united states agriculture grain - cornell university · 2016. 5. 11. · kazakhstan, ukraine, and...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Global corn production in 2016/17 is projected up sharply from last year, driven by larger crops for the United States, Argentina, South Africa, and the EU. Global consumption is expected to rise to a record, reflecting growth in feed use for China and the EU. Global import demand is expected marginally lower, driven by the EU and China. Global ending stocks are forecast down slightly as a drawdown in China more than offsets a build-up in the United States. Global wheat production is forecast lower than last year’s record, but continues to outpace consumption for the fourth consecutive year. The EU, Morocco, Turkey, and Ukraine have sizeable production cuts, but these are partly offset by larger crops in Argentina and Russia. Global consumption is projected up fractionally as steady growth in food use more than offsets lower wheat feeding. Global trade is down very slightly from the 2015/16 record. The EU is forecast to be the world’s largest exporter for the fourth straight year. Global stocks are projected to an all-time high, driven primarily by China. Rice production is projected at a new record, with significant increases for South and Southeast Asia and the United States. Consumption is forecast to rise moderately. Trade is projected lower as improved crops in importing countries reduce demand. U.S. exports are projected higher on ample supplies and improved price competitiveness. Declines in exporter stocks are offset by increases in China.

Record Grain Supplies Pressure Prices Lower

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

May 2016

800825850875900925950975

1,0001,025

11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17Production Consumption

Global Corn Production Slightly Below Consumption MMT

500525550575600625650675700725750

11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17

Production Consumption

Global Wheat Production Slightly Above Consumption

MMT

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400

425

450

475

500

11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17Milled Production Consumption

Global Rice Production Slightly Above Consumption MMT

http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................. 13

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 22

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 45

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 64

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)

database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply

and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database

(PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and

Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

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Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA May 2016Office of Global Analysis


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.1 55.8 54.4 7.1 6.1 7.3 361.1 345.5 366.5

Other 671.8 678.3 672.6 471.6 464.4 473.4 652.4 623.4 644.6

World Total 726.9 734.1 727.0 478.7 470.5 480.7 1,013.5 968.9 1,011.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 667.7 673.6 676.1 471.4 473.0 474.2 662.2 678.9 697.3

World Total 699.3 705.3 708.8 475.6 476.9 478.5 964.1 980.2 1,007.7

Ending Stocks


Other 196.0 216.3 229.3 112.8 105.0 105.0 163.9 162.1 152.3

World Total 216.5 242.9 257.3 114.4 106.4 106.6 207.9 207.9 207.0

TY Imports


Other 154.4 160.8 157.2 38.5 38.7 37.8 124.7 129.9 129.7

World Total 158.4 164.0 160.7 39.3 39.5 38.6 125.5 131.3 130.7

TY Exports


Other 138.7 145.3 140.0 39.3 38.1 37.1 81.2 90.4 84.8

World Total 161.5 166.6 164.0 42.8 41.4 40.7 128.0 133.9 133.8

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

640

660

680

700

720

740

Production Consumption

MM

T

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2016/17

Global wheat production is

projected at 727 million

metric tons (MMT) down 7.1

MMT, and slightly below the

2015/16 record. Production

among the major exporting

countries of Argentina,

Australia, Canada, EU,

Kazakhstan, Russia,

Ukraine, and the United

States is down a net 2.4

MMT. Projected gains in

Argentina, Australia,

Canada, and Russia’s wheat

production are not enough to

offset declines in the EU,

Kazakhstan, Ukraine, and the United States. In the EU, although area harvested is projected

to rise, yields are expected to dip. Farmers in Argentina are projected to produce more wheat

as elimination of export policy restrictions incentivizes increased planting. Production in

Canada is expected to rise marginally as increased winter wheat offsets reduced spring wheat

area. Russia’s wheat crop is expected to be the second largest on record. Production in Ukraine

is expected to drop from last year, but recent favorable weather conditions have boosted crop

potential. U.S. production is projected lower than last year as a sharp reduction in area more

than offsets above-average yields. Ethiopia and South Africa’s production is projected to

significantly recover from last year’s drought affected crop. China’s wheat production is nearly

unchanged from 2015/16, adding to the country’s already burdensome supplies. Morocco, on

the other hand, is suffering from a drought and its crop is projected at a 9-year low.

Global consumption is up 0.5 percent as greater food, seed and industrial use (FSI), up 1.1

percent, is more than offset by a 2.3 percent drop in feed use. Population, urbanization, and

income growth, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia, are driving the growth in

food consumption. Wheat used as a component in animal feed rations is projected to decline

slightly due to greater utilization of coarse grains, particularly in China, EU, and Thailand.

Production Outpaces Consumption


5

2016/17 global ending

stocks are projected to

reach a new record of

257 million tons, up

14.4 million tons from

last year. China’s

burgeoning stocks now

account for a

whopping 46 percent

of global stocks and

are expected up 21.7

million tons from last

year. Projected ending

stocks, less China, are

actually down year-to-

year.

Ending stocks in the eight

major exporting countries

as a whole are projected

up slightly year-to-year.

However, stocks in the

EU and the United States

account for nearly two-

thirds of this total. Stocks

in Argentina,

Kazakhstan, and

Ukraine, are expected to

be lower than in 2015/16.

*Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine

**Argentina, Australia, Canada

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17

U.S. Black Sea* EU Others**

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17

MM

T

Rest Of World China

Global Ending Stocks Reach a Record

Driven by China

Exporter Ending Stocks Continue

Upward Trend MMT


6

Selected Importers 2016/17

Global trade is forecast down nearly 2

percent from the 2015/16 record, but

remains sizeable at 163.5 million tons.

The EU and Thailand are expected to

reduce imports of feed-quality wheat as

global exportable supplies of feed-quality

wheat tighten and relatively lower-priced

domestic coarse grains replace imported

wheat in feed rations. The Philippines,

on the other hand, is projected to import

more feed-quality wheat as domestic corn

supplies tighten. Ethiopia, Iran,

Mexico, and Tunisia will likely lower

imports due to improved domestic

production. The United States is

projected to increase imports as a result of a smaller expected crop.

Algeria is down 600,000 tons from 8.1 million to 7.5 million. The government continues

to build domestic stocks in order to take advantage of low international prices.

Egypt is unchanged at 12.0 million tons.

Ethiopia is down 1.1 million tons from 3.1 million to 2.0 million.

EU is down 1.0 million tons from 6.5 million to 5.5 million.

Iran is down 1.8 million tons from 3.3 million to 1.5 million based on a larger crop and

the implementation of an import duty which is likely to restrict imports.

Mexico is down 200,000 tons from 4.4 million to 4.2 million.

Morocco is up 1.5 million tons from 4.0 million to a record 5.5 million. Morocco’s

wheat crop suffered from a drought, raising import demand to a record.

Philippines is up 500,000 tons from 4.3 million to 4.8 million.

Saudi Arabia is up 500,000 tons from 3.0 million to 3.5 million. Saudi Arabia is

projected to import a larger quantity in order to meet growing food consumption. Its

domestic wheat production was phased out and the country depends solely on imports to

meet growing demand.

Thailand is down 900,000 tons from 4.5 million to 3.6 million.

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

MM

T

Global Trade Dips


7

Tunisia is down 300,000 tons from 2.0 million to 1.7 million tons.

The United States is up 300,000 tons from 3.2 million to 3.5 million as a result of lower

expected domestic production.

Selected Exporters 2016/17

With global trade declining

fractionally and global supplies

projected at a record in

2016/17, competition for

global market share is expected

to intensify. U.S. exports are

expected to rebound slightly

from their 44-year low.

Canada and Argentina’s

supplies are expected to tighten

during the Northern

Hemisphere summer and fall

months until new crops come

to market. This will give the

United States an opportunity

to increase market share.

Argentina is unchanged at 8.5 million tons, although new supplies are not expected to hit

the market until the second half of the trade year.

Australia is up 500,000 tons from 16.5 million to 17.0 million tons due to a slightly

larger expected crop.

Canada is down 2.5 million tons from 22.5 million to 20.0 million tons. Although the

crop is projected slightly higher, tight carry-in stocks will limit export volume.

EU is up 2.5 million tons from 32.5 million to 35.0 million. An appreciable upturn in

exports to a near record is projected, supported by a large supplies and a sizeable crop.

Kazakhstan is down 500,000 tons from 7.5 million to 7.0 million tons because of a

smaller expected crop.

Russia is unchanged at a record 24.5 million tons.

Ukraine is down 4.0 million tons from 15.5 million to 11.5 million tons because of a

smaller crop.

The United States is up 2.7 million tons from 21.3 million to 24.0 million tons.

15

20

25

30

35

40

13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17

MM

T

Slight Rebound for U.S. Exports

Canada EU Russia United States


8

2015/16 OVERVIEW

Global trade is up significantly month-to-month to a record 166.6 million tons. Egypt, Ethiopia,

Thailand, Indonesia, Morocco, and Turkey imports are all raised. Partly offsetting are cuts in

Iraq and Saudi Arabia. Argentina, Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkey exports

are all raised. U.S. exports, imports, and the season-average farm price are all unchanged.

Season-average farm prices in 2016/17 are projected in the range of $3.70 to $4.50/bushel, down

from $4.90/bushel in 2015/16.

PRICES:

Domestic: Wheat prices experienced mostly modest fluctuations in April. Hard Red Winter

(HRW) fell $5/ton to $200. Soft Red Winter (SRW) and Soft White Winter (SWW) also settled

at $200/ton, rising $3 and $9, respectively. Hard Red Spring (HRS) rose marginally by $3/ton to

$230.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16

Selected Importers

Egypt is up 1.0 million tons to 12.0 million due to the robust pace of shipments to

date.

Ethiopia is raised 700,000 tons to 3.1 million on account of continued government

purchases combined with food aid shipments.

180

190

200

210

220

230

240

1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016 5/1/2016

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


9

Indonesia is boosted 500,000 tons to 8.6 million as demand for feed-quality wheat

surges, resulting from government-imposed limitations on corn imports.

Iraq is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.4 million due to sluggish trade.

Morocco is up 1.0 million tons to 4.0 million as industry boosts purchases in

anticipation of tight domestic supplies caused by a drought-ravaged crop.

Saudi Arabia is down 300,000 tons to 3.0 million as a result of higher-than-

anticipated domestic procurement of the 2014/15 crop.

Thailand is raised 700,000 tons to 4.5 million due to strong demand for feed-quality

wheat. Drought is forcing the domestic corn crop to be planted later than normal

affecting supplies of feed grains.

Turkey is up 500,000 tons to 4.3 million on account of larger-than-expected exports

of flour and products. Turkey has an inward processing mechanism in which wheat

can be imported duty-free as long as it is exported in the form of flour or products.

Selected Exporters

Argentina is raised 1.0 million tons to 8.5 million on a higher-than-expected pace of

shipments.

Canada is up 500,000 tons to 22.5 million as stronger trade persists despite

tightening stocks.

EU is boosted 500,000 tons to 32.5 million as the issuance of voluminous export

licenses continues.

Kazakhstan is up 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on account of the strong pace of trade.

Russia is raised 1.5 million tons to a record 24.5 million based on trade data.

