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Faculty Seminar on Virtual Worlds Episode 3 - Innovation - 2/26/08 cory ondrejka - [email protected]

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Faculty Seminar on

Virtual WorldsEpisode 3 - Innovation - 2/26/08

cory ondrejka - [email protected]

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why innovation?

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why innovation in a

discussionof virtual worlds?

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cause I agree with these guys

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open innovation

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future of work

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structural holes

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tertius iungens

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but more importantly,

I wanted to understand whythese entrepreneurs succeeded

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but, before we dive in

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innovation

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anybody want to define it?

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like art,

we know itwhen weseeit

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and we have some sensefor how it differs from

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invention

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innovation

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improvement

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I like an economic definition

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per capita gdp growth

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in other words,productivity

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which most people want more of 

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although it is creativedestructionafter all

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but, generally

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we are all

proinnovation

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so why does it happen?

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so how does it happen?

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so where does it happen?

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lots of maps

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clusters

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breed theories

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and correlation-causation errors

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ants and picnics

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but, we know a bit

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innovation happens at the edges

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at intersections

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at collisions

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(this is ron’s work)

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backed by north

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who tied innovation to learning

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we can pay to change thedirection of innovation

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but the cost of learningconstrains the rate of innovation

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which brings us to

long tailsandrandom walks

ll k thi i ht?

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we all know this, right?

l t il ti

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long tail consumption

d th

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areas under the curve

d th

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areas under the curve

d th

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areas under the curve

more or less equals

d th

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areas under the curve

more or less equals

d d lk

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and random walks

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what does this have to do withinnovation?

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myths of innovation

b th t ?

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remember the ants?

’ tt t h

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we’re pattern matchers

thi

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we see things

h h ld ’t

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even where we shouldn’t

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so we want explanations

lik hi i th i t

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like hiring the innovators

lik hi i th i t s

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like hiring the innovators

lik hirin th innov tors

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like hiring the innovators

like hiring the innovators

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like hiring the innovators

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selection bias

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we want

innovationto work like darts

ready aim fire

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ready, aim, fire

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but the evidence is otherwise

random walk

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random walk

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but ideas aren’t the problem

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but ideas aren t the problem

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it is all about connectingsolutions and problems

a personal example

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a personal example

or innocentive

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or innocentive

30% solution rate

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30% solution rate

most only solve one problem

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most only solve one problem

or the hive mind

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or the hive mind

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so want lots of solvers

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so, want lots of solvers

but not just lots right?

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but not just lots, right?

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need to be

learning from each other

otherwise you just have monkeys

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otherwise you just have monkeys

but if they communicate

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but if they communicate

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dramatic change in us

per capita growthpost IT (1995) revolution

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but connecting isn’t enough

back to autos

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back to autosus automakers toyota us suppliers toyota suppliers

back to autos

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back to autosus automakers toyota us suppliers toyota suppliers

back to autos

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back to autosus automakers toyota us suppliers toyota suppliers

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back to autos

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back to autosus automakers toyota us suppliers toyota suppliers

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collaborative exploration

shared processtrust

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so, to sum up

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a large, diverse set of explorerscheaply learning from each other

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back to our long tail

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g

think long tail innovation

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g

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what is the cost to try?

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y

what drives this?

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capital

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stigma of failure

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regulatory/legal challenges

how do you let everyone try?

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capital

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stigma

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regulatory

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who do explore design space

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0

16.25

32.50

48.75

65.00

Web Wikipedia Sims Open SourceMainstream Media Second Life

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a large,diverse

set of explorerscheaply learning from each other

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multinational,

genderbalancedaudience of explorers

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a large, diverse set of explorerscheaply learning from each other

all kinds

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of learning

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a large, diverse set of explorerscheaply learning from each other

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remember, it is azero marginal cost world

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but, more than that,avatars build trust

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and cultural collisions

which we want

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whether your goals are virtual

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or not

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because,in the experience economy

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defusing one general problem

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often the tension between

structures that are good atgenerating ideas

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can be mitigated in the

information and experienceeconomy

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if problems can be divided intoindependent pieces

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virtual worlds give us theopportunity to

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teach

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study

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explore

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innovation

which matters

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because innovation is exponential

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whichcurve do

you want tobe on?

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