thursday 5 march 2020 08:00 est 14:00 cet 21:00 cst...2 chemical utilization technology in china has...
TRANSCRIPT
Thursday 5 March 202008:00 EST | 14:00 CET | 21:00 CST
AGENDA
Presentation
• Yi-Ming WeiProfessor, Lab Director, and Vice PresidentBeijing Institute of Technology
• Lan-Cui LiuProfessorBeijing Normal University & Beijing Institute of Technology
• Jia-Ning KangResearcherBeijing Institute of Technology
Question and Answer Session
Welcome & Introductory Remarks
• Juho LipponenCo-ordinatorCEM CCUS Initiative
• Xian ZhangDirectorThe Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21
1 2 3
SPEAKERS
Webinar recordings provided on
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/user/cleanenergypolicy
Yi-Ming Wei
Professor, Lab Director, and Vice
President
Beijing Institute of Technology
Xian Zhang
Director
The Administrative Center for China’s
Agenda 21
Lan-Cui Liu
Professor
Beijing Normal University & Beijing
Institute of Technology
Jia-Ning Kang
Researcher
Beijing Institute of Technology
75%Global CO2
emissions
90%Clean energy
investments
26 CEM
Members
Clean Energy Ministerial: global process to accelerate clean energy
www.cleanenergyministerial.org
CEM CCUS Initiative Member Governments
Observer:
Accelerating CCUS Together by:
1. Actively including CCUS within global clean energy agenda
2. Bringing together the private sector, governments and the investment community
3. Facilitating identification of both near and longer-term investment opportunities
4. Disseminating best practice in CCUS policy, regulation and investment
Xian ZhangDirectorThe Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21
Prof. Xian Zhang currently serves as Deputy Director in the Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21, Ministry of Science and Technology, and the Assistant Director General of Technology Transfer South-South Cooperation Center. He is also a Chinese government representative of the United Nations Climate Change Negotiations, the Deputy Secretary General of National Committee of CCUS of China, the focal point of international multilateral mechanisms on CCUS (e.g. Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum; Mission Innovation; Clean Energy Ministerial), the alternate country representative of international organizations (e.g. Asia-Pacific Global Change Research Network, APN) and the Deputy Director General of Climate Change Working Committee, Chinese Society for Sustainable Development.
Prof. Zhang also acts as the editorial board member and the anonymous reviewer for several core journals in the fields of energy, environment, and climate change (e.g. Applied Energy, Journal of Cleaner Production, Energy Policy, etc.).
Panelist
Yi-Ming WeiProfessor, Lab Director, and Vice PresidentBeijing Institute of Technology
Panelist
Dr. Yi-Ming Wei is a Distinguished University Professor and Vice President of Beijing Institute of Technology (BIT). He is the Founding Director of the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research at BIT. Prior to working at the BIT, Dr. Wei was a Professor and the Deputy Director-General of the CAS Institute of Policy and Management from October 2000 to December 2008. He was the founding director of IPM-CAS and RIET-CNPC Joint Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
Prof. Yi-Ming Wei has more than 25 years of experience in Climate Change Economics and Policy, including academia, research, and consulting. He has made remarkable achievements in integrating climate economic theory and policy practice by improving the integrated assessment methods, building the China’s Climate Change Integrated Assessment Model (C3IAM), developing new emission accounting methods, establishing a low-carbon development assessment system, researching systematically on the global climate change policy, and promoting climate change economics development in China.
Roadmap for Carbon Capture,
Utilization and Storage
Technology in China (2019)
CEM CCUS webinar: CCUS in China
Prof. Yi-Ming Wei, Prof. Xian Zhang
5 March, 2020
Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research,
Beijing Institute of Technology (BIT)
Beijing Key Lab of Energy Economics and Environmental Management
School of Management and Economics, BIT
E-mail: [email protected] http://ceep.bit.edu.cn/
Related work on CCUS:layout optimization, technology assessment,
investment analysis, life cycle assessment, water security, energy penalty.
Page 2 of 28
Zhang, X., Fan, J.-L., Wei, Y.-M. 2013. Technology roadmap study on carbon capture, utilization and storage in China. Energy Policy
59, 536-550.
Zhang, X., Wang, X., Chen, J., et al. 2014. A novel modeling based real option approach for CCS investment evaluation under multiple
uncertainties. Applied Energy 113, 1059-1067.
Li, J., Hou, Y., Wang, P., et al. 2018. A Review of Carbon Capture and Storage Project Investment and Operational Decision-Making
Based on Bibliometrics. Energies 12, 23.
Li, J., Mi, Z., Wei, Y.-M., et al. 2019. Flexible options to provide energy for capturing carbon dioxide in coal-fired power plants under
the Clean Development Mechanism. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 24, 1483-1505.
Li, H., Jiang, H., Yang, B., et al. 2019. An analysis of research hotspots and modeling techniques on carbon capture and storage. Science
of The Total Environment 687, 687-701.
Li, J., Yu, B., Tang, B., et al. 2020. Investment in carbon dioxide capture and storage combined with enhanced water recovery.
International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 94, 102848.
Yang B, Wei Y.-M., Hou Y, et al. 2019. Life cycle environmental impact assessment of fuel mix-based biomass co-firing plants with
CO2 capture and storage. Applied Energy 252, 113483.
Wang, P.-T., Wei, Y-M, Yang, B, et al. 2020. Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector Optimal planning under the 2℃
constraint. Applied Energy 263, 114694.
Wang, P.-T., Wei, Y.-M.. 2020. Impact of large coal-fired power plants with CCS implement on urban water use in China under 2℃-
constraint scenarios. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.
Yang, B., Wei, Y.-M., Liu, L.-C., et al. 2020. Life cycle cost assessment of biomass co-firing plants with CO2 capture and storage:An
Empirical Analysis from China. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.