Turkey is up 300,000 tons to 5.3 million due to the robust trade of flour and

products.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

8,5008,5004,2001,6757,45011,951 Argentina

17,00016,50016,57518,33921,26923,031 Australia

1,0001,3001,688811,7531,860 Brazil

20,00022,50024,87722,15618,58417,603 Canada

35,00032,50035,41832,03222,78616,728 European Union

7,0007,5005,5078,0006,80111,069 Kazakhstan

1,2001,1001,1041,322729790 Mexico

24,50024,50022,80018,60911,30821,627 Russia

5,0005,3004,1344,2933,5833,678 Turkey

11,50015,50011,2699,7557,1905,436 Ukraine

9,25210,13711,20614,67318,06711,830 Others

139,952145,337138,778130,935119,520125,603 Subtotal

24,00021,30022,75231,51827,73428,142 United States

163,952166,637161,530162,453147,254153,745 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2002,4002,0002,0501,6002,200 Afghanistan

7,5008,1007,2577,4846,4846,500 Algeria

4,4004,2003,9153,3542,7252,039 Bangladesh

5,8005,8005,8697,0617,5477,053 Brazil

3,2003,0001,9266,7732,9602,933 China

12,00012,00011,10010,1508,40011,650 Egypt

2,0003,1001,1006701,3441,550 Ethiopia

5,5006,5005,9753,9765,2767,362 European Union

8,7008,6007,4787,3917,1466,457 Indonesia

2,2002,4002,2533,2463,9483,784 Iraq

5,7005,7005,8786,1236,5986,354 Japan

4,3004,3003,9424,2885,4395,188 Korea, South

4,2004,4004,4764,6393,8235,020 Mexico

5,5004,0004,0863,9283,8253,671 Morocco

4,1004,3004,2444,5804,1683,901 Nigeria

1,9001,9001,9072,1141,6831,585 Peru

4,8004,3005,0553,4763,6204,022 Philippines

3,5003,0003,4873,4291,9212,904 Saudi Arabia

1,9002,0001,9011,8491,5581,542 South Africa

2,1002,3002,6322,6641,7932,360 Sudan

3,6004,5003,4881,6841,8402,646 Thailand

4,5004,3005,9604,1493,3124,413 Turkey

2,5002,6002,2302,2241,8632,698 Uzbekistan

2,7002,8002,2962,1571,6712,711 Vietnam

3,3503,3003,2453,4253,2072,667 Yemen

49,07150,96650,75852,69547,56945,514 Others

157,221160,766154,458155,579141,320148,724 Subtotal

3,2312,6713,0852,0892,4581,984 Unaccounted

3,5003,2003,9874,7853,4763,037 United States

163,952166,637161,530162,453147,254153,745 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

14,50011,30014,00010,5009,30015,500 Argentina

25,00024,50023,07625,30322,85629,905 Australia

5,5005,5406,0005,3004,3805,800 Brazil

28,50027,60029,42037,53027,20525,288 Canada

130,000130,190126,208121,930121,023117,400 China

8,1008,1008,3008,2508,5008,400 Egypt

156,500160,006156,828144,583133,949138,182 European Union

88,00086,53095,85093,50694,88286,874 India

15,50015,00013,00014,50013,80012,400 Iran

13,00013,74812,99613,9419,84122,732 Kazakhstan

25,30025,10025,97924,21123,47325,214 Pakistan

63,00061,04459,08052,09137,72056,240 Russia

17,50019,50015,25018,75016,00018,800 Turkey

24,00027,27424,75022,27815,76122,324 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,1506,8006,7006,300 Uzbekistan

51,02655,57853,90957,34451,59551,254 Others

672,626678,210671,796656,817596,985642,613 Subtotal

54,36655,84055,14758,10561,29854,244 United States

726,992734,050726,943714,922658,283696,857 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,25010,0509,8509,4508,950 Algeria

10,10010,20010,70011,40010,90011,200 Brazil

8,8008,8009,0779,4149,5559,852 Canada

110,500112,000116,500116,500125,000122,500 China

19,70019,20019,10018,50018,70018,600 Egypt

126,800128,800123,500117,300119,250127,234 European Union

91,95088,73093,12293,84883,82481,408 India

8,4008,1507,3657,1656,9506,250 Indonesia

18,50018,00017,50017,00016,00015,200 Iran

9,6009,8009,0009,0008,3008,800 Morocco

24,50024,40024,50024,10023,90023,100 Pakistan

37,50037,00035,50034,10033,55038,000 Russia

17,80018,00017,50017,75017,65018,100 Turkey

12,50012,50012,00011,50011,40014,950 Ukraine

9,5009,3008,9008,4008,0007,800 Uzbekistan

159,487158,444153,414150,229146,702145,764 Others

679,844675,942673,034663,545641,284665,698 Subtotal

32,71331,74131,55434,28737,76831,962 United States

712,557707,683704,588697,832679,052697,660 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,6184,9284,0034,5584,6637,051 Australia

117,99596,29576,10565,27453,96055,946 China

4,5694,7194,3694,4084,7216,698 Egypt

19,22919,02913,8239,93810,71113,522 European Union

11,15014,50017,20017,83024,20019,950 India

5,9468,1467,8467,2415,096825 Iran

8,1296,6296,2855,1774,93310,899 Russia

56,71462,04666,43163,69349,27262,761 Others

229,350216,292196,062178,119157,556177,652 Subtotal

27,99126,61420,47716,06519,53820,211 United States

257,341242,906216,539194,184177,094197,863 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

8,554 North America 7,784 9,866 8,953 8,085 8,185

1,666 Central America 1,654 1,833 1,834 1,830 1,855

13,779 South America 14,422 14,866 13,132 13,315 13,110

7,362 European Union - 28 5,276 3,976 5,975 6,500 5,500

1,911 Other Europe 1,632 1,858 1,760 1,850 1,785

8,032 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,246 7,506 7,681 7,840 7,470

23,023 Middle East 24,230 28,384 26,912 24,475 23,240

24,855 North Africa 22,047 25,246 25,230 27,300 27,900

19,204 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,585 20,502 20,939 23,345 21,985

16,868 East Asia 17,354 19,465 14,115 15,410 15,520

5,428 South Asia 5,308 6,721 8,149 8,226 8,726

17,956 Southeast Asia 16,294 17,101 20,541 22,550 22,185

3,123 Others 2,964 3,040 3,224 3,240 3,260

151,761 Total 144,796 160,364 158,445 163,966 160,721

Production none

83,160 North America 91,734 99,012 88,254 87,200 86,966

26,131 South America 18,011 19,762 24,222 20,643 23,918

138,182 European Union - 28 133,949 144,583 156,828 160,006 156,500

3,597 Other Europe 3,431 4,059 3,856 4,032 4,015


39,285 Middle East 36,884 41,708 35,414 41,820 39,310

18,584 North Africa 17,328 19,656 17,010 19,910 14,700


118,775 East Asia 122,490 123,248 127,650 131,516 131,360

117,450 South Asia 126,412 125,917 130,154 119,840 121,645

30,288 Oceania 23,345 25,751 23,490 24,925 25,430

186 Others 181 187 186 191 191

696,857 Total 658,283 714,922 726,943 734,050 726,992

Domestic Consumption none

49,414 North America 53,948 50,351 47,481 47,541 48,633

26,085 South America 26,212 27,126 26,780 26,475 26,507

127,234 European Union - 28 119,250 117,300 123,500 128,800 126,800

4,871 Other Europe 4,721 4,757 4,810 4,865 4,980


56,723 Middle East 56,636 58,717 58,112 60,090 60,180

40,927 North Africa 41,290 42,425 42,651 43,525 44,000


137,357 East Asia 140,071 130,201 129,513 125,180 123,750

115,930 South Asia 121,007 132,041 132,322 128,656 132,491

16,665 Southeast Asia 16,515 16,560 19,265 21,620 21,460

7,824 Oceania 8,111 8,280 8,569 8,600 8,845

3,379 Others 3,366 3,494 3,571 3,684 3,719

689,670 Total 686,899 690,343 699,282 705,315 708,800

Ending Stocks none

26,718 North America 24,925 26,790 28,080 31,062 32,604

4,204 South America 3,538 6,834 8,338 4,545 4,200

13,522 European Union - 28 10,711 9,938 13,823 19,029 19,229

1,439 Other Europe 1,057 941 1,074 1,216 1,161


12,395 Middle East 14,049 18,560 18,443 19,013 15,348

14,319 North Africa 11,795 13,802 12,784 15,619 13,379


58,938 East Asia 57,214 68,314 79,228 99,439 121,029

25,129 South Asia 27,995 21,661 23,185 20,840 17,470

4,615 Southeast Asia 3,718 3,466 3,892 3,962 3,857

7,432 Oceania 4,978 4,861 4,289 5,204 5,889

372 Others 341 367 388 319 275

197,863 Total 177,094 194,184 216,539 242,906 257,341

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


13

450

455

460

465

470

475

480

485

MM

T

Production Rebounds Sharply while Consumption Rises Gradually

Milled Production

Consumption and Residual

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

HIGHLIGHTS OF 2016/17

Global production is projected to rebound to a

record 480.7 million tons. China and India,

which together account for over half of global

production, are forecast to have larger crops.

Production in Southeast Asia, accounting for

nearly another quarter, is projected to recover

with an easing of the El Niño weather pattern,

and to reduce import needs in the region.

Africa’s crop is forecast to reach a record. In

South America, production is projected to

rebound due to notable increases for Argentina

and Brazil. The U.S. crop is forecast to be

higher on expanded area, and is set to be the

third largest on record.

Global consumption continues to rise, though the

growth is modest. Per capita food use is

growing in many African countries, but

declining in a number of Asian countries.

Notably, feed use is expected to increase in

certain Asian markets, including Thailand, Japan, and South Korea.

Due to steady consumption growth, global ending stocks are projected to rise only marginally.

Ending stocks for Thailand are forecast down nearly 50 percent at just over 3 million tons, the

lowest since 2007/08. Additionally, India’s stocks are forecast at 11 million, down more than 15

percent and the lowest since 2005/06. China’s stocks have risen sharply, as growth in imports

and production has exceeded that of consumption. Amid a near-record crop and intense export

competition, U.S. ending stocks are forecast to reach the highest level since the 1980s.

05

1015202530354045

MM

T

Exporter Ending Stocks

Pakistan

United States

Vietnam

Thailand

India 010

20

30

4050

60

70

80

MM

T

China Ending Stocks


14

Among key import markets in 2017, a combination of self-sufficiency aspirations, higher

domestic production, and trade restrictions are expected to reduce reliance on imported rice. Of

the top buyers, only China’s imports are forecast to remain stable (around 5.0 million tons).

Despite record production and growing stocks, the difference in prices between China and

bordering countries will likely incentivize steady trade. For Nigeria, however, trade is forecast

to continue to decline as economic and foreign exchange challenges persist and the country

imposes import restrictions. In 2017, forecast crop recovery for Indonesia and the Philippines

is expected to reduce imports below levels expected during 2016.

Selected Importers for 2017

Bangladesh is forecast up 150,000 tons to 500,000 from the prior year, as steady

consumption and declining stocks encourage additional imports.

Brazil is forecast down 100,000 tons to 600,000 because of a larger crop and ample

supplies for domestic consumption.

China is stable at 5.0 million tons as favorable prices in neighboring countries continue

to encourage cross-border trade.

Cote d’Ivoire is projected down 100,000 tons to 900,000 on prospects for a larger crop.

EU is forecast to remain at 1.6 million tons amid steady consumption.

Indonesia is forecast to decline 750,000 tons to 1.3 million as higher production

prospects reduce the need for imports. Consumption remains relatively flat, while stocks

decline slightly.

Iran is forecast to remain at 1.5 million tons, limited by current financial challenges and

despite a growing population.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2014 2015 2016 2017

MM

T Imports Weaken for Some Leading Consumers

Indonesia

Philippines

Nigeria

China


15

Iraq is expected to remain flat at 1.2 million tons supported by government distribution

and private-sector purchases.

Malaysia is forecast up 30,000 tons to 1.1 million.

Nigeria is projected down 300,000 tons to 2.0 million on continued government policies

to limit foreign exchange use for rice purchases and to restrict transit via land borders.

The Philippines is cut 300,000 tons to 1.5 million on adequate carry-in stocks and a

projected recovery in production from the 2015/16 crop, which suffered negative effects

of El Niño.

Saudi Arabia is expected up 50,000 tons to 1.5 million tons on continued demand for

basmati rice.

