united states agriculture grain - cornell university · trade changes in 2015/16 selected exporters...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

September 2015

For email subscription, click here to register: http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

Global rice production is expected to fall for the first time since 2009/10 due to flooding, drought, and extreme heat in several major producing countries. Combined carryin stocks held by top exporters--India, Pakistan, Thailand, the United States, and Vietnam--are the smallest in 4 years, contributing to reduced global supplies. In contrast, consumption continues to expand in line with population growth.

These market fundamentals would normally signal strong prices. However, prices in major exporting countries continue to decline (see page 9), influenced by financial developments and policies. The Thai Baht has depreciated nearly 10 percent against the dollar since January. Thai 100B is now priced around $370 per ton compared to $450 a year ago. Vietnam has repeatedly lowered the minimum export price in an effort to stimulate import demand. Furthermore, large importing countries, particularly Indonesia and the Philippines, pursue self-sufficiency policies, which limit import demand. This month’s reductions in production forecast for Indonesia and the Philippines have only had a small impact on trade.

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470

475

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485

490

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16f

Milled Production Consumption

Global Rice Consumption Outpaces Production

MMT

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA September 2015Office of Global Analysis

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2015/162014/152013/142015/162014/152013/142015/162014/152013/14

Production

United States (Jun-May) 58.1 55.1 58.1 6.1 7.1 6.0 351.3 361.1 345.1

Other 657.0 670.1 673.5 472.1 471.5 469.8 640.2 646.4 633.0

World Total 715.1 725.2 731.6 478.2 478.6 475.8 991.5 1,007.5 978.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 656.8 670.7 681.3 474.1 478.4 481.5 653.3 674.6 683.4

World Total 691.1 702.2 715.0 478.1 482.5 485.5 946.3 976.1 985.8

Ending Stocks


Other 177.5 190.8 202.8 106.4 100.2 88.9 144.6 153.2 149.3

World Total 193.6 211.3 226.6 107.4 101.8 90.2 175.9 197.2 189.7

TY Imports


Other 155.4 154.5 152.2 40.2 39.6 39.1 124.4 120.5 122.9

World Total 160.2 158.5 155.6 41.0 40.4 39.9 125.1 121.3 123.7

TY Exports


Other 130.9 138.5 133.4 40.3 39.1 38.9 79.5 80.4 80.8

World Total 162.4 161.3 158.4 43.3 42.5 42.2 130.2 127.4 127.8

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production in 2015/16 is raised to a new record as larger crops in the European Union, Russia, and Ukraine more than offset smaller production in Brazil, Canada, and India. Global trade is up slightly, highlighted by larger imports for Brazil and Philippines and cuts for EU and Indonesia. Exports are raised for EU and Ukraine, but lowered for the United States. The season-average farm price is forecast down from last month. U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Prices for most U.S. wheat classes were little changed in the last month. Markets are still pressured by abundant global supplies. Hard Red Spring (HRS) edged $1/ton higher to $236, while Hard Red Winter (HRW) eased $1/ton to $217. Soft Red Winter (SRW) and Soft White Wheat (SWW) slipped $6/ton to $202 and $5/ton to $215, respectively.

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS HRW SRW SWW


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters

European Union is boosted 1.5 million tons to 32.5 million with a larger crop and abundant exportable supplies.

Ukraine is up 500,000 tons to a record 13.5 million based on higher production.

United States is down 500,000 tons to 25.0 million based on intensified competition from

other exporters. Selected Importers

Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 7.0 million based on lower production.

European Union is down 500,000 tons to 6.0 million on abundant domestic supplies.

Indonesia is lowered 300,000 tons to 7.8 million based on slower anticipated consumption growth.

Philippines is up 300,000 tons to 4.8 million with the expectation of higher feed use.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

6,0006,0004,2001,6757,45011,951 Argentina

18,00018,00016,57518,33921,26923,031 Australia

18,50018,50024,83022,15718,58417,603 Canada

32,50031,00035,39732,03322,78616,728 European Union

6,0006,0005,5018,0006,80111,069 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1001,1041,322729790 Mexico

23,00023,00022,80018,56811,28921,627 Russia

4,0004,0004,1364,2933,5833,678 Turkey

13,50013,00011,2699,7557,1905,436 Ukraine

1,1001,1008781,3458111,782 Uruguay

9,6829,63711,82413,37118,98211,928 Others

133,382131,337138,514130,858119,474125,623 Subtotal

25,00025,50022,75231,51827,73428,142 United States

158,382156,837161,266162,376147,208153,765 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,0002,0501,6002,200 Afghanistan

7,7007,7007,2577,4846,4846,500 Algeria

3,6003,6003,8073,3542,7252,039 Bangladesh

7,0006,5005,8697,0617,5477,053 Brazil

2,2002,2001,9266,7732,9602,933 China

11,50011,50011,06310,1708,30011,650 Egypt

6,0006,5005,9723,9745,2767,362 European Union

7,8008,1007,4907,3927,1466,457 Indonesia

2,5002,5005,0076,6005,6002,400 Iran

3,2003,2002,2533,2463,9483,784 Iraq

5,8005,8005,8786,1236,5986,354 Japan

4,2004,0003,9424,2885,4395,188 Korea, South

4,4004,4004,4464,6363,8235,020 Mexico

2,8002,8004,0733,8923,8253,671 Morocco

4,4004,4004,2434,5804,1383,903 Nigeria

4,8004,5005,1003,4823,6454,075 Philippines

3,8003,8003,4863,4291,9212,904 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,8501,9001,8001,5581,542 South Africa

2,8002,8002,6312,6641,7932,360 Sudan

2,6002,6003,4851,6931,8452,646 Thailand

2,0001,9001,4611,6341,5231,473 Tunisia

3,8003,8005,9604,1543,3124,413 Turkey

2,2002,2002,2302,2241,8632,698 Uzbekistan

2,4002,3002,2962,1581,6712,711 Vietnam

3,3003,2003,2353,4253,1492,685 Yemen

47,58646,97147,49447,13843,59444,850 Others

152,286151,121154,504155,424141,283148,871 Subtotal

2,7462,3662,7752,1672,4491,857 Unaccounted

3,3503,3503,9874,7853,4763,037 United States

158,382156,837161,266162,376147,208153,765 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

11,00011,10012,50010,5009,30015,500 Argentina

26,00026,00023,66625,30322,85629,905 Australia

25,00026,50029,28137,53027,20525,288 Canada

130,000130,000126,170121,930121,023117,400 China

8,3608,3608,3008,2508,5008,400 Egypt

154,130147,821156,458144,415133,949138,182 European Union

88,94090,00095,85093,51094,88086,870 India

14,00014,00013,00014,50013,80012,400 Iran

14,00014,00012,99613,9419,84122,732 Kazakhstan

8,0008,0005,1007,0003,8705,800 Morocco

25,00025,00025,50024,00023,30025,000 Pakistan

61,00060,00059,08052,09137,72056,240 Russia

19,50019,50015,25018,75016,00018,800 Turkey

26,50025,50024,75022,27815,76122,324 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,1506,8006,7006,300 Uzbekistan

54,84655,43155,06356,20952,69750,668 Others

673,476668,412670,114657,007597,402641,809 Subtotal

58,13358,13355,12958,10561,29854,244 United States

731,609726,545725,243715,112658,700696,053 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,25010,25010,0509,8509,4508,950 Algeria

11,50011,50011,10011,40010,90011,200 Brazil

9,0009,0008,9769,4079,5309,852 Canada

116,500116,500118,000116,500125,000122,500 China

19,60019,60019,10018,50018,70018,600 Egypt

125,850124,850123,900117,200119,250127,234 European Union

94,74095,80093,13093,85283,82281,404 India

7,6507,8007,3657,1656,9506,250 Indonesia

18,00018,00017,50017,00016,00015,200 Iran

9,8009,8009,0009,0008,3008,800 Morocco

24,60024,60024,50024,10023,90023,100 Pakistan

37,00036,50035,50034,10033,55038,000 Russia

18,00018,00017,50017,75017,65018,100 Turkey

12,70012,70012,00011,50011,40014,950 Ukraine

9,1009,1008,9008,4008,0007,800 Uzbekistan

157,012155,879154,153151,100147,028145,458 Others

682,640681,017675,962664,368641,487665,571 Subtotal

33,71933,72031,53034,28737,76831,962 United States

716,359714,737707,492698,655679,255697,533 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,5934,7617,10810,4365,1375,932 Canada

89,26789,26774,56765,27453,96055,946 China

14,78011,68713,0009,86710,71113,522 European Union

11,90011,90017,20017,83024,20019,950 India

6,3216,3217,8217,2215,086825 Iran

7,6347,2556,2845,1754,95210,899 Russia

5,5285,0205,1783,6702,5795,363 Ukraine

61,72862,13059,66558,01750,93565,005 Others

202,751198,341190,823177,490157,560177,442 Subtotal

23,80523,12420,48316,06519,53820,211 United States

226,556221,465211,306193,555177,098197,653 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

8,554 North America 7,784 9,862 8,923 8,210 8,235

1,666 Central America 1,654 1,833 1,838 1,795 1,795

13,779 South America 14,422 14,831 13,180 13,765 14,265

7,362 European Union - 28 5,276 3,974 5,972 6,500 6,000

1,930 Other Europe 1,703 1,921 1,748 1,910 1,895

8,022 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,228 7,411 7,669 7,090 7,090

23,066 Middle East 24,163 28,341 26,916 23,375 23,600

24,855 North Africa 22,078 25,229 25,202 25,300 25,600

19,176 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,501 20,443 21,078 21,460 21,675