Zhou, H.L., Silveira, S., Tang, B.J.. 2020. Optimal timing for carbon capture retrofitting in biomass-coal combined heat and power
plants in China. CEEP-BIT Working Paper. …
Insights from CEEP-BIT
Contents
Current technological progress and challenges
Vision and goals
Priority actions and early opportunities
Policy recommendations
Page 3 of 28
Contents
Current technological progress and challenges
Vision and goals
Priority actions and early opportunities
Policy recommendations
Page 4 of 28
CCUS technical process and classification
Page 5 of 28
In recent years, a few new types of technology have continued to emerge and diversify
Different technical aspects of CCUS technology have experienced great progress in China
Emission
sourcesCapture
High-
concentration
emission sources
e.g., coal
chemical
industry.
hydrogen
production.
biomass
e.g., IGCC.
coal-fired and
gas-fired power
production.
steelmaking.
petrochemical.
petroleum
refining.
cemment
Low-
concentration
emission sources
Precombustion
capture
•Chemical
absorption
• Physical
absorption
• Physical
adsorption
•Membrane
separation
Postcombustion
capture
•Chemical
absorption
•Adsorption
method
•Membrane
separation
Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
•Ordinary
pressure
• Pressurization
•Chemical
looping
Transport
Transport
•Vehicles
•Onshore
pipelines
•Offshore
pipelines
•Offshore
ships
Utilization and storage
• Enhanced oil recovery
• Enhanced coalbed methane recovery
• Enhance natural gas recovery
• Enhance shale gas recovery
• Enhanced geothermal system
• In-situ leaching of uranium mine
• Enhanced deep saline aquifer system
Chemical utilization
• Syngas reforming
• Preparation of liquid fuel
• Synthesis of methanol
• Synthesis of organic carbonate
• Synthesis of degradable polymers
• Synthesis of polymer polyols
• Synthesis of isocyanate/polyurethane
• Steel slag mineralization
•Gypsum mineralization
• Low-grade minerals processing with
mineralization
Biological utilization
•Conversion to food and feed
•Conversion to biofertilizer
•Conversion to chemicals and biofuel
•Gas fertilizer utilization
Geological storage
•Onshore saline aquifer storage
• Seabed saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield storage
•Depleted gas field storage
Geological utilization
Products
Oil
Gas
Water
Minerals
Geotherm
Materials
Fuel
Chemicals
Food
Feed
Fertilizers
China possesses favorable basis for CCUS development
The long-standing of a fossil fuel-dominated energy
structure over time
Large-scale, concentrated emission sources suitable for
CO2 capture that are numerous, widely distributed, and
diverse
A large geological storage capacity, estimated to be on the
scale of trillions of tons CO2
A complete industrial chain that provides a variety of
options for the development of CO2 utilization technology
Many CO2 utilization options, with which the potential
benefits can facilitate the development of other technical
aspects of CCUS
Page 6 of 28
The development of CCUS technology in China still faces a number of challenges
China, at the current stage, can hardly afford the
expensive investments, additional energy consumption and
high costs associated with CCUS
The “sources in the east, sinks in the west” misaligned
distribution pattern increases the difficulty of
demonstrating and promoting CCUS in an integrated
manner
Complex geological conditions and dense population
distributions result in higher technological requirements
for large-scale storage
Page 7 of 28
The Chinese government has implemented a series of
measures to proactively develop CCUS technology
Clearly stating the R&D strategies and development directions of CCUS The “Roadmap 2011”
The “‘12th Five-Year’ national carbon capture, utilization and storage technology special
development plan”
The “‘13th Five-Year’ national science and technology innovation plan”
Enhancing the support for CCUS technology R&D and demonstrations National Basic Research Program (973 Program),
National High-Tech Research and Development Program (863 Program),
National Key Technology R&D Program
Listed as important components in the “13th Five-Year Plan” as national research and
development programme key projects
Listed in the major projects of the Sci-Tech Innovation 2030 Agenda
Emphasizing CCUS-related capacity building and international
cooperation and exchange China's CCUS Industrial Technology Innovation Strategic Alliance was established
China is also actively involved in the formulation of international standards for CCUS technology
Extensive CCUS cooperation with international organizations such as the IEA and CSLF has also
taken place
China has established multilevel bilateral/multilateral technological cooperation with the
European Union, the United States, Australia, Canada, Italy, and other countries and regions
Page 8 of 28
Assessment of technological progress
The development of key technologies among the CCUS full chain in
China between 2011 and 2018
Page 9 of 28
Precombustion capture-Chemical absorption
Precombustion capture-Physical absorption
Precombustion capture-Physical adsorption
Precombustion capture-Membrane separation
Postcombustion capture-Chemical absorption
Postcombustion capture-Adsorption method
Postcombustion capture-Membrane separation
Oxyfuel combustion capture-Ordinarypressure
Oxyfuel combustion capture-Pressurization
Oxyfuel combustion capture-Chemical looping
Vehicles
Onshore pipelines
Offshore pipelines
Offshore ships
Enhanced oil recovery
Enhanced coalbed methane recovery
Enhance natural gas recovery
Enhance shale gas recovery
Enhanced geothermal system
In-situ leaching of uranium mine
Enhanced deep saline aquifer system
Syngas reforming
Preparation of liquid fuel
Synthesis of methanol
Synthesis of organic carbonate
Synthesis of degradable polymers
Synthesis of polymer polyols
Synthesis of isocyanate/polyurethane
Steel slag mineralization
Gypsum mineralization
Low-grade minerals processing with mineralization
Conversion to food and feed
Conversion to biofertilizer
Conversion to chemicals and biofuel
Gas fertilizer utilization
Onshore saline aquifer storage
Seabed saline aquifer storage
Depleted oilfield storage
Depleted gas field storage
Conceptual Basic Pilot Industry Commercial
phase research test demonstration application
Conceptual Basic Pilot Industry Commercial
phase research test demonstration application
Capture
Geological
utilization
Biological
utilization
Legend2011 2018
Transport
Chemical
utilization
Geological
storage
Assessment of technological progress
The development of key technologies among the CCUS full chain in
China between 2011 and 2018
Capture: Current first-generation CO2 capture technologies have gradually become more mature.
