user vs nonuser : a multi-state, multi-district study of the impact of participation in pd 360 on...
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User vs Nonuser :A Multi-State, Multi-District Study of the Impact of Participation in PD 360
on Student Performance
Prepared by Steven H. Shaha, PhD, DBAMarch 2011
1
Overarching Research Question:
Does teacher engagement in PD 360 and Observation 360,
tools within the Educator Effectiveness System,
significantly affect student success?
Does teacher engagement in PD 360 and Observation 360,
tools within the Educator Effectiveness System,
significantly affect student success?
2
Methods
• Design: Quasi-experimental, retrospective, pre-post, normalized treatment-control / participation vs. non-participation (2009-10, 2010-11)
• Goal: Multi-State, large n with comparable student populations (matched, controlled)
• Student Change:* Metric was percent students classified as Proficient or Advanced in respective States.
3
SampleParticipation
– Systematic sample of 176 schools, in 59 districts, in 25 States• N determined by a priori Power analysis
– Schools eligible for inclusion in the sample as participating Schools met the following criteria:
• More than 10 teachers total• 80% or more of teachers viewed materials• Minimum average of 90.0 minutes of viewing per teacher for the school
– Districts included were only those for which eligible schools were included• Normalizing for difference in socio-economic and demographic factors between participating Schools and their
Districts cumulatively as the statistical comparison group
Data– Participation data were extracted from the Internet-based professional development
application as surveilled– Student performance data were captured from publically available, Internet-accessed
sources (school as unit of measure, percent Proficient or Advanced as metric)
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Demographics of the Sample
5
State
State
WV
WI
WA
VA
TX
TN
OK
OH
NV
NM
NJ
NC
MO
MN
MD
LA
KY
KS
IN
IL
HI
GA
FL
CA
AZ
Fre
qu
en
cy
30
20
10
0
StatesAZCAFLGAHIILINKSKYLAMDMNMONCNJNMNVOHOKTNTXVAWAWIWV
PD 360 Impact AssessmentPD 360 Impact AssessmentInterpretation:Interpretation:
• Schools that leverage PD 360 experience:– Significant and meaningful gains in student performance for
Math and Reading– Bring their district performance averages up
• The biggest predictor of gains in student performance are:– Minutes per User – Teacher time using PD 360– Programs viewed and re-viewed – Teacher study within PD 360
6* Statistical significance establishes genuine differences between groups and verifies that impacts were “real” and not merely due to chance and, in this case, due to any pre-existing biases in group differences. The appropriate p-values are included with all differences explained herein.
Math
7
Gains in Proficiency Rates
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Schools DistrictsPre Year 48.23 51.66Post Year 56.46 53.25Improvement 8.24 1.59Pct Change 17.1% 3.1%Statistical Significance p<.001 p<.001Contrasting Schools with Districts p<.001
44.00
46.00
48.00
50.00
52.00
54.00
56.00
58.00
Pre Year Post Year
Profi
cien
cy R
ate
Improvement in Math Proficiency
Schools
Districts
44.00
46.00
48.00
50.00
52.00
54.00
56.00
58.00
Pre Year Post Year
Profi
cien
cy R
ate
Improvement in Math Proficiency
Schools
Districts
NOTE: Statistical significance is affected by sample size, wherein significance is achieved with smaller increases given larger samples or numbers of students.
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Gains in Advanced Rates
9NOTE: Statistical significance is affected by sample size, wherein significance is achieved with smaller increases given larger samples or numbers of students.
Schools DistrictsPre Year 30.05 33.13Post Year 36.48 33.89Improvement 6.43 0.76Pct Change 21.4% 2.3%Statistical Significance p<.001 p<.001Contrasting Schools with Districts p<.001
28.00
29.00
30.00
31.00
32.00
33.00
34.00
35.00
36.00
37.00
Pre Year Post Year
Adv
ance
d Ra
te
Improvement in Math Advanced
Schools
Districts
28.00
29.00
30.00
31.00
32.00
33.00
34.00
35.00
36.00
37.00
Pre Year Post Year
Adv
ance
d Ra
te
Improvement in Math Advanced
Schools
Districts
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
10NOTE: Factors or variables listed are those isolated through Regression Analyses. These are those statistically most predictive or correlated with the increases identified..
Factors/Variables Most Affecting Increases in Math Achievement Rates
Priority of Predictive Significance
Math School Prof Pct Change
Math School Advanced Pct
Change
Math District Prof Pct Change
Math District Advanced Pct
Change
1 Avg Min/UserPct Users
RegisteredAvg Min/User
Pct Users Registered
2Programs Viewed and Re-viewed
Pct Users w/Community
Programs Viewed and Re-viewed
Pct Users w/Community
3 Forums PostedLinks
UploadedForums Posted
4 Forums Viewed Forums Viewed5 Avg Min/User
Significant Predictors of Improvements in Student Achievement Rates
Factors/Variables Most Affecting Increases in Math Achievement Rates
11NOTE: Factors or variables listed are those isolated through Regression Analyses. These are those statistically most predictive or correlated with the increases identified..
