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POVERTY AND INEQUALITY IN INDIA AN INTER-STATE ANALYSIS
Dr. T.K.S. Villalan,
ASSOCIAT PROFSSOR & Head,
Post- Graduate& Research, Department of Economics,
Pachaiyappa’s college,
Chennai-30
Mr. A. Vinayagam
Full Time Research scholar
Post- Graduate& Research
Department of Economics
Pachaiyappa’s college
Chennai-30
INTRODUCTION
In India, the question of poverty eradication and removal of regional imbalances has been
one of the major concerns before policy makers and planners. Where a lot of policies and
strategies have been made for the poverty eradication, regional equality has been a significant
objective of the national plans. But the sad reality is that despite electoral catchphrases like
―Garibi Hatad‖, ―India Shining‖ and ―Aam Admi‖ being campaign platforms during
elections, a determined assault on poverty and backwardness has in reality been low on the
list of national priorities. From 1973 to 2004, the poverty percentage has reduced by more
than half- from 54.9 percent to 23.6 perent. This gives one the notion that poverty is
declining steadily and soon there will be none of it. However, it is self serving only to look at
poverty rates because the decline of the actual number of people below the poverty line has
been less than a quarter -from 32 crore people to 25 crore people or an annual decline of only
0.81 percent. Considering that the absolute numbers of those officially deemed poverty
stricken has only decreased marginally since 1973, the notion that the problem of poverty is
being tackled is an ill-conceived one. Considering the economy grew at over 5 percent over
the same period, such a low rate of decline of poverty must be deemed unacceptable. It is not
surprising that the Planning Commission and the Government prefer not to talk about these
figures and instead dwell on the fact that the percentage of poor has declined to 26 percent
since reforms. Many experts even dispute this claim.
Same way, the another problem i.e. regional disparities in the level of growth experienced in
India, is a major challenge for policy makers and planners, as it produces serious threat to the
socio-political harmony of the country. States have experienced different pace of growth,
with some states showing fast progress and others languishing behind, although the national
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growth has been remarkable for the past two decades. Moreover, faster economic growth has
seen rising inter-State. disparities. While India's higher-income States have successfully
reduced poverty to levels comparable with richer Latin American countries, its poorer States
- Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Rajasthan, and Uttar
Pradesh - have not kept pace and are lagging behind their more prosperous counterparts. In
1983 more than 50 percent of the population in Orissa, Bihar, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu
were living below poverty line. By 2000, in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu the poverty ratio
declined by half but Orissa and Bihar continue to be the poorest states with nearly half of
their population being below poverty line. J&K, Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Andhra
Pradesh and Maharashtra are other states which have achieved significant decline in
prevalence of poverty. The difference in rate of decline in poverty has resulted in widening of
the gap between states; for instance poverty ratio in Orissa is eight times higher than the
poverty ratio in Punjab. Thus there is much concordance between incidence of poverty and
state wise disparities in growth. Marginal reduction in HCR (Head Count Ratio) has come
along with unprecedented prosperity for a fortunate few. The states which were already in a
better footing experienced fast growth, while there has been no significant improvement in
the poorest few. Moreover, the proportion of people below poverty line is also not same for
rural and urban areas and all social groups and economic categories. Evidence suggests that
income inequality is rising and the gap in average per capita income between the rich and
poor states is growing. There is substantial disparity in social indicators between rich and
poor States, suggesting that not only income is low in the poorer States but also the quality of
life is worse. The persistence of lagging regions, with substantial concentration of the poor, is
raising concerns about social and political stability of these regions, with possible fallout for
the country as a whole.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The specific objectives of the study are:
1. To review the state wise, social group wise and household’s type wise trends of incidence
of poverty in India.
2. To find out the relationship between state wise poverty ratio and state wise values of
indicators of development.
3. To find out the influence of various indicators of development on movement of poverty.
4. To review the trends in inter-state inequality in India.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Data Collection
The study is completely based on secondary data collected from various reports of Planning
Commission, National Sample Survey organization, National Family Health Survey,
National Human Development Reports, Economic and Political Weekly Research
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Foundation, Census of India, RBI Bulletins, Economic Survey of India and various research
publications.
SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
In the present study an attempt has been made to discuss the problem of poverty and
inequality in India in detail. Results have been drawn on most of the aspects related to the
state wise analysis of poverty and inequality. The findings of the study may serve policy
makers, programme managers, departments of government and researchers associated with
the issue of poverty reduction and removal of state wise disparities in the country.
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK OF POVERTY
Poverty as a public policy concern is now widely considered to be a multidimensional
problem at the global, national and community level. However, these dimensions of poverty
are more interrelated and complementary rather than substitutes.
The concept of poverty has a very long and diverse history. Early studies on poverty in the
20th century can be traced back to booth’s(1892) pauperism and analysis of town life in Row
tree’s(1901) work who initially defined poverty in terms of ―physical efficiency‖—a
physiological standard referring to a prescribed ―basket of goods‖. Rowntree’s definition
provides a framework for survey conducted by Bowley.
Nevertheless by 1965, another philosopher, Townsend, contradicted Rowntree’s definition
and adopted a relative rather than an absolute standard of poverty .Townsend and Smith
(1965) argued that individuals, families and groups in the population can be said to be in
poverty when they lack the resources to obtain the types of diets, participate in the activities
and have the living conditions which are customary or at least widely encouraged and
approved in the societies to which they belong
In Harrington’s (1962) ―the other American‖ and Galbraith’s (1958) ―the affluent society‖,
much was said to arouse the attention of the public, the politicians, and especially
academicians about the importance of poverty to economic development. The 1964 report of
the council of economic advisers set out a poverty line at $3000, drawing heavily on the
research of Orshansky (1965), with more emphasis on the level of disposable income, which
was reflected in macroeconomic indicators like Gross National Product (GNP) per capita and
with an emphasis on precipitate income growth.
In the 1970’s political debate especially within the World Bank and acadmic research in
major universities, helped reshape the whole concept of poverty. Further emphasis on relative
deprivation, inspired in the UK by Runciman, helped redefine Poverty as not just a failure to
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meet minimum nutrition or subsistence, but rather as a failure to keep up with the standards
prevalent in a given society. Another important shift at this time was a broadening of the
concept of income poverty to a wider set of basic needs, including those provided within the
socio-economic environment. Following the international labor organizations (ILO)
pioneering work in the mid 1970’s poverty came to be defined not just as lack of income but
also as a lack of access to health, education and basic social services deemed necessary for
survival.
ALTERNATIVE DEFINATIONS OF POVERTY:
Adam Smith (1776): By necessaries, I understand not only the commodities which are
indispensable necessary for the support of life but whenever the custom renders it indecent
for creditable people, even of the lowest order to be without. A linen shirt for example is
strictly speaking not a necessity of life. But in the present time-a creditable day, laborers
would be ashamed to appear in public without a linen shirt, the want of which would be
supposed to denote that disgraceful state of poverty.
Seeboham Rowntree (1899): A family is counted as poor if their total earnings are
insufficient to obtain the minimum necessities of merely physical efficiency.
William Bveridge (1942): In considering the minimum income needed by person of working
age for subsistence during interruption of earnings, It is sufficient to take into account food,
clothing, fuel, light and household sundries, and rent, though some margin must be allowed
for inefficiency in spending.
Ronald Henderson (1975): Insofar as poverty is defined by references to a minimum
acceptable standard of living, it is a relative concept. It requires a value judgement that must
reflect the productivity of the economy and community attitudes. The task of determining a
minimum standard of living is difficult given the variety of life styles and values in society
and the range of matters such as food, shelter, clothing, health and education that must be
considered.
Peter Townsend (1979): Individual’s families and groups in the population can be said to be
in poverty when they lack the resources to obtain the types of diet, participate in the activities
and have the living conditions and amenities which are customary, or at least widely
encouraged or approved in the societies to which they belong.
William Bveridge (1942)
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In considering the minimum income needed by person of working age for subsistence during
interruption of earnings, It is sufficient to take into account food, clothing, fuel, light and
household sundries, and rent, though some margin must be allowed for inefficiency in
spending.
Ronald Henderson (1975): Insofar as poverty is defined by references to a minimum
acceptable standard of living, it is a relative concept. It requires a value judgement that must
reflect the productivity of the economy and community attitudes. The task of determining a
minimum standard of living is difficult given the variety of life styles and values in society
and the range of matters such as food, shelter, clothing, health and education that must be
considered.