Second-generation capture technologies are still in the laboratory research and trial stages, and are
only expected to be promoted and adopted widely by around 2035.
Transport: China has completed the preliminary design of pipeline projects with 1 million t/a
transport capacity, and has the ability to design large-scale pipelines.
Geological utilization: CO2-enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) technology has been applied in many
EOR demonstration projects. Enhanced coalbed methane recovery technology is also currently being
tested and demonstrated. Enhanced natural gas, shale gas, and geothermal energy extraction
technologies are in the early research stage.
Chemical utilization: CO2 chemical utilization technology in China has made great progress and is
overall in the pilot test stage. Certain technologies have been demonstrated, including syngas reforming
and the synthesis of degradable polymers and organic carbonate esters.
Biological utilization: The main products of this process include food and feed, biofertilizers,
chemicals, biofuels, and gas fertilizers. The products of biological CO2 use have high added-value and
economic benefits. Food and feed transformation technologies have been commercialized at scale, but
other technologies are still in the R&D or small-scale demonstration stages.
Geological storage: In China, a theoretical assessment of nationwide CO2 storage potential has been
completed. The total theoretical volume of geological use and onshore storage is greater than 1 trillion t.
Pilot designs and storage demonstrations in offshore aquifers and depleted oil and gas fields have been
completed.Page 10 of 28
Contents
Current technological progress and challenges
Vision and goals
Priority actions and early opportunities
Policy recommendations
Page 11 of 28
21
An overall vision for CCUS in China
As a strategic technology for reducing greenhouse gas emissions
Establish low-cost, low energy consumption, safe,
and reliable CCUS technology systems and
industrial clusters
Provide technological options for the low-carbon
utilization of fossil fuels
Provide technological assurance for tackling
climate change
Provide technological support for the sustainable
development of China's economy and society
Page 12 of 28
Overall CCUS Technology Development Roadmap
in China
Page 13 of 28
By the mid 21st century, gaps in the energy consumption and cost of CCUS technology are expected to be fundamentally overcome.
The extensive promotion and application of CCUS technology in various sectors can achieve the large-scale, low-carbon utilization of fossil fuels and produce negative emissions.
Development
goals
•CO2 utilization and storage
volume (10.000 t/a)
•Output value
(RMB 100 million/a)
Capture
• Scale (10.000 t/a)
High
•Cost concentration
(RMB/t CO2) Low
concentration
Transport •Cost (RMB/t •km)
Geological
utilization
•CO2 utilization volume
(10.000 t/a)
•Output value
(RMB 100 million/a)
Chemical
utilization
•CO2 utilization volume
(10.000 t/a)
•Output value
(RMB 100 million/a)
Biological
utilization
•CO2 utilization volume
(10.000 t/a)
•Output value
(RMB 100 million/a)
Geological
storage
• Storage volume
(10.000 t/a)
•Cost (RMB/t CO2)
900
200
100
100~180
230~310
0.80
300
30
500
90
40
90
100
50~60
>2000
>600
100~300
90~130
190~280
0.70
>700
>60
>1000
>200
>150
>300
>300
40~50
>7000
>1000
300~500
70~80
160~220
0.60
>1500
>100
>2000
>450
>200
>400
>3000
35~40
>80000
>3300
300~500
30~50
80~150
0.45
>5500
>300
>6000
>1500
>900
>1500
>70000
25~30
To master the design and
construction capability for
existing technologies
To master the
industrialization capability
for existing technology, and
verify the feasibility for new
technology
To master the
industrialization capability
for new technology
To master the
industrialization capability
for CCUS project cluster
To achieve extensive
deployment and form
regional new patterns of
CCUS
>20000
>1800
300~500
50~70
100~180
0.55
>3000
>200
>4000
>1000
>300
>600
>15000
30~35
2025 204020352030 2050
Overall development goals
By 2025, a number of industrial demonstration projects
based on existing CCUS technologies will have been
constructed, and CCUS will become feasible from an
engineering perspective
By 2030, the existing technology will begin to enter the
commercialization stage, and CCUS will be ready for
industrialization
By 2035, certain innovative technologies will have been
implemented at large scale
By 2040, breakthroughs in CCUS systematic integration
and risk management technology will be achieved
By 2050, CCUS technology will be extensively deployed,
and multiple industrial CCUS clusters will be establishedPage 14 of 28
Development pathways for capture technology
Page 15 of 28
Second-generation capture technology will become the
dominant technology for achieving low carbon
emissions in China’s thermal power industry.
Precombustion
capture
•Cost
(RMB/t CO2)
•Energy efficiency
loss (%)
260~300
6~9
210~270
6~8
170~210
5~7
100~160
4~7
80-130
3~7
Postcombustion
capture
•Cost
(RMB/t CO2)
•Energy efficiency
loss (%)
230~330
7~12
190~250
7~11
160~200
7~10
150~180
6~9
120~150
5~8
Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
•Cost
(RMB/t CO2)
•Energy efficiency
loss (%)
230~310
7~10
210~280
7~9
160~210
6~9
130~180
6~8
90~150
5~7
To master the design
and construction
capability for the
first-generation
capture technology,
and verify the
feasibility for the
second-generation
technology.
To master the
industrialization
capability of the
first-generation
capture
technology and
design capability
for the second-
generation
technology.
