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Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute for Public Safety, Inc. Onondaga Crime Analysis Center, Syracuse, New York October 30, 2015

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Page 1: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime

Hot Spots

Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator

The John F. Finn Institute for Public Safety, Inc.

Onondaga Crime Analysis Center, Syracuse, New York

October 30, 2015

Page 2: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 3: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Why use a fishnet?

• Simple method for detecting areas with concentrations of crime

• Easier to explain than how kernal density is calculated

▫ This is a count of crimes within a grid, no magic or fuzzy math involved

Page 4: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

What kind of fishnet?

Page 5: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

This kind of fishnet

Page 6: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Where do you get a fishnet?

• X Tools Pro, trial version

• ArcMap: Data Management Tools, Feature Class, Create Fishnet

▫ Analysis Tools, Extract, Clip – to the extent of your area

• Program lays a grid over your area

• 500 feet X 500 feet, 250,000 square feet in area

▫ Use what works best for your area

Page 7: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 8: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 9: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 10: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 11: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 12: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Joining the fishnet with crimes

Page 13: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Right click your

fishnet

Page 14: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Choose Joins

and Relates then

Join

Page 15: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 16: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Join Spatially

• Choose your file

• Points (crime) to Polygons (grids)

• Choose output location

• A Count field will be added to your new feature class

Page 17: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Name it and Save it

Page 18: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Click OK and watch

the magic wheel spin

Page 19: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

New layer!

It’s supposed

to look just like

your fishnet

(no worries)

Page 20: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Right click the new

joined feature class

Click Properties

Page 21: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Symbology

• Symbology tab

• Choose Quantities

Page 22: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Symbology

• Choose Graduated colors

Page 23: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Symbology

• Dropdown next to Value

• Choose Count

Page 24: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Symbology

• Automatically uses Natural Breaks (Jenks)

• Can be reclassified, you can choose your own breaks

• Click OK

Page 25: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Symbolized join

feature class

Fishnet is still on,

turn it off

Page 26: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Right click,

choose

Properties

Page 27: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Change Colors

• Choose your colors from ramp or by clicking individual symbol

• Click OK

Page 28: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Right click,

choose

Properties

Page 29: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Change Classes

• Click dropdown next to Classes

• Choose a smaller number

Page 30: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Change Classes

• Review the ranges and change if desired

• Click OK

Page 31: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Determine what

ranges work best

for your area

and your

crime

Page 32: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Copy and paste,

change symbology

and compare

Values might be

helpful, let’s add them

Page 33: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

No surprise where

to go

Page 34: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Format Labeling

• Labels Tab

• Click the dropdown next to the label field

Page 35: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Format Labeling

• Select the Count field

Page 36: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Format Labeling

• Choose a smaller font to fit inside of the grid

• Check the Label features box

• Click OK

Page 37: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Count values will appear

on each grid

Page 38: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 39: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Analyzing the hot spots

• We execute the join weekly using the past 365 days of gun crime

• Depict locations of past 6 weeks of gun crime over the grids

Page 40: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 41: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Analyzing the hot spots

• GIVE (Gun Involved Violence Elimination) Grant relied heavily on fishnet analysis

• Created POP (Problem Oriented Policing) areas: areas of highest concentrations of long-term gun violence based on a spatial density of five years of gun crime

• Used the fishnet with the POP polygons to show trends in gun crime short term compared to long term

Page 42: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

GIVE Grant Locations with a high amount of gun crime over 5 years were identified and designated as POP areas

Page 43: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

GIVE Grant POP areas are depicted in conjunction with the grids.

Page 44: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

High gun crime areas were almost always the locations of the homicides by gun and fairly consistent with the established gang territories or the area directly around them.

Page 45: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 46: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 47: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Fishnets can be used to aggregate any point layer. This example shows the locations where shell casings or guns were recovered as part of the OCAC comprehensive strategy of tracking Multiple Use Firearms.

Page 48: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Analyzing the hot spots

Where are the…..

• Gang territories?

• Vacant properties?

• Recent vehicle and pedestrian stops?

• Other crimes?

• Arrests?

• Supervised persons residences?

Page 49: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 50: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 51: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 52: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 53: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 54: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute
Page 55: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Analyzing the hot spots

What are the….

• Environmental factors (CPTED)?

▫ Broken street lights, overgrown shrubs, trash, dilapidated walkways or residences

• Citizen complaints?

Page 56: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Analyzing the hot spots

• What might be causing the issue?

▫ Specific people…

▫ Specific residences or businesses…

▫ Gang conflict…

Page 57: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Enforcement actions for hot spots

• Target problem addresses

• Target problem streets: road checks, drug buy busts

• Selected enforcement, not ‘scorched earth’

• Enforce city ordinances

• Develop intelligence

• Recommend locations for new stationary surveillance cameras

Page 58: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Conclusion

• You can create a fishnet and begin analyzing your data today

▫ Try various color ramps, class breaks

• There is no standard threshold for a hot spot

▫ Determine what works best for your area and your audience

Page 59: Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots · 2017. 9. 19. · Using a Fishnet to Catch Crime Hot Spots Paula F. Cutrone, Senior Crime Analyst – IT Coordinator The John F. Finn Institute

Contact Info

Paula F. Cutrone

Onondaga Crime Analysis Center

511 S. State Street

Syracuse, NY 13202

Tel (315) 442-5645 ext. 5062

Email [email protected]