Title of Presentation

Global Threat Brief

President / CEO

Global Guardian

Introduction / BackgroundDale Buckner, President and CEO of Global Guardian

• 24-year US Army Veteran, Colonel (Retired)

• Special Operations, Intelligence, Counter-Terrorism experience

• Numerous combat and classified deployments including Iraq, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Colombia, Cuba, El Salvador, Chile, Panama and Haiti

No Political Lens No Religious Lens Executor of U.S. Policy

The World Has Changed…

Rise of Emerging

MarketsAccess to the Internet

Globalization /

Corporate Travel

Increased Global

Instability

People Infrastructure Communications

Corporate Transformation Required

Global HotspotsClash of cultures, lack of economic growth, poor health care, limited clean water,

disease, lack of hope

Rise of Middle Class

Access to Internet

Mobility

Political Divides

Decentralization

Cause and Effect

Disenfranchised

Uncertainty, uncertainty, uncertainty…the one consistency in the new world order

United StatesSince 9/11 our entire world has changed and you don’t feel it, see it or

think about it but nothing is as it was or will be

Internet

Email

Phones - Text - Voice

Cameras

Finance

Drones

The world we live in today

Justice

Defense

General Welfare

Liberty

Essential Services

Security

The key roles of our government

Our nations ability to integrate and unify along religious, political, racial and gender lines while balancing security is going to be challenged as we struggle with rapidly changing demographics…the old paradigms no longer apply

United StatesWe have been protected by big data and geographic isolation for the last 15

years…but the dark web & encryption are going to change everything

Internet

Email

Phones

Cameras

Finance

Drones

Surveillance & Big Data

Global Economic Risk Decentralization, conflict and the falling price of oil have set the conditions for stagnate

growth, intense competition, increased espionage and mass cyber theft

Strengthening dynamics in 2017 in emerging-market nations, healthier activity in the Eurozone and Japan, as well as the United States. All are now at risk of being undermined by Economic Warfare and Cyber Theft for the

foreseeable future

NEGATIVE GROWTH:

• Libya (-8.3%)

• Russia (-2.3%)

• Venezuela (-6.1%)

• Brazil (-2.1%)

POSITIVE GROWTH:

• Emerging markets

• Europe, Japan, US

GLOBAL GROWTH: 3.2%

CyberEmployees are the number one weakness - cell phones, tablets and lab tops -

securing the enterprise with software is only half the equation

• LOSSES: Billions of dollars in corporate IP and trade secrets will continue to be stolen in 2016 and beyond

• NON-STATE ACTORS: Non-state actors express the desire to conduct malicious cyber attacks, but lack the capability to conduct high-level cyber operations

• TERRORISM: Groups effectively use the internet for theft, communication, propaganda, fundraising and recruitment

IC3: Internet Crime Complaint Center, FBI

What are you doing right now to secure your financials, IP, PII, client data, and future M&A …corporate America is failing massively – stop talking and take action

Cyber-Enabled Fraud Schemes

Schemes

Anti-Trust Crimes

Market Manipulation

Fraud – Money Laundering

Illicit Funds

Sanction Nation Violations

Supply Chain Sabotage

Corporate Espionage

Control of Foreign Markets

Destabilization of Markets

Political Manipulation

Control of R&D

Make Up for Lack of Innovation

Influence M&A

Gains

Rapid Cash – Funding (Criminal)

Economic Warfare serves three strategic objectives: economic, political, and military control

Global TerrorismEvery action has a reaction with negative 2nd and 3rd and 4th order effects that

will affect us for the next 30 years (generational)

• The number of people who have died from terrorist activity has increased nine-fold since 2000

• Terrorism related deaths rose from 18,111 in 2013 to 32,685 in 2014 (largest ever increase)

• Ten of the 11 countries that had more than 500 deaths from terrorism in 2014 had the highest levels of refugees

“Victory”, “defeat”, “destroy”…no such thing when combatting an ideology (not WWII) –containment, disruption, dispersion are success in the new world order

Western TerrorismTransition from regional organizations to the self-radicalized individual on

a global scale via the internet – U.S. & Europe in the cross-hairs

• 70% of all deaths from terrorism in the West since 2006 were by lone wolf terrorists.

• 2015 was most lethal year for terrorist violence in Europe in nearly a decade

• Outside the ten countries with the highest number of deaths from terrorism, deaths increased by 139 per cent from 2013 to 2014.