Peter Townsend (1979):
Individual’s families and groups in the population can be said to be in poverty when they
lack the resources to obtain the types of diet, participate in the activities and have the living
conditions and amenities which are customary, or at least widely encouraged or approved in
the societies to which they belong.
Amartya Sen (1992): Poverty is the failure of basic capabilities to reach certain minimally
acceptable levels. The functioning relevant to this can vary from such elementary physical
ones as being well-nourished, being adequately clothed and sheltered, avoiding preventable
morbidity etc to more complex social achievements such as taking part in the life of the
community being able to appear in public without shame and so on.
Deaton, Angus and Dreze, Jean (2002) examined the poverty ratio during 90s by measuring
head count ratio and poverty gap index based on the data from the consumption expenditure
survey of NSS, the CSO’s National Accounts Statistics, the Employment- Unemployment
surveys’ of NSS and data on agricultural wages and inequality for the time period during
1993-94 to 1999-2000. The authors conclude that 54th round survey based results reveal no
change in poverty during 1993-94 to 1998, but, the official counts based on 55th round reveal
that head count ratio declined from 36 to 26 percent during 1993-94 to 1999-2000. On the
other end, the adjusted estimates for head count index reveal around two third declines in the
official counts based poverty in rural area and about 90 percent decline in urban area. The
poverty gap index based measurement of poverty also reveals decline in poverty in both the
rural and urban areas. Further in regards to the inter-state inequality it is clear from the study
that it increased during 1993-94 to 1999-2000 due to the increase in divergence of per capita
expenditure across states (expenditure was more in the states from southern and western
regions). Further more rural urban disparities of per capita expenditure also rose. Thus the
study indicates towards a continuous decline in poverty and a significant increase in inter-
state inequality during the nineties.
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Datt, Gaurav, Kozel, Valerie and Ravallion, Martin (2002)
using an econometric model on state level poverty measures based on the data of NSS rounds
examined the rates of poverty reduction over the period 1994-2000. The authors conclude
that incidence of poverty declined from 39 percent in 1993-94 to 34 percent in 1999- 2000 or
at the rate of about 0.8 percentage point per year. Besides this, the authors traced state
specific elasticities of poverty to non farm output growth, yield per hectare, per capita
development spending and rate of inflation. They find that higher farm yields, higher
development spending and higher non farm output significantly contributed to the poverty
reduction. On the other hand, higher inflation rate significantly contributed to the increase in
incidence of poverty.
Deaton, Angus (2003) estimated poverty for 1999-2000 by adjusting the poverty estimate of the
55th round to make them comparable with earlier large rounds. He uses the expenditure data
on six broad categories namely- fuel and light, miscellaneous goods, miscellaneous services,
non-institutional medical services, rent and consumer cesses and taxes to get an idea of
poverty. He concludes that the adjusted rural poverty estimates were somewhat higher than
the official estimate of 27.1 percent. Most of states show a similar pattern, though in cases of
Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Punjab and Tamil Nadu, the adjusted estimates were lower than the
official numbers. In case of urban sector, adjusted estimates were very close to the official
estimates. Across the states, some of the adjusted figure were lower and some higher than the
official figures. Notable changes were in Rajasthan and West Bengal where the adjusted
poverty counts were considerably higher than the official ones. Thus the results reveal that
the official poverty counts based on the 30-day recall period questionnaire are not seriously
misleading in urban area, though in the rural sector it appears that out of total decline
measured by the official estimates only around two-thirds decline in poverty is real.
Deaton, Angus in one more study in 2003 highlighted the trends on poverty for the period of
1987 to 2000 calculating his own price indexes and making use of these price indexes to
calculate a new set of poverty lines. His calculated inflation rates were somewhat lower than
those used by the planning commission; as a result, his rural poverty lines were also lower
than the official ones. Moreover his urban poverty lines were on an average 15 percent higher
than his rural poverty lines which were nearly 40 percent higher in the official liens. Further
the results of the study reveal that head count ratios showed a rapid decline in poverty rates,
by 1 percentage point a year from 1987-88 to 1993-94 and by 1.9 percentage points a year
from 1993-94 to 1999-2000. On the other hand urban head count ratio fell by 0.8 percentage
points a year from 1987-88 to 1993-94 and by 1.4 percentage points a year from 1993-2000,
which resulted to the persistent decline in poverty in both the rural and urban areas.
