why you should invest in bitcoin - tuur demeester

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    WhyyoushouldinvestinBitcoin

    TuurDemeester

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    IsBitcoinabubble?

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    Bitcoinvs.Nasdaq

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    2010

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    2011

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    2013

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    tradeinhighvolumesatprices

    thatareconsiderablyatvariancewithintrinsicvalues

    ECB-reportvirtualcurrencyschemes,october2012

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    Cryptocurrencyisatechnology!

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    SkypeuseradopHoncurve

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    SkypeuseradopHoncurve

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    PriceofBitcoin

    Madness

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    ormerelyreflecHnga

    parabolicadopHoncurve

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    SoluHons

    TrialanderrorKraken.com,Bitbox.mx,Crypto.st,Stage.btc.uy,LaHncoin.com,

    BitcoinfriendlyjurisdicHons(offshore) Decentralizedexchangemethods

    Ripple/opencoin,BitcoinOTC,opentransacHons Growthofgoods&servicesmarket

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    Itcannotberuledoutthatnon-banks

    willdevelopmoreindependentstrategies

    andwillnolongerneedtoallythemselveswithbanks.

    ECBreportVirtualCurrencySchemes,

    october2012

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    Pricediscovery

    Source:h^p://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Oil_Prices_1861_2007.svg

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    Bitcoinmoneysupply

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    NewSystemvs.OldSystem

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    Fiatmoneysupply

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    CentralBanksbuydebt

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    hencethebondbubble

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    Whenisdebtunsustainable?

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    Whenisdebtunsustainable?

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    Frombail-outtobail-in

    Crossingtherubicon?

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    FSB,july192011

    What?

    proposedpolicymeasurestoresolve[large

    banks]withoutsystemicdisrupHonandwithout

    exposingthetaxpayertotheriskofloss

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    FSB,july192011

    Specifics?

    proposedessenHalelementsofa

    bail-inregimetoenablecreditor-financed

    recapitalisaHonoffinancialinsHtuHons.

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    Basicallyitcanmeanthis:

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    FSB,july192011

    Bywhen?

    Bydecember2012,the

    resoluHonplansshouldbecompleted.

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    Wherebail-inisbeingprepared

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    Thebail-in

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    AxisTitle

    "bail-in"

    imf.org

    bis.org

    financialstabilityboard.org

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    Inotherwords,todaysrisksare:

    Bankholidays Bond,realestatecrash yperinflaHoninthecurrency

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    Thegoodnews

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    BitcointhrivesinArgenHna

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    FuturevalueofBitcoin

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    wearehere

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    0 1000 2000 3000 4000

    edgefundsallocate1%toBTC

    ArgenHneschangegreenbacksforBTC

    Goldownerssell1%forBTC

    Futurevalueofonebitcoinif...

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    0 200.000 400.000 600.000

    ShadoweconomyusesBTC

    BTCbecomesthenewgold

    BTCbecomestheworldsreservecurrency

    Futurevalueofonebitcoinif...

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    Cryptocurrency:morethanBitcoin

    Bitcoinmining Stockmarkets Bondmarkets AlternaHvecryptocurrencies

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    Thankyou!

    >TuurDemeester.com

    >[email protected]

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    Endnotes

    Slide10:sourceisblockchain.info

    Slide16:sourceiswikipedia

    Slide19:h^p://www.goldmoney.com/gold-research/alasdair-macleod/money-supply-acceleraHng.html

    Slide20:sourceisZeroedge

    Slide21:sourceisSocGen:h^p://media.rtl.nl/media/financien/rtlz/2009/socgen2011.pdf

    Slide22:Sourceish^p://group30.org/images/PDF/orHz091211.pdf

    Slide23:sourceisaverAnalyHcsSlide25,26,28:EffecHveresoluHonofsystemicallyimportantfinancialinsHtuHonsrecommendaHonsand

    Hmelines,bytheFinancialStabilityBoard,july19th2011.

    Slide27:Sourceish^ps://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=160292

    Slide29:Sourceish^p://www.financialstabilityboard.org/publicaHons/r_130419b.pdf,forCanada:

    google.com/news.

    Slide30:ownresearch

    Slide33-34:localbitcoins.com

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    Endnotes

    Slide39-40:SourcesareowncalculaHons,basedon:

    Bitcoinprice:h^p://www.bitcoincharts.com

    BTCtransacHonvolume:h^p://blockchain.info/charts/esHmated-transacHon-volume-usd

    edgeFunds:h^ps://www.hedgefundresearch.com/pdf/pr_20130419.pdf

    Remi^ance:h^p://gulfnews.com/business/economy/global-remi^ance-flow-grows-10-77-to-514-billion-

    in-2012-world-bank-1.1172693

    Offshore,datausedisfromBankforInternaHonalSe^lements:h^p://www.hkma.gov.hk/media/eng/publicaHon-and-research/research/research-notes/RN-01-2012.pdf

    Blackmarket:h^p://www.voxeu.org/arHcle/shadow-economies-around-world-model-based-esHmates

    h^p://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/arHcle/ALeqM5h1gB30nCS4C4QEQC998r9Qnc90Q?docId=CNG.

    507ec2ee2770ea21ef8b2af057ac350b.91

    WorldGDP:h^ps://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?

    ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_cd&tdim=true&dl=en&hl=en&q=world%20gdp

    TMSofworldreservecurrency:h^p://www.goldmoney.com/gold-research/alasdair-macleod/money-supply-acceleraHng.html