VITA

Robert S. Erikson

April 2018

Address: Department of Political Science

Columbia University

New York, NY 10027

Phone: (212) 854-0036

Fax: (212) 222-0598

E-mail: RSE14@columbia.edu

Education: B.A., Lake Forest College, 1963

M.A., University of Illinois, 1966 (Political Science)

Ph.D., University of Illinois, 1969 (Political Science)

Positions: 1999--. Professor of Political Science, Columbia University,

1991-99. Distinguished Professor of Political Science;

1978-99. Professor

Department of Political Science

University of Houston

Winter, Spring 1990; Winter, Spring 1995

Visiting Professor

Division of Humanities and Social Sciences

California Institute of Technology

1977-78

Visiting Associate Professor

Department of Political Science

Washington University, St. Louis

1967-78

Assistant Professor, Associate Professor

Department of Political Science

Florida State University

Research and Teaching Interests:

American Political Behavior

Elections

Methodology and Statistics

2

Miscellaneous Professional Awards and Activities:

Career Achievement Award, Political Methodology Society. 2017.

Editor, Political Analysis. July 1, 2003-June 30, 2007.

Editor, American Journal of Political Science, 1982-1984

Research Scholar, Russell Sage Foundatoin. New York. 2013-2014.

Fellow, Center for the Study of Democratic Politics. Woodrow Wilson

School. Princeton University. 2005-2006.

Inducted in American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2007

Philip E. Converse book award for Statehouse Democracy, 2010.

Malcolm Jewell Enduring Contribution award for Statehouse Democracy,

2014.

Heinz Eulau award for best article in American Political Science Review

for 1995

Recognized as one of 10 living members of APSR “Hall of Fame.” PS,

March 1996

Recognized as one of 21 “integrators of the profession” in Goodin and

Klingeman, A New Handbook for Political Science. 1996: Oxford

University Press

Priincipal Investigator, LSE-Columbia University Alliance grant,

“Candidate Competition in Two-Party Systems: Uncertainty about Voter

Motivations and Non-Convergent Equilibria.” 2006-2009. Co-PI:

Michael Bruter, LSE

Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant.

“The Campaign Time Line.’ 2001-2005

Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “Spending and

Incumbency in Congressional Elections.” 1993-1995

Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “State Public

Opinion.” l983-5

3

Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “Collaborative

Research on State Public Opinion.” 1986-9

Principal Investigator, Texas Advance Research Program Grant

“Understanding Incumbency: A Simulation Approach.” 1988-1989

President, Southwestern Political Science Association, 1989-1990

Chair, Selection Committee for Annual Meeting of Political Methodology

Society, 1995, 1998.

Section Head, Public Opinion and Political Psychology, 1987 American

Political Science Association Convention

Member, National Science Foundation Review Panel for Political

Science, 1977-1980

Member, APSA Woodrow Wilson Book Award Committee, 2012

Member, Editorial Board, American Political Science Review, 1995-2001

Member, Editorial Board, American Journal of Political Science,

1978-1981, 1986-1988, 2001-2005

Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Politics, 1981-82, 1997

Member, Editorial Board, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2004--

Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and

Parties 2011--

Member, Editorial Board, International Journal of Political Science,

2011--

Member, Editorial Board, State Politics and Policy. 1999-2009

Member, Editorial Board, American Politics Quarterly, 1987-1997

Member, Editorial Board, Legislative Studies Quarterly, 1989-92

Member, Editorial Board, Political Analysis, 1991-1993.

Member, Editorial Board, Experimental Studies of Politics, 1979-81

4

Member, Educational Testing Service, CLEP Advisory Committee in

American Government, 1976-1978

Team Leader, Ralph Nader's Congress Project, Summer 1972

Chair, Committee to select Franklin Burdette award winner for best

paper at 1994 APSA Convention

Member, APSA Committee to select James Madison award winner for

lifetime achievement, 1994

Professional Memberships:

American Political Science Association

Midwest Political Science Association

American Association of Public Opinion Researchers

Books:

Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 2015. American Public Opinion: Its

Origins, Content, and Impact. New York: Pearson. Ninth

Edition. (Earlier editions published in 1973, 1980, 1988, 1991,1995, 2001,

2004, 2011). (Tenth edition in preparation)

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. The 2012 Campaign and the

Timeline of Presidential Elections. E-book, Univ. Chicago Press.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. The Timeline of Presidential

Elections: How Campaigns do (and do not) Matter. Chicago: University of

Chicago Press.

