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Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences http://www.humbleisd.net/ Page/38302

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Page 1: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Warren RoaneMary Kay Gianoutsos

Humble ISD

Warren RoaneMary Kay Gianoutsos

Humble ISD

Best Laid Plans:EOC Projections,

Results and Consequences

Best Laid Plans:EOC Projections,

Results and Consequences

http://www.humbleisd.net/Page/38302

Page 2: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Brief HistoryProjections: Districts, Teachers, Students Results: Impact on Districts, Teachers,

Students Consequences: Districts, Teachers, Students

Outline

Page 3: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Voluntary EOC ca. 1994-1999Required EOC ca. 1999-2001

Required TAKS 2002-2011Voluntary EOC 2005-2010

Required EOC with 15% requirement 2012Suspended 15% requirement 2012, 2013Removed 15% requirement 2013Removed cumulative score 2013

Brief History of EOC Algebra

Page 4: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Brief History of EOC AlgebraFirst-Time Testers

27

45 4957 57

83 82

0

20

40

60

80

100

1996 2000 2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Raw Score

Pass rate

Page 5: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Legislation DecisionsSTAAR15% Moratorium on 15%

Live testsRelease of EOC resultsEOC to TAKS bridge studyEOC as part of 2013 Accountability

Timeline of EOC Events 2011-2013

Page 6: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Live TestsRelease of EOC resultsBridge Study Release

Spring 2012

Page 7: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

EOC as part of 2013 AccountabilityAYP?Removal of 15%Removal of cumulative scoreSnapshot change-Summer to Spring testersRetesters count over multiple yearsReleased test items in 2012, 2013

Spring 2013

Page 8: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Mandatory SamplingData file (who will test)

Sending Receiving

Live testing mixed with mandatory sampling

Makeup testing

District Testing

Page 9: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Storing Student EOC Information:

Multiple Retakes Which Passing Standard? 4x4 Graduation Plan vs. HB 5 Students who took Algebra I out of state Field Test Results with Other Test Results

District Impact

Page 10: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Accelerated Instruction:

District required to provide for all students not achieving Level 2 on EOC

How to notify student in a timely manner? How can we remediate with students when we do

not yet receive detailed results? TEA: “Sufficient funding exists”

District Impact

Page 11: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District and State Results:Field Test 2010-2011

Page 12: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Campus Study: Projections from Field Test

Page 13: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District Curriculum Impact: Projections from the Field Test

EOC Math TAKS Math

Obj_score_math1

raw_score_math m_obj1 m_raw

EOC math

Obj_score_math1

Pearson Correlation

1 .793** .315** .503**

Sig. (2-tailed) 

.000 .000 .000

N 2035 1849 1559 1537

Obj_score_math7

N 243 243 242 240

raw_score_math

Pearson Correlation

.793** 1 .369** .582**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 

.000 .000

N 1849 1849 1374 1358

TAKS Math

m_obj1 Pearson Correlation

.315** .369** 1 .687**

m_raw Pearson Correlation

.503** .582** .687** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 

N 1537 1358 3720 3720

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).

Page 14: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District and State Results:EOC 2011-12 Raw Score

Page 15: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District and State Results:EOC 2011-12

State Humble

Students 333540 2880

Average Scale 3902 4022

Level I not min 9.8% 4.3%

Level I minimum 7.5% 4.3%

Level II 66.0% 68.6%

Level III 16.7% 22.7%

Page 16: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District and State Results:EOC 2012-13

17% 17% 23% 20%

82% 82%91% 86%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Texas 2012 Texas 2013 Humble 2012 Humble 2013

Level III

Level II

Page 17: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District Results:EOC 2012-13

9th grade 8th grade

Level II 2012 86.8% 99.4%

Level II 2013 78.4% 99.3%

Level III 2012 9.2% 46.3%

Level III 2013 5.9% 45.1%

Page 18: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District Results:EOC 2012-13

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

9th grade 2012 9th grade 2013 8th grade 2012 8th grade 2013

Level II

Level III

Page 19: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

2012 District and State Results:Percent Met Standard TAKS, STAAR Bridge

Study (Raw Score 15)

9097.6 96.4 100

82.791.4 87.1

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

State (All) Humble (All) Humble (9th) Humble (8th)

TAKS

STAAR

Page 20: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

State (all students) Failing TAKS 10% but 17.3 % below Level II

District (all students)Failing TAKS at 2.4% but 8.6% below Level II

District and State Results:EOC 2011-12 and TAKS 2012

Page 21: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

District Results:EOC 2012-13

91%86%

50%45%

23% 20%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

All 2012 All 2013

Level II initial

Level II final

Level III

Page 22: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

June 2013 © Moak, Casey and Associates 22Source: TEA, http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/perfreport/account/2013/index.html

Target = 50 Target = 5th Percentile

Target = 55 Target = 75

Page 23: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Index 1: All students 50% at Level IIIndex 2: Top 95% of campuses have

students that make progressIndex 3: Lowest 3 groups in 2012 are at

55% in 2013Index 4: Final Level 2+Grad>150

EOC Algebra and Accountability:In all 4 indices

Page 24: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

EOC Algebra: part of Index 1,2,3,4MS Algebra success—eliminated HS success?

District and State Results:EOC 2013 and Accountability

Page 25: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Increased phase in standards New EOC teaching materials Accelerated instruction each time Accountability by class period Value-added model: teacher name to

student

Impact on Teachers

Page 26: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Level 2 Phase-in 2: 7 moreLevel 2 Phase-in Final: 14 more

Alg1 Level 2 Phase 1

Alg 1 Level 2 Phase 2

Alg1 2 Level 2 Final

Alg1 Level 3 0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Out of 54 Questions

Questions correct

Page 27: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

June 2013 © Moak, Casey and Associates 27

Source: TEA - 2013 Accountability Manual

Page 28: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

High stakes in middle school? Summer school/Accelerated instruction Additional testing Graduation type: 4x4 vs. HB 5

Impact on Students

Page 29: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

AYP, State Accountability HS Math courses: how many, which? Money-Summer school/accelerated

instruction budget

Future Implications

Page 30: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Questions?

Contact information

Warren Roane, Director of [email protected] Mary Kay Gianoutsos, Assistant Director of Data

[email protected]

Page 31: Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Warren Roane Mary Kay Gianoutsos Humble ISD Best Laid Plans: EOC Projections, Results and Consequences Best

Questions?

PowerPoint Informationhttp://www.humbleisd.net/Page/38302