16,865 East Asia 17,352 19,463 14,120 14,335 14,610

5,487 South Asia 5,308 6,733 8,029 7,751 7,751

18,019 Southeast Asia 16,325 17,119 20,618 19,775 19,915

3,127 Others 2,965 3,049 3,198 3,205 3,205

151,908 Total 144,759 160,209 158,491 154,471 155,636

Production none

83,160 North America 91,734 99,012 88,097 88,333 86,833

25,766 South America 18,604 19,881 22,927 22,461 21,861

138,182 European Union - 28 133,949 144,415 156,458 147,821 154,130

3,597 Other Europe 3,431 4,059 3,856 3,932 4,132


39,285 Middle East 36,884 41,722 35,117 40,855 40,855

18,366 North Africa 17,320 19,722 16,900 19,560 19,560


118,775 East Asia 122,490 123,248 127,607 131,378 131,178

117,232 South Asia 126,237 125,710 129,595 123,120 122,060

30,288 Oceania 23,345 25,751 24,067 26,400 26,400

186 Others 186 201 201 201 201

696,053 Total 658,700 715,112 725,243 726,545 731,609

Domestic Consumption none

49,414 North America 53,923 50,344 47,356 49,720 49,719

26,085 South America 26,407 27,251 27,432 27,689 27,689

127,234 European Union - 28 119,250 117,200 123,900 124,850 125,850

4,871 Other Europe 4,721 4,757 4,810 4,885 4,890


56,723 Middle East 56,636 58,767 58,147 59,925 60,160

40,927 North Africa 41,421 42,424 42,698 44,125 44,325


137,057 East Asia 140,072 130,321 130,787 129,376 129,251

115,926 South Asia 121,005 132,045 132,253 135,786 134,726

16,665 Southeast Asia 16,520 16,574 19,030 19,005 19,530

7,824 Oceania 8,111 8,280 8,869 8,700 8,700

3,379 Others 3,366 3,494 3,553 3,594 3,594

689,360 Total 687,198 691,111 702,204 713,599 715,021

Ending Stocks none

26,718 North America 24,950 26,817 28,086 28,238 29,893

4,107 South America 3,839 7,063 7,015 6,803 6,701

13,522 European Union - 28 10,711 9,867 13,000 11,687 14,780

1,458 Other Europe 1,149 1,103 1,242 1,127 1,304


12,193 Middle East 13,798 18,245 17,790 18,297 17,755

14,094 North Africa 11,487 13,550 12,362 12,548 12,572


59,235 East Asia 57,509 68,487 78,091 92,901 93,093

25,448 South Asia 28,173 21,642 22,578 16,597 16,608

4,678 Southeast Asia 3,814 3,582 4,342 4,303 3,902

7,436 Oceania 4,983 4,875 4,462 4,779 4,777

372 Others 341 367 417 372 363

197,653 Total 177,098 193,555 211,306 221,465 226,556

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global production for 2015/16 is down 2.9 million tons from last month with smaller crops in Burma, China, Egypt, Indonesia, the Philippines and the United States. Global trade is lowered as reductions in Burma and the United States more than offset stronger exports by India. Global consumption and stocks are down slightly.

Export quotes in Thailand, Pakistan and Vietnam continue to fall as import demand remains weak. During the last month, Thai 100B slipped $16/ton to $370/ton; Pakistan 5 percent brokens dropped $50/ton to $330/ton, the lowest since 2011; and Vietnam 5 percent brokens fell $21/ton to $327/ton, the lowest since 2008. A number of factors, including depreciation of Thai and Vietnamese currencies, contributed to tumbling quotes. Quotes for U.S. long-grain rice have climbed sharply from last month, rising $60/ton to $565/ton on expectation of a smaller crop. Consequently, U.S. long-grain rice has become less competitive as the gap between Thai 100B and U.S. long-grain quotes has widened to nearly $200/ton, the largest since April 2014. SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2015 India’s exports are up 500,000 tons to 11.5 million reflecting strong shipments to the Middle

East and neighboring countries.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

9/6/2011 9/6/2012 9/6/2013 9/6/2014 9/6/2015

$/MTQuotes for Asian Rice Down, Up for U.S. Rice

U.S. #2/4 (long‐grain) THAI 100B VIET 5% PAK 5%


10

Vietnam’s exports are down 500,000 tons to 6.2 million on trade to date.

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2016 Burma’s exports are cut 400,000 tons to 1.8 million on reduced supplies.

India’s exports are raised 500,000 tons to 9.5 million to offset reduced shipments from

Burma.

Indonesia’s imports are boosted 200,000 tons to 1.3 million on a smaller crop.

U.S. exports are down 200,000 tons to 3.3 million on reduced exportable supplies and higher projected long-grain prices.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

480480400494526608 Argentina

330300400404460449 Australia

8008008008508301,105 Brazil

1,8002,2002,0001,6881,1631,357 Burma

1,0001,0001,1001,0001,075900 Cambodia

400400400393447267 China

400400250600700600 Egypt

220220260284203194 European Union

520520500422346265 Guyana

9,5009,00011,50010,90710,48010,250 India

4,0004,0004,0003,6004,1263,399 Pakistan

500500400380365262 Paraguay

10,20010,2009,00010,9696,7226,945 Thailand

9509509509579391,056 Uruguay

7,0007,0006,2006,3256,7007,717 Vietnam

8818819441,0261,0891,276 Others

38,98138,85139,10440,29936,17136,650 Subtotal

3,2503,4503,3502,9983,2953,298 United States

42,23142,30142,45443,29739,46639,948 World Total

none

TY Imports

450450450496430360 Angola

8508507501,29011453 Bangladesh

700700450586712732 Brazil

530530525610550450 Cameroon

4,7004,7004,5004,1683,4832,900 China

9509509509508301,265 Cote d'Ivoire

500500450377413330 Cuba

1,5501,5501,5801,5561,3751,313 European Union

650650620590725595 Ghana

1,3001,1001,2501,2256501,960 Indonesia

1,6001,6001,7001,6502,2201,500 Iran

1,3001,3001,2501,0801,2941,478 Iraq

700700700669690650 Japan

460460450440410400 Kenya

1,0001,0009509898851,006 Malaysia

785785680658746680 Mexico

500500480500500445 Mozambique

3,0003,0004,0003,2002,4003,400 Nigeria

1,4001,4001,8001,8001,0001,500 Philippines

1,5501,5501,4601,4101,3261,193 Saudi Arabia

1,1001,1001,1001,2001,0751,200 Senegal

1,0001,0001,000910990870 South Africa

460460460450440430 United Arab Emirates

500500500480500375 Venezuela

500500400300100100 Vietnam

11,06811,08811,10812,64311,95511,289 Others

39,10338,92339,56340,22735,81336,474 Subtotal

2,3082,5582,0912,3152,9782,834 Unaccounted

820820800755675640 United States

42,23142,30142,45443,29739,46639,948 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Milled Production

35,00035,00034,50034,39033,82033,700 Bangladesh

8,0008,0008,5008,3008,0377,888 Brazil

12,20012,80012,60011,95711,71511,473 Burma

4,7004,7004,7004,7254,6704,268 Cambodia

145,500146,000144,500142,530143,000140,700 China

4,0004,6004,5304,7504,6754,250 Egypt

104,000104,000104,800106,540105,240105,310 India

36,30036,65036,30036,30036,55036,500 Indonesia

7,9007,9007,8427,9377,9237,812 Japan

4,0004,0004,2414,2304,0064,224 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1003,3613,0033,381 Nepal

6,9006,9006,9006,7005,8006,200 Pakistan

12,00012,40011,88011,85811,42810,710 Philippines

18,00018,00018,75020,46020,20020,460 Thailand

28,20028,20028,07428,16127,53727,152 Vietnam

39,94239,89440,28039,87438,73137,779 Others

469,742472,144471,497472,073466,335461,807 Subtotal

6,0176,5107,0686,1176,3485,866 United States

475,759478,654478,565478,190472,683467,673 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,50035,50035,20034,90034,50034,300 Bangladesh

7,9507,9507,9007,9007,8507,928 Brazil

10,50010,60010,55010,45010,40010,200 Burma

3,7003,7003,7003,6503,5503,400 Cambodia

151,000151,000148,400146,300144,000139,600 China

4,0004,0004,0004,0004,0503,620 Egypt

99,20099,20099,25199,18094,03193,334 India

38,65038,65038,60038,50038,12738,188 Indonesia

8,3758,3758,3138,2858,3678,396 Japan

4,3604,3604,4504,4224,4894,880 Korea, South

3,5003,5003,5003,8113,3533,677 Nepal

6,0006,0006,4005,8005,3005,600 Nigeria

13,25013,25013,20012,85012,85012,860 Philippines

12,00012,00011,70010,87510,60010,400 Thailand

22,20022,00022,10022,00021,90019,650 Vietnam

61,37561,38761,09761,21159,04856,912 Others

483,437483,715480,002477,497465,109457,466 Subtotal

3,9804,1084,1173,9773,7793,492 United States

487,417487,823484,119481,474468,888460,958 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,71146,21146,91146,81146,82645,023 China

12,50011,60016,70022,65125,44025,100 India

3,4013,5514,4515,5016,4767,403 Indonesia

3,4123,4123,2623,1082,8572,735 Japan

1,6311,6311,5611,431500550 Pakistan

2,1252,5252,0751,6951,4871,509 Philippines

6,1746,17410,07411,72412,8089,330 Thailand

13,88814,39915,23313,42713,10713,909 Others

88,84289,503100,267106,348109,501105,559 Subtotal

1,3191,3461,5521,0251,1561,303 United States

90,16190,849101,819107,373110,657106,862 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,664 North America 1,776 1,771 1,830 1,965 1,965