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Sundaram, K. and Tendulkar, Suresh D. (2003) analyzed poverty in India partly on the basis
of published result and partly on the basis of the unit-level records of the 50th and 55th
rounds of NSS using five indicators namely- Head Count Ratio (HCR), Poverty Gap Index
(PGI), Squared Poverty Gap Index (SPG, denoted as FGT*), Sen Index (SI) and Number of
Poor People. They also compare the 50th round with the 55th round by recalculating 50th
round with MRP (mixed reference period). They trace that in the case of rural India, over the
six -year period from January 1,1994 to January 1,2000 the Head Count Ratio declined by
close to 9 percentage points which was significantly higher than the average annual decline
in HCR , of 0.9 percentage points, between 1983 and 1994. Further the authors conclude that
the number of poor people declined by a average annual rate of 6.5 million during January
1,1994 to January 1,2000, which was 10 times more than the decline during July l, 1983 to
January1, 1994. The decline in terms of PGI, FGT* and Sen Index was also more during
January 1,1994 to January 1,2000 as compared to during July l, 1983 to January1, 1994.
Same trends were recorded in case of urban area.
Sundarm, K. and Tendulkar, Suresh D. (2003) highlighted the change in poverty during 1990s
for 15 major Indian states using the head count index, size of poor population, the poverty
gap index and squared poverty index. The results conclude that in terms of head count ratio
except from Assam in all other states poverty declined and weighted head count ratio
declined by 8 percentage points. The size of poor population declined by around 45 million at
an average rate, per annum weighted average PGI and FGT also declined by 28 and 35
percent, respectively. Except from Orissa, Madhya Pradesh and Assam in all remaining 12
states reduction in head count ratio, the size of poor population, the poverty gap index and
squared poverty gap index remained more during 1990s as compared to 1980s. Thus a
significant reduction in poverty took place during 1990s.
Sen, Abijit and Himanshu (2005) examined the poverty and inequality in India during 1990s
and compared the results of the 55th round of NSS with earlier rounds. Authors conclude that
poverty reduced very slowly during 1990s and the reason was the increase in inequality
during this time period. Results from unadjusted 55th round based on the official poverty line
reveal a fall of 8 and 11 percentage points in rural and urban poverty. Moreover the 55th
round poverty ratio was lower than the ratio of the earlier rounds. However, the number of
poor increased in 29 rural and 42 urban regions out of 58 NSS regions in major states.
Quinqnennial comparison suggests that urban poverty reduced very rapidly in the late 1980s
but very slowly during 1990s. Pace of reduction in rural poverty also declined from 1-1.5
percentage per annum during 1970s and 1980s to 0.5 percentage points in the 1990s and the
reason was an increase in inequality during 1990s. Furthermore the Urban Rural gap
increased as increase in cereal prices led to transfer of income from the poor to the rich for
most of the 1990s.
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Hintanshii (2007) traced the trends in poverty and inequality based on comparable uniform
reference period for major states and all India for the 38th, 43rd, 50th and 61st rounds of
NSSO using Head Count Ratio, Poverty Gap Index, Squared Poverty Gap Index and Gini
Ratios. It is evident from the study that although poverty did reduce between 1993-94 and
2004-05, the pace of poverty reduction was lower than in the previous two decades. The pace
of poverty reduction fell from 1.1 percent point per annum during 1973-88 to only 0.6
percent point per annum during 1987-2005 and 0.7 percent point per annum during 1993-
2005.Further Himanshu analyzes inequality using Gini ratios. Results highlighted that
inequality increased between 1993-94 and 2004-05 in both the rural and urban areas as well
as at the all India level. However in rural areas reverse trend is seen in case of Bihar,
Jharkhand, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan where inequality declined during the
same period of time. Furthermore it has been established by the results of the study that most
of the poverty reduction between 1993-94 and 2004-05 had occurred in the period after 1999-
2000, despite lower growth of wage rate and agricultural output during 1999-2000 to 2004-
05. The reason as explained was the high food price increase between 1993-94 and 1999-
2000, which nullified much of the poverty reduction that could be expected from the
improvements in wages and agricultural productivity. On the other hand, food price growth
decelerated sharply between 1999-2000 and 2004-05 which resulted in the rapid poverty
reduction despite lower growth of wage rates and agricultural output during this period of
time.