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. The

Macro Polity. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, Jr, and John P. McIver. 1993. Statehouse

Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States. New York:

Cambridge University Press..

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Refereed Journal Articles:

Christopher Wlezien, Will Jennings, and Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “The

‘Timeline’ Method of Studying Electoral Dynamics.” Electoral Studies,

Robert S. Erikson and Kelly Rader. 2017. “Much Ado About Nothing: RDD and

the Incumbency Advantage.” Political Analysis

Robert S. Erikson. 2016. “Congressional Elections in Presidential Years:

Presidential Coattails and Strategic Voting.” Legislative Studies Quarterly. 41:

August. 551-72.

Robert S. Erikson. 2015. “Income Inequality and Policy Responsiveness.” Annual

Review of Political Science. 18: 11-29.

Robert S. Erikson and Rocio Titiunik. 2015. “Using Regression Discontinuity to

Uncover the Incumbency Advantage.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science.

10(1): 101-119, 2015

Robert S. Erikson, Olle Folke, and James Snyder. 2015. “Is there a Gubernatorial

Helping Hand?” Journal of Politics. 77: 491-504.

Robert S. Erikson, Pablo M. Pinto, and Kelly T. Rader. 2014. “Dyadic Analysis in

International Relations: A Cautionary Tale.” Political Analysis, 457-463

Robert S. Erikson. 2012. “Public Opinion at the Macro Level.” Daedalus. 141

(4) Fall. Pp. 35-49.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. “Markets vs. Polls as Election

Predictors: An Historical Assessment.” Electoral Studies. 31: Pp. 512-539.

Robert S. Erikson and Laura Stoker. 2011. “Caught in the Draft: The Effect of

Vietnam Lottery Status on Political Attitudes. American Political Science

Review. May.

Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010,

”Balancing, Generic Polls, and Midterm Congressional Elections.” Journal of

Politics. July. 72: 705-19.

Robert S. Erikson, Pablo Pinto, and Kelly Rader. 2010. “Randomization Tests and

Multi-Level Data in State Politics.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly. 10:

180-198

Robert Erikson, Costas Panagopoulos, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010,. “The Crystallization of Voter Preferences during the 2008 Presidential Campaign.” Presidential Studies Quarterly. September. 40: 482-496.

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Michael Bruter, Robert S. Erikson and Aaron Strauss. 2010.

“Uncertain Candidates, Valence, and the Dynamics of Candidate Position-

Taking.” Public Choice. 144: 153-168.

Robert S. Erikson and Lorraine Minnite. 2009. “Modeling Problems in the

Voter ID-Voter Turnout Debate." Election Law Journal 8 (2): pp. 85-101

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Are Political Markets Really

Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?” Public Opinion Quarterly. 72 (2): pp.

190-215.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “The Economy and the

Presidential Vote: What Leading Economic Indicators Reveal Well in Advance.”

International Journal of Forecasting. 24: pp. 218-226.

Robert S. Erikson. 2008. “Does Public Ignorance Matter?” Critical Review. 19:1.

pp. 23-34.

Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 2007. “Measuring the

Public’ Ideological Preferences in the 50 States: Survey Responses versus Roll

Call Data.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly. 7:2 pp. 141-151.

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson 2007. “The Horse Race: What Polls

Reveal as the Election Campaign Unfolds” International Journal of Public

Opinion Research. 19:1 pp. 74-88

Robert Erikson, Costas Panagopoulos, and Christopher Wlezien. 2004, “Likely

and Unlikely Voters and the Assessment of Campaign Dynamics.” Public Opinion

Quarterly. 68:4 pp. 588-601.