To achieve the
commercializati
on of the first-
generation
capture
technology and
initial
application for
the second-
generation
technology.
To replace the
first-generation
capture
technology with
the second-
generation
technology
playing the
dominating role.
To widely the
second-
generation
technology in
many industries.
2025
2035
2040
2050
2030
Development pathways for geological, chemical,
and biological utilizations
Page 16 of 28
During the period of 2030-2035, CO2 chemical utilization will gradually reach a
commercial application level. The economic feasibility of biological CO2 utilization
and geological utilization technologies will be less constrained by external factors
and will reach a commercialization level by 2040.
Development pathways for transport and storage
Page 17 of 28
By 2040, a number of one-million-ton or multi-million-ton industrial demonstration
projects for seabed saline aquifer storage will be completed, and transport by low-
cost offshore ships will be commercialized. By 2050, storage in seabed saline aquifers
will be commercialized, and seabed pipeline transportation will achieve a
commercial status.
Development pathways for system integration and
clustering
Page 18 of 28
CCUS clustering is a highly cost-effective development pathway and may be used to
establish a new business model for CCUS associated with Chinese characteristics.
Contents
Current technological progress and challenges
Vision and goals
Priority actions and early opportunities
Policy recommendations
Page 19 of 28
Accelerate the R&D, demonstration, and
promotion of utilization technologies
Regions (or industries) with early opportunities for utilization
technologies
Page 20 of 28
CO2 utilization technology has a “win-win”-type attribute that ensures social and economic benefits
Utilization Technology Proposed Area (or industry)
Enhanced oil recovery Ordos Basin. Junggar Basin. Hailar Basin. Songliao Basin. Etc.
Enhanced coalbed methane recovery Ordos Basin. Junggar Basin. Qinshui Basin. etc.
Enhanced natural gas recovery Ordos Basin. Sichuan Basin. Tarim Basin.etc.
Enhanced shale gas recovery Sichuan Basin. Ordos Basin. etc.
Enhanced geothermal recovery Qinghai. Fujian. Jilin. Tibet and other provinces.
In-situ leaching of uranium mine Yili Basin. Turpan-Hami Basin. Ordos Basin. Songliao Basin. etc.
Enhanced deep saline aquifer recovery Junggar Basin. Turpan-Hami Basin. Ordos Basin.
Synthesis of organic carbonate Solvent. Gasoline additive. Lithium ion battery electrolyte. etc.
Syngas reforming Oil and gas chemical industry. Coal chemical industry. etc.
Preparation of liquid fuel Renewable energy industry. etc.
Synthesis of methanol Organic synthesis. Pharmaceuticals. Pesticide. coating. dye. automtive. national defense. etc.
Synthesis of degradable polymers Food. medical packaging. etc
Synthesis of polymer polyols Polyurethane
Synthesis of iso-cyanate/polyurethane Bulk engineering plastics, coal chemical industry, natural gas, chemical industry, etc.
Steel slag mineralization Concrete. cemnet. etc
Gypsum mineralization Ammonium sulphate, concretet, building locks, spray coationg building materials, etc.
Low-grade minerals processing with mineralization Builing materials, potash, high-value metals and materials, etc.
Conversion to chemicals and biofuel Renewable energy industry, etc.
Conversion to biofertilizer Ecological agriculture, etc.
Conversion to food and feed Food, health care products, etc.
Gas-fertilizer utilization Agriculture, etc.
Depleted gas field storage Sichuan Baisn, Oridos Basin, Junggar Basin. Songliao Basin, etc.
Depleted oilfield srotage Songliao Basin, Bohai Bay Basin, etc.
Onshore saline aquifer storage Ordos Basin, Tarim Basin, etc.
Seabed saline aquifer storage Pearl River Estuary Basin, etc.
Achieve breakthroughs in key new capture
technologies
Priority actions in capture in stages
Page 21 of 28
Focusing on the breakthroughs in capture technology is the key
option to reduce the cost and energy consumption of CCUS
Prtority action -2025 -2030 -2035
Postcombustion
capture
• Development and demonstration of corresponding
processes for composite organic amine absorbents;
development and testing of new-generation organic amine
absorbents;
• Development of membrane materials and high-efficiency
solid absorbents;
• Launching for 300,000-ton-level industrial demonstration.
• Development and demonstration of corresponding process for
new-generation organic amine absorbent;
• Industrial grade demonstration of membrane materials and
high-efficiency solid absorbents;
• Launched for million-ton-level industrial demonstration.
• Integrated demonstration and promotion
of capture process and industry for
new-generation organic amine
absorbents;
• New-generation membrane materials
and high-efficiency solid absorbents,
and corresponding process development
and industrial demonstrations.
Precombustion
capture
• Development of new-type integrated technology for
gasification/decarbonization;
• Development and pilot-scale test of advanced physical
absorbents and process;
• Development and pilot-scale test of new-type solid
absorption agents (adsorbents);
• Development of medium-and-high-temperature CO2
separation membrane materials.
• Pilot-sacle test of new-type integrated technology for
gasification/decarbonization;
• Development of system integration optimization technology;
• New-type solid absorption agents (adsorbents) and processes
demonstration;
• Test and demonstration of medium-and-high- temperature CO2
separation membrane materials and process systems;
• Project demonstration at the scale of over 1 million t/a in coal
chemical industry;·
• Project demonstration at the scale of 300,000-500,000 t/a in
power industry.
• Industrial demonstration of next-
generation low-energy-consumption
capture technology;
• Million-ton-level industrial
demonstration of IGCC+
precombustion capture.
Oxyfuel
combustion capture
• Large-scale demonstration of low energy consumption
oxygen production technology;
• Development of acid gas co-compression purification
technology; ·
• Development and pilot test of new-type oxygen carriers;
• Full-process thermal coupling optimization technology;
• Completion of 10,000-ton-level oxygen combustion
intermediate text under ordinary pressure and
pressurization.
