update on csf pupil forecasts april 2009 pauline davis county planning manager school planning team

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Page 1: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team
Page 2: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts

April 2009

Pauline Davis

County Planning Manager

School Planning Team

Page 3: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org

South West Herts Admissions Forecast (2009/10)

2100

2150

2200

2250

2300

2350

2400

2450

2500

2007/8Actuals

2008/9Actuals

2009/10Forecast

2010/11Forecast

2011/12Forecast

2012/13Forecast

2013/14Forecast

2014/15Forecast

2015/16Forecast

circa180

(10%)

Page 4: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Update On Secondary Transfer for Admission September 2009

Following Meeting with Croxley Green Parents Group

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org

Sarah VizeSenior Manager Admissions and Transport

Page 5: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Allocation Profile 2009: Three Rivers

District (allocation day)

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

Parish, Unparished Area or Town of Pupil Residence

Number of Applicants

Number allocated a Ranked

School

Number allocated

a Non-Ranked School

% allocated a Ranked School

Abbots Langley 263 241 22 91.63%

Chorleywood 154 127 27 82.47%

Croxley Green 183 154 29 84.15%

Rickmansworth (part) / Maple Cross 217 173 44 79.72%

Sarratt 15 8 7 53.33%

Watford Rural 275 200 75 72.73%

Total for 3 Rivers District 1107 903 204 81.57%

Total for Watford District 1052 859 193 81.65%

Total for Hertfordshire children 12787 11873 914 92.85%

Page 6: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Breakdown of allocations by Parish for Rickmansworth, St Clement Danes, St Joan of

Arc and Westfield schools

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

School

Allocations to school as at Allocation Day 2009 by Parish of Pupil Residence

Croxley Green Parish

Elsewhere in Three Rivers District

Watford Borough

Outside Three Rivers District and Watford

BoroughTotal

Number %

Rickmansworth School 69 64 35 17 9% 185

St Clement Danes School 9 155 3 41 20% 208

St Joan of Arc Catholic School 19 58 30 103 50% 210

Westfield Community Technology College

65 (22%) 123 (41%) 109 (36%) 3 (1%) 1% 300

Page 7: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Travel to Schools

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

All pupils living in Croxley Green allocated Westfield CTC live within 2 miles of the school.

There are several routes running from Rickmansworth, and spare seats can be purchased.

Also, there are several local buses and by purchasing a Savercard, pupils will be able access travel to school in this way.

Area

Average Distance to Allocated School in Miles

2009 2008

AllRanke

dNon-

Ranked AllRanke

dNon-

Ranked

Three Rivers District 2.63 2.6 2.78 2.61 2.51 3.09

Watford Borough 1.88 1.9 1.77 1.89 1.94 1.63

Hertfordshire 2.17 2.14 2.56 2.19 2.14 2.77

Page 8: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Croxley Green – 2009 admissions183 Croxley Green parish places -

School Allocated

Offered CI Rounds 1 and 2

RankedNon

RankedRanked

NonRanked

Chesham High School 1   1

Independent school 0 1

Loreto College 1   1

Queen Elizabeth's School, Barnet 2   2

Queens' School 2   1

Rickmansworth School 69   74

St Clement Danes School 9   9

St Joan of Arc Catholic School 19   18

Watford Grammar School for Boys 12   12

Watford Grammar School for Girls 3   3

Westfield Community Technology College 36 29 35 26

Page 9: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Croxley Green – 2009 admissions

Preference of AllocationNumber of Children

Continuing Interest 2

1st Preference 104 111

2nd Preference 25 24

3rd Preference 25 22

Non Ranked Allocation 29 26

As at allocation day, the breakdown of the 183 pupils resident in Croxley Green parish by preference of their allocated school was:

Page 10: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Croxley Green – 2009 admissions

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

This year, the cohort from the maintained schools in Croxley Green totals 172, and this includes the following cohort sizes:

52 York Mead School, 90 Little Green Junior, and30 Harvey Road.

183 Croxley Green applicants => 11 other applicants(private- or home-schooled, etc.?)

Page 11: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

How many places were offered at

each school?

