Uwarunkowania i moliwoci wzrostu produkcji rzepaku na cele energetyczne na LubelszczynieJan Ku IUNG-PIB Puawy

Rudolf Diesel do swojego nowego silnika, ktry przedstawi po raz pierwszy na wystawie wiatowej w Paryu w 1900 r., jako samoistnego paliwa silnikowego uy oleju z orzeszkw ziemnych.

Rudolf Diesel, 1912 r. Zastosowanie olejw rolinnych jako paliw silnikowych moe wydawa si mao znaczce dzi, jednak w miar upywu czasu takie paliwa mog sta si tak samo wane, jak te produkowane z ropy naftowej i wgla obecnie.

Paliwo przyszoci bdzie pochodzi z traw, lub z jabek, ziaren, trocin prawie ze wszystkiego. Paliwo jest zawarte w kadym fragmencie roliny, ktry fermentuje. Ilo alkoholu w ziemniakach zebranych z jednego akra jest wystarczajca do napdzenia maszyn potrzebnych do uprawy tego pola przez sto lat. Henry Ford, 1906R. Gmyrek 2006

Produkcja spirytusu surowego i bioetanolu w Polsce* - dane MRiRW oraz szacunek wasny -Vratislavia

Kluczowe dla biopaliw ustawodawstwo w U.E.Powstay dwie Dyrektywy: 2003/30/EC w sprawie promocji uycia w transporcie biopaliw lub innych paliw odnawialnych Dyrektywa zakada wzrost udziau biokomponentw w rynku paliw uywanych w transporcie z 2% (wg. wartoci energetycznej ) w 2005rok do 5,75 % w 2010 roku (coroczny wzrost o 0,75% ). 2003/96/EC o podatku akcyzowymDyrektywa zezwala krajom czonkowskim na cakowite lub czciowe zniesienie akcyzy na biokomponenty stosowane w paliwach ciekych. W 2003 roku Komisja i Parlament Europejski wprowadziy podstawy prawne oraz wsparcie ekonomiczne dywersyfikacji dostaw energii ze wzgldu na redukcj gazw cieplarnianych:

Polska

Directorate General for Energy and Transport

EU Policy and Legislation (2)

EU average is about 1.2%

EC is undertaking infringement proceedings against MSs that haventProperly implemeneted the directives

Chart1

3

2.84

2.5

2

2

2

2

2

2

1.2

1.2

1.15

1

0.7

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.1

0.06

0

0

EE

IT

LU

SI

Biofuels directive - national targets for 2005 (%)

Biofuel Demand

assumptions:

1. These data have been extracted form "European Energy and Transport. Trands to 2030".

2. These data are from the databases of 2005 and the units are (Mtoe)

3. As NL and CZ have targets for 2006, a Linear Regression has been done for calculating the values for 2006, since there are only values for 2005 and 2010

MemberTotal Energy demandEnergy DemandEnergy DemandEnergy Demand inTotal petrol/ DieselEU BiofuelsMember StateMember StateDifference between

Statein transport,in rail,in aviation,inland navigationDemandExpectedTarget forExpectedEU Exp. Demand and

TED (Mtoe)R (Mtoe)A (Mtoe)IN (Mtoe)TED=R-A-INDemand2005 (%)DemandMS Exp Demand

AT7.430.320.680.016.420.132.500.16-0.03

BE10.330.181.670.158.330.17///

CY0.980.000.320.000.660.01///

CZ5.480.270.240.004.970.102.620.13-0.03

DE71.681.847.800.2761.771.242.001.240.00

DK5.020.100.900.123.900.080.000.000.08

EE0.750.040.030.010.670.010.000.000.01

ES37.280.825.521.5529.390.592.000.590.00

EL8.350.051.740.585.980.12///

FR55.711.386.750.7646.820.942.000.940.00

FI4.760.090.560.123.990.080.100.000.08

HU3.990.170.300.003.520.070.500.020.05

IE4.870.140.730.053.950.080.060.000.08

IT45.470.754.040.2240.460.81///

LT1.290.070.030.001.190.022.000.020.00

LU2.120.020.350.001.750.04///

LV0.850.080.030.010.730.012.000.010.00

MT0.340.000.150.000.190.00///

NL15.640.163.850.7210.910.221.830.200.02

PL10.270.520.410.019.330.19///

PT7.370.101.060.056.160.121.000.060.06

SI1.530.030.040.001.460.03///

SK1.730.080.030.001.620.032.000.030.00

SE8.280.251.070.126.840.143.000.21-0.07

UK54.081.2310.221.1041.530.830.300.120.71

total for Member States reporting234.384.1323.913.740.86

share for Member States reporting302.541.76%1.59%

total oil fuel consumption in road transport (from Eurostat), 2002

biofuels production share (Eurostat, 02)geoindic_en100100Primary production100300Total imports100600Net imports100900Gross inland consumption101700Final energy consumption101900Final energy consumption - Transport

eu25280488p

be79860.000%eu25European Union (25 countries)132299133112301178

cz46622.231%beBelgium0--000

dk37491.067%czCzech Republic104--1047332

de545331.009%dkDenmark40--4000

ee588deGermany (including ex-GDR from 1991)550--550550550

gr5632esSpain187--187187187

es280000.668%frFrance41799426399399

fr428130.974%itItaly0--000

ie3542atAustria21--212110

it37733skSlovak Republic3--3--

cy584

lv760

lt1069

lu1740

hu3113

mt173p

nl10705

at60880.34%

pl8026

pt6218

si1314

sk16810.18%

fi3803

se6812

uk39063

frFrance

geoeu25European Union (25 countries)beBelgiumczCzech RepublicdkDenmarkdeGermany (including ex-GDR from 1991)esSpainitItalyatAustriaskSlovak Republic

indic_en187

100100Primary production1322010440550-4170213

100300Total imports9-----9---

100600Net imports9----1879---

100900Gross inland consumption13310104405501874260213

101700Final energy consumption12300730550187399021-

101900Final energy consumption - Transport11780320550399010-

Information: these data are the 2% (Directive 2003/30 expected target for 2005) of the Total Diesel Demand

Information: hungarian target for 2005 is 0,4-0,6% so it has been taken 0,5% as the representative value

Information: swedish target for 2005 is 2-3% so it has been taken 2,5% as the representative value (PH: I change it to 3 so as to be conservative)

Information: these data come from the National Reports recieved from each Member State. There are targets that are only provisional. Case of CY, EL, FR, SV, UK

Information: Negative values are due to the upper number of the Member State Target for 2005

Paul Hodson:ESTIMATE

280488p

173p

NL & CZ target 2006

YearCZNL

20055.4815.64

20106.2116.88

Member StateTotal Energy demandEnergy DemandEnergy DemandEnergy Demand inTotal DieselEU BiodieselMember StateMember StateDifference