Robert S. Erikson. 2002. "National Election Studies and Macro Analysis"

Electoral Studies. 21: 269-81.. (Reprinted in: Mark N. Franklin and Christopher

Wlezien (eds.), The Future of Electoral Studies. Pergamon Press, 2002.)

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “The Time Line of

Presidential Campaigns.” Journal of Politics. 64: pp. 969-93.

Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “Sources of Partisan Bias in U.S. Congressional

Elections: An Update Stimulated by Ron Johnston’s Essay. Political Geography.

21: pp. 49-54.

Robert S. Erikson and Mikhail Filippov. 2001. “Electoral Balancing in Federal

and Sub-National Elections: The Case of Canada.” Constitutional Political

Economy. 12: December, pp. 312-331.

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Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2001. “Campaign Effects in Theory

and Practice.” American Politics Research. 29 (September): pp. 419-436.

Robert S. Erikson. 2001. “The 2000 Election in Historical Perspective.”

Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 116: Spring, pp. 29-52.

Robert S. Erikson and Thomas R. Palfrey. 2000. “Equilibrium in Campaign

Spending Games: Theory and Data.” American Political Science Review,

94: September, pp. 595-610.

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2000. “Bankers

or Peasants Revisited: Economic Approval and Presidential Approval,” Electoral

Studies: 19.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 1999. “Presidential Polls as a Time

Series: The Case of 1996.” Public Opinion Quarterly, 73: Summer, pp. 163-

177.

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 1998. “What

Moves Macropartisanship? A Reply to Green, Palmquist, and Schickler. “

American Political Science Review, 92: December, pp. 901-912.

Robert S. Erikson and Thomas R. Palfrey. 1998. “Campaign Spending Effects

and Incumbency: An Alternative Simultaneous Equations Approach.” Journal of

Politics, 60: May, pp. 355-373.

Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 1996. "Poll Based Forecasts of the House

Vote in Presidential Years: 1952-92 and 1996." American Politics Quarterly, 24:

October, pp. 520-531.

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 1996. "Temporal Horizons and

Presidential Election Forecasts." American Politics Quarterly, 24: October, pp.

492-505.

Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1996.

[“Comment” on Helmut Norpoth, “Presidents and the Prospective Voter.”]

Journal of Politics, 58: August, pp. 793-801.

Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 1995. "Poll-Based Forecasts of Midterm

Congressional Elections: Do the Pollsters Get it Right?" Public Opinion

Quarterly. 59: Winter 1995, pp. 589-605.

James A. Stimson, Michael B. MacKuen, and Robert S. Erikson. 1995.

"Dynamic Representation." American Political Science Review, 89: September,

pp. 543-565.

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Robert S. Erikson. 1995. "State Turnout and Presidential Voting: A Closer

Look." American Politics Quarterly, 23: October, 387-396.

Robert S. Erikson. 1995. “Pooling and Statistical Control, A Reply to Radcliff.”

American Politics Quarterly, 23: October, 404-408.

Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1992. "Peasants

or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy." American

Political Science Review, 86: September, pp. 597-611.

Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1992.

"Question-Wording and Macropartisanship." American Political Science Review,

86: June, pp. 475-481.

Robert S. Erikson and David W. Romero. 1990. "Candidate Equilibrium and the

Behavioral Model of the Vote." American Political Science Review, 84:

December, pp. 1103-1125.

Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Roll Calls, Reputations, and Representation in the U.S.

Senate." Legislative Studies Quarterly. 15: November, pp. 623-42.

Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote: A

Review of the Macrolevel Evidence." American Journal of Political Science,

34: May, pp. 373-399.

Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Reply to Jacobson." American Journal of Political

Science, 34: May, pp. 405-7.

Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1989.

"Macropartisanship." American Political Science Review, 83: December, pp.

1125-42.

Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 1989. "Political Parties,

Public Opinion, and State Policy." American Political Science Review, 83:

September, pp. 729-50.

Robert S. Erikson. "Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote." 1989.

American Political Science Review, 83: June, pp. 567-73.

Robert S. Erikson, Thomas B. Lancaster, and David W. Romero. 1989. "Group

Components of the Presidential Vote, 1952-1984. Journal of Politics, 51:

May, pp. 337-346.

