VU Amsterdam: Hans de Moel, Elco Koks, Marthe Derkzen, Peter Verburg, Jeroen AertsMunicipality Rotterdam: Nick van Barneveld, Anne Weeda

TURAS WP4 case study: Rotterdam

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Rotterdam

~600,000 inhabitants

~1.3 million in Rijnmond area

Protected by barrier and dikes

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Rotterdam

Largest harbour in Europe

Infrastructural hub: ‘Gateway to Europe’

Soruce: Port authority of Rotterdam webiste

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Rotterdam

Largest harbour in Europe

Infrastructural hub: ‘Gateway to Europe’

3,5m4,5m5,5m

Source elevation data: AHN

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Rotterdam

Economy

Commerce

Services

Construction

DP-RD, 2011

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Future challenges – socio-economic change

Population growth up to 2040, can go in various directions from there

DP-RD, 2011

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Future challenges – climatic change

Extremer extremes

KNMI, 2006

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Future challenges

Socio-economic change and climate change will put extra pressure on the urban area. Many consequences:

Increasing flood hazard (river/sea/rain)

Increasing flood exposure

Increased heat stress

Possible deterioration of living environment

Demand for ways to cope with these issues.

Issues linked in many cases:

Development of unembanked areas should be sustainable in terms of flood risk and living environment.

Smart measures can have double edged effects

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TURAS Work

Two themes

Adaptation to flood risks (task 4.2)

Urban planning (task 4.3)

Flood risk track has started a little earlier, so some work has already been done there

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Progress

Improving flood risk assessments

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Planning

Adaptation to flood risks Evaluate costs and benefits of various types of measures

In unembanked areas For local flooding from regional water system Similar exercise in New York

ODPM, Scotland, 2004

Aerts et al., in review

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Planning

Adaptation to flood risks Improve flood risk assessments, special focus on:

Industrial/port areas Indirect effects: business interruption and supply-chain

disruption Criticial infrastructure (e.g. energy/water supply)

De Kort, 2012

Thailand, 2011

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Planning

Urban planning –> adapt to climate change by optimizing green/blue space and related urban ecosystem services

TEEB, 2010

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Planning

TEEB, 2010

Urban planning –> adapt to climate change by optimizing green/blue space and related urban ecosystem services

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Planning

Urban planning Determine the spatial distribution of supply and demand for a range of

urban ES, including: Recreation Aesthetics of the living environment Local climate regulation Water provision

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Planning

Urban planning Quantify social and monetary values attached to ES

Evaluate alternative scenarios of sustainable city development in terms of possibilities to supply the demand for ES

E.g. Large green spaces around the city versus inner-city green spaces

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Planning

Discussion points

Which urban services?

Which scale (city or district)?

Second case study city for urban services?

Link to flood risk research Ljubljana? (and/or other TURAS cities)