upi/cvoter tracking poll 10/8

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UPIpoll 1196 1049 All tables show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 3.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level and margin of error for likely voters: +/-4.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Data weighted to the known demographic profile. The tables may add up to 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by computer. A CATI SURVEY OF AMERICAN GENERAL POPULATION (18+ ADULTS) INTERVIEW DATES: 30/9 TO 6/10 NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS; ALL ADULTS: NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS; LIKELY VOTERS: THE UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL OCTOBER; 2012

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National poll querying voters on their likely choices in November's election, 9/30 to 10/6.

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Page 1: UPI/CVoter Tracking Poll 10/8

UPIpoll

11961049

All tables show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 3.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level and margin of error for likely voters: +/-4.5 percentage points at the

95% confidence level. Data weighted to the known demographic profile. The tables may add up to 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by computer.

A CATI SURVEY OF AMERICAN GENERAL POPULATION (18+ ADULTS)INTERVIEW DATES: 30/9 TO 6/10

NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS; ALL ADULTS: NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS; LIKELY VOTERS:

THE UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

OCTOBER; 2012

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06.10.20121 Within next 6 months 82 Within a year 173 Within 2 to 3 years 334 More than 3 years 245 Never 96 No impact on my family 10 Can't Say/No opinion 8

06.10.20121 SHORT TERM (LESS THAN 3 YEARS) 582 LONG TERM (MORE THAN 3 YEARS) 243 DEPRESSION (NEVER/DKCS) 17

06.10.2012SHORT TERM - (LONG TERM+DEPRESSION) 17

UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

When do you expect the economy to improve in future?

ECONOMIC RECOVERY SENTIMENT

ECONOMIC RECOVERY INDEX

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06.10.20121 Become a lot better 152 Become somewhat better 233 Stayed about the same 184 Become somewhat worse 145 Become a lot worse 290 Can't Say/No opinion 2

06.10.20121 IMPROVED(1+2) 382 REMAINED THE SAME (3) 183 DETERIORATED (4+5) 43

06.10.2012(IMPROVED + REMAINED THE SAME) - DETERIORATED 13

Under Obama, America's relations with the rest of the world has :

GLOBAL IMAGE SENTIMENT

GLOBAL IMAGE INDEX

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06.10.20121 Approve 492 Disapprove 470 Can't Say/No opinion 5

06.10.2012APPROVE-DISAPPROVE 2

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

PRESIDENT APPROVAL INDEX

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

06.10.2012

A Lack of enough Jobs 89B Overall Economic Crisis 83C War In Iraq & Afghanistan 62D Possible war with Iran 66E Health Care for all 70F Fluctuating Gas prices 61G America's stature in the world 62H Illegal Immigration 51I Big Government/Bureaucracy expenditure 55J Moral values in American society 59K Better Tax/IRS system 60L Jobs going overseas/Outsourcing 67M Inflation in food items 65N Proper functioning of Wall Street/Banks 62O Home/Housing Mortgage Crisis 67

How important do you think are the following issues and problems faced by our country today? (those who say 'Extremely Important') And who can handle this problem better: Obama or Romney?

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

06.10.20121 Very Good 52 Fairly Good 293 Fairly Bad 304 Very Bad 360 Can't Say/No opinion 1

06.10.20121 VERY GOOD+FAIRLY GOOD 342 VERY BAD+FAIRLY BAD 65

06.10.2012GOOD - BAD -32

How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days?

NATIONAL ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

NATIONAL ECONOMIC INDEX

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

base=1049

1 Barack Obama 482 Mitt Romney 47

"Who will you vote for if the presidential election were held today?" SUPPORT FOR THE CANDIDATES (LV:LIKELY VOTERS)

LV

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

06.10.2012

A President Barack Obama 5.1B VP Joe Biden 4.4C Speaker of the House 4.7D The House of Respresentative in US Congress 4.1E The Senate in the US Congress 4.3F Your district representative in the US Congress 5.6G Your states's senators in the US Congress 5.7H Your State Governor 5.8I The US Armed forces 8.6J The Supreme Court of US 6.0

