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Q 3 Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update: November 6, 2015

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Page 1: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Q3Volusia County

Economic DevelopmentThird quarter 2015 update:

November 6, 2015

Page 2: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Introduction by County Chair, Jason P. Davis

The Volusia County Council is pleased to present the most recent economic indicators that impact our county. We trust this information will be of value to you in your day-to-day business planning.

Economic development is a “team sport” in Volusia County. It is essential the public and private sectors work arm in arm as we seek to promote economic prosperity in our community.

Since the first quarter of 2008, the county’s Economic Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together to achieve our economic objectives, it’s essential we understand the economic indicators that influence our decisions. The “Q” meetings are an opportunity to learn, network, share ideas and build relationships.

Our Economic Development Division closely monitors and analyzes a wide variety of economic data in an effort to understand the current and future factors that affect the economy.

The purpose of the “Q” briefings is to share this information with business leaders and decision-makers to enhance awareness of important economic facts. The Economic Development Division has extensive infor-mation that is available to you. Please do not hesitate to seek our assistance.

We welcome your input and participation in today’s “Q” briefing.

Jason P. Davis and members of the Volusia County Council

Page 3: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

page 1

Nationwide education pays (U.S.)

25,376

34,736

38,532

41,184

57,252

68,592

85,228

82,732

Less than a high school diploma

High school diploma

Some college, no degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Professional degree

Doctoral degree

Median Yearly Earnings in 2014 ($)

9.0

6.0

6.0

4.5

3.5

2.8

1.9

2.1

Education Pays (U.S.)

Source: U.S. Department of labor, Bureau of labor Statistic; Unemployment Rates and Median Earnings for Workers 25 and Older, by Educational Attainment; Earnings for Full-time Wage and Salary Workers, 2014. Median earnings were based on weekly earnings multiplied by 52.

Unemployment Rate in 2014 (%)

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistic; Unemployment Rates and Median Earnings for Workers 25 and Older, by Educational Attainment; Earnings for Full-time Wage and Salary Workers, 2014. Median earnings were based on weekly earnings multiplied by 52.

25,376

34,736

38,532

41,184

57,252

68,592

85,228

82,732

Less than a high school diploma

High school diploma

Some college, no degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Professional degree

Doctoral degree

Median Yearly Earnings in 2014 ($)

9.0

6.0

6.0

4.5

3.5

2.8

1.9

2.1

Education Pays (U.S.)

Source: U.S. Department of labor, Bureau of labor Statistic; Unemployment Rates and Median Earnings for Workers 25 and Older, by Educational Attainment; Earnings for Full-time Wage and Salary Workers, 2014. Median earnings were based on weekly earnings multiplied by 52.

Unemployment Rate in 2014 (%)

25,376

34,736

38,532

41,184

57,252

68,592

85,228

82,732

Less than a high school diploma

High school diploma

Some college, no degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Professional degree

Doctoral degree

Median Yearly Earnings in 2014 ($)

9.0

6.0

6.0

4.5

3.5

2.8

1.9

2.1

Education Pays (U.S.)

Source: U.S. Department of labor, Bureau of labor Statistic; Unemployment Rates and Median Earnings for Workers 25 and Older, by Educational Attainment; Earnings for Full-time Wage and Salary Workers, 2014. Median earnings were based on weekly earnings multiplied by 52.

Unemployment Rate in 2014 (%)

Professional degree

Doctoral degree

Master’s degree

Bachelor’s degree

Associate’s degree

Some college, no degree

High school diploma

Less than a high school diploma

Page 4: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Florida median wages by educational attainment 1979-2014(2014 dollars)

page 2

THE  STATE  OF  THE  WORKING  FLORIDA  2015    

 

Page  38    

This  correlation  between  educational  levels  and  wages  has  been  consistent  over  the  past  

35  years;  but  the  wage  gap  between  educational  levels  have  been  growing  steadily.      

 

 

Figure  25:  Florida  Median  Wages  by  Educational  Attainment  

 

Source:  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics:  Current  Population  Survey  

 

Figures  24  and  25  show  that  policies  aiming  at  mitigating  unemploment  and  poverty  should  

include  higher  educational  attainment  as  one  of  the  objectives.  In  turn,  this  will  promote  

higher  wages  for  working  Floridians.    

