unconventional gas development from shale plays: myths and

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Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts A. R. Ingraffea, Ph.D., P.E. Cornell University and Physicians, Scientists, and Engineers for Sustainable and Healthy Energy, Inc. Halifax, Nova Scotia December 2, 2011 1

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Page 1: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

A. R. Ingraffea, Ph.D., P.E. Cornell University and Physicians, Scientists, and Engineers for Sustainable and Healthy Energy, Inc. Halifax, Nova Scotia December 2, 2011

1

Page 2: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Unconventional Development of Gas from Shale Formations:

Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

• Fracing is a 60-year-old Well-Proven Technology.

• Fluid Migration from Faulty Wells is a rare phenomenon.

• The use of multi-well pads and cluster drilling reduces surface impacts.

• Natural Gas is a Clean Fossil Fuel.

2

Page 3: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Fracing for gas development is a 60-year-old well-proven technology.

3

Unconventional Development of Gas from Shale Formations:

Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

Page 4: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Why Is Shale Gas Development “Unconventional”

• Because it requires 4 technologies only recently combined to make

gas production from shales technically and economically feasible.

• Directional drilling: needed to access a thin layer of shale with long

laterals.

• High frac fluid volumes: needed to stimulate gas release from many

existing fractures.

• Slickwater: needed to control the amount of power needed to pump

large volumes of frac fluids, at high pressures, quickly, over long

distances, through small diameter casing.

• Clustered, Multi-well Pads: needed to access as much of the gas

inventory as possible, under constraints of leasing and capital.

4

Page 5: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

High Volume, Slickwater Fracing from Long Laterals (HVSFLL): The Concept

5

~ 2000 m

~ 100 m Pay zone

Cap rock

Cap rock

Not to scale

The Lateral

Shale Layer

Page 6: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Why Is Shale Gas Development “Unconventional”

• Because it requires 4 technologies only recently combined to make

gas production from shales technically and economically feasible.

• Directional drilling: needed to access a thin layer of shale with long

laterals.

• High frac fluid volumes: needed to stimulate gas release from many

existing fractures.

• Slickwater: needed to control the amount of power needed to pump

large volumes of frac fluids, at high pressures, quickly, over long

distances, through small diameter casing.

• Clustered, Multi-well Pads: needed to access as much of the gas

inventory as possible, under constraints of leasing and capital.

6

Page 7: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Early Joints at Taughannock Falls

Geneseo-Burket (Devonian black shale)

Taughannock Falls State Park, Trumansburg, N.Y.

Photo Courtesy T. Engelder

Gas Producing Shales are Heavily Fractured Naturally

7

Page 8: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Why Is Shale Gas Development “Unconventional”

• Because it requires 4 technologies only recently combined to make

gas production from shales technically and economically feasible.

• Directional drilling: needed to access a thin layer of shale with long

laterals.

• High frac fluid volumes: needed to stimulate gas release from many

existing fractures.

• Slickwater: needed to control the amount of power needed to pump

large volumes of frac fluids, at high pressures, quickly, over long

distances, through small diameter casing.

• Clustered, Multi-well Pads: needed to access as much of the gas

inventory as possible, under constraints of leasing and capital.

8

Page 9: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Targeting the Shale Layer Via Multiple, “Horizontal” Wells from Clusters of Pads

9 From Cody Teff, Shell Appalachia, WELL CONSTRUCTION PRACTICES IN THE MARCELLUS

Page 10: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

10

Example of Spatially Intense Development:

Dallas/Fort Worth Airport Property,

Barnett Shale Play

• 53 pads on 18,076 acres, 30 square miles

• Each red line is a well • Each red dot is a pad

• Almost complete coverage

• Patchwork, mostly ideal units • One developer

Page 11: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Summary of the Technology: HVSFLL Is a Recently Developed Process

11

From NYS SGEIS revised draft, page 5-5, 2011

Page 12: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Fracing for gas development is a 60-year-old well-proven technology.

Myth

12

Truth • Unconventional development of gas using high

volume, slickwater fracing from long laterals is NOT a 60-year-old well-proven technology; it is still being

developed.

Health Impact • Insufficient time to conduct scientific investigations of

impacts due to process itself and inevitable accidents.

Page 13: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Fluid Migration from Faulty Wells is a rare phenomenon.

Unconventional Development of Gas from Shale Formations:

Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

13

Page 14: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Gas Is Supposed to Rise Inside the Production Casing,

Not Outside

14

VIDEO of

Methane Bubbling

At Well Head

Page 15: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Bubbling in Muncy Creek, Lycoming County, PA: Example of Migration of Hydrocarbons

Video Courtesy of Ralph Kisberg, Responsible Drilling Alliance 15

Page 16: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Observation: What Does This All Look Like “Downhole”?

Laboratory-Scale Experiment: • A Block of Real Rock

• Drill It, Right Down the Middle

• Case It

• Cement It

• Perforate It

• Frac It, with Red Dye in the Frac Fluid

• Break Open the Block

• See What Happened

16

Page 17: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

One Can See Perforations and Hydraulic Fractures

17

4 in.

