using a fishnet to catch crime hot spots · 2017. 9. 19. · using a fishnet to catch crime hot...
TRANSCRIPT
Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime
Hot Spots
Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator
The John F. Finn Institute for Public Safety, Inc.
Onondaga Crime Analysis Center, Syracuse, New York
October 30, 2015
Why use a fishnet?
• Simple method for detecting areas with concentrations of crime
• Easier to explain than how kernal density is calculated
▫ This is a count of crimes within a grid, no magic or fuzzy math involved
What kind of fishnet?
This kind of fishnet
Where do you get a fishnet?
• X Tools Pro, trial version
• ArcMap: Data Management Tools, Feature Class, Create Fishnet
▫ Analysis Tools, Extract, Clip – to the extent of your area
• Program lays a grid over your area
• 500 feet X 500 feet, 250,000 square feet in area
▫ Use what works best for your area
Joining the fishnet with crimes
Right click your
fishnet
Choose Joins
and Relates then
Join
Join Spatially
• Choose your file
• Points (crime) to Polygons (grids)
• Choose output location
• A Count field will be added to your new feature class
Name it and Save it
Click OK and watch
the magic wheel spin
New layer!
It’s supposed
to look just like
your fishnet
(no worries)
Right click the new
joined feature class
Click Properties
Symbology
• Symbology tab
• Choose Quantities
Symbology
• Choose Graduated colors
Symbology
• Dropdown next to Value
• Choose Count
Symbology
• Automatically uses Natural Breaks (Jenks)
• Can be reclassified, you can choose your own breaks
• Click OK
Symbolized join
feature class
Fishnet is still on,
turn it off
Right click,
choose
Properties
Change Colors
• Choose your colors from ramp or by clicking individual symbol
• Click OK
Right click,
choose
Properties
Change Classes
• Click dropdown next to Classes
• Choose a smaller number
Change Classes
• Review the ranges and change if desired
• Click OK
Determine what
ranges work best
for your area
and your
crime
Copy and paste,
change symbology
and compare
Values might be
helpful, let’s add them
No surprise where
to go
Format Labeling
• Labels Tab
• Click the dropdown next to the label field
Format Labeling
• Select the Count field
Format Labeling
• Choose a smaller font to fit inside of the grid
• Check the Label features box
• Click OK
Count values will appear
on each grid
Analyzing the hot spots
• We execute the join weekly using the past 365 days of gun crime
• Depict locations of past 6 weeks of gun crime over the grids
Analyzing the hot spots
• GIVE (Gun Involved Violence Elimination) Grant relied heavily on fishnet analysis
• Created POP (Problem Oriented Policing) areas: areas of highest concentrations of long-term gun violence based on a spatial density of five years of gun crime
• Used the fishnet with the POP polygons to show trends in gun crime short term compared to long term
GIVE Grant Locations with a high amount of gun crime over 5 years were identified and designated as POP areas
GIVE Grant POP areas are depicted in conjunction with the grids.
High gun crime areas were almost always the locations of the homicides by gun and fairly consistent with the established gang territories or the area directly around them.
Fishnets can be used to aggregate any point layer. This example shows the locations where shell casings or guns were recovered as part of the OCAC comprehensive strategy of tracking Multiple Use Firearms.
Analyzing the hot spots
Where are the…..
• Gang territories?
• Vacant properties?
• Recent vehicle and pedestrian stops?
• Other crimes?
• Arrests?
• Supervised persons residences?
Analyzing the hot spots
What are the….
• Environmental factors (CPTED)?
▫ Broken street lights, overgrown shrubs, trash, dilapidated walkways or residences
• Citizen complaints?
Analyzing the hot spots
• What might be causing the issue?
▫ Specific people…
▫ Specific residences or businesses…
▫ Gang conflict…
Enforcement actions for hot spots
• Target problem addresses
• Target problem streets: road checks, drug buy busts
• Selected enforcement, not ‘scorched earth’
• Enforce city ordinances
• Develop intelligence
• Recommend locations for new stationary surveillance cameras
Conclusion
• You can create a fishnet and begin analyzing your data today
▫ Try various color ramps, class breaks
• There is no standard threshold for a hot spot
▫ Determine what works best for your area and your audience
Contact Info
Paula F. Cutrone
Onondaga Crime Analysis Center
511 S. State Street
Syracuse, NY 13202
Tel (315) 442-5645 ext. 5062
Email [email protected]