Data forin transport,in rail,in aviation,inland navigationDemandExpectedTarget forExpectedbetween

2006TED (Mtoe)R (Mtoe)A (Mtoe)IN (Mtoe)TED=R-A-INDemand2006 (%)DemandData

CZ5.630.270.250.005.110.102.750.14-0.04

NL15.890.163.900.7311.100.222.000.22-0.00

MemberBiodieselBiodieselBiodieselSupposed

Statedemandexp demandexp demandtarget for

2003200620052005I have done this calculations by hand because the linear regression with a data at zero

NL0.000.140.0933333331.83always gives a wrong calculated equation

CZBiodieselSupposed

YearRME share of biodiesel salesexp demandtarget for

20011.3520052005

20022.20.13016432.619

20032.1

20042.2

20062.75

2.619

Information: these data are the 2% (Directive 2003/30 expected target for 2005) of the Total Diesel Demand

Information: these data come from the National Reports recieved from each Member State. There are targets that are only provisional. Case of CY, EL, FR, SV, UK

Information: Negative values are due to the upper number of the Member State Target for 2005

NL & CZ target 2006

0

0

0

0

0

CZ Republic Data

Year

RME Share of Diesel sales

CZ

5.48

6.21

Czech Republic

Year

Energy Demand in Transport (Mtoe)

Czech Republic

NL

15.64

16.88

The Netherlands

Years

Energy Demand in Transport (Mtoe)

5 data from na rpts

started 1.2.5. Data from national reports under the biofuels directive

Production 2003 (Mt)National consumption 2003 (Mt)toe using communication conversion ratesfuels used for transport Mtoe/tons (2003 unless stated)conversion rates usedtargetrevised market share calculation (6.6.5)

biodieselbioethanolbiogasbiodieselbioethanolbiogasbiofuels total (Mtoe)ethanol Mtoebiodiesel Mtoetoe totalsharepetroldieseltotalbiodieselbioethanolbiogas2005 (Mtoe)200520062007 (Mtoe)2007 (%)03 market size (those with targets, only)quantity implied by target (Mtoe) assuming market size unchanged since 03forecast road fuel consumption, 2005, Mtoe (from Outlook; NB xcls rail and inland waterway)biofuels target shareshare 03forecast quantity 05

communication of 20010.8120.6(ktoe/kt)

AT0.0550.0055000.00446600.00446644660.06%2.2224815.741617.9640912.50%7.9640910.1991022756.52.50%0.1625

BEno report000.028.131412240.16262824488.32%0.1666

CY000000.61%0.6240040960.0062400410.71%0.0066

CZ0.0700.0700.0568400.05684568401.12%2.09435.0940.90128755362.86%3.74%5.0940.14581635595.02.86%0.142142

DK,04-,045000002.19516778521.85744966444.05261744970.920.2804.052617449703.900

EE000000.3060.5920.898not defined0.7not defined00

FIN00.00394020.00394020.003940203940.20.10%3.796920.10%3.796920.003796924.00.10%0.00399

FR0.3210.077190.3069660.0463140.2606523069660.68%12.86532.144.9650.428561.20%0.925962.06%Calculation of 2007 quantities: we are told in the 2.2.5 press release that the government announced in 904 that it would triple the production of biofuels (presumably in volume/weight terms) and this meant +800 000 tons. Implication: 2004 quota is 400 0044.9650.5395846.81.20%0.56184

DE0.805000.6536600.653666536601.18%27.428.0555.452%55.451.10961.82%1.2354

GR000003.4921.9255.4170.036540.70%5.4170.0379196.00.70%0.04186

HU0003.486480.4-0.6%3.486480.013945923.50.40%0.01408

IE0.000008108100.00000810818.10810.00%1.25071.4522.70270.06%2.70270.001621624.00.06%0.00237

ITno reportno report40.5no report0.50%0.2023

LA0.002500.0020300.0020320300.21%0.3540.6180.9722%0.9720.019440.72%0.0146

LIno data given2%0.5657040.011314081.22%0.0238

LUno reportno report1.8no report00

MT0000.067055040.077060760.14411580.30%0.14411580.00043234740.20.30%0.00057

NL0.0040.00324800.00324832480.03%4.3676525.86492810.232580.00%2%10.23258010.90.00%0

PLno report0.50%9.0028033960.0450140179.30.50%0.04665

PT0002.1503955.3601797.5105741.15%7.5105740.0863716016.21.15%0.07084

SIno reportno report1.5no report00

SK0.003073?0.00249527600.0024952762495.2760.14%0.7921.0561.8480.81223560042%1.8480.036961.62%0.0324

ES0.065810.1520.217810.09120.053437722178100.76%8.04120.7728.8112%28.8110.5762229.42%0.5878

S0.00430.07310.009460.086860.07310.00430.00946868601.33%4.24412.271266.515360.79629629630.4886363636figure given (volume is 11,045 Nm3)3%6.515360.19546086.83%0.2052

UK0.0194460.01579015200.01579015215790.1520.03%48.5050.30%48.5050.14551541.50.30%0.12459

total for these states255.79136198173.336378222302.63.646132

appendix share of total market0.8793102853

IT (from Eurobserver for biofuels 03, overall fuel 00 from Outlook)0.2730.2730.22167600.2216762216760.55%40.46implied share1.30%1.20%

PL (ditto)0.131640.131640.0457170.0457170457170.49%9.33

total (assume LI LU SI = 0;1.62150673610.26027121.27860325610.009461621506.73610.6%290.9

78.9%In the answer to the PQ that I am preparing (1.2.5), I will use .5% and .8% respectively (to allow for the fact that the denominator will have risen)

biofuels quantity tonsbiofuels Mtoeshare (estimated)fuels used for road transport

531EU15980.40469077710.17%242.98

570990.43441382860.18%247.64

70020000.53349066670.21%252.3

consommation 2003 (tonnes quivalent de ptrole)part du march 2003 (essence+gazole)objectif 2005 communiqu la Commissionmarket share 2003target 2005

AT4 5000.06%2.5 %AT0.062.5

BE002%BE02

CY001%CY01

CZ56 8001.12%2.84%CZ1.122.84

DK000%DK00

FI3 9000.10%0.1 %FI0.10.1

FR307 0000.68%0.012FR0.681.2

DE653 7001.18%0.02DE1.182

GR000.7 %GR00.7

HU000.40%HU00.4

IE000.06 %IE00.06

LA2 0000.21%0.02LA0.212

MT000.3 %MT00.3

PL79 0000.8%0.5%PL0.80.5

PT001.15%PT01.15

SK2 5000.14%2%SK0.142

ES217 8000.7,%62%ES0.762

SV86 9001.33%3%SV1.333

UK15 8000.03%0.3 %UK0.030.3

not used in chart:

EE00n.c.

IT221 7000.5 %n.c.

LIn.c.n.c.0.02

LUn.c.n.c.n.c.