Senegal is projected flat at 990,000 tons on steady demand for broken rice from India and

Thailand.

South Africa is forecast down 75,000 tons to 925,000 as an expected recovery in corn

production reduces demand for rice.

Turkey is projected up 75,000 tons to 275,000 as declining stocks necessitate imports to

satisfy consumption.

The United States is forecast up 25,000 tons to 775,000 on higher demand for fragrant

rice.

Venezuela is forecast to remain at 400,000 tons as financial challenges constrain imports

from regional suppliers.


16

For 2017, global exports are forecast down for the third consecutive year, sliding from a record

44.1 million tons in 2014 to 40.7 million in the upcoming year. Declining shipments for leading

exporters India and Thailand more than offset increases for Vietnam, Pakistan, and the United

States. A number of factors contribute to the decline, most notably lower demand from many top

importers. In addition, tightening stocks, particularly in Thailand and India, constrain exportable

supplies.

U.S. exports are projected up for 2017, on greater exportable supplies and lower prices. Beyond

the traditional destinations, U.S. rice exporters may need to return to previously-held markets

and identify new customers in an effort to ship substantial supplies amid tight competition with

regional suppliers.

Selected Exporters for 2017

Argentina is forecast up 120,000 tons to 600,000 from the prior year due to a larger crop

and the new administration’s removal of export tariffs.

Brazil is projected up 50,000 tons to 800,000 due to crop recovery and sufficient

exportable supplies.

Burma is forecast up 50,000 tons to 1.9 million on higher demand from regional

markets.

Cambodia is projected up 150,000 tons to 1.1 million, on a larger crop and continued

demand from neighboring countries and the EU.

India is forecast down 500,000 tons to 8.5 million, with smaller exportable supplies and

strong domestic demand.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2014 2015 2016 2017

MM

T Global Exports Continue Decline

Other

United States

Pakistan

Vietnam

India

Thailand


17

Pakistan is projected down 150,000 tons to 4.3 million, as it faces lower carry-in stocks

and continued competition with India for basmati markets.

Thailand is forecast down 800,000 tons to 9.0 million, as stocks continue to decline and

exportable supplies are reduced.

The United States is forecast up 275,000 tons to 3.6 million on larger supplies and

improved price competitiveness.

Vietnam is unchanged at 7.0 million tons on steady demand from China and Southeast

Asia.

OVERVIEW OF 2015/16

Global production is down marginally from the prior month as smaller crops for North Korea,

Paraguay and Uruguay more than offset an upward revision for Cote d’Ivoire. Global

consumption is adjusted down slightly, while ending stocks are revised higher, primarily driven

by China. Global trade is down fractionally.

PRICES

Export quotes from Asian origins remain below Western Hemisphere origins, though the gap has

narrowed compared to recent years. Thai quotes have recently edged up, reflecting concerns

about production, given low water reservoir levels. Viet quotes have slid and remain the most

competitively priced. Uruguay quotes are down on ample supplies. U.S. quotes continue at a

premium.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

$/M

T

FOB Rice Export Quotes

Thai 100B

Viet 5%

U.S. #2/4

Uruguay 5%


18

Monthly Trade Changes for 2016

Bangladesh’s imports are slashed 250,000 tons to 350,000 this month as the recent

imposition of an import tariff limits trade volumes amid another record crop.

Brazil’s imports are lowered 100,000 tons to 700,000 on trade to date.

Cote d’Ivoire’s imports are up 200,000 tons to 1.0 million on the pace of trade to date.

Nigeria’s imports are down 200,000 tons to 2.3 million on reduced purchases amid

restrictions on the use of foreign exchange and importation via land borders.

The Philippines’ imports are down 200,000 tons to 1.8 million on improved crop prospects

in the latter part of the year.

Thailand’s exports are down 200,000 tons to 9.8 million on reduced shipments to Southeast

Asian markets.

UAE’s imports are up 140,000 tons to 600,000 on a multi-year revision to higher per capita

consumption.

Uruguay’s exports are down 150,000 tons to 800,000 on a smaller crop.

Venezuela’s imports are down 100,000 tons to 400,000 reflecting macroeconomic

constraints.

NOTES

China’s consumption and stocks series were revised from 2012/13 to the present to reflect a

more moderate rate of growth for consumption, resulting in higher stocks.

Thailand’s consumption and stocks have been revised from 2013/14 to the present, based on

updated information.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

600480310494526608 Argentina

230200323404460449 Australia

8007508958528301,105 Brazil

1,8501,8001,7351,6881,1631,357 Burma

1,0509001,1501,0001,075900 Cambodia

300350262393447267 China

250250250600700600 Egypt

260270251284203194 European Union

540540536502346265 Guyana

8,5009,00011,04611,58810,48010,250 India

4,2504,4004,0003,6004,1263,399 Pakistan

470470371380365262 Paraguay

9,0009,8009,77910,9696,7226,945 Thailand

8408007189579391,056 Uruguay

7,0007,0006,6066,3256,7007,717 Vietnam

1,1171,0931,0951,0811,1161,295 Others

37,05738,10339,32741,11736,19836,669 Subtotal

3,6003,3253,4722,9983,2953,298 United States

40,65741,42842,79944,11539,49339,967 World Total

none

TY Imports

475450434496430360 Angola

5003505951,29011453 Bangladesh

600700363586712732 Brazil

530530525610550450 Cameroon

5,0005,0005,1504,4503,5002,900 China

9001,0001,1009508301,265 Cote d'Ivoire

510500575377413330 Cuba

1,6001,6001,7861,5561,3751,313 European Union

600580500590725595 Ghana

440470444385416372 Haiti

1,2502,0001,1981,2256501,960 Indonesia

1,4501,4501,3001,6502,2201,500 Iran

1,1501,1501,0091,0801,2941,478 Iraq

700700688669690650 Japan

470460450440410400 Kenya

1,0501,0201,0519898851,006 Malaysia

750700708658746680 Mexico

540500480500500445 Mozambique

550500529510340351 Nepal

2,0002,3002,5003,2002,4003,400 Nigeria

1,5001,8002,0001,8001,0001,500 Philippines

1,5001,4501,4441,4101,3261,193 Saudi Arabia

990985990960902918 Senegal

9251,000912910990870 South Africa

610600580560540520 United Arab Emirates

11,19910,94411,22312,68411,80911,045 Others

37,78938,73938,53440,53535,76736,286 Subtotal

2,0931,9393,5072,8253,0513,041 Unaccounted

775750758755675640 United States

40,65741,42842,79944,11539,49339,967 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Milled Production

34,55034,50034,50034,39033,82033,700 Bangladesh

8,5007,6008,4658,3008,0377,888 Brazil

12,50012,20012,60011,95711,71511,473 Burma

4,7004,3504,7004,7254,6704,268 Cambodia

146,500145,770144,560142,530143,000140,700 China

4,0004,0004,5304,7504,6754,250 Egypt

105,000103,000105,480106,646105,240105,310 India

36,60035,30035,56036,30036,55036,500 Indonesia

7,6807,6537,8497,9317,9077,792 Japan

4,0004,3274,2414,2304,0064,224 Korea, South

6,9006,7006,9006,7985,5366,160 Pakistan

12,00011,35011,91511,85811,42810,710 Philippines

3,4003,3002,8502,8402,6753,138 Sri Lanka

17,00015,80018,75020,46020,20020,460 Thailand

28,50028,10028,16628,16127,53727,152 Vietnam

41,54540,42940,54940,44239,15038,025 Others

473,375464,379471,615472,318466,146461,750 Subtotal

7,3356,1077,1066,1176,3485,866 United States

480,710470,486478,721478,435472,494467,616 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,30035,20035,10034,90034,50034,300 Bangladesh

8,0007,8407,9107,9007,8507,928 Brazil

10,70010,60010,50010,45010,40010,200 Burma

3,6003,6003,6153,6503,5503,400 Cambodia

145,000146,000144,500143,000141,000139,600 China

3,9003,8004,0004,0004,0503,620 Egypt

98,60098,50098,23398,71094,03193,334 India

38,10038,10038,30038,50038,12738,188 Indonesia

8,7008,6008,6008,3808,3518,376 Japan

4,3344,3744,3504,4224,4894,880 Korea, South

3,6503,6003,7163,8113,3533,677 Nepal

5,2005,4005,7005,6005,3005,600 Nigeria

13,30013,25013,20012,85012,85012,860 Philippines

11,10010,80010,60010,70010,60010,400 Thailand

21,80021,85022,00022,00021,60019,650 Vietnam

62,88161,53861,16361,44259,07956,889 Others

476,239474,588474,527473,931461,725457,333 Subtotal

4,2873,8534,1553,9773,7793,492 United States

480,526478,441478,682477,908465,504460,825 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

68,05661,85657,43653,10249,83245,023 China

11,16613,26617,76622,75725,44025,100 India

2,9093,1593,9595,5016,4767,403 Indonesia

2,0892,4942,8213,0072,8572,735 Japan

1,7441,6721,253899780755 Korea, South

2,5102,3102,2101,6951,4871,509 Philippines

3,2206,07010,57011,89912,8089,330 Thailand

13,31814,22316,81514,45812,98013,668 Others

105,012105,050112,830113,318112,660105,523 Subtotal

1,5991,3771,5521,0251,1561,303 United States

106,611106,427114,382114,343113,816106,826 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,664 North America 1,776 1,771 1,816 1,810 1,890

845 Caribbean 971 903 1,176 1,125 1,110

1,881 South America 1,833 1,814 1,678 1,817 1,827

120 Other Europe 125 132 128 135 140

469 Former Soviet Union - 12 557 567 467 411 406

6,545 Middle East 7,252 6,891 6,261 6,405 6,605

777 North Africa 487 480 466 465 465


4,389 East Asia 5,349 6,043 6,681 6,636 6,631

737 South Asia 722 2,581 1,579 1,010 1,210

5,488 Southeast Asia 3,606 5,027 5,514 6,020 4,960

2,158 Others 2,197 2,412 2,555 2,435 2,390

36,926 Total 36,442 41,290 39,292 39,489 38,564

Production none

5,979 North America 6,479 6,248 7,285 6,260 7,500

1,002 Caribbean 974 1,054 1,104 996 1,005

15,215 South America 15,852 16,384 16,365 15,582 16,588

2,139 European Union - 28 2,100 1,937 1,963 2,055 2,026


2,170 Middle East 2,251 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,495

4,289 North Africa 4,704 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,000


155,488 East Asia 157,953 157,701 159,486 160,194 160,924

152,027 South Asia 150,631 154,490 153,331 151,120 153,450

113,649 Southeast Asia 115,490 116,867 115,367 110,651 114,971

1,362 Others 1,494 1,326 1,224 847 1,116

467,616 Total 472,494 478,435 478,721 470,486 480,710


4,668 North America 4,977 5,202 5,369 5,083 5,532

1,156 Central America 1,171 1,193 1,226 1,237 1,288

1,977 Caribbean 1,954 1,992 2,136 2,103 2,151

14,130 South America 14,354 14,542 14,568 14,598 14,781

3,300 European Union - 28 3,250 3,250 3,320 3,380 3,420


8,693 Middle East 8,989 9,248 9,145 9,105 9,160

4,045 North Africa 4,572 4,480 4,430 4,230 4,330


156,212 East Asia 157,459 159,412 160,714 161,904 161,259

137,167 South Asia 137,462 143,476 143,540 143,870 144,270

99,128 Southeast Asia 101,694 102,867 103,157 103,241 103,706

667 Others 707 708 556 530 535

456,394 Total 462,909 474,292 475,642 476,905 478,452

Ending Stocks none

1,455 North America 1,345 1,176 1,704 1,509 1,764

235 Central America 189 208 240 232 235

343 Caribbean 289 266 263 261 225

1,656 South America 1,591 1,902 2,129 1,702 1,900

1,146 European Union - 28 1,188 1,163 1,237 1,232 1,178

1,526 Middle East 2,004 1,836 1,633 1,300 1,215

487 North Africa 427 602 916 901 786


48,887 East Asia 53,832 57,296 61,766 66,298 72,185

27,461 South Asia 26,819 25,629 21,808 16,559 14,094

21,371 Southeast Asia 23,486 21,876 19,997 14,002 11,202

40 Oceania 238 241 247 93 63

134 Others 179 161 159 141 111

106,826 Total 113,816 114,343 114,382 106,427 106,611




22

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW FOR 2016/17

Global coarse grain production is forecast to

reach a near-record level driven by corn and

sorghum, while barley production is expected to

decline modestly. Global consumption is projected

up with greater use of corn and sorghum. Global

trade is forecast to decline slightly driven mostly by

declines for barley and sorghum. China’s import

demand for corn, barley, and sorghum is expected

to fall as changes in the corn support program are

expected to promote domestic corn use.