Sundaram, K. (2007) has made an attempt to examine the trends of poverty in India using head
count ratios based on the 61st round consumer expenditure survey of the National Sample
Survey (NSS) for the time period from 1994 to 2000 and 2000 to 2005. The study concludes
that head count ratio of households below the poverty line declined in both the rural and
urban areas during both the time periods. The decline was more in urban area during the first
time period i.e. 1994 to 2000 and in rural area during the second time period i.e. 2000 to
2005. Moreover in rural area the rate of decline was higher during 2000 to 2005 as compared
to first time period i.e. 1994 to 2000. On the other hand, in urban area the rate of decline in
poverty was lower in the second period of time as compared to the first period of time.
Nayyar R. (2004) has highlighted relationship between state wise growth rate and reduction in
poverty, during the post reforms period. The author finds no positive relationship between
growth rate and poverty reduction. Many states where growth rate has remained very high,
have not shown rapid reduction in poverty, while in the states where growth rate remained
slow, have shown higher reduction in poverty, which clearly indicates towards the impact of
other factors on incidence of poverty. Besides this, the author concludes that even in the high
growth states, which have done well in poverty reduction, backward regions and
communities witnessed little poverty reduction. And a high positive correlation has been
found between poverty reduction and physical infrastructure.
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Purfleld (2006) using data for 15 largest Indian states during 1973-74 to 2002-03 analyzed the
variation of growth across states in the form of income gap between rich and poor states. It
was found that the faster growing states have remained more effective in reducing poverty.
On the other hand, the poor states have not been much successful in reducing poverty. The
author further concludes that differences in policies adopted by states, failure of poor states
in generating private sector jobs and failure of labour and capital flow to close income gap
have remained the reasons behind inter-state imbalances in terms of growth.
Finding of the study
From the data on numbers and percentages of poor population in fifteen major Indian states in
1983, it is evident from the table that the all-India percentage of poor people was 44.48 percent
with Six out of fifteen states-namely Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh
and West Bengal-recording a percentage higher than the national average. The highest
percentage was in Orissa, where 65.29 percent people were poor and the lowest was in Punjab,
where it was 16.18 percent.
It has been observed that the percentage of poor people was higher than the national average in
Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh, in each case including the all
India, rural India and urban Indian. Furthermore, it is clear that Uttar Pradesh registered the
highest percentage at the all India level and rural India but in urban India it was highest in
Madhya Pradesh. However the lowest percentage was recorded in Punjab in each case and Uttar
Pradesh repeatedly registered the largest number of poor people. Moreover both the number as
well as percentage of poor people was high in rural area as compared to urban area.
In 1993-94 at the all-India level 35.9 percent people were living below poverty line; a higher-
than-average percentage was recorded in Assam, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Orissa
and Uttar Pradesh. The highest percentage was in Bihar, where 59.96 percent people were poor.
In contrast, the lowest percentage was in Punjab, where just 11.77 percent were poor. With
regard to the rural areas it was found that 37.27 percent people were poor which is marginally
higher than the combined value (urban and rural). Seven states-namely- Assam, Bihar, Madhya
Pradesh, Maharashtra, Orissa, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal recorded a percentage higher than
the national average. Bihar again registered the highest percentage with 58.21 percent people
living below poverty line.
The lowest percentage was again recorded in Punjab, where 11.95 percent people were poor.
Further, in relation to the urban areas it can be observed that 36.36 percent people were living
below the poverty line. In the states of Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh,
Maharashtra, Orissa, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh this percentage was higher than 36.36
percent. The higher percentage was recorded in Madhya Pradesh, where 48.38 percent people
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were poor. The lowest percentage occurred in a Assam where the percentage of poor people was
7.3 percent.
Data on the annual compound growth rates of the per capita GSDP at current prices in fifteen
major Indian states from the years 1980-1981 to 2005-06 depicts that from 1980-81 to 1985-86
the all-India annual compound growth rate in per capita GSDP at current prices was 11.16 per
cent per annum, with five of the fifteen states – namely Assam, Bihar, Haryana, Punjab and
Tamil Nadu -recording a value greater than the all-India average. During 1985-86 to 1990-91
this rate marginally rose to 11.80 per cent per annum; the growth rates of all other states except
Assam, Bihar and Orissa were greater than the all-India growth rate.