NL3 2000.03 %2% (2006)[2]

SIn.c.n.c.n.c.

Paul Hodson:'approximately 90% is sold abroad'

Paul Hodson:no large-scale production

Paul Hodson:'almost 100% is converted directly into electricity'

Paul Hodson:assuming as they do that consumption = production

Paul Hodson:"negligible"

Paul Hodson:Source gives million litres, 2002. I have converted litres to barrels, barrels to tons, and assumed that 1 ton of oil = 1 toe

Paul Hodson:energy/volume

Paul Hodson:t/toe

Paul Hodson:volume/energy content

Paul Hodson:"very low and limited to experiments at local level"

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:almost all the biofuel consumption is bioethanol

Paul Hodson:Report does not include quantities. I have worked backwards from the shares (by volume) given by France, assuming that share by volume = share by tons

Paul Hodson:Report does not include quantities. I have worked backwards from the shares (by volume) given by France, assuming that share by volume = share by tons

Paul Hodson:"only biodiesel was of substantial importance in 2003"

Paul Hodson:the national report gives 1.4% but it appears to be calculated ton for ton

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:Katherine Licken e-mail of 18.1.5

Paul Hodson:back-calculation from the percentage; NB the total fuel figure used is 02

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:PJ conversion to toe is 2.388 * 10 to the x; not sure I have the d.p. in the right place.

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:2002

Paul Hodson:bn litres; calculated from 4 million litres; year not clear

Paul Hodson:production "not known"

Paul Hodson:excluding bioethanol

Paul Hodson:excluding bioethanol

Paul Hodson:toe I think

Paul Hodson:toe I think

Paul Hodson:TWh to toe multiply by 8,6 * 10 to the x

Paul Hodson:converted from TWh

Paul Hodson:toe, converted from TWh

Paul Hodson:volume/toe

Paul Hodson:volume/toe

Paul Hodson:negligible

Paul Hodson:bn litres

Paul Hodson:,04% by volume

Paul Hodson:bn litres

Paul Hodson:assume same as production (probably underestimate)

Paul Hodson:assume same as production

Paul Hodson:2000,estimated

Paul Hodson:2000,estimated

Paul Hodson:denominator is 2000, estimated

Paul Hodson:denominator is 2000, estimated. share revised following national report (was previously .85%)

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:calculated from shares and quantities given for diesel and petrol respectively

Paul Hodson:based on calculated quota quantities for 05 (see further along row) - not official. Based on 03 denominator --> ostated.

Paul Hodson:national report says 0.02%, but it is referring to biofuels used for stationary purposes as a % of road fuel consumption

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:approx.

Paul Hodson:not a real target - calculated on the basis of a linear path from the 2003 to the 2006 share

Paul Hodson:very approximate: average for 2*2000 and 3*2005 of the road transport fuel consumption (Mtoe) in 'Outlook'

Calculated as a share of 2003 fuel consumption therefore overestd.

Paul Hodson:from 2.2.5 press release - for calculations see further along the row

Paul Hodson:based on calculated quota quantities for 05 (see further along row) - not official - would give 0.95%, I take the higher Parliament figure. Based on 03 denominator --> ostated.

Paul Hodson:toe, converted from TWh

Paul Hodson:toe, converted from TWh

Paul Hodson:not a true target - a linear path to the 06 figure

Paul Hodson:Source gives million litres, 2002. I have converted litres to barrels, barrels to tons, and assumed that 1 ton of oil = 1 toe

Paul Hodson:Source gives million litres, 2002. I have converted litres to barrels, barrels to tons, and assumed that 1 ton of oil = 1 toe

Paul Hodson:estimated on the assumption that the ratio between the quantity of energy used in road transport in 2000, and this figure, is the same in LI as in LA

Paul Hodson:taking Hungary's target as 0.4%

Paul Hodson:Figure given in com 2001/547 (table is headed 'biodiesel only', but it includes S which is certainly bioethanol, so I treat the table as an all-biofuel table. I assume (as stated in the notes) that 1/3 of the French production is bioethanol, also all the S production. I apply these %'s to the 2000 figure, and assume that the 99 and 98 totals had the same composition between ethanol and diesel. I am aware that probably some of the Sp production was ethl - on the other hand, the FR ethl share stated here looks high.

Paul Hodson:denominator used: estimated road transport fuel consumption (Mtoe) 00 from 'Outlook'

Paul Hodson:same method as 00+ interpolation

Paul Hodson:same method as 00+ interpolation

Paul Hodson:COM (2001) 547

Paul Hodson:COM (2001) 547

Paul Hodson:COM (2001) 547

Paul Hodson:assuming same proportion of bioethanol and biodiesel as estimated for 2000

Paul Hodson:assuming same proportion of bioethanol and biodiesel as estimated for 2000

Paul Hodson:estimated from Outlook road transport fuel

Paul Hodson:linear path to the 06 target of 3.7%

Paul Hodson:taking the target as 0.4% (they say 0.4-0.6)

Paul Hodson:linear path to 06 3.7

5 data from na rpts

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

AT BE CY CZ DK FI FR DE GR HU IE LA MT PL PT SK ES SV UK

biofuels market share 2003

national indicative target 2005

6

5.62615.8880.1605

0.0020.24

4.280.048

0.268-92.39

0.033.898

50.012

0.0060.06

-11.79-23.34

0.2460.732

0.02

Paul Hodson:doesn't seem to correspond

Paul Hodson:Previously I had F34*R4. Now back calculated from what they say the share is.

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:not a real target - calculated on the basis of a linear path from the 2003 to the 2006 share

Paul Hodson:based on calculated quota quantities for 05 (see further along row) - not official - would give 0.95%, I take the higher Parliament figure. Based on 03 denominator --> ostated.

Paul Hodson:doesn't seem to correspond

Paul Hodson:not a true target - a linear path to the 06 figure

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:draft

Paul Hodson:approx.

