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University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri [email protected] - www.robertoconfalonieri.it E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

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Page 1: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

University of Milan:

Major interests and expertise(core business)

Roberto Confalonieri

[email protected] - www.robertoconfalonieri.it

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 2: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

University of MilanPersons involved in the project

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Roberto Roberto ConfalonieriConfalonieri

SimoneSimoneBregaglioBregaglio

Giovanni Giovanni CappelliCappelli

• ModellerModeller

• ProgrammerProgrammer

• ModellerModeller

• ProgrammerProgrammer• ModellerModeller

• ProgrammeProgrammerr

MarcoMarcoAcutisAcutis

• ModellerModeller

MartaMartaCarpaniCarpani

• GISGIS

CaterinaCaterinaFranconFranconee

• PhysicistPhysicist

Page 3: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

University of MilanMajor interests and expertise

1. Formalization of knowledge in process based biophysical models

development of new models and sub-models

improvement of existing approaches

2. Implementation of (novel and existing) modelling approaches in framework-independent, extensible, re-usable software components

3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation

development of new evaluation metrics

development of multi-metric evaluation systems

use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour

4. Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security, and climate change studies

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 4: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models

(1)

• Coordination of the development of the WARM model for rice simulations

Projects (most relevant) BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC)

SEAMLESS: support to the CAP (funded by the EC, FP6)

AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Rosenmund, A.S., Baruth, B., 2009. An improved model to

simulate rice yield. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 29, 463-474.

Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., 2009. Multi-metric evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, 1395-1410.

Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., 2010. Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 479-488.

Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., 2010. Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, 1897-1906.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 5: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models

(1)E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 6: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

1. Formalization of knowledge inprocess-based biophysical models

(2)

• Development of generic sub-models for specific processes

Projects (most relevant)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Rosenmund, A.S., Acutis, M., Savin, I., 2011. A

model for simulating the height of rice plants. European Journal of Agronomy, 34, 20-25.

Confalonieri, R., Debellini, C., Pirondini, M., Possenti, P., Bergamini, L., Barlassina, G., Bartoli, A., Agostoni, E.G., Appiani, M., Babazadeh, L., Bedin, E., Bignotti, A., Bouca, M., Bulgari, R., Cantore, A., Degradi, D., Facchinetti, D., Fiacchino, D., Frialdi, M., Galuppini, L., Gorrini, C., Gritti, A., Gritti, P., Lonati, S., Martinazzi, D., Messa, C., Minardi, A., Nascimbene, L., Oldani, D., Pasqualini, E., Perazzolo, F., Pirovano, L., Pozzi, L., Rocchetti, G., Rossi, S., Rota, L., Rubaga, N., Russo, G., Sala, J., Seregni, S., Sessa, F., Silvestri, S., Simoncelli, P., Soresi, D., Stemberger, C., Tagliabue, P., Tettamanti, K., Vinci, M., Vittadini, G., Zanimacchia, M., Zenato, O., Zetta, A., Bregaglio, S., Chiodini, M.E., Perego, A., Acutis, M., 2011. A new approach for determining rice critical nitrogen concentration. Journal of Agricultural Science, doi:10.1017/S0021859611000177.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 7: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components

• Development of generic sub-models for specific processes in framework-independent, extensible, re-usable software components

Projects (most relevant) CropML-WOFOST: implementation of the WOFOST model in the CropML

library (funded by EC-JRC)

APES-BioMA: implementation of the APES model in BioMA (funded by EC-JRC)

Product quality: development of a component implementing a variety of approaches for the simulation of the quality of crop products (funded by EC-JRC)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi,G., Donatelli, M., 2010. A software component to

compute agro-meteorological indicators. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 1485-1486.

Donatelli, M., Bellocchi, G., Habyarimana, E., Confalonieri, R., Micale, F., 2009. An extensible model library for generating wind speed data. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 69, 165-170.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 8: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 9: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (1)

• Development of new evaluation metrics

Projects (most relevant)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., 2010. Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop

simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 89-93.

Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Acutis, M., 2010. A proposal of an indicator for quantifying model robustness based on the relationship between variability of errors and of explored conditions. Ecological Modelling, 221, 960-964.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 10: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (2)

• Development of multi-metric evaluation systems

Projects (most relevant)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., 2009. Multi-metric

evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, 1395-1410.

Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Orlandini, S., 2010. An integrated evaluation of thirteen modelling solutions for the generation of hourly values of air relative humidity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 102, 429-438.

Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Bocchi, S., Acutis, M., 2010. An integrated procedure to evaluate hydrological models. Hydrological Processes, 24, 2762-2770.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 11: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (2)

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 12: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (3)

• Use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour

Projects (most relevant) STAMINA: development of a model for simulating wheat in hilly areas (funded

by the EC, FP5)

Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., 2010. Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop

simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 89-93.

Richter, G.M., Acutis, M., Trevisiol, P., Latiri, K., Confalonieri, R., 2010. Sensitivity analysis for a complex crop model applied to Durum wheat in the Mediterranean. European Journal of Agronomy, 32, 127-136.

Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., 2010. Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, 479-488.

Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., 2010. Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, 1897-1906.

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 13: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

3. Development of advancedtechniques for model evaluation (3)

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 14: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies

• Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security and climate change studies

Projects (most relevant) BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC)

AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank)

MARS: rice yield forecasts in Europe

Recent ISI publications

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 15: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 16: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

4. Applications for forecasts, foodsecurity and climate change studies

E-AGRI kick-off meeting, 24-25 March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

Page 17: University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri roberto.confalonieri@unimi.it -  E-AGRI

…Thank you for your kind attention