• Full-process project demonstration of million-ton-level oxyfuel
combustion under ordinary pressure;
• Industrial demonstration of 100,000-ton-level chemical
looping and pressurized oxyfuel combustion.
• Commercialization promotion of
oxyfuel combustion under constant
pressure;
• Large-scale demonstration of oxyfuel
combustion under chemical looping
and pressurization.
Conduct full-chain systematic integration and
large-scale demonstrations
Regional clusters of CCUS technology
Page 22 of 28
Full-chain system integration and demonstration are necessary
stages for the commercial application and development of CCUS
Ordos Basin
Emission
sources
•Chemical
industry
•Power
industry
Capture
•Postcombustion
capture
•Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
•Precombustion
capture
Utilization and storage•Biological utilization
•Chemical utilization
•Enhanced oil recovery
•In-situ leaching of uranium mine
•Enhanced coalbed methane recovery
•Enhanced deep saline aquifer recovery
•Enhanced shale gas recovery
•Saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield and gas field storage
Junggar Basin and
Turpan-Hami Basin
Emission
sources
•Chemical
industry
•Power industry
•Cement
industry
•Steel industry
Capture
•Postcombustion
capture
•Precombustion
capture
•Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
Utilization and storage•Biological utilization
•Chemical utilization
•Enhanced oil recovery
•In-situ leaching of uranium mine
•Enhanced coalbed methane recovery
•Enhanced deep saline aquifer recovery
•Enhanced shale gas recovery
•Saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield and gas field storage
Sichuan BasinEmission sources
•Power industry
•Steel industry
•Cement industry
•Petroleum refining
•Biomass
Capture
•Postcombustion capture
•Precombustion capture
Utilization and storage•Biological utilization
•Chemical utilization
•Enhanced shale gas recovery
•Enhanced natural gas recovery
•Saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield and gas field storage
Emission
sources
•Power industry
•Steel industry
•Cement
industry
•Coal chemical
industry
•Biomass
Capture
•Postcombustion
capture
•Precombustion
capture
•Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
Utilization and storage•Chemical utilization
•Biological utilization
•Enhanced oil recovery
•In-situ leaching of uranium mine
•Enhanced geothermal energy
recovery
•Enhanced coalbed methane
recovery
•Enhanced shale gas recovery
•Enhanced natural gas recovery
•Saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield and gas field
storage
Bohai Bay BasinEmission
sources
•Power industry
•Steel industry
•Cement
industry
•Coal chemical
industry
•Biomass
Capture
•Postcombustion
capture
•Oxyfuel
combustion
capture
•Precombustion
capture
Utilization and storage•Chemical utilization
•Biological utilization
•Enhanced oil recovery
•In-situ leaching of uranium mine
•Saline aquifer storage
•Depleted oilfield and gas field
storage
Pearl River Estuary Basin and coastal areas in Guangdong and
Guangxi
Capture
•Postcombustion capture
•Oxyfuel combustion
capture
•Precombustion capture
Contents
Current technological progress and challenges
Vision and goals
Priority actions and early opportunities
Policy recommendations
Page 23 of 28
Enhance the R&D capacity building
Exploring the supportive mechanisms for CCUS
R&D and demonstrations as well as talent cultivation
Establishing a national infrastructure platform for
R&D
Establishing a cooperation platform for the
government, industries, education and research
institutions
Strengthening the dynamic monitoring, strategic
research, and cooperation mechanisms of the
intellectual property rights associated with CCUS
Page 24 of 28
Actively and orderly promote early integrated
demonstrations
Promoting the screening and assessment of early-stage
demonstration projects
Conducting early-stage demonstrations in priority
industries and key regions
Formulating regulations and industrial standards for
CCUS R&D and demonstrations in the early stage
Increasing the national financial support for
demonstration projects, especially for integrated
demonstration projects
Encouraging newly-established projects with large-
scale emissions to reserve infrastructure for capture
Page 25 of 28
Strengthen the research on CCUS industrialization
policies
Incorporating CCUS into the national low-carbon
technology portfolio
Establishing industrial specifications for CCUS
Extending collaborative research on cooperation
mechanisms within the industrial chain
Enhancing the strategic planning and dynamic
monitoring of CCUS-related intellectual property
rights
Bolstering the public acceptance of CCUS technology
Page 26 of 28
36
Reinforce the international cooperation and
technology transfer
CCUS in China is igniting…
Proactively promoting international cooperation
and the exchange of CCUS technology
Promoting the connection of CCUS technology
in China with the international market
Page 27 of 28
Any comments and suggestions
will be appreciated
Thank you !
E-mail: [email protected] http://ceep.bit.edu.cn/
CEM CCUS webinar: CCUS in China
Lan-Cui LiuProfessorBeijing Normal University & Beijing Institute of Technology
Panelist
Liu Lan-Cui is a Professor of Business School at Beijing Normal University (BNU). Prior to working at the BNU, Dr. Liu was a Professor and Director of the Center of Climate and Environmental Policy of Chinese Academy Environmental Planning from June 2008 to April 2016. Her main research interests are carbon emissions reduction policies, environmental impact of CCUS technology and consumption, co-benefit analysis of greenhouse gases and main air pollutions, and energy and environmental policies and modeling.