Paul Hodson:actually 0.4-0.6

7 charts 205+

started 21.2.5.

contents:1. chart of import dependence for different fossil fuels (for use in standard biofuels speech)

2. chart of growth in CO2 emissions from different sources, 00-10 (ditto)

1. chart of important dependence for different fossil fuels (for use in standard biofuels speech)

source: Outlook to 2030

EU25 import dependence, 2010 (tons of oil equivalent, forecast)

domestic production (tons of oil equivalent)importstotalimport share

2000

solid fuels203.191.1294.231%

natural gas196.7186.4383.149%

oil164.1517.8681.976%

2010

solid fuels152.391243.337%

natural gas196.9312.9509.861%

oil131.5573.6705.177%

2020

solid fuels124.1128.2252.351%

natural gas147.6450.459875%

oil102632.1734.186%

2030

solid fuels101.6194.5296.166%

natural gas117.1512.7629.881%

oil86.4662748.488%

Source: European energy and transport - trends to 2030 (European Commission, 2003)

Change in EU25 CO2 emissions (million tons per year), 2000-2010 (forecast)

20002010change

industry606.1538.1-68

electricity generation + energy transformation1396.81389.7-7

services236.5239.53

households461481.120

transport970.61114.8144

total3671.13763.192

National targets for 2005 (updated 8.6.5)

SV3

CZ2.84

AT2.5

BE2

DE2

LA2

LI2

SK2

ES2

FR1.2

EU25 (estimated)1.2

PT1.15

CY1

GR0.7

PL0.5

HU0.4

MT0.3

UK0.3

FI0.1

IE0.06

DK0

NL0

EE

IT

LU

SI

7 charts 205+

152.391

196.9312.9

131.5573.6

128.2

450.4

domestic production (tons of oil equivalent)

imports

EU25 import dependence, 2010 (tons of oil equivalent, forecast)

8 number of vehicles

0

0

0

0

0

Change in EU25 CO2 emissions (million tons per year), 2000-2010 (forecast)

9 costs

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Biofuels directive - national targets for 2005 market share (%)

11 5.75%=...

started 22.2.5. Context is contributing to a paper for FL on clean and efficient vehicles

1)high blend vehicles

2)estimate of vehicle-equivalent quantity of low blend use, 2003

3)estimated market shares of different types of blend, 2003

1) Number of vehicles adapted to run on high blends of biofuels (note: almost all figures qualified as 'approx.')

captive fleets (general)buses (specifically)cars

biodieselbioethanolbiogasall biofuelsbiodieselbioethanolbiogasbiodieselbioethanolbiogas

CountrySourceDateNumber of vehicles

FRPromoting biofuels in Europe', European Commission 20042003?4000

S - StockholmPromoting biofuels in Europe', European Commission 20042003?750

S - Stockholme-mail from Jonas Stromberg of SL, 22.2.5200525321

S - all except Stockholme-mail from Jonas Stromberg of SL, 22.2.52004100100

S? (e-mail from Ian Hodgson, 17,5,4)1996280

SPromoting biofuels in Europe', European Commission 20042003?8000

SPer Carstedt, BAFF, meeting, January 20052004?12000

D1st national report under biofuels directive, 20042003?4000

Dtelephone Raffaelo Garofolo, EBB, 22.2.52000-4between 2000 and 2004, new vehicles sold by German manufacturers were warrantied for B100. Now, with the legal possibility of blending in Germany, this is no longer the case.

2)estimate of vehicle-equivalent quantity of low blend use, 2003, EU25

units

biofuels consumption (toe)Commission estimate from national reports20031.6548mtoe

calculation of average fuel used per vehicle per year

all fuel consumption:

public road transportEuropean energy and transport trends to 2030 (European Commission, 2003)20007mtoe

private cars and motorcyclesEuropean energy and transport trends to 2030 (European Commission, 2003)2000157.6mtoe

trucksEuropean energy and transport trends to 2030 (European Commission, 2003)2000108.9mtoe

vehicle stock:

passenger carsEU energy and transport in figures', 2004 edition, European Commission 20052000199.157millionNote: these categories are not the same as those in the previous rows

PTWsEU energy and transport in figures', 2004 edition, European Commission 2005200025.2424million

buses and coachesEU energy and transport in figures', 2004 edition, European Commission 200520000.7106million

goods vehiclesEU energy and transport in figures', 2004 edition, European Commission 2005200027.015million

passenger car equivalents (estimated) (assuming 1 PTW consumes 1/3 as much as 1 car and that the figure given for PTWs in a subset of EU25 countries is 80% of the true EU25 figure))209.6746666667million

toe per vehicle per year, estimated

public road transportown calculation20009.9toe

private carsown calculation20000.8toe

trucksown calculation20004.0toe

use of biofuels (estimated)

if used by different vehicle types in same proportions as overall fuel use

share of fuel use

public road transport2.6%

private cars and motorcycles57.6%

trucks39.8%

estimated quantity of biofuels used (assuming none goes to PTWs)

public road transport0.04mtoe

private cars0.95

trucks0.66

vehicle-equivalents (if they used nothing but the biofuel)

public road transport4299vehicles

private cars and motorcycles1268628vehicles

trucks163453vehicles

3) estimated market share of different types of blend, 2003

option 3) - high blends in specially adapted vehicles - assume half the German market plus 10000 cars 8000 heavy vehicles 2000 buses Community-wide

half Germany marketger national report20030.32685mtoe

10000 more cars0.0075164064mtoe

8000 more heavy vehicles0.0322487507

2000 more buses0.0197016606

total0.3863168176

share of total biofuels market23%

option 2) - high blends in ordinary vehicles - assume half the German market0.32685

20%

German market as a whole40%

Paul Hodson:source 'over 4000'

Paul Hodson:bioethanol and biogas. This is vehicles that the city has 'bought or given subsidy for' since 1991.

Paul Hodson:'pure rape oil'

Paul Hodson:15 cities

Paul Hodson:E95

Paul Hodson:I have included both motorcycles and mopeds

Paul Hodson:EU 15 only and several countries missing within EU15

Paul Hodson:here I have used a ratio of 1:3 for PTWs. Iigo's comment is, It is probably closer to 1/2, however an average powered two wheeler is something much broader than the average car.

A moped can be 1/5 (or even less) and big motorbike could be 1/1.

-----Original Message-----From: HODSON Paul (TREN) Sent: Tuesday, February 22, 2005 12:02 PMTo: SABATER Inigo (TREN)Subject:

what is a reasonable estimate for the fuel consumption per km of an average powered two wheeler compared to an average passenger car? 1/3?

10 subsidies

started 22.2.5

1)cost of fossil fuel and biofuels costs

using diesel = 890kg/1000m3, petrol 737, diesel = 1.01 toe, petrol 1 ton - 1.051 toe [Manfred 23.2.5 - Roughly, 1000 litres petrol correspond to 0.79 toe, while 1000 litres diesel give 0.85 toe. With the ton/toe multipliers shown earlier in this line that

$ exchange rate used: 0.8

1)cost of fossil fuel (source: EU Energy and transport in figures, 2004 edition, European Commission 2004)

Note: I have assumed that the differently named products are the same things, and that taxes didn't change between 1.9.4 and 15.11.4)

Excise (/1000l, 1.9.4)Price (/1000l, including tax, 15.11.4)Implied pre-tax price (by calculation)/1000lImplied price/toeBiofuels tax credit (/1000l)Biofuels production prices (/1000l)Biofuels production prices (/toe)

Euro Super 95automotive gas oilUnleaded petrol (95 RON)automotive diesel oilpetroldieselethanoldieselethanoldieselethanoldiesel

BE5363301118918582588

CY298244?757?513

CZ368309872848504539

DK5473701117920570550

DE65547011481010493540630531654

EL296245820804524559

ES396294898823502529420

EE288245735749447504

FR5894171076943487526370

HU3983321022955624623

IE443368985934542566

IT5594031167994608591230

LV267227720716453489

LT288246794777506531

LU442253910753468500

MT313248899797586549

NL6653801252932587552

AT425310970879545569

PL324232901820577588

PT5233081077879554571

SK384359918934534575

SI354298862851508553

FI5973471148879551532300

SE5253651110959585594520

UK70570512061237501532290

EU low663438

EU high11631000

EU500833

EU low359598

EU high539898

median(CY excluded from all)538550833654

average535552394831697

Brazil188

US375

Paul Hodson:source has 7935. I first assume this is a misprint for 935. But this gives an outlier value for a very high diesel price. I will therefore leave it out.

