang Xu Zhang amp Chen 2016) These individuals sometimes also show
juvenile and immature behavior (McCrae amp Costa 2008) they lack the skill for assessing
a better investment (Ivkoviacutec amp Weisbenner 2007) and showed lower return expectations
from their investments (Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) Therefore due to extreme risk
avoidance behavior and their lack of ability for assessing a better investment they probably
did not show association with short-term and long-term investment
The relationship of conscientiousness personality trait was not found significant
with short-term investment (H5a) but it was significant with long-term investment
decisions (H5b) The possible reason could be that conscientiousness individuals think
before acting (Brandstatter 2011) that gives them a long-term perspective As the stock
market was giving losses in the period of data collection due to some political uncertainty
therefore it is conjectured that it could be a possible reason for not investing in short-term
at that time Oehler and Wedlich (2018) found that conscientiousness individuals perceive
investments in stocks very risky and are very careful well organized and conscious about
their decision-making The authors also posited that individuals with conscientiousness and
agreeableness personality traits tended to have lower return expectations It may imply that
conscientiousness type would not like to invest in short-term as such investments offer
lower yields However on the other hand conscientiousness individuals are calculating
and show entrepreneurial (risky) behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) and these aspects were
reinforced the significant relationship of conscientiousness with long-term investments
decision in this study
Personality and Investment Decisions
59
Based on the standardized path coefficients shown in table 7 extravert personality was
the strongest predictor of short-term investment decision followed by neuroticism
Similarly extravert personality was the strongest predictor of long-term investment
decision followed by openness conscientiousness and neuroticism (at a low significance)
respectively Moreover it was found that two out of five personality traits showed an
impact on short-term investment decision and four out of five showed associations with
the long-term investment decision One of the plausible reasons for this phenomenon could
be the bear market condition at the time of data collection which supports Prospect Theory
As investors are generally risk averse and therefore were not willing to invest in short-term
horizon (at the time of data collection) particularly Another possible reason could be that
long-term investment decisions have low transaction costs (Della Croce Stewart amp
Yermo 2011 Gray 2006 Warren 2014) and carry higher risk as well as higher returns
(Dimson Marsh amp Staunton 2017 Von Thadden 1995) Long-term investors are reported
to be rewarded by higher returns (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) As the
respondents of this study are stock investors and stocks have outperformed in longer time
horizons (Dierkes et al 2010)
Our results support TPB which proposes individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest
in the stock market as predicted by (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008 Raut et al 2018)
The central idea of TPB is that planned behavior is determined by behavioral intentions
(Ajzen 2001) and that behavior can include conflicts between short-term and long-term
goals (Ajzen 1985 1991)
Furthermore this study linked personality traits and investment decisions through
risk perception in order to explore the relationship between five types of personality traits
Samra Chaudary
60
and investment decisions both short-term and long-term As shown in table 8 no
mediating effect of investorsrsquo risk perception between any personality type and short-term
investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However we found risk perception showed (different
types of) mediating effects between four personality types (except neuroticism- H6f) and
long-term investment decisions (H6g-H6j)
Precisely we found no direct effect of agreeableness (H6i) on long-term investment
decisions however the negative indirect effects of agreeableness on long-term investment
decision through risk perception were significant confirming indirect-only mediation This
implies that risk perception is the cause or in other words fully explains the relationship
between agreeable personality type and long-term investment decisions It seems agreeable
personality type has a higher risk perception that leads to a lower likelihood of investing in
long-term investment Moreover risk perception showed a complimentary mediating
effect for H6g H6h and H6j relationships These relationships already had significant
direct effects and now significant indirect effects too One potential reason of
complimentary mediation of risk perception is that there could be some other omitted
variables too that may mediate the relationship between extraversion openness and
conscientiousness personality types and long-term investment decision for example risk
tolerance or risk attitude etc Zhao et al (2010a) pointed out that complementary mediation
indicates to a theoretically interesting indirect effect It implies the possibility of presence
of more mediators and guides future researchers to explore more mediators that result in
an indirect only mediation model Another possible reason for complimentary mediation
could be the way risk perception was measured with subjective questions rather than
measuring it through an experimental design ie hypothetical lottery However Nosic and
Personality and Investment Decisions
61
Weber (2010) contended that asking onersquos risk attitude through the intuitive and
comprehensible question is a precise method than giving him a complex imaginary lottery
task Many studies have relied on asking subjective questions (Becker et al 2012a Josef
et al 2016 Pan amp Statman 2013) and the findings were more understandable when using
a subjective question than an experimental task (Becker et al 2012a)
Loewenstein et al (2001) had proposed a theoretical perspective termed ldquorisk as
feelingrdquo emphasizing that risk is a feeling which often affects individualsrsquo decisions
especially when such decisions involve risk and uncertainty They also posited that ldquorisk
as feelingrdquo mediates at least partially the relationship between an individuals cognitive
evaluation of risk and their behavioral response The findings showed support for RaF
theory related to the mediating role of risk perception As our result showed support for
hypotheses related to the mediating role of risk perception by emphasizing the mediating
role of risk perception in the relationship between three personality types and long-term
investment decisions Risk perception was not found to mediate relationships between
personality types and ST-D It is probably because short-term investment decisions are not
perceived relatively as risky as the long-term investment decisions are
The results of the relationship of personality types with ST-D and LT-D is imperative
for the financial planners to ensure that financial planners give to their customers are
obtaining best guidance This knowledge of the relationship between personality type and
investment decisions can also help professionals in recognizing the presence of behaviors
that may prevent their clients from attaining their short-term and long-term financial goals
(Baker et al 2017)
Samra Chaudary
62
It is recommended that money managers identify specific individualsrsquo personality types
with the aim to cater to investorsrsquo financial needs For example neurotic individuals can
be targeted for short-term investment and extroverts for both ST-D and LT-D The
importance of risk perception should also be considered while advising a specific
personality type with their investment decisions Moreover for an emerging economy like
Pakistan most personality types showed an association with long-term investments It may
be taken as a signal for the firms who want to raise capital from the market to issue long-
term securities Financial regulators such as Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan
(SECP) should encourage investors to invest in short-term investments too by providing
them confidence and protection The findings of this research provide a meaningful picture
to the money managers of the developing economies where markets are vulnerable
26 Conclusion and Future Research
This paper investigated the influence of Big-Five personality types on short-term and
long-term investment decisions Moreover the mediating role of risk perception was also
tested between all five types of personalities and two types of investment decisions ie
short term and long-term It was found that investors with higher neuroticism and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take short-term investment
decisions Nonetheless investors with higher openness conscientiousness and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take long-term investment
decisions Risk perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions With the growth of the economy peoplersquos wealth increases
Hence there is a growing need that wealth management function is performed by
Personality and Investment Decisions
63
professional money managers This function involves understanding clientsrsquo requirements
and delivering financial services accordingly Gathering data from real equity investors
(especially from professionals ie brokers and the institutional fund managers) was quite
challenging task in this study These professionals were not willing to leave their trading
screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short time They filled the
survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the evening) or on weekends
A major contribution of this study is the fact that this is very first research of this kind in
the context of a developing economy Unlike other studies this study has utilized Big-Five
personality traits for investigating their impact on investment behavior for short-term and
long-term investments However this line of investigation needs more empirical evidence
especially from developing countries This study extended the general model of planned
behavior (Ajzen 1991) and risk as feeling model (Loewenstein et al 2001) to another
domain of social behavior that is financial investment with two separate components
(short-term and long-term) Given the importance of these theories in the field of social
behavior this is a rich paradigm for interdisciplinary contributions
It should be admitted that other than Big-Five Personality types there are various other
psychological factors that might affect individualsrsquo investment decisions these were not
accounted for in this study In this study the focus was only on equity traders and future
studies can opt to select other types of instruments to investigate if investors exhibit similar
behavior as found in this study Future studies could test the impact of emotions moods
and weather on investment decisions These constructs can be measured in different ways
for example the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their stocks can be
captured through an experiment But again such research design might be challenging as
Samra Chaudary
64
theses professional traders might not be willing to participate because of the responsibility
of peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders Leaving their trading screens during
market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them Future studies can also explore
other mediators (eg risk attitude risk appetite etc) that may result in an indirect only
mediation model Future researchers can also opt to classify investment decision in a
different way than classifying into long and short time horizons Another aspect that can
be investigated in the future studies is managersrsquo experience differences in experience may
result in different investing behavior
Salience and Investment Decisions
65
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions
Differences Between Individual Investors and
Professional Investors
Abstract
The paper took a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to
investigate the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions The
study also investigated the group differences for two types of investorsrsquo groups ie
individual investors and professional investors It further explored group differences
between female investors and male investors The study used partial least square based
structural equation modeling technique measurement invariance test and multi-group
analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that salience has a significant
positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The impact was
almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the short-term
decision Furthermore multi-group analysis revealed that the two groups ie individual
investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other such that
the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was higher for
individual investors than for professional investors Moreover the parametric tests of
difference between two groups also showed that path coefficients of female investors were
significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for the short-term
decisions as well as for the long-term decisions The study has implications for financial
regulators money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual
investors and female investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with
sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification Thus individual investors and
Samra Chaudary
66
female investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to
improve their investment returns The study concludes with a discussion of policy and
regulatory implications of the results and suggests how to minimize salience bias in order
to build optimum and diversified portfolios The study has contributed to the growing body
of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance especially to the literature on
heuristics used by individuals while making investment decisions
Keywords heuristics salience familiarity bias investment decision behavioral finance
31 Introduction
Investment decisions are not merely driven by the fundamentals of a firm as advocated
by traditional finance theories but are also based on the attitudes (positive or negative) they
have developed for a specific corporation or a brand (De Vries et al 2017) Traditional
(standard) finance theories have been condemned in terms of their explanatory power and
the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et al (2016) criticized
the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first proposition postulates that
individuals behave rationally during the decision-making process as defined by the
expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that asset markets
are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and therefore endorsing the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
based on traditional portfolio theory proposed by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965)
theorized that investors should invest in the world market portfolio of risky securities for
maximum risk-adjusted returns However investors behave irrationally and assign more
weight to domestic investments in their portfolios They ignore the potential benefits of
diversification (Ahearne et al 2004 Chan Covrig amp Ng 2005) Refraining from
Salience and Investment Decisions
67
investing in the world market portfolio could be due to salience bias or from familiarity
effect Investors tend to experience a strong bias towards holding stocks of their home
country or local area (Hirshleifer 2001) The idea of bounded rationality led to many
researches to discuss various types of behavioral heuristics eg familiarity (home) bias
(Ahearne et al 2004 French amp Poterba 1991) disposition effect (Barberis amp Xiong
2009 Odean 1998) representativeness (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) herding (Wermers 1999) overconfidence (Barber amp Odean 2001 Statman
Thorley amp Vorkink 2006) anchoring (Furnham amp Boo 2011 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) framing (Choi Laibson Madrian amp Metrick 2004 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
This study investigates the impact of salience heuristic on investorsrsquo short-term and
long-term investment decisions It further examins the impact of salience on decision-
making between two groups of investors (individual investors and professional investors)
in the context of a developing economy Salience effect is one of the most robust cognitive
heuristics Salience was the most important heuristic among all as it showed the strongest
impact on decision-making (Yalcin et al 2016) Investors suffer most from salience than
other types of heuristics (Hirshleifer 2001)
Kumar and Goyal (2015) emphasized on the scarcity of studies on heuristics in
developing economies Developing countries have higher growth possibilities and
investors (individual and institutional) are more prone to invest in the stock market They
also highlighted that empirical studies based on the secondary data dominate the field and
there is a dearth of studies based on primary data in this area A handful of studies have
shown evidences that heuristics cause inevitable behavioral biases in investment decisions
from developed economies (Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Hirshleifer 2001 Tversky amp
Samra Chaudary
68
Kahneman 1986 Wang et al 2011 Yalcin et al 2016) and from developing economies
(De Vries et al 2017 Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016 Metawa et al 2019) The findings of
various studies were inconclusive in explaining these heuristic biases Therefore this study
has tried to provide the desired empirical evidence from the developing economy by using
a unique primary data set of professional money managers and individual investors who
have invested in the capital market
To the best of our knowledge the salience heuristic has never been systematically
studied with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive
power been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix II) The
present study is the first one to contribute empirically by investigating salience which is a
critical factor in determining ST-D and LT-D The primary reason for this research is to
investigate if salience matters in investment decision-making for stock investors This
research also contributes to the understanding of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market Moreover understanding investorsrsquo behavior can help
investors to avoid familiarity bias and can improve their investment decisions in choosing
investment services products and plans The study provides a significant and meaningful
contribution to the prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development
321 Prospect Theory
The notion of heuristics was introduced by Simon (1955) who suggested a behavioral
model of rational choice He contended that individuals have bounded rationality and their
decisions are constrained by both external (environmental) and internal (mental) factors
The bounded rationality models are also called models of heuristic cognition The idea of
Salience and Investment Decisions
69
bounded rationality gave birth to the discipline of behavioral finance as many researchers
revealed pieces of evidence against the validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) This line of research picked up pace when Kahneman
and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and got further recognition after
Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002 Prospect theory proposes that
when offered a gamble involving two or three outcome lotteries with some probability
investors make their decisions on the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather
than on the final outcomes of lotteries They choose the one with the highest value This
value function is based on gains and losses rather than on levels of wealth The function is
concave in the area of gain indicating risk-aversion and is a convex in the area of loss
indicating risk-taking Moreover the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in
the area of loss than in the area of gain which indicates that investors are generally risk-
averse A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors are more unpleasant by losses than they
are delighted by equivalent profits This phenomenon arises due to cognitive biases
(heuristics) that affect investorsrsquo assessment about expected value of these gains and losses
Many researches have successfully tested prospect theory in the domain of psychological
biases and decision-making (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al
2017 Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions
Heuristics are described as lsquointuitive rapid and automatic systems (Shiloh Salton
amp Sharabi 2002) which decrease the complication of calculating possibilities and
Samra Chaudary
70
predicting the values to simple judgemental operations (Tversky amp Kahneman 1974)
Heuristics are also described as ldquorule of thumbrdquo which are developed for quick and efficient
decision-making (Mishra 2014) and have gained the attention of researchers (Yalcin et al
2016) Investors use these shortcuts due to inadequate time and information (Aronson
1999) Tversky amp Kahneman (1974) pointed out that cognitive biases arise as people use
heuristics These heuristics are generally effective but they argued that the use of heuristics
lead to biases under some circumstances and result in irrational decisions Similarly De
Bondt (1998) pointed out that heuristic cues can result in poor investment selections
because they usually do not relate to the firmrsquos profitability
323 Salience and Investment Decision
Salience is also known as familiarity bias (Yalcin at al 2016) and familiarity was
reported to breed investment (Huberman 2001) The notions of salience familiarity
availability cues and home bias are largely used interchangeably in the literature and
these notions are categorized under salience heuristics (Yalcin et al 2016) The idea of
availability heuristic was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman (1973) suggesting that
selective triggering provides grounds for salience and availability effects The key
behavioral assumption of Merton (1987) model was that investors invest in familiar stocks
due to the fear of an unknown Investors believe that the riskiness of an unknown stock
was very high Furthermore Heath and Tversky (1991) laid down behavioral foundation
of the familiarity bias They showed that individuals would like to gamble in a situation
where they think themselves well-informed or capable as compared to a situation where
they consider themselves unfamiliar or unacquainted They also reported that investors at
times are ready to sacrifice the benefits of diversification and focus on few corporations
Salience and Investment Decisions
71
with which they are ostensibly familiar Similarly when people encounter with two risky
choices they feel more pleasant picking the acquainted (salient) one particularly in fast
decision-making situations (Fox amp Tversky 1995) The panic of making an error was the
key reason when investors select the unfamiliar choice People recall and locate these
salient cues from their memory in order to choose without assessing whether they are
correct or not (Huberman 2001) It is unavoidable to observe similar biases because
investment decisions involve choosing the one right choice from several options that
require a vigilant evaluation The assessment process needs effort and time Hence in order
to address the challenge of the decision-making process investors make use of salient
knowledge (Yalcin et al 2016) Numerous researches reported that investors prefer to
invest in corporations with which they are more familiar because doing so tends to escalate
their level of assurance and hopefulness (Barber Odean amp Zheng 2005 Huberman 2001
Jain amp Wu 2000 Sirri amp Tufano 1998) Generally it was seen that people are inclined
towards investment in local firms (home bias) employees tend to purchase their own
companyrsquos stocks and fans prefer to invest in the stocks of their favorite teamrsquos irrationally
(Nofsinger 2005) Swiss respondents perceived those products less risky which were easier
to understand and this behavior was likely to be driven by the familiarity bias (Wang et
al 2011) Similarly investors from Finland tended to invest in those companies which
share the investorsrsquo native language and socio-economic background For instance Finnish
investors speaking Swedish language prefer to trade stocks of firms that have financial
statements in Swedish and have Swedish-speaking CEOs than those who speak Finnish
language (Grinblatt amp Keloharju 2001) In addition Jaiyeoba and Haron (2016) also found
that the investment decisions of Malaysian retail investors were influenced by
Samra Chaudary
72
psychological biases Malaysian investors were found patriotic and their investment
decisions were dependent on the comfortable feeling rather than quantitative investigation
These findings imply that investors were influenced by psychological biases Antoniou
Olusi and Paudyal (2010) reported that investors do not earn extra profits by investing in
international stocks Investors can earn similar profits by investing in a portfolio of local
securities
Baker and Ricciardi (2014) documented that familiarity bias prevails when
investors prefer acquainted investments though they know the evident gains from
diversification Investors exhibit a fondness for native securities (local bias) with which
they are more comfortable and are also skewed towards the portfolios of local assets (home
bias) Home bias denotes to the condition when investors favor to invest in local assets as
compared to international securities in their portfolio The potential reasons behind
investing in local stocks were familiarity investor protection economic development
stock market development capital control (Chan et al 2005) information asymmetry
transaction costs investment obstructions inflation hedging (Kumar amp Goyal 2015)
Likewise Riff and Yagil (2016) confirmed the presence of home bias in ten developed
countries They observed the bias in three different market conditions (bull bear and
normal) It was found that home bias increased during the bear market period This study
collected data in the bear market conditions Hence it is expected that salience determines
investment decisions
H1 Salience has a positive effect on short-term investment decision
H2 Salience has a positive effect on long-term investment decision
Salience and Investment Decisions
73
The outcome of familiarity bias could result in the suboptimal composition of
portfolios To mitigate familiarity bias investors should spread out a wider net and expand
asset allocation in their portfolio to reduce risk and increase diversification benefits
Investing globally assists to circumvent familiarity bias (Norden 2010 Baker amp Ricciardi
2014) Sizemore (2012) has suggested that to avoid familiarity bias investors who admire
a firmrsquos product should try to invest in one of the rivals because taking too accurate
investment decisions will be a mistake Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) investigated the
influence of investorsrsquo protection on portfolio returns and asset allocation Investors choose
to invest more in foreign stocks in countries where investorsrsquo protection was fragile In
addition investor protection showed a positive impact on shareholder returns It implies
that salience bias can be reduced and portfolio returns can be improved by increasing
investor protection
Kumar and Goetzmann (2003) found that investors who desire for skewness in
returns have relatively greater familiarity bias and are overconfident and hold a less
diversified portfolio Such bias was found to affect the returns ie investors with the least
diversified portfolio earned 240 lower return annually than the investors with the most
diversified portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Investors who demonstrate overconfident
behavior generally face severe consequences (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) and end up with
little investment returns as they fail to diversify their portfolios appropriately (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2015) One does not need to develop feelings towards any stock Loving a stock
will not respond back with love and developing hate for a stock will also not provide
contentment lsquoInvest in what you know which was also known as lsquoPeter Lynch biasrsquo will
make investors see only what they want to see in the stock (Sizemore 2012) If investors
Samra Chaudary
74
like a firm it did not essentially mean that it was a good investment and will yield a high
profit on investment This action may lead to investment in suboptimal portfolios which
can lead to lower returns or even losses (De Vries et al 2017) Less familiarity and high
information costs hinder investors from investing across the globe (Chan et al 2005)
Weber Siebenmorgen and Weber (2005) provides evidence that investing in a familiar
stock decreases risk perception of holding it Certainly this miscalculation of the risk of
familiar stock could possibly preserve home bias in investorrsquos portfolios
324 Institutional Investors and Salience
Coval and Moskowitz (1999) reported that professional money managers within
the US prefer to invest in small-sized domestic corporations whose headquarters are near
to their home town Likewise Strong and Xu (2003) documented that money managers are
likely to trade in familiar stocks and are prone to home bias Chan et al (2005) investigated
the investment of mutual funds from twenty-six developed and developing economies
They found that managers of these mutual funds collectively assign a bigger portion to
domestic stocks Results show that local investors give more importance to domestic
markets and the presence of home bias was significantly influenced by familiarity and
stock market development Foreign investors more or less give importance to the foreign
markets and international bias was significantly affected by capital controls economic
development and withholding tax Professional investment managers from the US and
Taiwan (Olsen 1997) and retail investors from Malaysia (Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016) have
also exhibited a desirability bias and patriotic (home bias) behavior respectively Money
managers were reported not to invest in foreign stocks due to high transaction costs
currency risk asymmetric information and implicit risk which was embedded in
Salience and Investment Decisions
75
international markets Nonetheless behavioral reason for this phenomenon could be that
these institutional managers are overconfident and high on nationalism repentance and
social identification (Schwartz 2010)
Borges Goldstein Ortmann and Gigerenzer (1999) constructed portfolios on the
basis of the stocks recognition by German and American finance students (experts) and
laymen (people walking in the streets) The authors purchased the most identified stocks
and compared their returns against large mutual funds and stock markets in the US and
Germany They found that recognized stocks performed better than unrecognized stocks
Additionally the portfolio performance based on the ability of laymen to identify stocks
beats that of a portfolio based on recognition by finance students (experts) who should at
least have some passing interest in investing Individuals with less investment knowledge
can rely on recognition heuristic A professional investor who was familiar with most of
the stocks in the stock market cannot practice this heuristic According to Goldstein and
Gigerenzer (2002) recognition heuristic was a strong instrument and perhaps the only
strategy that works best in the situation of lack of knowledge It seemed that the lack of
information was perhaps a delightful thing for investors The evidence about experts who
made a bad investment portfolio on the basis of their identification of the stock proposed
that lack of knowledge was perhaps not too bad for investors (Forbes Hudson Skerratt amp
Soufian 2015)
325 Individual Investors and Salience
Individual investors in particular are unwise who hold stocks of their company
state or country instead of investing in an unknown or less familiar one (Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba 1991) Individual investors are less sophisticated and tend to take poorer
Samra Chaudary
76
investment decisions than financial advisors because individual investors are overconfident
and suffer from various biases (Baker et al 2017) De Vries et al (2017) investigated a
sample of students and found that when selecting between different companies these
potential shareholders in South Africa showed familiarity bias in their investing behavior
Tesar and Werner (1995) found that because of high transaction costs shareholders are
convinced to choose domestic equity instead of putting their money in international stocks
that yield higher returns Ahearne et al (2004) investigated the direct and indirect barriers
to foreign investment for US investors The direct barriers were the intensity of capital
controls high transaction costs (implicit and explicit) regulations on the institutions by the
country (restrictions on foreign ownership of equities) and the indirect barrier was
information cost Information cost was found to be the most important barrier which can
be reduced if the international company sets up its plant in the US It will make US
investors more familiar with its commodities US investors might invest in international
stocks of those firms with whose products they are most familiar Foreign companies that
do not minimize information costs by choosing not to list in the US regulatory system
have less weight in US investorsrsquo portfolios Kang and Stulz (1997) also reaffirmed that
investors from US tended to invest only in familiar international firms in Japan Likewise
Seasholes and Zhu (2010) found that investors are more likely to invest in domestic stocks
due to the existence of information asymmetry among investors Information asymmetry
is an unexpected obstacle to international investment in the home bias puzzle Karlsson
and Norden (2007) reported that individuals invest in their home country because they are
overconfident and they want to hedge against inflation Cooper and Kaplanis (1994) found
a negative association between earnings and inflation Moreover they elucidated that
Salience and Investment Decisions
77
investors hedge risk and get shield against inflation through local stocks and are vulnerable
to home bias This study investigates if the effect of salience on short-term investment is
different for individual investors and institutional investors Furthermore this research also
investigates if the effect of salience on long-term investment is different for individual
investors and institutional investors
H3 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
H4 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
326 Gender and Salience
Numerous studies in the discipline of psychology and sociology showed that females
were more risk-averse than males (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac 2018 Byrnes Miller
amp Schafer 1999 Hinz McCarthy amp Turner 1997) In making financial decisions
Bajtelsmit et al (1999) also posited that women showed higher risk aversion in the wealth
allocation into the defined contribution pension plan Olsen and Cox (2001) focused on
male and female investment professionals and found that men and women perceived and
responded to risk differently They suggested that cultural factors might be accountable for
this risk related gender effect
Gender had shown a significant effect on investment decision in the Egyptian financial
market (Metawa et al 2019) More men than women indicated that they found investment
exciting Men tended to be actively engaged in investments and change their assets in the
portfolio with time (Hira amp Loibl 2008) Many research studies found that males tended
to have a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Mayfield et al
Samra Chaudary
78
2008 Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et al 2000 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Tekce Yılmaz
and Bildik (2016) reported that young male Turkish investors suffered more from
familiarity bias Moreover familiarity bias showed a significant impact on the investment
performance of the Amman stock exchange However the impact was not found to be
statistically significantly different for female and male investors (Alrabadi Al-Abdallah
amp Aljarayesh 2018)
Anderson Fedenia Hirschey and Skiba (2011) conducted a survey in more than sixty
countries to determine the international diversification of professionally managed
portfolios It was found that portfolios from countries characterized by higher levels of
masculinity showed lower levels of familiarity bias and displayed more diversified
portfolios with foreign holdings Cao Han Hirshleifer and Zhang (2009) concluded that
higher familiarity leads to lower risk judgment Mohammadi and Shafi (2018) investigated
differences in the behavior of male and female investors using equity data of Swedish
firms They found a greater risk-averse behavior in female investors as opposed to male
investors Women were found less likely to invest in the stocks of younger firms and high-
tech companies Similarly in an investment decision realm women invest less and are
more risk-averse than men (Charness amp Gneezy 2007) In a sample from Switzerland
Wang et al (2011) also observed gender differences and argued that in general both
genders were impacted by the familiarity bias The asset classes that were easier to
understand were also considered less risky and vice versa Females considered equity more
difficult to understand and also perceived equity riskier than males did However there
was an exception that male respondents were not influenced by familiarity bias for blue-
chip stocks Even though males perceived that blue-chip shares were considerably easier
Salience and Investment Decisions
79
to understand than females did they still considered blue-chip shares were risky
investment which suggested that the males were not biased by their self-perceived
understanding about blue-chip stocks Karlsson and Norden (2007) reported that gender
and familiarity with risky assets are significant factors for the choice of home investment
for Swedish investors Moreover older males tended to be more home biased However
this result was not found for females Feng and Seasholes (2008) found that females and
males suffered equally from home bias in Chinese financial markets Home bias and
portfolio performance were not found statistically significantly different between males
and females Prast Rossi Torricelli and Sansone (2015) conducted a study in Netherlands
in which they constructed a ldquopinkrdquo portfolio (with shares that were thought to be more
familiar to women) and a ldquobluerdquo portfolio (with shares that were more familiar to men)
Respondents were asked to distribute pension wealth between a Treasury bond and a
pinkblue portfolio It was tested if familiarity with the portfolio increases femalesrsquo
participation in the stock market and risk-taking It was found that familiarity affects the
choice between bonds and stocks favoring bonds only for women above 60 years
Seiler Seiler Harrison and Lane (2013) examined familiarity bias in the real estate
context The authors investigated the impact of familiarity bias on perceived future home
price movements The respondents of the study perceived house as the largest investment
(and consumption good) The survey was conducted in 20 US states to examine
homeownersrsquo perception of future home price movements of the house in which they lived
They found that gender derived familiarity bias differences Women were found to
consistently suffer more from familiarity bias as compared to men The study also
suggested that the longer one lives in a house the greater is hisher affection to it and the
Samra Chaudary
80
more one is expected to ignore its bad features and emphasize on the good ones Hence
longer home lease resulted in the overestimation of future price movements as compared
to the other houses (with which respondents were less acquainted) In another real estate
study by Seiler Seiler Traub and Harrison (2008) familiarity bias was more significantly
prominent for females of North America The Asian women exhibited familiarity bias to a
lesser extent Ang de Jong and van der Poel (2014) also found that longer tenancy resulted
in greater familiarity bias Hence based on these arguments it can be proposed that for
women the impact of salience on investment decision would be higher as compared to men
Similarly salience bias would have a stronger impact on LT-D than ST-D Figure 31
illustrates the structural model about the relationship of salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions across different groups
H5 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
H6 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions
Salience and Investment Decisions
81
33 Data and Methodology
331 Measures
The study has adopted instruments from the existing literature for the in order to
measure the latent variables Three items of short-term investment decisions (ST-D) and
four items of long-term investment decision (LT-D) were adopted from Mayfield et al
(2008) The scale of salience had five items and was adopted from Yalcin et al (2016) All
the constructs were measured on a likert scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree)
332 Methods
3321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this survey
were those who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange The sample included
professional money managers working in financial institutions and individual investors
who have invested in the Pakistan Stock Exchange Professional money managers were
working in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management
companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks whereas individual stock
investors were from varying backgrounds Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate
and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent of investors and Lahore
has 18 percent of investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence by collecting data
from these two cities the aim was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs
of the country where 92 percent investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were received and only
277 were found useable thus almost 35 percent was the response rate
Samra Chaudary
82
The investment industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated hence our sample
consisted of almost 80 percent males and 20 percent females The sample had 59 percent
professional money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60 percent
respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either separated or
divorced Eighty-seven percent respondents were employed 12 percent were business
owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent of the respondents
had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent
respondents did not expect any future inheritance Fifty-eight percent respondents
perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent perceived themselves in
upper middle class and only 3 percent perceived themselves to belong to the upper class
and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class Eighty-six percent
respondents responded their upbringing was in the urban areas and 14 percent respondents
had their upbringing in rural areas The average age of respondents was 32 years and
monthly income was Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million per month respectively The average
education was 16 years On average respondents had 4 years of investment experience in
the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average amount invested by them in stocks was PKR
10 million
3322 Data Analyses
This paper has opted to use partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to several reasons Firstly it does not require data to be normally distributed (Hair et
al 2012) and shows higher statistical power than CB-SEM for complex models with small
sample sizes (Reinartz Haenlein amp Henseler 2009) Secondly PLS-SEM has minimum
Salience and Investment Decisions
83
demand for measurement scales sample size and residual distribution (Wold 1985)
Thirdly this approach focuses on predictive analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation is
to maximize the variance of the endogenous variables explained by the exogenous
variables (Hair et al 2014) Fourthly to evaluate the statistical significance of the
parameter estimates Smart PLS3 software reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals
(Hair et al 2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling procedure takes
subsamples from the original sample of observation and estimates the model parameters of
each subsample and then report significance of the estimated coefficients thereby
substantiating the robustness of the results (Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the
significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS can be used
for theory confirmation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not present
(Chin 1998) PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory
development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
Results from PLS-SEM method are as worthy (and conservative) as from CB-SEM
approach (Hair et al 2014) Although PLS-SEM has some weaknesses for example
results tend to overestimate the factor loadings and underestimate structural relationship
and R-square Similarly CB-SEM also has some shortcomings ie results tend to inflate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander et al (2015)
have proposed that PLS-SEM is a conservative approach Table 31 depicts the
correlations descriptive statistics and square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision and salience Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term
Samra Chaudary
84
investment decision and long-term investment decision was 0518 (p=0000) and between
short-term investment decision and salience was 0359 (p=0000) Similarly long-term
investment decision also showed positive correlation with salience with Pearsonrsquos
correlation value of 0515 (p=0000) Salience was found to be more positively correlated
with long-term investment decision than with short-term investment decision
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
Short-term
Investment
Decision
Long-term
Investment
Decision
Salience
Short-term
Investment
Decision
3113 0779 (0742)
Long-term
Investment
Decision
3311 0846 0518 (0728)
Salience 3039 0827 0359 0515 (0728)
Note Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
34 Results
341 Measurement Model
Factor loadings for each indicator of the latent construct were 065 or above and
were found to be statistically significant as the values for t-statistics were above 196
(Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) Bootstrapping with 2000 subsamples was
done to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) A minimum of
three items must load significantly on each factor in a multidimensional scale
(Raubenheimer 2004 Velicer amp Fava 1998) and that was the case here The estimates of
standardized factor loadings for short-term investment decision ranged from 0675 to 0775
(tgt196) for long-term investment decision the range was 0713-0758 (tgt196) and for
salience the range of items loading was found to be 0651-0798 (tgt196)
Salience and Investment Decisions
85
Internal consistency of latent constructs was measured through composite
reliability (CR) which should be higher than 07 (Hair et al 2012) and that was the case
for all latent constructs in this research The estimates of composite reliability were 0786
for short-term investment decision 0819 for long-term investment decision and 0889 for
salience Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et al 2012) for each latent construct
The values for AVE were 0552 for short-term investment decision 0531 for long-term
investment decision and 0531 for salience
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was measured through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015) According to Fornell-Larcker criteria
the square root of AVE of each latent construct should be greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover the Heterotrait-
Monotrait (HTMT) ratio should be less than one as shown in table 33 Common method
bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each construct through variance
inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test was carried out twice with both
dependent variables once with short-term investment decision and once with the long-term
investment decision No common method bias was found in both the tests as the VIF values
for all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015) The results of the measurement model
are reported in table 32
Samra Chaudary
86
Table 32 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements
Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0675 10544
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0775 18354
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to
that of professional managers 0772 16482
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings
for investingsavingretirement purposes 0758 21972
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple
asset classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate
etc)
0713 15358
I intend to take an investment course 0737 20616
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum
gross return rather than tax and cost efficiency 0714 18643
Salience (Yalcin et
al 2016)
Expert opinions in written and visual media should
be taken into consideration when investing 0744 20780
A companyrsquos stock which is often in the media
with favorable news coverage should be preferred
when investing
0668 15584
To invest in companies that have a good brand
name is important to me 0798 32446
It is risky to invest in relatively unknown public
companies rather than known ones 0770 20525
I believe that investors should purchase the stock
of the company they work for if it is well run 0651 13806
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0786 0552
Long-term Investment Decision 0819 0531
Salience 0849 0531
Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Long-term Investment Decision Salience Short-term Investment
Decision
Long-term Investment Decision
Salience 0691
Short-term Investment Decision 0788 0526
Salience and Investment Decisions
87
342 Structural Model
The following section reports the direct effects of salience on short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates (path coefficients)
of the structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The coefficient of determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous)
variables were not below 010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) Moreover the effect size was
reported for each direct effect through F- square test (Cohen 1988) with a cut-off at 002
015 and 035 for a small medium and large effect size of the independent variable
(Henseler et al 2009) The predictive relevance of the model was also estimated by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
et al 2012) A value of 08 or higher is recommended as sufficient in behavioral studies
for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 35 summarizes the results of the direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between salience and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with large effect size (β=
03295 p= 0000 f2= 0150) Similarly the association between salience and LT-D (H2)
was also found significantly positive with almost 15 times higher beta magnitude and with
a large effect (β= 05017 p= 0000 f2= 0363) The coefficient of determination of salience
with LT-D is higher (R2= 0340) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0224) Hence relationships with LT-D have shown more explanatory power than the
relationships with ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each
Samra Chaudary
88
exogenous construct (salience) in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous
latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) All the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical
power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high probability of the presence of the
relationships between all exogenous latent variables and endogenous latent variables A
high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness of the sample size
We have included age gender income education size of the investment portfolio
and investment experience as control variables in our model These variables have
relevance in the model of salience (heuristic) and investment decisions (Yalcin et al
2016) Agarwal et al (2007) also reported that age had an effect on financial decision In
addition to that other studies have also stated that males were more inclined towards both
short-term and long-term investments than females (Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et
al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001)
Results of control variables showed that only age and investment experience
showed a significant impact on ST-D and LT-D Age showed a significant inverse
relationship with both types of investment decisions Older investors tended to take less
short-term investment decisions than long-term investment decisions Moreover the more
investment experience one has the more short-term investment decision heshe takes
Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Coefficient p-values f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1 Salience -gt ST-D 03295 0000 0150 0224 0091 0999
H2 Salience -gt LT-D 05017 0000 0363 0340 0146 1000
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0245 p=0004) Income-gtST-D (β= -00021 p=0979) Education-gtST-D (β=
00237 p=0728) Investment Experience-gtST-D (β= 0240 p=0001) size of investment portfolio -gtST-D (β= -00257
p=0703) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0147 p=0024) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0041 p=0809) Education-gtLT-D (β= 0636
p=0308) Investment Experience-gtLT-D (β= 0148 p=0047) and size of investment portfolio -gtLT-D (β= 0014
p=0736)
Salience and Investment Decisions
89
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment
In order to conduct multi-group analysis (MGA) one fundamental condition is to
establish the measurement invariance between the groups (Steenkamp amp Baumgartner
1998) ie the measurement model is not statistically different between two groups
Measurement invariance inquires the vital question if the measurement of latent variables
differs between groups (Xu amp Tracey 2017) Therefore any moderations that we may
observe should be due to the differences in the type of investors rather than measurement
differences For this purpose measurement invariance of composite models (MICOM) test
was performed in order to establish that the measurement of the (outer) model is same
between 2 groups (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016)
The MICOM method comprises of three steps (1) to establish configural invariance
(ie equal parameterization and model estimation) (2) to establish compositional
invariance (ie equal indicator weights) and (3) to establish the equality of composite
mean values and variances If configural and compositional invariance (step1 and step2)
are confirmed partial measurement invariance is supported which permits one to compare
the path coefficients between the groups Additionally if partial measurement invariance
holds and the composite means and variances are equal between the groups (step 3) full
measurement invariance is established
Running MICOM in SmartPLS automatically establishes configural invariance
(step1) (Garson 2016) The statistical output does not apply to this step and is not shown
The composite or measured invariance (step 2) is examined The correlation (c) should not
be significantly different from one As shown in table 36 all the correlation (c) in our
original data are within the confidence interval hence the null hypothesis cannot be
Samra Chaudary
90
rejected and therefore no c is significantly different from 1 (p gt 005) supporting the
compositional invariance of our model The term c value denotes the correlation between
composite scores using the weights attained from the first group (professional investor)
and composite scores using the weights attained from the second group (individual
investor) Step 3 evaluates the means differences (step 3a) and variances differences (step
3b) between the groups The null hypothesis is that the differences between the means and
the variances of the variables are 0 The results showed that in both cases (steps 3a and 3b)
all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2 groups namely individual
investors and professional investors
The MICOM test was performed in smart PLS with 5000 permutations (Ringle
Wende amp Becker 2015) The results of MICOM test are presented in table 36 confirmed
the partial measurement invariance for both the groups (individual investors and
professional investors) supporting the pertinence of the multi-group test (Henseler et al
2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Similarly MICOM test was executed to establish that the measurement model is
same between 2 groups namely female investors and male investors The correlation (c)
were not significantly different from one (step 2) The results also showed that in both
cases (steps 3a and 3b) all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2
groups namely female investors and male investors To sum up the statistical outcome of
the MICOM test is shown in table 37 confirmed the partial measurement invariance for
both the groups (ie female investors and male investors) supporting the appropriateness
of the multi-group analysis test (Henseler et al 2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Salience and Investment Decisions
91
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and Professional
Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0965 [0941 1000] 0254 Yes
LT-D 0985 [0968 1000] 0097 Yes
Salience 0992 [0980 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -0287 [-0237 0243] 0022 No
LT-D -0119 [-0247 0233] 0327 Yes
Salience -0077 [-0244 0217] 0534 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D -0006 [-0350 0308] 0796 Yes
LT-D -0166 [-0305 0263] 0249 Yes
Salience -0099 [-0292 0302] 0494 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0946 [0826 1000] 0017 No
LT-D 0986 [0961 1000] 0934 Yes
Salience 0989 [0970 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -00006 [-0300 0313] 0693 Yes
LT-D -00007 [-0296 0296] 0100 Yes
Salience -00009 [-0308 0300] 0186 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D 0025 [-0357 0443] 0330 Yes
LT-D 0030 [-0337 0419] 0402 Yes
Salience 0019 [-0341 0387] 0699 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Samra Chaudary
92
344 Multi-group Analysis
Once the measurement invariance model was established a multi-group analysis
was then executed Multi-group analysis (MGA) has numerous benefits a) It permits to
analyze whether parameters of the measurement model andor path model are alike
(invariant) between 2 groups namely individual investors and professional investors
(Chin Mills Steel amp Schwarz 2016) b) It predominantly delivers a robust check of the
validity of the measurement model and replicability of the structural model in different
contexts (Calvo-Mora Navarro-Garciacutea Rey-Moreno amp Perianez-Cristobal 2016) c) It is
also useful to draw analogy within a research whether to evaluate theoretical differences
between subgroups of the same population or across populations in the instance of
culturally diverse study (Fawcett Wallin Allred Fawcett amp Magnan 2011) Two groups
of investors (individual investors and professional investors) were used for multi-group
analysis It was found that both groups were statistically significantly different from each
other such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions
was higher in case of individual investors than in case of professional investors
Furthermore it was found that the path coefficient difference for short-term investment
decisions is almost 15 times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term
investment decisions The difference in path coefficients implies that individual investors
suffer more from salience bias than professional investors especially for short-term
investment decisions in case of both groups The direct effect of salience on the short-term
and long-term investment decision for both groups are shown in table 37 The parametric
tests of difference between the two groups are reported in table 38 show that path
coefficients of individual investors were significantly different from path coefficient of
Salience and Investment Decisions
93
professional investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path coefficient difference was
large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors
(Professional Investors) (Individual Investors)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0236 0000 2519 0097 0078 0477 0000 7502 0337 0242
Salience -gt
LT-D 0454 0000 8148 0315 0229 0609 0012 1065 0655 0384
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Individual
-
Professional
p-value
Individual
vs
Professional
t-value
Individual
vs
Professional
f2 diff
Individual
-
Professional
R2 diff
Individual
- Professional
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0241 0023 2291 0235 0175
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0155 0048 1986 033 0168
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
In addition to individual and professional investors two groups of investors (ie
female and male investors) were used for multi-group analysis It was found that both
groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other such that the impact
of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was higher in the case of
female investors than in the case of male investors Furthermore it was found that path
coefficient difference for short-term investment decisions is almost 2 times higher than the
Samra Chaudary
94
path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions The difference in path
coefficients implies that female investors suffer more from salience bias than male
investors for both short-term and long-term investment decisions The direct effect of
salience on the short-term and long-term investment decision for both groups (ie female
and male) are shown in table 310 The parametric tests of difference between two groups
are reported in table 311 show that path coefficients of female investors were significantly
different from path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path
coefficient difference was large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females
(Females) (Males)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0642 0000 8032 0775 0419 0316 0000 4496 0120 0104
Salience -gt
LT-D 0692 0000 1051 0992 0483 0516 0000 1086 0374 0269
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Female
-
Male
p-value
Female
vs
Male
t-value
Female
vs
Male
f2 diff
Female
-
Male
R2 diff
Female
-
Male
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0326 0001 3222 0655 0315
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0176 0024 2013 0618 0214
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Salience and Investment Decisions
95
35 Discussion and Implications
The results show that salience had shown a significant positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions This finding got support from Mousavi and
Gigerenzer (2014) who stated that besides the availability of plenty of information which
is often available individuals make their decisions which are based on gut feelings This
result was also consistent with Wang et al (2011) who posited that individuals who have
a better knowledge of an asset class perceive it to have a lower risk and a higher expected
return That could be one of the reasons for having a significant positive sign of salience
with both ST-D and LT-D Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) reported that stronger investor
protection leads to higher domestic investments Correspondingly Securities Exchange
Commission of Pakistan is fully determined to ensure investor protection to provide
maximum information and to promote investor confidence in order to boost financial
planning and decision-making (SECP 2016) Another plausible reason for this
phenomenon could be due to the bear market condition at the time of data collection as
suggested by Riff and Yagil (2016) Therefore investors have shown an impact of salience
heuristic on domestic stock market investments in short-term as well as in the long-term
Furthermore it was found that beta coefficient for long-term investment was one and a half
times higher and effect size was almost two and a half times higher than the beta coefficient
and the effect size for short-term investment The possible reason for this result could be
that investing in a familiar stock in the long-term would increase investorsrsquo trust and
confidence about higher returns Investors were also found to invest in familiar short-term
investments but the impact was seen higher for long run as long-term investment yields
higher return Familiarity breeds trust and trust establishes long-term commitment (Gulati
Samra Chaudary
96
1995 Wilson McNellis amp Latham 2018) Moreover familiarity knowledge and
confidence are positively associated (Shawahna et al 2017) Familiarity influences
confidence which in turn affects buying decisions (Laroche Kim amp Zhou 1996) and long-
term commitments (Ganesan1994) In addition evidence have shown that markets are
expected to be in equilibrium in the long run (Hopenhayn 1992 Marshall 1961 Shachat
amp Zhang 2017) But in short run higher volatility of small-capitalization stocks is reported
to result in significant capital losses (Roll 1983)
Investors like to hedge their losses (Odean 1998) so they do not repent later
Therefore investing in familiar long-term securities is likely to make them feel relatively
safe in terms of risk and return Healthier long-run growth prospects are reported to reward
long-term investors (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) and stocks have
outperformed in longer time horizons (Dierkes et al 2010) Baker and Ricciardi (2014)
have also recommended investing in long-term for superior performance than short-term
investments They suggested that investors should invest in the long-term rather than
investing in short-term portfolios A better performance of short-term investment may be
found due only to good luck than stock selection skill or market timing expertise
In the multi-group analysis this study found that individual investors and money
managers were influenced positively by the impact of salience in their short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover both groups were significantly different from each
other such that professional money managers were less influenced by salience to invest in
familiar stocks as compared to individual investors in short-term as well as in long-term
The effect of salience was seen higher for long-term investment than for short-term
investment decision The findings are aligned with (Baxter 1994 French amp Poterba 1991)
Salience and Investment Decisions
97
who found that individual investors especially invest in more familiar stocks Gigerenzer
(2014) also found that managers acknowledge that almost half of their professional
decisions are intuitive decisions These decisions are based on their familiarity after
acknowledging all the available information Sternad and Kennelly (2017) also report that
managers have a long-term orientation in their decisions which is determined by
institutional factors Managerial long-run orientation can also generate and sustain higher
returns for their clients The findings also gave an indication that professional money
managers were more likely to strive for diversified and optimal portfolio construction for
their clients in the long run as they were found to relying less on salience heuristic Long-
term securities possess higher risk as well as a higher return (Dimson et al 2017 Von
Thadden 1995) It was also found that the path coefficient difference between individual
investors and professional investors for short-term investment decisions was almost 15
times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions These
findings get support from (Fox amp Tversky 1995 Mishra 2014) that heuristics are used for
quick and efficient decision-making
Professional money managers should rely less on salience heuristic in order to
achieve a diversified and optimal portfolio An optimal portfolio provides maximum
returns (wealth) at a given level of risk (Markovitz 1952) More wealth increases
household consumption The high consumption should strengthen the overall economy
(Poterba 2000) Moreover high returns from optimal portfolios would allow individuals
for early retirement as they have higher savings which enhances the welfare of the society
(Chai Horneff Maurer amp Mitchell 2011) Higher yields would also encourage investors
to invest more in the stock market (Daniel amp Hirshleifer 2015) which could lead to higher
Samra Chaudary
98
productivity and growth of capital markets (Pagano 1993) and result in economic growth
(Paramati Ummalla amp Apergis 2016)
The study also investigated the group difference between female investors and male
investors It was found that female and male investors were significantly different from
each other The impact of salience was found to be higher for females than for males for
both short-term and long-term investment This supports the work of Seiler et al (2013)
and Seiler et al (2008) who also found that women consistently suffered more from
familiarity bias when they were asked to value their homes (in which they resided) in the
future Females tended to be more risk-averse then men (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac
2018 Byrnes et al 1999 Hinz et al 1997) and were found with lower level of comfort
with maths (Hayes amp Kelly 1998) could be another reason of them investing in familiar
investments only in both short-term and long-term Moreover Estes and Hosseini (1988)
reported that women had substantially less confidence in their investment decisions than
men This may be one of the reasons for the observed difference in higher salience for
women towards their investment decision for both long-term and short-term In addition to
that men tended to be over-confident in stock trading (Barber amp Odean 2001) and female
investors were likely to assign more weight to probability of loss and uncertainty than
male investors do (Olsen amp Cox 2001) could be other plausible cause of this phenomenon
The beta coefficients of LT-D were found higher than the beta coefficients for ST-D for
both men and women This outcome was also consistent with the explanation by Ang et al
(2014) who posited that lengthier tenure leads to greater familiarity bias
Investors should be mindful that salience investment strategy could also give rise
to the mispricing of the familiar companiesrsquo stocks High demand for familiar firmsrsquo stocks
Salience and Investment Decisions
99
would lead to an upsurge in stock price resulting in the overvaluation of those shares This
price rise will only withstand if familiar firms provide ample returns to support higher stock
prices However if familiar firms are not able to provide adequate returns their stock price
would ultimately settle downwards If investors successfully recognize the mispriced
equity triggered by familiarity bias they might realize profits from subsequent arbitrage
opportunities (De Vries et al 2017)
To sum up findings of this research conform with the Prospect theory (De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998) The results of this study will help money managers to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on salience and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification Moreover investment professionals can also
advise their clients how to avoid familiarity bias during the investment decision-making
process Salience is a critical heuristic to understand and to improve the quality of
investorsrsquo investment decision An effective financial adviser would require an
understanding of investorsrsquo psychological biases to implement well-planned investment
strategies The findings will also help regulatory authorities such as SECP to improve
investor protection rights and to enhance the functioning of stock market Professional
money managers from brokerage houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may
also deliver superior service and provide sound guidance to their customers once they are
aware of salience heuristic which can hamper their investment decisions Domestic firms
should publicly list their stocks in international stock exchanges to increase the familiarity
and decrease the information cost and such actions may encourage foreigners to invest in
stocks of such companies (Ahearne et al 2004)
Samra Chaudary
100
Women prefer less risk and are less confident than men when it comes to
investment decision so it is important to identify areas of their concerns related to money
matters An investment literacy program for women is needed especially in a developing
country like Pakistan This investment understanding could shape womenrsquos confidence and
influence their money matters and investment decision Moreover females represent a tiny
sample in the financial industry Therefore there is an immense need to target more females
in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
Lastly the findings will help both national and international financial regulatory
bodies and supervisory authorities for their better performance in managing financial
anomalies triggered by behavioral heuristics Foreign firms should also work towards
awareness transparency and investor protection so that investors can have confidence in
an international firm and they can diversify their portfolios internationally to enjoy higher
returns
36 Conclusion and Future Research
This study has made an attempt to investigate the influence of salience on long-
term and short-term investment decisions of the individual investor and professional
investors The study presented robust findings indicating the presence of the salience bias
for an emerging stock market It was found that salience has a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience
on short-term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for individual
investors than for professional investors In addition to that the impact of salience on short-
term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for females than for male
investors
Salience and Investment Decisions
101
The outcomes of this study are likely to assist in understanding the decision-making
perspectives of local investors The findings of this groundwork will aid to understand the
decision-making perspectives of local investors The instruments used in this study were
found to be valid and reliable and had been used in studies done in developed economies