Higher   median   annual   wages   correlated   with   higher   levels   of   educational   attainment.  

People  with  at  least  a  bacherlor’s  degree  experienced  a  median  wage  growth  of  15  percent  

while   people  with     a   high   school   degree   achieved   a  median  wage   growth   of   6   percent    

between  1980  and  2014.    Floridians  with   less  than  a  high  school  education  experienced  

negative  growth  in  real  median  wages  during  the  same  years.  

   

$0  

$10,000  

$20,000  

$30,000  

$40,000  

$50,000  

$60,000  

Florida  Median  Wages  by  Educational  Attainment  1979-­‐‑2014  (2014  Dollars)

Less  than  high  school High  school Some  college Bachelor's  or  higher

Source: Florida International University, Research Institute on Social and Economic Policy Center for Labor Research and Studies, "The State of the Working Florida 2015"

Page 5: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

9

Percentage of balance 90+ days delinquent by loan type

page 3

Page 6: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Note: Numbers are based on an individual’s place of residence (whether employed in their immediate area or elsewhere).Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program (LAUS).LAUS data reflects fourth generation BLS modeling implemented January 2015, also applied to historic data.

Third quarter 2015 labor statistics

Volusia Countyunemployment rate by quarter

labor force (all available workers)3rd qtr 2015 3rd qtr 2014 net change % net

change

Volusia County 238,311 241,291 -2,980 -1.2

Florida 9,606,333 9,695,333 -89,000 -0.9

U.S. 156,962,000 156,636,667 325,333 0.2

unemployment rate3rd qtr 2015 3rd qtr 2014

Volusia County 5.8% 6.9%

Florida 5.6% 6.5%

U.S. 5.1% 6.2%

unemployment (all unemployed workers)3rd qtr 2015 3rd qtr 2014 net change % net change

Volusia County 13,763 16,617 -2,854 -17.2

Florida 534,333 636,000 -101,667 -16.0

U.S. 8,070,000 9,685,333 -1,615,333 -16.7

page 4

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15

Page 7: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Employment trend comparison by major industry, third quarter 2015

page 5

Gain/lossover Q3 2014

AverageQ3 2015

1,633567333867500333

-133200

-100-67

0-100

00

185,133 3,933

37,23328,46727,83321,26718,80010,73310,1678,7008,3004,5333,0002,5002,3001,300

Note: Palm Coast MSA was added in the Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach MSA beginning with January 2015 data. Adjustment made to historical data.Source for wage data: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics for Deltona-Daytona Beach Ormond Beach MSA

education & health servicesleisure & hospitalityretail tradeprofessional & business serviceslocal governmentmanufacturingconstructionfinancial activitiesother serviceswholesale tradestate governmentinformationtransportation, warehousing, & utilitiesfederal governmentTOTAL NON-AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT

Page 8: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Labor force Volusia County and selected cities

Note: Numbers are based on an individual’s place of residence (whether employed in their immediate area or elsewhere).Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program (LAUS).LAUS data reflects fourth generation BLS modeling implemented January 2015, also applied to historic data.

Volusia County

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 237,055 238,525 239,354 238,311

employment 222,759 224,621 226,266 224,549

unemployed 14,296 13,904 13,088 13,763

% uemployed 6.0 5.8 5.5 5.8

Daytona Beach

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 28,958 29,118 29,185 29,087

employment 26,941 27,167 27,366 27,158

unemployed 2,017 1,951 1,819 1,929

% uemployed 7.0 6.7 6.2 6.6

DeLand

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 12,322 12,404 12,445 12,390

employment 11,551 11,648 11,733 11,644

unemployed 771 756 712 746

% uemployed 6.3 6.1 5.7 6.0

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 241,905 240,604 241,364 241,291

employment 224,686 223,673 225,663 224,674

unemployed 17,219 16,931 15,701 16,617

% uemployed 7.1 7.0 6.5 6.9

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 29,564 29,432 29,506 29,501

employment 27,174 27,052 27,293 27,173

unemployed 2,390 2,380 2,213 2,328

% uemployed 8.1 8.1 7.5 7.9

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 12,530 12,457 12,486 12,491

employment 11,651 11,599 11,702 11,651

unemployed 879 858 784 840

% uemployed 7.0 6.9 6.3 6.7

page 6

Page 9: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Labor force Volusia County and selected cities