Paul Hodson:IEA, 2004

Paul Hodson:sales price, July-Sept 2003. Source: Source: Survey of the Biodiesel Industry in the EU, INITIUM CONSULTANTS, Lisbon, July 2003

Paul Hodson:IEA, 2004, converted from dollars. These are values of $800 and $350, they have intermediate values too.

Paul Hodson:IEA, 2004

Paul Hodson:bioethanol industry in meeting with Commission, autumn 2003

Paul Hodson:IPTS, 2002. I assume this is ton weight not toe and convert it back to litres with a 1.26 multiplier

12 agrl data

started 1.3.5

objective: give a concrete picture of what a 5.75% share could mean

petrol/ethldiesel

total petrol and diesel market (assume)330Mtoe

share of petrol and diesel (assume)0.40.6

quantity of petrol and diesel132198

quantity of petrol and diesel replaced (assuming 5.75% for each)7.5911.385

equivalent quantity of biofuelM 1000l12.6514.0209359606

land required - IEAl/ha2500wheat

5500beet

0

started 25.2.5. The objective is to get a feel for the relative size of different subsidy schemes

annual subsidy (M)

energy crops credit maximum (45/ha x 1.5 m)67.5

detaxation - say 300/1000l (conservative)*1million thousand l (conservative)300

started 5.6.5. The aim is to assess claims of states such as Finland and Cyprus that they are short of agricultural resources for biofuels (in accordance with indent a) of art. 4.1 of the biofuels directive) by comparing production of agricultural biofuel

agricultural production m tons 03 (cereals) or 02/03 and various years (01/02 filled in when 02/03 missing, etc; source: Agricultural statistics - quarterly bulletin 1/2005, European Commission 2005 plus for cereals Eurostat press release 33/2005)

fuel consumption for road transport, 2005 forecast, Mtoe (from Outlook, 2003; underestimates the base for the biofuels directive by excluding relevant rail and inland waterway)population, 2005, forecast, m (from Outlook, 2003)road fuel toe p.c.cereals - totaltons per toe fueltons p.c.sugar (in white sugar [equivalent])tons per toe fueltons p.c.oil seeds and fruits: totaltons per toe fueltons p.c.

AT6.58.20.804.30.660.520.40.070.050.2390.0370.029

BE8.310.40.802.60.310.250.80.100.080.0320.0040.003

CY0.70.80.850.20.230.19n.a.n.a.

CZ5.010.20.495.81.160.560.50.100.050.9440.1900.092

DK3.95.40.729.12.321.670.50.130.100.2120.0540.039

EE0.71.30.520.50.760.390.00.000.000.0640.0960.049

FIN4.05.20.763.80.950.720.20.040.030.1030.0260.020

FR46.862.00.7654.81.170.885.00.110.085.6260.1200.091

DE61.882.80.7539.40.640.484.00.070.053.7980.0610.046

GR6.011.00.544.10.690.370.30.050.030.6930.1160.063

HU3.59.80.368.82.490.900.30.100.04n.a.

IE4.04.00.992.10.540.540.20.050.050.0070.0020.002

IT40.558.10.7016.50.410.281.70.040.030.9330.0230.016

LA0.72.30.320.91.280.400.10.120.04n.a.

LI1.23.50.342.62.210.760.10.120.040.1080.0910.031

LU1.80.53.720.20.090.350.00.000.00n.a.

MT0.20.40.480.00.000.000.00.000.0000.0000.000

NL10.916.50.661.90.180.120.80.070.050.0110.0010.001

PL9.338.50.2423.42.510.611.50.170.040.9690.1040.025

PT6.210.20.611.00.170.100.10.010.010.3960.0640.039

SI1.52.00.740.40.270.200.00.000.000.0040.0030.002

SK1.65.40.302.51.540.460.20.110.030.3950.2440.073

ES29.440.90.7220.30.690.501.20.040.031.0390.0350.025

S6.88.90.775.40.780.600.40.060.050.1650.0240.018

UK41.561.20.6821.30.510.351.40.030.021.1980.0290.020

EU25302.6459.40.66231.80.770.5019.90.070.0416.90.0560.037

production of biofuels raw materials (tons per capita, various years)

cerealssugaroil seeds and fruits

DK1.67DK0.10CZ0.092

HU0.90BE0.08FR0.091

FR0.88FR0.08SK0.073

LI0.76AT0.05GR0.063

FIN0.72IE0.05EE0.049

PL0.61NL0.05DE0.046

S0.60DE0.05DK0.039

CZ0.56CZ0.05PT0.039

IE0.54S0.05EU250.037

AT0.52EU250.04LI0.031

EU250.50PL0.04AT0.029

ES0.50LI0.04ES0.025

DE0.48LA0.04PL0.025

SK0.46HU0.04FIN0.020

LA0.40SK0.03UK0.020

EE0.39IT0.03S0.018

GR0.37ES0.03IT0.016

LU0.35FIN0.03BE0.003

UK0.35GR0.03SI0.002

IT0.28UK0.02IE0.002

BE0.25PT0.01NL0.001

SI0.20EE0.00MT0.000

CY0.19LU0.00CY

NL0.12MT0.00HU

PT0.10SI0.00LA

MT0.00CYLU

Paul Hodson:'03' figure from Eurostat press release 33.2005 8.3.2005 (some data missing in the quarterly statistics)

Paul Hodson:01/02 figure

Paul Hodson:01/02 figure

Paul Hodson:01/02 figure

Paul Hodson:00/01 figure

Paul Hodson:01/02 figure

Paul Hodson:01/02 figure

Paul Hodson:supposing CY is 0

Paul Hodson:00/01

Paul Hodson:01/02

Paul Hodson:00/01

Paul Hodson:01/02

Paul Hodson:01/02

Paul Hodson:00/01

Paul Hodson:assuming the n.a.'s are 0

Paul Hodson:99/00

Paul Hodson:00/01

Paul Hodson:00/01

Paul Hodson:01/02

Paul Hodson:01/02

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Production of cereals (tons per capita, 2003)

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Production of sugar (tons per capita, 2002/03 or 2001/02)

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Production of oil seeds and fruits (tons per capita, various years between 1999/00 and 2002/03)

Produkcja biopaliw w UE w 2005 roku (tys. ton)rdo: Biofuels Barometer maj 2006 r.