It is critical that the same instrument should be used to generalize results across different
emerging economies as well especially As there were only 20 percent females in the
sample due to male-dominated industry the results need generalization from other
countries Future studies can investigate the impact of other heuristics on investment
horizons Future researchers can also pursue the inquiry if gender interacted with other
demographic variables such as marital status age and income have different investment
decisions The sample for this study was collected in the time of bearsrsquo market conditions
Upcoming research can collect data in bulls market and investigate if salience bias still
persists This study has relied on self-reported and perceptual data to measure heuristics
Future studies can make use of objective measures of heuristics However developing such
a measure for investors could be tremendously challenging Future research can also
investigate the influence of salience bias on investments decision by comparing investment
performance results in familiar and unfamiliar firms Market inefficiencies due to the
presence of asymmetric information are likely to lead to selection bias and future
researchers can explore this area Such investigation may help identify the presence of
potential arbitrage profit opportunities
Samra Chaudary
102
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Interaction of Income and Inheritance
Abstract
The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the Prospect theory the
theory of Planned Behavior and Monetary Intelligence theory to investigate the impact of
Love of Money (LoM) on short-term and long-term investment decisions It further
investigates the moderating effect of current income and expectation of receiving an
inheritance in the future The study uses partial least square based structural equation
modeling technique on a data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that LoM has a significant positive
impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of respondents
Furthermore it was found that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-
D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving
future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and
long-term investment decisions The results offer implications for the marketing of
financial institutions like asset management companies brokerage houses and investment
banks It may be possible to identify potential investors by means of segmentation based
on money attitudes current income and future wealth possession The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance
especially to the literature on LoM used by stock investors while making investment
decisions
Keywords Love of Money money attitudes income inheritance investment
decision behavioral finance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
103
41 Introduction
In the recent time period people who were attracted by high profits on their
investments lost their fortune in crises eg US financial crisis- 2008 Europe loan crisis-
2010 and Asian financial crisis- 1997 2012 Consequently people all over the world are
facing more complex financial decisions than in the past (Shih amp Ke 2014) Financial
decision-making is a key factor for long-term financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Tang et al 2018a) Some of the important reasons for the upsurge in individualsrsquo
investments are the concern for their retirement earnings (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004
McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) education expenses and health care expenditures (Greenberg
amp Hershfield 2019) Gunnarsson and Wahlund (1997) suggested another cause to
understand individual financial plans They observed that several economies have
encountered with increasing competition as a result of deregulation of the financial
industry social security cuts and tough economic conditions This phenomenon has made
it crucial for finance companies to adjust their advertising plans from supply-side to more
demand-side MacGregor and Slovic (2000) conducted research on a sample from the US
who was presently at or near their earnings peak and thought that retirement planning for
future income is crucial Sixty-seven percent of the sample reported of having a long-term
investment portfolio in marketable certificates they see portfolio returns as retirement
earnings which were essential to complement social security and pensions
Financial decisions are predicted by attitudes (Akhtar amp Das 2019) which are
highly influenced by socioeconomic status (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019)
Understanding of these attitudes is as financial planners devise effective strategies for their
clientsrsquo wealth management (Britt 2016) Attitudes influence the behavior and intentions
Samra Chaudary
104
to invest (Mahastanti amp Hariady 2013) One important attitude in this context is investorsrsquo
attitude towards money and it is one of the key factors influencing an individualrsquos financial
behavior (Shih amp Ke 2014) Money attitudes have gained attention for their hypothesized
relationship with financial behavior (Klontz amp Britt 2012)
Feldmanrsquos viewpoint of money is still pertinent Individualsrsquo decision process is
affected one way or another by the attitude towards money This includes the
consideration of whether to buy or not (Oezgen amp Bayoglu 2005) Money is the instrument
of commerce and a measure of value (Smith 1776 1937) Money is one of the most
important factors in our lives (Lodder Ong Grasman amp Wicherts 2019 Wernimont amp
Fitzpatrick 1972) The meaning of money lies in the eye of the beholder (McClelland
1967) and can be perceived as a ldquoframe of referencerdquo in everyday lives (Tang 1992)
Individuals use their money attitudes to frame their daily matters (Tang 1993) Money
attitudes are values that individuals associate with money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
People think about money but rarely discuss their financial matters income and stock
investments openly or discuss it with a few people only (Rubenstein 1981) An
individualrsquos money attitudes have roots in hisher childhood and it fairly persists all his
over their life (Tang amp Gilbert 1995)
Stock market investment offers a huge potential for financial returns Yet people
hesitate to invest their money in stocks instead they put their money more often into
savings deposits or real estate (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) This can be expected
according to prospect theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992)
as most individuals behave in a risk-averse way rather than risk-taking way when there is
a probability to make gains The likelihood of making gains is weighed as too risky because
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
105
of the unpredictable nature of capital markets In a comprehensive study on stock market
psychology Warneryd (2001) posited that investors do not behave according to
conventional models of investment as proposed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis and
by rational models of portfolio choice Instead of rational behavior that can be explained
by traditional finance investors show behavioral biases The understanding of variables
that hinder or stimulate investment in stocks is fairly important (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Investorsrsquo wealth and investment horizon have been reported as determinants of choice
among investment in different asset classes (Butler amp Domian 1991) Economic
psychology divides investors into groups based on financial psychological and
demographic characteristics Finance companies can then create specific marketing plans
to attract different groups of investors more effectively (Warneryd 2001)
Investment decisions have become more perplexed recently Thus in order to
understand which variables impact investorsrsquo financial decisions is of high relevance
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006b) Numerous psychological factors play a significant role in
individual financial decisions eg attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b)
locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward saving (Euwals et al 2004) risk attitudes
(Morse1998 Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001) and behavioral biases (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014) Money attitudes have been studied in different areas of psychology
previously (Du amp Tang 2005 Gentina et al 2018 Hampson et al 2018 Lemrova et al
2014 Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al 2018a)
To date little is known about the impact of Love of Money on investment behavior
To the best of our knowledge the impact of Love of Money has never been systematically
tested with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive power
Samra Chaudary
106
been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix III) It is fair
to believe that individuals assign a meaning to money that will have an effect on their
inclination towards the purchase of stocks The key goal of the life of people with high
money obsession is to grow their assets Individuals who are obsessed with money and
believe that money means achievement intelligence and power are expected to be more
likely to invest in stocks in order to attain their financial goals Financial returns provided
by stock investments can be viewed as a means of fulfilling their money-related goals
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
There is scant empirical research about the love of money of stock market investors
and none in the emerging economy A handful of research studies have focused on peoplesrsquo
money attitudes in the developed economies (Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Gentina et al
2018 Hampson et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang
1992 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell et al 2007) but research in the context of
developing economies is still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Li et al 2009 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira et al 2014)
This study fills the void by investigating for the first time the impact of Love of
Money on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of actual stock market
investors from an emerging market The study further investigates if income and
inheritance expectation moderate the relationship of LoM with short-term and long-term
investment decision This study also extends prospect theory theory of planned behavior
and monetary intelligence theory in the domain of behavioral finance and offers
implications to individual investors and professional money managers in the context of a
developing economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
107
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development
421 Prospect Theory
Prospect theory suggests that when an individual is offered a gamble containing
two or more outcome lotteries with some probability they would make their decisions on
the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the alternative with the highest value The value function is concave
for gains convex for losses and steeper for losses than for gains Critical to this value
function is the reference point from which gains and losses are measured Mostly
individuals display risk-averse behavior rather than risk-seeking behavior when there is a
probability to make profits (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Chances of making gains are
calculated as too uncertain because of the apparent uncertainty of future financial market
movements An investorrsquos attitude towards money is a crucial factor in determining the
willingness to invest in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals differ in their attitude towards money which explains the endowment effect
(also known as status quo bias) and loss-averse behavior Endowment effect comes into
play when individuals place a higher value on assets that they own over those they do not
own because they assign more weight to losses than they do gains Hence they demand a
higher price (return) to give up the asset (they own) than they would be willing to pay to
purchase it (Thaler 1980) The disutility of giving up an asset (they own) is greater than
the utility of acquiring it (Kahneman Knetsch amp Thaler 1990 Kahneman amp Tversky
1984)
A number of studies have made use of prospect theory to investigate profits and
losses of stocks uncertainty skills of the portfolio manager (Jordan amp Riley 2015) and
Samra Chaudary
108
well-being (Frijters Johnston Shields amp Sinha 2015 Gehring amp Willoughby 2002
Ratcliffe amp Taylor 2015) Nonetheless only a few studies have analyzed investorsrsquo
decisions through the lens of their Love of Money (Gentina et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al 2018a Tang Tillery Lazarevski amp Luna-Arocas 2004)
422 Theory of Planned Behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB Ajzen 1991) individualsrsquo
behavior is predicted by their behavioral intention Attitudes subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control affect behavioral intentions which then determine actual
behaviors The theory of planned behavior predicts that behavior can include conflicts
between short-term and long-term goals affect cognition and consequences in several
fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Thus the central idea of the theory is that planned behavior is
determined by behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) Cognitive impairment and lack of self-
control are the two key reasons due to which a person falls for the attraction of money
(Chen Tang amp Tang 2014 Tang amp Sutarso 2013) Therefore to understand an
individualrsquos behaviors scholars must study a personrsquos deeply rooted money attitudes
Raut et al (2018) proposed that TPB predicts onesrsquo behavioral intention to invest
in the capital market Similarly several studies have applied TPB on individuals to study
their money attitudes in decision-making (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014
Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Singhapakdi Vitell Lee Nisius amp Grace 2013 Tang et al
2007 Tang 2016 Tang et al 2018a) However very few researches have been carried
out outside the US and even fewer in developing countries (Prahalad amp Hammond
2002) The contribution of TPB is not as widespread as many scholars once thought
especially in developing countries (Kirkman amp Law 2005) This study extends the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
109
applicability of the TPB in the area of investment decision-making in a developing
economy
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory
Since attitudes determine intentions and behaviors Hence scholars should explore
personsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes in order to recognize behaviors (Tang 2016)
Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model) of attitudes
(Bagozzi Tybout Craig amp Sternthal 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed
that individuals monitor their own love of money motive (affect behavior and cognition)
and apply that knowledge to evaluate critical concerns in the proximal (immediate) and
distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically choose the options to achieve financial goals
success and ultimately to maximize their expected utility (Tang et al 2018b 2018c)
Various researchers have studied the concept of Monetary Intelligence in several
researches where individuals apply their monetary and personal values in decision-making
(Chen et al 2014 Gentina et al 2016 Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015
Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang et al 2018b 2018c Tang 2016) The findings of this study
expand the application of theory of MI to a new context of short-term and long-term
investment decisions made by investors in an emerging economy
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Money attitudes are the values and meanings that one relates with money (Keller
amp Siegrist 2006a) Love of Money is defined as (i) attitude towards money including
affective behavioral and cognitive components (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) (ii) meaning
of money (Tang 1992) (iii) desire (Sloan 2002) and aspirations (Tang 2007) for money
(iv) materialism (Belk 1985) (v) not onersquos need but greed (Sloan 2002) and (vi) the joint
Samra Chaudary
110
concept of numerous sub-constructs (Du amp Tang 2005 Tang 1992 1995 2007 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang Kim amp Shin-Hsiung 2000 Tang Luna-Arocas
amp Sutarso 2005 Tang et al 2007 Vitell Paolillo amp Singh 2006 Vitell et al 2007)
Money Ethic Scale (MES Tang 1992 1993 1995) is one of the most scientifically
used money attitudes measurement instruments in previous studies (Mitchell amp Mickel
1999) Love of money (LoM) is the most well-developed construct of money attitude
(Gentina et al 2018 Tang et al 2018a Tang et al 2004) Love of Money scale has been
validated in more than three dozen studies (Erdener amp Garkavenko 2012 Gbadamosi amp
Joubert 2005 Lim amp Teo 1997 Nkundabanyanga Omagor Mpamizo amp Ntayi 2011
Sardzoska amp Tang 2009 Tang et al 2006 Tang Chen amp Sutarso 2008a Tang et al
2011 Wong 2008) Researchers have cited it in several leading international reviews
(Dittmar Bond Hurst amp Kasser 2014 Kish-Gephart Harrison amp Trevintildeo 2010 Lea amp
Webley 2006 Mitchell amp Mickel 1999 Rose amp Orr 2007 Zhang 2009) and in multiple
textbooks (Colquitt LePine amp Wesson 2011 Furnham 2014 McShane amp Von Glinow
2008 Milkovich Newman amp Gerhart 2014 Newman Gerhart amp Milkovich 2017
Phillips amp Gully 2013 Rynes amp Gerhart 2000 Scandura 2016) The Love of Money
(LoM) construct is a subset of MES (Tang amp Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al
2006 2011) and is also re-named as monetary intelligence lately (Chen et al 2014
Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015 Tang 2016 Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang
et al 2018b 2018c)
Tang (1992) proposed a Money Ethic Scale (MES) comprising of three factors 1)
an affective factor (money is good money is evil) 2) a cognitive factor (money symbolizes
achievement power and freedom) 3) and a behavioral factor (budget handle money
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
111
carefully) factor Lim and Teo (1997) proposed a parsimonious instrument on cognitive
and behavioral dimensions using items from Furnham (1984) Tang (1992) and Yamauchi
amp Templer (1982)
Love of money is a multidimensional construct and is measured as a second-order
variable in the literature (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014 Tang 2016) It has
also been reported that LoM as a latent formative construct is superior to latent reflective
construct (Lemrova et al 2014) Theoretically a multidimensional construct means a
single theoretical concept denotes to ldquoa number of interrelated attributes or dimensions
and exists in multidimensional domainsrdquo (Law Wong amp Mobley 1998)
Undoubtedly having money is essential It is reported that money has become more
important with time in materialistic communities (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) Four decades
ago males ranked salary (income) at fifth place among ten important life goals however
females ranked salary (income) seventh place (Jurgensen 1978) However in 1990 all
respondents agreed that salary was ranked as the most important factor among eleven life
goals The salary was ranked first in importance in Germany and second in Belgium the
UK and the US (Harpaz 1990) Whoever loves money never has enough of it whoever
adores money is certainly not contented with hisher income (Tang et al 2018a) These
empirical findings are aligned with the old wisdom ldquoWhoever loves money never has
enough whoever loves wealth is never satisfied with their incomerdquo (Ecclesiastes 5 10
The Catholic Bible Tang et al 2006) ldquoPoverty consists not in the decrease of onersquos
possessions but in the increase of onersquos greed (Plato 427ndash347 BC)rdquo
Zakaria Jaafar and Marican (2012) suggested that money has an effect on onersquos
financial behavior Money attitudes predict monetary intentions and financial decisions
Samra Chaudary
112
(Tang et al 2018a) High LoM was reported to be associated with high risk-taking
behavior in a reward-related gambling task It was also found that participants with high
LoM were more sensitive to gainslosses that participants with low LoM (Jia Zhang Li
Feng amp Li 2013) People who have high Love of Money motive desire to make more
money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and tend to show high tolerance
for investment risk (Tang et al 2008a) Employees in the developing economies are more
obsessed with money and these employees tended to seek any opportunity to make more
money (Tang et al 2005) Those who give importance to money were found keen to take
benefits from circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Such individuals
would likely to invest in the stock market to expect high profits Therefore it is reasonable
to assume that the meaning that people assign to money does affect their intention to invest
in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
It was reported that when individuals were asked to recall money they become
unfriendly or less warm and shifted into their business and work mode (Vohs 2015 Vohs
Mead amp Goode 2006) Similarly Tang et al (2004) found that individuals who value
money are keenly involved in their work-related activities so that they can earn more
money and they relish achievements and success
Since the sample of this research was stock investors therefore in the light of
previous literature it was proposed that high LoM motive operated strongly on individuals
working as stock investors In contrast Keller and Siegrist (2006a) conducted a research
on Swiss investors and found that investment in stocks did not matter for those who
perceive money as an achievement and obsession It is possible that for Swiss investors the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
113
expected return on the stock market was not a reliable indicator as an expression of
achievement and power
A sample of South African students was reported to treat money as their
achievement and achievement were found significantly associated with their materialism
(Nnedum Egwu Obinna Ntomchukwu amp Chukwukeluo 2011) Lemrova et al (2014)
also found that money was viewed as power in the context of materialism Similarly
according to Lea and Webley (2006) money was viewed as a symbol of power and was
found acting an addictive drugmdash the more you have the more you want It is that some
people tend to make more than they require which may lead to over earning and
accumulating wealth (Hsee Zhang Cai amp Zhang 2013) Feeling powerful also increases
saving (Garbinsky Kless amp Aaker 2014) Thus money a representation of power was
reported to be associated with wealth Money attitudes that reflect high level of power and
achievement tend to be positively related to high-risk current (short-term) and high-risk
future (long-term) financial investments (Shih amp Ke 2014) Hence the following
hypotheses are proposed for this study
H1 Love of Money positively impacts short-term investment decisions
H2 Love of Money positively impacts long-term investment decisions
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money
Money is one way of expressing social status and it divides people into different
social groups (Tomek Striacuteteskyacute amp Tahal 2013) Some studies have found that money
attitudes are independent of onersquos income (Medina Saegert amp Gresham 1996 Yamauchi
amp Templer 1982) However other studies showed contradictory findings for example
individuals who perceive themselves affluent at times behave in a different way from those
Samra Chaudary
114
who perceive themselves unfortunate (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Wealth perception
may have its roots in early life socioeconomic class Individuals who were raised in a higher
socioeconomic class are likely to show more risk-averse behavior than those who were
raised in a lower socioeconomic class (Griskevicius et al 2013) On the other hand Corter
and Chen (2006) found that wealthier investors tended to take more risks than less wealthy
ones
An individuals reaction to money is a reflection of hisher past life experiences
which influence attitudes towards money People who had faced a financial struggle in
their life were found likely to behave differently towards their Love of Money motive as
compared to those who had not experienced such hardships Those who had experienced
hardship in their lives suffered more from financial anxiety than those who did not because
of the high emotional and psychological pain related to financial deprivation Those
individuals were also probably treated with contempt when they desperately needed
money Thus they tend to see money as a means of comparison or evaluation Reddy
(1987) suggested that rich and poor would have different perspectives in the sense how
they use money Therefore money has a different meaning to different people which
depends on their backgrounds and financial experiences (Wernimont amp Fitzpatrick 1972)
Keller and Siegrist (2006b) also reported that investors having different money
attitudes profiles behave and invest differently They created four types of groups with
different money attitudes Safe players see financial security and savings as essential
Hoarding wealth and accumulating money were vital objectives of their lives Risk seekers
were risk-tolerant and have the most positive attitude towards stocks They were most
obsessed with money and would invest a huge amount of money in stocks Open books
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
115
showed little affinity with money They had low risk-tolerance and a negative attitude
towards stocks Financial security and savings had medium importance to them Money
dummies also had a low obsession with money They showed less risk tolerance and less
attraction towards money matters They had a more positive attitude towards the stock
market than open books
Earlier researches have studied the effect of income on willingness to invest in
shares (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994 Grable Lytton amp OrsquoNeill 2004 Hlouskova Fortin amp
Tsigaris 2017) Individuals with income (businessmen) were reported to differ from those
without income (students) with respect to money as a motivator and as a measure of
achievement (Tang et al 2004) Individuals who imagined themselves to be well-off in
the future showed a high risk-seeking behavior than those who imagined themselves to be
deprived in the future (Greenberg 2013) However Concepcion (2016) found when one
starts to earn high-income heshe did not understand the need to save (invest) because the
income was expected to be replaced next month Income and net worth were reported to
have a positive correlation with investments in risky assets (Guiso Jappelli amp Terlizzese
1996) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the relationship of expected inheritance
employment status and income with financial investment They found women tended to
invest in stocks if they expected to receive inheritance were employed and had higher net
worth than men However men who expected to receive inheritance were more likely to
invest in business assets and less in housing assets Therefore the aforementioned findings
imply (regardless of gender) more wealth was found likely to lead to risky investments
Individuals with low-income level were seen to be more obsessed with money and
tended to spend money for power as compared to those with high-income level (Furnham
Samra Chaudary
116
1984) According to Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) poor people are
constantly in the losses (Kahneman 2011) which reflects their risk-seeking behavior for
losses (Gentina et al 2018) Many researches have reported that risk seekers purchase
shares more frequently than fewer risk avoiders (Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001
Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) Poor children significantly overvalue the size of coins as
compared to rich kids (Bruner amp Goodman 1947) An increase in income was found
related to onersquos wellbeing predominantly for the poor After reaching above the poverty
threshold a further increase in income was found to matter little for the feeling of wellbeing
(Diener amp Oishi 2000) For example in a sample from Hong Kong the relationship
between income and LoM was found to be negative for highly paid employees Their
income was greater than the per capita GDP (Tang amp Chiu 2003) The same relationship
between income and LoM was found positive for underpaid African-Americans and for
women in the US who have less income than their counterparts and insignificant for
Caucasians and men in the US who have sufficient income at the market level or their
income was more than their counterparts (Tang et al 2006)
Individuals with low socioeconomic status tend to take high risk and low returns
investment decisions (Haisley Mostafa amp Loewenstein 2008) Consequently economic
disparity predicts high risk-seeking behavior (Krupp amp Cook 2018 Mishra Hing amp
Lalumiere 2015 Payne Brown-Iannuzzi amp Hannay 2017) Individuals with low-income
are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several unmet needs
(Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and their unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator because only money can
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
117
fulfill the desires and improve the (financial) performance (Gomez-Mejia amp Balkin 1992
Jenkins Mitra Gupta amp Shaw 1998 Locke Feren McCaleb Shaw amp Denny 1980)
Therefore investors for whom money is a motivator are likely to take more risk
They constantly react to the stock market index frequently buy andor sell shares alter
shares proportion and try to make quick gains hence their investment behaviors are
controlled by the money-making motive (Tang et al 2018a) and they become a slave of
money (De Charms 1976) Due to the prospects of financial gains in the capital markets
low-income investors tended to strive for assets and do whatever it takes to make more
money than their counterparts (Tang et al 2008b)
Nonetheless normative scholars advise that investors must expect the compromise
between risk and expected return in order to achieve an optimal investment portfolio
(Merton 1973) Figure 41 illustrates the structural model about relationship of Love of
Money with short-term and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of
income and expect to receive a future inheritance Based on above discussion of literature
about relationship of income and wealth with LoM the following hypotheses are proposed
H3 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and short-term investment
decisions
H4 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and long-term investment
decisions
H5 Expectation of receiving future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love
of Money and short-term investment decisions
H6 Expect to receive future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love of
Money and long-term investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
118
Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term and
long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect to
receive the future inheritance
43 Data and Methodology
431 Measures
This study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decision were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) on a five-point likert
scale Love of money is a second-order formative construct (reflective first-order
formative second-order) as proposed by Lemrova et al 2014) and (Tang 2016) Four first-
order latent sub-constructs are reflective 1) achievement 2) power 3) obsession and 4)
budget These dimensions were adopted from Keller and Siegrist (2006a) and have four
five four and two items respectively LoM is a second-order latent construct based on four
dimensions mentioned above Edwards (2011) has explained that a formative construct is
a composite of certain non-deletable dimensions that represent theoretically critical aspect
Achievement
Power
Obsession
Budget
S-T Investment Decisions
Love of Money
L-T Investment Decisions
IncomeExpect to receive
Inheritance
H1
H2
H3 H4H5 H6
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
119
of that latent construct In this study those dimensions are Achievement Power
Obsession and Budget These dimensions themselves are latent constructs that are
reflectively indicated by measurable indicators
432 Methods
4321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The sample consisted of money
managers working in financial institutions and individual investors who were active
investors on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX previously called KSE Karachi Stock
Exchange) Money managers were working in financial institutions like mutual fund
companies (asset management companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks However selected individual stock investors could be from any background and
from any industry or profession as the objective of this research was to analyze the behavior
of stock investors regardless of the fact that they were individual investors or they work
for an institution where they investmanage other peoplesrsquo money Out of the total
investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74
percent investors and Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company
2018) Hence it was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs of the
country where 92 percent of investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect the data from the targeted population of investors We received back 517
questionnaires and only 277 were fully completed Therefore the useable responses were
277 almost 35 percent response rate The response rate deemed satisfactory Many
behavioral studies in the discipline of investment decision had as low response rate as 109
Samra Chaudary
120
percent (Brown Call Clement amp Sharp 2015) 54 percent (Dichev Graham Harvey amp
Rajgopal 2013) and 289 percent (Yalcin et al 2016) The investment industry is highly
male-dominated hence sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females The
sample had 59 percent money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60
percent of the respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either
separated or divorced The sample comprised of 87 percent employed respondents and 12
percent business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent
of the sample had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family
and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future inheritance In addition to that 58
percent of the sample perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent
perceived themselves in upper middle class 3 percent perceived themselves as coming
from upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class The
sample had 86 percent respondents who had their upbringing in the urban areas and 14
percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas The data also exhibited that 11
percent of the respondents responded that they were very liberal in terms of religiosity 78
percent reported that they were moderately religious and 11 percent informed that they
were very religious The average age and monthly income of the sample were 32 years and
PKR 018 million respectively The average education was of 16 years The sample had on
average 4 years of investment experience in the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average
amount invested in stocks was about PKR 10million Pakistanrsquos per capita income has
increased by 05 percent in year 2017-2018 and is at $1641 (PKR 162230) (Economic
Survey of Pakistan 2018) Per capita income crudely measures of the general well-being
in an economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
121
4322 Data Analyses
The research employs partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-
SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due
to numerous reasons Firstly PLS-SEM efficiently handles both reflective and formative
measures (Ringle Sarstedt amp Straub 2012) Secondly PLS-SEM does not require data to
be normally distributed (Hair et al 2012) and works well with small sample sizes and
complex models (Cassel Hackl amp Westlund 1999) and involves minimum requirements
on measurement scales and residual distribution (Wold 1985) Thirdly applying PLS-
SEM provides effectiveness in parameter estimates which is established in the methods
higher statistical power than that of CB-SEM A higher statistical power denotes that PLS-
SEM tends to show a specific relationship significant when it is actually significant in the
population (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016) Fourthly this approach focuses on
predictive estimation Precisely the aim of PLS-SEM is to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair et al 2014) Fifthly to
evaluate the statistical significance of the parameter estimates smart PLS3 software
version 328 provides with percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair et al 2011
Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling involves selecting repeated random
subsamples from the original sample (Hair et al 2012) These bootstrapped samples then
test the significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS
approach can be utilized for theory validation as well as to propose where relationships
may or may not present (Chin 1998) PLS is beneficial for exploratory research and for
the initial phases of theory development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982) Table 41 depicts the
correlations of the constructs and square-root of average variance extracted
Samra Chaudary
122
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decision was 0490 (p=0000) Similarly short-term
investment decision also showed a positive correlation with all four factors of Love of
Money ie achievement power obsession and budget short-term investment decision had
the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0342 (p=0000) with budget component and
lowest correlation value of 0240 (p=0000) with obsession component In the same way
long-term investment decision too exhibited a positive correlation with all four factors of
Love of Money with the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0500 (p=0000) with budget
factor and lowest correlation value of 0209 (p=0000) with obsession factor
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
ST-D LT-D Achievement Power Obsession Budget
ST-D 3074 0836 (0742)
LT-D 3292 0856 0490 (0735)
Achievement 2893 0934 0297 0244 (0808)
Power 2928 0967 0268 0327 0645 (0821)
Obsession 2659 0898 0240 0209 0582 0610 (0744)
Budget 3093 0785 0342 0500 0221 0184 0157 (0771) Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
44 Results
441 Measurement Model
For reflective constructs researchers should report factor loadings composite
reliability average variance extracted and discriminant validity The statistical assessment
for reflective model cannot be reassigned to formative models where indicators represent
constructrsquos independent causes and therefore do not necessarily correlate highly (Hair et
al 2016) Evaluating convergent and discriminant validities are not important when
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
123
formative constructs and their weights entail (Chin 1998) For formative constructs
indicator weights along with their significance multicollinearity of indicators and
constructs must be stated (Cenfetelli amp Bassellier 2009 Chin 1998 Fornell amp Larcker
1981 Hair et al 2012) Therefore the measurement model of first-order reflective
constructs or the reflective dimensions of the second-order construct were evaluated by
analyzing the factor loadings All the loadings were found above 05 (Velicer amp Fava
1998 Wille 1996) and statistically significant (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999)
A resampling was done by bootstrapping method with 2000 subsamples which
were used to compute t-statistics (Henseler et al 2009) The estimates of standardized
factor loadings of first-order reflective constructs ranged from 0641 to 0865 (tgt196) for
short-term investment decision 0630-0798 (tgt196) for long-term investment decision
0690-0873 (tgt196) for achievement 0615-0794 (tgt196) for power 0628-0798
(tgt196) for obsession 0722-0783 (tgt196) and 0527-0954 (tgt196) for budget
Composite reliability (CR) of reflective constructs measured the internal
consistency which should be higher than 07 or higher (Hair et al 2012) The values of
composite reliability were 0773 for short-term investment decision 0823 for long-term
investment decision 0882 for achievement 0912 for power 0837 for obsession and
0730 for budget Convergent validity was also computed for reflective constructs through
average variance extracted (AVE) which fulfill the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et
al 2012) The values for AVE were 0551 for short-term investment decision 0541 for
long-term investment decision 0653 for achievement 0675 for power 0555 for
obsession and 0595 for budget Discriminant validity of each reflective construct was
measured through two approaches and met the standards by Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981)
Samra Chaudary
124
and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015)
According to Fornell-Larcker criteria the square root of AVE of a latent construct should
be greater than all of the inter-factor correlations of that construct with other constructs
(Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT values were less than 1 which is the predefined
threshold by (Henseler et al 2015)
Common method bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each
reflective construct through variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test
was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term investment
decision and once with the long-term investment decision No common method bias was
found in both the tests as the VIF values of all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
The study used a repeated indicator method to compute the parameters of second-
order (reflective-formative) construct namely Love of Money It is an appropriate
approach in a complicated structural model in which the formative construct has an
endogenous position (Becker Klein amp Wetzels 2012b) The estimation of the formative
construct (LoM) at the dimension level was done by testing for multicollinearity between
its dimensions and by analyzing its weights (Henseler et al 2009)
Weights of formative construct show that power with weight 0458 (tgt196)
represents the most significant dimensions of LoM in the formation of the LoM construct
That was followed by achievement with weight 0350 (tgt196) obsession with weight
0290 (tgt196) and budget with weight 0095 (tgt196) The maximum variance inflation
factor (VIF) value for all dimensions was less than the recommended value of 33 (Kock
2015) The results of the measurement model are presented in table 42 and table 43 44
and 45
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
125
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor Loadings
Boot
sample
t-Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0669
8112
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0865 23795
I intend to compare my portfolio performance
to that of professional managers 0641 7244
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross
earnings for investingsavingretirement
purposes
0798 23438
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on
multiple asset classes (stocks bonds cash
real estate etc)
0715 12630
I intend to take an investment course 0785 21210
I intend to invest some money in long-term
assets where my money will be tied up and
inaccessible for years
0630 8323
Love of
Money
(second order-
formative
construct)
(Kelleramp
Siegrist
2006a)
Achievement
(reflective dimension)
I believe that the amount of money that a
person earns is closely related to hisher
ability and effort
0690 17818
Money represents ones achievement 0837 37628
Money is a symbol of success 0873 58397
I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence 0812 34412
Power
(reflective dimension)
Money can give you the opportunity to be
what you want to be 0794 67856
Money gives you autonomy or freedom 0784 39807
Money means power 0742 39244
Money will help you express your
competence and abilities 0774 32383
Money can bring you many friends 0615 18517
Obsession
(reflective dimension)
I firmly believe that money can solve all of
my problems 0748 22209
Money can buy everything 0628 6043
I would do practically anything legal for
money if it were enough 0798 26365
I often fantasize about money and what I
could do with it 0791 35126
Budget
(reflective dimension)
I am proud of my ability to save money 0954 27280
I feel compelled to argue or bargain about the
cost of almost everything that I buy 0527 3672
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
126
Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs
Constructs Weights of
Formative
Components of
Construct LoM
t-values of
Weights
Variance
Inflation Factor
(VIF)
Achievement 0350 21725 2031
Power 0458 26660 2155
Obsession 0290 14361 2029
Budget 0095 5767 1121
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted
(AVE)
Short-Term Investment Decision 0773 0551
Long-Term Investment Decision 0823 0541
Achievement 0882 0653
Power 0912 0675
Obsession 0837 0555
Budget 0730 0595
Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Achievement Budget Long-Term
Investment
Decision
Obsession Power Short-Term
Investment
Decision
Achievement
Budget 04662
Long-Term
Investment
Decision
03553 07748
Obsession 07911 04764 03102
Power 07591 03561 0432 08125
Short-Term
Investment
Decision
04514 03446 07436 04071 04057
442 Structural Model
The following section investigates the direct effects of Love of Money on short-
term investment decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates
(path coefficients) were computed along with their significance The significance of
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
127
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The benchmark for the coefficient of determination (R2) is 010 or higher (Falk amp
Miller 1992) The effect size of the impact of LoM on ST-D and LT-D was reported as
suggested by Cohen (1998) The rule about effect size is that the f2 values of 002 015
and 035 showed a small medium and large effect size (Henseler et al 2009) The
predictive relevance of the model was estimated by calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser
1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al 2014) Lastly the power test was
also performed to analyze the probability that a statistically significant relationship is
found when the relationship is actually there (Goodhue et al 2012) A value of 08 or
higher is adequate in behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 46 summarizes the results of direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between LoM and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with medium effect size (β=
0341 p= 0000 f2= 0160) Similarly the association between LoM and LT-D (H2) was
also found statistically significant with a smaller positive beta coefficient and medium
effect size (β= 0328 p= 0000 f2= 0154) The coefficient of determination of LoM with
LT-D is slightly higher (R2= 0138) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0134) Hence variations in LoM was found likely to explain more variations in LT-
D than in ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each exogenous
construct in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All
the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which means
a very high probability of the presence of the relationships between the exogenous latent
variable (LoM) and endogenous latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) A high value of power
test affirmed the appropriateness of the sample size
Samra Chaudary
128
Age gender and religiosity were included as control variables in the model These
variables have relevance in the model of Love of Money and investment decisions Age
had shown an impact on financial decisions (Agarwal et al 2007) Men were more inclined
towards both short-term and long-term investments than women (Bajtelsmit et al 1999
Hariharan et al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Religiosity was found
to have an effect on decision-making (Singhapakdi et al 2013) Hunt and Vitell (1993)
also posited that the strength of religious viewpoints could bring about differences in onersquos
decision-making processes Wong (2008) suggested that individuals with similar religious
beliefs tended to have different love of money profiles However McClure (1984) found
that money attitudes are generally similar irrespective of religion None of the control
variables had shown any impact in our model
Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path Coefficients
p
value
f2 R2 Q2 Statistical
Power
H1 Love of Money -gt
Short-term
investment decision
0341 0000 0160 0134 0058 0999
H2 Love of Money -gt
Long-term
investment decision
0328 0000 0154 0138 0059 0999
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01 Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0101 p=0109) Gender-gtST-D (β= -00437 p=0427) Religiosity -gtST-D (β=
0048 p=0391) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0070 p=0214 Gender-gtLT-D (β= 0093 p=0112) and Religiosity-gtLT-D (β= -
0002 p=0953)
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance
A moderator variable explains ldquowhenrdquo the relationship exists between an independent
and dependent variable It can affect the magnitude andor sign of the relationship (Baron
amp Kenny 1986) Current income and expectation of receiving an inheritance in future were
tested as moderators between the relationship of LoM and short-term investment decision
as well as long-term investment decision The moderation was computed through a product
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
129
indicator method by Chin Marcolin and Newsted (2003) in which each indicator of
independent variable was multiplied with each indicator of the moderator (income) to
create a new variable The product indicator approach provides least biased estimates for
the parameters of an interaction effect and delivers true estimates for the interaction effect
for medium to large sample sizes The product indicator method also yields higher
prediction accuracy of the endogenous latent variable (Henseler amp Chin 2010) We also
investigated the statistical power test to reveal if the model is strong enough to detect a
significant effect that actually does exist (Frazier Tix amp Barron 2004 Goodhue et al
2012) The moderation results are presented in table 47 The interactions effects of H3
H4 H5 and H6 are plotted in figure 42 43 44 and 45 respectively These plots depict
the effects of independent variables on dependent variables in the presence of moderator
It was found income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D (H3) (β=
-0173 p= 0050) and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D (H4) (β= 0037
p= 0514) Additionally it was found that high-income dampens the positive relationship
between LoM and short-term investment decision with a change in R2 from 0134 without
the moderator (income) to R2 0152 with the presence of income as a moderator The
positive impact of LoM on ST-D when moderated with income turned into a negative
moderated relationship between LoM and ST-D So the impact of LoM on ST-D was
found conditional on the level of income The negative coefficient of interaction term with
LoM implies that investors with high-income are less likely to take short-term investment
decisions even though their LoM is high Hence those investors who had high current
income were found less likely to involve in short-term investments
Samra Chaudary
130
In figure 42 it can be seen that the direction of the relationship between Love of
money and short-term investment decision is different for investors with high-income (+1
standard deviation) and investors with low-income (-1 standard deviation) as there was a
significant difference in slopes at mean income at -1 standard deviation (SD) and at +1
standard deviation The slopes of two regression lines are moving in different directions
Figure 43 shows that income did not moderate the relationship between love of money and
long-term investment decision as there was no significant difference in slopes at mean
income at high-income (+1 standard deviation) and at low-income (-1 standard deviation)
Expect to receive inheritance was a dummy variable and coded with the values of
0 and 1 The value of the moderator was 0 if individuals expected to receive future
inheritance and 1 if they did not expect to receive future inheritance It was found that
expectation of receiving future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM
and both short-term (H5) (β= 0373 p= 0024) and long-term investment decisions (H6)
(β= 0318 p= 0044) Moreover it was found that the impact of LoM on ST-D was found
slightly higher in the situation when individuals did not expect to receive inheritance as
compared to the impact of LoM on LT-D for the same condition Hence those investors
who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found more likely to participate in
short-term investment activities than in long-term investment activities even though their
LoM was high Similarly those investors who expected to receive future inheritance were
found less likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high
A change in R2 was observed from 0134 without the moderator (expect to receive
future inheritance) to R2 0165 with the presence of the moderator in the case of ST-D and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
131
from 0138 to 0201 in the case of LT-D R2 Δ measures the effect size in moderation
analysis R2Δ demonstrates a unique share of variance explained by an exogenous variable
in the endogenous variable that is not explained by other exogenous variables in the model
(Cohen Cohen West amp Aiken 2003) Cohen (1988) defined small moderate and large
effect sizes of R2Δ as 002 013 and 026 respectively R2Δ was found to be 0018 for H3
0008 for H4 0031 for H5 and 0063 for H6 All moderation hypotheses (H3-H6) showed
a small effect size The statistical power of all the relationships was closer to 1
Figure 44 and 45 depict the significant interaction between Love of Money and
expectation of having a future inheritance on ST-D and LT-D respectively The rate of
change in response to a unit increase in Love of Money differs for investors who expected
to receive inheritance compared to investors who did not expect to receive future
inheritance As can be seen in both figures Love of Money was found to be positively
associated with short-term and long-term investment decisions when investors did not
expect future inheritance The impact of Love of money on both short-term and long-term
investment decisions was positive when investors did not expect future inheritance The
rate of change of the slope is relatively steeper in case of short-term investment decision
Table 47 Moderation Results
Hypotheses Relationships Estimate p
value
R2
without
moderator
R2
with
moderator
R2Δ Power
Result
H3 LoMIncome-gtST-D -0173 0050 0134 0152 0018 0999 Moderation
H4 LoMIncome-gtLT-D 0037 0514 0138 0153 0008 0999 No
Moderation
H5 LoMInheritance-gtST-
D
0373 0024 0134 0165 0031 0999 Moderation
H6 LoMInheritance-gtLT-
D
0318 0044 0138 0201 0063 0999 Moderation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision and LoM= Love of
Money
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
132
Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and short-
term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one standard
deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below the mean
(ie low-income)
Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below
the mean (ie low-income)
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
133
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision
Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Short
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Long
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
Samra Chaudary
134
45 Discussion and Implications
This study extends existing research by focusing on investorsrsquo short-term and long-
term investment decisions through the lens of their money attitudes Findings of the
formative theoretical model demonstrated the new visions for the field of Love of Money
of stock investors in the context of an emerging market This study found that LoM had a
significant positive effect on both short-term and long-term investment decisions (H1 and
H2) Previous studies have also found that employees in developing countries are more
obsessed with money and look for any opportunity to make money (Tang et al 2005)
Similarly other studies have also found that individuals with high LoM motives want to
make money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and display investment risk
tolerance behavior (Jia et al 2013 Tang et al 2008a) Those who value money more tend
to get benefit from the circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Our results
also showed that investors with high LoM tended to engage in both types of financial gain
opportunities ie short-term and long-term investments Nonetheless it is critical that
money managers should watch the decision-making of investors because those who want
to get rich also tend to involve in unethical and disordered money behaviors (Britt 2016
Tang et al 2008a 2011 Tang amp Sutarso 2013)
Exploring the same theoretical model with the interaction of income and
expectation of future inheritance revealed more interesting findings It was found that
investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment and no long-term
investment if their income was high Similarly investors with higher LoM were likely to
do less short-term investment and relatively more long-term investment if they expected to
receive a future inheritance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
135
Chen et al (2014) found that the more money rich people have the more money
they want Individuals with low (high) affection for money have low (high) interests in
making money (Tang 2016) Earlier studies have found that wealthier investors were
willing to take more risk (Bernoulli 17381954) and individuals with high-income are less
risk-averse (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994) and have more positive attitude towards financial
risk tolerance than individuals with low-income (Grable et al 2004) Therefore according
to previous literature and in order to make more wealth a high LoM motive of wealthier
(high current income and expect to receive inheritance) investors should have a positive
effect on long-term investment instead of short-term because long-term securities possess
higher risk as well as higher returns (Dimson et al 2017 Harrison amp Zhang 1999 Von
Thadden 1995) This could be one of the reasons that money attitudes of high-income
investors and those who expected to receive inheritance showed a negative impact on short-
term investments High LoM motive of those who expected to receive future fortune tended
to invest more in long-term investments Warren (2014) also reported that long-term
investments provide growth and assist investors to generate more wealth over time
However on the other hand our findings also showed that LoM (money attitude)
of high-income investors showed no impact on long-term investments Previous studies
have also reported that money attitudes are unrelated to an individualrsquos income (Medina et
al 1996 Yamauchi amp Templer 1982) Moreover another possibility could be that
investors with high-income might be handling their money carefully and avoiding long-
term investment particularly at the time of data collection only
The sample of this study was collected at the bearish time period when PSX-100
annual average return was -710 percent (Economic Survey of Pakistan 2017-2018)
Samra Chaudary
136
Economic contractions also stimulate risk-averse behavior for possible negative returns
(Millet Lamey amp Van den Bergh 2012) Also according to Merton (1973) investors must
consider the trade-off between risk and return in order to achieve the optimal portfolio
returns As it was observed that LoM of wealthier investors (high current income and
expect to receive inheritance) showed negative impact on short-term investments probably
because they might not be expecting maximum return for a given level of risk in that
bearish time period Hence expected returns are so unreliable to assist in achieving more
wealth as one of the essential goals of life (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Wealthy investors showed loss-averse behavior in our research as they their LoM
(money attitudes) showed a negative impact on short-term investment decision (at the time
when market was giving losses) and is aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992) which infers that investors are generally risk-
averse rather than risk-takers whenever there is a probability to make profits Chances of
making profits are estimated as too unreliable because of high instability of PSX-100 in
the time period of data collection
Furthermore our result showed that LoM (money attitude) showed a positive
impact on short-term investment for investors with low current income Similarly LoM
(money attitude) of investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance showed a
stronger positive impact on short-term investment as compared to long-term investment
The plausible reason could be that the investors with low-income have instant unmet needs
which could be one of the reasons that their money attitudes showed a positive impact on
short-term investment decision as short-term investments yield faster returns Our findings
are aligned with the former research studies The desire for immediate gratification
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
137
determined onersquos short-term investment decision (Warren 2016) Moreover individuals
with low-income are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several
unmet needs (Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator for poor people because
only money can fulfill the desires and improve the financial condition (Gomez-Mejia amp
Balkin 1992 Jenkins et al 1998 Locke et al 1980) Such individuals are more obsessed
with money (Furnham 1984) Hence we can say money attitudes of investors whose
current and future financial circumstances were weak (ie low current income and did not
expect to receive future fortune in the form of inheritance) tended to invest in short-term
investments
Results of the LoM typology proposed in this research have practical implications
for individual investors themselves and for professional money managers as they can
improve knowledge of their own preferences (for an individual investor) and of their client
preferences (for professional managers) This might expedite investment decision-making
for example retirement planning etc Money managers can help craft strategies to help
their customers attain their short-term and long-term financial goals of a comfortable
retirement (Concepcion 2016) Therefore investment advisors must understand what is
important to their clientele so that they can guide them and fulfill their requirements
effectively
The results offer implications for the marketing of financial companies like asset
management firms brokerage houses and investment banks It is probable to target
prospect investors through segmentation on the basis of money attitudes current income
and future wealth possession In marketing their services investment companies may target
Samra Chaudary
138
less wealthy investors for short-term investments and wealthy investors for long-term
investments Moreover in light of this researchrsquos findings money attitudes of individuals
with high-income did not show an impact on long-term investment This may be
counterproductive in achieving long-term financial goals of such individuals especially
when ignoring precautionary measures for saving It can also result in later repentance of
not having enough investments for their retirement (OrsquoDonoghue amp Rabin 1998) Money
managers may seem excessively challenged by the need to persuade high-income investors
that their long-term financial goal is secured by selecting risky investments These
investors need to be targeted more efficiently through a targeted marketing plan and various
types of financial instruments
For an emerging market like Pakistan there is a massive need to raise capital in
order to fuel the capital requirements and to ensure the sturdy growth of the market
Successfully targeting high-income investors will bring more money in the market boost
investments and investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market
would move towards efficiency
As it was found that there was no impact of LoM on long-term investment decision
for investors with high-income This result identified the need for different types of long-
term financial products There is a need for the development of long-term investment
products tailored to the desires of wealthy investors in particular which will motivate them
to invest in capital markets Pakistani financial markets lack in investment alternatives eg
bonds derivative securities and real estate investment trust (REITs) etc The findings of
this study offer financial institutions and regulators to develop new financial products and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
139
markets Moreover transmission of knowledge in the field of different investment
alternatives must not be ignored in a country like Pakistan where only 26 percent of
adults are financially knowledgeable (SampP Global Fin Lit Survey 2015) Financial literacy
is a knowledge of risk diversification time value of money compounding and numeracy
(interest) A good level of financial literacy will help people to change their money
attitudes money management and make them achieve their financial goals (Imasheva amp
Kim 2017)
According to the findings of this study investorsrsquo money attitudes predicted their
investment plans (ie short-term and long-term) Therefore it is essential to determine
individual differences in money attitudes if individual investors are well guided by money
managers and financial institutions Financial planners should pay attention to investorsrsquo
money attitudes For that reason there is a need for more frequent surveys about their
money attitudes and feelings about financial products which should be the fundamental
aspects of financial services Moreover financial advisors should also elucidate the choice
of financial product and clarify why a particular product is the best option for the investor
Our novel findings shed new light on the relationships between LoM and
investment decisions and suggest practical implications for the growing area of behavioral
finance To conclude we offer a brand new and novel viewpoint and supplement the
behavioral finance literature by investigating LoM as an antecedent of short-term and long-
term investment decisions The formative theoretical model revealed novel and interesting
findings and helped us understand not only the what (ie LoM) factor contributing to short-
term and long-term investment decisions but also who (ie stock investors) where (ie
developing economy) and when (ie income and inheritance)
Samra Chaudary
140
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction
This study contributes to an evolving stream of literature that sheds light on the
significance of LoM with short-term and long-term investment decision in the context of
developing economy A positive relationship of LoM was found with short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover in moderation analysis it was observed that for high-
income investors the impact of LoM was significantly negative for short-term investment
decision and was insignificant for long-term investment decision Furthermore it was
found that investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment decision
than long-term investment decision in the case they expected to receive a future
inheritance However investors with higher LoM were likely to do more short-term
investment decision than long-term investment decision in case they did not expect any
future inheritance
Future researchers should consider adding other investment alternatives as
dependent variables to examine the influence of LoM on a particular asset class This
research was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if LoM was constant over
time Peoplersquos financial strategies are associated with their different life stages
(Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Similarly it is likely that investorsrsquo money attitudes vary
in boom periods and hence their investment decisions may also change Therefore further
researches can use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of LoM over time
to examine whether money attitudes change with different phases of life Data from
multiple regions and cultures (especially from developing countries) can be collected to
generalize the results This study only measured investorsrsquo perception of LoM and not the
actual LoM behavior LoM behavior may be tested in a laboratory experiment in further
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
141
researches (Greenberg 1993) to see different investment behavior and if they react
differently to probable gains and losses Future studies could also examine the impact of
other moderators such as macro-economic issues eg unemployment education and
religious views could have a significant effect on the outcomes of this research To
conclude behaviorally an investor must become masters (but not slaves) of money (Tang
et al 2018a) Individuals with inheritance should master the necessary money skills or
have a trustworthy financial planner otherwise they will usually end up losing everything
they have (Khoo 2006)
Samra Chaudary
142
5 Conclusion
51 Introduction
This dissertation has examined the sway of selected behavioral factors affecting short-
term and long-term investment decision There were sparse pieces of evidence on
behavioral factors effecting investorsrsquo investment decision especially in the context of
developing economies (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De
Vries et al 2017 Metawa et al 2019 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Researchers have
encouraged to conduct studies in the discipline of behavioral finance as the discipline is
still premature and emerging and needs more empirical evidence from primary data
especially from emerging economies (Huang et al 2016 Kumar amp Goyal 2015) Hence
the primary research questions of this study were 1a) Do five personality types have an
effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions 1b) Does risk perception mediate
the relationship between personality types and short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2a) Does salience has an impact on short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment
decisions differs between individual investors and professional investors 2c) Whether the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between
female investors and male investors 3a) Does Love of Money has an effect on short-term
and long-term investment decisions 3b) Whether current income and future inheritance
moderate the relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment
decisions
Data for this research were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire
from two metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this
Conclusion
143
research were individual investors and professional money managers working with
financial institutions who were actively investing in securities listed on Pakistan Stock
Exchange previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange Money managers were working
in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management companies)
brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks However individual stock investors
were from varying backgrounds as the primary objective of this study was to analyze the
behavior of stock investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with
an institution A list of institutions where respondents were selected to fill the
questionnaire is attached as appendix IV For data analysis and result reporting the
research used partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach
was used instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due to
several strengths of PLS-SEM (Chin et al 2003 Hair et al 2012 Henseler et al 2009
Reinartz et al 2009) The findings of research questions are presented and discussed in
chapters two three and four
52 Key Findings
The research questions addressed in chapter two were based on the implications of
the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and Risk as Feeling theory The
relationship between five types of personalities and investment decisions were explored It
was found that individuals with high neuroticism and extroversion personality traits were
likely to indulge in short-term investment decision However individuals with
extraversion openness agreeableness conscientiousness personality traits were likely to
indulge in long-term investment engagement The research also investigated the
significance of risk perception as a mediator between each personality type and investment
Samra Chaudary
144
decisions The risk perception mediated the relationship between four personality types
except neuroticism and long-term investment decisions
Chapter three examined the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions Using the lens of prospect theory it was found that salience has a
significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The
impact was almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the
short-term investment decision Furthermore it was found that the two groups ie
individual investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was
stronger for individual investors than for professional investors Additionally the study
also found that both groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was
higher in the case of female investors than in the case of male investors
Chapter four made use of the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and
monetary intelligence theory to study the association between Love of Money (LoM) and
investment decisions It was found that LoM was likely to have a positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Moreover interaction analysis revealed
that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance also
moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and long-term investment
decisions
Investors who had high current income were found less likely to participate in short-
term investments Investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found
Conclusion
145
more likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high Similarly investors who expected to receive
future inheritance were found less likely to involve in short-term investment than in long-
term investment activities even though their LoM was high
Overall the findings of this research study offered noteworthy theoretical and
