voter preference for vice president...nationwide survey of 3,000 likely voters, april 27-may 1, 2016...

NATIONWIDE SURVEY OF 3,000 LIKELY VOTERS, APRIL 27-MAY 1, 2016

VOTER PREFERENCE

FOR VICE PRESIDENT

49


Trust Ratings of Vice Presidentiables [Base: Likely Voters Saying With Much Trust]

50

62%$

44%$ 44%$48%$

42%$37%$

32%$ 32%$

38%$ 42%$

29%$ 30%$31%$

37%$

49%$51%$

28%$ 26%$32%$ 30%$

28%$

16%$

15%$

21%$19%$

31%$

15%$

16%$18%$

19%$

0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#

Dec2015$ Jan273Feb4$ Feb243Mar1$ Mar263Apr1$ Apr273May1$

ESCUDERO MARCOS, JR. ROBREDO CAYETANO TRILLANES HONASAN


Voter Preference for Vice President: PHILIPPINES

51

25%$ 24%$ 25%$

30%$

20%$ 20%$ 21%$

29%$

31%$ 30%$28%$

20%$

15%$

11%$

15%$

12%$

4%$

7%$5%$

3%$5%$

4%$ 3%$ 3%$5%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#

Jan27/Feb4$ Feb24/Mar1$ Mar26/Apr1$ Apr27/May1$

Marcos, Jr. Robredo Escudero Cayetano

Trillanes Honasan Undecided

n=3000 MOE = ±1.8%


Voter Preference for Vice President: Ranking

52

TOTAL PHILIPPINES RANK PH Vote ShareLower Limit

Upper Limit

Margin of Error

4. MARCOS, Bongbong (IND) 1-2 29.65% 28.02% 31.29% 1.63%

5. ROBREDO, Leni Daang Matuwid (LP) 1-2 29.10% 27.47% 30.72% 1.63%

2. ESCUDERO, Chiz (IND) 3 19.99% 18.56% 21.42% 1.43%

1. CAYETANO, Alan Peter (IND) 4 12.31% 11.13% 13.48% 1.18%

6. TRILLANES, Antonio IV (IND) 5 2.79% 2.20% 3.37% 0.59%

3. HONASAN, Gringo (UNA) 6 2.72% 2.14% 3.30% 0.58%

Population (N) = 54,363,844; 95% Confidence level (z-1.96); Sample size (n) =3000


Voter Preference for Vice President: NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION

53

30%$31%$ 32%$

38%$

11%$

16%$

10%$

22%$

37%$

31%$34%$

21%$

17%$

7%$

13%$

9%$

2%$

6%$ 4%$3%$

5%$ 2%$0%$

4%$ 3%$

6%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#

Jan270Feb4$ Feb240Mar1$ Mar260Apr1$ Apr270May1$



n=300 MOE = ±6%


Voter Preference for Vice President: NORTH & CENTRAL LUZON

54

46%$ 43%$45%$

59%$

11%$ 10%$ 10%$ 13%$

28%$ 28%$30%$

18%$

8%$ 7%$ 5%$ 5%$3%$

4%$

2%$ 2%$0%$5%$ 3%$ 1%$0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#




n=700 MOE = ±4%


Voter Preference for Vice President: CORDILLERA

55

55%#

64%#

57%#

66%#

8%# 6%#10%#

15%#

21%#22%#

18%#

10%#8%#

2%#

7%#6%#

1%#2%#

1%#5%# 2%#

1%# 1%# 0%#0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#

Jan27.Feb4# Feb24.Mar1# Mar26.Apr1# Apr27.May1#



n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: ILOCOS

56

60%$62%$

66%$71%$

8%$5%$

7%$ 10%$

25%$20%$ 19%$

12%$

4%$

7%$

3%$ 4%$1%$

4%$

1%$2%$

1%$ 2%$1%$0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#

80%#




n=200 MOE = ±7%


Voter Preference for Vice President: CAGAYAN

57

59%$

63%$59%$

77%$

13%$6%$

6%$

16%$ 14%$

26%$

9%$8%$7%$

1%$ 2%$2%$

6%$

1%$2%$3%$5%$ 4%$ 2%$0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#

80%#

90%#




n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: CENTRAL LUZON

58

34%$

24%$

29%$

47%$

12%$

14%$ 14%$ 17%$

34%$

37%$39%$

24%$

9%$8%$ 8%$

6%$4%$

5%$ 5%$7%$

3%$ 2%$ 2%$3%$

1%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=300 MOE = ±6%


Voter Preference for Vice President: SOUTH LUZON & BICOL

59

16%$14%$

19%$ 22%$

26%$23%$ 24%$

35%$

40%$

41%$38%$

28%$

7%$ 8%$

6%$3%$

5%$ 5%$4%$4%$

4%$ 2%$ 2%$0%$

6%$3%$ 3%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=700 MOE = ±4%


Voter Preference for Vice President: CALABARZON

60

19%$ 17%$

26%$

32%$

17%$15%$

12%$

25%$

44%$

47%$

41%$

29%$

13%$

7%$ 10%$

6%$

2%$

5%$5%$4%$

2%$5%$

2%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=400 MOE = ±5%


Voter Preference for Vice President: MIMAROPA

61

22%#

16%#17%#

13%#13%#

19%#

27%#

42%#

37%#

39%#

33%#

30%#

15%#11%# 10%#

7%#8%# 9%#5%#

3%#2%#

4%#1%#

3%#0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

Jan270Feb4# Feb240Mar1# Mar260Apr1# Apr270May1#



n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: BICOL

62

5%#5%#

5%#

50%#44%#

52%#56%#

33%#28%#

35%#

25%#

8%#

4%#3%# 6%#

2%# 2%#1%#1%#2%#

9%#

0%#

5%#

0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

Jan270Feb4# Feb240Mar1# Mar260Apr1# Apr270May1#



n=200 MOE = ±7%


Voter Preference for Vice President: VISAYAS

63

16%$ 13%$18%$

16%$

33%$33%$

36%$

46%$

27%$ 27%$

19%$18%$

16%$

12%$

17%$12%$

4%$4%$

2%$3%$ 2%$

3%$0%$

6%$

3%$4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=600 MOE = ±4%


Voter Preference for Vice President: WESTERN VISAYAS

64

15%$9%$

7%$7%$

47%$ 45%$

55%$

65%$

25%$

29%$25%$

16%$

5%$

7%$3%$7%$

4%$ 3%$1%$ 0%$1%$

3%$ 5%$5%$

0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#

70%#




n=150 MOE = ±8%


Voter Preference for Vice President: NEGROS ISLAND

65

7%# 5%#

16%#15%#

38%#

44%#47%#

42%#

25%#

29%#

18%#24%#

17%#

8%# 8%#8%#6%# 7%#3%#1%#3%# 2%#

7%#

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#

Jan27/Feb4# Feb24/Mar1# Mar26/Apr1# Apr27/May1#



n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: CENTRAL VISAYAS

66

10%$ 9%$7%$

8%$

30%$27%$ 28%$

36%$

26%$

21%$

15%$19%$

26%$22%$

40%$

28%$

3%$ 2%$3%$1%$

2%$

8%$

4%$ 4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#




n=200 MOE = ±7%


Voter Preference for Vice President: EASTERN VISAYAS

67

31%$30%$

45%$

35%$

20%$18%$ 18%$

42%$

33%$ 32%$

21%$

12%$11%$ 9%$

6%$ 4%$1%$

1%$ 1%$3%$ 3%$

7%$7%$

7%$

0%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=150 MOE=±8%


Voter Preference for Vice President: MINDANAO

68

19%$21%$

16%$17%$17%$

18%$ 18%$

27%$26%$22%$

19%$

15%$

24%$

19%$

29%$

27%$

6%$

11%$

6%$

4%$

8%$ 6%$5%$

0%$ 3%$5%$

5%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#




n=700 MOE = ±4%


Voter Preference for Vice President: ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA

69

21%$

15%$

17%$

22%$

19%$

14%$

25%$

21%$

31%$

21%$

27%$

23%$

13%$

12%$

18%$

16%$

8%$

22%$

7%$8%$

6%$

9%$

4%$

0%$1%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#




n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: NORTHERN MINDANAO

70

16%$

26%$

11%$15%$

27%$

29%$

23%$

37%$

15%$

20%$

25%$

10%$

26%$

20%$ 21%$

17%$

2%$

7%$

3%$

14%$

3%$ 5%$6%$

1%$

8%$

11%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#




n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: DAVAO REGION

71

33%#27%#

17%#19%#

3%#

13%#

5%#

15%#

23%#

17%#19%#

9%#

38%#31%#

50%#

48%#

3%#1%#

0%#

4%#

0%#3%# 3%#0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#




n=150 MOE = ±8%


Voter Preference for Vice President: SOCCSKARGEN

72

n=100 MOE = ±10%

14%$

17%$

30%$

19%$

15%$14%$

25%$27%$ 27%$

11%$15%$

22%$

14%$

21%$

11%$ 9%$8%$

4%$1%$

2%$

11%$

1%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: CARAGA

73

12%$

14%$ 11%$

6%$

14%$

24%$

30%$ 33%$

37%$

27%$

10%$

23%$

13%$

18%$

43%$

36%$

10%$

3%$

1%$

3%$

1%$0%$ 0%$ 0%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#

Jan27.Feb4$ Feb24.Mar1$ Mar26.Apr1$ Apr27.May1$



n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: ARMM

74

16%$

21%$

10%$

13%$

20%$

11%$

21%$

35%$

29%$

20%$

22%$

19%$

24%$

15%$

19%$

16%$

6%$

11%$

4%$5%$

9%$

14%$

12%$13%$

3%$1%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#




n=100 MOE = ±10%


Voter Preference for Vice President: Urban

75

26%$ 24%$28%$

35%$

17%$19%$

16%$

24%$

34%$ 33%$31%$

23%$

16%$

10%$14%$

10%$

3%$

6%$ 5%$

3%$5%$

3%$ 2%$0%$

4%$ 4%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Rural

76

24%$23%$ 24%$

25%$23%$

21%$ 24%$

34%$

29%$ 27%$25%$

18%$

14%$11%$

15%$14%$

4%$

7%$5%$

2%$

5%$5%$ 3%$

0%$3%$

4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Classes ABC

77

31%$

32%$35%$

42%$

21%$17%$

16%$

27%$28%$

22%$

30%$

13%$14%$10%$

10%$

2%$ 4%$

6%$

2%$4%$

6%$

1%$0%$

9%$

3%$4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Class D

78

26%$24%$

28%$32%$

21%$ 21%$ 21%$

27%$

31%$ 30%$

27%$

20%$

15%$10%$

15%$

12%$

3%$

6%$4%$

3%$5%$

2%$0%$4%$

2%$

4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Class E

79

21%$ 21%$ 21%$24%$

19%$ 19%$

33%$32%$ 30%$ 28%$

21%$

17%$

12%$

16%$13%$

5%$

8%$6%$6%$

5%$ 4%$0%$

6%$

5%$ 3%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Males

80

28%$

27%$

28%$31%$

18%$18%$ 19%$

27%$28%$ 28%$

27%$

20%$

15%$11%$

15%$

13%$

5%$

8%$5%$5%$

3%$3%$

0%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#

Jan27.Feb4$ Feb24.Mar1$ Mar26.Apr1$ Apr27.May1$




Voter Preference for Vice President: Females

81

22%#

20%#

23%#

28%#

22%#23%#

22%#

32%#

34%#31%#

28%#

20%#

16%#11%#

15%#12%#

3%#

6%#4%#

4%#3%# 2%#

3%# 4%#

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: 18-34 years old

82

22%#

19%#

23%#

26%#

18%# 18%# 18%#

29%#

36%# 36%#

32%#

24%#

17%#

12%#15%#

12%#7%#

5%#

3%#4%#4%#

2%#

3%#0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#


Marcos, Jr. Robredo Escudero Cayetano Trillanes Honasan


Voter Preference for Vice President: 35-54 years old

83

24%$25%$ 26%$

31%$

21%$ 21%$ 20%$

28%$30%$ 28%$ 27%$

18%$16%$

11%$

15%$13%$

4%$

6%$ 5%$5%$

3%$ 3%$5%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: 55 years & older

84

31%$ 29%$27%$

33%$

22%$

21%$

25%$

30%$26%$

24%$23%$

16%$

12%$ 9%$

14%$12%$

3%$

6%$4%$

2%$

6%$5%$

5%$

3%$2%$

4%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President by Religious Affiliation