Page 18: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

FRESH WATER AQUIFER ZONE

SHALLOW PRODUCING ZONE

INTERMEDIATE PRODUCING ZONE

CONDUCTOR PIPE

SURFACE CASING

PRODUCTION CASING

GOOD MECHANICAL INTEGRITY

TARGET PRODUCING ZONE 18

Page 19: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

CEMENT CHANNELING

PRESSURE BUILDS UP

CONDUCTOR PIPE

SURFACE CASING

PRODUCTION CASING

FRESH WATER AQUIFER ZONE

SHALLOW PRODUCING ZONE

INTERMEDIATE PRODUCING ZONE

TARGET PRODUCING ZONE

CA

SIN

G

CEM

ENT

FOR

MA

TIO

N

19

Page 20: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

LEAK THROUGH CASING

CONDUCTOR PIPE

SURFACE CASING

PRODUCTION CASING

FOR

MA

TIO

N

CA

SIN

G

FRESH WATER AQUIFER ZONE

SHALLOW PRODUCING ZONE

INTERMEDIATE PRODUCING ZONE

TARGET PRODUCING ZONE

PRESSURE BUILDS UP

20

Page 21: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

INSUFFICIENT CEMENT COVERAGE

PRESSURE BUILDS UP

CONDUCTOR PIPE

SURFACE CASING

PRODUCTION CASING

FRESH WATER AQUIFER ZONE

SHALLOW PRODUCING ZONE

INTERMEDIATE PRODUCING ZONE

TARGET PRODUCING ZONE 21

Page 22: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

22 From Watson, PAPER 2004-297Petroleum Society’s 5th Canadian International Petroleum Conference

Page 23: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Mechanisms of Gas Migration • Gas Migration Through Cement: percolation during

curing

• Cement Sheath Failure: high temp, high pressure, perforation

• Improper Cement Design and Placement: poor chemistry, poor mud cleanup, low cement top

• Casing Failure: Corrosion, joint failure, fracture

• Cross Flow Between Adjacent Wells

23

From Watson, PAPER 2004-297Petroleum Society’s 5th Canadian International Petroleum Conference

Page 24: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

“Since the earliest gas wells, uncontrolled migration of hydrocarbons to the surface has

challenged the oil and gas industry”

Brufatto et al., Oilfield Review, Schlumberger, Autumn, 2003

SCP=Sustained Casing Pressure. Also called sustained annular pressure in one or more of the casing annuli.

24

Page 25: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Sustained Casing Pressure and Gas Migration Are Chronic Problems

25

Watson and Bachu, SPE 106817, 2009.

Page 26: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

New Scientific Data on Methane Contamination of Water Wells

26 www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1100682108

Page 27: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Fluid Migration from Faulty Wells is a rare phenomenon

Myth

27

Truth • Fluid Migration from Faulty Wells is a well-

known, chronic problem with an expected rate of occurrence.

Health Impact • Contamination of USDW with drilling fluid, frac fluid,

released hydrocarbons.

Page 28: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• The use of clustered, multi-well pads reduces surface impacts.

28

Unconventional Development of Gas from Shale Formations:

Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

Page 29: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

29

Example: Dallas/Fort Worth Airport Property,

Barnett Shale Play

• 53 pads on 18,076 acres,30 square miles

• Each red dot is a pad • Each red line is a well

• Almost complete coverage

• Patchwork, mostly ideal units • One developer

Page 30: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

The Barnett Shale Play, Texas

30

Page 31: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Dimock, Pennsylvania

31

Page 32: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

32

?????

Page 33: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Horn River Area, NE British Columbia

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Page 34: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Encana Says “No!” This One Is It

34

417 million gallons of water 78,400 tons of sand 8 milllion gallons of fracing chemicals 500 frac intervals 10,000 foot laterals 40,000 hp for fracing pumps

Page 35: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Notice NNW-SSE orientation of

non-square, about 256ha,

spacing unit. Geology and

leasing control.

Direction of max

horizontal stress

35

Page 36: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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Page 37: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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An Industrial-Ideal Pad/Well Buildout Scenario:NS

Page 38: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Clustering of Pads in Tioga County, PA

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Page 39: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• The use of multi-well pads and cluster drilling reduces surface impacts.

Myth

39

• The use of multi-well pads and cluster drilling facilitates and prolongs intense industrialization and leaves a larger, long-term footprint.

Truth

Health Impact • Long term noise, dust, light pollution; NOx

emissions; higher spill probabilities of frac fluid; venting and accidental emissions of produced gases.

Page 40: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Natural Gas is a Clean Fossil Fuel.

40

Unconventional Development of Gas from Shale Formations:

Myths and Realities Related to Human Health Impacts

Page 41: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

CO2 Concentration in the Atmosphere

41

Seasonal fluctuation

2 ppm increase per year 450 ppm a “tipping point” We have about 30 years…

Page 42: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Methane Concentration in the Atmosphere: Historical Record

42 http://www.ecen.com/eee55/eee55e/growth_of%20methane_concentration_in_atmosphere.htm

Page 43: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Methane Is a Much More Potent Greenhouse Gas than Carbon Dioxide: 105 time more Potent over 20 years, 33 Times over 100 years. It Is Vented and Leaked….