Global corn production is projected higher. The

U.S. crop is expected to reach a record, while others

– Argentina, EU, India, South Africa, Russia, and

Ukraine – rebound from last year’s levels. Global

consumption is forecast to rise to a record level,

largely due to the aforementioned changes in China,

which has led to a sharp drop in domestic corn prices.

The change in policies in China is expected to

encourage domestic corn use, drawing down stocks.

However, global ending stocks are forecast to decline

only slightly with a nearly offsetting build-up in the

United States. Global import demand is projected to

marginally lower with reductions in China, EU, and

Vietnam more than offsetting growth in Egypt, Iran,

Mexico, South Korea, and Turkey. Brazilian exports

are forecast to plunge about 30 percent from 2015/16

with tightening supplies. Exports are projected

higher for the United States, Argentina, EU, and

Ukraine.

World barley production is expected to drop modestly with reduced crops for Argentina,

Morocco, Turkey, and Ukraine. Due to adverse weather conditions, Morocco’s crop is slashed

71 percent year-over-year to 1.0 million, and Turkey’s production is projected to fall 27 percent

to 5.4 million tons. Trade is forecast lower with weaker demand for China and Iran more than

offsetting stronger demand for Jordan, Morocco, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia.

Global sorghum production is forecast higher with larger crops in Ethiopia, Mexico, and Sudan

more than offsetting a smaller U.S. crop. Trade is forecast lower on the expectation of reduced

demand in China. However, future Chinese demand for sorghum, and for other imported

feedstuffs, remains highly uncertain as the country deals with massive corn stockpiles.

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

MMT Coarse Grain Trade Eases

0

25

50

75

100

125

2013/14 2014/45 2015/16 2016/17

China Accounts for Half of Global Corn Stocks

China Rest of World

MMT


23

HIGHLIGHTS FOR 2016/17

Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is projected to surge 5.5 million tons to 49.0 million on record supplies and

less competition from Brazil. The season-average farm price is projected down to a

range of $3.05 to $3.65/bushel, with the midpoint 25 cents lower than the 2015/16

forecast. U.S. sorghum is forecast down 1.9 million tons to 5.5 million with the

expectation of weaker demand from China, evidenced by the slow pace of new crop

sales.

Argentine corn is forecast 2.5 million tons higher to 22.5 million with a much larger

projected crop. Likewise, sorghum is boosted 150,000 tons to 1.2 million with the

expectation of a larger crop. However, barley is down 600,000 tons to 1.9 million based

on a smaller crop projection.

Brazilian corn is expected to plunge 11.5 million tons to 25.0 million on tightening

domestic supplies.

EU corn is projected to rise 1.6 million tons to 3.0 million while imports are down 2.0

million tons to 13.0 million with prospects for a larger crop. Barley is forecast down 1.1

million tons to 8.7 million reflecting weaker demand in China.

Serbian corn is up 500,000 tons to 2.2 million on prospects for a larger crop.

South African corn is forecast to climb 600,000 tons to 1.3 million with the export pace

likely to increase following next year’s harvest. A relatively marginal drop is expected

for imports, forecast at 2.5 million tons, as tight supplies drive import demand through

most of the year.

Ukrainian corn is forecast at 17.0 million tons, up 1.0 million from last year. Export

opportunities to China are less promising due partly to changes in China’s corn reserve

policies, which would encourage domestic corn use. Barley exports are projected to

shrink 300,000 tons to 3.2 million on smaller crop prospects.

Australian barley is forecast up 300,000 tons to 5.8 million tons on stronger demand

from the Middle East. Sorghum is expected to remains steady at 1.0 million tons.

Canadian barley is forecast down marginally to 1.4 million tons on account of strong

domestic feeding and lower demand from China.

Russian barley is forecast to grow 600,000 tons to 4.0 million with strong expected

demand from traditional markets in the Middle East.


24

Selected Importers

Chinese corn is forecast lower at 1.0 million tons with expectations of greater use of

domestic feedstuffs. Prices for domestic corn have dropped sharply since last fall.

Furthermore, the government’s effort to reduce stocks by promoting domestic corn use

should erode demand for imported feedstuffs, including barley and sorghum. Barley

imports are projected down 1.5 million tons to 6.0 million, and sorghum is lowered 1.8

million tons to 5.0 million.

Egyptian corn is forecast to rise 500,000 tons to a record 8.8 million on continued

growth in feed demand.

Iranian corn is forecast up 500,000 tons to 5.5 million with growing feed demand.

Alternately, barley is forecast down 800,000 tons to 1.1 million with ample supplies and

favorable pasture conditions.

Japanese corn is forecast down 200,000 tons to 14.5 million based on slow demand from

the livestock sector. Barley and sorghum are forecast steady.

Mexican corn is up 1.5 million tons to a record 13.5 million on a smaller expected crop

and higher feed demand. Sorghum is unchanged at 700,000 tons.

South Korean corn is projected 500,000 tons higher to a record 10.5 million with

growth in feed demand from the swine sector more than offsetting reduced use in the

cattle sector, while poultry production remains steady.

Turkish corn is raised 600,000 tons to 1.5 million on a smaller expected crop as a result

of ongoing drought. Likewise, barley is up 350,000 tons to 400,000.

Vietnamese corn is projected down 900,000 tons to 6.0 million as growth in feed use is

expected to slow. Starting with 2013/14, the import series is revised to incorporate trade

data and increased residual disappearance.

Saudi barley is forecast up 500,000 tons to 9.5 million driven by strengthening demand

for feed with ongoing price supports and lower world barley prices.


25

150

160

170

180

190

200

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Black Sea Brazil Paranagua US Gulf

OVERVIEW FOR 2015/16

World corn production is lower from last month reflecting reductions in Argentina and Brazil.

Global imports are higher with increases for Brazil and Vietnam more than offsetting a

reduction for China. Estimated changes for exporters are mostly offsetting, highlighted by

larger U.S. exports and cuts for Argentina and Brazil. The U.S. season-average farm price is

raised a nickel at the midpoint.

PRICES

During the period from the release of the April WASDE report into early May, quotes for U.S.

corn are up $5 to $169/ton, but now hold a considerable discount to other major exporters. The

price gap is mainly attributed to relatively large nearby supplies. Black Sea quotes surged to $19

to 185/ton in tandem with other exporters’ quotes and magnified by tight nearby supplies. For

the same period, Argentine quotes rose $12 to $177/ton as adverse weather disrupted the harvest.

Brazilian quotes reappeared in April and rose sharply with concerns over potential impact of hot

and dry conditions on the second crop, and are now just above Argentine price levels at

$179/ton. Recent Brazilian quotes are for August delivery, while the other exporters’ quotes are

current.


26

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16

Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is raised 1.5 million tons to 43.5 million on robust sales and shipments and

relatively competitive prices.

Argentine corn is down 500,000 tons to 20.0 million on reduced production.

Brazilian corn is cut 1.0 million tons to 36.5 million on a smaller crop.

Indonesian corn is slashed 200,000 tons to 50,000 on trade to date and restrictions on

imports that make exports uncompetitive.

Ukrainian corn is up 300,000 tons to 16.0 million reflecting the pace to date.

EU barley is raised 800,000 tons to 9.8 million on a robust pace to date, particularly to

countries in the Middle East.

Selected Importers

Brazilian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 1.0 million on tight domestic supplies.

Chinese corn is lowered 500,000 tons to 2.0 million on trade to date.

Vietnamese corn is raised 1.9 million tons to a record 6.9 million reflecting strong

demand for competitively priced imports mainly from South America. Starting 2013/14,

the import series is revised to incorporate trade data and increased residual

disappearance.

Saudi barley is up 500,000 tons to 9.0 million on larger-than-expected shipments from

the European Union.

U.S. oats is down 100,000 tons to 1.5 million on trade to date.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

25,60523,55521,00316,63029,49722,308 Argentina

7,1756,8757,2907,0046,4117,279 Australia

25,03036,53521,95422,05926,07812,677 Brazil

4,4504,1503,5975,4824,6583,853 Canada

12,05511,58215,0677,8418,9437,177 European Union

2,3152,7153,0312,7182,8612,188 Paraguay

8,6107,6709,1557,0744,3665,996 Russia

2,2601,7403,0011,7996052,339 Serbia

1,3257257702,1272,4121,851 South Africa

20,33019,72024,20824,12515,52717,499 Ukraine

7,1307,4757,99911,21510,27910,121 Others

116,285122,742117,075108,074111,63793,288 Subtotal

54,83551,23556,34056,77220,58640,106 United States

171,120173,977173,415164,846132,223133,394 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,7754,7304,8634,9463,2893,741 Algeria

2,0502,0501,7071,6211,3271,523 Chile

12,20016,50025,69912,4455,6037,924 China

4,8404,8304,7474,7954,0904,103 Colombia

1,2251,2001,2021,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,8558,3307,9408,7755,0977,250 Egypt

13,35515,2959,14616,35511,7786,908 European Union

3,0003,1003,3813,5132,7191,724 Indonesia

6,6006,9008,1006,6004,8005,700 Iran

1,8101,7751,6032,0731,5641,562 Israel

16,52016,71516,72617,50117,74217,726 Japan

1,6751,4501,4591,6721,4061,311 Jordan

10,59010,09010,24510,4998,2657,726 Korea, South

1,5001,6001,6851,4931,220829 Libya

3,6003,5003,2383,4853,0483,356 Malaysia

14,47512,97511,57011,3127,62412,733 Mexico

2,8002,4002,2172,8581,8322,479 Morocco

2,8352,8252,8632,3362,4041,927 Peru

13,00512,51011,11511,33212,39010,485 Saudi Arabia

2,6502,92560723592565 South Africa

4,2004,3003,9494,3464,4134,491 Taiwan

1,9001,8001,5241,4491,6081,071 Tunisia

1,9059552,7191,9771,922782 Turkey

2,1001,9002,4332,6272,1542,596 Venezuela

6,0006,9006,7004,3001,6001,600 Vietnam

18,80119,00718,32516,84414,24815,948 Others

163,266166,562165,763156,400123,281127,114 Subtotal

4,6293,7554,3655,1242,4273,138 Unaccounted

3,2253,6603,2873,3226,5153,142 United States

171,120173,977173,415164,846132,223133,394 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

41,88935,43435,73235,66537,24630,105 Argentina

12,36412,58011,65112,15811,41412,257 Australia

84,61383,46387,66882,60384,25375,884 Brazil

26,06525,66021,99228,74524,44522,921 Canada

225,700231,780222,750225,408212,192198,635 China

12,7509,98513,34613,07912,28612,264 Ethiopia

157,705151,247170,759159,212146,188150,116 European Union

41,70038,34043,08143,21639,91042,058 India

9,6009,4009,0009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

31,22530,53932,68932,06528,88125,689 Mexico

18,50017,95019,01519,29218,57317,421 Nigeria

39,37537,42740,38635,73528,65833,077 Russia

13,5837,02511,11015,51812,87313,268 South Africa

11,57514,2759,42513,09010,59511,299 Turkey

34,92533,38739,38940,02229,52833,476 Ukraine

154,803152,760159,020148,085145,578146,749 Others

916,372891,252927,013912,993851,120834,069 Subtotal

382,256366,902377,234367,089285,311322,451 United States

1,298,6281,258,1541,304,2471,280,0821,136,4311,156,520 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,43914,33114,23213,69512,05010,510 Argentina

