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Key Takeaway: TRC 25 Jul 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page NR IAA 2016 TP: 1.70 Closing price: Bt1.60 Upside/downside 6.3% Sector Construction Services Paid-up shares (shares bn) 5.1 Market capitalization (Bt bn) 8.2 Free float (%) 74.36 12-mth daily avg. turnover (Bt mn) 67.08 12-mth trading range (Bt) 2.34/1.59 Major shareholders (%) (11/5/2016) KPK 1999 28.25 Thai NVDR 5.76 SMPR Holding Pte Ltd 4.92 Thailand Research Department Vajiralux Sanglerdsillapachai License, No. 17385 Tel: 02 680 5077 TRC Construction (TRC) Stability for backlog and profitable margins from potash mining Site visit to Potash Chaiyaphum mine. Will recognize mining backlog of Bt34bn over three years. In 2H16, waiting for news of a new shareholder instead of MOF, financially close to successfully financing and official signing of EPC between TRC and APOT. TRC is a major shareholder in ASEAN Potash Chaiyaphum Pcl (APOT) which is the operator of the first potash mine in Thailand in Bamnet Narong District, Chaiyaphum province. It was granted a concession in February 2015. TRC has been selected as the contractor for the civil engineering work, site preparation, survey work, power generation and ore dressing with total value of Bt34bn in January 2016 and construction time of approximately three years. APOT will sign a formal construction agreement with TRC by the end of 2016. APOT has current registered capital of Bt2.8bn. TRC holds 26% in APOT, followed by the Ministry of Finance (MOF) 16.50%, the rest is distributed to the investors in Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia and Malaysia. Currently, there is the transfer switch from MOF to a state enterprise. However, the new partner is likely to be a state enterprise who is listed on SET. It is expected to be concluded soon. This enterprise will benefit in the long run for more flexible in its operations than MOF. Potash mine in Chaiyaphum: The mine has production reserves of 23mn tonnes of potash over the concession period. Full production is expected to be 1.2mn tonnes p.a. Operations are expected to commence at 300K tonnes p.a. in the first year and increase steadily to full capacity. The current price of potash has declined to US$249/tonne, compared to US$300/tonne at the end of 2015, while its costs excluding interest expenses will be USD170/tonnes. The company is working on getting financing with syndicated banks, and this is expected to be completed in 4Q16. TRC is preparing early work worth Bt700mn and is also prepared to build a coal power plant, 56 MW at the construction site. EIA is still awaiting approval from the government. Mining operation will benefit TRC through huge new backlog of Bt34bn over three years: It is expected to keep gross profit margin at 12-13% amid fierce competition for oil and gas construction work and a low margin. The company’s current backlog is Bt6bn, and TRC plans to bid on the remaining fifth pipeline of PTT, comprising three contracts total worth Bt8bn. IAA Consensus target price is Bt1.70. IAA Consensus forecast EPS of Bt0.07 and Bt0.11 in 2016 and 2017 represent 0% and 57% EPS growth, while the average PER are 22.8x and 14.5x, respectively. The average IAA 2016 target price is Bt1.70.

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Page 1: TRC Construction (TRC)trc.listedcompany.com/misc/analyst-research/20160725-trc-aws-en.p… · 25.07.2016  · Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia and

Key Takeaway: TRC 25 Jul 2016

1

Please see disclaimer on last page

NR

IAA 2016 TP: 1.70

Closing price: Bt1.60

Upside/downside 6.3%

Sector Construction Services

Paid-up shares (shares bn) 5.1

Market capitalization (Bt bn) 8.2

Free float (%) 74.36

12-mth daily avg. turnover (Bt mn) 67.08

12-mth trading range (Bt) 2.34/1.59

Major shareholders (%) (11/5/2016)

KPK 1999 28.25

Thai NVDR 5.76

SMPR Holding Pte Ltd 4.92

Thailand Research Department

Vajiralux Sanglerdsillapachai

License, No. 17385

Tel: 02 680 5077

TRC Construction (TRC)

Stability for backlog and profitable margins from potash mining

► Site visit to Potash Chaiyaphum mine.

► Will recognize mining backlog of Bt34bn over three years.

► In 2H16, waiting for news of a new shareholder instead of

MOF, financially close to successfully financing and official

signing of EPC between TRC and APOT.

TRC is a major shareholder in ASEAN Potash Chaiyaphum

Pcl (APOT) which is the operator of the first potash mine in

Thailand in Bamnet Narong District, Chaiyaphum province. It was

granted a concession in February 2015. TRC has been selected

as the contractor for the civil engineering work, site preparation,

survey work, power generation and ore dressing with total value of

Bt34bn in January 2016 and construction time of approximately

three years. APOT will sign a formal construction agreement with

TRC by the end of 2016. APOT has current registered capital of

Bt2.8bn. TRC holds 26% in APOT, followed by the Ministry of

Finance (MOF) 16.50%, the rest is distributed to the investors in

Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia

and Malaysia. Currently, there is the transfer switch from MOF to

a state enterprise. However, the new partner is likely to be a state

enterprise who is listed on SET. It is expected to be concluded

soon. This enterprise will benefit in the long run for more flexible

in its operations than MOF.