She is the leading author for the technical guideline for environmental risk assessment of carbon capture, utilization and storage (Trial), Notice on strengthening environmental protection of carbon capture, utilization and storage demonstration projects, released by Ministry of Environmental Planning (Ministry of Ecology and Environment). She has published more than 30 papers in widely peer review Journals such as Energy, Journal of Clean Production, Energy Policy, Ecological Economics, and Environmental Impact Assessment Review.
www.ceep.net.cn
A proposed global layout of carbon capture, utilization, and storage
Yi-Ming Wei,Jia-Ning Kang , Lancui Liu , Qi Li , Pengtao Wang , Juan-Juan Hou , Qiao-Mei Liang , Hua Liao , Biying Yu , Shi-Feng
Huang
Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research
Beijing Institute of Technology
March 5, 2020
39
The Clean Energy Ministerial CCUS initiative webinar
Background
“In the IEA 2℃ scenario, CCS delivers 94 Gt of CO2
emissions reductions across industry and power generation through 2050”.
“CCS technologies deliver 14% of the cumulative CO2
emissions reductions, with around 142 Gt CO2 captured inthe period to 2060.”
40IEA. 20 years of Carbon Capture and Storage. https://webstore.iea.org/20-years-of-carbon-capture-and-storage.
IEA. Energy technology perspective 2017.
41
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94
142
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The development of CCUS needs to be accelerated.
By 2019, there were a total of 51 large-scale CCUS projects worldwide, of whichonly 19 projects were in operation (Global CCS Institute, 2019).
Less than 0.1 Gt (260 million tons) CO2 emissions has been stored.
North America has 24 large-scale CCUS projects, of which 12 are in operation.
Europe has a total of 12 projects, but most of them are at the stage of earlyplanning and design.
China has 8 large-scale CCUS projects in the construction or early developmentstage.
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Source: Global CCS Institute, 2019. Global Status Report 2019.
The global layout of CCUS consistent with the 2 ℃ target becomes urgent to fill the emissions gaps.
43
Where is these 94/146 Gt of CO2 emissions?
Where these 94/146 Gt of CO2
emissions can be safely stored?
Larger carbon sources
Suitable carbon sinks
The optimal matchingof source- sink in acost-effective Solution.
Carbon sources
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The global layout should identify large CO2 emissions “clusters”, rather thansporadic large stationary emission sources.
It should consider not only emissions from current large sources, but alsofuture emissions from new sources.
Except for fossil-fired power plants, more industrial sources of emissionsshould be considered.
The most important step is to define emission clusters and determine theglobal distribution of different emission clusters.
Wang, P., Wei, Y., Yang, B., Li, J., Kang, J., Liu, L., Yu, B., Hou, Y.., Zhang, X., 2020. Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector:
Optimal planning under the 2 °C constraint. Applied Energy, 263, 114694.
Carbon sink
The storage potential of all possible areas in sedimentary basins worldwide should be assessed.
Based on comprehensive consideration of social and economic environmental factors, practical and feasible storage sites should be screened and ranked.
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Source: IPCC, 2005 Our analysis
Prospective areas in sedimentary basins Distribution of social and economic environmental factors in
China’s prospective areas
The global source-sink matching
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It will not be point-to-point source-sink matching, different from the current operation projects.
It will need the complex transportation pipelines.
It need to be optimized to minimize costs.
Wang, P., Wei, Y., Yang, B., Li, J., Kang, J., Liu, L., Yu, B., Hou, Y.., Zhang, X., 2020. Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector:
Optimal planning under the 2 °C constraint. Applied Energy, 263, 114694.
CO2
CO2 source
CO2 utilization
CO2 injectionOil, gas, salinewater, etc.
CO2
reservoir
CO2 captureplant
The global layout
47
Carbon clusters refer to an area consisting of adjacent grids with
individual emissions exceeding 10,000 tons and total emissions
exceeding 0.3 million tons.
4,157 worldwide carbon emission clusters, mainly located in
121 countries.
The theoretical global geological storage potential of 290 oil/gas
reservoirs and 475 deep saline aquifers available around the
world is 6360 Gt.
The global layout
The source-sink matching model determines that a
total amount of 63 Gt CO2 can be sequestered into
deep saline aquifers, and 29 Gt CO2 can be sealed in the
oil/gas reservoirs across the world.
Globally, 67% of the source-sink matches are within 500
km, and 17% are within 500-800 km.
The average CO2 price will be approximately $60/ton.
Policy supports
Laws addressing the environmental safety of CO2 storage.
Incentive policies encouraging the deployment of CCUS.
49
Lan-Cui Liu, Qi Li, Jiu-Tian Zhang, Dong Cao. Toward a framework of environmental risk management for CO2 geological
storage in china: gaps and suggestions for future regulations. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,2016, 21: 191-207.
National regulations for CO2 storage
Australia:Environmental Guidelines for Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geological
Storage – 2009.
EU: Directive 2009/31/EC of the European Parliament and of the council
US: Federal Requirements Under the Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Program for Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Geologic Sequestration (GS) Wells; Final Rule,
2011
UK: The Storage of Carbon Dioxide (Licensing) Regulations 2010
Japan: Amendment of Marine Pollution Prevention Law
China: Technical Guideline on Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon
Dioxide Capture, Utilization and Storage (on Trial)
Australia EU US UK Japan
Permit √ √ √ √ √
Environmental impact
√ √ √ √
Monitoring √ √ √ √ √
Remedy plan √ √ √
Incentive policies
The 115th Congress of the United States has amended the 45Q of the federal law on tax incentivesto increase the CO2 tax credit for safe geological storage projects.
The new provision is that from 2017 to 2026, the amount of CO2 credits that are used to increasethe recovery of crude oil and be safely stored, will grow linearly from 12.83 dollar/ton to 35dollar/ton; the CO2 credits for the saline acquires storage will increase linearly from 22.66 dollar/tonto 50 dollar/ton.
The Sleipner and Snøhvit projects in Norway have also been supported by the incentives on carbon tax credits.
The high investment cost and long investment cycle of CCUS can not be separated from effectiveincentive policy supports.
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Policy implications
Establish effective policies and regulations on CCUS. Establishing policies and regulations on CCUSneeds to start with a variety of measures, including introducing incentives, guiding storage siteselection, monitoring guidelines, and long-term supervision of the safety and environmental risks.