practical implications in the context of an emerging economy by reporting significant
relationships of personality type salience and LoM with investment decisions These
results highlighted the relevance and significance of behavioral factors for investors
making short-term and long-term investment decisions while trading in listed stocks This
research has also contributed to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market
53 Theoretical Implications
The importance of behavioral and psychological aspects in the study of finance is
becoming increasingly evident Irrational decision-making has been widely observed in
many empirical studies (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008) Such irrational decision-
making behavior was explained by the risk-averse nature of individuals and this
phenomenon was better explained with prospect theory Under prospect theory behavioral
biases were key factors for irrational decision-making To the best of our knowledge there
were no studies that have examined 1) the impact of Big-Five personality types on short-
term and long-term investment decisions with the mediation of risk perception 2) the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions with the group
differences between professional and individual investor 3) the effect of LoM on short-
Samra Chaudary
146
term and long-term investment decisions with the moderation of current income and future
inheritance
Prospect theory postulated that most individuals show irrational risk-averse
behavior rather than risk-taking whenever there was a probability of making profits
(Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Findings of this research have provided support to the
prospect theory by indicating the impact of salience (familiarity bias) on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions for individual and professional investors as well as for
both genders (Antoniou et al 2010 Riff amp Yagil 2016 Yalcin et al 2016) indicating risk
aversion of investors
Moreover this research made another significant theoretical advancement by
bringing together the relevance of prospect theory theory of planned behavior and risk as
feeling theory in one place The theory of planned behavior (TPB) by Ajzen (1991)
proposed that individualsrsquo behavior was predicted by hisher behavioral intention
Behavioral intentions were in turn determined by attitudes and perceived behavioral
control Risk as feeling theory (RaF) by Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed that when there
was a risky situation behavior tended to be driven by emotional reactions or feelings at the
time of decision-making rather than cognitiverational assessments Prospect theory also
proposes irrationality in investorsrsquo decisions under risky situations They also posited that
ldquorisk as feelingrdquo mediated at least partially the relationship between an individuals
cognitive evaluation of risk and their behavioral response Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009)
argued that TPB and RaF have some shared variables
Mayfield et al (2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and
supported TBP that short-term and long-term investment intentions were predicted by
Conclusion
147
personality types This study however used Big-Five types of personality traits as
behavioral intentions and also supported TPB as individuals with neuroticism and extrovert
personalities showed a significant relationship with short-term investment plans
Moreover openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits were found
more likely to do long term investment intentions
Our result showed support for RaF theory related to the mediating role of risk
perception It was found that investorsrsquo risk perception mediated the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions but did not mediate relationships between personality types and
ST-D It is probably because the feeling (affect) for ST-D is not perceived as risky as the
LT-D are
In addition to that this research made another noteworthy theoretical development
by interweaving the implications of prospect theory along with the theory of planned
behavior and monetary intelligence theory According to TPB attitudes predicted intentions
and behaviors and prospect theory focuses on behavioral bias therefore scholars should
examine individualsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes (Tang 2016) in the light of their
behavioral biases Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model)
of attitudes (Bagozzi et al 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed that people
monitor their own money attitudes and apply the information to evaluate the concerns in
the proximal (immediate) and distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically select the choices
to achieve financial goals (Tang et al 2018b 2018c) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals vary in their attitude towards money The results once again supported prospect
theory as wealthy investors (high current income and expect to receive inheritance) showed
Samra Chaudary
148
loss-averse behavior in our research as their LoM (money attitudes) showed a negative
impact on short-term investment decision (at the time when market was giving losses) and
was aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman
1992) which implied that investors were generally risk-averse rather than risk-taking
whenever there was a probability to make profits The chances of making profits were
estimated as too unreliable due to high instability of PSX-100 in the time period of data
collection
As manifested from the above arguments this research has provided theoretical
contributions by expounding the application of prospect theory for the understanding of
investorsrsquo decision-making for short-term and long-term The study has also made a
methodological contribution by using primary data collected from real-life investors The
findings of this study has extended the general model of prospect theory theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy hence delivered contextual contribution as well Given the
importance of these theories in the field of social behavior the results of this study have
also provided interdisciplinary contributions
54 Practical Implications
This research offered practical implications for money managers individual
investors and regulatory bodies of the country With the growth of the economy peoplesrsquo
wealth increases Hence there is a growing need for performance of wealth management
Conclusion
149
functions by professional money managers This function involves understanding the
clientrsquos requirements and delivering financial services accordingly
It is critical to examine peoplesrsquo intentions about short-term and long-term
investments and why they manage investment in different ways If those investment
intentions become evident then financial planners would be interested to learn if those
intentions can be adapted in order to advise their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It is
essential to understand personalities risk perceptions salience attitudes towards money
and other biases to give better investment advice to individual investors Such findings are
likely to help money managers to target investors appropriately and communicate to these
investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
The results of this research offered practical implications for both individual investors
and for professional money managers as they can have superior knowledge of their own
preferences and biases (for individual investors) and of their client preferences (for money
managers) Such enhanced understanding can facilitate investment decision-making
process Investment advisors help clients in investing money They must understand what
is important to their customers in order to fulfil clientsrsquo expectations accordingly It may
be possible to segment clients based on personality type risk perception familiarity bias
money attitudes current income and future wealth possession etc and develop
investment advisory packages accordingly
Portfolio managers may find useful strategies to exploit numerous behavioral
anomalies present in the financial markets Professional money managers from brokerage
houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may deliver a superior product
Samra Chaudary
150
service and provide sound assistance to their customers once they have knowledge of
clientsrsquo behavioral biases and preferences
Investors should be mindful that behavioral biases sometimes could also lead to
investment in sub-optimal portfolios Therefore understanding investorsrsquo behavior can
help to avoid such biases and can improve investment decisions in choosing short-term or
long-term investment services products and plans Portfolio managers should try to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on biases and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification To avoid these biases financial counselors must
communicate to their clients about the importance of a long-term diversification plan with
the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return in their investment portfolios (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2015) Females represent a tiny sample in the financial industry of Pakistan
An investment education program is needed especially in a developing country like
Pakistan to target more females in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
This research also expects to enhance understanding for financial regulators such as
SECP as to why and how markets might be inefficient Short-term investment is also
known as momentum investing (Gray 2006) while long-term investment is known as value
investing (Warren 2014) Generally momentum investment leads to market inefficiencies
including the creation of bubbles crashes and excess volatility in the market (Woolley
2013) as good (bad) outcomes are likely to be followed by further good (bad) outcomes
(Warren 2014) Too much short-term behavior may have adverse effects in the financial
market and shifting the balance towards long-term investment may be beneficial Value
(long-term) investments tend to have a lower turnover ratio than momentum (short-term)
Conclusion
151
investments (Warren 2014) Long-term investors provide a buffer against market panics
(Della Croce et al 2011) and help to smooth out market fluctuations (Ang amp Kjaer 2011)
Individuals with short-term investment horizons behave like traders or perhaps
speculators whereas individuals with long-term investment horizon act like investors A
long- term investment attitude represents the willingness to accept short-term pain for long-
term gain Such attitudes and beliefs are often rooted within the character of an organization
or an individual (Warren 2016)
For an emerging economy like Pakistan there is an enormous need to issue more
capital to ensure the steady growth of the financial market Successfully targeting investors
is likely to bring more funds in the market boost investments and enhance investorsrsquo
confidence in the country and thereby increase market capitalization maintain
sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market would
move towards efficiency in the long-run
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
Although this research has made noteworthy theoretical contributions to the young
paradigm of behavioral finance and has identified practical implications for investors yet
there are also some limitations that restrict the generalizability of the results Gathering
data from real equity investors (especially from professionals ie brokers and the
institutional fund managers) was quite challenging These professionals were not willing
to leave their trading screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short
time They filled the survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the
evening) or on weekends The key contribution of this dissertation is the fact that this is
very first research of this kind in the context of both developed and developing economies
Samra Chaudary
152
However more empirical pieces of evidence are needed hence data from multiple regions
and cultures can be collected in order to get results that are more widely generalizable
Data for this research were collected in the time of bears market condition Upcoming
research can collect data in bulls market and can compare the results This study has relied
on self-reported data to measure personality traits risk perception salience and LoM
Future studies can make use of objective measures of aforementioned behavioral factors
However developing such measures for investors could be tremendously challenging This
research measured investorsrsquo perceptions and not actual behavior Behaviors are better
verified in a laboratory experiment (Greenberg 1993) and further studies can opt to do so
to investigate different behavioral biases and preferences to learn if investors respond
differently
It should be admitted that there were various other psychological factors that might
have affected investment decisions and were not investigated in this study Future studies
could test the impact of differences in investorsrsquo emotions moods and weather and the
resulting impact on investment behaviors These constructs can be measured in with
different methods eg the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their
stocks can be captured through an experiment Such a research design might be challenging
as theses professional traders might be reluctant to participate because of their fiduciary
responsibility of managing other peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders
Leaving their trading screens during market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them
Future researchers can also classify investment decision in a different way than classifying
such decisions into long and short time horizons (eg by investigating multiple
instruments) Another aspect that can be further investigated is the likely impact of money
Conclusion
153
managersrsquo experience on their investment decisions Future researchers can also investigate
if gender with different demographic variables (such as marital status age and income)
have different investment decisions
In this study the focus was only on stock investors and future studies can select
investors in other instruments as well to investigate if they behave in a similar manner
This study was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if the resulting behavioral
biases were constant over time Peoplersquos financial strategies are likely to be associated with
their life cycle stages (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Therefore future researchers can
use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of impact of personality salience
and LoM over time to examine whether these biases of investors change with different
stages of their cycle This study did not investigate the impact of macro-economic issues
eg unemployment education levels recession and political instability etc which may
have a significant effect on the behavioral biases and preferences of investors
Samra Chaudary
154
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decisions over the lifecycle NBER Working Paper No 13191 Retrieved from
httpwwwnberorgpapersw13191
Ahearne A G Griever W L amp Warnock F E (2004) Information costs and home
bias an analysis of US holdings of foreign equities Journal of International
Economics 62(2) 313-336
Ahmad M Hassan A Mahmood S amp Aslam S (2016) Impact of Investor Personality
Types with interaction Effects of Demographics on Investment Behavior Evidence
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Ajzen I (1985) From intentions to actions A theory of planned behavior In J K J
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Ajzen I (1991) The Theory of planned behavior Organizational Behavior and Human
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Ajzen I (2001) Nature and operation of attitudes Annual Review of Psychology 52 27ndash
58
Ajzen I amp Fishbein M (1980) Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior
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Akerlof G A amp Schiller R J (2009) How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and
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Allport G W (1937) Personality A psychological interpretation New York Holt
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Alrabadi D W H Al-Abdallah S Y amp Aljarayesh N I A (2018) Behavioral biases
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Anderson C W Fedenia M Hirschey M amp Skiba H (2011) Cultural influences on
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Anderson J C amp Gerbing DW (1988) Structural equation modeling in practice a
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Ang A and Kjaer K N (2011) Investing for the Long Run working paper (November
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Ang J J de Jong A A amp van der Poel M A (2014) Does CEOs familiarity with
business segments affect their divestment decisions Florida State University
working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=967359
Antoniou A Olusi O amp Paudyal K (2010) Equity Home‐Bias A Suboptimal Choice
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156
Arch E C (1993) Risk-taking a motivational basis for sex differences Psychological
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Aronson E (1999) The Social Animal 8th ed New York Worth Freeman
Bagozzi R P Tybout A M Craig C S amp Sternthal B (1979) The contrast validity
of the tripartite classification of attitudes Journal of Marketing Research 16 88ndash
95
Bajtelsmit V L Bernasek A amp Jianakoplos N A (1999) Gender differences in defined
contribution pension decisions Financial Services Review 8(1) 1-10
Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2014) How biases affect investor behavior Working paper
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2015) Understanding behavioral aspects of financial
planning and investing Journal of Financial Planning 28(3) 22-26
Baker H K Filbeck G amp Ricciardi V (2017) How Behavioral Biases Affect Finance
Professionals The European Financial Review 25-29
Bansal R amp Yaron A (2004) Risks for the long run A potential resolution of asset
pricing puzzles The journal of Finance 59(4) 1481-1509
Barber B M amp Odean T (2001) Boys will be boys gender overconfidence and
common stock investment The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(1) 261-292
Barber B M Odean T amp Zheng L (2005) Out of sight out of mind The effects of
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Barberis N amp Thaler R (2003) A survey of behavioral finance Handbook of the
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References
157
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Baron R M amp Kenny D A (1986) The moderator-mediator variable distinction in
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Barrick M R amp Mount M K (1991) The Big-Five personality dimensions and job
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Bateman H Ebling C Louviere J J Satchell S E Thorp S amp Geweke J (2010)
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Australian School of Business Research Paper (2011ACTL02)
Baxter M (1994) Real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials Have we missed
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Becker A Deckers T Dohmen T Falk A amp Kosse F (2012a) The relationship
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Becker J M Klein K amp Wetzels M (2012b) Hierarchical latent variable models in
PLS-SEM Guidelines for using reflective-formative type models Long Range
Planning 45(5-6) 359-394
Belk R W (1985) Materialism Trait aspects of living in the material world Journal of
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Belk R W amp Wallendorf M (1990) The sacred meanings of money Journal of
Economic Psychology 11(1) 35-67
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158
Bernoulli D (17381954) Exposition of a new theory on the measurement of risk
translated by Louise Sommer Econometrica 22 22ndash36
Bhardwaj S amp Bhattacharjee K (2010) Modeling money attitudes to predict loan
default IUP Journal of Bank Management 9(12) 12
Black F (1986) Noise The Journal of Finance 41(3) 528-543
Black F amp Scholes M (1973) The pricing of options and corporate liabilities Journal
of Political Economy 81(3) 637-654
Blanthorne C Jones-Farmer L A amp Almer E D (2015) Why you should consider
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179-207
Bolander W Satornino C B Hughes D E amp Ferris G R (2015) Social networks
within sales organizations Their development and importance for salesperson
performance Journal of Marketing 79(6) 1-16
Bollen N P amp Posavac S (2018) Gender risk tolerance and false consensus in asset
allocation recommendations Journal of Banking amp Finance 87 304-317
Borges B Goldstein DG Ortmann A amp Gigerenzer G (1999) Can ignorance beat
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59-72
Borghans L Heckman J J Golsteyn B H amp Meijers H (2009) Gender differences
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Britt S L (2016) The intergenerational transference of money attitudes and behaviors
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Brown L D Call A C Clement M B amp Sharp N Y (2015) Inside the ldquoblack boxrdquo
of sell‐side financial analysts Journal of Accounting Research 53(1) 1-47
Brunell A B amp Buelow M T (2017) Narcissism and Performance on Behavioral
Decision‐making Tasks Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 30(1) 3-14
Bruner J S amp Goodman C C (1947) Value and need as organizing factors in
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Butler KC amp Domian DL (1991) Risk diversification and the investment horizon The
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Byrnes J P Miller D C amp Schafer W D (1999) Gender differences in risk taking a
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Calvo-Mora A Navarro-Garciacutea A Rey-Moreno M amp Perianez-Cristobal R (2016)
Excellence management practices knowledge management and key business
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Management Journal 34(6) 661-673
Cao H H Han B Hirshleifer D amp Zhang H H (2009) Fear of the unknown
Familiarity and economic decisions Review of Finance 15(1) 173-206
Samra Chaudary
160
Carnavale J J Inbar Y amp Lerner J S (2011) Individual differences in need for
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Individual Differences 51(3) 274-278
Carol T B C amp Samsinar M S (2011) Satisfying Womens Status Desires Role of
Money Attitude and Consumer Vanity in Status Consumption in AP - Asia-Pacific
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June Cotte and Linda Price Duluth MN Association for Consumer Research
Cassel C Hackl P and Westlund AH (1999) Robustness of partial least squares
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Statistics 26(4) 435-446
Cattell H E (1996) The original Big-Five A historical perspectiversquo European Review of
Applied Psychology 46(1) 5ndash14
Cattell H E amp Mead A D (2008) The sixteen personality factor questionnaire (16PF)
The SAGE Handbook of Personality Theory and Assessment 2 135-178
Cattell R B Eber HW and Tatsuoka M M (1970) Handbook for the Sixteen
Personality Factor Questionnaire Champaign IL Institute for Personality and
Ability Testing
Cenfetelli R T amp Bassellier G (2009) Interpretation of formative measurement in
information systems research MIS Quarterly 33(4) 689-707
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Chai J Horneff W Maurer R amp Mitchell O S (2011) Optimal portfolio choice over
the life cycle with flexible work endogenous retirement and lifetime payouts
Review of Finance 15(4) 875-907
Chan K Covrig V amp Ng L (2005) What determines the domestic bias and foreign
bias Evidence from mutual fund equity allocations worldwide The Journal of
Finance 60(3) 1495-1534
Charness G amp Gneezy U (2007) Strong evidence for gender differences in investment
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=648735
Chen J Tang T L P amp Tang N (2014) Temptation monetary intelligence (love of
money) and environmental context on unethical intentions and cheating Journal
of Business Ethics 123(2) 197-219
Chin W W Marcolin B L amp Newsted P R (2003) A partial least squares latent
variable modeling approach for measuring interaction effects Results from a
Monte Carlo simulation study and an electronic-mail emotionadoption study
Information Systems Research 14(2) 189-217
Chin WW (1998) The partial least squares approach to structural equation modeling
In G A Marcoulides (Ed) Modern methods for business research 295-336
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Chin WW Mills AM Steel DJ Schwarz A (2016) Multi-group Invariance Testing
An Illustrative Comparison of PLS Permutation and Covariance-Based SEM
Invariance Analysis In Abdi H Esposito Vinzi V Russolillo G Saporta G
Trinchera L (eds) The Multiple Facets of Partial Least Squares and Related
Samra Chaudary
162
Methods PLS 2014 Springer Proceedings in Mathematics amp Statistics 173 267-
284
Choi J J Laibson D Madrian B C amp Metrick A (2004) For better or for worse
Default effects and 401 (k) savings behavior In Perspectives on the Economics of
Aging (pp 81-126) University of Chicago Press
Cicchetti C J amp Dubin J A (1994) A micro econometric analysis of risk aversion and
the decision to self- insure The Journal of Political Economy 102(1) 169ndash186
Clark-Murphy M amp Soutar G N (2004) What individual investors value Some
Australian Evidence Journal of Economic Psychology 25(4) 539-555
Cohen J (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed) Hillsdale
NJ Erlbaum
Cohen J Cohen P West S G amp Aiken L S (2003) Applied multiple
regressioncorrelation analysis for the behavioral sciences (3rd ed) Mahwah NJ
Lawrence Earlbaum
Colquitt J A LePine J A amp Wesson M J (2011) Organizational behavior Improving
performance and commitment in the workplace Irwin McGraw-Hill
Concepcion J N (2016) Young and Indebted A Closer Look at the Future of Young
Professionals Journal of Financial Planning 29(9) 24
Connor-Smith J K amp Flachsbart C (2007) Relations between personality and coping
A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 93 1080-1107
Cooper I amp Kaplanis E (1994) Home bias in equity portfolios inflation hedging and
international capital market equilibrium The Review of Financial Studies 7(1) 45-
60
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Corter J E amp Chen Y J (2006) Do investment risk tolerance attitudes predict portfolio
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Costa P T Jr amp McCrae R R (1985) The NEO Personality Inventory Odessa FL
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Costa P T amp McCrae R R (1992) NEO PI-R Professional Manual Odessa FL
Psychological Assessment Resources
Costa P T Busch C M Zonderman A B amp McCrae R R (1986) Correlations of
MMPI factor scales with measures of the five-factor model of personality Journal
of Personality Assessment 50 640-650
Coval J D amp Moskowitz T J (1999) Home bias at home Local equity preference in
domestic portfolios The Journal of Finance 54(6) 2045-2073
Daniel K amp Hirshleifer D (2015) Overconfident investors predictable returns and
excessive trading Journal of Economic Perspectives 29(4) 61-88
De Bondt W F (1998) A portrait of the individual investor European Economic Review
42(3-5) 831-844
De Bondt W F amp Thaler R (1985) Does the stock market overreact The Journal of
Finance 40(3) 793-805
De Charms R (1976) Enhancing Motivation Changes in the Classroom Irvington New
York NY
De Vries A Erasmus P D amp Gerber C (2017) The familiar versus the unfamiliar
Familiarity bias amongst individual investors Acta Commercii 17(1) 1-10
Samra Chaudary
164
Della Croce R Stewart F amp Yermo J (2011) Promoting longer-term investment by
institutional investors selected issues and policies OECD Journal Financial
Market Trends 1 1-20
Dichev I D Graham J R Harvey C R amp Rajgopal S (2013) Earnings quality
Evidence from the field Journal of Accounting and Economics 56(2-3) 1-33
Diener E amp S Oishi S (2000) Money and Happiness Income and Subjective Well-
Being Across Nations In E Dinner amp E M Suh (Eds) Subjective Well-Being
Across Cultures (pp 185-218) Cambridge MA MIT Press
Dierkes M Erner C amp Zeisberger S (2010) Investment horizon and the attractiveness
of investment strategies A behavioral approach Journal of Banking amp Finance
34(5) 1032-1046
Digman J M amp Inouye J (1986) Further specification of the five robust factors of
personality Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 50(1) 116
Dimson E Marsh P amp Staunton M (2017) Factor-based investing the long-term
evidence The Journal of Portfolio Management 43(5) 15-37
Dittmar H Bond R Hurst M amp Kasser T (2014) The relationship between
materialism and personal well-being A meta-analysis Journal of Personality and
Social Psychology 107 (5) 879-924
Dohmen T Falk A Huffman D Sunde U Schupp J amp Wagner G G (2011)
Individual risk attitudes Measurement determinants and behavioral
consequences Journal of the European Economic Association 9(3) 522-550
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Dreman D Johnson S MacGregor D amp Slovic P (2001) A report on the March 2001
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Du L amp Tang T L P (2005) Measurement invariance across gender and major The
love of money among university students in Peoplersquos Republic of China Journal
of Business Ethics 59(3) 281-293
Durand R B Newby R amp Sanghani J (2008) An intimate portrait of the individual
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Durand R Newby R Tant K amp Trepongkaruna S (2013) Overconfidence
overreaction and personality Review of Behavioral Finance 5(2) 104-133
Duxbury D Hudson R Keasey K amp Summers B (2005) Should actions speak louder
than words Individuals attitudes and behavior in asset allocation choices
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East R (1993) Investment decisions and the theory of planned behavior Journal of
Economic Psychology 14(2) 337-375
Economic Survey of Pakistan (2017-2018) Government of Pakistan Finance division
Economic Advisors Wing Islamabad
Edwards J R (2011) The fallacy of formative measurement Organizational Research
Methods 14(2) 370-388
Einhorn H J amp Hogarth R M (1981) Behavioral decision theory Processes of
judgement and choice Annual Review of Psychology 32(1) 53-88
Embrey L L amp Fox J J (1997) Gender differences in the investment decision-making
process Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2) 33-40
Samra Chaudary
166
Epley N amp Gilovich T (2005) When effortful thinking influences judgmental
anchoring differential effects of forewarning and incentives on self‐generated and
externally provided anchors Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 18(3) 199-
212
Epstein S (1994) Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
American Psychologist 49(8) 709-724
Erdener C amp Garkavenko V (2012) Money attitudes in Kazakhstan
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Estes R amp Hosseini J (1988) The gender gap on Wall Street an empirical analysis of
confidence in investment decision-making The journal of psychology 122(6) 577-
590
Euwals R Eymann A amp Boumlrsch-Supan A (2004) Who determines household savings
for old age Evidence from Dutch panel data Journal of Economic Psychology
25(2) 195-211
Eysenck H J amp Eysenck S B G (1975) Manual of the Eysenck Personality
Questionnaire London Hodder and Stoughton
Falk R F amp Miller N B (1992) A primer for soft modeling Akron University of Akron
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Fama E F (1970) Efficient Capital Markets A Review of Theory and Empirical Work
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Fama E F (1998) Market efficiency long-term returns and behavioral finance1 Journal
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Fawcett S E Wallin C Allred C Fawcett A M amp Magnan G M (2011)
Information technology as an enabler of supply chain collaboration A dynamic
capabilities perspective Journal of Supply Chain Management 47(1) 38-59
Feng L amp Seasholes M S (2008) Individual investors and gender similarities in an
emerging stock market Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 16(1-2) 44-60
Filbeck G Hattield P amp Horvarth P (2005) Risk Aversion and Personality Type The
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Firat D amp Fettahoglu S (2011) Investors Purchasing Behavior via a Behavioral Finance
Approach International Journal of Business and Management 6(7) 153-163
Fischhoff B (1994) Acceptable Risk A Conceptual Proposal Risk Health Safety and
Environment 5(1) 1-28
Forbes W Hudson R Skerratt L amp Soufian M (2015) Which heuristics can aid
financial-decision-making International Review of Financial Analysis 42 199-
210
Fornell C amp Bookstein F L (1982) Two structural equation models LISREL and PLS
applied to consumer exit-voice theory Journal of Marketing Research 19(4) 440ndash
452
Fornell C amp Larcker D F (1981) Evaluating structural equation models with
unobservable variables and measurement error Journal of Marketing Research
18(1) 39ndash50
Fox C R amp Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance The
Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(3) 585-603
Samra Chaudary
168
Frazier P A Tix A P amp Barron K E (2004) Testing moderator and mediator effects
in counseling psychology research Journal of Counseling Psychology 51(1) 115
French K R amp Poterba J M (1991) Investor diversification and international equity
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Friedman M amp Savage L J (1952) The expected utility hypothesis and the
measurability of utility Journal of Political Economy 60 463-474
Frijters P Johnston D W Shields M A amp Sinha K (2015) A lifecycle perspective
of stock market performance and wellbeing Journal of Economic Behavior amp
Organization 112 237-250
Funder D C (2001) Personality Annual Review of Psychology 52 197-221
Furnham A (1984) Many sides of the coin The psychology of money usage Personality
and Individual Differences 5(5) 501ndash509
Furnham A (2014) The new psychology of money London Routledge
Furnham A amp Boo H C (2011) A literature review of the anchoring effect The Journal
of Socio-Economics 40(1) 35-42
Ganesan S (1994) Determinants of long-term orientation in buyer-seller relationships
The Journal of Marketing 58(2) 1-19
Garbinsky E N Kless K amp Aaker J (2014) Money in the bank Feeling powerful
increases saving Journal of Consumer Research 41(3) 610ndash623
Garson G D (2016) Partial least Squares Regression amp structural equation models
David Garson and Statistical Associates Publishing
Gbadamosi G amp Joubert P (2005) Money ethic moral conduct and work related
attitudes Field study from the public sector in Swaziland Journal of Management
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Development 24(8) 754-763
Gehring W J amp Willoughby A R (2002) The medial frontal cortex and the rapid
processing of monetary gains and losses Science 296 2279-2282
Geisser S (1975) The predictive sample reuse method with applications Journal of the
American Statistical Association 70(350) 320ndash328
Gentina E Tang T L P amp Gu Q (2018) Do parents and peers influence adolescentsrsquo
monetary intelligence and consumer ethics French and Chinese adolescents and
behavioral economics Journal of Business Ethics 151(1) 115-140
Giannetti M amp Koskinen Y (2010) Investor protection equity returns and financial
globalization Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45(1) 135-168
Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk savvy How to make good decisions New York Viking
Glaser M Langer T Reynders J amp Weber M (2007) Framing effects in stock market
forecasts The difference between asking for prices and asking for returns Review
of Finance 11(2) 325-357
Goldberg L R (1971) A historical survey of personality scales and inventories In P
McReynolds (Ed) Advances in psychological Assessment2 293- 336 Palo Alto
CA Science and Behavior Books
Goldberg L R (1981) Language and individual differences The search for universals in
personality lexicons Review of Personality and Social Psychology 2(1) 141-165
Goldberg L R (1990) An alternative description of personality the Big-Five factor
structure Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 59(6) 1216-1229
Goldstein D amp Gigerenzer G (2002) Models of ecological rationality The recognition
heuristic Psychological Review 109 75ndash90
Samra Chaudary
170
Gomez-Mejia L R amp Balkin D B (1992) Determinants of faculty pay An agency
theory perspective Academy of Management Journal 35 921-955
Goodhue D L Lewis W amp Thompson R (2012) Does PLS have advantages for small
sample size or non-normal data MIS Quarterly 36(3) 981-1001
Gough H G (1987) California psychological inventory Administrators Guide
Consulting Psychologists Press
Grable J Lytton R amp OrsquoNeill B (2004) Projection bias and financial risk tolerance
The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 142ndash147
Gray J (2006) Avoiding short-termism in investment decision-making CFA Institute
December
Greenberg A E (2013) When imagining future wealth influences risky decision-making
Judgment and Decision-making 8(3) 268ndash277
Greenberg A E amp Hershfield H E (2019) Financial decision-making Consumer
Psychology Review 2(1) 17-29
Greenberg J (1993) Stealing in the name of justice Informational and interpersonal
moderators of theft reactions to underpayment inequity Organizational behavior
and human decision processes 54(1) 81-103
Grinblatt M amp Han B (2005) Prospect theory mental accounting and momentum
Journal of Financial Economics 78(2) 311-339
Grinblatt M amp Keloharju M (2001) How distance language and culture influence
stockholdings and trades The Journal of Finance 56(3) 1053-1073
Griskevicius V Ackerman J M Cantuacute S M Delton A W Robertson T E Simpson
J A Tybur J M (2013) When the economy falters do people spend or save
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Responses to resource scarcity depend on childhood environments Psychological
Science 24(2) 197ndash205
Guilford J P (1949) The Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey Beverly Hills
Calif Sheridan
Guiso L Jappelli T amp Terlizzese D (1996) Income risk borrowing constraints and
portfolio choice American Economic Review 86(1) 158-172
Gulati R (1995) Does familiarity breed trust The implications of repeated ties for
contractual choice in alliances Academy of Management Journal 38(1) 85-112
Gunnarsson J amp Wahlund R (1997) Household financial strategies in Sweden An
exploratory study Journal of Economic Psychology 18(2ndash3) 201ndash233
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2014) A Primer on Partial Least
Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) Thousand Oaks CA Sage
Publications
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2016) A primer on partial least
squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) (2nd ed) Sage Publications
Thousand Oaks CA USA
Hair J F Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2011) PLS-SEM Indeed a silver bullet Journal
of Marketing Theory and Practice 19(2) 139 ndash 151
Hair J F Sarstedt M Ringle C M amp Mena J A (2012) An assessment of the use of
partial least squares structural equation modeling in marketing research Journal of
the Academy of Marketing Science 40(3) 414-433
Haisley E Mostafa R amp Loewenstein G (2008) Subjective relative income and lottery
ticket purchases Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 21(3) 283ndash295
Samra Chaudary
172
Hampson D P Grimes A Banister E amp McGoldrick P J (2018) A typology of
consumers based on money attitudes after major recession Journal of Business
Research 91 159-168
Hariharan G Chapman K S amp Domian D L (2000) Risk tolerance and asset
allocation for investors nearing retirement Financial Services Review 9(2) 159-
170
Harpaz I (1990) The importance of work goals An international perspective Journal of
International Business Studies 21(1) 75-93
Harrison P amp Zhang H H (1999) An investigation of the risk and return relation at long
horizons Review of Economics and Statistics 81(3) 399-408
Hastie R amp Dawes R M (2010) Rational choice in an uncertain world The psychology
of judgment and decision-making Sage
Hayes A F (2009) Beyond Baron and Kenny Statistical mediation analysis in the new
millennium Communication Monographs 76(4) 408-420
Hayes C L amp Kelly K (1999) Money makeovers How women can control their
financial destiny New York Doubleday
Heath C amp Tversky A (1991) Preference and belief Ambiguity and competence in
choice under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4(1) 5-28
Heinstroumlm J (2003) Five personality dimensions and their influence on information
behavior Information Research 9(1) 9-1
Henseler J amp Chin W W (2010) A comparison of approaches for the analysis of
interaction effects between latent variables using partial least squares path
modeling Structural Equation Modeling 17(1) 82-109
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Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2015) A new criterion for assessing
discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science 43(1) 115-135
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2016) Testing measurement invariance of
composites using partial least square International Marketing Review 33(3) 405ndash
431
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sinkovics R R (2009) The use of partial least squares path
modeling in international marketing In New challenges to international marketing
(pp 277-319) Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Hershey D A amp Mowen J C (2000) Psychological determinants of financial
preparedness for retirement The Gerontologist 40(6) 687-697
Hinz R P McCarthy D D amp Turner J A (1997) Are women conservative investors
Gender differences in participant-directed pension investments Positioning
pensions for the twenty-first century Philadelphia University of Pennsylvania Press
91- 103
Hira T K amp Loibl C (2008) Gender differences in investment behavior In Handbook
of consumer finance research (pp 253-270) Springer New York NY
Hirshleifer D (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing Journal of Finance 56(4)
1533-1597
Hlouskova J Fortin I amp Tsigaris P (2017) The consumptionndashinvestment decision of a
prospect theory household A two-period model Journal of Mathematical
Economics 70 74-89
Samra Chaudary
174
Hoffmann A O Post T amp Pennings J M (2015) How investor perceptions drive actual
trading and risk-taking behavior Journal of Behavioral Finance 16(1) 94-103
Hogan J (1986) Manual for the Hogan Personnel Selection System Minneapolis MN
National Computer Systems
Hogan R (1982) A socioanalytic theory of personality In Nebraska symposium on
motivation University of Nebraska Press
Hogan R amp Hogan J (1991) Personality and status In D G Gilbert amp J J Connolly
(Eds) Personality Social Skills and Psychopathology An Individual Differences
Approach 137-154 New York Plenum Press
Hopenhayn H A (1992) Entry exit and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium
Econometrica Journal of the Econometric Society 1127-1150
Hopfensitz A amp Wranik T (2009) How to adapt to changing markets experience and
personality in a repeated investment game Discussion Paper No 092009 - 056
Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=1578305
Hough L M Eaton N K Dunnette M D Kamp J D amp McCloy R A (1990)
Criterion-related validities of personality constructs and the effect of response
distortion on those validities Journal of Applied Psychology 75(5) 581
Hsee C K amp Weber E U (1997) A fundamental prediction error Selfndashothers
discrepancies in risk preference Journal of experimental psychology general
126(1) 45
Hsee C K Zhang J Cai C F amp Zhang S (2013) Overearning Psychological science
24(6) 852-859
Huang J Y Shieh J C amp Kao Y C (2016) Starting points for a new researcher in
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175
behavioral finance International Journal of Managerial Finance 12(1) 92-103
Huber J Palan S amp Zeisberger S (2017) Does Investor Risk Perception Drive Asset
Prices in Markets Experimental Evidence Working Paper Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=3007878
Huberman G (2001) Familiarity breeds investment Review of Financial Studies 14(3)
659ndash680
Hulland J (1999) Use of partial least squares (PLS) in strategic management research a
review of four recent studies Strategic Management Journal 20(2) 195ndash204
Hunt S D amp Vitell S J (1993) The general theory of marketing ethics A retrospective
and revision in N C Smith and A John (eds) Ethics in Marketing Quelch (Irwin
Inc Homewood IL) pp 775ndash784
Hunter K amp Kemp S (2004) The personality of e-commerce investors Journal of
Economic Psychology 25(4) 529-537
Iacobucci D (2010) Structural equations modeling Fit indices sample size and advanced
topics Journal of Consumer Psychology 20(1) 90-98
Imasheva A B amp Kim A M (2017) Psychological differences in financial decision-
making by people from different generations KazNU Bulletin Psychology and
sociology series 59(4) 50-56
Ishfaq M Maqbool Z Akram S Tariq S amp Khurshid M K (2017) Mediating Role
of Risk Perception between Cognitive Biases and Risky Investment Decision
Empirical Evidence from Pakistans Equity Market Journal of Managerial
Sciences 11(3) 265-278
Samra Chaudary
176
Ivkoviacutec Z amp Weisbenner S (2007) Information diffusion effects in individual
investorsrsquo common stock purchases covet thy neighborsrsquo investment choices
Review of Financial Studies 20(4) 1327-1357
Jabeen M (2016 June 16) PSX ndash Unfolding future prospects at its best Business
Recorder retrieved from httpsfpbrecordercom2016062016061657187
Jain P C amp Wu J S (2000) Truth in mutual fund advertising Evidence on future
performance and fund flows The Journal of Finance 55(2) 937-958
Jaiswal B amp Kamil N (2012) Gender behavioral finance and the investment decision
IBA Business Review 7(2) 8-22
Jaiyeoba H B amp Haron R (2016) A qualitative inquiry into the investment decision
behavior of the Malaysian stock market investors Qualitative Research in
Financial Markets 8(3) 246-267
Jenkins G D Mitra A Gupta N amp Shaw D (1998) Are financial incentives related
to performance A meta-analytic review of empirical research Journal of Applied
Psychology 83 777-787
Jensen M C amp Meckling W H (1976) Theory of the firm Managerial behavior agency
costs and ownership structure Journal of Financial Economics 3(4) 305-360
Jia S W Zhang W X Li P Feng T Y amp Li H (2013) Attitude toward money
modulates outcome processing An ERP study Social Neuroscience 8 43-51
John O P amp Srivastava S (1999) The Big-Five trait taxonomy History measurement
and theoretical perspectives Handbook of personality Theory and research
2(1999) 102-138
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Jordan B D amp Riley T B (2015) Volatility and mutual fund manager skill Journal of
Financial Economics 118 289-298
Josef A K Richter D Samanez-Larkin G R Wagner G G Hertwig R amp Mata R
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Judge T A Heller D amp Mount M K (2002) Five-factor model of personality and job
satisfaction A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 87(3) 530
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Kahneman D (2011) Thinking fast and slow New York Farrar Straus and Giroux
Kahneman D (2012) Thinking fast and slow New York NY Penguin Books Ltd
Kahneman D amp Deaton A (2010) High income improves evaluation of life but not
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Kahneman D amp Riepe M W (1998) Aspects of investor psychology Journal of
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Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory an analysis of decision under risk
Econometrica 47(2) 263-292
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1984) Choices Values and Frames American
Psychologist 39 341ndash35
Samra Chaudary
178
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Kamp J D amp Gough H G (1986) The Big-Five personality factors from an assessment
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Kamp J D amp Hough L M (1986) Utility of personality assessment A review and
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assessment for predicting job performance A review and integration of the
literature 88-02
Kang J K amp Stulz R (1997) Why is there a home bias An analysis of foreign portfolio
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Karlsson A amp Nordeacuten L (2007) Home sweet home Home bias and international
diversification among individual investors Journal of Banking amp Finance 31(2)
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Kautonen T van Gelderen M amp Fink M (2015) Robustness of the theory of planned
behavior in predicting entrepreneurial intentions and actions Entrepreneurship
Theory and Practice 39(3) 655-674
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Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006b) Money attitude typology and stock investment The
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Khwaja A I amp Mian A (2005) Unchecked intermediaries Price manipulation in an
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Kish-Gephart J J Harrison D A amp Trevintildeo L K (2010) Bad apples bad cases and
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Kiyilar M amp Acar O (2013) Behavioral finance and the study of the irrational financial
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Kliger D amp Kudryavtsev A (2010) The availability heuristic and investors reaction to
company-specific events The Journal of Behavioral Finance 11(1) 50-65
Kline R B (2005) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling (2nd ed) New
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Kline R B (2015) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling Guilford
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Samra Chaudary
180
Klontz B T amp Britt S L (2012) How clientsrsquo money scripts predict their financial
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planned behavior perspective Judgment and Decision-making 4(7) 567
Kock N (2015) Common method bias in PLS-SEM A full collinearity assessment
approach International Journal of e-Collaboration 11(4) 1-10
Koropp C Kellermanns F W Grichnik D amp Stanley L (2014) Financial decision-
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Kourtidis D Šević Ž amp Chatzoglou P (2011) Investorsrsquo trading activity A behavioral
perspective and empirical results The Journal of Socio-Economics 40(5) 548-557
Krause M R Serlin R C Ward S E Rony R Y Z Ezenwa M O amp Naab F
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Research 59(4) 288-294
Krueger N and Dickson P R (1994) How believing in ourselves increases risk taking
perceived self-efficacy and opportunity recognition Decision Sciences 25 (3) 385-
400
Krupp D B amp Cook T R (2018) Local competition amplifies the corrosive effects of
inequality Psychological Science 29(5) 824ndash833
Kubilay B amp Bayrakdaroglu A (2016) An empirical research on investor biases in
financial decision-making financial risk tolerance and financial personality
International Journal of Financial Research 7(2) 171-182
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181
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Kumar S amp Goyal N (2015) Behavioral biases in investment decision-makingndasha
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108
Lagarde C (2016) The Role of Emerging Markets in a New Global Partnership for
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httpswwwimforgenNewsArticles201509280453sp020416
Lakonishok J Shleifer A amp Vishny R W (1994) Contrarian investment extrapolation
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Lakshmi P Visalakshmi S Thamaraiselvan N amp Senthilarasu B (2013) Assessing
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Law K S Wong C S amp Mobley W M (1998) Toward a taxonomy of
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Lea S E G amp Webley P (2006) Money as tool money as drug The biological
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Lemrova S Reiterova E Fatenova R Lemr K amp Tang T L P (2014) Money is
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Samra Chaudary
182
Lewis K K (1999) Trying to explain home bias in equities and consumption Journal of
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Li D Jiang Y An S Shen Z amp Jin W (2009) The influence of money attitudes on
young Chinese consumers compulsive buying Young Consumers 10(2) 98-109
Li S amp Liu C J (2008) Individual differences in a switch from risk‐averse preferences
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Lim K L Soutar G N amp Lee J A (2013) Factors affecting investment intentions A
consumer behavior perspective Journal of Financial Services Marketing 18(4)
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Lim V K amp Teo T S (1997) Sex money and financial hardship An empirical study
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Economic Psychology 18(4) 369-386
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investment in
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Locke E A Feren D B McCaleb V M Shaw K N amp Denny A T (1980) The
relative effectiveness of four methods of motivating employee performance In K
D Duncan M M Gruneberg amp D Wallis (Eds) Changes in Working Life 363-
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Lodder P Ong H H Grasman R P amp Wicherts J (2019) A comprehensive meta-
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Loewenstein G F Weber E U Hsee C K amp Welch N (2001) Risk as feelings
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Loewenstein G amp Lerner J S (2003) The role of affect in decision-making Handbook
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MacCrimmon K R amp Wehrung D A (1990) Characteristics of risk taking executives
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MacGregor D G amp Slovic P (2000) Retirement Plans and Financial Expectations A
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Mahastanti L A amp Hariady E (2013) Determining the Factor Affecting Stock
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Mayfield C Perdue G amp Wooten K (2008) Investment management and personality
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Samra Chaudary
184
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McKenzie C R amp Liersch M J (2011) Misunderstanding savings growth Implications
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Medina J F Saegert J amp Gresham A (1996) Comparison of Mexican‐American and
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Merton R C (1973) An intertemporal capital asset pricing model Econometrica Journal
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Metawa N Hassan M K Metawa S amp Safa M F (2019) Impact of behavioral factors
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Milkovich G T Newman J M amp Gerhart B (2014) Compensation (11th ed) Boston
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Millet K Lamey L amp Van den Bergh B (2012) Avoiding negative vs achieving
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Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2) 275ndash 284
Mishra S (2014) Decision-making under risk Integrating perspectives from biology
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280-307
Mishra S Hing L S S amp Lalumiere M L (2015) Inequality and risk-taking
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Mitchell T R amp Mickel AE (1999) The meaning of money An individual difference
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Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira T Augusto Falciano M amp Villas Boas Perito R (2014)
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Consumers 15(2) 111-124
Modigliani F amp Miller M H (1958) The cost of capital corporation finance and the
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Mohammadi A amp Shafi K (2018) Gender differences in the contribution patterns of
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Morse W C (1998) Risk taking in personal investments Journal of Business and
Psychology 13(2) 281-288
Samra Chaudary
186
Mousavi S amp Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk uncertainty and heuristics Journal of
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Muller A amp de Zwaan M (2010) Pathological buying A review of the current
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Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 53(4) 289-294
Muradoglu G amp Harvey N (2012) Behavioural finance the role of psychological
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Myers I B amp McCaulley M H (1985) Manual A guide to the development and use of
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Newman J M Gerhart B amp Milkovich G T (2017) Compensation (12th ed) New
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Nicholson N Soane E Fenton‐OCreevy M amp Willman P (2005) Personality and
domain‐specific risk taking Journal of Risk Research 8(2) 157-176
Nkundabanyanga S K Omagor C Mpamizo B amp Ntayi J M (2011) The love of
money pressure to perform and unethical marketing behavior in the cosmetic
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Nnedum O A U Egwu E U Obinna E J Ntomchukwu M S amp Chukwukeluo C
B (2011) Materialism and meaning of money (MOM) Validation of Money
Metaphor Scale (MMS) in South Africa International Research Journal of
Finance amp Economics 76 31ndash46
Nofsinger J (2005) The Psychology of Investing 2nd ed Prentice Hall NJ
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Norden L (2010) Individual home bias portfolio churning and performance The
European Journal of Finance 16(4) 329-351
Norman W T (1963) Toward an adequate taxonomy of personality attributes Replicated
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Nosic A amp Weber M (2010) How riskily do I invest The role of risk attitudes risk
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Odean T (1998) Are investors reluctant to realize their losses The Journal of Finance
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Odean T (1999) Do investors trade too muchrdquo The American Economic Review 89(5)
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Oehler A amp Wedlich F (2018) The relationship of extraversion and neuroticism with
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Psychology and Economics 11(2) 63
Oehler A Wendt S Wedlich F amp Horn M (2018) Investors personality influences
investment decisions Experimental evidence on extraversion and neuroticism
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Samra Chaudary
188
Oezgen O amp Bayoğlu A S (2005) Turkish college studentsrsquo attitudes towards money
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Olsen R A (1997) Desirability bias among professional investment managers Some
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Olsen R A amp Cox C M (2001) The influence of gender on the perception and response
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Oshio A Taku K Hirano M amp Saeed G (2018) Resilience and Big-Five personality
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Pagano M (1993) Financial markets and growth an overview European Economic
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Pak O amp Mahmood M (2015) Impact of personality on risk tolerance and investment
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Pan C H amp Statman M (2013) Investor personality in investor questionnaires The
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Paramati S R Ummalla M amp Apergis N (2016) The effect of foreign direct
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Payne B K Brown-Iannuzzi J L amp Hannay J W (2017) Economic inequality
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Pennings J M Candel M J amp Egelkraut T M (2003) A behavioral decision-making
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Phillips J M amp Gully S M (2013) Organizational Behavior Tools for success (2nd
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Pompian M M amp Longo J M (2004) A new paradigm for practical application of
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Poropat A E (2009) A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and
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Poterba J M (2000) Stock market wealth and consumption Journal of Economic
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Prahalad C K amp Hammond A (2002) Serving the worldrsquos poor profitably Harvard
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Prast H Rossi M Torricelli C amp Sansone D (2015) Do women prefer pink The
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Economica 31(3) 377-420
Samra Chaudary
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Preacher K amp Hayes A (2008) Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and
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Methods 40(3) 879ndash891
Prinz S Gruumlnder G Hilgers R D Holtemoumlller O amp Vernaleken I (2014) Impact of
personal economic environment and personality factors on individual financial
decision-making Frontiers in Psychology 5 158
Puustinen P Maas P amp Karjaluoto H (2013) Development and validation of the
Perceived Investment Value (PIV) scale Journal of Economic Psychology 36 41-
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Ratcliffe A amp Taylor K (2015) Who cares about stock market booms and busts
Evidence from data on mental health Oxford Economic Papers-New Series 67 (3)
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Raubenheimer J (2004) An item selection procedure to maximize scale reliability and
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Raut R K Das N amp Kumar R (2018) Extending the Theory of Planned Behavior
Impact of Past Behavioral Biases on the Investment Decision of Indian Investors
Asian Journal of Business and Accounting 11(1) 265-291
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Reinartz W Haenlein M amp Henseler J (2009) An empirical comparison of the efficacy
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Riaz L amp Hunjra A I (2016) Relationship between Psychological Factors and
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Riepe M W (2013) Musings on behavioral finance Journal of Financial Planning
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Riff S amp Yagil Y (2016) Behavioral Factors Affecting the Home Bias Phenomenon
Experimental Tests Journal of Behavioral Finance 17(3) 267-279
Ringle C M Sarstedt M amp Straub D (2012) A critical look at the use of PLS-SEM in
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Ringle C M Wende S amp Becker J M (2015) SmartPLS 30 (version 323)
Boenningstedt SmartPLS GmbH
Roll R (1983) Vas ist das The turn-of-the-year effect and the return premia of small
firms Journal of Portfolio Management 9(2) 18-28
Rose G M amp Orr L M (2007) Measuring and exploring symbolic money meaning
Psychology amp Marketing 24(9) 743ndash761
Rosler M Retz W Retz-Junginger P Thome J Supprian T Nissen T amp Trott G
E (2004) Tools for the diagnosis of attention-deficithyperactivity disorder in
adults Self-rating behavior questionnaire and diagnostic checklist Der Nervenarzt
75(9) 888-895
Rubenstein C (1981) Money and self-esteem relationships secrecy envy satisfaction
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Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J (2017) If you want to save focus on the forest rather than
on trees The effects of shifts in levels of construal on saving decisions PloS one
12(5) e0178283
Rynes S L amp Gerhart B (2000) Compensation in organizations Current research and
practice San Francisco CA Jossey-Bass
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from wwwgflecorginitiativessp-global-finlit-survey
Sahi S K Arora A P amp Dhameja N (2013) An exploratory inquiry into the
psychological biases in financial investment behaviors Journal of Behavioral
Finance 14 (2) 94-103
Salgado J F (1997) The five-factor model of personality and job performance in the
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Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2009) Testing a model of behavioral intentions in the
Republic of Macedonia Differences between the private and the public
sectors Journal of Business Ethics 87(4) 495-517
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2012) Work-related behavioral intentions in
Macedonia Coping strategies work environment love of money job satisfaction
and demographic variables Journal of Business Ethics 108(3) 373-391
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2015) Monetary intelligence Money attitudes-
unethical intentions intrinsic and extrinsic job satisfaction and coping strategies
across public and private sectors in Macedonia Journal of Business Ethics 130(1)
93ndash115
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Satchell L P Bacon A M Firth J L amp Corr P J (2018) Risk as reward
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everyday risk-taking Personality and Individual Differences 128 162-169
Saucier G amp Goldberg L R (1996) The language of personality Lexical perspectives
The five-factor model of personality Theoretical perspectives 21-50
Saunders M Lewis P amp Thornhill A (2007) Research methods Business Students 6th
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Scandura T A (2016) Essentials of organizational behavior An evidence-based
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Schumacker R E amp Lomax R G (1996) A beginnerrsquos guide to structural equation
modeling Mahwah NJ Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
Schwartz H (2010) Heuristics or rules of thumb In J Nofsinger amp K Baker (Eds)
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Finance Chichester England John Wiley (Edited)
Seasholes M S amp Zhu N (2010) Individual investors and local bias The Journal of
Finance 65(5) 1987-2010
Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan (2016) SECP determined to ensure investor
protection and to end market abuse- Press Release Retrieved from
httpswwwsecpgovpkwp-contentuploads201607July-19-2016-SECP-
determined-to-ensure-investor-protection-and-to-end-market-abusepdf
Seiler M J Seiler V L Harrison D M amp Lane M A (2013) Familiarity bias and
perceived future home price movements Journal of Behavioral Finance 14(1) 9-
24
Samra Chaudary
194
Seiler M Seiler V Traub S amp Harrison D (2008) Familiarity bias and the status quo
alternative Journal of Housing Research 17(2) 139-154
Sekścińska K Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J amp Maison D (2018) Individual
differences in time perspectives and risky financial choices Personality and
Individual Differences 120 118-126
Shachat J amp Zhang Z (2017) The Hayek Hypothesis and Long‐run Competitive
Equilibrium An Experimental Investigation The Economic Journal 127(599)
199-228
Shariff M Z Al-Khasawneh J amp ElSharif A (2012) Future of Neurofinance and
Behavioral Finance in Class Room International Journal of Finance 24(2) 7200-
7207
Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices a theory of market equilibrium under the condition
of risk Journal of Finance 19(3) 425ndash 442
Shawahna R Fahed B Qadri D Sharawi L Soroghli M amp Dweik M (2017)
Awareness and knowledge of autism spectrum disorders among pharmacists a
cross-sectional study in Palestinian pharmacy practice Journal of Autism and
Developmental Disorders 47(6) 1618-1627
Shefrin H amp Statman M (1985) The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers
too long theory and evidence Journal of Finance 40(3) 777-790
Shih T Y amp Ke S C (2014) Determinates of financial behavior insights into consumer
money attitudes and financial literacy Service Business 8(2) 217-238
Shiller R (2003) From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance The Journal of
Economic Perspectives 17(1) 83-104
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Shiloh S Salton E amp Sharabi D (2002) Individual differences in rational and intuitive
thinking styles as predictors of heuristic responses and framing effects Personality
and Individual Differences 32(3) 415-429
Shleifer A amp Summers L H (1990) The noise trader approach to finance Journal of
Economic Perspectives 4(2) 19-33
Shrout P E amp Bolger N (2002) Mediation in experimental and non-experimental
studies new procedures and recommendations Psychological Methods 7(4) 422ndash
445
Simon H A (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice The Quarterly Journal of
Economics 69(1) 99-118
Singh R (2010) Behavioral Finance Studies Emergence and Developments Journal of
Contemporary Management Research 4(2) 1-9
Singhapakdi A Vitell S J Lee D J Nisius A M amp Grace B Y (2013) The
influence of love of money and religiosity on ethical decision-making in marketing
Journal of Business Ethics 114(1) 183-191
Sirri E R amp Tufano P (1998) Costly search and mutual fund flows Journal of Finance
53(5) 1589-1622
Sizemore C (2012 November 20) Investing lessons Avoiding the Peter Lynch Bias
Forbes Retrieved from
httpwwwforbescomsitesmoneybuilder20121120investing-lessons-
avoiding-the-peter-lynch-bias
Sloan A (2002) The Jurys In Greed Isnt Good Newsweek 139(25) 37-37
Samra Chaudary
196
Slovic P Fischhoff B and Lichtenstein S (1977) lsquoBehavioral Decision Theoryrsquo Annual
Review of Psychology 28(1) 1-39
Smith A (17761937) An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations New
York Modern Library
Statman M Thorley S amp Vorkink K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading
volume Review of Financial Studies 19(4) 1531-1565
Steenkamp J B E amp Baumgartner H (1998) Assessing measurement invariance in
cross-national consumer research Journal of Consumer Research 25(1) 78-90
Sternad D amp Kennelly J J (2017) The sustainable executive antecedents of managerial
long-term orientation Journal of Global Responsibility 8(2) 179-195
Stone M (1974) Cross‐validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Methodological) 36(2) 111-133
Strong N amp Xu X (2003) Understanding the equity home bias Evidence from survey
data Review of Economics and Statistics 85(2) 307-312
Subrahmanyam A (2008) Behavioral finance a review and synthesis European
Financial Management 14(1) 12-29
Sutcliffe K M (1994) What executives notice accurate perceptions in top management
teams Academy of Management Journal 37(5) 1360-1378
Szyszka A Zielonka P (2007) The Disposition Effect Demonstrated on IPO Trading
Volume Journal of Behavioral Finance 4(3) 40-48
Takahashi H amp Terano T (2003) Agent-based approach to investorrsquos behavior and asset
price fluctuation in financial markets Journal of Artificial Societies and Social
Simulation 6(3) 159-173
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197
Takemura K (2014) Behavioral Decision Theory Psychological and mathematical
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Tang N Chen J Zhang K amp Tang T L P (2018a) Monetary wisdom How do
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Tang T L P (1992) The Meaning of money revisited Journal of Organizational
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Tang T L P (1993) The meaning of money Extension and exploration of the money
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Behavior 14(1) 93-99
Tang T L P (1995) The development of a short Money Ethic Scale Attitudes toward
money and pay satisfaction revisited Personality and Individual Differences
19(6) 809ndash817
Tang T L P (2007) lsquoIncome and Quality of Life Does the Love of Money Make a
Differencersquo Journal of Business Ethics 72(4) 375ndash393
Tang T L P (2016) Theory of monetary intelligence Money attitudesmdashreligious values
making money making ethical decisions and making the grade Journal of
Business Ethics 133(3) 583ndash603
Tang T L P amp Chen Y J (2008) Intelligence vs wisdom The love of money
Machiavellianism and unethical behavior across college major and gender Journal
of Business Ethics 82(1) 1ndash26
Tang T L P amp Chiu R K (2003) Income money ethic pay satisfaction commitment
and unethical behavior Is the love of money the root of evil for Hong Kong
Samra Chaudary
198
employees Journal of Business Ethics 46(1) 13ndash30
Tang T L P amp Gilbert P R (1995) Attitudes toward money as related to intrinsic and
extrinsic job satisfaction stress and work-related attitudes Personality and
Individual Differences 19(3) 327-332
Tang T L P amp Sutarso T (2013) Falling or not falling into temptation Multiple faces
of temptation monetary intelligence and unethical intentions across gender
Journal of Business Ethics 116(3) 529ndash552
Tang T L P Chen Y J amp Sutarso T (2008a) Bad apples in bad (business) barrels
The love of money Machiavellianism risk tolerance and unethical behavior
Management Decision 46(2) 243-263
Tang T L P Kim J K amp Shin-Hsiung Tang D (2000) Does Attitude Toward Money
Moderate the Relationship Between Intrinsic Job Satisfaction and Voluntary
Turnover Human Relations 53(2) 213ndash245
Tang T L P Luna-Arocas R amp Sutarso T (2005) lsquoFrom Income to Pay Satisfaction
The Love of Money and Pay Equity Comparison as Mediators and Culture (the US
and Spain) and Gender as Moderators Management Research The Journal of the
Iberoamerican Academy of Management 3(1) 7ndash26
Tang T L P Sutarso T Akande A Allen M W Alzubaidi A S Ansari M A et
al (2006) The love of money and pay level satisfaction Measurement and
functional equivalence in 29 geographical entities around the world Management
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicia F
amp Vlerick P (2018b) Monetary intelligence and behavioral economics across
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199
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicai F
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Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management DOI
105465AMBPP201165869480
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K Teo T S Arias-Galicia F amp
Vlerick P (2018c) Monetary Intelligence and Behavioral Economics The Enron
Effect-Love of money corporate ethical values Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI) and dishonesty across 31 geopolitical entities Journal of Business Ethics
148(4) 919-937
Tang T L P Sutarso T Davis G M T Dolinski D Ibrahim A H S amp Wagner S
L (2008b) To help or not to help The Good Samaritan Effect and the love of
money on helping behavior Journal of Business Ethics 82(4) 865ndash887
Tang T L P T Sutarso A Akande M W Allen A S Alzubaidi M A Ansari F
Arias-Galicai M G Borg L Canova B Charles-Pauvers B S Cheng R K Chiu
L Z Du I Garber C Garcia de la Torre R C Higgs A H S Ibrahim C K Jen
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Manganelli A Moreira A U O Nnedum J E Osagie A Osman-Gani F C
Pereira R Pholsward H D Pitariu M Polic E Sardzoska P Skobic A F
Stembridge T L N Tang T S H Teo M Tombolani M Trontelj C Urbain and
P Vlerick 2007 August 3ndash8 Doing Well by Doing Good Does Economic
Samra Chaudary
200
Development Make a Difference Paper presented at the Academy of Management
Annual Meetings Philadelphia PA
Tang T L P Tillery K R Lazarevski B amp Luna-Arocas R (2004) The love of money
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Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Iqbal A (2016) Information sources and trading behavior
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94-117
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Yousaf S (2015) The influence of Investor personality traits
on information acquisition and trading behavior Evidence from Chinese futures
