the interagency fuels treatment decision support system ... · overview of presentation ... data...

The Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision

J h Ci l H Mi h l R h Ti S db

Support System (IFT-DSS)

John Cissel, H. Michael Rauscher, Tim SwedbergJoint Fire Science Program

Tami Funk, Stacy Drury, Neil Wheeler Sonoma Technology IncSonoma Technology, Inc.

Petaluma, California

Erik ChristiansenFuel Management Committee, National Wildfire Coordinating Group

Brad HarwoodUSDA, Forest Service

Overview of Presentation

• Brief introduction and backgroundBrief introduction and background• What does IFT-DSS do for users?

H i IFT DSS l t d t th t ?• How is IFT-DSS related to other systems?• The stakeholder operational environment• The emerging vision for Fire Software

Systemsy

2

Current Condition: Fuels Treatment CommunityCommunity

Fuels treatment planners have a needand they use what they know Governance & IT and they use what they know community missing

U i l t d fUsers are isolated from each other

Tools are isolated from each other

Developers are isolated from each other

33

Scientists and data providers create tools


Current State of the Fuels Treatment SoftwareSoftware

• Currently an assortment of data softwareCurrently an assortment of data, software applications and systems

Over 400 software tools of all typesN t ll ibl t th itNot all are accessible to the community Most are problem-specific Some are comprehensive but only support specific data and use-casessupport specific data and use cases It is difficult to “string” them together Not always supported

4

Survey of Fuels Treatment Specialists

• What does this mean for the userWhat does this mean for the user community?

Users use what they know Users use what they know Use tools that are user-friendly, simple May not know that other tools exist Limited guidance on which to use

Summary of Survey Respondents

Bureau of Land

~90%

nden

ts

~90%

nden

ts

A lot of time is spent “stringing” tools together for specific purposesA lot of time is spent acquiring and preparing data

National Park Service

13

Bureau of Land Management

11

~10 20%

~20-50%

Perc

ent o

f Res

pon

~10 20%

~20-50%

Perc

ent o

f Res

pon

preparing dataFish & Wildlife

4

Forest Service 19BEHAVE FOFEM, FIREFAMILY+,

FARSITE, FLAMMAP,FMA+, FVS/FFE,

RERAP, NEXUS,CONSUME, FRCC,SIS, FFI/Firemon,

~10-20%PBEHAVE FOFEM, FIREFAMILY+,

FARSITE, FLAMMAP,FMA+, FVS/FFE,


BEHAVE FOFEM, FIREFAMILY+,FARSITE, FLAMMAP,

FMA+, FVS/FFE,


~10-20%PIFT-DSS must facilitate the most

difficult and time consumingTotal Responses = 47 LANDFIRE data,

ArcGISWIMS data,

Google EarthLANDFIRE data,

ArcGISWIMS data,

Google EarthLANDFIRE data,

ArcGISWIMS data,

Google Earth

gtasks to ensure success

5

Current State of the Fuels Treatment CommunityCommunity

• What about the existing comprehensiveWhat about the existing comprehensive systems that “string” models together?

ArcFuels, INFORMS, LANDFIRE-IFP, StarFire, OptFuels = VERY USEFUL SCIENCE

Some are agency specific- Some are agency specific- Some require “expert” knowledge- Do not address all fuels treatmentuse cases

User groups are smallDo not facilitate collaboration with each otherNot SOA frameworks designed for expansionNot SOA frameworks designed for expansion

User designed custom analyses not supported

6

Software Tools and Systems (STS) Study Strategic Assessment Phase IStrategic Assessment - Phase I

Software Engineering Instituteperformed strategic analysis ofp g y

problem space

Outcomes:Web-based SOA framework(s) needed( )BlueSky on right track Data not available to select “best” modelsInvolve user, developer, governance, IT communities throughoutAligned with NWCG NWFEA

STS Study – Phase I

Aligned with NWCG NWFEAFuels planning focus for further exploration

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar2007 2008 2009

February 2007 February 2008

7

yInitiation of

Phase I of theSTS Study

yConclusion ofPhase I of the

STS Study

Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System (IFT-DSS) Design -

Phase IISoftware

IFT-DSSArchitecture

Design

Sonoma Technology, Inc.

