the three-dimensional structure of convective storms

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The three-dimensional structure of convective storms Robin Hogan John Nicol Robert Plant Peter Clark Kirsty Hanley Carol Halliwell Humphrey Lean Thorwald Stein ([email protected]) (UK Met Office)

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Thorwald Stein ([email protected]). The three-dimensional structure of convective storms. Robin Hogan John Nicol Robert Plant Peter Clark Kirsty Hanley Carol Halliwell Humphrey Lean. (UK Met Office). The DYMECS approach: beyond case studies. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

The three-dimensional structure of convective storms

Robin HoganJohn NicolRobert PlantPeter Clark

Kirsty HanleyCarol HalliwellHumphrey Lean

Thorwald Stein ([email protected])

(UK Met Office)

Page 2: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

The DYMECS approach: beyond case studies

NIMROD radar network rainfall

Track storms in real time

and automatically

scan Chilbolton radar

Derive properties of hundreds of storms on ~40 days:Vertical velocity3D structureRain & hailIce water contentTKE & dissipation rate

Evaluate these properties in model varying:ResolutionMicrophysics schemeSub-grid turbulence parametrization

Page 3: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

Storm structure from radarStorm structure from radar

Distance east (km)

Dis

tance

nort

h

(km

)

Radar

reflect

ivit

y

(dB

Z)

40 dBZ

0 dBZ

20 dBZ

Page 4: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

“Shallow”

“Deep”

Observations UKV 1500m 200m

Median storm diameter Median storm diameter with heightwith height

Lack of anvils?

Drizzle from nowhere?

Page 5: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

Vertical profiles ofVertical profiles ofreflectivity reflectivity

1.5-km 1.5-km + graupel

200-m 500-m Observations

Conditioned on average reflectivity at 200-1000m below 0oC.

Reflectivity distributions forprofiles with thismean Z 40-45 dBZ are shown.

Model:High rainfall rate from

shallow storms.Or ice cloud dBZ<0

Page 6: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

Observations UKV 1500m 200m

Missing anvils?Missing anvils?• Define anvil as cloud above 6km with

diameter larger than storm diameter at 3km.

• More than 40% of storms above 6km have anvil (model and observations).

A selection of individual profiles shows anvil factors will be small (close to 1)

6

3

z

T=0oC

R

Page 7: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

Missing anvils?Missing anvils?

PDF of anvil factorDmax/D3km

6

3

z

T=0oC

R

• Define anvil as cloud above 6km with diameter larger than storm diameter at 3km.

Dmax

Page 8: The three-dimensional structure  of convective storms

Updraft Updraft retrievalretrieval

• Hogan et al. (2008)– Track features in radial

velocity from scan to scan

Chapman & Browning (1998)– In quasi-2D features (e.g.

squall lines) can assume continuity to estimate vertical velocity