845 Caribbean 971 901 1,025 1,075 1,075

1,896 South America 1,843 1,824 1,742 1,917 1,897

114 Other Europe 125 89 130 125 125

456 Former Soviet Union - 12 537 554 471 476 476

6,455 Middle East 7,152 6,637 6,575 6,690 6,690

777 North Africa 487 480 485 485 485


4,389 East Asia 5,332 5,761 6,215 6,415 6,415

737 South Asia 722 2,581 1,670 1,620 1,620

5,488 Southeast Asia 3,606 5,020 5,065 4,650 4,850

2,158 Others 2,197 2,430 2,285 2,275 2,275

37,114 Total 36,488 40,982 40,363 39,743 39,923

Production none

5,979 North America 6,479 6,248 7,226 6,675 6,182

1,002 Caribbean 974 1,040 1,065 987 987

15,215 South America 15,852 16,384 16,743 16,284 16,277

2,139 European Union - 28 2,100 1,937 1,881 1,920 1,930


2,170 Middle East 2,251 2,450 2,443 2,359 2,359

4,289 North Africa 4,704 4,789 4,530 4,600 4,000


155,508 East Asia 157,859 157,794 159,383 160,670 160,170

152,067 South Asia 150,895 154,286 152,651 152,462 152,462

113,649 Southeast Asia 115,490 116,867 115,980 116,311 114,961

1,364 Others 1,518 1,278 1,208 1,114 1,159

467,673 Total 472,683 478,190 478,565 478,654 475,759


4,668 North America 4,977 5,202 5,357 5,378 5,250

1,156 Central America 1,181 1,188 1,193 1,212 1,212

1,977 Caribbean 1,964 1,973 2,098 2,088 2,088

14,180 South America 14,404 14,556 14,653 14,821 14,809

3,300 European Union - 28 3,250 3,250 3,265 3,280 3,280


8,603 Middle East 8,854 9,030 8,965 9,070 9,070

4,045 North Africa 4,572 4,480 4,460 4,460 4,460


156,232 East Asia 160,365 162,627 164,588 167,065 167,065

137,234 South Asia 137,576 143,946 144,542 144,762 144,762

99,148 Southeast Asia 102,008 103,102 104,706 105,141 105,241

661 Others 707 676 530 540 540

456,437 Total 466,194 478,111 482,478 485,580 485,540

Ending Stocks none

1,455 North America 1,345 1,176 1,668 1,499 1,472

273 Central America 241 217 211 208 208

343 Caribbean 279 261 253 227 227

1,606 South America 1,491 1,805 2,086 1,853 1,850

1,146 European Union - 28 1,188 1,163 1,129 1,086 1,099

1,526 Middle East 2,039 1,836 1,689 1,678 1,688

487 North Africa 427 602 907 1,132 532


48,887 East Asia 50,826 51,183 51,617 51,141 50,641

27,511 South Asia 27,019 25,625 20,614 15,779 16,679

21,369 Southeast Asia 23,197 21,395 19,334 14,330 13,804

40 Oceania 238 241 182 57 102

134 Others 179 155 152 182 182

106,862 Total 110,657 107,373 101,819 90,849 90,161




14

150

175

200

225

250

275

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW World corn production in 2015/16 is down with smaller crops in the EU and the United States. Trade is slightly higher, led by stronger demand from EU, Mexico, and Vietnam. Exports for Brazil and Ukraine are raised, more than offsetting a reduction for EU. The U.S. season-average farm price is raised slightly on a smaller crop and tighter carryin. For 2014/15, world production is slightly higher with larger crops in Chile and India. Trade is boosted on stronger demand from China, Mexico, and Vietnam. U.S. exports are up and the season-average farm price is slightly lower. PRICES

Since the release of the August WASDE report, U.S. corn quotes rose $8/ton to $172, widening their premium over South American origins amid lingering concerns over crop yields. Argentine quotes are up $5/ton to $158 as sales of the 2014/15 crop slow seasonally. Brazilian quotes are up just $2/ton to $161 and shipments are expected to accelerate. Black Sea quotes have dropped $18/ton to $173 as the new-crop harvest has progressed, rapidly eroding their premium over U.S. prices.


15

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters

Brazilian corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to a new record 29.0 million on greater demand

from the EU and record exportable supplies from the 2014/15 crop.

EU corn is halved to 1.0 million tons on sharply lower crop prospects.

Ukrainian corn is raised 1.0 million tons to 18.5 million because of higher demand from the EU.

Canadian barley is up 200,000 tons to 1.2 million because of greater exportable supplies and strong demand, especially from China.

Russian barley is up 800,000 tons to 4.5 million because of a huge boost to exportable supplies.

Selected Importers

Brazilian corn is lowered 200,000 tons to 600,000 because of large domestic supplies. (Imports for 2014/15 are also down 200,000 tons to 600,000.)

Chilean corn is down 200,000 tons to 1.6 million because of larger crop prospects. (Imports for 2014/15 are down 200,000 tons to 1.4 million.)

EU corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 16.0 million as domestic supplies are projected sharply lower again this month because of hot, dry conditions.

Mexican corn is raised 200,000 tons to 10.5 million based on early-season purchases and continued strong domestic demand. (Imports for 2014/15 are up 700,000 tons to 11.0 million.)

Philippine corn is up 200,000 tons to 500,000 because of a smaller crop.

Turkish corn is lowered 300,000 tons to 900,000 because of greater crop prospects.

Vietnamese corn is boosted 1.2 million tons to 3.0 million as imported corn substitutes for cassava in feed rations. Cassava is being exported to China and used for domestic ethanol production. (Imports for 2014/15 are boosted 1.5 million to 3.5 million.)

Saudi barley is raised 500,000 tons to 7.5 million based on larger exportable supplies from Canada, EU, and Russia.


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15 Selected Exporters - based on trade data

U.S. corn is up 1.0 million tons to 47.0 million.

Paraguayan corn is raised 700,000 tons to 2.7 million.

Ukrainian corn is up 500,000 tons to 19.5 million.

EU barley is boosted 500,000 tons to 9.5 million.

Russian barley is raised 300,000 tons to 5.5 million.

U.S. sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 9.2 million.

Australian sorghum is up 900,000 tons to 1.5 million.

Selected Importers - based on trade data

Chinese corn is boosted 1.2 million tons to a record 5.5 million.

Japanese corn is lowered 200,000 tons to 14.7 million.

Turkish corn is up 200,000 tons to 2.2 million.

Chinese barley is raised 500,000 tons to 8.8 million.

Chinese sorghum is up 1.5 million tons to 10.0 million.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

19,00519,00521,60516,63029,49722,308 Argentina

7,3257,3257,3257,0036,4107,279 Australia

29,01528,01522,04022,05926,07812,677 Brazil

3,4003,2003,7855,4604,6583,853 Canada

8,3059,30513,7057,8378,9147,177 European Union

2,5002,5001,3504,5245,5414,858 India

2,3052,3052,7052,7182,8612,188 Paraguay

8,6107,8108,5207,0434,3655,997 Russia

1,7251,8252,9251,7556282,345 Serbia

22,68021,68023,20024,12515,52717,447 Ukraine

7,1157,0657,0128,6947,1067,127 Others

111,985110,035114,172107,848111,58593,256 Subtotal

58,33558,33556,53056,77220,58640,106 United States

170,320168,370170,702164,620132,171133,362 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,8104,8104,7604,9463,2893,741 Algeria

1,7101,7101,635714523764 Canada

1,7501,9501,6001,6211,3271,523 Chile

21,25021,25024,45012,4455,6047,924 China

4,8304,8304,7304,7954,0904,103 Colombia

1,1001,1001,1001,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,0558,0557,5558,7765,0967,252 Egypt

16,25515,2559,44516,26211,7776,908 European Union

3,0003,0003,5003,5012,7191,724 Indonesia

5,5005,5008,0006,6004,8005,700 Iran

2,1752,1752,0752,0731,5641,530 Israel

17,09017,19016,94017,50117,74317,730 Japan

1,4751,4751,5501,6721,4061,311 Jordan

1,1001,1001,000894202490 Kenya

10,09010,09010,09010,4998,2657,726 Korea, South

1,4501,4501,5001,4931,220829 Libya

3,6003,6003,4003,4763,0483,309 Malaysia

10,77510,57511,25011,3177,62712,819 Mexico

2,3002,3002,3002,8581,8312,479 Morocco

2,6252,6252,8502,3362,4041,927 Peru

12,02511,52510,12511,33112,39010,485 Saudi Arabia

4,4004,4004,3004,3564,3984,478 Taiwan

1,5001,5001,5001,4491,6101,071 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,0002,6272,1542,596 Venezuela

3,0001,8003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam

16,13016,38017,52517,38315,46115,932 Others

159,995157,645158,680154,736123,294127,005 Subtotal

7,2757,6758,8396,5622,3623,215 Unaccounted

3,0503,0503,1833,3226,5153,142 United States

170,320168,370170,702164,620132,171133,362 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

33,46133,46133,53235,66537,24630,105 Argentina

12,57512,57511,66312,15811,41412,257 Australia

81,58381,58386,60382,60384,25375,884 Brazil

23,30022,40021,89928,74524,42722,921 Canada

231,500231,500222,170225,070212,192198,635 China

13,79013,79013,35014,46812,28612,264 Ethiopia

148,588151,920169,910158,979145,942149,923 European Union

41,60041,63041,97043,21039,94042,250 India

9,6009,6009,4009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

31,97531,97532,32632,02028,88125,689 Mexico

17,95017,95019,01519,29218,57317,421 Nigeria

41,80039,30040,38635,73528,65833,077 Russia

14,06814,06811,78515,57812,87313,268 South Africa

14,07513,4759,47513,07510,59511,299 Turkey

36,77536,42539,34539,91829,52733,476 Ukraine

155,994156,879156,478149,125147,359147,866 Others

908,634908,531919,307914,741852,666835,185 Subtotal

365,685368,210377,122367,089285,311322,451 United States

1,274,3191,276,7411,296,4291,281,8301,137,9771,157,636 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,07615,07614,33213,59512,05010,510 Argentina

61,84361,84359,92858,02855,80353,653 Brazil

21,48321,35521,14322,37220,32120,285 Canada

243,475243,475242,450227,600209,671196,192 China

15,40815,40814,80914,08012,91012,736 Egypt

14,00014,00014,05014,30012,15011,850 Ethiopia

161,525161,825163,095164,105153,095151,460 European Union

39,85039,15040,00037,60035,27537,750 India

17,24017,34017,14017,64018,03017,990 Japan

42,59042,54041,94040,88536,19537,985 Mexico

18,15018,15018,95019,35018,70017,321 Nigeria

32,10032,10031,43928,61925,13427,728 Russia

12,65012,15012,02511,55010,9259,500 Saudi Arabia

14,13013,88013,08013,43013,00511,755 Turkey

14,45514,80515,18515,92714,66115,559 Ukraine

240,204239,089234,678226,024218,906216,275 Others

968,633967,790965,152933,456860,637866,736 Subtotal

313,284313,791311,009305,048275,537288,857 United States

1,281,9171,281,5811,276,1611,238,5041,136,1741,155,593 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