Interagency fuels team

IFT-DSSConceptual

Design

Current Practices& Needs Assessment

Fuels Treatment Planning Decision Support Process

Define project, vegetation data,landscape and scale

Define projectanalysis

Retrievevegetation,

geophysical,& weather data

Generatesummaryreports

Definearea of interest

(AOI)

View/manipulatedata as needed


Define project, vegetation data,landscape and scale


Retrievevegetation,




(AOI)


(AOI)

View/manipulatedata as neededView/manipulatedata as needed

ArchitectureStudy Graphical User Interface

(User Interaction)

Control Database(Business Process Control)

Dispatcher(Business Process Management & Information Flow)

Data and Software Services(Business Services)

Geospatial Database(Data Storage and Access Service)

Graphical User Interface(User Interaction)

Graphical User Interface(User Interaction)









Interagency fuels team

Document

Design treatment strategies

Simulate & analyzefire behavior

Current year datapreparation & quality control

Simulate alternateweather

scenario(s)

= human mediated action

Simulate vegetation,geophysical, and fuel conditions

landscape, and scale

Analyze fire effectsand/or risk


Treelistdata

LANDFIREdata

View/assessvegetation

data

Update treelistdata (FFE-FVS)

Imputationanalysis

ConsiderDisturbance

Updatedvegetation

data Prepare data forinput to fire behavior

model


UpdateLANDFIRE data

View/assessoutputdata



Meets geophysical,sociological, ecological

target conditions?

YESAnalysis complete

generate finaldocumentation

Performbenefit/lossrisk analysis Identify/prioritize

treatmentareas

Develop compositeindex of values

affected


Inputvalues at

risk

Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatments

to apply

FFE-FVS

FCCS

Simulate post-treatment vegetation

and fuels data

Manualadjustment

FFE-FVS

FCCS


NO





scenario(s)



landscape, and scale



Treelistdata

Treelistdata

LANDFIREdata

LANDFIREdata


data


data


Imputationanalysis

ConsiderDisturbance

Updatedvegetation

data

Updatedvegetation

data Prepare data forinput to fire behavior

model


UpdateLANDFIRE data

UpdateLANDFIRE data







target conditions?



Performbenefit/lossrisk analysis


treatmentareas

Identify/prioritizetreatment

areas


affected


affected


Inputvalues at

risk

Inputvalues at

risk

Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatments

to apply

Selecttreatments

to apply

FFE-FVS

FCCS


and fuels data


and fuels data

Manualadjustment

Manualadjustment

FFE-FVS

FCCS


NO

STS Study – Phase II

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar2007 2008 2009

June 2008 March 2009

8

Initiation ofPhase II of the

STS Study

Conclusion ofPhase II of the

STS Study

IFT-DSS Proof of Concept Contract -Phase IIIPhase III

IFT-DSS v 0.1.0 IFT-DSS v 0.3.0

May June July August September October November December January February March April May2009 2010

GUI k Savannah IFT DSS 0 2 0GUI mock-ups Fire Congress IFT-DSS v 0.2.0

9

Phase IV: System Development IFT DSS v 0 4IFT-DSS v 0.4

• Focus on transitioning proof-of-conceptFocus on transitioning proof of concept architecture to full system architecture

• Expand prescribed burn functionalityExpand prescribed burn functionality– Expanded FlamMap capability– Inclusion of FOFEM– FCCS surface fire behavior– Variable wind analysis– Burn plan documentation support– Burn plan documentation support

• User feedback from IFTDSS version 0.3• Strategic planning (spatial) functionality• Strategic planning (spatial) functionality

from version 0.3

Phase IV: System DevelopmentIFTDSS Version 1 0IFTDSS Version 1.0

January February March April May JuneJanuary February March April May June

Prescribed burn plan work flow

Integration of FCCS, Consume, and FEPSg , ,Data acquisition and preparation work flow

Acquire, view, and edit LANDFIRE data Integration of NIFFT tool functionality FCCS fuelbed editor Ability to overlay GIS layers (i.e., values at risk, etc.) FireFamily+

