visit us online at: dominion’s common stock trades under ticker d:nyse morgan stanley global...
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Visit us online at: www.dom.com/investorsDominion’s common stock trades under ticker D:NYSE
Morgan Stanley Global Electricity & Energy Conference
New York, NY
March 15, 2007
New Dominion
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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from management's projections, forecasts, estimates and expectations may include
factors that are beyond the company's ability to control or estimate precisely, such as fluctuations in energy-related commodity
prices, including changes in the cost of fuel for our regulated electric business, the timing of the closing dates of acquisitions or
divestitures (including any divestiture of our natural gas and oil assets), additional risk exposure associated with the termination
of business interruption and offshore property damage insurance related to our exploration and production operations and our
inability to replace such insurance on commercially reasonable terms, estimates of future market conditions, estimates of proved
and unproved reserves, the company’s ability to meet its natural gas and oil production forecasts, the behavior of other market
participants, and the effects of hurricanes on our operations, gas and oil production and realized prices. Other factors include, but
are not limited to, weather conditions, governmental regulations, economic conditions in the company's service area, risks of
operating businesses in regulated industries that are subject to changing regulatory structures, changes to regulated gas and
electric rates collected by Dominion, risks associated with the realignment of our operating assets (including the potential dilutive
effect on earnings in the near term and costs associated with any sale of our exploration and production business and the
redeployment of proceeds from any sale), changes to rating agency requirements and ratings, changing financial accounting
standards, trading counter-party credit risks, risks related to energy trading and marketing, and other uncertainties. Other risk
factors are detailed from time to time in Dominion’s most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q or annual report on Form 10-K
filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
Important Notes to InvestorsImportant Notes to Investors
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New Dominion Asset Mix New Dominion Asset Mix Focus Area = East of MississippiFocus Area = East of Mississippi
RetailRetailRetailRetail
Plus 1.5 million unregulatedretail energy customer accounts in 11 states
4 million franchise gas and electric delivery customers in 5 states
TransportationTransportationTransportationTransportation7,800 miles of naturalgas pipeline
Nearly 1 trillion cubic feetof natural gas storage
Cove Point LNG Facility6,000 miles of electric transmission
ManufacturingManufacturingManufacturingManufacturing
~1.0 trillion cubic feet equivalent of proved gas reserves*
~100 Mmcfe of daily production
~ 26,300 MW of electric generation
*Appalachian proved reserves as of 12/31/06 ~1.0 Tcfe
Includes 164 Bcfe of proved reserves owned by Dominion Transmission and reported in Dominion Energy.
Map does not reflect pending sales of LDC’s or certain merchant gas-fired generation plants; does reflect potential divestiture of non-Appalachia E&P properties
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Current Initiatives Become 2008 DriversCurrent Initiatives Become 2008 Drivers
2006
2008 & Beyond
•E&P Divestiture
•VA Legislation
•ROIC Focus
•Operational Excellence
•Reduced commodity price
sensitivity
•Greater earnings stability & predictability
•Core Growth Opportunities
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E&P Divestiture on TrackE&P Divestiture on Track
Reserves as of 12/31/06:• Audited Proved reserves: 6.53 Tcfe
• Unaudited 2P, 3P, 4P estimates:
– Probable: 3.21 Tcfe
– Possible: 3.86 Tcfe
– Potential: 25 Tcfe
Data Room opened February 2007
Expected close of any sale by mid-2007
Use of proceeds to reduce debt, buyback stock
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Legislative Initiatives Stabilize EarningsLegislative Initiatives Stabilize Earnings
VA Fuel Reset: • Effective July 1, 2007
• Traditional fuel pass through to consumer
Hybrid Regulatory Model:• Recognizes retail choice did not develop in Virginia
• Identifies need for baseload generation to be built