61,92860,86860,02358,02855,80354,653 Brazil

22,53021,95321,28822,34720,33820,286 Canada

246,150239,425229,059223,546209,671196,192 China

16,00815,45314,80914,08012,91012,736 Egypt

160,495157,679162,500164,401153,341151,653 European Union

41,20039,75040,40037,60035,07537,650 India

13,52013,22012,02011,32010,52010,320 Iran

16,63116,79616,93317,57017,83018,040 Japan

44,66543,11542,07540,93536,19537,985 Mexico

18,50018,15018,95019,35018,70017,321 Nigeria

30,77530,14031,13928,61925,13427,728 Russia

13,62512,85012,02511,55010,9259,500 Saudi Arabia

13,68014,43013,05513,43013,00511,755 Turkey

14,43014,22515,43015,97714,66115,559 Ukraine

243,935238,470240,830227,917219,052216,871 Others

979,092942,707960,416927,489859,141866,753 Subtotal

323,043314,978311,347305,048275,537288,857 United States

1,302,1351,257,6851,271,7631,232,5371,134,6781,155,610 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,9266,2718,21114,2589,5604,822 Brazil

4,2244,0743,3424,6483,0243,390 Canada

102,549110,829102,01982,65168,37760,362 China

14,59316,08318,80515,56513,05515,744 European Union

6,7147,0747,2345,0944,6544,684 Iran

4,4944,2594,8603,4871,5421,771 Mexico

3,5203,9003,5003,9123,4153,235 Saudi Arabia

40,19341,57449,15247,65936,88440,462 Others

182,213194,064197,123177,274140,511134,470 Subtotal

58,82050,47646,94834,31323,53127,819 United States

241,033244,540244,071211,587164,042162,289 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

16,640 North America 14,661 15,348 16,567 17,735 18,765

2,769 Central America 2,470 2,923 3,460 3,675 3,610

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,485 2,560

11,967 South America 11,812 13,181 13,353 13,550 13,425

6,908 European Union - 28 11,778 16,355 9,146 15,295 13,355

1,028 Former Soviet Union - 12 728 807 730 685 705

23,548 Middle East 25,078 26,614 27,841 26,675 28,075

15,370 North Africa 13,046 19,521 18,229 18,860 19,830


38,049 East Asia 36,176 44,865 56,676 47,675 43,590

7,361 Southeast Asia 7,961 12,814 14,736 14,970 14,175

1,134 Others 1,017 1,332 1,385 1,521 1,581

130,256 Total 129,796 159,722 169,050 170,222 166,491

Production none

371,061 North America 338,637 427,899 431,915 423,101 439,546

119,602 South America 136,025 131,844 136,767 132,528 140,040

150,116 European Union - 28 146,188 159,212 170,759 151,247 157,705

9,497 Other Europe 6,570 8,813 10,649 8,946 9,973


20,412 Middle East 18,769 21,774 17,888 23,482 20,622

11,120 North Africa 10,155 11,556 11,073 12,521 10,056


200,771 East Asia 214,616 227,798 225,528 234,420 228,359

50,175 South Asia 47,642 51,986 51,827 46,894 50,528

28,379 Southeast Asia 29,158 31,003 31,088 31,983 33,398

12,813 Oceania 12,082 12,805 12,329 13,290 13,004

4,652 Others 4,833 5,050 4,514 4,431 4,716

1,156,520 Total 1,136,431 1,280,082 1,304,247 1,258,154 1,298,628


347,128 North America 332,070 368,330 374,710 380,046 390,238

86,793 South America 89,796 94,457 97,153 98,152 101,008

151,653 European Union - 28 153,341 164,401 162,500 157,679 160,495

8,375 Other Europe 7,100 7,707 8,036 8,252 8,292


41,186 Middle East 43,027 45,892 45,678 49,507 49,737

25,266 North Africa 24,941 27,987 30,177 31,154 31,338


228,767 East Asia 242,831 257,690 262,977 273,087 280,107

45,706 South Asia 42,704 46,167 49,321 48,950 50,684

34,609 Southeast Asia 35,787 38,943 41,558 45,155 46,416

6,518 Oceania 6,132 5,764 5,571 5,849 5,724

9,556 Others 9,573 10,075 10,243 10,589 10,819

1,137,616 Total 1,140,747 1,225,413 1,256,115 1,265,833 1,296,554

Ending Stocks none

32,980 North America 28,097 42,448 55,150 58,809 67,538

9,645 South America 15,559 21,344 14,567 12,425 12,007

15,744 European Union - 28 13,055 15,565 18,805 16,083 14,593

1,029 Other Europe 631 751 1,064 875 1,193


10,606 Middle East 10,118 11,911 12,873 13,503 12,393

5,513 North Africa 3,553 5,666 5,514 5,601 4,339


63,851 East Asia 71,678 86,663 105,873 114,786 106,598

2,686 South Asia 2,408 4,099 5,306 3,126 2,806

3,116 Southeast Asia 3,230 4,472 4,465 4,478 3,400

977 Oceania 912 1,130 950 1,296 1,446

788 Others 769 950 967 934 976

162,289 Total 164,042 211,587 244,071 244,540 241,033




World Corn Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

22,50020,00018,44812,84622,78916,501 Argentina

25,00036,50021,90922,04126,04412,674 Brazil

950900850700550200 Burma

1,2001,0003951,9391,813494 Canada

3,0001,4004,0262,4042,1943,287 European Union

2,3002,7003,0122,7142,8582,188 Paraguay

4,5004,2003,2134,1941,9172,027 Russia

2,2001,7002,9641,7805782,325 Serbia

1,3007007462,1042,3981,831 South Africa

17,00016,00019,66120,00412,72615,208 Ukraine

4,8255,2905,9719,0138,4178,637 Others

84,77590,39081,19579,73982,28465,372 Subtotal

49,00043,50046,77350,68418,26238,342 United States

133,775133,890127,968130,423100,546103,714 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,1004,1004,1164,1562,9183,231 Algeria

1,0001,0001,533678492748 Canada

1,8001,8001,5161,456844906 Chile

1,0002,0005,5163,2772,7025,231 China

4,5004,5004,4964,4363,2663,209 Colombia

1,2251,2001,2021,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,7508,2507,8418,7265,0597,154 Egypt

13,00015,0008,64616,01411,3626,113 European Union

1,0001,000881767678691 Guatemala

3,0003,1003,3813,5132,7191,724 Indonesia

5,5005,0006,2005,5003,7004,000 Iran

1,5001,5001,2961,6521,2241,253 Israel

14,50014,70014,65715,12114,41114,888 Japan

10,50010,00010,16810,4068,1747,636 Korea, South

3,6003,5003,2383,4853,0483,356 Malaysia

13,50012,00011,26910,9495,67611,086 Mexico

2,3002,1001,9412,3491,6841,943 Morocco

2,7002,7002,7412,2322,2541,772 Peru

3,5003,5002,9042,6842,0631,816 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,700469790424 South Africa

4,1004,2003,8214,1794,2414,354 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,041993846853 Tunisia

1,5009002,3771,3811,656729 Turkey

2,1001,9002,4332,6262,1542,596 Venezuela

6,0006,9006,7004,3001,6001,600 Vietnam

15,30015,19614,28713,98911,04812,422 Others

129,675129,946124,670125,95994,865100,789 Subtotal

3,1002,5442,4893,7371,4162,160 Unaccounted

1,0001,4008097274,265765 United States

133,775133,890127,968130,423100,546103,714 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

34,00027,00028,70026,00027,00021,000 Argentina

82,00081,00085,00080,00081,50073,000 Brazil

13,75013,60011,48714,19413,06011,359 Canada

218,000224,580215,646218,490205,614192,780 China

6,3005,0506,5806,4926,1586,069 Ethiopia

64,27557,97975,77964,93159,14268,316 European Union

23,00021,00024,17024,25922,25821,759 India

9,6009,4009,0009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

23,50024,00025,48022,88021,59118,726 Mexico

7,2007,0007,5157,7007,6309,250 Nigeria

8,0007,5007,6717,5327,2617,130 Philippines

14,00013,16811,32511,6358,2136,962 Russia

7,0006,0007,7005,9003,7506,400 Serbia

13,0006,50010,62914,92512,36512,759 South Africa

26,00023,33328,45030,90020,92222,838 Ukraine

94,90496,25997,23994,58091,57989,795 Others

644,529623,369652,371639,518596,543576,993 Subtotal

366,539345,486361,091351,272273,192312,789 United States

1,011,068968,8551,013,462990,790869,735889,782 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,4009,3009,3008,8007,9007,000 Argentina

59,00058,00057,00055,00052,50051,500 Brazil

13,60013,40012,82012,67511,60411,637 Canada

227,000217,500202,000208,000200,000188,000 China

15,05014,50013,90013,20012,00011,700 Egypt

75,30074,01477,88076,79669,84669,693 European Union

22,80022,10022,30019,60017,50017,200 India

13,00012,80012,20011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

14,40014,60014,60015,00014,30014,950 Japan

10,55010,10010,2509,8918,4817,815 Korea, South

36,05035,50034,45031,70027,00029,000 Mexico

8,8008,7008,5008,0007,4007,400 Philippines

9,5008,9008,1007,5006,4004,700 Russia

11,30011,00011,80011,50011,00010,700 South Africa

12,50011,9009,4007,7006,4006,000 Vietnam

158,058156,622157,787152,582143,094142,643 Others

701,494667,610678,943655,904601,804607,075 Subtotal

310,403301,252301,854292,965262,973277,961 United States

1,011,897968,862980,797948,869864,777885,036 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,2191,6141,9091,4081,308896 Argentina

5,5425,9427,84213,9729,1504,212 Brazil

101,504109,524100,46481,31567,57059,335 China

5,9506,9759,4106,8915,1466,682 European Union

5,2965,4565,8164,4763,2363,336 Iran

1,8641,8351,8601,8601,2651,489 Korea, South

3,7683,6184,1182,6039751,230 Mexico

26,21927,11732,48331,39423,78126,030 Others

152,362162,081163,902143,919112,431103,210 Subtotal

54,67845,78843,97431,29220,85925,122 United States

207,040207,869207,876175,211133,290128,332 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

12,599 North America 10,433 12,354 13,611 14,400 15,500

2,766 Central America 2,470 2,922 3,460 3,675 3,610

9,886 South America 9,651 12,027 12,040 12,195 12,050

6,113 European Union - 28 11,362 16,014 8,646 15,000 13,000


10,886 Middle East 10,944 13,812 15,338 13,550 14,675

13,827 North Africa 11,154 17,036 15,623 16,350 17,050


32,291 East Asia 29,681 33,057 34,219 30,970 30,180

7,348 Southeast Asia 7,943 12,768 14,722 14,955 14,160

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,485 2,560

706 Others 751 979 1,106 1,110 1,235

101,554 Total 99,130 126,686 125,479 131,346 130,675

Production none

342,874 North America 307,843 388,346 398,058 383,086 403,789

105,578 South America 120,997 117,456 125,140 119,525 127,395

68,316 European Union - 28 59,142 64,931 75,779 57,979 64,275

7,810 Other Europe 4,915 7,210 8,945 7,176 8,179


7,164 Middle East 7,480 8,158 7,838 9,228 8,508

5,722 North Africa 5,919 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201