Strategic planning work flowStrategic planning work flow

Integration of FlamMap MTT (fire spread and direction) Simulate fire effects with FOFEM

Risk assessment work flowRisk assessment work flow

Ability to input values at risk functions Assessment of current conditions

Phase IV: System DevelopmentIFTDSS Version 2 0IFTDSS Version 2.0

Data acq isition and preparation ork flo

July 2011 June 2012

Data acquisition and preparation work flow

Acquire and edit treelist data; perform imputation; growth simulation (FVS)

Integration of FARSITEStrategic planning work flow

Integration of FARSITE

Ability to identify project areas and treatment units Ability to assign treatments in space and time

Spatially explicit fuels treatment assignment work flow

Ability to assign treatments in space and time Ability to simulate treatment results

Ability to choose vegetation types and establish treatment typesFuels treatment effectiveness over time work flow

y g yp yp Ability to input fuel moistures and other weather variables Ability to simulate results over time using FVS-FFE

Risk assessment work flow Ability to assign fuels treatments (simulation of vegetation needed) Ability to analyze the impact of treatments Ability to iterate treatment options until desired results are achieved




Systemsy

13

Work Flow Scenarios

• Data acquisition and preparation• Strategic planning• Spatially explicit fuels treatment

assignment• Fuels treatment over time• Prescribed burn planning• Risk assessment• User defined (custom)• User-defined (custom)

1

Refined Work Flow Scenarios and Proposed Proof of Concept System Functionality for the IFT-DSS; Drury et al., 2009(http://frames.nbii.gov/ift-dss)

Analysis flowy

1) Define project, vegetation, scale2) Prepare and ensure quality of vegetation data) epa e a d e su e qua ty o egetat o data3) Simulate and analyze fire behavior4) Analyze fire effects and/or fire risk5) Design treatment strategies6) Simulate treated vegetation as well as

geophysical and fuel conditions7) Simulate treatment effectiveness in reducing

fi b h i d fi ff t t ti lfire behavior and fire effects potentials

1


Define project, vegetation data,landscape, and scale


Retrievevegetation,




(AOI)

View/manipulatedata as needed


Define project, vegetation data,landscape, and scale


Retrievevegetation,




(AOI)


(AOI)

View/manipulatedata as neededView/manipulatedata as needed

Treelistdata

LANDFIREdata


data


Imputationanalysis

ConsiderDisturbance

Updatedvegetation

data Prepare data for


U d t

Treelistdata

Treelistdata

LANDFIREdata

LANDFIREdata


data


data


Imputationanalysis

ConsiderDisturbance

Updatedvegetation

data

Updatedvegetation

data Prepare data for


U d tU d t



input to fire behaviormodel

UpdateLANDFIRE data


GeneratesummaryreportsSimulate & analyze

fire behavior


input to fire behaviormodel

UpdateLANDFIRE data

UpdateLANDFIRE data





scenario(s)Simulate & analyzefire behavior



target conditions?



Generate

Inputvalues at

risk NO


scenario(s)Simulate & analyzefire behavior




target conditions?



Generate

Inputvalues at

risk

Inputvalues at

risk NO



treatmentareas


affected

summaryreports

risk NO


Performbenefit/lossrisk analysis


treatmentareas

Identify/prioritizetreatment

areas


affected


affected

summaryreports

riskrisk NO


Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatments

to apply

FFE-FVS

FCCS

Simulate post-t t t t ti

FFE-FVS Generatesummary


Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatment

areas

Selecttreatments

to apply

Selecttreatments

to apply

FFE-FVS

FCCS



FFE-FVS Generatesummary



treatment vegetationand fuels data

Manualadjustment FCCS

reports





Manualadjustment

Manualadjustment FCCS

reports

16




Systemsy

17

Many Systems - Little Interaction

Fuels Systems ReportingSystems

Non-FuelsS tSOA Web-based

EMDS/HFPAS

Systems Systems

FPA FPAiRWin

SOA Web based

National

Regional NFPORS

Others

WFDSSBLUESKY

Regional

Sub-Regional

Project Level

IFP LANDFIRE

IFT-DSS

Base Models & DataStand alone

Project Level

RegionalFl M LANDFIREIFP-LANDFIRE

StarFireINFORMSARCFUELSOptFuels

Sub-Regional

P j t L l

FlamMapFOFEMCONSUMEFVS/FFENEXUS

LANDFIREWIMSFFI/FIREMONFSVegFAMWEBOptFuels

SFRASProject Level FMA+

FireFamily+…….