06.10.20121 DEMOCRAT INSTITUTIONS (A+B+E) 4.62 REPUBLICAN INSTITUTIONS (C+D) 4.43 REPRESENTATIVE INSTITUTIONS (F+G+H) 5.74 INDEPENDENT INSTITUTIONS (I+J) 7.3

How would you rate on a scale of 0 to10 the performance of the following? (0=Completely Dissatisfies; 10=Completely Satisfied)

INSTITUTIONAL RATING INDEX

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

06.10.20121 Improved 232 Remained the same 453 Deteriorated 310 Can't Say 1

06.10.20121 POSITIVE (1) 232 NEGATIVE (3) 31

06.10.2012POSITIVE - NEGATIVE -8

In last one year your living standard

QUALITY OF LIFE SENTIMENT

QUALITY OF LIFE INDEX

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06.10.20121 Will Improve 502 Will remain as it is 343 Will Deteriorate 100 Can't Say 6

06.10.20121 POSITIVE (1) 502 NEGATIVE (3) 10

06.10.2012POSITIVE - NEGATIVE 40

Do you feel that in the next one year , your living standard

QOL OPTIMISM SENTIMENT

QOL OPTIMISM INDEX

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06.10.20121 Country is moving forward but NOT my life 72 Country is moving forward and my life too. 373 My life is moving forward but NOT my country 334 My life & country-both are in a poor state. 200 Can't Say 4

06.10.20121 POSITIVE (2) 372 NEGATIVE (1+3+4) 60

06.10.2012POSITIVE - NEGATIVE -23

What are your views about progress of your own life and the country? Would you say:

OVERALL PROGRESS SENTIMENT

OVERALL PROGRESS INDEX

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06.10.2012

1 Local Mayor/ Sherrif 42 Congress person from my area 53 Present Senator from my area 44 Governer of my state 135 The President of the United States 386 VP of the United States 47 Judge of Supreme Court 38 Chief of Army Staff 09 Speaker of the house 140 Can't say 16

06.10.20121 LOCAL (1 TO 4) 252 FEDERAL (5 TO 9) 59

06.10.2012LOCAL-FEDERAL -34

ANTI INCUMBENCY SENTIMENT

ANTI INCUMBENCY INDEX

With whom are you most angry with? Given a chance; which one would you like to be changed immediately?

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06.10.2012

1 Economic crisis 402 War on terror 33 Unemployment/Jobs related issues 194 Family income/Poverty 25 Ethnic and religious conflicts 16 Health facilities & Hospitals 57 Drug or alcohol abuse 08 Rising prices 19 International relations 2

10 Natural disasters 111 Inadequate bureaucracy 012 Crime 113 Educational system 214 Inefficiency of the legal/justice system 215 Immigration 116 Moral Values 317 Taxes/IRS 118 Jobs going overseas/Outsourcing 219 Wall Street / Banks 020 Home / Housing mortgage crisis 10 Others / Cant Say 13

There are many problems facing our country today. Which one do you think is THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE.

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06.10.20121 Republicans 362 Democrats 313 Other Parties 54 All are equal on this point 85 No party can handle this issue 170 Can't say 4

Which party can best manage/handle this particular issue?

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UPI/CVOTER TRACKING POLL

Each week rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 1000 registered voters. Results for thisrelease are based on seven day rolling sample size of registered voters for general questions and LV (Likely Voters) forcandidate support question. The candidate support figures are result of the question "Who will you vote for if thepresidential election were held today?" and "How likely are you to vote? Would you say “Yes, for sure” or “May be, but Iam unsure at the moment” or you are sure not to vote at all". These questions were asked to all registered voters andanalysed after screening only for the respondents who confirmed that they will vote or showed likeliness to vote in thecoming elections. Those respondents who are confirmed to vote but undecided on which candidate to support areanalysed as undecided. Data is weighted to known census profile and margin of error is +/- 3.5 for the total sample at the95% confidence level and margin of error for likely voters is +/-4.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Dataweighted to the known demographic profile. The tables may add up to 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data bycomputer.

A CATI SURVEY OF AMERICAN GENERAL POPULATION (18+ ADULTS)METHODOLOGY