Potash mine in Chaiyaphum: The mine has production reserves

of 23mn tonnes of potash over the concession period. Full

production is expected to be 1.2mn tonnes p.a. Operations are

expected to commence at 300K tonnes p.a. in the first year and

increase steadily to full capacity. The current price of potash has

declined to US$249/tonne, compared to US$300/tonne at the end

of 2015, while its costs excluding interest expenses will be

USD170/tonnes. The company is working on getting financing with

syndicated banks, and this is expected to be completed in 4Q16. TRC is preparing early work worth Bt700mn and is also prepared

to build a coal power plant, 56 MW at the construction site. EIA is

still awaiting approval from the government.

Mining operation will benefit TRC through huge new backlog

of Bt34bn over three years: It is expected to keep gross profit

margin at 12-13% amid fierce competition for oil and gas

construction work and a low margin. The company’s current

backlog is Bt6bn, and TRC plans to bid on the remaining fifth

pipeline of PTT, comprising three contracts total worth Bt8bn.

IAA Consensus target price is Bt1.70. IAA Consensus forecast

EPS of Bt0.07 and Bt0.11 in 2016 and 2017 represent 0% and

57% EPS growth, while the average PER are 22.8x and 14.5x,

respectively. The average IAA 2016 target price is Bt1.70.

Page 2: TRC Construction (TRC)trc.listedcompany.com/misc/analyst-research/20160725-trc-aws-en.p… · 25.07.2016  · Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia and

CG Report

2

Please see disclaimer on last page

Corporate Governance Report disclaimer

The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors

Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant

to the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed

on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative

Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a

general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of

a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on

inside information.

The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate

Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey

result may be changed after that date, Asia wealth Securities Company

Limited does not conform nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.

Score Range Number of Logo Description 90 – 100 80 – 89 70 – 79 60 – 69 50 – 59

Below 50

No logo given

Excellent Very Good

Good Satisfactory

Pass N/A

Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) in 2015.

ADVANC BAFS BCP BIGC BTS CK CPN DRT DTAC DTC EASTW EGCO GRAMMYHANA HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KKP KTB LHBANK LPN MCOT MINTMONO NKI PHOL PPS PS PSL PTT PTTEP PTTGC QTC RATCH ROBINS SAMARTSAMTEL SAT SC SCB SCC SE-ED SIM SNC SPALI THCOM TISCO TKT TMBTOP VGI WACOAL

AAV ACAP AGE AHC AKP AMATA ANAN AOT APCS ARIP BMCL BOL BROOKBWG CENTEL CFRESH CHO CIMBT CM CNT COL CPF CPI CSL DCC DELTADEMCO ECF EE ERW GBX GC GFPT GLOBAL GUNKUL HEMRAJ HOTPOT HYDRO ICCICHI INET IRC KSL KTC LANNA LH LOXLEY LRH MACO MBK MC MEGAMFEC NBC NCH NINE NSI NTV OCC OGC OISHI OTO PAP PDI PEPG PJW PM PPP PR PRANDA PREB PT PTG Q-CON QH RS S&JSABINA SAMCO SCG SEAFCO SFP SIAM SINGER SIS SITHAI SMK SMPC SMT SNPSPI SSF SSI SSSC SST STA STEC SVI SWC SYMC SYNTEC TASCO TBSPTCAP TF TGCI THAI THANA THANI THIP THRE THREL TICON TIP TIPCO TKTKS TMI TMILL TMT TNDT TNITY TNL TOG TPC TPCORP TRC TRU TRUETSC TSTE TSTH TTA TTCL TTW TU TVD TVO TWPC UAC UT UVVNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICOVNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICO

2S AEC AEONTS AF AH AIRA AIT AJ AKR AMANAH AMARIN AP APCOAQUA AS ASIA AUCT AYUD BA BEAUTY BEC BFIT BH BIG BJC BJCHIBKD BTNC CBG CGD CHG CHOW CI CITY CKP CNS CPALL CPL CSCCSP CSS CTW DNA EARTH EASON ECL EFORL ESSO FE FIRE FOCUS FORTHFPI FSMART FSS FVC GCAP GENCO GL GLAND GLOW GOLD GYT HTC HTECHIEC IFEC IFS IHL IRCP ITD JSP JTS JUBILE KASET KBS KCAR KGIKKC KTIS KWC KYE L&E LALIN LHK LIT LIVE LST M MAJOR MAKROMATCH MATI MBKET M-CHAI MFC MILL MJD MK MODERN MOONG MPG MSC MTIMTLS NC NOK NUSA NWR NYT OCEAN PACE PATO PB PCA PCSGH PDGPF PICO PL PLANB PLAT PPM PRG PRIN PSTC PTL PYLON QLT RCIRCL RICHY RML RPC S SALEE SAPPE SAWAD SCCC SCN SCP SEAOIL SIRISKR SMG SOLAR SORKON SPA SPC SPCG SPPT SPVI SRICHA SSC STANLY STPISUC SUSCO SUTHA SYNEX TAE TAKUNI TCC TCCC TCJ TEAM TFD TFI TICTIW TLUXE TMC TMD TOPP TPCH TPIPL TRT TSE TSR UMI UP UPFUPOIC UREKA UWC VIBHA VIH VPO WHA WIN XO

Source: Thai Institute of Directors (IOD)

Page 3: TRC Construction (TRC)trc.listedcompany.com/misc/analyst-research/20160725-trc-aws-en.p… · 25.07.2016  · Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia and

CG Report

3

Please see disclaimer on last page

ระดบ 1ACD AEONTS AFC AIRA AJ ALUCON AMC AQUA ARIP AUCT BAT-3K BIG BJCBLISS BMCL BOL BRR BSBM CBG CCET CCN CGD CMR CPH CSC CSPCTW DCON DRACO DSGT DTCI E EMC ESSO FOCUS FSMART GIFT GLANDGRAND GUNKUL HFT HTECH IHL ILINK ITD JSP KDH KTIS KTP LEE LSTMAJOR MATCH MAX M-CHAI MDX MIDA ML MPIC NC NEP NNCL NWR OHTLPICO PK PL PPM PRAKIT PRECHA PRIN PSTC PYLON RAM RICH RS SANKOSAUCE SAWAD SAWANG SCN SEAFCO SF SHANG SIRI SMART SMM SOLAR SPACK SPGSPPT SPVI STA STAR SVH SVOA SWC TAPAC TC TCCC TCJ TCOAT THTKS TNH TNPC TPA TPAC TPOLY TRC TRUBB TSE TTA TTI TTL TTTMTWP TWZ U UMS UPA UPOIC UTP UVAN VARO VI VIBHA VIH VTEWG

ระดบ 22S ABICO AF AKP AMARIN AMATA AOT APCO AYUD BEAUTY BFIT BH BKDBLAND BTNC CCP CI CSR CSS EFORL EPCO FE FNS FVC GEL GLOBALHEMRAJ IEC IFS INET JUTHA KASET KCAR KKC KSL L&E LALIN LTX MMALEE MBK MBKET MEGA MK MPG MTLS NCH NCL NPP OCC OCEAN PBPCA PRINC QH ROCK RPC S&J SGP SIAM SIS SKR SMG SMIT SORKONSUSCO TAKUNI TEAM TF TIC TIP TIPCO TMC TMI TPP TRT TRU TRUETSC TSI TTW TVD TVO UKEM UNIQ UWC VNG WIIK WIN XO

ระดบ 3AABC ACAP ADVANC AEC AGE AH AIE AMANAH ANAN AP APCS APURE ASASIA ASIAN ASIMAR BIGC BROOK BTS BWG CEN CENTEL CFRESH CHARAN CHO CHOTICM CNT COL CPALL CPF CPI CPL DELTA DEMCO DIMET DNA DTAC EAECF EE EVER FPI GBX GC GFPT GLOW HMPRO HOTPOT ICC ICHI IFECINOX INSURE IRC JAS JTS JUBILE KC KTC KYE LHK LPN LRH MAKROMC MCOT MFC MFEC MINT MJD MONO MOONG NBC NDR NINE NMG NSINTV OGC PACE PCSGH PDI PG PHOL PLAT PPS PR PRANDA PREB PSQLT RATCH RML ROBINS ROJNA RWI SAMCO SCCC SCG SEAOIL SE-ED SENA SINGERSITHAI SMK SMPC SPALI SPC SPCG SPI SRICHA SSI STANLY SUPER SVI SYMCSYNEX SYNTEC TASCO TCMC TFI THAI THRE THREL TICON TKT TLUXE TNL TPCORPTMILL TMT TSTE TSTH TTCL TU TVI UOBKH UREKA VGI VNT WACOAL WHAZMICO