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Tekce B Yılmaz N amp Bildik R (2016) What factors affect behavioral biases
Evidence from Turkish individual stock investors Research in International
Business and Finance 37 515-526
Tesar L amp Werner I (1995) Home bias and high turnover Journal of International
Money and Finance 14(4) 467ndash492
Thaler R (1980) Toward a positive theory of consumer choice Journal of Economic
Behavior amp Organization 1(1) 39-60
Thaler R (1999) Mental accounting matters Journal of Behavioral Decision-making
12(3) 183-206
Thaler R H amp Sunstein C R (2008) Nudge improving decisions about health wealth
and happiness New Haven CT Yale University Press
Tigges P Riegert A Jonitz L Brengelmann J amp Engel R R (2000) Risk behavior
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Tomek I Striacuteteskyacute V amp Tahal R (2013) Segmentation of Czech Consumers Based on
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Trapmann S Hell B Hirn J O W amp Schuler H (2007) Meta-analysis of the
relationship between the Big-Five and academic success at university Zeitschrift
fuumlr PsychologieJournal of Psychology 215(2) 132-151
Tripathi M amp Chattopadhyay T (2013) Study of Behavioral Dimensions of Perceived
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India Journal of Commerce amp Accounting Research 2(4)10-27
Tung R L amp Baumann C (2009) Comparing the attitudes toward money material
possessions and savings of overseas Chinese vis-agrave-vis Chinese in China
convergence divergence or cross-vergence vis-agrave-vis lsquoone size fits allrsquohuman
resource management policies and practices The International Journal of Human
Resource Management 20(11) 2382-2401
Tupes E C amp Christal R E (1961) Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings
(ASD-TR-61-97) Lackland Air Force Base TX Aeronautical System Division
Personnel Laboratory
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1986) Rational choice and the framing of the decision
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Tversky A and Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory cumulative
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Samra Chaudary
202
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1973) Availability A heuristic for judging frequency and
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Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1974) Judgment under uncertainty Heuristics and biases
Science 185(4157) 1124-1131
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1981) The framing of decisions and the psychology of
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Van Witteloostuijin A amp Muehlfeld K S (2008) Traders personality and trading
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Economics Utrecht University Retrieved from
httpeconpapersrepecorgpaperusetkiwps0828htm
Velicer W F amp Fava J L (1998) Affects of variable and subject sampling on factor
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Verma M (2008) Wealth management and behavioral finance The effect of
demographics and personality on investment choice among Indian investors The
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Vitell S J Paolillo J G amp Singh J J (2006) The role of money and religiosity in
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369-379
Vohs K D (2015) Money priming can change peoplersquos thoughts feelings motivation
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203
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Vohs K D Mead N C amp Goode M R (2006) The psychological consequences of
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Von Thadden E L (1995) Long-term contracts short-term investment and monitoring
The Review of Economic Studies 62(4) 557-575
Wang C M Xu B B Zhang S J amp Chen Y Q (2016) Influence of personality and
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Wang M Keller C amp Siegrist M (2011) The less you know the more you are afraid
ofmdashA survey on risk perceptions of investment products Journal of Behavioral
Finance 12(1) 9-19
Wang X L Shi K amp Fan H X (2006) Psychological mechanisms of investors in
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Warneryd K E (2001) Stock-market psychology How people value and trade stocks
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Warren G (2014) Long-Term Investing What Determines Investment Horizon Centre
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Institute Research Paper No 2016-04 Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=2987949
Weber E U amp Johnson E J (2008) Decisions under uncertainty Psychological
economic and neuroeconomic explanations of risk preference In P Glimcher C
Samra Chaudary
204
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Weber E U amp Milliman R A (1997) Perceived risk attitudes Relating risk perception
to risky choice Management Science 43(2) 123-144
Weber E U Blais A R amp Betz N E (2002) A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale
Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors Journal of Behavioral Decision-
making 15(4) 263-290
Weber E U Siebenmorgen N amp Weber M (2005) Communicating asset risk how
name recognition and the format of historic volatility information affect risk
perception and investment decisions Risk Analysis An International Journal
25(3) 597-609
Weber M Weber E U amp Nosić A (2013) Who takes risks when and why
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Wermers R (1999) Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices The Journal of
Finance 54(2) 581-622
Wernimont PF amp Fitzpatrick S (1972) The meaning of money Journal of Applied
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Wille G W (1996) A stepwise procedure for the empirical assessment of latent variable
models Unpublished masterrsquos thesis Port Elizabeth University of Port Elizabeth
Wilson A B McNellis C amp Latham C K (2018) Audit firm tenure auditor familiarity
and trust Effect on auditee whistleblowing reporting intentions International
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Wong H M (2008) Religiousness love of money and ethical attitudes of Malaysian
evangelical Christians in business Journal of Business Ethics 81(1) 169-191
Wood R E Goodman J S Beckmann N amp Cook A (2008) Mediation testing in
management research A review and proposals Organizational Research Methods
11(2) 270-295
Wood R amp Zaichkowsky J L (2004) Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market
investors A segmentation approach The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 170-
179
Woolley P (2013) Resilience and the Long-term Rethinking Portfolios for Prosperity
Speech at The Princersquos Charities Event 27th June 2013
Xu H amp Tracey T J (2017) Use of Multi-Group Confirmatory Factor Analysis in
Examining Measurement Invariance in Counseling Psychology Research The
European Journal of Counselling Psychology 6(1) 75-82
Yalcin K C Tatoglu E amp Zaim S (2016) Developing an instrument for measuring the
effects of heuristics on investment decisions Kybernetes 45(7) 1052-1071
Yamauchi K T amp Templer D I (1982) The development of a money attitude scale
Journal of Personality Assessment 46(5) 523ndash528
Yang S Hsu Y amp Tu C (2012) How do traders influence investors confidence and
trading volume A dyad study in the futures market Emerging Markets Finance
and Trade 48(3) 23-34
Samra Chaudary
206
Zakaria R H Jaafar N I M amp Marican S (2012) Financial behavior and financial
position a structural equation modelling approach Middle-East Journal of
Scientific Research 12(10) 1396-1402
Zeisberger S (2018) What is risk how investors perceive risk in return distributions
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=2811636
Zhang L Q (2009) An exchange theory of money and self-esteem in decision-
making Review of General Psychology 13(1) 66-76
Zhao H Seibert S E amp Lumpkin G T (2010b) The relationship of personality to
entrepreneurial intentions and performance A meta-analytic review Journal of
Management 36(2) 381ndash404-
Zhao X Lynch Jr J G amp Chen Q (2010a) Reconsidering Baron and Kenny Myths
and truths about mediation analysis Journal of Consumer Research 37(2) 197-
206
Zhao H amp Seibert S (2006) The Big-Five personality dimensions and entrepreneurial
status A meta-analytical review Journal of Applied Psychology 91(2) 259-271
Appendix
207
Appendices
Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Personality and
Decision-making
Heinstrom 2003
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Mayfield et al
2008 Lim at al
2013 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Oehler et al 2018
Heinstrom 2003
Van Witteloostuijin
amp Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006ab
Bateman et al
2010 Weber et al
2013 Hoffman et
al 2015 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Verma 2008 Riaz
amp Hunjra 2016
Tauni et al
20152016 Yang et
al 2012 Wang et
al 2006 Personality and
Investment
Decisions
Oehler et al 2018
Mayfield et al
2008 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Hershey amp Mowen
2000 Hunter amp
Kemp 2004 van
Witteloostuijin amp
Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
2013 Tauni et al
2015 2016 Yang
et al 2012
Brandstatter 2011
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
Mayfield et al
2008
Personality and
Risk Taking
Behavior
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Weber et al 2002
Filbeck et al 2005
Mayfield et al
2008 Brandstatter
2011 Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Risk Taking and
Decision-making
Riaz amp Hunjra
2016
MacCrimmon amp
Wehrung 1990
Samra Chaudary
208
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a b
Nosic amp Weber
2010 Bateman et
al 2010 Weber et
al 2013 Hoffman
et al 2015 Lim at
al 2013 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002 Wang
et al 2006
Loewenstein et al
2001 Weber amp
Johnson 2008
Big-Five
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Big-Five
Personality Risk
Perception Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Appendix
209
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Heuristics and
Decision-making
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1974
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
De Bondt 1998 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Shefrin amp
Statman 1985
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
Lakonishok et al
1994 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998
Odean 1998 1999
Thaler 1999 Jain
amp Wu 2000
Hirshleifer 2001
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Grinblatt amp Han
2005 Nofsinger
2005 Mishra
2014 Yalcin et al
2016 Ahearne et
al 2004 Wang et
al 2011 Lewis
1999 Barberis amp
Xiong 2009
Wermers 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Statman et
al 2006 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Furnham amp Boo
2011 Glaser et al
2007 Thaler amp
Sunstein 2008
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
De Bondt 1998
Jain amp Wu 2000
Wang et al 2011
Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Lakonishok et al
1994 Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Chan et al 2005
Ahearne et al
2004 Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Kang amp
Stulz 1997 Odean
1998 1999 Lewis
1999 Wermers
1999 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Statman et al
2006 Glaser et al
2007 Wang et al
2011 Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Yalcin et al 2016
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 De Vries et
al 2017 Chan et
al 2005 Olsen
1997 Metawa et
al 2019
Samra Chaudary
210
Salience and
Investment
Decisions
Yalcin et al 2016
Huberman 2001
Tverskyamp
Kahneman 1973
Merton 1987
Heath amp Tversky
1991 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Sirri amp Tufano
1998 Jain amp Wu
2000 Barber et al
2005 Nofsinger
2005Wang et al
2011 Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 Antoniou et
al 2010 Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014
Chan et al 2005
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Sizemore 2012
Giannetti amp
Koskinen 2010
Kumar amp
Goetzmann 2003
De Vries et al
2017 Chan et al
2005 Weber et al
2005
Institutional
Investors and
Salience
Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Strong amp Xu 2003
Chan et al 2005
Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Goldstein amp
Gigerenzer 2002
Forbes et al 2015
Individual
Investors and
Salience
Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba
1991
Baker et al 2017
De Vries et al
2017 Tesar amp
Werner 1995
Appendix
211
Ahearne et al
2004 Kang amp
Stulz 1997
Seasholes amp Zhu
2010 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Cooper amp Kaplanis
1994
Gender and
Salience
Anderson et al
2011 Alrabadi et
al 2018 Ang et
al 2014 Cao et al
2009 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Karlsson amp Norden
2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018
Prast et al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Tekce et al 2016
Wang et al 2011
Anderson et al
2011 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018 Prast et
al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Wang et al 2011
Alrabadi et al
2018 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Tekce et al 2016
Salience Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Salience
Institutional
Investors
Individual
Investors Gender
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
212
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Attitudes and
Decision-making
Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013
Akhtar amp Das
2019
Lim amp Teo 1997
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al
2006 Vitell et al
2007 Tang et al
2008 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Klontz
amp Britt 2012
Gentina et al 2018
Hampson et al
2018 Tang amp Chiu
2003 Medina et al
1996 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Tang et al
2006 Li et al
2009 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Jia
et al 2013
Sardzoska ampTang
2012 Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013 Shih
amp Ke 2014 Tang
et al 2018a
Akhtar amp Das 2019
Money Attitudes
and Decision-
making
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Vitell et al 2007
Tang et al
2008ab Tang amp
Chen 2008 Li et
al 2009 Klontz amp
Britt 2012 Shih amp
Ke 2014 Tang
2016 Britt 2016
Tang et al 2018a
Greenberg amp
Hershfield 2019
Money Attitudes
and Investment
Decisions
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Jia et al
2013 Shih amp Ke
2014 Tang et al
2018a
Demographics and
Money Attitudes
Lim amp Teo 1997
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011
Hampson et al
2018 Gentina et al
2018 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Medina et al 1996
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Tang et al 2006
Tang et al
2008ab Sardzoska
ampTang 2012
Demographics and
Investment
Decision
Warneryd 2001
Haisley et al 2008
Greenberg amp
Appendix
213
Hershfield 2019
Cicchetti amp Dubin
1994 Grable et al
2004 Hlouskova et
al 2017
Greenberg 2013
Embrey and Fox
1997
Money Attitudes
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Money Attitudes
Income
Inheritance Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
214
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 1 Aba Ali Securities- Karachi
2 Alfalah Investments- Karachi
3 Allied Bank Limited (ABL)- Asset Management Company- Lahore
4 Arif Habib- Karachi
5 Bank Islami Pakistan Limited Securities (BIPL)- Karachi
6 Central Depository Company (CDC) - Karachi
7 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
8 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
9 Foundation Securities- Karachi
10 IGI Insurance- Lahore
11 Insight Securities- Karachi
12 JS Global Capital- Karachi
13 JS Global Capital- Lahore
14 Meezan - Asset Management Company-Lahore
15 Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) - Asset Management Company
16 NBP Fullerton Asset Management Limited (NAFA)- Lahore
17 Pakistan Stock Exchange- Lahore
18 Pakistan Stock Exchange-Karachi
19 Shajar Capital- Karachi
20 Silk - Asset Management Company- Lahore
21 Topline Securities- Karachi
22 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Karachi
23 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Lahore
Appendix
215
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation)
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision
Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
216
Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and short-term investment decision
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision
Appendix
217
Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision
Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
218
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision
Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and long-term investment decision
Appendix
219
Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision
Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
220
Appendix VI Questionnaire
This questionnaire is aimed at collecting data for PhD thesis in Business Administration
Please fill the questionnaire to the best of your knowledge The information taken is purely
for research purpose and will be kept confidential Thank you for taking the time to assist
me in my educational endeavours
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
Short-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
1-I intend to put at least half of my
investment money into the stock market
1 2 3 4 5
2-I intend to engage in portfolio
management activities at least twice per
week
1 2 3 4 5
3-I intend to perform my own investment
research instead of using outside advice
1 2 3 4 5
4-I intend to compare my portfolio
performance to that of professional
managers
1 2 3 4 5
Long-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
5-I intend to save at least 10 of my
gross earnings for investing saving
retirement purposes
1 2 3 4 5
6-I intend to have a portfolio that focuses
on multiple asset classes (ie shares
bonds cash real estate etc)
1 2 3 4 5
7-I intend to take an investments course 1 2 3 4 5
8-I intend to manage my portfolio for
maximum gross return rather than tax
and cost efficiency
1 2 3 4 5
9-I intend to invest some money in long-
term assets where my money will be tied
up and inaccessible for years
1 2 3 4 5
Neuroticism
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
10-I often feel inferior to others 1 2 3 4 5
11-When Im under a great deal of stress
sometimes I feel like Im going to pieces
1 2 3 4 5
12-I often feel tense and jittery 1 2 3 4 5
13-Sometimes I feel completely
worthless
1 2 3 4 5
14-Too often when things go wrong I
get discouraged and feel like giving up
1 2 3 4 5
Appendix
221
Extraversion
(Costa ampMcCrae 1992)
15-I really enjoy talking to people 1 2 3 4 5
16-I am a cheerful high-spirited person 1 2 3 4 5
17-I am a very active person 1 2 3 4 5
Openness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
18-I am intrigued by the patterns I find in
art and nature
1 2 3 4 5
19-I often try new and foreign foods 1 2 3 4 5
20-I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 1 2 3 4 5
21-I often enjoy playing with theories or
abstract ideas
1 2 3 4 5
Agreeableness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
22-I often get into arguments with my
family and co-workers
1 2 3 4 5
23-Some people think Im selfish and
egotistical
1 2 3 4 5
24-Some people think of me as cold and
calculating
1 2 3 4 5
Conscientiousness
(CostaampMcCrae1992)
25-I keep my belongings neat and clean 1 2 3 4 5
26-I am pretty good about pacing myself
so as to get things done on time
1 2 3 4 5
27-I waste a lot of time before settling
down to work
1 2 3 4 5
Salience
(Yalcin et al 2016)
28-Expert opinions in written and visual
media should be taken into consideration
when investing
1 2 3 4 5
29-A companyrsquos share which is often in
the media with favorable news coverage
should be preferred when investing
1 2 3 4 5
30-To invest in companies that have a
good brand name is important to me
1 2 3 4 5
31-It is risky to invest in relatively
unknown public companies rather than
known ones
1 2 3 4 5
32-I believe that investors should
purchase the share of the company they
work for if it is well run
1 2 3 4 5
Achievement
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
33-I believe that the amount of money
that a person earns is closely related to
hisher ability and effort
1 2 3 4 5
34-Money represents ones achievement 1 2 3 4 5
35-Money is a symbol of success 1 2 3 4 5
36-I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence
1 2 3 4 5
Power
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
37-Money can give you the opportunity
to be what you want to be
1 2 3 4 5
38-Money gives you autonomy or
freedom
1 2 3 4 5
Samra Chaudary
222
39-Money means power 1 2 3 4 5
40-Money will help you express your
competence and abilities
1 2 3 4 5
41-Money can bring you many friends 1 2 3 4 5
Obsession
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
42-I firmly believe that money can solve
all of my problems
1 2 3 4 5
43-Money can buy everything 1 2 3 4 5
44-I would do practically anything legal
for money if it were enough
1 2 3 4 5
45-I often fantasize about money and
what I could do with it
1 2 3 4 5
Budget
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
46-I am proud of my ability to save
money
1 2 3 4 5
47-I feel compelled to argue or bargain
about the cost of almost everything that I
buy
1 2 3 4 5
Indicate your gut level assessment of how risky each situation is on a five-point rating
scale
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all risky Slightly
Risky
Moderately
Risky
Relatively more
Risky
Very Risky
Risk Perception
(Weber et al 2002)
48-Investing 10 of your annual income
in a moderate growth mutual fund
1 2 3 4 5
49-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a very speculative shares
1 2 3 4 5
50-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a conservative shares
1 2 3 4 5
1-How long have you been investing in the stock market hellipyears andhellipmonths
2-Whats your role in the management of wealth (check only one option)
1048713 I manage my own wealth only 1048713 I manage peoplersquos wealth
3-Do you expect to receive inheritancetransfer of assets from your family
1048713 Yes 1048713 No
4-What is your amount invested in the stockshares portfolio PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
5-How would you rate your religiosity
1048713 Very liberal 1048713Moderately religious 1048713Very religious
6-What is your age helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip years
Appendix
223
7-What is your monthly income PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
8-Please circle the highest number of years of school completed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23+
9-Gender 1048713 Male 1048713 Female
Thank you for your help
v
However investors with openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits
showed an effect on LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and LT-
D only The results of the second paper found that salience has a significant positive
impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and professional
investors were found significantly different from each other Furthermore the parametric
tests of difference between the two groups also showed that path coefficients of female
investors were significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for
ST-D and LT-D The third paper found that LoM showed a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore income moderated
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance moderated the relationship
between LoM and both ST-D and LT-D The findings of this research have implications
for psychologists economists and finance executives The findings will facilitate money
managers to cultivate a deeper understanding of their clientsrsquo behavior for ST-D and LT-
D Thus it is important that financial advisors include this behavioral aspect in their risk
models to improve the investment plans and decisions for their clients The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of
finance especially to the literature on personality risk perception salience and LoM
used by investors while making investment decisions
Keywords personality type risk perception salience love of money short-term
investment decision long- term investment decision
Thesis supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar
Supervisorrsquos Title Professor
vi
Acknowledgments |
|
There are myriad individuals to acknowledge individually everyone who aided
me during this research and from whom I have learned considerably A special thanks
to Dr Shahid Amjad Chaudhry who by providing me with the opportunity to teach set
in motion my enrolment into the PhD program I would like to express my most sincere
gratitude to my supervisor Dr Sohail Zafar for his continuous encouragement and
patient guidance I also want to recognize my committee members Dr Syeda Rabab
Mudakkar and Dr Aamir Khan for providing direction and productive critiques to my
research I thank my teachers and everyone who voluntarily bore with me throughout the
process of my primary research
I also want to acknowledge collectively the colleagues with whom I worked with
the Lahore School of Economics for the last 8 years Contrary to the usual stereotypes
rather than competition the support by my peers who were on the same journey was
unequivocally sincere I am grateful to my best friend Qurat ul Ain for her consistent
support throughout this challenging process and to my uncle Amjad Bhatti who
encouraged me to enroll in the PhD program
Last but not least I thank all of my family including all my siblings Sadia Sidra
Zeenat Huma M Ali M Umar and especially my father Abdul Qadir for the
unconditional support and encouragement to pursue my interests and follow my dreams
I dedicate this work in the loving memory of my deceased mother Shamshad Akhter for
her wise thoughtful and motivational nurturing that kindled passion in me to accomplish
this milestone
vii
Table of Contents
Contents Abstract iv Acknowledgments vi Table of Contents vii List of Tables x
List of Figures xi 1 Introduction 1
11 Introduction 1
12 Research Context 9
13 Research Objectives and Questions 10
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions 13
15 Organization of the Study 17
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk Perception on Investment
Decisions 19 Abstract 19
21 Introduction 20
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development 24
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979) 24
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991) 26
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001) 27
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies 28
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions 32
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions 35
23 Data and Methodology 41
231 Measures 41
232 Methods 41
24 Results 46
241 Measurement Model 46
242 Structural Model 49
25 Discussion and Implications 56
26 Conclusion and Future Research 62
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions Differences Between
Individual Investors and Professional Investors 65 Abstract 65
31 Introduction 66
viii
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development 68
321 Prospect Theory 68
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions 69
323 Salience and Investment Decision 70
324 Institutional Investors and Salience 74
325 Individual Investors and Salience 75
326 Gender and Salience 77
33 Data and Methodology 81
331 Measures 81
332 Methods 81
34 Results 84
341 Measurement Model 84
342 Structural Model 87
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment 89
344 Multi-group Analysis 92
35 Discussion and Implications 95
36 Conclusion and Future Research 100
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions Interaction of Income and
Inheritance 102
Abstract 102
41 Introduction 103
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development 107
421 Prospect Theory 107
422 Theory of Planned Behavior 108
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory 109
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions 109
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money 113
43 Data and Methodology 118
431 Measures 118
432 Methods 119
44 Results 122
441 Measurement Model 122
442 Structural Model 126
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance 128
45 Discussion and Implications 134
ix
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction 140
5 Conclusion 142 51 Introduction 142
52 Key Findings 143
53 Theoretical Implications 145
54 Practical Implications 148
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions 151
References 154
Appendices 207 Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 207
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 209
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 212
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 214
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation) 215
Appendix VI Questionnaire 220
x
List of Tables
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies 30 Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models 32 Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits 33 Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 46 Table 25 Results of Measurement Model 48
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 49 Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 49 Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D 52 Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception 55
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 84 Table 32 Results of Measurement Model 86
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 86 Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 86 Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D 88
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and
Professional Investors 91
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male
Investors 91 Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors 93 Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females 94
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females 94
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted 122
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model 125 Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs 126
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs 126 Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations 126 Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D 128 Table 47 Moderation Results 131
xi
List of Figures
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) 7 Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception 10 Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception 40 Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and
long-term investment decisions 80 Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term
and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect
to receive the future inheritance 118 Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132 Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation
below the mean (ie low-income) 132
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision 133 Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision 133
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision 215 Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and short-term investment decision 216
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision 216 Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision 217 Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision 217
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
openness and long-term investment decision 218 Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision 219 Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision 219
Introduction
1
1 Introduction
11 Introduction
Onersquos life is full of risky decisions from ordinary routine matters of daily life to matters
of life or death Individuals persistently face circumstances that require them to decide
between actions that differ in the level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Individual investors
and money managers are often confronted with risky decision-making choices as they are
expected to make decisions by taking into account the perceived levels of risk (Epstein
1994) An individualrsquos financial decision-making is a key factor for hisher long-term
financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017 Tang et al 2018a) Therefore it is important
to understand which factors influenced investorsrsquo financial decisions (Keller amp Siegrist
2006b) Decisions are a function of many constraints such as task structure the decision
makers cognitive representation of the task and the decision makers information
processing capabilities The process of decision-making has been investigated by many
disciplines eg economics statistics psychology philosophy and management science
Psychologists seemed to believe that they can best contribute to decision research by
exposing the psychological processes underlying judgment and choice They have tried to
place behavioral decision theory within a broader psychological context and have focused
on the significance of memory cognition conflict learning and feedback as relevant
factors that affect decision-making (Einhorn amp Hogarth 1981)
Individuals make investment decisions to save earnings for retirement (Clark-Murphy
amp Soutar 2004 Dreman Johnson MacGregor amp Slovic 2001) education expenses and
health care expenditures (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Another reason for an
investment decision is the individualrsquos desire for making profits and increasing their capital
Samra Chaudary
2
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Moreover 1) deregulations of financial services 2) social
security cuts and 3) tough economic conditions are also likely reasons for individuals to
invest (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) In this era of concern for retirement savings
employees try to understand how much to save where to invest and how to make lump-
sum payouts (McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) Consequently individuals all over the world
are facing more complex investment decisions than in the past (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Shih amp Ke 2014)
The development of asset markets has offered more varied opportunities to invest in
several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) These financial instruments have different
time horizons ie short and long The attractiveness of an investment strategy is
significantly determined by the investment horizon (Dierkes Erner amp Zeisberger 2010)
Attitudes towards investment horizon may vary across individuals and may depend on
different behavioral factors (Warren 2014) Some of those are investigated in this
dissertation According to Pennings Candel amp Egelkraut (2003) financial institutions
need new knowledge in order to develop new financial products or to improve the existing
ones Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice
process of the client is crucial for investors themselves as well as for financial institutions
involved in developing financial instruments for investors
An Individualrsquos decisions to invest in a firmrsquos securities are not merely driven by the
fundamentals of a firm (De Vries Erasmus amp Gerber 2017) but are prominently
influenced by psychological and behavioral factors related to investors such as personality
emotions (Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007 Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 Kahneman 2012 Tauni
Fang amp Iqbal 2016) attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b) desire for
Introduction
3
immediate gratification (Warren 2016) locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward
saving (Euwals Eymann amp Boumlrsch-Supan 2004) risk attitudes (Morse1998 Tigges
Riegert Jonitz Brengelmann amp Engel 2000 Warneryd 2001) overconfidence and
behavioral biases (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Kiyilar amp Acar
2009 Kourtidis Sevic amp Chatzoglou 2011 Pompian 2012) The identification of
investorsrsquo related factors that hinder or stimulate their decision to make investments is of
high relevance (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Overlooking such important factors may have
severe negative effects on investment returns (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) Therefore it is
argued that the behavioral aspect of an investor is relevant in devising effective strategies
by financial planners for their clientsrsquo wealth management
Investors sometimes behave irrationally in some of their investment decisions (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2014 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a) Traditional financial models are unable to explain such irrational but real
behavior of investors (Firat amp Fettahoglou 2011) Behavioral finance models are deemed
more suitable to explain investor behavior that results in market anomalies because rational
models of conventional finance fail to explain such anomalies (Glaser Langer Reynders
amp Weber 2007) Previous studies on peoplersquos investment decisions were based on the
assumptions of modern finance theories (Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952
Modigliani amp Miller 1958) Conventional finance theories assume that investors are
rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain level of risk However conventional
finance theories have been criticized both on the basis of their lack of explanatory power
and the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi ampTerano 2003) Yalcin Tatoglu and
Zaim (2016) have identified two bases of conventional finance theories firstly these
Samra Chaudary
4
theories assume that during the decision-making process humans behave rationally as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) secondly these theories advocate that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect the accurate prices of
securities the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) stated that in an efficient market all the
available information is reflected in the observed current prices of financial assets The
assumptions of a perfect market are that there are no taxes no inflation no information
asymmetry no transaction cost no bankruptcy cost and investors are rational According
to EMH investors make rational decisions in the financial market and it would be
impossible for an investor to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis There
are three forms of EMH which are the weak form the semi-strong form and the strong
form In Weak form prices of financial assets reflect market-level data (price and volume)
In semi-strong form current prices of financial securities reflect market-level data and
publicly available data However in the strong form of EMH prevailing prices of the
securities reflect publicly as well as privately available data Hence as level of information
increases market becomes more efficient (Fama 1970)
However in decision-making investors have to take one course of action among
several uncertain investment alternatives However various studies (Black 1986 De
Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Warneryd 2001) detected so-called ldquoanomaliesrdquo in the returns that
were not explained by the EMH and rational models of portfolio choice Yalcin et al (2016)
have explained that both conventional finance and behavioral finance propose different
interpretations to explain the causes of observable market anomalies The advocates of
conventional finance claim that the anomalies can be explained by chance or by the
Introduction
5
presence of methodological errors In contrast advocates of behavioral finance claim these
anomalies are explainable through behavioral biases (Kliger amp Kudryavtsev 2010 Sahi
Arora amp Dhameja 2013)
The term expected utility was first introduced by Bernoulli (17381954) The
expected utility theory deals with the decision-making under the condition of uncertainty
ie when individuals are unaware of the outcome of the decision Expected utility theory
postulates that investors behaved rationally and tried to maximize their utilities by
evaluating all the investment alternatives and they restrict their feelings and they decide
only by using their brains as a super calculator or as emotionless robots Investors choose
between risky or uncertain prospects by calculating the utility of each decision outcome
multiplied by its probability to arrive at an expected value Friedman and Savage (1952)
had proposed that decision-makers look for maximum utility in all outcomes whereas
utility was generally defined as a degree of happiness satisfaction or contentment
Conventional finance theory was first questioned by Simon (1955) who argued that
individuals have bounded rationality and their actions are constrained by mental and
external restrictions which limit their rationality Slovic Fischhoff and Lichtenstein
(1977) also argued that because of limited information processing ability and not knowing
the guidelines of optimal information processing decision makerrsquos judgment is subject to
systematic biases The idea of limited rationality provided the foundation for the discipline
of behavioral finance as many researchers encountered counter-evidence against the
validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Shleifer amp Summers 1990) These researchers concluded that in real-life decision-making
situations individuals were subject to some cognitive limitations
Samra Chaudary
6
The area of behavioral finance recognizes the importance of human behavioral
biases which plays a significant role in economic decisions made by individuals The field
picked up pace when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed prospect theory and got
further recognition when three Nobel Prizes were awarded to behavioral economists
namely Daniel Kahneman in 2002 Robert Schiller in 2006 and most recently Richard
Thaler in 2017 Prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) laid the foundation for
the discipline of behavioral finance It proposes that investorsrsquo decision-making is based
on the potential value of gains and losses rather than on actual value of gains and losses
This phenomenon occurs due to cognitive biases that affect the judgment about these gains
and losses Prospect theory assumes that the value function is a concave function in the
area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a convex function in the area of loss and thus risk-
taking Additionally the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in the area of
loss than in the area of gain which infers that a loss would have a larger effect (cause more
pain) on the decision-maker than a gain (would cause happiness)
In prospect theory the outcomes are estimated on the basis of the deviance from
the reference point which symbolizes the psychological origin the decision-maker assesses
the outcomes either as a gain or loss Moreover prospect theory suggests that decision-
makers estimate a gain as risk-aversion and a loss as risk-taking Even the identical problem
demonstrates risk-aversion behavior when the alternatives are shown in the area of gain it
also shows risk-taking behavior in the area of loss
According to prospect theory the value function is a concave function (a function
that is concave downward) in the region of gain which is above the reference point and
the function is convex (a function that is convex downward) in the region of loss which is
Introduction
7
below the reference point as shown in figure 11 This shows that the decision-makers show
risk-averse actions in the area of gain and risk-taking actions in the area of a loss
Figure11 The value function of prospect theory by Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted a survey among faculty and students in
Israeli American and Swedish universities Subjects were given the following similar
problems as stated in Takemura (2014) To clarify this findings of their results are given
below
Problem 1 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
A a gain of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect A = (4000 080)
B a certain gain of $3000 (Prospect B = (3000 100)
Problem 2 Which one of the following alternatives is preferred to the other
C a loss of $4000 with a probability of 80 (Prospect C = (-4000 080)
D a certain loss of $3000 (Prospect D = (-3000 100)
Samra Chaudary
8
For Problem 1 20 of 95 respondents selected A 80 preferred B Regarding Problem
2 92 of 95 respondents preferred C 8 opted for D This pattern of the majority
selection was consistent with the propositions of prospect theory that decision-makers are
risk-averse in the area of gain and risk-takers in the area of loss
The above example can further be clarified that in case of gains a big majority of
respondents (80) showed a preference for definite gains while only 20 of respondents
expressed the preference for probabilistic gains although the probabilistic gains were
higher Therefore they concluded that in case of gains respondents showed risk-averse
behavior Furthermore in the case of losses 92 of respondents chose probabilistic losses
while only 8 chose definite losses though probabilistic losses were higher Therefore
they showed preference for risk-taking which is an irrational behavior
The discipline of behavioral finance links the knowledge of finance and behavioral
decision-making The discipline discusses how investors think feel behave and decide
about their investments The subject also includes the awareness of psychological
processes that determine the decision-makersrsquo choices as well as systematic biases that
investors have and heuristics that investors use when making decisions Behavioral finance
emerged as a new discipline linking behavioral and psychological perspectives in economic
and financial decision-making in the 1980s (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) The field is emerging
within the broader context of economics and finance and has close interaction with both
psychology and sociology (Puustinen Maas amp Karjaluoto 2013 Shiller 2003
Subrahmanyam 2008) Shariff Al-Khasawneh and ElSharif (2012) conducted a survey
on university students in the Persian Gulf countries and found that respondents were not at
all familiar with behavioral finance or neuroscience concepts Riepe (2013) has
Introduction
9
emphasized that the future of behavioral finance is bright Huang Shieh and Kao (2016)
research based on ISI Web of Science (WOS) database searched from 1995 to 2013
covering 124 journals found that research papers in the area of behavioral finance are
increasing making it a significant area of study With the dynamic development of
financial markets more and more researchers are using behavioral finance as their research
paradigm
12 Research Context
Capital markets play an important role in any countryrsquos economic health Respondents
of this study were the active traders in the equity market Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-
100) was founded in 1991 and is the largest and most liquid stock index of Pakistan As of
February 23rd 2018 the market capitalization of PSX-100 was US$ 84 billion with an
average daily trading volume of US$95 billion There were 559 listed companies from 35
sectors From a population of almost 208 million (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2017)
there were only approximately 0248 million investors (including institutional and retail)
who were actively participating in the stock market This was barely 125 percent of the
countryrsquos population Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual) of
the country Karachi has 74 percent investors Lahore has 18 percent and Islamabad has 8
percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Khwaja and Mian (2005) argued
that KSE-100 index depicts the typical attributes of an emerging market such as soaring
returns with extreme volatility low market capitalization but with large trading volumes
and high kurtosis in the returns distribution In 2002 for instance KSE-100 was announced
as the outperforming index in the world in terms of the percentage increase Consequently
the status of PSX was upgraded to Emerging Markets from Frontier Markets by Morgan
Samra Chaudary
10
Stanley Capital International (MSCI) in June 2016 According to the managing director of
IMF emerging economies contribute almost 60 percent of global GDP (Lagarde 2016)
This announcement anticipated more capital inflows from international markets indicating
brighter future prospects for PSX (Jabeen 2016) Figure 12 shows an overall upward trend
of yearly returns of PSX-100 since its inception
Kumar and Goyal (2015) proposed that future research in the discipline of behavioral
finance should concentrate on emerging stock markets as developing economies have
higher growth prospects It was also proposed that attention should be given to research
based on primary data to analyze the behavior of investors
Figure 12 Yearly performance of PSX-100 since inception
Source wwwpsxcompk
13 Research Objectives and Questions
This study is built on the notion that behavioral factors have an influence on the
decision-making process of investors The key objective of this dissertation is to investigate
Introduction
11
the effect of behavioral factors namely personality type of investors salience (familiarity
bias) and investorsrsquo love of money on their investment decisions In this sense this study
essentially aims at testing the Prospect Theory in many ways in the context of a developing
economy
There is a dearth of literature on the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience
(familiarity bias) and love of money on short-term and long-term investment decisions
There are numerous studies on the aforementioned three behavioral factors and their impact
on decision-making from developed economies (Ahearne Griever amp Warnock 2004
Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale Inbar amp Lerner 2011
Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Gentina Tang amp Gu 2018 Hampson Grimes Banister amp
McGoldrick 2018 Hirshleifer 2001 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997
Mayfield Perdue amp Wooten 2008 Nicholson Soane Fenton‐OCreevy amp Willman
2005 Oehler Wendt Wedlich amp Horn 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell Bacon
Firth amp Corr 2018 Sekścińska Rudzinska-Wojciechowska amp Maison 2018 Tang 2016
1992 Tversky amp Kahneman 1986 1981 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell Singh amp
Paolillo 2007 Wang Keller amp Siegrist 2011 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber Blais amp
Betz 2002 Yalcin et al 2016) But research in the context of developing economies is
still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De Vries
et al 2017 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li Jiang An Shen amp Jin 2009 Li amp Liu 2008
Metawa Hassan Metawa amp Safa 2019 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira Augusto Falciano
amp Villas Boas Perito 2014 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Tripathi amp
Chattopadhyay 2013)
Samra Chaudary
12
To the best of our knowledge there is scant empirical evidence on the primary research
question of the study and none in the emerging economy In order to accomplish the
research objective a number of following research questions have been developed 1a) Do
five personality types have an effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions
1b) Does risk perception mediate the relationship between personality types and short-term
and long-term investment decisions 2a) Does salience (familiarity bias) have an impact
on short-term and long-term investment decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between individual investors and
professional investors 2c) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions differs between female investors and male investors 3a) What is the
relationship between Love of Money and short-term and long-term investment decisions
3b) Whether current income moderates the relationship of Love of Money and short-term
as well as long-term investment decisions 3c) Whether future inheritance moderates the
relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment decisions
It is crucially important to analyze investorsrsquo intentions (such as short-term vs long-
term) about investment and why they manage the investment in different ways If those
investment intentions are evident then researchers and financial advisors would be
interested to learn if those intentions are adaptable (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become
vital to recognize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is
likely to be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate
with these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Introduction
13
14 Key Findings Significance and Contributions
The key findings of three papers are summarized in the following paragraph The
results of first paper are that investors only with neuroticism and extrovert personality traits
showed a significant positive relationship with ST-D However individuals with openness
conscientiousness and extraversion personalities showed a significant positive relationship
with LT-D Risk perception was found to mediate the relationship of extraversion with LT-
D openness with LT-D agreeableness with LT-D and conscientiousness personality trait
with LT-D There was no mediating effect of risk perception between relationship of five
personality types and ST-D The findings of the second paper are that salience has a
significant positive impact on both ST-D and LT-D Moreover individual investors and
professional investors were found significantly different from each other with respect to
impact of salience on decision making behavior both ST-D and LT-D Furthermore the
moderating effect of gender in relationship between salience and investment decision
showed that the path coefficients of female investors were significantly different from the
path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D It was found that female
investors suffered more from salience bias than male investors In the third paper it was
found that LoM had a significant positive impact on both ST-D and on L-TD Moreover
income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D but did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D Paper three also tested moderating effect of inheritance
expectation on relationship between LoM and investment decisions The expectation of
receiving future inheritance was found to moderate the relationship between LoM and ST-
D as well as the relationship of LoM with LT-D
Samra Chaudary
14
The significance of these studies enhances the understanding of irrationality in
investment decision making Behavioral biases are inseparable from individualsrsquo decision-
making and can reasonably be understood with the lens of behavioral finance (Barberis amp
Thaler 2003) The complexity of irrational decisions by investors creates new challenges
for portfolio managers whose job is to manage their clientrsquos wealth Therefore the
knowledge of behavioral factors is imperative for the financial institutions and financial
planners to ensure that their customers are obtaining appropriate guidance Such findings
can also help professionals in recognizing the behaviors of clients and accordingly advise
them for short-term and long-term financial goals (Baker Filbeck amp Ricciardi 2017) The
understanding of behavioral factors operative in investors decision-making is likely to aid
managers to communicate better with their clients (Muradoglu amp Harvey 2012)
Moreover understanding of an investorrsquos behavior is likely to assist managers in assessing
how optimistic overconfident and risk-averse their specific clients are (Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998)
This research has made contributions in multiple forms Firstly as discussed
above investigating this area of finance is itself a theoretical contribution because the
paradigm is still young and emerging and needs more evidence from developing economies
to have more generalizable knowledge about the behavioral factors influencing investment
decision-making Secondly many other studies have used student samples (from a finance
course) as proxy for potential investors in the field of behavioral finance (Filbeck Hattield
amp Horvarth 2005 Lemrova Reiterova Fatenova Lemr amp Tang 2014 Li amp Liu 2008
Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al 2018 Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) but this study
collected responses from actual real-life investors It was also proposed that attention
Introduction
15
should be given to empirical research which should be based on primary data to analyze
the behavior of investors (Kumar amp Goyal 2015) This study has made a methodological
contribution by using primary data collected from actual investors instead of student
sample Thirdly this study has aimed to bridge the empirical gap between behavioral
factors and investment decisions To the best of our knowledge there have been no
research studies about the impact of Big-Five personality traits salience and love of money
on short-term and long-term investment decisions This was correct both in the context of
developing andor developed economies hence provides contextual contribution Fourthly
this study has extended the general model of prospect theory the theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy And lastly given the importance of these theories in the field of
social behavior the findings of this study also deliver interdisciplinary contributions
The novel findings of this research provide significant and meaningful
contributions to the emerging behavioral finance paradigm and offer practical implications
for financial institutions professional money managers individual investors and
regulatory authorities This research offers practical implications for individual investors
themselves and for professional financial managers In light of this study individual
investors can enhance knowledge of their own preferences and professional managers can
gain better understandings of their clientsrsquo preferences Such enhanced understanding is
expected to facilitate investment decision-making in a more meaningful manner
Investment advisors help their clients in investing money They must understand what is
Samra Chaudary
16
important to their customers in order to guide them and fulfill their clientsrsquo needs
commendably It may also be useful for advisors to identify potential investors based on
personality type risk perception familiarity bias money attitudes current income and
future wealth possession to segment the client accordingly and to develop suitable
investment strategies based on such segmentations
This research also contributes to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market By such enhanced insights market inefficiencies and
anomalies are likely to be better understood Financial planners may find useful strategies
to exploit numerous behavioral anomalies present in the financial markets Financial
managers from brokerage houses mutual fund companies and other financial institutions
may deliver a superior product service and targeted guidance to their customers once they
understand their clientsrsquo behavior which can influence their investment decisions
Investors should be mindful that familiarity bias sometimes could lead to
undiversified and sub-optimal portfolio building Hence acknowledging the presence of
such bias can help avoid sub-optimal diversification To avoid pitfalls of familiarity bias
financial planners would be well advised to communicate to investors that they should have
a long-term diversification plan with the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return
in their investment portfolios (Baker amp Ricciardi 2015)
For an emerging market like Pakistan raising fresh equity capital from investors is
paramount in its importance to attain economic growth Successfully strategies of targeting
investors are likely to bring more money in the market boost investments in the economy
and strengthen investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually help the
Introduction
17
market to move towards efficiency To conclude this research offers a brand new and
novel perspective and adds to the behavioral finance literature by investigating personality
salience bias and LoM as antecedents of short-term and long-term investment decisions
The theoretical models reveal novel and counterintuitive findings and help us understand
not only the what how and why factors contributing to short-term and long-term
investment decisions but also who where and when
15 Organization of the Study
This dissertation is divided into five chapters The first chapter introduces the
discipline of behavioral finance and behavioral factors affecting investorsrsquo investment
decisions This chapter also presents research objectives research questions and
significance and contribution of this research in the context of developing economy
The second chapter examines the relationships between five personality types and
investment decisions It further explores the mediation of risk perception between each
type of personality and investment decisions The results indicate that individuals only with
neuroticism and extrovert personalities show a significant relationship with ST-D
However all personality types except neuroticism and agreeableness show an effect on
long-term investment decision Moreover risk perception is found to mediate relationships
between the four personality types and LT-D only
The third chapter explores the pertinence of salience as a heuristic with respect to
investment decisions This relationship is further explored by examining the group
differences between individual investors and professional investors and between female
investors and male investors Data has been analyzed through partial least square based
structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach measurement invariance test and
Samra Chaudary
18
multi-group analysis Results indicate that salience has a significant positive effect on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience on
short-term and long-term investment decisions is significantly different for individual
investors and professional investors as well as for female investors and male investors
The fourth chapter explores the relationship of Love of Money (LoM) with short-
term and long-term investment decisions This relationship is further explored by
examining the moderating effect of current income and the expectation of receiving future
inheritance The study finds that LoM has a significant positive impact on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions Furthermore it is found that current income moderates
the relationship between LoM and ST-D and does not moderate the relationship of LoM
with LT-D Future inheritance moderates the relationship between LoM and both short-
term and long-term investment decisions
The fifth chapter presents a conclusion by elucidating the major research findings
and underscoring theoretical and managerial implications of the results of the research
questions raised in this study Especially this section highlights the contributions to the
growing body of applied behavioral finance area It also emphasizes the contribution to the
literature on personality types heuristics and LoM This chapter also provides a way
forward by identifying limitations and offering future research directions in the field of
behavioral finance
Personality and Investment Decisions
19
2 Paper I The impact of Investorsrsquo Personality and Risk
Perception on Investment Decisions
Abstract
Investigating behavioral psychological influences in the area of finance is relatively
a new phenomenon and the subject is of interest to economists psychologists professional
money managers and individual savers and investors This paper has taken a behavioral
approach to unveil the psychological predictors of long-term and short-term investment
decisions The paper has used the theory of planned behavior (TPB 1991) and Risk as
Feeling (RaF 2001) theory as a conceptual lens to discover the factors influencing
individualsrsquo investment intentions in the Pakistan Stock Exchange The study used partial
least square based structural equation modeling technique on a data gathered from 277
active equity traders that included professional money managers brokers and individual
traders It was found that individuals with relatively higher neuroticism and extraversion
personality traits were found more likely to do short-term investment decision However
investors with relatively higher openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality
traits were found more likely to do long-term investment decision Investorsrsquo risk
perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of extraversion openness
agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-term investment
decisions These findings have implications for psychologists economists and finance
executives as it was found that investorsrsquo personality traits influenced their investment
decisions It is recommended that financial managers should include the influence of these
behavioral aspects in their investment plans advice and decisions for their clients These
findings are expected to contribute to the growing body of knowledge in the area of applied
Samra Chaudary
20
behavioral research within the discipline of finance and these findings in the context of a
developing economy also make this study a first in this line of research stream
Keywords personality type risk perception investment decision behavioral finance
21 Introduction
Decision-making is a skill (Hastie amp Dawes 2010) and onersquos life is full of risky
decisions (Satchell et al 2018) ranging from an ordinary matter to matters of life or death
Individuals frequently face circumstances in which they have to decide between actions
whose outcomes are uncertain and that vary in level of risk (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) The
fact has long been established that all decisions made by business managers (about cash
flows) may not positively affect the performance of companies because managers may not
necessarily work towards shareholdersrsquo wealth maximization the so-called agency
problem (Jensen amp Meckling 1976) Business managers and financial managers are often
confronted with decision-making choices that are risky and based on the risk analysis they
make decisions by taking into account the identified risks levels (Epstein 1994)
Individuals financial (saving) decisions are influenced by construal Construal is described
as an individualrsquos cognitive illustrations of goals and is a way individuals use their minds
A high-level of construal mentality would lead to more willingness to save than a low-level
construal mentality (Rudzinska-Wojciechowska 2017)
Individuals invest in stocks to increase their capital and profits (Keller amp Siegrist
2006a) Another reason for investing in the stock market is the desire to save their earnings
for retirement (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004 Dreman et al 2001) Since investments in
stocks are risky therefore just like professional money managers individual investors also
have to incorporate risk in their decision-making
Personality and Investment Decisions
21
The development of financial markets has offered more varied opportunities to
invest in several financial instruments (Lim et al 2013) Investors look for better
investment alternatives and financial institutions as professional money managers for
investors need to understand the preferences of investors for different financial
instruments and for different time horizons and for different risk perceptions Investment
in financial instruments entails commitment for different time horizons ie short-term
(ST-D) and long-term investment decisions (LT-D) Individualsrsquo attitudes towards either
of these two-time horizons for investments may vary and such variations may be a result
of investors different personality traits and different risk perceptions
According to Pennings et al (2003) financial institutions need information about
clientsrsquo preferences to develop a new financial product or to improve the existing ones
Hence a better understanding of the short-term or long-term investment choice process of
client is crucial for financial institutions and professional money managers Dierkes et al
(2010) analyzed the attractiveness of different investment strategies for different time
horizons They found that the preference of the investment strategy was significantly
determined by the length of the investment horizon A bond strategy was desired for the
short horizon while stocks were preferred for longer horizons
Lakshmi Visalakshmi Thamaraiselvan and Senthilarasu (2013) suggested that
with long-term investment horizon investors are not likely to make frequent withdrawals
and consequently market volatility would tend to decrease if the majority of investors had
long-term investment horizon Investors are likely according to this view to earn extra
profits when they hold their funds in the same instrument for a longer time In this era of
retirement savings employees face challenges to understand how much to save
Samra Chaudary
22
periodically and where to invest such savings for long-term post-retirement benefits
(McKenzie amp Liersch 2011)
The importance to analyze individualsrsquo intentions about investment goals and why
they manage the investment in different ways cannot be over-emphasized If those
investment intents are evident then researchers and financial advisors would find it easier
to adapt their advice accordingly to their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It has become vital
to realize the spur of decision-making behavior of investors Such knowledge is likely to
be helpful for financial counselors to target investors correctly and communicate more
appropriately to these investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
Studies on individualsrsquo investment intentions were mostly based on the
assumptions of modern finance theory that operate within the paradigm of rationality
(Black amp Scholes 1973 Markowitz 1952 Modigliani amp Miller 1958) The conventional
theory proposes that investors are rational and want to maximize their profit for a certain
level of risk and have a clear understanding of their risk preferences
Fama (1998) is a strong supporter of an efficient market and his answer is a solid
lsquonorsquo for market inefficiency because he believes that the presence of observed long-term
return anomalies is sensitive to statistical models which used to discover such anomalies
otherwise investors behave rationally Fama (1998) seems to propose that anomalies have
a tendency to show minimal or no effect when exposed to different statistical approaches
to measure expected (normal) returns This line of argument can conclude that most long-
term return anomalies can realistically be recognized as a chance event and therefore in
the long run investors behavior may be viewed as rational
Personality and Investment Decisions
23
Another viewpoint emphasizes the fact that in reality individualsrsquo decision-
making process is significantly shaped by psychological factors such as personality types
emotions and moods (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman
2012 Shleifer amp Summers 1990 Szyszka amp Zielonka 2007) and therefore their decision-
making process cannot be assumed to follow strict rationality presumed in conventional
theories of economics and finance An individualrsquos position between the two extremes of
a continuum ranging from risk aversion to risk-seeking was thought as a function of hisher
personality traits (MacCrimmon amp Wehrung 1990)
There are numerous studies on behavioral factors and decision-making from
developed economies (Brunell amp Buelow 2017 Carnavale et al 2011 Mayfield et al
2008 Nicholson et al 2005 Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018 Satchell et al
2018 Sekścińska et al 2018 Weber amp Milliman 1997 Weber et al 2002) but only
handful studies from the developing economies (Ahmad Hassan Mahmood amp Aslam
2016 Jaiswal amp Kamil 2012 Li amp Liu 2008 Pak amp Mahmood 2015 Riaz amp Hunjra
2016 Tripathi amp Chattopadhyay 2013 Verma 2008)
To the best of our knowledge there are no studies that have examined the impact
of Big-Five personality traits on short and long-term investment decisions with the
mediation of risk perception in both developed and developing economies (see appendix
I) Previous studies have only considered a few personality types (Mayfield et al 2008
Oehler et al 2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) and tested the mediation of risk perception
in relationship between information asymmetry and investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra
2016) and between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq Maqbool Akram Tariq
amp Khurshid 2017) This study however aims to cater to the absence of empirical studies
Samra Chaudary
24
in the discipline by modeling the missing link of risk perception as a mediator between
relationships of all Big-Five personality types and investment decisions
This study provides a significant and meaningful theoretical contribution to the
prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm The study has tried to provide the
desired evidence from the developing economy by using a unique data set of professional
money managers and individual investors who have invested in the Pakistan Stock
Exchange It has investigated if the personality traits of these investors have a significant
effect on decision- making and if risk perception mediates the relationship between the
personality trait and horizon of their investment decision
22 Theory and Hypotheses Development
Traditional (standard) financial theories have been disparaged for the lack of their
explanatory power and their grounded assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et
al (2016) criticized the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first
proposition supposes that humans behave rationally during the decision-making process as
defined by the expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that
financial markets are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and
therefore finance theory incline towards endorsing the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)
221 Prospect Theory (PT 1979)
The idea of bounded rationality was introduced by Simon (1955) and gave birth to the
discipline of behavioral finance as various studies found empirical evidence against the
assumption of rationality in decision-making process (Akerlof amp Schiller 2009 De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Shleifer amp Summers 1990) Research in this
Personality and Investment Decisions
25
area aced when Kahneman and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and received
more appreciation after Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002
Prospect theory purports that when individuals are offered a gamble containing two or
more outcome lotteries with some probability they make their decisions on the basis of the
potential psychological value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the one with the highest value
This value function is defined based on psychological gains and losses rather than on
levels of wealth The function is concave in the area of gain and thus risk-averse and is a
convex function in the area of loss and risk-takers Moreover the gradient of the value
function is steeper in the area of loss than in the area of gain which infers that investors
