trade policy formulation in developing countries
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In this presentation for the Garnet Group (IMD), Dr Manzoor Ahmad outlines the essential requirements for formulating trade policies in developing countriesTRANSCRIPT
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Evian-Garnet Capacity Building WorkshopTrade and Governance in Developing countries
Presentation by Dr Manzoor Ahmad
9 July 2919
I would first like to discuss the role of good governance and open trade in
achieving economic growth, and then suggest the way forward for
developing countries.
Whether we look at the last ten years or twenty or fifty, one fact comes
out clearly. Counties which had good governance and open trade policies
have in general been successful in reducing their poverty levels and in
bringing peace for their people. Other factors such as abundance of
natural resources or having preferential access to overseas markets are
of secondary importance. Many resource-rich countries have performed
poorly either because of poor governance or due to their closed economy.
For example, in Africa, countries such as Libya, Nigeria, Gabon, Angola,
Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, and Chad are all oil-rich but still have not
done as well as their neighbours who were resource-poor. In Asia, oil-rich
countries such as Iran and Iraq whose economies are ranked as “not free”
have done much poorly compared to other oil-rich countries whose
economies were relatively open or even compared to many others who
did not have any natural resources.
It is common practice in many countries to blame others for their poor
economic performance. Undoubtedly, some countries are treated rather
unfairly and their exports face much higher tariffs as compared to others
or even compared to developed countries. But this should not stop them
from doing what they could do to improve their economic welfare. What
has to be realized is that having duty-free or preferential market access
to overseas markets may help countries but it will not be the determining
factor for their economic growth or reduction of poverty. Already most
poor countries have full market access but because of their own
restrictive trade policies or poor governance they have not done as well
as others who did not have such access. In fact when I look at my country
(Pakistan) which has had alternating periods of good governance and
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open trade regime versus long periods of bad governance and restricted
import policy, I find a direct correlation between higher economic growth
on the one hand and good governance and open trade on the other.
My second point, which is very much linked to the first one, is that for
many developing countries trade policies are formulated in such a way as
to create rent-seeking opportunities for influential politicians, traders and
bureaucrats. Let me give you an example of rent-seeking from my own
country. In Pakistan sugar mills are mostly owned by influential
politicians as it is a restricted industry. Very often trade policy is
manipulated so as to provide big gains for the owners of that industry.
This is either done through restricting imports or through giving
subsidies to the sugar industry. As a result consumers as well as the
exchequer suffers. If there was transparency, accountability and
inclusiveness this would not happen repeatedly. Many developing
countries, where there is no transparency, follow such practices and as a
result a few people become very wealthy at the expense of the general
populace.
What is the way forward to put in place a transparent and open
trade policy?
First, greater transparency, accountability and inclusiveness have to be
made a part of trade policy. This would reduce corruption and
misallocation of resources.
Second, independent forums should be established to bench-mark
economic policies and openness against neighbouring countries that are
doing relatively well and try to match them.
Third, examine various international conventions and recommendations
and try to adopt them. For example, there is a WTO agreement on
Information Technology. Those countries that are signatory to this
agreement have seen their IT sector make big progress. There is another
WTO agreement on government procurement. Following the good
practices prescribed by this agreement could cut corruption substantially.
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To sum up, if a country is able to have good governance and open trade
policy regime, it can flourish without depending on foreign aid or any
other external factors.