• ROE based on peer group average of southeast utilities
• ROE adder for new build: nuclear, coal, combined cycle
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ROIC FocusROIC Focus
Focuses on risk-adjusted returns for individual assets Spans all operating units Fundamental approach to improving our business 2006 Summary:
• Energy: Sale of Hackberry Storage– Completed in 2006
• Generation: Sale of Peakers– Closed first quarter 2007
• Delivery: Sale of LDC’s– Expected to close first half 2007
2006 Operational Excellence:
A Strong Foundation for the Future
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DeliveryDeliveryImproving Electric Service ReliabilityImproving Electric Service Reliability
136.5
139.3
128.3
121
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
2003 2004 2005 2006
8% Improvement
Min
utes
out
6% improvement
Bested goal of 125 minutes out
Average Customer Minutes Out
Excluding Major Storms
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Generation’s Nuclear and CoalGeneration’s Nuclear and CoalOngoing ExcellenceOngoing Excellence
2006 Nuclear Accomplishments:
•Nuclear Fleet Capacity Factor of greater than 90% for third year running
•Millstone 3 achieved a capacity factor of 100%
•North Anna 2 achieved a capacity factor of 99.7%
2006 Coal Highlights:
•Utility Large Coal Equivalent Availability of 88.5%, the best in the last six years
•Utility Large Coal Capacity Factor of 83.9%, up from 78.6% in 2005
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Generation’s Air Quality ImprovementsGeneration’s Air Quality ImprovementsAhead of the Curve Ahead of the Curve
VA and WVA: pre-2000 controls ($400 million) Scrubber at Mt. Storm
Monitors and NOx controls (system wide)
Clover scrubbers
U.S. EPA Agreement and Related Controls: since 2001 and in progress ($1.7 billion)
Scrubbers: Mt. Storm, Chesterfield (Unit 6 by 2008 & Unit 5 by 2010)
SCRs: Chesterfield, Mt. Storm, Chesapeake
SNCRs: Clover, Chesapeake, Yorktown
Converted Possum Point 3 & 4 from coal to gas
Built gas-fired Possum Point 6
CAIR, CAMR: ($1.3 billion) VA and Merchant: CAIR, CAMR
Scrubbers
Additional SCRs
Mercury control equipment
New England: Related state specific regulations Scrubbers
SCRs
Mercury control equipment
1
Chesterfield Unit 6 SCR
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Dominion EnergyDominion EnergySolid Improvement, Continued SuccessSolid Improvement, Continued Success
Improving the electric and the gas side of the business year over year through maintenance, efficiency.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2005 2006
Electric Transmission Inspections
Natural Gas Liquids Production atHastings Extraction Plant
0
50
100
150
2005 2006
Hel
ico
pte
r M
iles
Insp
ecte
d
Mill
ion
s o
f G
allo
ns
~ 300%
Up 6%Result = less than 4 minutes out
New Dominion
=
Increased Shareholder Value
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Lower Sensitivity, Reduced RiskLower Sensitivity, Reduced Risk
As commodity prices rise and fall, New Dominion’s earnings have two-thirds less corresponding sensitivity.
EPS
Com
modities
Current Dominion
New Dominion
EPS
Com
mod
ities
Price Movement
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Cornerstones of the New DominionCornerstones of the New Dominion
Strong electric utility franchise area Major gas LDC Successful, growing retail program Profitable merchant generation Expanded LNG facility Largest natural gas storage system Strategic natural gas pipeline Low-risk E&P operation
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Growth Drivers and OpportunitiesGrowth Drivers and OpportunitiesIn Place for 2008, BeyondIn Place for 2008, Beyond
High growth electric service territory Dominion East Ohio infrastructure
opportunities Dominion Retail 10-15% growth
High quality, low-cost generation fleet
Merchant generation assets located in NE market
Uprates, site expansions, and other organic growth potential
Well situated mid-stream assets High value service offerings Organic infrastructure growth
High drilling success rate 300 wells drilled annually High potential drilling prospects Very low decline rate ~5%
Key Attributes
Appalachia
Energy
Generation
Delivery
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ResultingResulting Growth Rate: 4-6%* Growth Rate: 4-6%*
*Projected operating segment earnings growth rate off 2008 base year.Percent contribution of each Business Unit represents approximate percent of 2008 operating segment earnings.
