walter hays, global alliance for disaster reduction, university of north carolina, usa
DESCRIPTION
FROM NATURAL HAZARDS TO DISASTERS AND DISASTER RESILIENCE A 3-Part Story That Can Take 40 Years or More. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
FROM NATURAL HAZARDS TO DISASTERS AND DISASTER
RESILIENCE
A 3-Part Story That Can Take 40 Years or More
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of
North Carolina, USA
BASIC PHYSICS and EARTH SCIENCE of NATURAL HAZARDS
TOWARDS A DEEPER UNDERSTANDING OF THE PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS THAT CAUSE NATURAL
HAZARDS AROUND THE GLOBE
PART I
HAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDS
HAZARDS: NOT AN OPTION FOR CITIES HAZARDS: NOT AN OPTION FOR CITIES HAZARDS: NOT AN OPTION FOR CITIES HAZARDS: NOT AN OPTION FOR CITIES
EXPOSURE AND EXPOSURE AND VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY
EXPOSURE AND EXPOSURE AND VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY
DISASTERDISASTERDISASTERDISASTER DISASTER DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCEDISASTER DISASTER
RESILIENCERESILIENCE
CITYCITYCITYCITY
NATURAL HAZARDS ARE NOT AN OPTION FOR CITIES
(PART I)
DISASTERS, THE “DEFAULT OPTION” (PART II)
AND
TO BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT, OR NOT; THAT IS THE QUESTION: (PART III)
PLANET EARTH IS AFFECTED BY A CONTINUUM
OF NATURAL HAZARDS
EARTHQUAKESTSUNAMIS
SEVERE WINDSTORMSVOLCANOES
FLOODS WILDFIRES
A DISASTER OCCURS WHEN THE CITY IS …
UN—PREPARED
UN—PROTECTED
UN—ABLE TO RESPOND EFFECTIVELY
UN (NON)--RESILIENT
BASIC EARTH SCIENCE
• PLATE TECTONICS
• FAULTS
• WATER CYCLE
• SOLAR HEAT
• EARTHQUAKES
• TSUNAMIS
• VOLCANOES
• FLOODS
• SEVERE WINDSTORMS
• WILDFIRES
BASIC PHYSICS
• STRESS (Compression, Tension, Shear)
• DEFORMATION (Faults, Folds)
• HEAT AND PRESSURE FLOW
• WAVES (P-, S-, Love-, Rayleigh Waves; Tsunamis)
• FLOWS, BLASTS, AND PLUMES
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS OCCUR ON MANY SCALES
• Microscopic
• Site-specific to local
• Subsurface to atmospheric
• Regional
• Continental
• OCEANIC
• Global
EARTHQUAKES:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS ENCOMPASS THE
LITHOSPHERE, CORE, MANTLE, ASTHENOSPHERE,
(HYDROSPHERE) AND BIOSPHERE
HEAT FLOWS FROM THE OUTER CORE
TECTONIC PLATES 200 MILLION YEARS AFTER PANGEA
NORTH AMERICA AND PACIFIC (JUAN DE FUCA) PLATES CONVERGING
NORTH AMERICA AND PACIFIC PLATES SLIDING BY EACH OTHER
NORTH AMERICA AND PACIFIC PLATES SLIDING BY EACH OTHER
San Andreas: A Plate BoundarySan Andreas: A Plate Boundary
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA’S NATURAL HAZARDS
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA’S NATURAL HAZARDS
• FLOODS
• EARTHQUAKES
• TSUNAMIS
• VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
• WILDFIRES
• LANDSLIDES
• FLOODS
• EARTHQUAKES
• TSUNAMIS
• VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
• WILDFIRES
• LANDSLIDES
EASTERN NORTH AMERICA’S NATURAL HAZARDS
EASTERN NORTH AMERICA’S NATURAL HAZARDS
• FLOODS
• HURRICANES
• EARTHQUAKES
• TORNADOES
• ICE STORMS
• LANDSLIDES
• FLOODS
• HURRICANES
• EARTHQUAKES
• TORNADOES
• ICE STORMS
• LANDSLIDES
THE CARIBBEAN PLATE AND HAITI EARTHQUAKE
PACIFIC RIM: SUBDUCTION OF CONVERGING PLATES
MOST EARTHQUAKES OCCUR IN PACIFIC RIM CONVERGENCE ZONE
INDIA-EURASIA: COLLISION OF CONVERGING PLATES
PLATE CONVERGENCE: BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA AREA
THE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF AN EARTHQUAKE
SUBSIDENCE
EARTHQUAKE
TSUNAMI
GROUND SHAKING
FAULT RUPTURE
FOUNDATION FAILURE
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
LIQUEFACTION
LANDSLIDES
AFTERSHOCKS
SEICHE
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SOIL FAILURE AND SURFACE FAULTING )
IRREGULARITIES IN MASS, STRENGTH, AND STIFFNESS
FLOODING FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP AND SEICHE
POOR DETAILING OF STRUCTURALSYSTEM
FAILURE OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
TSUNAMIS:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS ENCOMPASS THE
LITHOSPHERE, CORE, MANTLE, ASTHENOSPHERE,
HYDROSPHERE, AND BIOSPHERE
PHYSICS OF A TSUNAMI PHYSICS OF A TSUNAMI
THE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF AN TSUNAMI
TSUNAMI HAZARDS (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• HIGH-VELOCITY, LONG-PERIOD WATER WAVES
• WAVE RUNUP • FLOODING• WAVE RETREAT• SHORELINE EROSION
TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP
HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF INCOMING WAVES
TSUNAMIS TSUNAMIS
INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP
VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS
FLOODING
NO WARNING, OR INADEQUATE WARNING
PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
SEVERE WINDSTORMS HURRICANES/TYPHOONS:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS OF THE SUN, HYDROSPHERE,
ATMOSPHERE, LITHOSPHERE, AND BIOSPHERE
HURRICANE PHYSICS
PHYSICS OF A TYPHOON
HAZARDS OF A SEVERE WINDSTORM (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• WIND FIELD (COUNTER CLOCKWISE OR CLOCKWISE DIRECTION; CAT 1 (55 mph) TO CAT 5 (155 mph or greater)
• STORM SURGE
• HEAVY PRECIPITATION
• LANDSLIDES (MUDFLOWS)
• COSTAL EROSION
• TORNADOES (SOMETIMES)
WIND AND WATER PENETRATE BUILDING ENVELOPE
SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM
FLYING DEBRIS PENETRATES WINDOWS
STORM SURGE AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
POOR WORKMANSHIP
FAILURE OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
•SEVERE WINDSTORMS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
SEVERE WINDSTORM SEVERE WINDSTORM RISK REDUCTIONRISK REDUCTION
•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY • EDUCATIONAL SURGES
POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
Wind profileWind profile
Storm Hazards:Storm Hazards:-Wind pressure-Surge-Rain-Flood-Waves-Salt water-Missiles-Tornadoes
OceanOceanOceanOcean
Gradient WindGradient Wind
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS
ENCOMPASS THE LITHOSPHERE, CORE,
MANTLE, ATMOSPHERE, AND BIOSPHERE
PHYSICS OF AN EXPLOSIVE VOLCANO
ACTIVE VOLCANOES
HAZARDS OF A VOLCANIC ERUPTION
VOLCANO HAZARDS (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• VERTICAL PLUME
• ASH AND TEPHRA
• LATERAL BLAST
• PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
• LAhARS
PROXIMITY TO LATERAL BLAST
VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
IN PATH OF PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
IN PATH OF FLYING DEBRIS (TEPHRA)
IN PATH OF VOLCANIC ASH (AVIATION)
IN PATH OF LAVA AND PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
IN PATH OF LAHARS
IGNORING WARNING TO EVACUATE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE/DISASTER
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
DISASTER RISK DISASTER RISK REDUCTIONREDUCTION
•PREVENTION-MITIGATION•PREPAREDNESS•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY•ADAPTATION
POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
FLOODS:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS ENCOMPASS THE ATMOSPHERE, LITHOSPHERE, HYDROSPHERE,
AND BIOSPHERE
FLOOD HAZARDS (AKA
POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• TOO MUCH WATER DISCHARGED WITHIN THE DRAINAGE SYSTEM TO BE ACCOMMODATED NORMALLY IN THE REGIONAL WATER CYCLE
• EROSION
• SCOUR
• MUDFLOWS
LOSS OF FUNCTION OF STRUCTURES IN FLOODPLAIN
FLOODSFLOODS
INUNDATION
INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
STRUCTURAL/CONTENTS DAMAGE FROM WATER
WATER BORNE DISEASES (HEALTH PROBLEMS)
EROSION AND MUDFLOWS
CONTAMINATION OF GROUND WATER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE AND
DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE AND
DISASTER
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
WILDFIRES:
PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS ENCOMPASS THE ATMOSPHERE, LITHOSPHERE, AND BIOSPHERE
SCIENCE OF WILDFIRES
WILDFIRES are conflagrations caused by
lightning discharges (or acts of man) in wilderness areas close enough to an urban interface
that they threaten people, property, infrastructure, and
business enterprise.
WILDFIRES are conflagrations caused by
lightning discharges (or acts of man) in wilderness areas close enough to an urban interface
that they threaten people, property, infrastructure, and
business enterprise.
WILDFIRE HAZARDS (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• FIRE
• HOT GASES AND SMOKE
• HOT SPOTS
• BURNED OUT SLOPES (with increased susceptibility to insect infestation, erosion, and landslides)
WILDFIRE HAZARDS (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)
• SUNDOWNER WINDS
• SANTA ANNA WINDS
• LOCAL CHANGES IN AIR QUALITY
• LOCAL CHANGES IN WEATHER
LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILDFIRESWILDFIRES
MANMADE FIRES
PROXIMITY OF URBAN AREA TO THE WILDLAND FIRE
WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION (DAY/NIGHT)
DRYNESS
HIGH TEMPERATURES
LOCAL FUEL SUPPLY
CAUSES OF DAMAGE AND DISASTER
CAUSES OF DAMAGE AND DISASTER
DISASTER LABORATORIES
DISASTER LABORATORIES
DISASTERS ARE THE CITY’S “DEFAULT OPTION”
(SEE PART II)
TO BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT, OR NOT; THAT IS STILL THE QUESTION:
(PART III)