…….

18




Systemsy

19

Success requires stakeholder cooperation

Fire and Fuel

q p

Fire and Fuel Operations Managers

(Users)

I t F l

Scientist Developers

(Service Providers)

Governance through

Agency Senior Management

includingN W C G Interagency Fuel

Treatment Decision Support System

Coordination Team(Coordinators)

Providers)N W C G(Leaders)

DatabaseStewards

InformatiionTechnologists

(Service Providers)

gand Software

Managers(Enablers)

20

Every stakeholder group must have rewards IFT DSS can:rewards, IFT-DSS can:

• Advantages for Fire & Fuel Operations ManagersUniversal access and version control through the Internet– Universal access and version control through the Internet

– Easy access to the necessary available data– Choice of software tools from a common interface– Easy setups for the most common analysesEasy setups for the most common analyses– Custom solutions for advanced users for unique situations– A single Graphical User Interface to master

• Advantages for Scientist Developers– Provides developers with software-software communications

standards– Allows developers to improve functionality behind the scenes– Provides developers instant access to a large user community– Reduces the cost of developing and fielding software tools

U t t ti ll t t d l i di ll– Useage reports automatically sent to developers periodically

21

Every stakeholder group must have rewards IFT DSS can:rewards, IFT-DSS can:

• Advantages for the IT/Software ManagersEnsures that security requirements are met– Ensures that security requirements are met

– Ensures that agency IT policy has been followed– Databases of record are actually used

• Advantages for the Governance Community (NWCG+)– Organizes all fuels management software services into a single

SOA system making supervision manageabley g p g– Enables informed management decisions on funding, expansion

of functions, and prioritization of effort– Enhances ability to provide guidance on process and quality

controlcontrol– Increases agency operating capabilities by focusing scarce

resources on high priority functions

22

A communications strategy is crucial to a building a good stakeholder communitybuilding a good stakeholder community

Late Majority800

Awareness

UnderstandingEarly Majority

100

Early Adopters

Trial Use

Adoptiony p

44

Innovators 13

23

Test User Group (1 of 2)pDemographics

• Multi-agency representation• Geographic representation

IFT-DSS Test User Group Population

60

30

40

50

er o

f Tes

t Use

rs

0

10

20

09 ne uly ust ber

ber

ber

ber

ary ary

ch

pril 10

Num

be

May-09 June July

Augus

Septem

be

Octobe

Novem

be

Decem

be

Janu

ary

Februa

ry

March

Apr

May-10

Time

24

Test User Group (2 of 2)p

25




Systemsy

26

Current Condition: Fuels Treatment CommunityCommunity

Fuels treatment planners have a needand they use what they know Governance & IT and they use what they know community missing

U i l t d fUsers are isolated from each other


Developers are isolated from each other

227

Scientists and data providers create tools


Vision for the Fuels Treatment CommunityCommunity

IFT‐DSS Framework Architecture:

Single interface, multiple tools, ce g , p ,data transformations, web‐based

New tools are coded gove

rnan

c

as IFT-DSS services & linked with wrapped tools

nolo

gy &

g

Legacy tools are “wrapped” with a

standard interfaceatio

n te

ch

standard interface

Info

rm

28Scientists and data providers create tools

Vision for the Fire and Fuels Community ce

Linked integratedgo

vern

anc

System‐to‐system interoperability

integrated framework architectures,e.g., IFT‐DSS, l k

nolo

gy &

g

interoperability standards

BlueSky, WFDSS

atio

n te

chIn

form

29

Library of common services

Help us develop IFT-DSSp p

• Review the documentation published by p ythe IFT-DSS project on the web:

– http://frames.nbii.gov/ift-dss

• Contact: Mike Rauscher– Email: [email protected]

the interagency fuels treatment decision support system ... · overview of presentation ... data...

Documents