are generally risk-averse
A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors get more distressed by losses than they
are delighted by equal amount of gains The loss of $1 dollar is twice as unpleasant as the
happiness received from a $1 gain (Singh 2010) This happens due to the effect of
cognitive biases that operate on investorsrsquo judgment about expected psychological value
of these gains and losses Many studies have tested prospect theory in the domain of
influence of behavioral factors (so-called irrational biases) on decision-making (Ishfaq et
al 2017 Odean 1998)
Samra Chaudary
26
222 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB 1991)
Ajzen and Fishbein (1980) asserted that behavioral intentions are cognitive in nature
and act as a representation of an individualrsquos eagerness to involve in a particular behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB) Individualsrsquo behavior is predicted by
onersquos behavioral intention Behavioral intentions are then determined by favorable attitude
subjective norms and perceived behavioral control These intentions along with
perceptions of behavioral control explain significant variance in real behavior (Ajzen
1991)
Thus the core idea of the theory implies that planned behavioral was driven by
behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) The theory of planned behavior predicts human
behavior which can include conflicts between short-term and long-term goals affect
cognition and consequences in several fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Raut Das and Kumar
(2018) suggested that TPB predicts individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest in the
stock market They also revealed that attitude toward behavior subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control are significantly related to behavioral intentions According
to Michaelidou and Hassan (2014) the research work on gain versus loss framing by
Tversky and Kahneman (1981) has been well studied Therein lies a starting point that may
assist in apprehending the process of the theory of planned behavior in several decision-
making situations and contexts
Many researches have utilized TPB in the domain of behavioral studies with investment
decision-making (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008) with financial decision-making
(Koropp Kellermanns Grichnik amp Stanley 2014) and with entrepreneurial (business
start-up) decision-making (Kautonen 2015)
Personality and Investment Decisions
27
East (1993) investigated the willingness to apply for new issue of shares TPB was
applied to personal investment choices and found support for TPB as a way of identifying
that beliefs are associated with investment choice behavior He reported that investment
decisions are just like consumer decisions and investors do not decide only based on
financial criteria Moreover Koropp et al (2014) investigated financing decisions and TBP
was applied to capital structure decisions of German family firms They also supported
TPB as family attitudes toward debt and equity affected behavioral intention to use the
respective financing decisions which in turn affected financing behavior
Similarly Kautonen (2015) too supported the relevance of TPB in the context of
business start-up intentions He instigated whether intentions were linked to business start-
up activities such as arranging finances approaching financial institutions for funds
financial projections and many other activities related to business start-up Mayfield et al
(2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and also supported TBP
that long-term and short-term investment intentions were predicted by personality types
This research however uses Big-Five personality types and extends the applicability of
the well-established TPB in the area of decision-making of the investment horizon
223 Risk as Feeling Theory (RaF 2001)
A few behavioral models overtly sketch that the behavioral actions are the consequence
of ambivalence due to the availability of conflicting information but Risk as feelings (RaF)
hypothesis (Loewenstein Weber Hsee amp Welch 2001) is an exception The RaF
(Loewenstein et al 2001) theory explains a range of behaviors that exhibit deviation
between cognitiverational evaluations and feelings
Samra Chaudary
28
The theory proposed that when there is a risky situation behavior tends to be driven
by emotional reactions or feelings encountered at the time of decision-making rather than
cognitiverational assessments of the situation The RaF theory predicts action selection in
psychological risk-return models (Weber amp Johnson 2008) They found that affective
(non-rational) responses to risky situations had shown a significant role in risk perception
of risky choices
Hsee and Weber (1997) proposed that when individuals made a risky decision their
choice was influenced by their subjective feelings towards risk Moreover Loewenstein
and Lerner (2003) also found that individuals make a decision on the basis of the affect
(feeling) which they encountered at the time of the decision
Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009) tested planned and feeling based behavior models
with TPB and RaF theories in their study They argued that TPB and RaF have some shared
variables which are subjective probability anticipated outcome and behavior Both of
these models assume that estimations of a particular behavior will be guided by anticipated
outcomes in combination with subjective probabilities
224 Competing Personality Taxonomies
Aristotle (384-324 BC) struggled to provide a guide for human ldquocharactersrdquo Ever
since others have also attempted to map similar human attributes The 20th century
provided the procedure of sampling human attributes (ie formulation of Lexical
Hypothesis)
The Lexical Hypothesis postulates that most of the socially relevant and prominent
personality characteristics are encrypted in the natural language (Allport 1937) Hence
the personality terminology which was encoded in the dictionaries of a natural language
Personality and Investment Decisions
29
delivers a broad yet limited set of features that individuals speaking that language have
found essential and convenient in their everyday communications (Goldberg 1981) The
lexical hypothesis provided the theoretical foundation for the Five-Factor personality
model (Allport amp Odbert 1936)
The lexical hypothesis led to factor analyses of a wide array of personality
attributes resulting in the development of the Five-Factor model This hypothesis also
suggested that it should be possible to analyze the most significant attributes that have
similar meanings to describe a personality (Saucier amp Goldberg 1996)
Numerous instruments were developed to measure personality traits and this
activity of instrument development has accelerated tremendously overtime (Goldberg
1971) According to John and Srivastava (1999) researchers are confronted with a wide
range of personality scales with pintsize guidance and with no adequate reasoning Scales
with similar titles often measured different concepts and scales with different titles
frequently measured somewhat similar concepts
Therefore a taxonomy of traits was desired which would allow researchers to
investigate specific domain of personality attributes instead of inspecting thousands of
characteristics individually which makes each individual distinct Moreover an
established taxonomy would enable researchers to communicate their research outcomes
in a uniform vocabulary Table 21 provides a summary of broad sets of competing
personality measures that were proposed over last 40 years
Samra Chaudary
30
Table 21 Summary of Personality Taxonomies
Study Factors Personalities
Tupesamp
Christal
(1961)
Five Surgency (Sociability amp Ambition) Agreeableness Dependability
Emotional Stability and Culture
Norman
(1963) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional
Stability and Culture
Cattell et al (1970) Sixteen
Warmth Reasoning Emotional Stability Dominance Liveliness Rule-
Consciousness Social Boldness Sensitivity Vigilance Abstractedness
Privateness Apprehension Openness to Change Self-Reliance
Perfectionism and Tension
Myersamp
McCaulley
(1985)
Four
Extraversion vs Introversion Thinking vs Feeling Judging vs Perceiving
and Intuition vs Sensation
Hogan
(1982) Six
Ascendancy Sociability Agreeableness Dependability Emotional Stability
and Intellectance
CostaampMcCrae
(1985) Five
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Kampamp Hough
(1986) Seven
Potency Adjustment Agreeableness Dependability Intellectance
affiliation and Miscellaneous
Hogan
(1986) Six
Sociability Ambition (Potency amp Achievement) Prudence Likeability
Adjustment and Intellectance
Digmanamp Inouye
(1986) Five
Extraversion (Surgency) Will to Achieve Agreeableness Anxiety and
Openness
Kampamp Gough
(1986) Five
Ascendency Self -Control Adjustment (Agreeableness amp Anxiety)
Intellection and Masculinity
Goldberg
(1990) Five
Surgency Conscientiousness Agreeableness Emotional Stability and
Intellect
Hough et al
(1990) Nine
Affiliation Potency Achievement (Dependability Conscientiousness ampWill
to achieve) Dependability Adjustment Agreeableness Intellectance
Ruggedness individualism and Locus of Control
Costaamp
McCrae
(1992)
Five
(Revised
NEO
personality
inventory)
Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Agreeableness and
Conscientiousness
Cattell
(1996) Five Extraversion Independence Anxiety Self-Control and Tough-mindedness
In addition to multi-factor models of personality types as shown in table 1 a number
of studies have also tried to develop tools for the assessment of a personality eg California
Personality Inventory by Gough (1987) Eysenck Personality Inventory by Eysenck and
Eysenck (1975) Guilford-Zimmerman Temperament Survey by Guilford (1949) and
Myers-Briggs Personality Type Indicator by Mayer and McCaulley (1985) All of these
instruments are believed to be encompassed in the Five-Factor Model (Briggs 1992 Costa
Personality and Investment Decisions
31
Busch amp Zonderman 1986 Johnson Butcher Null amp Johnson 1984 Noller Law amp
Comrey 1987) Moreover the Five-Factor Model developed by Costa and McCrae (1992)
was comparable with Five-Factor model proposed by Goldberg (1990) and Cattell (1996)
as shown in table 22
After many decades researchers have developed a consensus on the Big-Five
personality model as an acceptable taxonomy for labeling the basic dimensions of a
personality Therefore many studies based on meta-analyses of personalities have
converged on using Five-Factor personality model because it describes the most salient
aspects of personality (Barrick amp Mount 1991 Judge Heller amp Mount 2002 Oshio
Taku Hirano amp Saeed 2018 Salgado 1997 Trapmann Hell Hirn amp Schuler 2007)
The Five-Factor Model continues to be the most studied model of personality model based
on the lexical hypothesis (Poropat 2009)
The advantage of using the Five-Factor Model is that it includes most of the
variance in a set of five-factors of personality thus solving the puzzle of the earlier ldquochaotic
plethorardquo of personality measures (Funder 2001 John amp Srivastava 1999) The Five-
Factor model provides a comprehensive and parsimonious theoretical framework (Costa amp
McCrae 1992)
Moreover another important feature of the Five-Factor Model was that it uses
natural language which was not biased to prefer any existing scientific conception (John amp
Srivastava 1999) Hence this research has adopted the most recent and updated Five-
Factor Model by Costa and McCrae (1992) for personality measures as shown in table 23
Samra Chaudary
32
Table 22 Alignment Among the three main Five-Factor Models
Cattell (1996) Costa amp McCrae (1992) Goldberg (1990)
ExtraversionIntroversion Extraversion Surgency
Low AnxietyHigh Anxiety Neuroticism Emotional stability
Tough-MindednessReceptivity Openness Intellect or culture
IndependenceAccommodation Agreeableness Agreeableness
Self-ControlLack of Restraint Conscientiousness Conscientiousness or
dependability
Source (Cattell amp Mead 2008)
225 Personality Type and Investment Decisions
Satchell et al (2018) found that different personalities have varied risk-taking
behaviors Individuals who exhibit more prosocial traits (more extravert) are risk-takers as
compared to those who exhibit antisocial traits (less extravert) Hershey and Mowen (2000)
in one of the initial studies on personality and decision-making found that personality
constructs were significant predictors of pre-retirement financial decisions Filbeck et al
(2005) studied the relationship between risk tolerance and personality types on a sample of
college students They found that respondents with higher score on thinking (objective
decision-making) judging (organization and order) and sensing (concrete and practical)
traits showed relatively higher risk tolerance in their investment decisions They also
reported that extraversion trait showed no effect on risk tolerance However Mayfield et
al (2008) later on conducted research on undergraduate students registered in an
investment course They mainly focused on the effect of two personality traits on both ST-
D and LT-D Results showed that extravert and conscientiousness investors tended to
involve in short-term investments however individuals with neuroticism andor risk
aversion trait avoided to engage in short-term investments Risk-averse investors also did
not take part in long-term investing Investors with the openness trait showed long-term
investing behavior On the other hand openness did not determine short-term investing
Personality and Investment Decisions
33
behavior A negative correlation was reported between openness trait and risk aversion
Moreover extraversion was reported negatively but insignificantly associated with
investment-specific risk aversion For personality measurement the study adopted a
revised NEO personality inventory (NEO-PIR) scale by Costa and McCrae (1992) and
NEO five-factor inventory (NEO FFI) by Salgado (1997) The Big-Five personality
classification was predominantly recognized in applied research (Barrick amp Mount 1991
Hogan amp Hogan 1991) Table 23 explains the traits of five types of personalities
Table 23 Descriptions of the Big-Five Personality Traits
Personality Trait Description
Neuroticism (N) High scores show insecure self-conscious vulnerability anxious depressed tenseness
and moodiness
Extraversion (E) High scores show gregarious assertiveness sociability talkativeness optimism positive
emotion being upbeat and energetic
Openness (O) High scores show creativity active imagination trust a preference for variety curios and
cultural interest
Agreeableness (A) High scores show altruism warmth sympathetic helpful modest compliance tender
mindedness and cooperation
Conscientiousness (C) High scores show hard-working organized purposefulness self-discipline
achievement striving determination reliability and punctuality
Source (Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997)
The meta-analysis studies on Big-Five personality types found that extraversion
and conscientiousness had an influence on concrete problem solving and cognitive
structuring as coping strategies (Connor- Smith amp Falchsbart 2007) An entrepreneurial
(risky) behavior was determined by the traits of conscientiousness and openness to
experience (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) Verma (2008) in an Indian sample found that
personality and demographics have shown an association with the investment choice
However the study poorly measured personality traits on a five-point likert scale from
conservative to aggressive and chose to report the results with basic and simple statistical
techniques Many studies have investigated investment decisions in the form of investment
Samra Chaudary
34
horizon ie long-term vs short-term (Dierkes et al 2010 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016 Wood amp
Zaichkowsky 2004)
Oehler et al (2018) examined the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on
investment decisions in an experimental financial market The authors found that more
extravert persons paid a high price for their assets purchases and they bought more financial
securities when securities were overpriced as compared to less extravert persons The
influence of the extravert trait was found to be insignificant when it comes to holding an
asset However more neurotic individuals keep less volatile financial securities in their
portfolios than less neurotic individuals Similarly Oehler and Wedlich (2018) also
investigated the impact of extraversion and neuroticism on risk-taking behavior in
investment decisions The authors identified that more extravert subjects were less risk-
averse and more neurotic subjects were more risk-averse This research had again focused
only on two personality traits and used a student sample Both of the above-mentioned
studies ignored the remaining three personality traits ie openness agreeableness and
conscientiousness
Moreover the above-cited research findings were based on samples of
undergraduate students of a German university which means their findings were not
coming from a sample of practitioners working in the financial industry This research
however investigates relationships of all Big-Five personality traits with investment
decisions The study also investigates the relationships from a sample of individuals
working in the financial industry of a developing economy by using a sample of practicing
investors The following hypotheses are tested about the behavioral intentions of stock
investors
Personality and Investment Decisions
35
H1a The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H1b The greater the level of individuals neuroticism the less likely will be their intentions
to engage in long-term investing
H2a The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H2b The more extravert individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-term
investing
H3a The greater the level of individuals openness the less likely will be their intentions to
engage in short-term investing
H3b The greater the level of openness the more likely will be their intentions to engage in
long-term investing
H4a The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in short-term investing
H4b The greater the level of individuals agreeableness the more likely will be their
intentions to engage in long-term investing
H5a The more conscientious individuals would show weaker intentions to engage in short-
term investing
H5b The more conscientious individuals would show stronger intentions to engage in long-
term investing
226 Risk Perception and Investment Decisions
Perception is described as the psychological interpretation of physical sensations
shaped by stimuli from the external environment (Fischhoff 1994) Therefore the way
Samra Chaudary
36
individuals subjectively perceive risk of an investment is likely to influence their actions
(Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Zeisberger (2018) using an experimental design found that the
ldquoprobability of losingrdquo was the key variable that their subjects perceived as ldquoriskrdquo Lim et
al (2013) defined risk perception as an assumption or evaluation of risk related to a specific
behavior Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed a theory termed ldquorisk as feelingrdquo hypothesis
and highlighted that behaviors are driven by feelings An affect must mediate at least to
some extent the relationships of cognitive evaluations
Risk perceptions are likely to vary across individuals and contexts For instance
many individuals assume that the risk in driving a car is more dangerous than the risk in
sports and show relatively less intention to take risks of driving a car (Dohmen et al
2011) Huber Palan and Zeisberger (2017) through an experiment found that active asset
trading and asset prices are strongly driven by average risk perception Numerous studies
have inspected how investorsrsquo perceptions affect hypothetical investment decisions or self-
reported investment intentions (Bateman et al 2010 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Nosic amp
Weber 2010 Weber Weber amp Nosic 2013 Weber amp Milliman 1997)
Hoffman Post and Pennings (2015) used a sample of Dutch investors and studied
the association between perceptions and behavior in an actual decision setting They found
that change in investor perceptions was a significant determinant of real trading and risk-
taking behavior They also found that stock traders who perceived higher risk tended to
trade more frequently had higher volume had lower buy-sell ratios (lower buy-sell ratios
demonstrate a low exposure to the financial market) and held riskier portfolios It means
stock traders with higher levels of risk perception lowered their exposure to the stock
market Lim et al (2013) reported that risk perceptions about investing in the capital market
Personality and Investment Decisions
37
were found likely to have a negative impact on investorsrsquo willingness to invest in the
financial market
Duxbury Hudson Keasey amp Summers (2005) in their study asked subjects to
distribute money among risk-free assets risky shares and bonds and studied how this
allocation varied if they were investing for someone who was lessmore willing to take risk
than themselves The study was repeated on different ranges of age and wealth They then
investigated how subjectsrsquo perceptions of investment patterns were different from their
actual investment behavior Subjects believed that the ratio of bonds to shares should differ
with risk attitude with a higher ratio of stocks held by those participants who were willing
to take more risks Despite having such beliefs subjectsrsquo actual investment behaviors
showed the amount of shares and bonds held did not change with their risk attitude In other
words participantsrsquo beliefs did not match the recommendations of standard portfolio
theory but their actual investment behavior matched the theoretical expectations of the
portfolio theory Weber et al (2002) investigated the individualrsquos risk perception and risk
behavior in five domains (financial risk-taking healthsafety risk-taking ethical risk-
taking recreational risk-taking and social risk-taking) They reported divergences in risk
perception of participants accounted for observed variations in their risk behavior
Financial risk-taking behavior and risk perception were found negatively correlated They
found perceived higher risks decreased the chances of the risk-taking behavior most for
financial risks and least for health or safety risks The effect of perceived risk on the risk-
taking behavior was negative but statistically insignificant Brandstatter (2011) in a study
of meta-analysis reported the results of the relationship between risk propensity and the
Big-Five dimensions of personality Risk propensity was assessed by asking individuals
Samra Chaudary
38
how frequent they have exhibited risky behavior in six domains (recreation health career
finance safety and social risk-taking) leading to a risk measure He reported a positive
beta-estimates for extraversion and openness and negative beta-estimates for neuroticism
agreeableness and conscientiousness
Lim et al (2013) found in a sample of Singaporean investors a significant negative
relationship between risk perception and risky investment decisions They reported that the
sample for this research was collected right after the global financial crisis and that could
have an influence on investorsrsquo risk perception They suggested collecting similar data
again during a time of financial stability Many scholars have agreed about the presence of
an association between perceived risk and decision-making (Krueger amp Dickson 1994
Sutcliffe 1994) A small number of researches have tested the mediating role of risk
perception For example risk perception was reported to be mediating the relationship
between information asymmetry and risky investment decisions (Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) and
between heuristics and investment decisions (Ishfaq et al 2017) Wang Shi and Fan
(2006) also reported that risk perception mediated the relationship between various types
of information and investment performance They also stated risk perception led to higher
investment performance Weber et al (2002) found that personality variables (eg
sensation seeking tolerance for ambiguity and gender) had an influence on risk perception
Person-centered characteristics (age gender and culture) together with personality traits
were reported to impact risk-taking These variables were reported to affect risk-taking
often by altering onersquos perception of risk and perception of benefits of alternative decision-
making rather than by affecting their desire to take more or less risk Hence the risk
perception of an individual is responsible for onersquos actual behavior or decision-making It
Personality and Investment Decisions
39
is expected that risk perception would mediate the relationships between personality types
and LT-D Figure 21 and 22 illustrates the structural model about relationships of five
personality types with ST-D and LT-D with mediation by risk perception
H6a Risk perception mediates the relationship between Neuroticism and short-term
investment decisions
H6b Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and short-term
investment decisions
H6c Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and short-term investment
decisions
H6d Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness and short-term
investment decisions
H6e Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and short-term
investment decisions
H6f Risk perception mediates the relationship between neuroticism and long-term
investment decisions
H6g Risk perception mediates the relationship between extraversion and long-term
investment decisions
H6h Risk perception mediates the relationship between openness and long-term investment
decisions
H6i Risk perception mediates the relationship between agreeableness types and long-term
investment decisions
H6j Risk perception mediates the relationship between conscientiousness and long-term
investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
40
Figure 21 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with short-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Figure 22 Structural model about the relationships of five personality types with long-
term investment decisions with mediation by risk perception
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
S-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1a
H2a
H3a
H4a
H5a
H6a
H6b
H6c
H6d
H6e
Conscientiousness
Neuroticism
Extraversion
Openness
Agreeableness
L-T Investment Decisions
Risk Perception
H1b
H2b
H3b
H4b
H5b
H6f
H6g
H6h
H6i
H6j
Personality and Investment Decisions
41
23 Data and Methodology
231 Measures
The study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decisions were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) Big-Five
personality scale was adopted from Costa and McCrae (1992) to measure five types of
personality traits on a five-point likert scale Items for risk perception were adopted from
Weber et al (2002) To measure risk perception (RP) respondents were asked to indicate
their gut-level assessment of how risky each situation was on a five-point unipolar rating
scale The complete questionnaire is attached in appendix VI
232 Methods
2321 Sample and Data Collection
This study has adopted a positivist research philosophy with a deductive research
approach as mentioned in Saunders Lewis and Thornhill (2007) research onion The
positivist philosophy reflects the natural scientistsrsquo philosophical approach Researcher
prefers to deal with a social reality that is measurable and the findings of such study are
presumed to be generalizable similar to law produced by natural scientists (Remenyi
Williams Money amp Swartz 1998) The deductive approach could therefore be
considered particularly suitable for the positivist approach Hence this study uses existing
theory to form hypotheses that were empirically tested leading to theoretical advancement
which can then be tested by future researchers (Saunders et al 2007)
Primary data were collected through a snowball sampling technique for this study
The respondents for this survey were investors in the local stock market Therefore the
Samra Chaudary
42
sample consisted of portfolio managers working in the financial industry (eg mutual fund
companies asset management companies brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks) and individual investors who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)
previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) Individual stock investors were from
different backgrounds as the purpose of the research was to analyze the behavior of stock
investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with an institution The
data were collected through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two major
metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi Out of total investorsrsquo population
(corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent investors and
Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence the data
were collected from the investment hubs of the country where 92 percent stock investors
in listed traded companies were located A total of 800 questionnaires were sent out to
collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were returned and only 277 were
found useable for this study thus response rate was almost 35 percent
The sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females as the investment
industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated The sample consisted of 59 percent of
money managers and 41 percent individual investors Eighty-seven percent of respondents
were employed 12 percent were business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not
employed Furthermore 60 percent respondents were married 37 percent were single and
3 percent were either separated or divorced
Fifty-eight percent of respondents perceived that they were from the middle social
class 36 percent perceived themselves in upper-middle-class 3 percent perceived
themselves to belong to the upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower
Personality and Investment Decisions
43
middle class Only 33 percent of the respondents had an expectation to receive inheritance
or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future
inheritance Eighty-six percent respondents had responded their upbringing was in the
urban areas and 14 percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas
The average age of respondents was 32 years and the average monthly income was
Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million The average formal years of education were 16 years The
average amount invested by the investors in stocks was PKR 10 million and the average
investment experience in the stock market was 4 years
2322 Data Analyses
Blanthorne Jones-Farmer and Almer (2015) proposed guidelines on the key
elements of structural equation modeling in behavioral accounting research Most
textbooks on this matter propose a sample of between two hundred and fifty and five
hundred (Kline 2005 Loehlin 2004 Schumacker amp Lomax 1996) Blanthorne et al
(2015) have argued that large sample size requirement leaves researchers of this discipline
in a difficult situation of requiring permission and support from more subjectsrespondents
who are mostly professionals They also claimed that five of the thirteen potential SEM
studies published in Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research had less than hundred
participants and only four articles contained more than two hundred and fifty participants
A sample of greater than 200 was considered sufficient for the use of structural equation
modeling (SEM) (Iacobucci 2010 Kline 2015)
This paper has made use of partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to a number of reasons Firstly PLS-SEM does not require data to be normally
Samra Chaudary
44
distributed (Hair Sarstedt Ringle amp Mena 2012) and shows higher statistical power than
CB-SEM for complex models with small sample sizes (Reinartz et al 2009) Moreover
the data had an adequate sample size (Kline 2015) with no missing values Collinearity
was also tested and was found acceptable Secondly this approach focuses on predictive
analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation was to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt
2014) Thirdly it has a minimum demand for sample size and residual distribution (Wold
1985) Fourthly to compute the statistical significance of the parameter estimates PLS-
SEM method reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair Ringle amp Sarstedt
2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling method provides robust results by
taking subsamples from the original sample of observations and estimates the model
parameters of each subsample and then report the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the significance of the estimated coefficients
(Henseler Ringle amp Sinkovics 2009) Lastly PLS approach can be utilized for theory
validation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not exist (Chin 1998)
PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory development
(Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
PLS-SEM approach is as worthy (and conservative) as CB-SEM method (Hair et
al 2014) While PLS-SEM has some shortcomings eg results tend to inflate the factor
loadings and underestimate structural relationship and coefficient of determination
Similarly CB-SEM also has some weaknesses for instance results tend to overestimate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander Satornino
Hughes and Ferris (2015) have recommended that PLS-SEM is a more conservative
Personality and Investment Decisions
45
approach than CB-SEM Table 24 depicts the correlations descriptive statistics and
square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision risk perception and four personality types which were
neuroticism extraversion openness and conscientiousness The Pearsonrsquos correlation
value was found to be 0551 (p=0000) between short-term investment decision and long-
term investment decision 0213 (p=0000) with risk perception 0206 (p=000) with
neuroticism 0458 (p=0000) with extraversion 0385 (p=0000) with openness and 0253
(p=0000) with conscientiousness
Similarly long-term investment decision also showed a positive correlation with
risk perception and four personality types The Pearsonrsquos correlation value was found to
be 0308 (p=0000) between long-term investment decision and risk perception 0140
(p=0019) with neuroticism 0581 (p=0000) with extraversion 0539 (p=0000) with
openness and 0415 (p=0000) with conscientiousness
The agreeableness personality type showed a significant negative correlation with
all other variables The highest correlation was found between extraversion and openness
personality traits with Pearsonrsquos correlation of 0635 (p=0000) and the lowest correlation
was found between extraversion and neuroticism with an insignificant negative Pearsonrsquos
correlation of -0020 (p=0736)
Samra Chaudary
46
Table 24 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Note SD=Standard Deviation ST-D=Short-term Investment Decision LT-D=Long-term Investment Decision
N=Neuroticism E=Extraversion O=Openness A=Agreeableness C=Conscientiousness and RP=Risk Perception
Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
24 Results
241 Measurement Model
Table 25 reports the result of the measurement model Factor loadings for each
item were 06 or above except one item of Conscientiousness which had a loading of 04
but Anderson and Gerbing (1988) Wille (1996) and Velicer amp Fava (1998) lend support
to using loadings lower than 06 Bootstrapping was done on a subsample of 5000
subsamples to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) All the
factor loadings were statistically significant as t-statistics for each factor loading were
above 196 (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) For each latent factor a minimum
of three items significantly loaded on each factor in a multidimensional scale as
recommended by Velicer amp Fava (1998) and Raubenheimer (2004) and all factors were
reflective The estimates of standardized factor loadings ranged from 0600 to 0764
(tgt196) for short-term investment decision 0659-0750 (tgt196) for long-term investment
decision 0656-0864 (tgt196) for neuroticism 0788-0859 (tgt196) for extraversion
0642-0804 (tgt196) for openness 0722-0783 (tgt196) for agreeableness 0406-0855
(tgt196) for conscientiousness and 0729-0888 (tgt196) for risk perception
Factors Mean SD ST-D LT-D N E O A C RP
ST-D 3075 0763 (0681)
LT-D 3279 0810 0551 (0702)
N 2524 0895 0206 0140 (0785)
E 3444 0929 0458 0581 -0020 (0878)
O 3298 0783 0385 0539 0099 0635 (0739)
A 2984 0880 -0229 -0273 -0358 -0199 -0189 (0760)
C 3228 0751 0253 0415 0074 0427 0432 -0345 (0707)
RP 2261 0921 0213 0308 0094 0220 0193 -0238 0169 (0812)
Personality and Investment Decisions
47
Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher for each latent construct (Hair et al 2012)
The values for AVE were 0466 for short-term investment decision 0493 for long-term
investment decision 0617 for neuroticism 07771 for extraversion 0546 for openness
0579 for agreeableness 0500 for conscientiousness and 0660 for risk perception
Internal consistency of latent constructs was computed through composite
reliability (CR) which was higher than 07 for all latent constructs as suggested by Hair et
al (2012) The values of composite reliability were 077 for short-term investment
decision 0829 for long-term investment decision 0889 for neuroticism 0881 for
extraversion 0827 for openness 0804 for agreeableness 0733 for conscientiousness and
0852 for risk perception Please see table 26
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was computed through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2015) Fornell-Larcker criteria were
met as the square root of AVE of each latent construct was greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT ratio
criteria for discriminant validity was met as the ratio was less than one for each latent
construct as reported in table 27 Common method bias and collinearity among exogenous
latent constructs were checked through the variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor
level The test was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term
investment decision and once with long-term investment decision We found no common
method bias in both the tests as the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) values of all the factors
were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
Samra Chaudary
48
Table 25 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment money into
the stock market
0600 8579
I intend to engage in portfolio management activities at
least twice per week
0764 17620
I intend to perform my own investment research instead
of using outside advice
0685 14911
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to that of
professional managers
0665 11816
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings for
investingsavingretirement purposes
0750 23657
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple asset
classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate etc)
0716 17223
I intend to take an investment course 0723 22937
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum gross
return rather than tax and cost efficiency
0663 14376
I intend to invest some money in long-term assets where
my money will be tied up and inaccessible for years
0659 13952
Neuroticism (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often feel inferior to others 0656 8712
When I am under a great deal of stress sometimes I feel
like I am going to pieces
0864 26438
I often feel tense and jittery 0844 20541
Sometimes I feel completely worthless 0776 11760
Too often when things go wrong I get discouraged and
feel like giving up
0770 13300
Extraversion (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I really enjoy talking to people 0859 48079
I am a cheerful high-spirited person 0876 53353
I am a very active person 0788 22761
Openness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I am intrigued by the patterns I find in art and nature 0765 22515
I often try new and foreign foods 0642 11363
I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 0804 30217
I often enjoy playing with theories or abstract ideas 0734 19581
Agreeableness (Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I often get into arguments with my family and co-
workers
0722 10789
Some people think I am selfish and egotistical 0775 15435
Some people think of me as cold and calculating 0783 13761
Conscientious
ness
(Costa amp
McCrae
1992)
I keep my belongings neat and clean 0784 14094
I am pretty good about pacing myself so as to get things
done on time
0855 22739
I waste a lot of time before settling down to work 0406 3623
Risk
Perception
(Weber et
al 2002)
Investing 10 of your annual income in a moderate
growth mutual fund
0812 20781
Investing 5 of your annual income in a very speculative
stock
0888 31293
Investing 5 of your annual income in a conservative
stock
0729 12008
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
reverse coded items
Personality and Investment Decisions
49
Table 26 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0775 0466
Long-term Investment Decision 0829 0493
Neuroticism 0889 0617
Extraversion 0881 0711
Openness 0827 0546
Agreeableness 0804 0579
Conscientiousness 0733 0500
Risk Perception 0852 0660
Table 27 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors A C E LT-D
N O RP
ST-D
A
C 0634
E 0281 0706
LT-D 04 0711 0752
N 049 0352 0093 0214
O 0282 0747 0837 074 0133
RP 0343 0281 0267 0401 0127 0253
ST-D 0392 0485 065 0809 0283 0573 0303
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness C= Conscientiousness and RP= Risk Perception
242 Structural Model
The following section presents the findings of the direct effects of Big-Five
personality traits on short-term investment decisions and long-term investment decisions
It also presents the mediating effect of risk perception between personality type and both
types of investment decisions The standardized parameter estimates (path coefficients) of
structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was computed using a bootstrap approach with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et
al 2009) The effect size was reported for each direct effect through f- square test (Cohen
1988) The f2 values of 002 015 and 035 represent a small medium and large effect
Samra Chaudary
50
size of the independent variable (Henseler et al 2009) Moreover the coefficient of
determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous) variables were not below
010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) The predictive relevance of the model was computed by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
Lewis amp Thompson 2012) A value of 08 or higher was recommended sufficient in
behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 28 summarizes the results of direct effects (without mediator) The
hypothesized relationships between personality trait of neuroticism was found to be
positive and highly significant with ST-D (H1a) (β= 0200 p= 0002 f2= 0062) and was
found insignificantly positive with low effect size (H1b) (β= 0079 p= 0159 f2= 0017)
with LT-D Similarly positive and significant relationships between extraversion
personality and ST-D (H2a) and LT-D (H2b) were found and showed moderate effect size
(β =0405 p= 0000 f2= 0129 β= 0537 p= 0000 f2= 0102) respectively The association
between openness personality trait with ST-D (H3a) was found insignificant with low
effect (β= 0084 p= 0275 f2= 0010) but with LT-D (H3b) it was found statistically
significant and positive with low effect (β=0515 p= 000 f2= 0069) No association of
agreeableness personality trait was found between ST-D (H4a) (β= -0060 p= 0419 f2=
0011) and with LT-D (H4b) (β= -0084 p= 0119 f2= 0017) The relationship of
conscientiousness personality trait with ST-D (H5a) was insignificant and showed almost
no effect (β= -0027 p= 0682 f2=0005) but with LT-D (H5b) the relationship was
significantly positive with small effect (β= 0373 p= 0000 f2= 0021)
Personality and Investment Decisions
51
The coefficient of determination of five types of personality traits and risk
perception with LT-D is higher (R2= 0493) than the coefficient of determination of the
same variables with ST-D (R2=0352) Hence a larger portion of the variance in LT-D was
explained by the set of five independent variables than in ST-D Only extraversion
personality traits were found as a common trait that impacted both ST-D and LT-D The
values of Q2 were considerably above zero representing that each exogenous construct in
the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All the hypotheses
have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high
probability of the presence of the relationships between all exogenous latent variables and
endogenous latent variables A high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness
of the sample size
We have included age gender income and expect to receive the inheritance as
control variables in our model These variables have relevance in the model of personality
type risk perception and investment decisions Studies have shown that males have shown
a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Bajtelsmit Bernasek amp
Jianakoplos 1999 Hariharan Chapman amp Domian 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp
Cox 2001) Age also affects risk perception (Weber et al 2002) and financial decisions
(Agarwal Driscoll Gabaix amp Laibson 2007) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the
relationship between expected inheritances and income with financial investment
Samra Chaudary
52
Table 28 Results of Total Effects of Personality Traits on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Estimates
p
value f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1a N-gtST-D 0200 0002 0062
0352 0127 1
H2a E-gtST-D 0405 0000 0129
H3a O-gtST-D 0084 0318 0010
H4a A-gtST-D -0060 0314 0011
H5a C-gtST-D 0027 0829 0005
H1b N-gtLT-D 0073 0110 0017
0493 0209 1
H2b E-gtLT-D 0537 0000 0102
H3b O-gtLT-D 0515 0000 0069
H4b A-gtLT-D -0084 0119 0017
H5b C-gtLT-D 0373 0003 0021
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision N= Neuroticism E=
Extraversion O= Openness A= Agreeableness and C= Conscientiousness
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Mediation Effects with Risk Perception
The mediating effects were tested using bootstrap method (Preacher and Hayes
2008 Zhao Lynch amp Chen 2010a) instead of Baron and Kenny (1986) approach because
bootstrapping corrects the non-normality problem and increases the statistical power to
detect mediation effects (Wood Goodman Beckmann amp Cook 2008) Bootstrap
sampling was done to estimate the distribution of the indirect effect (Hair et al 2014)
Bootstrap technique is a powerful test of mediation and Baron and Kenny (1986) test yields
high Type-I error (Krause et al 2010) Another major flaw of Baron and Kenny (1986) is
that it requires a mandatory presence of direct relationship of predictor and outcome
variable which is not necessary for the alternate approach (Hayes 2009 Krause et al
2010)
A mediator variable is expected to influence the relationship between a predictive
variable and an outcome variable (Baron amp Kenny 1986) Hence the mediator explains
Personality and Investment Decisions
53
the relationship oftentimes ldquohowrdquo and ldquowhyrdquo The mediation analysis supposed to
denotes a causal chain as it is concerned with the mechanism of a story or a series of effects
(Kenny 2008) and the definition of mediation is mostly expressed in causal terms (Baron
amp Kenny 1986)
In order to run a mediation analysis it is not necessary to get a significant
relationship between an independent and outcome variable (Kenny Kashy amp Bolger
1998 Zhao et al 2010a) Shrout and Bolger (2002) endorsed to omit the test of
significance of direct effects In this paper risk perception was tested as a mediator between
personality type and investment decision We compared the significance level (plt 005) of
direct effects and indirect effects and concluded the results
For H6a and H6b the direct effects of neuroticism and extraversion personality trait
on short-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk perception) were found
to be significant (β= 0202 p=0002) and (β= 0392 p= 0000) However the indirect effect
of neuroticism and extraversion on short-term investment decision through risk perception
was insignificant (β= -0002 p= 0817) and (β= -0013 p= 0309) Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as direct only nonmediation (Zhao at al 2010a) For H6c H6d
H6e and H6f the standardized direct (mediated) effects and indirect effects were
insignificant Hence these hypotheses were categorized as no effect-nonmediation The
direct effects of extraversion and openness (H6g and H6h) on long-term investment
decision were found to be significant (β= 0493 p= 0000) (β= 0472 p= 0000) and
indirect effects of extraversion and openness on long-term investment decision were also
significant (β= 0044 p= 0005) (β= 0043 p= 0006) respectively Therefore these
hypotheses were labeled as complimentary mediation For H6i the (mediated) direct effect
Samra Chaudary
54
of agreeableness on long-term investment decision was insignificant (β= -0056 p= 0276)
however the indirect effect was significant (β= -0028 p= 0034) As a result this was
labeled as indirect-only mediation The direct effect and indirect effect of
conscientiousness on long-term investment decision in the presence of mediator (risk
perception) were both found to be significant (β= 0333 p=0000) and (β= 0040 p=0030)
Therefore H6j was labeled as complimentary mediation Among control variables only
males showed a significant impact on short-term investment decision and those who expect
to receive inheritance in the future showed a significant impact on long-term investment
decision
It was found that risk perception did not mediate the relationship between any of
the five personality types and short-term investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However four
personality traits (except neuroticism H6f) were found to show a significant indirect effect
on long-term investment decision through the perceived risk of the investment (H6g-H6j)
Moreover we found that agreeable personality (H6i) showed a negative indirect effect on
long-term investment decision through perceived risk of the investment
An indirect only-mediation effect is present when the direct effect of an
independent variable on dependent variable in the presence of mediator is insignificant and
indirect effect is significant This is also known as full mediation Complimentary
mediation is present when both direct and indirect effects are significant and point to the
same direction Direct-only non-mediation effect is present when only direct effect of
independent variable on dependent variable is significant in the presence of mediator but
indirect effect is not significant This is also a case of no mediation No-effect non-
mediation is declared when there is neither a significant direct effect is present nor a
Personality and Investment Decisions
55
significant indirect effect is present This is also declared as no-mediation situation These
mediation types also overlap with Baron and Kennyrsquos approach Complementary
mediation is similar to Baron and Kennyrsquos partial mediation and indirect-only mediation
is similar to full mediation Direct-only non-mediation and no-effect non-mediation
overlaps with no mediation of Baron and Kennyrsquos approach (Zhao et al 2010a) The
results of mediation analysis are reported in table 29 Detailed results of mediation analysis
are illustrated in figure 23 - 212 in appendix V
Table 29 Mediation Results of Risk Perception
Hypotheses Bootstrapping
Direct Effect
Indirect Effect
Decision Rule
Independent
Variables
Mediator Dependent
Variables
β
p β
p
H6a Neuroticism
Risk
Perception ST-D
0202 0002 -0002 0817 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6b Extraversion
0392 0000 0013 0309 Direct-only
Non-Mediation
H6c Openness
0075 0331 0009 0453
No effect
Non-Mediation
H6d Agreeableness
-0040 0606 -0020 0116 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6e Conscientiousness
0025 0708 0002 0849 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6f Neuroticism
Risk
Perception LT-D
0076 0140 -0003 0802 No effect
Non-Mediation
H6g Extraversion
0493 0000 0044 0005 Complimentary
Mediation
H6h Openness
0472 0000 0043 0006 Complimentary
Mediation
H6i Agreeableness
-0056 0276 0028 0034 Indirect-only
Mediation
H6j Conscientiousness
0333 0000 0040 0030 Complimentary
Mediation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision and LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0082 p=0155) Gender-gtST-D (β= 0118 p=0012) Income-gtST-D (β=0077
p=0328) Expect to receive inheritance-gtST-D (β= -0014 p=0820) Age-gtLT-D (β=0038 p=0438) Gender-gtLT-D
(β= -0018 p=0688) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0025 p=0569) Expect to receive inheritance -gtLT-D (β=0165 p=0001)
and Age-gtRisk Perception (β= -0069 p=0265)
Samra Chaudary
56
25 Discussion and Implications
Behavioral finance is a recent and emerging focal area in finance research Unlike
many other studies in this discipline (Li amp Liu 2008 Mayfield et al 2008 Oehler et al
2018 Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) which have used students as a proxy of potential investors
this study has empirically examined relatively a large number of individual equity investors
as well as professional investors The study investigated the effect of five personality traits
on investment decisions in short-term and in long-term It was found that not all personality
types had a significant effect on investment decisions Contrary to the findings of Mayfield
et al (2008) who reported that individuals who are high on neuroticism were likely to avoid
short-term investment decisions This study found a significant positive impact of
neuroticism on short-term investment decision than on long-term investment decision (H1a
and H1b) as shown in table 7 These findings get support from Brandstatter (2011) who
found that neurotic individuals were anxious low on risk propensity (Brandstatter 2011)
more risk-averse (Borghans Heckman Golsteyn amp Meijers 2009) less risk-tolerant (Pak
amp Memood 2015) and lacked entrepreneurship behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006 Zhao
Seibert amp Lumpkin 2010b) Therefore neurotic investors were found in this study to
invest in short-term investment horizon as short-term investment entails relatively lower
risk Some other plausible reasons of H1a findings could be that neurotic individuals are
reported to be impulsive (Rosler et al 2004) insecure tense (Costa amp McCrae 1992
Salgado 1997) and were found to exhibit compulsive buying behavior (Muller amp de
Zwaan 2010) Therefore neurotic individuals prefer to invest in short-term investments
than in long-term investments
Personality and Investment Decisions
57
For extravert personality (H2a) this study reaffirms the findings of Mayfield et al
(2008) that investors with extravert personality were more likely to take immediate
decisions and preferred to invest in short-term investment as they are more optimistic and
energetic Extravert individuals were reported to be more confident about their investment
decisions (Pompain amp Longo 2004) and were found likely to trade more frequently (Tauni
et al 2016) However positive relationship between extraversion and LT-D found in this
study (H2b) support previous findings that extravert individuals are also risk-takers
(Becker Deckers Dohmen Falk amp Kosse 2012a Pan amp Statman 2013) and optimist
(Costa amp McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) therefore these factors may have led them to
invest in long-term investments
For openness personality (H3a and H3b) our findings are in support of (Zhao amp
Seibert 2006 Zhao et al 2010b) who found that individuals with openness to experience
show entrepreneurial (risk-taking) behavior They show high-risk propensity in many areas
of decision-making of their life including financial decisions (Brandstatter 2011) Hence
there is no association between openness with short-term investments and show a
significant relationship with long-term investment decisions Individuals with openness
personality are less risk-averse in financial decision-making (Prinz Gruumlnder Hilgers
Holtemoumlller amp Vernaleken 2014) tough-minded and with active imagination (Costa amp
McCrae 1992 Salgado 1997) as a result they showed a relationship with long-term
investments
The relationship of agreeable personality (H4a and H4b) with ST-D and LT-D was
found to be insignificant Agreeable personality had shown a negative relationship with the
willingness to take a risk (Brandstatter 2011) Empirical pieces of evidence have also
Samra Chaudary
58
shown that agreeable individuals are risk-averse (Borghans et al 2009) have low risk-
tolerance (Kubilay amp Bayrakdaroglu 2016) and have also shown extreme risk avoidance
behavior (Wang Xu Zhang amp Chen 2016) These individuals sometimes also show
juvenile and immature behavior (McCrae amp Costa 2008) they lack the skill for assessing
a better investment (Ivkoviacutec amp Weisbenner 2007) and showed lower return expectations
from their investments (Oehler amp Wedlich 2018) Therefore due to extreme risk
avoidance behavior and their lack of ability for assessing a better investment they probably
did not show association with short-term and long-term investment
The relationship of conscientiousness personality trait was not found significant
with short-term investment (H5a) but it was significant with long-term investment
decisions (H5b) The possible reason could be that conscientiousness individuals think
before acting (Brandstatter 2011) that gives them a long-term perspective As the stock
market was giving losses in the period of data collection due to some political uncertainty
therefore it is conjectured that it could be a possible reason for not investing in short-term
at that time Oehler and Wedlich (2018) found that conscientiousness individuals perceive
investments in stocks very risky and are very careful well organized and conscious about
their decision-making The authors also posited that individuals with conscientiousness and
agreeableness personality traits tended to have lower return expectations It may imply that
conscientiousness type would not like to invest in short-term as such investments offer
lower yields However on the other hand conscientiousness individuals are calculating
and show entrepreneurial (risky) behavior (Zhao amp Seibert 2006) and these aspects were
reinforced the significant relationship of conscientiousness with long-term investments
decision in this study
Personality and Investment Decisions
59
Based on the standardized path coefficients shown in table 7 extravert personality was
the strongest predictor of short-term investment decision followed by neuroticism
Similarly extravert personality was the strongest predictor of long-term investment
decision followed by openness conscientiousness and neuroticism (at a low significance)
respectively Moreover it was found that two out of five personality traits showed an
impact on short-term investment decision and four out of five showed associations with
the long-term investment decision One of the plausible reasons for this phenomenon could
be the bear market condition at the time of data collection which supports Prospect Theory
As investors are generally risk averse and therefore were not willing to invest in short-term
horizon (at the time of data collection) particularly Another possible reason could be that
long-term investment decisions have low transaction costs (Della Croce Stewart amp
Yermo 2011 Gray 2006 Warren 2014) and carry higher risk as well as higher returns
(Dimson Marsh amp Staunton 2017 Von Thadden 1995) Long-term investors are reported
to be rewarded by higher returns (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) As the
respondents of this study are stock investors and stocks have outperformed in longer time
horizons (Dierkes et al 2010)
Our results support TPB which proposes individualsrsquo behavioral willingness to invest
in the stock market as predicted by (East 1993 Mayfield et al 2008 Raut et al 2018)
The central idea of TPB is that planned behavior is determined by behavioral intentions
(Ajzen 2001) and that behavior can include conflicts between short-term and long-term
goals (Ajzen 1985 1991)
Furthermore this study linked personality traits and investment decisions through
risk perception in order to explore the relationship between five types of personality traits
Samra Chaudary
60
and investment decisions both short-term and long-term As shown in table 8 no
mediating effect of investorsrsquo risk perception between any personality type and short-term
investment decisions (H6a-H6e) However we found risk perception showed (different
types of) mediating effects between four personality types (except neuroticism- H6f) and
long-term investment decisions (H6g-H6j)
Precisely we found no direct effect of agreeableness (H6i) on long-term investment
decisions however the negative indirect effects of agreeableness on long-term investment
decision through risk perception were significant confirming indirect-only mediation This
implies that risk perception is the cause or in other words fully explains the relationship
between agreeable personality type and long-term investment decisions It seems agreeable
personality type has a higher risk perception that leads to a lower likelihood of investing in
long-term investment Moreover risk perception showed a complimentary mediating
effect for H6g H6h and H6j relationships These relationships already had significant
direct effects and now significant indirect effects too One potential reason of
complimentary mediation of risk perception is that there could be some other omitted
variables too that may mediate the relationship between extraversion openness and
conscientiousness personality types and long-term investment decision for example risk
tolerance or risk attitude etc Zhao et al (2010a) pointed out that complementary mediation
indicates to a theoretically interesting indirect effect It implies the possibility of presence
of more mediators and guides future researchers to explore more mediators that result in
an indirect only mediation model Another possible reason for complimentary mediation
could be the way risk perception was measured with subjective questions rather than
measuring it through an experimental design ie hypothetical lottery However Nosic and
Personality and Investment Decisions
61
Weber (2010) contended that asking onersquos risk attitude through the intuitive and
comprehensible question is a precise method than giving him a complex imaginary lottery
task Many studies have relied on asking subjective questions (Becker et al 2012a Josef
et al 2016 Pan amp Statman 2013) and the findings were more understandable when using
a subjective question than an experimental task (Becker et al 2012a)
Loewenstein et al (2001) had proposed a theoretical perspective termed ldquorisk as
feelingrdquo emphasizing that risk is a feeling which often affects individualsrsquo decisions
especially when such decisions involve risk and uncertainty They also posited that ldquorisk
as feelingrdquo mediates at least partially the relationship between an individuals cognitive
evaluation of risk and their behavioral response The findings showed support for RaF
theory related to the mediating role of risk perception As our result showed support for
hypotheses related to the mediating role of risk perception by emphasizing the mediating
role of risk perception in the relationship between three personality types and long-term
investment decisions Risk perception was not found to mediate relationships between
personality types and ST-D It is probably because short-term investment decisions are not
perceived relatively as risky as the long-term investment decisions are
The results of the relationship of personality types with ST-D and LT-D is imperative
for the financial planners to ensure that financial planners give to their customers are
obtaining best guidance This knowledge of the relationship between personality type and
investment decisions can also help professionals in recognizing the presence of behaviors
that may prevent their clients from attaining their short-term and long-term financial goals
(Baker et al 2017)
Samra Chaudary
62
It is recommended that money managers identify specific individualsrsquo personality types
with the aim to cater to investorsrsquo financial needs For example neurotic individuals can
be targeted for short-term investment and extroverts for both ST-D and LT-D The
importance of risk perception should also be considered while advising a specific
personality type with their investment decisions Moreover for an emerging economy like
Pakistan most personality types showed an association with long-term investments It may
be taken as a signal for the firms who want to raise capital from the market to issue long-
term securities Financial regulators such as Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan
(SECP) should encourage investors to invest in short-term investments too by providing
them confidence and protection The findings of this research provide a meaningful picture
to the money managers of the developing economies where markets are vulnerable
26 Conclusion and Future Research
This paper investigated the influence of Big-Five personality types on short-term and
long-term investment decisions Moreover the mediating role of risk perception was also
tested between all five types of personalities and two types of investment decisions ie
short term and long-term It was found that investors with higher neuroticism and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take short-term investment
decisions Nonetheless investors with higher openness conscientiousness and
extraversion personality traits were found more likely to take long-term investment
decisions Risk perception was found to mediate effect between the relationships of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions With the growth of the economy peoplersquos wealth increases
Hence there is a growing need that wealth management function is performed by
Personality and Investment Decisions
63
professional money managers This function involves understanding clientsrsquo requirements
and delivering financial services accordingly Gathering data from real equity investors
(especially from professionals ie brokers and the institutional fund managers) was quite
challenging task in this study These professionals were not willing to leave their trading
screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short time They filled the
survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the evening) or on weekends
A major contribution of this study is the fact that this is very first research of this kind in
the context of a developing economy Unlike other studies this study has utilized Big-Five
personality traits for investigating their impact on investment behavior for short-term and
long-term investments However this line of investigation needs more empirical evidence
especially from developing countries This study extended the general model of planned
behavior (Ajzen 1991) and risk as feeling model (Loewenstein et al 2001) to another
domain of social behavior that is financial investment with two separate components
(short-term and long-term) Given the importance of these theories in the field of social
behavior this is a rich paradigm for interdisciplinary contributions
It should be admitted that other than Big-Five Personality types there are various other
psychological factors that might affect individualsrsquo investment decisions these were not
accounted for in this study In this study the focus was only on equity traders and future
studies can opt to select other types of instruments to investigate if investors exhibit similar
behavior as found in this study Future studies could test the impact of emotions moods
and weather on investment decisions These constructs can be measured in different ways
for example the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their stocks can be
captured through an experiment But again such research design might be challenging as
Samra Chaudary
64
theses professional traders might not be willing to participate because of the responsibility
of peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders Leaving their trading screens during
market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them Future studies can also explore
other mediators (eg risk attitude risk appetite etc) that may result in an indirect only
mediation model Future researchers can also opt to classify investment decision in a
different way than classifying into long and short time horizons Another aspect that can
be investigated in the future studies is managersrsquo experience differences in experience may
result in different investing behavior
Salience and Investment Decisions
65
3 Paper II The Role of Salience in Investment Decisions
Differences Between Individual Investors and
Professional Investors
Abstract
The paper took a behavioral approach by making use of the prospect theory to
investigate the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions The
study also investigated the group differences for two types of investorsrsquo groups ie
individual investors and professional investors It further explored group differences
between female investors and male investors The study used partial least square based
structural equation modeling technique measurement invariance test and multi-group
analysis test on a unique data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that salience has a significant
positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The impact was
almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the short-term
decision Furthermore multi-group analysis revealed that the two groups ie individual
investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other such that
the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was higher for
individual investors than for professional investors Moreover the parametric tests of
difference between two groups also showed that path coefficients of female investors were
significantly different from the path coefficient of male investors both for the short-term
decisions as well as for the long-term decisions The study has implications for financial
regulators money managers and individual investors as it was found that individual
investors and female investors suffer more with salience heuristic and may end up with
sub-optimal portfolios due to inefficient diversification Thus individual investors and
Samra Chaudary
66
female investors should be cautious in fully relying on salience and avoid such bias to
improve their investment returns The study concludes with a discussion of policy and
regulatory implications of the results and suggests how to minimize salience bias in order
to build optimum and diversified portfolios The study has contributed to the growing body
of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance especially to the literature on
heuristics used by individuals while making investment decisions
Keywords heuristics salience familiarity bias investment decision behavioral finance
31 Introduction
Investment decisions are not merely driven by the fundamentals of a firm as advocated
by traditional finance theories but are also based on the attitudes (positive or negative) they
have developed for a specific corporation or a brand (De Vries et al 2017) Traditional
(standard) finance theories have been condemned in terms of their explanatory power and
the validity of their assumptions (Takahashi amp Terano 2003) Yalcin et al (2016) criticized
the two main propositions of traditional finance theory The first proposition postulates that
individuals behave rationally during the decision-making process as defined by the
expected utility theory (EUT) whereas the second proposition advocates that asset markets
are efficient (rational) in a way that they reflect correct prices and therefore endorsing the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
based on traditional portfolio theory proposed by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965)
theorized that investors should invest in the world market portfolio of risky securities for
maximum risk-adjusted returns However investors behave irrationally and assign more
weight to domestic investments in their portfolios They ignore the potential benefits of
diversification (Ahearne et al 2004 Chan Covrig amp Ng 2005) Refraining from
Salience and Investment Decisions
67
investing in the world market portfolio could be due to salience bias or from familiarity
effect Investors tend to experience a strong bias towards holding stocks of their home
country or local area (Hirshleifer 2001) The idea of bounded rationality led to many
researches to discuss various types of behavioral heuristics eg familiarity (home) bias
(Ahearne et al 2004 French amp Poterba 1991) disposition effect (Barberis amp Xiong
2009 Odean 1998) representativeness (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) herding (Wermers 1999) overconfidence (Barber amp Odean 2001 Statman
Thorley amp Vorkink 2006) anchoring (Furnham amp Boo 2011 Tversky amp Kahneman
1974) framing (Choi Laibson Madrian amp Metrick 2004 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
This study investigates the impact of salience heuristic on investorsrsquo short-term and
long-term investment decisions It further examins the impact of salience on decision-
making between two groups of investors (individual investors and professional investors)
in the context of a developing economy Salience effect is one of the most robust cognitive
heuristics Salience was the most important heuristic among all as it showed the strongest
impact on decision-making (Yalcin et al 2016) Investors suffer most from salience than
other types of heuristics (Hirshleifer 2001)
Kumar and Goyal (2015) emphasized on the scarcity of studies on heuristics in
developing economies Developing countries have higher growth possibilities and
investors (individual and institutional) are more prone to invest in the stock market They
also highlighted that empirical studies based on the secondary data dominate the field and
there is a dearth of studies based on primary data in this area A handful of studies have
shown evidences that heuristics cause inevitable behavioral biases in investment decisions
from developed economies (Coval amp Moskowitz 1999 Hirshleifer 2001 Tversky amp
Samra Chaudary
68
Kahneman 1986 Wang et al 2011 Yalcin et al 2016) and from developing economies
(De Vries et al 2017 Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016 Metawa et al 2019) The findings of
various studies were inconclusive in explaining these heuristic biases Therefore this study
has tried to provide the desired empirical evidence from the developing economy by using
a unique primary data set of professional money managers and individual investors who
have invested in the capital market
To the best of our knowledge the salience heuristic has never been systematically
studied with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive
power been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix II) The
present study is the first one to contribute empirically by investigating salience which is a
critical factor in determining ST-D and LT-D The primary reason for this research is to