Significant Predictors of Improvements in Student Achievement Rates
Priority of Predictive Significance
Math School
Prof Pct Change
Math School
Advanced Pct
Change
Math District Prof Pct Change
Math District
Advanced Pct
Change
Times Ranked as Significant Predictor
Times Ranked as
#1 PredictorAvg Min/User 1 5 1 3 2Programs Viewed and Re-viewed
2 4 2 3
Pct Users Registered 1 1 2 2Pct Users w/Community 2 2 2Forums Posted 3 3 2Links Uploaded 3 1Forums Viewed 4 1
Impact is predicted primarily by Teacher use and depth of personal investmentImpact is predicted primarily by Teacher use and depth of personal investment
Greatest Predictors of Improvement in Math
Schools:• Average Minutes per User• Numbers of Pro Viewed
Districts:• Percent of Users Registered• Percent of Users with Community• Forums Posted
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Reading
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Note to Reader: To better dramatize the magnitude of the consistently favorable impact of PD 360, graphics included hereafter represent a variety of perspectives and a sampling of different interpretive insights, and not an exhaustive nor uniformly arrayed set of results.
Gains in Proficiency Rates
14NOTE: Statistical significance is affected by sample size, wherein significance is achieved with smaller increases given larger samples or numbers of students.
Schools DistrictsPre Year 46.98 51.67Post Year 56.12 55.12Improvement 9.15 3.45Pct Change 19.5% 6.7%Statistical Significance p<.001 p<.001Contrasting Schools with Districts p<.001
45.00
47.00
49.00
51.00
53.00
55.00
57.00
Pre Year Post Year
Profi
cien
cy R
ate
Improvement in Reading Proficiency
Schools
Districts
45.00
47.00
49.00
51.00
53.00
55.00
57.00
Pre Year Post Year
Profi
cien
cy R
ate
Improvement in Reading Proficiency
Schools
Districts
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
27.00
28.00
29.00
30.00
31.00
32.00
33.00
34.00
Pre Year Post Year
Adv
ance
d Ra
te
Improvement in Reading Advanced
Schools
Districts
27.00
28.00
29.00
30.00
31.00
32.00
33.00
34.00
Pre Year Post Year
Adv
ance
d Ra
te
Improvement in Reading Advanced
Schools
Districts
Gains in Advanced Rates
15NOTE: Statistical significance is affected by sample size, wherein significance is achieved with smaller increases given larger samples or numbers of students.
Schools DistrictsPre Year 28.12 32.16Post Year 33.47 30.95Improvement 5.35 -1.22Pct Change 19.0% -3.8%Statistical Significance p<.001 p<.001Contrasting Schools with Districts p<.001
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Consistent pattern:Despite schools beginning at a disadvantage, by year 2 they not only close the gap, but surpass their districts.
Factors/Variables Most Affecting Increases in
Reading Achievement Rates
16NOTE: Factors or variables listed are those isolated through Regression Analyses. These are those statistically most predictive or correlated with the increases identified..
Priority of Predictive Significance
Reading School Prof Pct Change
Reading School Advanced Pct
Change
Reading District Prof Pct Change
Reading District Advanced Pct
Change
1Links
UploadedPct Users
RegisteredAvg Min/User Links Viewed
2 Links ViewedPrograms Viewed and Re-viewed
Pct Users Registered
Significant Predictors of Improvements in Student Achievement Rates
Significant Predictors of Improvements in Student Achievement Rates
Priority of Predictive Significance
Reading School
Prof Pct Change
Reading School
Advanced Pct
Change
Reading District Prof Pct Change
Reading District
Advanced Pct
Change
Times Ranked as Significant Predictor
Times Ranked as
#1 PredictorPct Users Registered 1 2 2 1Links Viewed 2 1 2 1Avg Min/User 1 1 1Links Uploaded 1 1 1Programs Viewed and Re-viewed
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17NOTE: Factors or variables listed are those isolated through Regression Analyses. These are those statistically most predictive or correlated with the increases identified..
Factors/Variables Most Affecting Increases in
Reading Achievement Rates
AND by Teacher use and depth of personal investmentAND by Teacher use and depth of personal investment
Impact is predicted by Teachers engaged and depth of engagementImpact is predicted by Teachers engaged and depth of engagement
Greatest Predictors of Improvement in Reading
Schools:• Percent of Users Registered• Links Uploaded• Link Viewed
Districts:• Average Minutes per User• Percent of Users Registered• Links Viewed• Pro Viewed
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PD 360 Impact AssessmentPD 360 Impact AssessmentExecutive SummaryExecutive Summary• Statistically significant* advantages were verified favoring
schools with PD 360 versus District Benchmarks.• Math (p<.001)
• Reading (p<.001)
Average Gains:• Schools:
– Math Proficient Rate: 17.1% (p<.001)
– Math Advanced Rate: 21.4% (p<.001)
– Reading Proficiency Rate: 19.5% (p<.001)
– Reading Advanced Rate: 19.0% (p<.001)
• Districts as Ripple Effect:– Math Proficient Rate: 3.1% (p<.001)
– Math Advanced Rate: 2.3% (p<.001)
– Reading Proficiency Rate: 6.7% (p<.001)
– Reading Advanced Rate: -3.8% (unknown how much this was boosted by schools)
19* Statistical significance establishes genuine differences between groups and verifies that impacts were “real” and not merely due to chance and, in this case, due to any pre-existing biases in group differences. The appropriate p-values are included with all differences explained herein.
Greatest Predictors of Improvement
The most significant predictors of success were identified, which maximizes the generalizability of successes documented
• Average Minutes per User• Percent of Users Registered• Links and Pro Viewed• Percent of Users with Community
20