• During initial frac fluid flow-back period

• Routinely and continuously at the well site

• During liquid unloading

• During gas processing

• During transmission, storage, and distribution

43

Page 44: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Marcellus Well Being “Finished” Outside Dimock, Pa June, 2011: Major Source of Methane Emission

Photo and FLIR Methane-Tuned Video Courtesy Frank Finan 44

Page 45: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

45

Marcellus Well Being “Finished” Outside Dimock, Pa. June, 2011: Major Source of Methane Emission

Video

Video courtesy of Frank Finan

Page 46: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Burn-Offs at MarkWest Gas Processing Plant, Houston, PA

46

9/18/11

2:03pm

Photos courtesy of Robert Donnan

Page 47: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

47

Burn-Offs at MarkWest Gas Processing Plant, Houston, PA

9/28/11

7:28pm

Page 48: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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Page 49: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

The Literature on Methane Emissions from Shale Gas Development (* = Peer Reviewed)

49

1. Howarth R W, Santoro R & Ingraffea A. Clim. Change 106, 679–690 (2011).*

2. Skone T.

http://cce.cornell.edu/EnergyClimateChange/NaturalGasDev/Documents/PDFs/SKONE_

NG_LC_GHG_Profile_Cornell_12MAY11_Final.pdf

3. Hughes D. Post Carbon Institute, 2011; http://go.nature.com/gkboqm

4. Osborn S G., Vengosh A, Warner NR & Jackson RB. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA, 108,

8172–8176 (2011). *

5. Kumar S. WorldWatch Institute, http://www.worldwatch.org/despite-methane-

emissions-upstream-natural-gas-cleaner-coal-life-cycle-basi.s

5. Jiang M, Griffin W M, Hendrickson C, Jaramillo P, VanBriesen J & Venkatesh A.

Environ. Res. Lett. 6: 034014 (2011).*

6. Wigley T.. Clim. Change (2011). DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0217-3.*

Page 50: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Time scale GWP heat/ Methane Methane (years) electricity from gas from coal (gC/MJ) (gC/MJ) Howarth et al. 20 / 100 33 / 105 both 0.56 – 1.3 0.045 – 0.14 Hughes 20 / 100 33 / 105 both 0.56 – 1.3 0.045 – 0.14 Skone 100 25 electr. 0.34 0.17 Jiang et al. 100 25 electr. 0.40 Not reported Worldwatch 100 25 electr. 0.34 0.094 Wigley 0 – 200 n/a electr. 0.34 – 1.4 0.107 U.S. EPA (2011) n/a n/a n/a 0.75 0.04

Comparison of Modeling Assumptions and Key Results

50

Page 51: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• Natural Gas is a Clean Fossil Fuel. Myth

51

• Over its life-cycle, unconventional Natural Gas is likely no cleaner than coal or petroleum, and conventional gas is comparable to those other fossil fuels.

Truth

Health Impact • Exacerbation of global climate change.

Page 52: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Why Is Slickwater, High-Volume Fracing from Long Laterals a Higher Risk to Public Health?

• Requires much higher well density, many wells per square mile.

• Requires much more industrial development over large areas, heavy equipment operating 24/7/365.

• Requires much higher volumes of fracing fluid, millions of gallons per well.

• Produces much higher volumes of waste fluids and solids containing hazardous materials: frac fluid chemicals, heavy metals, NORMS, NOx, VOC’s.

• Produces higher volumes of fugitive emissions of methane.

52

Page 53: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

• As number of wells and volumes of waste increase, probability of accidental releases of hazardous materials into air and groundwater increases.

• Cumulative effects on air and water and health from these and from purposeful emissions into the atmosphere and releases into groundwater are unknown.

• Increased production, processing, storage, transportation and burning of natural gas and its liquid companions (e.g. ethane, propane, butane) increases emission of GHG’s.

53

Why Is Slickwater, High-Volume Fracing from Long Laterals a Higher Risk to Public Health?

Page 54: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

54

http://www.psehealthyenergy.org/

Where Can You

Find Reliable

Information?

Page 55: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

55

Where Can You

Find Reliable

Information?

http://www.earthworksaction.org/oil_and_gas.cfm

Page 56: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Thank You for Attending and Participating Tonight

56

Page 57: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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Page 58: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

The Barnett Shale Play, Texas

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Page 59: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

Dimock, Pennsylvania

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Page 60: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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An Industrial-Ideal Pad/Well Buildout Scenario:Fredericton

Page 61: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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An Industrial-Ideal Pad/Well Buildout Scenario:NS

Page 62: Unconventional Gas Development from Shale Plays: Myths and

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An Industrial-Ideal Pad/Well Buildout Scenario: Mocton

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An Industrial-Ideal Pad/Well Buildout Scenario:Fredericton