15,54416,94418,81919,25914,5599,821 Brazil

3,3542,7833,2274,6483,0243,390 Canada

91,58091,38082,38078,26068,37860,362 China

12,55413,59317,94115,56513,08315,745 European Union

6,0746,0747,2345,0944,6544,684 Iran

4,3723,5224,7123,5831,6281,857 Mexico

3,6933,6934,0733,8883,3913,211 Saudi Arabia

43,52742,27547,09747,54436,58040,136 Others

180,698180,264185,483177,841145,297139,206 Subtotal

44,12647,16046,93934,31323,53127,819 United States

224,824227,424232,422212,154168,828167,025 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

16,725 North America 14,665 15,353 16,068 15,335 15,535

2,769 Central America 2,470 2,923 3,275 3,350 3,350

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,410 2,410 2,410

11,967 South America 11,814 13,182 12,725 13,100 12,750

6,908 European Union - 28 11,777 16,262 9,445 15,255 16,255

1,038 Former Soviet Union - 12 725 832 807 815 815

23,515 Middle East 25,076 26,613 26,895 24,640 24,840

15,372 North Africa 13,046 19,522 17,615 18,115 18,115


38,040 East Asia 36,163 44,880 55,880 53,030 52,930

7,317 Southeast Asia 8,058 11,287 11,635 9,380 10,780

1,024 Others 946 1,330 1,315 1,265 1,265

130,147 Total 129,809 158,058 161,863 160,695 163,045

Production none

371,061 North America 338,619 427,854 431,347 422,585 420,960

119,682 South America 136,283 132,043 133,905 129,214 129,304

149,923 European Union - 28 145,942 158,979 169,910 151,920 148,588

9,497 Other Europe 6,570 8,813 10,696 8,746 8,546


20,412 Middle East 18,769 21,760 17,942 22,181 22,781

11,142 North Africa 10,126 11,647 11,192 12,532 12,532


200,771 East Asia 214,639 227,482 224,599 233,909 233,909

50,495 South Asia 48,589 52,250 51,018 50,488 50,458

28,379 Southeast Asia 29,138 30,968 31,500 33,278 32,703

12,813 Oceania 12,082 12,804 12,335 13,236 13,236

4,652 Others 4,833 5,050 4,523 4,807 4,807

1,157,636 Total 1,137,977 1,281,830 1,296,429 1,276,741 1,274,319


347,127 North America 332,053 368,305 374,092 377,686 377,357

85,901 South America 90,054 94,608 97,592 100,249 100,564

151,460 European Union - 28 153,095 164,105 163,095 161,825 161,525

8,375 Other Europe 7,100 7,702 8,037 8,040 8,040


41,186 Middle East 43,027 45,890 45,744 47,566 48,316

25,266 North Africa 24,941 27,998 29,896 30,940 30,940


228,717 East Asia 243,025 261,824 276,371 277,661 277,561

45,833 South Asia 43,444 46,591 49,213 48,428 49,128

34,612 Southeast Asia 35,867 37,904 40,140 40,665 41,565

6,518 Oceania 6,132 5,765 5,323 5,926 5,926

9,556 Others 9,573 10,080 10,159 10,439 10,439

1,137,406 Total 1,142,368 1,230,153 1,265,253 1,275,977 1,277,463

Ending Stocks none

33,066 North America 28,183 42,544 54,878 53,465 51,852

14,549 South America 20,442 26,281 24,670 21,744 20,235

15,745 European Union - 28 13,083 15,565 17,941 13,593 12,554

1,024 Other Europe 603 766 1,281 1,002 902


10,547 Middle East 10,059 11,840 13,271 12,213 12,306

5,504 North Africa 3,526 5,719 5,226 4,923 4,923


63,392 East Asia 71,035 81,590 85,648 94,701 94,851

2,938 South Asia 2,814 4,347 4,938 3,718 3,968

3,061 Southeast Asia 3,275 4,396 5,240 4,999 5,018

978 Oceania 915 1,133 930 1,019 1,035

788 Others 768 944 958 1,051 1,051

167,025 Total 168,828 212,154 232,422 227,424 224,824




World Corn Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

15,50015,50019,00012,84622,78916,501 Argentina

29,00028,00022,00022,04126,04412,674 Brazil

900900850700550200 Burma

1,0002,0003,8002,4012,1933,287 European Union

2,0002,0001,0003,8894,7684,674 India

2,3002,3002,7002,7142,8582,188 Paraguay

4,0004,0002,9004,1921,9172,027 Russia

1,7001,8002,9001,7366012,331 Serbia

1,0001,0001,0002,1042,3981,831 South Africa

18,50017,50019,50020,00412,72615,157 Ukraine

4,8854,8354,7256,8435,4214,470 Others

80,78579,83580,37579,47082,26565,340 Subtotal

47,00047,00047,00050,68418,26238,342 United States

127,785126,835127,375130,154100,527103,682 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,2004,2004,0004,1562,9183,231 Algeria

1,5001,5001,500679493747 Canada

1,6001,8001,4001,456844906 Chile

3,0003,0005,5003,2772,7025,231 China

4,5004,5004,4004,4363,2663,209 Colombia

900900900928911743 Cuba

1,1001,1001,1001,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,0008,0007,5008,7265,0597,154 Egypt

16,00015,0009,00015,91911,3626,113 European Union

900900850767678691 Guatemala

3,0003,0003,5003,5012,7191,724 Indonesia

4,0004,0006,0005,5003,7004,000 Iran

1,8001,8001,7001,6521,2241,221 Israel

14,80014,80014,70015,12114,41214,892 Japan

1,0001,000900800100400 Kenya

10,00010,00010,00010,4068,1747,636 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,4003,4763,0483,309 Malaysia

10,50010,30011,00010,9545,67611,172 Mexico

2,1002,1002,0002,3491,6841,943 Morocco

2,5002,5002,7002,2322,2541,772 Peru

4,5004,5003,5002,6842,0631,816 Saudi Arabia

4,3004,3004,2004,1894,2324,341 Taiwan

1,1001,1001,000993846853 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,0002,6262,1542,596 Venezuela

3,0001,8003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam

13,07013,32014,25613,72711,61212,330 Others

122,970121,020120,506124,36594,877100,684 Subtotal

4,0655,0656,1195,0621,3852,233 Unaccounted

7507507507274,265765 United States

127,785126,835127,375130,154100,527103,682 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

25,00025,00026,50026,00027,00021,000 Argentina

79,00079,00084,00080,00081,50073,000 Brazil

12,30012,30011,48714,19413,06011,359 Canada

225,000225,000215,670218,490205,614192,780 China

6,0006,0005,9605,8005,8005,500 Egypt

7,0007,0006,5007,4516,1586,069 Ethiopia

57,99662,25375,29364,61558,89668,123 European Union

23,50023,50023,67024,26022,26021,760 India

9,6009,6009,4009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

23,50023,50025,00022,88021,59118,726 Mexico

7,0007,0007,5157,7007,6309,250 Nigeria

8,0008,3007,6887,5327,2617,130 Philippines

13,50013,50011,32511,6358,2136,962 Russia

13,50013,50011,30014,98212,36512,759 South Africa

27,00027,00028,45030,90020,92222,838 Ukraine

95,12995,51496,62494,64390,34390,878 Others

633,025637,967646,382640,182597,113576,984 Subtotal

345,073347,642361,091351,272273,192312,789 United States

978,098985,6091,007,473991,454870,305889,773 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,00010,0009,4008,8007,9007,000 Argentina

59,00059,00057,00055,00052,50050,500 Brazil

13,35013,35012,80012,70011,60511,636 Canada

219,000219,000217,000212,000200,000188,000 China

14,50014,50013,90013,20012,00011,700 Egypt

77,00078,00078,00076,50069,60069,500 European Union

22,30021,70022,00019,60017,50017,200 India

12,50012,50012,10011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

14,80014,80014,70015,10014,50014,900 Japan

10,10010,10010,1009,8918,4817,815 Korea, South

34,00033,95034,25031,70027,00029,000 Mexico

8,8008,8008,5008,0007,4007,400 Philippines

9,3009,3008,4007,5006,4004,700 Russia

11,40011,40011,40011,50011,00010,700 South Africa

8,9009,5009,4009,7008,1007,800 Ukraine

158,452157,362155,621150,247141,916140,989 Others

683,222685,032684,681660,512602,164606,090 Subtotal

302,401302,909301,512292,965262,973277,961 United States

985,623987,941986,193953,477865,137884,051 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

15,17216,57218,57218,97214,1509,212 Brazil

90,41090,21081,46077,31567,57059,335 China

5,2696,3989,2736,7805,1476,682 European Union

2,5742,5742,4991,7291,040732 Indonesia

4,6564,6565,8164,4763,2363,336 Iran

3,4442,7943,9442,6941,0611,316 Mexico

2,3302,3301,7052,2556641,276 South Africa

25,38326,02929,93630,41824,22725,775 Others

149,238151,563153,205144,639117,095107,664 Subtotal

40,44843,52544,00631,29220,85925,122 United States

189,686195,088197,211175,931137,954132,786 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