Wykres1

1789

591.78

396

313

168

134.12

130.16

85

78

71

51

36.8

13.296

11.84

8

7

5.971

5.96

3

Rok 2005

tys.t

Arkusz1

KrajRok 2005

Niemcy1789

Francja592

Wochy396

Hiszpania313

Polska168

Czechy134

Szwecja130

Austria85

Sowacja78

Dania71

Wielka Brytania51

Finlandia37

Litwa13

Wgry12

Sowenia8

Estonia7

Holandia6

otwa6

Grecja3

Arkusz1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Rok 2005

[tys.t]

Arkusz2

Arkusz3

Produkcja i sprzeda biokomponentw w latach 20052006 (tys. ton)rdo: dane Ministerstwa Gospodarki (ostatni wiersz) i Urzdu Regulacji Energetyki

WyszczeglnienieBioetanolEstry2005 rokI procze20062005 rokI procze2006Produkcja biokomponentw88,865,763,947,1Sprzeda ogem 92,469,450,733,0w tym: eksport 31,119,648,632,2w tym: zuycie krajowe61,350,92,21,0

Ilo ziarna jaka moe by zakupiona za rwnowarto 1 baryki ropy naftowej

Wykres2

0.09302325580.13559322030.07

0.19814814810.28157894740.13

0.16666666670.21674876850.11

0.18763796910.24285714290.1

0.24279835390.30971128610.11

0.17391304350.23640661940.1

0.28533333330.37809187280.12

0.41687344910.4883720930.18

pszenica

yto

rzepak

lata

ton

rednie ceny roczne

rednie ceny roczne w zotwkach

1999.02000.02001.02002.02003.02004.02005.02006.0

pszenica430540528453486575375403

yto295380406350381423283344

ropa naftowa401078885118100107168

Ilo ziarna jaka moe by zakupiona za rwnowarto 1 baryki ropy naftowej, w tonach

1999.02000.02001.02002.02003.02004.02005.02006.0

pszenica0.090.200.170.190.240.170.290.42

yto0.140.280.220.240.310.240.380.49

rzepak0.070.130.110.100.110.100.120.18

olej napd.10.0924.7121.4020.8530.3127.4233.0653.70

kurs usd3.964.344.094.073.883.653.233.12

cena ON w z401078885118100107168

1 baryka = 160 litrw

160 litrw = 5,6 tony

&L&"Times New Roman,Pogrubiona kursywa"&12MINISTERSTWO ROLNICTWA I ROZWOJU WSI

rednie ceny roczne

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

pszenica

yto

Lata

Ton

Ilo ziarna jaka moe by zakupiona za rwnowarto 1 baryki ropy naftowej

Ceny

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

&A

Page &P

pszenica

yto

ropa naftowa

Lata

Zotych/ton

Zotych/baryk

rednie ceny wybranych surowcw energetycznych

rednie miesiczne ceny skupu zb

PSZENICA[z/tona]

styczelutymarzeckwieciemajczerwieclipiecsierpiewrzesiepadzierniklistopadgrudzierednia cena roczna

1999r.414408417422429442420421433441446467430

2000r.510521524528572649613494495493529559540

2001r.581585576528563558527488491494465475528

2002r.477483483478469466434430429433422431453

2003r.436447454475514534479435443446547628486

2004r.687704694692702694620423424426418417575

2005r.412406396383382367375345356358360361375

2006r.376386391397411419408438403

rdo: Dane GUS

YTO[z/tona]

styczelutymarzeckwieciemajczerwieclipiecsierpiewrzesiepadzierniklistopadgrudzierednia cena roczna

1999r.280283283283283285257299303310325351295

2000r.378383381376391417382335343346407425380

2001r.470463470440434431402345345349356365406

2002r.382374374374371373323320320324335334350

2003r.353360363377419437361325337345428472381

2004r.508516512502514514432310320318319315423

2005r.306303302293288281253261272274281287283

2006r.313339359362363343317360344

rdo: Dane GUS

PSZENICA PASZOWA[z/tona]

styczelutymarzeckwieciemajczerwieclipiecsierpiewrzesiepadzierniklistopadgrudzie

2003r.441451459479527541519462514542589651

2004r.696715672695710687608414402408403403

2005r.397395386381376360353340334342337348

2006r.364394387396416427426396

&L&"Times New Roman,Pogrubiona kursywa"&12MINISTERSTWO ROLNICTWA I ROZWOJU WSI

Sprzeda ON i benzyny w Polsce+6%-2%rdo: PKN ORLENW Polsce znaczco ronie sprzeda oleju napdowego redniorocznie 6% oraz maleje sprzeda benzyn redniorocznie o 2%

Wykres1

50335173

47114724

44234765

42395770

42566467

42507100

42507460

42507830

41708220

41508630

41308980

Gasoline

Diesel oil

Rok

tys. t

Arkusz1

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010

Benzyny50334711442342394256425042504250417041504130

ON51734724476557706467710074607830822086308980

Arkusz1

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Gasoline

Diesel oil

ROK

Thousand tons

Arkusz2

Arkusz3

Prognoza zapotrzebowania na estry* - wg ORLEN

Wyszczegl-nienieJedn. miary20062007200820092010Zuycie oleju napdowego*mln ton7,57,88,28,69,0Planowane zuycie estrwproc. wg wartoci energet.2,753,54,35,05,75tys. ton227303386476570Rzepak na biodieselmln ton0,60,81,01,21,4

Prognoza zapotrzebowania na bioetanol*/prognoza ORLEN

Wyszczegl-nienieJednost. miary20062007200820092010Zuycie benzyny*mln ton4,043,983,923,863,80Bioetanol wg wartoci energetycznej%2,753,504,255,005,75Bioetanol wg wartoci objtociowej%4,45,66,88,09,2Zapotrzebow. na bioetanoltys. m3236296354410464tys. ton186233279323366

wiatowa produkcja nasion rolin oleistych /Agro Serwis, 2004/

wiatowe zbiory rzepaku* w mln ton*/ rdo FAOSTAT

Powierzchnia zasieww, plony i zbiory rzepaku w Polsce w latach 1981-2006*- IERiG Rynek Rolny, 10/2006

Prognoza zapotrzebowania i produkcji rzepaku (IER 2006)

Plon rolin oleistych w dow. cisych (Jankowski K. i Budzyski W. 2004)

Czynniki limitujce area uprawy rzepaku ozimego w PolsceNiebezpieczestwo wymarzania.Struktura obszarowa gospodarstw.Udzia rzepaku w strukturze zasieww.Jako gleb.