85

PH

Catholic

Iglesia ni Cristo

Born Again

Muslim

Aglipayan

Others 5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

9%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

14%

4%

16%

18%

6%

12%

12%

14%

24%

20%

15%

16%

21%

20%

23%

21%

35%

24%

21%

30%

29%

38%

42%

14%

38%

50%

29%

30%

Marcos, Jr. Robredo Escudero CayetanoTrillanes Honasan Undecided


Voter Preference for Vice President: Catholics

86

24%$ 23%$25%$

29%$

22%$

21%$ 21%$

30%$31%$ 31%$ 29%$

21%$

15%$11%$

14%$12%$

3%$

6%$4%$

3%$4%$ 3%$3%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: INCs

87

40%$

31%$34%$

50%$

12%$13%$

11%$

21%$

28%$

26%$ 23%$

16%$

10%$

19%$

16%$

6%$10%$

2%$5%$

0%$ 1%$

10%$3%$

3%$0%#

10%#

20%#

30%#

40%#

50%#

60%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Born Again

88

27%$28%$

22%$

38%$

16%$22%$

17%$

24%$

32%$

28%$29%$

15%$17%$

6%$

21%$ 18%$

6%$ 6%$

2%$3%$ 3%$ 2%$2%$3%$

0%$0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President: Muslims

89

14%$

19%$

11%$

14%$15%$

18%$21%$

35%$31%$

20%$22%$

20%$16%$

13%$

17%$16%$

9%$12%$

14%$

4%$

15%$

10%$

2%$

9%$9%$

12%$

3%$

0%#

5%#

10%#

15%#

20%#

25%#

30%#

35%#

40%#

45%#

50%#





Voter Preference for Vice President by Ethnicity

90

PH

Tagalog

Cebuano

Ilocano

Ilonggo

Bicolano

Waray

Pangasinense

Kapampangan

Others 3%

2%

2%

6%

6%

1%

5%

2%

3%

4%

1%

4%

6%

2%

1%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

1%

1%

3%

1%

3%

3%

3%

18%

9%

4%

6%

4%

8%

6%

26%

6%

12%

15%

19%

29%

23%

27%

16%

4%

17%

28%

20%

32%

22%

18%

26%

49%

50%

8%

28%

23%

29%

25%

46%

43%

36%

12%

16%

78%

16%

35%

30%



Voter Preference for Vice President by Trust in PNoy

91

PH

Very Much Trust [6%]

Much Trust [47%]

Undecided [10%]

Little Trust [32%]

Very Little Trust [5%] 2%

3%

9%

3%

1%

3%

5%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

12%

16%

13%

10%

10%

12%

17%

20%

21%

21%

13%

20%

17%

18%

20%

36%

58%

29%

45%

38%

31%

24%

13%

30%



Vote Commitment for Vice Presidential Candidates (Base: Those who chose specific candidate)

92

TOTAL PH

AMONG MARCOS, JR. VOTERS [29%]

AMONG ROBREDO VOTERS [28%]

AMONG ESCUDERO VOTERS [20%]

AMONG CAYETANO VOTERS [12%]

AMONG TRILLANES VOTERS [3%]

AMONG HONASAN VOTERS [3%] 9%

17%

11%

12%

8%

11%

10%

91%

83%

89%

88%

92%

89%

90%

WILL DEFINITELY NO LONGER CHANGE MAY STILL CHANGE

voter preference for vice president...nationwide survey of 3,000 likely voters, april 27-may 1, 2016...

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