194,585 East Asia 207,737 220,583 218,095 226,928 220,358

28,646 South Asia 28,857 31,865 31,740 28,370 30,570

3,602 Central America 3,743 3,893 3,366 3,300 3,560

28,138 Southeast Asia 28,893 30,721 30,794 31,688 33,108

1,307 Others 1,377 1,320 1,345 1,346 1,337

889,782 Total 869,735 990,790 1,013,462 968,855 1,011,068


318,598 North America 301,577 337,340 349,124 350,152 360,053

76,391 South America 78,981 83,641 86,531 87,395 90,105

69,693 European Union - 28 69,846 76,796 77,880 74,014 75,300

6,392 Other Europe 5,194 5,847 6,122 6,285 6,290


17,585 Middle East 18,710 19,785 21,810 22,785 23,485

18,000 North Africa 18,450 20,800 22,100 22,900 23,675


217,097 East Asia 229,234 239,185 233,237 248,645 258,405

23,975 South Asia 23,980 26,982 30,007 29,970 30,970

34,354 Southeast Asia 35,509 38,654 41,224 44,850 46,110

6,350 Central America 6,175 6,650 6,690 6,920 7,100

3,344 Others 3,556 3,581 3,879 3,885 3,865

868,399 Total 869,298 942,809 964,141 980,188 1,007,711

Ending Stocks none

27,717 North America 23,383 35,495 49,494 51,008 59,998

8,290 South America 13,628 18,932 12,514 10,419 10,289

6,682 European Union - 28 5,146 6,891 9,410 6,975 5,950

779 Other Europe 384 505 860 661 990


4,568 Middle East 4,286 6,035 7,300 7,048 6,601

3,028 North Africa 1,771 3,117 3,306 2,897 2,463


62,300 East Asia 70,378 84,856 103,925 113,158 105,271

1,638 South Asia 1,744 3,005 3,940 2,265 1,935

3,113 Southeast Asia 3,225 4,466 4,459 4,472 3,400

503 Central America 474 610 587 617 667

300 Others 334 397 457 393 370

128,332 Total 133,290 175,211 207,876 207,869 207,040




World Barley Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

1,9002,5001,5992,8293,6473,631 Argentina

5,8005,5005,2666,2614,6225,819 Australia

1,4001,4501,3841,7141,3161,437 Canada

8,7009,80010,6424,9266,5013,646 European Union

2001509754654652 India

700800476501151659 Kazakhstan

4,0003,4005,8072,7912,3663,667 Russia

604037182614 Serbia

3,2003,5004,3323,8272,6592,167 Ukraine

502543361070 Uruguay

75651294258126 Others

26,08527,23029,81223,49121,99921,218 Subtotal

300300292336163179 United States

26,38527,53030,10423,82722,16221,397 World Total

none

TY Imports

650600723778364501 Algeria

100100103781449 Azerbaijan

400400489337369274 Brazil

6,0007,5009,8594,8912,1832,541 China

285275249253232301 Colombia

1,1001,9001,9001,1001,1001,700 Iran

275250278304244276 Israel

1,1001,1001,0971,2941,3561,257 Japan

1,000800759997831736 Jordan

400400412436388376 Kuwait

8009001,001681573183 Libya

17517518610847144 Mexico

500300276471148536 Morocco

1101001228710397 Peru

9,5009,0008,2008,50010,2008,600 Saudi Arabia

200100100100300200 Syria

700600483456762218 Tunisia

4005033259626646 Turkey

400500367468541524 United Arab Emirates

17517518912625277 Uruguay

1,0561,0411,3189799401,765 Others

25,32626,26628,44323,04021,21320,401 Subtotal

6598141,231265518526 Unaccounted

400450430522431470 United States

26,38527,53030,10423,82722,16221,397 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

1,3001,3001,3001,5001,5001,350 Algeria

3,4004,2002,9004,7505,0004,500 Argentina

8,5008,7008,0149,1747,4728,221 Australia

2,1002,0001,9881,6741,9171,979 Belarus

8,5008,2257,11910,2378,0127,892 Canada

2,0001,8001,8101,7001,6261,637 China

2,0501,9502,0301,9081,7821,592 Ethiopia

60,67761,34960,61559,67454,87551,883 European Union

1,7001,6101,8311,7521,6191,663 India

3,8003,8003,2002,8002,7702,900 Iran

1,1001,0501,0009445001,000 Iraq

2,7002,6752,4122,5391,5002,593 Kazakhstan

17,75017,08320,02615,38913,95216,938 Russia

5,4007,4004,0007,3005,5007,000 Turkey

7,8008,7519,4507,5616,9359,098 Ukraine

8,74411,3599,52210,6679,0559,712 Others

137,521143,252137,217139,569124,015129,958 Subtotal

4,2024,6663,9534,7194,7683,370 United States

141,723147,918141,170144,288128,783133,328 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,0502,0502,0001,800 Algeria

2,6002,6002,9002,8003,0003,300 Australia

2,1002,0002,0001,8002,0002,100 Belarus

6,9506,6006,4727,7206,8096,916 Canada

8,1009,40011,6006,3004,0003,800 China

2,0252,0252,0251,9251,7251,600 Ethiopia

52,40050,90050,90053,40051,00051,200 European Union

1,5501,4501,4001,2001,5251,550 India

5,3005,3004,6004,5004,3004,100 Iran

2,0502,0002,0002,0001,3751,825 Kazakhstan

2,4503,0002,7002,3001,9003,100 Morocco

13,80013,90014,10012,70012,10014,300 Russia

9,8259,2258,5258,6258,3257,225 Saudi Arabia

5,9006,9005,3506,9506,2006,750 Turkey

4,7004,7004,7005,0005,1006,300 Ukraine

17,08917,29016,80216,98015,52415,209 Others

139,268141,665137,254136,022126,429130,814 Subtotal

4,4194,4134,2344,7754,6384,170 United States

143,687146,078141,488140,797131,067134,984 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1041,2041,3041,1781,2171,458 Algeria

988888588693536548 Australia

1,7571,5571,2171,9509831,195 Canada

6,3036,6265,8775,6215,0446,069 European Union

1,4181,6181,4186181,4181,348 Iran

3,0513,3663,0813,3963,0062,814 Saudi Arabia

9261,0211,2659718721,171 Ukraine

5,8706,9927,0877,6485,5496,750 Others

21,41723,27221,83722,07518,62521,353 Subtotal

2,0072,1161,7111,7911,7501,306 United States

23,42425,38823,54823,86620,37522,659 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

620 North America 499 639 781 715 625

851 South America 1,064 886 1,169 1,085 1,105

364 European Union - 28 53 58 269 100 100

207 Other Europe 126 163 120 160 155


12,543 Middle East 13,906 12,537 12,453 13,085 13,355

1,480 North Africa 1,884 2,432 2,581 2,475 2,750

100 Sub-Saharan Africa 52 116 138 90 90

3,924 East Asia 3,668 6,320 11,080 8,725 7,225

67 South Asia 6 13 24 16 16

19 Oceania 8 46 32 10 25

20,871 Total 21,644 23,562 28,873 26,716 25,726

Production none

11,749 North America 13,812 15,550 11,918 13,643 13,437

5,507 South America 5,884 5,737 3,769 5,173 4,380

51,883 European Union - 28 54,875 59,674 60,615 61,349 60,677

1,189 Other Europe 1,188 1,151 1,223 1,287 1,307


11,705 Middle East 9,689 12,047 8,653 12,858 10,718

4,388 North Africa 3,307 4,748 4,010 5,399 2,925


1,962 East Asia 1,920 1,991 2,134 2,088 2,297

2,081 South Asia 1,956 2,261 2,340 2,113 2,232

8,538 Oceania 7,911 9,591 8,420 9,152 8,900

133,328 Total 128,783 144,288 141,170 147,918 141,723


11,786 North America 12,347 13,245 11,556 11,938 12,294

3,052 South America 3,152 3,528 3,403 3,660 3,553

51,200 European Union - 28 51,000 53,400 50,900 50,900 52,400

1,366 Other Europe 1,298 1,298 1,354 1,389 1,409


22,016 Middle East 22,435 24,410 22,250 25,271 24,816

6,186 North Africa 5,560 6,230 7,159 7,303 6,708


5,580 East Asia 5,812 8,009 13,192 10,980 9,660

2,008 South Asia 1,868 1,715 1,915 1,969 2,088

3,650 Oceania 3,425 3,250 3,350 3,050 3,050

135,245 Total 131,521 141,025 142,358 143,753 143,308

Ending Stocks none

2,621 North America 3,014 3,974 3,326 4,073 4,149

544 South America 657 816 711 766 748

6,069 European Union - 28 5,044 5,621 5,877 6,626 6,303

202 Other Europe 220 205 166 176 171


5,940 Middle East 5,736 5,788 5,514 6,411 5,743

2,424 North Africa 1,715 2,480 2,138 2,629 1,796


961 East Asia 736 1,038 1,060 893 755

280 South Asia 141 253 266 281 241

575 Oceania 588 748 642 954 1,029

22,659 Total 20,375 23,866 23,548 25,388 23,424




World Sorghum Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

1,2001,0509549533,0592,163 Argentina

1,0001,0001,6994051,4251,185 Australia

2530131120 Brazil

252575757575 Ethiopia

1005012188231131 India

10050100505075 Nigeria

50130156229124113 Ukraine

140152170217191157 Others

2,6402,4873,2882,0285,1573,899 Subtotal

5,5007,4009,2495,7172,1361,549 United States

8,1409,88712,5377,7457,2935,448 World Total

none

TY Imports

15015098109404544 Chile

5,0006,80010,1624,16163184 China

50500104591592 Colombia

5015075505030 Ethiopia

150120131184291126 European Union

8508509031,0031,8971,481 Japan

100100799410274 Kenya

700700291621,7931,369 Mexico

5013032141011 Pakistan

50100100125613 South Sudan

375510403752841766 Others

7,5259,66012,0126,7586,6165,090 Subtotal

590117498984434355 Unaccounted

251102732433 United States

8,1409,88712,5377,7457,2935,448 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

3,9003,6003,5004,4004,7004,200 Argentina

2,2002,1002,1041,2822,2302,239 Australia

2,0001,8502,0551,8902,1022,222 Brazil

1,8001,6711,7081,8801,9241,500 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1001,150 Cameroon

9008179007451,172648 Chad

3,2003,0002,8852,8922,5562,051 China

3,7002,6004,0003,8293,6043,951 Ethiopia

5,5005,0505,4505,5425,2815,979 India

1,3001,3001,2728201,2121,191 Mali

6,9005,7006,2708,5006,1746,425 Mexico

1,3001,3001,4261,3201,376807 Niger

6,5006,1506,7006,5925,9436,900 Nigeria

900900990680650480 South Sudan

5,5002,3886,2812,2494,5244,605 Sudan

6,9026,9247,2427,2066,7687,439 Others

53,65246,50053,93350,97751,31651,787 Subtotal

10,33815,15810,9889,9666,2935,410 United States

63,99061,65864,92160,94357,60957,197 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9502,8002,8002,7002,3001,900 Argentina

1,1051,1055059051,1051,105 Australia

1,9001,8502,0002,0002,3002,175 Brazil

1,8001,7001,7001,9001,8501,550 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1651,1101,175 Cameroon

8,3009,90012,9006,8003,2002,200 China

3,6502,9004,1003,9003,7003,700 Ethiopia

920890995880795760 European Union

5,4505,3005,1005,2005,1506,000 India

1,3001,3001,2009501,2001,300 Mali

7,5006,5006,6008,3008,1008,100 Mexico

1,3001,4001,4501,3001,200950 Niger

6,4006,0506,6506,5505,9006,800 Nigeria

1,0001,0001,050750650480 South Sudan

5,5002,9006,0002,5504,7004,500 Sudan

8,3118,3378,7088,65110,60710,414 Others

59,36455,76162,76555,56852,66754,592 Subtotal

5,0806,0972,4294,1274,7963,916 United States

64,44461,85865,19459,69557,46358,508 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5218719711,202781164 Argentina