investigate if salience matters in investment decision-making for stock investors This
research also contributes to the understanding of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market Moreover understanding investorsrsquo behavior can help
investors to avoid familiarity bias and can improve their investment decisions in choosing
investment services products and plans The study provides a significant and meaningful
contribution to the prevailing young and emerging finance paradigm
32 Theory and Hypotheses Development
321 Prospect Theory
The notion of heuristics was introduced by Simon (1955) who suggested a behavioral
model of rational choice He contended that individuals have bounded rationality and their
decisions are constrained by both external (environmental) and internal (mental) factors
The bounded rationality models are also called models of heuristic cognition The idea of
Salience and Investment Decisions
69
bounded rationality gave birth to the discipline of behavioral finance as many researchers
revealed pieces of evidence against the validity of rational decisions (De Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) This line of research picked up pace when Kahneman
and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory and got further recognition after
Kahneman received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2002 Prospect theory proposes that
when offered a gamble involving two or three outcome lotteries with some probability
investors make their decisions on the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather
than on the final outcomes of lotteries They choose the one with the highest value This
value function is based on gains and losses rather than on levels of wealth The function is
concave in the area of gain indicating risk-aversion and is a convex in the area of loss
indicating risk-taking Moreover the gradient of the value function is generally steeper in
the area of loss than in the area of gain which indicates that investors are generally risk-
averse A loss would have a larger psychological impact on the decision-maker than a gain
Critical to this value function is the reference point from which gains and losses are
measured (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Investors are more unpleasant by losses than they
are delighted by equivalent profits This phenomenon arises due to cognitive biases
(heuristics) that affect investorsrsquo assessment about expected value of these gains and losses
Many researches have successfully tested prospect theory in the domain of psychological
biases and decision-making (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al
2017 Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008)
322 Heuristics and Investment Decisions
Heuristics are described as lsquointuitive rapid and automatic systems (Shiloh Salton
amp Sharabi 2002) which decrease the complication of calculating possibilities and
Samra Chaudary
70
predicting the values to simple judgemental operations (Tversky amp Kahneman 1974)
Heuristics are also described as ldquorule of thumbrdquo which are developed for quick and efficient
decision-making (Mishra 2014) and have gained the attention of researchers (Yalcin et al
2016) Investors use these shortcuts due to inadequate time and information (Aronson
1999) Tversky amp Kahneman (1974) pointed out that cognitive biases arise as people use
heuristics These heuristics are generally effective but they argued that the use of heuristics
lead to biases under some circumstances and result in irrational decisions Similarly De
Bondt (1998) pointed out that heuristic cues can result in poor investment selections
because they usually do not relate to the firmrsquos profitability
323 Salience and Investment Decision
Salience is also known as familiarity bias (Yalcin at al 2016) and familiarity was
reported to breed investment (Huberman 2001) The notions of salience familiarity
availability cues and home bias are largely used interchangeably in the literature and
these notions are categorized under salience heuristics (Yalcin et al 2016) The idea of
availability heuristic was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman (1973) suggesting that
selective triggering provides grounds for salience and availability effects The key
behavioral assumption of Merton (1987) model was that investors invest in familiar stocks
due to the fear of an unknown Investors believe that the riskiness of an unknown stock
was very high Furthermore Heath and Tversky (1991) laid down behavioral foundation
of the familiarity bias They showed that individuals would like to gamble in a situation
where they think themselves well-informed or capable as compared to a situation where
they consider themselves unfamiliar or unacquainted They also reported that investors at
times are ready to sacrifice the benefits of diversification and focus on few corporations
Salience and Investment Decisions
71
with which they are ostensibly familiar Similarly when people encounter with two risky
choices they feel more pleasant picking the acquainted (salient) one particularly in fast
decision-making situations (Fox amp Tversky 1995) The panic of making an error was the
key reason when investors select the unfamiliar choice People recall and locate these
salient cues from their memory in order to choose without assessing whether they are
correct or not (Huberman 2001) It is unavoidable to observe similar biases because
investment decisions involve choosing the one right choice from several options that
require a vigilant evaluation The assessment process needs effort and time Hence in order
to address the challenge of the decision-making process investors make use of salient
knowledge (Yalcin et al 2016) Numerous researches reported that investors prefer to
invest in corporations with which they are more familiar because doing so tends to escalate
their level of assurance and hopefulness (Barber Odean amp Zheng 2005 Huberman 2001
Jain amp Wu 2000 Sirri amp Tufano 1998) Generally it was seen that people are inclined
towards investment in local firms (home bias) employees tend to purchase their own
companyrsquos stocks and fans prefer to invest in the stocks of their favorite teamrsquos irrationally
(Nofsinger 2005) Swiss respondents perceived those products less risky which were easier
to understand and this behavior was likely to be driven by the familiarity bias (Wang et
al 2011) Similarly investors from Finland tended to invest in those companies which
share the investorsrsquo native language and socio-economic background For instance Finnish
investors speaking Swedish language prefer to trade stocks of firms that have financial
statements in Swedish and have Swedish-speaking CEOs than those who speak Finnish
language (Grinblatt amp Keloharju 2001) In addition Jaiyeoba and Haron (2016) also found
that the investment decisions of Malaysian retail investors were influenced by
Samra Chaudary
72
psychological biases Malaysian investors were found patriotic and their investment
decisions were dependent on the comfortable feeling rather than quantitative investigation
These findings imply that investors were influenced by psychological biases Antoniou
Olusi and Paudyal (2010) reported that investors do not earn extra profits by investing in
international stocks Investors can earn similar profits by investing in a portfolio of local
securities
Baker and Ricciardi (2014) documented that familiarity bias prevails when
investors prefer acquainted investments though they know the evident gains from
diversification Investors exhibit a fondness for native securities (local bias) with which
they are more comfortable and are also skewed towards the portfolios of local assets (home
bias) Home bias denotes to the condition when investors favor to invest in local assets as
compared to international securities in their portfolio The potential reasons behind
investing in local stocks were familiarity investor protection economic development
stock market development capital control (Chan et al 2005) information asymmetry
transaction costs investment obstructions inflation hedging (Kumar amp Goyal 2015)
Likewise Riff and Yagil (2016) confirmed the presence of home bias in ten developed
countries They observed the bias in three different market conditions (bull bear and
normal) It was found that home bias increased during the bear market period This study
collected data in the bear market conditions Hence it is expected that salience determines
investment decisions
H1 Salience has a positive effect on short-term investment decision
H2 Salience has a positive effect on long-term investment decision
Salience and Investment Decisions
73
The outcome of familiarity bias could result in the suboptimal composition of
portfolios To mitigate familiarity bias investors should spread out a wider net and expand
asset allocation in their portfolio to reduce risk and increase diversification benefits
Investing globally assists to circumvent familiarity bias (Norden 2010 Baker amp Ricciardi
2014) Sizemore (2012) has suggested that to avoid familiarity bias investors who admire
a firmrsquos product should try to invest in one of the rivals because taking too accurate
investment decisions will be a mistake Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) investigated the
influence of investorsrsquo protection on portfolio returns and asset allocation Investors choose
to invest more in foreign stocks in countries where investorsrsquo protection was fragile In
addition investor protection showed a positive impact on shareholder returns It implies
that salience bias can be reduced and portfolio returns can be improved by increasing
investor protection
Kumar and Goetzmann (2003) found that investors who desire for skewness in
returns have relatively greater familiarity bias and are overconfident and hold a less
diversified portfolio Such bias was found to affect the returns ie investors with the least
diversified portfolio earned 240 lower return annually than the investors with the most
diversified portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Investors who demonstrate overconfident
behavior generally face severe consequences (Baker amp Ricciardi 2014) and end up with
little investment returns as they fail to diversify their portfolios appropriately (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2015) One does not need to develop feelings towards any stock Loving a stock
will not respond back with love and developing hate for a stock will also not provide
contentment lsquoInvest in what you know which was also known as lsquoPeter Lynch biasrsquo will
make investors see only what they want to see in the stock (Sizemore 2012) If investors
Samra Chaudary
74
like a firm it did not essentially mean that it was a good investment and will yield a high
profit on investment This action may lead to investment in suboptimal portfolios which
can lead to lower returns or even losses (De Vries et al 2017) Less familiarity and high
information costs hinder investors from investing across the globe (Chan et al 2005)
Weber Siebenmorgen and Weber (2005) provides evidence that investing in a familiar
stock decreases risk perception of holding it Certainly this miscalculation of the risk of
familiar stock could possibly preserve home bias in investorrsquos portfolios
324 Institutional Investors and Salience
Coval and Moskowitz (1999) reported that professional money managers within
the US prefer to invest in small-sized domestic corporations whose headquarters are near
to their home town Likewise Strong and Xu (2003) documented that money managers are
likely to trade in familiar stocks and are prone to home bias Chan et al (2005) investigated
the investment of mutual funds from twenty-six developed and developing economies
They found that managers of these mutual funds collectively assign a bigger portion to
domestic stocks Results show that local investors give more importance to domestic
markets and the presence of home bias was significantly influenced by familiarity and
stock market development Foreign investors more or less give importance to the foreign
markets and international bias was significantly affected by capital controls economic
development and withholding tax Professional investment managers from the US and
Taiwan (Olsen 1997) and retail investors from Malaysia (Jaiyeoba amp Haron 2016) have
also exhibited a desirability bias and patriotic (home bias) behavior respectively Money
managers were reported not to invest in foreign stocks due to high transaction costs
currency risk asymmetric information and implicit risk which was embedded in
Salience and Investment Decisions
75
international markets Nonetheless behavioral reason for this phenomenon could be that
these institutional managers are overconfident and high on nationalism repentance and
social identification (Schwartz 2010)
Borges Goldstein Ortmann and Gigerenzer (1999) constructed portfolios on the
basis of the stocks recognition by German and American finance students (experts) and
laymen (people walking in the streets) The authors purchased the most identified stocks
and compared their returns against large mutual funds and stock markets in the US and
Germany They found that recognized stocks performed better than unrecognized stocks
Additionally the portfolio performance based on the ability of laymen to identify stocks
beats that of a portfolio based on recognition by finance students (experts) who should at
least have some passing interest in investing Individuals with less investment knowledge
can rely on recognition heuristic A professional investor who was familiar with most of
the stocks in the stock market cannot practice this heuristic According to Goldstein and
Gigerenzer (2002) recognition heuristic was a strong instrument and perhaps the only
strategy that works best in the situation of lack of knowledge It seemed that the lack of
information was perhaps a delightful thing for investors The evidence about experts who
made a bad investment portfolio on the basis of their identification of the stock proposed
that lack of knowledge was perhaps not too bad for investors (Forbes Hudson Skerratt amp
Soufian 2015)
325 Individual Investors and Salience
Individual investors in particular are unwise who hold stocks of their company
state or country instead of investing in an unknown or less familiar one (Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba 1991) Individual investors are less sophisticated and tend to take poorer
Samra Chaudary
76
investment decisions than financial advisors because individual investors are overconfident
and suffer from various biases (Baker et al 2017) De Vries et al (2017) investigated a
sample of students and found that when selecting between different companies these
potential shareholders in South Africa showed familiarity bias in their investing behavior
Tesar and Werner (1995) found that because of high transaction costs shareholders are
convinced to choose domestic equity instead of putting their money in international stocks
that yield higher returns Ahearne et al (2004) investigated the direct and indirect barriers
to foreign investment for US investors The direct barriers were the intensity of capital
controls high transaction costs (implicit and explicit) regulations on the institutions by the
country (restrictions on foreign ownership of equities) and the indirect barrier was
information cost Information cost was found to be the most important barrier which can
be reduced if the international company sets up its plant in the US It will make US
investors more familiar with its commodities US investors might invest in international
stocks of those firms with whose products they are most familiar Foreign companies that
do not minimize information costs by choosing not to list in the US regulatory system
have less weight in US investorsrsquo portfolios Kang and Stulz (1997) also reaffirmed that
investors from US tended to invest only in familiar international firms in Japan Likewise
Seasholes and Zhu (2010) found that investors are more likely to invest in domestic stocks
due to the existence of information asymmetry among investors Information asymmetry
is an unexpected obstacle to international investment in the home bias puzzle Karlsson
and Norden (2007) reported that individuals invest in their home country because they are
overconfident and they want to hedge against inflation Cooper and Kaplanis (1994) found
a negative association between earnings and inflation Moreover they elucidated that
Salience and Investment Decisions
77
investors hedge risk and get shield against inflation through local stocks and are vulnerable
to home bias This study investigates if the effect of salience on short-term investment is
different for individual investors and institutional investors Furthermore this research also
investigates if the effect of salience on long-term investment is different for individual
investors and institutional investors
H3 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
H4 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for individual
investors than for professional investors
326 Gender and Salience
Numerous studies in the discipline of psychology and sociology showed that females
were more risk-averse than males (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac 2018 Byrnes Miller
amp Schafer 1999 Hinz McCarthy amp Turner 1997) In making financial decisions
Bajtelsmit et al (1999) also posited that women showed higher risk aversion in the wealth
allocation into the defined contribution pension plan Olsen and Cox (2001) focused on
male and female investment professionals and found that men and women perceived and
responded to risk differently They suggested that cultural factors might be accountable for
this risk related gender effect
Gender had shown a significant effect on investment decision in the Egyptian financial
market (Metawa et al 2019) More men than women indicated that they found investment
exciting Men tended to be actively engaged in investments and change their assets in the
portfolio with time (Hira amp Loibl 2008) Many research studies found that males tended
to have a greater inclination towards both ST-D and LT-D than females (Mayfield et al
Samra Chaudary
78
2008 Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et al 2000 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Tekce Yılmaz
and Bildik (2016) reported that young male Turkish investors suffered more from
familiarity bias Moreover familiarity bias showed a significant impact on the investment
performance of the Amman stock exchange However the impact was not found to be
statistically significantly different for female and male investors (Alrabadi Al-Abdallah
amp Aljarayesh 2018)
Anderson Fedenia Hirschey and Skiba (2011) conducted a survey in more than sixty
countries to determine the international diversification of professionally managed
portfolios It was found that portfolios from countries characterized by higher levels of
masculinity showed lower levels of familiarity bias and displayed more diversified
portfolios with foreign holdings Cao Han Hirshleifer and Zhang (2009) concluded that
higher familiarity leads to lower risk judgment Mohammadi and Shafi (2018) investigated
differences in the behavior of male and female investors using equity data of Swedish
firms They found a greater risk-averse behavior in female investors as opposed to male
investors Women were found less likely to invest in the stocks of younger firms and high-
tech companies Similarly in an investment decision realm women invest less and are
more risk-averse than men (Charness amp Gneezy 2007) In a sample from Switzerland
Wang et al (2011) also observed gender differences and argued that in general both
genders were impacted by the familiarity bias The asset classes that were easier to
understand were also considered less risky and vice versa Females considered equity more
difficult to understand and also perceived equity riskier than males did However there
was an exception that male respondents were not influenced by familiarity bias for blue-
chip stocks Even though males perceived that blue-chip shares were considerably easier
Salience and Investment Decisions
79
to understand than females did they still considered blue-chip shares were risky
investment which suggested that the males were not biased by their self-perceived
understanding about blue-chip stocks Karlsson and Norden (2007) reported that gender
and familiarity with risky assets are significant factors for the choice of home investment
for Swedish investors Moreover older males tended to be more home biased However
this result was not found for females Feng and Seasholes (2008) found that females and
males suffered equally from home bias in Chinese financial markets Home bias and
portfolio performance were not found statistically significantly different between males
and females Prast Rossi Torricelli and Sansone (2015) conducted a study in Netherlands
in which they constructed a ldquopinkrdquo portfolio (with shares that were thought to be more
familiar to women) and a ldquobluerdquo portfolio (with shares that were more familiar to men)
Respondents were asked to distribute pension wealth between a Treasury bond and a
pinkblue portfolio It was tested if familiarity with the portfolio increases femalesrsquo
participation in the stock market and risk-taking It was found that familiarity affects the
choice between bonds and stocks favoring bonds only for women above 60 years
Seiler Seiler Harrison and Lane (2013) examined familiarity bias in the real estate
context The authors investigated the impact of familiarity bias on perceived future home
price movements The respondents of the study perceived house as the largest investment
(and consumption good) The survey was conducted in 20 US states to examine
homeownersrsquo perception of future home price movements of the house in which they lived
They found that gender derived familiarity bias differences Women were found to
consistently suffer more from familiarity bias as compared to men The study also
suggested that the longer one lives in a house the greater is hisher affection to it and the
Samra Chaudary
80
more one is expected to ignore its bad features and emphasize on the good ones Hence
longer home lease resulted in the overestimation of future price movements as compared
to the other houses (with which respondents were less acquainted) In another real estate
study by Seiler Seiler Traub and Harrison (2008) familiarity bias was more significantly
prominent for females of North America The Asian women exhibited familiarity bias to a
lesser extent Ang de Jong and van der Poel (2014) also found that longer tenancy resulted
in greater familiarity bias Hence based on these arguments it can be proposed that for
women the impact of salience on investment decision would be higher as compared to men
Similarly salience bias would have a stronger impact on LT-D than ST-D Figure 31
illustrates the structural model about the relationship of salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions across different groups
H5 Salience has a stronger positive effect on short-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
H6 Salience has a stronger positive effect on long-term investment decision for female
investors than for male investors
Figure 31 Structural model about the relationship of Salience with short-term and long-
term investment decisions
Salience and Investment Decisions
81
33 Data and Methodology
331 Measures
The study has adopted instruments from the existing literature for the in order to
measure the latent variables Three items of short-term investment decisions (ST-D) and
four items of long-term investment decision (LT-D) were adopted from Mayfield et al
(2008) The scale of salience had five items and was adopted from Yalcin et al (2016) All
the constructs were measured on a likert scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree)
332 Methods
3321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this survey
were those who have invested in Pakistan Stock Exchange The sample included
professional money managers working in financial institutions and individual investors
who have invested in the Pakistan Stock Exchange Professional money managers were
working in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management
companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks whereas individual stock
investors were from varying backgrounds Out of the total investorsrsquo population (corporate
and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74 percent of investors and Lahore
has 18 percent of investors (Central Depository Company 2018) Hence by collecting data
from these two cities the aim was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs
of the country where 92 percent investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect data Five hundred and seventeen questionnaires were received and only
277 were found useable thus almost 35 percent was the response rate
Samra Chaudary
82
The investment industry of Pakistan is highly male-dominated hence our sample
consisted of almost 80 percent males and 20 percent females The sample had 59 percent
professional money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60 percent
respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either separated or
divorced Eighty-seven percent respondents were employed 12 percent were business
owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent of the respondents
had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family and 67 percent
respondents did not expect any future inheritance Fifty-eight percent respondents
perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent perceived themselves in
upper middle class and only 3 percent perceived themselves to belong to the upper class
and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class Eighty-six percent
respondents responded their upbringing was in the urban areas and 14 percent respondents
had their upbringing in rural areas The average age of respondents was 32 years and
monthly income was Pak Rupee (PKR) 018 million per month respectively The average
education was 16 years On average respondents had 4 years of investment experience in
the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average amount invested by them in stocks was PKR
10 million
3322 Data Analyses
This paper has opted to use partial least square based structural equation modeling
(PLS-SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM)
due to several reasons Firstly it does not require data to be normally distributed (Hair et
al 2012) and shows higher statistical power than CB-SEM for complex models with small
sample sizes (Reinartz Haenlein amp Henseler 2009) Secondly PLS-SEM has minimum
Salience and Investment Decisions
83
demand for measurement scales sample size and residual distribution (Wold 1985)
Thirdly this approach focuses on predictive analysis The goal of PLS-SEM estimation is
to maximize the variance of the endogenous variables explained by the exogenous
variables (Hair et al 2014) Fourthly to evaluate the statistical significance of the
parameter estimates Smart PLS3 software reports percentile bootstrap confidence intervals
(Hair et al 2011 Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling procedure takes
subsamples from the original sample of observation and estimates the model parameters of
each subsample and then report significance of the estimated coefficients thereby
substantiating the robustness of the results (Hair et al 2012) This sample then tests the
significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS can be used
for theory confirmation as well as to propose where relationships may or may not present
(Chin 1998) PLS is also beneficial for exploratory research and for initial phases of theory
development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982)
Results from PLS-SEM method are as worthy (and conservative) as from CB-SEM
approach (Hair et al 2014) Although PLS-SEM has some weaknesses for example
results tend to overestimate the factor loadings and underestimate structural relationship
and R-square Similarly CB-SEM also has some shortcomings ie results tend to inflate
the structural path coefficients and underestimate factor loadings Bolander et al (2015)
have proposed that PLS-SEM is a conservative approach Table 31 depicts the
correlations descriptive statistics and square root of Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
of the latent constructs
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision and salience Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term
Samra Chaudary
84
investment decision and long-term investment decision was 0518 (p=0000) and between
short-term investment decision and salience was 0359 (p=0000) Similarly long-term
investment decision also showed positive correlation with salience with Pearsonrsquos
correlation value of 0515 (p=0000) Salience was found to be more positively correlated
with long-term investment decision than with short-term investment decision
Table 31 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
Short-term
Investment
Decision
Long-term
Investment
Decision
Salience
Short-term
Investment
Decision
3113 0779 (0742)
Long-term
Investment
Decision
3311 0846 0518 (0728)
Salience 3039 0827 0359 0515 (0728)
Note Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
34 Results
341 Measurement Model
Factor loadings for each indicator of the latent construct were 065 or above and
were found to be statistically significant as the values for t-statistics were above 196
(Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999) Bootstrapping with 2000 subsamples was
done to compute t-statistics of each factor loading (Henseler et al 2009) A minimum of
three items must load significantly on each factor in a multidimensional scale
(Raubenheimer 2004 Velicer amp Fava 1998) and that was the case here The estimates of
standardized factor loadings for short-term investment decision ranged from 0675 to 0775
(tgt196) for long-term investment decision the range was 0713-0758 (tgt196) and for
salience the range of items loading was found to be 0651-0798 (tgt196)
Salience and Investment Decisions
85
Internal consistency of latent constructs was measured through composite
reliability (CR) which should be higher than 07 (Hair et al 2012) and that was the case
for all latent constructs in this research The estimates of composite reliability were 0786
for short-term investment decision 0819 for long-term investment decision and 0889 for
salience Convergent validity was computed through average variance extracted (AVE)
which met the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et al 2012) for each latent construct
The values for AVE were 0552 for short-term investment decision 0531 for long-term
investment decision and 0531 for salience
Discriminant validity of each latent construct was measured through two
approaches and met the Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981) and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT)
ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015) According to Fornell-Larcker criteria
the square root of AVE of each latent construct should be greater than its inter-factor
correlations with all other latent constructs (Hair et al 2012) Moreover the Heterotrait-
Monotrait (HTMT) ratio should be less than one as shown in table 33 Common method
bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each construct through variance
inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test was carried out twice with both
dependent variables once with short-term investment decision and once with the long-term
investment decision No common method bias was found in both the tests as the VIF values
for all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015) The results of the measurement model
are reported in table 32
Samra Chaudary
86
Table 32 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements
Standardized
Factor
Loadings
Boot
sample t-
Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0675 10544
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0775 18354
I intend to compare my portfolio performance to
that of professional managers 0772 16482
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross earnings
for investingsavingretirement purposes 0758 21972
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on multiple
asset classes (ie stocks bonds cash real estate
etc)
0713 15358
I intend to take an investment course 0737 20616
I intend to manage my portfolio for maximum
gross return rather than tax and cost efficiency 0714 18643
Salience (Yalcin et
al 2016)
Expert opinions in written and visual media should
be taken into consideration when investing 0744 20780
A companyrsquos stock which is often in the media
with favorable news coverage should be preferred
when investing
0668 15584
To invest in companies that have a good brand
name is important to me 0798 32446
It is risky to invest in relatively unknown public
companies rather than known ones 0770 20525
I believe that investors should purchase the stock
of the company they work for if it is well run 0651 13806
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 33 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
Short-term Investment Decision 0786 0552
Long-term Investment Decision 0819 0531
Salience 0849 0531
Table 34 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Long-term Investment Decision Salience Short-term Investment
Decision
Long-term Investment Decision
Salience 0691
Short-term Investment Decision 0788 0526
Salience and Investment Decisions
87
342 Structural Model
The following section reports the direct effects of salience on short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates (path coefficients)
of the structural model were estimated along with their significance The significance of
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The coefficient of determination (R2) for each of the latent dependent (endogenous)
variables were not below 010 (Falk amp Miller 1992) Moreover the effect size was
reported for each direct effect through F- square test (Cohen 1988) with a cut-off at 002
015 and 035 for a small medium and large effect size of the independent variable
(Henseler et al 2009) The predictive relevance of the model was also estimated by
calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser 1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al
2014) A power test was also conducted to estimate the probability that a statistically
significant relationship would be found when the relationship is actually present (Goodhue
et al 2012) A value of 08 or higher is recommended as sufficient in behavioral studies
for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 35 summarizes the results of the direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between salience and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with large effect size (β=
03295 p= 0000 f2= 0150) Similarly the association between salience and LT-D (H2)
was also found significantly positive with almost 15 times higher beta magnitude and with
a large effect (β= 05017 p= 0000 f2= 0363) The coefficient of determination of salience
with LT-D is higher (R2= 0340) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0224) Hence relationships with LT-D have shown more explanatory power than the
relationships with ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each
Samra Chaudary
88
exogenous construct (salience) in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous
latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) All the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical
power ie 0999 or above which shows a very high probability of the presence of the
relationships between all exogenous latent variables and endogenous latent variables A
high value of power test also reaffirms the appropriateness of the sample size
We have included age gender income education size of the investment portfolio
and investment experience as control variables in our model These variables have
relevance in the model of salience (heuristic) and investment decisions (Yalcin et al
2016) Agarwal et al (2007) also reported that age had an effect on financial decision In
addition to that other studies have also stated that males were more inclined towards both
short-term and long-term investments than females (Bajtelsmit et al 1999 Hariharan et
al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001)
Results of control variables showed that only age and investment experience
showed a significant impact on ST-D and LT-D Age showed a significant inverse
relationship with both types of investment decisions Older investors tended to take less
short-term investment decisions than long-term investment decisions Moreover the more
investment experience one has the more short-term investment decision heshe takes
Table 35 Results of Direct Effects of Salience on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path
Coefficient p-values f2 R2 Q2
Statistical
Power
H1 Salience -gt ST-D 03295 0000 0150 0224 0091 0999
H2 Salience -gt LT-D 05017 0000 0363 0340 0146 1000
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0245 p=0004) Income-gtST-D (β= -00021 p=0979) Education-gtST-D (β=
00237 p=0728) Investment Experience-gtST-D (β= 0240 p=0001) size of investment portfolio -gtST-D (β= -00257
p=0703) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0147 p=0024) Income-gtLT-D (β= -0041 p=0809) Education-gtLT-D (β= 0636
p=0308) Investment Experience-gtLT-D (β= 0148 p=0047) and size of investment portfolio -gtLT-D (β= 0014
p=0736)
Salience and Investment Decisions
89
343 Measurement Invariance Assessment
In order to conduct multi-group analysis (MGA) one fundamental condition is to
establish the measurement invariance between the groups (Steenkamp amp Baumgartner
1998) ie the measurement model is not statistically different between two groups
Measurement invariance inquires the vital question if the measurement of latent variables
differs between groups (Xu amp Tracey 2017) Therefore any moderations that we may
observe should be due to the differences in the type of investors rather than measurement
differences For this purpose measurement invariance of composite models (MICOM) test
was performed in order to establish that the measurement of the (outer) model is same
between 2 groups (Henseler Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016)
The MICOM method comprises of three steps (1) to establish configural invariance
(ie equal parameterization and model estimation) (2) to establish compositional
invariance (ie equal indicator weights) and (3) to establish the equality of composite
mean values and variances If configural and compositional invariance (step1 and step2)
are confirmed partial measurement invariance is supported which permits one to compare
the path coefficients between the groups Additionally if partial measurement invariance
holds and the composite means and variances are equal between the groups (step 3) full
measurement invariance is established
Running MICOM in SmartPLS automatically establishes configural invariance
(step1) (Garson 2016) The statistical output does not apply to this step and is not shown
The composite or measured invariance (step 2) is examined The correlation (c) should not
be significantly different from one As shown in table 36 all the correlation (c) in our
original data are within the confidence interval hence the null hypothesis cannot be
Samra Chaudary
90
rejected and therefore no c is significantly different from 1 (p gt 005) supporting the
compositional invariance of our model The term c value denotes the correlation between
composite scores using the weights attained from the first group (professional investor)
and composite scores using the weights attained from the second group (individual
investor) Step 3 evaluates the means differences (step 3a) and variances differences (step
3b) between the groups The null hypothesis is that the differences between the means and
the variances of the variables are 0 The results showed that in both cases (steps 3a and 3b)
all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2 groups namely individual
investors and professional investors
The MICOM test was performed in smart PLS with 5000 permutations (Ringle
Wende amp Becker 2015) The results of MICOM test are presented in table 36 confirmed
the partial measurement invariance for both the groups (individual investors and
professional investors) supporting the pertinence of the multi-group test (Henseler et al
2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Similarly MICOM test was executed to establish that the measurement model is
same between 2 groups namely female investors and male investors The correlation (c)
were not significantly different from one (step 2) The results also showed that in both
cases (steps 3a and 3b) all the composite means and variances were equal between the 2
groups namely female investors and male investors To sum up the statistical outcome of
the MICOM test is shown in table 37 confirmed the partial measurement invariance for
both the groups (ie female investors and male investors) supporting the appropriateness
of the multi-group analysis test (Henseler et al 2016 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Salience and Investment Decisions
91
Table 36 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Individual Investors and Professional
Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0965 [0941 1000] 0254 Yes
LT-D 0985 [0968 1000] 0097 Yes
Salience 0992 [0980 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -0287 [-0237 0243] 0022 No
LT-D -0119 [-0247 0233] 0327 Yes
Salience -0077 [-0244 0217] 0534 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Individual Investors -
Professional Investors)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D -0006 [-0350 0308] 0796 Yes
LT-D -0166 [-0305 0263] 0249 Yes
Salience -0099 [-0292 0302] 0494 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Table 37 Measurement Invariance of Composite Model of Female Investors and Male Investors
Step 2 Correlation c value (=1) 95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Compositional
invariance
ST-D 0946 [0826 1000] 0017 No
LT-D 0986 [0961 1000] 0934 Yes
Salience 0989 [0970 1000] 0235 Yes
Step 3a Mean Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal mean
values
ST-D -00006 [-0300 0313] 0693 Yes
LT-D -00007 [-0296 0296] 0100 Yes
Salience -00009 [-0308 0300] 0186 Yes
Step 3b Variance Difference (=0)
(Female-Male)
95 confidence
interval
Permutation
p-value
Equal variances
ST-D 0025 [-0357 0443] 0330 Yes
LT-D 0030 [-0337 0419] 0402 Yes
Salience 0019 [-0341 0387] 0699 Yes
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
5000 permutations two-tailed 005 significance level
Samra Chaudary
92
344 Multi-group Analysis
Once the measurement invariance model was established a multi-group analysis
was then executed Multi-group analysis (MGA) has numerous benefits a) It permits to
analyze whether parameters of the measurement model andor path model are alike
(invariant) between 2 groups namely individual investors and professional investors
(Chin Mills Steel amp Schwarz 2016) b) It predominantly delivers a robust check of the
validity of the measurement model and replicability of the structural model in different
contexts (Calvo-Mora Navarro-Garciacutea Rey-Moreno amp Perianez-Cristobal 2016) c) It is
also useful to draw analogy within a research whether to evaluate theoretical differences
between subgroups of the same population or across populations in the instance of
culturally diverse study (Fawcett Wallin Allred Fawcett amp Magnan 2011) Two groups
of investors (individual investors and professional investors) were used for multi-group
analysis It was found that both groups were statistically significantly different from each
other such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions
was higher in case of individual investors than in case of professional investors
Furthermore it was found that the path coefficient difference for short-term investment
decisions is almost 15 times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term
investment decisions The difference in path coefficients implies that individual investors
suffer more from salience bias than professional investors especially for short-term
investment decisions in case of both groups The direct effect of salience on the short-term
and long-term investment decision for both groups are shown in table 37 The parametric
tests of difference between the two groups are reported in table 38 show that path
coefficients of individual investors were significantly different from path coefficient of
Salience and Investment Decisions
93
professional investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path coefficient difference was
large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 38 Direct Effects for Professional Investors and Individual Investors
(Professional Investors) (Individual Investors)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0236 0000 2519 0097 0078 0477 0000 7502 0337 0242
Salience -gt
LT-D 0454 0000 8148 0315 0229 0609 0012 1065 0655 0384
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 39 MGA Results of Professional Investors and Individual Investors
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Individual
-
Professional
p-value
Individual
vs
Professional
t-value
Individual
vs
Professional
f2 diff
Individual
-
Professional
R2 diff
Individual
- Professional
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0241 0023 2291 0235 0175
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0155 0048 1986 033 0168
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
In addition to individual and professional investors two groups of investors (ie
female and male investors) were used for multi-group analysis It was found that both
groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other such that the impact
of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was higher in the case of
female investors than in the case of male investors Furthermore it was found that path
coefficient difference for short-term investment decisions is almost 2 times higher than the
Samra Chaudary
94
path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions The difference in path
coefficients implies that female investors suffer more from salience bias than male
investors for both short-term and long-term investment decisions The direct effect of
salience on the short-term and long-term investment decision for both groups (ie female
and male) are shown in table 310 The parametric tests of difference between two groups
are reported in table 311 show that path coefficients of female investors were significantly
different from path coefficient of male investors both for ST-D and LT-D Though path
coefficient difference was large in case of short-term decision being influenced by salience
Table 310 Direct Effects for Males and Females
(Females) (Males)
Hypotheses Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Path
coefficient
p
value
t
value f2 R2
Salience -gt
ST-D 0642 0000 8032 0775 0419 0316 0000 4496 0120 0104
Salience -gt
LT-D 0692 0000 1051 0992 0483 0516 0000 1086 0374 0269
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Table 311 MGA Results of Males and Females
Hypotheses Relationship
Path
coefficient
diff
Female
-
Male
p-value
Female
vs
Male
t-value
Female
vs
Male
f2 diff
Female
-
Male
R2 diff
Female
-
Male
H3 Salience -gt
ST-D 0326 0001 3222 0655 0315
H4 Salience -gt
LT-D 0176 0024 2013 0618 0214
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision
Bootstrapping based on n=5000 subsamples
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Salience and Investment Decisions
95
35 Discussion and Implications
The results show that salience had shown a significant positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions This finding got support from Mousavi and
Gigerenzer (2014) who stated that besides the availability of plenty of information which
is often available individuals make their decisions which are based on gut feelings This
result was also consistent with Wang et al (2011) who posited that individuals who have
a better knowledge of an asset class perceive it to have a lower risk and a higher expected
return That could be one of the reasons for having a significant positive sign of salience
with both ST-D and LT-D Giannetti and Koskinen (2010) reported that stronger investor
protection leads to higher domestic investments Correspondingly Securities Exchange
Commission of Pakistan is fully determined to ensure investor protection to provide
maximum information and to promote investor confidence in order to boost financial
planning and decision-making (SECP 2016) Another plausible reason for this
phenomenon could be due to the bear market condition at the time of data collection as
suggested by Riff and Yagil (2016) Therefore investors have shown an impact of salience
heuristic on domestic stock market investments in short-term as well as in the long-term
Furthermore it was found that beta coefficient for long-term investment was one and a half
times higher and effect size was almost two and a half times higher than the beta coefficient
and the effect size for short-term investment The possible reason for this result could be
that investing in a familiar stock in the long-term would increase investorsrsquo trust and
confidence about higher returns Investors were also found to invest in familiar short-term
investments but the impact was seen higher for long run as long-term investment yields
higher return Familiarity breeds trust and trust establishes long-term commitment (Gulati
Samra Chaudary
96
1995 Wilson McNellis amp Latham 2018) Moreover familiarity knowledge and
confidence are positively associated (Shawahna et al 2017) Familiarity influences
confidence which in turn affects buying decisions (Laroche Kim amp Zhou 1996) and long-
term commitments (Ganesan1994) In addition evidence have shown that markets are
expected to be in equilibrium in the long run (Hopenhayn 1992 Marshall 1961 Shachat
amp Zhang 2017) But in short run higher volatility of small-capitalization stocks is reported
to result in significant capital losses (Roll 1983)
Investors like to hedge their losses (Odean 1998) so they do not repent later
Therefore investing in familiar long-term securities is likely to make them feel relatively
safe in terms of risk and return Healthier long-run growth prospects are reported to reward
long-term investors (Bansal amp Yaron 2004 Harrison amp Zhang 1999) and stocks have
outperformed in longer time horizons (Dierkes et al 2010) Baker and Ricciardi (2014)
have also recommended investing in long-term for superior performance than short-term
investments They suggested that investors should invest in the long-term rather than
investing in short-term portfolios A better performance of short-term investment may be
found due only to good luck than stock selection skill or market timing expertise
In the multi-group analysis this study found that individual investors and money
managers were influenced positively by the impact of salience in their short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover both groups were significantly different from each
other such that professional money managers were less influenced by salience to invest in
familiar stocks as compared to individual investors in short-term as well as in long-term
The effect of salience was seen higher for long-term investment than for short-term
investment decision The findings are aligned with (Baxter 1994 French amp Poterba 1991)
Salience and Investment Decisions
97
who found that individual investors especially invest in more familiar stocks Gigerenzer
(2014) also found that managers acknowledge that almost half of their professional
decisions are intuitive decisions These decisions are based on their familiarity after
acknowledging all the available information Sternad and Kennelly (2017) also report that
managers have a long-term orientation in their decisions which is determined by
institutional factors Managerial long-run orientation can also generate and sustain higher
returns for their clients The findings also gave an indication that professional money
managers were more likely to strive for diversified and optimal portfolio construction for
their clients in the long run as they were found to relying less on salience heuristic Long-
term securities possess higher risk as well as a higher return (Dimson et al 2017 Von
Thadden 1995) It was also found that the path coefficient difference between individual
investors and professional investors for short-term investment decisions was almost 15
times higher than the path coefficient difference for long-term investment decisions These
findings get support from (Fox amp Tversky 1995 Mishra 2014) that heuristics are used for
quick and efficient decision-making
Professional money managers should rely less on salience heuristic in order to
achieve a diversified and optimal portfolio An optimal portfolio provides maximum
returns (wealth) at a given level of risk (Markovitz 1952) More wealth increases
household consumption The high consumption should strengthen the overall economy
(Poterba 2000) Moreover high returns from optimal portfolios would allow individuals
for early retirement as they have higher savings which enhances the welfare of the society
(Chai Horneff Maurer amp Mitchell 2011) Higher yields would also encourage investors
to invest more in the stock market (Daniel amp Hirshleifer 2015) which could lead to higher
Samra Chaudary
98
productivity and growth of capital markets (Pagano 1993) and result in economic growth
(Paramati Ummalla amp Apergis 2016)
The study also investigated the group difference between female investors and male
investors It was found that female and male investors were significantly different from
each other The impact of salience was found to be higher for females than for males for
both short-term and long-term investment This supports the work of Seiler et al (2013)
and Seiler et al (2008) who also found that women consistently suffered more from
familiarity bias when they were asked to value their homes (in which they resided) in the
future Females tended to be more risk-averse then men (Arch 1993 Bollen amp Posavac
2018 Byrnes et al 1999 Hinz et al 1997) and were found with lower level of comfort
with maths (Hayes amp Kelly 1998) could be another reason of them investing in familiar
investments only in both short-term and long-term Moreover Estes and Hosseini (1988)
reported that women had substantially less confidence in their investment decisions than
men This may be one of the reasons for the observed difference in higher salience for
women towards their investment decision for both long-term and short-term In addition to
that men tended to be over-confident in stock trading (Barber amp Odean 2001) and female
investors were likely to assign more weight to probability of loss and uncertainty than
male investors do (Olsen amp Cox 2001) could be other plausible cause of this phenomenon
The beta coefficients of LT-D were found higher than the beta coefficients for ST-D for
both men and women This outcome was also consistent with the explanation by Ang et al
(2014) who posited that lengthier tenure leads to greater familiarity bias
Investors should be mindful that salience investment strategy could also give rise
to the mispricing of the familiar companiesrsquo stocks High demand for familiar firmsrsquo stocks
Salience and Investment Decisions
99
would lead to an upsurge in stock price resulting in the overvaluation of those shares This
price rise will only withstand if familiar firms provide ample returns to support higher stock
prices However if familiar firms are not able to provide adequate returns their stock price
would ultimately settle downwards If investors successfully recognize the mispriced
equity triggered by familiarity bias they might realize profits from subsequent arbitrage
opportunities (De Vries et al 2017)
To sum up findings of this research conform with the Prospect theory (De Bondt
amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017 Kahneman amp Tversky 1979
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998) The results of this study will help money managers to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on salience and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification Moreover investment professionals can also
advise their clients how to avoid familiarity bias during the investment decision-making
process Salience is a critical heuristic to understand and to improve the quality of
investorsrsquo investment decision An effective financial adviser would require an
understanding of investorsrsquo psychological biases to implement well-planned investment
strategies The findings will also help regulatory authorities such as SECP to improve
investor protection rights and to enhance the functioning of stock market Professional
money managers from brokerage houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may
also deliver superior service and provide sound guidance to their customers once they are
aware of salience heuristic which can hamper their investment decisions Domestic firms
should publicly list their stocks in international stock exchanges to increase the familiarity
and decrease the information cost and such actions may encourage foreigners to invest in
stocks of such companies (Ahearne et al 2004)
Samra Chaudary
100
Women prefer less risk and are less confident than men when it comes to
investment decision so it is important to identify areas of their concerns related to money
matters An investment literacy program for women is needed especially in a developing
country like Pakistan This investment understanding could shape womenrsquos confidence and
influence their money matters and investment decision Moreover females represent a tiny
sample in the financial industry Therefore there is an immense need to target more females
in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
Lastly the findings will help both national and international financial regulatory
bodies and supervisory authorities for their better performance in managing financial
anomalies triggered by behavioral heuristics Foreign firms should also work towards
awareness transparency and investor protection so that investors can have confidence in
an international firm and they can diversify their portfolios internationally to enjoy higher
returns
36 Conclusion and Future Research
This study has made an attempt to investigate the influence of salience on long-
term and short-term investment decisions of the individual investor and professional
investors The study presented robust findings indicating the presence of the salience bias
for an emerging stock market It was found that salience has a significant positive impact
on both short-term and long-term investment decisions Furthermore the impact of salience
on short-term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for individual
investors than for professional investors In addition to that the impact of salience on short-
term and long-term investment decision was significantly higher for females than for male
investors
Salience and Investment Decisions
101
The outcomes of this study are likely to assist in understanding the decision-making
perspectives of local investors The findings of this groundwork will aid to understand the
decision-making perspectives of local investors The instruments used in this study were
found to be valid and reliable and had been used in studies done in developed economies
It is critical that the same instrument should be used to generalize results across different
emerging economies as well especially As there were only 20 percent females in the
sample due to male-dominated industry the results need generalization from other
countries Future studies can investigate the impact of other heuristics on investment
horizons Future researchers can also pursue the inquiry if gender interacted with other
demographic variables such as marital status age and income have different investment
decisions The sample for this study was collected in the time of bearsrsquo market conditions
Upcoming research can collect data in bulls market and investigate if salience bias still
persists This study has relied on self-reported and perceptual data to measure heuristics
Future studies can make use of objective measures of heuristics However developing such
a measure for investors could be tremendously challenging Future research can also
investigate the influence of salience bias on investments decision by comparing investment
performance results in familiar and unfamiliar firms Market inefficiencies due to the
presence of asymmetric information are likely to lead to selection bias and future
researchers can explore this area Such investigation may help identify the presence of
potential arbitrage profit opportunities
Samra Chaudary
102
4 Paper III Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Interaction of Income and Inheritance
Abstract
The paper takes a behavioral approach by making use of the Prospect theory the
theory of Planned Behavior and Monetary Intelligence theory to investigate the impact of
Love of Money (LoM) on short-term and long-term investment decisions It further
investigates the moderating effect of current income and expectation of receiving an
inheritance in the future The study uses partial least square based structural equation
modeling technique on a data set of 277 active equity traders which included professional
money managers and individual investors It was found that LoM has a significant positive
impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of respondents
Furthermore it was found that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-
D and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving
future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and
long-term investment decisions The results offer implications for the marketing of
financial institutions like asset management companies brokerage houses and investment
banks It may be possible to identify potential investors by means of segmentation based
on money attitudes current income and future wealth possession The study has
contributed to the growing body of applied behavioral research in the discipline of finance
especially to the literature on LoM used by stock investors while making investment
decisions
Keywords Love of Money money attitudes income inheritance investment
decision behavioral finance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
103
41 Introduction
In the recent time period people who were attracted by high profits on their
investments lost their fortune in crises eg US financial crisis- 2008 Europe loan crisis-
2010 and Asian financial crisis- 1997 2012 Consequently people all over the world are
facing more complex financial decisions than in the past (Shih amp Ke 2014) Financial
decision-making is a key factor for long-term financial wellbeing (Imasheva amp Kim 2017
Tang et al 2018a) Some of the important reasons for the upsurge in individualsrsquo
investments are the concern for their retirement earnings (Clark-Murphy amp Soutar 2004
McKenzie amp Liersch 2011) education expenses and health care expenditures (Greenberg
amp Hershfield 2019) Gunnarsson and Wahlund (1997) suggested another cause to
understand individual financial plans They observed that several economies have
encountered with increasing competition as a result of deregulation of the financial
industry social security cuts and tough economic conditions This phenomenon has made
it crucial for finance companies to adjust their advertising plans from supply-side to more
demand-side MacGregor and Slovic (2000) conducted research on a sample from the US
who was presently at or near their earnings peak and thought that retirement planning for
future income is crucial Sixty-seven percent of the sample reported of having a long-term
investment portfolio in marketable certificates they see portfolio returns as retirement
earnings which were essential to complement social security and pensions
Financial decisions are predicted by attitudes (Akhtar amp Das 2019) which are
highly influenced by socioeconomic status (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019)
Understanding of these attitudes is as financial planners devise effective strategies for their
clientsrsquo wealth management (Britt 2016) Attitudes influence the behavior and intentions
Samra Chaudary
104
to invest (Mahastanti amp Hariady 2013) One important attitude in this context is investorsrsquo
attitude towards money and it is one of the key factors influencing an individualrsquos financial
behavior (Shih amp Ke 2014) Money attitudes have gained attention for their hypothesized
relationship with financial behavior (Klontz amp Britt 2012)
Feldmanrsquos viewpoint of money is still pertinent Individualsrsquo decision process is
affected one way or another by the attitude towards money This includes the
consideration of whether to buy or not (Oezgen amp Bayoglu 2005) Money is the instrument
of commerce and a measure of value (Smith 1776 1937) Money is one of the most
important factors in our lives (Lodder Ong Grasman amp Wicherts 2019 Wernimont amp
Fitzpatrick 1972) The meaning of money lies in the eye of the beholder (McClelland
1967) and can be perceived as a ldquoframe of referencerdquo in everyday lives (Tang 1992)
Individuals use their money attitudes to frame their daily matters (Tang 1993) Money
attitudes are values that individuals associate with money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
People think about money but rarely discuss their financial matters income and stock
investments openly or discuss it with a few people only (Rubenstein 1981) An
individualrsquos money attitudes have roots in hisher childhood and it fairly persists all his
over their life (Tang amp Gilbert 1995)
Stock market investment offers a huge potential for financial returns Yet people
hesitate to invest their money in stocks instead they put their money more often into
savings deposits or real estate (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) This can be expected
according to prospect theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992)
as most individuals behave in a risk-averse way rather than risk-taking way when there is
a probability to make gains The likelihood of making gains is weighed as too risky because
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
105
of the unpredictable nature of capital markets In a comprehensive study on stock market
psychology Warneryd (2001) posited that investors do not behave according to
conventional models of investment as proposed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis and
by rational models of portfolio choice Instead of rational behavior that can be explained
by traditional finance investors show behavioral biases The understanding of variables
that hinder or stimulate investment in stocks is fairly important (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Investorsrsquo wealth and investment horizon have been reported as determinants of choice
among investment in different asset classes (Butler amp Domian 1991) Economic
psychology divides investors into groups based on financial psychological and
demographic characteristics Finance companies can then create specific marketing plans
to attract different groups of investors more effectively (Warneryd 2001)
Investment decisions have become more perplexed recently Thus in order to
understand which variables impact investorsrsquo financial decisions is of high relevance
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006b) Numerous psychological factors play a significant role in
individual financial decisions eg attitude towards money (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a b)
locus of control (McInish 1982) attitude toward saving (Euwals et al 2004) risk attitudes
(Morse1998 Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001) and behavioral biases (Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014) Money attitudes have been studied in different areas of psychology
previously (Du amp Tang 2005 Gentina et al 2018 Hampson et al 2018 Lemrova et al
2014 Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al 2018a)
To date little is known about the impact of Love of Money on investment behavior
To the best of our knowledge the impact of Love of Money has never been systematically
tested with investment horizons (ie short-term and long-term) nor has its predictive power
Samra Chaudary
106
been examined in both developed and developing economies (see appendix III) It is fair
to believe that individuals assign a meaning to money that will have an effect on their
inclination towards the purchase of stocks The key goal of the life of people with high
money obsession is to grow their assets Individuals who are obsessed with money and
believe that money means achievement intelligence and power are expected to be more
likely to invest in stocks in order to attain their financial goals Financial returns provided
by stock investments can be viewed as a means of fulfilling their money-related goals
(Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
There is scant empirical research about the love of money of stock market investors
and none in the emerging economy A handful of research studies have focused on peoplesrsquo
money attitudes in the developed economies (Belk amp Wallendorf 1990 Gentina et al
2018 Hampson et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist 2006a Lim amp Teo 1997 Tang 2016 Tang
1992 Tung amp Baumannb 2009 Vitell et al 2007) but research in the context of
developing economies is still relatively sparse (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Li et al 2009 Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira et al 2014)
This study fills the void by investigating for the first time the impact of Love of
Money on both short-term and long-term investment decisions of actual stock market
investors from an emerging market The study further investigates if income and
inheritance expectation moderate the relationship of LoM with short-term and long-term
investment decision This study also extends prospect theory theory of planned behavior
and monetary intelligence theory in the domain of behavioral finance and offers
implications to individual investors and professional money managers in the context of a
developing economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
107
42 Theory and Hypotheses Development
421 Prospect Theory
Prospect theory suggests that when an individual is offered a gamble containing
two or more outcome lotteries with some probability they would make their decisions on
the basis of the potential value of gains and losses rather than on the final outcomes of
lotteries They choose the alternative with the highest value The value function is concave
for gains convex for losses and steeper for losses than for gains Critical to this value
function is the reference point from which gains and losses are measured Mostly
individuals display risk-averse behavior rather than risk-seeking behavior when there is a
probability to make profits (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Chances of making gains are
calculated as too uncertain because of the apparent uncertainty of future financial market
movements An investorrsquos attitude towards money is a crucial factor in determining the
willingness to invest in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals differ in their attitude towards money which explains the endowment effect
(also known as status quo bias) and loss-averse behavior Endowment effect comes into
play when individuals place a higher value on assets that they own over those they do not
own because they assign more weight to losses than they do gains Hence they demand a
higher price (return) to give up the asset (they own) than they would be willing to pay to
purchase it (Thaler 1980) The disutility of giving up an asset (they own) is greater than
the utility of acquiring it (Kahneman Knetsch amp Thaler 1990 Kahneman amp Tversky
1984)
A number of studies have made use of prospect theory to investigate profits and
losses of stocks uncertainty skills of the portfolio manager (Jordan amp Riley 2015) and
Samra Chaudary
108
well-being (Frijters Johnston Shields amp Sinha 2015 Gehring amp Willoughby 2002
Ratcliffe amp Taylor 2015) Nonetheless only a few studies have analyzed investorsrsquo
decisions through the lens of their Love of Money (Gentina et al 2018 Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al 2018a Tang Tillery Lazarevski amp Luna-Arocas 2004)
422 Theory of Planned Behavior
According to the theory of planned behavior (TPB Ajzen 1991) individualsrsquo
behavior is predicted by their behavioral intention Attitudes subjective norms and
perceived behavioral control affect behavioral intentions which then determine actual
behaviors The theory of planned behavior predicts that behavior can include conflicts
between short-term and long-term goals affect cognition and consequences in several
fields (Ajzen 1985 1991) Thus the central idea of the theory is that planned behavior is
determined by behavioral intentions (Ajzen 2001) Cognitive impairment and lack of self-
control are the two key reasons due to which a person falls for the attraction of money
(Chen Tang amp Tang 2014 Tang amp Sutarso 2013) Therefore to understand an
individualrsquos behaviors scholars must study a personrsquos deeply rooted money attitudes
Raut et al (2018) proposed that TPB predicts onesrsquo behavioral intention to invest
in the capital market Similarly several studies have applied TPB on individuals to study
their money attitudes in decision-making (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014
Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Singhapakdi Vitell Lee Nisius amp Grace 2013 Tang et al
2007 Tang 2016 Tang et al 2018a) However very few researches have been carried
out outside the US and even fewer in developing countries (Prahalad amp Hammond
2002) The contribution of TPB is not as widespread as many scholars once thought
especially in developing countries (Kirkman amp Law 2005) This study extends the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
109
applicability of the TPB in the area of investment decision-making in a developing
economy
423 Monetary Intelligence (MI) Theory
Since attitudes determine intentions and behaviors Hence scholars should explore
personsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes in order to recognize behaviors (Tang 2016)
Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model) of attitudes
(Bagozzi Tybout Craig amp Sternthal 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed
that individuals monitor their own love of money motive (affect behavior and cognition)
and apply that knowledge to evaluate critical concerns in the proximal (immediate) and
distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically choose the options to achieve financial goals
success and ultimately to maximize their expected utility (Tang et al 2018b 2018c)
Various researchers have studied the concept of Monetary Intelligence in several
researches where individuals apply their monetary and personal values in decision-making
(Chen et al 2014 Gentina et al 2016 Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015
Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang et al 2018b 2018c Tang 2016) The findings of this study
expand the application of theory of MI to a new context of short-term and long-term
investment decisions made by investors in an emerging economy
424 Love of Money and Investment Decisions
Money attitudes are the values and meanings that one relates with money (Keller