Deltona

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 42,476 42,718 42,808 42,667

employment 39,757 40,089 40,383 40,076

unemployed 2,719 2,629 2,425 2,591

% uemployed 6.4 6.2 5.7 6.1

Ormond Beach

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 17,976 18,079 18,192 18,082

employment 17,012 17,154 17,280 17,149

unemployed 964 925 912 934

% uemployed 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.2

Port Orange

3rd quarter 2015July Aug Sept average

labor force 28,749 28,931 29,032 28,904

employment 27,318 27,547 27,749 27,538

unemployed 1,431 1,384 1,283 1,366

% uemployed 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.7

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 43,415 43,024 43,223 43,221

employment 40,101 39,920 40,275 40,099

unemployed 3,314 3,104 2,948 3,122

% uemployed 7.6 7.2 6.8 7.2

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 18,314 18,208 18,274 18,265

labor force 17,159 18,082 17,274 17,158

unemployed 1,155 1,126 1,040 1,107

% uemployed 6.3 6.2 5.7 6.1

3rd quarter 2014July Aug Sept average

labor force 29,250 29,192 29,290 29,244

employment 27,555 27,431 27,675 27,554

unemployed 1,695 1,761 1,615 1,690

% uemployed 5.8 6.0 5.5 5.8

page 7

Note: Numbers are based on an individual’s place of residence (whether employed in their immediate area or elsewhere).Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program (LAUS).LAUS data reflects fourth generation BLS modeling implemented January 2015, also applied to historic data.

Page 10: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

$120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Volusia County residential permit data

Source: Cities and county permit offices reporting new construction activity.

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 2012 2013 2014 2015

page 8

Value of permits $ million

2012 - 2015 by quarter

$71 -

240 p

erm

its

$104

- 34

2 per

mits

$116

- 38

2 per

mits

$94 -

306 p

erm

its

$107

- 34

8 per

mits

$91 -

280 p

erm

its

$93 -

295 p

erm

its

$86 -

259 p

erm

its

$121

- 39

8 per

mits

$41 -

160 p

erm

its

$49 -

176 p

erm

its

$69 -

239 p

erm

its

$54 -

187 p

erm

its

$80 -

265 p

erm

its

$105

- 32

1 pe

rmits

Page 11: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

page 9

Volusia County residential permit data for the most recent five quarters

Cities listed in descending order by $ value for the most recent quarterSource: Cities and county permit offices reporting new construction activity

3rd qtr 2014 4th qtr 2014 1st qtr 2015 2nd qtr 2015 3rd qtr 2015permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value

DeLand 64 $22,282,544 51 $17,681,828 47 $14,273,745 110 $33,709,476 77 $25,261,022Unincorporated 35 $11,736,611 48 $15,399,907 52 $16,981,135 40 $12,045,666 49 $17,472,765New Smyrna Beach 58 $17,209,656 43 $13,898,016 53 $15,623,095 63 $20,925,111 51 $17,472,017Port Orange 44 $14,353,503 23 $8,108,343 20 $6,516,639 38 $13,049,491 41 $13,549,986Ormond Beach 26 $10,908,043 27 $8,362,007 28 $8,902,536 36 $10,824,326 24 $8,730,225Daytona Beach 45 $11,463,471 23 $9,369,629 29 $6,673,746 52 $13,236,534 29 $8,171,198DeBary 5 $1,412,742 5 $1,640,273 14 $4,809,500 10 $3,844,571 15 $4,935,635Edgewater 9 $1,585,696 18 $3,124,250 9 $1,447,639 23 $4,848,774 20 $4,494,412Deltona 4 $1,028,344 20 $8,306,001 6 $1,799,074 15 $5,656,307 12 $4,462,403Ponce Inlet 1 $445,000 0 - 4 $3,017,371 4 $1,013,766 1 $368,000Lake Helen 0 - 0 - 0 - 2 $691,887 1 $302,737Holly Hill 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 $134,000 1 $200,000Daytona Beach Shores 1 $785,000 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Oak Hill 3 $299,930 0 - 3 $415,630 2 $281,990 0 -Orange City 0 - 0 - 0 - 2 $604,940 0 -Pierson 0 - 1 $549,339 0 - 0 - 0 -South Daytona 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -

totals for quarter 295 $93,510,540 259 $86,439,593 265 $80,460,110 398 $120,866,839 321 $105,420,400

Page 12: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

$70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

page 10

Volusia County commercial permit data 2012- 2015 by quarterValue of permits

$ million

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: Cities and county permit offices reporting new construction activity. * Q3 2013 includes single $105m permit for Daytona International Speedway.** Q1 2014 includes single $152m permit for Daytona International Speedway.

