theme 7 intellectual property and economic development wipo unito-llm itc-ilo geneva october 23,...

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Theme 7 Intellectual Property and Economic Development WIPO UNITO-LLM ITC-ILO Geneva October 23, 2014 Julio Raffo Economics & Statistics Division (WIPO-ESD)

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Theme 7Intellectual Property and Economic DevelopmentWIPOUNITO-LLMITC-ILO

GenevaOctober 23, 2014

Julio RaffoEconomics & Statistics Division (WIPO-ESD)

Outline

Highlights of global IP trend

IP and economic development

Economics of IP

Q&A session

More and more patent applications every year

Trend in Patent applications, 1985-2012 (source WIPO statistics database)

Not only patents: Trademarks x4 in 25 years!

Trend in Trademark applications, 1985-2012 (source WIPO statistics database)

…and Industrial Designs x7!

Trend in Industrial Design applications, 1980-2012(source WIPO statistics database)

Higher concentration in few patent offices

Few countries originate most patent filings

Main origins of PCT applications (2013) (source WIPO statistics database)

More on origin concentration

Increasing IP use translates into…

Economic growth?Innovation?

Creative outputs?Start-ups?

Investments?

Competition?

Trade?

Productivity?

Technology transfer

Licensing?

Development?

IP, Growth & Development: Theory

Basic economic incentive for IP protection should work everywhere … but initial conditions across countries vary

Study of economic growth process suggests that technological innovation is key for long-term growth…

+ by fostering innovation and technology transfer, IP protection can stimulate economic growth

– reduces imitation, increasing the catching-up cost

1

2

3

4

5

5 7 9 11

log of GDP per capita (PPP)

Str

en

gth

of I

P r

eg

ime

Strength of IPR and income levels for 177 countries, 2005

Source: Park index and World Bank

What are we missing in the picture?

1. What is the causality?IP generates economic growth, or …

later development stages require “more” IP?

2. Can the same policy work in different countries?Legal, economic and political framework

Innovation ecosystem

3. Can we isolate the impact of IP on growth rate?National endowment of resources

Quality of infrastructure

Macroeconomic stability

Business and investment climate

Investments in education and health

Openness to trade and foreign investment

Going back to the economic basics

IP is “simply” an economic policy instrument:What is its objective?

Address problems arising from market failures…

by providing the right incentives

Is it neutral?Who wins and who loses?

Who pays the bill?

Market failure #1

Information (and knowledge) good have traits of public good:

Non-rivalryNon-excludability, to a certain extent

Producing knowledge is costlyIncreasing returns to productionDifficult to appropriate returnsUncertainty

Market failure #2

Markets may fail if there is asymmetric information between buyers and sellers of goods

E.g.: markets for used cars or insurance

Superior quality may give incentives to invest in reputation

…if it reassures consumers that they purchase what they intend to purchase

IP instruments

Stimulate innovative and creative activitiesPatents, utility models, copyrights, industrial design, plant breeders’ rights

Alternatives: trade secrets, R&D subsidies, tax exemptions or prizes

Address asymmetry of information issueTrademark, geographical indication, collective marks

Alternatives: consumer protection, sanitary controls, product customization

IP Trade-off

Advantages

Market selectioni.e. consumers pay not tax-payers

Minimizes welfare distortion i.e. only market success

Disadvantages

Monopoly creation

Bias against basic research i.e. only market oriented

18

Summarizing

Use of IP protection is on the riseIncreasing use of IP protection

Broader geographical use of IP protection

Link between IP protection and economic developmentImpact varies according to countries’ innovative and absorptive capacities

Increasing use of IP affects certain aspects of economic activities

But these are not neutral

Thank you for listening

Questions?

[email protected]