Energy ~20% 5-6% growth
Delivery ~20% 2-3% growth
Generation >55% 5-6% growth
Appalachia <5% 2-3% growth
Please refer to the “Important Note to Investors” on page 2 of this presentation for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
AppendixAppendix
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New DominionNew Dominion Key Modeling Considerations - 2008Key Modeling Considerations - 2008
Proved E&P reserves estimate as of 12/31/06 (excluding Appalachia): 5.5 Tcfe Book value of E&P (excluding Appalachia): $10.5 billion Comparable transaction values
Suggested source: J. S. Herold financial database
Tax basis of E&P assets (excluding Appalachia): $3.8 billion Tax rate: 37% Average cost of debt: ~6.5% (Pre-tax) Credit objective: maintain existing credit metric targets
• Adjusted FFO/Debt >=20%• Adjusted FFO to Interest >= 4.2x• Adjusted Debt to Capitalization <= 50%
Estimated E&P earnings mix in 2008 (as % of operating earnings) Status Quo E&P: ~40% of total status quo earnings (excluding corp/other) Appalachian Only: <5% of total New Dominion earnings
New ongoing Dominion operating earnings projected growth rate: 4-6%
Please refer to the “Important Note to Investors” on page 2 of this presentation for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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New DominionNew Dominion 2008 Earnings Model (Post-Divestiture)2008 Earnings Model (Post-Divestiture)
Please refer to the “Important Note to Investors” on page 2 of this presentation for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
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E&P Reserve LocationsE&P Reserve Locations
1
8
4
2
2
5
7
3
6
Proved reserves (Bcfe)as of December 31, 2006: 6,530
Daily Production (Mmcfe/day)YTD December 31, 2006: 1,280
1 CanadaProved Reserves (Bcfe): 267Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 60
2 Gulf CoastProved Reserves (Bcfe): 428
Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 131
3 Gulf of MexicoProved Reserves (Bcfe): 967Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 503
4 Appalachia*Proved Reserves (Bcfe): 1,006Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 107
5 Mid-ContinentProved Reserves (Bcfe): 780Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 126
6 PermianProved Reserves (Bcfe): 2,146Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 219
7 Rocky Mountain/OtherProved Reserves (Bcfe): 658Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 113
= 100 BCFe
Major Producing AreasNon-Appalachia
Appalachia
8 Michigan
Proved Reserves (Bcfe): 278Daily Production (Mmcfe/day): 21
* Includes 164 Bcfe of proved reserves owned by Dominion Transmission and reported in Dominion Energy.
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E&P 2006 Reserve DataE&P 2006 Reserve Data
Reserves by Operating Basin (Bcfe)
Basin Proved 1 Probable Possible Total 3P
Canada 267 156 119 542Gulf Coast 428 194 247 869Gulf of Mexico 967 551 647 2,165Michigan 278 10 29 317Mid-Continent 780 435 966 2,181Permian 2,146 737 1,416 4,299Rocky Mountain 658 973 308 1,939
Non-Appalachian Total 5,524 3,056 3,732 12,312Appalachian 1,006 154 126 1,286
Total 6,530 3,210 3,858 13,598
Proved Reserves (Gas vs. Liquids) 1
Basin Gas Liquids Equivalent(Bcf) (mmbbls) Bcfe
Appalachian 935 11.9 1,006Non-Appalachian 4,201 220.4 5,524Total 5,136 232.3 6,530
1) Audited proved reserves as of 12/31/06
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Natural Gas and Oil Hedge PositionNatural Gas and Oil Hedge Position
Hedge positions as of Jan. 31, 2007
Description 2007 2008