Prawdopodobiestwo wymarznicia rzepaku (%)

Udzia rzepaku w zasiewach w zalenoci od wielkoci gospodarstwa (IERiG)

Wyszczegl-nienieGospodarstwa o powierzchni uytkw rolnych w ha< 55-1010-1515-2020-5050-100> 100Liczba gosp.10625824117833311753Zboa67697272727577Ziemniak11,311,38,88,25,82,50,8Burak c.0,72,64,53,74,54,23,6Pastewne12,911,410,111,011,77,73,4Rzepak1,21,21,22,04,29,013,3

Konkurencyjno polskich gospodarstw w produkcji rzepaku (Klepacki 2005)

NiekonkurencyjneKonkurencyjneniskoredniowysokoDrobne sabo wyposaonerednie z technologi tradycyjnrednie i wiksze z technologi unowoczenionDue z nowoczesn technologi70%24%3%3%

Przydatno gleb do uprawy rzepaku w Polsce i woj. lubelskim

GlebyKompleks przydatnoci rolniczej gleb*Polskawoj. lubelskiemln ha%tys. ha%Bardzo dobre11, 2, 103,652443235Dobre23, 4, 8, 113,892632426rednie352,421620016Sabe46, 93,192323218Bardzo sabe571,6412625

Optymalne dla rzepaku iloci opadw* - gleby lejsze x 1,2; gleby cikie x 0,85

Potencjalne i ograniczone niedoborem wody plony rzepakuoraz ich straty wskutek suszy symulacja CGMS - 1976-2001(A. Faber)

Wojewdztwa

Plony

t/ha

Straty plonu

%

Dolnolskie

4,02

3,75

7

Kujawsko-pomorskie

3,97

3,84

3

Lubuskie

4,01

3,70

4

Opolskie

3,90

3,59

8

Pomorskie

5,47

4,20

23

Warmisko-mazurskie

4,38

4,20

4

Wielkopolskie

4,54

3,70

18

Zachodniopomorskie

5,41

4,09

25

Rzepak w strukturze zasiewwGospodarstwo do 25%, a przejciowo w korzystnych warunkach siedliskowych do 33% Rejon powiat, wojewdztwo do 20%Zagroenia choroby (zgorzel siewek, sucha zgnilizna kapustnych, kia kapusty itp.), kompensacja chwastw, nasilony rozwj szkodnikw

Udzia gleb b. dobrych i dobrych (%)Udzia rzepaku (%) w powierzchni gleb b. dobrych i dobrych (2004-2005)

Udzia rzepaku w strukturze zasieww powiatw w 2002 r.

Udzia rzepaku w strukturze zasieww w 2002 r. [%]

EMBED MSMap.8 \s

_1158564174.bin

Powierzchnia uprawy rzepaku (tys. ha, 2004-2005)

Powierzchnia uprawy, plon i zbiory rzepaku w woj. lubelskim

LataPowierzchnia (tys. ha)Plon (dt/ha)Zbiory (tys. ton)199920,827,657,3200014,223,533,3200111,822,626,7200219,022,542,7200316,823,339,2200423,533,177,7200529,320,459,6

Udzia (%) i powierzchnia (ha) gleb przydatnych do uprawy rzepaku w powiatach

Powierzchnia uprawy, rzepaku w powiatach woj. lubelskiego (PSR 2002)

Wytwarzanie biopaliw ciekych na wasny uytek przez rolnikw wymaga: uzyskania wpisu do rejestru rolnikw wytwarzajcych biopaliwa cieke na wasny uytek (zwany rejestrem rolnikw) organem rejestrowym jest Prezes Agencji Rynku Rolnego dysponowania odpowiednimi urzdzeniami technicznymi i obiektami budowlanymi, speniajcymi wymagania okrelone w szczeglnoci w przepisach o ochronie poarowej, sanitarnych i ochronie rodowiska, umoliwiajcymi prawidowe wytwarzanie biopaliw ciekych posiadania zezwolenie na prowadzenie skadu podatkowego - biopaliwa mog by wytwarzane wycznie w skadzie podatkowym przestrzegania wymaga jakociowych wytwarzanego biopaliwa odpowiednie rozporzdzenie w sprawie jakoci wyda Minister Gospodarki

Koszt produkcji oleju rzepakowego w gospodarstwie (z 1 tony rzepaku = 370 l oleju)

ANALIZA KOSZTU PRODUKCJI BIODIESLA NA SAMOZAOPATRZENIE GOSPODARSTWA ROLNEGO O POW. DO 30 ha (wg IBMER - 2006)czne koszty wytwarzania w skali miesica (instalacja 400 l na cykl)

koszt surowca i materiaw 21 780 z koszt robocizny bezporedniej 0 z koszt robocizny poredniej 0 z usugi obce 120 z koszt energii elektrycznej 856 z koszty oglne 0 z amortyzacja 908 z

KOSZT CZNY 23 612 zKOSZT PRODUKCJI 1 LITRA BIODIESLA3,32 zprzychd ze sprzeday gliceryny i wytokw8 600 zKOCOWY KOSZT PRODUKCJI 1 LITRA PALIWA 2,11 z

GLICERYNAZ l tony rzepaku mona uzyska 30-40 kg gliceryny (kosmetyczna lub techniczna).SOMARzepaczanka posiada podobn warto energetyczn jak soma zb i moe by wykorzystywana na cele energetyczne. Jednak w naszych warunkach powinna by w pierwszej kolejnoci przeznaczana na przyoranie, gdy:zawiera ona wicej azotu oraz 2-3krotnie wicej siarki ni soma zb;ulega w glebie szybszemu rozkadowi ni soma zb;nie uczestniczy w acuchu troficznym patogenw grzybowych zb.

Skad chemiczny i warto pokarmowa 1kg wybranych pasz rolinnych

Podmioty wpisane do rejestru przedsibiorcw wytwarzajcych lub magazynujcych biokomponenty(stan na 17.11.2006 r.)

Ogem wpis do rejestru uzyskao 100 podmiotw, w tym:bioetanol - 28 podmiotw, z czego:- 9 magazynw,- 19 wytwrcw moliwo produkcji 612 mln l / rok estry - 79 podmiotw, z czego:- 21 magazynw- 58 wytwrcw moliwo produkcji 689 mln l /rok

Uwaga:7 podmiotw zgosio magazynowanie zarwno bioetanolu jak i estrw.