$17 -

15 p

erm

its

$44 -

20 p

erm

its

$21 -

16 pe

rmits

$26

- 17

perm

its

$40

- 48

perm

its

$162

- 30

per

mits

*

$11 -

15 pe

rmits

$14 -

12 pe

rmits

$9 -

12 pe

rmits

$38 -

28 pe

rmits

$61 -

23 pe

rmits

$50 -

26 pe

rmits

$27 -

17 pe

rmits

$216

- 34

perm

its**

Note: Dotted lines represent permit total excluding single permit for Daytona International Speedway.

$23

- 18

perm

its

Page 13: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

page 11

Volusia County commercial permit data for the most recent five quarters

Cities listed in descending order by $ value for the most recent quarterSource: Cities and county permit offices reporting new construction activity

3rd qtr 2014 4th qtr 2014 1st qtr 2015 2nd qtr 2015 3rd qtr 2015permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value permits $ value

Unincorporated 1 $317,009 0 - 0 - 1 $1,671,136 2 $10,730,625New Smyrna Beach 3 $5,489,173 4 $1,022,100 2 $4,650,000 2 $5,338,642 4 $6,131,396Port Orange 4 $2,559,198 3 $1,440,539 6 $5,619,647 2 $1,749,260 6 $2,702,574Deltona 1 $3,025,774 2 $5,300,000 0 - 2 $7,482,367 1 $1,116,157Holly Hill 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 $400,000 2 $875,552DeBary 1 $1,262,168 0 - 2 $1,343,704 0 - 2 $839,087DeLand 0 - 1 $142,181 6 $8,029,249 4 $7,197,575 1 $678,398Daytona Beach 11 $19,174,948 9 $48,361,229 7 $28,442,035 3 $1,826,788 0 -Ormond Beach 2 $3,260,663 3 $3,235,215 2 $758,695 2 $1,066,827 0 -Daytona Beach Shores 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Edgewater 1 $1,236,616 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Lake Helen 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Oak Hill 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Orange City 4 $1,885,565 1 $1,250,684 1 $912,433 0 - 0 -Pierson 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -Ponce Inlet 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -South Daytona 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -

totals for quarter 28 $38,211,114 23 $60,751,948 26 $49,755,763 17 $26,732,595 18 $23,073,789

Page 14: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

page 12

Residential and commercial foreclosures

Source: Volusia County Clerk of the Circuit Court, Civil Court Operations

in Volusia County

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3

sales of foreclosed properties

■ homestead residential■ non-homestead residential■ commercial

new foreclosures

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

■ all residential■ commercial

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3

2013 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015

Page 15: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

page 13Source: http://floridasbdc.org/Reports/2015-State-of-Small-Business/index.html

Florida Small Business Job Impact

Page 16: Volusia County Economic Development Third quarter 2015 update · Development Division has hosted an economic update breakfast that we call our “Q” meetings. As we all work together

Report published quarterly by Volusia County Economic Development DivisionDaytona Beach International Airport, 700 Catalina Drive, Suite 200, Daytona Beach, Florida 32114

386.248.8048 or 800.554.3801 floridabusiness.org

It’s our business to help your business grow.

The Volusia County Economic Development Division is a free resource available to businesses in Volusia County needing assistance with business planning in the areas of:• top line revenue growth,• hiring and training,• financing/loan opportunities,• product/facility improvements, and• supply chain issues.

The division specializes in assisting manu-facturing and knowledge-based companies with high growth potential who require capi-tal investment (i.e. corporate headquarters, research and development facilities, etc.) and are in targeted industries such as aviation and aerospace, clean tech, financial/profes-sional services, homeland security/defense, infotech and life sciences.

The division is a partner with Volusia County’s cities and chambers of commerce to promote the growth of new jobs in their communities.

Call our office or visit our web site at floridabusiness.org for detailed information about available services.