ระดบ 3BAAV AHC AI AIT AKR ARROW ASK BA BDMS BEC BECL BJCHI BUICGH CHG CHOW CIG CITY CK CKP COLOR CWT EARTH EASON EPG F&DFANCY FIRE FMT FORTH GENCO GL GOLD GPSC GRAMMY HYDRO IRCP IT JCTKCM KWC LH LIT LOXLEY MACO MANRIN MATI MODERN MSC NOBLE NOK NPKNUSA OISHI OTO PAF PAP PATO PF PJW PLANB PLE POLAR PRG PTLQ-CON QTC RCI S11 SALEE SAM SAMART SAMTEL SAPPE SC SCP SFP SIMSLP SMT SPA SPORT SSC SST STEC STPI SUC SUTHA T TAE TBSPTCC TFD TGCI TGPRO THANA THIP TIW TK TMW TNDT TOPP TPC TPCHTPIPL TSR TT TYCN UAC UBIS UEC UMI UP UPF UT UV VPOWAVE WINNER YUASA

ระดบ 4ASP BAFS BANPU BAY BBL BKI BLA CIMBT CNS CSL DCC DRT DTCEASTW ECL EGCO ERW FSS GCAP HANA HTC INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCEKGI KKP KTB LANNA LHBANK MTI NKI PSL PTG PTTEP SABINA SCB SNCSNP SSF SSSC TCAP THCOM TISCO TIMB TMD TNITY TOG

ระดบ 5BCP CPN GYT PE PM PPP PT PTT PTTGC SAT SCC THANI TOP

ไมเปดเผยหรอไมมนโยบายA ACC AJD AQ BCH BGT BROCK BSM BTC CHUO CPR CRANE EICFER JMART JMT KAMART KBS KIAT LDC MBAX MCS METCO NEW NEWS NYTPAE PDG PERM PMTA POST RCL RICHY ROH S SIMAT TCB TR TSFTVT WORKหมายเหตระดบ 1 : มนโยบายระดบ 2 : ประกาศเจตนารมณระดบ 3 : มมาตรการปองกน ซงทง 2 กรณ ถอเปนผลการประเมนในระดบเดยวกน

3A : บรษทมการประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรอภาค3B : บรษทมค ามน และนโยบายของบรษท แตมไดประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรอภาค

ระดบ 4 : ไดรบการรบรองระดบ 5 : ขยายผลสผท เกยวของ

ขอมล Anti-Corruption Progress Indicator ของบรษทจดทะเบยน

Page 4: TRC Construction (TRC)trc.listedcompany.com/misc/analyst-research/20160725-trc-aws-en.p… · 25.07.2016  · Thailand and overseas also including the government of Indonesia and

Contact

4

Please see disclaimer on last page

This report has been prepared by Asia Wealth Securities Company Limited (“AWS”). The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, but AWS makes no representation as to the accuracy and completeness of such information. AWS does not accept any liability for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of such information or opinions in this report. Before making your own independent decision to invest or enter into transaction, investors should study this report carefully and should review information relating. All rights are reserved. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person in any manner for any purpose without permission of AWS. Investment in securities has risks. Investors are advised to consider carefully before making decisions.

Branch Address Phone Fax

Head Office 540 Floor 7,14,17 , Mercury Tower, Ploenchit Road, Lumphini,

Pathumwan Bangkok 10330

02-680-5000 02-680-5111

Silom 191 Silom Complex Building,21st Floor Room 2,3-1 Silom Rd.,

Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok, 10500 Thailand

02-630-3500 02-630-3530-1

Asok 159 Sermmitr Tower, 17th FL. Room No.1703, Sukhumvit 21

Road, Klong Toey Nua, Wattana, Bangkok 10110

02-261-1314-21 02-261-1328

Pinklao

7/3 Central Plaza Pinklao Office Building Tower B, 16th Flr., Room

No.1605-1606 Baromrajachonnanee Road, Arunamarin,

Bangkoknoi, Bangkok 10700

02-884-7333 02-884-7357,

02-884-7367

Chaengwattana

99/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,

Room 2204 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,

Nonthaburi 11120

02-119-2300 02-8353014

Chaengwattana 2

9/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,

Room 2203 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,

Nonthaburi 11120

02-119-2388 02-119-2399

Mega Bangna 39 Moo6 Megabangna, 1st Flr., Room 1632/7 Bangna-Trad Road,

Bangkaew Bangplee, Samutprakarn 10540

02-106-7345 02-105-2070

Rayong 356/18 Sukhumvit Road, Nuen-Phra Sub District, Muang District,

Rayong Province 21000

038-808200 038-807200

Khonkaen 26/9 Srijanmai Road, Tamboonnaimuang, Khon Khaen

40000

043-334-700 043-334-799

Chonburi 44 Vachiraprakarn Road, Bangplasoi, Muang Chonburi, Chonburi

20000

038-274-533 038-275-168

Chaseongsao 233-233/2 Moo2 1st Flr., Sukprayoon Road, Na Meung Sub-

District, Meung District, Chachoengsao 24000

038-981-587 038-981-591