Strengthen technology research and development. Governments and enterprises of all countriesshould increase investment in R&D of CCUS and strengthen the transformation of technologicalachievements. These measures promote the cost reduction for combating climate change whileimproving the CCUS technological competitive advantage.
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Strengthen international cooperation in the field of CCUS. It is recommended that countriesstrengthen cooperation, especially CCUS technical cooperation, technology transfer, and knowledgesharing.
Actively explore business models. It is recommended that governments of all countries shouldrelease active investment and financing policies to promote the development of CCUS through theparticipation of all social capital. To share uncertain risks, enterprises should actively cooperate torealize the complementary advantages of technology and capital.
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Thank you for your listening!
Welcome for any question!
55
Jia-Ning KangResearcherBeijing Institute of Technology
Panelist
Jia-Ning Kang currently serves as a Ph.D. candidate at the Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology.
Her research interests mainly focus on energy innovation, climate policy, green power technology assessment and foresight. Jia-Ning got her BS degree in Information Management and Information System from Dalian University of Technology, China.
www.ceep.net.cn
The Prospects of Carbon Capture and Storage inChina’s Power Sector under the 2℃ Targets
Jia-Ning Kang, Yi-Ming Wei*, Lancui Liu, Rong Han, Hao Chen, Jiaquan Li, Jin-Wei Wang, Biying Yu
Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research
Beijing Institute of Technology
March 5, 2020
57
The Clean Energy Ministerial CCUS initiative webinar
CEEP-BIT Working paper:
Background: CCS will play a critical role in the power sector.
Widespread electrification supports emissions reductions across end-use sectors.Decarbonised power is a backbone of the clean energy transformation.
CCS can reduce emissions from the ongoing use of fossil fuels in power generation andgenerate negative emissions from bioenergy generation.
To achieve the well below 2 ℃ warming targets, CCS technologies deliver 14% (142 Gt)of the cumulative CO2 emissions reductions in the period to 2060. Around half of theannual CO2 capture will be from the power sector (IEA, 2017).
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CCS deployment ratesCO2 reductions by sectors and technologies
Source: IEA (2017) Source: IEA (2017)
Background: CCS is a pivotal technological solution for large-scale CO2 reductions in China’s power sector.
China, as the world’s largest CO2 emitter, is plagued by the fact that coal will continueto play a dominated role in its energy mix for decades to come (Wei et al., 2018).
This phenomenon is particularly evident in the power sector. In 2017, coal-firedpower plants contributed 71.8% of China's total electricity generation (Fan et al.,2018).
CCS is indispensable for China's coal power sector to achieve near-zero emissions.
The IEA has proven that CCS will have a place in the technology portfolio to achievethe 2 ℃ target. China should contribute to cumulative 26 Gt of carbon dioxidereduction through the deployment of CCS, with 67% taken by the power sector and33% by industries (IEA, 2016).
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Background:Four CCS pathways in China’s power sector
Four deployment pathways:
• Post-combustion capture pathway in Supercritical Pulverized Coal plants (post-SPC)
• Pre-combustion capture pathway in Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle plants (pre-IGCC)
• Post-combustion capture pathway in Natural Gas Combined Cycle plants (post-NGCC)
• Oxy-fuel combustion pathway in Pulverized Coal plants (Oxy-fuel)
The post-SPC pathway has been the most widely deployed in China’s power system.
Five demonstration projects have been established, each of which has an annual capture capacity of more than
0.1 million tons of CO2.
China Huaneng Group has built China's first commercial IGCC power plant (265 MW)with capture capacity of 0.1 million tons of CO2.
The Oxy-fuel pathway is still in the laboratorial stage.
There is no demonstration project for post-NGCC pathway yet.
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Background: Research purpose
The cost reduction potential of CCS has been neglected for a long time, resulting in aspread of pessimistic attitude towards the future of CCS.
Trying to answer what the most plausible future of CCS looks like has been extremelycomplicated, especially in China’s power sector.
There are two main challenges:
(1) It is not clear that what the cost reduction potential of CCS caused by technologicaladvancement is, especially in developing countries, such as China;
(2) How to endogenize the non-linear technological innovation process to the traditionaltechnology selection models is also a issue.
This study foresees the prospects of CCS in China’s power sector under the 2 ℃targets, which is aimed at answering the following two questions:
(1) How much money is demanded for implementing four CCS pathways with the progress ofcapture technologies in China’s power sector?
(2) Under the dual constraints of 2 ℃ targets and minimum cost, which CCS pathways should beregarded as a strategic priority in China’s power sector under various scenarios?
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Method: Research Framework
This study sets three scenarios based on the time that CCS has the conditions forcommercialization in the power sector.
Accelerated Improvement Scenario (AIS): The commercialization time of CCS in China’s power sector is 2025;
Continued Improvement Scenario (CIS): The commercialization time of CCS in China’s power sector is 2030;
Belated Improvement Scenario (BIS): The commercialization time of CCS in China’s power sector is 2035.
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Therefore, this study provides the instance for the learning curves of unit CO2 avoidancecost for four CCS pathways in the power sector from China’s perspective based on acomponent-based approach.
We then establish a non-linear technology optimization model with endogenoustechnological progress.
Method: Component-based learning curve
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The learning curve depicts the correlation between unit cost and cumulative output,which is usually used to predict the future trend of cost decline (Argote and Epple,1990).
The learning rate (LR) is the proportion of the cost reduction with each doubling ofcumulative outputs.
Basic form:
The principle of the component-based learning curve is to break down the total costof a complex system into key components. The cost reduction potential of the wholesystem, in fact, largely depends on the technological breakthrough and cost learningeffect of key components (Rubin et al., 2007a).
