wir schaffen wissen – heute für morgen do you believe in operation statistics? presented at the...

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Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul Scherrer Institut

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Page 1: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen

Do you believe in Operation Statistics?Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011

Andreas LüdekePaul Scherrer Institut

Page 2: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Paul Scherrer Institute (PSI), Switzerland

PSI: Swiss national research center1300 employees

Proton facility: 1 MW cw beam– Spallation neutron source

PSI West: Large Research Facilities

Proscan SC cyclotron– Cancer therapy Swiss Light Source (SLS)

– e- storage ring– 400mA, 2.4 GeV

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 2

Page 3: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Swiss Light Source Operation

• Swiss Light Source is• In operation since 2001• A user facility with 19 beam-lines in operation• Providing ~ 5000 hours beam to users per year

• Users need to apply for beam time• Just 30% of the proposals are accepted• Accepted users need to wait about 6 month for beam time

• One important metric to judge machine quality

Availability =Delivered _Beam _Time

Scheduled _User _Time

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 3

Page 4: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

3rd Generation Synchrotron Light Sources: AvailabilityAv

aila

bility

[%]

YearAndreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 4

Page 5: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Availability: "Concours des Alpes"Av

aila

bility

[%]

YearAndreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 5

Page 6: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Availability: "Concours des Alpes"Av

aila

bility

[%]

YearAndreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 6

Page 7: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Metrics of the Swiss Light Source (SLS)

• Availability definition:

• “Delivered_Beam_Time” = “Beam_for_Users” during “User_Time”• “User_Time" = “Scheduled_User_Time" + "User_Reserve_Time”

• Example for 2005:€

Availability =Delivered _Beam _Time

Scheduled _User _Time

Availability =4777h +175h (reserve )−82h (outages)

4777h=101.6%

Availability uncompensated =4777h +175h(reserve ) −82h(outages)

4777h +175h(reserve )= 98.4%

• Uncompensated Availability

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 7

Page 8: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Elettra Metrics for Availability

• Thunderstorms are excluded from failure statistics at Elettra

• Example from 2005:

Availability =User _Time −Outages+Outages(Thunderstorms)

User _Time= 93.2%

Availability (Storms) =User _Time −Outages

User _Time= 92.3%

• Availability including outages from thunderstorms:

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 8

Page 9: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Availability: "Concours des Alpes” correctedBa

re A

vaila

bility

[%]

YearAndreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 9

Page 10: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

Special Events: ESRF 2005 and the Crotch Absorber

● In March 2005―A water-to-vacuum leak―Five days of user operation lost 120 hours downtime

● ESRF statistics 2005―Availability 97.6%, ―Total User Operation 5496 hours 131 hours downtime

• How can that be? ―All users of 5 days re-scheduled―Not counted as downtime

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 10

Page 11: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

What can we learn from this?

● Availability statistics not proportional to system reliability

● But large effort spend to compile downtime statistics

● Accurate failure data exists, but kept internal. Why?

● If that would be public, what could it be used for?

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 11

Page 12: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

RF arcing at the Swiss Light Source

• Background• SLS has 60 to 100 beam outages per year• About 20 outages were caused by RF arcs

• Inquiry• Asking around at the EPAC’08: “What is your experience with arc detectors?”• Answer: arc detectors are often unreliable!

• Action• We are replacing detectors with arc-coincidence detectors

• Result• No arc interlock from any upgraded detector!• Single diodes still show arcs, but do not cause interlocks

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 12

• Conclusion• We had in 10 years 200 unnecessary beam losses!

Page 13: Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen Do you believe in Operation Statistics? Presented at the Accelerator Reliability Workshop 2011 Andreas Lüdeke Paul

What can we do?

Andreas Lüdeke, Paul Scherrer Institute at the ARW11 in Cape town, 11-Apr-2011 Slide 13

• What we do now– We do your own mistakes– Sometimes we share selected insights during workshops

• What we should do– Learn from the failures of others– Create a database of all outages of many facilities!

• How to do that?– Define a simple document format– Provide a web-platform to publish downtime event data

• I’ll start, will you join?

• Participate in the Friday morning discussion!

• .

• .