Social media, cyber and the dark web…the 3 most powerful elements of future terrorism

Source: Maplecroft Terrorism and Security Dashboard

Russia25 years ago the USSR controlled 15 additional countries…it’s currently struggling to

survive as a petrol-state – follow the money, not the propaganda

Failure - Decline

Putin did not invade the Ukraine, Syria or continue to threaten the West to regain power and influence…its to control his disenfranchised population and failing economy

$450 average monthly wage

-40% decline in GDP (13-2015)

-2% GDP decline projected 16

14.2% poverty rate projected

15% inflation rate (U.S. = 1-2%)

-$36 billion deficit shortfall

62% military operational rate

-30 million people (by 2050)

IndiaSocio-economic imbalances, urban anonymity, disproportionate gender ratio (884 female:

1,000 males), overpopulation, unemployment, poverty, corruption, and inadequate policing

Alarming Increases

By every measure, India is headed toward total social failure and there is no indication of any political will to change…more importantly, the West is looking the other way

32% increase in kidnapping

20% crimes against women

27% rapes against women

11,209 FIR’s Total 2014

9 convictions of 11,209 FIR’s

7,124 rapes in 8 months (2015)

1 conviction of 7,124 to date

40,000 young girls kidnapped

Middle East and North AfricaSectarian violence, civil war, terrorism, oil conflicts, & the fight for the control

of the region

• Lack of religious & cultural understanding = strategic errors

• Sunni, Shia, Kurd – its everything & we have not learned the lesson

• The Middle-East is completely uncertain and no-one can “win”

Saudi Arabia vs. Iran

Tribes Matter

U.S. - Russia - Turkey

Team Sunni

Team Shia

Team Sunni

Team Sunni

Team Sunni

Team Sunni

Team Shia

Team Kurd

Team Sunni

Team Shia

Team Sunni

Team Sunni

Team Ibadi

Direct Translation

Refugee Crisis – Human SufferingThe Iraq and Syria wars have displaced 20 million people, which represents the largest

displacement of people since WWII – friction, friction, friction

• Germany accepted approximately 1,200,000 refugees in 2015 (4x more than 2014)

• United States plans on accepting 85,000 refugees in 2016 (10,000 Syrians) – in doubt now

• 4,000,000+ living in refugee camps in Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan alone

Threats to the WestThe flood of refugees & migrants from the Middle-East and Africa are changing the West

forever

• Over 9,000,000 refugees and migrants have flooded to Europe since 2011

• Germany, Hungry, Sweden, Italy and France have lead Europe but with reluctance and friction

• The European Union will be unrecognizable in a decade

Immigration

Terrorism

Political Divides

Integration

Nationalism

Are you preparing your European business operations – personnel, infrastructure?

Central America & MexicoSupply and demand…who’s the enemy? The U.S. had a substantial role in

creating the current situation and a wall will not fix it

• In the 2000s, 90% of cocaine consumed in the U.S. was imported from Mexico

• Nearly 450,000 people are employed by drug cartels in Mexico - $65 billion industry (MX alone), $435 billion globally

• Mexican government reports 165,000 homicides from 2007-2014 with 55% attributed to drug war

• 2016 is on pace for a 15% higher homicide rate than 2015

Venezuela's Failure Effect

Colombia

El Salvador

Guatemala

Highest risk to the region – recognition of the 7 primary drug cartels as political parties = narco state

No Wall

KidnappingKidnapping has accelerated over the past decade due to growing socioeconomic

divide, internet access and the spread of radical groups

• Mexico and India lead the world for kidnap-and-ransom events

• The number of foreigners kidnapped in Mexico was 9 times higher in 2015 than 2014

• The U.S. Department of State estimated that at least 200 U.S. citizens were kidnapped in Mexico alone in 2015

Colombia

Mexico

Somalia

Nigeria

Guatemala – Honduras

Venezuela

Yemen

Iraq - Syria

Afghanistan - Pakistan

Philippines

India

Brazil

The top Kidnap & Ransom countries in the world are heavily invested by U.S. outsourcing

“Crystal Ball”

What does it all mean over the next decade…so what?

U.S. contraction - deficit

Mexico - Narco state

Venezuela - failed state

Africa, MX - manufacturing growth

E.U. breaks apart / Germany shrinks

Turkey allies w/ the U.S.

Russia collapses – Poland rises

Iran nuclear deal holds – ME cold war

China stagnates – Japan rises

Secure your personnel, infrastructure, communications and understand that global challenges will not be solved by the “old playbook”…you have to acknowledge, accept and adjust to the new world order

India’s class system fractures

Question & Answer