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Method: Non-linear technology optimization model
Objective function: minimize the total CO2 avoided cost required by CCS
Constraints: engineering, technical level, resource, government planning
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Results: Learning rates of the CO2 avoided cost for four CCS pathways in China’s power sector
The learning rates of the CO2 avoided cost for Oxy-fuel, SPC with post-combustion, IGCC with pre-combustion, and NGCC with post-combustion are 5.7%, 11.8%, 9.8%, and 6.6%, respectively.
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NGCC plant with post-combustion capture
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5 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 100
IGCC plant with pre-combustion capture
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7 14 21 28 34 40 46 52 56 62 68 75 82 88 95 100
SPC Plant with oxy-combustion capture
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3 6 9 14 24 34 44 56 70 80 92 100
SPC plant with post-combustion capture
Cumulative Capacity (GW)
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IGCC plant with pre-combustion capture
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NGCC plant with post-combustion capture
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Learning curves of the generation cost and CO2 avoided cost for four CCS pathways
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Results: Technology deployment and costs
To achieve the 2℃ target, the results show that the installed capacity of CCS power plants is expectedto be 491 GW in China’s power sector by 2050 under AIS scenario.
The CCS capacity under CIS is suggested to be 527 GW; while for BIS, it is estimated at an alarmingcapacity of 653 GW.
In China’s power sector, CCS deployment for achieving the necessary CO2 reductions demanded forthe 2℃ target will expenditure approximately $389 billion and $441 billion under AIS scenario andCIS scenario, respectively.For BIS, this cost will soar to $ 506 billion due to the lag in large-scale promotion.
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Oxy
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(a) Accelerated Improvement Scenario (AIS)
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Total: 441.32 billion
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(d)
Total: 503.66 billion
14.9%
28.2%
56.8%
15%
2%
27%
56%
11.9%
5.7%
15.2%67.3%
(a)
Total: 388.63 billion
Accelerated improvement scenario
67
Results: The emission reduction contribution of the four pathways
The post-SPC pathway is a major contributor to the CO2 reductions in China’spower sector.
Around 2030-2035, the CO2 reduction effect of pre-IGCC pathway will come into play;
The roles of Oxy-fuel and pre-NGCC to the abatement will be prominent as early as 2045.
Further progress is obliged to speed up the commercialized development of four CCSpathways to achieve benefits at an early date.
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Results: Break-even carbon prices
By 2050, the average break-even carbon price in the three scenarios of AIS, CIS, andBIS is approximately 39, 50 and 57 US dollars per ton CO2 (at 2013 constant price),respectively.
The learning effects of technology could reap rewards by means of reducing the external carbon costin the future.
Delayed commercialization of CCS and high initial costs will greatly exacerbate long-term carbonprices.
It is recommended that the government should monitor the gap between the carbon market price andthe break-even price of CCS in real time, which is informative for pursuing subsidies and taxationpolicies.
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Policy suggestions: The Four-Step Development Strategy
For the relief of the overall burden of abatement costs, the study recommends that the large-scale CCS promotion should be between 2025 and 2030 for China's power sector.
Authorities should continue their efforts to the breakthroughs in key equipment or productupgrades to pave the way for CCS large-scale commercialization.
Research on CCUS from CEEP-BIT:layout optimization, technology assessment, investment analysis, life cycle assessment, water security, energy penalty.
Zhang, X., Fan, J.-L., Wei, Y.-M. 2013. Technology roadmap study on carbon capture, utilization andstorage in China. Energy Policy 59, 536-550.
Zhang, X., Wang, X., Chen, J., et al. 2014. A novel modeling based real option approach for CCSinvestment evaluation under multiple uncertainties. Applied Energy 113, 1059-1067.
Li, J., Hou, Y., Wang, P., et al. 2018. A Review of Carbon Capture and Storage Project Investment andOperational Decision-Making Based on Bibliometrics. Energies 12, 23.
Li, J., Mi, Z., Wei, Y.-M., et al. 2019. Flexible options to provide energy for capturing carbon dioxide incoal-fired power plants under the Clean Development Mechanism. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategiesfor Global Change 24, 1483-1505.
Li, H., Jiang, H., Yang, B., et al. 2019. An analysis of research hotspots and modeling techniques oncarbon capture and storage. Science of The Total Environment 687, 687-701.
Li, J., Yu, B., Tang, B., et al. 2020. Investment in carbon dioxide capture and storage combined withenhanced water recovery. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 94, 102848.
Yang B, Wei Y.-M., Hou Y, et al. 2019. Life cycle environmental impact assessment of fuel mix-basedbiomass co-firing plants with CO2 capture and storage. Applied Energy 252, 113483.
Wang, P.-T., Wei, Y-M, Yang, B, et al. 2020. Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector Optimalplanning under the 2℃ constraint. Applied Energy 263, 114694.
Wang, P.-T., Wei, Y.-M.. 2020. Impact of large coal-fired power plants with CCS implement on urbanwater use in China under 2℃-constraint scenarios. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.
Yang, B., Wei, Y.-M., Liu, L.-C., et al. 2020. Life cycle cost assessment of biomass co-firing plants with CO2
capture and storage:An Empirical Analysis from China. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.
Zhou, H.L., Silveira, S., Tang, B.J.. 2020. Optimal timing for carbon capture retrofitting in biomass-coalcombined heat and power plants in China. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.
www.ceep.net.cn
Thank you for your listening!
Welcome for any question!
71
QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION
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Yi-Ming Wei
Professor, Lab Director, and Vice
President
Beijing Institute of Technology
Xian Zhang
Director
The Administrative Center for China’s
Agenda 21
Lan-Cui Liu
Professor
Beijing Normal University & Beijing
Institute of Technology
Jia-Ning Kang
Researcher
Beijing Institute of Technology
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