three generations survey - aarp · total millennial generation x baby boomers approve 30 26 32 31...

Real Possibilities

Three Generations Survey

Conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for AARP

Interviews: 7/10-8/07/2018

4,862 adults

Margin of error: 2.01 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. "*" indicates less than 1%

"-" indicates 0%

https://doi.org/10.26419/res.00249.007

https://doi.org/10.26419/res.00249.007

This document is a selected annotation of the political questions contained in the Three Generations Survey. The Three Generations Survey contained questions about finances, media use, voting, and social activism. This third release concerns data from voting, political party affiliation, preferences for Congress, state of the country, and ratings of national issues. Complete data from this survey will be released over a two month period.


1

Q1. Are you currently registered to vote?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018

Total Millennial Generation X Baby Boomers

Registered 83 76 84 89

Not registered 14 19 14 10

Not sure 2 5 1 1

DON’T KNOW/ SKIPPED ON WEB/REFUSED

1 1 1 *

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684


2

If “Registered” in Q1 Q2. Did you vote for president in the November, 2016 presidential general election?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Yes 89 84 94

No 10 16 11 5

DON’T KNOW/SKIPPED ON WEB/REFUSED

* * * 1

N=4029 N=1245 N=1280 N=1503

If “Voted” in Q2 Q3. For which candidate did you vote in the November, 2016 presidential general election?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Hillary Clinton 47 55 46 43

Donald Trump 38 28 40 45

Someone else 12 17 12 10

DON’T KNOW/SKIPPED ON WEB/REFUSED

2 1 2 3

N=3600 N=1045 N=1145 N=1410

Q5. When it comes to voting, with which party do you consider yourself to be affiliated?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Democrat 31 32 30 30

Republican 21 15 21 26

Independent but leans Democrat

16 17 16 14

Independent but leans Republican

13 11 12 14

Independent but no leanings

19 22 19 15


2 1 2 1

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

89


3

If “Republican” OR “Independent but leans Republican” OR “Democrat” OR “Independent but leans Democrat” in Q5 Q6. Do you feel [RESPONDENT PARTY] adequately represents your ideas and concerns?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Yes 59 56 60 62

No 22 26 20 20

Not sure 19 18 20 19


* * * *

N=3876 N=1259 N=1207 N=1410

Q7. When it comes to most political issues, do you think of yourself as a...?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Liberal 22 28 21 17

Moderate 49 51 50 47

Conservative 27 19 28 33


2 2 2 3

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684


4

If “Yes” in Q1 Q8. How likely are you to vote this November in the elections for U.S. Congress and other offices?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Very likely 70 55 70 83

Somewhat likely 19 29 18 12

Not too likely 7 12 7 3

Not at all likely 3 4 4 2


* * * *

N=4029 N=1245 N=1280 N=1503

Q9. If the election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


The Democratic Party candidate

37 38 37 36

The Republican Party candidate

24 18 23 30

Other 4 7 3 2

Not sure 8 10 8 5

I would not vote 27 27 28 26


1 1 1 *

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

Q10. What is your preference for the outcome of the 2018 Congressional elections?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


A Congress controlled by Democrats

55 61 54 49

A Congress controlled by Republicans

40 34 42 45


5 4 4 6

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684


5

Q11. If you had to choose, which would you rather have?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


A smaller government providing fewer services

35 29 33 42

A bigger government providing more services

34 40 34 29

No preference 30 30 32 27


1 1 1 1

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

Q20. In general, in what direction do you feel things in this country are going?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Right direction 34 30 35 38

Wrong direction 64 68 63 60


2 2 2 2

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

Q22. At this moment, would you say you are more hopeful or more fearful about the future of democracy in America?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


More hopeful 37 35 37 38

More fearful 62 64 62 62


1 1 1 1

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684


6

Q23. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Approve 39 32 41 45

Disapprove 58 65 57 52


2 3 2 2

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

Q24. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job the Republicans in Congress are doing?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Approve 30 26 32 31



4 3 4 4

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

Q25. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job the Democrats in Congress are doing?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Approve 33 38 33 28



4 3 3 5

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684


7

Q26. How important are the following issues to the future of our country?

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED]

Total

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018

Very important

Somewhat important

Not too important

Not at all important

DK/SKP/REF

Jobs and the economy 83 14 2 1 1

Race relations 61 26 9 3 1

Access to quality education

76 19 3 1 1

Honesty in government 86 11 2 1 1

Terrorism and Homeland Security

68 24 6 2 1

Health care 78 18 3 1 1

Immigration 57 32 8 2 1

Government spending and the national debt

66 28 3 1 1

Prescription costs 57 34 7 1 1

Lowering taxes 49 35 12 3 1

Gun violence 60 26 10 3 1

Environment 62 29 7 1 1

Social Security 76 19 3 1 1

Medicare 72 22 4 1 1

College costs/student debt

56 31 10 2 1

Military preparedness 57 32 9 2 1

Income inequality 49 33 13 4 1

Opioid addiction 46 37 12 3 1 N=4862


8

If Millennial

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018

Very important

Somewhat important

Not too important


DK/SKP/REF

Jobs and the economy 74 21 3 1 2



73 20 3 2 2



56 30 9 3 2

Health care 71 21 4 2 2

Immigration 50 34 11 3 2


57 34 6 2 2

Prescription costs 46 39 11 3 1


Gun violence 54 29 12 4 1

Environment 61 28 8 2 1

Social Security 63 27 7 1 2

Medicare 60 30 7 1 2


60 26 10 3 2

Military preparedness 42 39 14 4 1



AARP Generational Values 2018

9

If Generation X

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018

Very important

Somewhat important

Not too important


DK/SKP/REF

Jobs and the economy 88 11 1 * *

Race relations 63 26 9 2 *


79 18 2 * *

Honesty in government 88 10 1 * *


72 22 5 1 *

Health care 81 15 3 * 1

Immigration 58 32 8 2 *


69 28 3 1 *

Prescription costs 59 34 6 1 *

Lowering taxes 54 34 9 3 *

Gun violence 60 26 11 3 *

Environment 62 29 7 1 *

Social Security 76 21 2 * *

Medicare 71 25 3 1 *


57 29 11 3 *

Military preparedness 60 30 7 2 *

Income inequality 49 33 14 4 *


AARP Generational Values 2018

12

If Baby Boomers

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018

Very important

Somewhat important

Not too important


DK/SKP/REF

Jobs and the economy 88 11 1 * *



77 20 2 * *



76 19 3 1 *

Health care 81 17 2 * *

Immigration 64 30 5 1 *


73 23 2 1 1

Prescription costs 66 29 3 1 *


Gun violence 65 25 8 2 *

Environment 63 29 7 1 *

Social Security 88 10 1 * *

Medicare 85 13 1 * 1


51 38 10 2 *

Military preparedness 69 25 5 * *




13

Q39. Do you consider yourself to be politically engaged or politically active?

NORC 7/10-8/07/2018


Yes 40 34 39 47

No 59 65 60 53


1 1 1 1

N=4862 N=1648 N=1530 N=1684

three generations survey - aarp · total millennial generation x baby boomers approve 30 26 32 31...

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