Natural Gas:Appalachia-related Commodity Hedges (Bcf) 1, 2, 3 37 36 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcf) 1, 2 $6.24 $8.32
Non Appalachia-related Commodity Hedges (Bcf) 1,3 196 143 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcf) 1 $5.99 $8.27
Total Commodity Hedges (Bcf) 1, 2, 3 233 180 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcf) 1, 2 $6.03 $8.28
Locational Basis Differential Hedges (Bcf)1, 2 226 175Average Locational Basis Differential to Henry Hub ($/Mcf) ($0.32) ($0.45)
Liquids:Appalachia-related Commodity Hedges (mmbbls) 1, 2 0.011 0.013 Average Hedge Price ($/bbl) 1, 2 $30.80 $49.08
Non Appalachia-related Commodity Hedges (mmbbls) 1 10.01 4.99 Average Hedge Price ($/bbl) 1 $33.41 $49.36
Total Commodity Hedges (mmbbls) 1, 2 10.02 5.00 Average Hedge Price ($/bbl) 1, 2 $33.41 $49.36
Dominion Natural Gas and Oil Hedge Position
(as of January 31, 2007)
Description 2007 2008Natural Gas Equivalent:
Appalachia-related
Commodity Hedges (Bcfe) 1, 2, 3 37 37 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcfe) 1, 2 $6.23 $8.32
Non Appalachia-related
Commodity Hedges (Bcfe) 1,3 256 173 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcfe) 1 $5.89 $8.26
Total
Commodity Hedges (Bcfe) 1, 2, 3 293 210 Average Hedge Price ($/Mcfe) 1, 2 $5.93 $8.27
Dominion Internal Hedges
Dominion Virginia Power - Gas and Oil (Bcfe) 4, 7 25 --- Dominion Virginia Power - Coal (Bcfe) 5, 7 9 --- E&P Company Use (Bcfe) 6 16 17
Footnotes:(1) Excludes VPPs.(2) Includes Dominion Transmission, Inc.(3) Assumes a btu to Mcf conversion rate of 1.0.(4) Estimate of natural gas consumed under normal conditions at Dominion Virginia Power (DVP)
gas-fired units and DVP oil-fired units converted to Bcfe based on gas-oil correlation.(5) Estimate of unhedged coal consumed under normal conditions at DVP coal-fired units
converted to Bcfe based on gas-oil correlation.(6) Fuel used in E&P company operations.(7) For 2007, only includes estimated unhedged consumption for January 1st through June 30th.
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Generation and Coal Hedge PositionGeneration and Coal Hedge Position
Hedge positions as of Jan. 31, 2007
Net SummerCapacity
Power Hedge Position1(MW) 2007 2008
Utility Generation 17,628 100% 100%
Merchant GenerationMillstone 1,951 93% 82%Dominion New England Coal 1,436 99% 49%Dominion New England Oil 878 6% 0%Dominion New England Gas 432 0% 0%Kewaunee 556 100% 100%Kincaid 1,158 100% 100%Fairless Works 1,076 41% 25%Elwood 712 100% 100%State Line 515 100% 100%Other 42 100% 100%
Total Merchant2 8,756 79% 67%
Total Generation2 26,384 94% 90%
EFOR AdjustedCapacity
NEPOOL Capacity Hedging & Pricing (MW) 2007 2008
Dominion New England & Millstone 4,464 Capacity Percent Hedged 33% 15% Balance Subject to Transition Period Prices 67% 85%
Average Capacity Hedge Price ($/KW - month) $2.43 $3.04
Summer Capacity Ratings, Power Hedge and Fuel Hedge Positions(as of January 31, 2007)
Fuel Hedging & Power Pricing 2007 2008
Dominion Virginia Power Coal (Fuel) % Hedged 87% 53%Dominion New England Coal (Fuel) % Hedged 100% 46%
Millstone Energy Average Hedge Price ($/MWh) $63.60
1) Baseload units include the amount of available energy hedged. Non-baseload units include the amount of available capacity or "spark spread" hedged.Capacity shown represents only Dominion's interest in facility. Assume capacity remains constant in all periods shown.
2) Annual percentage calculations are capacity-weighted. Excludes Armstrong, Troy, and Pleasants gas-fired generation whose sale is expected to close in the first quarter of 2007.
Visit our website at: www.dom.com/investors/