12,684 North America 10,434 12,360 13,250 12,550 12,750

2,766 Central America 2,470 2,922 3,275 3,350 3,350

9,886 South America 9,653 12,027 11,450 11,900 11,550

6,113 European Union - 28 11,362 15,919 9,000 15,000 16,000


10,853 Middle East 10,942 13,812 15,700 13,900 13,600

13,827 North Africa 11,154 17,036 15,300 16,150 16,150


32,282 East Asia 29,673 33,072 34,500 32,200 32,200

7,304 Southeast Asia 8,040 11,246 11,620 9,365 10,765

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,410 2,410 2,410

595 Others 677 977 1,000 935 935

101,449 Total 99,142 125,092 121,256 121,770 123,720

Production none

342,874 North America 307,843 388,346 397,578 383,442 380,873

105,578 South America 120,997 117,456 122,006 115,535 115,625

68,123 European Union - 28 58,896 64,615 75,293 62,253 57,996

7,810 Other Europe 4,915 7,210 8,945 6,976 6,776


7,164 Middle East 7,480 8,138 7,848 8,838 9,038

5,722 North Africa 5,891 6,001 6,161 6,201 6,201


194,585 East Asia 207,760 220,595 217,791 227,113 227,113

28,647 South Asia 29,636 31,912 31,330 30,970 30,970

3,602 Central America 3,743 3,893 3,366 3,650 3,650

28,138 Southeast Asia 28,893 30,721 31,255 33,033 32,458

1,307 Others 1,377 1,320 1,346 1,353 1,353

889,773 Total 870,305 991,454 1,007,473 985,609 978,098


318,597 North America 301,578 337,365 348,562 350,209 349,751

75,491 South America 79,031 83,666 86,710 89,055 89,345

69,500 European Union - 28 69,600 76,500 78,000 78,000 77,000

6,392 Other Europe 5,194 5,847 6,055 6,020 6,020


17,585 Middle East 18,710 19,785 22,185 23,335 23,335

18,000 North Africa 18,450 20,800 22,100 23,050 23,050


217,047 East Asia 229,434 243,295 248,155 250,325 250,325

23,875 South Asia 24,380 27,182 29,805 29,570 30,170

34,357 Southeast Asia 35,609 37,653 39,860 40,410 41,310

6,350 Central America 6,175 6,650 6,675 6,910 6,910

3,344 Others 3,556 3,586 3,760 3,770 3,770

867,301 Total 869,775 946,303 976,083 986,171 985,803

Ending Stocks none

27,803 North America 23,469 35,586 49,237 47,569 45,129

13,194 South America 18,483 23,762 22,658 19,890 18,343

6,682 European Union - 28 5,147 6,780 9,273 6,398 5,269

771 Other Europe 353 517 1,037 753 653


4,510 Middle East 4,228 5,957 7,225 6,283 6,283

2,994 North Africa 1,719 3,168 2,919 2,210 2,210


61,841 East Asia 69,734 80,134 84,245 92,983 93,183

1,644 South Asia 2,075 3,184 3,964 2,669 2,939

3,058 Southeast Asia 3,270 4,390 5,234 4,993 5,012

503 Central America 474 610 551 616 616

300 Others 334 392 478 486 486

132,786 Total 137,954 175,931 197,211 195,088 189,686




World Barley Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

2,0002,0001,5002,8293,6473,631 Argentina

6,0006,0005,5006,2624,6215,819 Australia

1,2001,0001,5001,7141,3161,437 Canada

7,0007,0009,5004,9266,4733,646 European Union

40040030054654252 India

500500500575151659 Kazakhstan

4,5003,7005,5002,7622,3663,668 Russia

252525182614 Serbia

25251090103 Turkey

4,0004,0003,5003,8272,6592,166 Ukraine

35351006816622 Others

25,68524,68527,93523,53621,96721,217 Subtotal

300300300336163179 United States

25,98524,98528,23523,87222,13021,396 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600750778364501 Algeria

100100125781449 Azerbaijan

400400325338369274 Brazil

2002001259216 Canada

7,0007,0008,8004,8912,1842,541 China

275275275253232301 Colombia

1001002255852364 European Union

1,5001,5002,0001,1001,1001,700 Iran

325325325304244276 Israel

1,2001,3001,1501,2941,3561,257 Japan

800800900997831736 Jordan

400400400436388376 Kuwait

700700700681573183 Libya

12512510010847144 Mexico

200200300471147536 Morocco

1001001258710397 Peru

7,5007,0006,6008,50010,2008,600 Saudi Arabia

400400500456764218 Tunisia

400400400468541524 United Arab Emirates

12512520012625277 Uruguay

1,0001,0001,2671,6181,4261,646 Others

23,45023,05025,59223,05121,20820,406 Subtotal

2,0351,4352,193299491520 Unaccounted

500500450522431470 United States

25,98524,98528,23523,87222,13021,396 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

1,3001,3001,3001,5001,5001,350 Algeria

3,4003,4002,9004,7505,0004,500 Argentina

8,7008,7008,0149,1747,4728,221 Australia

2,0002,0002,2501,6741,9171,979 Belarus

7,3006,5007,11910,2378,0127,892 Canada

1,5001,5001,5001,5001,6261,637 China

2,0402,0402,1002,0531,7821,592 Ethiopia

58,57157,19660,22159,72254,87551,883 European Union

1,6001,6301,8301,7501,6201,660 India

3,3003,3003,2002,8002,7702,900 Iran

2,6002,6002,4122,5391,5002,593 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5001,7002,7001,2002,340 Morocco

19,50017,00020,02615,38913,95216,938 Russia

7,4007,0004,0007,3005,5007,000 Turkey

8,6008,3009,4507,5616,9359,098 Ukraine

8,8768,8768,9449,2078,7538,611 Others

140,187134,842136,966139,856124,414130,194 Subtotal

4,5654,5653,8494,7194,7683,370 United States

144,752139,407140,815144,575129,182133,564 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,0502,0502,0001,800 Algeria

1,6001,6001,5001,6001,3001,200 Argentina

2,6002,6002,6002,8003,0003,300 Australia

2,2002,2002,1001,8002,0002,100 Belarus

6,2006,2006,4267,7206,8096,916 Canada

8,4008,40010,3006,3004,0003,800 China

2,1502,1502,1002,0001,7251,600 Ethiopia

51,50050,50051,00053,40051,00051,200 European Union

4,8004,8004,6004,5004,3004,100 Iran

2,1002,1001,9002,0001,3751,825 Kazakhstan

3,0003,0002,7002,3001,9003,100 Morocco

14,00014,00014,10012,70012,10014,300 Russia

8,0257,5258,1258,6258,3257,225 Saudi Arabia

6,9006,6505,3506,9506,2006,750 Turkey

4,5004,3004,5005,0005,1006,300 Ukraine

16,43316,53316,64116,74416,11715,778 Others

139,985137,335136,779136,308126,772131,030 Subtotal

4,6364,6364,1294,7754,6384,170 United States

144,621141,971140,908141,083131,410135,200 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2281,2281,3781,1781,2171,458 Algeria

1,3177951,2171,9509831,195 Canada

5,2294,9895,4585,6965,0716,069 European Union

1,4181,4181,4186181,4181,348 Iran

1,0761,076376976189775 Morocco

2,2227581,622932726848 Russia

2,9762,9763,4863,3963,0062,814 Saudi Arabia

6,7796,4227,1967,4196,1046,879 Others

22,24519,66222,15122,16518,71421,386 Subtotal

1,7491,7491,7121,7911,7501,306 United States

23,99421,41123,86323,95620,46422,692 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

620 North America 499 639 675 825 825

851 South America 1,064 887 1,060 985 985

364 European Union - 28 52 58 225 100 100

209 Other Europe 127 163 130 160 160


12,543 Middle East 13,906 12,537 11,110 10,660 11,160

1,482 North Africa 1,885 2,433 2,300 1,950 1,950

100 Sub-Saharan Africa 52 116 80 90 90

3,924 East Asia 3,663 6,320 10,075 8,425 8,325

67 South Asia 7 12 15 10 10

19 Oceania 9 46 35 25 25

20,876 Total 21,639 23,573 26,042 23,550 23,950

Production none

11,749 North America 13,812 15,506 11,518 11,650 12,450

5,530 South America 6,084 5,880 3,922 4,500 4,500

51,883 European Union - 28 54,875 59,722 60,221 57,196 58,571

1,189 Other Europe 1,188 1,151 1,270 1,287 1,287


11,705 Middle East 9,689 12,070 8,648 11,948 12,348

4,410 North Africa 3,306 4,725 4,109 5,409 5,409


1,962 East Asia 1,920 1,800 1,801 1,790 1,790

2,272 South Asia 2,156 2,457 2,537 2,337 2,307

8,538 Oceania 7,911 9,590 8,424 9,115 9,115

133,564 Total 129,182 144,575 140,815 139,407 144,752


11,786 North America 12,347 13,195 11,255 11,536 11,536

3,077 South America 3,327 3,553 3,485 3,640 3,640

51,200 European Union - 28 51,000 53,400 51,000 50,500 51,500

1,366 Other Europe 1,298 1,298 1,389 1,422 1,422


22,016 Middle East 22,435 24,410 21,896 22,756 23,506

6,186 North Africa 5,560 6,230 6,859 6,958 6,958


5,580 East Asia 5,806 8,009 11,905 10,100 10,000

2,202 South Asia 2,067 1,913 2,112 2,012 2,012

3,650 Oceania 3,425 3,250 3,050 3,050 3,050

135,464 Total 131,889 141,264 140,121 139,244 141,094

Ending Stocks none

2,621 North America 3,014 3,980 3,118 2,743 3,265

547 South America 685 963 977 797 797

6,069 European Union - 28 5,071 5,696 5,458 4,989 5,229

205 Other Europe 223 208 196 196 196


5,940 Middle East 5,736 5,811 5,981 5,865 5,958

2,449 North Africa 1,740 2,482 2,233 2,634 2,634


961 East Asia 737 848 819 984 934

281 South Asia 144 255 246 181 151

576 Oceania 591 751 565 655 655

22,692 Total 20,464 23,956 23,863 21,411 23,994




World Sorghum Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

1,5001,5001,1009533,0592,163 Argentina

9009001,5004051,4251,185 Australia

252525112736 China

1001005089231132 India

5050100505075 Nigeria

505025231317 South Africa

150150150229124113 Ukraine

130130187268228179 Others

2,9052,9053,1372,0285,1573,900 Subtotal

11,00011,0009,2005,7172,1361,549 United States

13,90513,90512,3377,7457,2935,449 World Total

none

TY Imports

100100100109404544 Chile

11,00011,00010,0004,16163184 China

505050104591592 Colombia

505050505030 Ethiopia

100100125186291126 European Union

1,0001,0001,0001,0031,8971,481 Japan

1001001009410274 Kenya

5050501621,7931,369 Mexico

75757575175125 Sudan

50505011111684 Taiwan

265265277624571572 Others

12,84012,84011,8776,6796,6215,081 Subtotal

1,0651,0654521,063429365 Unaccounted

00832433 United States

13,90513,90512,3377,7457,2935,449 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