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Robert S. Erikson. 1988. "The Puzzle of Midterm Loss," Journal of Politics, 50:

November, pp. 1011-1029.

Gerald C. Wright, Robert S. Erikson, and John P. McIver. 1987. "Public Opinion

and Policy Liberalism in the American States." American Journal of Political

Science, 31: November, pp. 980-1001.

Robert S. Erikson, John C. McIver, and Gerald C. Wright. 1987. "State Political

Culture and Public Opinion." American Political Science Review, 81: September,

pp. 788-793.

Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 1986. "Voter Conversion and the New

Deal Realignment." Western Politics Quarterly, 39: December, pp. 729-731.

Gerald C. Wright, Robert S. Erikson, and John P. McIver. 1985. "Measuring

State Partisanship and Ideology with Survey Data." Journal of Politics, 47: May,

pp. 469-489.

Robert S. Erikson. 1982. "The 'Uncorrelated Errors' Approach to Problems of

Causal Feedback." Journal of Politics, 44: August, pp. 863-885.

Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 1981. "The 1928-1936 Partisan

Realignment: Evidence for the Conversion Hypothesis." American Political

Science Review, 75: December, pp. 951-962.

Robert S. Erikson. 1981. "Why Do People Vote? Because They Are Registered."

American Politics Quarterly, 8: July, pp. 259-276.

Robert S. Erikson. 1981. "Measuring Constituency Opinion: 1981. The 1978

U.S. Congressional Election Survey." Legislative Studies Quarterly, 6: May,

235-245.

Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 1980. "Elections and Policy

Representation of Constituency Interests: The Case of the 1974 House Elections."

Political Behavior, 2: November, pp. 91-106.

Robert S. Erikson. 1979. "The SRC Panel Data and Mass Political Attitudes."

British Journal of Political Science, 9: January, pp. 89-114.

Robert S. Erikson. 1978. "Constituency Opinion and Congressional Behavior: A

Reexamination of the Miller-Stokes Representation Data." American Journal of

Political Science, 22: August, pp. 511-535.

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Robert S. Erikson. 1978. "Analyzing One-Variable Three-Wave Panel Data: A

Comparison of Two Models." Political Methodology, 5: Number 2, pp. 151-

167.

Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "The Influence of Newspaper Endorsements in

Presidential Elections: The Case of 1964." American Journal of Political

Science, 20: May, pp. 207-233.

Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "Is There Such a Thing as a Safe Seat?" Polity, 8:

Summer., pp. 623-632.

Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "The Relationship Between Public Opinion and State

Policy: A New Look Based on Some Forgotten Data." American Journal of

Political Science, 20: February, pp. 25-35.

Robert S. Erikson, Norman R. Luttbeg, and William V. Holloway. 1975.

"Knowing One's District: How Legislators Predict Referendum Voting.

American Journal of Political Science. 19: May, pp. 231-46.

Robert S. Erikson. 1972. "Malapportionment, Gerrymandering and Party

Fortunes in Congressional Elections." American Political Science Review, 65:

December, pp. 1234-1245.

Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Electoral Impact of Congressional Roll Call

Voting." American Political Science Review, 65: December, pp. 1018-1032.

Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Incumbency Advantage in Congressional

Elections." Polity, 3: Spring, pp. 395-405.

Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Relationship Between Party Control and Civil

Rights Legislation in the American States." Western Political Quarterly, 24:

March pp. 178-182.

Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Partisan Impact of State Legislative

Reapportionment." Midwest Journal of Political Science, 15: February, pp. 51-71.

Stuart Nagel and Robert S. Erikson. 1966-7. "Editorial Reaction to Supreme Court

Decisions on Church and State." Public Opinion Quarterly, 30: Winter, pp. 647-

655.

Book Chapters

Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “The Congressional Incumbency Advantage Over

Sixty

11

Years: Measurement, Trends, and Implications” In Alan Gerber and Eric

Schickler

(eds.). Governing in a Polarized Age: Elections, Parties, and Political

Representation in America. Cambridge University Press

Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “Understanding the 2014 Midterm Election. “ In Chris

Galdieri, Tauna Sisco, and Jennifer Lucas (eds.) Beyond the Midterms:

Implications of the 2014 Election, University of Akron Press, forthcoming.’

Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 2017. “Voters, Candidates, and Issues in

Congressional Elections.” Chapter 4 in Lawrence Dodd and Bruce I Oppenheimer

(eds.) Congress Reconsidered. 11th

edition. Sage. (earlier versions appeared in

editions 3-10)

Robert S. Erikson and Yair Ghitza. 2016. “Legislative Leaders as Condorcet

Winners? The Case of the US Congress.” In Marie Gallegos and Norman Schofield

(eds.),The Political Economy of Social Choices, Springer.

Robert S. Erikson. 2014. “Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election: Should We

Have Known All Along that Obama Would Win?” Chapter 1 in Amnon Cavari,

Richard J. Powell, and Kenneth Mayer (eds.), The 2012 Election: Forecasts,

Outcomes and Consequences. Rowman and Littlefield,

Robert S. Erikson, Aaron Straus, and Michael Bruter. 2013. “Working

Backwards? Using Simulation to Sort Out Empirical Inconsistencies,” Chapter

11 in “Political Science Research Methods in Action.” Chapter 11 in Michael

Lodge and Martin Bruter (eds.), Political Science Research Methods in Action.

Palgrave.

Yosef Bhatti and Robert S. Erikson. 2011. “How Poorly are the Poor Represented

in the U.S. Senate?” In Peter Enns and Christopher Wlezien (eds.), Who Gets

Represented? New York: Russell Sage Foundation.

Robert S. Erikson. 2010. “Hispanic Voting in the American States: the Case of

2004.” Chapter 2 in Beyond the Barrio: Latinos and the 2004 Election, R de la

Garza, L. Desipio, D. Leal (eds.). Univ. of Notre Dame Press.

Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Forecasting

House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls,” In Wendy Alvey and Fritz

Scheuren (eds.), Elections and Exit Polling. New York: Wiley and Sons,

Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 2006. “Public Opinion

in the States: A Quarter Century of Change and Stability.” Chapter 9 in Jeffrey

Cohen (ed.), Public Opinion in State Politics. Stanford: Stanford University Press.

12

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2006. “Public

Opinion and Congressional Policy: A Macro-Level

Perspective.” In E. Scott Adler and John S. Lapinski (eds), The

Macropolitics of Congress. Princeton University Press.

Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, James A. Stimson, and Kathleen Knight.

2003. “Elections and the Dynamics of Ideological Representation.” Chapter 6 in

Michael B. MacKuen and George Rabinowitz (eds.), Electoral Democracy. Ann

Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “Explaining National Party Tides in Senate Elections:

Macropartisanship, Policy Mood, and Ideological Balancing.” In Bruce I.

Oppenheimer (ed.), U.S. Senate Exceptionalism. Columbus, OH: Ohio State

University.

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. “Public

Opinion and Policy: Causal Flow in a Macro System.” Chapter 2 in Jeff Manza,

Fay Lomax Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds.), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls,

Policy and the Future of American Democracy. Oxford University Press, Inc.

(USA).

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. “Panderers

or Shirkers? Politicians and Public Opinion.” Chapter 4 in Jeff Manza, Fay Lomax

Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds.), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy and

the Future of American Democracy. Oxford University Press, Inc. (USA).

Robert Lineberry, Darren Davis, Robert Erikson, Richard Herrera, and Priscilla

Southwell. 2002. “The Electoral College and Social Cleavages: Ethnicity, Class,

and Geography.” Chapter 11 in Paul D. Schumaker and Burdette A. Loomis, eds.,

Choosing a President. New York: Chatham House.

Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2001.

Macropartisanship: The Permanent Memory of Partisan Evaluation.” Chapter 20 in

Richard G. Niemi and Herbert F. Weisberg , eds., Controversies in Voting

Behavior, 4th

ed. Washington: Congressional Quarterly Press.

Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 2000. “Representation of Constituency

Ideology in Congress.” Chapter 8 in David Brady and John Cogan (eds.),

Continuity and Change in Congressional Elections. Stanford: Stanford University

Press.

Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 2000. “Poll-Based Forecasts and the House

Vote in Presidential Years, 1952-1992 and 1996.” In James E. Campbell and

James C. Garand. Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections.

13

Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. Pp. 145-157. [Update and extension of article

originally appearing in American Politics Quarterly, 1996.]

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2000. “Temporal Horizons and

Presidential Election Forecasts.” In James E. Campbell and James C. Garand.

Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections. Thousand Oaks, CA:

Sage. Pp. 145-157. [Update and extension of article originally appearing in

American Politics Quarterly, 1996.]

Robert S. Erikson and Darren W. Davis. 1998. “The President’s Approval

Rating.” Chapter 6 in Kent L. Tedin, Donald S. Lutz, and Edward P. Fuchs

(eds.), Perspectives on American and Texas Politics 5th edition. Dubuque, IA:

Kendall-Hunt.

Robert S. Erikson and Mark Franklin. 1998. “The Puzzle of Low Voter Turnout in

the United States.” Chapter 8 in Kent L. Tedin, Donald S. Lutz, and Edward P.

Fuchs (eds.), Perspectives on American and Texas Politics, 5th edition. Dubuque,

IA: Kendall-Hunt.

Kathleen Knight and Robert S. Erikson. 1997. "Ideology in the 1990s." In Barbara

Norrander and Clyde Wilcox (eds.), Understanding Public Opinion. Washington:

CQ Press.

John P. McIver, Robert S. Erikson, and Gerald C. Wright. 1993. "Public Opinion

and Public Policy: A View from the States." In Lawrence C. Dodd and Calvin

Jillson, editors. New Perspectives on American Politics. Washington:

Congressional Quarterly Press.

Robert S. Erikson. 1973. "Reapportionment and Policy: A Further Look at Some

Intervening Variables." In Lee F. Papayanopoulos (ed.) Democratic Representation

and Apportionment. New York: New York Academy of Sciences. Pp. 280-290.

Publications, Other:

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2016. “Forecasting the Presidential

vote with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls.” Political Science: PS. 49.

669-672.

Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. “National

Polls, District Information, and House Seats: Forecasting the 2014 Midterm

Election: PS. Political Science and Politics (October). 776-778.

14

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. “Forecasting US Presidential

Elections Using Economic and Noneconomic Fundamentals.” PS. Political

Science and Politics.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2013. “Forecasting with Leading

Economic Indicators and the Polls in 2012” PS: Political Science and Politics,

46: pp. 620-624. 46 (1): pp. 38-39.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. “The Objective and Subjective

Economy and the Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics, 45: pp. 620-624.

Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010. “Forecasting

House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election.”

PS: Political Science and Politics, October.

Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2011. “Forecasting

House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: A Post-Mortem” PS: Political

Science and Politics, January.

Robert S. Erikson. 2009. “The American Voter and the Economy, 2008.” PS:

Political Science and Politics,41:3 (July) 467-471.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2009.. PS: Political Science &

Politics. “The Economy and the Presidential Vote in 2008.”

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. PS: Political Science &

Politics. “Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote” 41

(October): 703-707.

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2005. “Post-Election

Reflections on Our Pre-Election Poll Predictions.” PS: Political Science

and Politics. 38 (January): 25-26.

Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2004. “The Fundamentals, the

Polls, and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics. 37

(October): 747-751.

Robert S. Erikson, Joseph Bafumi, and Bret Wilson. 2001. “Was the 2000

Presidential Election Really Predictable?” PS: Political Science and Politics,

December.

Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 1996. "Of Time and Presidential

Election Forecasts." PS: Political Science and Politics, March.

15

Robert S. Erikson. 1993. “Counting Likely Voters in Gallup’s Tracking Poll.”

The Public Perspective. March/April.

Robert S. Erikson. 1989. "Why the Democrats Lose Presidential Elections:

Toward a Theory of Optimal Loss." PS: Political Science and Politics, March.