The allocations as at National Allocation Day, 2 March 2009 were as follows:

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

School Number Allocated

Number

Accepted

Published

Admissions

Bushey Hall 279 111 180

Francis Combe 249 216 210

Westfield 300 228 210

Total 828 555 600

Page 12: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

How many people have accepted?

Currently there are 186 families who have not responded to the offer of a place at these schools.

We are continuing to liaise with these parents and provide support concerning the acceptance or rejection of the places offered.

We have met our duty in offering a local school place to these children.

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

Page 13: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

In the second round of allocations, how many places have been offered

out in the other nine schools?

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

The total number of NRAs for Three Rivers District Council has decreased from 204 to 182 (a decrease of 10.78%) and the total number of NRAs for pupils who originally ranked their nearest secondary school has decreased from 80 to 74 (a decrease of 7.5%).

The satisfaction level for Three Rivers has increased from 81.57% at allocation day to 83.60% post CI 1.

The total number of NRAs for Watford has also decreased from 193 to 183 (a decrease of 5.18%).

The satisfaction level for Watford has increased from 81.65% at allocation day to 82.70% post CI 1.

Putting People First – 2004

Provide community groups with the knowledge andUnderstanding of how the County Council operates toenable participation in the service development and

improvement.

Our aim is to remove barriers to participation anddevelop improved ways of consulting where this is

necessary so that groups can be fully involvedin consultation processes.

Putting People First – 2004

We believe in openness and equality in our dealings witheach other and in the way we provide services to

members of the community. Every individualis entitled to dignity and respect.

Care for the users of our services goeshand in hand with care for our employees.

We aim to ensure that all groups and individuals withinthe community are given full opportunity to benefitfrom the services and job opportunities we provide.

Page 14: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Summary of NRAs post CI 1

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

District Council Area

Parish

Allocation Day CI Round 1 CI Round 2

Pupils allocated a non-ranked

school

Pupils who originally

ranked their nearest school

allocated a non-ranked

school

Pupils allocated a non-ranked

school

Pupils who originally

ranked their nearest school

allocated a non-ranked

school

Pupils allocated a non-ranked

school

Pupils who originally

ranked their nearest school

allocated a non-ranked

school

Three Rivers District

Abbots Langley 22 2 18 2 17 2

Chorleywood 27 22 23 20 19 17

Croxley Green 29 24 26 21 26 21

Rickmansworth (part) / Maple Cross

44 26 38 25 33 22

Sarratt 7 6 6 6 5 5

Watford Rural 75 0 71 0 68 0

Total for District 204 80 182 74 168 6

Watford District

Watford 193 19 183 19 180 18

Total for District 193 19 183 19 180 18

Page 15: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

How many parents are appealing?

There have been no appeals logged for Francis Combe or Westfield.

As Bushey Hall is a Foundation school we do not have details of any appeals that may have been logged.

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org/admissions

Page 16: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Transport to Westfield Community Technology College

To arrive at 8.15am:

• 7.47 am - bus 6a goes from Croxley Green, Sherborne Way. Arrives at Watford Hagden Lane at 7.54. There is then an 8-10 minute walk to the school.

• 8.00 am - bus 830 goes from Croxley Green, Metropolitan Station. Arrives at Watford Hagden Lane at 8.06 am - again an 8-10 minute walk to the school.

To arrive at 10am:

• 9.25am - there is a no.6 bus that goes from Barton Way, Croxley Green arriving at Watford Hagden Lane at 9.32am. There is then an 8-10 minute walk to the school.

• 9.38 am - there is a no.5 bus that goes from Barton Way, Croxley Green arriving at Watford Hagden Lane at 9.45am -10 minute walk to the school.

• Return child fare - £1.25.• Child 28 day pass - £35.

Page 17: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Any questions?

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org

Page 18: Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

Thank you

Hertfordshire County Councilwww.hertsdirect.org