From the data on state wise percentage of population below poverty line it can be inferred that
the percentage of people below poverty line continuously declined during this period except for
one year during 1999-2000 to 2004-05. In 1973-74 the percentage of poor people was 54.9
percent. It fell to 27.5 percent in 2004-05. The largest percentage of poor people was
continuously recorded in Orissa except for one year i.e. 1993-94. In this year the highest
percentage was recorded in Bihar. Moreover, the top four positions in terms of the largest
percentage of poor people were repeatedly occupied by Orissa, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar
Pradesh. On the other hand in Haryana, Punjab, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat and Rajasthan this
percentage remained comparatively low for all the years
Provides information about state wise rural consumption expenditure from the year 1983 to
2004-05. A close perusal of the data reveals that the highest expenditure was recorded in Punjab
in 1983 and 1993-94 and in Kerala in 1999-2000 and 2004-05. At the other end, the lowest
expenditure for 1983 and 1993-94 was in Bihar. However, in 1999-2000 and 2004-05 the lowest
value was recorded in Orissa.
The all-India unemployment rate increased from 6.09 percent in 1987-88 to 7.32 percent in
1999-2000, and states show very wide variation from 2.86 percent in Madhya Pradesh to 21.14
percent in Kerala in 1987-88 and from 1.33 and 3.06 percent in Rajasthan to 15.50 and 20.77
percent in Kerala in 1993-94 and 1999-2000, respectively.
Provides information about the state-wise literacy rate in fifteen major Indian states from 1981 to
2011. It is evident from the data that the all-India literacy rate was 43.6 per cent in 1981, 52.5 per
cent in 1991, 64.8 per cent in 2001 and 74.04 percent in 2011. The highest literacy rate for the
states examined consistently appeared in Kerala, where the value grew from 60.4 in 1981 to
93.91 per cent in 2011. In 1981 the literacy rates of Gujarat, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala,
Maharashtra, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal were greater than the all-India rate and only
seven states registered values lower than the national average. In 1991 the states with lower-
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than-average literacy rates were Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Rajasthan and Uttar
Pradesh. In 200land 2011 the literacy rate was recorded as higher than the all-India value in
Gujarat, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, Punjab, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal.
Data on state wise percentage of total cropped area irrigated in fifteen major states of India
reveals that the all-India percentage of total cropped area under irrigation was 29 percent during
1980-83, with six of the fifteen states -namely Haryana, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Andhra
Pradesh and Tamil Nadu -recording a value greater than the national average. During 1990-93
the all-India percentage rose to 36; the same six states and one more i.e. west Bengal registered
the values greater than this percentage. The national increase in this percentage continued during
2003-06 with an average value of41 percent; the values in Haryana, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh,
Bihar, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu were greater than the national average.
SUGGESTIONS
The constitutional directives in India make it binding to remove inter-state disparities in the
country and to bring all the units in the federation to a national minimum level in respect of
certain basic social and economic services.23 As a result, removal of regional disparity has
been an acknowledged goal since the Second (1956- 61) and Third (1962-66) Five-Year
Plans of India. Moreover, the issue of regional balance has been directly or indirectly
addressed in almost every Five-Year Plan in India since the Second Plan (1956-1961) till the
recent eleventh Plan (2007-2012). The adoption of planning and a strategy of state-led
industrialization were intended to lead to a more balanced growth in the country. Besides
this, the improvement in the socioeconomic conditions of the people, at large, and mitigating
the impact of socioeconomic ills like incidence of poverty, regional backwardness,
unemployment, morbidity to name a few, have always figured at the core of Indian planning
since its inception in the early 50s. This approach has been realized through policies designed
to facilitate more investments in the relatively backward areas. It was expected that inter-
state disparities would be minimized in the long run. However, the perception is that regional
imbalances have actually been accentuated, particularly over the period of economic reforms
1991-2011. Despite sustained high economic growth rate, approximately 80 percent of its
population lives on less than $2 a day (PPP). A quarter of the nation's population earns less
than the government-specified poverty threshold of $0.40/day. 27.5 percent of the population
was living below the poverty line in 2004-2005. Wealth distribution in India is fairly uneven,
with the top 10% of income groups earning 33 percent of the income.24 over the period of
time, it became obvious that, growth by itself, was unlikely to eliminate and resolve poverty
and other social issues confronting the society and the benefits of economic development
were not being adequately reflected in per capita terms due to unprecedented and
uncontrolled growth in population, levels of unemployment, regional backwardness etc.