amp Siegrist 2006a) Love of Money is defined as (i) attitude towards money including
affective behavioral and cognitive components (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) (ii) meaning
of money (Tang 1992) (iii) desire (Sloan 2002) and aspirations (Tang 2007) for money
(iv) materialism (Belk 1985) (v) not onersquos need but greed (Sloan 2002) and (vi) the joint
Samra Chaudary
110
concept of numerous sub-constructs (Du amp Tang 2005 Tang 1992 1995 2007 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang Kim amp Shin-Hsiung 2000 Tang Luna-Arocas
amp Sutarso 2005 Tang et al 2007 Vitell Paolillo amp Singh 2006 Vitell et al 2007)
Money Ethic Scale (MES Tang 1992 1993 1995) is one of the most scientifically
used money attitudes measurement instruments in previous studies (Mitchell amp Mickel
1999) Love of money (LoM) is the most well-developed construct of money attitude
(Gentina et al 2018 Tang et al 2018a Tang et al 2004) Love of Money scale has been
validated in more than three dozen studies (Erdener amp Garkavenko 2012 Gbadamosi amp
Joubert 2005 Lim amp Teo 1997 Nkundabanyanga Omagor Mpamizo amp Ntayi 2011
Sardzoska amp Tang 2009 Tang et al 2006 Tang Chen amp Sutarso 2008a Tang et al
2011 Wong 2008) Researchers have cited it in several leading international reviews
(Dittmar Bond Hurst amp Kasser 2014 Kish-Gephart Harrison amp Trevintildeo 2010 Lea amp
Webley 2006 Mitchell amp Mickel 1999 Rose amp Orr 2007 Zhang 2009) and in multiple
textbooks (Colquitt LePine amp Wesson 2011 Furnham 2014 McShane amp Von Glinow
2008 Milkovich Newman amp Gerhart 2014 Newman Gerhart amp Milkovich 2017
Phillips amp Gully 2013 Rynes amp Gerhart 2000 Scandura 2016) The Love of Money
(LoM) construct is a subset of MES (Tang amp Chen 2008 Tang amp Chiu 2003 Tang et al
2006 2011) and is also re-named as monetary intelligence lately (Chen et al 2014
Lemrova et al 2014 Sardzoska amp Tang 2015 Tang 2016 Tang amp Sutarso 2013 Tang
et al 2018b 2018c)
Tang (1992) proposed a Money Ethic Scale (MES) comprising of three factors 1)
an affective factor (money is good money is evil) 2) a cognitive factor (money symbolizes
achievement power and freedom) 3) and a behavioral factor (budget handle money
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
111
carefully) factor Lim and Teo (1997) proposed a parsimonious instrument on cognitive
and behavioral dimensions using items from Furnham (1984) Tang (1992) and Yamauchi
amp Templer (1982)
Love of money is a multidimensional construct and is measured as a second-order
variable in the literature (Gentina et al 2018 Lemrova et al 2014 Tang 2016) It has
also been reported that LoM as a latent formative construct is superior to latent reflective
construct (Lemrova et al 2014) Theoretically a multidimensional construct means a
single theoretical concept denotes to ldquoa number of interrelated attributes or dimensions
and exists in multidimensional domainsrdquo (Law Wong amp Mobley 1998)
Undoubtedly having money is essential It is reported that money has become more
important with time in materialistic communities (Mitchell amp Mickel 1999) Four decades
ago males ranked salary (income) at fifth place among ten important life goals however
females ranked salary (income) seventh place (Jurgensen 1978) However in 1990 all
respondents agreed that salary was ranked as the most important factor among eleven life
goals The salary was ranked first in importance in Germany and second in Belgium the
UK and the US (Harpaz 1990) Whoever loves money never has enough of it whoever
adores money is certainly not contented with hisher income (Tang et al 2018a) These
empirical findings are aligned with the old wisdom ldquoWhoever loves money never has
enough whoever loves wealth is never satisfied with their incomerdquo (Ecclesiastes 5 10
The Catholic Bible Tang et al 2006) ldquoPoverty consists not in the decrease of onersquos
possessions but in the increase of onersquos greed (Plato 427ndash347 BC)rdquo
Zakaria Jaafar and Marican (2012) suggested that money has an effect on onersquos
financial behavior Money attitudes predict monetary intentions and financial decisions
Samra Chaudary
112
(Tang et al 2018a) High LoM was reported to be associated with high risk-taking
behavior in a reward-related gambling task It was also found that participants with high
LoM were more sensitive to gainslosses that participants with low LoM (Jia Zhang Li
Feng amp Li 2013) People who have high Love of Money motive desire to make more
money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and tend to show high tolerance
for investment risk (Tang et al 2008a) Employees in the developing economies are more
obsessed with money and these employees tended to seek any opportunity to make more
money (Tang et al 2005) Those who give importance to money were found keen to take
benefits from circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Such individuals
would likely to invest in the stock market to expect high profits Therefore it is reasonable
to assume that the meaning that people assign to money does affect their intention to invest
in shares (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
It was reported that when individuals were asked to recall money they become
unfriendly or less warm and shifted into their business and work mode (Vohs 2015 Vohs
Mead amp Goode 2006) Similarly Tang et al (2004) found that individuals who value
money are keenly involved in their work-related activities so that they can earn more
money and they relish achievements and success
Since the sample of this research was stock investors therefore in the light of
previous literature it was proposed that high LoM motive operated strongly on individuals
working as stock investors In contrast Keller and Siegrist (2006a) conducted a research
on Swiss investors and found that investment in stocks did not matter for those who
perceive money as an achievement and obsession It is possible that for Swiss investors the
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
113
expected return on the stock market was not a reliable indicator as an expression of
achievement and power
A sample of South African students was reported to treat money as their
achievement and achievement were found significantly associated with their materialism
(Nnedum Egwu Obinna Ntomchukwu amp Chukwukeluo 2011) Lemrova et al (2014)
also found that money was viewed as power in the context of materialism Similarly
according to Lea and Webley (2006) money was viewed as a symbol of power and was
found acting an addictive drugmdash the more you have the more you want It is that some
people tend to make more than they require which may lead to over earning and
accumulating wealth (Hsee Zhang Cai amp Zhang 2013) Feeling powerful also increases
saving (Garbinsky Kless amp Aaker 2014) Thus money a representation of power was
reported to be associated with wealth Money attitudes that reflect high level of power and
achievement tend to be positively related to high-risk current (short-term) and high-risk
future (long-term) financial investments (Shih amp Ke 2014) Hence the following
hypotheses are proposed for this study
H1 Love of Money positively impacts short-term investment decisions
H2 Love of Money positively impacts long-term investment decisions
425 Income Inheritance and Love of Money
Money is one way of expressing social status and it divides people into different
social groups (Tomek Striacuteteskyacute amp Tahal 2013) Some studies have found that money
attitudes are independent of onersquos income (Medina Saegert amp Gresham 1996 Yamauchi
amp Templer 1982) However other studies showed contradictory findings for example
individuals who perceive themselves affluent at times behave in a different way from those
Samra Chaudary
114
who perceive themselves unfortunate (Greenberg amp Hershfield 2019) Wealth perception
may have its roots in early life socioeconomic class Individuals who were raised in a higher
socioeconomic class are likely to show more risk-averse behavior than those who were
raised in a lower socioeconomic class (Griskevicius et al 2013) On the other hand Corter
and Chen (2006) found that wealthier investors tended to take more risks than less wealthy
ones
An individuals reaction to money is a reflection of hisher past life experiences
which influence attitudes towards money People who had faced a financial struggle in
their life were found likely to behave differently towards their Love of Money motive as
compared to those who had not experienced such hardships Those who had experienced
hardship in their lives suffered more from financial anxiety than those who did not because
of the high emotional and psychological pain related to financial deprivation Those
individuals were also probably treated with contempt when they desperately needed
money Thus they tend to see money as a means of comparison or evaluation Reddy
(1987) suggested that rich and poor would have different perspectives in the sense how
they use money Therefore money has a different meaning to different people which
depends on their backgrounds and financial experiences (Wernimont amp Fitzpatrick 1972)
Keller and Siegrist (2006b) also reported that investors having different money
attitudes profiles behave and invest differently They created four types of groups with
different money attitudes Safe players see financial security and savings as essential
Hoarding wealth and accumulating money were vital objectives of their lives Risk seekers
were risk-tolerant and have the most positive attitude towards stocks They were most
obsessed with money and would invest a huge amount of money in stocks Open books
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
115
showed little affinity with money They had low risk-tolerance and a negative attitude
towards stocks Financial security and savings had medium importance to them Money
dummies also had a low obsession with money They showed less risk tolerance and less
attraction towards money matters They had a more positive attitude towards the stock
market than open books
Earlier researches have studied the effect of income on willingness to invest in
shares (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994 Grable Lytton amp OrsquoNeill 2004 Hlouskova Fortin amp
Tsigaris 2017) Individuals with income (businessmen) were reported to differ from those
without income (students) with respect to money as a motivator and as a measure of
achievement (Tang et al 2004) Individuals who imagined themselves to be well-off in
the future showed a high risk-seeking behavior than those who imagined themselves to be
deprived in the future (Greenberg 2013) However Concepcion (2016) found when one
starts to earn high-income heshe did not understand the need to save (invest) because the
income was expected to be replaced next month Income and net worth were reported to
have a positive correlation with investments in risky assets (Guiso Jappelli amp Terlizzese
1996) Embrey and Fox (1997) investigated the relationship of expected inheritance
employment status and income with financial investment They found women tended to
invest in stocks if they expected to receive inheritance were employed and had higher net
worth than men However men who expected to receive inheritance were more likely to
invest in business assets and less in housing assets Therefore the aforementioned findings
imply (regardless of gender) more wealth was found likely to lead to risky investments
Individuals with low-income level were seen to be more obsessed with money and
tended to spend money for power as compared to those with high-income level (Furnham
Samra Chaudary
116
1984) According to Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) poor people are
constantly in the losses (Kahneman 2011) which reflects their risk-seeking behavior for
losses (Gentina et al 2018) Many researches have reported that risk seekers purchase
shares more frequently than fewer risk avoiders (Tigges et al 2000 Warneryd 2001
Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004) Poor children significantly overvalue the size of coins as
compared to rich kids (Bruner amp Goodman 1947) An increase in income was found
related to onersquos wellbeing predominantly for the poor After reaching above the poverty
threshold a further increase in income was found to matter little for the feeling of wellbeing
(Diener amp Oishi 2000) For example in a sample from Hong Kong the relationship
between income and LoM was found to be negative for highly paid employees Their
income was greater than the per capita GDP (Tang amp Chiu 2003) The same relationship
between income and LoM was found positive for underpaid African-Americans and for
women in the US who have less income than their counterparts and insignificant for
Caucasians and men in the US who have sufficient income at the market level or their
income was more than their counterparts (Tang et al 2006)
Individuals with low socioeconomic status tend to take high risk and low returns
investment decisions (Haisley Mostafa amp Loewenstein 2008) Consequently economic
disparity predicts high risk-seeking behavior (Krupp amp Cook 2018 Mishra Hing amp
Lalumiere 2015 Payne Brown-Iannuzzi amp Hannay 2017) Individuals with low-income
are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several unmet needs
(Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and their unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator because only money can
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
117
fulfill the desires and improve the (financial) performance (Gomez-Mejia amp Balkin 1992
Jenkins Mitra Gupta amp Shaw 1998 Locke Feren McCaleb Shaw amp Denny 1980)
Therefore investors for whom money is a motivator are likely to take more risk
They constantly react to the stock market index frequently buy andor sell shares alter
shares proportion and try to make quick gains hence their investment behaviors are
controlled by the money-making motive (Tang et al 2018a) and they become a slave of
money (De Charms 1976) Due to the prospects of financial gains in the capital markets
low-income investors tended to strive for assets and do whatever it takes to make more
money than their counterparts (Tang et al 2008b)
Nonetheless normative scholars advise that investors must expect the compromise
between risk and expected return in order to achieve an optimal investment portfolio
(Merton 1973) Figure 41 illustrates the structural model about relationship of Love of
Money with short-term and long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of
income and expect to receive a future inheritance Based on above discussion of literature
about relationship of income and wealth with LoM the following hypotheses are proposed
H3 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and short-term investment
decisions
H4 Income moderates the relationship between Love of Money and long-term investment
decisions
H5 Expectation of receiving future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love
of Money and short-term investment decisions
H6 Expect to receive future inheritance moderates the relationship between Love of
Money and long-term investment decisions
Samra Chaudary
118
Figure 41 Structural model about the relationship of Love of Money with short-term and
long-term investment decisions with the moderating effects of income and expect to
receive the future inheritance
43 Data and Methodology
431 Measures
This study has adopted developed instruments from the existing literature in order
to measure the latent variables Short-term investment decisions and long-term investment
decision were measured by adopting items from Mayfield et al (2008) on a five-point likert
scale Love of money is a second-order formative construct (reflective first-order
formative second-order) as proposed by Lemrova et al 2014) and (Tang 2016) Four first-
order latent sub-constructs are reflective 1) achievement 2) power 3) obsession and 4)
budget These dimensions were adopted from Keller and Siegrist (2006a) and have four
five four and two items respectively LoM is a second-order latent construct based on four
dimensions mentioned above Edwards (2011) has explained that a formative construct is
a composite of certain non-deletable dimensions that represent theoretically critical aspect
Achievement
Power
Obsession
Budget
S-T Investment Decisions
Love of Money
L-T Investment Decisions
IncomeExpect to receive
Inheritance
H1
H2
H3 H4H5 H6
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
119
of that latent construct In this study those dimensions are Achievement Power
Obsession and Budget These dimensions themselves are latent constructs that are
reflectively indicated by measurable indicators
432 Methods
4321 Sample and Data Collection
The data were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire from two
major metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The sample consisted of money
managers working in financial institutions and individual investors who were active
investors on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX previously called KSE Karachi Stock
Exchange) Money managers were working in financial institutions like mutual fund
companies (asset management companies) brokerage houses or treasury departments of
banks However selected individual stock investors could be from any background and
from any industry or profession as the objective of this research was to analyze the behavior
of stock investors regardless of the fact that they were individual investors or they work
for an institution where they investmanage other peoplesrsquo money Out of the total
investorsrsquo population (corporate and individual combined) of the country Karachi has 74
percent investors and Lahore has 18 percent investors (Central Depository Company
2018) Hence it was ensured that the data is coming from the investment hubs of the
country where 92 percent of investors were located A total of 800 questionnaires were
rotated to collect the data from the targeted population of investors We received back 517
questionnaires and only 277 were fully completed Therefore the useable responses were
277 almost 35 percent response rate The response rate deemed satisfactory Many
behavioral studies in the discipline of investment decision had as low response rate as 109
Samra Chaudary
120
percent (Brown Call Clement amp Sharp 2015) 54 percent (Dichev Graham Harvey amp
Rajgopal 2013) and 289 percent (Yalcin et al 2016) The investment industry is highly
male-dominated hence sample consisted of 80 percent males and 20 percent females The
sample had 59 percent money managers and 41 percent individual investors Moreover 60
percent of the respondents were married 37 percent were single and 3 percent were either
separated or divorced The sample comprised of 87 percent employed respondents and 12
percent business owners and 1 percent of the sample was not employed Only 33 percent
of the sample had expectation to receive inheritance or transfer of assets from the family
and 67 percent respondents did not expect any future inheritance In addition to that 58
percent of the sample perceived that they were from the middle social class 36 percent
perceived themselves in upper middle class 3 percent perceived themselves as coming
from upper class and 3 percent perceived themselves from a lower middle class The
sample had 86 percent respondents who had their upbringing in the urban areas and 14
percent respondents had their upbringing in rural areas The data also exhibited that 11
percent of the respondents responded that they were very liberal in terms of religiosity 78
percent reported that they were moderately religious and 11 percent informed that they
were very religious The average age and monthly income of the sample were 32 years and
PKR 018 million respectively The average education was of 16 years The sample had on
average 4 years of investment experience in the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the average
amount invested in stocks was about PKR 10million Pakistanrsquos per capita income has
increased by 05 percent in year 2017-2018 and is at $1641 (PKR 162230) (Economic
Survey of Pakistan 2018) Per capita income crudely measures of the general well-being
in an economy
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
121
4322 Data Analyses
The research employs partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-
SEM) approach instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due
to numerous reasons Firstly PLS-SEM efficiently handles both reflective and formative
measures (Ringle Sarstedt amp Straub 2012) Secondly PLS-SEM does not require data to
be normally distributed (Hair et al 2012) and works well with small sample sizes and
complex models (Cassel Hackl amp Westlund 1999) and involves minimum requirements
on measurement scales and residual distribution (Wold 1985) Thirdly applying PLS-
SEM provides effectiveness in parameter estimates which is established in the methods
higher statistical power than that of CB-SEM A higher statistical power denotes that PLS-
SEM tends to show a specific relationship significant when it is actually significant in the
population (Hair Hult Ringle amp Sarstedt 2016) Fourthly this approach focuses on
predictive estimation Precisely the aim of PLS-SEM is to maximize the variance of the
endogenous variables explained by the exogenous variables (Hair et al 2014) Fifthly to
evaluate the statistical significance of the parameter estimates smart PLS3 software
version 328 provides with percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (Hair et al 2011
Preacher amp Hayes 2008) Bootstrap sampling involves selecting repeated random
subsamples from the original sample (Hair et al 2012) These bootstrapped samples then
test the significance of the estimated coefficients (Henseler et al 2009) Lastly PLS
approach can be utilized for theory validation as well as to propose where relationships
may or may not present (Chin 1998) PLS is beneficial for exploratory research and for
the initial phases of theory development (Fornell amp Bookstein 1982) Table 41 depicts the
correlations of the constructs and square-root of average variance extracted
Samra Chaudary
122
The short-term investment decision was found to be positively correlated with long-
term investment decision Pearsonrsquos correlation value between short-term investment
decision and long-term investment decision was 0490 (p=0000) Similarly short-term
investment decision also showed a positive correlation with all four factors of Love of
Money ie achievement power obsession and budget short-term investment decision had
the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0342 (p=0000) with budget component and
lowest correlation value of 0240 (p=0000) with obsession component In the same way
long-term investment decision too exhibited a positive correlation with all four factors of
Love of Money with the highest Pearsonrsquos correlation value of 0500 (p=0000) with budget
factor and lowest correlation value of 0209 (p=0000) with obsession factor
Table 41 Inter factor Correlations and Square root of Average Variance Extracted
Factors Mean Standard
Deviation
ST-D LT-D Achievement Power Obsession Budget
ST-D 3074 0836 (0742)
LT-D 3292 0856 0490 (0735)
Achievement 2893 0934 0297 0244 (0808)
Power 2928 0967 0268 0327 0645 (0821)
Obsession 2659 0898 0240 0209 0582 0610 (0744)
Budget 3093 0785 0342 0500 0221 0184 0157 (0771) Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision Diagonal values in parentheses are values of square root of AVEs p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
44 Results
441 Measurement Model
For reflective constructs researchers should report factor loadings composite
reliability average variance extracted and discriminant validity The statistical assessment
for reflective model cannot be reassigned to formative models where indicators represent
constructrsquos independent causes and therefore do not necessarily correlate highly (Hair et
al 2016) Evaluating convergent and discriminant validities are not important when
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
123
formative constructs and their weights entail (Chin 1998) For formative constructs
indicator weights along with their significance multicollinearity of indicators and
constructs must be stated (Cenfetelli amp Bassellier 2009 Chin 1998 Fornell amp Larcker
1981 Hair et al 2012) Therefore the measurement model of first-order reflective
constructs or the reflective dimensions of the second-order construct were evaluated by
analyzing the factor loadings All the loadings were found above 05 (Velicer amp Fava
1998 Wille 1996) and statistically significant (Anderson amp Gerbing 1988 Hulland 1999)
A resampling was done by bootstrapping method with 2000 subsamples which
were used to compute t-statistics (Henseler et al 2009) The estimates of standardized
factor loadings of first-order reflective constructs ranged from 0641 to 0865 (tgt196) for
short-term investment decision 0630-0798 (tgt196) for long-term investment decision
0690-0873 (tgt196) for achievement 0615-0794 (tgt196) for power 0628-0798
(tgt196) for obsession 0722-0783 (tgt196) and 0527-0954 (tgt196) for budget
Composite reliability (CR) of reflective constructs measured the internal
consistency which should be higher than 07 or higher (Hair et al 2012) The values of
composite reliability were 0773 for short-term investment decision 0823 for long-term
investment decision 0882 for achievement 0912 for power 0837 for obsession and
0730 for budget Convergent validity was also computed for reflective constructs through
average variance extracted (AVE) which fulfill the benchmark of 050 or higher (Hair et
al 2012) The values for AVE were 0551 for short-term investment decision 0541 for
long-term investment decision 0653 for achievement 0675 for power 0555 for
obsession and 0595 for budget Discriminant validity of each reflective construct was
measured through two approaches and met the standards by Fornell-Larcker criteria (1981)
Samra Chaudary
124
and Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) ratio of correlations criteria (Henseler et al 2015)
According to Fornell-Larcker criteria the square root of AVE of a latent construct should
be greater than all of the inter-factor correlations of that construct with other constructs
(Hair et al 2012) Moreover HTMT values were less than 1 which is the predefined
threshold by (Henseler et al 2015)
Common method bias and collinearity among constructs were checked for each
reflective construct through variance inflation factor (VIF) test at the factor level The test
was carried out twice with both dependent variables once with short-term investment
decision and once with the long-term investment decision No common method bias was
found in both the tests as the VIF values of all the factors were less than 33 (Kock 2015)
The study used a repeated indicator method to compute the parameters of second-
order (reflective-formative) construct namely Love of Money It is an appropriate
approach in a complicated structural model in which the formative construct has an
endogenous position (Becker Klein amp Wetzels 2012b) The estimation of the formative
construct (LoM) at the dimension level was done by testing for multicollinearity between
its dimensions and by analyzing its weights (Henseler et al 2009)
Weights of formative construct show that power with weight 0458 (tgt196)
represents the most significant dimensions of LoM in the formation of the LoM construct
That was followed by achievement with weight 0350 (tgt196) obsession with weight
0290 (tgt196) and budget with weight 0095 (tgt196) The maximum variance inflation
factor (VIF) value for all dimensions was less than the recommended value of 33 (Kock
2015) The results of the measurement model are presented in table 42 and table 43 44
and 45
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
125
Table 42 Results of Measurement Model
Constructs Sources Items Statements Standardized
Factor Loadings
Boot
sample
t-Values
Short-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to put at least half of my investment
money into the stock market 0669
8112
I intend to engage in portfolio management
activities at least twice per week 0865 23795
I intend to compare my portfolio performance
to that of professional managers 0641 7244
Long-term
Investment
Decision
(reflective
construct)
(Mayfield
et al
2008)
I intend to save at least 10 of my gross
earnings for investingsavingretirement
purposes
0798 23438
I intend to have a portfolio that focuses on
multiple asset classes (stocks bonds cash
real estate etc)
0715 12630
I intend to take an investment course 0785 21210
I intend to invest some money in long-term
assets where my money will be tied up and
inaccessible for years
0630 8323
Love of
Money
(second order-
formative
construct)
(Kelleramp
Siegrist
2006a)
Achievement
(reflective dimension)
I believe that the amount of money that a
person earns is closely related to hisher
ability and effort
0690 17818
Money represents ones achievement 0837 37628
Money is a symbol of success 0873 58397
I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence 0812 34412
Power
(reflective dimension)
Money can give you the opportunity to be
what you want to be 0794 67856
Money gives you autonomy or freedom 0784 39807
Money means power 0742 39244
Money will help you express your
competence and abilities 0774 32383
Money can bring you many friends 0615 18517
Obsession
(reflective dimension)
I firmly believe that money can solve all of
my problems 0748 22209
Money can buy everything 0628 6043
I would do practically anything legal for
money if it were enough 0798 26365
I often fantasize about money and what I
could do with it 0791 35126
Budget
(reflective dimension)
I am proud of my ability to save money 0954 27280
I feel compelled to argue or bargain about the
cost of almost everything that I buy 0527 3672
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
126
Table 43 Weights and Variance Inflation Factor of Constructs
Constructs Weights of
Formative
Components of
Construct LoM
t-values of
Weights
Variance
Inflation Factor
(VIF)
Achievement 0350 21725 2031
Power 0458 26660 2155
Obsession 0290 14361 2029
Budget 0095 5767 1121
Table 44 Convergent Validity and Construct Reliability of Constructs
Constructs Composite Reliability
(CR)
Average Variance Extracted
(AVE)
Short-Term Investment Decision 0773 0551
Long-Term Investment Decision 0823 0541
Achievement 0882 0653
Power 0912 0675
Obsession 0837 0555
Budget 0730 0595
Table 45 Heterotrait-Monotrait (HTMT) Ratio of Correlations
Factors Achievement Budget Long-Term
Investment
Decision
Obsession Power Short-Term
Investment
Decision
Achievement
Budget 04662
Long-Term
Investment
Decision
03553 07748
Obsession 07911 04764 03102
Power 07591 03561 0432 08125
Short-Term
Investment
Decision
04514 03446 07436 04071 04057
442 Structural Model
The following section investigates the direct effects of Love of Money on short-
term investment decision and long-term investment decisions The parameter estimates
(path coefficients) were computed along with their significance The significance of
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
127
coefficients was calculated using a bootstrapping with 5000 subsamples (Henseler et al
2009) The benchmark for the coefficient of determination (R2) is 010 or higher (Falk amp
Miller 1992) The effect size of the impact of LoM on ST-D and LT-D was reported as
suggested by Cohen (1998) The rule about effect size is that the f2 values of 002 015
and 035 showed a small medium and large effect size (Henseler et al 2009) The
predictive relevance of the model was estimated by calculating Q2 coefficients (Geisser
1975 Stone 1974) using the blindfold test (Hair et al 2014) Lastly the power test was
also performed to analyze the probability that a statistically significant relationship is
found when the relationship is actually there (Goodhue et al 2012) A value of 08 or
higher is adequate in behavioral studies for the power test (Cohen 1988)
Table 46 summarizes the results of direct effects The hypothesized relationship
between LoM and ST-D (H1) was found significantly positive with medium effect size (β=
0341 p= 0000 f2= 0160) Similarly the association between LoM and LT-D (H2) was
also found statistically significant with a smaller positive beta coefficient and medium
effect size (β= 0328 p= 0000 f2= 0154) The coefficient of determination of LoM with
LT-D is slightly higher (R2= 0138) than the coefficient of determination with ST-D
(R2=0134) Hence variations in LoM was found likely to explain more variations in LT-
D than in ST-D The values of Q2 were above zero representing that each exogenous
construct in the model has predictive relevance for both endogenous latent variables All
the hypotheses have shown very strong statistical power ie 0999 or above which means
a very high probability of the presence of the relationships between the exogenous latent
variable (LoM) and endogenous latent variables (ST-D and LT-D) A high value of power
test affirmed the appropriateness of the sample size
Samra Chaudary
128
Age gender and religiosity were included as control variables in the model These
variables have relevance in the model of Love of Money and investment decisions Age
had shown an impact on financial decisions (Agarwal et al 2007) Men were more inclined
towards both short-term and long-term investments than women (Bajtelsmit et al 1999
Hariharan et al 2000 Mayfield et al 2008 Olsen amp Cox 2001) Religiosity was found
to have an effect on decision-making (Singhapakdi et al 2013) Hunt and Vitell (1993)
also posited that the strength of religious viewpoints could bring about differences in onersquos
decision-making processes Wong (2008) suggested that individuals with similar religious
beliefs tended to have different love of money profiles However McClure (1984) found
that money attitudes are generally similar irrespective of religion None of the control
variables had shown any impact in our model
Table 46 Results of Direct Effects of LoM on ST-D and LT-D
Hypotheses Relationships Path Coefficients
p
value
f2 R2 Q2 Statistical
Power
H1 Love of Money -gt
Short-term
investment decision
0341 0000 0160 0134 0058 0999
H2 Love of Money -gt
Long-term
investment decision
0328 0000 0154 0138 0059 0999
Note p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01 Control variables Age-gtST-D (β= -0101 p=0109) Gender-gtST-D (β= -00437 p=0427) Religiosity -gtST-D (β=
0048 p=0391) Age-gtLT-D (β= -0070 p=0214 Gender-gtLT-D (β= 0093 p=0112) and Religiosity-gtLT-D (β= -
0002 p=0953)
443 Moderation Effects of Current Income and Future Inheritance
A moderator variable explains ldquowhenrdquo the relationship exists between an independent
and dependent variable It can affect the magnitude andor sign of the relationship (Baron
amp Kenny 1986) Current income and expectation of receiving an inheritance in future were
tested as moderators between the relationship of LoM and short-term investment decision
as well as long-term investment decision The moderation was computed through a product
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
129
indicator method by Chin Marcolin and Newsted (2003) in which each indicator of
independent variable was multiplied with each indicator of the moderator (income) to
create a new variable The product indicator approach provides least biased estimates for
the parameters of an interaction effect and delivers true estimates for the interaction effect
for medium to large sample sizes The product indicator method also yields higher
prediction accuracy of the endogenous latent variable (Henseler amp Chin 2010) We also
investigated the statistical power test to reveal if the model is strong enough to detect a
significant effect that actually does exist (Frazier Tix amp Barron 2004 Goodhue et al
2012) The moderation results are presented in table 47 The interactions effects of H3
H4 H5 and H6 are plotted in figure 42 43 44 and 45 respectively These plots depict
the effects of independent variables on dependent variables in the presence of moderator
It was found income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D (H3) (β=
-0173 p= 0050) and did not moderate the relationship of LoM with LT-D (H4) (β= 0037
p= 0514) Additionally it was found that high-income dampens the positive relationship
between LoM and short-term investment decision with a change in R2 from 0134 without
the moderator (income) to R2 0152 with the presence of income as a moderator The
positive impact of LoM on ST-D when moderated with income turned into a negative
moderated relationship between LoM and ST-D So the impact of LoM on ST-D was
found conditional on the level of income The negative coefficient of interaction term with
LoM implies that investors with high-income are less likely to take short-term investment
decisions even though their LoM is high Hence those investors who had high current
income were found less likely to involve in short-term investments
Samra Chaudary
130
In figure 42 it can be seen that the direction of the relationship between Love of
money and short-term investment decision is different for investors with high-income (+1
standard deviation) and investors with low-income (-1 standard deviation) as there was a
significant difference in slopes at mean income at -1 standard deviation (SD) and at +1
standard deviation The slopes of two regression lines are moving in different directions
Figure 43 shows that income did not moderate the relationship between love of money and
long-term investment decision as there was no significant difference in slopes at mean
income at high-income (+1 standard deviation) and at low-income (-1 standard deviation)
Expect to receive inheritance was a dummy variable and coded with the values of
0 and 1 The value of the moderator was 0 if individuals expected to receive future
inheritance and 1 if they did not expect to receive future inheritance It was found that
expectation of receiving future inheritance also moderated the relationship between LoM
and both short-term (H5) (β= 0373 p= 0024) and long-term investment decisions (H6)
(β= 0318 p= 0044) Moreover it was found that the impact of LoM on ST-D was found
slightly higher in the situation when individuals did not expect to receive inheritance as
compared to the impact of LoM on LT-D for the same condition Hence those investors
who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found more likely to participate in
short-term investment activities than in long-term investment activities even though their
LoM was high Similarly those investors who expected to receive future inheritance were
found less likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high
A change in R2 was observed from 0134 without the moderator (expect to receive
future inheritance) to R2 0165 with the presence of the moderator in the case of ST-D and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
131
from 0138 to 0201 in the case of LT-D R2 Δ measures the effect size in moderation
analysis R2Δ demonstrates a unique share of variance explained by an exogenous variable
in the endogenous variable that is not explained by other exogenous variables in the model
(Cohen Cohen West amp Aiken 2003) Cohen (1988) defined small moderate and large
effect sizes of R2Δ as 002 013 and 026 respectively R2Δ was found to be 0018 for H3
0008 for H4 0031 for H5 and 0063 for H6 All moderation hypotheses (H3-H6) showed
a small effect size The statistical power of all the relationships was closer to 1
Figure 44 and 45 depict the significant interaction between Love of Money and
expectation of having a future inheritance on ST-D and LT-D respectively The rate of
change in response to a unit increase in Love of Money differs for investors who expected
to receive inheritance compared to investors who did not expect to receive future
inheritance As can be seen in both figures Love of Money was found to be positively
associated with short-term and long-term investment decisions when investors did not
expect future inheritance The impact of Love of money on both short-term and long-term
investment decisions was positive when investors did not expect future inheritance The
rate of change of the slope is relatively steeper in case of short-term investment decision
Table 47 Moderation Results
Hypotheses Relationships Estimate p
value
R2
without
moderator
R2
with
moderator
R2Δ Power
Result
H3 LoMIncome-gtST-D -0173 0050 0134 0152 0018 0999 Moderation
H4 LoMIncome-gtLT-D 0037 0514 0138 0153 0008 0999 No
Moderation
H5 LoMInheritance-gtST-
D
0373 0024 0134 0165 0031 0999 Moderation
H6 LoMInheritance-gtLT-
D
0318 0044 0138 0201 0063 0999 Moderation
Note ST-D= Short-term Investment Decision LT-D= Long-term Investment Decision and LoM= Love of
Money
p lt 1 p lt 05 p lt 01
Samra Chaudary
132
Figure 42 The moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and short-
term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one standard
deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below the mean
(ie low-income)
Figure 43 The no-moderating effect of income on the relationships between LoM and
short-term investment decision The above illustration shows income at mean one
standard deviation above the mean (ie high-income) and one standard deviation below
the mean (ie low-income)
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
133
Figure 44 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and short-term investment decision
Figure 45 The moderating effect of expectation of receiving inheritance on the
relationships between LoM and Long-term investment decision
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Short
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
1
15
2
25
3
35
4
45
5
Low LoM High LoM
Long
-T
erm
Invest
ment
Deci
sion
No Inheritance
Inheritance
Samra Chaudary
134
45 Discussion and Implications
This study extends existing research by focusing on investorsrsquo short-term and long-
term investment decisions through the lens of their money attitudes Findings of the
formative theoretical model demonstrated the new visions for the field of Love of Money
of stock investors in the context of an emerging market This study found that LoM had a
significant positive effect on both short-term and long-term investment decisions (H1 and
H2) Previous studies have also found that employees in developing countries are more
obsessed with money and look for any opportunity to make money (Tang et al 2005)
Similarly other studies have also found that individuals with high LoM motives want to
make money (Tang 2016) become rich (Tang amp Chen 2008) and display investment risk
tolerance behavior (Jia et al 2013 Tang et al 2008a) Those who value money more tend
to get benefit from the circumstances of financial gains (Gentina et al 2018) Our results
also showed that investors with high LoM tended to engage in both types of financial gain
opportunities ie short-term and long-term investments Nonetheless it is critical that
money managers should watch the decision-making of investors because those who want
to get rich also tend to involve in unethical and disordered money behaviors (Britt 2016
Tang et al 2008a 2011 Tang amp Sutarso 2013)
Exploring the same theoretical model with the interaction of income and
expectation of future inheritance revealed more interesting findings It was found that
investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment and no long-term
investment if their income was high Similarly investors with higher LoM were likely to
do less short-term investment and relatively more long-term investment if they expected to
receive a future inheritance
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
135
Chen et al (2014) found that the more money rich people have the more money
they want Individuals with low (high) affection for money have low (high) interests in
making money (Tang 2016) Earlier studies have found that wealthier investors were
willing to take more risk (Bernoulli 17381954) and individuals with high-income are less
risk-averse (Cicchetti amp Dubin 1994) and have more positive attitude towards financial
risk tolerance than individuals with low-income (Grable et al 2004) Therefore according
to previous literature and in order to make more wealth a high LoM motive of wealthier
(high current income and expect to receive inheritance) investors should have a positive
effect on long-term investment instead of short-term because long-term securities possess
higher risk as well as higher returns (Dimson et al 2017 Harrison amp Zhang 1999 Von
Thadden 1995) This could be one of the reasons that money attitudes of high-income
investors and those who expected to receive inheritance showed a negative impact on short-
term investments High LoM motive of those who expected to receive future fortune tended
to invest more in long-term investments Warren (2014) also reported that long-term
investments provide growth and assist investors to generate more wealth over time
However on the other hand our findings also showed that LoM (money attitude)
of high-income investors showed no impact on long-term investments Previous studies
have also reported that money attitudes are unrelated to an individualrsquos income (Medina et
al 1996 Yamauchi amp Templer 1982) Moreover another possibility could be that
investors with high-income might be handling their money carefully and avoiding long-
term investment particularly at the time of data collection only
The sample of this study was collected at the bearish time period when PSX-100
annual average return was -710 percent (Economic Survey of Pakistan 2017-2018)
Samra Chaudary
136
Economic contractions also stimulate risk-averse behavior for possible negative returns
(Millet Lamey amp Van den Bergh 2012) Also according to Merton (1973) investors must
consider the trade-off between risk and return in order to achieve the optimal portfolio
returns As it was observed that LoM of wealthier investors (high current income and
expect to receive inheritance) showed negative impact on short-term investments probably
because they might not be expecting maximum return for a given level of risk in that
bearish time period Hence expected returns are so unreliable to assist in achieving more
wealth as one of the essential goals of life (Keller amp Siegrist 2006a)
Wealthy investors showed loss-averse behavior in our research as they their LoM
(money attitudes) showed a negative impact on short-term investment decision (at the time
when market was giving losses) and is aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman 1992) which infers that investors are generally risk-
averse rather than risk-takers whenever there is a probability to make profits Chances of
making profits are estimated as too unreliable because of high instability of PSX-100 in
the time period of data collection
Furthermore our result showed that LoM (money attitude) showed a positive
impact on short-term investment for investors with low current income Similarly LoM
(money attitude) of investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance showed a
stronger positive impact on short-term investment as compared to long-term investment
The plausible reason could be that the investors with low-income have instant unmet needs
which could be one of the reasons that their money attitudes showed a positive impact on
short-term investment decision as short-term investments yield faster returns Our findings
are aligned with the former research studies The desire for immediate gratification
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
137
determined onersquos short-term investment decision (Warren 2016) Moreover individuals
with low-income are likely to have a strong orientation towards LoM because several
unmet needs (Sardzoska amp Tang 2012 Tang et al 2008b) and unsatisfied desires become
motivators (Kahneman amp Deaton 2010) Money is a motivator for poor people because
only money can fulfill the desires and improve the financial condition (Gomez-Mejia amp
Balkin 1992 Jenkins et al 1998 Locke et al 1980) Such individuals are more obsessed
with money (Furnham 1984) Hence we can say money attitudes of investors whose
current and future financial circumstances were weak (ie low current income and did not
expect to receive future fortune in the form of inheritance) tended to invest in short-term
investments
Results of the LoM typology proposed in this research have practical implications
for individual investors themselves and for professional money managers as they can
improve knowledge of their own preferences (for an individual investor) and of their client
preferences (for professional managers) This might expedite investment decision-making
for example retirement planning etc Money managers can help craft strategies to help
their customers attain their short-term and long-term financial goals of a comfortable
retirement (Concepcion 2016) Therefore investment advisors must understand what is
important to their clientele so that they can guide them and fulfill their requirements
effectively
The results offer implications for the marketing of financial companies like asset
management firms brokerage houses and investment banks It is probable to target
prospect investors through segmentation on the basis of money attitudes current income
and future wealth possession In marketing their services investment companies may target
Samra Chaudary
138
less wealthy investors for short-term investments and wealthy investors for long-term
investments Moreover in light of this researchrsquos findings money attitudes of individuals
with high-income did not show an impact on long-term investment This may be
counterproductive in achieving long-term financial goals of such individuals especially
when ignoring precautionary measures for saving It can also result in later repentance of
not having enough investments for their retirement (OrsquoDonoghue amp Rabin 1998) Money
managers may seem excessively challenged by the need to persuade high-income investors
that their long-term financial goal is secured by selecting risky investments These
investors need to be targeted more efficiently through a targeted marketing plan and various
types of financial instruments
For an emerging market like Pakistan there is a massive need to raise capital in
order to fuel the capital requirements and to ensure the sturdy growth of the market
Successfully targeting high-income investors will bring more money in the market boost
investments and investorsrsquo confidence in the country increase market capitalization
maintain sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market
would move towards efficiency
As it was found that there was no impact of LoM on long-term investment decision
for investors with high-income This result identified the need for different types of long-
term financial products There is a need for the development of long-term investment
products tailored to the desires of wealthy investors in particular which will motivate them
to invest in capital markets Pakistani financial markets lack in investment alternatives eg
bonds derivative securities and real estate investment trust (REITs) etc The findings of
this study offer financial institutions and regulators to develop new financial products and
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
139
markets Moreover transmission of knowledge in the field of different investment
alternatives must not be ignored in a country like Pakistan where only 26 percent of
adults are financially knowledgeable (SampP Global Fin Lit Survey 2015) Financial literacy
is a knowledge of risk diversification time value of money compounding and numeracy
(interest) A good level of financial literacy will help people to change their money
attitudes money management and make them achieve their financial goals (Imasheva amp
Kim 2017)
According to the findings of this study investorsrsquo money attitudes predicted their
investment plans (ie short-term and long-term) Therefore it is essential to determine
individual differences in money attitudes if individual investors are well guided by money
managers and financial institutions Financial planners should pay attention to investorsrsquo
money attitudes For that reason there is a need for more frequent surveys about their
money attitudes and feelings about financial products which should be the fundamental
aspects of financial services Moreover financial advisors should also elucidate the choice
of financial product and clarify why a particular product is the best option for the investor
Our novel findings shed new light on the relationships between LoM and
investment decisions and suggest practical implications for the growing area of behavioral
finance To conclude we offer a brand new and novel viewpoint and supplement the
behavioral finance literature by investigating LoM as an antecedent of short-term and long-
term investment decisions The formative theoretical model revealed novel and interesting
findings and helped us understand not only the what (ie LoM) factor contributing to short-
term and long-term investment decisions but also who (ie stock investors) where (ie
developing economy) and when (ie income and inheritance)
Samra Chaudary
140
46 Conclusion and Future Research Direction
This study contributes to an evolving stream of literature that sheds light on the
significance of LoM with short-term and long-term investment decision in the context of
developing economy A positive relationship of LoM was found with short-term and long-
term investment decisions Moreover in moderation analysis it was observed that for high-
income investors the impact of LoM was significantly negative for short-term investment
decision and was insignificant for long-term investment decision Furthermore it was
found that investors with higher LoM were likely to do less short-term investment decision
than long-term investment decision in the case they expected to receive a future
inheritance However investors with higher LoM were likely to do more short-term
investment decision than long-term investment decision in case they did not expect any
future inheritance
Future researchers should consider adding other investment alternatives as
dependent variables to examine the influence of LoM on a particular asset class This
research was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if LoM was constant over
time Peoplersquos financial strategies are associated with their different life stages
(Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Similarly it is likely that investorsrsquo money attitudes vary
in boom periods and hence their investment decisions may also change Therefore further
researches can use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of LoM over time
to examine whether money attitudes change with different phases of life Data from
multiple regions and cultures (especially from developing countries) can be collected to
generalize the results This study only measured investorsrsquo perception of LoM and not the
actual LoM behavior LoM behavior may be tested in a laboratory experiment in further
Love of Money and Investment Decisions
141
researches (Greenberg 1993) to see different investment behavior and if they react
differently to probable gains and losses Future studies could also examine the impact of
other moderators such as macro-economic issues eg unemployment education and
religious views could have a significant effect on the outcomes of this research To
conclude behaviorally an investor must become masters (but not slaves) of money (Tang
et al 2018a) Individuals with inheritance should master the necessary money skills or
have a trustworthy financial planner otherwise they will usually end up losing everything
they have (Khoo 2006)
Samra Chaudary
142
5 Conclusion
51 Introduction
This dissertation has examined the sway of selected behavioral factors affecting short-
term and long-term investment decision There were sparse pieces of evidence on
behavioral factors effecting investorsrsquo investment decision especially in the context of
developing economies (Bhardwaj amp Bhattacharjee 2010 Carol amp Samsinar 2011 De
Vries et al 2017 Metawa et al 2019 Riaz amp Hunjra 2016) Researchers have
encouraged to conduct studies in the discipline of behavioral finance as the discipline is
still premature and emerging and needs more empirical evidence from primary data
especially from emerging economies (Huang et al 2016 Kumar amp Goyal 2015) Hence
the primary research questions of this study were 1a) Do five personality types have an
effect on short-term and long-term investment decisions 1b) Does risk perception mediate
the relationship between personality types and short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2a) Does salience has an impact on short-term and long-term investment
decisions 2b) Whether the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment
decisions differs between individual investors and professional investors 2c) Whether the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions differs between
female investors and male investors 3a) Does Love of Money has an effect on short-term
and long-term investment decisions 3b) Whether current income and future inheritance
moderate the relationship of Love of Money and short-term as well as long-term investment
decisions
Data for this research were gathered through a survey using a structured questionnaire
from two metropolitan cities of Pakistan Lahore and Karachi The respondents for this
Conclusion
143
research were individual investors and professional money managers working with
financial institutions who were actively investing in securities listed on Pakistan Stock
Exchange previously known as Karachi Stock Exchange Money managers were working
in financial institutions like mutual fund companies (asset management companies)
brokerage houses or treasury departments of banks However individual stock investors
were from varying backgrounds as the primary objective of this study was to analyze the
behavior of stock investors be it at an individual level investor or a person working with
an institution A list of institutions where respondents were selected to fill the
questionnaire is attached as appendix IV For data analysis and result reporting the
research used partial least square based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) approach
was used instead of covariance-based structural equation modeling (CB-SEM) due to
several strengths of PLS-SEM (Chin et al 2003 Hair et al 2012 Henseler et al 2009
Reinartz et al 2009) The findings of research questions are presented and discussed in
chapters two three and four
52 Key Findings
The research questions addressed in chapter two were based on the implications of
the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and Risk as Feeling theory The
relationship between five types of personalities and investment decisions were explored It
was found that individuals with high neuroticism and extroversion personality traits were
likely to indulge in short-term investment decision However individuals with
extraversion openness agreeableness conscientiousness personality traits were likely to
indulge in long-term investment engagement The research also investigated the
significance of risk perception as a mediator between each personality type and investment
Samra Chaudary
144
decisions The risk perception mediated the relationship between four personality types
except neuroticism and long-term investment decisions
Chapter three examined the impact of salience on short-term and long-term
investment decisions Using the lens of prospect theory it was found that salience has a
significant positive impact on both short-term and long-term investment decisions The
impact was almost 15 times higher for long-term investment decision as compared to the
short-term investment decision Furthermore it was found that the two groups ie
individual investors and professional investors were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decision was
stronger for individual investors than for professional investors Additionally the study
also found that both groups (female and male) were significantly different from each other
such that the impact of salience on short-term decisions and for long-term decisions was
higher in the case of female investors than in the case of male investors
Chapter four made use of the prospect theory theory of planned behavior and
monetary intelligence theory to study the association between Love of Money (LoM) and
investment decisions It was found that LoM was likely to have a positive impact on both
short-term and long-term investment decisions Moreover interaction analysis revealed
that income moderated the relationship between LoM and ST-D and did not moderate the
relationship of LoM with LT-D The expectation of receiving future inheritance also
moderated the relationship between LoM and both short-term and long-term investment
decisions
Investors who had high current income were found less likely to participate in short-
term investments Investors who did not expect to receive future inheritance were found
Conclusion
145
more likely to involve in short-term investment activities than in long-term investment
activities even though their LoM was high Similarly investors who expected to receive
future inheritance were found less likely to involve in short-term investment than in long-
term investment activities even though their LoM was high
Overall the findings of this research study offered noteworthy theoretical and
practical implications in the context of an emerging economy by reporting significant
relationships of personality type salience and LoM with investment decisions These
results highlighted the relevance and significance of behavioral factors for investors
making short-term and long-term investment decisions while trading in listed stocks This
research has also contributed to the knowledge of the psychology of choices made by
investors in an emerging market
53 Theoretical Implications
The importance of behavioral and psychological aspects in the study of finance is
becoming increasingly evident Irrational decision-making has been widely observed in
many empirical studies (De Bondt amp Thaler 1985 Hirshleifer 2001 Ishfaq et al 2017
Metawa et al 2019 Odean 1998 Thaler amp Sunstein 2008) Such irrational decision-
making behavior was explained by the risk-averse nature of individuals and this
phenomenon was better explained with prospect theory Under prospect theory behavioral
biases were key factors for irrational decision-making To the best of our knowledge there
were no studies that have examined 1) the impact of Big-Five personality types on short-
term and long-term investment decisions with the mediation of risk perception 2) the
impact of salience on short-term and long-term investment decisions with the group
differences between professional and individual investor 3) the effect of LoM on short-
Samra Chaudary
146
term and long-term investment decisions with the moderation of current income and future
inheritance
Prospect theory postulated that most individuals show irrational risk-averse
behavior rather than risk-taking whenever there was a probability of making profits
(Kahneman amp Tversky 1979) Findings of this research have provided support to the
prospect theory by indicating the impact of salience (familiarity bias) on both short-term
and long-term investment decisions for individual and professional investors as well as for
both genders (Antoniou et al 2010 Riff amp Yagil 2016 Yalcin et al 2016) indicating risk
aversion of investors
Moreover this research made another significant theoretical advancement by
bringing together the relevance of prospect theory theory of planned behavior and risk as
feeling theory in one place The theory of planned behavior (TPB) by Ajzen (1991)
proposed that individualsrsquo behavior was predicted by hisher behavioral intention
Behavioral intentions were in turn determined by attitudes and perceived behavioral
control Risk as feeling theory (RaF) by Loewenstein et al (2001) proposed that when there
was a risky situation behavior tended to be driven by emotional reactions or feelings at the
time of decision-making rather than cognitiverational assessments Prospect theory also
proposes irrationality in investorsrsquo decisions under risky situations They also posited that
ldquorisk as feelingrdquo mediated at least partially the relationship between an individuals
cognitive evaluation of risk and their behavioral response Kobbeltvedt and Wolff (2009)
argued that TPB and RaF have some shared variables
Mayfield et al (2008) used two types of personality traits as behavioral intentions and
supported TBP that short-term and long-term investment intentions were predicted by
Conclusion
147
personality types This study however used Big-Five types of personality traits as
behavioral intentions and also supported TPB as individuals with neuroticism and extrovert
personalities showed a significant relationship with short-term investment plans
Moreover openness conscientiousness and extraversion personality traits were found
more likely to do long term investment intentions
Our result showed support for RaF theory related to the mediating role of risk
perception It was found that investorsrsquo risk perception mediated the relationship of
extraversion openness agreeableness and conscientiousness personality traits and long-
term investment decisions but did not mediate relationships between personality types and
ST-D It is probably because the feeling (affect) for ST-D is not perceived as risky as the
LT-D are
In addition to that this research made another noteworthy theoretical development
by interweaving the implications of prospect theory along with the theory of planned
behavior and monetary intelligence theory According to TPB attitudes predicted intentions
and behaviors and prospect theory focuses on behavioral bias therefore scholars should
examine individualsrsquo deeply rooted money attitudes (Tang 2016) in the light of their
behavioral biases Following the affective behavioral and cognitive model (ABC-model)
of attitudes (Bagozzi et al 1979) Monetary Intelligence (MI) theory proposed that people
monitor their own money attitudes and apply the information to evaluate the concerns in
the proximal (immediate) and distal (omnibus) contexts and strategically select the choices
to achieve financial goals (Tang et al 2018b 2018c) Tang et al (2018a) asserted that
individuals vary in their attitude towards money The results once again supported prospect
theory as wealthy investors (high current income and expect to receive inheritance) showed
Samra Chaudary
148
loss-averse behavior in our research as their LoM (money attitudes) showed a negative
impact on short-term investment decision (at the time when market was giving losses) and
was aligned with Prospect Theory (Kahneman amp Tversky 1979 Tversky amp Kahneman
1992) which implied that investors were generally risk-averse rather than risk-taking
whenever there was a probability to make profits The chances of making profits were
estimated as too unreliable due to high instability of PSX-100 in the time period of data
collection
As manifested from the above arguments this research has provided theoretical
contributions by expounding the application of prospect theory for the understanding of
investorsrsquo decision-making for short-term and long-term The study has also made a
methodological contribution by using primary data collected from real-life investors The
findings of this study has extended the general model of prospect theory theory of planned
behavior risk as feeling theory and monetary intelligence theory to another domain of
social behavior that is financial investment and has offered implications for understanding
behavior of individual investors and professional financial managers in the context of a
developing economy hence delivered contextual contribution as well Given the
importance of these theories in the field of social behavior the results of this study have
also provided interdisciplinary contributions
54 Practical Implications
This research offered practical implications for money managers individual
investors and regulatory bodies of the country With the growth of the economy peoplesrsquo
wealth increases Hence there is a growing need for performance of wealth management
Conclusion
149
functions by professional money managers This function involves understanding the
clientrsquos requirements and delivering financial services accordingly
It is critical to examine peoplesrsquo intentions about short-term and long-term
investments and why they manage investment in different ways If those investment
intentions become evident then financial planners would be interested to learn if those
intentions can be adapted in order to advise their clients (Mayfield et al 2008) It is
essential to understand personalities risk perceptions salience attitudes towards money
and other biases to give better investment advice to individual investors Such findings are
likely to help money managers to target investors appropriately and communicate to these
investors more effectively (Wood amp Zaichkowsky 2004)
The results of this research offered practical implications for both individual investors
and for professional money managers as they can have superior knowledge of their own
preferences and biases (for individual investors) and of their client preferences (for money
managers) Such enhanced understanding can facilitate investment decision-making
process Investment advisors help clients in investing money They must understand what
is important to their customers in order to fulfil clientsrsquo expectations accordingly It may
be possible to segment clients based on personality type risk perception familiarity bias
money attitudes current income and future wealth possession etc and develop
investment advisory packages accordingly
Portfolio managers may find useful strategies to exploit numerous behavioral
anomalies present in the financial markets Professional money managers from brokerage
houses mutual funds and other financial institutions may deliver a superior product
Samra Chaudary
150
service and provide sound assistance to their customers once they have knowledge of
clientsrsquo behavioral biases and preferences
Investors should be mindful that behavioral biases sometimes could also lead to
investment in sub-optimal portfolios Therefore understanding investorsrsquo behavior can
help to avoid such biases and can improve investment decisions in choosing short-term or
long-term investment services products and plans Portfolio managers should try to
improve their investment decisions by relying less on biases and investing their clientsrsquo
wealth globally for better diversification To avoid these biases financial counselors must
communicate to their clients about the importance of a long-term diversification plan with
the aim of risk reduction and higher expected return in their investment portfolios (Baker
amp Ricciardi 2015) Females represent a tiny sample in the financial industry of Pakistan
An investment education program is needed especially in a developing country like
Pakistan to target more females in the investment industry to boost savings in the economy
This research also expects to enhance understanding for financial regulators such as
SECP as to why and how markets might be inefficient Short-term investment is also
known as momentum investing (Gray 2006) while long-term investment is known as value
investing (Warren 2014) Generally momentum investment leads to market inefficiencies
including the creation of bubbles crashes and excess volatility in the market (Woolley
2013) as good (bad) outcomes are likely to be followed by further good (bad) outcomes
(Warren 2014) Too much short-term behavior may have adverse effects in the financial
market and shifting the balance towards long-term investment may be beneficial Value
(long-term) investments tend to have a lower turnover ratio than momentum (short-term)
Conclusion
151
investments (Warren 2014) Long-term investors provide a buffer against market panics
(Della Croce et al 2011) and help to smooth out market fluctuations (Ang amp Kjaer 2011)
Individuals with short-term investment horizons behave like traders or perhaps
speculators whereas individuals with long-term investment horizon act like investors A
long- term investment attitude represents the willingness to accept short-term pain for long-
term gain Such attitudes and beliefs are often rooted within the character of an organization
or an individual (Warren 2016)
For an emerging economy like Pakistan there is an enormous need to issue more
capital to ensure the steady growth of the financial market Successfully targeting investors
is likely to bring more funds in the market boost investments and enhance investorsrsquo
confidence in the country and thereby increase market capitalization maintain
sustainability in the market keep the market competitive and eventually market would
move towards efficiency in the long-run
55 Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
Although this research has made noteworthy theoretical contributions to the young
paradigm of behavioral finance and has identified practical implications for investors yet
there are also some limitations that restrict the generalizability of the results Gathering
data from real equity investors (especially from professionals ie brokers and the
institutional fund managers) was quite challenging These professionals were not willing
to leave their trading screens during the market hours (930 am -330 pm) even for a short
time They filled the survey questionnaire either after the market timings (late in the
evening) or on weekends The key contribution of this dissertation is the fact that this is
very first research of this kind in the context of both developed and developing economies
Samra Chaudary
152
However more empirical pieces of evidence are needed hence data from multiple regions
and cultures can be collected in order to get results that are more widely generalizable
Data for this research were collected in the time of bears market condition Upcoming
research can collect data in bulls market and can compare the results This study has relied
on self-reported data to measure personality traits risk perception salience and LoM
Future studies can make use of objective measures of aforementioned behavioral factors
However developing such measures for investors could be tremendously challenging This
research measured investorsrsquo perceptions and not actual behavior Behaviors are better
verified in a laboratory experiment (Greenberg 1993) and further studies can opt to do so
to investigate different behavioral biases and preferences to learn if investors respond
differently
It should be admitted that there were various other psychological factors that might
have affected investment decisions and were not investigated in this study Future studies
could test the impact of differences in investorsrsquo emotions moods and weather and the
resulting impact on investment behaviors These constructs can be measured in with
different methods eg the impact of live weather on the investors while trading their
stocks can be captured through an experiment Such a research design might be challenging
as theses professional traders might be reluctant to participate because of their fiduciary
responsibility of managing other peoplersquos money that they carry on their shoulders
Leaving their trading screens during market hours even for a short bit is immoral for them
Future researchers can also classify investment decision in a different way than classifying
such decisions into long and short time horizons (eg by investigating multiple
instruments) Another aspect that can be further investigated is the likely impact of money
Conclusion
153
managersrsquo experience on their investment decisions Future researchers can also investigate
if gender with different demographic variables (such as marital status age and income)