226131136187195230 Australia

238163193151272472 Brazil

471581706568326366 China

243293593364109206 India

338238338647285418 Mexico

376331723357588609 Sudan

1,3551,3091,6441,7051,8561,603 Others

3,7683,9175,3045,1814,4124,068 Subtotal

1,3501,655468864385583 United States

5,1185,5725,7726,0454,7974,651 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,372 North America 2,036 165 56 810 725

1,199 South America 1,071 239 114 240 240

126 European Union - 28 291 184 131 120 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

101 Middle East 194 232 22 20 15

54 North Africa 1 41 1 5 5


1,655 East Asia 2,650 5,281 11,142 7,705 5,905

13 Southeast Asia 18 46 14 15 15

15 Others 11 15 32 130 50

5,093 Total 6,859 6,761 12,039 9,770 7,550

Production none

11,835 North America 12,467 18,466 17,258 20,858 17,238

312 Central America 339 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

7,247 South America 7,495 7,081 6,404 6,292 6,777

671 European Union - 28 473 703 883 769 775

764 Middle East 814 789 691 635 635

847 North Africa 763 754 755 755 755


2,054 East Asia 2,560 2,895 2,887 3,002 3,202

6,116 South Asia 5,404 5,661 5,553 5,195 5,630


2,239 Oceania 2,230 1,282 2,104 2,100 2,200

176 Others 209 354 224 191 100

57,197 Total 57,609 60,943 64,921 61,658 63,990


12,016 North America 12,896 12,427 9,029 12,597 12,580

320 Central America 325 325 330 340 335

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

6,104 South America 6,076 5,749 5,804 5,637 5,907

760 European Union - 28 795 880 995 890 920

789 Middle East 1,052 894 864 670 645

908 North Africa 756 793 755 755 755


3,771 East Asia 5,221 7,951 13,911 10,760 9,210

6,148 South Asia 5,283 5,334 5,235 5,575 5,630


1,105 Oceania 1,105 905 505 1,105 1,105

55 Others 80 75 75 75 75

57,025 Total 58,663 58,628 65,362 61,204 63,641

Ending Stocks none

1,001 North America 670 1,511 806 1,893 1,688

23 Central America 30 33 38 28 23

718 South America 1,146 1,467 1,237 1,112 852

13 European Union - 28 5 18 23 17 17

56 Middle East 65 47 39 24 29

60 North Africa 66 68 69 74 79


451 East Asia 413 627 736 608 495

206 South Asia 109 364 593 293 243

230 Oceania 195 187 136 131 226

17 Others 25 76 69 55 24

4,651 Total 4,797 6,045 5,772 5,572 5,118




World Oats Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

5522213 Argentina

300300270270240174 Australia

1,7001,6001,7291,7321,3511,763 Canada

7575844941106 Chile

200230231291126176 European Union

1020146418 Russia

707046622 Ukraine

1010814107 Others

2,3702,3102,3842,3701,7762,259 Subtotal


2,4002,3402,4072,3991,7942,287 World Total

none

TY Imports

553000 Albania

2530241279 Algeria

554323 Bosnia and Herzegovina

15101227911 Canada

2002001621168768 China

552211 Colombia

202021211922 Ecuador

554343 European Union

505047465154 Japan

1001008693108134 Mexico

10102383649 Norway

552222 Serbia

505046191111 South Africa

505049514456 Switzerland

554004 Turkey

5588615 Others

555555476441387442 Subtotal

2452851729252115 Unaccounted

1,6001,5001,7591,8661,3551,730 United States

2,4002,3402,4072,3991,7942,287 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production

11011011011011067 Algeria

500553525445496345 Argentina

1,2001,3001,0871,2551,1211,262 Australia

400400522352422448 Belarus

350350350380361354 Brazil

3,3003,4302,9793,9062,8303,158 Canada

475470421610680451 Chile

600600600580600600 China

7,9107,5247,8548,3807,9097,927 European Union

275244226305200258 Kazakhstan

908793918451 Mexico

240236236214232231 Norway

4,5004,5275,2674,9324,0275,332 Russia

210210210210210218 Turkey

500498610467630506 Ukraine

343349296318315372 Others

21,00320,88821,38622,55520,22721,580 Subtotal

9871,3001,019938892728 United States

21,99022,18822,40523,49321,11922,308 World Total

none

Total Consumption

13514012611811975 Algeria

500550525425500350 Argentina

9009508759509251,100 Australia

400400500375400450 Belarus

350340345375350350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6731,6601,5921,361 Canada

400375355570600400 Chile

850825750700675625 China

7,6507,5757,6758,0757,7007,800 European Union

270245225275225225 Kazakhstan

190190175185195185 Mexico

255245245245295270 Norway

4,5004,6005,2004,9004,3005,000 Russia

215215215215215215 Turkey

430430600475600500 Ukraine

538544471491451519 Others

19,44019,50719,97520,25419,21719,589 Subtotal

2,6962,7352,4242,7572,7432,499 United States

22,13622,24222,39923,01121,96022,088 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

586365674955 Argentina

1071075710560134 Australia

8368716811,054446805 Canada

474727456125 Chile

72122147135139127 China

647582858894901795 European Union

186196289230203485 Russia

177187192201222226 Others

2,1302,1752,3162,7312,0812,652 Subtotal

766867780359527797 United States

2,8963,0423,0963,0902,6083,449 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,875 North America 1,472 1,986 1,857 1,610 1,715

31 South America 26 29 30 30 30

3 European Union - 28 4 3 4 5 5

110 Other Europe 84 94 60 75 75


4 Middle East 0 0 4 5 5

9 North Africa 7 12 24 30 25


122 East Asia 138 162 209 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,172 Total 1,742 2,307 2,235 2,055 2,155

Production none

3,937 North America 3,806 4,935 4,091 4,817 4,377

1,191 South America 1,577 1,478 1,324 1,434 1,376

7,927 European Union - 28 7,909 8,380 7,854 7,524 7,910

373 Other Europe 365 348 369 372 375


218 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

163 North Africa 166 156 147 166 175


602 East Asia 602 582 602 601 601

1,291 Oceania 1,139 1,283 1,122 1,334 1,230

22,308 Total 21,119 23,493 22,405 22,188 21,990


4,045 North America 4,530 4,602 4,272 4,575 4,536

1,167 South America 1,515 1,447 1,285 1,356 1,331

7,800 European Union - 28 7,700 8,075 7,675 7,575 7,650

478 Other Europe 474 434 434 447 456


215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

172 North Africa 175 164 163 196 200


685 East Asia 730 750 800 875 900

1,129 Oceania 943 978 910 984 930

21,924 Total 21,885 22,791 22,379 22,009 21,929

Ending Stocks none

1,605 North America 974 1,417 1,467 1,741 1,605

93 South America 128 129 105 128 118

795 European Union - 28 901 894 858 582 647

48 Other Europe 27 41 38 38 32


18 Middle East 13 8 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


134 East Asia 144 138 149 125 76

134 Oceania 60 105 57 107 107

3,449 Total 2,608 3,090 3,096 3,042 2,896




World Rye Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

TY Exports

55552525 Belarus

1501008997178159 Canada


100501218379284 Russia

10201359169 Ukraine

001114 Others

415325396446421540 Subtotal


420330399452428548 World Total

none

TY Imports


251518333411 Israel

201522372746 Japan

1010481211 Korea, South

20155162111 Norway

5555250 Russia

556692 Switzerland

006149 Others

185135162202200392 Subtotal

35-5-25467-18 Unaccounted

200200262204221174 United States

420330399452428548 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

May

none

Production


8008008676481,082801 Belarus

325225218223337241 Canada

8,0607,8168,86810,1518,7636,900 European Union

2,5002,0843,2793,3602,1322,967 Russia

350350300365370366 Turkey

350394475638676579 Ukraine

138121144126146137 Others

12,59811,85114,24815,56313,54612,036 Subtotal

190292183194166154 United States

12,78812,14314,43115,75713,71212,190 World Total

none

Total Consumption


252219194040 Australia

8508008506501,000750 Belarus

140123134107127101 Canada

8,2008,1008,6009,6508,7007,400 European Union

503765405030 Kazakhstan

322720282627 Norway

2,3502,1753,2503,1002,0002,850 Russia

350350325350375375 Turkey

350400475625625625 Ukraine

11296102140132132 Others

12,54012,15713,94714,76613,14612,346 Subtotal

445481406424387311 United States

12,98512,63814,35315,19013,53312,657 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

112167172160167110 Belarus

794442444625 Canada

8361,0261,3901,204795747 European Union

444833 Kazakhstan

183128264344153129 Russia

141414331824 Turkey

7080106128166132 Ukraine

123475 Others

1,2991,4651,9951,9251,3551,175 Subtotal


1,3181,5152,0101,9321,3651,186 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

May

2016/17

TY Imports none

174 North America 221 204 262 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

302 European Union - 28 68 96 96 70 100

14 Other Europe 32 23 11 20 25


14 Middle East 34 33 24 15 25


57 East Asia 39 45 26 25 30

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

566 Total 421 406 424 335 385

Production none

395 North America 503 417 401 517 515

49 South America 47 59 105 69 83

6,900 European Union - 28 8,763 10,151 8,868 7,816 8,060

62 Other Europe 46 53 52 51 52


366 Middle East 370 365 300 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 40 20 20 22 25

12,190 Total 13,712 15,757 14,431 12,143 12,788


412 North America 514 531 540 604 585

49 South America 47 59 105 69 83

7,400 European Union - 28 8,700 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,200

76 Other Europe 78 77 66 71 77


386 Middle East 409 383 343 365 375


66 East Asia 37 48 27 26 31

40 Oceania 40 19 19 22 25

12,686 Total 13,502 15,185 14,343 12,672 12,979

Ending Stocks none

36 North America 56 51 57 94 98

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

747 European Union - 28 795 1,204 1,390 1,026 836

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


24 Middle East 18 33 14 14 14


5 East Asia 7 4 3 2 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,186 Total 1,365 1,932 2,010 1,515 1,318




45

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 46

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 47

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 48

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 49

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 53

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 55

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 57

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 58

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..59

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 60

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 61

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 62

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 63

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.032.56.56.026.8 2015/16 19.0

156.5 126.856.535.05.55.826.8 2016/17 19.2

Coarse Grains

149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.8 162.5121.314.09.05.530.8 2014/15 18.8

151.2 157.7116.911.815.55.030.1 2015/16 16.1

157.7 160.5119.812.113.45.230.3 2016/17 14.6

Wheat and Coarse Grains

282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 286.0175.349.414.95.757.5 2014/15 32.6

311.3 286.5175.944.322.05.556.9 2015/16 35.1

314.2 287.3176.347.118.95.557.1 2016/17 33.8


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.51.03.05.424.1 2015/16 96.3

130.0 110.59.51.03.25.324.3 2016/17 118.0

Coarse Grains

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.8 239.4167.10.016.55.840.2 2015/16 110.8

225.7 246.2170.90.012.25.938.1 2016/17 102.5


245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

362.0 351.4177.61.019.55.664.3 2015/16 207.1

355.7 356.7180.41.015.45.762.4 2016/17 220.5


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.40.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.81.10.71.83.91.0 2014/15 1.1

4.0 4.91.10.91.94.50.9 2015/16 1.2

4.0 5.01.20.91.84.11.0 2016/17 1.2

Coarse Grains

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.8 7.76.31.90.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8