India’s trajectory over the last sixty years has been remarkable, but there will be reason to
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truly celebrate this when the overall gains filter down to the poorest and the most deprived
sections of India’s vast population.
A number of studies substantiates that, economic development, has not been able to solve
major problems like poverty, hungers, malnutrition, disparities of income, slums, inequality
and poor health. Though, there has been a rise in per capita real income levels, however, the
benefits of economic growth has failed to reach the majority of population. A marked
dichotomy between the forward and backward groups of states has been emerging. The
forward states are characterized by better demographic and social development, higher per
capita incomes and more developed economies, lower level of poverty, higher level of
revenue receipts and state government expenditure on plan and non-plan, higher per capita
resource flows and private investment and significantly better infrastructural facilities. On the
other hand, the backward states are characterized by lower level of demographic and social
development, lower per capita incomes and backward economies, higher level of poverty,
lower level of revenue receipts and lower state government expenditure on plan and non-
plan, lower per capita resource flows and private investment and underdeveloped
infrastructural facilities. While the advanced industrial states have tended to leapfrog in the
reform years, other states have lagged behind.
The regional disparity in the growth rates becomes sharper in terms of per capita income.
The poorer states have not only performed poorly but their failure to stem population growth
has left them in even worse position. The growing regional disparity in the post-reform
period is now a matter of serious concern. With deregulation of private investment, faster
growth in turn would induce more investment, and this in turn would further accentuate
regional disparity.
The problem is compounded by the negative relationship between population growth and
income growth during the 1990s. Unfortunately, backward states with higher population
growth are not able to attract investment - both public and private - due to a variety of
reasons, like poor income and infrastructure and probably also poor governance.
Evidence suggests that income inequality is rising and that the gap in average per capita
income between the rich and poor states is growing. There is substantial disparity in social
indicators between rich and poor states, suggesting that not only income is low in the poorer
states but also the quality of life is worse. The persistence of lagging regions, with substantial
concentration of the poor, is raising concerns about social and political stability of these
regions, with possible fallout for the country as a whole. And as the main reason behind all
these facts is that all parts of the country are not equally well endowed to take advantage of
growth opportunities, and since historical inequalities have not been eliminated, it is
necessary to identify the causative factors behind continued backwardness of certain states so
that planned intervention could be made to ensure that large regional imbalances do not
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occur. Policymakers and development analysts have to give more attention on the disparities
in levels of development between different sections of the population and different regions in
India.
REFERENCE
1. Census of India, 1991. .
2. Census of India, 2011.
3. Deaton and Tarrozi (2000), ―Prices and Poverty in India‖, Research Programme in
Development Studies, Princeton University, Processed.
4. Deaton (2008), ―Price Trends in India and Their Implications for Measuring Poverty‖,
Economic and Political Weekly, 9 February.
5. Deaton, A. and Dreze, J. (2002), ―Poverty and Inequality in India: a Re-examination‖.
Economic and Political Weekly, 7 September 2002.
6. Dreze, J., and Sen, A. (Eds). (1996), ―Indian Development, Selected Regional
Perspectives‖, Clarendon Press, Oxford
7. Derived by the authors using the data provided by various rounds of NSSO on the
Consumer expenditure survey
8. Deaton, A and Dreze (2002), ―Poverty and Inequality in India- A ReExamination‖,
Economic and Political Weekly, September 7.
9. National Sample Survey organization,
10. National Family Health Survey,
11. National Human Development Reports,
12. Economic and Political Weekly Research Foundation,
13. Census of India,
14. RBI Bulletins,
15. Economic Survey of India and various research publications.
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The International journal of analytical and experimental modal analysis
Volume XI, Issue X, October/2019
ISSN NO: 0886-9367
Page No:737