4,5004,5003,5004,4004,7004,200 Argentina

2,1002,1002,1041,2822,2302,239 Australia

2,0002,0002,0001,8902,1022,222 Brazil

1,9001,9001,8361,8801,9241,500 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1001,150 Cameroon

9009009007451,172648 Chad

2,6002,6002,6002,7002,5562,051 China

4,0004,0004,0004,1143,6043,951 Ethiopia

5,5005,5005,0505,5405,3006,030 India

1,3001,3001,3008201,2121,191 Mali

7,8007,8006,6868,5006,1746,425 Mexico

1,1001,1001,0001,2871,376807 Niger

6,1506,1506,7006,5925,9436,900 Nigeria

5,5005,5006,2812,2494,5244,605 Sudan

840840840832839807 Tanzania

7,0827,0826,7627,0396,6757,131 Others

54,42254,42252,70951,02051,43151,857 Subtotal

14,59014,54610,9889,9666,2935,410 United States

69,01268,96863,69760,98657,72457,267 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9002,9002,8002,7002,3001,900 Argentina

1,2051,2056059051,1051,105 Australia

1,9001,9002,0002,0002,3002,175 Brazil

1,9001,9001,8001,9001,9001,500 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1651,1101,175 Cameroon

9009009008501,150650 Chad

13,40013,40012,6006,8003,2002,200 China

4,1004,1004,1004,2003,7003,700 Ethiopia

5,3505,2505,1005,2005,1506,000 India

1,0001,0001,0001,0001,9001,475 Japan

1,3001,3001,2009501,2001,300 Mali

7,7007,7006,8008,3008,1008,100 Mexico

1,1001,1001,1001,3001,200950 Niger

6,0506,0506,6506,5505,9006,800 Nigeria

5,8005,8006,0002,5504,7004,500 Sudan

8,2888,2638,1148,3989,0989,547 Others

65,13165,00662,06255,90152,80954,568 Subtotal

3,0483,0472,5464,1274,7963,916 United States

68,17968,05364,60860,02857,60558,484 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7026027021,202781164 Argentina

231231141151272472 Brazil

526526351376326366 China

348388298398145223 India

726526576647285418 Mexico

200200150200208215 Nigeria

478478708357588609 Sudan

1,4181,4571,4891,5571,8041,625 Others

4,6294,4084,4154,8884,4094,092 Subtotal

1,0451,002426864385583 United States

5,6745,4104,8415,7524,7944,675 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,372 North America 2,036 165 58 50 50

1,199 South America 1,071 239 185 185 185

126 European Union - 28 291 186 125 100 100

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

101 Middle East 194 231 50 50 50

54 North Africa 0 41 5 5 5


1,655 East Asia 2,650 5,281 11,055 12,055 12,055

13 Southeast Asia 18 41 15 15 15

14 Others 11 16 15 15 15

5,084 Total 6,864 6,682 11,885 12,840 12,840

Production none

11,835 North America 12,467 18,466 17,674 22,346 22,390

312 Central America 339 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

7,246 South America 7,495 7,081 6,432 7,422 7,422

671 European Union - 28 473 703 863 760 760

764 Middle East 814 789 692 635 635

847 North Africa 763 755 756 756 756


2,054 East Asia 2,560 2,704 2,604 2,604 2,604

6,175 South Asia 5,445 5,685 5,195 5,645 5,645


2,239 Oceania 2,230 1,282 2,104 2,100 2,100

176 Others 208 250 180 175 175

57,267 Total 57,724 60,986 63,697 68,968 69,012


12,016 North America 12,896 12,427 9,346 10,747 10,748

320 Central America 325 325 330 340 340

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

6,104 South America 6,076 5,789 5,872 5,872 5,897

760 European Union - 28 795 880 970 850 850

789 Middle East 1,052 894 879 685 685

908 North Africa 756 794 756 756 756


3,771 East Asia 5,221 7,921 13,660 14,460 14,460

6,155 South Asia 5,305 5,360 5,260 5,410 5,510


1,105 Oceania 1,105 905 605 1,205 1,205

55 Others 80 25 30 30 30

56,993 Total 58,809 58,895 64,490 66,990 67,116

Ending Stocks none

1,001 North America 670 1,511 1,002 1,528 1,771

23 Central America 29 32 32 22 22

717 South America 1,145 1,426 926 953 991

14 European Union - 28 5 19 29 27 34

56 Middle East 65 47 35 35 35

60 North Africa 66 68 73 78 78


451 East Asia 413 466 440 614 614

223 South Asia 145 398 298 388 348

230 Oceania 195 187 186 165 181

17 Others 24 21 21 16 16

4,675 Total 4,794 5,752 4,841 5,410 5,674




World Oats Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

5552213 Argentina

350350250270240174 Australia

1,6001,6001,7001,7321,3511,763 Canada

1001001004842106 Chile

150150225291126176 European Union

1010106418 Russia

101025622 Ukraine

10101014107 Others

2,2352,2352,3252,3691,7772,259 Subtotal


2,2652,2652,3502,3981,7952,287 World Total

none

TY Imports

1010101279 Algeria

555323 Bosnia and Herzegovina

10101026911 Canada

2502501501168768 China

555211 Colombia

202020211922 Ecuador


505050465154 Japan

10010010093111134 Mexico

404040383649 Norway

555222 Serbia

252550191111 South Africa

505050514456 Switzerland

555004 Turkey

555668 Uruguay

000107 Others

585585510439390442 Subtotal

8080909350115 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,7501,8661,3551,730 United States

2,2652,2652,3502,3981,7952,287 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

11011011011011067 Algeria

485485525445496345 Argentina

1,3001,3001,0961,2551,1211,262 Australia

400400470352422448 Belarus

300300300380361354 Brazil

3,3103,2502,9083,9062,8123,158 Canada

760760500610680451 Chile

600600600580600600 China

7,5317,8477,8968,3957,9097,927 European Union

250250226305200258 Kazakhstan

909090908451 Mexico

236236236214232231 Norway

5,0005,0005,2674,9324,0275,332 Russia

210210210210210218 Turkey

450450610467630506 Ukraine

337337313328315372 Others

21,36921,62521,35722,57920,20921,580 Subtotal

1,2401,2401,011938892728 United States

22,60922,86522,36823,51721,10122,308 World Total

none

Total Consumption

12012012511811975 Algeria

500500525425500350 Argentina

9009008759509251,100 Australia

400400450375400450 Belarus

290290300375350350 Brazil

1,6501,5751,6161,6601,5741,361 Canada

650650450575575325 Chile

875875750700675625 China

7,5757,7757,6758,0757,7007,800 European Union

250250225275225225 Kazakhstan

190190190185195185 Mexico

270270270245295270 Norway

5,1005,1005,2004,9004,3005,000 Russia

215215215215215215 Turkey

450450600475600500 Ukraine

502502499497451519 Others

19,97920,10419,88120,26519,19619,589 Subtotal

2,7552,7552,4162,7572,7432,499 United States

22,73422,85922,29723,02221,93922,088 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

424262674955 Argentina

1261267610560134 Australia

7516896811,054446805 Canada

454535466223 Chile

110110135135139127 China

726844915909901795 European Union

176176286229203485 Russia

200200204199221225 Others

2,1762,2322,3942,7442,0812,649 Subtotal

873873780359527797 United States

3,0493,1053,1743,1032,6083,446 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,875 North America 1,475 1,985 1,860 1,710 1,710

31 South America 26 29 30 30 30

3 European Union - 28 4 3 5 5 5

110 Other Europe 84 94 100 100 100


4 Middle East 0 0 5 5 5

9 North Africa 7 12 10 10 10


122 East Asia 138 162 200 300 300

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,172 Total 1,745 2,305 2,260 2,185 2,185

Production none

3,937 North America 3,788 4,934 4,009 4,580 4,640

1,191 South America 1,577 1,478 1,350 1,592 1,592

7,927 European Union - 28 7,909 8,395 7,896 7,847 7,531

373 Other Europe 365 348 369 372 372


218 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

163 North Africa 166 166 166 166 166


602 East Asia 602 582 602 601 601

1,291 Oceania 1,139 1,283 1,132 1,336 1,336

22,308 Total 21,101 23,517 22,368 22,865 22,609


4,045 North America 4,512 4,602 4,222 4,520 4,595

1,092 South America 1,490 1,452 1,330 1,517 1,517

7,800 European Union - 28 7,700 8,075 7,675 7,775 7,575

478 Other Europe 474 429 461 467 467


215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

172 North Africa 175 174 181 176 176


685 East Asia 730 750 800 925 925

1,129 Oceania 943 978 911 936 936

21,849 Total 21,842 22,802 22,381 22,817 22,692

Ending Stocks none

1,605 North America 974 1,416 1,464 1,565 1,627

91 South America 129 130 109 104 104

795 European Union - 28 901 909 915 844 726

48 Other Europe 27 41 48 53 53


17 Middle East 12 7 7 7 7

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


134 East Asia 144 138 140 116 116

134 Oceania 60 105 76 126 126

3,446 Total 2,608 3,103 3,174 3,105 3,049




World Rye Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

TY Exports

55552525 Belarus

1001008597178159 Canada


1001001108378284 Russia

20202559169 Ukraine

000004 Others

375375400445419540 Subtotal


380380405451426548 World Total

none

TY Imports


252525333411 Israel

404040372746 Japan

10101081211 Korea, South

151515162111 Norway

5555250 Russia

555692 Switzerland

005129 Others

150150195202198392 Subtotal

3030-15457-18 Unaccounted

200200225204221174 United States

380380405451426548 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Sep

none

Production

8008009506481,082801 Belarus

230220195223337241 Canada

717170606259 Chile

8,3738,3288,84510,1608,7636,900 European Union

3,3003,3003,2793,3602,1322,967 Russia

350350350350370366 Turkey

350350475638676579 Ukraine

185185236174182181 Others

13,65913,60414,40015,61313,60412,094 Subtotal

217217183194166154 United States

13,87613,82114,58315,80713,77012,248 World Total

none

Total Consumption

565697524045 Argentina

8008009506501,000750 Belarus

123100111107127101 Canada

717170606259 Chile

8,6008,5008,8509,6508,7007,400 European Union

404040402555 Japan

505065405030 Kazakhstan

3,2003,2003,2503,1002,0002,850 Russia

350350350350375375 Turkey

375375475625625625 Ukraine

134134133144170143 Others

13,80113,67814,36814,82313,20412,404 Subtotal

444444406424387311 United States

14,24514,12214,77415,24713,59112,715 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