have different investment decisions
In this study the focus was only on stock investors and future studies can select
investors in other instruments as well to investigate if they behave in a similar manner
This study was cross-sectional in nature and it was not evident if the resulting behavioral
biases were constant over time Peoplersquos financial strategies are likely to be associated with
their life cycle stages (Gunnarsson amp Wahlund 1997) Therefore future researchers can
use longitudinal data in order to elucidate the constancy of impact of personality salience
and LoM over time to examine whether these biases of investors change with different
stages of their cycle This study did not investigate the impact of macro-economic issues
eg unemployment education levels recession and political instability etc which may
have a significant effect on the behavioral biases and preferences of investors
Samra Chaudary
154
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Ajzen I (1991) The Theory of planned behavior Organizational Behavior and Human
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Alrabadi D W H Al-Abdallah S Y amp Aljarayesh N I A (2018) Behavioral biases
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Anderson C W Fedenia M Hirschey M amp Skiba H (2011) Cultural influences on
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Ang J J de Jong A A amp van der Poel M A (2014) Does CEOs familiarity with
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Antoniou A Olusi O amp Paudyal K (2010) Equity Home‐Bias A Suboptimal Choice
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156
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Aronson E (1999) The Social Animal 8th ed New York Worth Freeman
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Bajtelsmit V L Bernasek A amp Jianakoplos N A (1999) Gender differences in defined
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2014) How biases affect investor behavior Working paper
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Baker H K amp Ricciardi V (2015) Understanding behavioral aspects of financial
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Baker H K Filbeck G amp Ricciardi V (2017) How Behavioral Biases Affect Finance
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Bansal R amp Yaron A (2004) Risks for the long run A potential resolution of asset
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Barber B M amp Odean T (2001) Boys will be boys gender overconfidence and
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Barberis N amp Thaler R (2003) A survey of behavioral finance Handbook of the
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Barrick M R amp Mount M K (1991) The Big-Five personality dimensions and job
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Bateman H Ebling C Louviere J J Satchell S E Thorp S amp Geweke J (2010)
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158
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Bhardwaj S amp Bhattacharjee K (2010) Modeling money attitudes to predict loan
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Black F (1986) Noise The Journal of Finance 41(3) 528-543
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Bollen N P amp Posavac S (2018) Gender risk tolerance and false consensus in asset
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Borghans L Heckman J J Golsteyn B H amp Meijers H (2009) Gender differences
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Cao H H Han B Hirshleifer D amp Zhang H H (2009) Fear of the unknown
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160
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Cattell H E amp Mead A D (2008) The sixteen personality factor questionnaire (16PF)
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Cenfetelli R T amp Bassellier G (2009) Interpretation of formative measurement in
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Chan K Covrig V amp Ng L (2005) What determines the domestic bias and foreign
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Charness G amp Gneezy U (2007) Strong evidence for gender differences in investment
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Chen J Tang T L P amp Tang N (2014) Temptation monetary intelligence (love of
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Chin W W Marcolin B L amp Newsted P R (2003) A partial least squares latent
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Chin WW (1998) The partial least squares approach to structural equation modeling
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Chin WW Mills AM Steel DJ Schwarz A (2016) Multi-group Invariance Testing
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Choi J J Laibson D Madrian B C amp Metrick A (2004) For better or for worse
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Concepcion J N (2016) Young and Indebted A Closer Look at the Future of Young
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Connor-Smith J K amp Flachsbart C (2007) Relations between personality and coping
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60
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Dimson E Marsh P amp Staunton M (2017) Factor-based investing the long-term
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Dittmar H Bond R Hurst M amp Kasser T (2014) The relationship between
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Social Psychology 107 (5) 879-924
Dohmen T Falk A Huffman D Sunde U Schupp J amp Wagner G G (2011)
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Epstein S (1994) Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
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Erdener C amp Garkavenko V (2012) Money attitudes in Kazakhstan
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Estes R amp Hosseini J (1988) The gender gap on Wall Street an empirical analysis of
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Euwals R Eymann A amp Boumlrsch-Supan A (2004) Who determines household savings
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Filbeck G Hattield P amp Horvarth P (2005) Risk Aversion and Personality Type The
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Fischhoff B (1994) Acceptable Risk A Conceptual Proposal Risk Health Safety and
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Forbes W Hudson R Skerratt L amp Soufian M (2015) Which heuristics can aid
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Fornell C amp Bookstein F L (1982) Two structural equation models LISREL and PLS
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Fornell C amp Larcker D F (1981) Evaluating structural equation models with
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Fox C R amp Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance The
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Frazier P A Tix A P amp Barron K E (2004) Testing moderator and mediator effects
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French K R amp Poterba J M (1991) Investor diversification and international equity
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Friedman M amp Savage L J (1952) The expected utility hypothesis and the
measurability of utility Journal of Political Economy 60 463-474
Frijters P Johnston D W Shields M A amp Sinha K (2015) A lifecycle perspective
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Organization 112 237-250
Funder D C (2001) Personality Annual Review of Psychology 52 197-221
Furnham A (1984) Many sides of the coin The psychology of money usage Personality
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Furnham A (2014) The new psychology of money London Routledge
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of Socio-Economics 40(1) 35-42
Ganesan S (1994) Determinants of long-term orientation in buyer-seller relationships
The Journal of Marketing 58(2) 1-19
Garbinsky E N Kless K amp Aaker J (2014) Money in the bank Feeling powerful
increases saving Journal of Consumer Research 41(3) 610ndash623
Garson G D (2016) Partial least Squares Regression amp structural equation models
David Garson and Statistical Associates Publishing
Gbadamosi G amp Joubert P (2005) Money ethic moral conduct and work related
attitudes Field study from the public sector in Swaziland Journal of Management
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Gehring W J amp Willoughby A R (2002) The medial frontal cortex and the rapid
processing of monetary gains and losses Science 296 2279-2282
Geisser S (1975) The predictive sample reuse method with applications Journal of the
American Statistical Association 70(350) 320ndash328
Gentina E Tang T L P amp Gu Q (2018) Do parents and peers influence adolescentsrsquo
monetary intelligence and consumer ethics French and Chinese adolescents and
behavioral economics Journal of Business Ethics 151(1) 115-140
Giannetti M amp Koskinen Y (2010) Investor protection equity returns and financial
globalization Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45(1) 135-168
Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk savvy How to make good decisions New York Viking
Glaser M Langer T Reynders J amp Weber M (2007) Framing effects in stock market
forecasts The difference between asking for prices and asking for returns Review
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Goldberg L R (1971) A historical survey of personality scales and inventories In P
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Goldberg L R (1981) Language and individual differences The search for universals in
personality lexicons Review of Personality and Social Psychology 2(1) 141-165
Goldberg L R (1990) An alternative description of personality the Big-Five factor
structure Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 59(6) 1216-1229
Goldstein D amp Gigerenzer G (2002) Models of ecological rationality The recognition
heuristic Psychological Review 109 75ndash90
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170
Gomez-Mejia L R amp Balkin D B (1992) Determinants of faculty pay An agency
theory perspective Academy of Management Journal 35 921-955
Goodhue D L Lewis W amp Thompson R (2012) Does PLS have advantages for small
sample size or non-normal data MIS Quarterly 36(3) 981-1001
Gough H G (1987) California psychological inventory Administrators Guide
Consulting Psychologists Press
Grable J Lytton R amp OrsquoNeill B (2004) Projection bias and financial risk tolerance
The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 142ndash147
Gray J (2006) Avoiding short-termism in investment decision-making CFA Institute
December
Greenberg A E (2013) When imagining future wealth influences risky decision-making
Judgment and Decision-making 8(3) 268ndash277
Greenberg A E amp Hershfield H E (2019) Financial decision-making Consumer
Psychology Review 2(1) 17-29
Greenberg J (1993) Stealing in the name of justice Informational and interpersonal
moderators of theft reactions to underpayment inequity Organizational behavior
and human decision processes 54(1) 81-103
Grinblatt M amp Han B (2005) Prospect theory mental accounting and momentum
Journal of Financial Economics 78(2) 311-339
Grinblatt M amp Keloharju M (2001) How distance language and culture influence
stockholdings and trades The Journal of Finance 56(3) 1053-1073
Griskevicius V Ackerman J M Cantuacute S M Delton A W Robertson T E Simpson
J A Tybur J M (2013) When the economy falters do people spend or save
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Science 24(2) 197ndash205
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Calif Sheridan
Guiso L Jappelli T amp Terlizzese D (1996) Income risk borrowing constraints and
portfolio choice American Economic Review 86(1) 158-172
Gulati R (1995) Does familiarity breed trust The implications of repeated ties for
contractual choice in alliances Academy of Management Journal 38(1) 85-112
Gunnarsson J amp Wahlund R (1997) Household financial strategies in Sweden An
exploratory study Journal of Economic Psychology 18(2ndash3) 201ndash233
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2014) A Primer on Partial Least
Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) Thousand Oaks CA Sage
Publications
Hair Jr J F Hult G T M Ringle C amp Sarstedt M (2016) A primer on partial least
squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) (2nd ed) Sage Publications
Thousand Oaks CA USA
Hair J F Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2011) PLS-SEM Indeed a silver bullet Journal
of Marketing Theory and Practice 19(2) 139 ndash 151
Hair J F Sarstedt M Ringle C M amp Mena J A (2012) An assessment of the use of
partial least squares structural equation modeling in marketing research Journal of
the Academy of Marketing Science 40(3) 414-433
Haisley E Mostafa R amp Loewenstein G (2008) Subjective relative income and lottery
ticket purchases Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 21(3) 283ndash295
Samra Chaudary
172
Hampson D P Grimes A Banister E amp McGoldrick P J (2018) A typology of
consumers based on money attitudes after major recession Journal of Business
Research 91 159-168
Hariharan G Chapman K S amp Domian D L (2000) Risk tolerance and asset
allocation for investors nearing retirement Financial Services Review 9(2) 159-
170
Harpaz I (1990) The importance of work goals An international perspective Journal of
International Business Studies 21(1) 75-93
Harrison P amp Zhang H H (1999) An investigation of the risk and return relation at long
horizons Review of Economics and Statistics 81(3) 399-408
Hastie R amp Dawes R M (2010) Rational choice in an uncertain world The psychology
of judgment and decision-making Sage
Hayes A F (2009) Beyond Baron and Kenny Statistical mediation analysis in the new
millennium Communication Monographs 76(4) 408-420
Hayes C L amp Kelly K (1999) Money makeovers How women can control their
financial destiny New York Doubleday
Heath C amp Tversky A (1991) Preference and belief Ambiguity and competence in
choice under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4(1) 5-28
Heinstroumlm J (2003) Five personality dimensions and their influence on information
behavior Information Research 9(1) 9-1
Henseler J amp Chin W W (2010) A comparison of approaches for the analysis of
interaction effects between latent variables using partial least squares path
modeling Structural Equation Modeling 17(1) 82-109
References
173
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2015) A new criterion for assessing
discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling Journal of the
Academy of Marketing Science 43(1) 115-135
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sarstedt M (2016) Testing measurement invariance of
composites using partial least square International Marketing Review 33(3) 405ndash
431
Henseler J Ringle C M amp Sinkovics R R (2009) The use of partial least squares path
modeling in international marketing In New challenges to international marketing
(pp 277-319) Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Hershey D A amp Mowen J C (2000) Psychological determinants of financial
preparedness for retirement The Gerontologist 40(6) 687-697
Hinz R P McCarthy D D amp Turner J A (1997) Are women conservative investors
Gender differences in participant-directed pension investments Positioning
pensions for the twenty-first century Philadelphia University of Pennsylvania Press
91- 103
Hira T K amp Loibl C (2008) Gender differences in investment behavior In Handbook
of consumer finance research (pp 253-270) Springer New York NY
Hirshleifer D (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing Journal of Finance 56(4)
1533-1597
Hlouskova J Fortin I amp Tsigaris P (2017) The consumptionndashinvestment decision of a
prospect theory household A two-period model Journal of Mathematical
Economics 70 74-89
Samra Chaudary
174
Hoffmann A O Post T amp Pennings J M (2015) How investor perceptions drive actual
trading and risk-taking behavior Journal of Behavioral Finance 16(1) 94-103
Hogan J (1986) Manual for the Hogan Personnel Selection System Minneapolis MN
National Computer Systems
Hogan R (1982) A socioanalytic theory of personality In Nebraska symposium on
motivation University of Nebraska Press
Hogan R amp Hogan J (1991) Personality and status In D G Gilbert amp J J Connolly
(Eds) Personality Social Skills and Psychopathology An Individual Differences
Approach 137-154 New York Plenum Press
Hopenhayn H A (1992) Entry exit and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium
Econometrica Journal of the Econometric Society 1127-1150
Hopfensitz A amp Wranik T (2009) How to adapt to changing markets experience and
personality in a repeated investment game Discussion Paper No 092009 - 056
Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=1578305
Hough L M Eaton N K Dunnette M D Kamp J D amp McCloy R A (1990)
Criterion-related validities of personality constructs and the effect of response
distortion on those validities Journal of Applied Psychology 75(5) 581
Hsee C K amp Weber E U (1997) A fundamental prediction error Selfndashothers
discrepancies in risk preference Journal of experimental psychology general
126(1) 45
Hsee C K Zhang J Cai C F amp Zhang S (2013) Overearning Psychological science
24(6) 852-859
Huang J Y Shieh J C amp Kao Y C (2016) Starting points for a new researcher in
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175
behavioral finance International Journal of Managerial Finance 12(1) 92-103
Huber J Palan S amp Zeisberger S (2017) Does Investor Risk Perception Drive Asset
Prices in Markets Experimental Evidence Working Paper Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=3007878
Huberman G (2001) Familiarity breeds investment Review of Financial Studies 14(3)
659ndash680
Hulland J (1999) Use of partial least squares (PLS) in strategic management research a
review of four recent studies Strategic Management Journal 20(2) 195ndash204
Hunt S D amp Vitell S J (1993) The general theory of marketing ethics A retrospective
and revision in N C Smith and A John (eds) Ethics in Marketing Quelch (Irwin
Inc Homewood IL) pp 775ndash784
Hunter K amp Kemp S (2004) The personality of e-commerce investors Journal of
Economic Psychology 25(4) 529-537
Iacobucci D (2010) Structural equations modeling Fit indices sample size and advanced
topics Journal of Consumer Psychology 20(1) 90-98
Imasheva A B amp Kim A M (2017) Psychological differences in financial decision-
making by people from different generations KazNU Bulletin Psychology and
sociology series 59(4) 50-56
Ishfaq M Maqbool Z Akram S Tariq S amp Khurshid M K (2017) Mediating Role
of Risk Perception between Cognitive Biases and Risky Investment Decision
Empirical Evidence from Pakistans Equity Market Journal of Managerial
Sciences 11(3) 265-278
Samra Chaudary
176
Ivkoviacutec Z amp Weisbenner S (2007) Information diffusion effects in individual
investorsrsquo common stock purchases covet thy neighborsrsquo investment choices
Review of Financial Studies 20(4) 1327-1357
Jabeen M (2016 June 16) PSX ndash Unfolding future prospects at its best Business
Recorder retrieved from httpsfpbrecordercom2016062016061657187
Jain P C amp Wu J S (2000) Truth in mutual fund advertising Evidence on future
performance and fund flows The Journal of Finance 55(2) 937-958
Jaiswal B amp Kamil N (2012) Gender behavioral finance and the investment decision
IBA Business Review 7(2) 8-22
Jaiyeoba H B amp Haron R (2016) A qualitative inquiry into the investment decision
behavior of the Malaysian stock market investors Qualitative Research in
Financial Markets 8(3) 246-267
Jenkins G D Mitra A Gupta N amp Shaw D (1998) Are financial incentives related
to performance A meta-analytic review of empirical research Journal of Applied
Psychology 83 777-787
Jensen M C amp Meckling W H (1976) Theory of the firm Managerial behavior agency
costs and ownership structure Journal of Financial Economics 3(4) 305-360
Jia S W Zhang W X Li P Feng T Y amp Li H (2013) Attitude toward money
modulates outcome processing An ERP study Social Neuroscience 8 43-51
John O P amp Srivastava S (1999) The Big-Five trait taxonomy History measurement
and theoretical perspectives Handbook of personality Theory and research
2(1999) 102-138
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factor analysis of the full MMPI Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 49
105-114
Jordan B D amp Riley T B (2015) Volatility and mutual fund manager skill Journal of
Financial Economics 118 289-298
Josef A K Richter D Samanez-Larkin G R Wagner G G Hertwig R amp Mata R
(2016) Stability and change in risk-taking propensity across the adult life span
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Judge T A Heller D amp Mount M K (2002) Five-factor model of personality and job
satisfaction A meta-analysis Journal of Applied Psychology 87(3) 530
Jurgensen C E (1978) Job preferences (What makes a job good or bad) Journal of
Applied Psychology 63(3) 267-276
Kahneman D (2011) Thinking fast and slow New York Farrar Straus and Giroux
Kahneman D (2012) Thinking fast and slow New York NY Penguin Books Ltd
Kahneman D amp Deaton A (2010) High income improves evaluation of life but not
emotional well-being Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
United States of America 107(38) 16489ndash16493
Kahneman D amp Riepe M W (1998) Aspects of investor psychology Journal of
Portfolio Management 24(1) 52-65
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1979) Prospect theory an analysis of decision under risk
Econometrica 47(2) 263-292
Kahneman D amp Tversky A (1984) Choices Values and Frames American
Psychologist 39 341ndash35
Samra Chaudary
178
Kahneman D Knetsch J L amp Thaler R H (1990) Experimental tests of the
Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem Journal of Political Economy 98(6)
1325-1348
Kamp J D amp Gough H G (1986) The Big-Five personality factors from an assessment
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Kamp J D amp Hough L M (1986) Utility of personality assessment A review and
integration of the literature Utility of temperament biodata and interest
assessment for predicting job performance A review and integration of the
literature 88-02
Kang J K amp Stulz R (1997) Why is there a home bias An analysis of foreign portfolio
equity ownership in Japan Journal of Financial Economics 46(1) 3-28
Karlsson A amp Nordeacuten L (2007) Home sweet home Home bias and international
diversification among individual investors Journal of Banking amp Finance 31(2)
317-333
Kautonen T van Gelderen M amp Fink M (2015) Robustness of the theory of planned
behavior in predicting entrepreneurial intentions and actions Entrepreneurship
Theory and Practice 39(3) 655-674
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006a) Investing in stocks The influence of financial risk
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Psychology 27(2) 285-303
Keller C amp Siegrist M (2006b) Money attitude typology and stock investment The
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Kenny D A Kashy D A amp Bolger N (1998) Data analysis in social psychology In
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Khoo A (2006) Secrets of Self-Made Millionaires Singapore Published by Adam Khoo
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Khwaja A I amp Mian A (2005) Unchecked intermediaries Price manipulation in an
emerging stock market Journal of Financial Economics 78(1) 203-241
Kirkman B amp Law K (2005) International management research in AMJ Our past
present and future Academy of Management Journal 48 377ndash386
Kish-Gephart J J Harrison D A amp Trevintildeo L K (2010) Bad apples bad cases and
bad barrels Meta-analytic evidence about sources of unethical decisions at work
Journal of Applied Psychology 95 1-31
Kiyilar M amp Acar O (2013) Behavioral finance and the study of the irrational financial
choices of credit card users Annales Universitatis Apulensis series Oeconomica
ISSN 1454-9409
Kliger D amp Kudryavtsev A (2010) The availability heuristic and investors reaction to
company-specific events The Journal of Behavioral Finance 11(1) 50-65
Kline R B (2005) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling (2nd ed) New
York The Guildford Press
Kline R B (2015) Principles and practice of structural equation modeling Guilford
publications
Samra Chaudary
180
Klontz B T amp Britt S L (2012) How clientsrsquo money scripts predict their financial
behaviors Journal of Financial Planning 25(11) 33-43
Kobbeltvedt T amp Wolff K (2009) The Risk-as-feelings hypothesis in a Theory of
planned behavior perspective Judgment and Decision-making 4(7) 567
Kock N (2015) Common method bias in PLS-SEM A full collinearity assessment
approach International Journal of e-Collaboration 11(4) 1-10
Koropp C Kellermanns F W Grichnik D amp Stanley L (2014) Financial decision-
making in family firms An adaptation of the theory of planned behavior Family
Business Review 27(4) 307-327
Kourtidis D Šević Ž amp Chatzoglou P (2011) Investorsrsquo trading activity A behavioral
perspective and empirical results The Journal of Socio-Economics 40(5) 548-557
Krause M R Serlin R C Ward S E Rony R Y Z Ezenwa M O amp Naab F
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Research 59(4) 288-294
Krueger N and Dickson P R (1994) How believing in ourselves increases risk taking
perceived self-efficacy and opportunity recognition Decision Sciences 25 (3) 385-
400
Krupp D B amp Cook T R (2018) Local competition amplifies the corrosive effects of
inequality Psychological Science 29(5) 824ndash833
Kubilay B amp Bayrakdaroglu A (2016) An empirical research on investor biases in
financial decision-making financial risk tolerance and financial personality
International Journal of Financial Research 7(2) 171-182
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181
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Kumar S amp Goyal N (2015) Behavioral biases in investment decision-makingndasha
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108
Lagarde C (2016) The Role of Emerging Markets in a New Global Partnership for
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httpswwwimforgenNewsArticles201509280453sp020416
Lakonishok J Shleifer A amp Vishny R W (1994) Contrarian investment extrapolation
and risk The Journal of Finance 49(5) 1541-1578
Lakshmi P Visalakshmi S Thamaraiselvan N amp Senthilarasu B (2013) Assessing
the Linkage of Behavioral Traits and Investment Decisions Using SEM Approach
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Laroche M Kim C amp Zhou L (1996) Brand familiarity and confidence as determinants
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Law K S Wong C S amp Mobley W M (1998) Toward a taxonomy of
multidimensional constructs Academy of Management Review 23(4) 741-755
Lea S E G amp Webley P (2006) Money as tool money as drug The biological
psychology of a strong incentive Behavioral and Brain Sciences 29 161-176
Lemrova S Reiterova E Fatenova R Lemr K amp Tang T L P (2014) Money is
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Samra Chaudary
182
Lewis K K (1999) Trying to explain home bias in equities and consumption Journal of
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Li D Jiang Y An S Shen Z amp Jin W (2009) The influence of money attitudes on
young Chinese consumers compulsive buying Young Consumers 10(2) 98-109
Li S amp Liu C J (2008) Individual differences in a switch from risk‐averse preferences
for gains to risk‐seeking preferences for losses can personality variables predict
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Lim K L Soutar G N amp Lee J A (2013) Factors affecting investment intentions A
consumer behavior perspective Journal of Financial Services Marketing 18(4)
301-315
Lim V K amp Teo T S (1997) Sex money and financial hardship An empirical study
of attitudes towards money among undergraduates in Singapore Journal of
Economic Psychology 18(4) 369-386
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investment in
stock portfolio and capital budgets Review of Economics and Statistics 47 103ndash
124
Locke E A Feren D B McCaleb V M Shaw K N amp Denny A T (1980) The
relative effectiveness of four methods of motivating employee performance In K
D Duncan M M Gruneberg amp D Wallis (Eds) Changes in Working Life 363-
388 New York Wiley
Lodder P Ong H H Grasman R P amp Wicherts J (2019) A comprehensive meta-
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Loewenstein G F Weber E U Hsee C K amp Welch N (2001) Risk as feelings
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Loewenstein G amp Lerner J S (2003) The role of affect in decision-making Handbook
of affective science 619(642) 3
MacCrimmon K R amp Wehrung D A (1990) Characteristics of risk taking executives
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MacGregor D G amp Slovic P (2000) Retirement Plans and Financial Expectations A
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httpsssrncomabstract=1565088
Mahastanti L A amp Hariady E (2013) Determining the Factor Affecting Stock
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Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio Selection The Journal of Finance 7(1) 77-91
Marshall A (1961) Principles of Economics An introductory volume London
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Mayfield C Perdue G amp Wooten K (2008) Investment management and personality
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McClelland D C (1967) Money as a motivator Some research insights The McKinsey
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Samra Chaudary
184
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McCrae R R amp Costa P T (2008) Empirical and theoretical status of the five-factor
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Testing Sage London 273-294
McInish T H (1982) Individual investors and risk-taking Journal of Economic
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McKenzie C R amp Liersch M J (2011) Misunderstanding savings growth Implications
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McShane S L amp Von Glinow M A (2008) Organizational behavior (4th ed) Boston
McGraw-Hill Irwin
Medina J F Saegert J amp Gresham A (1996) Comparison of Mexican‐American and
Anglo‐American attitudes toward money Journal of Consumer Affairs 30(1) 124-
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Merton R C (1973) An intertemporal capital asset pricing model Econometrica Journal
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Merton R C (1987) A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete
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Metawa N Hassan M K Metawa S amp Safa M F (2019) Impact of behavioral factors
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Michaelidou N amp Hassan L (2014) New advances in attitude and behavioral decision-
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Milkovich G T Newman J M amp Gerhart B (2014) Compensation (11th ed) Boston
IrwinMcGraw-Hill
Millet K Lamey L amp Van den Bergh B (2012) Avoiding negative vs achieving
positive outcomes in hard and prosperous economic times Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2) 275ndash 284
Mishra S (2014) Decision-making under risk Integrating perspectives from biology
economics and psychology Personality and Social Psychology Review 18(3)
280-307
Mishra S Hing L S S amp Lalumiere M L (2015) Inequality and risk-taking
Evolutionary Psychology 13(3) 1ndash11
Mitchell T R amp Mickel AE (1999) The meaning of money An individual difference
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Modesto Veludo-de-Oliveira T Augusto Falciano M amp Villas Boas Perito R (2014)
Effects of credit card usage on young Braziliansrsquo compulsive buying Young
Consumers 15(2) 111-124
Modigliani F amp Miller M H (1958) The cost of capital corporation finance and the
theory of investment American Economic Review 48(3) 261ndash297
Mohammadi A amp Shafi K (2018) Gender differences in the contribution patterns of
equity-crowdfunding investors Small Business Economics 50(2) 275-287
Morse W C (1998) Risk taking in personal investments Journal of Business and
Psychology 13(2) 281-288
Samra Chaudary
186
Mousavi S amp Gigerenzer G (2014) Risk uncertainty and heuristics Journal of
Business Research 67(8) 1671-1678
Muller A amp de Zwaan M (2010) Pathological buying A review of the current
knowledge regarding this condition of behavioral excess Bundesgesundheitsblatt
Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 53(4) 289-294
Muradoglu G amp Harvey N (2012) Behavioural finance the role of psychological
factors in financial decisions Review of Behavioural Finance 4(2) 68-80
Myers I B amp McCaulley M H (1985) Manual A guide to the development and use of
the Myer-Briggs Type Indicator Palo Alto CA Consulting Psychologists Press
Newman J M Gerhart B amp Milkovich G T (2017) Compensation (12th ed) New
York McGraw-Hill
Nicholson N Soane E Fenton‐OCreevy M amp Willman P (2005) Personality and
domain‐specific risk taking Journal of Risk Research 8(2) 157-176
Nkundabanyanga S K Omagor C Mpamizo B amp Ntayi J M (2011) The love of
money pressure to perform and unethical marketing behavior in the cosmetic
industry in Uganda International Journal of Marketing Studies 3 (4) 40-49
Nnedum O A U Egwu E U Obinna E J Ntomchukwu M S amp Chukwukeluo C
B (2011) Materialism and meaning of money (MOM) Validation of Money
Metaphor Scale (MMS) in South Africa International Research Journal of
Finance amp Economics 76 31ndash46
Nofsinger J (2005) The Psychology of Investing 2nd ed Prentice Hall NJ
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Norden L (2010) Individual home bias portfolio churning and performance The
European Journal of Finance 16(4) 329-351
Norman W T (1963) Toward an adequate taxonomy of personality attributes Replicated
factor structure in peer nomination personality ratings The Journal of Abnormal and
Social Psychology 66(6) 574
Nosic A amp Weber M (2010) How riskily do I invest The role of risk attitudes risk
perceptions and overconfidence Decision Analysis 7 282-301
OrsquoDonoghue T amp Rabin M (1998) Procrastination in preparing for retirement in
Aaron H (Ed) Behavioral Dimensions of Retirement Economics The Brookings
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Odean T (1998) Are investors reluctant to realize their losses The Journal of Finance
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Odean T (1999) Do investors trade too muchrdquo The American Economic Review 89(5)
1279-1299
Oehler A amp Wedlich F (2018) The relationship of extraversion and neuroticism with
risk attitude risk perception and return expectations Journal of Neuroscience
Psychology and Economics 11(2) 63
Oehler A Wendt S Wedlich F amp Horn M (2018) Investors personality influences
investment decisions Experimental evidence on extraversion and neuroticism
Journal of Behavioral Finance 19(1) 30-48
Samra Chaudary
188
Oezgen O amp Bayoğlu A S (2005) Turkish college studentsrsquo attitudes towards money
International Journal of Consumer Studies 29(6) 493-501
Olsen R A (1997) Desirability bias among professional investment managers Some
evidence from experts Journal of Behavioral Decision-making 10(1) 65-72
Olsen R A amp Cox C M (2001) The influence of gender on the perception and response
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and Financial Markets 2(1) 29-36
Oshio A Taku K Hirano M amp Saeed G (2018) Resilience and Big-Five personality
traits A meta-analysis Personality and Individual Differences 127 54-60
Pagano M (1993) Financial markets and growth an overview European Economic
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Pak O amp Mahmood M (2015) Impact of personality on risk tolerance and investment
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Commerce and Management 25(4) 370-384
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (2017) Population Census Retrieved from
httpwwwpbsgovpkcontentpopulation-census
Pan C H amp Statman M (2013) Investor personality in investor questionnaires The
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Paramati S R Ummalla M amp Apergis N (2016) The effect of foreign direct
investment and stock market growth on clean energy use across a panel of emerging
market economies Energy Economics 56 29-41
Payne B K Brown-Iannuzzi J L amp Hannay J W (2017) Economic inequality
increases risk taking Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114(18)
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Pennings J M Candel M J amp Egelkraut T M (2003) A behavioral decision-making
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4(2) 71-84
Phillips J M amp Gully S M (2013) Organizational Behavior Tools for success (2nd
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Pompian M M (2012) Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management 2nd ed John
Wiley and Sons Inc NJ
Pompian M M amp Longo J M (2004) A new paradigm for practical application of
behavioral finance creating investment programs based on personality type and
gender to produce better investment outcomes The Journal of Wealth
Management 7(2) 9-15
Poropat A E (2009) A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and
academic performance Psychological Bulletin 135(2) 322
Poterba J M (2000) Stock market wealth and consumption Journal of Economic
Perspectives 14(2) 99-118
Prahalad C K amp Hammond A (2002) Serving the worldrsquos poor profitably Harvard
Business Review 80 48ndash57
Prast H Rossi M Torricelli C amp Sansone D (2015) Do women prefer pink The
effect of a gender stereotypical stock portfolio on investing decisions Politica
Economica 31(3) 377-420
Samra Chaudary
190
Preacher K amp Hayes A (2008) Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and
comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models Behavior Research
Methods 40(3) 879ndash891
Prinz S Gruumlnder G Hilgers R D Holtemoumlller O amp Vernaleken I (2014) Impact of
personal economic environment and personality factors on individual financial
decision-making Frontiers in Psychology 5 158
Puustinen P Maas P amp Karjaluoto H (2013) Development and validation of the
Perceived Investment Value (PIV) scale Journal of Economic Psychology 36 41-
54
Ratcliffe A amp Taylor K (2015) Who cares about stock market booms and busts
Evidence from data on mental health Oxford Economic Papers-New Series 67 (3)
826-845
Raubenheimer J (2004) An item selection procedure to maximize scale reliability and
validity SA Journal of Industrial Psychology 30(4) 59-64
Raut R K Das N amp Kumar R (2018) Extending the Theory of Planned Behavior
Impact of Past Behavioral Biases on the Investment Decision of Indian Investors
Asian Journal of Business and Accounting 11(1) 265-291
Reddy W M amp Reddy W M (1987) Money and liberty in modern Europe A critique
of historical understanding Cambridge University Press
Reinartz W Haenlein M amp Henseler J (2009) An empirical comparison of the efficacy
of covariance-based and variance-based SEM International Journal of Research
in Marketing 26 332ndash344
References
191
Remenyi D Williams B Money A and Swartz E (1998) Doing Research in Business
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Riaz L amp Hunjra A I (2016) Relationship between Psychological Factors and
Investment Decision-making The Mediating Role of Risk Perception Pakistan
Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences 9(3) 968-981
Riepe M W (2013) Musings on behavioral finance Journal of Financial Planning
26(5) 34-35
Riff S amp Yagil Y (2016) Behavioral Factors Affecting the Home Bias Phenomenon
Experimental Tests Journal of Behavioral Finance 17(3) 267-279
Ringle C M Sarstedt M amp Straub D (2012) A critical look at the use of PLS-SEM in
MIS Quarterly 36 (1) 3-14
Ringle C M Wende S amp Becker J M (2015) SmartPLS 30 (version 323)
Boenningstedt SmartPLS GmbH
Roll R (1983) Vas ist das The turn-of-the-year effect and the return premia of small
firms Journal of Portfolio Management 9(2) 18-28
Rose G M amp Orr L M (2007) Measuring and exploring symbolic money meaning
Psychology amp Marketing 24(9) 743ndash761
Rosler M Retz W Retz-Junginger P Thome J Supprian T Nissen T amp Trott G
E (2004) Tools for the diagnosis of attention-deficithyperactivity disorder in
adults Self-rating behavior questionnaire and diagnostic checklist Der Nervenarzt
75(9) 888-895
Rubenstein C (1981) Money and self-esteem relationships secrecy envy satisfaction
Psychology Today 15 (5) 29-44
Samra Chaudary
192
Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J (2017) If you want to save focus on the forest rather than
on trees The effects of shifts in levels of construal on saving decisions PloS one
12(5) e0178283
Rynes S L amp Gerhart B (2000) Compensation in organizations Current research and
practice San Francisco CA Jossey-Bass
SampP Global Fin Lit Survey (2015) Global Financial Literacy Excellence Center Retrieved
from wwwgflecorginitiativessp-global-finlit-survey
Sahi S K Arora A P amp Dhameja N (2013) An exploratory inquiry into the
psychological biases in financial investment behaviors Journal of Behavioral
Finance 14 (2) 94-103
Salgado J F (1997) The five-factor model of personality and job performance in the
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Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2009) Testing a model of behavioral intentions in the
Republic of Macedonia Differences between the private and the public
sectors Journal of Business Ethics 87(4) 495-517
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2012) Work-related behavioral intentions in
Macedonia Coping strategies work environment love of money job satisfaction
and demographic variables Journal of Business Ethics 108(3) 373-391
Sardzoska E G amp Tang T L P (2015) Monetary intelligence Money attitudes-
unethical intentions intrinsic and extrinsic job satisfaction and coping strategies
across public and private sectors in Macedonia Journal of Business Ethics 130(1)
93ndash115
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193
Satchell L P Bacon A M Firth J L amp Corr P J (2018) Risk as reward
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Saucier G amp Goldberg L R (1996) The language of personality Lexical perspectives
The five-factor model of personality Theoretical perspectives 21-50
Saunders M Lewis P amp Thornhill A (2007) Research methods Business Students 6th
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Scandura T A (2016) Essentials of organizational behavior An evidence-based
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Schumacker R E amp Lomax R G (1996) A beginnerrsquos guide to structural equation
modeling Mahwah NJ Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
Schwartz H (2010) Heuristics or rules of thumb In J Nofsinger amp K Baker (Eds)
Behavioral Finance Investors corporations and markets Robert W Kolb Series in
Finance Chichester England John Wiley (Edited)
Seasholes M S amp Zhu N (2010) Individual investors and local bias The Journal of
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Securities Exchange Commission of Pakistan (2016) SECP determined to ensure investor
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httpswwwsecpgovpkwp-contentuploads201607July-19-2016-SECP-
determined-to-ensure-investor-protection-and-to-end-market-abusepdf
Seiler M J Seiler V L Harrison D M amp Lane M A (2013) Familiarity bias and
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24
Samra Chaudary
194
Seiler M Seiler V Traub S amp Harrison D (2008) Familiarity bias and the status quo
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Sekścińska K Rudzinska-Wojciechowska J amp Maison D (2018) Individual
differences in time perspectives and risky financial choices Personality and
Individual Differences 120 118-126
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Equilibrium An Experimental Investigation The Economic Journal 127(599)
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Shariff M Z Al-Khasawneh J amp ElSharif A (2012) Future of Neurofinance and
Behavioral Finance in Class Room International Journal of Finance 24(2) 7200-
7207
Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices a theory of market equilibrium under the condition
of risk Journal of Finance 19(3) 425ndash 442
Shawahna R Fahed B Qadri D Sharawi L Soroghli M amp Dweik M (2017)
Awareness and knowledge of autism spectrum disorders among pharmacists a
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Developmental Disorders 47(6) 1618-1627
Shefrin H amp Statman M (1985) The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers
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Shih T Y amp Ke S C (2014) Determinates of financial behavior insights into consumer
money attitudes and financial literacy Service Business 8(2) 217-238
Shiller R (2003) From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance The Journal of
Economic Perspectives 17(1) 83-104
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Shrout P E amp Bolger N (2002) Mediation in experimental and non-experimental
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445
Simon H A (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice The Quarterly Journal of
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Singh R (2010) Behavioral Finance Studies Emergence and Developments Journal of
Contemporary Management Research 4(2) 1-9
Singhapakdi A Vitell S J Lee D J Nisius A M amp Grace B Y (2013) The
influence of love of money and religiosity on ethical decision-making in marketing
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Sirri E R amp Tufano P (1998) Costly search and mutual fund flows Journal of Finance
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Sizemore C (2012 November 20) Investing lessons Avoiding the Peter Lynch Bias
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httpwwwforbescomsitesmoneybuilder20121120investing-lessons-
avoiding-the-peter-lynch-bias
Sloan A (2002) The Jurys In Greed Isnt Good Newsweek 139(25) 37-37
Samra Chaudary
196
Slovic P Fischhoff B and Lichtenstein S (1977) lsquoBehavioral Decision Theoryrsquo Annual
Review of Psychology 28(1) 1-39
Smith A (17761937) An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations New
York Modern Library
Statman M Thorley S amp Vorkink K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading
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Steenkamp J B E amp Baumgartner H (1998) Assessing measurement invariance in
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Sternad D amp Kennelly J J (2017) The sustainable executive antecedents of managerial
long-term orientation Journal of Global Responsibility 8(2) 179-195
Stone M (1974) Cross‐validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions
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Strong N amp Xu X (2003) Understanding the equity home bias Evidence from survey
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Subrahmanyam A (2008) Behavioral finance a review and synthesis European
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Sutcliffe K M (1994) What executives notice accurate perceptions in top management
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Szyszka A Zielonka P (2007) The Disposition Effect Demonstrated on IPO Trading
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Takahashi H amp Terano T (2003) Agent-based approach to investorrsquos behavior and asset
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Tang T L P (1992) The Meaning of money revisited Journal of Organizational
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Tang T L P (1993) The meaning of money Extension and exploration of the money
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Behavior 14(1) 93-99
Tang T L P (1995) The development of a short Money Ethic Scale Attitudes toward
money and pay satisfaction revisited Personality and Individual Differences
19(6) 809ndash817
Tang T L P (2007) lsquoIncome and Quality of Life Does the Love of Money Make a
Differencersquo Journal of Business Ethics 72(4) 375ndash393
Tang T L P (2016) Theory of monetary intelligence Money attitudesmdashreligious values
making money making ethical decisions and making the grade Journal of
Business Ethics 133(3) 583ndash603
Tang T L P amp Chen Y J (2008) Intelligence vs wisdom The love of money
Machiavellianism and unethical behavior across college major and gender Journal
of Business Ethics 82(1) 1ndash26
Tang T L P amp Chiu R K (2003) Income money ethic pay satisfaction commitment
and unethical behavior Is the love of money the root of evil for Hong Kong
Samra Chaudary
198
employees Journal of Business Ethics 46(1) 13ndash30
Tang T L P amp Gilbert P R (1995) Attitudes toward money as related to intrinsic and
extrinsic job satisfaction stress and work-related attitudes Personality and
Individual Differences 19(3) 327-332
Tang T L P amp Sutarso T (2013) Falling or not falling into temptation Multiple faces
of temptation monetary intelligence and unethical intentions across gender
Journal of Business Ethics 116(3) 529ndash552
Tang T L P Chen Y J amp Sutarso T (2008a) Bad apples in bad (business) barrels
The love of money Machiavellianism risk tolerance and unethical behavior
Management Decision 46(2) 243-263
Tang T L P Kim J K amp Shin-Hsiung Tang D (2000) Does Attitude Toward Money
Moderate the Relationship Between Intrinsic Job Satisfaction and Voluntary
Turnover Human Relations 53(2) 213ndash245
Tang T L P Luna-Arocas R amp Sutarso T (2005) lsquoFrom Income to Pay Satisfaction
The Love of Money and Pay Equity Comparison as Mediators and Culture (the US
and Spain) and Gender as Moderators Management Research The Journal of the
Iberoamerican Academy of Management 3(1) 7ndash26
Tang T L P Sutarso T Akande A Allen M W Alzubaidi A S Ansari M A et
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functional equivalence in 29 geographical entities around the world Management
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicia F
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Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K G Teo T S H Arias-Galicai F
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Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management DOI
105465AMBPP201165869480
Tang T L P Sutarso T Ansari M A Lim V K Teo T S Arias-Galicia F amp
Vlerick P (2018c) Monetary Intelligence and Behavioral Economics The Enron
Effect-Love of money corporate ethical values Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI) and dishonesty across 31 geopolitical entities Journal of Business Ethics
148(4) 919-937
Tang T L P Sutarso T Davis G M T Dolinski D Ibrahim A H S amp Wagner S
L (2008b) To help or not to help The Good Samaritan Effect and the love of
money on helping behavior Journal of Business Ethics 82(4) 865ndash887
Tang T L P T Sutarso A Akande M W Allen A S Alzubaidi M A Ansari F
Arias-Galicai M G Borg L Canova B Charles-Pauvers B S Cheng R K Chiu
L Z Du I Garber C Garcia de la Torre R C Higgs A H S Ibrahim C K Jen
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Manganelli A Moreira A U O Nnedum J E Osagie A Osman-Gani F C
Pereira R Pholsward H D Pitariu M Polic E Sardzoska P Skobic A F
Stembridge T L N Tang T S H Teo M Tombolani M Trontelj C Urbain and
P Vlerick 2007 August 3ndash8 Doing Well by Doing Good Does Economic
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200
Development Make a Difference Paper presented at the Academy of Management
Annual Meetings Philadelphia PA
Tang T L P Tillery K R Lazarevski B amp Luna-Arocas R (2004) The love of money
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Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Iqbal A (2016) Information sources and trading behavior
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94-117
Tauni M Z Fang H X amp Yousaf S (2015) The influence of Investor personality traits
on information acquisition and trading behavior Evidence from Chinese futures
exchange Personality and Individual Differences 87 248-255
Tekce B Yılmaz N amp Bildik R (2016) What factors affect behavioral biases
Evidence from Turkish individual stock investors Research in International
Business and Finance 37 515-526
Tesar L amp Werner I (1995) Home bias and high turnover Journal of International
Money and Finance 14(4) 467ndash492
Thaler R (1980) Toward a positive theory of consumer choice Journal of Economic
Behavior amp Organization 1(1) 39-60
Thaler R (1999) Mental accounting matters Journal of Behavioral Decision-making
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Thaler R H amp Sunstein C R (2008) Nudge improving decisions about health wealth
and happiness New Haven CT Yale University Press
Tigges P Riegert A Jonitz L Brengelmann J amp Engel R R (2000) Risk behavior
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Psychology and Financial Markets 1(2) 127ndash134
Tomek I Striacuteteskyacute V amp Tahal R (2013) Segmentation of Czech Consumers Based on
the Attitudes Towards Money Central European Business Review 2(2) 19
Trapmann S Hell B Hirn J O W amp Schuler H (2007) Meta-analysis of the
relationship between the Big-Five and academic success at university Zeitschrift
fuumlr PsychologieJournal of Psychology 215(2) 132-151
Tripathi M amp Chattopadhyay T (2013) Study of Behavioral Dimensions of Perceived
Risk of Investment of Financial Experts and Laymen in Equity Mutual Funds in
India Journal of Commerce amp Accounting Research 2(4)10-27
Tung R L amp Baumann C (2009) Comparing the attitudes toward money material
possessions and savings of overseas Chinese vis-agrave-vis Chinese in China
convergence divergence or cross-vergence vis-agrave-vis lsquoone size fits allrsquohuman
resource management policies and practices The International Journal of Human
Resource Management 20(11) 2382-2401
Tupes E C amp Christal R E (1961) Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings
(ASD-TR-61-97) Lackland Air Force Base TX Aeronautical System Division
Personnel Laboratory
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1986) Rational choice and the framing of the decision
The Journal of Business Part 2 The Behavioral Foundations of Economic Theory
59 (4) 251-278
Tversky A and Kahneman D (1992) Advances in prospect theory cumulative
representation under uncertainty Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5(4) 297-323
Samra Chaudary
202
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1973) Availability A heuristic for judging frequency and
probability Cognitive psychology 5(2) 207-232
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1974) Judgment under uncertainty Heuristics and biases
Science 185(4157) 1124-1131
Tversky A amp Kahneman D (1981) The framing of decisions and the psychology of
choice Science 211(4481) 453-458
Van Witteloostuijin A amp Muehlfeld K S (2008) Traders personality and trading
performance a framework and financial market experiment Discussion Paper
SeriesTjalling C Koopmans Research Institute 8(28) Utrecht School of
Economics Utrecht University Retrieved from
httpeconpapersrepecorgpaperusetkiwps0828htm
Velicer W F amp Fava J L (1998) Affects of variable and subject sampling on factor
pattern recovery Psychological Methods 3(2) 231
Verma M (2008) Wealth management and behavioral finance The effect of
demographics and personality on investment choice among Indian investors The
ICFAI University Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(4) 31-57
Vitell S J Paolillo J G amp Singh J J (2006) The role of money and religiosity in
determining consumersrsquo ethical beliefs Journal of Business Ethics 64(2) 117-124
Vitell S J Singh J J amp Paolillo J G (2007) Consumersrsquo ethical beliefs The roles of
money religiosity and attitude toward business Journal of Business Ethics 73(4)
369-379
Vohs K D (2015) Money priming can change peoplersquos thoughts feelings motivation
and behaviors An update on 10 years of experiments Journal of Experimental
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Psychology-General 144(4) 86ndash93
Vohs K D Mead N C amp Goode M R (2006) The psychological consequences of
money Science 314(5802) 1154ndash1156
Von Thadden E L (1995) Long-term contracts short-term investment and monitoring
The Review of Economic Studies 62(4) 557-575
Wang C M Xu B B Zhang S J amp Chen Y Q (2016) Influence of personality and
risk propensity on risk perception of Chinese construction project managers
International Journal of Project Management 34(7) 1294-1304
Wang M Keller C amp Siegrist M (2011) The less you know the more you are afraid
ofmdashA survey on risk perceptions of investment products Journal of Behavioral
Finance 12(1) 9-19
Wang X L Shi K amp Fan H X (2006) Psychological mechanisms of investors in
Chinese Stock Markets Journal of Economic Psychology 27(6) 762-780
Warneryd K E (2001) Stock-market psychology How people value and trade stocks
Cheltenham (UK) Edward Elgar
Warren G (2014) Long-Term Investing What Determines Investment Horizon Centre
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Warren G (2016) What does it mean to be a long-term investor (July 2016) Brandes
Institute Research Paper No 2016-04 Retrieved from
httpsssrncomabstract=2987949
Weber E U amp Johnson E J (2008) Decisions under uncertainty Psychological
economic and neuroeconomic explanations of risk preference In P Glimcher C
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204
Camerer E Fehr amp R Poldrack (Eds) Neuroeconomics Decision-making and
the brain 127ndash144) New York Elsevier
Weber E U amp Milliman R A (1997) Perceived risk attitudes Relating risk perception
to risky choice Management Science 43(2) 123-144
Weber E U Blais A R amp Betz N E (2002) A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale
Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors Journal of Behavioral Decision-
making 15(4) 263-290
Weber E U Siebenmorgen N amp Weber M (2005) Communicating asset risk how
name recognition and the format of historic volatility information affect risk
perception and investment decisions Risk Analysis An International Journal
25(3) 597-609
Weber M Weber E U amp Nosić A (2013) Who takes risks when and why
determinants of changes in investor risk taking Review of Finance 17(3) 847-883
Wermers R (1999) Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices The Journal of
Finance 54(2) 581-622
Wernimont PF amp Fitzpatrick S (1972) The meaning of money Journal of Applied
Psychology 56(3) 218-226
Wille G W (1996) A stepwise procedure for the empirical assessment of latent variable
models Unpublished masterrsquos thesis Port Elizabeth University of Port Elizabeth
Wilson A B McNellis C amp Latham C K (2018) Audit firm tenure auditor familiarity
and trust Effect on auditee whistleblowing reporting intentions International
Journal of Auditing 22(2) 113-130
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N L Johnsons (Eds) 6 581-591 New York Wiley
Wong H M (2008) Religiousness love of money and ethical attitudes of Malaysian
evangelical Christians in business Journal of Business Ethics 81(1) 169-191
Wood R E Goodman J S Beckmann N amp Cook A (2008) Mediation testing in
management research A review and proposals Organizational Research Methods
11(2) 270-295
Wood R amp Zaichkowsky J L (2004) Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market
investors A segmentation approach The Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(3) 170-
179
Woolley P (2013) Resilience and the Long-term Rethinking Portfolios for Prosperity
Speech at The Princersquos Charities Event 27th June 2013
Xu H amp Tracey T J (2017) Use of Multi-Group Confirmatory Factor Analysis in
Examining Measurement Invariance in Counseling Psychology Research The
European Journal of Counselling Psychology 6(1) 75-82
Yalcin K C Tatoglu E amp Zaim S (2016) Developing an instrument for measuring the
effects of heuristics on investment decisions Kybernetes 45(7) 1052-1071
Yamauchi K T amp Templer D I (1982) The development of a money attitude scale
Journal of Personality Assessment 46(5) 523ndash528
Yang S Hsu Y amp Tu C (2012) How do traders influence investors confidence and
trading volume A dyad study in the futures market Emerging Markets Finance
and Trade 48(3) 23-34
Samra Chaudary
206
Zakaria R H Jaafar N I M amp Marican S (2012) Financial behavior and financial
position a structural equation modelling approach Middle-East Journal of
Scientific Research 12(10) 1396-1402
Zeisberger S (2018) What is risk how investors perceive risk in return distributions
Working paper Retrieved from httpsssrncomabstract=2811636
Zhang L Q (2009) An exchange theory of money and self-esteem in decision-
making Review of General Psychology 13(1) 66-76
Zhao H Seibert S E amp Lumpkin G T (2010b) The relationship of personality to
entrepreneurial intentions and performance A meta-analytic review Journal of
Management 36(2) 381ndash404-
Zhao X Lynch Jr J G amp Chen Q (2010a) Reconsidering Baron and Kenny Myths
and truths about mediation analysis Journal of Consumer Research 37(2) 197-
206
Zhao H amp Seibert S (2006) The Big-Five personality dimensions and entrepreneurial
status A meta-analytical review Journal of Applied Psychology 91(2) 259-271
Appendix
207
Appendices
Appendix I Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 1 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Personality and
Decision-making
Heinstrom 2003
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Mayfield et al
2008 Lim at al
2013 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Oehler et al 2018
Heinstrom 2003
Van Witteloostuijin
amp Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006ab
Bateman et al
2010 Weber et al
2013 Hoffman et
al 2015 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Verma 2008 Riaz
amp Hunjra 2016
Tauni et al
20152016 Yang et
al 2012 Wang et
al 2006 Personality and
Investment
Decisions
Oehler et al 2018
Mayfield et al
2008 Oehler amp
Wedlich 2018
Hershey amp Mowen
2000 Hunter amp
Kemp 2004 van
Witteloostuijin amp
Muehlfeld 2008
Durand et al 2008
2013 Tauni et al
2015 2016 Yang
et al 2012
Brandstatter 2011
Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
Mayfield et al
2008
Personality and
Risk Taking
Behavior
Nicholson et al
2005 Zhao amp
Seibert 2006
Weber et al 2002
Filbeck et al 2005
Mayfield et al
2008 Brandstatter
2011 Hopfensitz amp
Wranik 2009
Borghans et al
2009
Risk Taking and
Decision-making
Riaz amp Hunjra
2016
MacCrimmon amp
Wehrung 1990
Samra Chaudary
208
Weber amp Milliman
1997 Keller amp
Siegrist 2006a b
Nosic amp Weber
2010 Bateman et
al 2010 Weber et
al 2013 Hoffman
et al 2015 Lim at
al 2013 Duxbury
et al 2005 Weber
et al 2002 Wang
et al 2006
Loewenstein et al
2001 Weber amp
Johnson 2008
Big-Five
Personality Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Big-Five
Personality Risk
Perception Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Appendix
209
Appendix II Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 2 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Heuristics and
Decision-making
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1974
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
De Bondt 1998 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Shefrin amp
Statman 1985
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
Lakonishok et al
1994 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Kahneman amp
Riepe 1998
Odean 1998 1999
Thaler 1999 Jain
amp Wu 2000
Hirshleifer 2001
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Grinblatt amp Han
2005 Nofsinger
2005 Mishra
2014 Yalcin et al
2016 Ahearne et
al 2004 Wang et
al 2011 Lewis
1999 Barberis amp
Xiong 2009
Wermers 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Statman et
al 2006 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Furnham amp Boo
2011 Glaser et al
2007 Thaler amp
Sunstein 2008
Kahneman amp
Tversky 1979 De
Bondt amp Thaler
1985 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Tversky amp
Kahneman 1992
De Bondt 1998
Jain amp Wu 2000
Wang et al 2011
Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Lakonishok et al
1994 Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Chan et al 2005
Ahearne et al
2004 Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Barber amp Odean
2001 Kang amp
Stulz 1997 Odean
1998 1999 Lewis
1999 Wermers
1999 Epley amp
Gilovich 2005
Huberman 2001
Barber et al 2005
Statman et al
2006 Glaser et al
2007 Wang et al
2011 Tversky amp
Kahneman 1981
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Yalcin et al 2016
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 De Vries et
al 2017 Chan et
al 2005 Olsen
1997 Metawa et
al 2019
Samra Chaudary
210
Salience and
Investment
Decisions
Yalcin et al 2016
Huberman 2001
Tverskyamp
Kahneman 1973
Merton 1987
Heath amp Tversky
1991 Fox amp
Tversky 1995
Sirri amp Tufano
1998 Jain amp Wu
2000 Barber et al
2005 Nofsinger
2005Wang et al
2011 Grinblatt amp
Keloharju 2001
Jaiyeoba amp Haron
2016 Antoniou et
al 2010 Baker amp
Ricciardi 2014
Chan et al 2005
Riff amp Yagil 2016
Sizemore 2012
Giannetti amp
Koskinen 2010
Kumar amp
Goetzmann 2003
De Vries et al
2017 Chan et al
2005 Weber et al
2005
Institutional
Investors and
Salience
Coval amp
Moskowitz 1999
Strong amp Xu 2003
Chan et al 2005
Olsen 1997
Borges et al 1999
Goldstein amp
Gigerenzer 2002
Forbes et al 2015
Individual
Investors and
Salience
Baxter 1994
French amp Poterba
1991
Baker et al 2017
De Vries et al
2017 Tesar amp
Werner 1995
Appendix
211
Ahearne et al
2004 Kang amp
Stulz 1997
Seasholes amp Zhu
2010 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Cooper amp Kaplanis
1994
Gender and
Salience
Anderson et al
2011 Alrabadi et
al 2018 Ang et
al 2014 Cao et al
2009 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Karlsson amp Norden
2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018
Prast et al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Tekce et al 2016
Wang et al 2011
Anderson et al
2011 Karlsson amp
Norden 2007
Mohammadi amp
Shafi 2018 Prast et
al 2015
Seiler et al 2008
Seiler et al 2013
Wang et al 2011
Alrabadi et al
2018 Feng amp
Seasholes 2008
Tekce et al 2016
Salience Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Salience
Institutional
Investors
Individual
Investors Gender
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
212
Appendix III Supporting Literature for Relationships of Paper 3 Relationships Supporting
Literature
Evidences from
Developed
Economies
Evidences from
Developing
Economies
Attitudes and
Decision-making
Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013
Akhtar amp Das
2019
Lim amp Teo 1997
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Tang et al
2006 Vitell et al
2007 Tang et al
2008 Tang amp
Chen 2008 Klontz
amp Britt 2012
Gentina et al 2018
Hampson et al
2018 Tang amp Chiu
2003 Medina et al
1996 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Tang et al
2006 Li et al
2009 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011 Jia
et al 2013
Sardzoska ampTang
2012 Mahastanti amp
Hariady 2013 Shih
amp Ke 2014 Tang
et al 2018a
Akhtar amp Das 2019
Money Attitudes
and Decision-
making
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Vitell et al 2007
Tang et al
2008ab Tang amp
Chen 2008 Li et
al 2009 Klontz amp
Britt 2012 Shih amp
Ke 2014 Tang
2016 Britt 2016
Tang et al 2018a
Greenberg amp
Hershfield 2019
Money Attitudes
and Investment
Decisions
Keller amp Siegrist
2006a Jia et al
2013 Shih amp Ke
2014 Tang et al
2018a
Demographics and
Money Attitudes
Lim amp Teo 1997
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Oezgen amp Bayoglu
2005 Du amp Tang
2005 Bhardwaj amp
Bhattacharjee
2010 Carol amp
Samsinar 2011
Hampson et al
2018 Gentina et al
2018 Yamauchi amp
Templer 1982
Medina et al 1996
Tang amp Chiu 2003
Tang et al 2006
Tang et al
2008ab Sardzoska
ampTang 2012
Demographics and
Investment
Decision
Warneryd 2001
Haisley et al 2008
Greenberg amp
Appendix
213
Hershfield 2019
Cicchetti amp Dubin
1994 Grable et al
2004 Hlouskova et
al 2017
Greenberg 2013
Embrey and Fox
1997
Money Attitudes
Short-term and
Long-term
Investment
Decisions
This Study
Money Attitudes
Income
Inheritance Short-
term and Long-
term Investment
Decisions
This Study
Samra Chaudary
214
Appendix IV List of Financial Institutions 1 Aba Ali Securities- Karachi
2 Alfalah Investments- Karachi
3 Allied Bank Limited (ABL)- Asset Management Company- Lahore
4 Arif Habib- Karachi
5 Bank Islami Pakistan Limited Securities (BIPL)- Karachi
6 Central Depository Company (CDC) - Karachi
7 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
8 Faysal - Asset Management Company- Lahore
9 Foundation Securities- Karachi
10 IGI Insurance- Lahore
11 Insight Securities- Karachi
12 JS Global Capital- Karachi
13 JS Global Capital- Lahore
14 Meezan - Asset Management Company-Lahore
15 Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) - Asset Management Company
16 NBP Fullerton Asset Management Limited (NAFA)- Lahore
17 Pakistan Stock Exchange- Lahore
18 Pakistan Stock Exchange-Karachi
19 Shajar Capital- Karachi
20 Silk - Asset Management Company- Lahore
21 Topline Securities- Karachi
22 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Karachi
23 United Bank Limited (UBL) - Asset Management Company- Lahore
Appendix
215
Appendix V Paper 1 Structural Models (Mediation)
Figure 23 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and short-term investment decision
Figure 24 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and short-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
216
Figure 25 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and short-term investment decision
Figure 26 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and short-term investment decision
Appendix
217
Figure 27 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and short-term investment decision
Figure 28 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
neuroticism and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
218
Figure 29 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
extraversion and long-term investment decision
Figure 210 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between openness
and long-term investment decision
Appendix
219
Figure 211 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
agreeableness and long-term investment decision
Figure 212 Structural model of the mediating effect of risk perception between
conscientiousness and long-term investment decision
Samra Chaudary
220
Appendix VI Questionnaire
This questionnaire is aimed at collecting data for PhD thesis in Business Administration
Please fill the questionnaire to the best of your knowledge The information taken is purely
for research purpose and will be kept confidential Thank you for taking the time to assist
me in my educational endeavours
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
Short-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
1-I intend to put at least half of my
investment money into the stock market
1 2 3 4 5
2-I intend to engage in portfolio
management activities at least twice per
week
1 2 3 4 5
3-I intend to perform my own investment
research instead of using outside advice
1 2 3 4 5
4-I intend to compare my portfolio
performance to that of professional
managers
1 2 3 4 5
Long-Term Investment
Decision
(Mayfield et al 2008)
5-I intend to save at least 10 of my
gross earnings for investing saving
retirement purposes
1 2 3 4 5
6-I intend to have a portfolio that focuses
on multiple asset classes (ie shares
bonds cash real estate etc)
1 2 3 4 5
7-I intend to take an investments course 1 2 3 4 5
8-I intend to manage my portfolio for
maximum gross return rather than tax
and cost efficiency
1 2 3 4 5
9-I intend to invest some money in long-
term assets where my money will be tied
up and inaccessible for years
1 2 3 4 5
Neuroticism
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
10-I often feel inferior to others 1 2 3 4 5
11-When Im under a great deal of stress
sometimes I feel like Im going to pieces
1 2 3 4 5
12-I often feel tense and jittery 1 2 3 4 5
13-Sometimes I feel completely
worthless
1 2 3 4 5
14-Too often when things go wrong I
get discouraged and feel like giving up
1 2 3 4 5
Appendix
221
Extraversion
(Costa ampMcCrae 1992)
15-I really enjoy talking to people 1 2 3 4 5
16-I am a cheerful high-spirited person 1 2 3 4 5
17-I am a very active person 1 2 3 4 5
Openness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
18-I am intrigued by the patterns I find in
art and nature
1 2 3 4 5
19-I often try new and foreign foods 1 2 3 4 5
20-I have a lot of intellectual curiosity 1 2 3 4 5
21-I often enjoy playing with theories or
abstract ideas
1 2 3 4 5
Agreeableness
(Costa amp McCrae 1992)
22-I often get into arguments with my
family and co-workers
1 2 3 4 5
23-Some people think Im selfish and
egotistical
1 2 3 4 5
24-Some people think of me as cold and
calculating
1 2 3 4 5
Conscientiousness
(CostaampMcCrae1992)
25-I keep my belongings neat and clean 1 2 3 4 5
26-I am pretty good about pacing myself
so as to get things done on time
1 2 3 4 5
27-I waste a lot of time before settling
down to work
1 2 3 4 5
Salience
(Yalcin et al 2016)
28-Expert opinions in written and visual
media should be taken into consideration
when investing
1 2 3 4 5
29-A companyrsquos share which is often in
the media with favorable news coverage
should be preferred when investing
1 2 3 4 5
30-To invest in companies that have a
good brand name is important to me
1 2 3 4 5
31-It is risky to invest in relatively
unknown public companies rather than
known ones
1 2 3 4 5
32-I believe that investors should
purchase the share of the company they
work for if it is well run
1 2 3 4 5
Achievement
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
33-I believe that the amount of money
that a person earns is closely related to
hisher ability and effort
1 2 3 4 5
34-Money represents ones achievement 1 2 3 4 5
35-Money is a symbol of success 1 2 3 4 5
36-I believe that a persons salary is very
revealing in assessing their intelligence
1 2 3 4 5
Power
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
37-Money can give you the opportunity
to be what you want to be
1 2 3 4 5
38-Money gives you autonomy or
freedom
1 2 3 4 5
Samra Chaudary
222
39-Money means power 1 2 3 4 5
40-Money will help you express your
competence and abilities
1 2 3 4 5
41-Money can bring you many friends 1 2 3 4 5
Obsession
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
42-I firmly believe that money can solve
all of my problems
1 2 3 4 5
43-Money can buy everything 1 2 3 4 5
44-I would do practically anything legal
for money if it were enough
1 2 3 4 5
45-I often fantasize about money and
what I could do with it
1 2 3 4 5
Budget
(Keller amp Siegrist2006a)
46-I am proud of my ability to save
money
1 2 3 4 5
47-I feel compelled to argue or bargain
about the cost of almost everything that I
buy
1 2 3 4 5
Indicate your gut level assessment of how risky each situation is on a five-point rating
scale
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all risky Slightly
Risky
Moderately
Risky
Relatively more
Risky
Very Risky
Risk Perception
(Weber et al 2002)
48-Investing 10 of your annual income
in a moderate growth mutual fund
1 2 3 4 5
49-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a very speculative shares
1 2 3 4 5
50-Investing 5 of your annual income
in a conservative shares
1 2 3 4 5
1-How long have you been investing in the stock market hellipyears andhellipmonths
2-Whats your role in the management of wealth (check only one option)
1048713 I manage my own wealth only 1048713 I manage peoplersquos wealth
3-Do you expect to receive inheritancetransfer of assets from your family
1048713 Yes 1048713 No
4-What is your amount invested in the stockshares portfolio PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
5-How would you rate your religiosity
1048713 Very liberal 1048713Moderately religious 1048713Very religious
6-What is your age helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip years
Appendix
223
7-What is your monthly income PKR helliphelliphelliphelliphelliphellip
8-Please circle the highest number of years of school completed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23+
9-Gender 1048713 Male 1048713 Female
Thank you for your help