van doornatmseminar.org/.../jan-van-doorn.pdfjan van doorn director eurocontrol experimental centre...
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European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation
Outlook from a
European Perspective
Jan van DoornDirector EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre
7th USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar
Objectives
� Create and reinforce working and personal relations hips between leading experts and researchers
� This time more pro-active call for papers in suppor t to ACARE, SESAR and NextGen ,
� Particular Focus on the definition of the new gener ation ATM systems:
- Network and Traffic Flow Optimisation- Air Ground Integration- 4D Trajectory Management and Separation (new) - Enhanced Surveillance and Navigation (new)- Dynamic Airspace Management- Integrated Airport Management- Finance, Deployment and Implementation Issues (ne w)- Active ATM Performance Management- Safety and Security (new)- Environmental Considerations in System design- Innovative ATM Concepts
R&D Coverage, Quality and Selection
0 5 10 15 20 25
Safety and Security
Environment
Human factors
Performance (Measurement and Management)
Weather issues
Complexity, workload, sector capacity
Network and flow opimisation (incl deconflicting)
Enhanced surveillance and navigation
Autonomous airborne separation
System Wide Information Management
Air-Ground data link
Advanced airport tools
Automated control functions
4-D Trajectory management
Airspace configured according to operations
conference papers
In general, the quality and acceptance rate of papers fairly balanced throughout the subjects.
Unfortunate:
Low response on emerging issues: 4D, ASAS, Automated control functions
all (4) security papers rejected.
Great response in:
Safety, performance, flow and airspace managemt
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
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conf
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aper
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Improving Existing System
73% of the received papers
refer to improvements of the existing system
27% of the received papers
address aspects for the definition anddesign of the New Generation System 27%
73%
Focus on
New Generation
System
Improving
Existing
System
New Generation System vs
Focus onNew Generation System:
Total System: 42%Aircraft: 32%ATC Ground: 24%Airport: 11%
Total System: consensus on the integration of all services into a common network as the key objective for the new generation system
Total System: consensus on the integration of all services into a common network as the key objective for the new generation system
010
203040
506070
8090
ATCGround
Aircraft Airport TotalSystem
conf
eren
ce p
aper
s
New Generation System
Improving existing System
Improving Existing System
New Generation System vs
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
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180
conf
eren
ce p
aper
s
Is this the effect of market driven research:
- Focus on conservative / evolutionary R&D
- Resistance to address “hot topics”with conflicting views on future system
Is this the effect of market driven research:
- Focus on conservative / evolutionary R&D
- Resistance to address “hot topics”with conflicting views on future system 27%
73%
Improving
Existing
System
Long-term oriented research:
- Meant to be courageously looking outwards,
- Should not be funded / driven by the market
- Should be government funded with quite somefreedom to seek its direction
Long-term oriented research:
- Meant to be courageously looking outwards,
- Should not be funded / driven by the market
- Should be government funded with quite somefreedom to seek its direction
Outlook Europe:SESAR agreed ConOps / Implementation Packagesto become a booster for R&D with focus on New Generation System
Outlook Europe:SESAR agreed ConOps / Implementation Packagesto become a booster for R&D with focus on New Generation System
Focus on
New Generation
System
Improving Existing System
New Generation System vs
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Con
fere
nce
pape
rs56% of the papers focus ongeneral background understanding,incl. methodologies and models(Safety meth., Human Factors, flow models…)
Do we always have to start from scratch?
Need to improve reusability of R&D results:ATM R&D knowledge base,
global acceptance of R&D methodologiesHarmonised models and simulators
Do we always have to start from scratch?
Need to improve reusability of R&D results:ATM R&D knowledge base,
global acceptance of R&D methodologiesHarmonised models and simulators
44% of the papers focus onconcrete system functionality(CDA, Multi-Sector, sequencing & merging... )
44%
56%
Functionality
Background
Background Understanding
Concrete Functionality vs
Focus onBackground understanding:
Total System: 88%
Airport: 64%
ATC Ground: 44%Aircraft: 32%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
ATC Ground Aircraft Airport Total System
System Functionality
Models, methodologies
Airport: Need for integrated airport strategies and harmonised ops conceptsTotal System: late consideration of total system view, high complexity dimension
Need to be emphasised in R&D programmes
Airport: Need for integrated airport strategies and harmonised ops conceptsTotal System: late consideration of total system view, high complexity dimension
Need to be emphasised in R&D programmes
Background Understanding
Concrete Functionality vs
Scope of R&D in SESAR
2010 2015 2020
Deployment2020+ concept R&D
Short term Implementation programmes
Innovative R&D
SESAR JUJU: 8 years from MP
endorsement
2010 2015 2020
The whole of ATM R&D
Coordination needed with aeronautics research
2020 Concept Deployment2020 Concept R& D
Differences and Similarities betweenEurope & N. America
� ATM SERVICE� Nb & governance of Service
Providers� Source of Finance
� WEATHER� Severity (?)
� SAME PRESSURES� Safety, Growth, Costs
� SAME COMMERCIAL CUSTOMERS
� SAME OBLIGATIONS� ICAO
� SAME CONSTRAINTS� Environment, financial
� SAME OPPORTUNITIES� High Competence
� Advanced Technology
SESAR/NextGenleading edge of wider harmonisation needs
2 REGIONS WITH SIMILAR ISSUES
CAN WORK TOGETHER AND CONVINCE OTHERS OF THE BENEFIT
What we need for SESAR / NextGen
� Systematic, structured comparison of respective ConOps’ to identify
key interoperability requirements
� Analyse differences with respect to reasons, benefits, mitigation etc.
� To understand respective R&D plans and implementation roadmaps for coordination of standards work, regulation activity etc.
� Sharing resources: experiments, data, components, models, etc;
coordination of projects; balanced exchange of knowledge.
� Validation results ‘certifiable’ by transatlantic counterparts .
Future of USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar
� SESAR and NextGen will introduce a system wide streamlined top-down R&D work planning and monitoring
� Systematic structured exchange / comparison / harmonisation will take place
� ATM Seminar objectives partly redundant
� Risk: The Seminar becomes obsolete could be replaced by SESAR resp. NextGen integrated R&D coordination fora
� Need to review seminar scope and objectives
Future of USA / Europe ATM R&D Seminar
A possible target scenario for the future:
� Build on the momentum of the present Seminar and organisational structure
� Widen scope to “Global ATM R&D Symposium”
� Three pillars approach:- Maintain Quality- Global Compatibility- Long Term
� Frequency & fit with other ATM events tbd