150150155160167110 Belarus

494942444625 Canada

7998551,1261,213795747 European Union

444475 Japan

274274269345153129 Russia

232323181824 Turkey

535398128166132 Ukraine

222633 Others

1,3541,4101,7191,9181,3551,175 Subtotal


1,3651,4211,7341,9251,3651,186 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2015/16

Sep

2015/16

TY Imports none

174 North America 221 204 225 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

302 European Union - 28 68 96 90 50 50

14 Other Europe 32 23 20 20 20


14 Middle East 34 33 30 25 25


57 East Asia 39 45 50 50 50

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

566 Total 419 406 420 350 350

Production none

395 North America 503 417 378 437 447

107 South America 105 115 170 130 130

6,900 European Union - 28 8,763 10,160 8,845 8,328 8,373

62 Other Europe 46 53 52 51 51


366 Middle East 370 350 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 40 20 20 22 22

12,248 Total 13,770 15,807 14,583 13,821 13,876


412 North America 514 531 517 544 567

107 South America 105 115 170 130 130

7,400 European Union - 28 8,700 9,650 8,850 8,500 8,600

76 Other Europe 78 77 72 71 71


386 Middle East 409 383 375 375 375


66 East Asia 37 48 50 50 50

40 Oceania 40 20 20 22 22

12,744 Total 13,561 15,242 14,797 14,120 14,243

Ending Stocks none

36 North America 56 51 57 60 60

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

747 European Union - 28 795 1,213 1,126 855 799

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


24 Middle East 18 18 23 23 23


5 East Asia 7 4 4 4 4

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,186 Total 1,365 1,925 1,734 1,421 1,365




35

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.4 117.249.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.5 123.954.535.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.0

154.1 125.957.032.56.05.826.6 2015/16 14.8

Coarse Grains

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.6 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.3

142.9 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

145.9 153.1113.77.411.84.731.4 2012/13 13.1

159.0 164.1122.48.616.25.131.4 2013/14 15.6

169.9 163.1120.813.89.35.530.8 2014/15 17.9

148.6 161.5119.28.816.44.930.6 2015/16 12.6

Wheat and Coarse Grains

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 54.0

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.9

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.5

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.9 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.9

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.8

288.1 278.7170.723.314.35.156.0 2011/12 29.3

279.9 272.3164.730.117.14.957.3 2012/13 23.8

303.4 281.3171.440.720.25.357.3 2013/14 25.4

326.4 287.0175.349.215.35.757.5 2014/15 30.9

302.7 287.4176.241.322.45.357.1 2015/16 27.3


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 118.017.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 74.6

130.0 116.515.01.02.25.424.2 2015/16 89.3

Coarse Grains

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.1 227.6161.80.012.45.938.4 2013/14 78.3

222.2 242.5174.40.124.55.739.1 2014/15 82.4

231.5 243.5173.10.121.35.839.8 2015/16 91.6


230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.0 344.1177.80.919.25.662.5 2013/14 143.5

348.3 360.5191.40.926.45.563.1 2014/15 156.9

361.5 360.0188.11.123.55.764.0 2015/16 180.8


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.6 5.20.90.31.44.31.1 2004/05 1.3

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.5

3.4 4.71.00.71.74.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.40.9 2013/14 1.1

3.9 4.81.10.71.74.20.9 2014/15 1.2

4.1 4.91.11.11.94.31.0 2015/16 1.3

Coarse Grains

10.4 9.58.40.60.55.02.1 2004/05 1.5

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.40.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.8 7.76.31.80.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8

10.7 8.06.63.00.95.51.9 2014/15 1.3

8.5 8.06.51.70.84.41.9 2015/16 0.9


15.1 14.89.30.91.94.83.2 2004/05 2.8

13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.8

12.9 12.57.43.12.84.42.9 2013/14 1.9

14.6 12.87.73.72.65.12.9 2014/15 2.5

12.7 12.97.72.82.74.42.9 2015/16 2.2


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

114.0 78.326.537.35.42.252.6 2009/10 25.8

81.0 75.724.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 22.7

115.0 80.028.339.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.0

77.8 71.721.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 13.9

103.9 72.922.837.17.42.247.7 2013/14 15.1

112.7 75.824.640.77.72.446.6 2014/15 19.0

117.0 78.125.842.97.12.448.9 2015/16 22.1

Coarse Grains

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.828.48.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.2

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.6 55.640.030.90.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.5 58.041.833.40.83.030.3 2014/15 7.9

89.7 58.241.932.90.83.128.6 2015/16 7.3


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.06.00.61.111.9 2014/15 2.8

14.0 6.82.06.00.01.211.5 2015/16 4.0

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 5.0

52.1 34.112.518.60.82.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.023.00.42.425.7 2015/16 7.6

Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

26.5 12.74.513.50.13.87.0 2015/16 5.5

Uzbekistan

6.7 8.01.70.41.94.81.4 2012/13 1.6

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.12.20.22.25.11.4 2015/16 2.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.8 12.02.80.34.12.43.2 2012/13 1.9

8.8 12.13.00.44.32.63.4 2013/14 2.4

8.8 12.63.40.44.52.63.4 2014/15 2.5

8.3 12.53.10.24.52.53.3 2015/16 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

77.8 71.721.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 13.9

103.9 72.922.837.17.42.247.7 2013/14 15.1

112.7 75.824.640.77.72.446.6 2014/15 19.0

117.0 78.125.842.97.12.448.9 2015/16 22.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.5 2.01.70.50.01.41.8 2013/14 0.2

2.4 1.91.60.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.6 2.11.80.50.01.32.0 2015/16 0.2

Russia

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.12.38.8 2014/15 1.6

19.5 14.09.25.00.12.48.0 2015/16 2.2

Ukraine

6.9 5.13.52.10.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.53.04.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.5

8.6 4.53.04.50.03.02.9 2015/16 1.1

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2015/16 0.0


3.3 3.52.70.00.12.81.2 2012/13 0.4

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.51.4 2013/14 0.4

3.6 3.72.90.00.22.61.4 2014/15 0.5

3.5 3.83.00.00.22.61.4 2015/16 0.3


26.0 22.315.24.60.41.913.8 2012/13 2.2

29.2 23.516.45.70.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.8 24.516.910.30.42.315.4 2014/15 3.8

34.4 24.817.310.00.32.414.3 2015/16 3.8



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.5 0.60.50.00.05.00.1 2015/16 0.0

Russia

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.47.42.90.14.42.6 2014/15 0.4

13.5 9.38.34.00.15.02.7 2015/16 0.6

Ukraine

20.9 8.16.812.70.04.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.5

28.5 9.48.019.50.16.24.6 2014/15 2.1

27.0 8.97.518.50.16.64.1 2015/16 1.7

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0


2.6 3.02.60.40.22.71.0 2012/13 0.5

3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

2.9 3.02.70.30.33.50.8 2014/15 0.6

2.6 3.12.70.10.43.00.9 2015/16 0.4


32.3 18.115.515.00.34.47.4 2012/13 2.0

46.9 21.118.424.80.55.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.5 21.518.722.70.55.38.2 2014/15 3.1

43.8 22.019.122.60.55.67.8 2015/16 2.7


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

12.5 6.40.35.50.03.04.2 2014/15 3.2

11.0 6.20.15.50.03.03.7 2015/16 2.6

Australia

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.1

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.54.116.70.21.713.8 2014/15 4.2

26.0 7.33.918.50.21.913.8 2015/16 4.5

Canada

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.54.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.3 9.03.624.10.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

25.0 9.03.818.00.52.69.6 2015/16 5.6

European Union

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.4 117.249.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.5 123.954.535.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.0

154.1 125.957.032.56.05.826.6 2015/16 14.8

Kazakhstan

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.06.00.61.111.9 2014/15 2.8

14.0 6.82.06.00.01.211.5 2015/16 4.0

Russia

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 5.0

52.1 34.112.518.60.82.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.023.00.42.425.7 2015/16 7.6



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

26.5 12.74.513.50.13.87.0 2015/16 5.5

Total Wheat Competitors

310.2 210.189.7110.68.63.198.6 2011/12 49.7

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.3

306.1 192.074.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

318.7 201.081.5121.87.63.396.0 2014/15 41.7

317.6 204.885.3117.07.13.297.8 2015/16 44.6



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.1

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

26.5 9.46.117.00.08.33.2 2014/15 1.5

25.0 10.06.515.50.08.13.1 2015/16 1.0

Brazil

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 14.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 19.0

84.0 57.048.028.00.65.415.5 2014/15 18.6

79.0 59.050.024.00.65.215.3 2015/16 15.2

China

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 212.0154.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 77.3