Przyrost mocy produkcyjnych biodiesla w Niemczech rdo: Krajowy Zwizek Producentw Rzepaku za UFOP

Trzy generacje paliw alternatywnych(A. Kupczyk)Paliwa oparte na ropie naftowej: ON +benzynyBiopaliwa i biokomponenty (Bioetanol, FAME) (I generacja biopaliw konwencjonalne biopaliwa)Syntetyczne paliwa GTL, CTL i BTL (biomass to liquid) (SunFuel, SunDiesel) (II gen. zaawansowanych biopaliw) Wodr do ogniw wodorowych (np. ze spirytusu lignocelulozowego, destylatu rolniczego)IIIIII0

Podsumowanie Wzrostowi areau uprawy rzepaku w woj. lubelskim sprzyja duy udzia gleb dobrych i bardzo dobrych (60% GO) oraz konieczno poprawy gospodarki podozmianowej. Natomiast ogranicza go wiksze niebezpieczestwo jego wymarzania, szczeglnie w pnocnej czci wojewdztwa oraz duy udzia drobnych, sabo zmechanizowanych gospodarstw.

Naley zaoy, e w okresie 4-5 najbliszych lat moliwe jest nawet 3-4 krotne zwikszenie produkcji rzepaku w wojewdztwie, w stosunku do stanu aktualnego. Podstawowym warunkiem wzrostu produkcji rzepaku jest zagwarantowanie pewnoci zbytu i cen konkurencyjnych w stosunku do innych ziemiopodw.

c.d PodsumowanieKonieczno wprowadzania biopaliw wynikajca z Dyrektywy UE powoduje, e zdolnoci produkcyjne zakadw wytwarzajcych estry ju obecnie przewyszaj produkcj rzepaku w Polsce oraz w niektrych krajach ssiednich. Powoduje to, e w ostatnich dwch latach ceny rzepaku, w Polsce jak rwnie na ryku wiatowym, s ponad 2-krotnie wiksze ni ziarna pszenicy, czyli korzystne dla producentw rzepaku.Wzrost areau uprawy rzepaku, przynajmniej w pierwszym okresie, bdzie wystpowa gwnie w poudniowo-wschodniej czci wojewdztwa, gdzie dominuj dobre gleby i ju obecnie uprawia si nieco wicej rzepaku.

c.d PodsumowanieUstawa z 25.08.2006 stwarza moliwoci produkcji na wasne potrzeby czystego oleju rolinnego lub estru, w iloci 100 litrw/rok/ha UR. Naley podkreli, e wytwarzanie czystego oleju rzepakowego moe by opacalne gwnie w gospodarstwach wykorzystujcych makuch na pasz. Natomiast produkcja estrw w gospodarstwie jest trudna, z uwagi na konieczno stosowania niebezpiecznych substancji chemicznych (alkohol metylowy i ug potasowy), zagospodarowanie odpadu glicerynowego.

Epoka kamienna nie skoczya si z braku kamienia i epoka ropy nie skoczy si z braku ropy

szejk Yamani, Minister ds. ropy naftowej Arabii Saudyjskiej i szef OPECR. Gmyrek 2006DZIKUJ ZA UWAG

ZWIKSZANIE WARTOCI DODANEJ PODSTAWOWEJ PRODUKCJI ROLNEJ I LENEJPoziom wsparcia i wysoko pomocy W przypadku maych i rednich przedsibiorstw pomoc finansowa moe stanowi nie wicej ni 40% kosztw inwestycji kwalifikujcej si do objcia pomoc lub 50% jeeli zaopatruj si w surowce na podstawie umw dugoterminowych, zawieranych z grupami producentw rolnych lub wstpnie uznanymi grupami owocw i warzyw.W przypadku pozostaych przedsibiorcw poziom pomocy moe wynie nie wicej ni 25 % kosztw kwalifikujcej si inwestycji.Maksymalna wysoko pomocy przyznana w okresie realizacji PROW jednemu beneficjentowi, wynosi 20 mln zotych. Wielko pomocy przyznanej na realizacj jednego projektu nie moe by nisza ni 100 tys. zotych.WSPARCIE KONKURENCYJNOCI SEKTORA ROLNEGO I LENEGO

Koszt produkcji wybranych biopaliwrdo: Figures from the Potential for Biofuels for Transport in Developing Countries, WORLD BANK 2005

Zasady wpisu do rejestru wytwrcwWytwrca zainteresowany uzyskaniem wpisu do rejestru powinien:

posiada tytu prawny do obiektw budowlanych, w ktrych bdzie wykonywana dziaalno gospodarcza,

dysponowa odpowiednimi urzdzeniami technicznymi i obiektami budowlanymi, speniajcymi wymagania okrelone w przepisach:- o ochronie przeciwpoarowej,- sanitarnych, - o ochronie rodowiska.

posiada zezwolenie na prowadzenie skadu podatkowego.

ETANOL Aktualnie uprawnienia do wytwarzania spirytusu surowego posiada 582 przedsibiorcw;

Deklarowane zdolnoci wytwrcze 980 mln litrw rocznie.

O produkcji decyduje popyt oraz opacalno

Produkcj stale prowadzi okoo 300 przedsibiorcw;

Produkcja w 2005 r. okoo 240 mln litrw;

Przemys spoywczy okoo 130 mln litrw;

Pozostao jest przeznaczana na cele paliwowe.

Prognoza produkcji rzepaku**/wg IERiG

Wyszczegl-nienieJedn. miary20062007200820092010Rzepak na konsumpcj**mln ton1,01,01,11,21,3Rzepak na biodieselmln ton0,60,70,91,11,4Zapotrzebowanie r-mmln ton1,61,72,02,32,7Pow. Uprawy rzepakutys. ha623640780863975Prognozowany plont/ha2,62,52,52,72,8

Zawarto i plon tuszczu (Jankowski K. i Budzyski W. 2004)

GatunekTuszcz surowyzawarto % s.m. nasionplon kg/haRzepak ozimy44,31588Rzepak jary42,0870Gorczyca biaa26,7619Gorczyca sarepska33,4419Lnianka jara37,2696Katran abisyski31,4308

Skad olejw (Niewiadomski H. 1984)

Kwas tuszczowyGatunekrzepakoz. i jarykatran ab.lnianka j.(rydz)gorczyca b.gorczyca s.Palmitynowy3 62,0522 3Stearynowy0,5 1,51211Oleinowy56 611715 2418 268 13Linolowy18 23814 169 1116 20Linolenowy7 12733 369 1111 14Erukowy0,1 2,0563 435 4846 49Eikozenowy--14 - 18--

Udzia gleb b. dobrych, dobrych i rednich (%)Udzia rzepaku (%) w powierzchni gleb b. dobrych, dobrych i rednich (2004-2005)

Przydatno rolnicza gleb

Toczenie oleju i przerb na paliwo z wasnego rzepakuCena wytworzenia litra paliwa rzepakowego wyniesie ok. 2,18 z/litr

Koszt produkcjiNasiona rzepaku cena 940,- z/t Uzysk oleju 330 litrw z tony nasion Koszt makuchu 670 kg w cenie 500 z/t Koszt otrzymania litra surowego oleju 1,83 z Cena komponentw do litra produkcji 0,35 z

Prognoza zuycia biopaliw w Polsce 2006-2010rdo: Prognoza wasna