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Urban Health: Past, Present, Future March 6, 2014 International Conference on Urban Health Manchester, UK Alex Ross Director WHO Centre for Health Development (Kobe)

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Page 1: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Urban Health: Past, Present, Future

March 6, 2014

International Conference on Urban Health

Manchester, UK

Alex Ross

Director

WHO Centre for Health Development (Kobe)

Page 2: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

“Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being ” --WHO Constitution

Page 3: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Finding innovative

solutions to public

health issues

Page 4: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

52% of the world is urban.

60% by 2025.

67% by 2050.

United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011

Revision)

Page 5: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Source: BBC

BRAZIL: Increase in transport fees sets off significant unrest

Source: Reuters

Health and social stability

Page 6: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

The next protests? Elderly concerns? Pollution?

Source: LA Times

Source: David Bloom, Harvard

Page 7: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

IMAGES OF URBANIZATION

Page 8: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

URBAN IN INDIA

http://www.cfr.washington.edu/classes.esrm.150/lectures/urbanization.pptC

Page 11: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

URBAN IN PANAMA

http://www.cfr.washington.edu/classes.esrm.150/lectures/urbanization.pptC

Page 12: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

URBAN IN CANADA

http://www.cfr.washington.edu/classes.esrm.150/lectures/urbanization.pptC

Page 15: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

THE FUTURE OF URBAN

SETTINGS?

Page 16: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 17: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 18: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 19: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

URBANIZATION: PAST,

PRESENT, FUTURE

Page 20: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Megacities, 2025

Page 21: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision Map 1: Percentage of urban population and agglomerations by size class, 1960

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York 2012

Urban population, 1960

Page 22: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision Map 2: Percentage of urban population and agglomerations by size class, 1980

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York 2012

Urban population, 1980

Page 23: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision Map 3: Percentage of urban population and agglomerations by size class,

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York 2012

Urban population, 2011

Page 24: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision Map 4: Percentage of urban population and agglomerations by size class, 2025

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York 2012

Urban population, 2025

Page 25: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Urban-rural population, Trend

Page 26: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Urban population, by Region

Page 27: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Urban population, Megacities

Page 28: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 29: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Source: UCL (2012) http://life.mappinglondon.co.uk/

Variations in life expectancy across London Tube stops

Intra-city health inequalities can be large

Page 30: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Environmental Change

Urbanization

Technological

Innovation

Ageing and

Demographic Change

Interaction of Driving Forces

for Health in Development

Page 31: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

HEALTH AND URBANIZATION: WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION (WHO KOBE CENTRE)

KEY ACTIONS

Page 32: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

World Health Day

2010

Page 33: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

First WHO / Habitat Global Report on Cities and health (2010) Key Focus: Inequities

Page 34: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Key principles:

1. Uncover and address urban

health inequities to build

healthier cities

2. Show leadership by

including health in all urban

policies through

intersectoral action

3. Use effective mechanisms

for community participation

in urban policy and

planning

COMMITMENT: Kobe Call to Action

Page 35: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

URBAN HEART

Urban HEART

(concepts and framework)

Urban HEART User Manual

Page 36: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Health outcomes

Infant mortality

Diabetes

Tuberculosis

Road traffic injuries

Physical environment

& infrastructure

Access to safe water

Access to improved sanitation

Social and human

development

Completion of primary education

Skilled birth attendance

Fully immunized

children

Prevalence of tobacco smoking

Economics

Unemployment

Governance

Government spending on

health

Urban HEART Core Indicators

Page 37: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 38: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Preparing for Emergencies

Page 39: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

HEALTH AND URBANIZATION: FUTURE ISSUES

Page 40: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

NCD Epidemic

Heart disease Cancer Lung diseases Diabetes

Tobacco Use Unhealthy Diet Lack of Physical Exercise Harmful use of Alcohol

Explosion of Non Communicable Diseases (NCD) Lifestyle-related

Page 41: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

NYC ADULT SMOKING PREVALENCE, 1993-2007

% o

f ad

ult

s

17.5%18.4%

21.6%

21.7%21.5%21.6%

19.2% 18.9%

16.9%

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

City and State tax increases

Smoke-free workplaces

Free patch programs

3-yr average 3-yr average

3-yr average

Media campaign

300,000 Fewer Smokers - About 100,000 Premature Deaths Prevented

Source: New York City Department of Health

Example: What can be done?

Page 42: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

WHO Kobe Centre “Our cities, our health, our future: acting on social determinants for health equity in urban settings” 2008, Kobe Japan

Example: What can be done?

NCDs in Context of Key Challenges Facing Cities

Page 43: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)
Page 44: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Tipping point

Page 45: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Challenges and costs

Opportunities

Innovation

Sustainability Continuous redesign

Urban health: Paradigm Technical support for cities

Page 46: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

• Cities as economic centres: investment in infrastructure or health and social services?

• Different national & local priorities • Structured development

– Decentralization and governance – Intersectoral

• Measurement intervention governance monitoring – Health – Social, political, economic, environmental determinants – Attribution: intervention and effect? – Limited resources: allocation decisions

Future of Urban Health Contextual issues

Page 47: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

Movements and Initiatives

• Primary Health Care (Alma Ata) • Agenda 21 • High Level Panel on Climate Change, Rio Protocol • MDGs & post 2015 Goals

– National – Local Application?

• Habitat III • Universal Health Coverage

Epidemiology • Infectious diseases • NCDs • Ageing • Disability • Mental health, dementia • Environmental health, climate change • Disasters

Global health – Urban health

Page 48: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

• Need scenarios • Governance: national, international

– More decentralization = new challenges for cities – Opportunity for greater community participation

• Reducing silos, cross disciplinary work • Maintaining quality of life, dignity, equity in the context of

economic recession • Demographic and epidemiologic transitions • UHC: health promotion and prevention, rehabilitation, palliative

care + financial protection • Greater attention to equity • More migration • Community-driven systems • Collaborations and partnerships (across sectors)

What does the future look like?

The city as a healthy, vibrant, liveable place to live

Page 49: Urban Health: Past, Present, Future - WHO/OMS: Extranet ... · 52% of the world is urban. 60% by 2025. 67% by 2050. United Nations World Urbanization Prospects (2011 Revision)

THANK YOU!

http://www.who.int/kobe_centre