215.7 217.0157.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 81.5

225.0 219.0157.00.13.05.937.9 2015/16 90.4

South Africa

13.2 10.14.82.20.04.03.3 2007/08 1.4

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


15.0 11.55.42.00.14.83.1 2013/14 2.3

11.3 11.45.40.70.33.63.1 2014/15 1.7

13.5 11.45.51.50.04.23.2 2015/16 2.3

Total Corn Competitors

246.1 209.4151.725.30.84.850.9 2007/08 54.5

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 66.2

258.5 229.5167.930.31.75.150.4 2009/10 66.5

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 64.7

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 70.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 83.7

339.5 287.3211.240.04.15.858.6 2013/14 100.0

337.5 294.8216.545.76.45.758.9 2014/15 103.3

342.5 299.4219.041.13.65.859.5 2015/16 108.9



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.0 2.61.35.60.02.13.8 2014/15 0.5

8.7 2.61.36.00.02.24.0 2015/16 0.6

Canada

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.45.21.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

7.3 6.25.01.20.23.22.3 2015/16 1.3

European Union

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.54.90.14.412.5 2012/13 5.1

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.7

60.2 51.035.59.50.14.812.4 2014/15 5.5

58.6 51.536.07.50.24.712.3 2015/16 5.2



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.41.20.04.50.8 2014/15 0.7

4.5 2.92.51.60.04.51.0 2015/16 0.7

Australia

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.1 0.60.61.50.03.20.7 2014/15 0.2

2.1 1.21.20.90.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

16,06534,2876,19631,51832,0014,7854,71058,105nr318,345 2013/14

20,48331,5303,25622,75223,2493,9874,06855,129nr318,770 2014/15

23,80533,7195,44325,00024,4943,3503,40258,133nr319,609 2015/16

Corn

31,292292,965128,03750,68448,783727909351,272nr1035,390 2013/14

44,006301,512134,62647,00047,627750762361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

40,448302,401133,99147,00046,992750762345,073nr1132,821 2015/16

Sorghum

8644,1272,3515,7175,362329,966nr42,665 2013/14

4262,5462,1599,2008,89081010,988nr42,590 2014/15

1,0453,0482,66711,00010,9230014,590nr53,105 2015/16

Barley

1,7914,7751,4403363115224084,719nr41,230 2013/14

1,7124,1298333003124505133,849nr4989 2014/15

1,7494,6361,3063003275004354,565nr41,181 2015/16

Oats

3592,7571,69429231,8661,674938nr2408 2013/14

7802,4161,29925261,7501,8521,011nr2416 2014/15

8732,7551,63730291,6001,6371,240nr3494 2015/16

Rye

742418467204234194nr2113 2013/14

1540616456225237183nr2104 2014/15

1144420156200229217nr2127 2015/16

Rice, Milled

1,0253,977nr2,9983,0057557346,1178,6159999 2013/14

1,5524,117nr3,3503,2078007837,06810,02681,181 2014/15

1,3193,980nr3,2503,0808208106,0178,59681,040 2015/16

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,347.9 469.21,299.4645.6174.72.4565.2 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.6 368.41,369.8669.7190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.7 357.91,366.1653.4207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.7 398.41,388.4664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.6 365.81,389.2657.0188.22.5536.1 1993/94

1,392.8 363.01,395.6670.3200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.8 320.01,381.8641.6187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.5 368.51,442.0674.4198.32.7546.0 1996/97

1,491.6 416.01,444.1685.4190.32.8535.3 1997/98

1,481.8 448.91,448.9685.1198.72.8520.4 1998/99

1,465.4 444.01,469.8690.1214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,447.4 418.81,472.6700.4204.92.8509.4 2000/01

1,481.2 403.31,496.6713.6208.32.9511.9 2001/02

1,444.6 341.61,506.3711.6209.22.9502.6 2002/03

1,472.4 278.71,535.4717.7205.82.9510.8 2003/04

1,642.8 335.61,585.9755.9214.43.2514.1 2004/05

1,599.8 318.41,617.0757.2222.53.1516.3 2005/06

1,585.1 273.71,629.9748.6229.83.1517.7 2006/07

1,692.7 291.91,674.4762.1244.73.2533.8 2007/08

1,792.2 361.41,722.7773.6253.63.3538.9 2008/09

1,804.4 398.91,766.9780.1254.13.4533.1 2009/10

1,749.1 364.11,783.9772.4250.13.3522.8 2010/11

1,853.7 364.71,853.1805.6287.13.4538.5 2011/12

1,796.7 345.91,815.4807.5279.43.4532.7 2012/13

1,996.9 405.71,937.2863.8327.03.7542.6 2013/14

2,021.7 443.71,983.7896.3332.03.7545.9 2014/15

2,005.9 451.41,998.3909.7328.73.7547.7 2015/16

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

558.6 183.1552.6110.9101.72.5221.1 1993/94

523.1 164.5541.7102.8101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.6 156.3545.896.799.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.4 165.0572.7101.1104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 198.8576.4105.9104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.4578.9109.2102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.0 210.3587.1104.5111.92.8212.6 1999/00

583.3 206.6587.0111.1102.12.7215.6 2000/01

583.9 203.7586.8112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.3604.1116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.3 135.7588.9101.5103.52.7207.6 2003/04

626.8 156.4606.1110.4113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.4621.8117.4114.12.8217.6 2005/06

596.7 133.6616.5112.8115.32.8212.3 2006/07

612.7 128.8617.5104.6116.02.8217.1 2007/08

683.6 169.1643.3124.3143.23.0224.2 2008/09

687.0 203.2652.9122.1135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.9 199.1654.0116.7134.13.0216.8 2010/11

696.1 197.7697.5148.3153.83.2220.8 2011/12

658.7 177.1679.3138.2147.23.1215.8 2012/13

715.1 193.6698.7126.8162.43.3219.9 2013/14

725.2 211.3707.5132.8161.33.2223.3 2014/15

731.6 226.6716.4138.1158.43.2225.3 2015/16

Coarse Grains

798.0 182.7836.6546.186.52.5315.0 1993/94

869.7 198.5853.9567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.2 163.7836.0544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

909.0 203.4869.3573.394.32.9318.9 1996/97

881.4 217.1867.7579.585.82.9308.9 1997/98

891.3 238.5870.0575.996.73.0301.2 1998/99

878.5 233.7882.8585.6102.13.0293.7 1999/00

864.1 212.2885.6589.3102.82.9293.8 2000/01

897.3 199.6909.8601.6100.43.0297.4 2001/02

874.9 172.3902.2595.5102.73.0289.2 2002/03

917.1 143.0946.4616.1102.33.0303.1 2003/04

1,016.1 179.3979.8645.5101.23.4298.3 2004/05

981.0 165.0995.2639.8108.43.3298.7 2005/06

988.5 140.01,013.5635.8114.53.2305.4 2006/07

1,080.0 163.11,056.9657.5128.73.4316.7 2007/08

1,108.5 192.31,079.4649.3110.43.5314.7 2008/09

1,117.4 195.71,114.0658.0118.83.6307.5 2009/10

1,099.2 165.01,129.9655.7116.03.6306.0 2010/11

1,157.6 167.01,155.6657.3133.43.6317.7 2011/12

1,138.0 168.81,136.2669.3132.23.6316.9 2012/13

1,281.8 212.21,238.5737.0164.64.0322.7 2013/14

1,296.4 232.41,276.2763.6170.74.0322.5 2014/15

1,274.3 224.81,281.9771.6170.34.0322.4 2015/16

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

476.0 129.4509.3342.057.43.6130.8 1993/94

559.4 153.3535.5371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.5 133.3536.6365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.7 191.4581.5404.468.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.3422.672.04.4138.9 1999/00

591.8 175.3610.9427.475.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.472.74.4137.3 2001/02

603.9 126.8628.6433.476.84.4137.5 2002/03

627.5 104.6649.7445.879.04.4141.7 2003/04

716.9 131.1690.4476.076.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.7 123.5708.3478.982.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.7 109.5730.8479.591.34.8150.4 2006/07

795.5 129.9775.0499.298.25.0160.4 2007/08

799.8 145.3784.4481.483.65.0158.7 2008/09

824.8 143.8826.3490.892.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.5 127.1852.3502.491.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.8 132.8884.1506.8103.75.2172.2 2011/12

870.3 138.0865.1518.7100.54.9177.8 2012/13

991.5 175.9953.5574.3130.25.5181.6 2013/14

1,007.5 197.2986.2598.9127.45.6178.6 2014/15

978.1 189.7985.6604.8127.85.5177.7 2015/16

Barley

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.5135.894.716.32.454.8 2002/03

142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.657.5 2004/05

136.1 28.3140.997.317.42.555.3 2005/06

136.9 21.5143.798.414.62.456.4 2006/07

133.0 20.6134.091.118.52.455.9 2007/08

155.1 31.6144.0100.418.22.855.2 2008/09

151.1 37.4145.3101.417.32.854.4 2009/10

123.2 24.3136.391.315.22.647.2 2010/11

133.6 22.7135.291.721.42.749.4 2011/12

129.2 20.5131.488.722.12.650.1 2012/13

144.6 24.0141.197.123.92.950.7 2013/14

140.8 23.9140.994.928.22.849.8 2014/15

144.8 24.0144.695.526.02.949.6 2015/16

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.724.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.9399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.8 2004/05

622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0153.9 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.5 2006/07

643.7 81.0428.129.5433.74.2154.9 2007/08

668.6 92.6437.729.4449.34.2158.1 2008/09

656.1 94.9438.431.8440.64.2155.6 2009/10

672.4 100.1445.336.5450.64.2158.4 2010/11

697.3 106.9461.039.9467.74.3160.5 2011/12

704.8 110.7468.939.5472.74.4158.6 2012/13

713.1 107.4481.543.3478.24.4161.5 2013/14

713.5 101.8484.142.5478.64.5160.1 2014/15

709.4 90.2487.442.2475.84.4160.5 2015/16

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


54

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


55

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


56

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade August 2015. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production September 2015. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Rice Kyle Bonsu (202) 260-8370 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Lisa Bennett (202) 720-0929 [email protected] Coarse Grains Barrett Bumpas (202) 692-0337 [email protected] Coarse Grains


united states agriculture grain - cornell university · trade changes in 2015/16 selected exporters...

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