10.6 8.06.73.10.85.71.9 2014/15 1.1

8.9 8.36.91.80.94.91.8 2015/16 0.9

10.0 8.36.92.30.95.31.9 2016/17 1.2


13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

12.9 12.57.43.12.74.42.9 2013/14 1.7

14.5 12.87.83.72.55.12.8 2014/15 2.1

13.0 13.18.02.62.74.82.7 2015/16 2.1

14.0 13.38.23.12.74.92.8 2016/17 2.4


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

81.0 75.624.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.1

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.4

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.3

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1

117.6 78.025.748.37.82.449.0 2015/16 19.2

115.8 79.026.343.67.52.447.6 2016/17 19.9

Coarse Grains

47.5 41.828.48.81.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.71.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4

82.5 55.840.629.90.72.928.2 2015/16 4.9

86.7 57.141.730.20.73.128.4 2016/17 5.1


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7

13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.024.50.82.425.6 2015/16 6.6

63.0 37.514.524.50.52.525.5 2016/17 8.1

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.515.50.13.87.1 2015/16 4.5

24.0 12.54.511.50.13.86.4 2016/17 4.6

Uzbekistan

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.32.20.22.65.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.52.20.22.55.11.4 2016/17 2.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.8 12.02.90.44.32.63.4 2013/14 3.0

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.2

8.3 12.32.90.64.32.53.3 2015/16 2.9

8.6 12.63.00.44.42.63.3 2016/17 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1

117.6 78.025.748.37.82.449.0 2015/16 19.2

115.8 79.026.343.67.52.447.6 2016/17 19.9



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

2.7 2.11.80.70.01.32.1 2016/17 0.1

Russia

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.99.14.00.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

17.8 13.89.04.00.12.28.1 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.30.02.93.0 2015/16 1.0

7.8 4.73.23.20.02.92.7 2016/17 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3

3.6 3.72.90.10.12.61.4 2015/16 0.3

3.8 3.83.00.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.3


29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.4 24.717.29.20.32.214.5 2015/16 2.2

32.3 24.717.28.00.32.214.4 2016/17 2.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.60.50.10.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.10.05.30.2 2016/17 0.1

Russia

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.98.04.20.14.92.7 2015/16 0.5

14.0 9.58.64.50.14.82.9 2016/17 0.5

Ukraine

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8

23.3 8.47.016.00.15.74.1 2015/16 0.8

26.0 8.77.317.00.16.24.2 2016/17 1.2

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0


3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.8 3.12.80.20.33.10.9 2015/16 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6


46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0

40.1 21.218.520.40.45.17.8 2015/16 2.0

44.2 22.319.522.00.45.48.2 2016/17 2.4


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

14.0 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.9

11.3 6.20.18.50.03.03.8 2015/16 1.5

14.5 6.30.18.50.03.04.8 2016/17 1.2

Australia

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.1 7.23.816.60.21.912.2 2014/15 4.0

24.5 7.23.816.50.21.912.8 2015/16 4.9

25.0 7.54.017.00.21.913.0 2016/17 5.6

Canada

27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.724.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 8.83.622.50.52.99.6 2015/16 3.9

28.5 8.83.620.00.53.09.5 2016/17 4.0

European Union

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.032.56.56.026.8 2015/16 19.0

156.5 126.856.535.05.55.826.8 2016/17 19.2

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7

13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.024.50.82.425.6 2015/16 6.6

63.0 37.514.524.50.52.525.5 2016/17 8.1



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.515.50.13.87.1 2015/16 4.5

24.0 12.54.511.50.13.86.4 2016/17 4.6

Total Wheat Competitors

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

320.2 200.480.8121.17.63.495.2 2014/15 44.5

325.5 207.487.1127.58.13.497.1 2015/16 43.1

324.5 206.385.3123.56.83.397.0 2016/17 44.6



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

28.7 9.36.018.90.08.23.5 2014/15 1.9

27.0 9.36.018.00.07.93.4 2015/16 1.6

34.0 10.46.623.00.08.14.2 2016/17 2.2

Brazil

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

81.0 58.049.026.01.15.116.0 2015/16 5.9

82.0 59.050.024.00.65.215.8 2016/17 5.5

China

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.02.05.938.1 2015/16 109.5

218.0 227.0160.00.01.06.136.0 2016/17 101.5

South Africa

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


10.6 11.86.10.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.3

6.5 11.05.50.73.53.41.9 2015/16 0.6

13.0 11.35.61.50.54.13.2 2016/17 1.3

Total Corn Competitors

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.0

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.7

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

340.0 280.1200.154.17.85.759.4 2014/15 112.5

339.1 295.8214.044.76.65.759.4 2015/16 117.7

347.0 307.7222.248.52.15.959.2 2016/17 110.6



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.0 2.91.65.20.02.13.8 2014/15 0.6

8.7 2.61.35.80.02.14.1 2015/16 0.9

8.5 2.61.35.80.02.14.0 2016/17 1.0

Canada

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.21.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 6.65.41.40.13.52.4 2015/16 1.6

8.5 7.05.71.40.13.42.5 2016/17 1.8

European Union

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9

61.3 50.935.510.00.35.012.2 2015/16 6.6

60.7 52.437.08.70.14.912.4 2016/17 6.3



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.6 2.82.40.90.04.30.8 2015/16 0.9

3.9 3.02.61.30.04.60.9 2016/17 0.5

Australia

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.1 0.50.51.70.03.20.7 2014/15 0.1

2.1 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.1

2.2 1.11.11.00.03.10.7 2016/17 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,47731,5543,32622,75223,2493,9874,06855,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,61431,7413,81021,30021,2283,2003,26655,840nr319,058 2015/16

27,99132,7134,62724,00023,8143,5003,53854,366nr317,310 2016/17

Corn

43,974301,854135,22246,77347,359809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

45,788301,252133,35643,50043,8171,4001,397345,486nr1132,678 2015/16

54,678310,403140,97649,00048,2621,0001,016366,539nr1134,763 2016/17

Sorghum

4682,4292,0489,2498,965271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

1,6556,0972,9217,4008,00111012715,158nr53,177 2015/16

1,3505,0802,5405,5005,588252510,338nr42,533 2016/17

Barley

1,7114,2349352923124305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,1164,4131,0893002834504354,666nr41,258 2015/16

2,0074,4191,0893003274004354,202nr41,101 2016/17

Oats

7802,4241,30623261,7591,8521,019nr2419 2014/15

8672,7351,62430291,5001,5511,300nr3516 2015/16

7662,6961,56530291,6001,637987nr2417 2016/17

Rye

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

5048123555200229292nr2146 2015/16

1944519756200230190nr2109 2016/17

Rice, Milled

1,5524,155nr3,4723,2077587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,3773,853nr3,3253,1757507466,1078,72481,042 2015/16

1,5994,287nr3,6003,5887757627,33510,47991,227 2016/17

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.8619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91

1,355.5 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.0657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.7190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.4685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.11,469.9690.5214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.8 418.71,472.2700.4204.92.8509.3 2000/01

1,480.1 403.21,495.7713.7208.32.9511.7 2001/02

1,445.0 341.81,506.4711.7209.22.9504.7 2002/03

1,473.0 279.11,535.7718.0205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.0 335.71,586.3756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,600.1 318.51,617.3758.2222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.9 273.01,630.5749.7229.83.1519.1 2006/07

1,692.8 289.91,675.8764.5244.73.2534.7 2007/08

1,792.0 359.81,722.2774.3253.63.3539.5 2008/09

1,804.1 396.21,767.7782.4254.13.4533.6 2009/10

1,747.8 360.01,784.0773.7250.13.3523.5 2010/11

1,853.4 360.21,853.3808.0287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,794.7 341.11,813.7807.7279.53.4532.1 2012/13

1,995.0 405.81,930.4861.5327.33.7540.5 2013/14

2,031.2 460.61,976.4883.4334.93.7545.2 2014/15

1,992.2 487.41,965.4898.4340.63.7544.2 2015/16

2,025.6 498.42,014.7917.6335.13.7540.6 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

583.3 206.5587.1111.2102.12.7215.6 2000/01

583.9 203.7586.6112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.5603.9116.1106.52.7213.9 2002/03

555.3 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.4606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.4621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.6616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

612.6 128.7617.5104.8116.02.8217.1 2007/08

683.7 169.2643.2124.4143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.0 203.2653.0122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.3 198.7653.9116.8134.13.0216.9 2010/11

696.9 197.9697.7148.7153.73.2220.9 2011/12

658.3 177.1679.1138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

714.9 194.2697.8126.5162.53.3219.6 2013/14

726.9 216.5704.6130.8161.53.3221.3 2014/15

734.1 242.9707.7133.9166.63.3223.8 2015/16

727.0 257.3712.6131.1164.03.3219.0 2016/17

Coarse Grains

869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.7 203.5869.0573.394.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.4 217.1866.7579.585.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.6869.4576.096.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.8882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00

863.5 212.3885.1589.3102.82.9293.7 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.0601.6100.43.0297.2 2001/02

875.3 172.3902.5595.6102.73.0290.9 2002/03

917.7 143.1946.8616.3102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,016.2 179.4980.0645.5101.23.4299.0 2004/05

981.3 165.1995.6640.5108.43.3300.0 2005/06

988.2 139.41,013.9636.6114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.2 161.21,058.3659.8128.73.4317.6 2007/08

1,108.3 190.61,079.0649.9110.43.5315.4 2008/09

1,117.0 193.01,114.7660.1118.83.6308.0 2009/10

1,098.5 161.41,130.1656.9116.03.6306.6 2010/11

1,156.5 162.31,155.6659.3133.43.6316.9 2011/12

1,136.4 164.01,134.7669.5132.23.6316.3 2012/13

1,280.1 211.61,232.5734.9164.84.0320.9 2013/14

1,304.2 244.11,271.8752.6173.44.0324.0 2014/15

1,258.2 244.51,257.7764.5174.03.9320.4 2015/16

1,298.6 241.01,302.1786.6171.14.0321.6 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.7 133.3536.8365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.9 1999/00

591.7 175.3610.8427.475.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.472.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.8 126.8628.5433.476.84.4137.8 2002/03

627.6 104.6649.9445.879.04.4141.7 2003/04

717.1 131.1690.6476.076.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.9 123.5708.5479.682.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 108.8731.3480.491.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.7 127.9776.7501.498.25.0160.3 2007/08

800.1 143.5784.4482.083.65.0158.8 2008/09

825.2 140.9827.8492.992.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.9 123.6853.2503.791.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.8 128.3885.0508.7103.75.2172.1 2011/12

869.7 133.3864.8519.0100.54.9177.6 2012/13

990.8 175.2948.9572.1130.45.5180.3 2013/14

1,013.5 207.9980.8585.7128.05.6179.7 2014/15

968.9 207.9968.9600.8133.95.5177.0 2015/16

1,011.1 207.01,011.9623.4133.85.7178.6 2016/17

Barley

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.317.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.5143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.6133.791.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.7143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.3136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.3 22.7135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

128.8 20.4131.188.622.22.649.9 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.897.223.82.850.7 2013/14

141.2 23.5141.597.230.12.949.5 2014/15

147.9 25.4146.198.127.53.049.9 2015/16

141.7 23.4143.797.826.42.949.0 2016/17

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.724.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.9399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.8 2004/05

622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0153.9 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.5 2006/07

643.5 80.9428.129.5433.64.2154.8 2007/08

668.7 92.6437.629.4449.44.2158.2 2008/09

656.2 95.0438.431.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10

672.1 100.0445.336.5450.44.2158.4 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.840.0467.64.3160.7 2011/12

704.5 113.8465.539.5472.54.4158.5 2012/13

713.4 114.3477.944.1478.44.4161.8 2013/14

713.7 114.4478.742.8478.74.4160.7 2014/15

701.3 106.4478.441.4470.54.4157.8 2015/16

716.8 106.6480.540.7480.74.5160.6 2016/17

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


64

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


65

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

66

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade April 2016. For

further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production May 2016.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat

Daniel Archibald (202) 720-9432 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Kyle Bonsu (202) 260-8370 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Barrett Bumpas (202) 692-0337 [email protected] Coarse Grains


http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]







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